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Fortnightly, 15 June 2016

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FortnightlyReport

15 June 2016
9 Sivan 5776
9 Ramadan 1437

TOP STORIES

TABLE OF CONTENTS:

 1: ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Energy Ministry Approves Leviathan Development Plan
1.2  Finance Ministry Agrees to Two-Year Budget Mechanism with Prime Minister
1.3  Herzliya to Issue Tender for Two Islands
1.4  New Defense Minister Recognizes Bereaved Same-Sex Families
1.5  Jerusalem Light Rail to Double Capacity

2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  IBM to Acquire EZSource
2.2  Israeli Startups Raise $237 Million During First Week of June
2.3  Israel California Water Conference Sets the Stage for California’s Water Stewardship
2.4  Hibob Raises $7.5 Million
2.5  Israeli Bank Branch Closures Below International Average
2.6  Microsoft Opens Third Research & Development Center In Israel
2.7  Sekindo Expands Its AdTech Operations to the US Opening a New York Office
2.8  SundaySky Raises $30 Million to Accelerate Its Sector Leadership
2.9  Trax Image Recognition Raises $40M in Series C Funding
2.10  TechForGood Accelerator Seeks Social-Tech Startups
2.11  DeepSense Raises $2 Million
2.12  Armeron Raises $2 Million from Glilot Capital Partners

 3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Boston Market Bringing Restaurants to Seven Middle Eastern Countries
3.2  US’ Dream Hotel GroupPlans First Middle East Property in Doha
3.3  DP World Says Not Ruling Out Another Push for US Port
3.4  Air Canada’s New Service from Montreal to Casablanca Begins
3.5  Turkcell Opens Turkey’s Largest Data Center
3.6  TAI Signs $3.5 Billion in Deals with Sikorsky for Helicopters

 4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Jordan Signs Deal for Coal Fueled Power Plant
4.2  Saudi Aramco & GE to Install First Wind Turbine in Saudi Arabia

5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Moody’s Affirmed B2 Rating for Lebanese Government Bonds
5.2  Lebanon’s Eurobonds Assigned ‘B-‘ Ratings by S&P
5.3  Lebanon’s Fiscal Deficit Increased by 36% to $1.44 Billion in First Quarter
5.4  Number of Lebanese New Car Registrations Inched Up 1.36% by May
5.5  Lebanon’s Balance of Payments Deficit $899 Million by April 2016
5.6  Jordan Drops One Place in World Competitiveness Report
5.7  Jordan’s JBSP Border Security Program

♦♦Arabian Gulf

5.8  Kuwait’s Fuel & Gas Subsidies Budget Reduced to $787 Million
5.9  Kuwait’s Foreign Trade Surplus Shrinks 76% to $1.3 Billion in First Quarter
5.10  Kuwait’s Capital Spending to Reach $8.9 Billion this Year, Up $1.8 Billion
5.11  Qatar’s Foreign Trade Surplus Shrinks to $1.3 Billion in April
5.12  Qatar Spends $18 Billion to Remain Region’s Most Peaceful Country
5.13  UAE & Saudi Arabia Named Among World’s Top Developing Retail Markets
5.14  The Cost of Keeping the Peace in the UAE Put at $29.8 Billion
5.15  UAE Signs Deal with NASA in Bid to Reach Mars
5.16  Saudi Arabia Aims to Attract 1.5 Million Tourists by 2020
5.17  Saudi Arabia Plans New ‘Balanced’ Saudization Scheme
5.18  Expats & Employers Worried Over Uncertain Saudi Tax Proposal

♦♦North Africa

5.19  Eni & BP Declare New Egyptian Offshore Gas Discovery
5.20  Egypt Parliament Approves Saudi King’s Sinai Development Program
5.21  Investment Ministry Pledges Quarterly Report to Parliament on Work Program
5.22  Egypt’s Trade Deficit Falls 44% in March
5.23  Egypt to Create Database of Expatriates
5.24  Egyptian Business Activity Down for 8th Month in a Row
5.25  Tunisia Gets $2.9 Billion IMF Loan for Job Creation & Economic Growth
5.26  Daoudi Renews Commitment to Transition to English in Moroccan University

6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS


6.1  Turkish Industrial Output Drops In April
6.2  TUPRAS Named as Turkey’s Biggest Firm
6.3  Turkish Defense Minister Meets Pakistani Counterpart

7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

♦♦ISRAEL:

7.1  Knesset Sees Record Number of Women MKs After Latest Reshuffle

♦♦REGIONAL:

7.2  Nearly 60% of Qatari Population Lives in Labor Camps
7.3  King Fahd Security College and the University of New Haven Sign Collaboration Agreement
7.4  Egyptian Population Reaches 91 Million

8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  NeuroRx Awarded First Prize in Annual Israel BIOMED Startup Competition
8.2  BioTime Gets $2.2 Million Grant for Further Development of Dry-AMD Program
8.3  Nano Textile Introduces Novel Technology to Fight Hospital-Acquired Infections

9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Check Point Selects Mellanox Ethernet Solutions to Enhance Security Appliances
9.2  Mellanox New BlueField Family of System-on-Chip Programmable Processors
9.3  CellMining Wins GTB Telecoms Innovation Award
9.4  VisIC Technologies GaN Device provides Highest Efficiency at Highest Frequency
9.5  Rheinmetall Canada and IAI/ELTA Bring MF-STAR Radar to the CSC Program
9.6  PointGrab Partners with Tyco Innovation Tel Aviv
9.7  Allot Helps VOO Belgium to Deliver a Better Customer Experience
9.8  $17,000 Super-Secure Smartphone Solarin Will “Break the Rules”
9.9  IAI’s Bird Eye 650D STUAS Enters Serial Production
9.10  IAI Introduces RoBattle – a Combat Maneuvering & Support Ground Robot
9.11  LightCyber Selected as Red Herring’s 2016 Top 100 North America Winner
9.12  Silicom Secures 1st Design Win with Fast-Track Cyber Security Company
9.13  Sierra Wireless & OriginGPS Partner for Industry’s Smallest 2G Solution for IoT Devices
9.14  Mellanox Enhances Cloud Efficiency With 25Gb/s Ethernet Connectivity
9.15  SECDO Partners with Tel-Networks USA to Provide Powerful Investigation Solutions

10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  OECD Lowers its 2016 Israel Growth Forecast
10.2  Israel’s Exports Continue to Decline
10.3  Investments in Israel Achieve Record Levels
10.4  Israel’s Record New Car Sales Defy Economic Slowdown

11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  MIDDLE EAST: MENA Imported 10% of Internationally Traded Lumber in 2015
11.2  BAHRAIN: Moody’s Maintains Negative Outlook On Bahrain’s Banking System
11.3  OMAN: Moody’s Assigns Baa1 to Oman’s Dollar Bond Issuance
11.4  EGYPT: New Legislation to Bolster Services For Egypt’s Disabled
11.5  TURKEY: Turkey’s Latest ‘Civilian Coup’

1:  ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Energy Ministry Approves Leviathan Development Plan

The Petroleum Commissioner at the Ministry of National Infrastructures, Energy and Water Resources has informed the partners in the Leviathan gas reservoir (Delek Drilling – 22.67%, Avner Oil & Gas – 22.67%, Noble Energy – 39.66%, and Ratio – 15%) that the plan for development of Leviathan submitted to him three months ago has been approved.  Under the plan, which is for the largest infrastructure project in Israel’s history, the reservoir will be developed according to an accelerated timetable that enable the gas from it to reach Israeli users by the end of 2019, earlier than the date set in the gas framework agreement between the state and the gas exploration companies.  The Leviathan partners aim to approve a final investment decision this year.

The development plan calls for the drilling of eight production wells (of which two have already been drilled) to be connected by a submarine pipeline to a fixed maritime platform on which all the systems for treating the gas will be installed.  The gas will flow from the platform to the shore at the northern entry point of the Israel Natural Gas Lines network.

The production, treatment and transportation capacity of the wells, the platform and the pipeline between them is planned to be 21 BCM a year, while the capacity of the pipeline from the platform to the connection point with Israel Natural Gas Lines is panned to be 12 BCM a year.  The gas supplied to Israel Natural Gas Lines will serve the local Israeli economy and neighboring countries.  The platform will also have an additional outlet for connection to a submarine pipeline with a capacity of 12 BCM a year, mainly for exports to countries of the region.

The Ministry of National Infrastructures, Energy and Water Resources estimates the amount of gas that can be produced from the reservoir at 17.6 TCF.  This estimate will be updated if further data are received, particularly after the Leviathan-5 drilling, and in accordance with data obtained in the course of production, for the purposes of calculating the amount of gas that may be exported.  (Globes 02.06)

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1.2  Finance Ministry Agrees to Two-Year Budget Mechanism with Prime Minister

An agreement has been reached by the directors-general of the Ministry of Finance and the Prime Minister’s Office on the mechanism for the two-year budget for 2017-2018, as per the prime minister’s demand.  The mechanism, created to allay the reservations of Minister of Finance Moshe Kahlon, provides the Knesset with the power to deny the approval of the second-year budget, thereby dissolving the parliament and leading to new elections.  Ministry of Finance officials said such a scenario was extremely unlikely.

The agreed-upon mechanism is one of the lessons drawn from the missteps of the only two-year budget fully implemented until now – in 2011-2012 – as well as a numerator and the decision to leave a NIS 3.5 billion reserve for adjustments for the second budget year.  The agreement will be anchored in a special bill which will be distributed in the coming days ahead of accelerated legislation procedures.  The mechanism essentially removes the last barrier posed by the professionals handling the budget and leaves the rest of the work for the political establishment, where the battle should be easily decided after Yisrael Beitenu joined the coalition.

The economists’ main concern is of a dramatic decrease in state revenue compared with the forecast on which the second year of the biennial budget is based, as occurred in 2012.  In that year, the deficit was twice the expected figure – almost NIS 40 billion – which forced the government to undertake extreme measures to close the fiscal hole.

The new mechanism sets the date for estimating the potential of such a gap for 2018 much earlier, in November of 2017.  If it turns out that the forecasts of the Ministry of Finance were overly conservative and revenue is higher than expected, nothing happens.  But if a gap is discovered, its size will determine the course of action: if it is minor, the government can deal with the difference; but if it is significant, it must turn to the Knesset for help.

If the deficit gap is larger than the government can handle – more than NIS 15 billion – the Ministry of Finance will be forced to turn to the Knesset for help with a request for extraordinary measures including tax raises or significant spending cuts.  In a more extreme scenario, the Ministry of Finance could ask to change the framework of the budget – in other words, increase the deficit target beyond the existing figure.  (Globes 07.06)

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1.3  Herzliya to Issue Tender for Two Islands

The Herzliya municipality will soon issue an international tender to examine the feasibility of building artificial islands along Israel’s coastline.  The tender will include consideration of two islands: one for housing and the other for an airport for internal flights.  Japanese delegations that visited Israel in May said that the islands were feasible.  At the same time, the Tel Aviv municipality is preparing another plan for an artificial island on which an international airport and other infrastructure will be built.

An airport on an artificial island is common in wealthy and densely populated areas in the Far East.  Almost all the airports built in recent years in Hong Kong, Macau and Japan are on artificial islands.  Discussion of such an artificial island in Israel began 20 years ago, when Israel and the Netherlands signed a memorandum of intent for cooperation in the construction of artificial islands in the Mediterranean Sea.

Nothing has happened since then other than talk.  In 2002, the government approved the construction of two artificial islands off the Mediterranean coast: one for an airport off the Tel Aviv shore and one residential island opposite Bat Yam.  In 2006, then-Minister of Transport Mofaz declared that his ministry would promote the construction of an artificial island and that the feasibility check would take place in Q1/07.  In 2012, the government approved the forming of an inter-ministerial steering committee for considering the technological feasibility of an island.  (Globes 31.05)

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1.4  New Defense Minister Recognizes Bereaved Same-Sex Families

New Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman issued an official document on behalf of the Defense Ministry on 1 June declaring that the ministry “views same-sex and heterosexual families of fallen soldiers equally, and operates in accordance with this equality so that there is no difference in recognition and rights.”  With the document, Lieberman reiterated the policy formulated by his predecessor, Moshe Ya’alon, who recently made a similar declaration.  Since bereaved families are eligible for financial benefits, the distinction has far-reaching implications.  (Various 02.06)

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1.5  Jerusalem Light Rail to Double Capacity

The Jerusalem Light Rail is to double its capacity.  After nearly two years of discussions between the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Transport on the one hand and Jerusalem Light Rail concessionaire CityPass and works contractor Alstom on the other, the sides reached understandings on extension of the Light Rail lines.  The works are valued at NIS 3 billion.  Of this, CityPass will carry out works to the tune of some NIS 1.5 billion.  The work on extending the lines is expected to be complete by early 2020 at the latest.

The dispute was over the extension to the existing Red Line, currently 14 kilometers long.  According to the plan, the line is supposed to continue southwards from Mount Herzl to Hadassah Ein Kerem Hospital and northwards from Pisgat Ze’ev to Neve Yaakov.  Two branch lines, known as “the campus lines”, are supposed to reach the Hebrew University’s Mount Scopus and Givat Ram campuses.  The extensions mean laying eight kilometers of track, making the line 22 kilometers in total.  The contract between the parties obliges the state to conduct negotiations first of all with the existing concessionaire.  The works include track laying, doubling the number of cars from 46 to 90, and the supply of systems to the project.

Whereas the state was prepared to pay €310 million for the works, Alstom demanded €380 million.  After prolonged negotiations, the sides compromised on a payment of €350 million, or NIS 1.5 billion.  (Globes 02.06)

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2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  IBM to Acquire EZSource

On 1 June, IBM announced that it plans to acquire EZ Legacy (EZSource), an Israel-based application discovery company, to help developers quickly and easily understand and change mainframe code based on data displayed on a dashboard and other visualizations.  Today’s applications can be made up of millions of lines of code, and to update this code can take days or weeks.  EZSource provides a visual dashboard to quickly and easily show developers which applications have changed to ease the process of modernizing applications, exposing APIs and more efficiently leveraging development resources.  The planned acquisition is expected to close in the second quarter of 2016 subject to completion of governmental review and customary closing conditions.

A key step in this evolution is to understand what assets already exist in the enterprise. IBM’s current DevOps offerings, such as IBM Application Delivery Foundation for z Systems and IBM Rational Team Concert, coupled with EZSource’s application discovery technology, are designed to enable developers to evolve those legacy assets at the speed of business with reduced risk to the enterprise.  EZSource alerts developers to the number of sections of code that access a particular entity, such as a database table, so they can easily check them to see if updates are needed.  Without the advanced analytics in the EZSource solution, developers would need to manually check thousands or millions of lines of code in hopes that they would find the ones that need to be changed, putting all entities at greater risk of error.

Established in 2003, Modiin’s EZ Legacy (EZSource) is a leader in enterprise application understanding and management with offices in Israel, UK, US, Switzerland, Japan and Romania.  The EZSource suite dramatically reduces the enterprise’s applications management costs, improves its application development and maintenance speed, flexibility and quality of its deliverables and lowers the risk involved in application development and maintenance.  (IBM 01.06)

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2.2  Israeli Startups Raise $237 Million During First Week of June

Despite a slowdown in global high-tech, Israeli companies continue to close large financing rounds.  During the first week of June 2016 alone, 13 Israeli startups raised an impressive $237 million.  All this follows a creditable May for Israeli startups, when among other things ridesharing app Via raised $100 million and taxi hailing app Gett (formerly GetTaxi) brought in a $300 million investment from Volkswagen.  Website guide developer WalkMe has led the way in June with a $50 million financing round.  Not far behind was image retail recognition company Trax, which raised $40 million and data storage company Weka.IO, which raised $32 million.  Smart video company SundaySky raised $30 million and mobile cyber security developer Zimperium raised $25 million.  In the healthcare center, patient monitoring device company EarlySense raised $25 million.

The smaller financing rounds included $10 million raised by big data analysis company Signals Group and $8 million raised by human resources B2B platform developer Hibob.  Oribi, which analyzes business intelligence data raised $5 million, as did Twiggle, which has developed a search engine for shopping sites.  CallVU, which has developed a mobile platform for customer service centers raised $3 million and business information company Unomy raised $2 million. Appfront, which has developed an app for ordering food raised $1.5 million.  (Globes 09.06)

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2.3  Israel California Water Conference Sets the Stage for California’s Water Stewardship

The Israel Economic Mission to the West Coast, Israel NewTech, and The Israel Export Institute will host the first Israel California Water (ICWater) Conference on 29 June in Los Angeles and on 30 June in San Diego.  The ICWater Conference will focus on initiating and strengthening water technology partnerships and pilot projects between California and Israel to help meet California’s water needs. New financial models will help water users in California’s agricultural, industrial, and municipal sectors make the case for water-saving projects.  The conference grew out of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed by Governor Brown and Prime Minister Netanyahu in 2014.  Participants include California and Israel business leaders, water technology experts, researchers, policy leaders, regulators, and public authorities.  Over twenty Israeli water technology firms will be present, along with customers and business partners from the municipal, agricultural, and industrial sectors in California.  Both days of the conference will feature structured B2B meetings to discuss specific challenges, custom solutions, and partnerships with companies specializing in such areas as desalination, water reuse, drip-irrigation, and water monitoring and management.  (ICWater 13.06)

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2.4  Hibob Raises $7.5 Million

Human resources management software developer Hibob has closed a $7.5 million financing round from Bessemer Venture Partners, LocalGlobe and angel investors.  Hibob also launched its cloud-based system, which integrates human resources, benefits, pension, auto enrolment and data in one secure online data storage platform.  The company says its technology provides insights and helps businesses make better decisions, improving staff engagement and retention,

Hibob was formed in 2015 and its platform is aimed at HR departments for companies employing up to 300 people, with its market focus on the UK.  The company’s most unique feature is an automated function that identifies employees in need of pension consulting or advice on health insurance.  Hibob has 40 employees half of whom are in Tel Aviv and half in London.  Despite its focus on the British market, Zehavi said the company planned to expand its Israel R&D operations.  (Globes 07.06)

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2.5  Israeli Bank Branch Closures Below International Average

The Bank of Israel’s annual Supervisor of Banks report announced that over the past three years, only 5% of the country’s bank branches have closed, leaving 1,152 active branches.  The Israeli closings follow seven years in which banking corporations expanded their branch network and increased their access to customers, primarily from the retail segments and households.  The decline derives from banking service consumption habits, such as from new financial technology that allows the provision of banking products and services online.  In addition, the decline also stems from processes aiming to increase efficiency being carried out by some banks.  The survey found that the number of branches in Israel today has returned to the level of six years ago and is 15% higher than the number of branches 10 years ago.

The Bank of Israel also found that there has been a sharp rise in the number of branches in the Arab sector.  This increase is part of a long-term trend in the number of bank branches in Arab towns.  Between 2004 and 2015, the total number of branches in Arab municipalities increased by about 83%, compared with about 11% in Jewish municipalities and about 9% in mixed municipalities.  As of December 2015, the number of branches in Arab towns was 108, compared with 58 in 2004.  This change derives from business considerations and specific policy that led many banks to expand their retail activity in the Arab sector.

Israel’s outlying regions have seen their number of bank branches grow over the past three years by 30%.  (BoI 06.06)

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2.6  Microsoft Opens Third Research & Development Center In Israel

Software giant Microsoft has inaugurated a research and development center in the Galilee city of Nazareth, Israel, its third in the Startup Nation.  The new center is joining those in Herzliya and Haifa, which employ more than 1,000 people.  Developers at the new Nazareth center – a few dozens in the initial phase – will work on major projects involving cyber-security, big data, business intelligence, cloud storage, and personalization.

Microsoft opened its first R&D center outside the US in 1991, in Israel.  The company’s R&D centers in Israel are among the few strategic global development centers the company operates outside the US, and are home to some of the company’s most innovative technologies, including some components of IBM Watson, its flagship artificial intelligence technology.  Microsoft also operates a local startup accelerator-venture capital combo called Microsoft Ventures in Israel.  Over the past years, the software behemoth has acquired several Israeli companies, including security startup Aorato and software companies Equivio and N-trig.  Last year, Microsoft acquired Israeli cloud-security startup Adallom for $250 million.  (NoCamels 07.06)

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2.7  Sekindo Expands Its AdTech Operations to the US Opening a New York Office

Sekindo, a digital platform for online video, display, and mobile advertising, officially announced the opening of a New York office for the first time.  The opening of an office located within the US marks a significant advance in Sekindo’s position as a global solution for both advertisers and publishers.  The expansion to New York demonstrates the prevailing influence of the company in the AdTech field.  The opening of a New York office not only strengthens Sekindo’s established status as a major player in the United States industry, but it also provides Sekindo with a better platform to provide its clients and publishers with the best service possible.

Sekindo is a technologically advanced digital platform for video, online display and mobile advertising. With our proprietary technology, we bring high quality traffic in the most transparent way to deliver the best monetization and results possible.  Part of the Universal McCann family, Sekindo has access to all UM resources.  Sekindo was established in 2007 by three programming entrepreneurs who had a vision to automate the digital landscape.  In 2012, Sekindo joined the Universal McCann family and have grown substantially since.  (Sekindo 01.06)

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2.8  SundaySky Raises $30 Million to Accelerate Its Sector Leadership

SundaySky completed its Series D financing round and raised an additional $30 million, bringing total investments in the company to $67 million.  New investor Viola Private Equity led the round and was joined by existing investors Carmel Ventures, Globespan Capital Partners, Norwest Venture Partners, Comcast Ventures and others.  NTT DOCOMO Ventures – the venture capital arm of NTT DOCOMO, Japan’s leading mobile operator and a SundaySky customer – also participated as a strategic investor.  The funding will scale global growth and support continued product innovation and a rapidly expanding customer base as SundaySky builds upon its position as the pioneer in the personalized video engagement market.

By 2020, SundaySky expects all Fortune 500 business-to-consumer companies will adopt data-driven, personalized video storytelling to engage with and communicate to their customers.  SundaySky has seen year-over-year SmartVideo program growth of 130% and is on track to reach 1 billion cumulative SmartVideo views by the end of the year, as companies respond to growing consumer demand for relevant and personalized experiences.  Enterprises that implement SmartVideo at one stage of the customer lifecycle – such as video billing, acquisition or onboarding – are now adopting it for multiple applications across their businesses for holistic SmartVideo strategies.

Tel Aviv’s SundaySky is transforming the relationship between brand and customer through personalized video.  Their platform, built on proprietary SmartVideo technology, combines the power of video with personalized storytelling at scale to foster long-term customer relationships.  The SmartVideo Platform lets marketers communicate to an audience of one and easily create, manage and optimize real-time personalized video programs throughout the customer lifecycle.  (SundaySky 08.06)

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2.9  Trax Image Recognition Raises $40M in Series C Funding

Trax Image Recognition (Trax) raised $40 million in a Series C round from existing shareholders to support the growth, new product development and technical innovation of the company.  Trax turns shelf images into real-time actionable insights by delivering a unique image recognition platform for the retail industry.   Recognizing over 8 million images (with more than 1 million store visits) every month, Trax provides the highest accuracy of data, intelligence, insights and recommendations to consumer good companies and retailers in over 40 countries.  Trax will use its latest round of investment, which is its largest to date, to expand its global operations with a focus in North America and a new product line for top tier retailers.  Trax has over 220 global employees, 130 of which are based in the company’s R&D and Computer Vision Centre of Excellence in Tel Aviv, Israel.

Trax is the world leader in image recognition for retail. Leveraging the company’s leading image recognition platform, they provide market data solutions and services to tier one manufacturers and retailers globally.  With Trax, customers can easily control performance gaps, identify category opportunities and immediately increase revenue at all points of sale.  (Trax 12.06)

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2.10  TechForGood Accelerator Seeks Social-Tech Startups

TechForGood has announced registration for the third cycle of its Israeli accelerator program, which supports startups that leverage technology in order to address social issues.  Over the past few months, TechForGood has mobilized funds which it plans to invest in social-tech ventures to create additional momentum to the startup companies as well as the entire social-tech area in Israel.  This year will also see close collaboration between the Israeli ventures and their peers and mentors in TechForGood Singapore, a sister-accelerator which TechForGood has established in Singapore in order to develop the social-tech area in Asia.  The Asian market offers great opportunities for Israeli startups thanks to its proximity to large and diversified markets, as well as access to large funds of impact funds that are looking for innovative ideas for social problems.

TechForGood is currently the leader of Israel’s social-tech industry.  The company’s Tel Aviv accelerator targets technological entrepreneurs who seek to generate a favorable social impact with economic value.  The accelerator program provides the participants with a framework of professional experts in technology, social activism, business and finance, legal and more. It also connects the graduates with investors and key personalities in the local and global industry.

TechForGood is a global organization operating both in Tel Aviv and in Singapore.  Social-tech entrepreneurs, who use technology to tackle social problems, have what it takes to make the world a better place.  TechForGood supports them with everything they need to scale up and build successful, profitable and impact-generating global companies.  (Globes 05.06)

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2.11  DeepSense Raises $2 Million

DeepSense has completed a $2 million financing round.  The round was led by AfterDox, an active angels fund in the Israeli market, with JANVEST Capital Partners and SeedIL, and follows a Chief Scientist grant to the company earlier this year.

Haifa’s DeepSense’s system collects immense amounts of data at very high speed from dozens of sites (hundreds of machines and thousands of sensors) and streams the data to the Cloud in real-time.  Using unique, advanced neural-network architectures, the DeepSense analytic engine autonomously learns how similar groups of machines behave.  This engine then interlinks events with components within the machines, and with various systems at the industrial site.  It is thereby able to detect abnormal events, to find correlations between such events, and ultimately to predict evolving failures.  Once it detects the evolution of an abnormal pattern, the system generates alerts about the upcoming failure, and provides valuable information about the remaining time to the failure, its origin in the system, and, on the basis of past occurrences, even recommends the best known solution to it.  (Globes 14.06)

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2.12  Armeron Raises $2 Million from Glilot Capital Partners

Armeron recently secured funding of $2 million by Glilot Capital Partners, a venture capital fund specializing in Enterprise Software.  Armeron’s isolation platform is a drastic departure from today’s filtering-based approach to web application protection such as Web Application Firewalls.  These first generation approaches rely on a mix of signatures and complex rules which administrators setup and retune every time the application changes.  In contrast, Armeron’s isolation technology disregards any manipulation attempts on the request sent to the application, which renders all known or unknown application attacks irrelevant.  The company has been testing early versions of its products with select design partners and plans to launch its beta program later this year.  With headquarters in Maryland and a development center in Israel, Armeron currently employs a team of 13, mostly in Israel.  (Glilot Capital Partners 14.06)

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3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Boston Market Bringing Restaurants to Seven Middle Eastern Countries

Boston Market IP Company, an affiliate of Golden, Colorado’s Boston Market Corporation, has signed an area development agreement with Al-Ghunaim Trading Co. Ltd. that will open dozens of Boston Market restaurants in the Middle East.  Al-Ghunaim Trading Co. has agreed to develop Boston Market restaurants in Kuwait, Oman, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, Qatar and Jordan.  The agreement is part of a plan by Boston Market to open 25 – 30 restaurants across the Middle East over the next few years.

Al-Ghunaim Trading Co. Ltd. has vast experience developing and operating casual dining restaurants in the Middle East and South Asia.  The multinational casual dining restaurant company owns and operates a variety of brands including Chili’s, Johnny Carino’s Italian Grill, The Pizzeria, The Coffee Bean and Tea Leaf, Cinnamonster and Which Wich.  Al-Ghunaim Trading Co. was named one of the top companies making an impact in Kuwait by Forbes Middle East.  The company plans to open its first restaurant in Kuwait as part of this agreement in 2016 or early 2017.  (Boston Market 06.06)

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3.2  US’ Dream Hotel Group Plans First Middle East Property in Doha

NY-based hospitality management company Dream Hotel Group has announced the signing of its first hotel in the Middle East.  The company signed an agreement with Qatar-based Al Alfia Holding to develop a Dream Hotel in Doha.  Dream Hotel Group said the Doha signing is part of a $1.5 billion investment in new hotel development including future US locations.  Dream Doha will open in late 2019 and will feature 325 rooms, nine dining and nightlife venues, and is the third overseas property for the company after Dream Phuket Hotel & Spa and Dream Bangkok in Thailand.  (AB 06.06)

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3.3  DP World Says Not Ruling Out Another Push for US Port

Dubai-based DP World is still reportedly keen to make another attempt to acquire a US port terminal despite being forced to back out of a plan to acquire terminals in 2006 amid backlash from lawmakers in Congress.  The company’s general manager for Canada said in an interview published by the Wall Street Journal that since 2006 DP World has made significant investments in Canada.  Maksim Mihic said DP World could attempt another US acquisition if a “good value proposition” comes along but added that Canada is a better market because “you have terminals not operated by the shipping lines”.  Canadian volumes dipped in the first quarter of 2016, but DP World expects them to rebound.  DP World owns the Centerm terminal at the Port of Vancouver and recently acquired the Fairview terminal at the Port of Prince Rupert.  In December, DP World announced plans to study a further expansion at Fairview to increase its annual container handling capacity to 2 million 20-foot containers, or TEUs, from about 1.35 million.  (AB 01.06)

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3.4  Air Canada’s New Service from Montreal to Casablanca Begins

The arrival of flight AC1936 at Casablanca’s Mohammed V International Airport marked the successful launch of non-stop service between Montreal and Casablanca, Air Canada’s first African route and the only scheduled non-stop service to North Africa by a North American carrier.  Flights between Montreal and the famed Moroccan city will be operated until 29 October 2016 by Air Canada Rouge with a Boeing 767-300ER aircraft.  Service is scheduled to resume on 1 May 2017.  Air Canada Vacations offers vacation packages to Casablanca which include a variety of hotels ranging from three to five stars, as well as car rentals, tours and excursions.

The new service will be operated by Air Canada Rouge, Air Canada’s leisure carrier, with a 282-seat Boeing 767-300ER, featuring a choice of three customer comfort options available: Economy; Preferred seating offering additional legroom; and Premium Rouge with additional personal space and enhanced service. All flights provide for Aeroplan accumulation and redemption and, for eligible customers, priority check-in, Maple Leaf Lounge access, priority boarding and other benefits.  (Air Canada 04.06)

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3.5  Turkcell Opens Turkey’s Largest Data Center

Turkcell unveiled Turkey’s largest data center in Gebze, near Istanbul.  With its new building, Turkcell aims to turn Istanbul into a regional hub of data, and serve global internet companies such as Google and Facebook, as well as Turkish public and private sectors.  Turkcell’s new data center is spread over a total area of 33,000 m2.  The active area – known as the “white space” – consists of 20 rooms of 500 m2 each. The building has 33 thousand meters of fiber connections.  The infrastructure is supported by a 30 MW energy capacity and 25 generators of 2500 KVA each. Security is maintained with retina-scanning technology, 146 cameras and 6400 control sensors.

As the leading provider of fiber services in Turkey, Turkcell cooperates with international partners like Deutsche Telekom, Telecom Italia, Telekom Austria Group, KPN and Tata Communications.  Turkcell network supports more than 2 Tbps bandwidth in its international connections. In addition to the data traffic of Turkey, 50% of the data traffic to Georgia, Iraq and Iran goes through the Turkcell network.  In addition to serving its local customers, Turkcell now aims to expand its international collaborations into providing cloud services for global content companies and act as a node for international data traffic.

Turkcell is a converged telecommunication and technology services provider, founded and headquartered in Turkey.  It serves its customers with voice, data, TV and value-added consumer and enterprise services on mobile and fixed networks.  Turkcell launched LTE services in its home country on 1 April 2016, employing LTE-Advanced and 3 carrier aggregation technologies in 81 cities.  In 2G and 3G, Turkcell’s population coverage is at 99.85% and 95.05%, respectively, as of March 2016. It offers up to 1 Gbps fiber internet speeds with its FTTH services.  (Turkcell 03.06)

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3.6  TAI Signs $3.5 Billion in Deals with Sikorsky for Helicopters

Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI) has signed agreements worth $3.5 billion with Sikorsky Aircraft and three domestic contractors to make helicopters for Turkey’s Armed Forces.  Under the deal, 109 utility helicopters will be built for the Turkish land, air, gendarmerie and police forces by TAI as the prime contractor, Sikorsky as the major subcontractor and Turkey’s Aselsan, TEI and ALP as other subcontractors.

In the framework of the project, TAI will manufacture all main parts of the T70 helicopters, undertake all montage works, make all tests and offer integrated logistics support.  Aselsan will be responsible for the development and the integration of basic avionics while assuming responsibility together with Sikorsky for the development of the helicopter cockpit.  TEI will manufacture the helicopter’s engine, while ALP will undertake the production and montage of the landing gear, as well as the dynamic parts of the helicopter.  (HDN 07.06)

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4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Jordan Signs Deal for Coal Fueled Power Plant

On 14 June, the Energy Ministry announced that Jordan signed an agreement to build its first coal fueled power plant.  The plant will run on coal and petroleum coke.  Under the deal, signed by the ministry and Al Manaseer Group, construction of the 30MW plant will begin in July.  It will be located in Qatraneh, in the south of Jordan, and will be built to the “highest standards” to preserve the environment.  The plant is one of the government’s initiatives to diversify energy resources to meet the rising demand for power.  The project is part of Jordan’s energy strategy, under which 5% of power will be generated by coal by 2025.  (JT 14.06)

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4.2  Saudi Aramco & GE to Install First Wind Turbine in Saudi Arabia

Saudi Aramco and GE have announced they are partnering to install Saudi Arabia’s first wind turbine at the Turaif Bulk Plant, located in the north-west of the Gulf kingdom.  The initiative is in line with Saudi Vision 2030 that has set an initial target of generating 9.5 gigawatts (GW) of renewable energy.  The project marks the first regional installation of GE’s 2.75-120 Wind Turbine, which has been specifically customized for climatic conditions in Saudi Arabia.

Several studies have confirmed the potential for wind energy generation in the kingdom, particularly in the northern region.  According to the Renewable Energy Atlas, higher wind speeds near 8.0 m/s and above occur in the northeast and central regions of Saudi Arabia, as well as near mountains in the western region.

GE recently announced the launch of 10 initiatives with strategic partners including Saudi Aramco, that support the goals of Saudi Vision 2030, including economic diversification, localized manufacturing, human capital development as well as productivity and efficiency enhancement across the energy, aviation, healthcare and digital sectors.  (AB 10.06)

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5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Moody’s Affirmed B2 Rating for Lebanese Government Bonds

In June 2016, Moody’s affirmed Lebanon’s government bond rating at B2 and maintained a negative outlook.  The rating mirrors Lebanon’s fiscal flexibility and solid liquidity position, while the outlook takes into consideration the risks accompanying the deferral in policy action to narrow fiscal deficit.  Moody’s determination of government bond rating is based on four factors: Economic Strength, Institutional Strength, Fiscal Strength and Susceptibility to Event Risk.  Lebanon’s Economic Strength is “low”.  The Lebanese economy is small and volatile but has continued to grow despite external shocks, such as domestic political deadlock and geopolitical developments.  This growth was supported by strong remittances, which reached $3.6B in 2015, the availability of credit, and lower oil prices.  However, insufficient public investment and low competitiveness would continue to hamper Lebanon’s economic growth.  Similarly, Lebanon’s Institutional Strength is also “low”.  Lebanon’s governance framework is impaired by political deadlock and the Syrian crisis.  However, this factor is supported by effective financial regulations and monetary policy.  The Lebanese government has never failed to service its debt in a timely manner, despite political and economic shocks.  As for its Fiscal Strength, Lebanon recorded a “very low” score.  This is due to the large fiscal deficit, of around 8% of GDP, and high debt burden reaching 126.4% of GDP in 2015.  Finally, Lebanon scored “moderate” on the Susceptibility to Event Risk factor.  Political risks are partly offset by a strong consensus among parties to prevent violent spillovers from Syria.  Moreover, high foreign reserves and the pegged currency limit economic and balance of payments risks.  (Moody’s 14.06)

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5.2  Lebanon’s Eurobonds Assigned ‘B-‘ Ratings by S&P

S&P Global Ratings said on 2 June that it has assigned its ‘B-‘ long-term issue ratings to the Eurobonds issued by the Republic of Lebanon (B-/Negative/B) on 27 May 2016.  The bonds are related to the purchase or early redemption and cancellation of local currency treasury bills held by Banque du Liban, the central bank, into $2 billion worth of Eurobonds.  The bonds were issued in three series ($500 million 6.25% notes due 2022, $500 million 6.40% notes due 2023, and $1 billion 6.85% notes due 2029).  (S&P 02.06)

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5.3  Lebanon’s Fiscal Deficit Increased by 36% to $1.44 Billion in First Quarter

According to the Ministry of Finance, the fiscal balance recorded a deficit of $1.44b in the first three months of 2016 compared to a deficit of $1.06b in the same period in 2015.  In Q1/16, total revenues grew by an annual 17% to $2.43b while total expenditures grew at a faster rate of 23% to $3.87b.  The fiscal balance is in deficit even when Lebanon’s debt payments are excluded.  Accordingly, the primary deficit widened from $138m in Q1/15 to $400.9m in Q1/16.  In terms of revenues, total tax revenues increased by a yearly 9% to $1.67B with customs revenues rising by an annual 4% to $321.97M and with VAT revenues rising by an annual 7% to $528.21M.

Telecom revenues, which represent around 60% of non-tax revenues, grew from $241M in Q1/15 to $347.50m in Q1/16.  In terms of expenditures, the heavyweights are usually transfers to EDL and debt repayments.  However, given the continuous slump in oil prices since mid-2014, the value of transfers to EDL registered an annual drop of 52% from $315.47M in Q1/15 to $152.32M in Q1/16.  As for the debt service, it grew by an annual 13% from $924M in Q1/15 to $1.04B in Q1/16.  (BLOM 09.06)

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5.4  Number of Lebanese New Car Registrations Inched Up 1.36% by May

According to the Association of Lebanese Car Importers, the number of newly registered commercial and passenger cars added 1.36% year-on-year (y-o-y) to 15,300 cars by May 2016.  This growth was prompted by the 0.3% yearly increase in the number of newly registered passenger cars to 14,264 and the 18.8% surge in newly registered commercial vehicles to 1,036.  Japanese cars were the most demanded cars in Lebanon during the first 4 months of 2016, grasping a 36.5% share of total passenger cars.  Korean cars followed, with a market share of 35.4% by May 2016, while European cars maintained their third rank with a market share of 21.4%.  In terms of brands, Kia grasped the largest share of newly registered passenger cars (19.52%), followed by a 15.75% stake for Hyundai. Toyota and Nissan came next, with a 13.38% share for Toyota, while Nissan held 10.3%.  In terms of sales per importer, Natco acquired the biggest stake of newly registered cars with 18.20% of the total, followed by BUMC (14.21%), Century Motor Co. (14.95%) and Rasamny-Younis Motor (11.50%).  (BLOM 13.06)

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5.5  Lebanon’s Balance of Payments Deficit $899 Million by April 2016

Lebanon’s Balance of Payments (BoP) revealed a deficit of $899.1 million in the first four months of 2016, compared to a deficit of $714.2 million in the same period last year.  The widening deficit is the result of a lesser flow of Foreign Direct Investments and remittances since regional economies are now facing their own set of economic and political woes.  Up until April, Net Foreign Assets (NFA) of the Central Bank (BDL) dropped by $902 million, while that of commercial banks rose by $2.9 million.  In April alone, Lebanon’s BoP also registered a deficit of $254.9 million, compared to a surplus of $136 million in April 2015.  The NFAs of BDL decreased by $494.9M and that of commercial banks inched up by $240 million, from the prior month.  (BLOM 06.06)

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5.6  Jordan Drops One Place in World Competitiveness Report

Jordan ranked 53 among 61 economies in the latest world competitiveness report by Switzerland’s International Institute for Management Development (IMD) – the Kingdom ranking dropped from 52nd place in 2015 to 53rd in 2016.  Jordan was regional countries included in the ranking, with Qatar which came in the 13th place and the United Arab Emirates, which ranked 15.  Israel was ranked in 21st place.  Hong Kong topped the list in the ranking, followed by Switzerland and the United States.  (AmmonNews 04.06)

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5.7  Jordan’s JBSP Border Security Program

On 2 June, Defense Industry Daily reported that in May 2008, the U.S. Army’s Communications and Electronics Command (CECOM) chose DRS Technologies, Inc. in Gaithersburg, Maryland (since acquired by Italy’s Finmeccanica) for the initial phase of the Jordan Border Security Program.  The overall system will include Distant Sentry(TM) mobile and fixed surveillance towers that utilize a variety of Commercial Off-The-Shelf (COTS) sensors, communications between the towers and mobile and fixed Command and Control (C2) Centers, and electronic infrastructure, software, and computing systems for the centers themselves.  The Iraqi border is reportedly the focus of the JBSP program, but that country’s borders with Syria are also a concern.

The $100 million program aims to secure the Hashemite Kingdom against infiltrators from the Islamic State and other extremist organizations operating beyond its border with Syria and Iraq.  Under the program, Raytheon and Jordanian subcontractors have been deploying and testing the sensor-fused border barriers while, in parallel, training other Jordanian partners to maintain and operate the system.  As well as the barriers, patrol paths and watchtowers, the system is integrated with day and night cameras, ground radars, and a full command, control and communications suite.  The system will be completed by the end of next year.  (DID 02.06)

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►►Arabian Gulf

5.8  Kuwait’s Fuel & Gas Subsidies Budget Reduced to $787 Million

Kuwait has allocated a reduced figure of $787 million (KD 238 million) towards fuel and gas subsidies for 2016/2017.  The figure is significantly lower than that the “billions of dinars” of previous years, when oil prices were over $100 a barrel.  The decision is in line with reports that the government could increase petrol prices between 14 to 83% next month during the parliamentary summer break.  In 2015, Kuwait fully lifted subsidies on grades of fuel such as diesel and kerosene.

As for the new budget, it includes over $1 billion (KD 310 million) in ration card subsidies, $880 million (KD 266 million) in aid to ‘friendly and sisterly countries’, and $993 million (KD 300 million) in social aid to divorced women or those married to stateless people and others.  The budget also dedicates $413 million (KD 125 million) to patients receiving medical treatment abroad.  The same figure was estimated at $993 million (KD 300 million) last year.

The government was asked to review the roles of semi-government and independent government bodies which use up over $15.2 billion (KD 4.6 billion) of state funding – the main source of the budget deficit valued at over $36.4 billion (KD 11 billion) in 2016.  (AB 06.06)

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5.9  Kuwait’s Foreign Trade Surplus Shrinks 76% to $1.3 Billion in First Quarter

Kuwait’s foreign trade surplus shrank 76.6% from a year earlier to KD402 million ($1.33 billion) in Q1/16, data from the Central Statistical Bureau has showed.  In the previous quarter, the surplus reduced by 68.7% to KD1.05 billion ($3.5 billion) as low oil and gas prices affected the local economy.  In March, Kuwait’s central bank governor warned that authorities may have to change monetary policy if the government does not act urgently to cut a budget deficit caused by low oil prices.  Mohammad al-Hashel said the legislative and executive branches of the government needed to prove to the rest of the world that public finances were sustainable.

In January, Kuwait’s finance ministry said that the Gulf oil exporter’s 2016-17 draft budget forecasts a deficit of KD12.2 billion, nearly 50% higher than the previous year, due to falling crude prices.  The ministry said expected revenues will be KD7.4 billion while expenditures are expected to be KD18.9 billion.  The deficit for the fiscal year, which runs from April 1 to end of March, includes KD0.7 billion contribution to the Generations Fund, a nest egg for when oil supplies diminish or the economy suffers other shocks.  Kuwait is planning to develop five islands off its coastline into business free zones, part of the country’s bid to diversify its economy away from its focus on energy.  The free zone plans will be based on international models and will depend on foreign investment to bring to fruition.  (AB 11.06)

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5.10  Kuwait’s Capital Spending to Reach $8.9 Billion this Year, Up $1.8 Billion

Capital spending in Kuwait is set to reach $8.9 billion, a rise of $1.8 million over the past year.  MP Adnan Abdulsamad, Kuwaiti head of the National Assembly budgets committee, said the arrangement of the 2016/17 budget had been changed and the distribution of expenditures had also been modified.  The committee has asked ministries and government departments to restructure their procedures of reviewing, awarding and implementing development contracts in a bid to cut expenditures.  There have been calls for the dismissal of senior officials who failed to perform their duties with regards to development projects.

During the committee meeting, MP Saleh Ashour, head of the women’s affairs committee in the assembly, said a law would soon be issued to give priority for government jobs to children of Kuwaiti women married to expats after they receive citizenship.  The assembly’s priorities committee said the upcoming session would result in the approval of new laws including one that would stiffen penalties against violations of laws in the private sector.  (AB 02.06)

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5.11  Qatar’s Foreign Trade Surplus Shrinks to $1.3 Billion in April

Qatar’s foreign trade surplus shrank by nearly two-thirds from a year earlier to QR4.78 billion ($1.31 billion) in April, according to data from the Ministry of Development Planning and Statistics.  The surplus slumped by 64.7% from more than QR10 billion in the year-earlier period because of low natural gas and oil prices.  Exports of petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons fell 45.1% to QR8.63 billion ($2.37 billion).  Qatar recently cut its planned spending on building healthcare facilities by about two-thirds this year following the drop in energy prices.

The world’s top liquefied natural gas exporter is one of the richest countries per capita but it faces a QR46.5 billion ($12.8 billion) budget deficit this year because of the continued lower oil and gas prices.  Like other Gulf states, it is turning to international markets to bridge the gap but it is also having to reduce and prioritize state spending.  (AB 01.06)

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5.12  Qatar Spends $18 Billion to Remain Region’s Most Peaceful Country

Qatar has had to spend $18 billion to remain the Middle East’s most peaceful country, revealed the Global Peace Index report.  The country was ranked 34th most peaceful out of 163 independent states in the report published by The Institute for Economics and Peace.  The countries’ peacefulness levels were measured using 23 indicators across three main themes, including level of safety and security in society, extent of domestic or international conflict and degree of militarization.

Qatar scored well in terms of internal peace and low levels of crime, but it scored the worst mark, a 5/5, for weapons importing.  It spent 7% of its 2014 GDP ($18.24 billion) towards “costs related to violence, armed conflict and spending on military and internal security services,” revealed the report.  Other Middle Eastern countries, such as Kuwait, came in 51st place, while the UAE and Oman came in 61st and 74th respectively. Saudi Arabia and Bahrain ranked 129th and 132nd consecutively.  (AB 12.06)

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5.13  UAE & Saudi Arabia Named Among World’s Top Developing Retail Markets

The UAE and Saudi Arabia have been named among the world’s top 10 developing retail markets, according to AT Kearney’s 2016 Global Retail Development Index (GRDI).  The UAE, led by Dubai, was ranked seventh in the list and remains an attractive and relatively low-risk market for retailers, with highest sales per capita in the region, said AT Kearney.

Its report said mall activity remains strong in the UAE, with Dubai’s Mall of the Emirates opening its 36,000 sq. m. extension and Majid Al Futtaim’s latest shopping mall City Centre Me’aisem being completed, alongside phase two of City Walk.  It added that plans for the second half of 2016 remain equally ambitious with numerous additions to the retail landscape expected, such as My City Centre Al Barsha and The Pointe Mall at Palm Jumeirah.  Notable investments from international retailers include the opening of the first Apple store in the Middle East in Dubai – and the largest Apple store in the world at an estimated 10,000 sq. ft.

Saudi Arabia, ranked in eighth position in the report, saw retail sales continue to grow in 2015 despite the Gulf kingdom’s GDP falling by 15%.  It added that recent policy changes which allow single-brand retailers 100% foreign ownership in retail and wholesale look set to push Saudi’s position as an international hub for distributing, selling and re-exporting products.  (AB 07.06)

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5.14  The Cost of Keeping the Peace in the UAE Put at $29.8 Billion

Violence impacted the UAE’s economy by $29.81 billion in 2015, 6% of its GDP, or $3,280 per person, according to the latest Global Peace Index (GPI).  The figure represented a decrease of 18% from 2008 and at 6% of GDP this was ranked 110th in the world.  The UAE was ranked as the 61st country in the Global Peace Index (GPI) and third out of the 20 countries in the Middle East and North Africa region.  The study said the UAE ranked last in weapons imports in the world despite seeing an improvement in this indicator over the decade.  However there have been notable improvements in UN peacekeeping funding military funding and violent crime.

The global deterioration in peace in 2015 was driven by increased terrorism and higher levels of political instability. While the majority of terrorist activity is highly concentrated in five countries – Syria, Iraq, Nigeria, Afghanistan and Pakistan – the breadth of terrorism is spreading, with only 23% of countries in the index not experiencing a terrorist incident.  Europe was once again ranked the most peaceful region in the world.  The largest improvement since last year occurred in Central America and the Caribbean, while South America also made progress in its levels of peacefulness.  (AB 08.06)

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5.15  UAE Signs Deal with NASA in Bid to Reach Mars

The UAE and NASA have signed a deal to work together in a mission to reach Mars.  The agreement could see the two parties sharing spacecraft, scientific instruments, research facilities and information in a bid to explore the Red Planet.  UAE Space Agency Chairman Dr. Khalifa Al Romaithi and NASA Administrator Charles Bolden signed the agreement at a meeting in Abu Dhabi.  The deal strengthens the long-standing relationship between the US and UAE.  The two countries will continue to identify areas of mutual interest for possible future cooperative programs or joint activities on Earth, in airspace or in outer space, said the report.  (AB 13.06)

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5.16  Saudi Arabia Aims to Attract 1.5 Million Tourists by 2020

The Saudi Vision 2030 development initiative announced by Deputy Crown Prince Muhammad Bin Salman aims to increase the revenue generated from tourism to 18% in the next 14 years.  The vision also aims to establish an Islamic museum, which will draw a large number of tourists, including foreign pilgrims who visit the kingdom for Haj and Umrah.  Analysts expect that by 2020, the number of tourists visiting the kingdom would increase from 200,000 to 1.5 million.  It is felt that the investment of every $1 million in the tourism sector would create 167 direct and indirect jobs.  (AB 05.06)

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5.17  Saudi Arabia Plans New ‘Balanced’ Saudization Scheme

Saudi Arabia is preparing to launch a revised Saudization program called “the balanced Nitaqat.”  The program, details of which were revealed earlier this year, does not only impose quotas for numbers of Saudi nationals within an organization, but also takes into account new factors such as the average wage and percentage of women.  The Ministry of Labour and Social Development devised the new program after decades of Saudization policy failed to adequately reduce unemployment rates among citizens, Saudi Gazette reported.  The minister had already amended the employment quota system in the private sector in 2011, including by imposing stricter penalties on companies that did not follow the system and obligating certain sectors to hire women.  However, it has been drawing up a new plan as part of the national strategy for employment and the kingdom’s Vision 2030, which aims to increase the contribution of women in the labor market from 22% to 30%.  (AB 12.06)

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5.18  Expats & Employers Worried Over Uncertain Saudi Tax Proposal

Expatriates in Saudi Arabia and their Saudi employers alike voiced unease about a proposal the government is studying to impose income tax on foreign workers to make up for falling oil revenues.  Around a third of the 30 million inhabitants of the world’s top oil exporter are foreigners, many of them drawn, despite ultra-conservative social restrictions, by the absence of tax and the lure of salaries higher than they could secure at home.  A National Transformation Plan of economic reforms, released on 6 June, said 150 million riyals ($40 million) had been set aside for preparing and implementing tax on expats, but Finance Minister Alassaf said no decision had yet been taken.

Still, the news that such a proposal was being formally studied by the government was enough to alarm some foreign workers.  No further details have been released on what such a tax might entail for residents – a category that includes all non-Saudi citizens.  Among the unanswered questions: whether it would cover all income levels and all professions, or how long it would take to introduce.

The collapse in oil prices after mid-2014 has pushed Saudi Arabia to contemplate a radical overhaul of all parts of its economy, including new taxes, privatizations, a changed investment strategy and sharp cuts in government spending.  However, the new Saudi reform plans depend partly on strong private sector growth, already fragile thanks to lower state expenditure and cuts to energy subsidies, and which could be further weakened if labor costs were to rise.

Increasing the cost of foreign workers through the imposition of an income tax – which the government has promised will not be levied on Saudi citizens – will help make locals, who typically command higher wages, more competitive hires.  Opposition from Saudi businesses scotched a previous plan to tax expatriates in the 1990s, but with a much bigger push for economic reforms this time, it is possible the government will be more willing to take them on.  (Reuters 08.06)

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►►North Africa

5.19  Eni & BP Declare New Egyptian Offshore Gas Discovery

On 9 June, BP and Eni today announced the discovery of a sizeable natural gas reservoir off the Egyptian coast.  The new discovery is located in the Baltim exploration region, near the eastern part of the Nile delta, about 10 kilometers north of the Nooros gas reservoir discovered in July 2015.  The announcement by Italian company Eni said that it estimated that the new discovery contains 70 – 80 billion cubic meters (BCM). BP said that additional operations were required to estimate the size of the reservoir.

The new discovery is not Eni’s first in Egypt. Less than a year ago, Eni, which owns 50% of the rights in the Baltim exploration license, announced the discovery of the Zohr gas reservoir, one of the world’s largest.  Eni recently predicted that 30 trillion cubic feet (TCF) could be produced from Zohr (for the sake of comparison, 22 TCF can be produced from Israel’s Leviathan).  While the new discovery is small, it comes on top of the series of gas discoveries in Egypt in recent years, which is liable to intensify competition in the region.  (Globes 09.06)

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5.20  Egypt Parliament Approves Saudi King’s Sinai Development Program

On 5 June, Egypt’s parliament approved a report prepared by the legislative and constitutional affairs committee on a Saudi-Egyptian loan agreement aimed at developing the Sinai peninsula.  The agreement, titled King Salman’s program for the development of the peninsula of Sinai, was signed by government officials from the two countries in Riyadh in March.  The agreement was aimed at giving Egypt a $1.5 billion soft loan to help it develop Sinai and buy Saudi oil products needed for development purposes.

According to the report, the loan agreement is in line with Article 151 of the Egyptian Constitution that notes that the state’s foreign agreements can go into effect only after being approved by parliament and as long as these agreements do not lead Egypt to ceding part of its territory to another country.  The majority of MPs voted in favor of the committee opinion as expressed in its report.  (AFP 05.06)

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5.21  Investment Ministry Pledges Quarterly Report to Parliament on Work Program

Egyptian Minister of Investment Dalia Khurshid pledged to present the ministry’s work program to the House of Representatives as a quarterly report.  Minister Khurshid will send the investment map to parliament for review before sending it to investors for consultation.  Khurshid presented proposals for amending the investment Law No.17 for 2015, noting that there are some restraints on the proposals, promoting the projects is one of them.  Egypt ranked 131st out of 189 countries that are attractive for investment, compared to being ranked 106th in 2010.  Khurshid said that Egypt targets to rank 60th by 2020 and 30th in 2030.  (DNE 06.06)

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5.22  Egypt’s Trade Deficit Falls 44% in March

Egypt’s trade deficit dropped 44.4% in March to EGP 19.9 billion, down from EGP 35.7 billion in the same month a year earlier, CAPMAS announced on 14 June.  Imports fell 27.2% to EGP37.5 billion, down from EGP51.5 billion, driven mainly by a sharp decline in the import of petroleum products by 22.2%, raw materials for steel by 15.5% and passenger cars by 21.9%.  The rise in the value of petroleum products, on the other hand, has contributed to an 11.7% increase in exports to EGP 17.6 billion from EGP 15.8 billion.  Fertilizer prices also surged 158.4%, contributing to a higher value for exports.  (Ahram Online 14.06)

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5.23  Egypt to Create Database of Expatriates

The Immigration and Egyptian Expatriate Affairs Minister Nabila Makram unveiled plans to create an up-to-date database on the number of Egyptians abroad through registering all work permits of nationals working overseas.  She also unveiled efforts to introduce insurance plans for Egyptian expatriates.  Expatriates represent a prominent political and economic bloc for Egypt, as they send money to their relatives and have money saved in Egypt, thus representing one of the main sources of foreign currency for the country.  Politically speaking, the majority of Egyptians abroad — estimated at around five million — are eligible voters.  The wants and needs of Egyptians in Africa, according to Makram, are not widely known due to a skewed focus on expatriates in other regions like the Gulf.  The ministry plans to boost Egypt’s ties with African countries through a strategy of public diplomacy and will focus in particular on enabling Africans to study in Egypt.  (Al-Masry Al-Youm 05.06)

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5.24  Egyptian Business Activity Down for 8th Month in a Row

Conditions for Egypt’s non-oil private sector worsened for the eight month in a row in May, according to businesses surveyed for the Purchasing Managers Index.  The continuing fall of the Egyptian pound against the dollar was a major factor in the decline, raising costs and contributing to a liquidity shortage that dampened business activity, respondents reported.  Purchase prices rose at the steepest rate since the Egypt survey began in 2011.

At 47.6, May’s overall index score improved slightly from the 46.9 reading in April, indicating that conditions deteriorated at a slower rate.  Any score below 50 indicates that the business environment got worse during the month.  Both output and new business fell during the month, albeit at a slower pace than the record drop recorded in March.  A decrease in exports was partly responsible for the decline in new work.  Employee numbers decreased for the 12th consecutive month.  Combined with a lack of liquidity, low employment led to a record growth in backlog for businesses surveyed.  (Mada Masr 05.06)

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5.25  Tunisia Gets $2.9 Billion IMF Loan for Job Creation & Economic Growth

The IMF has approved a four-year, $2.9 billion loan for Tunisia to support the authorities’ economic agenda aimed at promoting more inclusive growth and job creation, while protecting the most vulnerable households.  The program builds on the previous arrangement, which supported Tunisia in the immediate aftermath of the Arab Spring.  The first program, the Stand-By Arrangement, helped Tunisia preserve macroeconomic stability during a very difficult time – prolonged political transition, increased social tensions including strikes and work stoppages and security tensions arising from conflicts with Salafists and the tragic terror attacks of 2015 that devastated the tourism industry.  Amid this challenging landscape, the authorities were able to implement an ambitious reform agenda aimed at supporting private sector development, tackling high unemployment, and reducing regional disparities.

Despite significant progress, Tunisia is still facing many economic challenges: spending composition has worsened, external imbalances are high, the dinar remains overvalued, banking fragilities remain, and reforms to strengthen the business climate have been slow.  That is why the authorities requested a follow-on four-year program, the Extended Fund Facility, to support their economic vision of modernizing the country’s development model and reducing existing vulnerabilities.

This longer-term program is designed to target the critical long-standing structural weaknesses of Tunisia’s economy, the ones that have resulted in slow growth and high external balances.  Therefore, the main focus of this program is to consolidate the progress that has already been made on macroeconomic stability and to address remaining structural obstacles to more inclusive growth and job creation.  (IMF 02.06)

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5.26  Daoudi Renews Commitment to Transition to English in Moroccan University

Lahcen Daoudi, Minster of Higher Education, Scientific Research, and Training, reaffirmed his commitment to digital development and the transition to English in higher education in a conference with university officials in Rabat recently.  This meeting marked the beginning of the sixth year of “Injaz al-Magrib”, a program that seeks to renew and develop the Moroccan higher education system.

This year, Daoudi and Delegate Minister Jamila Almisli emphasized technological investments.  In 2016, the government will allocate MAD 230 million to provide 64,000 students with computers and tablets equipped with high-speed internet.  Over the past five years, the program has provided 126,500 students with electronics for a total cost of MAD 647 million.

Daoudi also reiterated his support for the campaign to establish English as the second language in Moroccan higher education.  Daoudi has backed this movement for years, citing Moroccan student’s lack of professional English as a major barrier to success in the scientific fields.  The minister said in 2014 that French is no longer a useful language, especially for students studying science.  Since English is now the lingua franca for academics worldwide, doctoral students that are unable to write their references in English have no value in the field.  He predicts that in the coming five years university students will be required to take some of their tests in English as the higher education system refocuses linguistically.

Currently, approximately 20% of Morocco’s population speaks some English.  Head of Government Adbelilah Benkirane, Dr. Daoudi, and various other politicians and think tanks have all expressed their support for the adoption of English as Morocco’s second language of the future.  (MWN 09.06)

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6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkish Industrial Output Drops In April

Turkey’s annually-adjusted industrial production fell 1.1% in April, compared to the previous month, the Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat) said on 8 June.  The mining and quarrying index declined by 5% and the manufacturing index dropped 1.3% for the same period.  However, the electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply output increased 1.8% in April 2016, in contrast to the prevailing trend.  The producers of capital goods saw the largest decrease of 3.7%.  The decline surprised analysts who had forecast a rise in output.

Turkey’s industrial output is focal point of interest as Gross Domestic Products (GDP) growth of country stood at 4% last year.  The Turkish government aims to reach 4.5% of GDP growth and reduce consumer price inflation to 7.6% in 2016, according to the government’s national economic plan for development.  However, the World Bank expected growth to slow to 3.5% in 2016 because of a more negative contribution from net exports compared to 2015, according to the April edition of the bank’s Turkey Regular Economic Brief.  (TurkStat 08.06)

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6.2  TUPRAS Named as Turkey’s Biggest Firm

Turkish energy giant TUPRAS has been named the country’s biggest company in 2015.  The Istanbul Chamber of Industry (ISO) made the announcement in its list of Turkey’s top 500 firms.  TUPRAS has been in number-one position since 2005; it earned TL 35.4 billion ($12.1 billion) of turnover in 2015.  Ford Otomotiv was in second place and Arcelik — a Turkish household-appliances manufacturer — was third largest.  Ford Otomotiv made TL 14.7 billion ($5 billion) of turnover while Arcelik earned TL 9.9 billion ($3.4 billion).  Automotive producers Oyak Renault and Tofas followed in fourth and fifth place, respectively.

According to ISO research, Turkey’s manufacturing industry growth was under the national economic average over the last four years, with the exception of 2014.  In 2015, the Turkish economy grew 4% while the manufacturing industry’s growth was 3.8%.  In the same year, ISO 500 companies’ exports decreased 12.9%, from $61.3 billion to $53.4 billion.  The top five exporters from among the ISO 500 list were Ford Otomotiv, TUPRAS, Oyak Renault, Tofas and Arcelik.  (HDN 08.06)

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6.3  Turkish Defense Minister Meets Pakistani Counterpart

Newly-appointed Turkish Defense Minister Fikri Isik and Pakistani counterpart Khawaja Muhammad Asif met in Islamabad to discuss bilateral defense cooperation.  The leading issue between the two countries is a deal for T129 attack helicopters.  The T129s is a multi-role attack helicopter co-developed by Turkish Aerospace Industries.  The Turkish defense minister added that plans to purchase Pakistani-made Super Mushshak basic trainer aircraft were still in under discussion.  Pakistani authorities, for their part, had requested the purchase of four Turkish Ada-class corvettes (which would be built in Pakistan).  Turkey and Pakistan have also begun discussing details of a cooperation deal by which Turkey would help modernize the Pakistani navy’s fleet of three Agosta-class submarines.  (AA 06.06)

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7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

*ISRAEL:

7.1  Knesset Sees Record Number of Women MKs After Latest Reshuffle

Israel’s latest political reshuffle has brought the number of women lawmakers to a new record: Yulia Malinovsky was sworn in as a Yisrael Beytenu MK on 7 June, bringing the number of female MKs to 33 — an all-time high.  Malinovsky was sworn in to replace Yisrael Beytenu leader Avigdor Lieberman in the legislature.  Lieberman stepped down as MK when he was named defense minister, as under the stipulations of the so-called “Norwegian Law,” ministers are requires to be replaced in parliament by a candidate from their party’s Knesset roster.  Malinovsky, 40, immigrated to Israel from Ukraine in 1998.  She placed ninth on Yisrael Beytenu’s Knesset list, and was chosen by Lieberman to replace him last week.  (Various 07.06)

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*REGIONAL:

7.2  Nearly 60% of Qatari Population Lives in Labor Camps

Almost 60% of Qatar’s 2.4 million population live in what the government calls “labor camps,” figures from an April 2015 census released on 5 June, highlighting the issue of the emirate’s huge migrant workforce.  The figures from the Ministry of Development Planning and Statistics (MDPS) revealed that 1.4 million people live in what the department officially designates as “labor camps.”  That works out at just over 58% of the country’s population.  The overwhelming majority – 1.34 million – were male, the statistics found.  Since the census, Qatar’s population has grown further to just over 2.5 million.

The accommodation of migrant laborers working on Qatar’s numerous infrastructure projects has long been a contentious issue.  Qatar, which will host the football World Cup in 2022, has been condemned by human rights groups, including Amnesty International, for providing “squalid and cramped accommodation” for its large migrant workforce.  Qatar has responded to the criticism by building new workers’ housing complexes, including the $825 million “Labor City” south of the capital Doha, which incorporates shops, cinemas and a cricket stadium.

The population of gas-rich Qatar has soared over the past three decades as it has imported a huge migrant workforce to develop its infrastructure.  In 1986, just 373,000 people lived in the emirate.  (AFP 05.06)

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7.3  King Fahd and University of New Haven Sign Collaboration Agreement

The General Director of King Fahd Security College, General Major Saad Abdullah Alkhelawi, and University of New Haven (UNH) President Steven H. Kaplan signed an agreement to collaborate in the development of a new four-year baccalaureate degree program in security studies.  The program will be delivered at King Fahd Security College (KFSC) in Riyadh, the capital of Saudi Arabia.  Under the agreement, experts from UNH’s Henry C. Lee College of Criminal Justice and Forensic Sciences will advise their counterparts at KFSC on the creation and accreditation in the Kingdom of a baccalaureate degree in security studies with three specialization tracks: criminal justice, homeland security and intelligence studies.

The Lee College is home to world-class faculty and researchers in criminal justice, national security studies, forensic science, forensic computer investigation, law enforcement, corrections, probation and parole, fire science, arson investigation, victimology studies and related areas.  The agreement makes UNH’s collaboration with King Fahd Security College, the Kingdom’s premier training institution for security studies, a natural yet unique academic partnership to establish a center of excellence for security studies in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, enhancing security in the Kingdom, the Middle East and globally.  (UNH 03.06)

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7.4  Egyptian Population Reaches 91 Million

Egypt’s Central Agency for Public Mobilisation and Statistics (CAPMAS) said Egypt’s population increased by 1 million people over the past six months.  On 6 December, the population stood at 90 million people.  According to CAPMAS, the population growth rate is currently one of the most important and most dangerous challenges facing Egyptian society.  The current growth rate of the population recorded 2.4% in 2015 – five times the rate in developed countries, double the rate in developing countries, eight times the growth rate in South Korea, and five times the rate in China.

CAPMAS stated that continued population growth at current rates would limit and heavily affect achieving significant progress in standards of living, despite the efforts of the state in various fields of economic development.  The agency stressed the need to balance between population growth rates and the economic potential of the state and its available resources.

Cairo Governorate is the largest province in terms of population size with 9.51 million residents, 10.45% of the total population. Giza follows with 7.84 million and a rate of 8.6% of the population in Egypt. In third place is Sharqeya with 6.7 million residents who represent 7.4% of Egyptians in the country.  According to CAPMAS, the South Sinai governorate is the least populated, with only 171,000 residents (0.18%), preceded by the New Valley Governorate with 233,000 and the Red Sea governorate with 358,000 residents.  Egypt’s population resides in only 7.7% of the country’s total area.  (CAPMAS 05.06)

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8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  NeuroRx Awarded First Prize in Annual Israel BIOMED Startup Competition

NeuroRx was awarded first prize in the annual startup competition of the Israel Advanced Technology Industry (IATI) BIOMED forum.  The company has completed a pre-investigational new drug meeting with the US FAD for a planned pivotal study expected to commence in the third quarter of 2016.  The prize includes financial support from Israel’s venture community.  The competition included entries from dozens of Israel’s top biotech startup companies and was judged by the chairs of IATI BIOMED, Israel’s Office of the Chief Scientist, and leaders of Israel’s venture capital community.

NeuroRx is a privately-funded, clinical stage pharmaceutical company that is developing Cyclurad, the first oral therapeutic for the treatment of suicidal crisis associated with bipolar disorder.  The company is built upon 30 years of basic science and clinical expertise in understanding the role of the brain’s N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDA) receptor in regulating human thought processes in general and in regulating depression and suicidality in specific.  NeuroRx expects to initiate a Phase II/III clinical trial of Cyclurad in combination with ketamine for the treatment of acute suicidal crisis in bipolar depression in late of 2016.  (NeuroRx 01.06)

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8.2  BioTime Gets $2.2 Million Grant for Further Development of Dry-AMD Program

BioTime and its subsidiary Cell Cure Neurosciences announced that Cell Cure has been awarded a new grant for 2016 of NIS 8.4 million (approximately $2.2 million) from the Israel Innovation Authority (IIA, formerly the Office of the Chief Scientist) of the Ministry of Economy.  The grant provides continuing funding for the development of OpRegen, a cell-based therapeutic product that consists of animal product-free retinal pigment epithelial (RPE) cells with high purity and potency.  OpRegen is currently in a Phase I/IIa dose-escalation clinical study evaluating the safety and efficacy of OpRegen for geographic atrophy (GA), the severe stage of the dry form of age-related macular degeneration (dry-AMD).  Dry-AMD is a leading cause of blindness in people over age 60, for which there is no currently approved therapy.

The IIA has to date provided grants of approximately $9.6 million to Cell Cure.  Under the grant award agreement, Cell Cure is obligated to pay a 3.5% royalty to the IIA on revenues from OpRegen up to an amount equal to 100% of the grants received plus interest at a LIBOR rate.

Jerusalem’s BioTime is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing novel therapies developed from what are believed to be the world’s premier collection of pluripotent cell assets.  The foundation of their core therapeutic technology platform is pluripotent cells that are capable of becoming any of the cell types in the human body.  Pluripotent cells have potential application in many areas of medicine with large unmet patient needs, including various age-related degenerative diseases and degenerative conditions for which there presently are no cures.  In addition to the development of therapeutics, BioTime’s research and other activities have resulted, over time, in the creation of other subsidiaries that address other non-therapeutic market opportunities such as cancer diagnostics, drug development and cell research products, and mobile health software applications.  (BioTime 10.06)

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8.3  Nano Textile Introduces Novel Technology to Fight Hospital-Acquired Infections

Nano Textile introduced a revolutionary technology that can transfer any type of fabric to one that kills bacteria.  The unique, cost effective technology, which permanently prevents the growth of bacteria on both natural and synthetic fibers, can prevent the spread of hospital-acquired infections and reduce cross contamination between patients and medical staff, thereby significantly reducing secondary infections.  The revolutionary technology transforms any readymade fabric into antibacterial textile by embedding zinc-oxide (ZnO) nanoparticles onto the fabric.  ZnO is known for its antibacterial properties and has been approved by the FDA as safe.  Nanoparticles of ZnO eradicates even antibiotic resistant bacteria such as MRSA.  The technology, which has been patented in the US and Israel, and is awaiting approval in Europe and Asia, with funding of €12 million from the EU’s FP7 program.

The novel technology enables the cost-effective creation of antibacterial fabrics using any desired fabric, without changing its appearance, since ZnO is colorless.  In addition, the fabrics can withstand up to 65 wash cycles at 92 °C and up to 100 wash cycles at 75 °C, far beyond the standard requirements of medical facilities, without losing their antibacterial properties.

Ramat Gan’s Nano Textile‘s proprietary technology can apply anti-bacterial properties to any fabric.  The Company was established in 2014, based on nanotechnology developed by Professor Gedanken from the Department of Chemistry at Bar Ilan University, Israel and was licensed under an exclusive world-wide agreement with BIRAD, the technology transfer office of Bar Ilan University.  (Nano Textile 14.06)

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9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Check Point Selects Mellanox Ethernet Solutions to Enhance Security Appliances

Mellanox Technologies has been selected by Check Point Software Technologies to include its ConnectX-4 40Gb Ethernet adapter card in Check Point’s 15000 and 23000 series of security appliances.  ConnectX-4 adapters enable companies to connect their 10 GbE server uplinks to their 40 GbE core, thereby ensuring that their networks remain secure when they upgrade their data center from 10 to 40GbE.  With 40GbE, Check Point can discover malicious behavior before it enters the network thanks to ConnectX-4’s flexible, high-speed connection.

Check Point security appliances protect today’s enterprise networks and data centers from even the most sophisticated attacks with uncompromising, reliable threat prevention.  By adding 40Gb high-performance connectivity, platform performance can be optimized to further enhance the appliance’s ability to secure enterprise and data center environments.  The ConnectX-4 adapter card offers the highest performing solution for applications requiring high bandwidth, low latency and high message rate.  It features an efficient I/O consolidation that lowers data center costs and complexity and encourages scalability to tens of thousands of nodes.  Mellanox adapted the ConnectX-4 card to support the Check Point GAIA operating system, and produced a unique form factor for the Check Point security appliances.

Yokneam’s Mellanox Technologies is a leading supplier of end-to-end Ethernet and InfiniBand intelligent interconnect solutions and services for servers, storage, and hyperconverged infrastructure.  Mellanox intelligent interconnect solutions increase data center efficiency by providing the highest throughput and lowest latency, delivering data faster to applications and unlocking system performance.  (Mellanox 02.06)

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9.2  Mellanox New BlueField Family of System-on-Chip Programmable Processors

Mellanox Technologies announced the BlueField family of programmable processors for networking and storage applications.  The BlueField family of devices addresses an increasing need in the industry for higher levels of SoC (System-on-Chip) integration to simplify system design, lower total power and reduce overall system cost.  BlueField incorporates Mellanox ConnectX network acceleration offload technology together with an array of high-performance 64-bit ARMv8 CPU cores that leverages the Tilera coherent mesh interconnect technology from the recent acquisition of EZchip.  The result is a device that delivers unmatched levels of integration for multiple applications, including dataplane offload for Network Functions Virtualization (NFV), advanced networking and security, and serving as the embedded storage controller of an array of solid state Flash drives.

The BlueField family features Mellanox’s latest generation ConnectX network acceleration technology integrated with an array of high-performance 64-bit ARMv.8 processor cores and multiple Virtual Protocol Interconnect (VPI) 100Gb/s networking ports supporting InfiniBand and Ethernet.  The advanced SkyMesh coherent on-chip interconnect – proven in multiple generations of Tilera processors – enables scalable performance and leading power efficiency.

Yokneam’s Mellanox Technologies is a leading supplier of end-to-end InfiniBand and Ethernet interconnect solutions and services for servers and storage.  Mellanox interconnect solutions increase data center efficiency by providing the highest throughput and lowest latency, delivering data faster to applications and unlocking system performance capability.  (Mellanox 01.06)

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9.3  CellMining Wins GTB Telecoms Innovation Award

Caesarea, Israel’s CellMining, a leading provider of Self-Organizing Networks (SON) and subscriber network experience solutions, has been selected as a winner in the GTB Telecoms Innovation Awards 2016 in London in the Mobile Infrastructure Innovation category.  The award recognizes CellMining’s outstanding achievement in developing and deploying a customer-experience driven SON solution for Israel’s largest mobile operator Cellcom.

CellMining has pioneered the integration of SON with CEM (Customer Experience Management), offering MNOs and MVNOs a world-class solution to optimize their networks for subscriber experience excellence: improving against network KPIs, saving on operational and engineering costs, and reducing subscriber churn.  Its SONATA suite provides mobile network operators and MVNOs with a unique toolset for optimizing user experience and network performance based on real-time metrics of subscriber data.  (CellMining 31.05)

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9.4  VisIC Technologies GaN Device provides Highest Efficiency at Highest Frequency

VisIC Technologies is pleased to announce the availability of its new generation of ALL-Switch V22S65A (with an internal SiC diode) and V22N65A (without internal SiC diode).  This new version of VisIC’s ALL-Switch significantly reduces the MILLER effect enabling readily available, standard drivers to be used in VisIC-based designs.  These new devices also reduce the bill of materials required for specific applications.  Extremely effective in hard switching topologies, the V22 series may be used for Zero Voltage Switching or Zero Current Switching topologies.  It has the lowest Rdson among either 650V GaN or SiC MOSFET transistors, and can achieve extremely efficient power conversion with slew rate exceeding 100V/nS.  In addition, since the threshold voltage exceeds 5V, the devices work well in harsh EMI environments.

Based in Ness Ziona, Israel, VisIC Technologies was established in 2010 by experts in Gallium Nitride (GaN) technology to develop and sell advanced GaN-based power conversion products.  VisIC has successfully developed, and is bringing to market, high power GaN-based transistors and modules.  (GaN is expected to replace most of the Silicon-based (Si) products currently used in power conversion systems.) VisIC has been granted keystone patents for GaN technology and has additional patents pending.  (VisIC Technologies 06.06)

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9.5  Rheinmetall Canada and IAI/ELTA Bring MF-STAR Radar to the CSC Program

Rheinmetall Canada and IAI subsidiary ELTA Systems (IAI/ELTA) have joined forces to propose the state-of-the-art, operationally proven MF-STAR radar for the Canadian Surface Combatant (CSC) program.  Like this team’s success in bringing the battle-proven Medium Range Radar (MRR) of ‘Iron Dome’ fame to the Canadian Army, ELM-2248 MF-STAR will provide the RCN with a built-in-Canada, cutting-edge, fully digital, multifunctional Active Electronically Scanned Array (AESA) naval radar for long-range air and surface surveillance and tracking.  The MF-STAR radar is based on the same radar technology as the MRR currently in production at Rheinmetall Canada’s plant in Saint-Jean-sur-Richelieu, Québec.  (IAI 01.06)

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9.6  PointGrab Partners with Tyco Innovation Tel Aviv

PointGrab has been selected as a partner in the new Tyco Innovation Tel Aviv Program.  Tyco Innovation Tel Aviv offers the opportunity to collaborate with a $10b global leader in Fire & Security solutions, serving diverse verticals in over 200 countries.  Tyco, tapping into the tenacious innovation in the Tel Aviv technology community, created the new program to foster collaboration and help early stage and more mature companies expedite cutting-edge technologies to the market.  PointGrab’s edge-analytics IoT sensor, with its unique occupants tracking capability, is expected to be a key enabler of smarter and more connected buildings.  As a program partner, Tyco will provide PointGrab with exposure and access to its customers and top clients, experienced professional counsel, and a gateway to the global marketplace through Tyco’s multi-national channels.

By embedding deep learning technology into optical sensing devices, PointGrab’s CogniPoint sensor provides indoor occupant analytics and energy savings in commercial buildings, enabling unprecedented precision in the detection of occupants’ locations, count, and movements, as well as precise readings of ambient lighting and motion sensing.  The sensor is a miniature network-connected sensing device, running state-of–the-art deep learning algorithms on a low-cost embedded ARM-based processor.

Hod HaSharon’s PointGrab is a leading machine learning and computer vision company that has applied its superior technology to win over 27,000,000 installations on devices from consumer electronics giants Samsung, Lenovo, Fujitsu, Acer and others.  The company is supported by world leading engineering company ABB and sector expert EcoMachines Ventures of London, and applies a joint development and market approach with global leading lighting and engineering companies.  (PointGrab 06.06)

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9.7  Allot Helps VOO Belgium to Deliver a Better Customer Experience

Allot Communications announced that VOO, a leading provider of broadband cable services in Belgium, had deployed Allot Service Gateway Tera, Allot ServiceProtector and Allot’s CMTS congestion management solution to protect against DDoS attacks, reduce cable network congestion and deliver an enhanced customer experience.

VOO is one of the fastest growing service providers in Europe, serving digital TV, telephony, high speed Internet and mobile services subscribers.  With Allot’s technology, VOO has been able to protect the network from security threats, gain greater visibility into the cause of traffic congestion and ensure high level of quality of service for customers.  VOO deployed Allot Service Gateway Tera and Allot ServiceProtector to deliver granular network traffic visibility, analytics and security alongside Allot’s CMTS congestion management solution, which provides real-time traffic monitoring and congestion analysis as well as subscriber quality of service (QoS) assurance.

Hod HaSharon’s Allot Communications is a leading provider of security and monetization solutions that enable service providers to protect and personalize the digital experience.  Allot’s flexible and highly scalable service delivery framework leverages the intelligence in data networks enabling service providers to get closer to their customers; to safeguard network assets and users; and to accelerate time-to-revenue for value-added services.  (Allot Communications 07.06)

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9.8  $17,000 Super-Secure Smartphone Solarin Will “Break the Rules”

Aimed at high powered business people, Solarin is a deluxe phone launched for consumers who highly value their privacy and security.  At a cost of $17,000 – which makes it one of the world’s most expensive phones – Solarin’s military-grade security obviously doesn’t come cheap.  Solarin is a 5.5-inch android smartphone designed by Sirin Labs, a luxury phone manufacturer that was co-founded in 2013 by Israeli entrepreneurs.

The phone’s target market includes financiers and executives who value – and are willing to pay for – a very secure technology.  According to Sirin Labs, the Solarin smartphone delivers supreme protection against cyber-attacks thanks to the startup’s partnerships with security firms Koolspan and Zimperium, which employ the same technologies that security forces and armies around the world use to protect their communications.  This technology thwarts the most advanced device, network, and mobile cyber-attacks, without compromising the functionality of the rest of the phone, Sirin claims.  If Sirin Labs – which has already received $97 million in financing from private investors – will indeed provide high-performance, supreme connectivity, security and speed (4.6Gbps), it might be able to carve out a substantial niche for its pricey smartphone.  (NoCamels 08.06)

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9.9  IAI’s Bird Eye 650D STUAS Enters Serial Production

In response to increased orders from multiple customers, IAI has begun serial production of hundreds of Bird Eye 650D Small Tactical Unmanned Aerial System (STUAS).  The Bird Eye 650D, designed for military and paramilitary intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR), can conduct autonomous missions including point takeoff and point recovery, at ranges of up to 150 km and endurance of up to 15 hours.  Commercial applications for the Bird Eye 650D include mapping, monitoring oil, gas and electrical distribution lines, management of water and pollution over land and maritime areas, and rapid surveillance of disaster areas.  Designed for operations at the tactical level, the Bird Eye 650D is an affordable system that requires a small logistical footprint, simple operation, short reaction time and high mobility.  Bird Eye 650D is a generic platform that can be easily configured with different payloads, including electro-optical gimbaled payloads covering different spectral bands, and passive RWR/RWL electronic countermeasures (ECM).  Bird Eye 650D can conduct precision electronic warfare by deploying communications jamming (COMJAM) close to the enemy, thus minimizing interference with friendly forces.

Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) is a globally recognized leader in the development and production of systems for the defense and commercial markets.  IAI offers unique solutions for a broad spectrum of requirements in space, air, land, sea and cyber.Click here to open a digital brochure about IAI.  IAI is the largest government owned defense and aerospace company in Israel.  Over the past 60 years IAI delivered, supplied and supported advanced systems for the Israeli Ministry of Defense as well as many demanding customers worldwide.  (IAI 07.06)

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9.10  IAI Introduces RoBattle – a Combat Maneuvering & Support Ground Robot

Israel Aerospace industries (IAI) introduced the RoBattle – an unmanned, heavy duty, highly maneuverable combat and support robotic system.  The system is designed to be integrated with tactical forces in mobile, dismounted operations and support a wide range of missions including intelligence, surveillance and armed reconnaissance; convoy protection, decoy, and ambush and attack.  Based on the IAI’s cutting edge technology, RoBattle, the newest member of the family of unmanned ground robotic systems from IAI, is equipped with a modular “robotic kit” comprised of vehicle control, navigation, RT mapping and autonomy, sensors and mission payloads.  The system can be operated autonomously in several levels and configured with wheels or tracks, to address the relevant operational needs.  Operators can equip RoBattle with different payloads including manipulator arms, Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR) sensors and radars, and remotely controlled weapons.

Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) is a globally recognized leader in the development and production of systems for the defense and commercial markets.  IAI offers unique solutions for a broad spectrum of requirements in space, air, land, sea and cyber. IAI is the largest government owned defense and aerospace company in Israel.  Over the past 60 years IAI delivered, supplied and supported advanced systems for the Israeli Ministry of Defense as well as many demanding customers worldwide.  (IAI 08.06)

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9.11  LightCyber Selected as Red Herring’s 2016 Top 100 North America Winner

LightCyber has been selected as a 2016 Red Herring Top 100 North America winner.  The award recognizes the leading private companies from the region, celebrating innovation and technology from startups across respective industries.  LightCyber’s innovative technology solves the growing data breach problem by using machine learning to find operational activities of active network attackers.  The Magna platform profiles users and devices on an organization’s network to learn good behavior and be able to detect malicious anomalies indicative of an attack.  Fast, accurate detection of an active attacker enables organizations to curtail a data breach or other dangers.  At the same time, Magna can identify harmful activity from insiders – rogue or unaware employees or contractors – that is either intentionally malicious or unknowingly dangerous.

Ramat Gan’s LightCyber is a leading provider of Behavioral Attack Detection solutions that provide accurate and efficient security visibility into attacks that have slipped through the cracks of traditional security controls.  The LightCyber Magna platform is the first security product to integrate user, network and endpoint context to provide security visibility into a range of attack activity.  (LightCyber 13.06)

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9.12 

Silicom Secures 1st Design Win with Fast-Track Cyber Security Company

Silicom has achieved its first Design Win from a fast-growing Cyber Security company for Intelligent Bypass Switch (IBS) products that it will use as part of its security solution for a Fortune 500 healthcare company.  Before selecting Silicom for the Design Win, both the cyber security company, which specializes in intrusion prevention solutions, and its client, the giant healthcare company, evaluated and qualified Silicom’s IBS offerings.  To date, the orders that Silicom has received from this Design Win have totaled approximately $500,000, and another $500,000 order is expected to be received soon. In addition, the cyber security company has begun planning a next-generation security system that will use additional Silicom Bypass products.

Kfar Saba’s Silicom is an industry-leading provider of high-performance networking and data infrastructure solutions.  Designed primarily to increase data center efficiency, Silicom’s solutions dramatically improve the performance and availability of networking appliances and other server-based systems.  (Silicom 13.06)

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9.13  Sierra Wireless & OriginGPS Partner for Industry’s Smallest 2G Solution for IoT Devices

Vancouver, BC’s Sierra Wireless and OriginGPS announced a partnership to deliver the industry’s smallest integrated 2G to 4G cellular and GNSS modules solution.  It offers a miniaturized footprint that is one third smaller than other solutions and is targeted at the growing IoT devices market.  The reference design, which is available worldwide for free and was designed by AcalBFi, combines Sierra Wireless AirPrime HL Series embedded wireless modules with the OriginGPS Multi Spider (ORG4572) GNSS module that supports GPS and GLONASS.  The design is ideal for applications that require minimal power consumption and ultra-small form factors in markets such as wearables and IoT tracking, while ensuring high performance.  The combined solution provides device manufacturers with the ability to serve different regions, across 2G, 3G and 4G network technologies with a single common footprint design and an easy migration path from GPS to multi-GNSS.  To reach the highest integration level and shorten the time to market, GNSS modules are also available with an optional integrated antenna.

Airport City’s OriginGPS is a world-leading designer, manufacturer and supplier of miniaturized GNSS modules (Spider family), antenna modules (“Hornet” family) and antenna solutions.  OriginGPS introduces unparalleled sensitivity and noise immunity by incorporating its proprietary Noise Free Zone technology for faster position fix and navigation stability even under challenging satellite signal conditions.  (Sierra Wireless 09.06)

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9.14  Mellanox Enhances Cloud Efficiency With 25Gb/s Ethernet Connectivity

Mellanox Technologies announced the availability of Mellanox ConnectX®-4 Lx 10/25 Gigabit Ethernet adapters.  These adapters are now available on Dell PowerEdge servers.  The new Dell PowerEdge 13th generation servers, equipped with ConnectX-4 Lx 25Gb/s Ethernet adapters, deliver significant application efficiency advantages and cost savings for private and hybrid clouds running demanding big data, Web 2.0, cloud, analytics, and storage workloads.

The ever increasing flow of data in private and hybrid cloud environments is driving demand for high performance, low latency networks.  Dell PowerEdge servers, paired with ConnectX-4 Lx 10/25 GbE based adapters, allows clients to process large quantities of data and deliver real-time analytics and business insights in workload intensive enterprise cloud data centers.  ConnectX-4 Lx 25 Gigabit Ethernet Adapters are future proof, and fully backwards compatible with existing 10GbE switches and fiber cabling plant; and thus enable the migration to higher-performance networking, without demanding costly upgrades or incurring additional operating expenses.

Yokneam’s Mellanox Technologies is a leading supplier of end-to-end InfiniBand and Ethernet interconnect solutions and services for servers and storage.  Mellanox interconnect solutions increase data center efficiency by providing the highest throughput and lowest latency, delivering data faster to applications and unlocking system performance capability.  (Mellanox 14.06)

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9.15  SECDO Partners with Tel-Networks USA to Provide Powerful Investigation Solutions

Ra’anana’s SECDO, an innovative provider of next-generation detection, investigation and response solutions, announced today that it has signed a partner agreement with technology consulting firm and managed services provider Tel-Networks USA (TNUSA) to provide its solutions to the United States market.  Under the agreement, TNUSA will include SECDO’s Detection, Investigation and Response Platform in its suite of services for its US-based clients; offering additional training, customer support, and installation for the platform in order to facilitate seamless integration with TNUSA’s other cyber security products and services.

SECDO is a groundbreaking provider of Security Investigation and Response solutions.  The SECDO platform combines alert validation, interactive visual investigation and automated remediation to transform the way security operations centers work.  Security Operations teams are overwhelmed by alerts but at the same time, do not have the data and intelligence to investigate and remediate efficiently.  Using patented technology, SECDO automatically validates alerts to weed out false positives. For suspicious activity, SECDO visualizes the attack chain timeline and provides deep visibility into all endpoint activity so analysts immediately understand the “who, what, where, when and how” behind the incident.  Then, based on an analysis of exactly how endpoints were compromised, SECDO surgically remediates the incident with minimum user impact.  (SECDO 14.06)

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10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  OECD Lowers its 2016 Israel Growth Forecast

On 1 June, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) published its annual forecast for Israel, predicting 2.5% growth in 2016 and 3% growth in 2017.  In its previous forecast, in November 2015, the OECD predicted that the Israeli economy would grow by 3.2% in 2016.  The OECD review states that an expansionary budget and low interest rates and fuel prices are likely to support domestic demand and employment.  In its forecast, the OECD notes that first quarter exports were weak, but predicts that they will gradually recover in line with recovery in overseas demand.

The OECD asserts that taking into account low inflation and super-expansionary global monetary policy, the Bank of Israel’s easy money policy is essential in order to prevent shekel appreciation.  The OECD’s economists write that tax cuts, combined with a cut in government spending in 2016, would support the economy in the short term, but that the government would have difficulty in the medium term in meeting the target for cutting public debt.  The OECD economists state that the authorities in Israel should keep a careful watch over the constant tension in the real estate market.  They add that the efforts to encourage competition in various sectors, mainly in agriculture and banking, were praiseworthy and designed to increase purchasing power.  (Globes 01.06)

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10.2  Israel’s Exports Continue to Decline

The downtrend in Israel’s exports is continuing in the second quarter.  Updated figures for April released by the Central Bureau of Statistics on 31 May show that exports of goods were down by an annualized 21.7% in February-April 2016, following a 13.7% drop in November 2015-January 2016.  High-tech exports were down 32.1% in February-April 2016, following a 22.7% decline in the three preceding months.  Exports of services (excluding startups) fell 4.1% in February-March 2016, after gaining 1.3% in November 2015-January 2016.

The only positive figure was in tourism to Israel – exports of tourism services were up 6.3% in February-April 2016, following a 0.9% rise in November 2015-January 2016.  Tourist overnights in tourist hotels rose by an annualized 7.9% in February-April 2016, after going up 9.2% in the three preceding months.  Exports of business services, on the other hand, dipped 6.7% in February-April 2016, after inching up 1.9% in the three preceding months.  Business services, which account for two thirds of total exports of services, include software and computers, research & development, communications services, engineering services, and technical, advertising, royalties, construction, commercial and other services.

In contrast to the downtrend in exports, economic activity in other sectors, such as private consumption, which was responsible for all of the economy’s growth in recent quarters, remained strong.  Credit card purchases by private consumers were up by an annualized 8.3% in February-April 2016, following 10.7% growth in the three preceding months.  The Revenue Index of Retail Trade, an indicator of demand in the domestic market, rose by an annualized 10.9% in February-March 2016, following a 2.0% increase in December 2015-January 2016.  (Globes 31.05)

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10.3  Investments in Israel Achieve Record Levels

Efforts by the boycott, divestment and sanctions movement to isolate Israel economically have failed spectacularly, with foreign investments in Israeli assets reaching an all-time peak of $285 billion last year, according to a new Bloomberg report.  The report notes that nine Israeli companies with ties to the economy in Judea and Samaria — those most heavily targeted by boycott efforts — have shown the stake of non-Israeli shareholders to have increased steadily in recent years.  Despite the buzz surrounding the BDS movement, with a few artists canceling concerts and a major Dutch pension fund blacklisting five Israeli banks, the Bloomberg report points out that “Israeli startups raised $3.76 billion last year from non-Israeli investors, the highest annual amount in a decade, according to data collected by IVC Research Center.”  (Israel Hayom 02.06)

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10.4  Israel’s Record New Car Sales Defy Economic Slowdown

Despite the sluggish performance of Israel’s economy in 2016 so far, sales of new cars have hit new heights. 25,000 new cars were delivered in May, up 23% from May 2015 and 140,000 vehicles have been delivered in the first five months of 2016, up 17.4% from the corresponding period of 2015, which was itself a record.  An examination by “Globes” found that Israel’s vehicle market has shown the biggest growth in 2016 of any developed country.  (Globes 06.06)

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11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  MIDDLE EAST:  MENA Imported 10% of Internationally Traded Lumber in 2015

Northern Africa and the Middle East have become a major destination for softwood lumber produced in Europe the past ten years.  In 2015, the major trade flows were from the Nordic Countries and Russia to Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Algeria, reports the Wood Resource Quarterly in its latest issue.  The countries in the Middle East and Northern Africa, the MENA region, have become a major destination for European softwood lumber since mid-2000.  In fact, over 10% of world trade of softwood lumber in 2015 was destined for the MENA region.

Import volumes to MENA increased virtually every year over the ten-year period leading up to the Egyptian Revolution in 2013, when shipments to Egypt fell by 15%.  When the political situation stabilized in Egypt, practically all countries in the region expanded their importation of lumber.  From 2013 to 2015, total import volumes to the MENA region were up 26%, reaching over 11 million m3 in 2015, according to the latest issue of the Wood Resource Quarterly (WRQ).  Egypt is clearly the dominant destination for softwood lumber, accounting for 45% of the total imports, followed by Algeria and Saudi Arabia. Algeria is the market that has grown the most the past five years with a doubling of its import volume.

Finland, Sweden and Russia are the three dominant supplying countries to the MENA region; together accounting for 73% of all lumber shipped the region in 2015. Other larger suppliers in Europe include Romania and Slovakia, while shipments from North America and Latin America still account for a very small share.

Prices for lumber exported to Egypt from the two major supplying countries Finland and Sweden have dropped quite substantially the past two years.  The average price for Swedish spruce has fallen the most, over 50% since 2014. The increase of lower-cost Russian lumber in the Egyptian market has pushed prices down more in Egypt than in e.g. Algeria and Saudi Arabia where Russian lumber exporters still are not a presence.

The fairly new markets for softwood lumber in countries in Northern Africa and the Middle East have grown rapidly the past ten years and this expansion continued in 2015 despite the fall in oil revenue and political instability in the region.  Demand for softwood lumber, particularly in Egypt, Algeria and Saudi Arabia, can be expected to continue to grow in the coming years.

Global lumber, sawlog and pulpwood market reporting is included in the 52-page quarterly publication Wood Resource Quarterly (WRQ).  The report, which was established in 1988 and has subscribers in over 30 countries, tracks sawlog, pulpwood, lumber and pellet prices, trade and market developments in most key regions around the world.

Wood Resources International (WRI), an internationally recognized forest industry-consulting firm established in 1987, publishes two quarterly timber price reports and have subscribers in over 30 countries.  The Wood Resource Quarterly, established in 1988, is a 52-page market report and includes sawlog prices, pulpwood and wood chip price and market commentary to developments in global timber, biomass and forest industry.  The other report, the North American Wood Fiber Review, tracks prices of sawlogs, pulpwood, wood chips and biomass in most regions of Canada and the US.  (WRI 13.06)

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11.2  BAHRAIN:  Moody’s Maintains Negative Outlook On Bahrain’s Banking System

Moody’s Investors Service announced on 6 June that it has maintained its negative outlook on Bahrain’s banking system, reflecting the rating agency’s expectation that operating conditions for the country’s banks will continue to deteriorate over the next 12 – 18 months.

“We expect low oil prices and reduced government spending to weigh on Bahraini banks,” says Christos Theofilou, an Assistant Vice President – Analyst at Moody’s.  “However, this will likely be partly mitigated by the non-oil economy’s diversity and a Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)-funded economic support package.”

Moody’s expects economic growth to slow to 2.2% in 2016 from 2.9% in 2015 as the sharp drop in oil prices since 2014 continues to take its toll.  Lower oil prices will also likely constrain government spending and weaken consumer and investor confidence.

As a result, asset quality will likely suffer as more challenging operating conditions lead to rising problem loans.  “We expect problem loans for the system to rise to around 6.0%-6.5% of total loans by mid-2017, compared to an estimated 5.8% at year-end 2015,” explains Mr. Theofilou.  Bahraini banks’ heavy exposure to government and other public-sector debt will likely rise further, strengthening the linkage between the banks’ credit profiles and the weakening fiscal position of the Government of Bahrain (rated Ba2, negative).

However, deteriorating asset quality is likely to be partly mitigated by Bahraini banks’ ongoing initiatives to recover and write-off legacy problem loans, while earnings will be ample to absorb expected losses.  The recent rebound in tourism and construction will also help to offset pressure on loan quality.  Capital buffers will likely remain stable at around 10.5% of adjusted risk-weighted assets, according to the rating agency.

Funding conditions will be more challenging as deposit inflows slow amid a combination of lower government and public-sector oil revenue, lower corporate profits and falling household savings.  That said, Moody’s expects banks’ funding and liquidity positions to remain resilient overall supported by high liquidity buffers and loan growth of around 4% in 2016 that will require only modest levels of new funding.

Banks’ profitability is also likely to suffer, in Moody’s view. Asset quality pressure will translate into higher loan-loss provision requirements, which will weigh on bottom-line profitability.  The rating agency expects net income to decline slightly to about 1.2% of tangible assets in 2016 (2015: 1.3%).  However, pre-provision income will likely remain broadly stable at around 1.7% of tangible assets, supported by modest credit growth and banks’ cost cutting initiatives.

Finally, Moody’s considers that fiscal pressure will reduce the government’s capacity to provide support to banks in the event of need.  Nevertheless, the rating agency considers that willingness to provide support to failing banks remains high; creditors of retail banks have never suffered losses given authorities track record of support for troubled retail banks.  (Moody’s 06.06)

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11.3  OMAN:  Moody’s Assigns Baa1 to Oman’s Dollar Bond Issuance

On 14 June, Moody’s Investors Service assigned a definitive Baa1 rating to the Government of Oman’s US dollar bond issuance.  The issuance consists of two tranches – $1 billion due in 2021 and $1.5 billion due in 2026 – marking the first international bond issuance by the Government of Oman since 1997.  Moody’s definitive rating for these debt obligations follows the provisional rating assigned on 3 June 2016.

Ratings Rationale

Oman’s Baa1 long-term government bond and issuer rating with stable outlook is supported by high levels of wealth, fiscal space offered by relatively low levels of general government debt and still sizable government financial assets, and comparatively low risk that contingent liabilities from the banking system or wider non-financial public sector will crystallize on the government’s balance sheet as growth slows.  Although Moody’s expects government debt to rise to 33% of GDP by 2017 from less than 5% at the onset of the oil price shock in 2014, Oman’s fiscal buffers which the rating agency estimates at around 85% of GDP in 2015 will provide support through the process of fiscal and external adjustment.

Having said that, Oman’s heavy economic and fiscal reliance on the oil and gas sector represents a key credit challenge.  Oman suffered a steeper fiscal deterioration than most Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) peers as a result of the oil price shock.  Hydrocarbon exports accounted for an average 67% of total goods exports in 2010-15, while oil and gas revenues constituted 87% of total government revenues over the same period.  Despite material fiscal adjustment underway, the IMF estimates that Oman’s fiscal and external break-even oil prices remain one of the highest among GCC countries.

What Could Change the Ratings – Up/Down

Upward pressure on the rating would stem from faster-than-currently expected progress on containing government fiscal deficits and debt and diversifying the economy and government finances away from oil.

Downward rating pressure would emerge if government finances deteriorate faster than Moody’s baseline scenario currently anticipates.  Greater-than-expected weakening in the balance of payments would also be credit-negative.  (Moody’s 14.06)

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11.4  EGYPT:  New Legislation to Bolster Services For Egypt’s Disabled

Ahmed Hidji posted in Al-Monitor on 8 June that the Egyptian parliament is discussing a groundbreaking bill to guarantee the rights of Egypt’s disabled population, addressing some but not all of the obstacles that have impeded the constitutional provisions in this matter so far.

The Egyptian parliament is currently discussing a first-of-its-kind bill in support of people with disabilities submitted by the Solidarity Committee on 24 May.  If passed, the bill would work to integrate individuals with disabilities into society, provide them with proper living conditions and eradicate disability-based discrimination.

According to the bill, people with disabilities will be issued identification cards that will grant them many privileges such as shorter working hours for themselves or those taking care of them at all governmental and nongovernmental institutions.  Disabled ID card holders will also be provided with suitable housing and transportation.  Educational institutions shall prioritize the integration of disabled individuals, and governmental and financial institutions shall be better equipped to accommodate them and facilitate their access to services.

Disability rights activist Nada Thabet expressed relief at the bill’s contents, which civic associations and civil society organizations took part in drafting along with the Ministry of Social Solidarity and the parliamentary Solidarity Committee.

Thabet told Al-Monitor, “A law governing the rights of disabled people is better than all the ministerial decrees issued previously to this end.”  But Thabet was concerned that some governmental institutions would not fully comply with the new bill due to barriers such as the lack of experts in dealing with disabled people and the financial crisis the government is going through.  Noncompliance for these reasons could make it harder to renovate institutional buildings to accommodate these individuals.

“I am worried that the government won’t be able to provide adequate funding for the law,” she added, explaining that monthly aid for people with disabilities will come at high cost for the treasury.  Thabet argued that such aid should be limited to those who cannot work, and the government must organize professional rehabilitation programs for those who can work.  She stressed that she had already witnessed people with disabilities who received professional training and then went on to work at factories where they perform their duties like everybody else, and sometimes even better.

Article 81 of the Egyptian Constitution states: “The state shall guarantee the health, economic, social, cultural, entertainment, sporting and education rights of dwarves and people with disabilities.  The state shall provide work opportunities for such individuals and allocate a percentage of these opportunities to them,” as well as ensure that public facilities and other locations people with disabilities go can adequately accommodate those with disabilities.  It goes on, “The state guarantees their right to exercise their political rights.”

Since educational institutions are ill-prepared to integrate people with disabilities, Thabet believes that the process will take time and require larger efforts.  She pointed to previous ministerial decrees, such as the decision to integrate students with disabilities into regular schools, with which many educational institutions failed to comply for reasons including ill-equipped buildings and a shortage of disability experts.  For Thabet, successful integration must first start with teacher training programs, which have yet to prepare instructors to deal with disabled students.

In this regard, Article 80 of the constitution stipulates, “The state guarantees the rights of children who have disabilities and ensures their rehabilitation and incorporation into society.”

Former Secretary-General of the National Council for Disability Affairs Housam Masah considers the new bill a minor step toward reaching the ultimate goal of making his organization a Cabinet-affiliated institution.  Nevertheless, Masah admitted that the new law would grant the disabled privileges that would make their lives easier.  Speaking to Al-Monitor, Masah said, “People with disabilities have yet to see the true fulfillment of their rights as guaranteed by the constitution.”  He added that nearly 13 million disabled Egyptians contributed to the drafting of the constitution and approved it, but until now they haven’t been granted all the privileges supposed to have been provided them in the areas of labor, education and an independent national council to protect their rights.

In line with Article 214, the new bill stipulates the establishment of a Cabinet-affiliated national council for persons with disabilities, guaranteeing its technical, financial and administrative independence.

Although Masah deplored the daily suffering of the disabled and their need to fight for their constitutional rights, he admitted that the government has, for the past three decades, been showing increasing interest in this issue, most notably at the level of representation in parliament and local councils.  “I believe that persons with disabilities will be gradually granted their rights, leading to full integration,” Masah said, adding that including deputies with disabilities in the Egyptian parliamentary delegation that met members of the European Parliament in April 2016 is indicative of the image Egypt wants to project to the West.  For Masah, Egypt seeks to portray itself as a country with a plan to fully integrate people with disabilities into society.

Mansoura University law professor Salaheddin Fawzi argued that the government should have upheld the rights of persons with disabilities in vital areas such as labor, civil service, social security and representation at public institutions instead of enacting a separate law.  Fawzi explained that the enacting of a separate law suggests the need for another one with regard to dwarfs.

In his interview with Al-Monitor, Fawzi argued that though the constitution provides for the rights of the disabled and guarantees them preferential treatment, this population may not see all of these rights fulfilled.  Fawzi expressed concerns about barriers within public institutions, which could hinder the application of some of the bill’s clauses.

At the International Technology and Persons with Disabilities Conference on 19 March, Egyptian Social Solidarity Minister Ghada Wali stated that the constitution is not enough to guarantee the rights of people with disabilities, and that special laws would be more efficient.

For her part, Thabet called for government agencies to spread awareness on how to deal properly with persons with disabilities.  She holds that the government should use all the tools at its disposal to this end, especially the state media, which currently depicts this population in a negative and derogatory way.  But Thabet praised some programs that highlight the skills and potential of people with disabilities.

Thabet said, “The degree to which a certain people is considered civilized can be measured by its attitude toward people with disabilities.”  She stressed that Egypt is on the right path and expressed hope that Egyptian society and institutions will build on the progress made so far until disabled Egyptians achieve full equality.  (Al-Monitor 08.06)

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11.5  TURKEY:  Turkey’s Latest ‘Civilian Coup’

In the old days, the military staged coups in Turkey.  That seems to have changed.

Metin Gurcan posted in Al-Monitor on 31 May that a civilian takeover of the top management of OYAK, a company owned by Turkish military personnel, has raised questions.

In recent months, there have been a surprising series of civilian takeovers of institutions that were the traditional domains of the Turkish Armed Forces (TSK).  These new developments include the increasing input of the civilian bureaucracy in weapons procurement, supplies and services for the TSK and moves to break up the monopoly of defense companies managed by retired generals.  The management changes in OYAK (Armed Forces Assistance Corporation) have been the latest “extraordinary civilian takeover.”

OYAK is a massive credit union and aid fund that all officers and noncommissioned officers (NCOs) of the TSK are required to join.  About 10% of monthly salaries of all officers and NCOs are automatically deducted as their OYAK contribution.  Although junior officers are generally unhappy with this compulsory reduction in their disposable incomes, they realize how beneficial it can be as their retirement age approaches.  These officers and NCOs are entitled to a substantial retirement bonus from OYAK in addition to their regular retirement benefits from the state retirement fund.  For example, a four-star general with 40 years of service gets about $250,000 retirement bonus from OYAK, while a colonel with 30 years gets $110,000 and an NCO about $90,000.

The true shareholders of OYAK, then, are the officers and NCOs.  This naturally makes the military high command influential in shaping OYAK’s management.  For example, the chief of general staff appoints three members of OYAK’s seven-person executive board.  Other members are assigned from the state bureaucracy with the knowledge and approval of the chief of general staff.

Under CEO Coskun Ulusoy, who unexpectedly resigned on 13 May, OYAK has become a giant holding and international actor through its foreign acquisitions in many fields.  OYAK is a major player — a dominating force to be exact — in the iron-steel, automotive and cement sectors where it has invested billions of dollars in Turkey.  Its iron-steel plants in Eregli and Iskenderun, as well as Renault car and cement operations make a significant contribution to the nation’s economy.  More than 30,000 people work in its 87 companies that operate in 19 countries.

As of 2015, OYAK’s total economic worth was estimated at $20 billion, with annual exports of $3.3 billion.

All these figures show that OYAK is not merely a simple credit union but a rich, big, powerful and fertile economic conglomerate for TSK personnel.  Traditionally, the Turkish military usually kept foreigners out of OYAK and only granted entry to local civilians that it trusted.  But major changes in its top management in May somehow did not receive much attention from Turkish media.

Unusual developments at OYAK initially came to attention at the beginning of May.  The first surprise was the resignations of retired Lt. Gen. Necati Ozbahadir and his colleagues from the largely symbolic executive board.  Then came the legendary CEO Ulusoy’s resignation.

Retired Maj. Gen. Mehmet Tas became chairman of the board and Suleyman Savas Erdem, who was the deputy head of the Prime Ministry Inspection Board, was appointed as CEO, the post with true powers.

The resignation of Ulusoy, who for 16 years successfully managed OYAK with a firm hand, along with four of his deputies and the CEOs of major subsidiaries, has led to questions as to whether there was a purge.  According to Metin Munir of the news website T24, what happened amounts to a “civilian coup.”  Munir said with this civilian coup “the TSK’s rule of OYAK has ended and the AKP [Justice and Development Party] era has started.”  According to Munir, all upper-level managers appointed to work under Ulusoy with the blessings of the high command will be removed and new managers loyal to the AKP will replace them over time.  He thinks that the AKP does not intend to expand OYAK with this shakeup but wants to first shrink it through privatization and eventually eliminate it.

Eyes are now on the new CEO Erdem.  A 1996 graduate of political science and public administration from Middle East Technical University, Erdem began his government career in 1997 as assistant inspector at the Prime Ministry Inspection Board and rose to the post of chief inspector in 2007.  Although Erdem has attended various training courses in the United States and has some managerial experience in the private sector, it is not clear how he is going to lead a mammoth holding with 30,000 employees and about 90 subsidiary companies with assets worth $20 billion.

An officer who spoke to Al-Monitor on condition anonymity said, “Now the savings of 300,000 officers and NCOs are entrusted to Erdem.  Keep in mind, the money of us military people is a bit valuable.”  Erdem, the young skipper of the OYAK GROUP, will now decide how to make use of all this money of TSK personnel.

Does Erdem, known to be close to President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, have a “secret agenda” to first downsize OYAK, then privatize and eradicate it?  If there is such an agenda, how will the TSK react to it?  Was Erdem appointed as the new CEO with the knowledge and approval of the TSK high command?  Also, could Ulusoy be reassigned to an influential post in the state security and intelligence apparatus after his resignation from OYAK?

This surprising civilian takeover in TSK’s backyard is directly related to the changing nature of civilian-military links in Turkey.  A prime minister and government that used to be the prime civilian interlocutor of the army is no more.  Military-government relations have now turned into relations between the military and the presidential palace, making Erdogan the sole civilian counterpart of the military.  How will this affect civilian-military relations in Turkey?

It may be too early to find all the answers, but we know from experience that not all civilian takeovers automatically mean democratization.

Now eyes are on Erdem and his performance.  My suggestion is to watch OYAK and its new CEO’s performance closely because it will tell us much about the nature of the civilian takeover of civilian-military relations in Turkey.  As a former soldier who had bought a house with his OYAK savings, allow me to remind you: “The money of Turkish soldiers is truly valuable.”  This is why 300,000 soldiers will always be closely watching Erdem.  (Al-Monitor 31.05)

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The Fortnightly newsletter is a free service of Atid, EDI. We are a team of economic and trade development consultants, headquartered in Jerusalem, but active throughout the region and beyond. EDI works with an international clientele interested in identifying and researching business opportunities in the region. We also serve as the regional representative offices for a number of U.S. states and bilateral Chambers of Commerce, as well as European clients.

The post Fortnightly, 15 June 2016 appeared first on Atid EDI.


Fortnightly, 29 June 2016

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29 June 2016
23 Sivan 5776
24 Ramadan 1437

TOP STORIES

TABLE OF CONTENTS:

 1: ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Ministerial Committee Approves 6 Sundays Off Per Year
1.2  PM Netanyahu Signs Plan with Cisco to Advance Digitization of Israel
1.3  Israel and Turkey Announce Agreement to Restore Diplomatic Ties

2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  BIRD to Invest $7.5 Million in 9 New Projects
2.2  Eyeview Raises $21.5 Million
2.3  Nexar Raises $10.5 Million
2.4  Sixgill Raises $5 Million
2.5  Nuro Secure Messaging Raises $2.6 Million
2.6  Interlude Announces Strategic Investment by Sony Pictures Entertainment
2.7  Bessemer Invests $22 Million Into Yotpo to Expand Workforce & Operations
2.8  Israel Military Industries Signs $39 Million Civilian Deal in US
2.9  LightCyber Raises $20 Million to Meet Growing Global Demand
2.10  Leviathan Partners Investing $120 Million to Develop Oil Field
2.11  Kwik Raises $3 Million
2.12  Accenture Acquires Maglan, Expands Security Services in Israel
2.13  Accenture Joins “The Floor,” a New Financial Technology Hub in Tel Aviv
2.14  Dentsply Sirona Acquires MIS Implants
2.15  Aurum and Humavox Sign Agreement for Merger
2.16  Kaiima Announces the Growth and Expansion of Their US Operations
2.17  Lumus Raises $15 Million to Scale Expansion

 3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  CAE Awarded C$145 Million in Contracts by UAE Armed Forces
3.2  UAE Firm Acquires US Commercial Property in $48 Million Deal
3.3  Dow is First Company to Receive Trading License in Saudi Arabia
3.4  3M & Pfizer Win Licenses to Operate in Saudi Arabia
3.5  Increasing Disposable Income Creates Saudi Opportunities for the Food Retail Market
3.6  IKEA Signs Deal for Jeddah Mall Anchor Store

 4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Israel Erects World’s Highest Solar Tower

5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanese Consumer Prices Witness Annual Fall of 2.45% in May 2016
5.2  Ministry of Industry Plans to Reduce Lebanon’s Balance of Trade Deficit
5.3  Jordan & IMF Reach Agreement on 3 Year Extended Fund Facility
5.4  Jordan’s Medical Tourism Debts Rise While Tourist Numbers Fall
5.5  Jordan & Saudi Arabia to Cooperate on Nuclear Energy

♦♦Arabian Gulf

5.6  Qatar’s Foreign Trade Surplus Halves to $2 Billion in May
5.7  Italy Lands Largest Ever Naval Export Deal from Qatar
5.8  UAE Approves Draft Law to Regulate Ownership of Dangerous Animals
5.9  Dubai Announces Plan for New Medicine & Health Services University
5.10  Saudi Military Spending Jumps 50% to $9.3 Billion
5.11  Saudi Arabia Approves 100% Foreign Ownership in Retail

♦♦North Africa

5.12  Egyptian Parliament Approves Tariff Increase on Hundreds of Imported Goods
5.13  Amid Soaring Inflation, Central Bank of Egypt Raises Interest Rates
5.14  Egypt Signs 3 Grant Deals With Canada Worth C$30.6 Million
5.15  Egyptian Cotton in Peril as Exports Slide
5.16  Study Ranks Morocco as Most Reputable Arab Country
5.17  Morocco’s Economic Growth to Stand at 1.2% in 2016, 4% in 2017
5.18  Morocco’s Inflation Forecast Revised Upwards for 2016
5.19  Morocco Attracted $3.2 Billion of Foreign Direct Investments in 2015

6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Eurozone Approves Bailout Payment to Greece
6.2  Greece’s Jobless Rate Rises to 24.9% in First Quarter

7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

♦♦ISRAEL:

7.1  Knesset Votes to Make ‘Aliyah Day’ a National Holiday
7.2  Eid Al Fitr Holidays Announced in Oman & UAE

♦♦REGIONAL:

7.3  Oman’s Population Stands at 4.44 Million as of May 31st

8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  The Stockton Group & Syngenta Development Agreement for New Biofungicide
8.2  BioBee to Ship 500 Million ‘Predatory Bugs’ to Russia
8.3  Biological Industries Announces New Agreement with Mediatech
8.4  Rosetta Genomics Receives Approval from New York State for HEME FISH-based Assays
8.5  E. T. View Medical to be Acquired by Ambu A/S
8.6  Israel – Ground Zero for Cannabis Research in the World
8.7  MedyMatch & Capital Health Collaborate on Artificial Intelligence Platform for Emergency Rooms
8.8  Monsanto & TargetGene Agree on Gene-Editing Technology
8.9  Marrone Bio & Groundwork BioAg Sign Seed Treatment Development Agreement
8.10  FDA Acceptance of Teva NDA for Fluticasone RespiClick Inhalers

9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Rafael Concludes First Exports of Shoulder-Fired Anti-Tank Missile
9.2  Lockheed Martin and Israel Celebrate Rollout of Israel’s First F-35 ‘Adir’
9.3  Zore Develops Smart Gun Lock
9.4  Mobileye Ranked Among ‘Smartest’ Firms in the World
9.5  Bsecure Launched B$URE, the Next Generation of Counterfeit Money Detectors
9.6  JD.com & Mellanox Join Forces to Drive E-Commerce Artificial Intelligence
9.7  Mellanox Announces Next Generation ConnectX-5
9.8  Verklizan Expands Support for Essence Care@Home Platform
9.9  WakingApp Upgrades Entice Chinese Market with VR, AR, IoT Capabilities

10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israel’s Consumer Price Index Rises by 0.3% in May
10.2  Unemployment Rate in Israel Hits Historic All-Time Low of 4.8%
10.3  Israel’s First Quarter Growth Figure Revised Upwards

11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  JORDAN: A New Role for Jordan’s Parliament
11.2  EGYPT: Egypt’s Costly Nuclear Project
11.3  SAUDI ARABIA: Salman’s Saudi Arabia More Ambitious Than Ever
11.4  EGYPT: Will Egypt Stop Listing Religion on Official IDs?
11.5  EGYPT: How Egypt Plans to Address its Growing Water Crisis
11.6  TUNISIA: Tunisia Aims For More Sustainable Growth, But Reforms Will Be Key
11.7  TUNISIA: From Political Islam to Muslim Democracy – Ennahda Changes Course
11.8  TURKEY: Reforms Key to Durable Turkish Macroeconomic Improvement
11.9  TURKEY: Where Does Erdogan Want To Take Turkey?
11.10  TURKEY: Why Turkey is Making a Return to Libya
11.11  TURKEY: Turkish-EU ties in Throes of a Slow Death
11.12  TURKEY: Turkish Students Up in Arms Over Islamization of Education

1:  ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Ministerial Committee Approves 6 Sundays Off Per Year

The Ministerial Committee for Legislation on Sunday approved a bill giving Israelis six long weekends per year to improve the balance between family life and work.  The bill, proposed by Kulanu MK Eli Cohen, would give workers and schoolchildren six Sundays off per year, creating long weekends.  Sunday is the first day of the Israeli work and school week, and while many employees and some schools work Sundays to Thursdays, many others work six days per week.  To avoid reducing the number of school days and to coordinate between students and parents, the school summer vacation will be shortened by two days and the Passover and Hanukkah vacations will be shortened by four days.  Once it passes all readings, the bill is scheduled to take effect in January 2017.

Israel’s per hour work productivity is considered one of the lowest in the world, with the Israeli employee working an average of 43 hours a week, three hours more than the OECD average of 40 hours.  The bill is based on the premise that more leisure time with the family will boost other important sectors in Israeli economy and will prompt growth in fields such as tourism, commerce, culture and leisure.  Furthermore, studies have shown that reducing work hours actually increases productivity.  The bill has garnered broad support from coalition lawmakers and a ministerial team will be assembled to examine how to implement the law.  (IH 27.06)

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1.2  PM Netanyahu Signs Plan with Cisco to Advance Digitization of Israel

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met with Cisco Executive Chairman John T. Chambers in Jerusalem on 26 June.  The two signed a memorandum of understandings between the Israeli government and the leading internet technology company outlining plans to work together to advance digitization in Israel.  Among the many areas for cooperation noted in the memorandum are digital health, digital education, cloud solutions, the creation of smart cities and innovation centers, and digital inclusion to increase digital accessibility in weaker populations.  (IH 27.06)

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1.3  Israel and Turkey Announce Agreement to Restore Diplomatic Ties

On 27 June, Israel and Turkey formally announced an agreement to normalize diplomatic relations.  The agreement will renew official diplomatic ties, including the exchange of embassies.  The dispute between Israel and Turkey began six years ago when Israel boarded the Mavi Marmara, a ship launched from Turkey by pro-Palestinian activists to Gaza.  The Israeli government has since apologized for the incident and Israeli-Turkish ties have been improving since a conciliatory phone call in 2013.  Under the agreement, Israel will pay $20 million to the families of the activists killed on the Mavi Marmara.  Though Turkey had stressed that the lifting of the cordon around Gaza was a necessary condition for restoring ties, the cordon will remain in place but Turkey will be allowed to deliver humanitarian aid through the neighboring Israeli port of Ashdod.  (Various 27.06)

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2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  BIRD to Invest $7.5 Million in 9 New Projects

During its June meeting, the Board of Governors of the Israel-U.S. Binational Industrial Research and Development (BIRD) Foundation approved $7.5 million in funding for nine new projects between U.S. and Israeli companies.  In addition to the grants from BIRD, the projects will access private sector funding, boosting the total value of all projects to approximately $21.5 million.

The nine projects approved by the Board of Governors are in addition to the 931 projects which the BIRD Foundation has approved for funding during its 39 year history.  To date, BIRD’s total investment in joint projects has been over $330 million, helping to generate direct and indirect sales of more than $10 billion.  The projects approved include:

Cellect Biotechnology (Kfar Sava) and Entegris (Billerica, MA): Improved stem cells selection system.

Evogene (Rehovot) and Arcadia Biosciences (Davis, CA): Novel drought tolerant wheat varieties.

File X (Ness Ziona) and Brimrose (Sparks, MD): Real-Time AOTF-based hyperspectral imaging system for pollution detection.

Hinoman (Or Yehuda) and Benchmark Biolabs (Lincoln, NE): Vaccine for Newcastle virus disease from aquatic plants source.

Israel Aerospace Industries (Ben Gurion Airport, Israel) and Honeywell (Morris Plains, NJ): Sense and Avoid for UAVs.

Kamada (Ness Ziona) and Baxalta (Bannockburn, IL): Treatment for prevention of lung transplant rejection.

Keystone Heart (Caesarea) and SurModics (Eden Prairie, MN): Novel medical device for cerebral protection during cardiovascular procedures.

MedAware (Ra’anana) and Becton Dickinson (Franklin Lakes, NJ): Prescription Error Surveillance.

Mellanox (Yokneam) and Chromis Fiberoptics (Warren, NJ): Polymer Optical Fibers for data centers.

The BIRD Foundation promotes collaboration between U.S. and Israeli companies in various technological fields for the purpose of joint product development.  In addition to providing conditional grants of up to $1 million for approved projects, the Foundation assists by working with companies to identify potential strategic partners and facilitate introductions.  Projects submitted to the BIRD Foundation are reviewed by evaluators appointed by the U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) and by the Israel Innovation Authority, formerly the Office of the Chief Scientist (OCS) at the Israel Ministry of Economy and Industry.  (BIRD 27.06)

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2.2  Eyeview Raises $21.5 Million

On 15 June, Eyeview announced it has received $21.5 million in Series D financing led by new investor Qumra Capital.  Existing investors Marker LLC, Innovation Endeavors, Nauta Capital, Gemini Israel Ventures and Lightspeed Venture Partners also participated in the financing round.  Eyeview has raised $56.8 million to date including the latest financing.  The company will use the funding to further invest in its sales, marketing, and engineering efforts.

Tel Aviv’s Eyeview is a video advertising technology company and the market leader in providing brands with ROI on their video advertising spend.  Eyeview’s VideoIQ platform infuses consumer, brand and retail data into a results-driven decisioning engine to programmatically deliver 1-to-1 personalized video.  VideoIQ provides best-in-class access to highly viewable and guaranteed fraud-free inventory across television, desktop, tablet and mobile.  Eyeview’s platform can be provided as a managed service by Eyeview’s team of analysts, video producers, and campaign experts or through a self-service interface.  (Eyeview 15.06)

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2.3  Nexar Raises $10.5 Million

Tel Aviv’s Nexar has closed a Series A financing round of $10.5 million.  The investment was led by new investors Mosaic Ventures and True Ventures, with seed backers Aleph and Slow Ventures also participating.  Including the latest financing, the company has raised $14.5 million to date.  Nexar, which uses smartphones to create an Artificial Intelligence (AI) supported vehicle-to-vehicle network that works to predict and prevent accidents, is part of the self-driving car technology revolution.

Having launched its app for iOS in February, Nexar is being used by drivers in 130 countries.  Since their launch, they have been running intensive programs in San Francisco, New York City, and Tel Aviv to build a community of users and improve the system.  Since Nexar launched its dashcam, the smartphones managing it have captured, analyzed, and recorded over 5 million miles of driving in San Francisco, New York, and Tel Aviv.  The company’s algorithms have now automatically profiled the driving behavior of over 7 million cars, including more than 45% of all registered vehicles in the Bay Area, and over 30% of those in Manhattan.

Using the smartphone’s camera, machine vision, and AI algorithms, Nexar recognizes the license plates of the vehicles around it, and tracks their location, velocity and trajectory.  If a car speeds past or performs an illegal maneuver like running a red light, that information is added to a profile in Nexar’s online database.  When another Nexar user’s phone later detects the same vehicle, it can flash up a warning to give it a wide berth.  (Globes 15.06)

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2.4  Sixgill Raises $5 Million

Israeli cyber security startup Sixgill has closed a $5 million series A financing round led by technology holding company Elron Electronic Industries.  The company also announced its official launch on 15 June.

The Dark Web has become an encrypted and anonymous hub for nefarious activity.  It is the source of many cyber-attacks and hacks and facilitates the exchange of illicit information and collaboration on criminal and terrorist plans.  Packed with difficult to find forums and pages, the Dark Web can be seen as a social network with different pieces of communications and data scattered across it.  Due to its disparate nature, accessing information regarding an upcoming hack attack is very difficult.  Sixgill solves this problem by using proprietary algorithms and technology to connect the Dark Web’s dots, and provide actionable information enabling organizations to prevent attacks against them and their employees.

Based in Yokneam, Sixgill is a cyber intelligence SaaS startup that analyzes the Dark Web.  The new funds will be utilized to increase Sixgill’s ability to detect and defuse cyber-attacks and sensitive data leaks originating from the Dark Web before they occur, and to provide clients with this information through real-time alerts.  (Globes 15.06)

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2.5  Nuro Secure Messaging Raises $2.6 Million

Nuro Secure Messaging has closed a $2.6 million financing round.  Erez Kreiner, former director of Israeli security in Europe and director of Israel’s National Cyber Security Authority, participated in this round that will help Nuro accelerate its go-to market strategy and grow its product offerings to its growing list of international customers in industries as diverse as finance, healthcare, law and advertising.  Tel Aviv-based startup Nuro Secure Messaging is a cognitive enterprise-grade secure group-messaging and collaboration platform designed for employees and external partners for corporations, government agencies and the military to communicate in a controlled and compliant private messaging environment.

Nuro addresses the challenges institutions must confront on group-messaging and collaboration platforms.  In particular: the lack of security, privacy, data ownership, transparency, management, compliance and control across all devices.  Nuro is the only secure group-messaging platform to draw on IBM Watson’s cognitive language pattern recognition technology to ensure breaches are detected in a timely fashion.  Nuro can analyze patterns in messaging and provide the transparency and predictive analytics that organizations need to ensure that their business communications stay in the workplace and that breaches are not only detected, but more importantly, prevented.  (Globes 15.06)

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2.6  Interlude Announces Strategic Investment by Sony Pictures Entertainment

Sony Pictures Entertainment (SPE) has made a strategic investment in Interlude.  SPE will also collaborate with Interlude on the development of entertainment content to be distributed on Interlude’s Eko platform.  New audiences have grown up with a much more active relationship with entertainment than in the past.  They are used to shaping what they want to see and hear, rather than passively sitting and absorbing content.  Until now, video storytelling has only been passive.  The Eko platform changes this by enabling creators to easily script and craft stories that can be shaped by the viewer based on his or her explicit or implicit preference.

The Eko platform includes substantial breakthroughs in real time seamless video and audio, as well as user-response technologies.  These all have been invented by Interlude’s team to serve the creative needs of artists using this new medium.  Moreover, with a new, active relationship between the story and consumers, Eko enables media companies and brands to benefit from unprecedented viewer engagement.

Israel’s Interlude is a media and technology company that empowers deep emotional bonds between storytellers and consumers through a new medium that lets people shape the story as it’s being told.  The company’s patented technology forms the basis of its consumer platform, Eko, enabling the creation and delivery of stories told in live action video that allow viewers to step into the story.  In an Eko video, the story, in effect, listens and can adapt in a multitude of ways as it unfolds.  (Interlude 16.06)

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2.7  Bessemer Invests $22 Million Into Yotpo to Expand Workforce & Operations

Yotpo announced the completion of a $22 million financing round led by Bessemer Venture Partners.  Yotpo helps firms create customer content by messaging users through email and SMS to get their reviews about a product they have purchased.  It adds marketing features such as coupons, and enables customers to upload photos of themselves with the new product they have acquired.  After revenue, number of customer and amount of content collected saw a “triple digit” jump year on year, according to company data, Yotpo is now eyeing enterprise businesses as its next target.  Yotpo plans to increase its workers in Tel Aviv by 100 and double the number of its New York employees to 100.  It also has plans to open two additional offices in EMEA [Europe, the Middle East and Africa] and another location in the US.

Tel Aviv’s Yotpo is a customer content marketing platform that generates reviews, social Q&A and rich media and uses this content to drive traffic and increase conversions.  Their vision is to maximize the potential of User-Generated Content (UGC) for every business and redefine the way they market themselves via Customer Content Marketing.  (Yotpo 15.06)

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2.8  Israel Military Industries Signs $39 Million Civilian Deal in US

On 22 June, Israel Military Industries confirmed it signed a $39 million deal to supply the U.S. civilian market with small caliber ammunition.  The deal includes supplying U.S.-based distributors with light munitions used for hunting, sports and in shooting ranges.  The order was placed by distributors that the IMI have been collaborating with for over 2 years and is based on a business strategy seeking to direct one-third of the company’s sales to the civilian market.  Meanwhile, the U.S. Army has recently increased its orders with Israel Military Industries, including key component for its flagship Modular Active Protection System program.  (IH 22.06)

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2.9  LightCyber Raises $20 Million to Meet Growing Global Demand

LightCyber announced the completion of a $20 million financing round.  The round was led by the US-based group, Access Industries, through its Israeli technology investments entity, Claltech, and network security luminary Shlomo Kramer, who joined the LightCyber Board of Directors last year.  Existing investors Battery Ventures, Glilot Capital Partners and Amplify Partners also fully participated in the fundraising.

The new funding will be used for fueling further growth in sales and marketing worldwide.  LightCyber has been expanding rapidly since its last round of funding in September 2014.  Last month, the company announced the opening of its EMEA regional headquarters and operations in the UK and DACH (Germany, Austria and Switzerland).  It also started its APAC operations earlier this year.  LightCyber has grown its sales team by 150% over the past three months and plans to grow it by a total of 400% by year end.

Ramat Gan’s LightCyber is a leading provider of Behavioral Attack Detection solutions that provide accurate and efficient security visibility into attacks that have slipped through the cracks of traditional security controls.  The LightCyber Magna platform is the first security product to integrate user, network and endpoint context to provide security visibility into a range of attack activity.  (LightCyber 22.06)

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2.10  Leviathan Partners Investing $120 Million to Develop Oil Field

The Leviathan partners Ratio Oil Exploration and Delek Group units Avner Oil and Gas and Delek Drilling notified the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange on 22 June that together with the license operator Noble Energy, they will be making an initial $120 million investment in developing the field.  They also reported that they are in talks with several entities on gas export deals.  The $120 million will be spent on FEED services (detailed engineering specifications) and procurement of equipment and services for developing the field.  Although the High Court of Justice is yet to approve the new gas outline agreement with the “softened” stability clause, the partners reported that they are in talks with potential customers both in Israel and abroad on gas supply agreements.  The partners still estimate that gas will begin flowing from Leviathan by Q4/19.  (Globes 22.06)

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2.11  Kwik Raises $3 Million

Israeli Internet-of-Things startup Kwik has raised $3 million in a financing round led by Norwest Venture Partners.  Tel Aviv’s Kwik is an open end-to-end IoT platform connecting retailers, brands and delivery providers, enabling brands to develop direct relationships with their consumers in their homes. In effect, the company has developed smart buttons, similar to Amazon’s dash buttons, which let consumers order products from their home by pressing a button.  Kwik is working with Domino’s, Budweiser, Huggie’s and others on the subject.  With a beta-site operating in Israel, the company will use the proceeds of the financing round to expand to the US.  (Globes 22.06)

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2.12  Accenture Acquires Maglan, Expands Security Services in Israel

Accenture has acquired Maglan, a privately-held Israeli cybersecurity company specializing in offensive cyber simulation, vulnerability countermeasures, cyber forensics and malware defenses, and IT security research and development with a focus on threat intelligence. Financial terms of the transaction were not disclosed.  The acquisition brings to Accenture a team of highly skilled cybersecurity professionals, who honed their skills fighting cyber-crime and confronting cyber espionage around the globe.  The acquisition advances Accenture’s strategy of leveraging Israel as a cybersecurity innovation hub to provide clients with cross-industry cyber defense consulting.  Maglan has specialized tools and methodologies that will augment Accenture’s full range of security services and defensive countermeasures, comprising strategy and risk management through enterprise and extended enterprise security.

Based in the Tel Aviv metropolitan area, Maglan was founded in 1998 and has performed extensive penetration tests for numerous organizations in Europe. Its clients include companies in the financial services, telecommunications and automotive industries.  (Accenture 20.06)

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2.13  Accenture Joins “The Floor,” a New Financial Technology Hub in Tel Aviv

Accenture has joined a new hub of financial technology (fintech) start-ups based in Tel Aviv, Israel dubbed “The Floor.”  As a supporter, Accenture will evaluate potential innovations for its clients and potentially its own strategic investments, while mentoring start-ups and strengthening its ties to the growing Israeli technology community.

The Floor was founded this year with support from institutions, including Banco Santander, HSBC, Intesa Sanpaolo and RBS, and from Intel Corporation.  It offers fintech entrepreneurs and start-ups a platform to collaborate with financial services institutions, technology companies and venture capitalists.  In recent years, fintech investment in Israel has grown dramatically, with the number of fintech ventures growing from 90 in 2002 to approximately 430 today.

Accenture has been promoting fintech venture innovation since 2010, when it co-founded the FinTech Innovation Lab with the Partnership Fund for New York City.  The Lab is a mentorship and accelerator program for leading financial technology ventures. Accenture launched additional labs in London in 2012, and in Hong Kong and Dublin in 2013.  (Accenture 20.06)

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2.14  Dentsply Sirona Acquires MIS Implants

York, Pennsylvania’s Dentsply Sirona announced a definitive agreement to acquire all of the outstanding shares of privately held MIS Implants Technologies, a dental implant systems manufacturer headquartered in Shlomi, Israel.  Dentsply Sirona develops and produces ground-breaking and industry-leading innovations in implant surface technologies, implant-abutment connections, immediate placement protocols and guided surgery.  MIS has a strong presence in the value segment, selling its products in more than 65 countries worldwide. MIS (Make It Simple) aims to simplify implant dentistry through innovation and clinical education.  The MIS brand offers a wide range of dental implants and prosthetic solutions, together with grafting materials and guided surgery services. MIS launched its latest innovation with the V3 implant system last year in June at the EuroPerio8 in London.  It is patented for its unique triangular shape and brings biological benefits in many different aspects.  The V3 design allows for greater volume of bone and soft tissue, reduces pressure on the cortical bone, and does not compromise primary stability.  (Dentsply Sirona 27.06)

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2.15  Aurum and Humavox Sign Agreement for Merger

Melbourne, Australia’s Aurum entered into a binding term sheet with the shareholders of Kfar Saba’s Humavox, a company that creates wireless charging solutions.  According to the term sheet, Aurum will acquire 100% of the shares of Humavox and 100% of the warrants and options to acquire shares of Humavox in exchange for the issue of shares of common stock of Aurum representing, 50% of the shares of common stock of Aurum post issue on a fully-diluted basis, including the investment of an amount of $16 million in Humavox.  The investment will take place in unconditional installments over a period of 24 months following the closing.  The closing of the merger is subject to certain closing conditions, including the investment in Humavox of the first installment of the investment in the amount of $5.5 million.  The parties are using their best efforts to close the transaction within 90 days or earlier.  Due diligence is being undertaken following which a share sale agreement will be completed.  (Aurum 27.06)

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2.16  Kaiima Announces the Growth and Expansion of Their US Operations

Kaiima Bio-Agritech announced the opening of new, expanded facilities and growth of their St. Louis-based team.  The facility is located in the Helix Center Biotech Incubator in St. Louis County, which is owned and operated by the St. Louis Economic Development Partnership.

Kaiima’sEP technology is a breeding tool developed to enhance plant performance by inducing novel genetic diversity using the plant’s own DNA.  The technology works with all major crops and plant species.  Kaiima works with multinational and leading regional seed companies to apply its technology to their elite germplasm.  EPTM Technology benefits include significant yield increases, improved stress tolerance, reduced seed production costs, and efficient product development timelines.

Moshav Sharona’s Kaiima Bio-Agritech is a plant genetics and technology company that has developed a proprietary technology platform called EP.  EP is a new breeding tool that can enhance plant performance by inducing novel diversity within the genome, using the plant’s own DNA.  The technology works with all major crops and plant species.  Kaiima’s R&D currently covers corn, soy, rapeseed, rice, wheat and tomatoes. Kaiima collaborates with leading multinational and regional seed companies to apply its EP technology to their elite germplasm.  (Kaiima 27.06)

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2.17  Lumus Raises $15 Million to Scale Expansion

Lumus received $15 million of funding led by Shanda Group, a global private investment group, along with Crystal-Optech, a leading Chinese photo-electric component manufacturer.  Lumus will use the funding to scale up production of its market-leading, patent-protected optical technology for the emerging consumer market.  Lumus develops and sells transparent displays to companies working on developing consumer and enterprise AR solutions.

Consumer electronics and smart-eyewear manufacturers use Lumus for the underlying optical technology in their see-through wearable displays.  Founded in 2000, Lumus is the gold standard for transparent displays based on its patented Light-guide Optical Element (LOE) waveguide, which always allows for the smallest form factor irrespective of the field of view.  The Lumus DK-50 development kit, introduced earlier this year, offers AR creators a fully mobile, wireless, comprehensive stand-alone binocular display development kit.

The Lumus near-to-eye display technology consists of the patented Light-guide Optical Element—a unique eyeglass lens that contains an array of ultra-thin transparent reflectors—and a small, patented mini-projector that injects an image into the lens. Together they offer a wide field of view, true color, brightness that enables daytime reading, and a crystal clear see-through display.  With Lumus technology, wearable eyeglass displays can now be compact, comfortable, and fashionable for the first time.

Rehovot’s Lumus optics enable the fusion of the digital and physical world, allowing businesses and individuals to maximize the potential of augmented reality and smart eyewear today.  Lumus technology makes possible the most natural-looking eyewear, wide field of view, and true see-through performance available today.  (Lumus 15.06)

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3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  CAE Awarded C$145 Million in Contracts by UAE Armed Forces

On 15 June, CAE announced it was awarded contracts by the General Headquarters (GHQ) of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) Armed Forces valued at approximately C$145 million.  The contracts are for CAE to design and develop a comprehensive Naval Training Centre (NTC) for the UAE Navy and to provide the UAE Joint Aviation Command (JAC) with a suite of helicopter simulators and training devices for the NorthStar Aviation 407 Multi-Role Helicopter (407MRH) as well as the Sikorsky UH-60M Armed Black Hawk (ABH).

The purpose-built NTC facility will feature a range of integrated ship simulation-based training suites as well as maritime aircraft sensor stations that will be used to deliver training for individuals, command teams, and whole ship crews.  In addition, the overall naval training system for the UAE Navy is being designed for networking and interoperability to enable distributed multi-platform and joint mission training.

CAE was also awarded a contract to provide the UAE Joint Aviation Command (JAC) with a suite of helicopter simulators and training devices for the NorthStar Aviation 407 Multi-Role Helicopter (407MRH) as well as the Sikorsky UH-60M Armed Black Hawk (ABH).  CAE will also design and manufacture a UH-60M ABH full-mission simulator for the UAE JAC to be delivered in 2018.  The UH-60M/ABH full-mission simulator representing the armed variant of the Black Hawk helicopter will feature a six-degree-of-freedom motion system, vibration platform, and extreme field-of-view display system.

Montréal, Québec’s CAE’s Defence & Security business unit focuses on helping prepare our customers to develop and maintain the highest levels of mission readiness.  They are a world-class training systems integrator offering a comprehensive portfolio of training centers, training services and simulation products across the air, land, sea and public safety market segments.  (CAE 15.06)

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3.2  UAE Firm Acquires US Commercial Property in $48 Million Deal

Gulf Islamic Investments, a UAE based Islamic financial services company, has announced that it has acquired a commercial property in Pennsylvania in a deal worth $48 million.  The Class A Commercial Building ‘3501 Corporate Parkway’ is situated in Center Valley (Allentown) and has net leasable area of 178,330 square feet.  The building is fully let out to investment grade tenant Dun & Bradstreet Corporation for a term of approximately 11 years and is the largest corporate office of Dun & Bradstreet.  Gulf Islamic Investments said the building was acquired for approximately $48 million with part of the acquisition financed through a five-year sharia compliant loan.  (AB 21.06)

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3.3  Dow is First Company to Receive Trading License in Saudi Arabia

The Dow Chemical Company recently became the first company to receive a trading license from the Government of Saudi Arabia, allowing 100% ownership in the country’s trading sector, expanding Dow’s long history of partnership and investment in the Kingdom.  The trading license advances Dow’s ability to deliver high-value, innovative products that will benefit Saudi Arabia in the areas of sustainable development, energy-efficiency, oil and gas, alternative energy and water.  Saudi Arabia recently approved the issuance of trading licenses to companies outside of the Kingdom in alignment with the country’s strategy to diversify its economy and address challenges brought by lower global energy prices.

Dow is the largest foreign investor in Saudi Arabia, and maintains several joint ventures in the region including a joint venture with Juffali & Brothers, and Saudi Acrylic Monomer Company (SAMCo).  Dow currently has more than 500 employees in Saudi Arabia.  The trading license is expected to create additional employment opportunities for the highly educated Saudi workforce, with a particular focus on improving women’s participation in the local workforce.  (Dow Chemical 16.06)

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3.4  3M & Pfizer Win Licenses to Operate in Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia is to grant licenses to 3M and Pfizer to operate in the kingdom, following its licensing of US petrochemicals giant Dow earlier the same week.  It is hoped that Apple will also soon enter the market, Minister of Commerce & Investment Al Qasabi announced.  Al Qasabi said that the Dow investment would spur other international firms to seek to open factories in Saudi Arabia.  Dow was the first company to be awarded a license under new Saudi rules allowing 100% foreign ownership in the trade sector.  It is not yet known when the three firms will commence operations in the kingdom.  (AB 21.06)

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3.5  Increasing Disposable Income Creates Saudi Opportunities for the Food Retail Market

Technavio analysts forecast the food retail market in Saudi Arabia to exceed $54 billion for 2016-2020.  The research study lists cereals, dairy, fruits and vegetables, meat, and other foods as the five major product segments for the food retail market in Saudi Arabia.  According to Technavio, an important growth driver for the food retail market in Saudi Arabia is the increasing urbanization in the country.  Urbanization has led to busier lifestyles, as a result of which people increasingly seek convenience, especially with regard to foods and beverages.  It is estimated that by 2025 the rate of urbanization in Saudi Arabia will be about 88%.  As urbanization increases, the share of modern retail channels in the food retail market is also likely to increase.  In 2014, supermarkets and hypermarkets had a market share of 56.5% in food retail sales, as compared to 45% in 2013.

With the recent economic growth of the country, the per capita disposable income of consumers has increased, as a result of which consumers are able to spend more money on high-quality food products at retail outlets.  Saudi Arabia’s disposable income has increased from $20,267 in 2008, to $25,400 in 2014.  Due to the increased disposable income, consumer spending on food products has also increased.  It is estimated that consumers in Saudi Arabia spend about 27% of their income on food products.

The number of food retail outlets in Saudi Arabia is expected to increase to 50,000 by 2020.  Food retail outlets in Saudi Arabia carry a wide range of options for consumers such as domestically processed foods, imported specialty food products, and organic food products.  Food retailers are trying to increase their store numbers so as to gain a larger market share and also access more consumer segments.  Panda supermarket chain plans to increase its number of stores to 250 by 2020 from the current number of 240.  Al Sadhan Supermarkets also plans to increase its number of stores by 18 over the next 10 years.  (Technavio 27.06)

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3.6  IKEA Signs Deal for Jeddah Mall Anchor Store

Arabian Centres, the Saudi-based developer, owner and operator of shopping malls, entered into a tenancy agreement that will see Swedish giant IKEA open in Jeddah.  The deal has been signed with Ghassan Ahmed Al Sulaiman Furniture Trading Co. and IKEA Saudi Arabia to open an anchor store in Al Salaam Mall in Jeddah, making it the first IKEA store integrated into a shopping mall in Saudi Arabia.  As part of the deal, Al Salaam Mall will house a 23,000 sq. m. IKEA store which is expected to open in 2017 and will be the second store in the western region.  The three-level outlet will include a showroom, restaurant and a market hall and expects to receive three million visitors annually.  Al Salaam Mall features more than 200 stores.  (AB 15.06)

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4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Israel Erects World’s Highest Solar Tower

In the middle of southern Israel’s desert, engineers are hard at work building the world’s tallest solar tower, reflecting the country’s high hopes for renewable energy.  Once completed in late 2017, the Ashalim Tower will rise to 240 meters (787 feet), taller than Paris’s Montparnasse Tower and London’s Gherkin, according to the Israeli government and the consortium building it.  Covered in stainless steel, the square tower in the rocky Negev desert with a peak resembling a giant lighthouse will be visible from dozens of kilometers away.

A field of mirrors covering 300 hectares (740 acres) – the size of more than 400 football pitches – will stretch out from its base, directing sunlight toward the tower’s peak to an area called the boiler, which looks like a giant lightbulb.  The boiler, whose temperature will rise to 600 degrees Celsius (1,112 Fahrenheit), generates steam that is channeled towards the foot of the tower, where electricity is produced.  The Ashalim tower will be equipped with 55,000 projecting mirrors, amounting to a total reflective surface of a million square meters.  The construction, costing an estimated $570 million, is being financed by US firm General Electric, with France’s Alstom and Israeli private investment fund Noy also involved.

The tower should provide 121 MW, or 2% of Israel’s electricity needs, enough for a city of 110,000 households.  The country of eight million people is seeking to make renewable energy account for 10% of its total consumption by 2020.  (AFP 19.06)

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5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanese Consumer Prices Witness Annual Fall of 2.45% in May 2016

Deflation persisted in May 2016 as demonstrated by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) that dropped by 2.45% y-o-y by May 2016.  According to Lebanon’s Central Administration of Statistics (CAS), the CPI decreased from 98.02 points in May 2015 to 95.62 points in the same month of 2016.  In terms of the CPI’s components, prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages (20.6% of CPI) declined by 3.22% y-o-y by May 2016.  Transportation (13.1% of CPI) and water, electricity, gas & other fuels (11.9% of CPI) witnessed yearly drops of 6.25% and 14.3%, respectively.  This significant decline can be linked to the overall fall in oil prices, where the monthly average crude oil price of the OPEC basket for the period between May 2015 and May 2016 fell by 30.48% to reach 43.21$/barrel.  The other sub-indices that shrank were health (7.8% of CPI) and communication (4.6% of CPI), posting a 0.82% and 0.28% y-o-y declines, respectively.  However, the education sub-index, constituting 5.9% of the CPI, increased annually by 1.49% in May 2016.  Furthermore, average restaurants & hotels prices (2.6% of CPI) went up by 2.58% y-o-y by May 2016.  In addition, the actual rent sub-index for households (old and new rent), with a weight of 3.4% of the CPI, increased by 3.08%.  (CAS 22.06)

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5.2  Ministry of Industry Plans to Reduce Lebanon’s Balance of Trade Deficit

Lebanese Minister of Industry Hassan launched a vision for 2025.  The strategies of this vision include, among other things, encouraging the creation of new subsectors, raising productivity, and narrowing the trade deficit.  This strategy aims at increasing exports up to $5B by 2025 and decreasing imports from $15B to $11B over the same period, enhancing competitiveness, boosting investments and encouraging new and green industries.

The goal of 2025 vision includes: providing a unified central building for the ministry and new centers for its departments, increasing the number of jobs, raising the industrial sector’s capacity to provide 50-70% of consumption needs.  The ministry intends to expand the local market through organizing factories, encouraging the preference of locally produced goods, supporting small and medium industries, and expanding them nationwide.  Moreover, the Ministry of Industry will enhance industrial exports by boosting cooperation with Lebanese missions abroad, finding new markets, and stimulating industrial tourism.  To develop competitiveness, the ministry will encourage industries with added value such as nanotechnology, alternative energy, and industrial equipment.  The ministry will also participate in research and will support industries that want to be more technologically advanced.  (BLOM 15.06)

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5.3  Jordan & IMF Reach Agreement on 3 Year Extended Fund Facility

The Jordanian government and a team of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have reached a staff–level agreement on a request for a 36-month Extended Fund Facility (EFF).  The approval of the EFF is expected to help catalyze loans and grants from multilateral and bilateral sources during the program period, in support of the Jordan Compact, agreed in the London Conference on February 2016, where donors pledged considerable financial support for Jordan to address the impact of Syrian refugees.  Jordan completed a three-year Stand-By Arrangement in the amount of about $2 billion in August 2015.

The agreement aims to implement fiscal consolidation in a gradual and steady pace so that public debt is reduced from about 94% of GDP to about 77% of GDP by 2021, to minimize the impact on growth.  Finance Minister Malhas said that in order to achieve this objective there is a need for both efforts and measures to enable the government to improve its resources, cut spending and increase growth.  (AMMONNEWS 20.06)

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5.4  Jordan’s Medical Tourism Debts Rise While Tourist Numbers Fall

Hospitals in Jordan are owed $180 million by medical tourists and the number of Libyan and Yemeni medical tourists is down 80%.  The large drop is attributed to the government’s decision to regulate the entry of Libyan and other nationals.  Unpaid debts owed to 61 Jordanian private hospitals by patients from Libya and Yemen and Jordan, including the government of Jordan, exceed $180 million.  The number of Libyan and Yemeni medical tourists going to Jordan has fallen by 80% over the first quarter of 2016.  An increase in patients from Saudi Arabia helped, but the overall numbers are down 30% on 2015.  The Private Hospitals Association attributes the large drop to the government’s decision to regulate the entry of Libyan, Yemeni and Sudanese and other nationals into Jordan through the visa system that will see further falls in numbers and revenue for medical tourism for the rest of 2016.  (Ammon 22.06)

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5.5  Jordan & Saudi Arabia to Cooperate on Nuclear Energy

A Jordanian official stated that his country and Saudi Arabia are negotiating to promote cooperation between them in different sectors, including the peaceful use of nuclear energy, along with training Saudi staff on extracting uranium.  The CEO of Jordan Nuclear Power Company, Dr. Ahmad Hiyasat, said that the cooperation between Riyadh and Amman in the field of nuclear energy to produce electricity is important and will ensure sustainable development and confront rising prices in the energy sector.  Hiyasat said Saudi Arabia is considered the biggest backers of Jordan in different fields, and that Riyadh has provided Amman with economic aid to support its infrastructure and national budget.

Jordan said that the use of nuclear energy to generate electricity in Jordan will help reduce the burden of the oil cost on the national economy, which represented 20% of the GDP of 2014, and will also reduce the dangers of instability in global oil prices on the Jordanian economy.  Concerning the demand on electricity in Jordan, over the past ten years Jordan has witnessed a rising demand on electricity that ranged between 5-7% annually.  This trend is expected to continue with the flow of refugees to Jordan, the national population growth, and the expansion of development projects.  The National Electric Power Company in Jordan is continuously following up the expanded demand on electricity and taking the needed measures to face it by attracting investments to build new plants to generate electricity, especially those working with renewable energy, natural gas, liquid gas, and nuclear energy.  (Asharq Alawsat 27.06)

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►►Arabian Gulf

5.6  Qatar’s Foreign Trade Surplus Halves to $2 Billion in May

Qatar’s foreign trade surplus halved from a year earlier to QR7.5 billion ($2.05 billion) in May, data from the Ministry of Development Planning and Statistics showed on 27 June.  The surplus slumped by 50.4% from more than QR15 billion in the year-earlier period because of low natural gas and oil prices.  Exports of petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons fell 38.2% to QR9.85 billion ($2.71 billion), according to the data.

Last month, Qatar cut its planned spending on building healthcare facilities by about two-thirds this year following the drop in energy prices.  The world’s top liquefied natural gas exporter is one of the richest countries per capita but it faces a QR46.5 billion ($12.8 billion) budget deficit this year because of the continued lower oil and gas prices.  Like other Gulf states, it is turning to international markets to bridge the gap, but it is also having to reduce and prioritize state spending.  (AB 27.06)

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5.7  Italy Lands Largest Ever Naval Export Deal from Qatar

On 23 June, Qatar signed a contract worth €3.8 billion ($4.28 billion) to buy seven naval vessels from Italy’s Fincantieri shipyard as part of Italy’s largest ever naval export deal.  Qatar also signed a pre-contract agreement, or “Letter of Award” with European missile house MBDA to supply Exocet and Aster 30 missiles worth €1 billion to equip the vessels.  Qatar is acquiring four corvettes, one landing platform dock and two offshore patrol vessels, with a six-year construction program due to start at Fincantieri’s Italian yards in 2018.

Italian firm Leonardo-Finmeccanica will provide combat systems for all the vessels and take a third share of the contract.  The radar to be installed on the corvettes will be based on the multi-functional radar the firm has previously built for Italy’s FREMM frigates.  The platforms were worth 30 to 35% of the value of the contract, while propulsion systems would be worth 20 to 25% of the value.  Built into the contract is 15 years of logistic support.  The agreement with Qatar follows keen attempts by France to head off the deal and convince Qatar to purchase French FREMM frigates instead of the Italian vessels.  (DN 17.06)

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5.8  UAE Approves Draft Law to Regulate Ownership of Dangerous Animals

The UAE has approved a draft federal law covering the regulation of owning a dangerous animal in the country, following reports of animals roaming loose.  The Federal National Council (FNC) has approved draft legislation after the completion of discussion on the articles regarding penalties and amendment of the two addendums attached to the bill.

In March it was reported that the FNC was discussing an outright ban on people in the UAE owning wild animals.  Under a draft law, which covers possession of wild animals by zoos, nature reserves and people, offenders could receive fines of up to AED500,000 and jail terms.

In January, three people were charged with public endangerment over an incident that saw a lioness escape from a home in Dubai and prowl the streets for several hours.  The owner of the lioness, the buyer and a middleman were charged after the lioness escaped.  The animal was caught without incident and taken to the zoo.  Keeping wild animals as pets is seen as a status symbol in the Gulf states.  In the UAE it is illegal to keep wild animals as pets without first obtaining a special permit.  (AB 15.06)

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5.9  Dubai Announces Plan for New Medicine & Health Services University

Dubai ruler Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum has issued a law to establish the Mohammed Bin Rashid University of Medicine and Health Sciences, which aims to enhance Dubai’s position as a healthcare education hub.  The new law stipulates that the university, which will comprise a number of colleges, research centers, a library and e-library, will offer Bachelor’s, Master’s and PhD programs, as well as professional certificates in the fields of Medicine and Health Sciences.  The university will also provide graduate programs for education, research and career development in the healthcare sector.  It added that the university is aiming to further enhance Dubai’s position as a recognized medical and health sciences education hub as well as contribute to the development of sustainable education by supporting the advancement of medicine and health sciences.  (AB 24.06)

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5.10  Saudi Military Spending Jumps 50% to $9.3 Billion

The IHS announced in its Global Defence Trade Report that a surge in weapons purchases by Saudi Arabia helped push global arms sales up more than 10% last year.  While the global defense market climbed to $65 billion in 2015, up by $6.6 billion from 2014, purchases by Saudi Arabia jumped about 50% to $9.3 billion.  Saudi Arabia’s purchases in the past year include Eurofighter Typhoon jets, F-15 warplanes and Apache helicopters, as well as weapons, drones and surveillance equipment.  In April, research from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) showed that Saudi Arabia’s defense expenditure rose by 5.7% to $87.2 billion in 2015, overtaking Russia to make it the world’s third-largest military spender.  (HIS 18.06)

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5.11  Saudi Arabia Approves 100% Foreign Ownership in Retail

Foreign investors may own 100% of retail businesses in the kingdom for the first time under a decree issued by ministers on 13 June.  The planned reforms were announced last September – to hike the maximum foreign ownership of retail and wholesale operations from 75% to 100%.  A cabinet statement announcing the decree said: “The decision is in line with [Saudi Arabia’s] Vision 2030 [and aims to] to ease restrictions on ownership and foreign investment in the retail sector to attract regional and international brands and contribute to the creation of job opportunities for citizens in this sector.”  However, foreign firms licensed to own 100% of retail and wholesale businesses in Saudi Arabia under the new laws will have to invest at least SR200 million ($53 million) in the first five years after obtaining a license.  They must also have minimum capital of SR30 million ($7.9 million) and operations in at least three international markets.  (AB 15.06)

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►►North Africa

5.12  Egyptian Parliament Approves Tariff Increase on Hundreds of Imported Goods

On 14 June, the Egyptian parliament approved a presidential decree issued in late January that will raise customs tariffs imposed on more than 600 imported goods to between 20 and 40% up from previous 10 and 30%.  The decree, No 25 of 2016, which includes imported goods such as household appliances, cosmetics, garments, footwear, nuts and pet foods, aims at protecting national industries and stopping the draining of foreign currency in Egypt.

Egypt has been facing a foreign currency crunch following years of instability after the 2011 uprising ousted Hosni Mubarak from power.  Weak FX receipts from tourism, workers’ remittances, foreign investment, the Suez Canal, and other exports have contributed to the currency shortage.  CBE Governor Tarek Amer said in January that the government is aiming to reduce imports by $20 billion to $60 billion in 2016, down from $80 billion in 2015.  (Ahram Online 15.06)

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5.13  Amid Soaring Inflation, Central Bank of Egypt Raises Interest Rates

The Central Bank of Egypt raised benchmark interest rates by 100 basis points on 16 June, bringing its overnight deposit rate to 11.75%, its overnight lending rate to 12.75% and its main operations rate to 12.25%.  The decision by the bank’s Monetary Policy Committee comes after the release of data showing that annual core consumer price inflation (CPI) reached a seven-year high of 12.23% in May.  Annual headline CPI, which includes volatile items like fresh fruits and vegetables, rose to 12.3%, the highest rate in a year.

Raising interest rates to fight inflation is a common tactic for central banks, but this announcement came as a surprise to some economists.  Polls ahead of the announcement were split, with some firms forecasting an increase while others predicted a rate hold.  Although a rate hike can help control inflation, it comes at the expense of increasing Egypt’s debt burden and could dampen economic growth.  Raising benchmark interest rates has a pass-through effect on the interest the Egyptian government pays on the money it borrows via bond issuances.

Egypt’s domestic debt rose by LE480 billion in a year, reaching almost LE2.5 trillion in March 2016, or some 88.1% of GDP.  In the first nine months of the current fiscal year, the government spent more than LE176 billion on interest payments, almost 40% more than it spent in the same period the year before.  The rate hike may also be intended to bolster the Egyptian pound.  The Central Bank allowed the pound to devalue in March, but the currency is still under pressure with foreign-currency inflows down and a wide gap between the official and black market exchange rates.  (Mada Masr 16.06)

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5.14  Egypt Signs 3 Grant Deals With Canada Worth C$30.6 Million

Egyptian Minister of International Cooperation Nasr signed three cooperation deals with Canada worth C$30.6m in the fields of technical education, food security and small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).  The deals were signed while Nasr was attending the Montreal International Conference in Canada.  The conference was held under the umbrella of the International Economic Forum of Americas, the largest international economic forum in the Americas.  Marie-Claude Biebeau, minister of the international development in Canada, represented Canada during the signing of the agreements.  Nasr explained that cooperation with Canada will exist in several fields, including renewable energy, technical education, climate change, SMEs, and women empowerment projects.  (DNE 16.06)

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5.15  Egyptian Cotton in Peril as Exports Slide

Exports of world-famous Egyptian cotton have dropped sharply as years of neglect and recent government spending cuts have taken their toll.  Exports dropped by almost a quarter in the first half of the current marketing year, which starts in September, compared to a year earlier, figures released by state statistics agency CAPMAS showed.

Egypt sold 236,300 qintars (1 qintar equals 50 kg of cotton lint or 157 kg of cotton) on the world market between September 2015 and February 2016, down from 308,800 during the same period of the previous year.  Lax enforcement of regulations during the turmoil that followed the country’s 2011 revolution has led to mixing premium long-staple strains of cotton with cheaper ones.  Seeds of different qualities were also jumbled together in the ginning process, further compromising the premium quality demanded by buyers overseas, as well as makers of luxury cotton products at home.

The decline in cotton exports can only exacerbate Egypt’s foreign currency crunch following years of instability and weak FX receipts from tourism, workers’ remittances, foreign investment, the Suez Canal and other exports.  (CAPMAS 15.06)

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5.16  Study Ranks Morocco as Most Reputable Arab Country

New York-based Reputation Institute published a report on 23 June on the most reputable countries in the world.  Morocco was ranked 39th of the 70 countries that were studied, receiving a score of 51.99, indicating weak/vulnerable reputation relative to the rest of the world.  The North African country, however, has scored better than any other country in the Middle East and North Africa region (MENA).  The study reports that Morocco has a better reputation than Israel (51st with a score of 47.43), Qatar (53rd with a score of 46.87) and Egypt (55th with a score of 45.22).  Other MENA countries studied were Algeria (64th with a score of 40.52), Saudi Arabia (67th with a score of 36.32) and Iran (69th with a score of 29.74).  The institute collected data on country reputations by interviewing a panel of 48,000 representatives from G8 countries: Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Russia, the UK and the US.  The report details a list of key drivers of reputation, which include contribution to global culture, quality of products & services, the education and reliability of the workforce, fame of brands, the value of education, and technology advancements.  (MWN 25.06)

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5.17  Morocco’s Economic Growth to Stand at 1.2% in 2016, 4% in 2017

Morocco’s national economic growth is forecast to stand at 1.2% in 2016, taking account of a better agricultural production than what was expected in March, except for cereals, and of a revision of the contraction of the agricultural value added at 9%, according to the Bank-Al Maghrib, Morocco’s central bank.  As the projection for nonagricultural GDP growth is kept at 2.8%, GDP growth is expected at 1.2%.  In 2017, assuming an average crop year, growth is expected to accelerate to 4%, with increases by 10% in agricultural value added and 3.2% in nonagricultural GDP.  (MWN 21.06)

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5.18  Morocco’s Inflation Forecast Revised Upwards for 2016

The Board meeting of Morocco’s central bank, Bank Al Maghrib, revised upwards its inflation forecast for 2016 to 1.6%, mainly as a result of a significant increase in volatile food prices.  The projection for core inflation was maintained virtually unchanged at 0.6%,” the central bank said.  In 2017, inflation would decline to 1%, as the dissipation of shock effects on volatile food prices would more than offset the expected rise in core inflation and the prices of fuels and lubricants.  (MWN  21.06)

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5.19  Morocco Attracted $3.2 Billion of Foreign Direct Investments in 2015

Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) flows to Morocco remained sizable at $3.2 billion in 2015, the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) said in its “World Investment Report 2016”.  Morocco continues to serve as a major manufacturing base for foreign investors in Africa.  In 2015 it attracted large amounts of FDI in the automotive industry, especially from France.  Real estate developments in the country also attracted FDI from West Asia.  FDI flows to Africa fell to $54 billion in 2015, a decrease of 7% over the previous year; an upturn in investment into North African economies such as Egypt was offset by decreasing flows into Sub-Saharan Africa, especially in natural-resource-based economies in West and Central Africa.  North African firms are playing an active role in outward FDI, the report stressed, adding that outward investment increased from Libya and Morocco.  The increased outward FDI from Morocco is largely intra-African and reflects the increasing capabilities of Moroccan firms in financial services, telecommunications and manufacturing, according to the report.

Investment into Africa’s auto industry is driven by industrial policies in countries such as Morocco, growing urban consumer markets, improved infrastructure, and favorable trade agreements.  Major automotive firms are expected to continue to expand into Africa: PSA Peugeot-Citroen and Renault (France) and Ford (United States) have all announced investments in Morocco.  (MWN 22.06)

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6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Eurozone Approves Bailout Payment to Greece

Eurozone finance ministers agreed on 16 June to unlock €7.5 billion ($8.4 billion) in urgently needed cash for Greece, saving Athens financially for a few months.  The ministers met in Luxembourg and officially unblocked the money that will allow the Greek government to meet two huge debt payments to the European Central Bank in July.  In May, the ministers last month agreed in principle to unlock the aid, the windfall for completing the first formal review of its €86 billion bailout program agreed last July.

However, the leftist government in Athens still had to deliver on some last reforms, including a revamped plan on long-delayed privatizations.  The payout came a day after thousands of Greeks protested in Athens over new cuts imposed by Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras in return for the bailout.  Re-elected last year on a pledge to fight austerity, Tsipras instead brokered Greece’s third bailout with its EU creditors that required fresh tax hikes and a controversial pension overhaul.  (AFP 16.06)

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6.2  Greece’s Jobless Rate Rises to 24.9% in First Quarter

Greece’s jobless rate rose to 24.9% in January-to-March from 24.4% in the last year’s final quarter, ELSTATA revealed on 16 June.  The highest unemployment rate was recorded in the first quarter of 2014, when joblessness hit 27.8%.  About 70.3% of Greece’s 1.19 million jobless are long-term unemployed, meaning they have been out of work for at least 12 months, the figures showed.  Athens has already published monthly unemployment figures through March, which differ from quarterly data because they are based on different samples and are seasonally adjusted. Quarterly figures are not seasonally adjusted.

The debt crisis and a six-year austerity imposed by the EU/IMF lenders in exchange for Greece’s bailouts have wiped out about a quarter of the country’s economic output, driving the jobless rate to record highs.  Greece’s economy shrank by 0.5% in the first quarter, at a slightly faster pace than previously estimated, weighed by weaker consumer spending and net exports.  The country’s central bank expects the economy will contract 0.3% this year.  (Reuters 16.06)

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7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

*ISRAEL:

7.1  Knesset Votes to Make ‘Aliyah Day’ a National Holiday

On 22 June, the Knesset plenum voted to make “Aliyah Day,” a day recognizing the contribution of aliyah (immigration to Israel) and olim (new immigrants) to the state, an official holiday.  The bill sets the Hebrew date for “Aliyah Day” as 10 Nisan, which falls in the spring shortly before Passover and is believed to be the date when Joshua crossed the Jordan River with the Israelites, an event considered the first aliyah to the Land of Israel.  However, because the date conflicts with the Knesset’s Passover recess, “Aliyah Day” will be marked on 7 Cheshvan, in the fall, a few weeks after Sukkot.  (Various 22.06)

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7.2  Eid Al Fitr Holidays Announced in Oman & UAE

Eid Al Fitr holidays will start from 5 to 9 July for government and private sector employees, according to the Omani Diwan of Royal Court and the Ministry of Manpower.  The UAE Cabinet has approved the Eid vacation for federal bodies from 3 to 9 July with work resuming on Sunday, 10 July.  (ONA 27.06)

The first day of Eid Al Fitr in most countries will fall on 6 July.  The absolute determination of the sighting of the crescent moon will set the exact date.  Eid Al-Fitr, which marks the end of the holy month of Ramadan, starts on the first day of the month of Shawwal.  The three day festival marks the end of Ramadan, the month of fasting.  This festival is a time of gift giving and of giving alms.  The fasting of Ramadan is meant to remind people what life is like for their less fortunate brethren and the alms giving at Eid (known as Zakat-el-Fitr) is a continuation along the same idea.  Both fasting and the giving of alms are two of the five pillars of the Islamic faith.  Ramadan is a holy month in which drinking, smoking and eating is prohibited.  Fasting is forbidden on Eid el-Fitr and Moslems are encouraged to rise early and partake of some dates or a light, sweet snack, significant because for the past 30 days they have abstained from all food and drink from dawn till dusk.  Muslims are encouraged to dress in their best clothes, new if possible, and to attend a special Eid prayer that is performed in congregation at mosques.  Before the prayer the congregation recites the takbiir: the Eid prayer is followed by a sermon and then a prayer asking for forgiveness, mercy and help for the poor.  It is then customary to embrace the persons sitting on either side of you as well as your relatives, friends and acquaintances.  Children are normally given gifts or money.  Women (particularly mothers, wives, sisters and daughters) are normally given special gifts by their loved ones.

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*REGIONAL:

7.3  Oman’s Population Stands at 4.44 Million as of May 31st

Oman’s National Centre for Statistics and Information (NCSI) announced that the country’s total population exceeded 4.44 million in May, posting a 0.3% increase over the previous month.  Expatriates numbered over 2.02 million, forming 45.5% of the total population.  The Governorate of Muscat recorded the highest number of expatriates at 891,942, against 503,470 nationals, followed by the Governorate of North Al Batinah with 241,142 expatriates.

According to the figures, the Governorate of Muscat registered the largest population at over 1.39 million people in May, marking a growth of 0.3% over April.  Population of the Governorate of Dhofar rose 0.9%, the fastest rate in May, to 420,836, the figures also showed.  (NCSI 17.06)

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8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  The Stockton Group & Syngenta Development Agreement for New Biofungicide

The Stockton Group (STK) signed a major agreement with Switzerland’s Syngenta as the exclusive global distributor of a new bio-fungicide technology based on tea tree oil for the control of several diseases in ornamental crops.  The products of Stockton will be sold under the Syngenta brand for Botrytis and Powdery Mildew in Ornamentals globally.  The biofungicide technology complements the comprehensive fungicide portfolio of Syngenta and will help to provide its customers with innovative sustainable tools for disease resistance management.

Petah Tikva’s The Stockton Group (Stockton) specializes in the development and marketing of botanical based bio-pesticides. Its core focus is on the incorporation of these bio-pesticides into conventional agriculture spraying programs that use conventional chemical products, thus creating a balanced, cleaner and sustainable agricultural environment.  Stockton has an active R&D program for the development of future natural products for crop protection. Its unique research and development center in Israel invests substantial resources in developing ‘green’ products.  (The Stockton Group 15.06)

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8.2  BioBee to Ship 500 Million ‘Predatory Bugs’ to Russia

By employing predatory bugs that attack and kill harmful insects, BioBee has developed a technique free of chemicals.  Already, their solution is being deployed in farms across 50 countries, including Colombia, where BioBee shipped 600 million spider mites.

Also dubbed “Bio Persimilis,” these spiders are as big as the spider mites they chase, about one or two millimeters long.  They move quickly, hunt their prey and pierce it, sucking out its fluids.  Bumblebees were also sent to Russia in order to encourage pollination of vegetables.  In addition, the bees sent from Israel will be deployed in cherry orchards across Russia.

Founded in 1984 in Kibbutz Sde Eliyahu, BioBee’s facility mass-produces the natural enemies of harmful pests by harvesting spiders, flies and bees for various purposes.  Selling its products to 50 countries worldwide, including India, Chile and South Africa, BioBee‘s spiders are said to costs about $180 – more than four times the price of gold ($42 per gram)!  The company maintains that this is a good investment for farmers, who may otherwise be limited in exporting crops that were sprayed with chemical pesticides, which are limited by international regulations.

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8.3  Biological Industries Announces New Agreement with Mediatech

Biological Industries announced a co-branding agreement with Corning Incorporated’s subsidiary, Mediatech, which will enable cell therapy, research and manufacturing organizations around the world to purchase the innovative, xeno-free NutriStem human pluripotent stem cell (hPSC) medium in conjunction with Corning’s existing portfolio of stem cell-focused technologies.  Before the end of this year, Corning and BI will launch a jointly-branded NutriStem hPSC XF Medium, which will continue to be manufactured by BI, but marketed, distributed and supported worldwide by Corning’s global commercial team.  NutriStem hPSC XF Medium was developed and launched in 2009, and has been increasingly adopted by leading academic and commercial labs worldwide for use in the culture of pluripotent stem cells.

Kibbutz Beit HaEmek’s Biological Industries is one of the world’s leading and trusted suppliers to the life sciences industry, with over 30 years’ experience in cell culture media development and manufacturing.  BI’s products range from classical cell culture media to supplements and reagents for stem cell research and potential cell therapy applications to serum-free media and many other products for animal cell culture and molecular biology.  BI is committed to a Culture of Excellence through advanced manufacturing and quality-control systems, regulatory expertise, in-depth market knowledge, and extensive technical customer-support, training, and R&D capabilities.  (BI 23.06)

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8.4  Rosetta Genomics Receives Approval from New York State for HEME FISH-based Assays

Rosetta Genomics received conditional approval from the New York State Department of Health (NYSDOH) for the Company’s multiple fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) tests for detection of amplifications or rearrangements of DNA in a number of hematologic cancers, such as leukemia, lymphomas and myelomas in order to form a diagnosis and/or to evaluate prognosis or remission of disease.  NYSDOH approval was granted under the Company’s Molecular Oncology and Cellular Tumor Marker permit.  The laboratory is CLIA certified and CAP accredited, yet New York requires an additional permit for each test from the NYSDOH for them to be offered to patients in the state.

Rehovot’s Rosetta develops and commercializes a full range of microRNA-based and other molecular diagnostics.  Rosetta’s integrative research platform combining bioinformatics and state-of-the-art laboratory processes has led to the discovery of hundreds of biologically validated novel human microRNAs.  Building on its strong patent position and proprietary platform technologies, Rosetta is working on the application of these technologies in the development and commercialization of a full range of microRNA-based diagnostic tools.  Through the acquisition of PersonalizeDx, the Company now offers core FISH, IHC and PCR-based testing capabilities and partnerships in Pathology, Oncology and Urology that provide additional content and platforms that complement Rosetta’s microRNA and Next-Gen Sequencing offerings.  (Rosetta 21.06)

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8.5  E. T. View Medical to be Acquired by Ambu A/S

The Trendlines Group announced that its 26.5%-owned associated company, E.T.View Medical, signed a definitive agreement for its sale to Ambu A/S, a Danish medical device company.  According to the agreement, Ambu will acquire E.T.View in a “reverse triangular merger” valued at $16 million, less about $3.4 million in transaction costs, employee bonuses, and the assumption of certain debts, liabilities and expenses.  Following the sale, E.T.View will be delisted from the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange and will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Ambu.  The Board of Directors of E.T.View unanimously approved the agreement on 21 June 2016.  The value of The Trendlines Group’s holdings in E.T.View was approximately $1.3 million as at 31 March 2016.  Trendlines estimates that it will receive net proceeds of approximately $3.3 million resulting in a pre-tax gain from the sale of approximately $2 million.

Misgav’s Trendlines Group is an innovation commercialization company that invents, discovers, invests in, and incubates innovation-based medical and agricultural technologies to fulfill its mission to improve the human condition. As intensely hands-on investors, Trendlines is involved in all aspects of its portfolio companies from technology development through business building.  (Trendlines Group 23.06)

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8.6  Israel – Ground Zero for Cannabis Research in the World

CannaTech, the hugely successful International Summit for Accelerating Cannabis Innovation, which put Israeli cannabis innovation on the map, will be held in Israel on 20 – 22 March 2017.  The event will once again bring together entrepreneurs, investors, medical professionals and top Israeli researchers in life sciences, agtech and medtech to interact and share their knowledge of this multi-billion-dollar industry.  CannaTech gathers hundreds of attendees from dozens of nations to hear world-class presentations, network with colleagues in the industry, and learn about the most cutting-edge cannabis innovations.  The conference is held annually in Israel, ground zero for cannabis innovation and research.

iCAN: israel-cannabis is actively engaged in identifying and accelerating cannabis technologies in Israel.  As the cannabis leaders in Israel, iCAN: israel-cannabis has partnered with both public and private entities to create innovative global brands to power the cannabis economy.  iCAN is the creator of the CannaTech International Summit for Accelerating Cannabis Innovation.  (iCAN 22.06)

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8.7  MedyMatch & Capital Health Artificial Collaborate on Intelligence Platform for Emergency Rooms

MedyMatch Technology announced a partnership with Capital Health, the first of several partnerships with hospitals in the United States intended to improve stroke patient outcomes.  As part of the agreement, Capital Health will provide anonymized data to MedyMatch for use in the development of its first decision support tool, directed towards stroke patients.  Additionally, MedyMatch will leverage medical imaging libraries across multiple imaging modalities including CT, X-ray, MRI, Ultrasound and PET, which will be utilized as part of its research and development efforts to train its next set of applications and deep learning algorithms.

Tel Aviv’s MedyMatch utilizes advanced cognitive analytics and artificial intelligence to deliver real-time decision support tools to improve clinical outcomes in acute medical scenarios.  The foundation of clinical discovery and value creation lies in the deep clinical understanding of how to diagnose disease, utilizing the right data (electronic medical record, medical imaging, and genomic data).  MedyMatch’s vision includes an innovative approach in re-defining ‘capacity in healthcare’ by applying advanced analytic technologies in the emergency room setting to prognosticate downstream cost of care outcomes.  The MedyMatch team of artificial intelligence, machine learning, deep learning and algorithmic experts along with its medical and science advisory boards are achieving breakthroughs in standards of cost and care.  (MedyMatch 27.06)

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8.8  Monsanto & TargetGene Agree on Gene-Editing Technology

Monsanto Company and TargetGene Biotechnologies announced a license agreement to advance the application of the company’s proprietary techniques in global agriculture.  TargetGene is an innovative genome-editing company using RNA-guided gene-editing techniques.  Under the agreement, Monsanto has been granted an exclusive license to TargetGene’s novel and proprietary “T-GEE” (Genome Editing Engine) platform to deliver continuous improvements in agriculture.  Monsanto has also established an equity position in the private Israel-based company.  Additional terms of the agreement were not disclosed.

The companies noted that gene-editing technology and the broad array of emerging gene-editing techniques represent a key scientific tool that can deliver breakthroughs in agriculture.  The science is the biological equivalent to the “search and replace” function in computer word-processors.  Monsanto believes that genome-editing technologies will enable plant breeders to deliver better hybrids and varieties more efficiently, as well as offer plant scientists additional resources to provide new improvements in plant biotechnology.

Rehovot’s TargetGene Biotechnologies is a privately held company developing a proprietary ground breaking Genome Editing technology, based on the founders’ invention of the principle of RNA-directed gene-targeting.  TargetGene’s R&D is aimed at creating precise and highly specific DNA editing solutions in living organisms for agricultural, veterinary and therapeutic use.  (Monsanto 28.06)

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8.9  Marrone Bio & Groundwork BioAg Sign Seed Treatment Development Agreement

California’s Marrone Bio Innovations and Groundwork BioAg (GBA) announced a collaboration to create and commercialize the world’s first all-biological comprehensive seed treatment.  The treatment is expected to contain a mycorrhizal biostimulant from GBA as well as a bio-insecticide, a bio-nematicide, and a bio-fungicide from MBI.  The Binational Industrial Research and Development Foundation (BIRD), a foundation that supports and encourages cooperation between Israeli and U.S. companies in various areas of technology, selected the collaboration for matching funding.  MBI notes that it has another project, a previously announced collaboration with Evogene, also partially funded by BIRD.

Moshav Mazor’s Groundwork BioAg produces cost-effective mycorrhizal inoculants for commercial agriculture.  Natural mycorrhizal fungi improve soil nutrient uptake in 90% of all plant species.  When applied to agriculture, mycorrhizal inoculants increase crop yields while reducing fertilizer requirements, most notably phosphorus.  Groundwork’s uniquely vigorous and highly concentrated Rootella products have demonstrated double-digit yield increases in several major crops, such as corn, soybean, tomato and onion.  (Marrone Bio 28.06)

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8.10  FDA Acceptance of Teva NDA for Fluticasone RespiClick Inhalers

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries announced that the U.S. FDA accepted for review the company’s new drug applications (NDAs) for two products for adolescent and adult patients with asthma.  The first, fluticasone propionate/salmeterol, is a fixed-dose combination inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) and long-acting beta agonist (LABA) delivered via Teva’s RespiClick breath-actuated, multi-dose dry powder inhaler (MDPI).  The second, fluticasone propionate, is an ICS monotherapy also delivered via the RespiClick device.  The NDAs for fluticasone propionate/salmeterol RespiClick and fluticasone propionate RespiClick are supported by data from Teva’s clinical development program, including data from three Phase III trials which evaluated the efficacy and safety of the treatments in adolescent and adult patients with asthma. In the double-blind studies, both therapies showed clinically relevant and greater benefit compared with placebo in the improvement of lung function as measured by Forced Expiratory Volume in one second (FEV1).

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries is a leading global pharmaceutical company that delivers high-quality, patient-centric healthcare solutions used by millions of patients every day.  Headquartered in Israel, Teva is the world’s largest generic medicines producer, leveraging its portfolio of more than 1,000 molecules to produce a wide range of generic products in nearly every therapeutic area. In specialty medicines, Teva has a world-leading position in innovative treatments for disorders of the central nervous system, including pain, as well as a strong portfolio of respiratory products.  (Teva 28.06)

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9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Rafael Concludes First Exports of Shoulder-Fired Anti-Tank Missile

Israel’s Rafael Advanced Defense Systems recently concluded first export deliveries of its Spike SR (Short Range), a shoulder-launched, fire-and-forget anti-tank missile designed for precision strikes against fixed and moving targets.  The newest member of Rafael’s air, sea and ground-launched family of electro-optical missiles, Spike SR is designed to respond rapidly against so-called targets of opportunity, whether they are tanks and fast-travelling vehicles or bunkers.  Known in Hebrew as TACT — an acronym that translates into Short Range Personal Missile — Spike SR is can be equipped with two warheads, one for moving targets and the other a blast fragmentation penetrator against bunkers.  Designed for use by infantry in congested urban environments, Spike ER has an effective range from 50 meters to 1.5 kilometers.  (DID 15.06)

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9.2  Lockheed Martin and Israel Celebrate Rollout of Israel’s First F-35 ‘Adir’

Israeli and U.S. government leaders joined Lockheed Martin to celebrate the rollout of the first Israeli Air Force F-35A Lightning II, marking a major production milestone for the future of Israel’s national defense.  Israel’s F-35, called Adir – which means “Mighty One” in Hebrew – will be a significant addition to maintaining Israel’s qualitative military edge in the Middle East region, with its advanced capability to defeat emerging threats, including advanced missiles and heavily-defended airspace.  The F-35 combines advanced low observable stealth technology with fighter speed and agility, fully fused sensor information, network-enabled operations and advanced sustainment support.

Israel’s program of record is 33 F-35A Conventional Take Off and Landing, or CTOL, aircraft, acquired through the U.S. government’s Foreign Military Sales (FMS) program.  Israel’s contribution to the F-35 program includes Israel Aerospace Industries F-35A wing production; Elbit Systems work on the Generation III helmet-mounted display system, which all F-35 pilots fleet-wide will wear; and Elbit Systems-Cyclone F-35 center fuselage composite components production.  (Lockheed Martin 22.06)

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9.3  Zore Develops Smart Gun Lock

Two Israeli army veterans have developed a patented cartridge to prevent firearm accidents.  Jerusalem based startup Zore has developed Zore X a patented cartridge that connects owners to their firearms and is the fastest way to go from a locked firearm to disengaging and chambering a round and firing it.  Zore X also notifies owners if their gun has been tampered with by cell phone.  The company has also developed the Zore Watchdog alert system which lets owners keep tabs on their guns even when they are not near it.  The minute that someone touches a gun, the owner gets an immediate notification sent to their smartphone.  (Various19.06)

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9.4  Mobileye Ranked Among ‘Smartest’ Firms in the World

Israel’s Mobileye technology company was ranked sixth on a list of the world’s 50 “smartest” companies published on 21 June by MIT Technology Review.  The first five spots were taken by Amazon, Baidu, Illumina, Tesla Motors and Aquion Energy.  Describing Mobileye, MIT Technology Review wrote: “How can automakers compete with companies developing self-driving vehicles, such as Google parent Alphabet?  One increasingly popular option is to partner with Mobileye, which makes machine vision systems and motion detection algorithms that warn drivers when they are deviating from driving lanes or about to collide with cars in front of them…Mobileye is already working on autopilot and collision avoidance technology for Audi, BMW, General Motors, Nissan, Tesla, Volkswagen, and Volvo, and recently inked an agreement with two undisclosed automakers to provide systems for fully autonomous cars.”  (IH 22.06)

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9.5  Bsecure Launched B$URE, the Next Generation of Counterfeit Money Detectors

Counterfeit money is a growing problem worldwide, even more so when it comes to the most common currency, the U.S. dollar.  Fueled by technological advances and knowledge sharing platforms, it appears this problem is here to stay. In light of this, the Bsecure group from Israel, developed B$URE, a detector that is both highly accurate and portable.  B$URE is a pocket-size, battery-operated device designed to authenticate dollar bills. It is easy to use and gives feedback in less than a second.  B$URE gives you the flexibility of a portable device, along with the highest level of accuracy currently provided only by desk-top scanners.  B$URE is now available through a crowdfunding campaign via Indiegogo.

Caesarea’s Bsecure Group is a full-service brand and document protection consulting and integration organization, established in 1999.  Bsecure offers the latest front-line technologies designed to protect its clients against counterfeiters and gray markets.  The company is managed and operated by a highly experienced team with vast expertise in the field of anti-counterfeiting solutions.  (Bsecure 22.06)

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9.6  JD.com & Mellanox Join Forces to Drive E-Commerce Artificial Intelligence

Mellanox Technologies JD.com, China’s largest online direct sales company, have concluded a cooperative agreement involving the establishment of the JD.com-Mellanox Joint Innovation Lab, designed to drive technology innovation.  Based on the agreement, both parties will work together on new technology innovation, enhanced user experience and developing a new e-commerce platform for enterprise-level products.  Together, the companies are dedicated to driving the next generation of e-commerce artificial intelligence solutions, and conducting associated research and development for high-speed interconnect products.

JD.com-Mellanox Joint Innovative Lab will use image processing and cogitative computing technologies to drive innovation in finance, e-commerce, logistics and intelligence applications. A broad spectrum of intelligent applications ranging from refrigeration, big data search, intelligent logistics to autonomous capabilities – all with the goal of demonstrating application-specific viability to industry.  In addition to safeguarding high-performance and reliable computing for JD.com on big data processing, cloud computing and others, the JD.com-Mellanox Joint Innovation Lab will first deploy new solutions and technologies within JD.com so as to provide a new level of user experience to its customers.

Yokneam’s Mellanox Technologies is a leading supplier of end-to-end InfiniBand and Ethernet interconnect solutions and services for servers and storage.  Mellanox interconnect solutions increase data center efficiency by providing the highest throughput and lowest latency, delivering data faster to applications and unlocking system performance capability.  (Mellanox 21.06)

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9.7  Mellanox Announces Next Generation ConnectX-5

Mellanox Technologies announced ConnectX-5, the most advanced 10, 25, 40, 50, 56 and 100Gb/s InfiniBand and Ethernet intelligent adapter on the market today.  ConnectX-5 introduces smart offloading engines that enable the highest application performance while maximizing data center return on investment.  Furthermore, ConnectX-5 is the first PCI Express 3.0 and 4.0 compatible adapter, enabling greater flexibility and future-proofing for the data center.  The new intelligent ConnectX-5 100G adapter enables the most advanced real-time in-network computing engines to unleash business opportunities and new technological developments.

ConnectX-5 enables greater HPC performance with new Message Passing Interface (MPI) offloads, such as MPI Tag Matching and MPI AlltoAll operations, advanced dynamic routing, and new capabilities to perform various data algorithms.  ConnectX-5 delivers the highest available message rate of 200 million messages per second, which is 33% higher than the Mellanox ConnectX-4 adapter and nearly 2X compared to competitive products.  ConnectX-5 is the first interconnect adapter to support PCI Express 3.0 and 4.0 connectivity options, and includes an integrated PCIe switch.  For upcoming PCI Express 4.0 enabled systems, ConnectX-5 will deliver an aggregated throughput of 200Gb/s.

Yokneam’s Mellanox Technologies is a leading supplier of end-to-end InfiniBand and Ethernet interconnect solutions and services for servers and storage.  Mellanox interconnect solutions increase data center efficiency by providing the highest throughput and lowest latency, delivering data faster to applications and unlocking system performance capability.  (Mellanox Technologies 15.06)

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9.8  Verklizan Expands Support for Essence Care@Home Platform

Essence recently completed full integration of its Care@Home platform for elderly monitoring with Verklizan, a leading European provider of emergency call center management platforms.  Care@Home Enhanced Telecare Services Platform is an independent living solution offering a seamless health monitoring experience, allowing independence for seniors and peace of mind for their loved ones.  The system provides the spectrum of active, passive and intelligent alerting capabilities, including: PERS+, the next generation of social alarms; Family, customized monitoring with an advance rule-based engine; and Pro, a personalized and intelligent service that constantly learns and adapts to the daily behavior of individuals and provides alerts based on deviations from the individual routine.

PERS+ includes Essence’s new Voice Panic Detector.  The VPD is the first product in the industry to employ voice recognition technology to give seniors access to emergency response by using the most seamless interface of all – their voices.  It recently won the ESX Innovation award for excellence in the PERS field of personal emergency technologies.

Herzliya’s Essence is a global IoT provider of scalable, cloud-based connected-living solutions for security, communication, and healthcare service providers.  Over the past 20 years, Essence has built an impressive installed base, with more than 15 million products deployed and used by Tier-1 service providers worldwide.  Essence is committed to developing and supporting solutions that both enhance partners’ businesses and enable people to live fuller and better lives.  (Essence 27.06)

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9.9 WakingApp Upgrades Entice Chinese Market with VR, AR, IoT Capabilities

Rosh HaAyin’s WakingApp announced a full Mandarin language version of its successful software, placing it prominently as the leading AR and VR software in the Chinese market.  Wakingapp provides a powerful cloud-based platform that enables users to create virtual and augmented reality content.  Already, users around the world upload hundreds of new content every week; although, this is expected to increase as more Chinese users can now navigate the platform in their native language.  The firm’s ENTiTi VR content creation platform for PC and Mac is the first in the world to enable non-developers easily to create rich, highly interactive virtual reality content for leading devices, including the Oculus Rift and HTC Vive.  WakingApp enables anyone, without any programming experience, to create advanced interactive VR and AR content, including IoT capabilities, once and immediately make it viewable on leading Mobile VR glasses like Google Cardboard, Zeiss VR One, FreeFly VR and Samsung Gear VR and now also Oculus Rift, HTC Vive and upcoming new devices.  (WakingApp 27.06)

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10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israel’s Consumer Price Index Rises by 0.3% in May

Israel’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3% in May, the Central Bureau of Statistics reported on 15 June, after rising 0.4% in April.  Prior to the past two months, the CPI had fallen for five straight months.  Since the start of 2016, the CPI has fallen by 3% and over the past 12 months, the CPI has fallen 0.8%, fueled by the fall in world oil prices.  This is well below the government’s inflation target range of between 1% and 3% although with oil prices now recovering, the CPI is likely to rise again in June.  Outstanding price rises in May included fresh fruit (12%), and tobacco and cigarettes (1.9%). Outstanding price falls in May included onions (17.4%) and tomatoes (5%).  The housing price index, published separately from the CPI, showed that home prices rose 1.2% and have risen 7.8% over the past 12 months.  (CBS 15.06)

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10.2  Unemployment Rate in Israel Hits Historic All-Time Low of 4.8%

On 16 June, the Central Bureau of Statistics announced that Unemployment rates in Israel have hit an all-time low. The figures reflected a steady decrease of an aggregated 2.2% in jobless rates since 2012.  The unemployment rate in May was 4.8%, compared to 4.9% in April and 5.3% in March.  According to the figures, since 2012, the number of unemployed Israelis has decreased by 31.4%, from 277,083 to 190,000.  Jobless rates among Israelis ages 25 to 64 marked an all-time low as well, at 4.1% in May, compared to 4.3% in April. Unemployment among men in this age group was 4.8%, while unemployment among women in this age group was slightly higher, 4.9%.  The CBS also found that 77.1% of adult Israelis, or 3.74 million people, were salaried employees, and that among them, 77.9% had full-time jobs.  (CBS 23.06)

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10.3  Israel’s First Quarter Growth Figure Revised Upwards

Israel’s economy grew at a 1.3% annualized rate in the first quarter, the Central Bureau of Statistics now estimates.  The current estimate constitutes an upward revision of the 0.8% original estimate, below the government’s forecast, and following 3.4% GDP growth in Q4/15.  According to the Central Bureau of Statistics, a 4.8% rise in private consumption and a 16.2% jump in investments in fixed assets accounted for the upward revision.  One of the main factors having a negative impact on growth was the steep drop in exports of goods and services in the first quarter.  (CBS 16.06)

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11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  JORDAN:  A New Role for Jordan’s Parliament

Kirk H. Sowell wrote in Sada on 22 June that Jordan’s latest government and constitutional changes signal a move toward a more technocratic parliament, responsible for tightening the state’s belt.

King Abdullah II’s 29 May appointment of Hani al-Mulqi, head of the Aqaba Special Economic Region Authority, to replace outgoing prime minister Abdullah Ensour comes at a turning point for Jordan.  Though the office has limited inherent power – especially since a set of constitutional amendments announced in April enhanced executive authority and, specifically, the power of the king – it signals a shift toward a more technocratic government, even if not an independent one.  These changes, which coincide with the king’s dissolution of parliament, should leave the next parliament with the unhappy role of forming the budget and managing an unpopular process of cutting fuel and electricity subsidies while Mulqi, with his technocratic experience, becomes the public face of a painful austerity program.

These changes coincide with rhetoric about Jordan’s need for a “parliamentary government.”  King Abdullah has spoken about this periodically for years, meaning that Jordan’s parliament should have a full ideological spectrum of parties and that a coalition government should elect a prime minister.  This was done in an informal manner in early 2013, when the king instructed parliament to choose its own prime minister, but after some squabbling they were unable to come up with an alternative to the king’s previous choice of Ensour, the standing prime minister.  The idea of parliamentary autonomy has now returned: on 21 April, an op-ed by Jawad Anani, a former minister later selected to be Deputy Prime Minister for Economic Affairs under Mulqi, argued in the official al-Dustour newspaper that the amendments had precisely this role: “to achieve the king’s vision of a parliamentary government based upon political parties.”  A similar article by former interior minister Hussein Hazza al-Majali in al-Rai expressly pushed the constitutional amendments as “preparatory” to achieve the king’s parliamentary government vision.

First announced on 18 April, the bill containing the amendments was approved by cabinet the same day, and passed votes in parliament and the senate on 27 April and on 2 May, respectively.  While the government gave no explanation for why the amendments were introduced at this time and in such haste, the most logical explanation is that this followed a warning from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that a more stringent adjustment program would be needed.  The amendments, which became law on 5 May, included lengthening the speaker’s term from one year to two (repeated terms remain permissible), allowing holders of dual nationality to hold top-level executive posts and providing that a government is no longer dissolved automatically if the prime minister dies in office.

Yet the core amendment was to Article 40, which previously provided that “the king shall exercise the powers vested in him by royal decree.  Every such decree shall be countersigned by the prime minister and the minister or ministers concerned.  The king expresses his concurrence by placing his signature above the said signatures.”  At least formally, this was a check on monarchial power, although the king’s authority to remove ministers at will meant the limitation was nominal.  The new Article 40 adds exceptions for many appointments.  The text now reads: “the king shall exercise his powers the powers vested in him by royal decree without the signature of the prime minister and the minister or ministers concerned to appoint: the crown prince, the regent [either the crown prince or another prince conducting a function in the king’s absence], Senate president and members, members of the Constitutional Court, president of the Higher Judicial Council, the army’s Joint Chiefs-of-Staff, and the directors of the General Intelligence Department and the darak [riot police].”  The government argued, without providing many details, that this was a way of “strengthening the separation of powers, the independence of the judiciary and the neutrality” of the security services.  Since the king already had the authority to appoint the cabinet itself alone, this gave him unfettered authority to appoint every powerful position in the state apparatus.

Indeed, though the notion of a parliamentary government has been used to encourage greater autonomy for the legislative branch, the current move appears to have more to do with shifting the burden of unpopular fiscal austerity measures to parliamentarians and away from the palace.  The country is on the road to insolvency, with its debt-to-GDP ratio at over 93%, an increase of about 50% since the beginning of 2011, and still increasing.  Much of the commentary in the national press on Mulqi’s appointment stressed his experience in economic portfolios in Aqaba and former Prime Minister Ensour bequeathed him the conclusion of talks with the International Monetary Fund, whose previous adjustment program was a total failure.

Moreover, while Mulqi has in reality a constituency of one – that is, the king – he is an executive proxy for the king and the policy framework he sets.  The monarch can appoint and remove the prime minister at will, and while formally the cabinet holds authority for legislation, key decisions are made by the palace.  Despite the fact that Mulqi’s appointment is temporary, the wording of his four-month mandate – which includes carrying out the “Jordan Vision 2025” reform goals and implementing the decentralization law, which does not take effect until 2017’s municipal elections – suggests he may get a renewed mandate once the election is done as well.

The expansion of the king’s powers has stirred some discussion.  Perhaps the most notable negative reaction came from former speaker of the lower house of parliament Abdul Karim al-Dughmi, who explained during a speech in Mafraq that the constitution stressed – and still stresses – that ministers are personally responsible for their own actions, and neither verbal nor written instructions from the king relieved a minister of legal responsibility.  Noting that the constitution places the king beyond legal accountability (the monarch can neither be questioned nor sued in any court according to Article 30), Dughmi argued the amendments broke down the division between authority and responsibility, since the king now had power to make appointments yet remained immune from legal accountability.  He told Al-Jazeera that “Jordan is moving toward an absolute monarchy as opposed to a constitutional monarchy,” and allegedly told local press outlet AmmonNews that the constitutional changes were a coup against the Jordanian political system.

Yet most legislators voiced their support for what they agree is indeed a move towards “parliamentary government.”  The Speaker of the Senate, Faisal al-Fayez, gave an explicit endorsement, noting the “successful model in Morocco” in which the king appoints a prime minister nominated by the largest coalition of parties.  But unlike in Morocco, there was no referendum to add popular legitimacy to the changes, and there were no qualifications that a government be based on party support.  This latter point is important in terms of application: because the putative move toward parliamentary government is informal, the king will maintain discretion to not have a parliamentary government if he so wishes.

In the meantime, the current four-month technocratic government acts without a parliament. Mulqi has wasted little time on fiscal initiatives, although his initial steps show some uncertainty.  On 9 June, not two weeks in office, the government announced it would be raising electricity prices.  A cabinet subcommittee also decided to increase water prices, but the government publicly backtracked on this move within a few days, as the measures might just be too much for the government to implement.  Mulqi’s chief short-term task is to reach a new agreement with the IMF, which Minister of Finance Omar Malhas, a holdover from the Ensour government, indicated would be ready in July.  Whether or not Malhas remains finance minister after the elections in September, Mulqi is likely to stay on, and the IMF agreement reached this summer will be the center of his new term.  Mulqi’s fiscal cuts, likely to be more stringent, may test whether or not the Jordanian street will remain quiescent.

Kirk H. Sowell is the principal of Utica Risk Services, a Middle East-focused political risk firm.  (Sada 22.06)

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11.2  EGYPT:  Egypt’s Costly Nuclear Project

Eric Trager wrote in TWI PolicyWatch 2632 on 16 June that Cairo’s expensive nuclear deal with Moscow will likely increase the country’s economic burden and susceptibility to Russian influence.

Egypt is reportedly on the cusp of finalizing a $25 billion loan from Russia to construct a civilian nuclear power facility near Dabaa on the Mediterranean coast.  While the new plant will help Cairo satisfy the country’s long-term energy needs to some extent, its high cost suggests additional motivations, such as bolstering the government’s domestic political standing and expanding its foreign relationships beyond Washington.

Egypt’s Second Avenue Subway

Egypt has pursued nuclear capabilities periodically since the 1952 Free Officers Revolution, a heretofore fruitless campaign that had become even more of a fiscal red herring than New York City’s century-long quest to build a new train line under Manhattan.  Cairo first declared its intention to build a plant at Dabaa in 1983 under President Hosni Mubarak, and the Australian government agreed to provide uranium two years later.  These plans were canceled following the 1986 Chernobyl disaster, however, and Egypt instead focused on developing its natural gas reserves, which soon replaced oil as the primary fuel for electricity generation.

Cairo revived the Dabaa nuclear proposal in 2006 but faced resistance from businessmen aligned with the National Democratic Party, who wanted to develop the area for tourism, and from local tribes, who worried about the safety implications. Mubarak’s 2011 ouster further deferred these plans.

An Expensive Solution To A Nonexistent Problem

During the tumultuous years that followed Mubarak’s exit, Egypt suffered major electricity shortages.  Demand rose due to rapid population growth and the government’s generous energy subsidies, while supply fell due to terrorist attacks on gas pipelines.  These shortages contributed to the political upheaval that culminated in the July 2013 ouster of Egypt’s first democratically elected president, Muslim Brotherhood leader Mohamed Morsi, ultimately forcing a suspension of gas exports.

President Abdul Fattah al-Sisi ameliorated these shortages by cutting gas subsidies a month after taking office in June 2014, and then signing contracts for new gas, solar, and wind turbines over the following year.  As a result, electricity production capacity rose from approximately 27,000 megawatts in June 2013 to 32,000 in May 2015.  Today, Egypt’s production exceeds demand, but the government has continued to expand capacity in anticipation of demographic and industrial growth.

The proposed nuclear facility at Dabaa is one such attempt to satisfy future energy needs.  The project’s first phase entails the construction of four third-generation reactors capable of producing a total of 4,800 megawatts within the next twelve years, and the site can accommodate an additional four reactors.  Russia’s state-owned firm Rosatom will build the reactors; the $25 billion loan will finance 85% of the project, with Cairo paying the remainder.  Egypt will eventually repay the loan at 3% interest, over a twenty-two-year period that begins in 2029.

While the loan’s terms are relatively favorable, the nuclear plan is very cost-ineffective compared to other energy deals Cairo has signed in recent years.  For example, last year’s $9 billion deal with Siemens to build gas- and wind-powered plants will add 16,400 megawatts to Egypt’s grid – more than three times the output of the proposed nuclear plant for roughly a third of the cost.  Moreover, the Italian firm Eni discovered the supergiant Zohr gas field along Egypt’s northern coast in August 2015, while BP’s local branch discovered another massive Mediterranean field earlier this month.  Extracting these resources would be more cost effective than building the nuclear plant, especially since nearly three-quarters of Egypt’s electricity is generated by natural gas, and the country’s declining gas output will likely force it to continue importing even after Zohr opens.

The Dabaa deal also compares unfavorably with other nuclear projects in the region.  The Middle East Economic Survey (MEES) estimates that Egypt will ultimately pay $6.1 billion per gigawatt of generating capacity, whereas Iran’s two new plants at Bushehr will cost $5.5 billion per gigawatt and the UAE’s reactors at Barakah $3.6 billion.

In addition, repaying the Russian loan may present a long-term fiscal challenge given Egypt’s recent foreign reserve shortages and growing budget deficit.  According to MEES, Cairo will have to pay Moscow a total of $70.3 billion in nominal terms, or approximately $3.2 billion per year.

The project will increase Cairo’s dependence on Russian technical expertise as well.  In remarks published in al-Wafd on 31 May, the vice president of Egypt’s Nuclear Power Plants Authority acknowledged that the country does not have enough experts to run the new station, so Russian personnel will have to operate it for the first ten years.

Another Pride Project

Despite these costs and challenges, the Sisi government is moving ahead with the project because it views the nuclear plant as an important signal to two audiences.  First, it hopes the project will bolster its domestic support.  “It’s not just about a [nuclear] reactor – it is about Egyptians,” Sisi said during a major television interview on 3 June.  “Instead of one project, we can create 100.  I am trying to do this quickly to be productive, to give hope – to shorten the gap between where we are at and where we want to go.”  In this sense, the nuclear plan is following the same pattern as the Suez Canal expansion project, which was completed within one year and opened last August.

Second, Sisi wants to broaden Cairo’s foreign outreach beyond the still-frosty bilateral relationship with Washington.  The Obama administration restored full military aid to Egypt in March 2015, after withholding big-ticket items for seventeen months in protest of the crackdown that followed Morsi’s ouster.  Yet Cairo still mistrusts the administration due to its prior embrace of the 2011 uprising and its cooperation with the short-lived Muslim Brotherhood government.  Moreover, despite improved military cooperation since last year’s bilateral Strategic Dialogue, Egyptian officials view ongoing U.S. criticism of Cairo’s deteriorating human rights record as interference in their country’s domestic affairs.  Sisi alluded to this problem in his 3 June interview, stating that Egypt’s relationship with Washington is “strategically strong” but that the “principles of its policy that prevailed for thirty years can’t work now.”

Accordingly, the nuclear project is partly an attempt to show that Cairo is “open to the whole world,” as one senior Egyptian official recently told the author.  In seeking a partner for the project, Cairo solicited offers broadly, receiving proposals from China and South Korea before settling on Russia.  By accepting Moscow’s loan and commissioning Rosatom to build the reactors, Cairo is deepening its ties with Russia – an actor that has stood in contrast to Washington by warmly embracing Sisi following Morsi’s ouster and selling military equipment to Egypt during the temporary U.S. aid suspension.

Low Prospects For Weaponization

There is presently no indication that Egypt’s nuclear project is intended for military purposes.  Cairo has been a forceful proponent of a nuclear-weapons-free Middle East since the 1970s and Egyptian officials highlight the country’s right to nuclear energy under the Treaty on the Nonproliferation of Nuclear Weapons, which it signed in 1968 and ratified in 1981.  In a November 2015 speech after the nascent Dabaa deal was first announced, Sisi emphasized that the nuclear project was for “peaceful purposes.”

To be sure, Egypt’s calculus may change if Iran acquires nuclear weapon capabilities, especially since Sisi has declared his commitment to securing Gulf allies against external threats.  For this reason, Washington should seek reassurances that the new reactors are intended for energy purposes exclusively.  At the same time, it should vigilantly monitor Iran’s commitment to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action in order to reassure its Sunni Arab allies and prevent proliferation.

U.S. Policy Implications

Given its interest in Egypt’s economic stability and foreign policy outlook, Washington has ample reason to be concerned about the nuclear project.  The large Russian loan is a significant economic burden and will likely enhance Moscow’s leverage with Cairo in the long run.  While the Sisi government has successfully pursued new energy resources to accommodate its expanding needs, the nuclear plant is a very cost-ineffective approach.

Even so, U.S. officials should tread lightly, as they did with the Suez Canal expansion project last year.  To the extent that the nuclear project is intended to bolster the government’s domestic standing and “to give hope,” in Sisi’s words, any public disparagement from Washington would be counterproductive, likely bolstering the distrust that spurred Cairo to accept the Russian loan in the first place.  More to the point, the lingering distrust means that publicly criticizing the project will not deter Cairo from pursuing it anyway.

Eric Trager is the Esther K. Wagner Fellow at The Washington Institute.  (TWI 16.06)

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11.3  SAUDI ARABIA:  Salman’s Saudi Arabia More Ambitious Than Ever

King Salman bin Abdul-Aziz Al Saud’s 18 months on the Saudi throne have been marked by an unprecedentedly energetic and dynamic foreign policy expanding Saudi influence. Riyadh has been far more willing to take risks in national security choices than in recent decades.  In the process, the Saudis have acquired some strategic territory.

Bruce Riedel posted on Al-Monitor on 20 June that the king’s decision to restore Saudi sovereignty over two uninhabited islands, Tiran and Sanafir, in the Gulf of Aqaba and take possession of them from Egypt is a prime example of his aggressiveness.  Saudi kings since Abdul-Aziz ibn Saud have left the two islands under Egyptian control to avoid getting involved in the sensitive issue of passage through the Straits of Tiran.  Now Riyadh plans to build a bridge across the straits to provide a land link from the kingdom to North Africa.  The islands will be inhabited at least by customs and toll collectors.

The annexation provoked controversy in Cairo and undermined Salman’s client, President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi.  Egyptians complained Sisi was giving away part of their country.  Many saw it as a naked payoff for the billions in aid and investment Saudi Arabia has made in Egypt since they helped orchestrate Sisi’s coup in 2013.  It makes Saudi Arabia the dominant power in controlling access to the Gulf of Aqaba and the ports of Eilat in Israel and Aqaba in Jordan.  Riyadh has committed to ensuring free access.

At the other end of the Red Sea, the king’s war with the Houthi rebels in Yemen has given Saudi Arabia de facto control of the Yemeni side of the crucial Bab al-Mandab Strait between Asia and Africa.  The Saudis took control of the port of Aden on the entrance to the Red Sea a year ago and the strategic island of Perim in the Bab al-Mandab last October.  Their Yemeni allies control Socotra Island in the Gulf of Aden as well.  This spring, Saudi and Emirati troops took control of the capital of the Hadhramaut region of southeast Yemen, Mukkala, away from al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula.  Mukkala is the fifth-largest city in Yemen and provides the Saudis with land access across the Empty Quarter Desert to the Indian Ocean.

Yemen is now de facto partitioned by the war.  The Saudis have backed the shaky UN-brokered cease-fire and the political negotiations in Kuwait.  During Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s visit to Washington recently, he promised President Obama the kingdom is committed to a “political settlement of the conflict.”  While the parties to the talks in Kuwait say they want a united Yemen, many southerners would prefer a return to southern independence.  Saudi Arabia backed a southern secessionist rebellion in 1994.  In the Middle East, “temporary” partitions have a tendency to last.

In the Persian Gulf, Salman has sharply escalated Saudi Arabia’s rivalry with Iran.  The war in Yemen is justified as a conflict to prevent Iran from developing a proxy in Arabia.  Diplomatic relations with Tehran were severed in January and Iranians will not be participating in the hajj this year.  While Tehran has hinted at openness to cooling tensions, there is no sign of any such interest in Riyadh.  The influential Wahhabi clerical establishment has strongly endorsed the tough line with Shiite Iran.

In Syria, the Saudis hope that defeating the government of President Bashar al-Assad will lead to the unraveling of Hezbollah and Iran’s position in the Levant.  Last summer, the Saudi intelligence service nabbed Ahmed Ibrahim al-Mughassil, chief of Saudi Hezbollah, after he got off a flight from Tehran to Beirut and spirited him away to the kingdom.  Mughassil was the mastermind of the 1996 truck bombing of the Khobar Towers that killed 19 Americans.  He was also involved in several attacks on Saudi diplomats in the 1980s.  His rendition is the boldest Saudi intelligence coup ever.

The favorite son of the king, Prince Mohammed bin Salman, 30, has been at the center of all the action.  As defense minister he has also presided over the creation of the new Islamic military alliance announced last winter by the king.  The alliance is clearly aimed at isolating Iran and Iraq, though officially it is a counterterrorism pact.  Its 30 or so members have established a secretariat in Riyadh.

Mohammed bin Salman’s high-profile visit to Washington, New York and California, with extensive Saudi press coverage, further enhanced his status as the king’s emissary.

Crown Prince Mohammad bin Nayef keeps a lower profile.  But his hand has been critical in the Mughassil caper, breaking ties with Iran, the tough hajj policy and the taking of Mukkala.  He also leads the battle against the Islamic State terror challenge at home.

This aggressive foreign policy is expensive.  Billions have gone to prop up Sisi and others.  The war in Yemen is costing more.  The king and his two deputies clearly feel the price is worth it.  Whether by accident, design or some combination of the two, Salman has acquired some of the most strategically valuable terrain in the Middle East.  (Al-Monitor 20.06)

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11.4  EGYPT:  Will Egypt Stop Listing Religion on Official IDs?

Rami Galal posted on 14 June in Al-Monitor that the draft bill to remove the religion field from national IDs and official documents sparked a debate among Egyptians, with some supporting the decision as it would eliminate discrimination and others arguing that it would further entrench sectarian tension.

After collecting the signatures of 60 Egyptian parliamentarians, the official spokesperson for the Support Egypt coalition, member of parliament Alaa Abdel Moneim, submitted 1 June to parliament an 18 article draft bill titled Citizenship.  Article 3 of this draft bill states, “The religion field be abolished from identification cards and all official documents.  No citizen may be compelled to disclose his/her religion unless doing so were necessary to determine the legal premise of matters such as inheritances and marriages.”

The draft bill provoked a sharp debate.  Supporters of the bill viewed it as a basis to convert a heterogeneous society predicated on religious affiliation, such as “Muslim” and “Copt,” into a homogenous one founded on citizenship, and not religion.  For their part, opponents considered the draft bill an affront to Egypt’s Muslim identity, where religion not only affects inheritance and marriage, but is also a basis for the rituals performed by either community; for instance, Muslims who wish to perform I’tikaf (act of residing in the mosque in seclusion during the month of Ramadan) have to submit the necessary papers to the Ministry of Religious Endowments to this effect.

The opponents also saw that many legal issues would need to be addressed, such as legal testimonies.  A testimony in court of non-Muslims, for example, may not be accepted in Islamic matters and Muslim personal status cases, such as proof of adultery or divorce.

In this context, the head of the parliamentary Human Rights Committee, member of parliament Anwar El-Sadat, told Al-Monitor, “I am not against the law as a whole.  But we must feel reassured that it will not lead to domestic problems, the loss of rights or state of confusion in any form, for said changes [removing the religion field] must occur only through consensus within the [Egyptian] community.”

Sadat added, “The elimination of the religion field from official documents primarily aims to prevent discrimination.  Discrimination is not based on this [religion] field, but occurs in day-to-day relations.  As a result, we, in the parliamentary Human Rights Committee, discussed [another] draft law for equality and non-discrimination, without any consideration to eliminating the religion field [from IDs or official documents], because we know that doing so would result in grave problems that might lead to even more sectarianism.”

On the other hand, the head of Al-Azhar’s Fatwa Committee, Abdul Hamid al-Atrash, highly criticized the bill and told Al-Monitor, “Removing the religion field from official documents is futile.  According to Islam, each individual enjoys the freedom to choose whatever religion one desires without compulsion.  Therefore, people are free to believe whatever they want.  But the national ID, and therefore the religion field, is used to regulate transactions between individuals and allow the proper identification of others, by managing Muslim and Christians rites and allowing entry to Muslim and Christian holy places — mosques for Muslims and churches for Christians.  Moreover, the law would lead to confusion in Egypt’s relations with some countries such as Saudi Arabia, where some places are only accessible to Muslims, with Mecca being an example.”

Atrash said that there is no discrimination against a specific community in Egypt that requires the passing of such law, adding, “Laws must serve the interests of society, but this law lacked this characteristic.  [For example,] Christians in Egypt are not excluded from any job as they are present in all state institutions — judiciary, army, police and Foreign Ministry — without any form of discrimination.  But this bill inadvertently fuels sectarianism by removing the religion field.”

Ahmed Karimeh, a professor of comparative jurisprudence at Al-Azhar University in Cairo, told Al-Monitor, “In the past [Egypt’s modern history], Copts held leadership posts in Egypt, such as prime ministers Boutros Ghali in 1908 and Youssef Wahbi in 1919, while Wissa Wassef was speaker in 1928, Makram Ebeid was finance minister in 1942 and Youssef Boutros Ghali held the same position in 2004.”

Noteworthy is that there are no texts in the Egyptian Constitution that prevent Copts from holding the position of president.

Karimeh added, “Today, there is nothing in Islam that precludes a Copt from becoming president, which was not the case during the Islamic caliphate, when the caliph — in addition to his political functions — also held a missionary role, led prayers and gave the Friday sermon.  The situation in Egypt is different today as [most] modern democratic civil regimes rely on voting for the most competent people, irrespective of whether they were Muslim or not.”…“[However,] current intolerance against Copts assuming leadership posts emerged during Anwar Sadat’s reign [1970-1981], when he played the religion card and allowed Islamic political movements to enter the political arena.”

Sadat had used the Islamic movements to create balance with the leftist movements, which were a thorn in his side during his rule.  Before him, Gamal Abdel Nasser had clamped down on Islamic forces, namely the Muslim Brotherhood.

“Also, Salafists strongly re-emerged during Hosni Mubarak’s term in office [1981-2011].  We currently fear additional Salafi incursions into the existing political system, aided by political support from Gulf countries — especially Saudi Arabia — which backs Salafists who espouse Wahhabi ideals in Egypt,” Karimeh said.

In contrast, Father Salib Matta, a member of the Congregational Council of the Coptic Orthodox Church, told Al-Monitor, “Citizenship is predicated on a sense of belonging to the homeland, while religion is a relationship that exists between believers and their God.  Therefore, I welcome this law and I think it is urgently necessary to remove the religion field from the IDs to strengthen the sense of citizenship [among Egyptians].”

He added, “Each church knows who the members of its congregation are, and there is no fear for non-Christians to infiltrate church meetings.  The seven sacraments such as baptism, chrism, confession, communion and marriage will not be given to non-Copts.”

Matta indicated that the law would fail to achieve true citizenship if forced upon society. In this case, Al-Azhar and the church must play the important role of instilling this sense of citizenship by choosing sermons that solidify this, as well as provide a rhetoric that encourages proper citizenship through the media and the ministries of culture and education.

In the same context, lawyer of the Coptic Church Ramses Najjar, told Al-Monitor, “This law will make all citizens equal as dictated by the 2014 Egyptian Constitution.  Its aim shall be to confront Salafi extremist ideologies and allow people to embrace their Egyptian nationality without any fanaticism for the religion of their birth.”  He added, “The law will allow any Egyptian Copt to assume sovereign ministries such as those of defense, foreign affairs and interior. Modern Egypt can only be built on competencies and not fasting and prayer.”

The assistant secretary-general of the Salafi Nour Party, Shaaban Abdel Alim, countered by saying, “Sponsors of the current draft law are politically bankrupt. Instead of concentrating their efforts on urgent matters needed to advance the country — such as the economy, security and education — parliamentarians are proposing these laws to distract people from core affairs.”

Shaaban told Al-Monitor, “Special committees from our party [Nour Party] shall study this matter [draft bill] and put it to a vote [within the party] pursuant to a key principle stipulated in Article 2 of the Egyptian Constitution of 2014, which states that ‘Islam is the religion of the state and Arabic is its official language.  The principles of Islamic Sharia are the principal source of legislation.’  As such we shall reject the bill if the committees find it inconsistent with constitutional provisions.”

The cancellation of the religious field from IDs and official documents may not help to eliminate discrimination in Egypt, as discrimination is not present at the government level.  Rather, discrimination is fueled by sectarian tension, an issue that needs to be addressed by spreading awareness about the importance of the citizenship concept through education and media.  (Al-Monitor 14.06)

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11.5  EGYPT: How Egypt Plans to Address its Growing Water Crisis

Walaa Hussein posted on Al-Monitor on 17 June that amidst the worst drought to hit the Horn of Africa in the past 100 years, the Egyptian Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation declared a state of extreme emergency in early May to last until next August in preparation for the summer crop season.  The ministry also launched extensive campaigns to eradicate and burn water-thirsty rice crops.

In villages, farmers intensified their demonstrations against agents from the Department of Agriculture and the Ministry of Water Resources, who sprayed incendiary compounds on rice crops planted in violation of the ministry’s decision prohibiting the cultivation of rice, which it confined to an area of about 1 million acres in specific areas of the Nile Delta.

Nabil Al-Shahat, one of the farmers who violated the Al-Sharqia governorate’s rice-growing ban, told Al-Monitor, “My children will starve all year if I implemented the government’s decision and refrained from planting rice on the one and a half acres that I own.”  He explained that the high price of rice, which is a staple in the diet of Egyptian farmer families, precluded them from abiding by the ministerial decision, which would lead to hunger among peasant families.

In that regard, a government report indicated that total land surfaces planted with rice had increased by 1 million acres in just one month, rising from 174,000 on 5 April to 1.175 million on 30May.

According to Shahat, in the summer seasons of past years, he used to plant corn on his land in order to avoid violating the rice ban.  He said, “Last year I found no buyers for my corn, and the government did not provide any marketing services to compensate for my loss.  Now, even if no buyers are available, I will store the rice and use it to feed my family.  Because I grew rice, Ministry of Irrigation officials punished me by cutting off my water supply.  But I overcame that setback by digging a well on my land.  Although it is somewhat briny, the well water is fresh enough to satisfy my needs while also serving to quench my family’s thirst in light of the lack of clean water in the village.”

In contrast, the former head of the Egyptian Farmers Union, Mohammad Barghash, told Al-Monitor that some farmers violated the decision, not to satisfy any immediate needs, but to take advantage of high rice prices.  All those who cultivated 1 acre of rice in past years planted 10 acres this year, which threatens to exhaust yearly water allowances on one summer crop at the expense of other crops at a time when Egypt is suffering from a water crisis.

Barghash asked the United Nations to adopt an initiative aimed at countries suffering from water shortages, among them Egypt, in confirmation of their citizens’ rights to live and preserve their water rights.  Barghash’s calls come in the context of current fears among Egyptians concerning the entry into operation of Ethiopia’s Renaissance Dam, and the resulting potential decrease in Egypt’s 55.5 billion cubic meter annual water quote from the Nile.

In that regard, Hussam Maghazi, former minister of water resources and irrigation, told Al-Monitor that Egypt’s water-rationing crisis was now of utmost importance and required the combined efforts of the state and the ministry in order to educate citizens and farmers that the water-rationing decisions adopted by the state served the people’s interests.  He said, “Farmers must understand that, due to water scarcity, planting water-thirsty crops such as rice is no longer possible in Egypt.”

In addition, according to statements made to Al-Monitor by Agriculture Committee member in the Egyptian Parliament, Mohamed Hilmi al-Sherif, no leniency would be shown toward those who violate the rice-planting ban this year.  This is a decision that has been agreed upon between parliament and the government.  Sherif warned that a state of confusion has reigned over government decisions lately, resulting in this high number of rice-planting violations — among them the decision to allow rice exports, which led to a two-fold increase in rice prices and encouraged farmers to plant said crop despite the imposed ban.

Haitham Awad, chairman of the Department of Irrigation and Hydraulics at Alexandria University, explained that confining the cultivation of rice to Delta governorates was to ensure that Mediterranean Sea waters did not encroach onto those lands and the wells located therein.  He further pointed out that the rice cultivation ban and restricting its cultivation to certain areas was technically taken in past years yet not enforced on violating farmers through the imposition of fines.  But the situation is much different this year.

Engineer Walid Haqiqi, spokesperson for the Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation, told Al-Monitor, “Egypt can no longer afford to waste water.”  He argued that exporting water-thirsty crops was a waste of water, and the cultivation of crops such as rice, bananas and sugarcane had become a burden on available Egyptian water resources.  As a result, land allocated for their cultivation must be scaled back and coordination initiated with the Ministry of Supply to only allow the cultivation of quantities needed to satisfy established local needs.  Doing so would free water resources needed for the cultivation of other crops as well as satisfy the country’s drinking water and development needs.

Haqiqi also confirmed that the Nile’s water output last year was below its annual average due to the drought that has stricken the Nile Basin and Ethiopia.  As a result, Cairo was forced to siphon large quantities of water from its strategic reserves at Lake Nasser.

Exterminating water-thirsty crops, developing awareness campaigns calling for water-saving measures and the statements made by Foreign Minister Sameh Shoukry that Ethiopia’s Renaissance Dam was now a fait accompli all clearly indicate that Egypt’s political leadership wants citizens and farmers to become partners in shouldering the responsibility for the water crisis plaguing the country.  (Al-Monitor 17.06)

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11.6  TUNISIA:  Tunisia Aims For More Sustainable Growth, But Reforms Will Be Key

Tunisia’s structural reform effort aims to lift the country’s future growth potential with the assistance of international institutions, although social and security-related challenges weigh on tourism revenues and on investment activity, says Moody’s Investors Service in a report published on 27 June.

“Tunisia benefits from strong institutions relative to rating peers and support of international institutions, which aid the country’s transition to a more sustainable growth model.  However, its economic potential is linked to further reform progress,” says Elisa Parisi-Capone, a VP-Senior Analyst at Moody’s.

In Moody’s view, the implementation of the long-delayed structural reform agenda in the banking, fiscal and business environment areas is key to lifting the country’s future potential growth path once the security-related headwinds recede.

The four-year $2.8 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) follow-up arrangement approved by the IMF on 20 May paves the way for ample international support commitments.  These continue to sustain Tunisia’s government liquidity and external vulnerability profiles over the rating horizon.  The public administration’s ability to manage recent security disruptions and increased political tensions (which led to the split of the former majority-holding Nidaa Tounes party) attests to the country’s robust institutional framework.

However, Tunisia’s reliance on external support, albeit provided on very favorable terms, has led to a rise in external debt levels toward 70% of GDP by 2017.  Persistent current account imbalances over the forecast horizon also constrain the country’s creditworthiness, mostly due to plunging tourism revenues arising from lingering domestic and external security risks.

Overall, Tunisia’s fiscal stance has improved under the umbrella of the previous two-year IMF program that expired in December 2015, but remains subject to social and security-related spending pressures which have crowded out public investment and driven wage expenditures to over 14% of GDP.  (Moody’s 27.06)

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11.7  TUNISIA:  From Political Islam to Muslim Democracy – Ennahda Changes Course

Sarah J. Feuer wrote in The Washington Institute that to read the newspapers is to believe that Tunisia, the small country that sparked the Arab Spring, is the only one still on a recognizable path to democracy, in large part thanks to the conciliatory nature of the country’s leading Islamist party, Ennahda (Renaissance).  There is truth in this narrative.  At key moments of the democratic transition, Ennahda, which has roots in the Muslim Brotherhood, distinguished itself from other Brotherhood derivatives by granting concessions to its secular opponents in the interest of preserving stability, even going so far as to cede to a technocratic government the political power it earned through free and fair elections, an unprecedented move for an Islamist party.  Now, Ennahda may again be making history.

In late May, over one thousand members of Ennahda convened in the resort town of Hammamet for the movement’s 10th party congress. Delegates discussed and voted on seven measures – from the party’s internal procedures to Ennahda’s political and economic platforms.  Arguably the most significant outcome of the congress and the one subsequently grabbing international headlines, was the adoption of a motion to separate Ennahda’s political and religious activities.  In the run-up to the decisive vote, 74-year-old Ennahda leader Rached Ghannouchi (who the party reelected as president) issued a series of statements indicating that Ennahda was poised to leave behind “political Islam” and embrace “Muslim democracy.”

The statements and vote have been variously interpreted as signaling everything from a radical departure for the Islamist movement and the end of political Islam in Tunisia to a rhetorical ploy aimed at easing Western concerns while Ennahda pursues its long-term goal of establishing an Islamic state.  A close reading of Ghannouchi’s remarks and the congress’ decisions suggests a more complicated picture.  Although the move to distinguish between the Islamist party’s religious and political functions is significant, it is too soon for observers to begin drafting obituaries for political Islam in the birthplace of the Arab Spring.

Muslim Democrats

In a 19 May interview with the French daily Le Monde, Ghannouchi affirmed that Ennahda “is leaving political Islam in order to enter Muslim democracy.  We are Muslim democrats who no longer refer to ‘political Islam.’”  Instead, “Ennahda is a democratic, civil party whose points of reference are Muslim and modern civilizational values.”  To the delegates gathered in Hammamet, Ghannouchi described Ennahda as a “national democratic party devoted to reform, based on a national reference drawing from the values of Islam.”

In part, the change in terminology is a matter of branding. In his interview with Le Monde, Ghannouchi noted that violent groups such as al Qaeda and the so-called Islamic State (ISIS) have appropriated the term “political Islam” and given it a decidedly negative connotation.  In labeling its members “Muslim democrats,” Ennahda can distinguish the movement from the violent groups that also identify as Islamist.  The rebranding may also be intended to reassure readers of Le Monde that Ennahda does not find common cause with those responsible for the terrorist attacks in Paris, Brussels and elsewhere.  Still, the generous loan packages that France, the EU, the World Bank and the IMF announced even before Ennahda’s decision suggest that the party should be less concerned with winning over the West and more worried about secular Tunisians who remain skeptical of Ennahda’s long-term goals.

Since the outbreak of the so-called Arab Spring in Tunis five years ago, nearly 6,000 Tunisians have left the country to join jihadist groups in Iraq, Libya and Syria.  During its tenure in government from 2011 to 2013, Ennahda came under fierce public criticism for what many perceived to be a lax approach to Islamist extremism at home.  The current rebranding is, therefore, partly aimed at convincing a domestic electorate that the country’s leading Islamist party has adopted a firm stance against extremism.  In this vein, Ghannouchi told delegates to the congress that Ennahda remained uniquely suited for counterterrorism at home because it had drawn “the clear and definitive line between Muslim democrats and extremist and violent trends that falsely attribute themselves to Islam.”

The decision to disavow the term “political Islam” also reflects a conceptual argument, namely: since political Islam in Tunisia achieved what it set out to achieve, it is no longer necessary.  In his interview with Le Monde, Ghannouchi asserted that political Islam emerged in reaction to two regional trends: dictatorship and an extremist form of laicism, the French variant of secularism in which expressions of religious identity are discouraged, if not outlawed, in public.  Given that the Tunisian uprising installed a democracy and did away with both dictatorship and laicism, “there is no longer a justification for political Islam in Tunisia.”  In his address to the Ennahda delegates, Ghannouchi implied that political Islam had run its course when he recounted that Ennahda had evolved “from an ideological movement engaged in the struggle for identity, when identity was under threat, to a comprehensive protest movement against an authoritarian regime, to a national democratic party devoted to reform.”

Ghannouchi is downplaying key aspects of Islamist ideology here, portraying Ennahda as something akin to a civil rights organization advocating on behalf of Muslims who, for decades, could not freely practice their faith.  Ennahda was banned under the former regime, with hundreds of its members thrown in jail, tortured or forced into exile.  As such, the drive for greater religious and cultural recognition for its members, and the achievement of social justice more generally, were always components of Ennahda’s societal project.  But they were never the only components. Informed by its roots in the transnational Muslim Brotherhood, Ennahda also sought to establish an Islamic state, guided by Islamic law (sharia), in which devout Muslims could live openly, achieve social justice and so on.

The 2011 uprising and Ennahda’s subsequent ascendance appeared to offer the movement a chance to fulfill its ideological aspirations after decades of repression.  But Ennahda quickly encountered obstacles.  When the party’s bloc of parliamentarians proposed a constitutional provision that would have made sharia “a source” of law (some wanted it to be “the source”), fierce opposition from secular parties forced the group to withdraw the proposal.  Ghannouchi reassured his supporters that the movement could remain true to its Islamist identity because Islamism fundamentally meant promoting the broader aims of the sharia, such as justice and liberty, rather than specific regulations outlined in the Koran and Sunna (the sayings and behaviors attributed to the Prophet Muhammad).  He could also point to articles in the new constitution affirming that Islam is “the religion of the state” and committing the state to imparting an “Arab-Muslim identity” to its youth.  The episode was telling both for what it suggested about the ideological commitments many Ennahda members had retained, and for what it revealed about Ennahda’s ability to adapt to political constraints.

But it became harder to claim success once Ennahda bowed to public pressure and stepped down in 2013 after what was widely viewed as a dismal performance in government; it was harder still after the 2014 legislative elections, when 70% of the electorate voted for parties other than Ennahda and the Islamist movement lost 20 seats in parliament, falling behind the secular Nidaa Tounes (“Tunisian Call”) party.  These setbacks may explain why Ghannouchi has taken to highlighting identity and democracy promotion, issues on which his movement can more convincingly claim success in the past five years.

Separation or Specialization?

Ennahda’s defeat at the polls in 2014 prompted what turned out to be nearly two years of internal discussion regarding the future direction of the party.  The repeated postponement of the party congress reportedly stemmed from the leadership’s difficulties in convincing the base that Ennahda should be a political party and leave overtly religious activities to a separate, if related, body.  In the end, although delegates to the Congress rejected the term fasl (separation), they approved a takhassus (specialization) between the movement’s religious and political activities.  Thus, for example, Ennahda leaders can no longer preach in mosques or hold leadership positions in religious associations.  As Ghannouchi explained in Le Monde, “we need to specify the difference between political and religious activity. The arena of political activity is not within the mosque.”

Precisely where the movement will draw the boundaries between public life, politics, and religion remains an open question.  Such moves partly reflect political considerations. Ghannouchi told Le Monde that Ennahda “wants a party that speaks of daily problems, of families’ and individuals’ lives, and not a party that talks [to voters] about the last judgment, paradise, and so on.”  As if to demonstrate what he meant, he dedicated the second half of his speech at the congress to outlining a series of reforms aimed at combating corruption, spurring economic growth, reducing unemployment, and improving conditions for the country’s youth – all goals that Tunisians have consistently ranked as the nation’s highest priorities.  With local elections scheduled for March 2017 and parliamentary elections to follow in 2019, Ennahda knows it needs to expand its base of support if it is to rebound from the 2014 defeat.  Whatever else may be driving the movement’s current transformation, focusing on the “daily problems” of the electorate makes good political sense.

It is too soon to tell whether the relatively narrow decision to require members who preach in mosques to give up politicking will spell a more dramatic move to separate religion and politics in Tunisia.  Ghannouchi did tell delegates to the congress that “We are determined to keep religion far from political struggles and conflict,” even as he was keen to stress that separating religion and politics should not be equated with separating religion from public life.  “We are astonished to see the insistence of some to exclude religion from public life,” he proclaimed.

This begs the question of what will happen when political conflicts concern the place of religion in public life.  Precisely where the movement will draw the boundaries between public life, politics, and religion remains an open question.  In his interview with Le Monde, Ghannouchi noted that “Neither the [Tunisian] law nor religion should interfere with people’s private lives.  In the public sphere, the law is applied. In the private sphere, it’s individual liberty.”  So if, as he stressed to Ennahda’s delegates, religion is to inform public life, and that same public sphere is to be regulated by the law, then Ghannouchi’s statements would suggest a closer connection between religion and the law than his secular adversaries are likely to accept.

What Next?

In the end, the extent to which the Ennahda congress changes Tunisian politics may depend on the extent to which Ennahda itself changes.  Analogies have been drawn to Turkey’s experience in the early 2000s, when the Islamist AKP recast itself as a socially conservative party and highlighted its economic platform in an effort to broaden its support base. Ennahda may have the AKP in mind, but the more relevant model today is arguably Morocco, where an Islamist party with Brotherhood roots legislates in parliament and even occupies the prime ministry but leaves overtly religious activities to its sister organization in civil society.  Whether Ennahda changes its internal structures; where the party comes down on divisive legislation, such as the regulation of problematic imams or the recent proposal to remove the religious imprint on the country’s inheritance laws; and the degree to which the party campaigns on religiously oriented themes in the upcoming election cycles will give observers a clearer picture of Ennahda’s longer-term plans and more ammunition for the debate about the continued evolution of political Islam in Tunisia and in the wider Middle East.  (TWI 08.06)

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11.8  TURKEY:  Reforms Key to Durable Turkish Macroeconomic Improvement

On 23 June, Fitch Ratings said the Turkish economy is growing faster than its ratings peers and some external indicators are still improving, but a hiatus in structural reforms and a weakening in some policy settings means the durability of these trends is uncertain.

A pro-growth bias is apparent in monetary policy.  The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) just cut the top rate of the interest-rate corridor for the fourth time this year.  Cumulative cuts in 2016 total 175 bp.  Although billed as part of a planned simplification of monetary policy under new governor Murat Cetinkaya, the narrowing of the interest-rate corridor has occurred entirely at the upper end.  With the interest-rate floor unchanged, the effective funding rate is falling, despite stubbornly high core inflation.

Lower rates will further support consumption, which is driving GDP growth.  Consumption has also been supported by a higher minimum wage as well as the influx of migrants.  GDP increased by 4.8% in 1Q16 from a year earlier at constant prices, data from the Turkish Statistical Institute showed earlier this month.  Household consumption increased by 6.9%, the fastest rate in over four years.

Consumption-driven growth draws in imports, but the adverse effect on the current account is more than offset by lower oil prices.  The CBRT reported this month that the current account deficit fell nearly $1 billion y-o-y in April.  This was the ninth consecutive monthly fall, and reduced the rolling 12-month deficit to a near six-year low, despite a drop in tourist arrivals, with Bloomberg reporting a 28% y-o-y fall in April on security concerns and Russian sanctions.

Despite the cyclical narrowing of the current account deficit, the external financing requirement remains large.  The potential risks from economic overheating or changes in international investor sentiment are long-standing credit weaknesses, and the prospects for economic and external rebalancing are an important part of our sovereign ratings assessment.

The Turkish government has outlined a policy program to tackle structural weaknesses.  But renewed political commitment to reforms that would sustainably improve the pace and composition of growth and reduce vulnerability to external shocks (to which Turkey has been resilient) has yet to be demonstrated.

Prime Minister Binali Yildirim, who succeeded Ahmet Davutoglu in May, has included reform advocates in his cabinet.  But he has also restated plans to amend the constitution to give the presidency more powers.  This is likely to maintain the political uncertainty that saw Davutoglu replaced, and which increases risks to policy predictability.  We think that the CBRT will remain under political pressure to continue easing.

Implementation of structural reform would be credit positive, as would a more stable and predictable domestic political and security environment.  A deterioration in fiscal discipline or a materialization of external stresses would put pressure on Turkey’s ‘BBB-‘/Stable sovereign rating.  (Fitch 23.06)

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11.9  TURKEY:  Where Does Erdogan Want To Take Turkey?

Soner Cagaptay wrote on 15 June in The Washington Institute that Erdogan’s leader’s distorted view of the Ottoman past may dictate whether the country further embraces Islamization.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is the most powerful democratically elected leader in the country’s history.  He has run Turkey since 2002 through his Justice and Development Party (AKP), first as prime minister and since 2014 as president.  Having orchestrated on 22 May the promotion of his close ally Binali Yildirim to the post of prime minister and AKP chairman, Erdogan has amassed even more power in his hands: he is now head of state, as well as (de facto) head of government and leader of the ruling party.  Where does he want to take Turkey?

Since 2002, Erdogan has methodically eliminated the legacy of Kemalism, the revolutionary-secularist ideology of Turkey in the 20th century named after the country’s founder Mustafa Kemal Ataturk.  Erdogan’s counter-revolution has been democratic “sensu stricto.”  Although his critics blame him for being authoritarian, Erdogan has built strong popular support, using the wind from four electoral victories since 2002 to revolutionize Turkey’s political system.

While Ataturk established a strict firewall between religion and government and firmly defined Turkey as a Western country, Erdogan flooded the country’s politics, education system and foreign policy with Islam.  Erdogan’s proclivity to view the world through an anti-Kemalist lens has subsequently pivoted Ankara toward the Middle East, where Turkey has become a party in the ruinous Syrian civil war.  Hard as it is to believe, today Ankara supports radical Islamist groups, such as Ahrar al-Sham, which has ties to al Qaeda, in the Syrian conflict.

At home, Erdogan’s counter-revolution, whereby he has made Islam the epicenter of Turkish politics, looks Kafkaesque.  Subsequent to the changes to the country’s secular education system, a growing number of pupils are forced to study in Islamic high schools.  Recently, the grandson of the chief rabbi of Turkey was placed in an Islamic high school, along with many Christians, in government-run matriculation exams.

Turkey’s Islamization, coupled with Ankara’s involvement in the Syrian civil war and bad neighbors, such as the Islamic State next door, expose the country to grave risks.  According to a report by the Global Policy and Strategy Institute, an Ankara-based think-tank, more than 2,000 Turkish citizens have crossed the border to fight for IS.  In the past 10 months, the group has carried out four terror attacks in Turkey, killing more than 150 citizens.

While Turkey is, unfortunately, yet to see the worst of the IS threat, I blame Ataturk indirectly for Erdogan’s ruinous fixation to make Islam the guiding light of all politics in Turkey.  Ataturk was a general in the Ottoman military before the empire collapsed at the end of World War I.  A product of the Ottoman system, he liberated Turkey and then went on to fully secularize the country.  He was an ordinary middle-class citizen who received secular education in Ottoman public schools.  As a young man, Ataturk lived in an Empire that already had a huge body of secular laws, courts and institutions, including a parliament, and a tendency to see itself as part of the European state system.  Thus, Ataturk’s uniqueness is not that he secularized Turkey but that he took the Ottoman trajectory to its fullest extent.  He enshrined secularism in the Turkish constitution and strongly confirmed Turkey’s Western vocation.

Revolutions need to portray the political systems they overthrow as being utterly useless in order to justify themselves, and so in his revolution Ataturk cast the Ottomans in an entirely different light.  Ataturk and the Kemalist elites depicted the Westernizing Ottomans as religious fanatics who were obsessed with Islam, and who subsequently and consequently failed.

The Kemalists caricaturized the Ottomans: the Empire was all about religious, anti-Western darkness, almost a Turkish version of the Salafists. Kemalism, they argued, was all about progressive secularism.  Over 80 years, Turkey became one of the most secular-ideological Muslim-majority states, and such falsified ideas about the Ottomans were taught to generations of pupils and citizens, including Erdogan, who have internalized them.

Counter-revolutions aim to rewind the political order back to the past and this is what Erdogan is doing in Turkey.  Erdogan’s counter-revolution is focused on making Islam the centerpiece of Turkish politics and sees the country’s foreign policy role as being primarily anti-Western.  This, Erdogan thinks, is how he will bring the Ottomans back.  The irony is that while trying to revive the pre-Ataturk Ottoman Empire, Erdogan is actually trying to revive the caricature of the Ottomans that he was taught by the Kemalists.

The Ottomans were a sophisticated bunch.  They were Muslims, but not obsessed with Islam in foreign policy or at home.  From its inception, the Empire saw itself as a European power and was so deeply Westernized that by the 19th century it provided education for women, ran secular courts and taught its pupils, including Ataturk, to take religion out of politics.  In foreign policy, the Ottomans always hoped to be a Muslim and European power, even as their power waned in the 19th century.  The last Ottoman caliph whom Ataturk exiled, Abdulmecid II, was an established painter known for his nudes.

If Erdogan can grasp the Ottoman legacy beyond the Kemalist caricature that shapes his thinking, Turkey still has a chance to walk away from a ruinous policy of Islamization at home and the IS threat from Syria.

Soner Cagaptay is the Beyer Family Fellow and director of the Turkish Research Program at The Washington Institute.  (TWI 15.06)

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11.10  TURKEY: Why Turkey is Making a Return to Libya

Barin Kayaoglu posted in Al-Monitor on 14 June that given its economic troubles at home, it is no surprise that Ankara has decided to reopen its embassy in the Libyan capital of Tripoli, which had been closed since 2014.  Although Turkey has pursued seemingly strange and inconsistent policies toward Libya since 2010, commercial and economic interests have taken over the Turkish approach to the North African nation.

In the aftermath of the Mavi Marmara crisis between Turkey and Israel in May 2010, Libya, then holding the presidency of the United Nations Security Council, issued a statement in support of Turkey.  In November that year, Libyan dictator Moammar Gadhafi awarded Recep Tayyip Erdogan, then Turkey’s prime minister, with Gadhafi’s famed “human rights” prize.

When the Arab Spring reached Libya in early 2011 and a popular uprising against Gadhafi turned into a bloody revolution, Erdogan first tried to hold back his NATO allies from intervening against Gadhafi.  “Can there be such nonsense?  What business does NATO have in Libya?  As Turkey, we say we oppose this; it cannot be talked about, it cannot be debated,” Erdogan told an audience in Hamburg, Germany, in late February 2011.

But as Ankara’s Western allies began pounding Gadhafi’s forces in mid-March, the Turkish prime minister had a change of heart.  On 21 March 2011, Erdogan uttered one of the most nonsensical statements in his political career: “NATO must enter [Libya] to establish and record that Libya belongs to Libyans.”  The Turkish military soon joined the UN-sanctioned blockade against Gadhafi, which led to his eventual overthrow.

Turkey’s initial reluctance to join the West in the Gadhafi regime’s overthrow and its subsequent about-face were both rational decisions.  As Al-Monitor’s Fehim Tastekin reported last year, Turkish contractors in Libya undertook some 565 projects worth $29 billion from 1973 onward.  Two years prior to the Arab Spring, Turkish engineering firms were awarded 124 projects valued at about $8 billion in Libya.  Turkish entities were estimated to hold $2.5 billion in assets, funds and pending reimbursements in Libya, another $1.4 billion in overdue payments and nearly $100 million in Libyan banks in 2011.  Given Libya’s high earnings from petrodollars in those days, the Gadhafi’s regime’s announcement that it would invest $100 billion abroad had also animated Turkish leaders’ imaginations.

By getting on board the fight against Gadhafi, Ankara hoped that its investors and entrepreneurs could quickly return to the North African country upon the Libyan strongman’s overthrow.

Yet that is not what happened.  With no experience in deliberation and democracy, disparate Libyan factions failed to achieve transition to a democratic and representative government similar to the one in neighboring Tunisia.  A bloody civil war followed Gadhafi’s demise in October 2011.

Much as it did with its ill-advised policies in other Arab countries (especially Egypt and Syria), the Erdogan regime bet on the wrong horse in Libya by favoring the Muslim Brotherhood over other political parties.  Whereas Turkey’s Western allies backed the UN-recognized government in Tobruk, Ankara supported the Muslim Brotherhood-dominated General National Congress based in Tripoli.

Relations between Ankara and Tobruk became so bad that in February 2015, the latter decided to expel all Turkish firms from Libya.  Less than three months later, forces loyal to Libya’s internationally recognized government attacked Tuna 1, a freighter owned by a Turkish company registered in the Cook Islands, on the suspicion that it was carrying weapons and supplies to pro-Tripoli militias.

The establishment of the Government of National Accord between Tripoli and Tobruk in December could turn the tide — even though the resolution of the crisis may still elude Libya.  The Islamic State has entrenched itself in the country’s central coastal areas, while rival militias wield immense influence. In this context, the Erdogan regime probably calculates that it could play a role in stabilizing Libya.

According to Volkan Ipek, one of Turkey’s leading African specialists who teaches at Hacettepe University in Ankara, the Turkish decision to close the embassy in Tripoli was a strange one.  Ipek told Al-Monitor, “There were also deep political and economic issues during the 2011 presidential crisis in the Ivory Coast, yet Turkey had not closed its embassy there.”  In Libya, Ipek said, Turkey did not want to step too far from the West and so closed its embassy in 2014.  He said that now that the Government of National Accord has come into existence, “Turkey wants to play nice with both Libya and the West, [and] it wants to show that it supports reconciliation [in Libya].”

Asked if Turkey’s “return” to Libya has any financial and economic motives, Ipek said, “That is precisely so. As I argue in a recent article, many Turkish companies did not receive their earned payments [after Gadhafi was killed], which especially affected ‘Anatolian tigers.’  I think these businessmen put pressure on the Turkish political elite, asking them to collect their monies from Libya.  It is also quite likely that Turkish leaders said, ‘We pursued a solution during the [Libyan] crisis so now Libya should offer us something,’ which of course is oil.  You can’t ask anything from Libya if you’re not in Libya.”

But what’s in it for the Libyans?  Ipek argued, “Turkey is the only Muslim country that makes major overtures in Africa.  Turkey could make massive investments in Libya, especially with its construction sector.”  That makes a lot of sense. During Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu’s visit to Libya on 30May, the two sides emphasized economic and commercial cooperation as a leading reason to revive relations.

Ipek also suggests that the thaw in Turkish-Libyan relations could have political underpinnings.  “Both countries are discussing their regimes these days. Debates on a presidential system in Turkey could influence Libyan debates.  Of course, Turkey today is an immigration destination for Libyans.  If Turkey is represented in Libya via its embassy, the migration of Libyans could be eased.”

Whether this conciliatory approach toward Libya means that Ankara is abandoning its pro-Muslim Brotherhood stance in its regional policy, Ipek is not so sure.  He mentioned how Erdogan ousted Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu recently and will likely weigh even more heavily on foreign policymaking.  “I don’t think Turkey will alter [its policy] either in North Africa or sub-Saharan Africa, irrespective of who comes to power.  The pro-Brotherhood [outlook] will continue.”

Still, one hopes that realist policy calculations such as those that have led to positive results for Turkey in Libya could be repeated in other parts of Turkish foreign policy — starting with Syria and Iraq. Turkey’s economic well-being and national security depend on it.  (Al-Monitor 14.06)

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11.11  TURKEY:  Turkish-EU ties in Throes of a Slow Death

The EU’s demand for a revision of Turkey’s anti-terrorism law as a precondition for allowing Turks visa-free travel in Europe has turned into the Achilles’ heel of ties between Ankara and Brussels, notes Semih Idiz in Al-Monitor on 21 June.

Ankara’s bid for European Union membership used to underlie Turkey’s appeal for many of the Middle East’s progressive elements in the past.  The Arab Spring enhanced Turkey’s importance as a “model country” for other Islamic countries.  With the Arab Spring gone sour and the EU battling its own crises, while Turkey becomes more authoritarian under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, these hopes have all but faded.

It was a negative issue, the refugee crises, which appeared momentarily to inject fresh life into ties between Ankara and Brussels recently.  Following the highly controversial migrant agreement concluded by the sides in March, then-Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu announced “a new era” in relations with Europe.  “Today we realized that Turkey and the EU have the same destiny, the same challenges and the same future,” he said over-optimistically.

Davutoglu also came back from Brussels with a “bonus” he hoped would mollify domestic critics of the migrant agreement; these critics said the pact would turn Turkey into Europe’s refugee camp.  Turks would be given the privilege of visa-free travel to Europe by the end of June, provided Ankara met 72 criteria for this.

Erdogan has since fired Davutoglu and the general impression is not one of deeper engagement between Turkey and the EU, but what appears to be a continuing process of disengagement.

Ironically, it is the “bonus” Davutoglu brought from Brussels in March that has become the Achilles’ heel in this respect.  It is clear that Turks will not gain the right of free travel in Europe by the end of June.  That has been already deferred to October and many doubt it will happen then.

At issue is Turkey’s refusal to fulfill a specific EU demand, even though Ankara has met most of the 72 criteria required.  Turkey is being called on to change its anti-terrorism law so that journalists, academics, activists and ordinary citizens are not charged under it for merely expressing their views — something that is happening with increasing frequency.

Ankara is currently embroiled in a bloody war against the outlawed Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), which the United States and the EU have also designated as a terrorist group.  Erdogan, who is clearly displeased with the way Davutoglu negotiated the migrant deal, reacted to the EU demand with his familiar abrasive manner.

Early in May he made it clear that Ankara would not comply with the deal, indicating that if the EU is not pleased with that, it can go its way while Turkey goes its.  In a separate address in May, he said, “Asking for the definition of terrorism to change is to call for a stop to fighting terrorism. This amounts to supporting terrorism.”  Erdogan also recalled that PKK supporters were allowed by Belgium to open a publicity tent outside the European Commission building in Brussels in March, while Davutoglu was negotiating the migrant deal inside.  “They give them euros and tell them to go and divide Turkey.  They give them weapons.  Do they think we don’t know all of this?” he said angrily.

Prime Minister Binali Yildirim, who replaced Davutoglu in May, also indicated recently that Turkey would forgo the visa privilege for the sake of fighting terrorism.  In an address to his parliamentary group, Yildirim said the EU’s demand regarding Turkey’s anti-terrorism law was “unfriendly,” adding that Ankara would never bow to this.  “Even if it is the visa waiver that is in question, this will not happen.  Let [that waiver] stay where it is,” Yildirim said defiantly.

Turkish government officials have also suggested that Ankara will refuse to fulfill its obligations under the migrant agreement if the visa waiver does not go through as promised.

Already under intense criticism for allegedly caving into “Turkish blackmail” with the migrant agreement, top EU officials are adamant with regard to their demand, despite concerns that this might undermine the migrant deal.

Regardless of the controversy surrounding it, this agreement — which is being silently implemented even though the Turkish parliament has not ratified it yet — has reduced the number of illegal crossings to Greece from Turkey.

Analysts argue, however, that Turkey can’t afford to scuttle the migrant deal over the visa issue because the refugee crises and the related threat from Islamic terrorism cut both ways.  The fact that the final decision on the visa issue has been deferred to October buys time for the sides to try to overcome the impasse.

The current state of affairs also vindicates those who argued that it was a fatal mistake to lump the refugee question with Turkey’s EU bid, and the visa issue.  The result, they point out, has left Turkish-EU ties in a worse state.  Retired Ambassador Osman Koruturk, whose past posts included Paris and Berlin, says that using refugees to advance unrelated political needs was unethical on the part of both sides to start with.  “Both sides acted dishonestly with regard to their promises, so it was not hard to see then that the whole business would have negative results for Turkish-EU ties,” Koruturk, who is currently a deputy from the main opposition Republican People’s Party, told Al-Monitor.

He recalled that German Chancellor Angela Merkel had started the campaign against Turkey’s EU membership while he was ambassador in Berlin and she was then in the opposition; Koruturk indicated that it was less than honorable for her to give the impression now that she was supporting this bid purely for the sake of the migrant deal.  The negative results of this deal were also seen in the UK’s Brexit campaign.  Anti-EU campaigners used the visa question to argue that Turkey will eventually be given “free EU membership” even if it doesn’t fulfill the democratic prerequisites for this, and flood Britain with Turks.

Opinion polls show that most Turks believe that the EU will never admit Turkey as a member.  This also makes Erdogan’s life easier, enabling him to continually lambaste Europe for its “perfidy.”  Koruturk also believes that the current situation plays into Erdogan’s hands.  “When he said Turkey would go its own way if the EU insists on its demands, he was probably expressing his true desire,” Koruturk said.  “He considers the West to be degenerate and believes its values are not suitable for Turkey.”  Erdogan’s continuing railings against Europe seem to confirm this assessment.

Meanwhile, the recent resignation of Hansjoerg Haber, the EU’s ambassador to Ankara — for “reasons to do with Turkey,” according to EU officials — also shows where Turkish-EU ties stand.  Given this general situation, the impression that these ties are in the throes of a slow death appears unavoidable.

Semih Idiz is a columnist for Al-Monitor’s Turkey Pulse.  He is a journalist who has been covering diplomacy and foreign policy issues for major Turkish newspapers for 30 years.  His opinion pieces can be followed in the English-language Hurriyet Daily News.  His articles have also been published in The Financial Times, The Times of London, Mediterranean Quarterly and Foreign Policy magazine.  (Al-Monitor 21.06)

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11.12  TURKEY:  Turkish Students Up in Arms Over Islamization of Education

Posted in Al-Monitor on 20 June, Sukru Kucuksahin commented on students in Turkey’s leading high schools rebelling against government efforts at an Islamist makeover of the education system.

Since the Justice and Development Party (AKP) took power in 2002, Turkey has had six education ministers, each of whom made major changes to the education system, some argue to turn students into guinea pigs.  The most significant change, bulldozed through parliament amid fistfights and protests in March 2012, expanded the imam-hatip religious schools and introduced Quranic studies and the life of the Prophet Muhammad as elective courses in public schools, among other changes.  The opposition has long decried the Islamization of education, while President Erdogan has insisted on raising a “devout generation,” lauding imam-hatip schools, which train Muslim clergy and offer extensive Quranic studies.

In early June, a wave of protests spread through leading high schools around the country, with students demanding “modern” education.  The spark was ignited at the graduation ceremony of the prestigious Istanbul Erkek Lisesi when the students turned their backs in protest to their principal as he delivered a speech.  The protest continued the following day at the school’s traditional party, which the principal chose not to attend.  The students unfurled a large banner demanding “a modern and not partisan administration,” setting the tone for more protests to come.

Students at the Galatasaray Lycee, one of Turkey’s oldest and most influential schools, quickly followed suit, calling for a “modern” principal who had not succumbed to the “servitude of any sultan” and could live up to the legacy of Tevfik Fikret, the famous Turkish poet who headed the school in the late 19th century.  Within a week, students and graduates from about 370 schools had issued similar statements.  One school, in the Black Sea city of Samsun, was raided by anti-terror police, called in by the principal.

Erdogan and his new education minister, Ismet Yilmaz, blamed anti-government forces for inciting the students, and many in AKP circles wondered anxiously whether a “second Gezi Park” was on its way.  The protests have remained peaceful so far.

Under the AKP, education at Turkey’s mainstream high schools notably declined, as the government focused on expanding imam-hatip schools, using both incentives and coercive measures to increase enrollment at them.  Erdogan, himself an imam-hatip graduate, has routinely promoted these schools as the “apple of our eye,” calling them “exceptional” and “moral” centers of learning. In doing so, he not only raised alarm about the future of secular education, but ostracized the students at other types of schools.

Following the 2012 amendment, drawn up hastily and over the head of the then-education minister, the government changed the administrators of schools virtually overnight.  The newcomers belonged overwhelmingly to a trade union close to the AKP.

The real problem with Turkey’s school system, however, is the quality of the education provided, but no progress has been visible in this regard.  Take, for instance, several statistics from this year’s nationwide university entrance exam, which more than 2 million people took, including 912,000 students graduating from high school.  In the latter group, the average number of correct answers for the Turkish-language and social sciences tests, each consisting of 40 questions, stood at 19.31 and 10.45, respectively.  As for the science test, about 750,000 of the 2 million who took it had no correct answers, while another 500,000 managed only three at most, leaving little to be said.  In global school rankings last year by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, based on test scores in math and science, Turkey fared 41st among 76 countries, hardly good news for a country that boasts one of the world’s top 20 economies.

The AKP, however, has shown little concern about the current situation.  With another controversial amendment in March 2014, the government laid hands on 174 schools that produce the country’s highest achievers, dubbing them “project schools,” with the stated aim of raising future scientists and inventors.  Many of these schools have established traditions for selecting their principals from among in-house candidates and through exams.  This approach was discarded and the government appointed new principals of its own choosing who were unfamiliar with the schools and their students.  Moreover, thousands of experienced teachers were dismissed due to what was described as “mental fatigue” and replaced with younger colleagues who belong to the pro-government trade union.

The makeover has also affected social life at these schools, where students tend to have an avid interest in arts, sports and scientific and creative activities.  Events the students wanted to organize were axed in favor of religiously themed conferences and activities.  Some principals were accused of interfering with how students dress and trying to keep boys and girls apart.

All this led to the wave of protest, with graduating students speaking up for modern, scientific and secular education.  The rebellious schools may represent only a small portion of Turkey’s 10,550 high schools, but they boast the country’s brightest students.  Hence, whether the government lends them an ear or not is vital to Turkey’s future.

Representatives of critical trade unions in the education sector are both upset and disappointed with themselves.  “The kids had to raise their voices after we, the adults, failed to do what was up to us,” Veli Demir, the head of the Education and Science Workers Trade Union, told Al-Monitor.  “Our respectable schools, and therefore their students, were ostracized, while the imam-hatip schools were glorified.”

According to Demir, the number of secondary imam-hatip schools grew from 1,099 in 2012 to 1,961 at present, while imam-hatip high schools increased from 708 to 1,149 in the same period.  Meanwhile, the number of students attending them has risen from 932,000 to 1.2 million.  Back in 2002, the figure stood at 71,000, he said, recalling a leaked audiotape from a 2013 meeting in which Erdogan’s son Bilal allegedly lectured education officials and pro-AKP charity representatives on how enrollment in imam-hatip schools should reach 1 million in a short period of time.  “They don’t want students involved in science, arts and sports, but students who are [only] pious,” Demir said.

Another critical trade union leader, Kamuran Karaca of the Education and Science Laborers Syndicate, said the main reason why students at the so-called project schools rebelled was the appointment of principals with religious motivations, keen to bring “all kinds of Islamists” to the schools “under the pretext of panels, discussions or book days.”

“The students, however, demand secular, scientific and modern education and want activities accordingly,” Karaca said.  “What they imposed was a dead end and now that this has become obvious, they are targeting the students and trying to portray them as puppets.  We’ll only move forward if we remember that these places are not mosques but schools.  Otherwise, the problems will persist and our future will be undermined.”  (Al-Monitor 20.06)

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The Fortnightly newsletter is a free service of Atid, EDI. We are a team of economic and trade development consultants, headquartered in Jerusalem, but active throughout the region and beyond. EDI works with an international clientele interested in identifying and researching business opportunities in the region. We also serve as the regional representative offices for a number of U.S. states and bilateral Chambers of Commerce, as well as European clients.

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What’s New at EDI – July 2016

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Companies from the Former East Germany Visited Israel in June

A group of 8 companies from the former East Germany visited Israel in June under an initiative of German Trade and Invest (GTAI).  During the visit, the companies met with potential importers/distributors in Israel and the government officials accompanying them hosted an informational seminar for Israeli companies as well.  EDI, in cooperation with Germany’s Enviacon International, handled all of the Israel arrangements for the visit.

California Department of Food and Agriculture Mission in June

A mission composed of representatives of California’s Agricultural community visited Israel in June.  Headed by California’s Secretary of Agriculture, Karen Ross, the group was particularly interested in climate smart agriculture, a field in which Israel has a great deal of recognized expertise.  The Milken Institute also supported the mission.  EDI handled all of the Israel arrangements for the visit.

EDI Represented at the Select USA 2016 Summit in Washington

As part of its association with the International Business Group (IBG Global LLC), EDI made arrangements for the group to have a booth in the exhibition hall of the Summit scheduled for June 19-21 at the Washington Hilton.  During the Summit, multiple US states promoted their locations as good landing points for foreign companies seeking new locations in the United States.  EDI is a founding member of IBG with associates in 21 countries worldwide covering more than 60 key markets.

EDI Trade Director Seth Vogelman Speaks at New Mexico Export Seminar

 Early in June during a business trip to the US, EDI’s Trade Director, Seth Vogelman, addressed a session of business people attending the New Mexico Export Seminar in Albuquerque.  During the event, he spoke about export opportunities in the Middle East for New Mexico companies.  EDI represents the trade and investment interests of the state in the Middle East.

Wiggin & Dana Hosts Seminar in Tel Aviv

 On May 30th the US law firm Wiggin & Dana, in cooperation with Israel’s Gross, Kleinhendler, Hodak, Halevy, Greenberg and Co. hosted a seminar in Tel Aviv on navigating the complex web of risk posed by the long arm of United States export/technology transfer controls and economic sanctions.  EDI, as it did last year, organized the seminar on behalf of Wiggin & Dana.  About 40 local attorneys attended the session.

The post What’s New at EDI – July 2016 appeared first on Atid EDI.

Fortnightly, 13 July 2016

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FortnightlyReport

13 July 2016
7 Tammuz 5776
8 Shawwal 1437

TOP STORIES

TABLE OF CONTENTS:

 1: ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Israel is Coming Back to Africa and Africa is Coming Back to Israel
1.2  Jerusalem Set to Approve Budget on 11 August
1.3  Finance Minister Kahlon Plans Tax Cuts

2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Moody’s Says Turkish-Israeli Deal ‘Credit Positive’ for Israeli Economy
2.2  Nyxoah Raises $20 Million
2.3  Delta Galil to Acquire Contemporary Premium Brands from VF Corp
2.4  Jerusalem Signs $63 Million Agreement With Spacecom
2.5  Twistlock Locks Down $10 Million in Series A Funding
2.6  Enel Launches Tel Aviv Innovation Hub in Israel
2.7  eBay Acquires SalesPredict for More Than $20 million

 3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Jordan Airport Passenger Numbers Up 11% in May

 4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Sorek Power Plant Begins Operations
4.2  Rioglass Solar Signs Additional Contract in South Africa

5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanon Seeks Arms from Russia
5.2  Lebanon Ranked 82 out of 160 Countries on World Bank’s Logistics Performance Index
5.3  Jordan’s GDP Posts 2.3% Growth in First Quarter

♦♦Arabian Gulf

5.4  GCC Forecast to See ‘Lowest Growth in 30 Years’ in 2016
5.5  UAE’s Direct Non-Oil Trade Totals $73.3 Billion During First Quarter
5.6  UAE Remittances Reach $1.36 Billion Over Eid Holiday
5.7  Ras Al Khaimah Plays Key Role in UAE Growth
5.8  Saudi Economic Growth Slowest in Three Years as Austerity Bites
5.9  Saudi Arabia Garners $14.3 Billion in Tourism Revenues

♦♦North Africa

5.10  Egypt’s Parliament Approves State Budget for FY 2016/17
5.11  Egypt’s Annual Headline Inflation Hits 30 Month High in June of 14.8%
5.12  Egypt’s Balance of Payments Deficit Jumps 260% Due to Falling Tourism Revenues & Transfers
5.13  UAE, Russia & Egypt Agree on Details of $500 Million Investment Fund/a>
5.14  Morocco’s Economy to Grow 1.2% in Third Quarter of 2016

6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkey’s Inflation Rate Rises More Than Estimates Affected by Rising Food Prices
6.2  Turkey’s Exports Plunge Approximately 4% in First Half of 2016
6.3  Turkey’s Car Industry Hits Highest Monthly Export Figure Since 2008
6.4  Pressure on Greek Government to Catch Up on Reforms
6.5  Greece Has Second Highest Rate of Defense Spending in NATO

7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

♦♦ISRAEL:

7.1  17 B’Tammuz to be Observed on 24 July
7.2  Egypt’s Population Jumps 17 Million Over Last Decade

♦♦REGIONAL:

7.3  Egypt’s Cabinet Abolishes Daylight Saving Time
7.4  Morocco Switched Back to Daylight Savings Time on 10 July

8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  Vidac Pharma Completes $9 Million Series A Financing
8.2  Aspect Imaging’s WristView MRI System Now Available in Europe
8.3  Mazor Robotics Unveils Mazor X, a Transformative Platform for Spine Surgeries
8.4  Rosetta Receives U.S. Patent Allowance for microRNA-based Ovarian Cancer Treatment
8.5  FDA Approves INSIGHTEC’s Exablate Neuro System for the Treatment of Essential Tremor

9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Arbe Robotics Wins TechCrunch Award With Its Drone Collision Avoidance Technology
9.2  Telrad & Federated Wireless Create 3.65 GHz Spectrum Management Solution
9.3  ironSource & Tipalti Partner to Provide Best-In-Class Payment Experience
9.4  CyberArk Named a Leader in Privileged Identity Management
9.5  NICE Introduces Next Generation Skype for Recording for Financial Markets
9.6  Elbit Systems to Supply Uruguay with a “Safe District” Project
9.7  Niagara Cruises Deliver Broadband Wi-Fi Using Radwin’s Mobility Solution
9.8  CoolaData, Pioneer in Behavioral Analytics, Secures $5.6 Million in Funding
9.9  IDB Bank New York Launches Mobile Strategy Using Zuznow
9.10 Honeywell & IAI Demonstrate New Sense-And-Avoid Capabilities for UASs
9.11 Orbotech Inkjet 600 Selected by Amkor Technology for System-in-Package

10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israel’s June Tax Collection Increases by 11%
10.2  Israeli New Car Deliveries Break Record

11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  ISRAEL: IVC-Meitar Exits Report H1/2016
11.2  ISRAEL: Globes Finds Startups Raised Record $1.4 Billion in Second Quarter
11.3  BAHRAIN: Fitch Downgrades Bahrain to ‘BB+’; Outlook Stable
11.4  EGYPT: Moody’s Says Egypt’s Fiscal Position Remains Unstable

1:  ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Israel is Coming Back to Africa and Africa is Coming Back to Israel

Israel is coming back to Africa, and Africa is coming back to Israel,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu declared on 5 July in Nairobi during the second leg of his four-country tour of East Africa, which is intended to strengthen Israel’s commercial, diplomatic and security relations with African countries.  The visit to Uganda, Kenya, Rwanda and Ethiopia is the first time in almost 30 years that an Israeli head of state has visited sub-Saharan Africa.  Netanyahu spoke earlier at a ceremony commemorating the 40th anniversary of the Entebbe operation, during which his brother Yoni was killed leading the rescue of several hundred hostages after Palestinian and German terrorists hijacked an Air France plane flying from Tel Aviv to Paris and took shelter in Uganda, which was under Idi Amin’s leadership at the time. Both Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta and Netanyahu noted that Kenya assisted the rescue mission, allowing Israeli planes to refuel there following the operation.  Idi Amin ordered the killing of hundreds of Kenyans in Uganda in retaliation for the country’s support of Israel.  Kenya and Israel have enjoyed a close and long-standing relationship, with Israel providing forensic and humanitarian assistance following the bombing of a Nairobi mall in 2013 and other terrorist attacks.

During his trip to Uganda, Netanyahu participated in a regional counter-terrorism summit with the presidents of seven African nations – the four countries he is scheduled to visit, plus Tanzania, South Sudan and Zambia.  The heads of state issued a joint declaration, stating that the summit “heralds the opening of a new era in relations between Israel and the countries of Africa,” and vowed to increase cooperation in a variety of areas, particularly counter-terrorism and technology.  Israel is well-known for providing medical and disaster assistance and has a long history of sharing its expertise in the fields of agriculture, technology, and water conservation with countries in Africa.

Jerusalem hopes that increased ties with African nations will lead to a shift in their voting trends at the UN and other global forums, thus improving Israel’s diplomatic standing and reversing what Netanyahu called “the automatic majority against Israel.”

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1.2  Jerusalem Set to Approve Budget on 11 August

The government session to approve the budget will be scheduled for 11 August, after the prime minister was presented with the Ministry of Finance reform package for the 2017-18 budget.  The date is not fixed, but the budget approval process is underway.  Senior Ministry of Finance officials presented the key portions of the Economic Arrangements Bill to the prime minister on 29 June.  Agreement has yet to be reached, on the budget framework – the deficit target and the spending cap – though there is talk of pushing the deficit beyond the 2.5% of GDP figure provided by the ministry.

As last year, Minister of Finance Kahlon is expected to unveil an expansive Economic Arrangements Bill, with measures to advance a variety of economic reforms – focusing on education, health, and transportation infrastructure – as well as steps to reduce the cost of living.  One of the key reforms is a drastic reduction in the number of technology colleges in an effort to boost their status by creating a model similar to that of the universities – to be managed by a council for technological education.  Another key measure is a plan to speed up the construction of three light rail systems in the three largest Israeli cities at a cost of NIS 60 billion.  Other measures will focus on reducing the regulatory red-tape small businesses face and modernizing the workflow of government ministries.

The budget deficit will reach NIS 14 billion and the ministry will present several creative measures and tactics to cut government spending and increase revenue – including drawing hundreds of millions of shekels from the Jewish National Fund.  (Globes 01.07)

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1.3  Finance Minister Kahlon Plans Tax Cuts

Top Ministry of Finance officials have been holding intensive discussions in the past few days concerning the desire of Minister of Finance Moshe Kahlon to present an economic growth plan alongside the state budget.  Kahlon decided to formulate such a plan because of recent negative data on the state of Israel’s economy.  A focus of the plan is reductions in companies’ tax and income tax.  The income cuts are planned to apply to monthly incomes up to the NIS 12,000 – 13,000 bracket.  The aim is to alleviate the tax burden mainly for low and middle wage earners.  The tax cuts are at present under discussion and no final decision has yet been made on the matter, but Kahlon is determined to go ahead with at least one of the cuts.

This is surprising given the economic background of the past few months.  Ministry of Finance officials have been talking of a budget shortfall of at least NIS 12 billion and of the need to cut government spending further, but Kahlon believes that the actual figures are better.  State tax revenues were higher than expected last month, but, beyond that, Kahlon believes that the government needs to institute substantial measures to stimulate economic growth.  (Globes 11.07)

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2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Moody’s Says Turkish-Israeli Deal ‘Credit Positive’ for Israeli Economy:

The Turkish-Israeli deal will be positive for the Israeli economy’s credit as it expands the market for its gas exports, Moody’s said in a research note on 4 July.  The report also added that the reconciliation between the two countries would provide a firm basis for the development of the Israeli gas sector.

On 28 June, Israel (A1 stable) and Turkey (Baa3 negative) signed an agreement that formally normalizes relations between the one-time allies.  The credit-positive accord supports the Israeli economy by expanding the market for its gas exports from the giant Leviathan offshore field, where development will soon begin following the Knesset’s recent resolution of various regulatory impediments.  Moody’s expects it will also bolster regional political stability.

Perhaps more significant than the security advantages are the potential benefits for the Israeli economy, particularly for the incipient gas industry.  Moody’s believes that Turkey is likely to become a primary market for gas exports from Leviathan – potentially through the construction of a new pipeline in the Mediterranean – now that the two countries are set to begin discussions about a gas deal.  Turkey also provides an important route to European markets for exports from the eastern Mediterranean gas basin, and would allow Israeli gas to serve as an alternative to Russian gas, which is frequently used for political leverage in European-Russian disagreements.  (HDN 04.07)

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2.2  Nyxoah Raises $20 Million

Nyxoah announced it has raised $20 million.  Nyxoah’s new investors in this current round are Glide Healthcare from Holland (which financed 55% of the deal) and SWIR from Belgium.  Novallia also participated by providing Nyxoah with a loan of unknown value.  All of the company’s prior investors participated in the round, including Taub himself and other private investors.  Taub invested about $8 million out of the $26 million raised up until the current round.  The company has completed product design and is now preparing to launch clinical trials in the first quarter of 2018.  The amount raised will be used for clinical trials (on humans), which, the company claims, will pave the way for marketing approval.  The company is currently developing a second generation product.

Sleep apnea is a condition in which, during sleep, the lax tongue and palate block the airways.  The obstruction causes the patient to awaken numerous times during the night and affects not only sleep quality but the person’s general health, becoming a risk factor for heart and blood vessel diseases.  Nyxoah’s product is implanted under the patient’s chin, stimulating nerves responsible for triggering the tongue muscle.  The stimulation causes the tongue to contract in a way that prevents it from blocking the airways.

Tel Aviv’s Nyxoah is a pioneering medical device company, engaged in developing a novel diagnostic and therapeutic solution to combat Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OSA).  The company is driven by the vision that OSA sufferers should not be encumbered by clumsy devices or complex and expensive surgical procedures.  While Nyxoah was founded in Belgium, its R&D activity is situated in Israel.  (Globes 04.07)

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2.3  Delta Galil to Acquire Contemporary Premium Brands from VF Corp

Delta Galil Industries signed a definitive agreement to acquire contemporary premium brands, including the businesses and brands of 7 For All Mankind, Splendid and Ella Moss from VF Corporation.  The acquisition is projected to add over $300,000,000 in Delta Galil’s top line annual sales and is expected to be accretive to Delta Galil’s earnings in 2017.  The newly acquired brands join Delta Galil’s prominent portfolio including P.J. Salvage, Schiesser, KN Karen Neuberger, Nearly Nude, LittleMissMatched and FIX.

Tel Aviv’s Delta Galil Industries is a global manufacturer and marketer of branded and private label apparel products for men, women and children.  Since its inception in 1975, the Company has continually strived to create products that follow a body-before-fabric philosophy, placing equal emphasis on comfort, aesthetics and quality.  Delta Galil develops innovative seamless apparel including bras, shapewear and socks; intimate apparel for women; extensive lines of underwear for men; active wear, sleepwear and leisurewear.  (Delta Galil 30.06)

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2.4  Jerusalem Signs $63 Million Agreement With Spacecom

The State of Israel has signed an agreement with Spacecom Satellite Communications for the purchase of communications services on the company’s Amos satellites for five years.  The contract is worth $63 million.  The state purchased an option to extend the contract for a further eight-year period, if the option is exercised, the contract will be worth a total of $164 million to Spacecom.

Ramat Gan’s Spacecom is a leading global fixed-satellite operator, offering tailored end-to-end communication solutions to the Media and Broadband industries.  Operating the advanced AMOS satellite fleet, Spacecom provides innovative broadcast and broadband services with Pan-European, Pan-African, Middle Eastern, Russian and Asian coverage and cross region connectivity.  (Various 10.07)

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2.5  Twistlock Locks Down $10 Million in Series A Funding

On 6 July, the Israeli cyber security startup Twistlock announced the close of their Series A, bringing in a very sizable $10 million in new funding.  The round was led by the security-focused fund TenEleven Ventures with help from new investor Rally Ventures.  Previous backers YL Ventures and an unnamed strategic investor joined in as well.  With this new funding added on to the $3.1 million raised in two earlier seed rounds, this injection of cash takes Twistlock to a total of $13.1 million raised.

Co-founded in January 2015, the company was the first to market last year with their security solution for protecting containers from vulnerabilities and attacks.  Twistlock’s technology highlights include Twistlock Trust, a set of capabilities that manages container vulnerabilities and enforces compliance practices, and Twistlock Runtime, a collection of runtime functions that delivers powerful behavior analytics of containerized applications and defend against zero-day threats in the production environment.  They have San Francisco headquarters and an R&D office based in Herzliya.  (Various 06.07)

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2.6  Enel Launches Tel Aviv Innovation Hub in Israel

 On 11 July, Italian multinational power company Enel has launched its Innovation Hub in t Tel Aviv in the presence of the Group’s CEO Starace, Italian Ambassador to Israel Talò, Managing Partner at Genesis Partners Saacks and others.  The inauguration event was held in SOSA’s headquarters.  Enel is the first Italian company to run an innovation hub of this size in Israel.

Enel has chosen to team up with SOSA & The Junction, one of the most successful innovation communities in Israel, in order to offer one-stop-shop solutions to Israeli start-ups that are willing to develop and implement cutting-edge products and services that can have business and social impact.  Enel Innovation Hub aims each year to scout up to 20 high-potential Israeli start-ups and to offer them a dedicated scale up support program.

In Israel, the Group will adopt the operational model that has tested in other regions like Latin America and that is already paying off, with 30 start-ups that to date are running strategic projects.  More specifically the start-ups will be selected by an advisory board made up of Enel senior executives that will evaluate the strategic fit with the Group’s needs and their business potential.  Each start-up collaborating with Enel will work alongside with an internal champion that will facilitate the relationship with the global business lines and the Group’s market units.

Start-ups working with Enel will have the chance to receive further financing from the Israeli Ministry of Economy that, according to an agreement in place with Enel, will provide funding equal to the value of Enel’s support.  Enel wants to be an active player of the Israeli ecosystem collaborating with universities, venture capital funds, institutions and other corporations in order to feed and enrich the Israeli innovation network and to link it to the other ecosystems in which Enel takes part.

SOSA is a value creation platform for global innovators. Built by pioneers of the Israeli innovation community, SOSA serves as a one-stop-shop for innovation services. It reaches over 2,500 start-ups across sector and stage, 350 multinational and technology companies and more than 20 local and global venture capital funds.

Founded in 2011 by Genesis Partners, The Junction is the leading platform in Israel for early stage start-ups to accelerate and advance their ventures into better products and companies.  Accepted companies become part of a new ecosystem with personal mentorship from Genesis Partners, a selected group of high caliber mentors and high profile corporate partners such as HP, SAP, MunichRE, and now, Enel.  (Enel 11.07)

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2.7  eBay Acquires SalesPredict for More Than $20 million

eBay announced on 11 July it would acquire SalesPredict, a company whose software tries to preempt consumer behavior and monitors individuals’ buying preferences for online shopping.  The move is a bold one by eBay to upgrade its artificial intelligence and data science efforts, according to a statement by the company.  While the two companies refused to disclose terms of the deal, it is reportedly worth between $20 and $30 million.

Founded in 2012, SalesPredict helps B2B Marketing & Sales teams drive more revenue by identifying who their best potential prospects and accounts really are and providing insights that help them target inbound and outbound marketing efforts more effectively.  How, by predictive analytics.  The company is headquartered outside Tel Aviv and has a U.S. office in San Francisco.  (eBay 11.07)

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3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Jordan Airport Passenger Numbers Up 11% in May

Jordan’s Queen Alia International Airport (QAIA) witnessed a notable 11.6% annual rise in passenger traffic in May compared to the same period in 2015.  According to figures issued by Airport International Group (AIG) – the Jordanian company responsible for the rehabilitation, expansion and operation of QAIA, May also saw year-on-year increases in aircraft movements (ACM) and cargo traffic numbers, continuing the consistent streak of growth witnessed at the airport in 2016 thus far.  Throughout the month of May, QAIA welcomed a total of 631,384 passengers in comparison to 565,591 passengers received in the same period last year.  In addition, QAIA registered 6,208 ACM as opposed to 5,980 ACM in May 2015, affecting a 3.8% rise.  QAIA also handled 8,988 tons of cargo set against 8,809 tons during May of last year for an increase of 2%.  As of the end of May, the airport’s overall year-to-date (YTD) passenger numbers for 2016 has reached 2,872,711, registering a significant climb of 8.2% in comparison to the same period last year. ACM and cargo figures have also recorded discernible increases in 2016, achieving YTD rises of 7.4% and 8.5% respectively.  (Trade Arabia News 03.07)

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4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Sorek Power Plant Begins Operations

More than a year late, the Sorek private power plant has begun to operate.  The power plant was constructed by a consortium of IDE Technologies (owned by Israel Chemicals and Delek Group.  The plant will supply 140 mw, half of it for the adjacent desalination plant, owned by IDE and Hutchison Whampoa unit Hutchison Water, and half for factories in the area.  The plant was built at an investment of $200 million.  The desalination plant will buy power from the new power plant more cheaply than from Israel Electric Corporation.  The cheaper power should also lower the price of the desalinated water.

The power plant will be fueled by natural gas from the Tamar reservoir.  According to the contract between the power plant developers and the owners of Tamar (of which Delek Group is one) signed in March 2014, the plant will consume 3.3 billion BCM of gas over the contract period.  The Tamar partners estimated the value of the contract at $750 million.  The commissioning of the power plant was delayed because the Electricity Authority refused to recognize the gas supply agreement on the grounds that the base price in the contract was too high, and that the index-linking would lead to an unjustified rise in the price.  (Globes 12.07)

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4.2  Rioglass Solar Signs Additional Contract in South Africa

Beit Shemesh-based Rioglass Solar will provide systems for a thermo-solar power plant to be built in South Africa.  This is the company’s third power plant project in South Africa in the past two years, with a total value of NIS 235 million.  In the current deal, totaling over NIS 70 million, Rioglass will provide the plant’s receivers.  Upon completion, the power plant will produce 100 mW of power for about 80,000 households. In thermo-solar stations, light rays hit giant mirrors and the collected heat is directed to the heating of a tube containing liquid (usually oil).  The liquid heats and drives a turbine producing electricity.

Rioglass Solar has recently taken over the global thermo-solar system market, after acquiring Siemens’ thermo-solar receiver operations in 2013.  Two years later, it signed an agreement for the acquisition of company German Schott Solar, its biggest competitor and the key player in thermo-solar systems.  (Globes 11.07)

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5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanon Seeks Arms from Russia

Lebanon is seeking to acquire arms from Russia in order to bolster its armed forces currently deployed along the flashpoint northeast border to defend against Islamist terrorists.  Lebanon hopes to obtain a number of weapon systems within a year, including not only the missiles but artillery as well as Russia’s T-72 battle tank.  Beirut is still locked in negotiations with Moscow to acquire the Kornet missile, while also stressing the importance of the Russian guided missile.

A number of foreign powers, including the US and UK, already provide military aid to Lebanon’s Armed Forces, which in the past two years has reinforced its defensive lines in the eastern Beqaa along the Anti-Lebanon Mountain range, from where Syrian militants have launched probing raids into Lebanon.  Washington touts that it has provided $1.3 billion in aid to Lebanon’s security services since 2004, including Huey II helicopters, Cessna aircraft, small arms and artillery.  Jordan has also stepped into the mix, with King Abdullah II promising to aid Lebanon’s army and security forces in its defense against Islamist militants as his country escalates its campaign against ISIS.  (NOW 11.07)

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5.2  Lebanon Ranked 82 out of 160 Countries on World Bank’s Logistics Performance Index

According to the World’s Bank logistics performance index (LPI), Lebanon recorded an LPI score of 2.72 in 2016, which ranked it 82nd out of 160 countries, compared to a score of 2.73 and a rank of 85 in 2014.  The LPI measures the performance of trade logistics and that based on the weighted average of six key dimensions: the efficiency of the clearance process, quality of trade related infrastructure, ease of arranging competitively priced shipments, competence and quality of logistics services , ability to track and trace consignments, timeliness of shipments in reaching destination within the scheduled time. In terms of the key dimensions of the LPI, Lebanon’s best performance was in timeliness with a score of 2.86, and its worst performance was in logistics competence with a score of 2.45.   Also, compared with the same income group, Lebanon lags behind South Africa, the top performer in this category. South Africa recorded an LPI score of 3.78, which ranks among the top 20 performers in the world.  Similarly, Lebanon falls behind the best performer in the region, Egypt which scored an LPI of 3.18 compared with 2.97 in 2014.  This increase can be attributed to the improving political situation in the country.  The top performer in the world was Germany with an LPI of 4.23 and a high score of 4.45 on timeliness.  Germany remained on top of the list throughout the past years, with an LPI score increasing by 2.6% from 4.12 in 2014.  (WB 01.07)

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5.3  Jordan’s GDP Posts 2.3% Growth in First Quarter

Jordan’s Department of Statistics (DoS) said the country’s GDP recorded a growth of 2.3% in fixed market prices in the first quarter of 2016, compared to its Q1/15 results.  The electricity and water sector achieved the highest growth rate of 16.4%.  The agricultural sector registered a 6.4% growth rate, followed by that of the “non-profit” special services sector at 4%.  Closely behind, finance, insurance, real estate and business services achieved a 3.6% growth.  The social and personal services sector recorded a 3.1% in growth, followed by transport, storage and telecommunications at 3%, the construction sector at 2.6% and wholesale, and retail trade as well as hotels and restaurants at 1.6%.  (JT 04.07)

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►►Arabian Gulf

5.4  GCC Forecast to See ‘Lowest Growth in 30 Years’ in 2016

The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region will see its lowest growth since the 1980s, as countries tighten fiscal policy in response to low oil prices, according to Capital Economics’ Q2/16 Middle East Outlook.  While the UAE has the best long-term economic prospects, with anticipated GDP growth of up to 3% in the coming years, Bahrain and Oman are likely to be poor performers with GDP growth of maximum 1% in 2016-2017.  Fitch recently downgraded Bahrain’s long-term foreign currency credit rating from BBB- to BB+, making it the first of the six GCC countries to receive “junk” status since oil prices started to fall in mid-2014.

Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia’s economy is also set to slow sharply to 0.3% this year and remain weak “for the foreseeable future”, with anticipated growth of 0.8% in 2017.  Capital Economics noted that low oil prices have resulted in large twin budget and current account deficits, and although the country’s strong balance sheet provides some buffer, the shortfalls will need to be addressed within the next two years and the kingdom’s Vision 2030 economic diversification strategy is a longer-term solution.

Qatar’s economy grew by 3.7% in 2015, but this is also likely to soften to 2-3% in 2016-2018.  Capital Economics is concerned about the rapid expansion of private sector credit.  Kuwait’s economy, meanwhile, is expected to remain “sluggish”, with forecast growth of just 1-1.5% in 2016-2018

The outlook is poor in the rest of the region too, Capital Economics said.  In Egypt, depressed tourism revenues along with tighter fiscal and monetary policy will result in very slow growth this year.  Morocco has the brightest medium-term prospects in the region but it, too, will weaker growth in the coming year due to a drought.  (Capital Economics 02.07)

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5.5  UAE’s Direct Non-Oil Trade Totals $73.3 Billion During First Quarter

The UAE’s direct non-oil trade totaled AED269.5 billion during Q1/16, marginally down on the figures achieved in Q1/15, according to the Federal Customs Authority (FCA).  It said that imports (AED166.1 billion) accounted for more than half of the UAE non-oil foreign trade during Q1, while exports totaled AED46.8 billion and re-exports reached AED56.6 billion in the same period.  The FCA said the UAE non-oil foreign trade during Q1 showed “remarkable stability”, despite slowing global economic growth rates and declining imports and exports in several UAE key strategic partner countries because of the global oil price crisis.

In terms of weight, the UAE’s total non-oil trade in Q1 recorded 48.4 million metric tons, with Asia, Australia and the Pacific maintained top rank among UAE non-oil trade partners with a share of AED108.3 billion or 42% of the total.  FCA’s preliminary statistics also revealed that raw gold and manufactured gold ranked top among imports in Q1 with a share of 15% (AED24.5 billion) of the total.  They also showed that Saudi Arabia was the UAE’s top GCC non-oil trade partner with a share of AED8.7 billion, representing 35.7% of non-oil trade with GCC countries.  (FCA 09.07)

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5.6  UAE Remittances Reach $1.36 Billion Over Eid Holiday

Expats in the UAE sent home around $1.36 billion (AED5 billion) during the last week of Ramadan.  Remittances during Eid Al-Fitr rose by 20% over the same time last year.  The daily average sent home by expats over this period was three times the usual daily average registered at other times in the year.  The jump was attributed to an overall increase in incomes this year, region-wide economic uncertainty prompting high savings rates from expats, and the strong value of the dollar-pegged UAE dirham.  Expats make up over 80% of the UAE’s population.  Remittances last year stood at $23.88 billion, according to figure from the UAE Central Bank.  (AB 10.07)

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5.7  Ras Al Khaimah Plays Key Role in UAE Growth

Ras Al Khaimah played a crucial role in the growth of the UAE industrial sector in Q1/16.  Whilst data showed that the emirate of Dubai accounted for about 50% of the number of new factories built in the country during the first quarter of 2016, Ras Al Khaimah ranked second with 30% of the total new industrial licenses.  Industrial investments recorded within UAE had a total value estimated at nearly $40 million (AED 139.8 million) in Q1/16, helping the Emirates to prosper and grow.  Foreign investment has doubled in the industrial sector in UAE during the past eight years assisting in this growth.

Ras Al Khaimah, which means ‘head of the tent’ in Arabic, is the northernmost of the seven emirates that constitute the United Arab Emirates. Covering 1,684 km², it has a population of 345,000 (2015) with tourism and industry forming the foundations of the economy.  It has one of the fastest growing economies in the MENA region, with a yearly growth rate average of 8.8%.  The Ruler of Ras Al Khaimah, Sheikh Saud bin Saqr Al Qasimi, has overseen growth in the region since succeeding his father in 2010.  (RAK 10.07)

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5.8  Saudi Economic Growth Slowest in Three Years as Austerity Bites

Saudi Arabia’s economy expanded at its slowest rate in three years during Q1/16 as low oil prices forced the government to cut spending and raise costs for industry.  Some analysts said the data pointed to a risk of growth in the world’s top oil exporter slowing to near zero this year, which would be its worst performance since the global financial crisis of 2009.

GDP, adjusted for inflation, grew 1.5% from a year earlier between January and March, down from a revised growth rate of 1.8% in the fourth quarter of 2015, the state statistics office said.  It was the slowest growth since 0.3% in Q1/13.  The oil sector expanded 5.1% in the first quarter of this year as the world’s biggest oil exporter increased its production of crude and exported more refined products.

But the non-oil sector shrank 0.7%, its worst performance in at least five years.  This may be a source of concern to Saudi policy makers because an ambitious reform plan to help the economy cope with an era of cheap oil, announced last month, assumes rapid growth in non-oil businesses.  Last December, to curb an annual budget deficit of nearly $100 billion caused by slumping oil revenues, the government announced cuts in spending and energy subsidies.  Officials have said there will be more austerity steps in coming years.  Within the non-oil part of the economy, the private sector grew just 0.2% in the first quarter while the government sector shrank 2.6%, the official data showed.

The weakness of the non-oil sector was partly due to the fact that Q1/15 was unusually strong; in January that year, King Salman awarded public employees two months’ extra salary to mark his accession to the throne.  But Q4/15 growth rate of 1.8% was revised down sharply from an original estimate of 3.6%.  That points to the possibility of a similar revision for the first-quarter figures.  If the economy slows excessively, the government still has the option of spending more to stimulate growth; the central bank holds $573 billion of net foreign assets, and Riyadh has begun borrowing abroad this year to finance some expenditure.  But if it eases up on its austerity program too much it may increase pressure on the Saudi riyal’s peg against the U.S. dollar, fueling concern among some foreign investors about the long-term sustainability of its economy.  (AB 03.07)

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5.9  Saudi Arabia Garners $14.3 Billion in Tourism Revenues

The Saudi Commission for Tourism and National Heritage (SCTNH) found that domestic and inbound (foreign) tourism revenues reached SR53.7 billion ($14.3 billion) this year, while outgoing Saudi tourists spent SR24.1 billion ($6.4 billion) abroad.  The SCTNH data showed that the number of tourists to Saudi Arabia reached 15.4 million in 2015, up 3% from the previous year, while the number of outbound Saudi tourists reached 6.4 million.  Inbound tourism expenditure was reportedly the highest spending group at SR5,120 ($1,365)  per capita, compared to SR3,020 ($805) per capita for the outbound tourism group.  (AB 12.07)

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►►North Africa

5.10  Egypt’s Parliament Approves State Budget for FY 2016/17

Egypt’s parliament approved on 29 June the state budget for the fiscal year starting July.  The budget forecasts total expenditure of EGP 936 billion and revenues to reach EGP 631 billion.  In March, the cabinet and President Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi approved the budget bill with a 9.9% projected deficit, according to finance minister Amr El-Garhy.  Egypt embarked on a fiscal reform program in July 2014 in an attempt to curb the growing state budget deficit through cutting subsidies and introducing new taxes including the value added tax.  Egypt will slash its total subsidy bill in the new budget by 14% in the coming fiscal year 2016/17 compared to the current fiscal year to end in June.

The 2016/17 draft budget shows total subsidy registering EGP 130.1 billion, of which EGP 46.3 billion are allocated for a food and farmer’s subsidy.  According to the 2014 constitution, the country’s new budget and development plan should go into effect on the first of July every year.  (Ahram Online 29.06)

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5.11  Egypt’s Annual Headline Inflation Hits 30 Month High in June of 14.8%

Egypt’s annual headline inflation hit the highest level in 30 months to register 14.8% in June 2016 from 12.9% in May and compared to 11.5% in the same month last year, state statistics body CAPMAS said on 10 July.  The average inflation rate eased to 10.7% in the fiscal year 2015/16 compared to 11% in the last fiscal year.  However, the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.8%, slightly less than the previous month’s increase of 3.2%.  CAPMAS has attributed the CPI annual rise to the food and beverage price hikes, which recorded 18.4% year-on-year in June in addition to a 33.2% jump in healthcare prices during the same period.

Accordingly, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) announced that the annual core CPI increased to 12.37% in June from 12.23% in May.  The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) raised interest rates by 100 basis points after the core inflation rate hit a seven-year high in May.

In March, Egypt, which relies heavily on imports of wheat and other staples to feed its population of 90 million, weakened the Egyptian pound by 14% of its value against the dollar in an attempt to eliminate the black market, a move that led to price increases.  Another devaluation is expected during FY 2016/17, starting July, to tighten the gap between the official and informal rates of the US dollar.  (CAPMAS 10.07)

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5.12  Egypt’s Balance of Payments Deficit Jumps 260% Due to Falling Tourism Revenues & Transfers

Egypt’s balance of payments deficit (BoP) jumped by 260% in the first nine months of the current fiscal year due to ongoing fall of tourism receipts, services income and transfers, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) said on 3 July.  The overall BoP deficit reached $3.6 billion from July to March in FY2015/16, compared to $1 billion in the same period of the previous year as the current account deficit rose by around 75% to reach $14.5 billion from $8.3 billion.

Tourism revenues dropped by 40% to $3.3 billion from $5.5 billion during July-March compared to the previous year, according to the CBE.  The CBE attributed the drop in revenues to the decline in the number of nights tourists spent in the country from 73.4 million to as low as 45.1 million.  The trade deficit shrunk slightly during the period in spite of declining export proceeds, falling to $29.3 billion from $29.5 billion as world oil prices declined.

Export proceeds retreated by $3.7 billion to register a total of $13.4 billion during the same period, the bank said in an official release.  Non-oil exports rolled back by $1 billion to stand at $9.2 billion.  However, the imports bill fell by some 8% to $42.7 billion from $46.6 billion as the value of both oil and non-oil imports dropped.

Net official transfers (which include foreign aid bar loans) plummeted to $60.7 million from $2.6 billion as remittances of Egyptian workers overseas declined to $12.4 billion from to $14.3 billion.  The capital and financial account registered a rise in net inflow, reaching $13.9 billion, compared with $6.6 billion in the corresponding period of the previous year as investment inflows increased.  Foreign direct investment net inflows rose from $5.1 billion to $5.8 billion, with net inflows to green field investments up by 32%.  (Ahram Online 03.07)

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5.13  UAE, Russia & Egypt Agree on Details of $500 Million Investment Fund

The first phase of a Russian-Egyptian-UAE investment fund will be seeded with $500 million following an agreement between the parties.  The initial financing will be used to start construction of a 2million sq. m. Russian industrial zone at Egypt’s Port Said.  The UAE and Egyptian governments signed a deal in February with the Russian Direct Investment Fund, a fund set up by the Russian government with an initial $10 billion in 2011 to make equity investments in high growth sectors of the Russian economy.  The RDIF has secured more than $25 billion through long term partnerships with global investors, 90% of whom are from Asia and the Middle East including UAE port operator DP World.

Under the February agreement, the three countries agreed to launch a fund with the participation of Abu Dhabi Investment Fund and two Egyptian banks – the National Bank of Egypt and Banque Misr.  The fund was intended to finance large-scale infrastructure projects in Egypt, such as logistics centers in the Suez Canal development zone, subways and railway lines.  (AB 05.07)

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5.14  Morocco’s Economy to Grow 1.2% in Third Quarter of 2016

The Moroccan economy is expected to grow by 1.2% in the third quarter of 2016 compared to 4.1% a year earlier, according to the High Commission for Planning (HCP).  Non-agricultural activity is expected to continue its consolidation in the third quarter of 2016 at 2.4%, motivated mainly by an improvement in the production of tertiary branches, while agricultural value added could experience a 13.2% decrease.

Crop production is expected to decline significantly, while the contribution of the livestock industry would be slower, facing an anticipated increase in expenses related to purchases of breeders of cattle feed.  In a context marked by uncertainties prompted by the new partnership between the EU and the UK following the Brexit vote and the wait-and-see environment for investment, the global demand towards Morocco is expected to grow by 2.8% year-on-year in Q3/16.  (MWN 04.07)

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6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkey’s Inflation Rate Rises More Than Estimates Affected by Rising Food Prices

Turkey’s consumer price index increased over estimates in June, mainly due to a hike in food prices during the holy month of Ramadan.  Official figures from the Turkish Statistics Institute (TUIK) showed on 4 July that the annual inflation rate rose to 7.64% in June from 6.58% in May.  Turkey’s annual inflation slowed in April to its lowest level since May 2013, as hikes in food prices lost pace.  The highest monthly increase was seen in food and non-alcoholic beverages, with a 1.16% rise.

Analysts have warned that continuous increases in food prices may be the case again with an expected recovery in Turkey’s food exports to Russia.  After Russia had started to impose trade sanctions on Turkey’s agricultural products, food prices fell dramatically across Turkey, pushing down the inflation rate.  The Central Bank said in its last monetary policy meeting in June that it would maintain a tight monetary policy in view of inflation expectations and pricing behavior.  It noted that inflation showed a marked decline in recent months, mainly due to a favorable course in unprocessed food prices and an improvement in the core inflation trend.  (AA 04.07)

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6.2  Turkey’s Exports Plunge Approximately4% in First Half of 2016

Turkey’s exports fell 3.8% to $70.6 billion in the first half of the year compared to the same period of 2015, stated the Turkish Exporters’ Assembly (TIM) on 1 July.  Rising regional risks, parity risks and the slow recovery in European economies all played a role in hitting exports, according to officials and analysts.  TIM said Turkey’s exports over the month amounted to $11.8 billion, which was a 1.8% improvement compared with data for the same month last year.  The country’s 12-month exports declined by 6.6% to around $142 billion, data showed.

The automotive sector again made the highest volume of exports in June, worth $2.13 billion, marking an 8.2% rise from the same month of 2015.  The sector was followed by the ready-made wear and confection sector with exports worth over $1.5 billion.

Most exports were to Germany, Italy and the United States, while exports to Britain and Iraq, two of its main markets, declined by 4.4% and 14.9% respectively, compared to the same month of 2015.   The agricultural sector’s loss had reached $290 million over this year due to political problems with Russia.  (TIM 01.07)

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6.3  Turkey’s Car Industry Hits Highest Monthly Export Figure Since 2008

Turkey’s automotive sector in June made its highest volume of monthly exports since July 2008, strengthening its top exporting status.  The sector made exports worth $2.1 billion in June, a 9% increase from the same month of 2015, according to data from the Automotive Industry Exporters Association (OIB).   OIB added that it is likely that the sector will reach its yearend export target of $23 billion.  The automotive sector, which takes a share of 18% in Turkey’s exports, made $11.7 billion worth of exports in the first half of the year with a 12% increase from the same period of 2015.

Turkey’s car exports to its main market Germany surged to $330 million in June, a 15% increase compared to the same month of 2015.  The sector’s exports to its second and third largest markets, Italy and France, rose by 54% and 3% respectively, hitting $508 million in total in June from the same month last year.  While Turkey’s automotive exports to Spain increased by 40% and to Iran by 118%, its exports to Britain fell by 19%, to Russia by 37%, and to the U.S. by 51%.  The automotive sector was the country’s biggest export market in 2015 with exports worth around $21.3 billion, despite a 4.8% drop compared to 2014.  (AA 03.07)

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6.4  Pressure on Greek Government to Catch Up on Reforms

Representatives of Greece’s creditors have increased the pressure on Greek authorities to push through a new slew of reforms over the coming weeks to qualify for the next tranche of €2.8 billion in rescue funding as progress is already behind schedule.  Meanwhile, in a 10-page letter to the mission chiefs for Greece, Finance Minister Tsakalotos has accused members of the creditors’ technical teams in Athens of undermining negotiations on reforms.  According to Tsakalotos’s letter, the technical staff has called for the reversal of certain new laws and for new legal interventions.

The milestones that Greece needs to tick off over the coming weeks include the approval of the privatization of state-run power grid operator ADMIE and the appointment of staff to a supervisory board for Greece’s new privatization fund, as well as the transfer into this fund of a second set of public utilities.  According to the original plan, these actions should have been taken by the end of June.  The most politically contentious of the actions Greece must take are changes to labor laws, introducing greater flexibility for employers to hire and fire.  (eKathimerini 01.07)

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6.5  Greece Has Second Highest Rate of Defense Spending in NATO

Greece has the second highest spending in NATO on defense, after the US, according to figures issued on 4 July.  The country is one of just five countries whose annual spending on defense exceeds 2% of GDP.  The country with the highest spending as a proportion of GDP is the US, with 3.61%, followed by Greece with 2.38%.  Next comes the UK with 2.21%, Estonia with 2.16% and Poland with 2%.  (NATO 04.07)

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7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

*ISRAEL:

7.1  17 B’Tammuz to be Observed on 24 July

The Jewish fast day of the 17th of Tammuz is observed this year from sunup to evening on Sunday, 24 July.  The fast day itself commemorates five tragedies:  1. Moses descended from meeting G-d and receiving the Torah on Mount Sinai, saw the Jews celebrating with the Golden Calf and broke the two tablets G-d had given him.  2. The daily offering, which had been brought regularly in Temple in Jerusalem, was halted during the Babylonian siege before the Temple was destroyed.  3. The Romans breached the walls of Jerusalem, prior to destroying the second Temple, in 70 CE.  4. A Greek or Roman official named Apustemos held a public burning of the Torah.  5. Idols were set up in the Temple itself; it is not clear what year this happened.  The 17th of Tammuz is the second of the four fasts commemorating the destruction of the Temple and the Jewish exile.

In later years this day continued to be a dark one for Jews.  In 1391, more than 4,000 Jews were killed in Toledo and Jaen, Spain and in 1559 the Jewish Quarter of Prague was burned and looted.  The Kovno ghetto was liquidated on this day in 1944 and in 1970 Libya ordered the confiscation of Jewish property.

The 17th of Tammuz also marks the beginning of the “Three Weeks,” which ends with the fast of the 9th of Av.  Some customs of mourning, which commemorate the destruction of Jerusalem, are observed from the start of the Three Weeks.  Jewish mourning customs restricts the extent to which one may take a haircut, shave or listen to music, though communities and individuals vary their levels of observance of these customs.  No Jewish marriages or other major celebrations are allowed during the Three Weeks, since the joy of such an event would conflict with the expected mood of mourning during this time.  The Three Weeks can be thought of as having a variety of increasing levels of mourning.  Some restrictions begin on the 17th of Tammuz, some from the beginning of the month of Av, and some only come into effect the week in which Tisha B’Av occurs.

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*REGIONAL:

7.2  Egypt’s Population Jumps 17 Million Over Last Decade

Egypt’s population increased by over 17 million in the past decade, CAPMAS said.  The Egyptian population has swelled from 72.8 million in 2006 to 90.1 million in the beginning of 2016, a rise of 23.7%.  An increase of 3.3 million people was estimated from 2006 to 2009 before another whopping 14 million added to the overall population over the next seven years.  In April, CAPMAS said that the population saw a significant rise from 80 million to 90 million in the past five years, whereas it took 50 years for the population to increase from 10 million in 1900 to 20 million in 1950.

One third of the Egyptian population (31.3%) is comprised of people aged under 15 years, while the elderly (65 years of age onwards) make up a meager 4% of the total population.  The statistics agency said that 26.3% of Egyptians live in poverty, while 12.8% are unemployed.  The world population was estimated at 7.3 billion in July 2015 and is forecast to hit 9.8 billion by 2050.  (CAPMAS 11.07)

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7.3  Egypt’s Cabinet Abolishes Daylight Saving Time

On 4 July, Egypt’s cabinet decided to scrap daylight savings time following recent confusion over whether to restore the time change aimed at energy conservation.  Earlier, Minister of Parliamentary Affairs Al-Agati said daylight savings time would be restored as of 8 July and would last until parliament issues a law to abolish it, which was initially approved before it was sent to the State Council for review.  However, the cabinet responded saying it would abolish the system, which would shift clocks one hour forward.

First implemented in the country in 1988, the system was introduced as a power-saving measure prolonging daylight hours.  It was abolished in April 2011 after the uprising that toppled autocrat Hosni Mubarak, with the government arguing at the time that the practice was ineffective at curbing power usage.  The system was temporarily revived in May 2014 in order to ease consumption after the country saw rolling power blackouts.  Egypt is normally two hours ahead of Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) and Greenwich Mean Time (GMT) — meaning it was three hours ahead when daylight savings time was applied.  (Ahram 04.07)

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7.4  Morocco Switched Back to Daylight Savings Time on 10 July

Moroccans forwarded their clocks one hour (GMT+1) on Sunday, 10 July at 02:00 a.m., according to the civil service and administration modernization ministry.  This decision was an implementation of the decision by the head of government dated 14 April 2016, said the ministry in a statement.  (MWN 01.07)

Daylight saving time had been implemented since early April, but Moroccan authorities decided to go back to Morocco’s standard time a few days before the beginning of Ramadan.  However, the decision to switch to daylight saving time in the spring, switching back to standard time just before Ramadan, and again switching to daylight savings time after the month, was not accepted by many Moroccans felt the decision as harmful to their well-being.  In March 2015, a group of Moroccans launched an online petition calling on the government to recant its decision to adopt daylight saving time.  The online petition argued that the decision has a negative impact on their health, it increases the risks of heart attack and causes sleeping disorders.  (MWN 12.07)

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8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  Vidac Pharma Completes $9 Million Series A Financing

Vidac Pharma has closed a $9 million a Series A financing round.  The financing was led by a new investor, Israel Biotech Fund. Existing investors, including Mivtach Shamir Holdings, also participated in the financing.  Vidac Pharma plans to use the proceeds to advance the development of its lead product, VDA-1102 ointment, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial in patients with actinic keratosis.  Actinic keratosis (AK) is one of the most common dermatologic conditions worldwide.  It effects an estimated 58 million people in the United States alone with estimated treatment costs in 2004 of $1.2 billion.  Vidac pharma is dedicated to discovering and developing first-in-class medicines to help people suffering from a range of oncologic and oncodermatologic diseases.  Vidac’s breakthrough technology targets the cancer-specific VDAC/HK2 system without affecting the surrounding healthy tissue.  It thus holds the promise of delivering novel drugs that are both efficacious and well tolerated by patients.

Ness Tziona’s Vidac Pharma is a clinical stage innovative biopharmaceutical company dedicated to discovering and developing first-in-class medicines to help people suffering from a range of oncologic and oncodermatologic diseases.  Vidac’s breakthrough technology targets the VDAC/HK2 system that is unique to malignant cells.  Modulating this target leads to selective apoptosis of cancer cells without affecting the surrounding healthy tissue, and thus holds the promise of delivering novel drugs that are both efficacious and well tolerated by patients.

Rehovot’s Israel Biotech Fund invests in Israeli and Israeli related biotechnology and pharmaceutical companies.  The Fund’s goal is to generate strong returns and long term capital appreciation by funding and building sustainable, high value Israel-based biotech companies.  (Vidac Pharma 29.06)

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8.2  Aspect Imaging’s WristView MRI System Now Available in Europe

Aspect Imaging has received its European CE Marking.  The mark enables the company to sell the WristView hand and wrist MRI system within the European Economic Area (EEA).  The FDA cleared, WristView MRI machine is a dedicated hand and wrist MRI system which cuts out the claustrophobic feelings associated with conventional full-body MRI scanner.  The system is safe, requiring no special shielding room or cooling systems, while providing high-quality results that can be easily accessed by doctors across a broad range of fields, in medical facilities which would not normally have the budget or the specialized staff required to operate a full-body MRI scan.  This also comes at a fraction of the price of a conventional whole body MRI. WristView is based on a one-tesla permanent magnet, the most powerful permanent magnet in the field, with bore size and general design that are robust and optimized for the application.  In layman’s terms, it takes all of the power and quality of a large, full-sized MRI machine and squeezes it into the smaller, more compact Aspect design.

Shoham’s Aspect Imaging is part of Aspect Intl. LLC, a Singapore based company, the world’s leader in the design and development of compact MR imaging and NMR systems for medical, advanced industrial, and preclinical applications.  (Aspect Imaging 05.07)

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8.3  Mazor Robotics Unveils Mazor X, a Transformative Platform for Spine Surgeries

Mazor Robotics unveiled Mazor X, a transformative guidance platform for spine surgeries.  The Mazor X was developed with the goal of enhancing predictability and patient benefit, through the combination of analytical tools, multiple-source data, precision guidance, optical tracking, intra-op verification, and connectivity technologies.  The Company will commercially launch the FDA-cleared Mazor X platform during the North American Spine Society (NASS) annual meeting which will be held in Boston, Massachusetts, this October.  Mazor recently signed a commercial co-promotion and co-development agreement with Medtronic.  As part of the agreement, Medtronic has already placed a purchase order for 15 Mazor X systems.

Caesarea’s Mazor Robotics believes in healing through innovation by developing and introducing revolutionary technologies and products aimed at redefining the gold standard of quality care.  Mazor Robotics Guidance Systems enable surgeons to conduct spine and brain procedures in a more accurate and secure manner.  (Mazor 12.07)

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8.4  Rosetta Receives U.S. Patent Allowance for microRNA-based Ovarian Cancer Treatment

Rosetta Genomics announced that the United States Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) has issued a notice of allowance for U.S. Patent Application No. 14/505,548, entitled “Compositions and methods for treatment of Ovarian Cancer,” which covers a method of treatment for ovarian cancer through the administration of an inhibitor of miR-27a.  In addition, the Israel Patent Office has allowed Application No. 200247, entitled “Compositions and Methods for Modulating Cell Proliferation and Cell Death,” which claims cover the use of miR-34a or its variants for treating p53-negative cancers.  This application covers a core element of Rosetta Genomics’ microRNA technology in the development of cancer therapeutics associated with p53-negative cancers, including lymphoma, breast cancer, ovarian cancer, liver cancer, skin cancer, certain types of lung cancer, and others.  The patent is jointly owned with Yeda R&D Co. Ltd., the technology transfer company of the Weizmann Institute of Science in Rehovot, Israel.  This technology is licensed to Mirna Therapeutics.

Rehovot’s Rosetta develops and commercializes a full range of microRNA-based and other molecular diagnostics.  Rosetta’s integrative research platform combining bioinformatics and state-of-the-art laboratory processes has led to the discovery of hundreds of biologically validated novel human microRNAs.  Building on its strong patent position and proprietary platform technologies, Rosetta is working on the application of these technologies in the development and commercialization of a full range of microRNA-based diagnostic tools.  (Rosetta Genomics 11.07)

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8.5  FDA Approves INSIGHTEC’s Exablate Neuro System for the Treatment of Essential Tremor

INSIGHTEC, the leader in MR-guided Focused Ultrasound (MRgFUS) therapy, announced today that the FDA has approved its Exablate Neuro system for the non-invasive treatment of essential tremor (ET) in patients who have not responded to medication.  Exablate Neuro uses focused ultrasound waves to precisely target and ablate tissue deep within the brain with no incisions or implants.  The treatment is done under Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) guidance for real time treatment monitoring.  The patient experiences immediate tremor improvement following the outpatient procedure.  The treatment carries minimal risk of infection, bleeding or other surgical complications. The treatment requires a single session with no anesthesia, allowing patients to quickly return to normal activity.  Earlier this year, Exablate was also approved by Health Canada for essential tremor.

Haifa’s INSIGHTEC is a world leader in MR-guided Focused Ultrasound (MRgFUS).  The company’s non-invasive therapy platform, Exablate, is transforming treatment for various indications in neurosurgery, oncology and women’s health.  During MRgFUS treatment, focused ultrasound waves ablate the target tissue, while MRI provides image-guidance and real-time thermal monitoring.  A growing number of renowned physicians are realizing the clinical value of MRgFUS in more than 120 leading medical centers around the world.  (INSIGHTEC 12.07)

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9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Arbe Robotics Wins TechCrunch Award With Its Drone Collision Avoidance Technology

Arbe Robotics has been selected by TechCrunch’s panel of investors and judges as the winner of the TechCrunch Tel Aviv Meetup and Pitch-Off after unveiling its drone collision avoidance technology.  With its win, Arbe Robotics is officially proclaimed as one of the front-runners in drone innovation, specifically in relation to collision avoidance.  Arbe Robotics is pioneering the use of a trusted technology, radar, in an emerging market, drones.  The current field of collision avoidance is dominated by antiquated technology, technology that specifically slows down a drone’s flying speed while simultaneously draining a drone’s battery.  Arbe Robotics’s solution focuses not only on protecting drones from all oncoming objects encircling the drone, but protects the two things that make drones fun, speed and length of fly time.

The TechCrunch Tel Aviv Meetup and Pitch-Off marks the first public unveiling of Arbe Robotics’ technology.  By developing a radar and operating system for drones, Arbe Robotics has built a more economic and battery efficient collision avoidance technology that also has an unprecedented range of up to 200 meters.  Arbe Robotics’ solution includes both a hardware and a software component; hardware that exists as an easily mountable band, in addition to anti-collision autopilot software that provides individual drone navigation that ultimately detects upcoming obstacles.  Overall, any oncoming obstacle that is one meter or larger in size can be detected from up to 200 meters away, providing a far better solution than any collision avoidance technology that is currently available in the market.

Tel Aviv’s Arbe Robotics was founded in November 2015. Now, with a team of ten individuals, Arbe Robotics is in the midst of building a global leading solution for collision avoidance, one of the leading issues with drones today. Arbe Robotics has received funding from Canaan Partners Israel, Taya Ventures and Kobi Marenko.  (Arbe Robotics 30.06)

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9.2  Telrad & Federated Wireless Create 3.65 GHz Spectrum Management Solution

Telrad Networks announced their partnership with Federated Wireless to undertake a trial for a comprehensive solution in compliance with the FCC Citizen’s Broadband Radio Service (CBRS) 3550-3700 MHz band rules.  The joint solution aims to provide operators and other users of wireless technology with a seamless solution in the new CBRS band.

The newly formed CBRS band, created by the FCC in April 2015, provides much needed spectrum to a rapidly growing wireless industry, while addressing potential interference and coordination issues with new spectrum sharing and management techniques.  Federated Wireless has worked with the FCC to help establish the standards for accessing the new spectrum and leading the effort to establish the model for SAS and ESC interoperation.  Federated Wireless’ CINQ XP platform is built on a foundation of shared spectrum and utilizes a SAS to dynamically allocate and manage spectrum resources.

The goal of the Federated Wireless and Telrad partnership is to help current 3.65 GHz users protect their current spectrum use and access the additional 50 MHz recently made available, as well as help new parties access and utilize the additional spectrum.  Telrad offers an end-to-end LTE solution that meets FCC requirements and has already been field-proven in the 3.5 GHz band.  The envisioned joint solution will provide features designed specifically to support fixed wireless networks, and aims to enable operator access to LTE with a reasonably priced entry point and scalability.  If successfully integrated, the joint solution created by Telrad and Federated Wireless could place them at the forefront of the new FCC spectrum rules.

Lod’s Telrad Networks is a global provider of innovative LTE broadband solutions, boasting over 300 4G deployments in 100 countries.  Telrad stands at the forefront of the technology evolution of next-generation TD-LTE solutions in the sub-6 GHz market.  Since 1951, the company has been a recognized pioneer in the telecom industry, facilitating the connectivity needs of millions of end-users through operators, ISPs and enterprises around the world.  (Federated Wireless 29.06)

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9.3  ironSource & Tipalti Partner to Provide Best-In-Class Payment Experience

Tipalti has been selected by leading app discovery company ironSource to automate their global supplier payment processes.  With tens of thousands of supply partners – among them app developers, mobile carriers, and device manufacturers – around the world, ironSource manages complex operational processes around building and growing a robust, loyal network.  In addition to the challenge of paying partners and clients in their preferred payment method and local currency of choice across regions, the ironSource finance team had to handle issues related to onboarding new partners, collecting tax IDs, communication of payment status to partners, and conducting payee and payment reconciliation reporting.

For companies like ironSource who offer robust monetization solutions for diverse partners, continued and scalable growth across geos, devices and platforms can be hindered by inefficient manual payment processes.  By offering an efficient and reliable solution to automate global payments to partners, Tipalti enables companies like ironSource to dedicate resources to innovation and growth-related initiatives as opposed to accounts payable processes.

Increasingly, monetization platform companies are adopting Tipalti’s cloud payment automation platform to streamline their entire supplier payments operation.  This allows them to pay their global partners with minimal effort while enhancing the complete payment experience and strengthening financial, tax, risk, and regulatory compliance safeguards.

Tel Aviv’s Tipalti is the only supplier payment automation solution to streamline all phases of the payment management workflow in one holistic cloud platform.  Tipalti makes it painless for finance departments to manage their entire supplier payments operation.  (Tipalti 29.06)

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9.4  CyberArk Named a Leader in Privileged Identity Management

CyberArk has been named a Leader in “The Forrester Wave™: Privileged Identity Management, Q3 2016.”  The report evaluates the 10 most significant privileged identity management (PIM) vendors.  All vendors were assessed based on criteria across three high-level categories: Current Offering, Strategy and Market Presence.  According to Forrester, CyberArk has the largest PIM market presence.  The report states that “of the solutions evaluated in this Forrester Wave, CyberArk has the largest market presence (based on combined revenues, revenue growth, direct customer install base, and growth).”

Across other criteria, CyberArk is top ranked in host access control and privilege delegation and escalation.  CyberArk also received the highest possible score in the following criteria: cloud support, privileged session management and recording, and application-to-application password management.  According to the report, “Forrester estimates that 80% of security breaches involve privileged credentials.”  CyberArk helps organizations adopt an inside-out security approach by putting a new layer of defense over core business systems and managing all privileged accounts and credentials that exist within the network.  The CyberArk Privileged Account Security Solution helps identify existing privileged credentials across networks, makes sure those credentials are locked down and secure, and leverages continuous monitoring of privileged account credentials to detect anomalous behavior and stop an attack early in the cycle to reduce damage and enable the business to continue to operate.

Petah Tikva’s CyberArk is the only security company focused on eliminating the most advanced cyber threats; those that use insider privileges to attack the heart of the enterprise. Dedicated to stopping attacks before they stop business, CyberArk proactively secures against cyber threats before attacks can escalate and do irreparable damage. The company is trusted by the world’s leading companies – including more than 40% of the Fortune 100 – to protect their highest value information assets, infrastructure and applications.  (CyberArk 08.07)

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9.5  NICE Introduces Next Generation Skype for Recording for Financial Markets

NICE announced the release of the latest edition of its recording solution for Skype for Business, which brings the trusted capabilities of NICE recording solutions and unique financial services compliance features to Microsoft’s latest unified communications platform.  NICE recording solutions are deployed across most of the banks around the globe and the latest Skype for Business solution seamlessly interfaces to those already trusted solutions.  Skype for Business, which succeeds Microsoft Lync 2013, cost-effectively enhances the familiar Skype experience with advanced capabilities for an enterprise environment, including the security, compliance, and management of Lync.  Expanding upon a six-year history of recording support for Lync, NICE has adapted its recording solution to meet the evolving needs of financial services sector customers as they transition to Skype for Business.

NICE’s Skype for Business recording solution is an integral part of NICE’s industry-leading communications surveillance solution for identifying compliance and fraud risks across multiple communication channels.  This includes peer-to-peer voice sessions, conference calls, email, chat, the audio of Skype video calls, mobile communications, and more.

Ra’anana’s NICE is the worldwide leading provider of enterprise software solutions that empower organizations to make smarter decisions based on advanced analytics of structured and unstructured data.  NICE solutions help the world’s largest organizations deliver better customer service, ensure compliance, combat fraud and safeguard citizens.  (NICE 06.07)

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9.6  Elbit Systems to Supply Uruguay with a “Safe District” Project

Elbit Systems was awarded an approximately $19 million contract from the Maldonado District Administration in Uruguay, to provide a Safe District project.  The project will span across six municipal authorities, including the well-known Punta Del Este tourist resort, over a total of 2000 km².  The contract will be performed by the Elbit Systems’ subsidiary, Elbit Security Systems (ELSEC), over a two-year period.  The Safe District project will include more than 1000 cameras and sensors, including vehicle traffic control, laid out at strategic standpoints.  The collected information will be transferred to a control center, which will include C2 (command and control) systems with unique analytics capabilities.  The sensors and cameras infrastructure will allow the operators of the control room to obtain real-time data from the field and alert law enforcement officials, including logistics and emergency personnel, in conjunction with the nature of the event.

Haifa’s Elbit Systems is an international high technology company engaged in a wide range of defense, homeland security and commercial programs throughout the world. The Company, which includes Elbit Systems and its subsidiaries, operates in the areas of aerospace, land and naval systems, command, control, communications, computers, intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance (C4ISR), unmanned aircraft systems, advanced electro-optics, electro-optic space systems, EW suites, signal intelligence systems, data links and communications systems, radios and cyber-based systems.  (Elbit 10.07)

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9.7  Niagara Cruises Deliver Broadband Wi-Fi Using Radwin’s Mobility Solution

RADWIN announced that Hornblower Niagara Cruises – the official Canadian Tour Boat operator in Niagara Falls – has deployed RADWIN’s FiberinMotion mobility solution to provide high-speed wireless connectivity onboard its boats.  Maresco Telecom Group, a leading full-service solution provider, was in charge of project design and implementation.  Tel Aviv’s RADWIN is a leading provider of Point-to-Multipoint and Point-to-Point sub-6 GHz broadband wireless solutions.  Deployed in over 170 countries, RADWIN’s solutions power applications, including backhaul, broadband access, private network connectivity, video surveillance transmission as well as delivering broadband for trains and metros.  (RADWIN 07.07)

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9.8  CoolaData, Pioneer in Behavioral Analytics, Secures $5.6 Million in Funding

CoolaData, the pioneer in behavioral analytics, bringing a new approach to business intelligence, has raised a total of $5.6M from Salesforce Ventures, TEEC Angel Fund and the existing investors in CoolaData’s Series A, 83North and Carmel Ventures.  The funding will be used to accelerate CoolaData’s worldwide growth and extend its reach into IoT and enterprise applications.

CoolaData is a cloud-based behavioral analytics platform offering companies a deep understanding of user behavior across all channels, and providing quick answers to complex business questions.  As proven by dozens of CoolaData customers, its time-series analysis of user behavior enables product, marketing and business teams to discover vital information such as user acquisition, churn prediction, retention drivers and customer life-time value optimization, making companies more successful.

Serving customers in Europe and the US from offices in Tel Aviv, London and New York, Ramat Gan’s CoolaData is a pioneer in Behavioral Analytics solutions for online businesses. Its cloud-based behavioral analytics solution includes all infrastructure components for data tracking, warehousing, ETL and data enrichment through to advanced visualization.  The platform empowers data-driven businesses to understand and quantify user behaviors and derive actionable insights for business growth.  (CoolaData 07.07)

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9.9  IDB Bank New York Launches Mobile Strategy Using Zuznow

IDB Bank and Zuznow released their first mobile app for customers using consolidated statements.  IDB Bank has made the strategic decision to offer omni-channel apps to its customers and have chosen Zuznow’s development platform to deliver these apps.  In making the decision to offer mobile/omni-channel apps to its customers, IDB Bank needed a solution that would maintain the level of security they were already providing.  Plus, the creation of apps had to be fast and, more importantly, easy to maintain and update based on changes in user engagement trends.  IDB Bank chose Zuznow to enable their strategy.  Zuznow’s AI robo-developer allowed IDB NY to have a publishable app for IOS and Android in only a few weeks with the same level of security provided in their other applications.  On average Zuznow clients realize a 300% rise in user engagement with apps created using the platform over previous versions of the clients’ apps.

Tel Aviv’s Zuznow delivers the only Frontend-as-a-Service (FaaS) platform to automatically create and maintain web and native apps, for smartphones, tablets, desktops and laptops.  The company helps enterprises accelerate and rapidly deploy omni-channel development projects, improve user engagement and adoption by 300%, reduce time-to-market by 90%, increase KPIs, while keeping pace with the latest technologies.  The Zuznow platform enables organizations to support bi-modal development processes and achieve business goals.  (Zuznow 12.07)

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9.10  Honeywell & IAI Demonstrate New Sense-And-Avoid Capabilities for UASs

Honeywell is partnering with Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) to jointly develop a sense-and-avoid capability for IAI’s Heron family of unmanned aerial systems (UASs).  Selected for funding from the Binational Industrial Research and Development (BIRD) Foundation, the system will be demonstrated for the first time on the Heron medium-altitude, long-endurance (MALE) UAS platform in 2018.  The team was selected following a competitive review process that evaluated projects from many companies.

The demonstrations and flight tests planned for mid-2018 will be conducted on the IAI Heron 1 UAS.  The development work will be executed in Albuquerque, New Mexico; Minneapolis; and Redmond, Washington, as well as in Tel Aviv, Israel.  Flight testing will take place in Israeli airspace.  Both companies plan for the full sense-and-avoid solution to be integrated into the Heron family of MALE UASs.  In the near term, the work will set the foundation for safe operation and integration of unmanned aircraft in civilian airspace and will contribute to policies and procedures allowing for certification of avionics and platform systems.

The BIRD Foundation was established by the United States and Israel governments in 1977 to stimulate, promote and support industrial research and development of mutual benefit to both countries.  (Honeywell 11.07)

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9.11  Orbotech Inkjet 600 Selected by Amkor Technology for System-in-Package

Orbotech announced that its Orbotech Inkjet 600 system has been selected by Amkor Technology, a leading provider of semiconductor packaging and test services.  By using Orbotech Inkjet 600 to print high aspect ratio, 3D under fill dams for new system-in-package (SiP) products, Amkor aims to maximize its manufacturing flexibility, increase its feature position accuracy and reduce its design-to-manufacturing lifecycle.

Under fill dams prevent leakage between active and passive components and are an essential process in SiP packaging for both device and sub-component substrates.  With its high-accuracy printing capability, the Orbotech Inkjet 600 enables the formation of tall under fill dams in a single step with real-time local alignment correction for tighter integration of components.  This not only leads to a shorter process by replacing existing cumbersome, subtractive processes, but also significantly lowers manufacturing costs.

Yavneh’s Orbotech is a global innovator of enabling technologies used in the manufacture of the world’s most sophisticated consumer and industrial products throughout the electronics and adjacent industries.  The Company is a leading provider of yield enhancement, and production solutions for electronics reading, writing and connecting, used by manufacturers of printed circuit boards, flat panel displays, advanced packaging, micro-electro-mechanical systems (MEMS), LED, high speed RF on GaAs, power management device and other electronic components.  Today, virtually every electronic device in the world is produced using Orbotech systems.  (Orbotech 11.07)

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10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israel’s June Tax Collection Increases by 11%

Israel’s tax revenues increased by 11% in real terms to NIS 22 billion in June, according to figures released by the Ministry of Finance on 7 July.  Taxes relating to real estate and indirect taxes were the main contributors to the rise in tax collection.  Over the first two months of 2016, tax collection was NIS 1.6 billion above the collection forecast, which is NIS 277.9 billion for 2016 as a whole. In March-June, tax collection was NIS 2.4 billion higher than the updated target. The figures indicate continued growth in tax collection at an annual rate of 6%.

Revenue from direct taxes totaled NIS 11.5 billion in June, representing a rise of 13% after discounting legislative changes.  Tax collection from the capital market plummeted 44% in June in comparison with June 2015, and totaled NIS 318 million. Tax collection on securities transactions fell 70.8%, while taxes on interest fell 7.5%.

Net revenues from real estate taxation rose 22% compared with June 2015 to NIS 1.1 billion. Net revenues from betterment tax rose 36% and net revenues from purchase tax rose 14%.  Revenues from indirect taxation rose 9% in June this year to NIS 9.7 billion.  The rise is mainly accounted for by taxes on imported vehicles. About 79,000 vehicles were imported into Israel in April-June, almost 40% more than in the corresponding period in 2015.  (ITA 07.07)

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10.2  Israeli New Car Deliveries Break Record

With 25,223 new cars delivered in June, a record 164,284 cars were delivered in Israel in H1/16.  Ten years ago 147,000 new cars were delivered in the entire year.  No slowdown is expected to occur in the next two-three months and some car importers currently have a large order backlog following large-scale sales promotions in May and June.  Car importer optimism regarding market conditions later this year is further manifested in the substantial concentration of cars in storage lots and sea ports.  This is not a dramatic phenomenon: the number of cars already unloaded in Israel is estimated at 60,000 – 70,000, numbers already seen in the past (mainly in the ports of Eilat and Ashdod).  Considering the average monthly sales rate this year, this is a reasonable stock for 3 months, rather than a preparation for any contingency.  In January 2017, the “green taxation” update is to come into effect, leading to an increase in car taxation.  While a significant leap in car imports can be expected towards November – December, as was the case two years ago, this import boom has not started so far.  (Globes 05.07)

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11:  IN DEPTH

 

11.1  ISRAEL:  IVC-Meitar Exits Report H1/2016

Israeli high-tech exits totaled $3.32 billion in the first half of 2016, with 45 deals, according to the IVC-Meitar Exits report.  This figure is sharply down from the $5.29 billion reported by IVC-Meitar for the first half of 2015.  The report was published on 5 July by the IVC Research Center and Meitar Liquornik Geva Leshem Tal law firm

The average exit deal reached $74 million in the first half of 2016, 3% above the annual exit average of $72 million in 2015.  Four buyout deals accounted for an additional $878 million, hiking up the total to $4.19 billion and setting the average deal (with buyouts) at $86 million, nearly 12% above 2015’s $77 million average deal.

The largest deals in the first half of 2016 were the $811 million acquisition of EZchip by Mellanox Technologies and the $643 million buyout of Xura, followed by the $430 million acquisition of Ravello Systems by Oracle.  The top three deals accounted for 57% of total exit deals.

As conditions on international stock markets have been unfavorable since late 2015, it is no surprise that 2016 has so far seen only a single IPO, that of trendIT, which raised $5.9 million at a $17.6 million valuation, on the London Stock Exchange.  First half IPO data reflect a huge 99% drop compared with $609 million in IPOs in 2015.  Adv. Dan Shamgar and Adv. Alon Sahar, partners at Meitar Liquornik Geva Leshem Tal said, “It is impossible to ignore the decrease in the number of deals in the first half of 2016.  This was expected due to a number of trends in the technology markets, mostly in the US and partly in China, as early as the end of the previous year.

As opposed to Israel, the last quarter of 2015 featured an overall slowdown in technology companies’ activity, especially a decrease in capital raising in the US (both in the private sector and public markets, the latter coming to an almost complete halt).  The decrease in private companies’ valuations, along with share price fluctuations in the US and China, led to cautious behavior, most prominently to the now-evident hesitation by acquirers.  A gap was created between the expectations of buyers and sellers, partially in light of capital raising deals performed by a significant number of companies, which were potential acquisition targets.  The gap between the bid and asking prices may not be as large as it had been during the 2008 crisis, but it still managed to halt exit processes, except for deals that were already in advanced stages.  We expect this slowdown to continue in the second half of 2016 as well.”

Yet, the report editors explain the while data so far show a drop in exit numbers, such a drop is typical of first year-halves, and in line with the average annual rates in the past six years. It is estimated that by the end of 2016, at least 100 exit deals, with a total of $7 billion in total proceeds, will have closed – 13% below the proceeds generated by 111 deals in 2015.

IVC Research Center CEO Koby Simana says, “We don’t think that 2016 figures will be dramatically different than in previous years.  That being said, our projections reflect a decline in exit volumes since we believe companies are using the current market atmosphere to focus on growth rather than exit.  Not only are there more companies seeking growth these days, but it seems investors are also more inclined that way, if the relative ease of raising capital for Israeli high-tech companies in growth stages is any indication.  We will be publishing the capital raising statistics soon, but I can already confirm that capital raising is on the rise.”

As Israeli high-tech companies mature and grow, more companies are able to expand by utilizing capital raised or earned by acquiring other companies.  In fact, the largest M&A deal closed in 2016 so far was completely Israeli – not only the largest exit for EZchip, but also the largest acquisition by an Israeli company, Mellanox.  A total of nine such deals were recorded since the beginning of the year, for a total of $916 million.  However, most Israeli buyers directed acquisition efforts to international markets, with $1.2 billion spent on acquisitions of foreign companies, in 21 deals.

In the past three years, Israeli high-tech companies have expanded their activity in the local market, and the volume of deals where both parties were Israeli has grown considerably.  The Israel Tax Authority and Ministry of Finance are also considering introducing tax incentives that will benefit Israeli companies conducting M&As, according to a memorandum of law submitted to the Ministerial Committee of Law Affairs.  Therefore, IVC-Meitar believes that, towards the end of 2016 or beginning of 2017, there will likely be an increase in the number M&A deals in the domestic market.  (IVC-Meitar 05.07)

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11.2  ISRAEL:  Globes Finds Startups Raised Record $1.4 Billion in Second Quarter

Globes found that Israeli companies raised an all-time record $1.4 billion in the second quarter of the year, compared with $1 billion in the first quarter and $1.1 billion Q2/15 (according to the IVC).  The figures for the second quarter of 2016 include a $300 million investment in Israeli company Gett (formerly GetTaxi) by Volkswagen.  This extraordinarily large investment was not strictly speaking a venture capital investment, and if subtracted it provides a slightly more precise picture of venture capital investments in Israeli technology companies.

Even after this investment is subtracted, however, the figures still show no real slowdown: $1.1 billion is similar to the first quarter of 2016 and almost identical to Q2/15, thereby maintaining the record pace.  $2.4 billion was raised in the first half of 2016, compared with $2.1 billion in the corresponding period last year.

Now that the second quarter has come to an end and Globes has reviewed the figures, their analysis found the following:

The average amount raised per company in Q2/16 was $27.9 million (or $12.1 million if the Gett investment is subtracted), $500,000 less than the average in the first quarter.  This is more or less the amount of capital an earlier stage company already making initial revenue needs to keep going for 12-18 months.  For H1/16, the average amount raised per company was $14.1 million, or $12.4 million (excluding Gett).

Some 13% of the companies raising money since the beginning of the year were biomedical companies.  This means that the majority of available capital for investment is still going to technology companies, because their risk profile is naturally lower.  The biomedical companies account for only 10% of the amount raised since the beginning of the year.

Three companies raised over $50 million in the second quarter, compared with four companies in the first quarter – almost the same, but only two compared with four if the Gett investment is excluded.  This makes a total of seven companies since the beginning of the year – only 4.2% of all companies raising capital.  This figure may indicate a slowdown in the number of potential unicorns – a company value of over $1 billion, which are often successful at raising this amount of money.  Gett, which raised $300 million, and Via, which raised $100 million, may be valued in the hundreds of millions of dollars, but they are still far away from $1 billion – at least as of now.

The companies that raised over $50 million jointly accounted for 22% of the total raised in the second quarter and 29% of the amount raised in the first half of the year – in other words, 4% of the companies raised 29% of the total, showing that a very small number of companies receive a substantial proportion of the venture capital funds’ investment budget.

Some 86% of the companies raised up to $25 million in the second quarter, meaning that most of the companies that raised capital were just starting out (initial revenue).  The proportion was the same for the first half of the year.  These companies raised 45% of the total in Q2/16 (47% in the first half), showing that there were many small companies and few large companies (although it is important to keep in mind that the bigger a company grows, the less it needs to raise capital, and the proportion of small companies is therefore greater).  (Globes 03.07)

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11.3  BAHRAIN:  Fitch Downgrades Bahrain to ‘BB+’; Outlook Stable

On 28 June, Fitch Ratings downgraded Bahrain’s Long-Term Foreign Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to ‘BB+’ from ‘BBB-‘ and Long-Term local currency IDR to ‘BB+’ from ‘BBB’.  The Outlooks are Stable.  The issue ratings on Bahrain’s senior unsecured Foreign and Local Currency bonds have also been downgraded to ‘BB+’ from ‘BBB-‘ and ‘BBB’, respectively.  The Country Ceiling has been affirmed at ‘BBB+’ and the Short-Term Foreign Currency IDR has been downgraded to ‘B’ from ‘F3’.

Key Rating Drivers

The downgrade of Bahrain’s IDRs reflects the following key rating drivers:

Lower oil prices are causing a marked deterioration in Bahrain’s fiscal position.  There is progress in fiscal consolidation, but not a clear path towards reaching a more sustainable position.  Fitch expects general government debt to rise to nearly 80% of GDP in 2016 from around 62% of GDP in 2015, well above the ‘BBB’ and ‘BB’ medians of around 40%.  Debt service is an increasing burden on the state budget and Fitch expects it to rise to around 41% of revenue in 2016 and 55% in 2017, from 30% in 2015.  Interest payments will be around 20% of budget revenue in 2016-2018. Debt issuance costs have risen.

Fitch expects the general government budget deficit to widen to 15.4% of GDP in 2016, from 14.8% of GDP in 2015, under a baseline Brent oil price assumption of $35/bbl for 2016 (rising to $55/bbl in 2018).  Fitch estimates that Bahrain’s fiscal break-even Brent oil price is around $130/bbl.  The deficit is more than three times the ‘BBB’ and ‘BB’ medians.  Oil and gas receipts (historically around 85% of budget revenues) fell approximately 40% in 2015 and Fitch expects them to fall a further 20% in 2016.  Fitch’s forecast for 2016 assumes steady progress towards implementation of the government’s revenue and cost-cutting initiatives, with non-oil revenue rising and expenditure falling.

The policy response has been insufficient to significantly ease the unfavorable fiscal and oil price dynamics.  According to Ministry of Finance calculations, revenue measures with a full-year fiscal impact of around 1% of GDP have already been implemented in 2015 and early 2016 and measures worth a further 1% of GDP are planned.  Subsidy reduction measures could eventually generate savings of more than 5% of GDP per year.  Implementation of a 5% rate of VAT in 2018, if agreed, could yield up to 1.6% of GDP in revenue, according to IMF calculations.  Even assuming full implementation of these measures and a Brent oil price of $55/bbl, the general government deficit would still be 7.3% of GDP in 2018.  More measures to reduce current expenditure are in the pipeline but have not yet been quantified.

Bahrain’s IDRs also reflect the following key rating drivers:

Fitch expects real non-oil growth to remain steady at 4% in 2016-2018 as increased activity associated with state owned enterprise investments and GCC Development Fund projects offsets the dampening effect on demand of tighter fiscal policy.  Non-oil growth is also supported by macroeconomic stability, a strong local skills base, a cost advantage and a relatively well-developed environment for doing business, particularly in the financial sector.  In conjunction with expected oil sector growth of around 0.5%, this will result in overall real GDP growth of around 3.3% in 2016-2018.  Real GDP expanded by 2.9% in 2015, with hydrocarbons sector contracting by 0.9% and output in the non-oil sector rising by 3.9%.

A strong banking sector supports the rating.  Banks are well-placed to extend more credit to the economy and the government, enjoying profitability, high levels of capitalization and liquidity, and low non-performing loan levels.  Wholesale banks’ foreign assets support Bahrain’s net external creditor position (46% of GDP), well above that of the median ‘BB’ country.  Higher policy rates and yields on government bonds have not translated into higher private sector borrowing costs, with many domestic entities being able to borrow below the sovereign curve.

Governance indicators as measured by the World Bank are stronger than the ‘BB’ medians, despite Political Stability and Voice and Accountability scores that are worse than for 85% of all countries rated by Fitch.  Tensions continue between the government and the predominantly Shia opposition and sporadic low-level violence continues.  Social pressures and the lack of a sustainable political solution hamper implementation of the fiscal reforms necessary to tackle the worsening debt trajectory.

Sovereign Rating Model (SRM) and Qualitative Overlay (QO)

Fitch’s proprietary SRM assigns Bahrain a score equivalent to a rating of ‘BBB-‘ on the Long-Term FC IDR scale.

Fitch’s sovereign rating committee adjusted the output from the SRM to arrive at the final LT FC IDR by applying its QO, relative to rated peers, as follows:

– External Finances: +1 notch, to reflect Bahrain’s large net external creditor position.

– Public Finances: -2 notches, to reflect a rapidly worsening fiscal position and rigidities in the government revenue and expenditure profiles.

Fitch’s SRM is the agency’s proprietary multiple regression rating model that employs 18 variables based on three year centered averages, including one year of forecasts, to produce a score equivalent to a LT FC IDR.  Fitch’s QO is a forward-looking qualitative framework designed to allow for adjustment to the SRM output to assign the final rating, reflecting factors within our criteria that are not fully quantifiable and/or not fully reflected in the SRM.

Rating Sensitivities

The main factors that could lead to negative rating action are:

– Failure to reduce the fiscal deficit sufficient to stabilize the government debt-to-GDP ratio.

– Severe deterioration of the domestic security situation.

The main factors that could lead to positive rating action are:

– A reduction in the budget deficit consistent with a decline of the government debt-to-GDP ratio in the medium term.

– A broadly accepted political solution to domestic political tensions.

Key Assumptions

Fitch assumes that Brent crude will average $35/bbl in 2016, $45/bbl in 2017 and $55/bbl in 2018.

Fitch assumes that Bahrain will continue to derive fiscal savings and growth support from the implementation of GCC development projects financed by Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. Lower oil prices are not assumed to impact the flow of funds from these countries.

Fitch assumes no change to the rule of the royal family and the current order of succession.

Fitch assumes that regional conflicts will not directly impact Bahrain or its ability to trade.

Fitch assumes no change to the peg of the Bahraini dinar to the US dollar.  (Fitch 28.06)

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11.4  EGYPT:  Moody’s Says Egypt’s Fiscal Position Remains Unstable

Despite marginal improvements in international reserves and foreign direct investment and the likely improvement in the balance of payments during the fourth quarter of the 2016 fiscal year, Egypt’s external payments position remains fragile, according to the latest report from Moody’s.

On 3 July, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) published a report on Egypt’s balance of payments position for the first three quarters of the fiscal year that ended on 30 June 2016.  The report shows that Egypt’s economic position remains fragile due to external vulnerability and remaining structural weakness.

The current account deficit reached $14.5b, up from $8.3b the previous year, 6.7% and 5.3% of GDP respectively.  The overall balance of payments deficit more than tripled to $3.6b, up from $1b.

“Although Egypt is a net oil importer, low oil prices do not benefit the country’s trade balance and have in fact affected oil exports more negatively than imports.  Oil exports dropped to $1.1b as of March 2016 from a peak of $3.6b in December 2013, whereas oil imports fell to $1.6b from $3.1b during the same period,” says Steffen Dyck, VP-Senior Credit Officer at Moody’s and lead sovereign analyst for Egypt.

Remittances from abroad have also fallen considerably as the total level of cash transfers from abroad were only $61mn during the first three quarters of the 2016 fiscal year.  Compared to the same period in 2015 of $14.3b, this represents a drastic fall where private transfers have accounted for $4b per quarter.

Net foreign direct investment has hovered at $1.4b per quarter, which represents a significant recovery from 2011, but is down from the initial spike in 2016 of $2.8b.  Total FDI in 2016 currently stands at $5.8b, up from $5.1b during the same period last year.

Other investment, predominantly short-term supplier credits and other liabilities, have been rising since late 2014 and contributed $9.7b during the first three quarters of 2016, sharply up from $3.9b a year ago.  However, this surplus was offset by a surge in net errors and omissions, which rose to a cumulative $3.1b and can be interpreted as a sign of capital flight.

As a result, Egypt’s net international reserves have remained low, remaining stable at $16.5b since September 2015 with a slight increase in June to $17.5b, suggesting a marginal improvement and set to meet the forecast of a 5.2% current account deficit by the end of 2016.  (Moody’s 12.07)

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The Fortnightly newsletter is a free service of Atid, EDI. We are a team of economic and trade development consultants, headquartered in Jerusalem, but active throughout the region and beyond. EDI works with an international clientele interested in identifying and researching business opportunities in the region. We also serve as the regional representative offices for a number of U.S. states and bilateral Chambers of Commerce, as well as European clients.

The post Fortnightly, 13 July 2016 appeared first on Atid EDI.

Fortnightly, 26 July 2016

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26 July 2016
20 Tammuz 5776
21 Shawwal 1437

TOP STORIES

TABLE OF CONTENTS:

 1: ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Netanyahu Government Unanimously Approves 2017/8 Budget
1.2  PM Netanyahu Meets Cyprus President Anastasiades in Jerusalem

2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Cockpit & JetBlue Launch Navigator Program for Aviation & Travel Startups
2.2  Vensica Medical Completes $500,000 Finance Round
2.3  GuardiCore Raises $20 Million in Series B Funding for Data Center Protection
2.4  ImpactNetwork Launches Israeli Startup Operations
2.5  SCADAfence & Gigamon Partner to Provide Cybersecurity for Industrial Networks
2.6  Pixie Raises $18.5 Million to Enhance Its Location Of Things Platform
2.7  Capriza Raises $23 Million to Enable Growing its Mobile Enterprise
2.8  Skycure Raises $16.5 Million
2.9  NNG Acquires Automotive Cyber Startup Arilou Technologies
2.10  Emefcy Raises $23.6 Million
2.11  Entera Bio Raises $7.5 Million

 3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Telepizza Signs a Master Franchise Agreement to Open in Malta

 4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  UK Funding Israel-Arab Research Programs on Water Problems

5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanon’s Consumer Prices Dropped 2.51% in First Half of 2016
5.2  Lebanese Balance of Payments Deficit Increases to $1.76 Billion in 12 Months ending May 31 2016
5.3  Number of Registered New Cars in Lebanon Reached 19,749 in 12 Months Ending June 2016
5.4  Lebanon to Issue Offshore Gas Exploration Permits

♦♦Arabian Gulf

5.5  World Bank Offers Jordan $1.4 Billion Over Six Years for Syria Response
5.6  IMF Raises MENA Growth Forecasts for 2016 Despite Brexit
5.7  BMI Says GCC Banking Sector Has Entered ‘Protracted Period of Contraction’
5.8  Bahrain Says No Minimum Wage Plan for Domestic Workers
5.9  US Approves $785 Million in Munitions, Sustainment and Support Sales to the UAE
5.10  Abu Dhabi’s Economy Said to be Worth $53.4 Billion at End-2015

♦♦North Africa

5.11  Egypt’s Economy Drops to Third Place in Africa Rankings
5.12  Tourist Arrivals to Egypt Fall by Half During May
5.13  Egypt’s Zohr Gas Reservoir Estimate Keeps Growing
5.14  Suez Canal Introduces Cheaper Tolls for Empty US Oil Vessels Travelling to Gulf
5.15  Algeria Loses $58 Billion of Foreign Exchange Reserves in 2 Years

6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  World Bank Says Turkey Sees Slower GDP Growth Than in 2015
6.2  Turkey Sees Drop in Unemployment in April

7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

♦♦ISRAEL:

7.1  Israel & Republic of Guinea Sign Agreement Renewing Diplomatic Ties
7.2  Israel Joins UNESCO Battle Against Homophobic Bullying in Schools

♦♦REGIONAL:

7.3  Kuwait Swelters Under Record 54 C Heatwave
7.4  Saudi Cleric Renews Edict Against Playing ‘Pokemon Go’
7.5  Morocco Ranks as 33rd Happiest Country, Ahead of the US & UK
7.6  Turkey Declares State of Emergency

8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  Israeli Surgery Technique Removes Shaking due to Parkinson’s Disease
8.2  PamBio Raises $7 Million
8.3  AV Medical Begins Initial Experience in the US with Its Chameleon PTA Balloon Catheter
8.4  CIOReview Names MedyMatch among 100 Most Promising Big Data Solutions 2016
8.5  Syneron Candela’s PicoWay Picosecond Laser Receives US FDA Clearance
8.6  DreaMed Diabetes Raises $3.3 Million from Norma Investments and a Strategic Investor
8.7  Can-Fite Completes Phase II Study for CF102 in the Treatment of NASH/NAFLD
8.8  LifeBond Receives FDA IDE Approval for LifeSeal GI Surgical Sealant Clinical Trial

9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Mellanox Simplifies RDMA Deployments with Enhanced RoCE Software
9.2  Optimal+ Selected by Renesas to Enhance Global Manufacturing Operations
9.3  AfricaOnline Deploys RADWIN JET PtMP to Deliver Mega-Capacity
9.4  Nano Dimension Files Patent Application for New Nanometric Conductive Ink
9.5  Gauzy Announces Collaboration with Mercedes-Benz
9.6  FST Biometrics Surpasses 1.5 Million Monthly User Identifications
9.7  Angola Deploys Hundreds of RADWIN 5000 Point-to-MultiPoint in 2.2-2.3 GHz Band
9.8  illusive’s New Family of Deceptions Targeting Advanced Ransomware Threats (ARTs)

10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israel’s Consumer Price Index Rises By 0.3% in June
10.2  Israel’s First Quarter Growth Figures Revised Upwards Once Again
10.3  Israel’s Labor Productivity 14% Lower Than OECD Average
10.4  OECD Says Israeli Roads the Most Congested in Developed World

11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  ISRAEL & SAUDI ARABIA: Riyadh’s Diplomatic Dance With Israel
11.2  SAUDI ARABIA: Oil Reserves: A Riddle, Wrapped in a Mystery, Inside an Enigma
11.3  EGYPT: Egypt’s Ad Hoc Economy
11.4  EGYPT: Egyptians Ditch Daylight Saving Time
11.5  MOROCCO: IMF Executive Board Approves $3.47 Billion for Morocco
11.6  TURKEY: Foreign Currency Ratings Lowered To ‘BB/B’; Outlook Negative
11.7  TURKEY: Moody’s Reviews for Downgrade Ratings of 17 Turkish Banks

1:  ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Netanyahu Government Unanimously Approves 2017/8 Budget

On 17 July, Israel’s cabinet unanimously approved the two-year 2017-2018 state budget, as agreed in the coalition agreements when the government was formed.  At the demand of Minister of Finance Kahlon, the current budget includes a mechanism to ensure that if there is a deviation from the forecasts, adjustments will be made to preserve the budget framework.  Under this mechanism, an assessment will be made at the end of the first year.  Any difference between the approved framework and the up-to-date forecasts will required the government to cut its spending in 2018.  If the measures demanded by the Minister of Finance are not taken, the cabinet will have to submit a new budget, and if this is not approved by the legal deadline, the result will be new elections.  (Globes 17.07)

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1.2  PM Netanyahu Meets Cyprus President Anastasiades in Jerusalem

Prime Minister Netanyahu and President of Cyprus Anastasiades, held wide ranging discussions on 24 July, reflecting the close and very important relations both countries enjoy.  In the course of the discussions, both leaders emphasized their shared interests in regional stability and expressed their agreement to continue countering sources of extremism and terrorism.  The two sides continued their talks about emergency response cooperation.  Both leaders encouraged their teams to conclude these talks as soon as possible.

The two sides discussed the unitization issue regarding the Aphrodite and Yishai gas fields, and concluded that by September 2016 the two Energy Ministers will seek to finalize these discussions.  In the context of the exploration and development of energy resource in the eastern Mediterranean, both leaders concluded that there is no question that resolving the outstanding issues between Cyprus and Turkey would greatly facilitate the pace of the development of future projects, which will proceed according to international law, as well as greatly enhance stability in the region.  Therefore, Israel has a strong interest in the resolution of this issue.

Both leaders stressed the importance of the trilateral framework between Israel, Cyprus, and Greece and reconvening together by the end of the year, as was agreed between the parties at the Nicosia Summit, on 28 January 2016.  (MFA 25.07)

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2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Cockpit & JetBlue Launch Navigator Program for Aviation & Travel Startups

Cockpit, the innovation center established by EL AL, and JetBlue Technology Ventures, the investment arm of JetBlue, announced the launch of Navigator, an accelerator program for Israeli and international startups working in the fields of aviation and travel.  The Navigator program will include exposure to strategic partners, initial funding and ongoing close guidance for startups in all aspects of their business development.  The first global innovation center of its kind, Navigator will specialize in identifying and nurturing ground-breaking technologies, and in applying their inherent potential for use in the aviation and travel industries.  Navigator will also provide the startups with the potential opportunity to present and test in real time the products they have developed.

Navigator targets startups from all over the world that deal with aviation and travel.  The companies accepted will receive funding, office space in Israel and the United States, and hands-on mentoring that will include access to the broad global network of EL AL and JetBlue.  The program also includes ongoing guidance in a wide variety of business activities, especially in the realms of sales and marketing, technology and legal issues. In addition, each startup selected for the program will gain exposure to leading professionals and customers in the global aviation and travel industries.  The companies will work for three months in Israel and an additional month in Silicon Valley.  They will get an opportunity to present their developments to key players in the global aviation industry.  After the four-month international program, alumni may be offered follow-up support for a further eight months in terms of a workspace and business development mentoring aimed at actualizing the partnerships that will be created.

Tel Aviv’s Cockpit Innovation Hub helps early stage startups and disruptive technologies aim high and do big things in Travel and Aviation by providing all the tools startups need to put their company in the cockpit and fly to success.  Located in the startup incubator GSVlabs in Silicon Valley, JetBlue Technology Ventures invests in, incubates and partners with early stage startups at the intersection of technology, travel and hospitality.  (JetBlue Technology 13.07)

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2.2  Vensica Medical Completes $500,000 Finance Round

Vensica Medical, a portfolio company of Trendlines Medical, announced the completion of a financing round of $500,000 from a private foreign investor.  Vensica is developing a needle-free, painless procedure for the delivery of Botox to treat overactive bladder.  The company was founded in August 2014 and will use this investment for R&D and completion of device design.  Leveraging the known properties of ultrasound (opens pores and “pushes” drugs through them), Vensica is developing VensiCare, an ultrasound-catheter used to deliver Botox into the bladder wall.  The procedure, performed in the doctor’s office or clinic – without anesthesia – is painless and eliminates the use of needles.

Misgav’s Vensica Medical is a start­up company founded in 2014 that is developing the ‘VensiCare, a platform for effectively delivering drugs to the bladder wall.  The VensiCare leverages therapeutic ultrasound technology to increase bladder wall permeability and to drive medicament at high concentrations and deep into the bladder wall.  Vensica focuses on the delivery of Botox to the bladder wall for the treatment of overactive bladder.  The VensiCare platform can be used to treat other indications as well, such as bladder cancer and interstitial cystitis.  (Vensica Medical 19.07)

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2.3  GuardiCore Raises $20 Million in Series B Funding for Data Center Protection

GuardiCore has raised $20 million in Series B funding.  The latest round is led by existing investors Battery Ventures and 83North (formerly Greylock IL) and joined by Cisco Investments, bringing the company’s total funding raised to date to $33 million.  GuardiCore will use the funds to address growing demand for its GuardiCore Centra Security Platform, invest in additional product research and development, expand its commercial reach through its global ecosystem and channel partners, and to fuel its overall sales and marketing efforts.  The participation of GuardiCore’s existing investors – Battery Ventures and 83North – in this latest round of funding demonstrates a strong degree of confidence in the company’s current market traction, and its continued development of the industry’s broadest solution for data center security.

Tel Aviv’s GuardiCore is an innovator in internal data center security focused on delivering more accurate and effective ways to stop advanced threats through real-time breach detection and response. Developed by the top cyber security experts in their field, GuardiCore is changing the way organizations are fighting cyber-attacks in their data centers.  (GuardiCore 18.07)

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2.4  ImpactNetwork Launches Israeli Startup Operations

ImpactNetwork is launching activities in Israel, by partnering with TechForGood and Impact First Investments.  ImpactNetwork, powered by Le Comptoir de l’Innovation is the world largest network of green and social startups, including over 500 startups in 10 countries through 13 programs and a €100 million impact investment fund.

Since its founding, ImpactNetwork’s aim has been to mobilize global cross-sector partnerships toward the common vision of recognizing and celebrating excellence in social innovation.  Le Comptoir de l’Innovation, through its ImpactNetwork, is now uniquely situated to enter Israel’s startup eco-system through its newly formed partnership with TechForGood and Impact First Investments, two pioneer organizations in the field.  TechForGood participants will have the opportunity to tap into ImpactNetwork and learn from like-minded international peers. They will have access to a large range of services available – from Jump Seat programs, which allow entrepreneurs to work from another hub available in the network, to exchanging with mentors and experts to develop their projects.  (Globes 17.07)

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2.5  SCADAfence & Gigamon Partner to Provide Cybersecurity for Industrial Networks

SCADAfence has joined Gigamon’s ecosystem partner program to provide a joint cybersecurity solution.  SCADAfence’s Industrial Continuous Network Monitor solution is fully interoperable with Gigamon’s GigaSECURE and provides IT and OT security personnel with a holistic view of their industrial network, as well as advanced detection capabilities.  The joint solution restores control of the industrial environment and mitigates risks, such as operational downtime, product manipulation and theft of intellectual property.

The joint solution leverages Gigamon’s capability to provide visibility of network traffic from across the ICS/SCADA environment, ensuring continuous traffic monitoring.  The network traffic is passively gathered by Gigamon, deduplicated, aggregated into scalable traffic streams and then passed to SCADAfence’s continuous monitoring solution which analyzes the internal communications, including industrial protocols deep packet inspection (DPI).  Comprehensive understanding of the industrial environment improves OT, IT and security teams’ capability to minimize operational and cyber risk on the production floor.

Beer Sheva’s SCADAfence is a pioneer in securing smart manufacturing industries such as chemical, pharmaceutical, food & beverage and automotive. In such industries, traditional security solutions are inadequate due to the unique requirements, technologies and components found in industrial networks.  SCADAfence offers a solution designed to ensure the operational continuity of industrial networks by providing increased visibility and detection of operational and security threats.  (SCADAfence 19.07)

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2.6  Pixie Raises $18.5 Million to Enhance Its Location Of Things Platform

Pixie Technology closed its Series B round of funding at $18.5 million.  The funding was led by Spark Capital, an early & growth stage venture capital firm that has supported the likes of Twitter, Oculus, Slack and Medium.  This round brings Pixie’s funding total to $24 million, with $5.5 million raised in 2013.  Other investors in the round include Cedar Fund, OurCrowd and private investors.

Designed to help people easily track and find their favorite everyday items, Pixie Technology combines augmented reality navigation with innovative signaling technology.  It began shipping Pixie Points, its first product, to pre-order customers last year and will use this latest investment to launch new advanced product capabilities and scale production to bring Pixie to even more customers.  It is also investing in further expanding its Location of Things platform and ecosystem and has opened its Software Development Kit to allow developers and third parties to create new applications, building its signaling technologies into other products, devices and services.

Pixie Points are an ingenious tool to give every day physical items a digital identity that can be instantly located.  Pixie Point tags affix to everything from keys, wallets, remotes to toys and pets and allow consumers to track and find them with their smart device.  Once activated, Pixie Points continually communicate with each other, creating a digital map that can be viewed and managed with the Pixie app.  The Pixie app guides people to their lost item, providing an augmented reality overlay over a phone’s camera display that places an X exactly where the lost item is located even if it is behind a cushion or the other side of a wall.  As a result of the funding, Pixie will be rolling out new functionality from Q3 onwards and in due course will make further announcements around advanced features such as:

Herzliya Pituah’s Pixie Technology is the creator of the Location of Things (LoT) technology platform that makes location an exact science by allowing anyone to create a digital map of their things on the fly.  Pixie uses beautifully designed tags called Pixie Points to establish a personal digital map of all tagged items so that it can help users locate lost items within inches.  (Pixie Technology 19.07)

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2.7  Capriza Raises $23 Million to Enable Growing its Mobile Enterprise

Capriza has raised $23 million in new funding to support its growing momentum and rapid customer adoption.  The round, led by existing investor Andreessen Horowitz, included existing investors Charles River Ventures, Harmony Partners and Tenaya Capital, and new investors Entre Capital and Vintage Investment.  The new funding, a Series C extension bringing the total capital Capriza has raised to $73 million, will be used to meet soaring demand for smart, mobile business apps that empower users at the edges of the enterprise to take the actions based on relevant, real-time information, needed to run an effective, competitive, and efficient organization.

With a Hod HaSharon R&D center, Capriza mobile-enables your core applications to make it easy to do business inside and outside your organization.  Capriza’s enterprise mobility platform empowers IT and business units to mobile-enable critical business workflows in a matter of days without any coding, APIs or integration.  Capriza disrupts the speed and economics of the enterprise mobility journey by extending the capabilities of existing applications from SAP, Oracle, Salesforce as well as custom-built solutions in a simple and useable way, onto any smartphone or tablet.  (Capriza 19.07)

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2.8  Skycure Raises $16.5 Million

Skycure announced that it completed a $16.5 million series B investment led by Foundation Capital.  Skycure will use the funds to expand the company’s presence in EMEA and APAC, broaden its foothold with Global 1000 customers, and invest in further developing the company’s award winning mobile threat defense platform.  This round brings Skycure’s total funding to $27.5 million.  All of the company’s previous investors participated in this round, including Shasta Ventures, Pitango Venture Capital, Skycure customer New York Life and private investors.

Tel Aviv’s Skycure offers the most complete, accurate and effective mobile threat defense solution, delivering unparalleled depth of threat intelligence to predict and detect the broadest range of existing and unknown threats.  Skycure’s predictive technology uses a layered approach that leverages massive crowd-sourced threat intelligence, in addition to both device- and server-based analysis, to proactively protect mobile devices from malware, network threats, and app/OS vulnerability exploits.  (Skycure 19.07)

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2.9  NNG Acquires Automotive Cyber Startup Arilou Technologies

NNG, the developer of the iGO navigational app, acquired a controlling interest in Bnei Brak’s Arilou Technologies, which provides cyber protection for vehicles.  The deal, whose amount was undisclosed, is based on the acquisition of shares from existing shareholders and an injection of capital into the company.  Arilou will continue its business as before, led by its current management.  The acquired company is developing systems that provide protection against cyber-attacks on computerized auto systems.  Arilou’s technology is designed to prevent a remote takeover of the car’s computerized systems (multimedia and locking systems, for example) that could enable a burglar to open the car’s locks, turn off the motor, and even disconnect the brakes.

Smart cars connected to the internet are unquestionably the wave of the future.  But as soon as they are connected, they become exposed to hacker attacks.  In contrast to break-ins in which passwords are stolen, which are liable to end in invasions of privacy and loss of money, break-ins into smart cars are liable to have much more serious consequences.  Arilou wants to relieve drivers of these worries by producing a defense system that will enable drivers to be both connected to the internet and protected.

Hungary based NNG, with a development office in Tel Aviv, is a global company that develops the next generation of navigation and infotainment systems for the biggest automotive companies around the world.  They work with the best map and content providers to improve the lives of people in as many countries as possible.  (NNG 23.07)

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2.10  Emefcy Raises $23.6 Million

Emefcy has raised A$31.6 million (US$23.6 million) on the Sydney Stock Exchange after closing a placement of shares.  The company raised the money from investors that included funds and institutional bodies from the US, Hong Kong, China, Australia and Singapore but not from Israel.

Caesarea’s Emefcy develops, manufactures and markets new, energy-efficient wastewater treatment solutions suitable for municipal and industrial plants.  The company was founded in 2008 with a vision to improve the energy efficiency of wastewater treatment.  With several global innovation awards, the company is at the forefront of the next generation of wastewater treatment solutions.  Operating out of its offices in Caesarea and its manufacturing facility in Or Akiva, Israel, Emefcy (ASX: EMC) is a public company traded on the Australian Stock Exchange.  (Globes 25.07)

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2.11  Entera Bio Raises $7.5 Million

Entera Bio, a subsidiary of DNA Biomedical Solutions, has raised $7.5 million in a loan convertible into shares.  Pontifax led the round, with participation from private investors, many of whom are identified with immunotherapy company Kite Pharma.  Following the announcement, DNA Biomedical’s share price jumped, adding NIS 42 million to the company’s market cap.  DNA owns 51% of Entera Bio.

Entera Bio is developing orally administered drugs as a replacement for injectables and IVs. Its leading drug is a product for the treatment of hypoparathyroidism (not to be confused with hypothyroidism) – an orphan disease that can result from an operation, tumor, or degenerative brain disease.  It affects the level of calcium in the body, and in particular prevents recovery from a lack of calcium. It can be treated with Vitamin D or calcium, but these treatments have side effects.  Entera Bio believes that the material it previously began to develop as an orally administered drug for treatment of osteoporosis can also be effective in treating the results of hypoparathyroidism.  The company’s drug, PTH, is based on an existing drug for treatment of osteoporosis, but with addition of Entera Bio’s technology, which makes it possible to take the drug orally.  Entera Bio hopes to begin Phase III trials for PTH soon, after the product was tested in Phase II trials.

Jerusalem’s Entera Bio is developing novel oral drugs by utilizing its proprietary cutting edge delivery technology.  This technology protects large molecules and peptides in the GI tract.  Oral drug delivery is the most straight forward and user friendly approach to medical treatment.  Entera Bio has key personnel with the relevant know how, experience and networks working together to enable rapid development of its products.  The company has an experienced management team with more than 50 years of combined drug development experience.  (Globes 24.07)

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3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Telepizza Signs a Master Franchise Agreement to Open in Malta

Madrid’s Telepizza, the largest non-U.S.-based pizza delivery company in the world by number of stores, advances its international strategy and announces its first master franchise agreement to start operations in Malta.  The move follows recently announced Saudi Arabia and UK opening plans.  Telepizza brings its expertise and proven track record in marketing, technology, and supply chain that in addition with its partner operating strength and local management, positioned Telepizza to take full advantage of this opportunity.

Telepizza’s international strategy is focused on growth in markets where it is currently operating, exploring new business opportunities, and entering new markets, either organically, through acquisitions of local companies or via master franchises.  Approximately 35% of Telepizza stores worldwide are owned and operated by Telepizza, while around 65% are owned by its business partners.  Currently, the company is present in 15 countries and its international sales exceed 30% of the total sales.  (Telepizza 19.07)

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4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  UK Funding Israel-Arab Research Programs on Water Problems

The UK has been funding two initiatives to facilitate cooperation between Israeli and Palestinian scientists.  The Stream program finances joint studies by Israeli, Palestinian, and UK researchers on water problems and joint studies by Israelis with residents of Arab countries all over the Middle East and North Africa.  The joint research, which lasts for 10-18 months, is aimed at finding practical solutions in the field.  The pilot stage of the program led to the financing of five projects of this type during the past year.

The Growth program provides UK funding to enable academics from universities in the Palestinian Authority to learn in advanced study programs in laboratories in Israel in water technologies and medicine.  Participants in the program attend professional conferences in the UK in order to deepen their connection with UK researchers.  This project was initiated by the UK Science and Innovation Network, in cooperation with the British Council Israel and research entities in the region.  (Globes 22.07)

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5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanon’s Consumer Prices Dropped 2.51% in First Half of 2016

According to the Lebanese Central Administration of Statistics (CAS), average consumer prices decreased by 2.51% y-o-y in H1 2016, where the average Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped from 97.62 points by June 2015 to 95.17 points in the same period of 2016.  As for the CPI’s components, prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages (20.6% of CPI) decreased by 1.87% y-o-y by June 2016.  Transportation (13.1% of CPI) and water, electricity, gas & other fuels (11.9% of CPI) witnessed yearly drops of 5.59% and 14.53%, respectively.  Such noticeable falls in value can be attributed to the lower oil prices between June 2015 and June 2016.  The other sub-indices that observed a decline in value were health (7.8% of CPI) and communication (4.6% of CPI), posting a 2.94% and 0.36% y-o-y declines, respectively.  However, the education sub-index, constituting 5.9% of the CPI, increased by 1.49% y-o-y by June 2016.  Moreover, average restaurants & hotels prices (2.6% of CPI) increased by 2.73% y-o-y by June 2016.  Also, the actual rent sub-index for households (old and new rent), with a weight of 3.4% of the CPI, went up 2.34%.  (CAS 21.07)

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5.2  Lebanese Balance of Payments Deficit Increases to $1.76 Billion in 12 Months Ending  May 31 2016

According to Lebanon’s Balance of Payments (BoP), there was a significant deficit increase from $525M by May 2015 to $1.76B by May 2016.  Net Foreign Assets (NFA) of both BDL and commercial banks dropped $1.36B and $403.1M by May 2016, respectively, compared to a surplus of $2.18B in BDL’s NFA and a drop of $2.71B by May 2015.  This broad deficit is justified by the fact that cash outflows are tremendously exceeding cash inflows in Lebanon.  Specifically, trade deficit increased 14.64% y-o-y by May 2016 to $6.67B, where exports fell and imports rose.  Furthermore, lower Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) and remittances, as oil-dependent Arab countries face slow economic activity, are widening the BoP’s deficit.  Moreover, the Balance of Payments accounted for an $861.6M deficit in May 2016 compared to a surplus of $189.2M in May 2015.  (BDL 17.07)

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5.3  Number of Registered New Cars Reached 19,749 by June 2016

According to the Association of Lebanese Car Importers, the number of newly registered commercial and passenger cars increased by 3.01% year-on-year (y-o-y) to 19,749 cars by June 2016.  This rise in the number of registered cars was mainly due to the 2.20% yearly increase in the number of newly registered passenger cars from 18,047 to 18,444 and the 16.10% growth in newly registered commercial vehicles to 1,305 by June 2016.

In details, Japanese model cars occupied the largest market share of 37.22% in total passenger cars, since the beginning of the year up to June 2016.  Korean cars followed, with a market share of 35.62% by June 2016, while European cars ranked third with a market share of 20.43%.  Moreover, both European and Korean cars increased their sales with a rise of 4.49% and 2.29% y-o-y, respectively, while Japanese cars’ sales decreased 1.42% from 6,963 by June 2015 to 6,864 by June 2016.

In terms of car brands, Kia attained the largest share of newly registered passenger cars, 19.67%, followed by Hyundai, Toyota and Nissan with respective shares of 15.78%, 13.94%, and 10.17%.  (ALC 16.07)

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5.4  Lebanon to Issue Offshore Gas Exploration Permits

Lebanon will open its waters for new oil and gas exploration permits.  One of the permits Lebanon intends to issue is still being contested by Israel.

In March 2013, Lebanon initiated a preliminary vetting process for gas companies which want to operate in the country.  Twelve international operators have passed this stage as well as 34 more non-operator firms.  While Lebanon intended to provide ten offshore permits, the state’s regulatory and political instability has led to delays with their issuing.  According to the reports, Lebanon plans to initially issue permits for four blocks, including 1, 4, 9 and 10, and later publish the rest.  The exact boundaries of Bloc 9 remain unclear, and the issue is subject to a dispute with Israel.  In 2010, Lebanon turned to the UN with an appeal stating that Israel’s exclusive economic zone (EEZ) in fact extends into Lebanon’s EEZ.  Israel provided its response to the UN one year later.  The US has attempted to mediate between the parties in order to reach a compromise, but Israel rejected this proposal.  (Globes 18.07)

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5.5  World Bank Offers Jordan $1.4 Billion Over Six Years for Syria Response

The World Bank (WB) has endorsed the 2017-2022 country partnership framework, offering up to $1.4 billion of financing to Jordan for the coming six years.  Recognizing pressure on the Kingdom’s economy and service facilities from hosting a large number of refugees and the impact of closure of Jordan’s borders with Syria and Iraq, the WB’s commitment to continuous support is expressed for the country.  The framework is very focused on addressing the short-term vulnerabilities of Jordan to respond to the Syria crisis, adding that Jordan also needs to focus on the priorities set in the Jordan 2025 economic blueprint.

The country framework takes into consideration two aspects.  The first of which is related to enhancing the growth of the private sector and increasing its competitiveness, improving the investment climate and securing micro, small and medium enterprises access to financing.  The second pillar has to do with enhancing the government services all across Jordan.

The International Finance Corporation (IFC) program has grown from $70 million in 2007 to almost $1.4 billion now, which makes it the second largest program in the region after Egypt.  Jordan has been pushing for a change in international assistance policy, pushing the World Bank and the global community to allow it to borrow under the same easier conditions applied to low-income countries, although the Kingdom falls under the category of middle-income states.

In the coming months, the WB and Amman will be discussing a number of projects to be launched in support of the implementation of the new Country Partnership Framework (CPF) in the education, energy, water, private sector development, local development and access to finance sectors.  (AMMONNEWS 24.07)

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►►Arabian Gulf

5.6  IMF Raises MENA Growth Forecasts for 2016 Despite Brexit

A rebound in the price of oil is set to improve economic growth in the Middle East and North Africa from 3.1% to 3.4% this year, a revised forecast from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said.  However, the global body also downgraded the region’s forecast for 2017 from 3.5% to 3.3%, citing “geopolitical tensions, domestic armed strife, and terrorism”.  The IMF also said that the oil price slide would cost almost $450 billion in lost energy exports to Algeria and the GCC countries, while their cumulative budget shortfalls would hit $900 billion by 2021.  For Saudi Arabia, the IMF retained its forecast of 1.2% growth for this year, and raised its forecast for 2017 by 0.1% to 2.0% growth.  (AB 20.07)

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5.7  BMI Says GCC Banking Sector Has Entered ‘Protracted Period of Contraction’

The GCC banking sector has entered a period of contraction with asset growth set to slow to 6% year-on-year between now and 2020.  It represents a significant decline from an average of 17% year-on-year over the past decade, as banking sectors across the Gulf suffer from fiscal retrenchment brought about by the prolonged slump in global oil prices, BMI Research notes.  As well, the Fitch Group company’s latest GCC banking report states the sector has entered a “protracted period of slower growth”.

GCC banks will be hit on two fronts: governments will continue to draw on funds deposited in their domestic banking sectors to cover large fiscal deficits, while declining government spending will serve to create fewer lending opportunities.  However, the slowdown will be less pronounced in Lebanon, Jordan and Egypt, with the average growth rate declining from 10% between 2006 and 2015, to 6% in the next four-to-five years.

Within the GCC, the slowdown will be unequal. Qatar and Kuwait possess greater financial buffers to fund large-scale government projects, and are expected to hold up better than Oman and Bahrain, which are most at risk because of their government’s low reserves and reliance of domestic banks on public deposits.  BMI Research forecasts Brent to trade at $60 per barrel on average over the next five years, compared to $102 per barrel between 2010 and 2014.  BMI said: “Commercial banks across MENA have entered a protracted period of slower growth. In the GCC, fiscal retrenchment amid low oil prices is impacting deposit and lending growth, while liquidity is tightening.

“In Egypt, Lebanon and Jordan, political instability and lackluster macroeconomic environments will continue to weigh on banks’ performances.  “Throughout the region, governments will issue domestic debt to cover rising or recurring fiscal deficits, providing some respite for their respective banking sectors.  (BMI 24.07)

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5.8  Bahrain Says No Minimum Wage Plan for Domestic Workers

Bahrain will not set a minimum wage for its domestic workers due to the free-market nature of its economy, according to officials.  The subject was discussed following the decision by Kuwait to set a $200 minimum wage for domestic workers and approved rights such as a weekly day off, 30 days of annual paid leave, a 12-hour working day with rest, and mandatory overtime pay.  It became the first Gulf country to legally standardize the working conditions for its domestic workers.  Bahrain has a minimum wage of BD300 ($795) for citizens in the public sector, but not for nationals in the private sector.

The number of domestic workers in Bahrain has risen from 44,586 in 2004 to 111,002 at the end of 2015, according to the Labour Market Regulatory Authority.  However, the number is much lower in Kuwait, where there are approximately 660,000 domestic workers.  (AB 24.07)

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5.9  US Approves $785 Million of Munitions, Sustainment and Support Sales to the UAE

On 19 July, the US State Department has made a determination approving a possible Foreign Military Sale to the United Arab Emirates for munitions, sustainment, and support.  The estimated cost is $785 million.  The Defense Security Cooperation Agency delivered the required certification notifying Congress of this possible sale on 15 July.

The Government of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) requests approval to procure seven thousand seven hundred (7,700) GBU-10 guidance kits with seven thousand seven hundred (7,700) Mk-84/BLU-117 bombs, five thousand nine hundred forty (5,940) GBU-12 guidance kits with five thousand nine hundred forty (5,940) Mk-82/BLU-111 bombs, five hundred (500) GBU-31V1 guidance kits with five hundred (500) Mk-84/BLU- 117 bombs, five hundred (500) GBU-31V3 guidance kits with five hundred (500) BLU-109 bombs, and fourteen thousand six hundred forty (14,640) FMU-152 fuses.  This sale also includes non-MDE munitions items. The total estimated value of MDE is $740 million.  The overall total estimated value is $785 million.

This proposed sale contributes to the foreign policy and national security of the United States by helping the UAE remain an active member of the OPERATION INHERENT RESOLVE (OIR) coalition working to defeat the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL).  These munitions will sustain the UAE’s efforts and support a key partner that remains an important force for political stability and economic progress in the Middle East.  The proposed sale provides the UAE additional precision guided munitions to meet current and future threats.  The UAE continues to provide host-nation support of vital U.S. forces stationed at Al Dhafra Air Base and plays a vital role in supporting U.S. regional interests.  This notice of a potential sale is required by law and does not mean the sale has been concluded.  (USDoS 19.07)

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5.10  Abu Dhabi’s Economy Said to be Worth $53.4 Billion at End-2015

Abu Dhabi’s economy saw robust performance in the final quarter of 2015, with official estimates indicating that its GDP reached AED196.1 billion ($53.4 billion), up 7.7% compared to the same period in 2014.  Non-oil sectors enhanced economic growth in Abu Dhabi during the period, growing by 8.8% compared to an oil GDP growth rate of 7.1%, according to a new report issued by the Abu Dhabi Department of Economic Development.  The contribution of non-oil activities to Abu Dhabi’s GDP increased to 50.7% in Q4 2015, it added, reflecting the emirate’s efforts to diversify away from oil revenues.

Abu Dhabi, sitting on 6% of the world’s oil reserves, slashed spending when crude prices plummeted to below $30 a barrel.  It drew the attention of the International Monetary Fund, which said in May that the emirate, home to the world’s second-largest sovereign wealth fund, could afford a more gradual fiscal consolidation.  (AB 22.07)

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►►North Africa

5.11  Egypt’s Economy Drops to Third Place in Africa Rankings

Bloomberg has rated the Egyptian economy third on the African continent, pushing it back from second place after just two months, basing its assessment largely on shifting GDP figures.  On 11 May, Bloomberg put Egypt in second position behind Nigeria, with South Africa in third place.  However, in the latest Bloomberg report South Africa was said to have regained second place after a period of slippage due to currency liberalization measures which led to a decline in GDP.

Bloomberg did not give up-to-date GDP figures for Egypt, but the World Bank puts GDP at $330.8 billion for 2015.  In December, Egypt’s planning minister said that he expected GDP growth during the first quarter of 2015-2016 to be around 5%, according to Reuters.  (Various 15.07)

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5.12  Tourist Arrivals to Egypt Fall by Half During May

Tourist arrivals to Egypt declined by 51.7% year-on-year in May, with just 431,800 visitors compared to 894,600 in the same month last year, according to the latest figures from CAPMAS.  Visitors also spent less time in the country.  Egypt recorded only 2.5 million tourist nights during the month, down by 71.4% compared to May 2015.  May’s dismal numbers follow a string of weak months for the industry. April arrivals were down by 54% year-on-year.  As a result, tourism revenue is in a major slump, amounting to just US$550.5 million in the first quarter of 2016 — a drop of more than 62% compared to the same period in 2015, according to Central Bank figures.  For the first time, more tourist dollars flowed out of the country than came in, with Egyptians spending some $1.2 billion on outbound travel during the quarter.  (Mada Masr 13.07)

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5.13  Egypt’s Zohr Gas Reservoir Estimate Keeps Growing

The estimates for the Egyptian gas reservoir Zohr keep growing, but development will   be problematic because of sulfur deposits.  Following the fourth drilling operation carried out by Italian company Eni, which discovered the field, estimates are that Zohr contains 32 trillion cubic feet (TCF) of natural gas, rather than 30 TCF as estimated previously.  At the same time, and despite optimistic announcements by Eni and Egypt’s EGAS saying that gas from the field will begin flowing by late 2017, there are still obstacles to overcome.

In August 2015, after reports on the field’s discovery, various consulting firms, including HIS, estimated that the actual amount of gas that could be extracted from the field would amount to 77%, with an accuracy level of 25%. Therefore, the extractable reserves were estimated at a wide range of 17-27 TCF.  However, Eni has since completed three further drilling operations, which provide more reliable and comprehensive data regarding the reservoir its size, depth and the quality of the gas contained therein.  As such, the company’s current estimates regarding gas quantities significantly surpass the initial report.  However, the company has failed to report on the extremely high percentage of sulfur in the field, which would make development more complicated.  The high percentage of sulfur may require separate development for its extraction, raising costs.

An additional difficulty would be to find a strategic partner for the reservoir.  For several months, Eni has been unsuccessfully trying to find another gas company which will share the risks and costs of development, the first stage of which is estimated at $5 billion.  (Globes 25.07)

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5.14  Suez Canal Introduces Cheaper Tolls for Empty US Oil Vessels Travelling to Gulf

The Suez Canal Authority has announced a decision to reduce the toll on empty US oil vessels sailing through the canal to the Arabian Gulf by between 20 and 45%.  The new toll was introduced on 25 July and will continue for six months, ending in December, at which point it will be reviewed and possibly extended.  The authority said that ships with a capacity of 200,000 tons or more will be entitled to the cheaper rate of passage.  To pay the reduced toll, companies will have to file a request in advance of their vessel’s passage through the canal, officially confirming the port it departed from, the date of departure, the contents of the ship, intended date of arrival, and any ports stopped in en route.  Companies should present a certificate showing the reason for any stopovers.  The toll must be paid in full by any ship-owner who fails to submit the relevant documents with full details of their ship’s journey and stops.  (Al-Masry Al-Youm 25.07)

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5.15  Algeria Loses $58 Billion of Foreign Exchange Reserves in 2 Years

Collapse of oil revenues and sharp increase in importations have caused a huge dent in Algeria’s foreign reserves with figures pointing at $58 billion loss since 2014; year of exceptional growth.  Prime Minister Abdelmalek Sellal said that Algeria can no longer afford to rely on its mineral resources to boost economic growth.  Algeria’s economy since 2014 has taken a downward direction due to collapse of international crude oil price.  The decrease in the country’s oil revenues was coupled with a significant increase of importations.  Current foreign exchange reserves now stand at $137 billion against $195 billion in March 2014.

With its economy largely based on oil revenues, Algeria knew a profitable foreign exchange reserve cushion when the oil revenues were in their heydays, with figures pointing at $77.8 billion in 2006, $ 110.2 billion in 2007, $162.2 billion in 2010, $190.6 billion end of 2012, and $194 end of 2013.  Aside from the drying of foreign exchange reserves, the North African country is also facing a cute depreciation of its national currency, plunging the country further into economic social and financial crisis.  Algeria’s trade deficit at the first quarter of this year is estimated at $5.6 billion as compared to $3.4 billion at the same period last year.  (MEC 06.07)

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6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  World Bank Says Turkey Sees Slower GDP Growth Than in 2015

Despite a pick-up in domestic consumption, the gross domestic product (GDP) growth in Turkey slowed in the first quarter because of slower inventory build-up, according to the July edition of the World Bank’s Turkey Regular Economic Brief, issued in Ankara on 15 July.  The seasonally and working day adjusted GDP growth slowed to an annualized rate of 3.3% quarter-on-quarter in the first quarter, as compared with 4% in 2015 as a whole, it said.  Inventory accumulation that led growth in the previous quarter slowed significantly in the first quarter, bringing growth down, it added.

Exports showed signs of recovery in the first quarter, following a contraction in the previous quarter, and contributed positively.  On the other hand, private consumption strengthened thanks to a 30% rise in the minimum wage, recovery in consumer credit growth and a fall in food prices, while government spending rose considerably because of election promises.  The Central Bank loosened monetary policy against the favorable inflation backdrop.  The recovery in portfolio inflows and significantly lower headline inflation due to the fall in food prices created a favorable environment for the Central Bank to cut interest rates.  The Central Bank cut the overnight lending rate by 175 basis points (bps) to 9% between March and June, while keeping the 1-week repo and overnight borrowing rates unchanged.  (HDN 17.07)

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6.2  Turkey Sees Drop in Unemployment in April

Unemployment in Turkey fell in April, the Turkish Statistics Institute (TUIK) said on 15 July.  The unemployment rate dropped to 9.3%, from 9.6% in April last year, and also fell month-on-month from 10.1% in March.  The report said 27,638,000 people were employed in April from a potential labor force of 30,462,000.  It also showed that youth unemployment fell by 1% year-on-year.  (TUIK 15.07)

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7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

*ISRAEL:

7.1  Israel & Republic of Guinea Sign Agreement Renewing Diplomatic Ties

On 20 July, Israel and the Republic of Guinea (Guinea-Conakry) signed an agreement renewing diplomatic ties between the two nations.  This is an important moment, as Guinea renews its diplomatic relations with Israel after 49 years (having severed ties with Israel in 1967).  The renewal of ties with the largely Muslim African country of Guinea is the latest step in Israel’s courtship of the continent, and Prime Minister Netanyahu said he expected other nations to soon follow suit.  The news follows Netanyahu’s four-nation Africa tour earlier this month.  It was the first visit to sub-Saharan Africa by a sitting Israeli prime minister in nearly three decades.  (MFA 20.07)

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7.2  Israel Joins UNESCO Battle Against Homophobic Bullying in Schools

Israel’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced that Israel was the only Middle Eastern country to sign on to a UNESCO initiative designed to promote education against homophobia in schools.  Education ministers from various countries have pledged to support the anti-bullying initiative.  The accord, signed by Education Minister Naftali Bennett, states that Israel is committed to fighting discrimination and violence against the LGBT community, including bullying in schools.  Special attention will be afforded to training teachers to fight bullying and discrimination on the basis of sexual orientation or gender identity.  (IH 24.07)

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*REGIONAL:

7.3  Kuwait Swelters Under Record 54 C Heatwave

On 21 July, a remote area of Kuwait has recorded a temperature of 54 degrees Celsius as a heat wave hit swathes of the north-western part of the Arabian Peninsula.  The temperature in Mitribah matches that witnessed in California’s Death Valley in 2013, making it the hottest day ever recorded.  The heatwave has been likely caused by the El Nino weather phenomenon.  Essa Ramadan, a consultant at the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA), told KUNA that El Nino had also been behind a similar heatwave in 1998, where a weather station at Kuwait International Airport recorded a temperature of 51.4 degrees.  He said that the temperature is expected to fall below 50 degrees for a week, although the hot weather would continue until the end of August.  The southern Iraqi city of Basra also recorded a temperature of 53.9 degrees on Thursday.  The hot weather has seen unprecedented demand on Kuwait’s electricity infrastructure, with several power outages reported last week.  (AB 24.07)

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7.4  Saudi Cleric Renews Edict Against Playing ‘Pokemon Go’

Saudi Arabia’s top clerics renewed a religious edict that warns against playing the wildly popular mobile phone application “Pokemon Go.”  First issued in 2001 when the game was played with cards, the decree says Pokemon violates Islamic prohibitions against gambling, uses devious Masonic-like symbols and promotes “forbidden images.”  The edict, or fatwa, has reappeared in a ticker on the home page of the kingdom’s portal for official religious decrees.  The edict notes that a six-pointed star in the game, for example, is associated with the State of Israel and that certain triangular symbols hold important meanings for Freemasonry.  Crosses in the game are a symbol of Christianity, while other symbols are associated with polytheism, says the edict.  Additionally, the edict states parents are using the game to punish and reward children, while warning that adults could gamble away money playing the game.  The game is popular in the Middle East and many gamers have downloaded the app, though it is not been officially released regionally.  (Various 21.07)

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7.5  Morocco Ranks as 33rd Happiest Country, Ahead of the US & UK

Morocco ranks as the 33rd most sustainably happy countries in the world today, ahead of the UK and well ahead of the US, according to, The Happy Planet Index Report, published by The New Economics Foundation.  The index measures happiness in 140 countries based on four elements: wellbeing, life expectancy, inequality of outcomes, and ecological footprint (which measures the supply of and demand on nature).  The aim of the index is to encourage people to live good lives with limited resources and without great cost to the planet.

Costa Rica topped the ranking due to its policy of sustainable development, having abolished its army in 1949 and reinvested the money in health and education programs.  The UK came in at 34 and USA was ranked way down the list at 108.  Chad, an oil producing country which suffers from a high poverty rate, inadequate infrastructure and internal instability, appears at the bottom of the ranking with a large ecological footprint.

Morocco ranked at 33, scored 32.7, reflecting a 73.4 year of age life expectancy, 5/10 in wellbeing, 1.7 in ecological footprint, and 25% in inequality.  The index does not take into account other criteria, such as social freedoms or economic strength.  (MWN 23.07)

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7.6  Turkey Declares State of Emergency

On 20 July, Turkish President Erdogan announced a three-month state of emergency after a meeting with his security council.  The state of emergency will grant Erdogan wide-ranging executive powers in the wake of a failed coup attempt on 15 July.  Approximately 50,000 public employees have been arrested or fired in purges that began after the suppression of the so-called coup.  The judiciary, which was among the first sectors to be affected by the government crackdown, has been so hard hit and the purges are moving with such speed that rights groups say laws and due process have been bypassed.  Given the evolving domestic situation, the true ramifications of the coup (which many claim to have been fabricated by Erdogan himself as a move to crack down on domestic opposition) have yet to be fully seen or adequately assessed.

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8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  Israeli Surgery Technique Removes Shaking due to Parkinson’s Disease

In a medical breakthrough, a treatment has been found to treat Parkinson’s disease. In a rare procedure, brain surgery was performed to treat Parkinson’s and its subsequent shaking via ultrasound waves.  The surgery was done in Haifa’s Rambam Hospital, done during the annual conference International Society for Therapeutic Ultrasound (ISTU).

The complex and innovative surgery was developed by InSightec.  The procedure is performed utilizing ultrasound waves while the patient lies within a MRI machine wearing a special helmet. The surgeon uses a computer mouse instead of a knife.  After only an hour, the patient can get up and leave the hospital without shaking.  The patient can regain their quality of life which has been lost due to Parkinson’s disease.

Tirat HaCarmel’s InSightec develops and distributes the Exablate platform which provides non-invasive treatments for a variety of oncology and gynecology indications.  The Exablate platform uses revolutionary MRgFUS technology which combines high intensity focused ultrasound guided by Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI). Focused ultrasound waves, guided by magnetic resonance imaging are used to safely ablate targeted tissue, ensuring a high rate of effectiveness with minimal side effects. (Onlysimchas.com 17.07)

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8.2  PamBio Raises $7 Million

PamBio raised $7 million from a private investor.  The company, which has developed a treatment for hemorrhagic stroke and other kinds of bleeding, was founded by entrepreneur Prof. Abd Higazi, head of the Division of Laboratories & Department of Clinical Biochemistry at Jerusalem’s Hadassah Hospital and his spouse Dr. Nuha Higazi, a doctor of neurology, with the support of Hadasit, the Technology Transfer Company of the Hadassah University Hospitals.  Since its founding in August 2014, $3 million have been invested in the company by NGT3 and the Office of the Chief Scientist.  PamBio’s investor, who chose to remain anonymous, is an experienced private pharma investor.  Other than capital, he also owns an advanced development facility and manpower that can support the drug’s development.

Nazareth Elite’s PamBio is an innovative, pre-clinical stage biotechnology company developing drug therapy for acute bleeding conditions.  (Globes 18.07)

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8.3  AV Medical Begins Initial Experience in the US with Its Chameleon PTA Balloon Catheter

AV Medical Technologies has commenced cases in the US with its Chameleon angioplasty balloon catheter.  With its Supervision design, Chameleon is the only angioplasty balloon catheter that allows for simultaneous balloon inflation and injection of fluids in one device.  Chameleon allows physicians to visualize by injecting contrast through the catheter, whether the balloon is inflated or deflated, all while maintaining wire position.

Tel Aviv’s AV Medical Technologies, a privately held medical device company headquartered in Israel, is dedicated to the development of advanced and efficient solutions in catheter-based interventions. The company is now focusing on its flagship catheter, the Chameleon, targeted for dialysis patients undergoing routine angioplasty procedures.  (AV Medical 19.07)

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8.4  CIOReview Names MedyMatch Among 100 Most Promising Big Data Solutions 2016

MedyMatch Technology has been ranked in the list of “100 Most Promising BigData Solution Providers” by CIOReview.  The companies selected for the 100 Most Promising BigData Solution Providers 2016 list are an elite group of companies whose products and solutions are changing their respective industries.  MedyMatch addresses the needs of healthcare providers and patients by utilizing deep vision, advanced cognitive analytics, and artificial intelligence to deliver real time decision support tools to improve clinical outcomes in acute medical scenarios.

Tel Aviv’s MedyMatch utilizes advanced cognitive analytics and artificial intelligence to deliver real-time decision support tools to improve clinical outcomes in acute medical scenarios.  The foundation of clinical discovery and value creation lies in the deep clinical understanding of how to diagnose disease, utilizing the right data (electronic medical record, medical imaging, and genomic data).  The MedyMatch team of artificial intelligence, machine learning, deep learning and algorithmic experts along with its medical and science advisory boards are achieving breakthroughs in standards of cost and care.  (MedyMatch 21.07)

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8.5  Syneron Candela’s PicoWay Picosecond Laser Receives US FDA Clearance

Syneron Medical announced that the PicoWay picosecond laser received US FDA clearance for a new ultra-short 785nm wavelength, which is the third FDA cleared wavelength for PicoWay.  The new ultra-short 785nm wavelength is the first of its kind in the aesthetic market, utilizing a titanium sapphire laser for the removal of blue and green inks, and will be available to new and existing PicoWay customers in the U.S. market in the fourth quarter 2016.  The FDA clearance of the new ultra-short 785nm wavelength was supported by a 15 patient study, covering 22 tattoos, of which 18 contained blue and green inks.  Blinded evaluation of tattoo clearance, by independent board-certified physicians, showed that 83% of the treated blue/green tattoos had “good” to “complete” treatment response after 2 PicoWay treatments with the 785nm wavelength.  Moreover, investigator assessments of tattoo clearance showed similar results to blinded evaluation findings.  There were no treatment complications, and PicoWay treatments were generally associated with no discomfort to mild discomfort for the majority of treatments.

Founded in 2000, the corporate, R&D, and manufacturing headquarters for Syneron Candela are located in Israel. Syneron Candela also has R&D and manufacturing operations in the U.S.  Syneron Candela is a leading global aesthetic device company with a comprehensive product portfolio and a global distribution footprint.  The Company’s technology enables physicians to provide advanced solutions for a broad range of medical-aesthetic applications including body contouring, hair removal, wrinkle reduction, tattoo removal, improving the skin’s appearance through the treatment of superficial benign vascular and pigmented lesions, and the treatment of acne, leg veins and cellulite.  (Syneron Medical 25.07)

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8.6  DreaMed Diabetes Raises $3.3 Million from Norma Investments and a Strategic Investor

DreaMed Diabetes initiated a new investment round, out of which it has already raised $3.3 million from Norma Investments Limited and a strategic investor.  The funds will be used mainly for the further development of Advisor, the Company’s decision support technology platform for determining the optimal patient-specific insulin treatment plans leading to balanced glucose levels in people with diabetes.  The system uses event-driven machine learning and fuzzy logic technology in order to process multiple personalized parameters, such as insulin delivery data, glucose readings, meal data and more into an informed and optimized insulin dosing treatment plan.

In February 2016, DreaMed Diabetes was selected from amongst 70 applicants, including leading multinational companies, as the winner of the Leona M. and Harry B. Helmsley Charitable Trust Award for the Type 1 Diabetes Decision Support Initiative.  DreaMed was awarded a $3.4 million grant towards an international clinical study, along with Glooko, a leader in mobile and web applications for diabetes management, to generate preliminary data on the safety, reliability and efficacy of the DreaMed Advisor system for Type 1 diabetes patients treated with insulin pumps.

Founded in 2014, Petah Tikva’s DreaMed Diabetes develops health solutions and decision support tools using algorithms for the optimization of intensive insulin therapy for the benefit of people with Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes.  The Company’s first product, GlucoSitter, was developed for closed-loop insulin therapy and was licensed to Medtronic.  The Company’s latest product, Advisor, is a system for the optimization of patient specific intensive insulin therapy decisions.  (DreaMed Diabetes 25.07)

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8.7  Can-Fite Completes Phase II Study for CF102 in the Treatment of NASH/NAFLD

Can-Fite BioPharma completed the protocol design for its upcoming Phase II trial of its drug candidate CF102 in the treatment of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), the precursor to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).  NAFLD is characterized by excess fat accumulation in the form of triglycerides (steatosis) in the liver.  NAFLD includes a range of liver diseases, with NASH being the more advanced form, manifesting as hepatic injury and inflammation.  CF102 is currently being evaluated in a Phase II study for the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Recent preclinical studies of CF102 revealed its capability to improve liver pathology in a NAFLD animal model of NASH including data showing a statistically significant reduction in NAFLD activity score compared to placebo.

Petah Tikva’s Can-Fite BioPharma is an advanced clinical stage drug development Company with a platform technology that is designed to address multi-billion dollar markets in the treatment of cancer, inflammatory disease and sexual dysfunction.  The Company’s lead drug candidate, Piclidenoson, is scheduled to enter Phase III trials in 2016 for two indications, rheumatoid arthritis and psoriasis.  The rheumatoid arthritis Phase III protocol has recently been agreed with EMA.  Can-Fite’s liver cancer drug CF102 is in Phase II trials for patients with liver cancer and is slated to enter Phase II for the treatment of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).  CF102 has been granted Orphan Drug Designation in the U.S. and Europe and Fast Track Designation as a second line treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma by the U.S. FDA.  (Can-Fite 25.07)

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8.8  LifeBond Receives FDA IDE Approval for LifeSeal GI Surgical Sealant Clinical Trial

LifeBond received a U.S. FDA Investigational Device Exemption (IDE) approval to initiate a clinical study of the LifeSeal Surgical Sealant Kit, which includes a unique gastrointestinal (GI) sealant specifically designed to minimize staple-line leakage in gastrointestinal resection procedures.  This news follows the recent receipt of CE marking in Europe early this year and an Expedited Access Pathway (EAP) designation status from the FDA for LifeSeal in the U.S in 2015.  The EAP designation highlights the medical importance of LifeSeal and provides for expedited review by the FDA.  Commercialization has already been initiated in several countries in Europe.

The FDA trial is designed to be a multicenter, multinational, randomized, double arm, single-blind study that will evaluate the safety and efficacy of the LifeSeal Surgical Sealant Kit.  The study will be conducted at leading medical centers in the US and Europe. Patient enrollment is currently open at the clinical sites in Europe, with additional sites to be initiated in the US in the coming months.

Caesarea’s LifeBond is a leader in the development and manufacturing of bio-surgical medical devices for tissue repair intended to improve the recovery of patients following surgery and to create an environment that supports the body’s natural healing process.  Of natural origin, elastic, adhesive, durable and yet absorbable, the company’s devices have the potential to fill a long list of unmet surgical needs.  LifeBond’s first product, LifeSeal, is designed to provide staple-line reinforcement in GI surgery.  Anastomotic (point of surgical connection) leakage after a colorectal resection is associated with significant mortality and morbidity.  Once applied over colorectal staple-lines, LifeSeal forms an elastic yet firm protective layer designed to maintain sealing during the critical post-operative period.  Reducing leakage has the potential to save patient lives, improve patient recovery and avoid re-admissions and repeated surgeries.  (LifeBond 21.07)

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9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Mellanox Simplifies RDMA Deployments with Enhanced RoCE Software

Mellanox Technologies announced the availability of new software drivers for RoCE (RDMA over Converged Ethernet).  The new drivers are designed to simplify RDMA (Remote Direct Memory Access) deployments on Ethernet networks and enable high-end performance using RoCE, without requiring the network to be configured for lossless operation.  This enables cloud, storage, and enterprise customers to deploy RoCE more quickly and easily while accelerating application performance, improving infrastructure efficiency and reducing cost.  RDMA over Converged Ethernet (RoCE) is a mechanism that provides highly efficient data transfer with very low latencies on Ethernet networks. RoCE can be implemented in hardware as well as in software.  Soft-RoCE is the open source software implementation of the RoCE standard and compatible with any ordinary Ethernet network cards that lack hardware support for RDMA.

Yokneam’s Mellanox Technologies is a leading supplier of end-to-end InfiniBand and Ethernet interconnect solutions and services for servers and storage. Mellanox interconnect solutions increase data center efficiency by providing the highest throughput and lowest latency, delivering data faster to applications and unlocking system performance capability. Mellanox offers a choice of fast interconnect products: adapters, switches, software, cables and silicon that accelerate application runtime and maximize business results for a wide range of markets including high-performance computing, enterprise data centers, Web 2.0, cloud, storage and financial services.  (Mellanox 13.07)

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9.2  Optimal+ Selected by Renesas to Enhance Global Manufacturing Operations

Optimal+ announced the deployment of its full suite of software solutions from the company’s Semiconductor Operations Platform at Japan’s Renesas Electronics Corporation.  The solutions include: Global Ops, for product yield and efficiency improvement; Escape Prevention and Outlier Detection, for quality and RMA management; and TTR, to increase overall test efficiency through adaptive test.  Collectively, these solutions will enable Renesas to enhance their global manufacturing operations to maximize equipment utilization and efficiency while delivering the highest quality products to their customers.

Optimal+ delivers the industry’s leading enterprise solution that measurably improves semiconductor and electronics product yield, productivity and quality through early detection.  The company’s solutions enable a paradigm shift in the manufacturing data infrastructure of semiconductor and electronics companies to provide rapid, actionable intelligence that can be used to optimize every measurable link in the global manufacturing supply chain.

Holon’s Optimal+ is a global supplier of Manufacturing Intelligence software solutions, enabling any semiconductor or electronics company to seamlessly aggregate, organize and act upon the global manufacturing data generated across their distributed supply chains to measurably improve yield, quality and productivity.  The company’s real-time, big data analytics solutions are deployed in virtually every major foundry and OSAT currently serving the semiconductor ecosystem, processing over 35 billion chips every year on behalf of its customers and is ushering in an era of unprecedented supply chain visibility that translates into strong and measurable ROI.  (Optimal+ 12.07)

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9.3  AfricaOnline Deploys RADWIN JET PtMP to Deliver Mega-Capacity

RADWIN announced that AfricaOnline Ghana, a subsidiary of the PAN African based internet service provider, iWayAfrica, and part of Gondwana International Networks – a leading ISP based in Accra – has selected and deployed RADWIN’s groundbreaking JET 3.5 GHz Point-to-Multipoint solution.  Designed with smart Beam-Forming antenna technology, RADWIN 5000 JET provides long-range access connectivity with secured SLA to enterprise customers.  During the first phase of deployment the RADWIN JET-based network will cover the capital city of Accra and in the second phase will extend to the outlying cities of Kumasi, Takoradi and Tamale.

Tel Aviv’s RADWIN is a leading provider of Point-to-Multipoint and Point-to-Point sub-6 GHz broadband wireless solutions that are deployed in over 150 countries.  (RADWIN 14.07)

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9.4  Nano Dimension Files Patent Application for New Nanometric Conductive Ink

Nano Dimension announced today that its wholly owned subsidiary, Nano Dimension Technologies, has filed a patent application with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office for the development of a new nanometric conductive ink, which is based on a unique synthesis.  The new nanoparticle synthesis further minimizes the size of the silver nanoparticles particles in the company’s ink products.  The new process achieves silver nanoparticles as small as 4 nanometers.  The innovative ink has the potential to accelerate printing speeds and save ink for the 3D printing of electronics such as printed circuit boards, antennas and others.  Furthermore, the ink enhances the capabilities of the company’s DragonFly 2020 3D printer, and may improve the conductivity of the printed lines.  The company intends to commercialize its ink products as supplementary products to its 3D printers and as separate and independent products.

Ness Ziona’s Nano Dimension, founded in 2012, focuses on development of advanced 3D printed electronics systems and advanced additive manufacturing. Nano Dimension’s unique products combine three advanced technologies: 3D inkjet, 3D software and nanomaterials. The company’s primary products include the first 3D printer dedicated to printing multi-layer PCBs (printed circuit boards) and advanced nanotechnology-based conductive and dielectric inks.  (Nano Dimension 14.07)

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9.5  Gauzy Announces Collaboration with Mercedes-Benz

Gauzy recently announced that it has been working in collaboration with Mercedes-Benz Cars Daimler AG for the past three years.  The announcement came during a prestigious automotive high-tech competition held in Stuttgart, Germany, during which Gauzy was also selected among the final ten.  The event, Start-up Autobahn, is a global hardware and mobility innovation platform intended to connect top mobility start-ups with resources from corporations, investors, and universities.  It was sponsored by Plug and Play tech center in Silicon Valley, Daimler and the University of Stuttgart.

Gauzy has created technology using unique liquid crystal film which can be embedded into raw materials—with a current focus on glass—to perform a vast array of functions including, inter alia, providing users the ability to control its levels of transparency and opacity.

Founded in 2009, Tel Aviv’s Gauzy is currently a leading provider of turnkey liquid crystal glass projects, installing laminated LC films in different applications such as home appliances, architecture, construction, automotive industry and many other segmented markets.  Their patent pending innovative control technologies enable us to handle glass like never before – Dim glass with numerous stages of transparency, create in-glass blinds, insert transparent solar cells into glass windows, and achieve various glass related innovations in the automotive and aviation industries.  (Ynet 19.07)

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9.6  FST Biometrics Surpasses 1.5 Million Monthly User Identifications

FST Biometrics announced that more than 1.5 million successful identifications are taking place each month around the world with its IMID access system.  In addition, the company announced that it has increased its customer base by 30% in the past 12 months from the financial, corporate, health and real estate markets.  The last 12 months have also been a time of significant feature additions for IMID Access, FST’s core product.  These new features have readied the product for the enterprise markets, and these large customers are already moving forward with implementations.

Rishon LeTzion’s FST Biometrics is a leading identity management solutions provider.  The company’s IMID product line offers access control through its proprietary In Motion Identification technology.  This provides the ultimate security and convenience for users, who are accurately identified without having to stop or slow down.  IMID solutions integrate a fusion of biometric and analytic technologies that include face recognition, body behavior analytics and voice verification, for a variety of venues including large corporations, office buildings, educational institutions, government bodies in addition to health and recreation centers.  (FST Biometrics 19.07)

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9.7  Angola Deploys Hundreds of RADWIN 5000 Point-to-MultiPoint in 2.2-2.3 GHz Band

RADWIN announced that service provider Internet Technologies Angola (ITA) has deployed a national network using RADWIN’s Point-to-MultiPoint solutions in the 2.2-2.3 GHz band. ITA provides business-class services to many of Angola’s largest corporations.  ITA sought a solution in the unique 2.2-2.3 GHz band that could coexist with the high transmit power of the 3G cellular network in Luanda and other cities.  They evaluated several technologies including WiMAX and realized that RADWIN’s carrier-grade wireless broadband was the solution for their needs.  RADWIN tailored a solution to fulfill our requirements and today we can provide high-speed connectivity of 50 Mbps and upwards with low latency and guaranteed SLAs to corporate clients.

Tel Aviv’s RADWIN is a leading provider of Point-to-Multipoint and Point-to-Point sub-6 GHz broadband wireless solutions. Incorporating the most advanced technologies such as a Beam-forming antenna and an innovative Air Interface, RADWIN’s systems deliver optimal performance in the toughest conditions including high interference and obstructed line-of-sight. Deployed in over 170 countries, RADWIN’s solutions power applications including backhaul, broadband access, video surveillance transmission and broadband for trains and metros.  (RADWIN 21.07)

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9.8  Illusive’s New Family of Deceptions Targeting Advanced Ransomware Threats (ARTs)

illusive networks unveiled a new family of deceptions that detects, alerts and neutralizes ransomware in real-time.  illusive’s Advanced Ransomware Guard is the only solution that deploys ransomware-specific deceptions across the entire network, endpoints and servers and neutralizes ransomware activity at the source hosts.  The new family of deceptions is able to detect the specific action of attempted encryption, deletion or removal of assets and neutralization is triggered immediately and automatically.  As soon as ransomware attempts to gain a foothold in a network, or move laterally toward strategic assets, illusive’s high fidelity detection and Advanced Ransomware Guard automatically blocks the ransomware operation on the source hosts, alerts defenders and diverts it to encrypt phony targets.

Tel Aviv’s illusive networks is pioneering deception-based cybersecurity with its patent-pending Deceptions Everywhere technology that neutralizes targeted attacks and Advanced Persistent Threats (APT) by creating a deceptive layer across the entire network. By providing an endless source of false information, illusive networks disrupts and detects advanced attacks with real-time forensics and without disruption to business.  (illusive Networks 21.07)

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10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israel’s Consumer Price Index Rises By 0.3% in June

Israel’s Central Bureau of Statistics announced on 15 July that Israel’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose for the third consecutive month (0.3% in June) but has still fallen 0.8% over the past year.  The CPI rose 0.3% in May and 0.4% in April.  Prior to the past three months, the CPI had fallen for five straight months.  The rise was in line with analyst’s predictions.

Since the start of the year, the CPI is unchanged and over the past 12 months, the CPI has fallen 0.8%.  This is still well below the government’s inflation target range of between 1% and 3%.  Prominent price rises in June included fashion and footwear (8.3%), transport (1%) and culture and entertainment (0.6%).  Significant price falls in June included fresh fruit and vegetables (4.4%), furniture and household equipment (0.6%), and food (0.5%).  The housing price index, published separately from the CPI, showed that home prices rose 0.3% and have risen 7.8% over the past 12 months.  (CBS 15.07)

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10.2  Israel’s First Quarter Growth Figures Revised Upwards Once Again

The Central Bureau of Statistics released growth figures for Israel.  During the first quarter, the GDP rose by 1.7%.  The original figure of 0.8% was later revised to 1.3% before this release.  Business product grew 0.8% in the first quarter, compared with the previous figure of 0.2%.  Private consumption was up 5% (4.8%), and investments in fixed assets jumped 14.6% (16.2%).

The latest figures mean that concern about a possible recession has been greatly relieved, following the Central Bureau of Statistics’ second revision of the growth figures.  In Israel, a recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of negative per capital growth. 1.7% growth is practically the same as Israel’s 1.8% population growth, meaning that per capital growth is zero, but not negative.

Despite this good news, the latest figure for Israeli exports still indicates an annualized decrease, but only by 5.3% and not the 8% drop published a month ago.  (CBS 17.07)

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10.3  Israel’s Labor Productivity 14% Lower Than OECD Average

On 19 July, the Bank of Israel published an excerpt from its periodic fiscal survey, taken from the chapter dealing with basic skills of workers in Israel and market sector productivity.  The Bank of Israel said that Israel’s labor productivity is 14% lower than the developed country average and is particularly low in non-tradable sectors and industry sectors that sell only to the domestic market.  Productivity gaps in the food and accommodation services, as well as in construction and trade industries makes the greatest negative contribution to the overall productivity gap.  In contrast, labor productivity in the electronics industry is higher than the OECD average and reduces the productivity gaps between Israel and other advanced OECD economies.

As for the workers’ basic cognitive skills, the Bank of Israel claims that they are lower than the OECD average, even though the share of Israeli workers with an academic degree is higher than the OECD average.  This is explained in the report, “This finding indicates that workers’ skills, and particularly their cognitive abilities, are not derived from years of schooling only, but also from the quality of education and from other personal and environmental variables.”

The Bank of Israel claims that the relatively low level of skills of workers in non-tradable industries correlates with a lower output per worker, and is reflected in low-cost, labor-intensive work methods that involve little advanced technology.  According to the survey, skills are particularly low in the fields of trade and construction, as well as industries which sell mostly to domestic market even though the share of academic degree holders in the these industries remains higher than the OECD average.

The bank recommends adopting an approach of investing in basic cognitive skills through early childhood education in order to improve skills and bolster productivity.  In addition, it is recommended to improve the basic proficiency of adults through designated programs for population groups for which the survey found especially low achievements.  (Globes 19.07)

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10.4  OECD Says Israeli Roads the Most Congested in Developed World

Israel has the highest road congestion among developed nations, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said in a recent policy paper.  According to the paper, Israel has the greatest average traffic density among OECD members, with more than 2.7 million vehicle-kilometers driven per kilometer of road.  The data used for the paper is from 2014.  An additional 400,000 vehicles joined Israel’s roads since then.  By comparison, Spain had fewer than 1.4 million vehicle-kilometers per kilometer and Turkey had fewer than 250,000 vehicle-kilometers per kilometer in the same reporting period.  In the paper, the organization’s economists recommended introducing congestion charges, especially around cities and on major arteries, to encourage people to use public transportation.  (IH 25.07)

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11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  ISRAEL & SAUDI ARABIA:  Riyadh’s Diplomatic Dance With Israel

Simon Henderson wrote a Policy Alert for the Washington Institute on 25 July commenting that the unofficial Saudi visit to Jerusalem is a significant advance but not quite a breakthrough in relations, raising questions about what’s next.

Last week, retired Saudi major-general Anwar Eshki led a delegation to Israel, where he met with various officials and made public statements about the Palestinian issue and other matters.  The visit was highly unusual, unexpected, but not completely surprising – the general had revealed his contacts with Israel in June 2015 when he appeared in Washington alongside Dore Gold, the former Israeli ambassador to the UN who is a confidant of Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and was soon to be appointed director-general of the Foreign Ministry, the institution’s top bureaucrat.  At the time, the two men admitted to a series of previous meetings and their unstated implication in going public was to suggest common Saudi and Israeli concerns about the imminent P5+1 nuclear deal with Iran.

Although the latest visit may not have been Eshki’s first trip to Israel, this time he was reportedly accompanied by a number of Saudi academics and businesspeople.  Despite the absence of mutual diplomatic recognition, all of these individuals would have needed special dispensation from the Saudi government to make the journey.  The only photographs published so far show Eshki standing with Israeli Knesset members and Palestinian officials.  He also met with Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas during an earlier side trip to Ramallah.  In an interview with Israel Army Radio, the general stated, “There will be no peace with the Arab countries before there is peace with the Palestinians…The Israel-Palestinian conflict is not the source of terrorism, but it does create fertile ground for acts of terrorism in the region.  If the conflict is resolved, the countries that exploit the Palestinian issue, namely Iran, will no longer be able to capitalize on it.”

Eshki also met with Gold again, albeit at a hotel rather than the Foreign Ministry.  Gold’s continuing centrality in engagement with the Saudis suggests that other dynamics (and perhaps tensions) are at play.  Since becoming director-general, he has concentrated on increasing the number of countries willing to recognize Israel and developing ties that already exist – hence Netanyahu’s recent African trip, which took in Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda and Ethiopia.  Last week, the West African Muslim-majority country of Guinea reestablished ties after a forty-nine-year break.  Similarly, Gold has been working on links with the Arab world.  Although he noted in a speech in Herzliya last month that Israel’s budding ties need to remain clandestine to respect Arab public “sensitivities,” he also pointed out the following: “Twenty, thirty years ago, everyone said ‘solve the Palestinian issue and you’ll have peace with the Arab world.’  Increasingly we are becoming convinced [that] it’s the exact opposite.  It’s a different order we have to create.  And that’s what we’re going to do.”  He then spoke of recent talks with an unnamed senior Arab diplomat, saying the Palestinian issue “was pretty close to the bottom” of the official’s current priorities.  Saudi deputy crown prince Muhammad bin Salman left a similar impression when he visited Washington in June.

In contrast, Eshki gave the appearance of adhering to a tight script during his trip, promoting the Arab Peace Initiative, the 2002 Saudi-led proposal that offered full diplomatic ties with Riyadh and fifty-six other Arab and Muslim countries once Israel reaches a peace accord with the Palestinians.  While seemingly farfetched at the moment, the initiative retains some value with diplomats.  While Netanyahu told an interviewer in 2014 that the proposal was drawn up at a very different time in the Middle East and was no longer relevant, he said last month that if it were revised, “then we can talk.”

The question is what happens now.  The main Saudi personality in the slow process of publicly acknowledging Israel has been former intelligence chief and ambassador Prince Turki al-Faisal, a more high-profile figure than Eshki but also not a current official.  So far this year, Turki has shaken hands with then-Israeli defense minister Moshe Yaalon and debated with Netanyahu’s former national security advisor.  Would he meet in public with Gold, who once wrote a book titled Hatred’s Kingdom: How Saudi Arabia Supports the New Global Terrorism?  Could such a meeting be held in Israel?  Moreover, after Netanyahu’s most recent comment about revising the Arab Peace Initiative, Saudi foreign minister Adel al-Jubeir asked, “Why should we change [it]?  I believe the argument that the Arab Peace Initiative needs to be watered down in order to accommodate the Israelis is not the right approach.”  The next step may well depend on Arab public reaction (or lack thereof) to Eshki’s visit. The response has largely been indifferent so far, though it may be too early to judge.

Simon Henderson is the Baker Fellow and director of the Gulf and Energy Policy Program at The Washington Institute.  (TWI 25.07)

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11.2  SAUDI ARABIA:  Oil Reserves: A Riddle, Wrapped in a Mystery, Inside an Enigma

Diane Munro wrote in the Arab Gulf States Institute publication The Dhow that Saudi Arabia has long reigned as the most important holder of oil reserves in the world, but new data from a leading oil consultancy estimates volumes are sharply lower than official government projections, placing the kingdom below the United States and Russia.  Rystad Energy estimates for Saudi Arabia’s proved reserves at 70 billion barrels are significantly lower than the 266 billion reported by Saudi Aramco.

Saudi Arabia’s official oil reserves have been mired in controversy for decades but debate over the data escalated again earlier this year after the government announced plans for the sale of up to 5% of state-owned Aramco, slated for late 2017 or 2018, which is expected to be the world’s largest ever share offering.  Saudi Arabia has reported that proved reserves have been maintained in a narrow range of 260-268 billion barrels since 1990, when it substantially raised its official data from 173 billion barrels in 1989.  Not coincidentally, almost all OPEC members sharply increased their reported reserve data in the 1980s when the group was considering using oil reserves, among other criteria, as a basis for determining each country’s individual production quota allocation.  At the time, OPEC members, including Saudi Arabia, gave no explanation for the sudden upward revisions, such as new oil discoveries, to justify the sudden increases, which ignited debate over OPEC’s credibility of its reserve data.

Saudi Reserves

SaudiOilReserves

There are international industry guidelines for defining oil reserves and the methodologies used for calculating them but implementation of these standards varies globally, causing inconsistencies in the way reserves are publicly reported.  Both OPEC and non-OPEC state-controlled national oil companies have the widest variances and lack transparency.

There are three main categories of oil reserves that are universally accepted by the international oil industry: proved, probable, and possible reserves.  The guidelines are set by the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE) in collaboration with the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, Society of Exploration Geophysicists, Society of Petroleum Evaluation Engineers, and World Petroleum Council.  The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has similar definitions and guidelines that must be followed by U.S. companies for accounting purposes.  According to SPE:

  1. Proved Reserves are those quantities of petroleum which, by analysis of geological and engineering data, can be estimated with reasonable certainty to be commercially recoverable, from a given date forward, from known reservoirs and under current economic conditions, operating methods, and government regulations.
  2. Probable Reserves are unproved reserves which analysis of geological and engineering data suggests have 50% probability to be recovered.
  3. Possible Reserves are those unproved reserves which analysis of geological and engineering data suggests are less likely to be recoverable than probable reserves and have a 10% certainty of commercial extraction.

Recycling Information

OPEC purportedly adopted the SPE standards almost a decade ago but individual countries do not provide detailed or audited geological and engineering data to support their official submission to the OPEC Secretariat, which only reinforces the view that the data is politically driven.  Nonetheless, reserve data reported to the OPEC Secretariat for publication in its Annual Statistical Bulletin is widely disseminated across industry reports, adding further to the uncorroborated information in circulation.

The other main sources of public information on proved oil reserves are the Oil & Gas Journal (OGJ), annual BP Statistical Review of World Energy, and U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), which all basically recycle data that does not conform to SPE standards.  The OGJ’s reserves estimates are based on survey responses and official updates by individual countries that have not been vetted by outside auditors, and which are not updated on a regular basis in many cases.  The EIA data for countries other than the United States is from OGJ and in its footnote says: “Reserve estimates for crude oil are very difficult to develop.  As a convenience to the public, EIA makes available these crude oil reserve estimates from other sources, but it does not certify these data.”

The BP Statistical Review of World Energy is one of the industry standards for information but its data for global proved reserves is not sourced from its own research but compiled using a combination of primary official sources and third-party data from the OPEC Secretariat, OGJ, and World Oil.  Moreover, the latest report notes that “the data series for total proved oil does not necessarily meet the definitions, guidelines and practices used for determining proved reserves at company level, for instance as published by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, nor does it necessarily represent BP’s view of proved reserves by country.”

In the distant past, independently assessed oil reserve data for OPEC members was more readily available from oil companies that had production sharing contracts all over the world, but the information flow dried up with the rise of national oil companies.  There are several oil industry consulting companies that have a specialized focus on global oil exploration, production, and reserve data and, given the dearth of public information available, providing intelligence on oil field data to clients is big business.  IHS Markit, which in recent years has merged with leading consultants CERA, Petroleum Finance, and John S. Herold, among several others, is one of the oldest and largest firms that generates its own proprietary oil field data and analysis based on its deep resource base and decades of experience.  Norwegian-based Rystad is a relative newcomer, opening offices in Europe, the Americas, and Singapore over the past few years but so far does not have a Middle East presence.  Rystad quickly established a client base, in part, because its data products are significantly less expensive than the larger, more established firms.  Also, unlike other public reserve data in circulation, Rystad is at the forefront of trying to capture information on growing nonconventional oil field developments.

Saudi Reserves

CrudeReserves

Rystad’s latest data release may have been intended to add more clarity to the opaque world of oil reserves, but the new analysis has had the unintended consequence of adding further confusion to estimates of global oil reserves.  Rystad issued a press release on 4 July with the provocative headline, “The U.S. Now Holds More Oil Reserves Than Saudi Arabia,” which was misleading since the analysis was based on highly speculative estimates for “yet undiscovered fields,” which deviates from the accepted industry definition of reserves.  Rystad’s expanded definition of reserves to include yet undiscovered fields catapulted the United States and Russia above Saudi Arabia and made for explosive headlines in dozens of news reports, including the Financial Times, Bloomberg, and Gulf News.  Under the expanded definition, which Rystad labels 2PCX, the United States holds 264 billion barrels, followed by Russia at 256 billion barrels, and Saudi Arabia at 212 billion barrels.  But, by any measure, this new data set can’t be considered reserves since an oil or gas deposit is classified as reserves only after technical and commercial certainty of extraction using existing technology has been established.  When Rystad uses industry accepted definitions of reserves under its IP, 2P, and 2PC categories as shown in the table, Saudi Arabia outranks all other countries.

However, it is Rystad’s estimates for the industry standard of “proved reserves” that are challenging the veracity of the publicly available reserve data, and critically Saudi Arabia’s role as the largest holder of global oil reserves.  According to Rystad, Saudi Arabia’s proved reserves are just 70 billion barrels compared with 266 billion reported by Saudi Aramco.  Rystad defines its proved reserves as “conservative estimates in existing fields,” which is in line with the SPE’s standard definition.  Rystad assesses total OPEC proved oil reserves at just 381 billion barrels compared to an average of 1.21 trillion from the three major public sources of data – BP, EIA, and OPEC.  According to Rystad, some countries, especially members of OPEC, exaggerated the size of their reserves in self-reported surveys; once only economically viable reserves were included for each country the numbers were much lower.  The company said the data was based on an analysis of 60,000 fields worldwide conducted over a three-year period, but without access to Saudi Arabia’s oil field data it is difficult to understand how the new Saudi proved oil reserve estimates were arrived at with any degree of accuracy.

Deciphering the Puzzle

Data on Saudi Arabia’s oil fields, production rates, and reserve base have been scarce since the government took over full ownership of Aramco in 1980 from its partners – Standard Oil of California (later Chevron), the Texas Company (later Texaco), Standard Oil of New Jersey (later Exxon) and Socony Vacuum (later Mobil).  Indeed, some of the last detailed information about Saudi oil reserves in the public domain was from a subcommittee report for the U.S. Senate in 1979.

As a result, questions over Saudi Arabia’s reserves have been simmering for decades and hit a feverish pitch during the height of peak oil concerns, fueled in part by the 2005 publication of investment banker Matthew Simmons’ book, “Twilight in the Desert: The Coming Saudi Oil Shock and the World Economy.”  Simmons argued in his book that Saudi Arabia’s production was nearing peak levels and would go into terminal decline by the end of the decade.  Defying the gloom and doom peak oil scenarios, Saudi Arabia’s production is a sharp 1.4 million barrels per day (mb/d) above average 2004 levels, and near record at 10.45 mb/d in June, according to the International Energy Agency.  Given the dearth of information available on Saudi oil fields, Simmons’ conclusions were partly drawn from analyzing 235 technical reports from the library of the SPE.  Simmons’ forecast of a pending decline in Saudi Arabia’s oil production was proved wrong within a few years but the lack of transparency in oil field data, especially for Saudi Arabia and other OPEC members, was at the core of the mistaken analysis.

Debate over Saudi Arabia’s proved, probable, and possible oil reserves is expected to increase exponentially leading up to Aramco’s stock listing on global markets, which will almost certainly compel the government to provide more transparency on financial and operating data, including the country’s prized oil reserves.  Between now and then, investment analysts will be closely tracking efforts to narrow the gulf between Rystad’s low-end proved reserve estimate of 70 billion barrels and Aramco’s lofty 266 billion barrels in order to place a value on the shares.  Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has said he plans to usher in a new era of transparency as part of Vision 2030.  The upcoming share sale in Aramco is an opportune time to make good on that pledge and lift the near four-decade veil of secrecy on oil reserve data in order to bring financial and operating standards at the world’s largest oil company in line with accepted international practice.

Diane Munro is a former senior oil market analyst at the International Energy Agency and a contributing writer at the Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington.  (AGSI 25.07)

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11.3  EGYPT:  Egypt’s Ad Hoc Economy

On 20 July, Mohamed Elmeshad posted on Sada that grand projects, though moving quickly, are doing nothing to address the underlying structural problems plaguing Egypt’s economy.

President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi has portrayed himself as a figure who could bring not only political but also economic stability.  His government periodically outlines broad economic plans, most recently the 2016-17 budget put forth by Prime Minister Sherif Ismail in March, which set three priorities of closing down the fiscal deficit, increasing investments, and engaging in more efficient welfare spending.  However, while these priorities constitute a part of an economic plan, they do not form a vision for the economy, particularly given that the 2011 revolution was based largely on the deteriorating state of its middle and lower economic classes.  Rather than addressing persistent economic problems like the growing income gap, Sisi’s statements and policies have steered clear of specifics in favor of emotive and patriotic rhetoric, especially in promoting mega-projects he hopes will boost Egypt’s attractiveness to foreign investors.

In retrospect, it seems President Sisi believed the economy only needed a spark to be nudged back to the improved fiscal balance and high GDP growth rates that Egypt experienced prior to 2011.  Grand projects and investment conferences would in theory lure funding to jumpstart the economy and solve the government’s insolvency.  Gamal Abdel Nasser’s major projects helped build his popularity and speed economic growth early in his tenure.  Hosni Mubarak continued this strategy without paying enough attention to the dwindling welfare and purchasing power of ordinary citizens, increasing inequality, rampant corruption, red tape and cronyism – a level of economic mismanagement that ultimately led to IMF-imposed, neoliberal economic policies in the 1990s.  Similarly, Sisi has forced through grand projects, using the military as his major contractor, with the allegiance of a class of businessmen who cannot afford to be on the wrong side of the regime due to the regime’s high intolerance for all kinds of dissent.  While Egypt is in need of some infrastructural development (and which is partly provided by some of these projects), ultimately it looks as though the regime is aiming to boost its profile and rapidly create a glittering list of accomplishments before actually achieving anything for the longer-term economy.

The current regime is essentially blending the Mubarak plans of the 1990s and 2000s – which relied on a centralized security state implementing deregulation and privatization while emulating Nasser-era mega-projects aimed at rallying patriotism – while heavily increasing the role of the military in their implementation.  The first of the latest series of mega-projects was an ambitious $8 billion endeavor to create a 37 kilometer extension to the Suez Canal.

The canal expansion plan was ambitious in scope and impressive in execution, but ultimately overstated in utility.  The undertaking was achieved in a remarkably short period of time (which also drove up its cost) as a result of the efficiency the military employed in the activity.  The president famously gave an on-air order to the admiral in charge of the project, Mohab Mohamed Mameesh, to complete it in one year instead of the planned three, to which Mameesh agreed with no reference to why they had initially planned three years.  But, contrary to its international billing as “Egypt’s gift to the world” and locally as the solution to many economic woes, the project has had disappointing returns since its completion.  Though this is partly a result of dropping oil prices, it appears that the project was poorly planned, focusing more on speed and pageantry rather than cost-effectiveness or utility.  The canal expansion was supposed to signal to the world and to Egyptians that Sisi is a no-nonsense “doer,” yet many questioned how successful the canal project would be in delivering his promises of faster traffic and higher revenues.  The long-term plan includes developing nearby land as a logistics services hub, a plan that promises to actually add value to the economy, but its potential has received far less media attention because it has less public relations value.

In addition, after the May 2015 “Egypt the Future” economic conference in Sharm El-Sheikh, Minister of Investment Ashraf Salman announced that Egypt had signed around $92 billion in Memoranda of Understanding (MOUs), in addition to around $38 billion in formal deals, financing, and loan agreements.  Yet many involved in the conference, such as Telecom tycoon Naguib Sawiris, have stated that the majority of these MOUs would not be actualized and the conference would ultimately fail, as Egypt needed to first acknowledge and then fix systemic problems with red tape, ineffective bureaucracy and endemic corruption.  Though the government did amend the investment laws to suit the needs of these specific investors, such as giving investors greater legal immunity and deregulating public procurement, these reforms may exacerbate corruption while failing to attract the kind of FDI that creates value.

One of the headline deals of the conference, building a new administrative capital for Cairo, which aimed to generate international confidence in the Egyptian economy, was severely setback last January.  The Emirati contractor Arabtec had backed out of the deal, despite announcing planned investments of around $2 billion, claiming that they were not able to agree on terms after the Egyptian government changed some of the details of their non-binding MOU.  As with the Suez project, the military swooped in and became the main contractor.  In fact, the military has become the state’s primary construction contractor, sitting at the helm of most projects via the Armed Forces Engineering Authority.  While the Armed Forces are perhaps able to complete certain important infrastructural projects at times of economic and political uncertainty, their ever-growing role in the economy is unlikely to inspire confidence among local or international investors, who would like to see a vibrant private sector.

Yet despite the grand ambitions and scope of such projects, foreign investment only slightly picked up to $3.1 billion in fiscal year 2015-2016 from $2.6 billion the year before (primarily due to cross-border mergers and acquisitions).  Egypt’s exports decreased in the same period by 26%, reflecting a decline in oil prices, and the balance of payments deficit increased greatly over the same period from $1 billion to $3.4 billion.  The increasing deficit is symptomatic of Egypt’s inability to drive up demand for its currency, which along with its shrinking foreign currency reserves is contributing the rapid devaluation of the Egyptian pound, which decreased from 7.17 to the dollar to 8.86 to the dollar since Sisi came to power in June 2014.  For a country with a high import bill (Egypt is the world’s largest wheat importer) this contributes to Egypt’s highest levels of inflation in the past seven years, from 8.2% in May 2014 to 10.9% in April 2016.  This is on top of persistent issues such as high youth unemployment.

In their efforts to address these underlying structural issues, Egyptian authorities are demonstrating that they have just as little vision as they do for the mega-projects.  For example, to curb inflation, the Central Bank of Egypt raised interest rates to a ten-year high on 16 June to discourage consumer spending while attracting liquidity in savings and putting a lid on soaring prices.  However, this decision counteracts other efforts to encourage investment, such as the historic devaluation of the pound in March this year, which was supposed to encourage foreign investment and build up trust in the Egyptian regime’s free-market credentials.

Planning a comprehensive plan for economic stability is of course not so simple.  Besides inheriting an unenviable economic situation, this government faced a series of external and internal shocks that impeded many of its plans, especially in tourism.  To top it off, there has been a spate of energy shortages, prompting the government to take the unpopular position of decreasing subsidies on energy products while adding to the energy capacity of the national grid.  Though GDP growth has been a silver lining, at about 4.2% in fiscal year 2015-2016, compared to nearly half of that the year before, many of the challenges will remain as long as the government has a lack of cohesion regarding economic policy.  International financial institutions seem to agree, as Egypt’s credit outlook was downgraded on 13 May by Standard and Poor’s and the IMF on 12 April forecast a decrease in Egypt’s 2016 GDP growth.

The last time Egypt faced this kind of economic crunch and insolvency was in the late 1980s.  The state was fast approaching bankruptcy.  Fiscal deficits caused by historically high spending on subsidies, employment, and services, coupled with a deteriorating economy, meant the state could not support its crippling foreign debt.  However, Egypt was saved from complete insolvency during the Persian Gulf War, which allowed Egypt to bargain with the United States and some of its allies for debt forgiveness and more aid in exchange for its military involvement. It was this economic “miracle” that prolonged Mubarak’s regime for a couple more decades.  Short of another miracle, this regime will need to embark on significant and comprehensive structural change to remove impediments to development in the country in order to have any hope of achieving sustainable and equitable growth.

Mohamed Elmeshad is an Egyptian journalist and PhD student at the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS) in London, where he is researching the political economy of media in the Arab world.  (Sada 20.07)

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11.4:  EGYPT:  Egyptians Ditch Daylight Saving Time

Walaa Hussein posted in Al-Monitor on 14 July that after a long tug of war, the Egyptian government has finally relented to parliament and given up daylight saving time, based on a number of studies concluding daylight saving time is, well, pointless.

The debate over daylight saving time’s usefulness has gone back and forth, much like Egypt’s clocks.  This summer, the government insisted daylight saving time would continue.  Parliament countered by passing a law to cancel it.  The Cabinet persisted, but then, on 5 July, just three days before daylight saving time was to take effect, officials reversed their position, resulting in a mad scramble to revise schedules at the last minute.

The Cabinet’s change of heart might have been influenced by parliament’s escalation of the debate, accompanied by pressure from social media users.  Young Egyptians satirically demanded the return of former President Hosni Mubarak, who supported daylight saving time for decades, if the government insisted on keeping daylight saving time.  Some later joked that their success in getting rid of daylight saving time was one of the most recent gains from the revolution that ousted Mubarak in 2011.

Egypt had abided by daylight saving time since 1988 by virtue of a law issued by Mubarak himself.  Daylight saving time used to run from the last Friday of April until the last Thursday of September.  The law was amended in 1995 to exempt the month of Ramadan so observers would not have to wait so late in the day to break their fasts at sundown.

After the revolution of 2011, the government became indecisive about the time change.  Daylight saving time was canceled for the first time in 23 years in 2011, marking the first time the government had admitted that daylight saving time had a negative impact on people’s biological clocks and that it was disturbing airline flight schedules while failing to actually save energy.

Three years later, the prime minister approved daylight saving time once again in May 2014.  This time, the government justified its decision by saying daylight saving time helped alleviate electrical loads by reducing the evening hours of darkness.  The government of current Prime Minister Sherif Ismail adopted the same approach after he was appointed in December, and planned to continue daylight saving time — until parliament passed a law canceling the time change in Egypt, supposedly once and for all.

Ahmad al-Sajeeni, head of parliament’s local management committee, told Al-Monitor that parliament’s decision was based on numerous studies, all critical of daylight saving time.  “The studies conducted by the Ministry of Electricity itself confirmed that daylight saving time does not save energy,” he noted, adding that Cairo is a city that never sleeps.

The Egyptian Ministry of Electricity’s studies have shown that daylight saving time only results in energy savings of about 0.07%, while official and unofficial polls showed that around 70% of Egyptians reject daylight saving time.  According to Sajeeni, the government did not oppose the law eliminating daylight saving time when the committee discussed it and did not show any reservations.  However, the government objected to the timing since it had already issued a decision for this year.

Camellia Abdul Rahman, a homemaker living in Cairo, told Al-Monitor that daylight saving time disturbs her family, especially her children, whose sleep hours are affected by advancing clocks by one hour in the spring or summer and going back one hour in the fall.  Also, the assertion by some daylight saving time supporters that the extra hour of daylight makes streets safer at night is moot, she said.  Safety isn’t as much of an issue as it once was, “since shops remain open and lights remain lit throughout the night [anyway],” she said.

Despite stories to the contrary, early-rising farmers had nothing to do with daylight saving time and have never liked it.  Mohammad Barghash, the former head of the Egyptian Farmers Union, told Al-Monitor that farmers hate daylight saving time and describe it as the “wicked daylight hour.”  “Farmers leave their homes as soon as daylight shines and only return when the sun sets,” he said, and the added hour of darkness in the morning just makes it more difficult for farmers to get their produce to market early.  (Al-Monitor 14.07)

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11.5  MOROCCO:  IMF Executive Board Approves $3.47 Billion for Morocco

The IMF announced on 22 July that its Executive Board approved a two-year arrangement for Morocco under the Precautionary and Liquidity Line (PLL) for SDR 2.504 billion (about $3.47 billion, or 280% of Morocco’s quota).  The access under the arrangement in the first year will be equivalent to SDR 1.252 billion (about $1.73 billion, or 140% of quota).

In recent years, the authorities have successfully reduced fiscal and external vulnerabilities and implemented key reforms with the support of two successive 24-month PLL arrangements.  The new PLL arrangement will provide Morocco with useful insurance against external shocks as the authorities pursue their reform agenda aimed at further strengthening the economy’s resilience and fostering higher and more inclusive economic growth.

The authorities have stated that they intend to treat the arrangement as precautionary, as they have done under the previous two arrangements, and they do not intend to draw under the PLL unless Morocco experiences actual balance of payments needs from a significant deterioration of external conditions.

Morocco’s first PLL arrangement for SDR 4,117.4 million (about $6.21 billion at the time of approval) was approved on 3 August 2012.  Morocco’s second 24-month PLL arrangement for SDR 3.2351 billion (about $5 billion at the time of approval) was approved on 28 July 2014.  The PLL was introduced in 2011 to meet more flexibly the liquidity needs of member countries with sound economic fundamentals and strong records of policy implementation but with some remaining vulnerabilities.

Following the Executive Board on Morocco, Mr. Mitsuhiro Furusawa, IMF Deputy Managing Director and Acting Chair of the Board, made the following statement:

“Despite the difficult global and regional environments, Morocco has made significant strides in reducing fiscal and external vulnerabilities and addressing medium-term challenges, supported by the two successive Precautionary and Liquidity Line (PLL) arrangements.  External imbalances have declined substantially and fiscal consolidation has progressed, while policy and institutional frameworks have been strengthened, including through the implementation of the new Organic Budget Law, the adoption of the civil service pension reform, and ongoing improvements to financial sector oversight.

“Nevertheless, the economy faces significant downside risks. In particular, heightened geopolitical and security risks, a protracted period of slower growth in Morocco’s main trading partners, or more volatile global financial conditions could significantly affect the economy through higher oil prices, disruptions to export and tourism revenues and remittance and capital inflows, or higher borrowing costs.  In this context, a successor PLL arrangement would serve as a valuable insurance against external risks and support the authorities’ economic policies.

“The authorities are committed to further reducing fiscal and external vulnerabilities while strengthening the foundations for higher and more inclusive growth.  Building on the achievements made in recent years, further fiscal consolidation should be based on both continued expenditure control and further tax reforms.  Timely implementation of the civil service pension reform and careful fiscal decentralization will help preserve fiscal sustainability.  Adopting the revised central bank law and continuing to implement FSAP recommendations will further strengthen the financial sector policy framework.  The authorities should push forward with their plan to transition to an inflation-targeting regime and greater exchange flexibility, which will help preserve competitiveness and enhance the economy’s capacity to absorb shocks.

“Continued reforms to improve the business climate, competitiveness, and labor market policies will be essential to increase potential growth, reduce persistently high unemployment levels, especially among the youth, and increase the participation of women in the labor force. “  (IMF 22.07)

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11.6  TURKEY:  Foreign Currency Ratings Lowered To ‘BB/B’; Outlook Negative

On July 20, 2016, S&P Global Ratings lowered its unsolicited foreign currency long- and short-term sovereign credit ratings on the Republic of Turkey to ‘BB/B’ from ‘BB+/B’.  At the same time, we lowered our unsolicited local currency long- and short-term sovereign credit ratings on Turkey to ‘BB+/B’ from ‘BBB-/A-3’.  The outlook is negative.

S&P also revised the transfer and convertibility (T&C) assessment on Turkey to ‘BBB-‘ from ‘BBB’. In addition, we lowered our unsolicited long-term Turkey national scale rating to ‘trAA+’ from ‘trAAA’ and affirmed the ‘trA-1’ short-term rating.

In this case, the reason for the deviation is S&P’s view that following the attempted coup on 15 July 2016, Turkey’s institutional effectiveness has been further eroded, raising risks to its externally leveraged economy.  They believe these events will make rolling over Turkey’s substantial short-term external debt more challenging.

Rationale

The downgrade reflects S&P’s view that following the attempted coup on 15 July, Turkey’s political landscape has fragmented further.  S&P believes this will undermine Turkey’s investment environment, growth, and capital inflows into its externally leveraged economy.  In the aftermath of the failed coup, S&P believes that the risks to Turkey’s ability to roll over its external debt have increased.  S&P estimates that it has to roll over nearly 42% of its total external debt–amounting to over $170 billion (5x usable reserves; 24% of estimated 2016 GDP)–over the next 12 months.  In addition, S&P expects that given the political uncertainty, Turkey’s policymakers will likely stray from their commitment to enact reforms intended to wean the economy away from its dependence on foreign financing.

Since the attempted coup, S&P understands that, so far, an estimated 45,000, largely government officials, have either been suspended or removed from their posts, with the education and judiciary sectors most affected.  A further 14,000 police officers and soldiers have either been suspended or detained.  S&P had already expected heightened political uncertainty in 2015 – due to escalating domestic violence following the ending of the peace process with Kurdish militants, two general elections and instability along Turkey’s southeastern border–to spill over into 2016.  However, the attempted coup and our expectation about the associated fallout on the real economy, through weakening capital inflows, is beyond what we factored into our previous base-case scenario.  Turkey’s net foreign exchange reserves – at an estimated $32 billion – provide coverage for only about two months of current account payments, suggesting limited buffers to offset external pressures.

Mitigating its external vulnerabilities to some degree, Turkey has deep local-currency capital markets that have facilitated its access to and cost of financing.  Two-thirds of government debt is funded in local currency and at fixed rates.  Furthermore, S&P views the treasury’s policy of meeting net public-sector financing needs by issuing in local currency at longer maturities as a positive rating factor.

Outlook

The negative outlook reflects our view that Turkey’s economic, fiscal, and debt metrics could deteriorate beyond what we expect, if political uncertainty contributed to further weakening in the investment environment, potentially intensifying balance-of-payment pressures.  We could also lower the ratings if we assessed Turkey’s monetary policy credibility as deteriorating due to government intervention.

We could revise our outlook on Turkey to stable if the government’s fiscal deficits remained modest and the independence of key institutions was not eroded.  (S&P 20.07)

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11.7  TURKEY:  Moody’s Reviews for Downgrade Ratings of 17 Turkish Banks

On 19 July, Moody’s Investors Service announced that it placed under review for downgrade the ratings of 17 Turkish banks following a recent so-called coup attempt in Turkey and the related placement of the Turkish sovereign rating under review for downgrade.

The review for downgrade of the banks’ ratings is driven by the need to assess risks arising from the evolving political and economic situation, namely the potential weakening of the government’s capacity and willingness to provide support to the banks in case of need, as implied by the review for downgrade on the sovereign rating, and the risk of further deterioration in the domestic operating environment, which could affect the banks’ financials, as potential increases in the cost of funding, reduced profitability, more limited capital generation capacity and weakening asset quality could weigh on results over the coming quarters, said Moody’s.

While Moody’s said that it expects all rated financial institutions to be affected to some degree by the economic and financial implications of recent events, the review will assess each institution’s particular credit characteristics, in order to determine to what extent their individual credit ratings could display resilience or susceptibility to the aforementioned risks.

Moody’s said it was reviewing Turkey’s credit rating for a possible downgrade after the attempted military coup on the weekend.  A one-notch downgrade from the current Baa3 rating would push the government’s rating down into “speculative” or junk status.  “Despite the coup’s failure, Moody’s considers its occurrence a reflection of broader political challenges, as associated credit risks remain elevated,” Moody’s then said.  (Moody’s 19.07)

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The Fortnightly newsletter is a free service of Atid, EDI. We are a team of economic and trade development consultants, headquartered in Jerusalem, but active throughout the region and beyond. EDI works with an international clientele interested in identifying and researching business opportunities in the region. We also serve as the regional representative offices for a number of U.S. states and bilateral Chambers of Commerce, as well as European clients.

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HONG KONG – THE ASIAN DESTINATION FOR ISRAELI COMPANIES

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Invest Hong Kong (InvestHK), the foreign direct investment promotion agency of the Special Administrative Region, recently welcomed the results of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development’s (UNCTAD) World Investment Report (WIR) 2016, in which Hong Kong continues to rank second in the world in global foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows.

According to the UNCTAD report, Hong Kong registered FDI inflows of US$175 billion in 2015, a year-on-year increase of 53.5% compared to US$114 billion in 2014.  It places Hong Kong second only to the US (US$380 billion) and ahead of Mainland China (US$136 billion).

Globally, foreign direct investment also reached its highest level since 2008.  The UNCTAD report added that global FDI recovery was strong in 2015 with FDI flows jumping by 38% to $1,762 billion, which could be attributable to a surge in cross-border mergers and acquisitions, especially in developed economies.

Among those companies that have setup shop in Hong Kong, two Israeli companies (J. Rotbart & Co. and Keshet International) are included in this year’s crop of newbies who have chosen to take advantage of the positioning of Hong Kong as the access point to Asia.

Rotbart & Co is operating in Hong Kong to provide bespoke bullion procurement and liquidation services to high-net-worth (HNW) clients around the world. The company offers global transportation and storage for bullion as well as bespoke solutions such as the assaying of metal, valuation and authentication of rare collectibles and coins.

2016 saw a renewed interest from investors in the gold market as the price has continued to increase since January – the commodity was among the best performing assets overall.  With trust in traditional financial systems eroding fast, more HNW clients are now diversifying their portfolios to include tangible assets, such as gold, art and precious stones.  Given Hong Kong’s reputation and strategic location, more European and American HNWs are looking to Hong Kong as one of the safest jurisdictions in the world to house their tangible assets.

Keshet International is Keshet Media Group’s global distribution and production arm.  Headed by CEO Alon Shtruzman, it includes Keshet’s local production outposts in the UK, Asia and the US as well as its global distribution arm.  Keshet International Asia Ltd was set up in Hong Kong in 2015 to handle all of its Asian activities.  KI’s catalogue consists of over 70 tried and tested properties that appeal to audiences worldwide, spanning all genres.  Highlights include the hit drama Prisoners of War, the original Israeli version of prime time Emmy winner Homeland; gripping espionage thriller False Flag; touching family drama The A Word; the high octane game show BOOM!; hit interactive talent show Rising Star and children’s talent show Master Class; reality dating format Girlfriends; and ‘buddy comedy’ Traffic Light, winner of an International Emmy Award.

This activity highlights Hong Kong’s role as a “super connector” and a conduit for doing business in Asia.  Ranked the world’s most connected place by the GfK Connected Consumer Index based on usage of mobile devices and gadgets, Hong Kong is located within four hours’ flight time of all of Asia’s key markets and within five hours’ flight time of half the world’s population.  Foreign companies use Hong Kong as a base to access opportunities in Mainland China and the region.  Conversely, Mainland Chinese companies increasingly use Hong Kong as a platform to make global investment and acquisitions.  Hong Kong further attracts companies from throughout the world with its political stability, the rule of law, free market principles, free flow of information and English as the language of business.

EDI represents the interests of Invest Hong Kong in Israel and stands ready to assist Israeli companies interested in exploring the benefits of locating there.

Sherwin

Sherwin Pomerantz

President

Sherwin Pomerantz is president of Atid-EDI Ltd., an economic development consulting firm with 24 years’ experience in assisting overseas companies and public entities in their export promotion and foreign direct investment attraction efforts.

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Fortnightly, 10 August 2016

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FortnightlyReport

10 August 2016
6 Av 5776
7 Dhul Qadah 1437

TOP STORIES

TABLE OF CONTENTS:

 1: ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Bank of Israel Warns on Household Consumer Debt
1.2  Bank of Israel Allows Banks to Increase Construction Credit
1.3  New Law Offers Incentives to Build Hotels in Israel
1.4  Israeli Government Promotes Mutual Funds for Tech Investment
1.5  As State Budget Talks Intensify, Ministries Brace For 2% Cut
1.6  Netanyahu Presses Kahlon to Ease Regulation

2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Engie Raises $3.5 Million
2.2  SafeBreach Raises $15 Million to Test Companies’ Cybersecurity
2.3  Prospera Raises $7 Million
2.4  SlateScience Raises $45 Million
2.5  Zeek Raises $9.5 Million
2.6  Netafim Aligned with UN’s Sustainable Development Goals
2.7  StackPath Acquires Fireblade for $20 Million
2.8  Riverbed to Acquire Leading End User Experience Monitoring Provider Aternity
2.9  Keter Plastic Signs Agreement for its Acquisition by BC Partners
2.10  Gujarat Delegation Meets Leading Israeli Companies in Tel Aviv and Jerusalem
2.11  Consortium to Acquire Playtika for $4.4 Billion With Caesars Interactive Entertainment
2.12  CyberX Raises $9 Million to Protect the Industrial Internet
2.13  Teridion Expands With New Office in Israel
2.14  Cloudyn Raises $4 Million from India’s Infosys
2.15  Kaltura Announces $50 Million Investment from Goldman Sachs
2.16  Innoviz Technologies Secures $9 Million in Series A Funding
2.17  SoLoMoTo Enters the US Market

 3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Cold Stone Creamery Enters Lebanon Marketplace
3.2  ArabiaWeather Forms Standalone Meteorology Department
3.3  Dubai to Invest $275 Million in New Tech Innovation Initiative
3.4  Covalon Wins $7.6 Million Twelve Month Saudi Arabia Contract to Supply Wound Dressings
3.5  As FX Shortage Bites, Egypt’s CIB Limits Use of Bank Cards Abroad
3.6  Chinese Electric Car Company Invests MAD 1 Billion in Morocco

 4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Solar Plane Completes Epic Round-the-World Trip

5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanon’s Trade Deficit Reached $7.93 Billion by June 2016
5.2  Number of Lebanese Tourists Up by 7.7% by June 2016
5.3  Jordan Signs Letter Accepting Terms of $700 Million Deal with IMF
5.4  Jordan’s Exports Decline During First Five Months of 2016

♦♦Arabian Gulf

5.5  Findings Say 50,000 Schools Needed Across Arabian Gulf by 2020
5.6  Kuwait Plans to Raise Fuel Prices By 73% from September
5.7  Third Reactor Vessel Installed at UAE’s Nuclear Power Site
5.8  South Korea Signs $920 Million Deal for UAE Reactors
5.9  UAE’s Hotel Construction Pipeline Set to Peak in 2018
5.10  Occupier Demand for UAE Offices Falls for Third Straight Quarter
5.11  Dubai-Run Hospitals See 524,000 Patients in First Half of 2016
5.12  Sharjah’s Ratings Outlook Downgraded by S&P
5.13  Oman Posts $6.6 Billion Budget Deficit in First 5 Months of 2016
5.14  Oman Said Set to Slash Subsidy Bill by 64% in 2016
5.15  Saudi Arabia Increases Visa Fees & Traffic Fines

♦♦North Africa

5.16  Egypt Has Proposed 18-Month Reform Program to IMF
5.17  CAPMAS Says 88.1% of Egyptian Families Own Mobile Phones
5.18  Nearly 40% of Egyptians’ Education Spending Pays for Private Tutorials
5.19  27.8% of Egyptian Population Lives Below Poverty Line
5.20  Egypt Signs Exploration Deals with US & Cypriot Firms
5.21  Libya’s Petroleum Facilities Guard Reopens 4 Ports to Resume Oil Exports
5.22  China Delivers Third C28A Corvette to Algeria
5.23  Number of Internet Users in Morocco Increases by 34%
5.24  Morocco Receives First US Abrams Tanks for Royal Armed Forces

6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkey’s Tourism Revenue Sees Steepest Q2 Plunge Since 1999
6.2  Greek Government Reports Nearly €1 Billion in Tax Evasion Fines, Asset Seizures

7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

♦♦ISRAEL:

7.1  Tisha B’Av to Be Observed on 13/14 August
7.2  NBA’s Amar’e Stoudemire Joins Hapoel Jerusalem Basketball Club
7.3  Israeli University Offers Degree in Winemaking

8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  LabStyle Innovations Now DarioHealth
8.2  Gamida’s First Sickle Cell Patient Transplanted in Study of CordIn as the Sole Graft Source
8.3  Quark Awarded Key Patent for QPI-1007 Ocular Neuroprotectant Treatment
8.4  Teva Completes Acquisition of Actavis Generics
8.5  Aeterna Zentaris and Rafa Laboratories Sign Exclusive Agreement for Zoptrex in Israel
8.6  Check-Cap Awarded $1.25 Million Grant for 2016 from Israel’s OCS
8.7  POP Medical Receives FDA Approval for Pelvic Device
8.8  Intec Pharma to Pursue Development of Accordion Pill for Cannabinoid Therapies
8.9  Teva Announces Acquisition of Anda
8.10  InSeal Medical Announces CE Mark for InClosure Large Bore Vascular Closure Device
8.11  FDA Approves EyeYon Corneal Edema Treatment

9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Stratoscale Symphony V2 Delivers the Public Cloud Experience in the Enterprise Data Center
9.2  Mellanox Receives Baidu’s Award for Technology Leadership
9.3  NUA – the Smart Carry-On Suitcase That Follows You Around
9.4  Medallia Deploys Mellanox Solution to Supercharge Real-Time Analytics
9.5  BillRun Implements Billing and CRM Systems at Monaco Telecom
9.6  Pontis Recognized as One of the 100 Most Promising Big Data Solution Providers
9.7  Matomy Launches mtmy – the First Mobile Performance Advertising Agency
9.8  GuardiCore Unveils Infection Monkey Open Source Cyber Security Testing Tool
9.9  TrekAce Unveils Navigator for Bikers & Hikers
9.10  Celliboost Launches Mobile System for Rugged Terrain
9.11  Optimal+ Announces Availability of Electronics Solution with Release 6.5
9.12  NICE Scenario Analyzer Enhances Customer Journey Analytics

10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Unemployment Down to 4.8% in Israel in Second Quarter

11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  ISRAEL: S&P ‘A+/A-1’ Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Stable
11.2  ISRAEL: Private Equity Deals Fall By 24% in First Half of 2016
11.3  JORDAN: Why Many Jordanians Have Little Stomach for Upcoming Elections
11.4  UAE: Emirate of Abu Dhabi ‘AA/A-1+’ Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Stable
11.5  SAUDI ARABIA: The Potential of Saudi Economic Reforms
11.6  EGYPT: What Will $12 Billion IMF Loan Cost Egypt?
11.7  EGYPT: Can Sisi’s New Investment Council Save Egypt’s Economy?
11.8  EGYPT: Wealthiest 10% in Egypt Responsible for 25% of Spending
11.9  EGYPT: Political Instability, Poor Access to Finance Hold Back Private Sector
11.10  MOROCCO: Why Morocco Really Wants Back in the African Union
11.11  GREECE: Greece ‘B-/B’ Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Remains Stable
11.12  CYPRUS: Bond Issue Is a Key Post-Program Milestone

1:  ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Bank of Israel Warns on Household Consumer Debt

The Bank of Israel found that 30% of Israeli households have an average consumer debt of NIS 94,000.  While its semi-annual Financial Stability Report focuses on the risks in the housing market, the Bank of Israel also devoted a large section of the report to the steep increase in household credit in recent years and the risk it entails.  According to the Bank of Israel, household credit (including mortgages), grew 6% over the past year, totaling NIS 481.7 billion as of the end of April.  Non-mortgage credit accounted for a third of that amount.

The Bank of Israel notes that it has been conducting a survey of households since 2012 in cooperation with the Central Bureau of Statistics, and the Ministry of Finance.  The survey follows the conduct of 4,621 households; its results show that 30% of the households currently have an average of NIS 94,000 in consumer credit.

The survey results also indicate that the proportion of mortgages is greater in the higher income brackets, rising from 7% in the bottom income decile to 41% in the top income decile.  The proportion of total ordinary debt, on the other hand, rises with income only up to a certain point, rising from 18% in the bottom income decile to 34% in the sixth income decile, then falling in the higher income deciles.  The Bank of Israel concludes that credit that is not for housing purposes is considered more risky than credit for housing, because only part of it is backed by collateral (mainly loans for buying cars).  If increased competition leads to more non-housing credit and increased leverage among borrowers, it should be promoted cautiously in order to maintain households’ financial stability.  (Globes 28.07)

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1.2  Bank of Israel Allows Banks to Increase Construction Credit

Israel’s Supervisor of Banks, Hedva Ber, has distributed a draft circular to the banks changing the system for measuring the restrictions on credit by sector.  Credit risk against which the banks have contracted policies from overseas insurance companies will be classified mainly as financial services credit, instead of real estate credit.  This change will enable the banks to increase their supply of credit to the construction and real estate industry and continue financing important projects in the sector.

According to regulations issued by the Bank of Israel Banking Supervision Department, the proportion of credit granted by a bank to the individual households sector is limited to 20% (22% in certain circumstances) of the bank’s total credit.  This restriction was designed to prevent a crisis in a specific household sector from jeopardizing the bank’s stability, and thereby that of the economy as a whole.

The planned ad actual increase in construction in recent years, including large-scale buyer fixed price projects and infrastructure projects (such as military infrastructure in the Negev), have brought a number of banks near the permitted credit proportion threshold.  They are limited in their ability to increase their credit to the sector, causing real estate companies to report a credit crunch.

In view of this problem, and especially given the capital adequacy requirements that the banks must meet, in the past year, the banks have made a number of substantial deals for acquiring insurance policies covering their credit risk from bank guarantees given according to the Sales (Dwellings) (Assurance of Homebuyers Investments) Law.  The insurance policies were purchased from international insurance companies recognized by the Basel Committee for international standards for purposes of calculating capital adequacy, and have reduced the exposure of these banks to real estate credit risk.

Ber is considering a change in the classification of the amounts of the sale guarantees for which insurance was purchased, so that 70% of these amounts would be classified according to the main activity of the party providing the hedge, in other words as financial services, instead of real estate.  Recognition of credit hedges is consistent with the Banking Supervision Department’s existing instructions for calculating capital adequacy.  The decision against full recognition of the sale is because the Banking Supervision Department intends to take measures in the future concerning the calculation of exposure to the household sectors (such as including lines of credit, etc.), which are likely to raise the banks’ exposure to this sector.

The Banking Supervision Department estimates that the proposed regulatory change will lower the proportion of real estate credit by 1.5% (with some difference between the banks), and will enable the banks to increase their credit and finance infrastructure and residential construction projects by NIS 10 billion.  (Globes 26.07)

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1.3  New Law Offers Incentives to Build Hotels in Israel

The Knesset approved Minister of Tourism Yariv Levine’s proposal aimed at making tourism cheaper.  The law was approved on 1 August on its second and third readings.  The proposal included a plan aimed at increasing the number of hotel rooms in Israel by streamlining planning and building procedures, encouraging hoteliers through incentives that include an allocation of 20% of the space for residences (in certain areas in Israel), etc.  The proposal passed, despite a long list of opponents, mainly among environmental organizations, which expressed dismay concerning damage to the coastline.  Minister of Finance Kahlon also expressed opposition and a compromise was introduced in the section concerning the District Planning and Building Commissions, which will have to approve the 20% added to the hotel area for residential construction.

The law will make it possible and financially worthwhile to immediately construct thousands of hotel rooms.  The law preserves environmental values and the beaches, including retaining the responsibility of the Coastal Environment Protection Committee for preventing damage to the coast.  Under the new law, in certain areas (not the coastal environment), hotels will be defined as national infrastructure, and will be approved quickly and simply by the Committee for National Infrastructure.  This will make planning and building procedures more efficient and shorter, with a possibility of receiving a permit for a chain of hotels throughout Israel from one committee through an abbreviated procedure (up until now, building a chain required dealing separately with local committees in each local authority).  Through this clause, Levine is trying to encourage overseas developers, who according to the Ministry of Tourism have already expressed interest in simultaneously building a chain of hotels in Israel.  Previously, the average time required to build a new hotel in Israel has been a decade.  In many cases, the approval and construction procedures continued far longer than a decade.  (Globes 02.08)

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1.4  Israeli Government Promotes Mutual Funds for Tech Investment

Minister of Finance Moshe Kahlon and Israel Securities Authority chairman Shmuel Hauser are promoting mutual funds for investing in public and private high-tech companies.  The inspiration for this move is that the Israeli public reaps little benefit from high-tech success, because most of the shareholders are not Israeli residents.

Kahlon approved the regulations for founding high-tech mutual funds.  A high-tech mutual fund is a special-purpose instrument for investing in Israeli high-tech companies engaging in R&D, including those not listed on any stock exchange.  The measure will bring money into a sector almost completely financed by money from the US.  In this way, the Israeli public can participate in the high-tech sector.  In 2015, Israeli exits totaled $9 billion, and the Israeli public reaped almost no benefit from this success, because most of the shareholders are not Israeli residents.  (Globes 27.07)

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1.5  As State Budget Talks Intensify, Ministries Brace For 2% Cut

Government spending will be cut by 2% across the board in the next state budget, Finance Minister Kahlon announced on 08 August.  The planned cuts are expected to save the state 2 billion shekels ($520 million) a year.  The Social-Economic Cabinet was expected to begin debating the biennial budget on 09 August.

Under the plan, NIS 336 million ($88 million) will be cut from the defense budget, NIS 312 million ($82 million) from the Transportation Ministry budget, NIS 177 million ($46 million) from education spending, and NIS 167 million ($44 million) from the Health Ministry budget.

Outlining the 2017-2018 budget, the Finance Ministry set state deficit projections at 2.9% of gross domestic product for 2017, and a similar percentage for 2018.  The Finance Ministry expects the deficit to decrease to 1.5% of GDP by 2023.  While the original deficit goal was 2.7%, raising it to 2.9% will increase government resources by NIS 5 billion ($1.3 billion) in 2017 and NIS 8 billion ($2 billion) in 2018.  The budget is also expected to include income and corporate tax reforms, with both expected to drop by 1% in each of the two years, for a total of 2%. This is expected to cost the state some NIS 3 billion ($785 million).

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu approved Kahlon’s budget framework last week, and the Social-Economic Cabinet is expected to hold a series of votes on its articles ahead of its presentation for a Knesset vote.  (IH 09.08)

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1.6  Netanyahu Presses Kahlon to Ease Regulation

Prime Minister Netanyahu is reportedly pressuring Minister of Finance Kahlon to introduce compulsory labor relations arbitration arrangements as part of the upcoming Economic Arrangements bill, as well as to take more active measures to ease the regulatory burden.  According to sources close to Netanyahu, he is disappointed with the format of the budget presented to him and believes that it does not achieve the goals he wishes to promote.  As of now, Kahlon has not responded to Netanyahu’s appeal on this issue.  In the past, however, he vetoed Netanyahu’s initiative to include a commitment to a compulsory arbitration bill.

Compulsory arbitration arrangements are a red line for workers’ committees and Histadrut (General Federation of Labor in Israel) because they force the committees to go to arbitration as a precondition for exercising the right to strike.  Netanyahu was already unsuccessful three years ago in promoting compulsory arbitration proposal and tried to bring the issue up again in the coalition negotiations for forming the present government.  (Globes 26.07)

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2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Engie Raises $3.5 Million

Engie has raised $3.5 million in an Series A financing round.  The best-known angel investor in the company, who was actually the first to invest in it, is Waze cofounder and former president Uri Levine.  Since the app was launched, more than 200 garages around Israel have joined it, and it has almost 100,000 users in the country.  The funds raised will help Engie expand overseas

The system is connected to the vehicle though a Bluetooth component that communicates with the vehicle’s computer.  As soon as the connection is made, Engie monitors the state of the car, identifies malfunctions, diagnoses them and gives the driver price offers from nearby garages.  In addition, it keeps track of the vehicle’s state, warns of imminent service needs, informs the driver if the battery is running down, provides information about fuel consumption, etc.  The Bluetooth component can be connected to almost any vehicle manufactured in 2002 or later.  The connection can be made independently.

Tel Aviv’s Engie is a car repair marketplace disrupting the automotive repair & maintenance industry as it offers a full solution to the driver – from malfunction diagnostics to real time quotes from mechanics, all through a smartphone app.  Drivers can also get information and quotes for their upcoming maintenance service, track daily parameters such as battery charge, oil level and more.  With Engie the driver can make an educated decision when choosing a mechanic and come with knowledge and power to the repair shop.  (TechCrunch 26.07)

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2.2  SafeBreach Raises $15 Million to Test Companies’ Cybersecurity

SafeBreach has closed a $15 million series A round from existing investors Sequoia Capital and Shlomo Kramer, with participation from new entrants Deutsche Telekom Capital Partners, Hewlett Packard Pathfinder, and Maverick Ventures.  Founded in 2014, SafeBreach serves as a virtual hacker of sorts, generating “war games” to analyze the impact of attacks on a company’s systems and the efficacy of its defenses.  This essentially lets any organization see how it would cope when faced with a real-life attack.  The company’s new backers, including Deutsche Telekom and Hewlett Packard, are also testament to how the broader tech industries are increasingly investing in cybersecurity smarts.  SafeBreach has raised around $4 million before this latest round and its latest cash injection will be used to expand its R&D and sales and marketing efforts.

Tel Aviv’s SafeBreach generates war games simulations within the organization’s information systems, analyzes the effect of the attacks and the effectiveness of the defense products at any given moment, and enables the organization to realize what risks it faces, and to close loopholes against an attacker trying to cause real damage.  (SafeBreach 26.07)

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2.3  Prospera Raises $7 Million

Prospera has raised $7 million in a Series A financing round led by Bessemer Venture Partners.  The company enables farmers to maximize yields by using artificial intelligence and among other things they can analyze databanks related to yields including the price of seeds, irrigation costs, produce market prices, etc.  Tel Aviv’s Prospera has developed computer vision technologies that continuously monitor and analyze plant health, development and stress.  The company develops both hardware and software solutions that collect and analyze multi-sensor data with state-of the-art machine learning algorithms.  Prospera’s technology captures climate and visual data from the field and provides actionable insights to growers via mobile and web.  (TechCrunch 26.07)

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2.4  SlateScience Raises $45 Million

SlateScience, which has developed the Matific educational math and science games for mobile and web platforms, has raised $45 million led by Australian entrepreneur Leon Kamenev.  The company raised $12 million last year.  Matific creates a fun, interactive learning experience, personally customized for each child using a unique technology that combines machine learning, data mining and automatic content generation.  The company offers school and home products.  The school product allows teachers to associate assignments that are customized to the school curriculum and each child’s individual needs.  In the past year, Matific’s school product, which is available in 20 languages, was successfully integrated in hundreds of schools all over the world.

SlateScience’s Matific R&D and global operations center is located in Israel, with sales offices in the US, Australia, Canada, South America, UK, and South Africa.  The R&D center includes specialized game design teams that provide both mentorship and hands on experience for computer science students and graduates, and is currently recruiting mathematicians, computer science engineers and team leaders.

Slate Science develops science, technology, engineering, and mathematics educational applications for tablets.  The company offers Matific, a portfolio of educational applications to empower mathematical education from kindergarten through grade six.  Its Matific Series includes Matific for Kids that builds an understanding of the math skills required for the children’s age group; Matific for Schools, a professional version that allows teachers to customize the materials for specific study programs and class needs, as well as provides teacher dashboards, assessment tools, class diagnostics, and screen sharing; and Matific K1 for kindergarten and first grade levels.  The company also offers SlateMath, a portfolio of engaging mathematics learning activities that are available on tablets and mobile devices.  (NoCamels 28.07)

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2.5  Zeek Raises $9.5 Million

On 26 July, Zeek announced that it has closed a $9.5 million Series B financing round led by Scale-Up Venture Capital.  Other prominent investors in the round include Blumberg Capital, Qualcomm Ventures, FJ LABS (Fabrice Grinda), Waze founder Uri Levine, Emery Capital, Ton Ventures, Radiant Venture Capital, iAngels and Target Global.  The capital investment will support Zeek’s growth in the UK and expansion overseas, and will attract new talent to advance the company’s vision.

Tel Aviv’s Zeek is a mobile app and website that allows users to buy gift cards and vouchers from their favorite brands at a discount and sell unwanted gift vouchers for cash, providing a solution to the estimated $100 billion of unused gift cards globally.  Zeek has since expanded to the U.K., which is now a key market for the startup and part of the reason for today’s announced fund-raise. The new capital will be used to consolidate its position in the U.K. and for further international expansion. This will include a hiring drive as Zeek plans to increase headcount in order to accelerate that growth.  (TechCrunch 27.07)

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2.6  Netafim Aligned with UN’s Sustainable Development Goals

Netafim released its 2015 Sustainability Report, which demonstrates how its 2020 Sustainability Strategy is aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) recently adopted by the UN.  Written in accordance with the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) G4 standard, the world’s most advanced sustainability reporting framework, the report highlights numerous Netafim activities that underscore its commitment to several of the 17 SDGs, which were approved in September 2015.

The report highlights a number of recent case studies from across the globe.  In one example of action for prosperity, the Company prepared the 2015 launch of a large-scale rice irrigation pilot with India’s Tamil Nadu government involving 600 farmers that has increased yields by 20% and decreased water usage by 60%.  In another example, Netafim is a majority partner in the Netafim Agricultural Financing Agency (NAFA), which has provided $33 million in loans over three years enabling 23,000 Indian smallholders to install drip systems across 22,000 hectares.  Netafim’s focus on education for prosperity was evident in a Kenyan project that is part of the USAID-funded Feed the Future Partnering for Innovation program.  Netafim has trained 5,000 smallholders in using the company’s Family Drip System (FDS) kit, while working with banks to help secure financing and with buyers to help the growers sell their produce.

Tel Aviv’s Netafim is the global leader in smart irrigation solutions for a sustainable future.  With 28 subsidiaries, 17 manufacturing plants and 4,300 employees worldwide, Netafim delivers innovative solutions to growers of all sizes, from smallholders to large-scale agricultural producers, in over 110 countries.  Founded in 1965, Netafim pioneered the drip revolution, creating a paradigm shift toward low-flow agricultural irrigation. Today, Netafim provides diverse solutions – from state-of-the-art drippers to advanced automated systems – for agriculture, greenhouses, landscaping and mining, accompanied by expert agronomic, technical and operational support.  (Netafim 27.07)

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2.7  StackPath Acquires Fireblade for $20 Million

StackPath has acquired Israeli website security company Fireblade.  No financial details about the deal were disclosed but sources estimate that the acquisition was for about $20 million.  Very little is known about StackPath, a Dallas, Texas based SaaS web security company, which came out of stealth yesterday with a reported investment of $180 million.  On launching, the company announced four acquisitions including Fireblade.

Tel Aviv’s Fireblade provides a sophisticated next generation website security and performance services, available to any website easily through the cloud.  The service bundles all aspects of website security and traffic management, including DDoS protection, web application security, health and performance monitoring and website acceleration.  Fireblade has innovated a behavioral approach to website security, shifting from traditional, costly and obsolete web application firewalls to a modern dynamic approach that relies on users’ behaviors and reputations, rather than signatures.

Fireblade’s technology is a unique 2-tier SaaS.  A cloud-based Central Security Cloud that analyzes huge volumes of traffic for behavioral profiling, inconsistency detection and reputation recognition, and edge nodes enforcing security policies and delivering the actual service, distributed in the cloud.  Fireblade offers its services directly and through partners and resellers, such as hosting providers, clouds and MSPs.  (Globes 26.07)

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2.8  Riverbed to Acquire Leading End User Experience Monitoring Provider Aternity

Riverbed Technology announced the signing of a definitive agreement to acquire Aternity.  The acquisition of the privately-held company will expand Riverbed’s SteelCentral performance monitoring solutions with a best-in-class end user experience offering, and provide Riverbed customers and partners with the industry’s best and most comprehensive end-to-end visibility solution– spanning network, application and end user experience performance management.  The acquisition of Aternity is expected to close in August 2016.  Financial terms of the deal were not disclosed.

Aternity’s proven technology helps enterprises see the entire user experience for any application running on any device, providing a user-centric, application performance experience vantage point that many of the market’s narrow-scope network or application performance monitoring tools lack.  By effectively transforming every device – physical, virtual and mobile – into a self-monitoring platform that is user experience aware, enterprises are empowered with user-centric, proactive IT management capabilities that dramatically reduce business disruptions and increase workforce productivity.

Hod HaSharon’s Aternity monitors any application on any physical, virtual, or mobile device, providing a user-centric vantage point that closes the visibility gap existing with network- and server-centric application performance management tools.  By effectively transforming every device — physical, virtual, and mobile — into a self-monitoring platform that is user experience aware, enterprises are empowered with user-centric, proactive IT management capabilities that dramatically reduce business disruptions and increase workforce productivity.  (Riverbed 28.07)

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2.9  Keter Plastic Signs Agreement for its Acquisition by BC Partners

Keter Plastic signed an agreement for the purchase of 80% of the company by investment fund BC Partners.  BC Partners is a leading international private fund that manages over €12 billion in assets.  Founded in 1986, the fund has played an active role in the buyout market in Europe for nearly three decades.  The Sagol family will continue to own 20% of the company.  Closure of the deal, which requires the usual approval, is slated for the fourth quarter of this year.  No financial details were disclosed but the acquisition is believed to be at a company value of $1.3 billion.  Keter Plastic’s 2015 sales totaled €800 million and the company’s annual growth has exceeded 10% in recent years.  Some 50% of the group’s revenue comes from new products launched in the past three years.

Keter Plastic develops, manufactures, and distributes throughout the world a broad range of plastic consumer products. It is regarded as an innovative global leader in the production of plastic products for the home and garden using the do-it-yourself method.  Keter Plastics’ consultants for the deal were Rothschild Bank, White & Case, and Ernst & Young. BC Partners was advised by UBS, JP Morgan, Linklaters and Ernst & Young.  (Globes 28.07)

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2.10  Gujarat Delegation Meets Leading Israeli Companies in Tel Aviv and Jerusalem

The Indian state of Gujarat in India organized a one day Vibrant Gujarat Road Show in Tel Aviv as part of its delegation visit to Israel.  The road show was aimed to strengthen economic and social ties between the two countries and to promote Vibrant Gujarat Global Summit 2017.  With the theme of “Gujarat – Connecting India to World,” the road show featured various activities involving leading Israeli companies, Industry Associations and government officials, strengthening the cause of development and promote cooperation between Israel and the State of Gujarat, India.  The delegates also discussed investor-friendly policies, perfect economic ecosystem and single window clearance procedures that Gujarat offers, making it one of the most sought after investment destinations globally.  The road show took place on 1 August at the Dan Panorama, Tel Aviv.

With a scheme to set up new R&D institutions and labs, Gujarat is also looking forward to steer public and private sector investments in defense design, security, development and manufacturing with 10% value of orders over next five years.  Gujarat is offering an attractive package of financial support and incentives for agro industrial projects to reputed companies with proven technical capability and track record to successfully conceive and implement agro industrial projects.  State government will offer 6% per annum back ended interest subsidy for first 5 years to agro industrial units from commencement of operations.  (Vibrant Gujarat Summit 2017 28.07)

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2.11  Consortium to Acquire Playtika for $4.4 Billion With Caesars Interactive Entertainment

A consortium, including an affiliate of Shanghai Giant Network Technology Co., one of China’s largest online games companies, has entered into a definitive agreement with Caesars Interactive Entertainment (CIE) to acquire CIE’s social and mobile games business Playtika in an all-cash deal for $4.4 billion.  The Consortium includes Giant Investment (HK) Limited; Yunfeng Capital, a private equity firm founded by Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. founder Jack Ma; China Oceanwide Holdings Group Co., China Minsheng Trust Co., Ltd.; CDH China HF Holdings Company Limited; and Hony Capital Fund.  Following the transaction Playtika will continue to run independently with its headquarters remaining in Herzliya, Israel and its existing management team continuing to run day-to-day operations.  The transaction is subject to customary regulatory approvals and other closing conditions, and is expected to close in the third or fourth calendar quarter of 2016.

Herzliya’s Playtika pioneered free-to-play games on social networks and mobile platforms.  It is the creator of such popular titles as Slotomania, House of Fun and Bingo Blitz, which consistently rank among the top-grossing games on Apple’s App Store, Google Play and Facebook.  Playtika’s games are played daily by more than 6 million people in 190 countries, in 12 languages and on more than 10 platforms.  (Playtika 30.07)

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2.12  CyberX Raises $9 Million to Protect the Industrial Internet

CyberX announced the completion of a $9m funding round.  The round was led by Flint Capital, including existing investors Glilot Capital Partners, Swarth Group, GlenRock, newly joined ff Venture Capital (ffVC) and additional angel investors.  CyberX has experienced rapid growth since its founding, with dozens of major deployments and a worldwide customer base in North America, EMEA and APAC.  The company’s technology is currently being successfully used in dozens of industrial and production environments worldwide.  This rapid growth is attributed to the company’s ability to deliver its unprecedented Industrial Finite State Machine (IFSM) technology, while preserving and providing immediate cyber and operational value to its customers.

With its field-proven technology being adopted across verticals, ranging from Manufacturing and Energy to IIoT environments, CyberX is positioned as the leader in the Industrial IoT security revolution.

Herzliya’s CyberX leads the way in securing the Industrial Internet by providing complete visibility into the IIoT environment as well as real-time detection and alerts of operational incidents, cyber threats and system tampering, thus minimizing disruption to operations and downtime.  Seamlessly connecting to any IIoT environment, our flagship platform XSense, which harnesses IFSM technology, provides immediate results by collecting data across the IIoT environment and utilizing Big Data and Machine Learning to optimize the detection of anomalous behaviors.  (CyberX 02.08)

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2.13  Teridion Expands With New Office in Israel

San Francisco’s Teridion, the cloud-based networking company that delivers the fastest internet experience, announced its new office in Israel, tripling the size of the former local office and getting ready for new hires.  Teridon believes that setting its R&D center in Israel, next to the Operations HQ, guarantees them the brightest minds one can get these days in the international high tech industry.  Teridion keeps growing and they are looking for talented people that will join the excellent team that already works at the company.  Among Teridion’s customers are companies such as Box and Egnyte, whose users are already experiencing the power of a faster internet.  (Teridion 01.08)

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2.14  Cloudyn Raises $4 Million from India’s Infosys

Cloudyn has raised $4 million from Infosys, India’s second largest software company, in exchange for a minority equity stake.  Infosys has had a major presence in Israel since buying enterprise software management company Panaya for $200 million in 2015.  Since establishing its $500 million innovation investment fund, Infosys also invested in Israeli cloud recovery company CloudEndure.

Rosh HaAyin’s Cloudyn enables the enterprise to monitor & optimize hybrid cloud deployments by providing unprecedented insights derived from operational & financial metrics.  The SaaS solution delivers visibility into usage, performance & cost, coupled with actionable recommendations for maximizing performance & streamlining clouds for accelerated growth.  Cloudyn enables accountability through accurate chargeback and hierarchical cost entity management.  Thousands of global customers rely on Cloudyn, including Fortune 500 leaders in manufacturing, consumer goods, financial services & technology.  (Various 03.08)

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2.15  Kaltura Announces $50 Million Investment from Goldman Sachs

Kaltura has secured a $50 million pre-IPO funding from Goldman Sachs’ Private Capital Investing group.  Kaltura will use the additional capital to extend its footprint across all six continents, and to further its unique positioning as the ‘Everything Video’ company – providing leading video products for an unprecedented array of markets and use-cases.  Kaltura offers both a wide array of out-of-the-box video products for various industries, as well as a flexible and modular API-based video platform for developers, partners, and customers that are looking to create their own custom video products.

Ramat Gan’s Kaltura has a mission to power any video experience.  A recognized leader in the OTT TV (Over the Top TV), OVP (Online Video Platform), EdVP (Education Video Platform) and EVP (Enterprise Video Platform) markets, Kaltura has emerged as the fastest growing video platform, and as the one with the widest use-case and appeal.  Kaltura is deployed globally in thousands of enterprises, media companies, service providers and educational institutions and engages hundreds of millions of viewers at home, in work, and at school.  (Kaltura 08.08)

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2.16  Innoviz Technologies Secures $9 Million in Series A Funding

Innoviz Technologies emerged from stealth mode and announced it raised $9 million in Series A financing round.  Investors include Mr. Zohar Zisapel, Vertex Venture Capital, Magma Venture Partners, Amiti Ventures and Delek Investments.  Innoviz recognized that the optimal sensing solution for Autonomous Vehicles is the LiDAR, a laser based sensor providing an accurate scan of the vehicle’s surrounding.  High performance LiDARs come at prohibitive cost for mass commercialization.  Innoviz’ game changing High Definition Solid State LiDAR (HD-SSL) is based on breakthrough technology which offers superior performance and accuracy – wider field of view, higher resolution in both axis and long range sensing – while significantly reducing size and reducing cost below $100.  Innoviz’ HD-SSL serves as the cornerstone for the sensing required for fully autonomous driving.  Innoviz intends to take a leading role in the development of the full sensing system required for this emerging industry and overtake technological challenges such as sensor fusion, 3D mapping and localization.  Innoviz plans to present its prototype product by the end of 2016.

Kfar Saba’s Innoviz is developing the key technologies of Autonomous Driving – Smart 3D Sensing, Sensor Fusion and accurate Mapping and Localization.  Their first product is a High Definition Solid State LiDAR (HD-SSL) with best in class performance and significantly lower cost and smaller size than existing solutions.  While continuing to improve their HD-SSL, Innoviz will also provide key Autonomous Vehicles technologies that rely on their LiDAR such as Object Identification & Tracking, Sensor Fusion and Mapping & Localization products.  (Innoviz 08.08)

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2.17  SoLoMoTo Enters the US Market

After successfully serving over 100,000 small and medium sized businesses, SoLoMoTo, the leading digital platform for Small and Medium Businesses, prepares to enter the US.  SoLoMoTo is a SaaS platform that puts control back in the hands of Small and Medium Businesses (SMBs).  From a very easy-to-use dashboard, SMB owners control all the relevant digital tools of their business to help them grow online.  SoLoMoTo, the leading digital platform for small and medium sized business (SMB), is an SaaS platform that puts the control back in the hands of SMB owners.  Headquartered in Tel-Aviv, and offices in Russia, Brazil and the US, SoLoMoTo was founded in 2014, and has over 100,000 customers worldwide.  SoLoMoTo closed its Series A funding in 2015 which was led by Blumberg Capital among other leading VCs.  (SoLoMoTo 08.08)

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3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Cold Stone Creamery Enters Lebanon Marketplace

Scottsdale, Arizona’s Cold Stone Creamery is bringing the Ultimate Ice Cream Experience to Lebanon, with plans to open multiple locations throughout the country over the next few years, beginning with Beirut.  Kahala Brands, the parent company of Cold Stone Creamery, has granted MNM Investments Lebanon SAL, part of M1 Group, the master franchise rights to Lebanon under a 10 year master franchise agreement.

M1 Group is a globally recognized corporation, which owns and manages investments and subsidiaries in diverse sectors such as: telecommunications, real estate, aviation, energy, fashion, financial asset management, infrastructure and manufacturing.  MNM Investments was recently established as a new division of M1 Group with the purpose of owning and operating food and beverage establishments in Lebanon and abroad that fit within its vast portfolio.  (Cold Stone Creamery 02.08)

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3.2  ArabiaWeather Forms Standalone Meteorology Department

Amman, Jordan’s ArabiaWeather announced the formation of a standalone meteorology department within the company, allowing for closer integration between its hyperlocal end-to-end weather technology and its growing team of meteorologists, operational staff and customer support specialists.  The department will house ArabiaWeather’s new and existing weather, technology, operations, customer care, and quality control functions and teams.  It will be supported by an accreditation team that ensures the company’s operations are compliant with global standards, including those of the World Meteorological Organization and the International Civil Aviation Organization.  (ArabiaWeather 31.07)

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3.3  Dubai To Invest $275 Million in New Tech Innovation Initiative

Dubai announced on that AED1 billion ($275 million) is set to be invested over 5 years in projects and companies taking part in a new technology innovation program.  Dubai Future Accelerators was launched last month by the Dubai Government and Dubai Holding designed to advance innovation in strategically important sectors across the UAE.  The program encourages participants to propose innovative solutions for seven “future challenges” common to governments around the world, including healthcare, transportation, renewable energy, sustainability, education, security and urban planning.  It seeks solutions which take advantage of the most recent innovations in science and technology, including robotics, artificial intelligence, 3D printing, biomimicry and biotechnology.  (WAM 02.08)

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3.4  Covalon Wins $7.6 Million Twelve Month Saudi Arabia Contract to Supply Wound Dressings

Mississauga, Ontario’s Covalon Technologies, an advanced medical technologies company, has won a major contract to supply its advanced ColActive Plus and ColActive Plus Ag wound care dressings to Ministry of Health facilities in Saudi Arabia at a minimum guaranteed value of $7.6 million over twelve months.  The contract was awarded to Covalon through the Executive Board of Health Ministers’ Council for GCC States (called SGH).  The SGH contract was awarded to Covalon following a highly competitive bidding process that resulted in Saudi Arabian wound care physicians selecting Covalon’s ColActive Plus product line as its exclusive advanced collagen wound dressing.  The contract is for a term of one year and delivery of the products under the contract are expected to commence within the next four months.  Prior to making their decision to select ColActive Plus, leading wound care physicians in Saudi Arabia trialed ColActive Plus products for over a year.  (Covalon 03.08)

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3.5  As FX Shortage Bites, Egypt’s CIB Limits Use of Bank Cards Abroad

Egypt’s largest listed bank, Commercial International Bank (CIB), told customers on 28 July that it was reducing the amount of foreign currency customers can spend and withdraw when using their debit and credit cards abroad.  Egypt has suffered from a shortage of dollars in the banking system that has sapped its ability to import since a 2011 uprising drove away tourists and foreign investors, both crucial sources of hard currency.

CIB did not specify which cards would be affected or give the new limits, but the move will impact both credit and debit cards with limits cut by about 50%.  CIB cut Classic Card owners’ maximum purchases outside of Egypt to $2,500 a month from $5,000, and $3,500 a month from $7,500 a month for Gold Card owners.  The move follows similar measures taken by a number of other banks recently.  Emirates NBD Egypt told customers that it would suspend use of Egyptian credit and debit cards abroad entirely, but later rowed back on the decision and said it would set new limits instead.  (Reuters 27.07)

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3.6  Chinese Electric Car Company Invests MAD 1 Billion in Morocco

Yangtse Automobile, a Chinese electric car company, announced that it would invest MAD 1 billion in Morocco.  The company plans to build a factory in Tangier, specializing in electric cars and buses to be made available for sale domestically and abroad.  Construction of the factory will begin soon, and that the factory will create about 2,000 jobs.  The company selected Tangier because of its strategic location close to Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, its skilled workforce in the automotive industry, and the supply of investment facilities.  (MWN 05.08)

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4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Solar Plane Completes Epic Round-the-World Trip

On 26 July, Solar Impulse 2 completed its historic round-the-world journey, becoming the first airplane to circle the globe powered only by the sun to promote renewable energy.  Cheers and applause broke out as the plane touched down before dawn in Abu Dhabi after the final leg of its marathon trip which began on 9 March.  It capped a remarkable 43,000 kilometer journey across four continents, two oceans and three seas, accomplished in 23 days of flying without a drop of fuel.  No heavier than a car but with the wingspan of a Boeing 747, the four-engine, battery-powered aircraft relies on around 17,000 solar cells embedded in its wings.  The plane clocked an average speed of 80 kilometers an hour.  (Various 28.07)

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5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanon’s Trade Deficit Reached $7.93 Billion by June 2016

According to data retrieved from the Lebanese Customs, Lebanon’s trade deficit increased by 9.72% from $7.23B by June 2015 to $7.93B by June 2016.  Accordingly, exports fell by a yearly 5.67% to $1.46B while imports increased by 7% y-o-y to $9.40B.  This increase in the value of imports was due to the increase in imported volume of goods from 7.58M tons by June 2015 to 9.08M by June 2016.  , the drop in exports was almost entirely accounted for by a drop in volume from 1.03M tons by June 2015 to 0.8M by June 2016.  This fall can be associated with the political conditions in the countries surrounding Lebanon.  As for imports, mineral products accounted for 22.37% of the total value of imported goods, which increased 42.15% y-o-y to $2.1B by June 2016.  Moreover, products of the chemical or allied industries registered 11.08% of the total value of imported goods, which accounted for a yearly rise of 4.79% to $1.04B.  As for machinery and electrical instruments, they held a share of 9.94%, which dropped by 7.46% from June 2015 to $934.17M by June 2016.

Specifically, pearls, precious stones and metals grasped the highest share of exported goods, where they grew by 27.92% year-on-year (y-o-y) to $303.80M in H1/16.  As for prepared foodstuffs, beverages and tobacco, they accounted for 15.98% of exported goods, worth $234.03M by June 2016, compared to $253.57M by June 2015.  Moreover, exports of machinery and electrical instruments, that take up to 13.57% of the total exports, fell by 13.18% y-o-y to $198.73M by H1/16.  The top import destinations for the first half of the year of the year were China, Italy, USA, Germany and Holland with respective shares of 10.79%, 7.65%, 7.08%, 5.97% and 5.26%.  The top export destinations for the same period were South Africa, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Syria and Iraq with respective shares of 15.92%, 10.59%, 9.07%, 6.21% and 6.15%.  (LC 01.08)

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5.2  Number of Lebanese Tourists Up by 7.7% by June 2016

According to the Lebanese Ministry of Tourism, the number of tourists that visited Lebanon in H1/16 increased by a yearly 7.70% and totaled 723,105.  The progress witnessed in H1/16 is mainly linked to the gradual recovery of tourism from the very low base reached in 2013 and 2014.  Still, the partial stabilization of the security condition boosted the number of European incomers.  The number of European visitors, constituting a third of total tourists, improved by a yearly 10.24% to 238,345 by June.  French tourists saw their number rise by an annual 8.1% to 60,720, and visitors from Germany and Sweden also rose in number by 16.73% and 16.13% to 32,646 and 14,878, respectively, by June 2016.  Arab tourists (30.2% of the total) stood second with their number barely rising by 0.5% year-on-year to 218,432 by June this year.  In details, the number of Iraqi tourists grew by an annual 20.6% to 98,858, while the number of number of Egyptian tourists rose by an annual 4.26% to 36,670 by June 2016.  In fact, Arab incomers to Lebanon were mainly nationals of countries having similar security situation and are either escaping the turmoil in their countries or looking for a job in Lebanon.  However, knowing that GCC governments warned its citizens from visiting Lebanon due to the insecurity spreading in the country and its neighboring nations, the number of incomers from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the UAE all recorded annual falls of 37.69%, 41.14% and 64.44% to reach 14,415, 9,121, and 1,279, respectively.  American tourists, representing the third largest share of the total (18% of total tourists), also increased by an annual 12.74% to 129,551 by June 2016.  The number of visitors from the US and Canada rose from 58,560 and 40,526 by June 2015 to 66,818 and 44,715 by June 2016, respectively.  (Blom 06.08)

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5.3  Jordan Signs Letter Accepting Terms of $700 Million Deal with IMF

On 26 July, Jordan signed a letter of intent with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a $700 million Extended Fund Facility (EFF) program.  The letter, which was signed on behalf of the Kingdom by the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank of Jordan (CBJ), was sent to the IMF, paving the way for the approval of the final agreement by the fund’s board at its meeting slated for late August.  In October, the IMF will send a delegation to conduct the first review of the Jordanian economy after which Amman may receive some $100 – $150 million.  A total of $700 million will be deposited at the CBJ over the years of the program that spans over 36 months.  Every six months, the IMF will conduct a review of the Jordanian economy, progress in the program and reforms.

Under the new deal, the government and the IMF agreed on six conditions that aim at reducing public debt to safe levels and stimulating the economy.  The IMF requested that the government keeps the debt ratio to GDP by the end of 2016 the same as registered by the end of last year.  Public debt registered by the end of last year was nearly JD24.9 billion or 93% of the GDP.  The IMF also demanded the government to reduce public debt ratio to GDP to 77% by 2021.  The agreement entails establishing a public investment unit to review the government’s priority capital projects.  The new facility will be housed by the Ministry of Planning and International Cooperation.  In August 2015, Jordan completed a three-year Stand-By Arrangement with the IMF in the amount of nearly $2 billion.  (JT 27.07)

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5.4  Jordan’s Exports Decline During First Five Months of 2016

The value of Jordanian exports decreased during the first five months of 2016 by 5.6% compared to the same period last year.  According to statements issued by the Jordanian Department of Statistics (DOS), the trade deficit rose during the first five months of the year by 2.8%, compared to the period from January until the end of May 2015.  Foreign trade data showed a reduction in the value of Jordanian exports to the Greater Arab Free Trade Area (GAFTA) by 9.8%, and to the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) by 1.6%.  Jordanian exports to the non-Arab Asian countries also dropped by 19.1%.  As for imports, the value of imports from the North American Free Trade Agreement countries rose by 10.3%, while falling 18.7% from the European Union countries.  (AMMONNEWS 25.07)

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►►Arabian Gulf

5.5  Findings Say 50,000 Schools Needed Across Arabian Gulf by 2020

More than 50,000 new schools are required in the GCC by 2020 to cope with rising demand in the education sector, it has been claimed.  The International and Private Schools Education Forum (IPSEF) has warned that new schools are needed to address an anticipated surge in the Gulf student population from 12.6 million in 2015 to an estimated 15 million by 2020.  This would be a significant addition of 7,000 more schools than the current number to address the burgeoning school student population across the region.  According to the report, 41,678 new schools will be established in the GCC in the public education sector by 2020, as well as 9,301 private schools.

Of these, 44,441 new schools are expected to be set up in Saudi Arabia, 2,054 in Oman and 1,497 in Kuwait. A total of 1,406 new schools are expected to be established in the UAE, 1,107 in Qatar and 503 in Bahrain, Alpen Capital said.  Its report identified more than 500 educational projects totaling $50 million in various stages of development across the Gulf.  (AB 01.08)

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5.6  Kuwait Plans to Raise Fuel Prices By 73% from September

Kuwait’s cabinet said on 1 August that it would raise the prices of gasoline in the energy-rich Gulf state beginning in September.  The cabinet also endorsed a plan to “start rationalizing fuel subsidies” whereby the prices will be restructured in harmony with the average rates in the other member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council.  Kuwait is making subsidy and spending cuts to save money as low oil prices push state finances into the red.  Indeed, Kuwaiti Finance ministry undersecretary Khalifa Hamada said at the end of 2015 that “rationalizing” subsidies would save the government 2.6 billion Kuwaiti dinars ($8.7 billion) over three years.

Kuwait plans to issue up to 3 billion dinars ($10 billion) in US dollar-denominated bonds and sukuk in international markets to help plug its budget deficit for the current 2016-17 fiscal year, the finance minister said last month.  It will also borrow up to 2 billion dinars ($6.6 billion) in debt from the domestic market in conventional and Islamic instruments.  Earlier this year, ratings agency Moody’s said that while fuel subsidy reforms in the Gulf region will help address pressure from low oil prices on public finances, these measures alone will not be enough to bring the governments’ budgets back into surplus.  Savings from increased fuel prices in the six Gulf nations will average 0.5% of GDP – around $7 billion – this year against an estimated deficit of 12.4% of GDP.  (AB 01.08)

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5.7  Third Reactor Vessel Installed at UAE’s Nuclear Power Site

The Emirates Nuclear Energy Corporation (ENEC) announced the installation of the reactor vessel in Unit 3, another milestone in the construction of the country’s first nuclear energy project at Barakah.  The installation is a critical step in the delivery of the country’s third nuclear energy unit and follows the installation of the Barakah Unit 2 reactor vessel in 2015 and the Unit 1 reactor vessel in 2014.  The reactor vessel is one of the most important features and largest components in a nuclear energy plant.  Weighing over 400 tonnes, it will contain the controlled nuclear reaction that will generate the nuclear energy that will feed into the UAE grid.

ENEC said the project at Barakah is progressing steadily.  Overall, construction of Units 1 to 4 is now more than 65% complete.  When the four reactors are completed, the UAE’s nuclear energy program will provide approximately 25% of the UAE’s electricity needs and save up to 12 million tons of greenhouse gas emissions each year.  (AB 30.07)

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5.8  South Korea Signs $920 Million Deal for UAE Reactors

State-owned Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power Co. (KHNP) signed a $920m deal with Emirates Nuclear Energy Corporation (ENEC) to operate four nuclear reactors, currently under construction, in Barakah in Abu Dhabi.  It is the first time for the firm that has been providing nuclear components and construction services to be in charge of maintenance and operation of a nuclear operation overseas.

Based on the agreement signed, KHNP will dispatch a total of 3,000 employees to the UAE until 2030 – about 210 every year – starting May, next year.  They will be responsible for the operations of four advanced power reactor (APR)-1400 nuclear reactors that are under construction as part of UAE’s project to build its first nuclear power station.  ENEC will pay for the labor and living cost and other staff expenses.  The total size of the deal is estimated to be $920m – $600m in service fees and $320m for expatriate packages on housing and education subsidies.

In 2009, KHNP participated in a consortium led by the state-run Korea Electric Power Corporation (Kepco) that won a deal to build four nuclear reactors in the UAE.  It was Korea’s first deal to export nuclear reactor technology.  KHNP has completed installing the first of the four reactors in May, last year, after breaking ground in July, 2012.  The construction of all four reactors will be complete by May 2020.  (AB 26.07)

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5.9  UAE’s Hotel Construction Pipeline Set to Peak in 2018

The UAE’s hotel construction pipeline is forecast to peak in 2017 and 2018 as the country gears up for the World Expo event in 2020.  According to a new report by TOPHOTELPROJECTS, there are 183 hotel projects and 54,000 hotel rooms in the UAE pipeline.  The hotel construction report prepared for The Hotel Show Dubai 2016 reveals that the majority of the new hotels are expected to open before 2020.  The busiest years are forecast to be 2017 (56 project openings) and 2018 (58 project openings).  Hotels opening in this time include Paramount Hotel Dubai (2017), Hard Rock Hotel Abu Dhabi (2017), Citymax Hotel Ras Al Khaimah (2017) and Marriott Dubai Jumeirah (2018).

Dubai and Abu Dhabi continue to lead in hotel construction across the UAE with a combined 155 hotel projects and 47,619 rooms in the pipeline.  Other emirates with hotel construction underway include Sharjah with 6 projects (959 rooms) and Ras Al-Khaimah with 5 projects (1,847 rooms), the report said.  (AB 26.07)

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5.10  Occupier Demand for UAE Offices Falls for Third Straight Quarter

Occupier demand in the UAE’s commercial property market fell for the third consecutive quarter between April and June with 23% more surveyors reporting a fall in tenant interest, according to a new report from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS).  The RICS Global Cities Commercial Property Monitor showed that the supply of available space continued to increase as the development activity of recent years fed into the marketplace.  It added that the impact of a regional economic slowdown had also added to more vacancies.  The RICS report also said investor demand fell across all segments of the UAE market for the third consecutive quarter with demand from international buyers also easing.  It said 10% of contributors reported a deterioration in credit conditions in Q2, the third consecutive tightening in lending standards.  The largest proportion (45%) of contributors said they think that current prices are around fair value while 42% think that they are still expensive relative to fundamentals.  (AB 07.08)

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5.11  Dubai-Run Hospitals See 524,000 Patients in First Half of 2016

Dubai Health Authority (DHA) has announced that its hospitals received more than 524,000 patients in the first half of 2016.  Giving the breakdown of the visits, nearly 38% (199,450 patients) visited Dubai Hospital, 12% (64,596 patients) visited Hatta Hospital, 33% (173,833 patients) visited Rashid Hospital and nearly 17% (87,013 patients) visited Latifa Hospital.  The total number of outpatient visits across these facilities were 280,766, while the total number of accident and emergency cases and walk-ins were 202,598, and the remaining 41,528 were admissions.  In 2015, the four DHA-run hospitals and specialty centers received over one million patients.  (DHA 30.07)

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5.12  Sharjah’s Ratings Outlook Downgraded by S&P

The outlook on Sharjah’s long-term ratings have been downgraded to negative by Standard & Poor’s, which says the emirate’s fiscal position could weaken beyond its current projections.  Updated population data provided by Sharjah following the 2015 population census has also resulted in a significant downward revision of GDP per capita.  At the same time, S&P said it has revised down our economic and fiscal performance projections for Sharjah for 2016-2019 and has therefore revised its outlook, while affirming ‘A/A-1’ ratings.

The agency revised down its 2016-2019 real economic growth estimates, based on lower-than-expected 2015 GDP data.  In S&P’s view, Sharjah’s economy and fiscal position are, largely, not exposed to oil price movements.  However, data point to major second-round regional demand effects from low oil prices, as its key trading partners have significant exposure.  .

S&P said the Sharjah government relaxed its fiscal stance over 2015 by postponing various revenue-raising measures and maintaining expenditures to help offset slowing demand, allowing the fiscal deficit to reach 4.2% of GDP.  It estimates that government net debt increased to 10% of GDP in 2015, from 5% in the previous year, but could increase further.  (S&P 08.08)

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5.13  Oman Posts $6.6 Billion Budget Deficit in First 5 Months of 2016

Oman’s government has posted a budget deficit of 2.54 billion rials ($6.6 billion) in the first five months of 2016.  This compares to a deficit of 1.60 billion rials a year earlier, as low oil export prices slashed its revenues, provisional Finance Ministry data showed.  The government’s original 2016 budget plan envisaged state expenditure of 11.9 billion rials and revenues at 8.6 billion rials.  Officials said their 2016 economic plans assumed an average oil price of $45 a barrel.  Oman is imposing a series of austerity measures after it posted a budget deficit of about 4.5 billion rials last year.  Gasoline and diesel price subsidies have been cut and similar cuts are planned for electricity and liquid petroleum gas.  (AB 08.08)

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5.14  Oman Said Set to Slash Subsidy Bill by 64% in 2016

Oman’s subsidy bill is expected to fall by 64% this year as the government seeks to reform its finances amid lower oil prices.  The deregulation of fuel prices in the sultanate began in mid-January, with diesel and petrol prices increasing by up to 33%.  Fuel prices are revised on a monthly basis.

Due to a slump in oil prices, the World Bank estimates, Oman lost as much as $10 billion in revenues in 2015, and it projects a deficit of 16.8% of the country’s GDP in 2016.  The World Bank said in a report that the Oman government has taken “bold steps” to increase revenues from non-oil sources including turning to debt markets for the first time and taking on some reforms such as subsidy cuts, reduced benefits for public sector workers and increased fees.  The World Bank also hailed the government’s measures to boost non-hydrocarbon revenue by revising electricity and water tariffs for commercial and industrial users and increasing fees for some government services, Muscat Daily reported.  The World Bank estimates that GCC countries lost $157 billion in oil revenues last year and is expected to lose another $100 billion this year.  (AB 06.08)

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5.15  Saudi Arabia Increases Visa Fees & Traffic Fines

Saudi Arabia’s cabinet recently approved proposals to raise a range of government fees including visa charges and fines for some traffic violations.  The moves come as the country seeks to boost state revenues in an era of low oil prices.

Cheap oil has slashed the government’s revenues from oil exports, saddling it with a budget deficit that totaled almost $100 billion in 2015 and forcing it to find new ways to raise money.  New visa fees approved by the cabinet include a charge of 8,000 riyals ($2,133) for a two-year multiple entry permit.  A three-month multiple exit and re-entry visa will cost 500 riyals; previously, such a visa cost 500 riyals for six months.

SPA did not say how much money the government expected to raise with the new fees, which could affect business travel to Saudi Arabia and visits by family members of the nearly 10 million foreigners estimated to live and work in the kingdom.  (Reuters 09.08)

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►►North Africa

5.16  Egypt Has Proposed 18-Month Reform Program to IMF

Cairo has proposed to IMF delegates an 18-month reform program in return for a $12 billion loan over three years to shore up its economy, but differences remain between the two sides on how to proceed.  The two sides are at odds over the size of a proposed devaluation of the Egyptian pound and the timetable for implementing some of the more politically sensitive reforms, like reducing or removing state subsidies on fuel, electricity and food staples.  It has been reported that the IMF has rejected Egyptian requests for a delay or a staggered implementation of some of the proposed reforms.

The IMF delegates view 11.60 pounds to the U.S. dollar as a realistic exchange rate.  Such a rate would be nearly three pounds more than the current official rate of 8.87 pounds available at banks but close to the thriving black market rate of 12-12.50 pounds.  The Egyptians, according to the media reports, want the pound’s exchange rate to be only 10.60 to the dollar.  The pound’s exchange rate is crucial to a country like Egypt, whose survival is heavily dependent on imports, not just of staple food items, but industrial components and raw materials to keep the manufacturing sector going.  Much of the imports needed by the private sector are financed by dollars bought on the black market.

Egypt is struggling to keep its economy afloat, amid a slump in tourism, foreign currency shortages and double digit inflation and unemployment.  The government is also fighting an insurgency in the strategic Sinai Peninsula while continuing to show little tolerance for domestic political dissent. On 8 August, the central bank reported a drop by about $2 billion in foreign currency reserves, down to $15.54 billion at the end of July after honoring a number of foreign debt repayments.

Egypt’s economic crisis has taken on a serious political dimension, with critics now blaming President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi for exacerbating it by embarking on massive costly infrastructure projects they say have drained the country’s meager funds and done little to revive the economy.  El-, in office since June 2014, counters that the projects, like a nationwide road network and an expansion of the Suez Canal, are vital if the country was to attract investors and their benefits would filter down in time.  He has repeatedly vowed in recent days to shield the poor and middle class from a virtually inevitable wave of price hikes when reforms are implemented.  For its part, his government announced higher electricity charges for domestic use as part of a plan to lift state subsidies in the energy sector.

As part of the planned reforms, Egypt was considering the partial privatization of several state-owned enterprises, possibly including oil companies. These, according to officials, would initially earn the treasury about $10 billion.  (AP 08.08)

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5.17  CAPMAS Says 88.1% of Egyptian Families Own Mobile Phones

An average of  22.1% of Egyptian families own smartphones, while 88.1% of families own mobile phones, according to the recent Central Agency for Public Mobilisation and Statistics’ (CAPMAS) 2015 Household Income, Expenditure and Consumption report.  The report also noted that 27.4% of families are subscribed to landline telephone service.  An average of 32.2% families in Egypt own computers, whereas only an average of 18.8% of families have access to the internet and 3.7% of families own tablets.  The survey, conducted in 2015, relies on a sample made of nearly 25,000 families from governorates throughout the 91 million strong country.  Orange, Vodafone and Etisalat are the three main providers of mobile services in Egypt.

The survey discovered that in urban areas an average 86.4% of the families own mobile phones, 31.7% of the families own smartphones and 39.7% of families are subscribed to landline telephone service.  On the other hand, an average of 89.6% of families in rural areas own a mobile phones, while 13.9% of families own smartphones and 17% are subscribed to landline telephone service.  The survey also found that an average of 45.5% of families in urban areas own computers, while only 20.9% of the families in rural areas own computers.  Families in urban areas have more access to the internet.  The survey showed 29.1% of the families in urban areas use internet, while only 10.1% of the families in rural areas have and use an internet connection.  On average, 6.4% of families in urban areas own tablets, whereas only 1.4% of the rural areas families own tablets.  (CAPMAS 26.07)

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5.18  Nearly 40% of Egyptians’ Education Spending Pays for Private Tutorials

In its latest published findings on annual income and spending, the Central Agency for Public Mobilisation and Statistics (CAPMAS) said almost 40% of Egyptians’ annual spending on education is directed to private tutoring.  The figure presented by the agency is 7.5% higher than that of school fees and expenses, which account for 31.9% of annual education spending, CAPMAS said.  Private tutorials are deemed a must in Egypt as they offset perceived low-quality public education.  Egyptian families in urban areas whose members include students spend an average of around EGP 5500 ($620) on education a year – 11% of their income, while families in rural areas spend around EGP 2333 ($263) yearly — 6.7% of their earnings.  (CAPMAS 26.07)

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5.19  27.8% of Egyptian Population Lives Below Poverty Line

On 26 July, CAPMAS said that the Egyptian poverty line stands at an income of LE5,787.9 annually and LE482 monthly, 48% higher than in 2012/2013.  About 27.8% of the Egyptian population is currently living below the poverty line, according to a CAPMAS survey addressing income and expenditures in 2015.  The poverty line is defined as the minimum income deemed adequate for an individual to meet his basic needs.  The poverty line in Egypt differs from one area to another depending on the cost of living in each area.

The Egyptian poverty line was raised from LE326 monthly in the 2012/2013 survey to LE482 in 2015, an increase of 48%.  The annual rate of inflation in consumer prices reached 14.8% in June.  The data from the survey indicates that 2015 saw the highest poverty levels since 2000.  Poverty rates have hiked to 27.8% in 2015 compared to 26.3% in 2012/2013 and 25.2% in 2010/2011.  The current poverty line means that a family made up of 5 individuals needs LE2,372 monthly to float above the line.

The CAPMAS survey pointed out that the urban population is richer than the rural one but the former suffers higher levels of income inequality.  Rural areas, on the other hand, witnessed increased levels of inequality and poverty during the past two years compared to the urban areas where inequality levels decreased and poverty levels stabilized.

The survey’s results signified that food subsidies protected 4.6% of Egyptians from falling below the poverty line, according to the data.  The results also indicated that 77% of the 10% of Egyptians with the highest spending used subsidy cards in 2015.  This is more than previous years, which shows inefficiency in Egypt’s subsidy system supposedly tailored to benefit lower income groups.  (CAPMAS 26.07)

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5.20  Egypt Signs Exploration Deals with US & Cypriot Firms

Egypt’s minister of petroleum and mineral resources has signed two agreements for oil and gas exploration in upper Egypt with U.S. company IPR and Cyprus subsidiary Mediterra.  The agreements include the drilling of three exploration wells located in sectors 7 and 8 in the country’s southern Al-Baraka field in Aswan, investments worth a minimum $4.3 million and a one-off fee for the license called a signature bonus, totaling $200,000.  The contracts were signed between Egypt’s Ganoub El-Wadi Petroleum Holding Company (GANOPE), IPR and Mediterra.  Minister of Petroleum Tarek al-Molla said the deals will help increase oil production to meet local needs.  Al-Molla added that the new agreements will intensify research activities in the southern area of the country which has promising petroleum prospects.  (Al-Masry Al-Youm 27.07)

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5.21  Libya’s Petroleum Facilities Guard Reopens 4 Ports to Resume Oil Exports

On 28 July, the Petroleum Facilities Guard (PFG) under the leadership of Executive Director Ibrahim Jadhran and key members’ of the Government of National Accord’s (GNA) Presidential Council signed an agreement to reopen the ports of Ras Lanuf, Zuwetina, Es Sidra and Brega.  This move marks a resumption of national oil export activities as requested by the Presidential Council and reiterates the recognition of the GNA by the PFG and willingness to cooperate for the future of Libya.

The physical security of the regional infrastructure to include the ports was made possible through extensive counter terrorism operations conducted by the PFG from June 2015 to July 2016 and resulted in the liberation of the cities of Bin Jawad, Nawfaliyah, and Harawah from ISIS and virtual elimination of terrorist activities in the critical Oil Crescent Region of Libya.  The resuming of port operations in the region is expected to bring in an additional $700m in revenue to the struggling Libyan economy over the next several months.

The PFG is the singular paramilitary security force within Libya entrusted to secure the oil infrastructure of the country.  The PFG operates in conjunction with the Libyan Government of National Accord and its Presidential Council.  (PFG 29.07)

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5.22  China Delivers Third C28A Corvette to Algeria

China delivered a third C28A-class corvette to the Algerian navy earlier this month.  The stealth guided-missile ship was commissioned by the Algerian navy on 12 July at a Hudong-Zhonghua Shipbuilding Group port in Shanghai, the report states.  Featuring a displacement of 3,000 metric tons, the 360-foot-long corvette can conduct offshore defense operations and long-distance combat missions.  It is larger than previous warships China has sold to foreign customers.  The ship also features new equipment, a stealth design and a higher level of automation.  The contract for the corvettes was signed in 2011.  The first ship in the class was delivered in September, with the second handed over in January.  (UPI 22.07)

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5.23  Number of Internet Users in Morocco Increases by 34%

Morocco’s National Agency of Telecommunication Regulations (ANRT) reported Monday that the number of internet users in Morocco increased by 34.4% in 2016.  The total number of internet users is now 13.69 million users.  The entire sector is experiencing growth.  The number of mobile users increased by 3.65%, connecting more Moroccans to each other and the rest of the globe through text messages, phone calls, and the internet.  The average internet bill in Morocco increased by 4% this year, to MAD 24 per month.  The average mobile user spends 13% more on mobile data this year, at 17 MAD per month.  (MWN 28.07)

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5.24  Morocco Receives First US Abrams Tanks for Royal Armed Forces

Upon the instructions of the King, Supreme Commander and Chief of General Staff of the Royal Armed Forces (FAR) held a ceremony to receive the first US Abrams Tanks M1A1 for Morocco.  Chaired by Major General, Inspector of the Armored Corps, the ceremony was attended by the wali of greater Casablanca and US Consul General in Casablanca, as well as by two important Moroccan and American delegations.  The Abrams Tanks were part of a purchase contract and will be delivered in batches over 2017 and 2018.  This transaction mirrors the shared will by Morocco and the USA to deepen their defense cooperation and contributes to fostering interoperability between the FAR and US armed forces.  The Abrams tank acquisition is part of the FAR’s major upgrade plan.  (MWN 26.07)

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6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkey’s Tourism Revenue Sees Steepest Q2 Plunge Since 1999

Turkey’s tourism revenue fell 35.6% in the second quarter of the year compared to the same period of 2015, to $5 billion, data from the Turkish Statistics Institute (TUIK).  This was the steepest decline since 1999, due to rising security concerns and the dramatic decline in the number of Russians visiting Turkey.

Turkey’s tourism revenue regressed to $9 billion in the first half of the year from $12.6 billion in the same period of 2015.  The number of foreigners visiting Turkey plummeted more than 40% in June, official data showed on 28 July, marking the biggest drop in at least 22 years, as tensions with Russia and a series of deadly bombings kept tourists away.

Analysts expected at least $5 billion in losses to annual tourism revenue over this year, pushing down the gross domestic product by more than 0.5%.  While Ankara and Moscow have recently started to rebuild ties, tourist arrivals from Russia dropped 87% in the first six months of the year.  (TUIK 29.07)

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6.2  Greek Government Reports Nearly €1 Billion in Tax Evasion Fines, Asset Seizures

The Government of Greece has opened hundreds of tax-evasion cases against citizens suspected of hiding assets outside of country borders, already assessing some €810 million in fines from suspected scofflaws.  The government, which began examining suspected income tax evaders in early 2015, recently ratcheted up efforts to recover back-taxes due, after the agency increased the number of investigators from a handful to several dozen over the past few months.

Most of the investigative leads have come from the so-called “Lagarde” and “Borjans” lists, which the Greek government acquired via leaks from Swiss banking whistleblowers.  The Lagarde list, contained on a thumb-drive, had records on 2,000 Greek citizens who maintain Swiss bank accounts.  Between 1 January 2015 and 15 July 2016, investigators have 191 legal cases pending against Greek citizens who were on the Lagarde list, with 94 cases closed.  The Borjans list was acquired by anti-corruption Secretary General Vassiliadis in November 2015; since then over 1,000 cases have been initiated against people suspected of tax evasion.

In addition, an anti-corruption crackdown has led to fines and asset seizures of nearly €500 million.  The anti-corruption cases deal with a disparate class of businesses, including the defense industry, shipping, hospitals and drug suppliers and finance.  Over 1,300 cases had been investigated since July 2013, and of those, more than 200 were deemed relevant and were concluded while more than 130 are pending.  The Special Prosecutor against Corruption says that corruption cases involving defense contracting have yielded over €40 million in cash settlements, while seized assets are valued at an additional €450 million.  Assets seized include cash, artwork, jewelry and luxury automobiles.  (Government of Greece 29.07)

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7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

*ISRAEL:

7.1  Tisha B’Av to Be Observed on 13/14 August

Tisha B’Av will be observed this year from night fall on 13 August until the evening of 14 August.  Tisha B’Av (or the Ninth of Av) is an annual fast day in Judaism, named for the ninth day (tisha) of the month of Av in the Hebrew calendar.  Tisha B’Av is the culmination of a three week period of increasing mourning, beginning with the fast of the 17th of Tammuz.  The fast commemorates the destruction of both the First Temple and Second Temple in Judaism’s holiest site, Jerusalem, which occurred about 656 years apart, but on the same Hebrew calendar date.   Accordingly, the day has been called the “saddest day in Jewish history”.  While the day recalls general tragedies which have befallen the Jewish people over the ages, the day focuses on commemoration of five events: the destruction of the two ancient Temples in Jerusalem, the sin of the ten spies sent by Moses, who spoke disparagingly about the Land of Israel, the razing of Jerusalem following the siege of Jerusalem in 70 CE and the failure of Bar Kokhba’s revolt against the Roman Empire.

The fast lasts about 25 hours, beginning at sunset on the eve of Tisha B’Av and ending at nightfall the next day.  In addition to the prohibitions against eating or drinking, observant Jews also observe prohibitions against washing or bathing, applying creams or oils, wearing leather shoes, or having marital relations.  In addition, mourning customs similar to those applicable to the shiva period immediately following the death of a close relative are traditionally followed for at least part of the day, including sitting on low stools, refraining from work and not greeting others.  The Book of Lamentations (Eicha) is traditionally read, followed by the kinnot, a series of liturgical lamentations.  This year, when the ninth of Av falls on Saturday, the observance is deferred to Saturday night and Sunday.

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7.2  NBA’s Amar’e Stoudemire Joins Hapoel Jerusalem Basketball Club

Hapoel Jerusalem Basketball Club announced that six-time NBA All-Star Amar’e Stoudemire is joining the team on a two-year deal.  Per team policy, terms of the deal were not disclosed.  Stoudemire is a 14 year NBA veteran who was drafted by the Phoenix Suns with the ninth pick of the 2002 NBA draft, going on to play eight seasons for the team.  In 2010, he signed with the New York Knicks and then played half a season with the Dallas Mavericks before ending his NBA career with the Miami Heat.  Over his career, Stoudemire averaged nearly 19 points and 8 rebounds per game.

Dr. Ori Allon, President and majority owner of Hapoel Jerusalem, led an ownership group in July 2013 – including Stoudemire – in the acquisition of Hapoel Jerusalem.  As part of his contract with Hapoel Jerusalem, Stoudemire will sell his shares in the club to Allon.

Hapoel Jerusalem Basketball Club was founded in 1943 and has played in the Israeli Basketball League’s top division since 1955.  The team has won four Israeli State Cups, three Israeli League Cups, one Israeli Championship and one EuroCup Championship, making it one of Israel’s most successful basketball clubs.  (Hapoel Jerusalem Basketball Club 01.08)

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7.3  Israeli University Offers Degree in Winemaking

The Hebrew University of Jerusalem plans to introduce a degree in winemaking in the coming academic year.  The program, recently accredited by the Israel Council for Higher Education, will offer viticulture, enology and winery-oriented business management studies.  The course will be the first of its kind in Israel and cater to students with undergraduate degrees in life sciences and applied sciences.  The 18-month program includes traveling to Europe to attend professional workshops hosted by international experts.  Graduates will also have the opportunity to intern in commercial wineries in Israel and abroad.  The program aims to meet the growing demand among Israelis to for university-level winemaking studies, which arises from the growth of the Israeli wine industry in recent years, increasing wine consumption in Israel, and what has been described as Israeli consumers’ “professional approach” to fine wines.  This trend prompted the Robert H. Smith Faculty of Agriculture, Food and Environment at the Hebrew University to formulate the degree in an effort to further advance the field in Israel.  (Israel Hayom 07.08)

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8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  LabStyle Innovations Now DarioHealth

Labstyle Innovations Corp. announced that it is changing its corporate name to DarioHealth Corp.  The name change reflects the company’s growth and development in the Digital Health and mHealth space – a $10 billion industry that according to research2guidance, is expected to grow to $31 billion by 2020.  DarioHealth will continue to trade on Nasdaq under the ticker “DRIO”.  DarioHealth’s flagship product, The Dario Smart Diabetes Management Solution, is a platform for diabetes management that combines an all-in-one blood glucose meter and a robust, real-time native smartphone app that includes a wide variety of tools to support and engage users living with diabetes, their doctors and the healthcare system.  The new name was effective Thursday, 28 July 2016 and will be implemented across the company’s products and services throughout the rest of the calendar year 2016.

Caesarea’s DarioHealth is a leader in digital health self-management solutions.  DarioHealth delivers the ability to combine and analyze consumer health data to personalize treatment and advance medical knowledge.  The Dario Smart Diabetes Management Solution is a platform for diabetes management that combines an all-in-one blood glucose meter, native smart phone app, website portal and a wide variety of treatment tools to support more proactive and better informed decisions by users living with diabetes, their doctors and healthcare systems.  (DarioHealth 27.07)

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8.2  Gamida’s First Sickle Cell Patient Transplanted in Study of CordIn as the Sole Graft Source

Gamida Cell announced that the first patient with sickle cell disease (SCD) has been transplanted with CordIn.  The transplant took place at UCSF Benioff Children’s Hospital Oakland.  CordIn is an experimental curative treatment for rare non-malignant diseases where bone marrow transplantation is the only currently available cure.  These include hemoglobinopathies such as SCD and thalassemia, bone marrow failure syndromes such as aplastic anemia, genetic metabolic diseases and refractory autoimmune diseases.  This unmet medical need represents a multi-billion dollar market potential.  Eight patients with SCD were transplanted in the first Phase 1/2 study performed in a double graft configuration.  This study is still ongoing. Preliminary data from the first study will be summarized and published later this year.  A Phase 1/2 of CordIn for the treatment of patients with aplastic anemia will commence later this year.

Jerusalem’s Gamida Cell is a world leader in cellular and immune therapies for the treatment of cancer and orphan genetic diseases.  The company’s pipeline of products are in development to treat a wide range of conditions including cancer, genetic hematological diseases such as sickle cell disease and thalassemia, bone marrow failure syndromes such as aplastic anemia, genetic metabolic diseases and refractory autoimmune diseases.  (Gamida Cell 27.07)

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8.3  Quark Awarded Key Patent for QPI-1007 Ocular Neuroprotectant Treatment

Quark Pharmaceuticals announced that the United States Patent and Trademark Office has granted a key patent covering the treatment of patients suffering from non-arteritic anterior ischemic optic neuropathy (NAION) with the Company’s ocular neuroprotectant QPI-1007.  The patent will expire in 2033 with potential for term extension.

QPI-1007 received Orphan Drug status from the FDA for this indication and it is currently being evaluated in a global Phase II/III study, QRK207, to determine the effect of QPI-1007 on visual function in subjects with acute NAION.   QRK207 study is already enrolling in several countries, including the US and India with additional sites in Israel, Germany, Australia, Italy, and China opening soon.  The clinical study is run by Quark in collaboration with Quark’s partners Biocon in India and the Chinese joint venture company of Quark in China, Kunshan RiboQuark Pharmaceutical Technology Co.

Quark Pharmaceuticals is a late clinical-stage pharmaceutical company, discovering and developing novel RNAi-based therapeutics for unmet medical needs.  Two products, QPI -1002 for Delayed Graft Function (DGF) and QP -1007 for Non Arteritic Ischemic Optic Neuropathy (NAION) are in global phase III pivotal clinical studies, each of which was granted Orphan designation.  Quark is headquartered in Fremont, California and operates research facilities in Ness Ziona, Israel.  (Quark 29.07)

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8.4  Teva Completes Acquisition of Actavis Generics

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries and Allergan announced that Teva has completed its acquisition of Allergan’s generics business (Actavis Generics).  This strategic acquisition brings together two leading generics businesses with complementary strengths, R&D capabilities, product pipelines and portfolios, geographical footprints, operational networks and cultures.  The result is a stronger, more competitive Teva, well positioned to thrive in an evolving global marketplace, to realize the opportunities the very attractive global and U.S. generics markets offer, and to deliver the highest-quality generic medicines at the most competitive prices, unlocking value to patients, healthcare systems and investors around the world.

With the acquisition, Teva now has approximately 338 product registrations pending FDA approval and holds the leading position in first-to-file opportunities with approximately 115 pending ANDAs in the U.S. In Europe, after divestitures; Teva will have a pipeline capable of over 5000 launches across the region.  In Teva growth markets including, Asia, Africa, Latin America, Middle East, Russia and CIS, there are now approximately 600 pending product approvals.  Overall, Teva is planning for 1,500 generic launches globally in 2017.  Teva’s products generated approximately $215 billion in savings in the last decade to the U.S. healthcare system; this number will continue to increase and even accelerate as a result of the acquisition.

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries is a leading global pharmaceutical company that delivers high-quality, patient-centric healthcare solutions used by millions of patients every day.  Headquartered in Israel, Teva is the world’s largest generic medicines producer, leveraging its portfolio of more than 1,800 molecules to produce a wide range of generic products in nearly every therapeutic area.  (Teva 02.08)

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8.5  Aeterna Zentaris and Rafa Laboratories Sign Exclusive Agreement for Zoptrex in Israel

Charleston, South Carolina’s Aeterna Zentaris and Rafa Laboratories signed an exclusive license agreement for the Company’s lead anti-cancer compound, Zoptrex (zoptarelin doxorubicin), for the initial indication of endometrial cancer, for Israel and the Palestinian Authority.  Zoptrex, a novel synthetic peptide carrier linked to doxorubicin, is currently in a fully-enrolled Phase 3 clinical trial in endometrial cancer.  The Company expects to complete the Phase 3 clinical trial in Q3/16 and, if the results of the trial warrant doing so, to file a new drug application for Zoptrex in the first half of 2017.

Under the terms of the License Agreement, Aeterna Zentaris will be entitled to receive a non-refundable upfront payment in consideration for the license to Rafa of the Company’s intellectual property related to Zoptrex and the grant to Rafa of the right to commercialize Zoptrex in the territory.  Rafa has also agreed to make additional payments to the Company upon achieving certain pre-established regulatory and commercial milestones.  Furthermore, the Company will receive double-digit royalties on future net sales of Zoptrex in the territory.  Rafa will be responsible for the development, registration, reimbursement and commercialization of the product.  The Company and Rafa have also entered into a supply agreement, pursuant to which the Company will supply Zoptrex to Rafa for the duration of the license agreement.

Jerusalem’s Rafa is a pharmaceutical company in Israel that markets, manufactures and distributes prescription (Rx) and over-the-counter (OTC) medicines, mainly proprietary formulations, as well as generic formulations, and consumer health products.  With a history of over 75 years, Rafa is a trusted partner of some of the leading pharmaceutical companies, such as Mundipharma, Purdue, United Therapeutics, Napp, Ony, Galderma, Dr. Falk Pharma, Zambon and more.  (Aeterna Zentaris 01.08)

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8.6  Check-Cap Awarded $1.25 Million Grant for 2016 from Israel’s OCS

Check-Cap announced that Israel’s Office of the Chief Scientist (the OCS) has awarded the Company a grant of NIS 4.8 million (approximately equivalent to $1.25 million based on the current exchange rate) for 2016.  Charged with execution of government policy for support of R&D, the goal of the OCS is to assist in the development of technology in Israel as a means of fostering economic growth, encouraging technological innovation and entrepreneurship, leveraging Israel’s scientific potential, enhancing the knowledge base of industry in Israel, stimulating high value-added R&D and encouraging R&D collaboration both nationally and internationally.  The grant will be used by Check-Cap to support the ongoing clinical development of its proprietary ingestible capsule technology and is subject to certain customary conditions and obligations.

Usfiya’s Check-Cap is a clinical-stage medical diagnostics company developing the world’s first ingestible capsule system for preparation-free, less-invasive colorectal cancer screening.  The capsule utilizes innovative ultra-low dose X-ray and wireless communication technologies to scan the inside of the colon as it moves naturally, while the patient follows his or her normal daily routine.   After passage, the system generates a 3D map of the inner surface of the colon which enables detection of polyps and cancer.  Designed to increase the willingness of individuals to participate in recommended colorectal cancer screening, the Check-Cap system addresses many frequently-cited barriers, including laxative bowel preparation, invasiveness, and sedation.  The Check-Cap system is currently not cleared for marketing in any jurisdiction.  (Check-Cap 02.08)

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8.7  POP Medical Receives FDA Approval for Pelvic Device

POP Medical has obtained FDA approval for marketing of its medical device for treatment of pelvic floor prolapse.  Some 20% of the women in the world suffer from this condition at any given moment and 30% at some time in their lives.  The condition causes internal organs to exert pressure on the pelvic floor, which can lead to repeat urinary tract infections, vaginal bleeding, pain, discomfort in sexual relations, etc.  The accepted treatment was formerly a hysterectomy.  In recent years, solutions involving anchoring through an alternative artificial pelvic floor have been developed, but these do not last, and feature bleeding and other side effects.

The newest methods for treating the problem are based on anchoring the existing pelvic floor tissue to the tendons above it.  POP Medical’s products is a new method of anchoring the pelvic floor to tendons that significantly shortens the duration of treatment (15 minutes, compared with an hour or more in the current methods), reduces pain, and simplifies the treatment, thereby substantially reducing the risk incurred.  The product was tested on 15 women in a clinical trial in Israel.  In every case, a solution for pelvic floor prolapse was achieved, with no side effects recorded.

Tel Aviv’s POP Medical Solutions is developing a novel technology to repair pelvic floor organ prolapse.  POP Medical Solutions is developing NeuGuide, a minimally-invasive, meshless and dissectionless anchoring system to treat uterine prolapse in a standardized, safer and cost-effective manner.  POP was founded in the Rad Biomed incubator, and received a follow-up investment from the Triventures fund.  (POP Medical 07.08)

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8.8  Intec Pharma to Pursue Development of Accordion Pill for Cannabinoid Therapies

Intec Pharma announced the initiation of a new clinical development program for its Accordion Pill platform with the two primary cannabinoids contained in Cannabis sativa.  Intec Pharma plans to formulate and test Cannabidiol (CBD) and Tetrahydrocannabinol (THC), or AP-CBD/THC, for the treatment of various indications, including pain management.  The Company plans to initiate a Phase I clinical trial with AP-CBD/THC during Q1/17.

Jerusalem’s Intec Pharma is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing drugs based on its proprietary Accordion Pill platform technology.  The Company’s Accordion Pill is an oral drug delivery system that is designed to improve the efficacy and safety of existing drugs and drugs in development by utilizing an efficient gastric retention and specific release mechanism.  The Company’s product pipeline currently includes three product candidates in clinical trial stages: Accordion Pill Carbidopa/Levodopa, or AP-CDLD, which is being developed for the indication of treatment of Parkinson’s disease symptoms in advanced Parkinson’s disease patients, Accordion Pill Zaleplon, or AP-ZP, which is being developed for the indication of treatment of insomnia, including sleep induction and the improvement of sleep maintenance, and an Accordion Pill that is being developed for the prevention and treatment of gastroduodenal and small bowel Nonsteroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drug induced ulcers.  (Intec Pharma 04.08)

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8.9  Teva Announces Acquisition of Anda

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries has entered into a definitive agreement to purchase Allergan’s Anda, the 4th largest distributor of generic pharmaceuticals in the U.S., for $500 million.  Anda distributes generic, brand, specialty and over-the-counter pharmaceutical products from more than 300 manufacturers to retail independent and chain pharmacies, nursing homes, mail order pharmacies, hospitals, clinics and physician offices across the United States.  As part of the deal, Teva will acquire three distribution centers in Olive Branch, MS; Weston, FL and Groveport, OH, with a total of over 650 employees.  The closing of this transaction is subject to antitrust clearance and satisfaction of other conditions.  The transaction is expected to close in H2/16.

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries is a leading global pharmaceutical company that delivers high-quality, patient-centric healthcare solutions used by millions of patients every day.  Headquartered in Israel, Teva is the world’s largest generic medicines producer, leveraging its portfolio of more than 1,800 molecules to produce a wide range of generic products in nearly every therapeutic area.  (Teva 03.08)

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8.10  InSeal Medical Announces CE Mark for InClosure Large Bore Vascular Closure Device

InSeal Medical announced that it has received CE Mark approval for its InClosure VCD, a large bore vascular closure device.  The InClosure VCD is a first-in-class, intravascular closure device based on InSeal Medical’s proprietary and patented technology.  The InClosure VCD is a dedicated vascular closure device designed to close large bore arterial punctures ranging from 12F to 21F.  Such large bore delivery systems are used in various catheter based procedures, including transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) and percutaneous endovascular treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysms (PEVAR).  The InClosure VCD is implanted percutaneously and requires no pre-procedure or sheath exchange.  It is based on a biodegradable membrane coupled to vessel wall by a thin Nitinol frame.  The flexible membrane exploits blood pressure to improve sealing, resulting in a fast and reliable hemostasis even in calcified arteries.

InSeal Medical is a privately held company based in Caesarea, Israel.  The Company is focus on the development of novel closure solutions for cardiovascular applications based on its patented InClosure technology and know-how.  (InSeal Medical 08.08)

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8.11  FDA Approves EyeYon Corneal Edema Treatment

EyeYon Medical has received US marketing authorization for its medical contact lens for the treatment of corneal edema.  The product is already approved for marketing in Europe, and has been sold there since early 2016.  EyeYon’s lenses are constructed in such a manner that they create a space above the eye where medical drops can be stored.  This enables them to have extended contact with the eye, making them more effective.  The product is undergoing clinical trials in both the US and Europe, although it already received authorization.  The trials involve 100 patients. So far, the product has been field-tested on more than 1,000 patients, who reported a significant reduction in pain and immediate improvement in vision.

Edema-treatment drops are the first application of this technology, with the medical agent here being salt water. In the future, this same technology could be used for various other kinds of treatment.  The stored medicine could be antibiotics, steroids, anti-inflammatory agents, dry eye medicine and more.  The company is currently holding clinical trials in Holland for the treatment of dry eye syndrome using the lens.

Ness Ziona’s EyeYon Medical develops and brings to market exclusive medical ophthalmic devices, which offer relief to unmet clinical need for millions of patients. Its innovative technologies are proven in clinical studies.  EyeYon’s first product, Hyper-CL, for treating corneal edema, has received the CE Mark and FDA clearance and is approved for marketing in Europe and in the USA.  (Globes 09.08)

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9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Stratoscale Symphony V2 Delivers the Public Cloud Experience in the Enterprise Data Center

Stratoscale announced the availability of Stratoscale Symphony V2, the second generation of Stratoscale’s comprehensive cloud data center software developed in direct response to customer demands and industry trends.  The latest version of Stratoscale Symphony further differentiates itself from other approaches on the market – deploying, managing and scaling cloud infrastructure has never been so achievable.  Stratoscale Symphony continues to add capabilities to support enterprise-grade private cloud deployments, with capabilities that are only available in web-scale environments.  For businesses of all sizes looking to augment their aging VMware infrastructure, Stratoscale Symphony can be deployed on any x86 server, and provides an Amazon Web Services (AWS) experience in hours.  Since introducing Symphony V1 in December 2015, Stratoscale has been committed to continuous, rapid innovation in cloud infrastructure with major enhancements released every few months.

Stratoscale Symphony V2 introduces significant new capabilities to the Symphony architecture, addressing customer requirements and continuing Stratoscale’s commitment to provide the best cloud infrastructure to service providers, enterprise IT and development teams.

Herzliya’s Stratoscale is the cloud infrastructure company, providing comprehensive cloud infrastructure software solutions for service providers, enterprise IT and development teams.  The company’s comprehensive cloud data center software, Stratoscale Symphony, can be deployed in minutes on commodity x86 servers, providing an Amazon Web Services (AWS) experience with the ability to augment aging VMware infrastructure.  (Stratoscale 26.07)

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9.2  Mellanox Receives Baidu’s Award for Technology Leadership

Mellanox Technologies has been honored with the Award for Technology Innovation from global web 2.0 service leader Baidu.  The award recognizes Mellanox’s achievements in designing and delivering a high-performance, low latency interconnect technology solution that positively impacts Baidu’s business.  Mellanox Technologies received the award at the 2016 Baidu Datacenter Partner Conference, Baidu’s annual gathering of key datacenter partners, and was the only interconnect provider in this category.

Gartner reports state that beginning in 2009, the cloud market in China has been growing more than 60% year over year.  The estimate for 2016 should exceed $50 billion.  In order to address this explosive market, Mellanox Technologies set up local offices in China as the markets were expanding and quickly added an R&D center in Beijing.  The R&D center focuses on developing customized solutions for local customers including software optimization, switch and NIC features to accelerate performance and better address specific customer environments.  Baidu is the leading Chinese language Internet search provider.  As a technology-based media company, Baidu aims to provide the best and most equitable way for people to find what they’re looking for.

Yokneam’s Mellanox Technologies is a leading supplier of end-to-end Ethernet and InfiniBand intelligent interconnect solutions and services for servers, storage and hyper-converged infrastructure.  Mellanox intelligent interconnect solutions increase data center efficiency by providing the highest throughput and lowest latency, delivering data faster to applications and unlocking system performance.  (Mellanox 25.07)

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9.3  NUA – the Smart Carry-On Suitcase That Follows You Around

Israel’s NUA Robotics plans to make traveling a little bit easier with its newly developed hands-free carry-on suitcase that follows you around, just like a loyal pet.  The carry-on has a built-in camera that detects the location of its owner.  The case connects to a smartphone app via Bluetooth, so one knows where their luggage is at all times.

The luggage is able to do more than just follow you around and carry your clothes.  It can charge its own battery on the go, as well as charge your phone, computer, or tablet.  It can also communicate its weight through the app and it has a built-in anti-theft alarm.  The alarm will react if the distance between you and your luggage becomes larger than 10 meters.  If you forget your luggage somewhere, it will send a notification to your smartphone.

NUA expects to price the suitcase at $599; about six times the price of same-size suitcases, most of which cost about $100.  While the luggage is not yet available for consumers, they can register to purchase it on the company’s website.  The design of the luggage is slick, but basic, made to fulfill airlines’ carry-on sizing standards and with handles for when the traveler chooses to forgo the “follow me” function.  Despite the exciting features that come in this robotic carry-on suitcase, there are still a few kinks NUA has to figure out. For example, the pace of the bag is currently set to slow/medium, so the company might have to further customize it based on the speed of the user.  Founded in early 2015, NUA Robotics has raised $125,000 in funding from venture capital firm SOSV, and is currently raising its seed round.  (NoCamels 27.07)

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9.4  Medallia Deploys Mellanox Solution to Supercharge Real-Time Analytics

Mellanox Technologies announced that Medallia, the leading Customer Experience Management (CEM) provider, has chosen Mellanox Open Composable Network (OCN) Ethernet devices for its next generation of 100GbE end-to-end solution.  With the addition of Mellanox OCN architecture and devices, Medallia can now seamlessly upgrade its current 40/100GbE data center to 50/100 GbE as the company reaches Hyperscale Infrastructure efficiency, achieves unprecedented throughput and latency, and delivers lightning-fast, rock-solid application performance for its customers.

As part of its mission to help the world’s leading brands hardwire their organizations with customer feedback and drive stronger alignment, agility and business performance, Medallia selected Spectrum SN2700 Open Ethernet switches, ConnectX-4 NICs and LinkX cables from the Mellanox OCN Ethernet portfolio.  Mellanox OCN solutions supply the efficient network fabric that is essential to handling the large amount of east-west traffic generated from inter-container communication, storage access, and scale-out storage cluster operations.  The Mellanox OCN architecture also allows Medallia to enjoy the best of both worlds by continuing to use the Cumulus Linux switch operating system that simplifies its infrastructure management, and by benefitting from the performance and efficiency boost provided by the Spectrum switches.

The Spectrum SN2700 switch delivers the highest 100GbE performance and easily addresses the increased demands of today’s data center environments. Spectrum provides customers with an ideal spine and top-of-rack (ToR) solution for maximum flexibility, and includes port speeds covering 10Gb/s to 100 Gb/s per port and port density, while enabling full rack connectivity to any server at any speed. Powered by the Spectrum ASIC and packed with 32 ports running at 100GbE, Spectrum offers massive switching capacity of 6.4Tb/s with breakthrough 4.77Bpps processing capacity in a compact 1RU form factor.

Yokneam’s Mellanox Technologies is a leading supplier of end-to-end InfiniBand and Ethernet interconnect solutions and services for servers and storage.  Mellanox interconnect solutions increase data center efficiency by providing the highest throughput and lowest latency, delivering data faster to applications and unlocking system performance capability.  (Mellanox Technologies 27.07)

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9.5  BillRun Implements Billing and CRM Systems at Monaco Telecom

BillRun Technologies, a Tel Aviv based billing company specializing in open-source and cloud solutions, has completed implementation of an advanced billing system for quad-play communication services at Monaco Telecom (MT).  The financial scope of the project is worth several hundreds of thousands of dollars.  MT services the Principality of Monaco, which is located on the French Riviera and hosts more than 300,000 tourists a year, of which one third are guests at conferences and meetings.  This demographic constraint presents a challenge for MT which has chosen BillRun to implement its new comprehensive billing and customer care solution, following BillRun’s successful implementation of a billing system at Tel Aviv-based Golan Telecom.  (BillRun 27.07)

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9.6  Pontis Recognized as One of the 100 Most Promising Big Data Solution Providers

Published from Fremont, California, CIOReview is a print magazine that explores and understands the plethora of ways adopted by firms to execute the smooth functioning of their businesses.  The companies selected for their 100 Most Promising Big Data Solution Providers 2016 list are an elite group of companies whose products and solutions are changing their respective industries.  CIOReview was proud to feature Pontis in this edition for its effort in helping organizations to easily and quickly adopt Big Data analytics as a core part of their business and accelerate conversion of data into valuable business insights.

Pontis leverages real-time Big Data Analytics to provide a unified and contextual view of every customer.  It helps to understand and manage the real-time, multidimensional customer state by continuously processing and analyzing events, driving actions and adapting engagements in real time.  Pontis Engage is a complete solution for Digital Customer Engagement, with real time complex event processing to capture all customer events, big data analytics, real-time execution of digital customer engagements, and real-time personalized fulfillment to close the loop.  This results in maximum agility, flexibility, and ease of management.

Pontis is the worldwide leader in providing Digital Customer Engagement solutions for revolutionizing how businesses engage with their customers.  The company has over a decade’s worth of experience and expertise in driving Digital Customer Engagements with over 600,000,000 customers worldwide.  With extensive experience and domain expertise Pontis enables businesses to achieve engaging results and improve strategic KPIs such as improving customer satisfaction and loyalty, and increasing revenues.  (Pontis 27.07)

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9.7  Matomy Launches mtmy – the First Mobile Performance Advertising Agency

Matomy Media Group announced the launch of mtmy – a mobile advertising agency offering a fully-managed service.  Charged with Matomy’s own Data Management Platform (DMP), mtmy couples powerful targeting of global media with cross-channel optimization to maximize returns on advertising budgets.  mtmy generates data on app-specific user behavior and applies these insights across multiple channels, therefore optimizing audience-targeting between channels.  This unique approach identifies high lifetime-value and ‘lookalike’ users with behavioral patterns that are similar to existing customer base.  This cross-channel integration of marketing activities also maximizes return on investment for real-time bidding (“RTB”) buys and streamlines the process of working with multiple media partners.  For every stage of the product lifecycle, mtmy is able to provide tailored media plans powered by Matomy’s sophisticated technology.  A true advertising partner, mtmy is built to meet client goals from branding to market penetration, and user acquisition to retention.

Matomy Media Group is a world-leading media company delivering smart technology solutions and a personalized approach to advertising.  By providing customized performance and programmatic solutions supported by internal media capabilities, big data analytics, and optimization technology, Matomy empowers advertising and media partners to meet their evolving growth-driven goals.  Matomy offers a single gateway to digital media channels including mobile, video, display, social, email marketing, search marketing (SEM, SEO, and ASO), and domain monetization. Founded in 2007 with headquarters in Tel Aviv and nine offices around the world, Matomy is dual listed on the London and Tel Aviv Stock Exchanges.  (Matomy Media Group 27.07)

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9.8  GuardiCore Unveils Infection Monkey Open Source Cyber Security Testing Tool

 GuardiCore made its Infection Monkey testing tool freely available to the public security community at large.  Designed to test the resiliency of modern data centers against cyber-attacks, the Infection Monkey was developed as an open source tool by GuardiCore’s research group.  The Infection Monkey is a self-propagating testing tool that is able to identify and visualize the path of least resistance in the data center network.  It scans the network, checking for open ports and fingerprinting machines using multiple network protocols.  After detecting accessible machines, it attempts to attack every single machine using methods such as intelligent password guessing and safe exploits.  It does this by leveraging available data on systems it has breached, such as stolen credentials, to automatically spread and infect other machines, clearly highlighting all vulnerable systems in its path.

The Infection Monkey provides detailed information about the specific vulnerability exploited and the effect vulnerable segments can have on the entire network, giving security teams the insights they need to make informed decisions and enforce tighter security policies. It is designed to be 100% safe, with no reconnaissance or propagation features that can impact server or network stability.

Tel Aviv’s GuardiCore is an innovator in internal data center security focused on delivering more accurate and effective ways to stop advanced threats through real-time breach detection and response. Developed by the top cyber security experts in their field, GuardiCore is changing the way organizations are fighting cyber-attacks in their data centers.  (GuardiCore 27.07)

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9.9  TrekAce Unveils Navigator for Bikers & Hikers

At a recent conference for IDF intelligence and special forces in the Tel Aviv Exhibition Grounds, TrekAce displayed a navigational tool that is ideal for bicycle riders, hikers, skiers and soldiers.  The product is a sleeve worn on the arm that gives the user real-time directions where he should go, based on a predefined route, through the use of sensory stimulation.  Kfar Saba’s TrekAce makes a sleeve-worn product that directs the user through sensory stimulation, is also ideal for soldiers.  TrekAce’s navigational sleeve comes in two versions: a 120-gram version for sports and hikes, which will cost $400-500, and a 180-gram version for extreme sports and the military, which will cost $500.  (Globes 28.07)

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9.10  Celliboost Launches Mobile System for Rugged Terrain

Celliboost has developed a standalone mobile system that uses ordinary mobile infrastructure for fast transmission of large-volume, landline-quality, high-resolution data, audio, and video communications.  The company has won its first customers in Mexico and Chile and plans to recruit business partners and distributors to expand its foothold in global markets.  The Celliboost system is designed for communications in rural and open areas. It is suitable for militaries, security and homeland security organizations, law enforcement, and emergency services, as well as telecommunications companies, such as radio and television stations.

Celliboost’s system is based on a standalone mobile system that uses ordinary mobile infrastructure for fast transmission of large-volume landline-quality high-resolution data, audio, and video communications, in all types of terrain and all kinds of mobile coverage from 3G, through GSM, to LTE.  The platform allows the simultaneous use of up to four mobile channels, independent of the mobile operator, and supports two operating methods bonding and load balancing.  The algorithm-supported system can link to any communications interface, including satellite and ADSL, across all operating characteristics of the broadband channel.

Rosh HaAyin’s Celliboost was founded in late 2015.  CelliBoost is a standalone mobile broadband solution that has been proven effective in supporting multiple operational scenarios.  Scalable, versatile and durable, CelliBoost utilizes the standard cellular infrastructure to offer a superior, cost-effective, high-volume data transfer solution for government, law enforcement and emergency services.  (Various 02.08)

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9.11  Optimal+ Announces Availability of Electronics Solution with Release 6.5

Optimal+ announced the availability of Release 6.5.  This latest release includes an extension of the company’s Global Ops solution to serve the needs of electronics manufacturing operations. Global Ops for Electronics is the foundation of a comprehensive platform for electronics companies developing end-market products (smartphones, networking servers, data servers or automotive systems such as ADAS or Car-to-X systems) to collect, analyze and act on manufacturing and in-use data across a distributed supply chain.

In addition to Global Ops for Electronics, release 6.5 also includes numerous enhancements to the company’s industry-leading semiconductor solutions including: manufacturing execution system (MES) tracking, support for “R” within the Sequoia scripting environment and the ability to perform multivariate analysis during part average test (PAT) which enables users to rapidly identify and remove suspect devices from good populations, reducing future RMAs.  Big data analytics is now available across all semiconductor solutions which allows correlations and statistical analysis across all unit level data in any application.  For customers using the NPI for Semiconductor Characterization solution, the new limits application provides powerful analytic capabilities within a given analysis or in a cross operational mode with results automatically populating bi-variate outlier detection analysis.

Holon’s Optimal+ is a global provider of Manufacturing Intelligence software solutions, enabling semiconductor and electronics companies to seamlessly aggregate, organize and act upon the global manufacturing and test data they generate across their internal and external supply chains to measurably improve yield, quality and productivity.  The company’s real-time, Big Data analytics solutions are deployed in virtually every major foundry and OSAT currently serving the semiconductor ecosystem, processing tens of billions of chips every year on behalf of its customers and ushering in an era of unprecedented supply chain visibility that translates into strong and measurable ROI.  (Optimal+ 02.08)

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9.12  NICE Scenario Analyzer Enhances Customer Journey Analytics

NICE announced the launch of Scenario Analyzer, which allows organizations to conduct precise, in-depth analysis of various business challenges related to the cross-channel customer journey.  Part of the NICE Customer Journey Optimization solution, Scenario Analyzer is the first application of its kind, empowering enterprises to weed out inefficiencies, bottlenecks and stress points in the customer journey, apply relevant business intelligence in real time, and leverage a more comprehensive understanding of the customer to deliver a perfect customer experience, every time.

Scenario Analyzer lets analysts zoom in on deflections from one channel to another based on specific use cases.  They can then examine underlying factors such as initial contact reasoning, customer profile, number of transfers, and time spent on each channel.  This information enables organizations to understand why customers move between channels and take prompt action to resolve recurring issues.

Ra’anana’s NICE is the worldwide leading provider of enterprise software solutions that empower organizations to make smarter decisions based on advanced analytics of structured and unstructured data. NICE solutions help the world’s largest organizations deliver better customer service, ensure compliance, combat fraud and safeguard citizens. Over 25,000 organizations in more than 150 countries, including over 80 of the Fortune 100 companies, are using NICE solutions.  (NICE 08.08)

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10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Unemployment Down to 4.8% in Israel in Second Quarter

The proportion of the population employed rose to 61.2% in the second quarter, the Central Bureau of Statistics reports.  The unemployment rate in the 15+ age bracket fell from 5.2% in the first quarter to 4.8% in the second quarter, according to a survey published today for June and the second quarter by the Central Bureau of Statistics.  The unemployment rate in June was 4.8%, the same as in April and May.  The survey showed that the proportion of the population gainfully employed rose from 60.8% in the first quarter to 61.2% in the second quarter.  The rate for June was 61.1%, the same as in May.  The most prominent increase in employment was in the southern region, where the rate rose from 57.4% in the first quarter to 58.8% in the second quarter.  The average weekly number of hours worked was up from 36.1 in the first quarter to 36.5 in the second quarter.  The average weekly number of hours per employee was up from 36 in the first quarter to 36.4 in the second quarter.  (CBS 28.07)

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11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  ISRAEL:  S&P ‘A+/A-1’ Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Stable

On 5 August, S&P Global Ratings affirmed its ‘A+/A-1’ long- and short-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings on the State of Israel.  The outlook is stable.

Rationale

The ratings are supported by Israel’s prosperous and diverse economy, strong external balance sheet, and flexible monetary framework.  The ratings are constrained by Israel’s high general government debt burden and significant security and geopolitical risks.

With per capita GDP at an estimated $37,000 in 2015, the economy is prosperous and well diversified, with high value-added manufacturing and service sectors.  This is underpinned by high expenditure on research and development, amounting to 4.1% of GDP in 2014, the second-highest among member countries of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).  The information and communication sector has a 9.8% share of gross value added (GVA) and scientific and technical activities have 2.8%.

We assume Israel’s economy will grow at an average rate of about 2.5% in 2016-2019, despite risks of weaker global demand, partly thanks to a major investment by Intel.  We expect the key drivers of this growth will be robust private consumption, continued corporate investment activity and healthy service exports, supported by both loose monetary policy and continued fiscal stimulus.  In per capita terms, this equates to growth of around 1% per year, reflecting robust population growth.

The government recently approved a new development plan for the Leviathan gas field, after the supreme court had blocked a previous deal.  We believe the development of Israel’s gas resources would benefit the economy and its fiscal position, but further court suits could cause more delays.  Moreover, in our view, the lack of gas distribution network infrastructure could also limit how much domestic input cost reduction the gas field could bring to the Israeli economy.

The March 2015 general elections resulted in a right-wing government coalition with 61 of 120 seats in Israel’s parliament, the Knesset.  In May 2016, a new right-wing coalition partner, Israel Beitenu, joined in the government, increasing the number of supporters to 66 from 61 and resulting in a more stable coalition.  Nevertheless, it also adds to the already heterogeneous coalition structure; hence the inclusion of a new partner is unlikely to enhance the government’s capacity to deliver sustainable public finances and measures that boost economic prospects.

We believe infrastructure enhancements, especially to transportation, could support productivity gains that have been lacking in the Israel economy.  However, we expect the infrastructure gap to remain, given the capacity and administrative constraints facing the sector.  We foresee somewhat muted progress in tackling the other structural issues facing the Israeli economy, given that any controversial measures are unlikely to receive coalition support.  Moreover, some previously implemented measures to boost educational attainment and labor supply have been reversed in order to secure support from Ultra Orthodox parties, Shas and United Torah Judaism.

In 2015, the central government deficit was 2.2% of GDP and general government deficit was 2.4% of GDP, a relatively positive fiscal performance arising mostly from better-than-expected tax revenue collection.  This trend continued in first half of 2016, which has now given the government confidence to cut taxes.  The new coalition government has reached a consensus regarding the biannual 2017-2018 budget, maintaining the deficit ceiling of 2.9%.  The new budget envisages expansionary fiscal measures, cuts to personal and corporate income taxes, and increased spending on health, education and infrastructure.  Given the government’s reasonable track record of containing fiscal pressures within a stringent framework, and the potential for a snap election should additional parliamentary approval on budgetary matters be required, we expect the general government deficit to remain at 2.9% of GDP over the next two years.

A substantial reduction in interest expenditures in 2015 significantly improved Israel’s debt ratios.  Amid the low-inflation environment (around one-half of general government debt is CPI linked) and low funding costs, we expect this trend to continue over the forecast horizon.  Subtracting liquid assets (mostly in the form of deposits at the central bank) from gross government debt, we estimate that net general government debt remained at below 62% of GDP at the end of 2015.  Even without taking into account possible land sales and privatization proceeds, which could reduce government financing needs, we expect the net debt ratio could increase slightly to 64% of GDP in 2019.

As a result of Israel’s strong export performance and sustained current account surpluses, its external balance sheet is strong and its net creditor position versus the rest of the world continues to grow.  We forecast that its liquid external assets will outstrip its gross external debt over the next three years. This dynamic is also lowering the country’s gross external financing needs, indicating low dependency on external financing.

We also consider Israel’s monetary policy flexibility to be a credit strength.  The Bank of Israel (BoI, the central bank) has become increasingly interventionist, over and above its commitment to purchase foreign currencies to offset the impact of domestic natural gas production on the balance of payments.  We view the exchange rate regime as a managed float, which somewhat hampers monetary policy flexibility.

In addition to making frequent interventions in the foreign exchange market, the BoI has eased its stance on monetary policy, countering the strength of the Israeli new shekel in order to maintain the competitiveness of Israeli exports.  It lowered its policy rate to a historical low of 0.1% in March 2015, but the shekel continued to appreciate against Israel’s key trading partners.  During 2015, the shekel weakened by 0.3% against the dollar, but strengthened by about 7.3% against the currencies of Israel’s main trading partners, in terms of the nominal effective exchange rate.  Since the beginning of the year, the shekel continued to appreciate vis-à-vis main trading partners.

One of the key challenges to monetary policy continues to be Israel’s rising house prices.  Real house prices have increased by around 69% since the end of 2007 and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) assesses that the house prices in Israel are currently overvalued by 30%.  The BoI’s earlier attempt to dampen the housing market by raising interest rates yielded little, and significantly pushed up the foreign exchange rate of the shekel.  The government has implemented a comprehensive set of measures to address supply-side issues, including freeing up more land for development, changing the tendering criteria to give first time buyers a discount to market price, and speeding up administrative processes for construction permissions.  Given the capacity constraints in the construction industry, the extended time needed to build houses and continued growth in demand, we do not expect government measures to fully address the supply shortage in the near term.  The first half of 2016 saw little impact on supply of housing from these measures; house prices recorded above the 5% annual growth rate in March, however, we understand that house price data currently do not take into account of the aforementioned discount for first time buyers.

The tightening of macro-prudential measures has reduced systemic risks to Israel’s banking industry and constrains mortgage leading growth, but any meaningful correction in house prices could have other negative economic effects.  We expect that by the end of 2016 the Knesset will pass general legislation to establish a formal Financial Stability Committee, as recommended by the IMF, to enhance policy co-ordination.

Overall, institutional and governance structures in Israel are generally effective, with a satisfactory degree of transparency and accountability.  However, we consider that the persistent territorial dispute with the Palestinians threatens political stability and weighs on policy predictability.

Geopolitical risks continue to weigh on the ratings.  Repeated violent clashes with the Palestinians not only inflict social and economic costs, but also elicit negative reaction from the international community.  In Israel’s neighboring region, the conflict in Syria and Iraq, as well as instability in the Sinai region, pose medium-term security risks.  Any significant armed conflict could have a negative impact on the ratings if it significantly deterred investment, weakened the economy’s growth potential, or strained fiscal flexibility.  We do not expect the nuclear agreement between Iran and the international community to be either positive or negative for Israel over the forecast period, given the continued regional tensions and inherent uncertainty regarding the implementation of the agreement.

Outlook

The stable outlook on Israel reflects our opinion that the government will maintain prudent macroeconomic policies and ensure the stabilization of government debt over 2016-2019, despite higher spending concessions agreed by the coalition.  The stable outlook also reflects our expectation that security risks to the Israeli economy will not increase materially.

We could consider raising our ratings if fiscal consolidation exceeds our expectations, or additional income from gas fields sustainably reduces the net debt burden to below 60% of GDP, or if there is marked progress in defusing external security risks.

Conversely, we could lower the ratings if the economic growth outlook were to weaken substantially, due to an abrupt correction in the housing market or unaddressed structural weaknesses.  A downgrade would also become more likely if the government yields to pressures for more social or security spending and allows deficits to widen and government debt to increase significantly above our current expectations. Moreover, if a perceived loss of international support were to further isolate the Israeli economy, we could lower the ratings.  (S&P 05.08)

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11.2  ISRAEL:  Private Equity Deals Fall By 24% in First Half of 2016

Private equity investment in Israel in the first half of 2016 fell 24% to $1.6 billion in 29 private equity deals from $2.1 billion in 53 deals in the corresponding period of 2015, according to the IVC and Shibolet & Co. report.  However, the average private equity deal in the first half of 2016 was $53 million, up from the $39 million average in the first half of 2016.

In the second quarter of 2016, 13 Israeli private equity deals accounted for $1.3 billion, up from $270 million invested in the preceding quarter, but below the $1.6 billion in the corresponding quarter of 2015.  The average deal amount climbed to $98 million, the highest quarterly average in the past four years.

The two largest private equity deals took place in the second quarter, accounting for 67% of total capital investments: the $643 million buyout of Xura (formerly Comverse) by US private equity fund Siris Capital, and the $400 million buyout of Sintec Media by Francisco Partners.  In the first quarter of 2016, no private equity deals passed the $100 million threshold.

In the second quarter of 2016, Israeli private equity funds invested $184 million, or 19% of total private equity investments, up 55% from the $119 million invested in the first quarter of 2016.  The largest deal performed by an Israeli fund in the second quarter was the $90 million buyout of Arena Mall Herzliya, by real estate fund Reality Investment.  In the first half of 2016, investments performed by Israeli private equity funds reached $303 million, representing a year-on-year decline.

Foreign private equity funds led in the second quarter of 2016, with $1.1 billion, including the two largest buyouts so far.  The share of foreign private equity funds increased to 86% out of total investments, as compared with 81% in the second quarter of 2016.

Shibolet & Co partner Omer Ben-Zvi said, “After a weak first quarter, we are happy to see the second quarter of 2016 scope of private equity deals growing again, as we have previously foreseen.  We believe that this is evidence of the overall further strengthening in the local industry.  This is especially true in the Israeli high-tech sector, which is producing more and more mature companies that become potential targets for private equity investors.  A case in point in the second quarter was the continuous activity of Francisco Partners, a long time player in the Israeli PE market, alongside newcomer Siris Capital Group, which made its first investment in Israel,”

He added, “Obviously, the local PE market is sensitive to macroeconomic fluctuations, such as the US interest rate expected markup and Asian markets slowdown.”

The Israeli technology sector continued to lead private equity investments in the second quarter of 2016, with $1.1 billion invested in eight deals, 87% of investments.

The first six months of 2016 clearly demonstrated private equity investors’ preferences – $1.4 billion, or 88%, of all PE investments were made in the technology sector.  This was the largest share for this period so far, exceeding even the first half of 2015’s 76% share, when $1.6 billion was invested in the Israeli high-tech industry by private equity funds.

According to the IVC-Shibolet PE Survey findings, straight equity deals performance was considerably down in the second quarter of 2016, as well as the first half of 2016.  Only 19 straight equity transactions totaled $204 million (16%) in the first half of 2016, 50% down from 40 deals performed in both the first halves of 2015 and 2014, when they were the preferred tool by PE funds.  The decrease in the number of straight equity deals accounted for the 74% drop in the amount invested in the first half of 2016, with a mere $204 million, as compared with the record high $774 million invested in the same period of 2015.  The largest straight equity deal in the first half of 2016 was a $30 million investment in ForeScout, by Wellington, a US-based PE fund.

IVC research manager Marianna Shapira said, “Indeed it seems global economy trends have influenced the Israeli private equity market in the first half of 2016.  PE funds have certainly taken a cautious approach to their asset allocation, minimizing risks and sticking to classic PE investment strategies, especially evident in the second quarter, which featured preference for more traditional private equity mechanisms, such as buyouts, and decrease in riskier minority-stake straight equity transactions.”

According to the IVC-Online Database, 41 Israeli private equity management companies are currently active, with a total of nearly $10.8 billion under management.  To date, five Israeli private equity funds raised capital in 2016, closing $1.7 billion in total, with FIMI’s sixth fund of $1.1 billion the most prominent.  Three more funds are in the midst of capital raising, targeting an approximate total amount of $600 million.  (IVC 26.07)

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11.3  JORDAN:  Why Many Jordanians Have Little Stomach for Upcoming Elections

Aaron Magid cited in Al-Monitor on 25 July that an astounding 87% of Jordanians said their parliament had not made even one praiseworthy accomplishment during the 2013-16 term, according to an April poll conducted by the International Republican Institute.  Faced with such public skepticism, the Jordanian government is campaigning to increase voter turnout for the country’s most important elections, to be held in two months.

The Independent Election Commission has launched a new website in Arabic and in English and has taken to the streets to explain the voting list system enacted in March in a new election law that did away with the previous one-person, one-vote system.  “The King, the government and the Independent Election Committee have done all that is possible to prepare the groundwork for the new elections,” said a 12 June editorial in the Jordan Times.  Nonetheless, with the 20 September contest approaching, former Foreign Minister Marwan Muasher told Al-Monitor, “There is a noticeable indifference toward the elections.”

The parliament’s 2 May ratification of constitutional amendments was a worrying development for citizens who want an independent legislative branch.  The new amendments gave the king absolute power to appoint the head of the paramilitary police force, members of the constitutional court and the crown prince.  Before the 2 May decision, the king required the prime minister and certain ministers to recommend these critical nominees.

The changes were passed overwhelmingly in only about two weeks by 123 members of parliament out of 142 who attended the session, and with little public debate.  Rana Sabbagh, the director of the Arab Reporters for Investigative Journalism and former editor-in-chief of the Jordan Times, told Al-Monitor that many Jordanians view parliament as being a “rubber stamp” for the king’s policies and not operating as a strong independent body monitoring the executive branch.  “Jordanians don’t believe that this parliament is actually stopping wrongdoing in the system,” she said.

A poll by the Civil Coalition for Monitoring Elections published 10 July said a larger share of Jordanians (39.5%) intend to “boycott” the elections than those who plan to vote (31.5%).  Suspicions of dishonesty in the legislative branch have fueled mistrust about the elections.

In April, the Jordan Times reported that hundreds of parliamentarians’ relatives had been appointed administrators at the legislature.  “MPs cannot risk rejecting wasta [obtaining privileges through connections] requests from people in their constituencies, because they fear losing them as voters,” said Tarek Khoury, a parliamentarian.  “This is a big problem for the lower house.”  With representatives themselves acknowledging their unethical behavior, it is no surprise that citizens are less than enthusiastic about taking the time to legitimize the legislative branch.

Previous instances of electoral fraud are also behind Jordanians questioning the utility of voting in September and staying away from the polls.  In 2007, a former intelligence chief acknowledged falsifying parliamentary election results.  In addition, the newspaper Al-Arab al-Youm exposed multiple cases of vote buying in the 2010 elections, with candidates’ campaigns offering citizens more than 100 Jordanian dinars (about $140) per vote.  During the last parliamentary contest, in 2013, the Muslim Brotherhood accused the government of fraud.

Despite these issues, Sabbagh noted that given the current violence and turmoil across the region, there are voices in Jordan who believe that holding elections is a positive sign for the kingdom.  The elections might benefit from the fact that the original Muslim Brotherhood’s political wing, the Islamic Action Front (IAF), is participating this year after boycotting the previous races in 2010 and 2013.  The IAF’s decision to compete in September lends legitimacy to the elections.

Given the challenging financial conditions facing Jordanians, it is difficult to divorce the weak economy from attitudes about the parliament and therefore the elections.  According to the International Labor Organization, youth unemployment stands at approximately 28%, twice the international average.  The government’s decision in June to raise fuel prices has further strained the resources of many with already limited means.

“People feel manipulated, and they see [elections] as repetition of the same thing and done for someone else’s benefit,” Naseem Tarawnah, author of the popular Jordanian political blog Black Iris, told Al-Monitor.  Because economic conditions are not improving, many in the kingdom view regular elections as “putting lipstick on the pig and dressing it up in different ways,” Tarawnah said.  With average Jordanians struggling to support their families, participating in elections that appear to have a limited impact on their daily lives is not a priority.

Mohammad Momani, the minister of state for media affairs and government spokesman, declined Al-Monitor’s request for comment on the public’s attitude toward the elections.

Sitting at a cafe near the University of Jordan, student Abdalshaheed Abu-Khalil said he would not vote in the September race.  “The elections are a big show,” he remarked.  “The last parliament failed.”  Lana Abu-Joudeh, however, is more hopeful.  She explained to Al-Monitor, “It is important for all of us to be part of elections because we want Jordan to be a better place to live.”  She said that while the last elections were “dishonest,” she nonetheless intends to vote in September.

King Abdullah II touted the new electoral legislation as a “milestone in our national reform process.”  There appears to be a major divide, however, in how the Royal Palace and the people view the law.  According to the International Republican Institute poll, 58% of Jordanians know nothing about the legislation, which requires candidates to run on multi-candidate lists.  Voters select one list and then select candidates from that list.  This process replaces the single, non-transferable vote system — sawt wahid or one vote — which had reduced opposition parties’ representation after the 1989 election in favor of tribal loyalists.  In 1989, the Muslim Brotherhood and its allies won about one-third of the contested seats and became the largest parliamentary bloc, an unwelcome development for the monarchy.  The Sawt wahid system created heavily gerrymandered districts that were disadvantageous for the urban areas where many Jordanian-Palestinians who supported the Brotherhood lived.

Although the purpose of the legislation was to create strong parliamentary political blocs, Muasher was cautious about the bill’s potential for success.  “It is clear in most districts that lists are not going to be formed according to ideology but rather by tribal affiliation,” Muasher said.

Some of the attacks against the legislative branch are rooted in the country’s restrictions on political speech.  “You can’t criticize the king and the upper echelons of power,” Tarawnah said.  Therefore the legislative branch becomes one of the few government institutions that citizens can attack, causing “parliament to be the scapegoat,” he added.

The ongoing economic problems, previous cases of electoral fraud and consolidation of the king’s power have pushed many Jordanians to consider staying away from the ballot box in September.  “People feel that parliament is not an effective decision maker or a voice that is representative of most Jordanians,” Muasher noted. “There is a big trust gap between citizens and the government in Jordan.”  (Al-Monitor 25.07)

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11.4  UAE:  Emirate of Abu Dhabi ‘AA/A-1+’ Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Stable

On Aug. 5, 2016, S&P Global Ratings affirmed its ‘AA’ long-term and ‘A-1+’ short-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings on the Emirate of Abu Dhabi, a member of the United Arab Emirates (UAE).  The outlook is stable.

Rationale

The ratings are supported by Abu Dhabi’s strong fiscal and external positions.  The exceptional strength of the government’s net asset position provides a buffer to counter the negative impact of oil price declines on economic growth and government revenues, as well as on the external account.

The ratings are constrained by our assessment that the emirate has less-developed political institutions than non-regional peers in the same rating category.  Limited monetary policy flexibility (given the UAE dirham’s peg to the U.S. dollar), gaps and delays in the provision of economic and fiscal data, and the underdeveloped local currency domestic bond market also weigh on the ratings.

We expect the emirate will maintain its extremely strong net fiscal asset position, which we project at about 260% of GDP on average over 2016-2019.  This is one of the highest net government asset ratios among the sovereigns we rate.  We have recently amended our approach to estimating Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA)’s investment income.  Our estimates now reflect the 20-year annualized return of 6.5% published in ADIA’s 2015 review, rather than the 30-year annualized return of 8.4% from 2014.  We previously projected the government’s net asset position over 2016-2019 at 320% of GDP.

Despite the recent decline in oil prices, Abu Dhabi maintains one of the highest GDP per capita levels in the world, and its very strong net government asset position, mostly in foreign currency, makes the emirate’s economy resilient to shocks in the commodity market.  We estimate Abu Dhabi’s GDP per capita at about $68,000 in 2016.  The average change in real GDP per capita, weighted as per our criteria, will likely show a contraction of about 3% on average in 2016-2019, largely due to high levels of immigration.  We estimate that the population increased by 70% between 2008 and 2015 to 2.8 million, and will reach about 3.5 million by 2020. Real GDP per capita growth is well below that of peers in the same GDP-per-capita category.  But, in our view, wealth levels in the economy could substantially cushion potential risks.  Abu Dhabi’s nominal GDP fell by about 14% in 2015, due to the sharp drop in oil prices.  Nevertheless, the real economic growth rate, at 6%, was much stronger than the previously expected 2%, as oil production increased.

In 2015, Abu Dhabi derived about 50% of its real GDP and 80% of government revenues from the hydrocarbons sector: oil taxes and royalties, plus dividends from state-owned oil producer, refiner and distributor Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. (ADNOC).  We assume an average Brent oil price of $46 per barrel (/bbl) in 2016-2019.  In our view, government policy to encourage the economic contribution of the non-oil private sector is likely to have a significant effect only over the medium to long term.

With revenues declining by 21% due to falling oil and gas income, we estimate the general government deficit will widen to 5% of GDP in 2016, from around 4% in 2015, based on the government’s preliminary approved budget.  Our estimate of the government’s fiscal balance does not include our estimate of investment income from ADIA.  We understand these funds are held and re-invested by ADIA.  However, we estimate the general government balance including ADNOC dividends.  The government has yet to agree on a 2016 budget and currently limits spending to one-twelfth of the 2015 budget per month.  Nevertheless, we assume that upcoming budgets will include further measures to contain expenditures in light of the low oil price.  We project Abu Dhabi’s fiscal balance will show a deficit of about 4% of GDP on average in 2016-2019.

The Abu Dhabi government has made some progress with subsidy reform, which we expect will support the fiscal balance over the next few years.  It cut utility subsidies in 2015, and the UAE federal government announced a change to the policy of fixed fuel prices, which affected Abu Dhabi and the other emirates.  From 1 August 2015, petrol prices have been set in accordance with global oil price benchmarks (after adding transportation, operation, and distribution costs).  We understand that these fuel subsidies were covered by losses at the distribution company level, and largely met by ADNOC.  We therefore expect only an indirect impact on the government’s budget through dividends that ADNOC pays to Abu Dhabi. Between August 2015 and July 2016, petrol and diesel prices fell by about 17% and 10%, respectively, suggesting that the positive impact on ADNOC’s profitability of the adjusted subsidy regime will be offset to some extent by the decline in oil prices in the short term.

The government’s oversight of the public sector aims for sustainability and the prevention of financial stress at government-related entities (GREs).  We estimate the debt of Abu Dhabi’s GREs at about 30% of GDP in 2016, including parent-level debt at Mubadala Development Co., International Petroleum Investment Co., and Tourism Development and Investment Co.  These entities are backed by the government’s 2010 statement of support, most recently reiterated to us by senior officials this year and restated in the prospectus for its May 2016 $5 billion notes issuance.  We anticipate that in the event of financial distress, the smaller emirates would receive extraordinary financial support from the UAE (with Abu Dhabi’s backing), although we do not expect that the need will arise.  However, even taking this potential exposure into account, which we estimate at around 30% of GDP (summing our estimates of the outstanding direct debt of the governments of Dubai, Ras Al Khaimah and Sharjah), we assess Abu Dhabi’s contingent liabilities as limited in relation to the strength of the government’s net asset position.

Despite some progress in strengthening its economic institutions, in our view, the emirate has weaker political institutions and lower disclosure standards than non-regional peers in the same rating category.  It has established a debt management office, undertaken a public expenditure review, and set up a medium-term budget framework.  However, in our view, there are substantial shortcomings and material gaps in the dissemination of macroeconomic data, including relatively weak transparency and reporting delays.  Disclosure related to the government’s external assets is limited compared with that of similarly rated peers.  Moreover, we believe political institutions in the UAE are in a nascent stage of development compared with those of non-regional peers.  The decision-making process remains highly centralized, with checks and balances between institutions largely absent.

Through its regional and international alliances, the UAE government strives to maintain a balanced foreign policy to safeguard both its strategic and commercial interests.  We believe trade and investment between Abu Dhabi and Iran could benefit from a lifting of economic and financial sanctions on Iran by the E.U. and U.S. in January 2016.  In its energy and foreign policy, Abu Dhabi has been proactively mitigating its exposure to geopolitical risks as well as securing its oil supply to strategic end users.  To this end, the government completed the Abu Dhabi Oil Pipeline in 2012, which now has the capacity to deliver about 50% of Abu Dhabi’s oil exports directly to the Fujairah terminal on the Indian Ocean, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz.  We do not expect material spillover effects on Abu Dhabi from the conflicts in Yemen and Syria.

There are only limited external trade, balance of payments, and international investment position data available for Abu Dhabi.  We therefore base our assessment of Abu Dhabi’s external position on that of its federation, the UAE.  That is, we define the UAE as the “host country” and use our estimates of the UAE’s external position as a starting point.  We then adjust the initial assessment downward due to data gaps, which, in our view, reduce the visibility of external risks.  That said, our estimates of Abu Dhabi’s significant external assets, held by ADIA and including our estimate of ADIA’s investment income, lead us to assess the emirate’s overall external position as a strength.  Using our narrow net external debt metric, we expect the UAE’s external creditor position will average about 105% of current account receipts (CARs) in 2016-2019, albeit on a declining trend over that period.  We estimate the UAE’s gross external financing needs at about 110% of usable reserves of the UAE central bank and CARs on average over the same period.

We expect the UAE’s exchange rate peg to remain in place over the next several years.  In our view, the UAE has more than sufficient reserves to defend the peg, while considerations of macroeconomic and social stability would also outweigh the potential benefits of amending the exchange rate regime.

Outlook

The stable outlook on Abu Dhabi reflects our view of balanced risks to the ratings over the next two years.  We believe that Abu Dhabi’s economy will remain resilient and its fiscal position will remain extremely strong, but we also anticipate continued structural and institutional weaknesses.

We could consider raising the ratings on Abu Dhabi if we observed pronounced improvements in data transparency, including on fiscal assets and external data, alongside further progress in institutional reforms.  What’s more, measures to improve the effectiveness of monetary policy, such as developing domestic capital markets, could be positive for the ratings over time.

We might consider a negative rating action if we expected a deterioration in Abu Dhabi’s currently very strong fiscal balance sheet and net external asset position.  If fiscal deficits or the materialization of contingent liabilities led to a drop in liquid assets to below 100% of GDP, downward pressure on the ratings would develop.  A negative rating action could also occur if domestic or regional events compromised political and economic stability in Abu Dhabi.  (S&P 05.08)

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11.5  SAUDI ARABIA:  The Potential of Saudi Economic Reforms

Nathan Field posted in Fikra Forum on 22 July that few countries have received as much negative attention in Washington as Saudi Arabia over the last two years.  Some of this is due to the politics of the Iranian nuclear deal and the Saudi response.  It is also due to an attempt to make sense of the unprecedented breakdown of regional stability in the Middle East.  The Kingdom, however, now ultimately serves as a convenient scapegoat.

It is certainly fair for U.S. policy makers to question some of Riyadh’s policies in the region.  For example, it is unclear how the Kingdom’s military operations in Yemen or the stoking of sectarian tensions in the Syrian Civil War helps the United States.

On the other hand, the often overlooked fact is that Saudi regional adventurism is fundamentally driven by a sense of insecurity that leads the leadership to think it needs to act unilaterally to project strength.  For example, with the Iran deal, the Saudis feel the United States is no longer quite the ally it once was.  Long-time allies and bulwarks of regional stability like Egypt’s President Mubarak were overthrown almost overnight.  The government now faces an even thornier, populist brand of ISIS-style jihadism than its former challenges with al-Qaeda.

Therefore, the most practical approach for the United States is to support efforts to ensure a more healthy, confident and secure Kingdom – and this begins with a serious look at the country’s ongoing domestic economic reforms.  Ever since the Arab Spring, and especially during the past year under the direction of the new King Salman, the country has been undergoing serious economic reforms critical to establishing the foundation for that security.  If these reforms continue and expand, they will build a stronger foundation for a mutually beneficial U.S.-Saudi relationship over the long-term.

While they did not receive much attention given more dramatic events elsewhere in the region at the time, in 2011, the government began a series of Labor reforms aimed at solving the drastic long-term unemployment problem, a major aspect of Mubarak and Ali’s downfalls.  The consensus of international firms working in Saudi Arabia, who have had to adjust their strategies to comply with the new laws, is that the government is taking its economic reforms very seriously.

Further evidence of this commitment to reform is the vaunted “Saudi 2030” plan.  Only time will tell if these plans succeed, but based on the amount of political capital the government has expended, as well as the seniority and rank of the officials involved, it is clear that success is the highest possible government priority.  However, the boldness of the Saudi 2030 plans has prompted skeptics to question whether this is a realistic vision.  There are two core points made by skeptics.

First, there is a tendency by many in U.S. media to dwell on whether the individual Saudi Princes at the top are “up for the job?”  This reflects a pattern amongst Western commentators to overly focus on personalities or to speculate about how rivalries within the Royal Family might affect the country’s politics.  This is a mistake.

While policy in Saudi Arabia has a number of high-profile Royals at its head, the success and implementation of major decisions reflect a buy-in from a large number of major stakeholders within the system.  No major decision – and these ongoing reforms are a major decision – is made without the general buy-in of dozens of different interest groups, ranging from the religious establishment, but just as importantly the powerful merchant class.

In regards to the 2030 vision, it may be the case that some older Royals are resentful of the 30-year old Deputy Crown Prince’s power.  Even so, members of the Royal Family operate as politicians, whose political and financial interests are tied to the country’s successes and failures and to some extent are not unlike politicians in other Democratic countries.  The majority of Royals are aware that they have little chance of ascending the throne or obtaining the riches of the royal elite.  For these royals, status and power is tied to the healthy maintenance of “the system.”  They are well aware of the fate of Mubarak’s senior Egyptian politicians and businessmen still in jail.

The second critique of Saudi’s economic reforms is over their ambition.  Are they too ambitious?  Will good intentions translate into positive results? Evidence suggests the affirmative, even if only in part.  In any case, it is clearly in the US interest for the programs to succeed.

In some ways, even partially successful ambitious policies will benefit the Kingdom.

One example is the Kingdom’s goal to develop an automobile-manufacturing industry.  Two years ago the Kingdom opened its first factory and the goal is to eventually produce 300,000 cars per year.  To provide the workers needed to staff these industries, the “2030 plan” calls for an increase in vocational enrollment from the current 104,000 students to 950,000 by 2030.

In the highly competitive global economy, it is quite possible the project will not succeed.  However, if only implemented in part, it will still provide a significant number of new, good jobs.  But even if the plan is a total failure, the experience of failing on a specific high-level industrial project will still provide hundreds of thousands of Saudis relevant experience and skills that can be applied to other areas of the economy.

On the other hand, unsuccessful implementation of highly ambitious policies in other areas could lead to clear negative consequences.  One example is the de facto policy of sending 78% of high school students to universities, the highest rate in the world.  This policy is based on the historically-unproven assumption of a linear relationship between more degree holders and economic growth and job creation.

It is hard to see how the economy will ever produce enough jobs to provide for these newly educated citizens even in a best-case scenario.  Without careful management of opportunities in relation to higher education, Saudi Arabia’s educational reforms could lead to a greater number of disgruntled, unemployed youth, susceptible to the appeal of anti-establishment groups like ISIS.  This is a scenario where working closely with an ally like the United States could make a meaningful difference in both domestic and international security.

Nor is the “Saudi 2030” vision, or earlier attempts at reform, without domestic detractors.  However, these mainly emerge as a facet of tactical differences within the government over how to implement these reforms, not whether to undergo reform in itself.  Under any leadership, Saudi Arabia will have to face two key voices in protest to economic reforms: social conservatives and businessmen.

While the government and senior Royals are in some sense more “liberal” than the population at large, the social conservatism of the Saudi public continues to effect what the government can achieve by way of reforms.  There are plenty of situations where, for example, the best candidate for a position is a woman who, given the country’s current social conservatism, is unlikely to be hired.  As one Saudi put it, “60% of Saudi men will not marry a women who works in a co-ed work environment.”  In this arena, the government can only do so much short-term.

Some businesses are also pushing back against specific aspects of the economic reforms that require them adjust their strategies, especially those regarding labor laws.  The Saudi government is in essence forcefully interfering with the free market in an attempt to encourage higher Saudi employment.  In practice, this means that Saudi firms that chose not to hire more expensive Saudi nationals may face taxes or other penalties.  Some sectors are more able to cope with new requirements than others, but pushback from firms less able to adapt is a constant theme in Saudi media.  For example, just this week, the Saudi Labor Minister has had to reject a petition by cell phone companies – an industry reliant on foreign labor – to ease the process.

Nevertheless, Saudi firms know that they will make no money at all in the event of an Egypt-style revolution and will continue to adjust over time.  Much of the social conservatism is something only time can solve.  There is every reason to believe that with each passing year, social mores will be modified to accommodate with the needs of ongoing reform, and become more in line with those in other Muslim countries.

The country of Saudi Arabia is what it is.  That being said, it is in the United States’ interests to work closely with, rather than neglect, the country.  With “Saudi 2030,” the Kingdom has a chance to succeed in its economic reform policies, which is the first step to ensuring that Saudi Arabia – led by a government more healthily confident on its domestic front – has a productive relationship with the US over the long-run.

Nathan Field is the co-founder of Industry Arabic and the author of a forthcoming textbook on spoken Arabic and spent two years living in Saudi Arabia working on consulting projects in the environmental sector.  (Fikra 22.07)

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11.6  EGYPT:  What Will $12 Billion IMF Loan Cost Egypt?

Ismael El-Kholy posted on 3 August in Al-Monitor that Egypt, facing a huge budget gap, is seeking to borrow from international agencies, but doing so is likely to bring harsh financial restrictions.

On July 28, Egyptian Finance Minister Amr El Garhy announced that Egypt would seek a $21 billion loan package to fill the budget’s financing gap.  Of this amount, $12 billion would be in the form of a loan from the International Monetary Fund — Egypt is in the final stages of negotiations to borrow the money — and the rest would come from two loans from the World Bank and the African Development Bank, as well as a bond sale and other loans from funding bodies and countries that the Finance Ministry has yet to announce.

Ahmed Kouchouk, vice minister of finance for fiscal policies and institutional reform, has made press statements that the financing program Egypt is negotiating with the IMF would reach $12 billion in three years and would support the foreign exchange reserves held by the Central Bank of Egypt.  The loan would also allow additional financing to reduce the budget deficit and pay for projects that would contribute to lowering the deficit and inflation.

The IMF mission arrived July 30 at Cairo International Airport to start official negotiations with Egypt on the $12 billion loan.

Egypt’s economy suffers from increased accumulated debts.  Egyptian Prime Minister Sherif Ismail told parliament in March that the servicing of public debt constitutes 30% of public spending.  Meanwhile, Egypt’s domestic debt has reached about 2.25 trillion Egyptian pounds ($253 billion), while its foreign debt reached $53 billion, raising doubts about Egypt’s ability to borrow.

Medhat Nafei, professor of economics at Misr International University, told Al-Monitor that several factors will determine whether the IMF approves the loan, such as reducing the budget deficit, lifting fuel subsidies, forcing the domestic currency to depreciate, reforming the taxation system, and limiting national projects that are eating liquidity and replacing them with projects that would have short-term economic outcomes.

Nafei said that Egypt has already started satisfying a number of these conditions, such as gradually lifting fuel subsidies, depreciating the Egyptian pound over the past few years, and, in terms of tax reform, the submission to parliament of the value added tax bill.  “The government wants to portray that these economic steps come from within, as part of efforts at economic reform, yet they are triggered by the IMF reform program,” Nafei told Al-Monitor.

Nevertheless, the Egyptian Finance Ministry issued a statement 31 July assuring that the IMF has imposed no conditionality to approve Egypt’s reform program and that the IMF is offering a loan to help fund the government’s budget.  The government asserted that the reform it is discussing with the IMF mission is “100% Egyptian.”

Nafei said, “The loan is useful for Egypt as the current economic context underlines that there is a large gap that will only be filled by borrowing, especially as Egypt is suffering from large financing problems that cause its continuous budget deficit.”  He continued, “The foreign debt would not [normally] allow for new loans, especially since the interest rate is high.  However, there is no alternative as the economic community in the government is lacking.”

“Perhaps the situation will improve as the IMF will propose economic programs that will have to be adopted in order for the loan to be approved.  These programs are better than those proposed by the government anyway.  The loan would also provide confidence for Egypt’s economy,” he added.

Hesham Ibrahim, professor of finance at Cairo University, said, “Borrowing such large amounts is very worrisome.  There need to be some regulations on foreign loans.”  He added, “This loan completely contradicts the results of President [Abdel Fattah al-] Sisi’s meeting with Sahar Nasr, the minister of investment, last June on the conditions that should be present before taking out foreign loans.”

In her meeting with the president, the minister of investment said there is agreement on how necessary it is to double-check Egypt’s ability to repay before taking any loans and to evaluate the readiness of the ministry that will receive the loan to implement the financed project.  She added that the economic consequences of the projects should be analyzed and the resulting developmental outcomes and social dimensions should be determined.

Ibrahim said, “No one knows where the next loan package would go.  The state cannot afford all these loans. How will the country repay while there is a deficit in foreign exchange resources?”

He said the reason for borrowing now is the depreciation of the Egyptian pound’s value relative to the US dollar.  “You cannot solve this issue through borrowing. The problem has been there for three years now and repayment is usually done through borrowing and aid coming from Gulf states.  Any received foreign exchange would be exhausted to plug the foreign exchange demand gap.  Investment is the only way out, besides regulating imports and halting smuggling at customs.”

Ibrahim doubted that Egypt would get any help from the IMF, telling Al-Monitor, “The IMF will not approve a loan for a country that has unsound economic indicators such as Egypt.  The service of public debt forms 30% [of public spending], which is a serious defect.  The IMF will also refuse funding Egypt at a time when there is a 12% budget deficit.  “The IMF will only approve the loan once Egypt adopts a tough economic program, the disadvantages of which will only be endured by the poorer classes.” he said, adding, “Egypt will not be able to sign an agreement with the IMF in 2016.”

Despite the many statements made by the Egyptian finance minister that Egypt will receive the first payment of the IMF loan two to three months after the negotiations end successfully, the indicators we see do not appear to back this up.  However, a quick understanding could take place between Egypt and the IMF through which the latter may impose economic programs that protect its interests.  The largest challenge, however, is to make use of the funds by investing them in projects with real economic yields.

Ismael El-Kholy, an Egyptian journalist, worked as an editor and then deputy newsroom manager for the ShoroukNews website from June 2011 until January 2013.  Currently, he is a managing editor for the Egyptian news channel OntvLive, leading a team of editors covering Egyptian and world news.  (Al-Monitor 03.08)

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11.7  EGYPT:  Can Sisi’s New Investment Council Save Egypt’s Economy?

Amr Eltohamy posted in Al-Monitor on 4 August that while recent talk of a $12 billion loan from the IMF has boosted spirits in Egypt’s economic circles and increased prospects for more investment, attracting foreign capital will require concerted efforts and reform. In this regard, last month Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi issued a decree to establish a Supreme Council for Investment.  According to the 3 July decree, the council will specialize in supervising the state’s investment policies in all sectors and provinces and will be under the direct supervision of his presidency.

Investment Minister Dalia Khorshid said that once the council is established, it will meet at least once every two months and sessions will be headed by Sisi himself. Khorshid also noted that the council will assure all Egyptians and foreign investors that the investment system will witness a qualitative leap in the upcoming stage.  She explained that the new council will have its specific terms of reference that would not interfere with the prerogatives of other authorities, noting that various authorities will operate in harmony in terms of performance, work and coordination.

A 25 July report on a study by the World Bank, conducted in collaboration with the European Investment Bank and the European Bank for Reconstruction, showed that 50% of companies surveyed in Egypt believe that the political instability is the main obstacle they face, in addition to electricity and funding problems.  The report covered 6,000 companies in the Middle East and North Africa, including 1,500 Egyptian companies.

Sharif al-Jabali, one of the most prominent names in the fertilizer business in Egypt, told Al-Monitor he believes the establishment of the council “is a good step,” since it is directly supervised by Sisi while institutions and agencies concerned with investment issues in Egypt are unable to create a suitable climate for investment.  However, he noted that he has not received any information from the presidency about activating the council, setting prerogatives and mechanisms for the upcoming period or even news about who its members are going to be.

The government agencies concerned with helping investors overcome obstacles in Egypt are the General Authority for Investments and Free Zones headed by the Minister of Investment, the National Center for Development and Investment Promotion, a Committee of Grievances against the Decisions of the Investment Authority, a ministerial committee to manage investment conflicts and another ministerial committee to manage conflicts in investment contracts, in addition to competent courts for economic conflicts and other investment departments in the administrative judiciary.

Jabali, who heads the Chamber of Chemical Industries and the department of exporters at the Chambers of Commerce Union, expressed his view that only the head of the executive authority can eliminate obstacles and everyone should report to the president.  He explained that historically, resorting to the president has always been the solution to every problem facing investment in Egypt, because people are desperate and they no longer believe concerned institutions are competent since they cannot even respond quickly to complaints about the financial sector in Egypt.

Speaking about the most important problems investors face, Jabali said, “We face several problems, such as privatizing and pricing real estate, administrative complexities, the investment law in its current form, procedures for tax assessment, the customs complexities in all its forms, energy saving, bureaucratic procedures to obtain approvals for investment projects and licenses, in addition to the conflict management system.”  He also noted that several executive authorities within the state intervene in investment problems, but only the presidency can settle such issues.

Meanwhile, Sheriff Sami, Chairman of the Egyptian Financial Supervisory Authority, told Al-Monitor over the phone that the decision to establish a Supreme Council for Investment headed by the president is proof of the state’s wish to encourage investors and eliminate all obstacles standing in the way of investment.  He also explained that the fact that the council is directly affiliated with the presidency represents a new phase in the state’s interest in investments and investors as well as illustrates the state’s seriousness in dealing with the issues investors face more efficiently.

Sami added that investment problems are not the responsibility of only one ministry, especially since investors in Egypt mostly face problems resulting from conflicts involving decisions issued by the concerned ministries and the laws governing the process of investment, noting that a council similar to the Supreme Council of Investment headed by the president was established in the 1980s.

Abla Abdel Latif, chairman of the Special Council for Economic Development affiliated with the presidency, who also serves as the president’s adviser on economic affairs, refused to disclose the presidency’s role in forming the council or determining its prerogatives.  She told Al-Monitor by phone that the mechanism of forming the council and determining its prerogatives will be announced in the “coming weeks.”

Meanwhile, Amr Ismail, a researcher at the Carnegie Middle East Center, sees the presidential decree to establish a Supreme Council for Investment from a different perspective.  He believes it has to do with the lack of efficiency within the state administration and the government bodies’ inability to overcome investment problems, in addition to the absence of harmony between authorities. Ismail said that resorting to the president to settle the problems that investors face will change the way the state administration deals with issues in general.

He told Al-Monitor that resorting to the political leadership to resolve conflicts usually happens in countries in which chaos prevails and where institutes are incompetent.  He explained that these were not sustainable solutions and they drive institutions toward further incompetence and bureaucracy.  Such solutions need to truly decode investment crises in Egypt as structural problems with social and economic dimensions.

He said the investment issues in Egypt are structural problems with social and economic dimensions, and they are linked to the political turmoil in Egypt and in the region, in addition to the drop in oil prices around the world.  He noted that while Egypt is not a major oil-exporting country, this drop still has an impact since Egyptians living in oil-rich countries send remittances home and Egypt receives substantial monetary support from Gulf states that rely heavily on oil revenue.

Ismail explained that the bulk of foreign investment flows come from the extractive industries, while the situation has been unstable after the Russian jet crash in Sinai and in light of stagnation in the European Union, which is the largest trading partner for Egypt.  (AL-Monitor 04.08)

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11.8  EGYPT:  Wealthiest 10% in Egypt Responsible for 25% of Spending

The wealthiest 10% of citizens in Egypt are responsible for 25% of the total expenditure of Egyptians, while the poorest 10% are responsible for only 4% of the total expenditure, reflecting the huge gap in living standards, according to the Central Agency for Public Mobilisation and Statistics (CAPMAS).  These figures were part of the 2015 (2013/2014) Household Income, Expenditure and Consumption Survey (HIECS) – issued every two years.

The socioeconomic gap between the country’s citizens is reflected in the number of Egyptians who benefit from social insurance: 81.8% of Egyptians living under the poverty line are not subscribed or do not benefit from social insurance.  This comes as 77.4% of the 10% who spend the most in Egypt benefit from smart card subsidies.  The subsidies are mostly used for food commodities, especially oil, rice and sugar, with, for example, 70% of oil consumption coming from the smart card subsidies.  Statistics and figures issued by CAPMAS are used by the state as a guide in implementing official policies.

One family spends on average around EGP 36,700 per year and has an average income of about EGP 44,200, which means Egyptians spend 83% of their income.  Expenditure is worth an estimated average of EGP 42,400 in urban areas and EGP 31,800 in rural areas annually per family, according to the survey, which means urban residents spend 25% more than rural residents.

The numbers do not strictly reflect the purchasing power of citizens, but they stem from price differences and disparities in income between rural and urban areas, the latter being more expensive.

Income is estimated at a yearly average of EGP 51,200 in urban areas versus EGP 38,300 in rural areas per family, which correlates to the 25% difference in expenditure.

Where do Egyptians spend their money?

An average of 34.4% of yearly expenditure per person in Egypt goes to food and beverages, down from 37.6% the previous year, according to the survey.  The numbers are nominal, which means they do not take into account inflation, says CAPMAS president Abo Bakr El-Guindy, who adds that an increase in spending on food indicates an improved standard of living.

However, Egyptians living under the poverty line represent 27.8% of the population, an increase from 26.3% in 2012/2013, up by around 10%age points from 1999/2000 when 16.7% of Egyptians lived under the poverty line, says statistics professor Ellaithy in a presentation about social inequality.  Household expenditures come in second after food spending, taking up 17.5% of overall expenditure per person, down from 18.1% in 2012/2013.

Ten percent of expenditure is spent on health services, an increase from 9.2% the previous year, and 6.3% on transportation compared to 5.2% the previous year.

Education falls in a lower category, representing only 4.8% of Egyptians’ expenses, even less than spending on clothing, which takes up 5.6%, and a little higher than the spending on smoking, which is estimated at 4.7%.

Other expenses are furniture and maintenance (4.1%), hotels and restaurants (4%), various goods and services (3.9%), communications (2.5%) and culture and entertainment (2.1%).  (CAPMAS 26.07)

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11.9  EGYPT:  Political Instability, Poor Access to Finance Hold Back Private Sector

Political instability, poor access to finance and unreliable electricity are the top obstacles cited by Egyptian private sector companies in a new report by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), the European Investment Bank (EIB), and the World Bank Group (WBG).

The report, titled “What’s holding back the private sector in MENA?” is based on a survey of 6,000 private sector companies in the Middle East and North Africa, including almost 3,000 Egyptian firms.

Conducted in 2013 and 2014, the MENA Enterprise Survey found that firms in Djibouti, Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, Tunisia and the Palestinian Authority consistently cited political instability, corruption, electricity and access to finance as the key factors holding back their companies.

In Egypt, nearly half of the firms surveyed pointed to political instability as their top obstacle.  “The uncertain business environment that followed the 2011 uprising and developments in the summer of 2013 was reflected in firms’ economic performance: between 2009 and 2012, the typical firm in Egypt saw revenues decline by 6.4% per year and employment by more than 1% per year,” the report notes.

Some 10% of firms cited access to financing as their top obstacle.  Banks account for only 2% of company financing in Egypt, the report found, compared to an average of 12% in the eight countries surveyed.  In fact, the survey found that many firms have almost no interaction with banks, with only 60% of formal private sector firms having a checking or savings account.

Electricity came third, with firms reporting an average of 16.3 electricity cuts per month, though the report notes that the situation may have improved in the two years since the survey was completed.  Corruption was also cited as a major issue, with 17% of firms reporting at least one bribe request from officials.

Labor productivity was found to be about average for similar economies, but Egypt lags behind when it comes to total factor productivity, which measures how efficiently companies make use of labor, intermediate inputs and capital.  The study found that Egypt is more capital-intensive than peer economies.  “This can partly be explained by the presence of energy subsidies, which distort production structures by promoting energy- and capital-intensive industries,” the report notes.

Egypt is also suffering from a mismatch between labor supply and demand, the report found — particularly when it comes to vocational and technical skills.  The general level of post-secondary vocational training was found to be poor, and companies were not stepping in to fill the gap.  Just 5% of firms in Egypt reported offering formal training, compared to the survey average of 17%.

The concerns reported by firms were consistent across the region, the report notes, although the order of priority varied by country.  “Almost all firms in the region are severely affected by issues of political instability, corruption, and unreliable electricity supply,” the report notes.  “Firm innovation and growth are also constrained by barriers to trade and a scarcity of appropriately trained workers.  In many places, there is a striking disconnect between firms and formal financing channels, with the result that firms are not seeking external finance, inevitably reducing their growth potential.”

The study includes several policy recommendations, including subsidy reform, anti-corruption measure and regulations and training to support bank loans to small and medium enterprises.  “The formal private sector in the MENA ES economies is relatively small, but its size belies its significance for economic development,” the report concludes. “It is possible to see the potential of the private sector in the region to grow and meet the aspirations of the growing workforce for rewarding employment.”  (Mada Masr 26.07)

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11.10  MOROCCO:  Why Morocco Really Wants Back in the African Union

Ayah Aman observed on 27 July in Al-Monitor that the king of Morocco’s recent declaration that his country wants to return to the African Union after a 32-year absence appears to be a political maneuver to gain ground in the Western Sahara dispute.

In a lengthy letter to a recent African Union (AU) summit in Rwanda, King Mohammed VI of Morocco declared his country’s intention to once again become a member of the union.  Morocco withdrew from the AU’s predecessor, the Organization of African Unity (OAU), 32 years ago in protest of the group’s support for the Polisario Front separatist movement and OAU’s recognition of the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (SADR).

The king’s 17 July message wasn’t void of reproach and blame toward the AU for its support of SADR, which has been a conflict zone since the Polisario was founded in 1973 to liberate Western Sahara from what it deemed “Moroccan colonialism.”  However, the king did not explicitly call for the suspension of SADR’s membership as a condition of Morocco’s return to the AU.

Referring to Morocco’s anger over the AU’s support for SADR, Mohammed said, “That immoral fait accompli, that coup against international legality, led the Kingdom of Morocco to seek to avoid the division of Africa and the price Morocco had to pay was the painful decision to leave its institutional family.”  Yet, the king wrote, “On reflection, it has become clear to us that when a body is sick, it is treated more effectively from the inside than from the outside. … Morocco firmly believes in the wisdom of the AU and its ability to restore legality and correct mistakes along the way.”

An official at the AU general secretariat told Al-Monitor, on condition of anonymity, “The AU general secretariat is concerned that Morocco wants to return in order to argue the SADR issue from within the AU.”  The official added, “Of course the African family welcomes Morocco’s return, but no one wants any debates or diplomatic disputes between member states.  We want to work together for the benefit of the continent.”

The official added, “Morocco has now realized the AU’s importance and strength as a strong and influential entity and that leaving it is a significant diplomatic loss for any African country.”

Morocco suspended its AU membership to pressure African countries, the official said.  “It might be counting on [convincing] 16 African countries to withdraw their recognition of SADR and form a front to expel SADR from the AU.  However, such action is neither recognized in international law nor in the AU charters.”

On the same day the Moroccan king conveyed his message to the AU, 28 of the union’s 53 member countries signed a statement and had it delivered to AU Chairman Idriss Deby asking him to take legal action to suspend SADR’s membership, to enable the AU to contribute to the United Nations’ efforts to solve the regional dispute.  At the same time, AU Commission Chairwoman Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma reaffirmed the AU’s support for Western Sahara’s independence.

Despite Egypt and Tunisia’s links to Morocco by virtue of a common Arab identity and geographic location, the two countries did not sign the statement to suspend SADR, nor did they issue any statements or official comments regarding Morocco’s return to the AU.

In this regard, Moroccan Foreign Minister Salaheddine Mezouar noted in a 21 July press conference in the country’s capital, Rabat, “Friends of Morocco need some time to determine their position.”

Meanwhile, Algeria rejected any attempt to suspend SADR’s membership, with Prime Minister Abdelmalek Sellal saying in a press statement, “Demanding SADR to leave is impossible.  Algeria does not have any problem with Morocco returning to the AU, as long as it does so without conditions.”

Statements given by officials in Morocco and Algeria revealed a new diplomatic disagreement between them over Western Sahara and place each in the awkward diplomatic position of picking sides within the AU.  For instance, the Moroccan press fiercely attacked Cairo, describing Egypt’s position as “a shock.”  Although the Moroccan foreign minister had visited Cairo ahead of a summit on 10 July and informed the political administration of Morocco’s intention to return to the AU, Egypt remained silent during the entire summit.

Meanwhile, Mona Omar, former assistant to the Egyptian foreign minister on African affairs, told Al-Monitor, “Egypt had never recognized SADR, but Algeria strongly supports it, and Egypt is committed to taking neutral positions when it comes to Algeria and Morocco.”

Political science professor and expert on African affairs Hamdi Abdel-Rahman said the statement signed by 28 countries to expel SADR from the AU expresses “a political value rather than a legal action.”  “The political bonds between Egypt, Algeria and South Africa explain why Cairo did not sign,” he said.

Abdel-Rahman told Al-Monitor, “Egypt may see that cooperation with Algeria and Tunisia is more important at this stage, particularly with regard to joint coordination when it comes to the Libyan issue [the divided government and rise of the Islamic State], which directly threatens Egyptian national security.”  However, he stressed that “Morocco’s return to the AU will have major repercussions, especially since it is a pivotal country in Africa and has strong relations and a significant influence in the Western African region. Morocco is not only important on political and economic levels, but from a cultural and religious perspective.  Some Muslim countries in Western Africa praise the king of Morocco in Friday prayers as the caliph of the Muslims.”

Abdel-Rahman added, “Morocco adopts the stick-and-carrot policy in the dispute over the Sahara. First, it threatened to withdraw troops from peacekeeping missions in Africa and then pressured countries close to it to mobilize political positions to expel SADR from the AU.  But such policies will be confronted by major African powers, most notably Algeria, South Africa and Nigeria, which believe in and defend the rights of the Sahrawi people.”

Meanwhile, Sabri al-Haw, a Moroccan expert in international law, told Al-Monitor, “The issue of unity and the dispute over the Sahara are the heart of Moroccan politics, and the decision to return to the AU was necessary to break the African consensus in support of the Polisario Front and protect Moroccan interests in Africa.”  Haw considers the statement signed by the 28 countries asking the AU to expel SADR to be a major political win for Morocco.  “This statement shows a wide division within the AU and a lack of a deep-rooted doctrine to support Polisario,” Haw said.

It seems that Morocco’s new political and diplomatic orientation to return to the AU not only expresses its desire to exercise influence within the African institution, but also highlights a political maneuver through which Morocco is trying to undermine and restrict SADR since several countries have withdrawn their recognition of it during the past 10 years.  This is bound to open a new chapter in the Moroccan dispute over the Western Sahara.  (Al-Monitor 27.07)

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11.11  GREECE:  Greece ‘B-/B’ Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Remains Stable

On 22 July 2016, S&P Global Ratings affirmed its ‘B-/B’ long- and short-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings on the Hellenic Republic (Greece).  The outlook is stable.

Rationale

The affirmation reflects our assessment that the Greek government is meeting – albeit with delays – the formal terms of its €86 billion financial support program (Third Economic Adjustment Program) financed by Eurozone member states via the European Stability Mechanism (ESM).  We understand that one of the objectives of Greece’s Third Economic Adjustment Programme is to enable the government to refinance itself fully in commercial debt markets by August 2018, when the program concludes.

We estimate that at the end of this year, Greece’s stock of net general government debt will peak at 179% of GDP, the highest of all the sovereigns we rate.  Gradually returning nominal growth, fiscal consolidation and cumulative privatization receipts of around 2% of GDP over the next four years will likely lower net general government debt to 173% of GDP by 2018, the final year of Greece’s current three-year support program.  That figure would still be the highest projected debt burden of all rated sovereigns.  Even under optimistic assumptions of recurrent nominal average GDP growth of 4.5% and an annual primary surplus of 1.5% of GDP and borrowing costs of below 2%, it will still take another 17 years before Greek net general government debt falls below 100% of GDP.

In contrast to most governments that we rate, the lion’s share of Greece’s sovereign debt–about 83%–is official, with over four-fifths lent by Eurozone governments and institutions at highly concessional rates and maturities, including grace periods on principal payments averaging between three years for the Greek Loan Facility (GLF) to 17 years for ESM loans.  The cost of servicing this debt is low, currently ranging between 1.0% and 1.5%.

By these standards, Greece’s debt burden is arguably affordable and can remain so, provided:

  1. The country can refinance itself on similarly favorable terms in commercial markets at the end of the current program; and
  1. The Greek economy can grow consistently and rapidly in real and nominal terms.
  1. The risk to public debt sustainability in Greece is that one or both of these caveats does not hold.

Flagging the high affordability of its concessional lending, the Eurogroup of Eurozone member finance ministers has maintained that, for the present, a write-down of the face value of Greece’s official obligations is not required to make debt sustainable.  Due to domestic considerations, Greece’s official creditors are understandably reluctant to grant any write-off that would transfer debt onto their own balance sheets.  In May, as an alternative to a haircut, the Eurogroup agreed to cap post-program government gross financing needs (GFN) for Greece at 15% of GDP.  This figure is equivalent to 6.4% of GDP after netting out Treasury bill refinancing amounting to 8.6% of GDP.  Greece’s official creditors are committed, as we understand it, to meeting this GFN target via further maturity extensions, debt re-profiling, and the restoration of transfers of Eurosystem profits on its Greek government bond holdings.

Although we view such offers of GFN relief to be helpful in backstopping the sustainability of Greece’s concessional debt burden, we don’t see contingent promises of net present value reductions as equivalent to frontloaded principal write-downs if the goal is to restore confidence in Greece’s solvency, and, at the same time, to enable Greece to finance itself in commercial debt markets at low interest rates and long maturities. Public debt write-offs would also, importantly, improve Greece’s net external position, since over 80% of general government debt is owed to nonresidents.

Our baseline expectation is that Greece can and will service its limited commercial debt stock (about one-sixth of the total or 30% of GDP) when it comes due.  Other than treasury bill redemptions, the next maturity of Greek commercial debt is not until 17 July 2017, for €2.09 billion, followed by a €4.03 billion redemption to the private sector on 17 April 2019.  We anticipate that by the end of this year, the small amount of Greek government bonds still in the market are likely to become eligible for purchase by the Bank of Greece under quantitative easing.  This should lower interest rates for Greece in the secondary market, versus the current approximately 7.9% yield on the 10-year benchmark government bond.

Earlier this year the government legislated fiscal measures worth about 3% of GDP, split two-thirds to one-third in favor of tax hikes versus expenditure cuts.  These included an increase in value-added tax (VAT) and excise taxes, pension cuts, and a simplification of the personal income tax framework.  Although we expect the government will meet the 0.5%-of-GDP primary surplus target this year, we think in subsequent years the government will find it difficult to operate primary surpluses above 1.5% of GDP, without creating arrears elsewhere in the public and private sector (including fresh arrears for Public Power Corp. and Athens’ rapid-transit system Attiko Metro).  About 10% of Greece’s population contributes approximately 60% of tax receipts to the state, while more than one-half of the country’s wage and pension earners are exempt from income tax (versus 9% on average in the euro area).  Focusing fiscal pressure on the most productive and mobile part of the population could stunt growth and worsen fiscal outputs, in our view.  But perhaps the largest medium-term fiscal risk remains the pension system, with current spending on pensions easily the highest in the Eurozone, at 17.5% of GDP.  Annual transfers to the social security system equate to 10% of GDP, compared with the euro area average of 2.5% of GDP.

Ultimately, fiscal outputs will reflect the performance of Greece’s economy, which has declined by 24% in euro terms over the last nine years, with investment down an estimated 66% since 2007.  For 2016, we project that the Greek economy will contract by 1%, reflecting additional fiscal drag, a blocked banking system, and moribund private-sector confidence.  We forecast that the economy will stage a statistical recovery in 2017, followed by GDP growth averaging 2.75% in real and 4.25% in nominal terms during 2018 and 2019.  Despite its small size, Greece’s economy is relatively closed, with exports as a percentage of GDP representing an estimated 31%.  On the positive side, this year’s financing arrangements under the ESM program include plans to pay down an estimated 3% of GDP of arrears (and another 2.6% of GDP between 2017 and 2019) to the private sector, where firms are likely to clear their own wage arrears to employees, who may then spend them.  On the downside, the government’s delivery on structural and particularly labor market reforms appears to us to be piecemeal, with limited success in attracting private foreign capital into sectors that could create employment.  Although down from its peak in 2014, at 23.3% in April (ELSTAT data), Greek unemployment remains the highest in the EU and the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development.

A main stumbling block for the economy is the long-standing distress in Greece’s financial sector.  Like the government, Greece’s banks depend on official financing, with European Central Bank (ECB) and emergency liquidity assistance (ELA) lines covering 25% of assets.  Between Sept 2010 and May 2016, an estimated €136.4bn or 77% of GDP of deposits exited the Greek banking system, though levels have stabilized during the second quarter.  With nonperforming exposures at 44% of the loan book, banks are not in a position to finance private-sector investment, while companies and households may choose to prioritize payment of their rising tax debt (which the Greek tax administration estimates at 50% of GDP) rather than their bank loans.  Distress in the banking system represents a potential contingent liability to the state.  Our projections for public-sector debt don’t reflect any further government capital injections into domestic banks, although the ESM program retains €19.6 billion in reserve financing for further financial support, and there is a material risk that additional public support is required.  We think that the ECB’s reinstating of its waiver on the eligibility of Greek sovereign and sovereign guaranteed bank collateral for ECB financing, rather than costlier Bank of Greece ELA, will lift the profitability of Greece’s highly challenged banking system.  We anticipate, however, an only gradual lifting of the capital controls still in place, including withdrawal limits on household deposits.

Greece’s external liabilities, both private and public, remain high.  The economy’s net external debtor position as a percentage of current account receipts is the second highest of all rated sovereigns.  It is important to understand that 84% of Greece’s external debt is public, combining concessional lending both to the sovereign and to the banks (through the Eurosystem).  The large-scale withdrawal of deposits from Greece’s banking sector last year led to an estimated €51 billion rise in ELA to Greek banks during 2015, equating to 29% of GDP or 76% of current account receipts.  Because we classify Eurosystem national central banks as nonresidents, this led to a rise in Greece’s narrow net external debt liability to 485% of current account receipts in 2015 from 395% a year earlier.  In this context, an upfront write-down of Greece’s public debt would markedly improve the country’s external position, something that would over time, in our view, encourage private-sector nonresidents’ willingness to invest in the economy.

Greece’s current account improved by 2.1% of GDP last year to a deficit of just 0.1% of GDP, although this also indirectly reflects large capital – particularly deposit – outflows from the domestic banking system and an associated contraction in import demand.  Merchandise imports (excluding volatile oil and ships) contracted slightly in 2015, while exports (without volatile segments) continued to do relatively well, having increased 4% on average in euro terms over the past four years.  The outlook for Greece’s major services sectors is mixed. Shipping remains mired in a supply glut, combined with a global slowdown in trade.  During 2016, tourism may not repeat the strong growth it enjoyed in the summer of 2015 given Greece’s fairly large exposure to U.K.-based visitors. Over the medium term, we expect the current account deficit will widen, although not to levels far exceeding the capital account surplus (transfers), which last year totaled 1.2% of GDP.

Given the current Greek government’s narrow majority of three seats, the probability of implementing long-term reforms to, for instance, the judicial system and public administration seems low.  Still, our baseline expectation remains that, regardless of what government is in power, Greece will largely comply with the terms of the ESM program.  We take this view because we don’t think the alternative would be viable for Greece’s financial stability.

Outlook

The stable outlook indicates our view that, over the next 12 months, risks to our ‘B-‘ rating on Greece are balanced.

We could consider an upgrade if we saw stronger growth performance and measureable progress in reducing the still-high ratio of nonperforming loans in Greece’s banking system. Rating upside would also stem from the lifting of capital controls, including deposit withdrawal limits, which would be a strong indication of recovered confidence in financial stability and, in turn, growth.  We could also consider raising the rating in the event of an unexpected write-down of Greece’s level of net general government debt.

We could lower the ratings on Greece if the new government didn’t implement the reforms it has agreed to with the ESM in their memorandum of understanding.  Prolonged non-implementation of the ESM program could, over time, lead to a general default on Greek government debt.  (S&P 22.07)

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11.12  CYPRUS:  Bond Issue Is a Key Post-Program Milestone

On 27 July, Fitch Ratings said Cyprus’ first market issuance is a key milestone following its exit from the EU and IMF bailout program in March.  We had already highlighted that demonstrating fiscal financing flexibility through a sustained track record of market access at affordable rates is one of several factors that could lead to an upgrade of the sovereign rating of ‘B+’ with a Positive Outlook.

The seven-year 3.75% €1b bond was priced at the lowest coupon rate achieved by Cyprus for a euro benchmark bond and was realized without support from the European Central Bank’s bond-buying scheme.

Other developments that could lead to an upgrade of the sovereign rating include further stabilization in the banking sector, a track record of economic recovery and reduction in private sector indebtedness, narrowing of the current account deficit, and continued fiscal adjustment.

At close to 109% of GDP in 2015, gross general government debt (GGGD) is more than 2x the ‘B’ rating category median, reducing Cyprus’ fiscal scope to absorb domestic or external shocks.  Banking sector assets are 4x GDP and the sector’s exceptionally weak asset quality undermines economic stability and growth.  The weak external position implies that further economic rebalancing may be needed over the medium term.

Economic recovery is under way, supported by improving household consumption in line with a fall in unemployment, and strong tourist inflows.  But the UK’s recent vote to leave the EU presents a downside risk to Cyprus’ growth outlook, mainly because it could affect trade, largely tourism related.  Total exports to the UK represent close to 10% of GDP.  A prolonged depreciation of sterling would weaken UK purchasing power and potentially dampen growth in the tourism sector.

Fiscal policy management has been strong and the government has overachieved on its targets.  We project budget surpluses of 0.2% of GDP in 2016 and 1% for 2017, reflecting a neutral fiscal stance supported by economic recovery. We project GGGD to fall below 100% of GDP by 2017.  Debt-management operations and cash buffers reduce refinancing risks.  (Fitch 27.07)

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The Fortnightly newsletter is a free service of Atid, EDI. We are a team of economic and trade development consultants, headquartered in Jerusalem, but active throughout the region and beyond. EDI works with an international clientele interested in identifying and researching business opportunities in the region. We also serve as the regional representative offices for a number of U.S. states and bilateral Chambers of Commerce, as well as European clients.

The post Fortnightly, 10 August 2016 appeared first on Atid EDI.

Fortnightly, 24 August 2016

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24 August 2016
20 Av 5776
21 Dhul Qadah 1437

TOP STORIES

TABLE OF CONTENTS:

 1: ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Netanyahu Injects Millions Into New Welfare, Culture & Science Budgets
1.2  Fifty Foreign Construction Companies Bid to Work in Israel
1.3  Israel’s Gas Royalties Hit New Record

2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Israeli Startups Win Global Innovation Awards
2.2  Kaltura Announces $50 Million Investment from Goldman Sachs
2.3  PLAYSTUDIOS Acquires Scene53 and Launches POP! Slots
2.4  Pentagon Eyes US Iron Dome to Defend Forward-Based Forces
2.5  Spanish Fashion Chain Stradivarius Opens in Israel
2.6  ColorChip Raises $20 Million
2.7  Ford Buys Israeli Machine Learning Company SAIPS
2.8  Intsights Cyber Intelligence Raises $1.5 Million
2.9  CellSavers Raises $15 Million
2.10  Silicom Expands Business with Strategic Cyber Security Customer
2.11  Florida-Israel Business Accelerator Receives $1 Million in Funding From the State of Florida
2.12  Shine Technologies & Econet to Bring Benefits of Ad Blocking to 40 Million Subscribers
2.13  Mobileye & Delphi Partnership for SAE Level 4/5 Automated Driving Solution for 2019

 3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  DSW to Open New Stores in the Middle East
3.2  Japanese Glass Manufacturer to Build its First African Factory in Morocco
3.3  First Solar Wins 160MW of Module Contracts in Turkey

 4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Dubai Government Fleets to be 10% Green
4.2  Saudi Arabia Plans Unveiled for Solar & Wind Projects
4.3  Egypt to Construct 1,000 MW Solar Power Station with $3.3 Billion in Chinese Funding

5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Average Lebanese Consumer Prices Fell 2.22% y-o-y by July 2016
5.2  Lebanon’s Total Number of Registered New Cars Rose to 23,684 by July 2016
5.3  Jordan’s Inflation Falls by 1.3% During First Seven Months
5.4  Jordan’s Budget Deficit Stood at JD291.2 Million in First-Half of 2016
5.5  Amman Orders Restaurants to Cut Prices by 7 – 15%

♦♦Arabian Gulf

5.6  Bahrain Inflation Rises to 3.5% in July – Driven By Housing Costs
5.7  U.S. Approves $1.15 Billion Sale of Tanks & Equipment to Saudi Arabia
5.8  Saudi Arabia to Allow Foreign Institutions Buy Shares in IPOs
5.9  Tourism Spending in Saudi Arabia Forecast to Reach $38.4 Billion
5.10  Saudi Arabia to Discuss Energy Cooperation With China & Japan

♦♦North Africa

5.11  Egypt’s Dollar Black Market Resilient Despite New Threat of Jail Terms
5.12  Egypt’s First Tranche of IMF Financing Worth $4 Billion to be Delivered in 2 Installments
5.13  UAE Agrees To Provide Egypt Central Bank with $1 Billion Deposit
5.14  Egypt Sees 50% Decrease in Tourists in First Half of 2016
5.15  Egypt’s 2015/16 Petroleum Subsidy Spending Drops By 23%
5.16  Egypt’s Unemployment Rate Falls to 12.5% in Second Quarter
5.17  Algeria Erects a Fence Along Border with Morocco
5.18  4.2 Million Tourists Visited Morocco in First Half of 2016

6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Greek Exports Down 8% in First Half of 2016
6.2  Troika Prompts Greece to Tighten Debt Repayments

7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

♦♦ISRAEL:

7.1  Three Hundred Israeli Elementary Schools to Introduce Robotics Program
7.2  New Report Finds Israelis Are in No Rush to Marry

♦♦REGIONAL:

7.3  258 Women Running in Parliamentary Elections

8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  XTL Biopharmaceuticals New Patent Filing in U.S. for Lupus Drug hCDR1
8.2  Medtronic Completes $20 Million Second Tranche Investment in Mazor Robotics
8.3  Zebra New Machine Learning Algorithm Predicts Cardiovascular Events
8.4  CollPlant Reports Positive Final Clinical Trial Results with VergenixSTR for Treatment of Tendinopathy
8.5  Nutrinia Announces $30 Million Series D Financing to Fund Clinical Development
8.6  FDA Decision Boosts Beta-02’s Artificial Pancreas
8.7  Breakthrough Israeli Study May Lead to Melanoma Cure

9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Mellanox Launches Integrated Networking Solutions That Accelerate NVMe Over Fabrics
9.2  NUVIAD Express – People Knowledge-centric Advertising Self Service for
9.3  IAI Drone Guard System Carries Out Flight Demos
9.4  Alvarion & Safend to Introduce New Secure Wi-Fi Solution for Enterprise Organizations
9.5  Holaverse to Enhance Its App Portfolio with Anagog’s Mobility Status SDK
9.6  Plexistor New Persistent Memory over Fabric Technology Delivers Millions of IOPS
9.7  fiXtress Optimizes Schematic Testing in ADAS Systems

10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israel’s CPI Surprises with 0.4% Increase During July
10.2  Israel Enjoys 3.7% Growth During Second Quarter
10.3  Unemployment in Israel Hits Historic Low of 4.7%
10.4  Israel Breaks Travel Record as Millions of Israelis Fly Abroad

11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  ISRAEL: Moody’s Affirms Israel’s A1 Credit Rating, Says Economy Stable
11.2  MENA Defense Budgets to Grow Despite Low Oil Price
11.3  EGYPT: IMF Reaches Agreement on a Three-Year $12 Billion Extended Fund Facility
11.4  EGYPT: Dam Construction Going Full Steam While Egypt-Ethiopia Talks Stall
11.5  TUNISIA: How the New Government Plans to Save Tunisia
11.6  TUNISIA: New Tunisian PM Tries to Break Economic Reform Curse
11.7  TURKEY: Fitch Affirms Turkey at ‘BBB-‘; Revises Outlook to Negative
11.8  TURKEY: Why are Turks Disposing of $1 Bills?

1:  ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Netanyahu Injects Millions Into New Welfare, Culture & Science Budgets

On 12 August, the Netanyahu government approved the 2017-2018 state budget, setting it at 454 billion shekels ($118 billion) for 2017 and NIS 463 billion ($120 billion) for 2018.  The proposed budget will be presented to the Knesset for a vote in the coming weeks.

The government’s approval followed a marathon 24-hour budget discussion to fine-tune policies addressing major policy objectives on reducing the high cost of living, reducing socio-economic gaps, and boosting economic growth and productivity.  Speaking at the beginning of the meeting, Prime Minister Netanyahu and Finance Minister Kahlon said the biennial budget includes substantial increases in funds for the Welfare, Health, Education, Transportation, and Immigrant Absorption ministries.  The budget “includes a series of growth incentives to increase competition and reduce the cost of living,” Netanyahu said. “I cannot stress this enough: Growth is the most important element in managing Israel’s economic and social policies.  There is no social policy without the kind of economic policy that ensures growth and produces resources.”

The prime minister detailed four main steps he seeks to lead in economic policy: cutting tax rates, reducing regulation, encouraging international technology companies to invest in Israel, and promoting a major investment in public transport infrastructure.  Kahlon said the policy “seeks to continue with reducing taxes, fighting centralization, and opening the economy to competition. We will also continue with our efforts to solve the housing crisis.”

An Environmental Protection Ministry Clean Air Initiative was budgeted at NIS 260 million ($68 million).  The plan includes incentives to boost the scrapping of old diesel-fueled vehicles, and government subsidies to encourage diesel-fueled vehicles to install special particulate filters.  (Various 14.08)

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1.2  Fifty Foreign Construction Companies Bid to Work in Israel

There has been impressive demand from foreign construction companies eager to work in Israel as part of the Ministry of Construction and Housing’s call, which has just expired.  Fifty foreign construction companies have submitted bids to work in Israel, the Ministry of Construction and Housing reports.  The bidders include Chinese, Spanish, Greek, Turkish, Russian, Ukrainian, Portuguese and Vietnamese companies.  The companies will now be examined by a committee headed by the Ministry of Construction and Housing Bamberger who will investigate if the companies meet the threshold conditions set by the ministry.  He will award the proposals points after examining the quality of their work.  The plan to bring in foreign companies was approved by the housing cabinet several months ago.  The aim is to allow up to six foreign companies to work in Israel and each bring up to 1,000 workers to build residential projects.  The companies approved can either work independently or in collaboration with an Israeli contractor for up to five years. If required, there is an option to extend operations in Israel by a further three years.  By this method, the Ministry of Finance and Ministry of Housing hope to build 60,000-70,000 homes per year.  (Globes 15.08)

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1.3  Israel’s Gas Royalties Hit New Record

The Ministry of National Infrastructures, Energy and Water Resources has reported a new NIS 411 million record in revenues from fees and royalties related to natural gas, oil and minerals in H1/16.  Most of these revenues was due to natural gas and oil royalties, a total of NIS 394 million in the first half of 2016.  NIS 392 million royalties were received for a 4.5 BCM natural gas output at the Tamar gas field.  This constitutes an impressive 12.8% rise from the corresponding period last year.  The rest of the sum, NIS 2 million, was oil production royalties.  A further NIS 2.6 million were revenues from various fees and activities.  In the field of minerals, royalties increased significantly due to a change in legislation made in late 2015 following the recommendations of the Sheshinski 2 Committee.  In the first half of 2016, mineral royalties totaled NIS 13.8 million, a 105% jump from NIS 6.7 million last year.

The Ministry of National Infrastructures, Energy and Water Resources is expecting a further increase in royalty revenues in the coming years.  The increase will follow from an expected rise in Tamar output, the development of the Leviathan gas field, as well as from the future development of fields already discovered, and further fields that might be discovered following the opening of the sea to exploration.  (Globes 16.08)

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2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Israeli Startups Win Global Innovation Awards

Two Israeli startups have won first and second place at the Global Innovation Awards 2016 in Beijing.  Haifa startup NiNiSpeech, which developed an ingenious digital platform for speech disorder treatment, won first place, and Israeli startup AerialGuard, which has developed an autonomous navigation system for unmanned aircraft, came in second.

Each of the startups will receive $200,000 in cash.  This is the second consecutive year that an Israeli startup has won first place in the competition.  The two Israeli winners competed against 21 other startups from China, the U.S. and Europe, which were selected in an eight-month selection process out of 3,000 contenders from across the globe that vied for a place in the finals.  The winners were chosen by 11 judges from around the world and real-time voting from an audience of over 1,000 people.  (Various 10.08)

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2.2  Kaltura Announces $50 Million Investment from Goldman Sachs

Kaltura secured a $50 million pre-IPO funding from Goldman Sachs’ Private Capital Investing group.  Kaltura will use the additional capital to extend its footprint across all six continents, and to further its unique positioning as the ‘Everything Video’ company – providing leading video products for an unprecedented array of markets and use-cases.  Kaltura offers both a wide array of out-of-the-box video products for various industries, as well as a flexible and modular API-based video platform for developers, partners, and customers that are looking to create their own custom video products.  The funding comes on the heels of yet another strong year, which further cemented Kaltura as a market leader.

Ramat Gan’s Kaltura, a recognized leader in the OTT TV (Over the Top TV), OVP (Online Video Platform), EdVP (Education Video Platform) and EVP (Enterprise Video Platform) markets, has emerged as the fastest growing video platform, and as the one with the widest use-case and appeal.  Kaltura is deployed globally in thousands of enterprises, media companies, service providers and educational institutions and engages hundreds of millions of viewers at home, in work, and at school.  (Kaltura 08.08)

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2.3  PLAYSTUDIOS Acquires Scene53 and Launches POP! Slots

Burlingame, California’s PLAYSTUDIOS, a developer of award-winning, free-to-play casino games that offer real-world rewards, has acquired Scene53, an Israel-based game studio specializing in real-time, multi-player mobile games.  The two companies jointly developed the newest PLAYSTUDIOS mobile app, POP! Slots.  The game allows players to play in groups, share jackpots, and interact with friends as they explore virtual versions of iconic Las Vegas resorts.  The initial release features MGM Grand, the Mirage, and Excalibur, with additional resorts soon to be added.  POP! Slots is now available world-wide for Apple and Android mobile devices and is already earning 5-star reviews as it climbs to the top of the app store charts.

After working with Scene53 to create and launch POP! Slots, PLAYSTUDIOS moved to acquire the company and establish it as an independently operated studio, PLAYSTUDIOS Israel (PSI).  The Tel Aviv team will now focus on growing the POP! Slots product while pursuing new opportunities in the casual, free-to-play casino category.  (PLAYSTUDIOS 09.08)

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2.4  Pentagon Eyes US Iron Dome to Defend Forward-Based Forces

Rafael Advanced Defense Systems and Raytheon, its US partner for Iron Dome production, are working to transform the combat-proven Israeli interceptor into a fully American system in defense of forward-deployed US forces.  Americanized versions of the Iron Dome’s Tamir interceptors are being offered under the Raytheon-trademarked SkyHunter brand for a US Army program aimed at defending against a spectrum of threats, from cruise missiles and UAVs to rockets, artillery and mortars.  The Israeli-designed Tamir interceptor has already been adapted for launch from the US Army’s developmental Multi-Missile Launcher (MML), part of the service’s Indirect Fire Protection Capability Increment 2 — Intercept (IFPC Inc 2-I) program.

In an April IFPC program test at the Army’s White Sands Missile Range in New Mexico, the MML-launched Tamir scored its first intercept on US soil against a target drone.  Israeli government and industry sources say half of US production funds funneled into Israel’s Iron Dome program in recent years is already going to Raytheon, which produces major components for the Rafael-designed Tamir interceptor in multiple facilities throughout the US.  If selected for the US Army’s IFPC Inc 2-I program, the Tamir would be upgraded to US standards, produced in the United States and rendered fully Raytheon.  Rafael is now in the process of providing through Raytheon detailed price and availability data to the US Army.  (DID 10.08)

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2.5  Spanish Fashion Chain Stradivarius Opens in Israel

The Spanish fashion chain Stradivarius has opened its first store in Israel.  Stradivarius is the ‘little sister’ of Inditex’ Zara (the group also includes the brands Pull&Bear, Bershka and Massimo Dutti).  The first Stradivarius store was opened in Tel Aviv’s Azrieli Mall on 12 August.  Later in 2016, two further stores will be opened, in Ashdod’s C-Mall and the Grand Canyon Mall in Beer Sheva.  Stradivarius was founded in 1994 and has some 1,000 stores in 62 countries.

The chain’s main clientele is young women, with relatively affordable clothing and accessories.  The company promises that prices paid by Israeli customers will be similar to prices in Europe.  For example, price ranges in Israel will be NIS 60-180 for bags, NIS 26-76 for wallets, NIS 100-180 for dresses, jeans starting at NIS 110-160 and button-up shirts starting at NIS 60-140.  However, “Globes” found that the prices in Israel are higher than prices in other countries.  (Globes 14.08)

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2.6  ColorChip Raises $20 Million

ColorChip has raised $20 million from Gemini Israel Funds, BRM Group, IGP, Vintage, HGL Capital and Viola Credit.  The company has raised $80 million to date including the latest financing round and its previous financing round of $25 million in November 2015. IGP, Gemini and BRM led previous financing rounds.  ColorChip is a privately held Israeli company that provides cost effective, dense, hyper-scale transceivers and advanced optical splitters.  The funding will enable the Israeli company to ramp-up operations and accelerate product development.

With Internet services becoming more data intensive due to streaming HD video, virtual reality, cloud computing, and IoT devices, there is a growing need for new technologies to help datacom manage all of the exponentially growing traffic.  ColorChip’s innovative optical communication solutions are well positioned to help solve the growing bandwidth demand of the web.  ColorChip has developed unique SystemOnGlass technology a hybrid optical integrated circuit.  ColorChip uses glass wafers to industrialize its optical devices, allowing for cost effective, rapid, and highly scalable production. In essence, this allows the company to bring efficiencies commonly only seen in semiconductor fabrication to the world of optical communications.

ColorChip is also unique in the Israeli landscape, since it not only develops its solutions but is also vertically integrated and manufactures its core technology in its wholly owned and operated state of the art fab in Israel.  The fab utilizes the company’s unique IP and is a critical component of its core technology, positioning the company as a leader in the industrialized manufacture of optical assemblies.  The company is targeting the high speed transceiver 40G/100G Datacom market, predicted to reach $1.7 billion by 2019.  ColorChip is in the process of scaling up its operations, including hiring new employees in Israel, the US, and remote site facilities.  The new funding will directly support these efforts.

Yokneam’s ColorChip, established in 2001, is a pioneer and a world leading innovator in the fields of integrated optical components and sub-systems.  ColorChip technology enables reliable, scalable and robust high speed networking and communications solutions.  Through their two product lines, they deliver industry leading high speed optical transceivers to the Datacom/Telecom markets and PLC splitters to the FTTx markets.  (Globes 17.08)

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2.7  Ford Buys Israeli Machine Learning Company SAIPS

Ford has acquired Israeli computer vision and machine learning company SAIPS.  The acquisition of SAIPS is part of Ford’s pledge to develop a driverless car by 2021.  No financial details of the acquisition were disclosed.  Founded in 2013, SAIPS provides algorithmic solutions.  The company has not raised any funds to date and after the acquisition will continue operating as an independent entity within the Ford corporation.  Ford announced the acquisition as part of a raft of investments targeting a commercial fully autonomous vehicle fleet for ride sharing by 2021.

Rehovot’s SAIPS is a world-class provider of customized algorithmic solutions in the fields of computer vision and machine learning.  SAIPS core expertise is design, development and implementation of algorithmic engines that are based on Deep Neural Networks (‘Deep Learning’).  SAIPS portfolio consists of several algorithmic suites that provide state of the art solutions for the hottest computer vision challenges in the areas of detection, tracking, image enhancement, registration, segmentation, pattern recognition, positioning, 3D, prediction, video intelligence and more.  (Globes 17.08)

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2.8  Intsights Cyber Intelligence Raises $1.5 Million

Indian software company Wipro has invested $1.5 million in Israeli startup Intsights Cyber Intelligence.  In a filing to the Bombay stock exchange, Wipro said it was acquiring a minority stake in the startup.  Founded in 2015, Herzliya based Intsights Cyber Intelligence infiltrates the cyber-threat underworld to detect and analyze planned or potential attacks and threats. The company also provides advance warning and customized insight concerning potential cyber-attacks, including recommended steps to avoid or withstand the attacks and delivers in-depth analysis of cyber threats originating from in-house sources, third-party sources or threat actors.  Intsights raised $1.8 million in October 2015 from Glilot Capital Partners. Wipro made the investment through Israel venture capital firm TLV Partners.  (Globes 21.08)

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2.9  CellSavers Raises $15 Million

CellSavers has completed a $15 million financing round, led by Carmel Ventures, with participation of Sequoia Capital Israel.  The current funding follows the company’s $3 million round in seed funding led by Sequoia Capital in December 2015.  CellSavers’ platform is based on an end-to-end technological and operational solution, which enables the company to match consumers and skilled professionals in real time.  CellSavers strives to provide an outstanding customer experience by ensuring that repairs are as quick and convenient as possible, minimizing the time consumers cannot use their device.  Qualified and vetted local ‘Savers’ aim to reach customers within 60 minutes, regardless of their location, carrying out precise guaranteed repairs.  CellSavers’ service is already available across the United States in 18 major metropolitan areas including New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Houston, Dallas, Chicago and Atlanta.  The company will use the capital raised to further accelerate the growth of its platform and service.

CellSavers was founded in 2015 and employs 30 development, operations and marketing staff at two centers in California and one center in Herzliya.  The company also leads a team of more than 500 technicians in the US.  (Globes 18.08)

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2.10  Silicom Expands Business with Strategic Cyber Security Customer

Silicom announced that the strategic cyber security customer whose engagement with Silicom was announced in March 2015 has awarded the Company an additional new Design Win for an encryption product.  The new Design Win is for an advanced Silicom Intel-based Encryption Adapter that the customer will use to support its transition from software-based encryption to hardware-based off-loaded encryption acceleration.  In parallel, the customer continues to increase its level of interest in additional Silicom products, as demonstrated by the evaluation processes that it is currently carrying out for various server adapters, high-end and low-end platforms, FPGA-based smart cards and more.

Kfar Saba’s Silicom is an industry-leading provider of high-performance networking and data infrastructure solutions.  Designed primarily to increase data center efficiency, Silicom’s solutions dramatically improve the performance and availability of networking appliances and other server-based systems.  Silicom’s products are used by a large and growing base of OEM customers, many of whom are market leaders, as performance-boosting solutions for their offerings in the Cyber Security, Network Monitoring and Analytics, Traffic Management, Application Delivery, WAN Optimization, High Frequency Trading and other mission-critical segments within the fast-growing data center, enterprise networking, virtualization, cloud computing and big data markets.  (Silicom 23.08)

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2.11  Florida-Israel Business Accelerator Receives $1 Million in Funding From the State of Florida

The Florida-Israel Business Accelerator (FIBA) received $1 million from the Florida Department of Economic Opportunity (DEO).  The funds will support the buildout of FIBA’s state-of-the-art workspace (slated for completion this fall), as well as for operating costs including relocation incentives for startups participating in the accelerator program.  FIBA’s receipt of this funding is in keeping with the DEO’s mission to champion the state’s economic development vision by funding a variety of programs and initiatives that generate employment opportunities.

Established by the Tampa Jewish Community Centers & Federation, FIBA is a technology accelerator that focuses on attracting and launching Israel-based startups in the United States.  FIBA is the first Accelerator program of its kind created by a Jewish Community Center or Jewish Federation in North America and has been recognized by the Jewish Federations of North America (JFNA) for this innovation.

FIBA utilizes a strict vetting process to select 6-10 startup companies per cohort.  These companies then participate in a 120-day program held in Tampa, Florida.  The program is designed to provide the Israeli startups with the knowledge and resources necessary to build “market-ready” enterprises in the United States.  During the program, they will gain critical insights from a variety of business experts and have opportunities to build relationships with local business leaders.  (FIBA 21.08)

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2.12  Shine Technologies & Econet to Bring Benefits of Ad Blocking to 40 Million Subscribers

Shine Technologies and Econet Wireless are proud to announce a deal to bring network-level ad blocking to 40 million subscribers across Africa.  The agreement marks the first availability of Shine’s network-level ad control technology in Africa, following a similar agreement with the Three Group in Europe.

An analysis of Econet’s network performance has exposed that the prevalence and unchecked behavior of AdTech is robbing its subscribers of up to 40% of their data plans.  Placing the benefit of its consumers first, the introduction of Shine’s ad blocking technology is seen as a way to help subscribers protect and manage their data consumption.  Under the terms of the agreement, which was facilitated by Cumii International, the first roll-out will take place in Zimbabwe, with ad blocking coverage turned on automatically for all subscribers. All remaining Econet Group regions will follow in succession.

Herzliya’s Shine Technologies helps consumers protect themselves from negative ad practices, including: tracking, targeting, PII data mining & cellular data theft.  With Shine’s network-level solutions deployed, MNO’s and fixed-line operators can protect both subscribers and their infrastructure investments from bad operators.  (Econet 18.08)

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2.13  Mobileye & Delphi Partnership for SAE Level 4/5 Automated Driving Solution for 2019

Mobileye and Delphi Automotive announced a partnership to jointly develop a complete SAE Level 4/5 automated driving solution.  The program will result in an end-to-end production-intent fully automated vehicle solution, with the level of performance and functional safety required for rapid integration into diverse vehicle platforms for a range of customers worldwide.  The partners’ CSLP platform will be demonstrated in combined urban and highway driving at the 2017 Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas and production ready for 2019.

The automated driving solution will be based on key technologies from each company.  These include Mobileye’s EyeQ 4/5 System on a Chip (SoC) with sensor signal processing, fusion, world view generation and Road Experience Management (REM) system, which will be used for real time mapping and vehicle localization.  Delphi will incorporate automated driving software algorithms from its Ottomatika acquisition, which include the Path and Motion Planning features, and Delphi’s Multi-Domain Controller (MDC) with the full camera, radar and LiDAR suite.  In addition, teams from both companies will develop the next generation of sensor fusion technology as well as the next generation human-like “driving policy.”  This module combines Ottomatika’s driving behavior modeling with Mobileye’s deep reinforcement learning in order to yield driving capabilities necessary for negotiating with other human drivers and pedestrians in complex urban scenes.

Jerusalem’s Mobileye is the global leader in the development of computer vision and machine learning, data analysis, localization and mapping for Advanced Driver Assistance Systems and autonomous driving.  Their technology keeps passengers safer on the roads, reduces the risks of traffic accidents, saves lives and has the potential to revolutionize the driving experience by enabling autonomous driving.  Their proprietary software algorithms and EyeQ chips perform detailed interpretations of the visual field in order to anticipate possible collisions with other vehicles, pedestrians, cyclists, animals, debris and other obstacles.  (Delphi Automotive 23.08)

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3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  DSW to Open New Stores in the Middle East

Columbus, Ohio’s DSW, a leading branded footwear and accessories retailer in North America, announced the signing of Apparel Group as its exclusive franchise partner in the Arabian Gulf.  The agreement will expand DSW into Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates and Oman and with 40 stores across the territory, with the first stores opening in 2017.  DSW’s international stores will showcase the huge variety of styles at competitive prices within the convenient open shopping environment that DSW customers have come to expect.  The stores in the Middle East will be in both malls and on high street locations, with the initial stores averaging approximately 15,000 square feet and offering approximately 2,000 choices per store.

Apparel Group is a global fashion and lifestyle retail conglomerate residing at the crossroads of the modern economy – Dubai, UAE.  Today, Apparel Group caters to thousands of eager shoppers through 65 international brands that it represents, with 13,000 multi-cultural staff serving 1,300+ stores spread over four continents.  The Dubai-based multi-retail conglomerate that began with just one brand in 1999 is now aiming to have 1500 stores by end 2016.  (DSW 17.08)

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3.2  Japanese Glass Manufacturer to Build its First African Factory in Morocco

Japanese Asahi Glass (AGC) announced that the AGC Automotive Europe, will establish its first automotive glass factory in Africa in the city of Kenitra, Morocco.  AGC Automotive Group said that they had reached an agreement with Induver, the leading glass processing company in Casablanca, in order to co-establish the first unit of the AGC Group in North Africa.  The factory’s construction is underway and it is expected to begin production in 2019.  The AGC Group will create approximately 600 new jobs in Morocco and aims to be the hub of glass production in Africa.

In recent years, Morocco has striven to become Africa’s industrial hub and a top destination for foreign investors, with many international companies pouring into the country to invest and grow their businesses.  Earlier this month, Morocco ranked among the top 5 African countries valued by investors during the 2016-2020 period, according to a survey on international investors’ perceptions of the potential of the country’s economy by 2020.  (MWN 18.08)

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3.3  First Solar Wins 160MW of Module Contracts in Turkey

Tempe, Arizona’s First Solar has booked 160 MW DC of photovoltaic (PV) module sales in Turkey in the first half of 2016.  The orders were placed by Basariarge Enerji A.S. and Zorlu Enerji.  Zorlu Enerji, a subsidiary of Zorlu Holding, has contracted First Solar to supply 100MWDC of its high performance Series 4 thin film modules, for projects expected to be constructed and commissioned in 2017.  Basariarge Enerji A.S. – a joint venture between Basari Yatirimlar, a Turkish infrastructure company, and the Basari Group – has placed orders for 60MWDC of modules that will power its own projects, as well as PV power plants that it will provide EPC services for.  The first modules will be delivered in late 2016.  First Solar established an office in Istanbul in April 2014 and has since secured a contracted module sale pipeline of over 300MW, making it a leading PV module supplier in the country.  (First Solar 10.08)

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4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Dubai Government Fleets to be 10% Green

Dubai government bodies with large transportation fleets will soon be expected to order 10% electric and hybrid vehicles.  A Dubai Green Mobility Initiative Committee has been given the task of reducing harmful vehicle emissions in Dubai within the next four years.  The committee will report to the Dubai Supreme Council of Energy.  It is part of the Dubai Autonomous Transportation Strategy, launched earlier by Shaikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice-President and Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai, which aims to ensure 25% of cars on Dubai roads will be self-driving by 2030.  It will save $5.9 billion in annual economic revenues in several sectors by reducing transportation costs, carbon emissions and accidents.  It is estimated that transportation costs will be cut by 44%, resulting in savings of up to $245 million a year.  To support the Dubai Clean Energy Strategy 2050, the Dubai Electricity and Water Authority (Dewa)’s Green Charger initiative aims to establish electric vehicle charging stations across Dubai, with 100 charging stations having already been installed since 2015.  (AB 14.08)

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4.2  Saudi Arabia Plans Unveiled for Solar & Wind Projects

Saudi Electricity Company (SEC) has begun feasibility studies on renewable energy generation in the kingdom.  The national utilities company is working to identify possible sites for producing solar power.  The company had approved plans to build stations for solar and wind power with a total capacity of 300 megawatts, which would provide the equivalent of 25.5 million barrels of fuel over an estimated 25 years.  The plans are in line with the kingdom’s Vision 2030 economic diversification strategy, SEC said.

Since the announcement of Vision 2030, the company has reportedly worked with the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources to develop plans for two solar energy projects with a capacity of 9.5 gigawatts in the towns of Al Jouf and Rafha, and a wind energy project in Harimale, intended to produce 2,750 kilowatts of wind power and pave the way for further similar projects on Saudi Arabia’s west coast.  (AB 14.08)

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4.3  Egypt to Construct 1,000 MW Solar Power Station with $3.3 Billion in Chinese Funding

Egypt is to construct a 1,000 MW solar power station and a solar panels factory that will be implemented in two stages, 500 MW each.  According to the agreement, it is expected that China will fund the establishment of the station and the factory with $3.3b in concessional financing.  A memorandum of understanding (MoU) that was signed on 27 July to construct the solar power station with a capacity of 1,000 MW and a solar panels factory.

The Ministry of Military Production announced earlier in May during the Third Annual Energy Conference that it is evaluating the possibility of constructing a factory to manufacture solar panels in Egypt.  This project would complement the MoU signed by the Ministry of International Cooperation with the Ministry of Military Production and China to exchange experiences, help local production, and the transfer of technology and knowledge required to manufacture and produce solar energy from silicon panels.  The latest negotiations with China come in the framework of cooperation between the three ministries to support the energy sector by diversifying sources of energy and increasing the usage of renewable energy.

However, many solar companies had disputes with the Ministry of Electricity over the agreement for purchasing solar energy according to the feed-in-tariff system, which led to the withdrawal of many solar energy companies from the projects, such as Cairo Solar, Scatec Solar and EDF.  (Mada Masr 18.08)

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5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Average Lebanese Consumer Prices Fell 2.22% y-o-y by July 2016

According to the Central Administration of Statistics (CAS), average consumer prices, reflected by the average Consumer Price Index (CPI), dropped by 2.22% y-o-y by July 2016.  In fact, the average CPI fell from 97.52 points during the first 7 months of the year of 2015 to an average of 95.35 points in the same period of 2016.  Specifically, the CPI’s components with the largest shares decreased y-o-y by July 2016, where average prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages (20.6% of CPI) declined 1.53% y-o-y by July 2016, which can be associated to the 1.4% fall in international prices of a basket of food commodities, depicted by the FAO Food Price Index.

Moreover, due to the noticeable falls in oil prices between July 2015 and July 2016, transportation (13.1% of CPI) and water, electricity, gas & other fuels (11.9% of CPI) also observed yearly reductions of 5.84% and 13.40%, respectively.  Other sub-indices that witnessed the same downward trend in value were health (7.8% of CPI) and communication (4.6% of CPI), posting a 2.80% and 0.32% y-o-y declines, respectively.  However, the education sub-index, constituting 5.9% of the CPI, rose by 1.49% y-o-y by July 2016.  Moreover, average restaurants & hotels prices (2.6% of CPI) increased by 2.70% y-o-y by July 2016, which can be linked to the summer season.  Also, the actual rent sub-index for households (old and new rent), with a weight of 3.4% of the CPI, went up 2.52%.  Regionally, all of Lebanon’s regions witnessed month-on-month slight growths in CPI.  (CAS 22.08)

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5.2  Lebanon’s Total Number of Registered New Cars Rose to 23,684 by July 2016

Based on data from Association of Lebanese Car Importers, the total number of newly registered commercial and passenger cars slightly rose 0.41% year-on-year to 23,684 cars by July 2016, where the number of registered commercial cars increased by 18.47% y-o-y to 1,540, while the number of registered passenger vehicles marginally dropped 0.65% to reach 22,144 cars during the first seven months of the year.  Specifically, Japanese model cars grasped the largest market share in total passenger cars, with a share of 37.42% since the beginning of the year up to July 2016.  Korean cars followed, with a market share of 35.35% by July 2016, while European cars occupied 20.23% of the total market share.  Moreover, both American and Korean cars witnessed a rise in their sales with respective increases of 15.43% and 0.58% y-o-y, while European and Japanese cars’ sales dropped 1.65% and 3.35%, respectively.  As for car brands, Kia remained in the lead with the largest share of 19.67% of newly registered passenger cars,  followed by Hyundai, Toyota and Nissan with respective shares of 15.52%, 13.82%, and 10.26%.  (ALCI 17.08)

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5.3  Jordan’s Inflation Falls by 1.3% During First Seven Months

Jordan’s inflation in the first seven months of 2016 went down by 1.3%, compared with the figure recorded during the same period last year, according to the Department of Statistics (DoS).  Main item groups that contributed to the drop were transportation, fuel and lighting, vegetables, dried and canned legumes, and nuts.  Other groups whose prices went up during the January-July period included rents, entertainment, tobacco, cigarettes and clothes.  (JT 15.08)

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5.4  Jordan’s Budget Deficit Stood at JD291.2 Million in First-Half of 2016

Jordan’s general budget in the first six months of 2016 registered a post-assistance deficit of JD291.2 million, compared with JD223.5 million in the same period of 2015, the Finance Ministry said.  The ministry added that local revenues and external grants until the end of June 2016 totaled some JD3.528 billion, compared with JD3.350 billion in the January-June period of 2015.  Local revenues in the first half of 2016 stood at JD3.288 billion, marking a 6.7% growth, when compared to the same period of 2015 that registered JD3.055 billion.  On the other hand, expenditure in the January-June period of 2016 totaled JD3.819 billion, compared with JD3.573 billion registered in the same period of the previous year.  (JT 22.08)

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5.5  Amman Orders Restaurants to Cut Prices by 7 – 15%

Stemming from its commitment to addressing citizen’s immediate concerns, the government on 14 August ordered popular restaurants to cut food prices by 7 to 15%.  The Cabinet decided that eateries should reduce the prices of meals which include meat and Shawarma by 15% and hummus and ful by 7%.  Deputy Prime Minister Jawad Anani said the decision follows a decline in the cost of these meals, adding that it will help people with medium and low income.  He explained that the decision followed a study carried out in collaboration with the private sector.  He vowed that the government will not hesitate in taking any decision that would positively reflect on citizens’ lives, saying the decision is binding to all concerned restaurants and a strict follow-up will be put in place.  (AMMONNEWS 14.08)

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►►Arabian Gulf

5.6  Bahrain Inflation Rises to 3.5% in July – Driven By Housing Costs

Inflation in Bahrain rose to 3.5% in July, driven by increases in housing and utility prices.  Inflation rose 0.2% compared to June and jumped from 1.1% in the year-earlier month.  In July, housing and utility costs, which account for 24% of consumer expenses, rose 3.8% from a year earlier.  Prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages, which account for 16% of the basket, climbed 4.9%.  Inflation in Bahrain rose to 3.8%, its highest level since December 2013 in April.

Bahrain experienced a pronounced pick-up in its headline growth during the first quarter of the year, according to the Economic Development Board (EDB).  Its latest Bahrain Economic Quarterly report showed growth reached 4.5%, its highest level since 2014, led by the 12.1% year-on-year growth in the oil sector.  The report also noted resilience in the non-oil economy, where it continued to grow and benefit from a large pipeline of infrastructure investment.  (AB 22.08)

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5.7  U.S. Approves $1.15 Billion Sale of Tanks & Equipment to Saudi Arabia

The U.S. State Department has approved the potential sale of more than 130 Abrams battle tanks, 20 armored recovery vehicles and other equipment, worth about $1.15 billion, to Saudi Arabia.  The approval for land force equipment coincides with Saudi Arabia leading a military coalition in support of Yemeni forces loyal to the exiled government of President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi who are trying to oust Iran-allied Houthi forces from the capital, Sanaa.  The U.S. Defense Security Cooperation Agency, which implements foreign arms sales, said that General Dynamics will be the principal contractor for the sale.  Lawmakers have 30 days to block the sale, although such action is rare.

Saudi Arabia and its mostly Gulf Arab allies intervened in Yemen’s civil war in March 2015 after the Houthi movement had pushed the Hadi administration into exile in Saudi Arabia.  (DOD 09.08)

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5.8  Saudi Arabia to Allow Foreign Institutions Buy Shares in IPOs

Saudi Arabia will permit foreign institutional investors to buy shares directly in initial public offers, a move that could help the government sell billions of dollars’ worth of stakes in state companies including oil giant Saudi Aramco.  New rules published by the Capital Market Authority, taking effect at the start of next year, list qualified foreign investors among the types of institution allowed to bid in the book-building process which underwriters use to price and allocate shares in IPOs.  Previously, the CMA had said foreign institutions would be permitted to buy shares directly from IPOs only on a case-by-case basis, although they could participate indirectly through channels such as local IPO funds.

Under sweeping economic reforms designed to reduce Saudi Arabia’s reliance on oil exports and announced this year, the government plans in coming years to offer shares in a wide range of firms, including a stake of up to 5% in Aramco that could be worth tens of billions of dollars.  Some of the shares may be offered abroad but they are also expected to be listed on Riyadh’s bourse.  With a capitalization of just $380 billion, the Saudi market is too small to absorb many large IPOs so inflows of foreign capital may be key to ensuring the offers go smoothly.  (Reuters 18.08)

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5.9  Tourism Spending in Saudi Arabia Forecast to Reach $38.4 Billion

Tourism spending in Saudi Arabia is expected to exceed $38.4 billion this year, according to official forecasts.  Figures from the Saudi Commission for Tourism and National Heritage (SCTH) show the total expected spending by domestic tourists and tourists from overseas.  Meanwhile, Saudis are expected to spend more than $22.9 billion on tourism abroad, according to the SCTH’s latest tourism statistics bulletin.

There are 11 international hotels projects in the pipeline that will provide over 2,800 new rooms, Saudi Gazette reported.  Tourism as the second more important sector for driving economic growth after oil and petrochemicals, and he urged the kingdom to support and encourage new foreign investors in the tourism industry.  More than 600,000 pilgrims are expected to arrive in Medina before Haj, according to the Ministry of Haj and Umrah.  (AB 15.08)

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5.10  Saudi Arabia to Discuss Energy Cooperation With China & Japan

Saudi Arabia plans to discuss energy cooperation agreements with China and Japan.  The Saudi cabinet approved to delegate a number of ministers to discuss with the Chinese side the following projects: a memorandum of understanding (MOU) to cooperate in the energy sector; an initial cooperation memorandum in the field of crude storage.  Discussions with Japan for an MOU for cooperating in the energy sector were also approved by the cabinet.

Saudi Arabia has traditionally accounted for most of the crude imports by Asia, the world’s biggest oil-consuming region.  But recently OPEC’s top producer has lost ground in a number of major markets including Russia and China, and faces a further threat from Iran, which is ramping up exports after the removal of Western sanctions.  The kingdom, however, has responded by pumping and shipping more oil, and with knockdown prices in Asia from state oil giant Saudi Aramco.  (Reuters 22.08)

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►►North Africa

5.11  Egypt’s Dollar Black Market Resilient Despite New Threat of Jail Terms

Desperate to elude roving financial police and fearful of new jail terms for black-market money-changing, Egypt’s currency traders are driving with bags of cash to meet clients in discreet locations around the vast capital Cairo.  Starved of hard currency since a 2011 uprising and an ensuing surge in violence and instability that have scared off many foreign tourists and investors, Egypt has been fighting a black market for dollars in which the divergence from the official central bank rate has widened to more than 40%.

Egyptian authorities have blamed exchange bureaus for the crisis and have arrested traders, shut dozens of outlets and revoked the licenses of those found to be trading far beyond the official rate of 8.78 pounds to the dollar.  On 9 August, parliament set prison sentences of up to 10 years and fines of up to EGP 5 million for traders selling foreign currency at black market rates.  Previously there were no prison sentences or fines set for violators.  Despite the intensifying crackdown, traders say the black market remains active and resilient behind the scenes.

Egypt devalued its currency by nearly 14% in March to close the gap with the black market rate — but in vain given the acute shortage of foreign currency.  Net foreign reserves have shriveled by more than half since 2011 to $15.536 billion as of last month — enough for less than three months of imports even as Egypt has kept the pound artificially strong through weekly dollar sales.  (Reuters 17.08)

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5.12  Egypt’s First Tranche of IMF Financing Worth $4 Billion to be Delivered in 2 Installments

The $12 billion loan facility that the International Monetary Fund has preliminarily agreed to provide for Egypt will be divided into three tranches, each worth $4 billion.  After Egypt and IMF reached an initial financial deal, the IMF said that each tranche will be divided up into two installments, with an expected interest rate to be set at 1.5%.  The two installments will be worth $2.5 billion and $1.5 billion. However no details have yet been determined about the third tranche.

Egypt, which relies heavily on imports, particularly of foodstuffs, has been suffering a severe shortage of US dollars in the wake of political and security unrest that has scared off tourists and foreign investors, two major sources of hard currency.  The Arab nation’s foreign reserves have more than halved since 2011 to reach $15.5 billion in July.  There were intensive talks between IMF and the government over the past weeks over the program that Egypt is following to support the economy and reduce the budget deficit, public debt and inflation.  This program makes Egypt’s position stronger in its negotiations with the fund.

In July 2014 Egypt embarked on a fiscal reform program aimed at curbing the growing state budget deficit — currently estimated at 11.5% of GDP in 2015/16 — that included cutting subsidies and the introduction of new taxes, among them the value added tax (VAT), which is planned to be introduced next month at a rate of 14%.  The government will slash its total subsidy bill in the 2016/17 budget, which began in July, by 14% compared to the last fiscal year’s bill that is estimated at EGP 154 billion.  (IMF 15.08)

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5.13  UAE Agrees To Provide Egypt Central Bank with $1 Billion Deposit

The United Arab Emirates has agreed to provide Egypt’s central bank with a $1 billion deposit for a duration of six years.  Egypt this month signed a preliminary deal for a $12 billion IMF lending program contingent upon the government securing $5-6 billion in bilateral financing for the first year.  Egypt has previously also secured pledges from the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia for about $4.5 billion, but none of the promised transfers have yet materialized.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) agreed in principle to grant Egypt the $12 billion three-year facility to support a government reform program aimed at plugging a budget gap and rebalancing the currency market, but this must still go to the IMF board for approval.  Egypt’s net foreign reserves fell sharply to $15.536 billion at the end of July.  Egypt had roughly $36 billion in reserves before an uprising in 2011 overthrew Hosni Mubarak.  That ushered in a period of political turmoil that scared away tourists and foreign investors, key sources of foreign exchange.  (Reuters 23.08)

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5.14  Egypt Sees 50% Decrease in Tourists in First Half of 2016

The number of tourists coming to Egypt dropped by 50% in the first half of 2016 compared to the same period last year, the head of Egypt’s Tourism Authority Samy Mahmoud said.  Only three million tourists visited Egypt in the first six months of 2016.  Mahmoud added that tourism revenues during the period witnessed a drop of 60% compared to 2015, adding that all tourism markets in Egypt have seen a fall, except for tourists coming from Ukraine and China, whose numbers saw a 30% increase year-on-year.

Egypt saw $6.1 billion in tourism revenue in 2015, as the total number of tourists and nights spent dropped by 6% and 14% respectively from 2014.  Tourism revenue totaled $500 million in the first quarter of 2016, around 66% down compared to the same quarter a year earlier.  The ministry attributed the decline to Russia’s suspension of passenger flights to Egypt following the October crash of a Russian airliner in Sinai that killed all 224 people on board.  The UK has also suspended flights to Egypt’s Sharm El-Sheikh following the crash, citing security concerns.

According to Mahmoud, Russian and British tourists amounted to 45% of the number of tourists coming to Egypt.  Officials have said that Egypt has been losing EGP 2 billion monthly due to the continuous blows to tourism.  Tourism is an important source of foreign currency for Egypt, which has been seeking billions in foreign financing facilities to address a severe hard currency shortage with FX reserves down to $15.5 billion in July.  (Ahram Online 09.08)

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5.15  Egypt’s 2015/16 Petroleum Subsidy Spending Drops By 23%

Egypt’s spending on petroleum subsidies fell by 23% in 2015/16 to EGP55 billion ($6.27 billion), the head of state oil company EGPC said.  Egypt has been trying to lower subsidies which make up a large portion of the state budget.  Petroleum product subsidies cost EGP 71.5 billion in 2014/15.  Egypt aims to lower this to about 35 billion in the financial 2016/17 which began last month.  In 2014 the government cut spending on energy subsidies, causing domestic prices of natural gas, diesel and other fuels to rise by as much as 78%.  (Reuters 15.08)

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5.16  Egypt’s Unemployment Rate Falls to 12.5% in Second Quarter

 CAPMAS announced on 15 August that Egypt’s unemployment rate has declined to 12.5% in the second quarter of 2016 from 12.7% in the quarter before.  The number of unemployed Egyptians reached 3.6 million from April to June 2016.  The total labor force increased in the quarter by 153,000 or 0.6% compared to the previous quarter to reach 25 million people.  The Egyptian government says it aims to reduce the jobless rate in the 91 million nation to less than 10% by the end of the fiscal year 2018/19 based on a targeted growth rate in the economy of at least 6%.

Unemployment among females in Q2 was 25.6% compared to 25.7% in the first three months of the year, while unemployment among males dropped to 8.5% compared to 8.9%.  Unemployment in the age group 15-29 amounted to 79.8% out of the total number of jobless.  Urban unemployment fell to 14.1% from 15.2% in the first quarter, while in rural areas, the joblessness increased to 11.2% from a previous 10.9%.  (CAPMAS 15.08)

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5.17  Algeria Erects a Fence Along Border with Morocco

In the wake of a 100 km. fence erected by Morocco along its border with Algeria last year, and a 700 km. long trench by Algeria on its side, Algeria is building a 3.5-meter-high fence along its border with Morocco.  Algeria’s new fence is approximately 8 km south of Ahfir and about 10 km north of Beni Drar.  Amid strained relations between the neighboring countries, the fence will be built as high as the one built by Morocco last year.  The location of the fence is at an important crossing point for sub-Saharan migrants and fuel smugglers.  The fence will also separate Algeria from the Moroccan cities of Ahfir and Beni Drar.  The purpose of the fence is to put an end to smuggling from Algeria into Morocco, as well as Moroccan drug smuggling into Algeria.  Algerian authorities refused to officially confirm commencement of the construction of the fence, according to the source.  (MWN 19.08)

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5.18  4.2 Million Tourists Visited Morocco in First Half of 2016

Some 4.2 million tourists visited Morocco in the first half of 2016, decreasing by 2.6% compared to the same period of 2015, according to figures by Morocco’s Tourism Office.  The number of foreign tourists was down 5.6% while arrivals of Moroccans living abroad posted an increase of 1.7%, the Office noted in its latest statistics on tourism in Morocco.  Tourist arrivals from the United Kingdom, Germany, France and Italy decreased by 8%, 7%, 5% and 5% respectively, said the Office, noting that the number of tourists from Holland showed stagnation.  According to data provided by the professionals of tourist accommodation, overnight stays in tourist accommodation facilities decreased by 4% compared to the same period of 2015.  (MWN 23.08)

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6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Greek Exports Down 8% in First Half of 2016

Greece’s exports fell by 8% in the first half of 2016 – the third largest drop in the 28-member European Union.  The country’s exporters attributed this to Greek companies’ exhaustion in the face of years of recession and the capital controls that were imposed last summer.  The lack of liquidity is making it impossible for businesses to adopt aggressive marketing strategies for Greek products.  According to Eurostat, the value of exports in the January-June period came to €12 billion, of which €7.1 billion was to fellow EU members and the other 4.9 billion to third countries.  Exports to EU states were up 1% from the same period last year, but exports to third countries were down 18% in the same period.

The largest percentage drop among the 28 member-states was noted in Cyprus, which posted a 21% slide, followed by the UK on 11%.  The situation for Greek exports may soon worsen in some markets – in Britain, for example, where the pound has weakened against the euro.  Greece’s imports in the first half of this year were down 4%, to €21.5 billion, for a trade deficit of €9.5 billion, of which €4.8 billion was with EU partners and €4.7 billion with third countries.  Eurostat’s figures confirm the decrease in Greek exports this year but also the decline in comparison with our partners, despite efforts in recent years to improve the Greek economy’s competitiveness.  (Various 18.08)

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6.2  Troika Prompts Greece to Tighten Debt Repayments

Athens’ plans for allowing taxpayers to make debt repayments to the state in 100 installments has been halted by the country’s lenders, who are refusing to consent to the scheme on the grounds that it will inflate debts to the state coffers.  Deputy Finance Minister Alexiadis said there will be no new regulation for the repayments and called on debtors either to service their debts or make use of the existing framework of 12 or 24 installments.  Greece’s lenders had been increasing the pressure recently to make the debt repayment process for those who owe money to the state more rigorous.

As of 1 July, the legal framework was tightened for those with debts to the state.  As a result, those who were already in the 100-installment scheme learned they would have to pay any debts incurred after that date no later than 15 days after the deadline.  If they have not paid after 15 days, they are thrown out of the 100-installment scheme and will face the same penalties as anyone else.  From 1 January 2018, the precondition for the continuation of the arrangement will be that they have repaid any new debts by the date they were due.

According figures from the Ministry of Finance, debts to the state are growing at a rate of €1 billion per month.  In the first half of the year, the amount of new taxpayer debt to the state came to €6.8 billion.  In order to reduce the growth rate of the debt and increase state revenues, the government, in agreement with its creditors, has moved to coercive measures against state debtors.  Plans by the General Secretariat of Public Revenue that will see foreclosures and auctions for 55% of debtors are already in progress.

According to data from the Center for the Collection of Social Security Arrears (KEAO), the amount of overdue contributions that it has verified comes to €16.6 billion.  Its data also show that most of those who registered for the payment scheme have been unable to keep up with their installments.  A total of 147,308 signed up for the program but only 50,249 are still paying, and just 8,842 have successfully completed payments.  As regards the 100-installment program, according to KEAO data, 36,053 borrowers out 75,451 – almost 50% – dropped out of the scheme during April-June 2016.  (eKathimerini 23.08)

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7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

*ISRAEL:

7.1  Three Hundred Israeli Elementary Schools to Introduce Robotics Program

Some 300 elementary schools in Israel will be adding robotics to their curricula for the 2016-2017 school year under a new initiative by the Education Ministry.  Students will learn how to code and will receive hands-on experience in operating robots of various types.  Administrators say the goal of the program is to enhance problem-solving skills by focusing on algorithms, analysis and creativity.  The program is already part of the curriculum in some Israeli high schools and 30 elementary schools have tested a pilot version for younger students.  (Various 17.08)

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7.2  New Report Finds Israelis Are in No Rush to Marry

Israelis may fall in love, but they are in no rush to marry, according to a new Central Bureau of Statistics survey released ahead of Tu B’Av, the Israeli Valentine’s Day, which fell on 19 August.  The report on marriage and divorce trends in Israel found that the average age at which Israelis marry for the first time has risen in recent decades.  For men, the average age of marriage rose from 25 in 1970 to 27.6 in 2015.  For women, it rose from 21.7 to 25 in the same time frame.  The data also shows an increasing number of second marriages: Of all couples who married in 2014, 5.1% were marriages between two divorcees, 4.4% were marriages between a single woman and a divorced man, and 2.9% were between a single man and a divorced woman.

Despite these changes, Israel’s first-time marriage rate is one of the highest among Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development nations: For every 1,000 people, around 6.2 couples marry each year.  However, 21.9%, no fewer than 11,114 couples, divorced within two years of marrying.

The findings also indicate a growing phenomenon of older singles.  Tel Aviv leads with 48% of men and 24% of women aged 45-49 who live in the city never having married.  Tel Aviv also holds the record for most divorces in 2015, with 763 couples divorcing that year.  Jerusalem comes in second with 728 divorces, followed by Rishon LeZion with 431 divorces.  The fewest divorces were noted in the small northern city of Kiryat Tivon (29) and the central city of Azur (23).

According to the data, the number of singles of both sexes has also been increasing in the ultra-Orthodox communities, in which members usually marry young.  In Bnei Brak, 20% of young men and 13% of young women are single.  According to the data, 50,797 couples entered their first marriage in 2014, of them 36,900 Jews, 11,878 Muslims, 1,078 Druze and 860 Christians.  (CBS 21.08)

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*REGIONAL:

7.3  258 Women Running in Parliamentary Elections

Some 258 female candidates are running in the upcoming Jordanian elections, up from 215 in the 2013 polls, the Sisterhood Is Global Institute (SIGI) Executive Director said.  The increase in the number of women running for office was due to the 2015 Elections Law and changes to electoral districts.    Of the 230 lists running in the 20 September elections, 198 lists, or 86%, feature only one female candidate, while 23 lists, or 10%, have more than one woman running.  Seven lists are male-only (3%), and two lists are all-female.  Only one list, in Aqaba, features a woman with a disability.

The Independent Election Commission is scheduled to approve or reject the lists submitted by candidates on 25 August, so all figures are provisional until then.  Candidates submitted applications for their lists last week.  The law requires that a woman must be present on the committee, for example to check the identity of female candidates wearing the niqab, a face veil, and also to provide moral support to women candidates.  Twenty-one female candidates have previously served as lawmakers, including 14 who were members of the last Jordanian Parliament.  (JT 22.08)

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8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  XTL Biopharmaceuticals New Patent Filing in U.S. for Lupus Drug hCDR1

XTL Biopharmaceuticals announced that it has filed a new patent application with the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office to protect doses of hCDR1 lower than 0.5 mg weekly, in the treatment of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE).  The new patent application is based on clinical evidence that lower doses of hCDR1 may be as efficient, or in some instances more efficient, than the higher doses previously tested in the treatment of SLE.  Lower doses of hCDR1 may improve clinical outcomes in SLE patients when used as a standalone treatment, or when used as a combination therapy in addition to standard of care.  Improved outcomes may include the potential to control disease activity in patients who do or do not require steroids.  For patients who do require steroids, an hCDR1 combination therapy may decrease the dosage of steroids required to control disease activity.

Ra’anana’s XTL Biopharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage biotech company focused on the development of pharmaceutical products for the treatment of autoimmune diseases including lupus.  The Company’s lead drug candidate, hCDR1, is a world-class clinical asset for the treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Treatments currently on the market for SLE are not effective enough for most patients and some have significant side effects.  (XTL Biopharmaceuticals 11.08)

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8.2  Medtronic Completes $20 Million Second Tranche Investment in Mazor Robotics

Mazor Robotics announced the completion of the second tranche of the equity investment by Medtronic pursuant to a previously executed agreement between the parties. The Company issued new securities representing 3.40% of Mazor’s issued and outstanding share capital, on a fully diluted basis, at a price per ADS $21.84, which is equal to the volume weighted average price of the ADS’s for the trailing 20-day period ending on and including August 9, 2016, for an aggregate purchase price of $20 million.  The triggering milestone for this second tranche investment was the July 12, 2016 unveiling by the Company of Mazor X, a transformative Surgical Assurance Platform to enhance predictability of spine surgeries for the benefit of patients and those who treat them.

Following the completion of the second tranche investment, Medtronic has purchased a total of 1.96 million ADS’s, representing 7.27% of Mazor’s issued and outstanding share capital, on a fully diluted basis, for a total of $31.9 million.  As of June 30, 2016, cash, cash equivalents and investments totaled $47.5 million.  Following the completion of the second equity investment, the Company’s cash, cash equivalents and investments will total approximately $65 million and the fully diluted share count will be approximately 53.9 million.

Caesarea’s Mazor Robotics believes in healing through innovation by developing and introducing revolutionary technologies and products aimed at redefining the gold standard of quality care.  Mazor Robotics Guidance Systems enable surgeons to conduct spine and brain procedures in a more accurate and secure manner.  (Mazor 15.08)

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8.3  Zebra New Machine Learning Algorithm Predicts Cardiovascular Events

Zebra Medical Vision announced two new software algorithms that automatically quantify the amount of calcified plaque in coronary arteries and detect presence of fatty liver in patients’ CT scans.  Individually, the algorithms inform caregivers about the cardiovascular and metabolic state of their patients, and together they provide even stronger predictors for risk of heart attack and stroke.  Applying either of these tools independently can greatly assist physicians in early identification of these treatable conditions – but recent research shows that the presence of fatty liver indicates a 2x-4x risk of having high-risk coronary artery plaque and experiencing heart attack and sudden cardiac death.

By applying these algorithms to their patients’ routinely acquired CT scans, caregivers can identify high risk patients earlier, using one or both of these important indicators.  In addition, self-insured large employers or insurance companies can better assess risk using existing imaging data.  Despite the prevalence of these conditions, both fatty liver and cardiovascular disease are still under diagnosed.  Timely recognition should prompt lifestyle and therapeutic interventions aimed to increase well-being and decrease risk of illness.

On track to create one hundred new insights in the next three years, Zebra has already secured partnerships with Dell Services and has received financial backing from Intermountain Healthcare, one of the leading healthcare organizations in the US. Zebra continues to expand its relationships and work with ACOs, HMOs and other payors and providers seeking to improve care at lower cost through the power of analytics, predictive modeling and preventative care.

From research to reality and commercialization, Shefayim’s Zebra Medical Vision uses big data to deliver large-scale clinical research platforms and next generation imaging analytics services to the healthcare industry.  Its Imaging Analytics allow healthcare institutions to identify patients at risk of disease, and offer improved, preventative treatment pathways to improve patient care.  (Zebra Medical Vision 15.08)

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8.4  CollPlant Reports Positive Final Clinical Trial Results with VergenixSTR for Treatment of Tendinopathy

CollPlant announced positive final extended clinical trial results for Vergenix STR for the treatment of tendinopathy.  The Company anticipates receiving CE mark approval for Vergenix STR in the third quarter of 2016.  The prospective, open label, single-arm trial was conducted at three leading Israeli hospitals (Meir Medical Center, Assaf Harofeh Medical Center and Hadassah Hospital), and the trial’s objective was to demonstrate the safety and performance of Vergenix STR in 40 patients suffering from inflammation of the elbow tendon, commonly referred to as tennis elbow.  All patients were followed for a total of six months after a single treatment. Product performance was assessed by measuring reduction in pain and recovery of motion, as reported by the specific Patient Related Tennis Elbow Evaluation questionnaire (“PRTEE”).  At three months following treatment, Vergenix STR patients (N=39) reported an average PRTEE score improvement of 51% over baseline.  At six-month follow-up, Vergenix STR patients (N=36) reported a mean PRTEE score improvement of 59% over baseline.

Vergenix STR, intended for the treatment of a range of tendon injuries, incorporates CollPlant’s recombinant human collagen in combination with platelet-rich plasma (PRP) derived from the patient’s blood.  Following its injection into the injured site, the product transitions from a fluid to a solid phase, whereupon, it releases, in a controlled fashion, platelet-derived proteins. These proteins, in combination with collagen, induce the healing effect on the tendon.

Ness Ziona’s CollPlant is a regenerative medicine company leveraging its proprietary, plant-based rhCollagen technology for the development and commercialization of tissue repair products, initially for the orthobiologics and advanced wound care markets.  The Company’s cutting-edge technology is designed to generate and process proprietary recombinant human collagen (rhCollagen), among other patent-protected recombinant proteins.  Given that CollPlant’s rhCollagen is identical to the type I collagen produced by the human body, it offers significant advantages compared to currently marketed tissue-derived collagen, including improved biofunctionality, superior homogeneity and reduced risk of immune response.  (CollPlant 17.08)

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8.5  Nutrinia Announces $30 Million Series D Financing to Fund Clinical Development

Nutrinia announced the closing of a $30 million Series D financing to fund two pivotal trials for registration.  TPG Biotech, the life science venture investment arm of leading global alternative asset firm TPG, led the investment, joined by H.I.G. BioHealth Partners and WuXi Healthcare Ventures, as well as existing investors including OrbiMed, Pontifax and others.  Nutrinia will use the proceeds to initiate two pivotal trials for registration in separate indications related to acceleration of gut maturation and adaptation: intestinal malabsorption in preterm newborns born between 26 and 32 weeks’ gestational age, and infants with SBS who are under 12 months old.

Ramat Gan’s Nutrinia is a clinical stage biotechnology company focused on developing a proprietary oral formulation of insulin for gastrointestinal indications in infants.  Insulin has been shown to induce a receptor-mediated response leading to gut maturation and adaptation, important in preterm newborns with intestinal malabsorption and infants similarly affected by Short Bowel Syndrome.  There are no approved therapies for either of these orphan conditions.  Nutrinia’s unique oral formulation of insulin is locally acting, and stable at room temperature, rapidly dissolving into saline, formula or breast milk, and designed for administration through the plastic tubing used in enteral feeding as well as simply orally.  (Nutrinia 21.08)

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8.6  FDA Decision Boosts Beta-02’s Artificial Pancreas

Beta-O2’s device, which contains living pancreas cells that automatically secrete insulin into the blood stream, could be a boon for diabetics. – essentially an artificial pancreas.  Then, the US FDA decided that any company that implants insulin-secreting stem cells must place them in such a device.  Suddenly, these companies have begun taking interest in Beta-O2, which has been working on such a product for over a decade.

Beta-O2 has been founded around a more interesting, but less practical, product.  Beta-O2’s original product included implanted cells together with a source of oxygen, an alga, similar to those living in the sea, and a small LED lamp providing light for the alga to photosynthesize.  This idea, like many Israeli ideas, was genius but less practical.  They have replaced the alga and the lamp with an internal oxygen reservoir, which can be filled by an injection to a subcutaneous port.  At present, a daily injection is required; in the future, we intend to enable a weekly injection – not nearly as frequent as the many injections diabetes patients are required to make, and more pleasant than insulin injections.  Beta-O2 injects live pancreas cells from various sources, but the regulation regards stem cells specifically.  At present, implanted stem cells must be encapsulated in order to enable removal if their functioning becomes problematic, for example if they turn into cancer cells.  So far, this technology has undergone successful trials involving live cells, but not stem cells.

Founded in 2004, Rosh HaAyin’s Beta-O2 is developing the ßAir Bio-artificial Pancreas, intended to cure Type 1 diabetes (TID).  The company is currently testing human donor derived cells in a Phase I safety study of the ßAir Bio-artificial Pancreas for type 1 diabetes patients at Uppsala University Hospital in Sweden.  Thus far four patients have been implanted with the device.  Beta-O2 is also pre-clinically testing the ßAir Bio-artificial Adrenal as a treatment for stress disorders.  Results of some recent studies demonstrating the device’s xenotransplantation potential were published in a February issue of PNAS.  (Globes 22.08)

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8.7  Breakthrough Israeli Study May Lead to Melanoma Cure

Israeli and European researchers say their collaborative research has unraveled the metastatic mechanism of melanoma, the most aggressive of all skin cancers.  According to a paper published 22 August in the journal Nature Cell Biology, the scientists discovered that before spreading to other organs, a melanoma tumor sends out tiny vesicles containing molecules of microRNA.  These cause morphological (structural) changes in the skin’s dermis layer in preparation for receiving and transporting the cancer cells.  The researchers also found chemical substances that can stop the process and are therefore promising drug candidates.  Despite a range of therapies developed over the years, there is still no full cure for this life-threatening disease.  The new study proposes novel and effective methods for diagnosis and prevention.

The researchers began by examining pathology samples taken from melanoma patients before the invasive stage.  The group was able to discover and block a central mechanism in the metastasis of melanoma.  Then they looked for substances that could intervene and block the process in its earliest stages.  They found two such chemicals: one that inhibits the delivery of the vesicles from the melanoma tumor to the dermis; and another that prevents the morphological changes in the dermis even after the arrival of the vesicles.  Both chemicals were tested successfully in the lab, and may serve as promising candidates for future drugs.  In addition, the changes in the dermis, as well as the vesicles themselves, can be used as powerful indicators for early diagnosis of melanoma.

A Tel Aviv University group worked in close collaboration with the German Cancer Research Center in Germany, the Sheba Medical Center at Tel HaShomer and the Wolfson Medical Center in Holon.  (ISRAEL21c 23.08)

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9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Mellanox Launches Integrated Networking Solutions That Accelerate NVMe Over Fabrics

Mellanox Technologies announced a family of end-to-end networking solutions and software for connecting solid-state storage to the fabric.  The Mellanox ConnectX-4 adapter, ConnectX-5 adapter and BlueField family of programmable processors support smart offloads that connect solid state drives (SSDs) directly to the network in the most efficient way possible, thereby simplifying system design and reducing both power and storage system costs.

The recently launched ConnectX-5 adapter includes hardware offloads for the newly-approved NVMe Over Fabrics standard to remove the storage system processor from the data path.  This enables Flash-based storage platforms to connect more NVMe SSDs than ever before without the burden of adding additional costly CPUs to the system.  Both the ConnectX-4 and ConnectX-5 adapters integrate full hardware support of Remote Direct Memory Access (RDMA) over both InfiniBand and Ethernet, at network speeds ideally matched for flash storage, including 25, 40, 50, and 100Gb/s speeds.  Utilizing the newly released Resilient RoCE software, NVMe Over Fabrics solutions using Ethernet can be easily deployed in ordinary enterprise data centers.

Yokneam’s Mellanox Technologies is a leading supplier of end-to-end InfiniBand and Ethernet interconnect solutions and services for servers and storage.  Mellanox interconnect solutions increase data center efficiency by providing the highest throughput and lowest latency, delivering data faster to applications and unlocking system performance capability.  (Mellanox 09.08)

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9.2  NUVIAD Express – People Knowledge-centric Advertising Self Service for Businesses

NUVIAD announced availability of NUVIAD Express – an innovative advertising service which allows business owners and mobile marketers to create mobile campaigns focused on location, people knowledge and deep big-data analytics.  For the first time, advertisers and business owners can just enter the address of their business or the addresses of their competitors and NUVIAD Express will provide detailed audience analysis including gender, age group, most used apps in the area, and more.  This data can then be used to create mobile campaigns targeting the exact audience for the business using advanced click-to-call technology.

Tel Aviv’s NUVIAD Technologies is one of the leading mobile advertising providers focusing on mobile advertising and native ad formats, and utilizing advanced machine learning algorithms to deliver highly targeted mobile advertising campaigns while continuously improving their results.  (NUVIAD 11.08)

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9.3  IAI Drone Guard System Carries Out Flight Demos

Israel Aerospace Industries’ Drone Guard counter-unmanned air vehicle system has recently participated in a series of demonstrations to showcase its capability to potential customers.  A number of armed forces witnessed the trials, during which the system disrupted the flight of different types of UAV.  The system is already operational, and more undisclosed customers are waiting for deliveries.  The ELTA division of IAI says the demand stems mainly from the threat of UAVs carrying explosives; Drone Guard is capable of detecting a small UAV from a distance of 1.6nm (3km).  After detection by radar the threat is identified by an optical sensor and the disruption unit is activated.  The UAV is then either held at a fixed area until its fuel or battery run out, or it is sent back to its launch point.

To meet this emerging challenge, ELTA has developed a special system that integrates a 3D radar and electro-optical (EO) sensors for detection and identification, as well as dedicated electronic attack jamming systems for disrupting the flight.  To detect low-signature, low-level and low-speed airborne targets, ELTA has adapted its 3D radars, which include short (5nm), medium (8nm) and long (11nm) ranges, with special UAV detection and tracking algorithms, as well as adapting them with EO sensors for visual identification of the target.  (IAI 12.08)

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9.4  Alvarion & Safend to Introduce New Secure Wi-Fi Solution for Enterprise Organizations

SuperCom announced that Alvarion, a recently acquired global provider of autonomous Wi-Fi networks, and Safend, a recently acquired encryption and global data security company are collaborating to launch a new secure wireless communication platform.  The new solution is expected to be released later this year.  By integrating Safend’s cutting edge encryption and endpoint data protection internally with Alvarion’s versatile Wi-Fi solution, SuperCom will create a best-of-breed solution that will enable enterprises the flexibility and mobility while incorporating enhanced registration and screening methods as well as security management and monitoring tools.

Alvarion’s versatile series of Access Points enables the construction of scalable Wi-Fi networks with Quality of Service (QoS), security and high service reliability. Alvarion’s product supports Passpoint with hotspot capability and includes a rich set of networking features for core integration with cellular and fixed-line operators. The access points are controlled and managed by the Arena cloud based controller. Our Avidity series is an evolution of Alvarion’s high performance outdoor access point and it features our mature radio algorithms that together structure a sustainable network.

Herzliya’s Alvarion Technologies is a global provider of autonomous Wi-Fi networks designed with self-organizing capabilities that enable constantly optimized performance.  They are guided by our belief that the sustainability of any network stems from the combined strength of its elements.

Herzliya’s Safend is a leading developer of information security solutions for organizations that provide extensive protection of sensitive corporate information found in the computers of the organization.  Safend’s product suite includes encryption of computer drives, removable storage devices and CD / DVD precise control over the physical and wireless ports and devices connected to them and control and supervise the placement and transfer of sensitive content.

Since 1988, Herzliya’s SuperCom has been a leading global provider of traditional and digital identity solutions, providing advanced safety, identification and security solutions to governments and organizations, both private and public, throughout the world.  Through its proprietary e-Government platforms and innovative solutions for traditional and biometrics enrollment, personalization, issuance and border control services, SuperCom has inspired governments and national agencies to design and issue secured Multi-ID documents and robust digital identity solutions to its citizens and visitors.  (SuperCom 15.08)

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9.5  Holaverse to Enhance Its App Portfolio with Anagog’s Mobility Status SDK

Anagog and Shanghai’s Holaverse, a leading mobile app publisher with a portfolio of games and utility apps, announced their collaboration to include Anagog’s Mobility Status SDK in the entire Holaverse portfolio of apps.  Anagog’s Mobility Status SDK indicates user’s real-time activity / status (e.g., walking, driving) and location (home, office, in the street) in order to offer the most relevant services to the specific mobility status at hand, resulting in better user engagement and loyalty over time.  Israel’s Anagog was founded in 2010 and used the first years to develop and perfect the mobility status algorithms that allow for advanced on-phone machine learning capabilities for best user experience with ultra-low battery consumption and with a high level of privacy protection.  The company have filed 16 patents to date and is currently developing a set of additional related advanced technologies and services.  (Anagog 15.08)

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9.6  Plexistor New Persistent Memory over Fabric Technology Delivers Millions of IOPS

Plexistor announced a breakthrough in using persistent memory over fabric (PMoF).  Persistent memory can now be dis-aggregated and shared across multiple servers using Plexistor’s PMoF Brick running on commodity hardware. PMoF makes it possible to achieve near-memory speed and operational simplicity without sacrificing persistency.  Benchmarks performed on a Mellanox infrastructure over 100GbE using Plexistor’s PMoF Brick demonstrated record performance: more than 1.6 million random 4KB IOPS at less than 6µs with throughput of 7GB/sec.  This is over an order-of-magnitude better than the recently announced rack-optimized Flash storage DSSD appliance, which offers 100µs latency.  Plexistor’s PMoF Brick architecture is designed to fully utilize emerging persistent memory technologies, such as Intel Optane, providing higher performance for workloads like NoSQL databases and big data analytics. The solution also leverages traditional Flash technologies and auto-tiering software in order to provide a seamless and cost-effective solution for the enterprise.

Plexistor has built a new storage solution to converge memory and storage to support the new workloads that demand memory and fast storage.  The solution delivers ultra-low latency storage and huge memory experience, enabling applications to run large data sets at near-memory speed.  Plexistor was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, CA, with its R&D in Herzliya, Israel.  (Plexistor 16.08)

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9.7  fiXtress Optimizes Schematic Testing in ADAS Systems

BQR, a world leader in Reliability and Maintenance engineering solutions for the EDA market, announced that Mobileye, a leader in autonomous driving technologies, uses BQR fiXtress ASR (Automatic Schematic Review) for optimizing ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) schematic testing.  FiXtress ASR serves as a Rule Based Verification System, automatically detecting schematic design errors based on component parameters and rules.  Typical engineering practices include a complex design review process.  fiXtress ASR automates this procedure, performs more effective checks, and verifies proper implementation of the reference design as recommended by chip manufacturers.  The fiXtress testing checks the inter-connection of chips according to a sequence of rules, such as the interconnection of a Mobileye ASIC to LPDDR4 memory chip.  For engineers’ convenience, fiXtress is integrated with Cadence Allegro and OrCAD, Mentor and Altium design tools.  It uses the BOM and Netlist along with component libraries, enabling verification of the vehicle manufacturer’s design in a few moments.

Rishon LeTzion’s BQR has been providing consulting services and developing software solutions in the area of reliability and maintenance engineering for over 25 years.  BQR’s flagship product is fiXtress, a leading solution interfacing with EDA tools from the early stages of PCB design, performing unique error detection, and helping engineers perform rapid and precise electrical stress calculations.  BQR’s clients using the software include Elbit, ELOP, Elisra, Tadiran, IAI, DSO Singapore, Cisco, Baker-Hughes and more.  (BQR 22.08)

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10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israel’s CPI Surprises with 0.4% Increase During July

The Central Bureau of Statistics announced that Israel’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.4% in July, after rising 0.3% in June, 0.3% in May and 0.4% in April.  Prior to the past four months, the CPI had fallen for five straight months.  Nevertheless, over the past 12 months, the CPI has fallen 0.6%, a level well below the government’s inflation target range of between 1% and 3%.  Prominent price rises in July included fruit and vegetables (7.6%) and housing costs (1.9%).  The housing price index, published separately from the CPI, showed that home prices fell 0.3%, but has still risen 6.9% over the past 12 months.  (CBS 15.08)

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10.2  Israel Enjoys 3.7% Growth During Second Quarter

The Central Bureau of Statistics announced that, after a poor first quarter, the Israeli economy has grown at 2.9% in H1/16.  Indeed, the economy stepped its growth up to an annualized 3.7% clip in the second quarter.  The figures show that private consumption, the economy’s growth engine for the past two years, grew even faster in the first half of the year, with a 7.3% increase.  Another significant positive development was investment in fixed assets, which jumped 13% in the first half, following several quarters of underperformance.  A no less significant improvement came in exports of goods and services, which climbed 4.9% in H1/16, compared with the H2/15.

The poor export figures for the first quarter of the year gave rise to fears that the economy was on the verge of a recession.  In retrospect, however, it turns out that the Central Bureau Statistics’ estimates were too pessimistic; first quarter growth was 2.2%, not 0.8%, as the Central Bureau of Statistics initially reported.  The figures for the first half published here are also preliminary estimates.  (CBS 16.08)

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10.3  Unemployment in Israel Hits Historic Low of 4.7%

According to the Central Bureau of Statistics, unemployment in Israel continues to break new records, as the national unemployment rate in July fell to a historic low of 4.7%.  The rate of unemployment among women dropped from 4.95% in June to 4.7% in July, while the rate for men remained unchanged at 4.6% in the same period.  Among Israelis aged 25 to 64, the rate of unemployment in July stood at 4.1% for men and 3.9% for women.  In absolute terms, 184,000 individuals were unemployed in July.

The number of participants in the civilian workforce over the age of 15 reached an all-time high of 3.94 million and the number of people actually employed rose to a record 3.74 million, an increase characteristic of the summer months, when teenagers find summer work and fresh high-school graduates start jobs.  The percentage of participants in the civilian workforce rose to 64.4%, among the highest percentages in the West: 69.7% of men and 59.2% of women were part of the civilian workforce.  (CBS 23.08)

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10.4  Israel Breaks Travel Record as Millions of Israelis Fly Abroad

A record of 3,623,800 Israelis traveled abroad between January-July 2016 — 14.6% more than the same period last year, the Central Bureau of Statistics reported on 8 August.  Some 3,350,400 traveled through Ben-Gurion International Airport, an all-time record that corresponds with an increase of 15% compared to the same period last year.  If the current trends hold, a record of 6.65 million Israelis (78% of all Israelis) will have traveled abroad by the year’s end.  In 2015, a total of 5,880,000 Israelis traveled abroad.

According to the CBS report, some 831,000 Israelis traveled abroad in July, of whom 36,000 left Israel more than once during that month.  Some 234,600 Israelis passed through the overland crossings to Jordan (including Israeli Arabs whose ultimate destination was Saudi Arabia and the Arabian Gulf states). This amounts to a 9.3% increase compared to the same period last year.  Some 99,200 Israelis traveled to Sinai through the Taba Border Crossing near Eilat, representing a 44.9% increase.  (CBS 08.08)

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11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  ISRAEL:  Moody’s Affirms Israel’s A1 Credit Rating, Says Economy Stable

International credit rating agency Moody’s affirmed Israel’s A1 credit ratings over the weekend, favoring Israel’s economy for a stable outlook.  The rating follows a visit by Moody’s executives to Israel last month, during which they met with Finance Ministry and Bank of Israel officials, as well as leaders of the public and private sectors.  In a statement issued 11 August, Moody’s noted that its decision to affirm Israel’s A1 rating stemmed from the government’s economic and fiscal policies.

Moody’s noted, however, that Israel’s rating was exposed to the risks of the regional geopolitical dynamics, which mandate appropriating considerable resources to defense spending.  Israel’s international credit rating and positive outlook are supported by the country’s economic resiliency; the stability of its economic institutions, which allow Israel to successfully deal with regional and global upsets; and Israel’s industrial diversity, which spans high-tech, agrotech, as well as electronics, pharmaceuticals and other quality goods and services, the agency said.

Moody’s found that Israel’s foreign currency reserves are at an all-time high of $100 billion, saying the reserves further attested to Israel’s economic resiliency.  The agency expects the government’s budget deficit for 2016 will defeat the set goal 2.9% of the gross domestic product, adding that should the current state budget proposal be approved by parliament, the fiscal guidelines defined last year would require some adjustment.

Moody’s further set Israel’s growth projections at an average of 2.5% between 2016 and 2019, despite regional and global geopolitical risks, adding that the deficit target of 2.9%, set for the 2017-2018 budget, may lead to a minor increase in debt-GDP ratio between late 2016 and 2018.  (Moody’s 11.08)

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11.2  MENA Defense Budgets to Grow Despite Low Oil Price

Despite fiscal concerns and a lower oil price, defense budgets in the Middle East are forecast to reach the spending highs of 2014 by 2019 at the latest, according to new analysis released by IHS Markit, a world leader in critical information, analytics and solutions.

The Middle East was the fastest growing region in terms of defense spending between 2012 and 2014.  Spending for the Middle East and North Africa peaked at $160 billion in 2014 and then modestly dipped in 2015 due to the dramatic drop in oil prices.  However, even at the ‘low point,’ defense spending in 2015 and 2016 in the region will still be higher than 2013 figures.  Defense spending returned to growth in the Middle East and North Africa region in 2016, and is expected to rise to almost $180 billion by 2020.  Defense spending trends are heavily influenced by oil prices moves, but defense budgets have actually risen as a share of government spending in the short term, as other spending has been cut.

Winners and Losers

Conditions and prospects differ significantly between major energy producing states in the region.  According to IHS Janes Defense Budgets, defense spending is expected to fall in Bahrain, Iraq and Oman during the next five years. UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar appear to be in the strongest position, aided by non-oil growth and substantial reserve funds.

Algeria:  Algeria’s defense budget has grown 17% annually in the last decade. In terms of defense spending in proportion of GDP, it has grown from 2.7% of GDP in 2005 to 5.9% of GDP in 2016.  While wider state spending was cut by 9% in 2016, the defense budget actually increased by 2% as the majority of the state budget cuts affected healthcare, social security and infrastructure spending.

Saudi Arabia:  Saudi Arabia is one of the biggest spenders on defense in the region and one of the most exposed to the low oil price.  But, there are signs defense and security spending is being protected.  Riyadh announced a 30.5% cut to defense and security spending in 2016.  However, around 25% of all Saudi spending has be re-defined as ‘budget support provision’ and that can be used to support any element of the budget.  Given that the overall budget is down about 2%, defense will be heavily supported from that funding.”  The Kingdom’s defense budget jumped from $32 billion in 2010, to $48 billion in 2015, and is forecast to break the $50 billion mark in 2019, with a total defense spend of $52 billion.

Qatar:  Qatar is pursuing wholesale modernization and expansion of its military capabilities and is leading the way in terms of defense procurement.  Qatar ostensibly became the fastest-growing defense budget and the largest single export market in the world in 2014.  Since 2014, Qatar has finalized $25 billion in deals, which is staggering considering their total defense budget is around $4.5 billion a year.  IHS Janes Defense Budgets expects Qatar’s defense budget to reach $5.5 billion by 2020 and expects to see significant further investment over the next 24 months.

UAE:  Growth in the UAE’s defense budget has been relatively conservative since 2012, but it is likely to increase to over $20 billion by 2020.

IHS Markit is a world leader in critical information, analytics and solutions for the major industries and markets that drive economies worldwide.  The company delivers next-generation information, analytics and solutions to customers in business, finance and government, improving their operational efficiency and providing deep insights that lead to well-informed, confident decisions.  (IHS Markit 22.08)

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11.3  EGYPT: IMF Reaches Agreement on a Three-Year $12 Billion Extended Fund Facility

In response to a request from the Egyptian authorities, an International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission visited Cairo from 30 July to 11 August 2016 to discuss support for the authorities’ economic reform program through IMF financial assistance.  At the end of the visit, the IMF issued the following statement:

“I am pleased to announce that, in support of the government’s economic reform program, the Egyptian government, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) and the IMF team have reached a staff-level agreement on a three-year Extended Fund Facility (EFF) in the amount of SDR 8.5966 billion (422% of quota or about $12 billion).  This agreement is subject to approval by the IMF’s Executive Board, which is expected to consider Egypt’s request in the coming weeks.

“Egypt is a strong country with great potential but it has some problems that need to be fixed urgently.  The EFF supports the authorities’ comprehensive economic reform program as stated in the government plan approved by the parliament.  The government recognizes the need for quick implementation of economic reforms for Egypt to restore macroeconomic stability and to support strong, sustainable and job-rich growth.  The program aims to improve the functioning of the foreign exchange markets, bring down the budget deficit and government debt, and to raise growth and create jobs, especially for women and young people.  It also aims to strengthen the social safety net to protect the vulnerable during the process of adjustment.

“The government’s fiscal policy will be anchored to placing public debt on a clearly declining path toward more sustainable levels.  Over the program period general government debt is expected to decline from about 98% in 15/16 to about 88% of GDP in 2018/19.  The aim is to raise revenue and rationalize spending, to reduce the deficit and to free up public funds for high-priority spending, such as infrastructure, health and education, and social protection.  As indicated in the budget approved by the parliament, the government will adopt the VAT law after approval by the parliament and will continue the program begun in 2014 to rationalize energy subsidies.  It will advance the structural reform agenda to help increase investment and strengthen the role of the private sector

“Social protection is a cornerstone in the government’s reform program. Budgetary savings that come from other measures will be partially spent on social protection: including specifically food subsidies and targeted social transfers.  The social protection measures will preserve or increase support for insurance and medicine for the poor, subsidies for infant milk and medicine for children, health insurance for young children and female primary providers and vocational training for youth.  The government will also develop a plan to enhance the school meals program.  Priority will also be given to investment in public infrastructure.

“The CBE monetary and exchange rate policy will aim to improve the functioning of the foreign exchange market, increase foreign reserves, and bring down inflation to single digits during the program.  Moving to a flexible exchange rate regime will strengthen competitiveness, support exports and tourism and attract foreign direct investment.  This would foster growth and jobs and reduce financing needs.

“Financial sector policies will be geared toward safeguarding the strength and stability of the banking system.

“Structural reforms will aim at improving the business environment, deepening labor markets, simplifying regulations and promoting competition.  The ambition is to significantly improve Egypt’s ratings in Doing Business and Global Competitiveness. In this context, the reform measures being implemented target creating a competitive business environment, attracting investment and increasing productivity to provide fertile ground for private sector activity.

“Public financial management and fiscal transparency will be strengthened to improve governance and delivery of public services, enhance accountability in policymaking, and combat corruption.

“With the implementation of the government reform program, together with the help of Egypt’s friends, the Egyptian economy will return to its full potential.  This will help achieve inclusive job-rich growth and raise living standards for the Egyptian people.  We at the IMF are ready to partner with Egypt in this program.  We will also encourage other multilateral agencies and countries to support Egypt.  We have talked to our colleagues in the World Bank and the African Development Bank and they are willing to help.  It would also be very helpful for Egypt’s bilateral partners to step forward at this critical time.  (IMF 11.08)

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11.4  EGYPT:  Dam Construction Going Full Steam While Egypt-Ethiopia Talks Stall

Ayah Aman posted in Al-Monitor on 10 August that Ethiopia is seeking rapprochement with Egypt through the media after years of rising apprehension over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam of the Blue Nile watershed.  The tension arose almost as soon as then-Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi laid the foundation stone in April 2011 for the now almost-finished dam.

Political and technical negotiations between the capitals, Cairo and Addis Ababa, are stumbling as the countries try to agree on policies to reduce the risks Egypt expects if Ethiopia begins operating the dam without considering consulting firms’ recommendations.

Al-Monitor was part of the first Egyptian press delegation’s visit to the project site 31 July, in coordination with the Stockholm International Water Institute and the Nile Basin Initiative’s Eastern Nile Technical Regional Office.  Ethiopian officials — who traveled from Addis Ababa where policies are made to the Benishangul-Gumuz Region where the Renaissance Dam is — sent a number of positive messages calling for transparent cooperation on dam issues with Egypt and Sudan.  They also tried to reassure Egypt’s concerned public about Ethiopia’s progress on the dam.

Standing in front of the under-construction structure while water flowed behind him, Renaissance Dam project manager Simegnew Bekele spoke to reporters. “We have long experience that allows us to play a leading role in building dams.  We know how to build and run dams and reservoirs based on studies and designs we make.” Bekele assured the gathering that the dam “is a project built professionally by Ethiopian hands on Ethiopian lands with responsibility that guarantees benefit for everyone.”

While Egypt, Sudan and Ethiopia are continuing technical and political negotiations about ways to reduce the potential negative impacts of the dam, construction at the site is continuing at a fast pace.  The left and right sides of the dam’s body are finished.  However, water is not stored behind the dam yet.  Inside the reservoir, 35,000 hectares (almost 135 square miles) have been prepared and qualified for use.  Construction work on the saddle dam is taking place about 5 kilometers away from the main dam site.

Construction at the Renaissance Dam site started in December 2010 after an agreement was reached with construction company Salini Impregilo of Milan, Italy, and Metals and Engineering Corp. of Addis Ababa.  The site is 40 kilometers from the Sudanese-Ethiopian border on a tributary of the Blue Nile.  The project is expected to store 74 billion cubic meters (60 million acre-feet) of water and generate 6,000 megawatts of electricity.  It is funded nationally through direct donations and bond sales started by Zenawi, who died in 2012.

“All dimensions related to safety of the dam, quality of construction, operation and maintenance have been designed and put into consideration in a way that makes us reliable, as the project will be of benefit to downstream countries as much as it is to the Ethiopian people,” Bekele said in his response to growing Egyptian doubts about the dam. “Ethiopia has vowed to make use of its water resources to benefit everyone. We think beyond the horizon,” he added.

Bekele outlined the positive aspects of the dam for Egypt and Sudan.  “One of the key advantages of the dam is to organize the water flow all year long.  Hence, we can avoid dangers of a flood and water losses caused by natural flow and evaporation, as well as alluvium accumulation problems.  It will also make navigation in the Nile smoother and support peace and regional stability,” he said.

Despite the transparency Bekele showed, as he is responsible for running Renaissance Dam construction and was showing the press delegation around the dam sites all day, he refused to answer pressing questions about when water will be stored behind the dam and the number of years it will take to fill the reservoir.  The answers would help determine the amount of water that will flow to Egypt and Sudan, and represent important factors in assessing the risks Egypt might face.

Al-Monitor attended a 30 July talk in Addis Ababa by the National Tripartite Committee where Sudanese and Ethiopian officials met — while Egypt’s official was absent for undisclosed reasons.  “The tripartite committee is not concerned about continuing construction or ending the project this year or any time. However, we want to make sure that filling and operating [the dam] will have the least impact on downstream countries, and will have the most benefit for [Egypt, Sudan and Ethiopia],” said Saif Hamad, head of the Sudanese delegation.

The committee is evaluating the applications of two French consulting firms to assess the dam’s impacts. One would address hydraulic impact; the other, environmental, economic and social effects. However, this effort to obtain technical assessments has stalled more than once because of many disputes over the past two years. The three countries held political negotiations in December with ministers of water and foreign affairs in Khartoum, Sudan, to push for cooperation, which has become the last resort for Egypt and Ethiopia to solve problems they fear the dam could cause.

“Finishing the two studies does not necessarily mean that countries would agree on the results and output.  However, these outputs would be subject to assessment by the tripartite technical committee, where a suitable scenario on how to deal with the outputs would be agreed on,” said Gedion Asfaw, who leads Ethiopia’s experts’ panel in the tripartite committee.

Ethiopians talk about the dam enthusiastically.  Al-Monitor interviewed people in the capital’s suburbs and areas surrounding the dam site near the border with Sudan — in the Benishangul-Gumuz Region, which suffers from power cuts almost all the time.  The people expressed pride that their country could take on such a massive a project.  Egypt rejected the proposal in the beginning, but the project became a reality that the Ethiopian government created to achieve development and fight poverty.

Cairo’s concerns, however, will grow even larger as Ethiopia aspires to export energy generated by the hydroelectric project, not only to adjacent African regions, but also to Europe and MENA (Middle East and North Africa) markets.  This is definitely going to make Egypt more apprehensive about ensuring its water supply from the Blue Nile, which originates in the Ethiopian Highlands.  (Al-Monitor 10.08)

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11.5  TUNISIA:  How the New Government Plans to Save Tunisia

Ahmed Nadhif posted on 18 August in Al-Monitor that Tunisian President Beji Caid Essebsi has tapped Nidaa Tunis leader Youssef Chahed to form a unity government that will focus on terrorism, corruption and Tunisia’s deteriorating economy.

The Tunisian Parliament is getting ready to vote for confidence in the new government before 1 September, the legal deadline set for the government’s formation under the Tunisian Constitution.  On 3 August, President Beji Caid Essebsi appointed the leader of the ruling Nidaa Tunis, Youssef Chahed, to form a new national unity government after the parliament withdrew confidence from the former government led by Habib Essid on 30 July, under accusations of inefficiency.

Essebsi launched an initiative during a 2 June interview on state television “to form a national unity government whose priorities include the war on terrorism and corruption and the entrenchment of democracy.”  The government is to include parties and unions, unlike the deposed one, which was formed by four parties in the parliament: Nidaa Tunis, to which Essebsi belongs; the Islamist Ennahda; and two liberal parties, the Free Patriotic Union and Afek Tounes.

The new government will face major security and economic challenges, in addition to having to deal with corruption.

On 13 July, the Tunisian presidency published the text of the initiative, called the “Carthage Document,” which includes the outline of the potential government’s work schedule.

As designated prime minister, Chahed was already part of the decision-making circles in the country. Before his appointment, he was minister of local affairs for the deposed government.  On the day of his appointment, he said that the new government will work on “achieving five main priorities: winning the battle against terrorism, declaring war on corruption and the corrupt people, fostering development to create job opportunities, controlling the financial budgets and focusing on the environment and sanitation.”  He further noted that the new government will “give more chances for representation to the youths and women and will be honest with the Tunisian people from the beginning about their financial, social and economic situation.  The country is at a critical stage and needs exceptional decisions and sacrifices.”

But despite the optimism in his speech, Chahed will have a tough time on every level.  The tasks he proposed in his governmental program require patience and wide governmental coordination as well as a stable security situation.

Journalist Mohamed Bettaieb told Al-Monitor, “The realization of the five points that Chahed listed in his speech depends on the first point, which is fighting terrorism.  The economic situation, fighting corruption and controlling the financial budget all require security and stability.  The clashes with the terrorist groups are the main reason behind the deteriorating economic situation.”

Since 2011, Tunisia has been the target of several terrorist operations executed by jihadi groups affiliated with al-Qaeda like the Okba Ibn Nafaa Brigade and others supporting IS.  The attacks have claimed the lives of more than 220 security and military personnel and 98 civilians, according to a survey by the local Inkyfada website.

Bettaieb added, “Improving the security situation depends on improving the performance of the security apparatus, which has recently achieved remarkable success.  For instance, the month of Ramadan this year was free of any terrorist operations, which hasn’t been the case since 2012.  Many terrorist operations targeted the army and police in 2013, 2014 and 2015, when the tourist resort of Sousse was attacked.  In March 2016, IS attacked Ben Gardane to establish an Islamic emirate.”

He noted, “These successes — relative as they might be — must be maintained to preserve the current defense and security team.  The ministers of defense and interior must also remain in their positions to save time and effort for the country, especially since they are technocrats and are not affiliated with any political party.  This ensures that their ministries are not biased to any political party.”

Bettaieb added, “The new government is up against another challenge, which is the return of Tunisian youths fighting with jihadi groups in Syria and Libya, especially in the wake of the Islamic State defeats in these battlefields, and the challenge of fighting jihadi groups in the western mountains along the Algerian border.”

Tunisians make up much of the ranks of IS in Syria, Libya and Iraq.  According to most estimates, the number of Tunisian fighters in Syria and Iraq exceeds 3,000. In Libya, Tunisians constitute the majority of IS members at approximately 500 fighters.

This difficult security situation has led to economic decline, and Tunisia has been suffering a tough economic situation since 2011.  The Tunisian Central Bank warned 12 August that the rising trade deficit, which neared 6 billion dinars ($3 billion) in the first half of 2016, might worsen.  Since the fall of the former regime led by Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali, the state has adopted a foreign-debt strategy.  Tunisia’s debt has increased by 58% since 2011.  Tunisia’s most recent debts are bonds worth $500 million issued on 5 August with US guarantees.

Apart from the economic crisis and the war on terrorism, Chahed’s new government will face rampant corruption in the state institutions.  Corruption in the country is worse than it was before the fall of Ben Ali’s regime in 2011.  According to the Corruption Perceptions Index published annually by Transparency International, Tunisia came in 59th in 2010, Ben Ali’s last year.  In 2015, it occupied 76th place.  This decline was a wake-up call for local civil society groups to launch initiatives to curb corruption. The May 2016 survey revealed that 62% of Tunisians believe that the government is not making enough efforts to fight corruption.

Political analyst Abdel Sattar al-Aidi told Al-Monitor, “The new government’s success in achieving the priorities that Chahed mentioned in his designation speech depends on a clear and accurate program and on the political parties’ willpower to form a government that would pull the country out of its crisis instead of power-seeking and engaging in an undeclared conflict.  Most importantly, there should be public and union support from the Tunisian General Labor Union, but this will bank on the new government’s economic vision.  It is noteworthy that the Tunisian General Labor Union is the largest union in the country and can make the government’s work successful by declaring a social truce, halting labor strikes and delaying salary increase demands.  Chahed noted in his speech that the country needs exceptional decisions and sacrifices.  We are afraid these sacrifices might affect the limited-income class through reducing basic material subsidies or freezing salary upgrades.”

Each time a new government seeks the parliament’s vote of confidence, Tunisians’ hopes rekindle, and they dream of improving their economic and social situations.  The prime ministers make promises to fight corruption, save the economy and enhance the conditions of the marginalized.  But these hopes soon disappear. Will Chahed’s government be the exception to the rule?  Or will it have the same fate as its predecessors?  (Al-Monitor 18.08)

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11.6  TUNISIA:  New Tunisian PM Tries to Break Economic Reform Curse

Tunisia has gone through five prime ministers in as many years since its revolution, each pushing a widely-praised transition to democracy.  None, though, has made much progress in building the economic stability and opportunity that young Tunisians demand.  Now the sixth post-uprising premier, French-educated technocrat Youssef Chahed, is making bold promises even before he has taken office to tackle Tunisia’s problems.  But a looming budget crisis and debt repayments, coupled with political inertia, may prevent the 40-year-old premier-designate from escaping the fate of his predecessors.

Since the 2011 overthrow of autocrat Zine El Abidine Ben Ali, Tunisia has achieved free elections, a new constitution and a spirit of compromise between secular and Islamist parties — in contrast to the repression, chaos or war that has afflicted other countries which also had “Arab Spring” revolts.  The flip side is that popular protests, labor union resistance and political squabbling have held back plans to overhaul heavy state spending including on a huge body of public workers, and to implement banking and investment laws.

After the last premier lost a parliamentary confidence vote over the economy and security, President Beji Caid Essebsi called last week for Chahed to lead a national unity government capable of advancing economic reforms demanded by lenders including the International Monetary Fund and World Bank.  “We are in times that require exceptional decisions and sacrifices,” Chahed told reporters, saying his focus would be tackling corruption and terrorism, promoting economic growth and clearing up public finances.  “I want to talk frankly with the Tunisian people about the reality of the country’s financial situation.”

Many Tunisians ask whether Chahed, an agricultural specialist and Essebsi ally, can muster the political capital to push through change.  Some opponents dismiss him as an Essebsi puppet, chosen for his loyalty to the president rather than his ability to deliver. He is now negotiating to form his Cabinet.  “Chahed has been handed a poisoned chalice, the financial situation is pretty catastrophic.  He is going to find the coffers empty and lots of demands,” said Jamel Arfaoui, a local analyst and newspaper columnist.  “He is facing potential protests at the same time as the need for reforms.”

The change of premier comes at a difficult time.  Three major attacks by Islamist militants have badly hit tourism bookings, forcing job cuts in an industry that accounts for 8% of the economy.  Unemployment is already at 15%, with the rate far higher for young people in a country where more than half the population is under 29.

Months of on-off protests and sit-ins by jobless youths have also disrupted production and exports of the state-run phosphate industry, another major revenue earner.  Essebsi estimated losses at $2 billion from sector disruptions over five years.

Under the 2016 budget, the public deficit is supposed to fall to 3.9% of gross domestic product from 4.4% in 2015.  But that assumes the economy will grow 2.5% whereas the actual rate in the first quarter was only 1% year-on-year, weakening tax revenue.  Next year will be tougher still for the public finances. Around $3 billion is due in debt service payments and the state will struggle just to come up with the roughly $450 million it needs every month to pay its employees.

At 13.5% of the GDP, Tunisia’s public sector wage bill is proportionately one of the highest in the world.  “Revenues forecast for 2017 will not be enough to cover the 1 billion dinars each month for 700,000 public sector employees,” Central Bank Governor Chedli Ayari said last week.  “We are going to need more foreign financing in this difficult context and with the fall off in tourism and phosphate revenues.”

Social Pressures, Political Will

A senior member of Essebsi’s Nidaa Tounes Party, Chahed will easily secure approval for his new Cabinet in parliament, where Nidaa Tounes and Islamist party Ennahda in the ruling coalition control a majority.  But outside parliament, he must navigate relations with the unions and the social unrest that has scuppered past government attempts to push through the kind of financial sacrifices and austerity reforms he is promising.

The IMF has approved a $2.88 billion four-year loan program for Tunisia.  However, release of much of this is subject to reviews of the government’s progress on economic and financial reforms.

Tunisia has been under pressure for some time from its international lenders to implement measures on the public deficit, investment and the financial sector.  Mehdi Jomaa, a technocrat prime minister managed to secure temporary fiscal reforms in 2014 to boost revenues.  The last premier, Habib Essid, got a law to protect the central bank from political meddling through parliament, although only after protracted negotiations within the ruling coalition.

Deeper reforms have stalled, often because successive governments have lacked the political capital or will to stand up to popular pressures against public spending reductions or austerity measures.  An attempt to increase vehicle tax triggered violent protests in 2014, forcing the government to step back.  A tax on border traffic also provoked rioting last year, leading to another government retreat.

Now doctors and lawyers are threatening strikes over increased audits on their billing to help combat tax evasion, while the powerful UGTT union is resisting reforms to raise the retirement age and reduce state pension payments.

Twice this year the government and the UGTT reached deals increasing public wage salaries, adding pressure to the state finances.  A new investment code law, aimed at increasing incentives for foreign investors and reducing bureaucracy, has been parked in parliament for three years after two revisions.

Social pressure over jobs already exploded into mass protests in southern and central regions at the start of the year, a reminder of the conditions that helped to inspire the Tunisian revolution and later Arab Spring uprisings.  “The Chahed government wants to chip away at freedoms to push through painful measures in his economic plan,” said Hamma Hammai, leader of the Popular Front opposition party.  “But the government will fail because it is not proposing anything new, just the same as Essid.”  (Reuters 11.08)

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11.7  TURKEY:  Fitch Affirms Turkey at ‘BBB-‘; Revises Outlook to Negative

On 19 August, Fitch Ratings affirmed Turkey’s Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDR) at ‘BBB-‘.  The Outlooks have been revised to Negative from Stable.  The issue ratings on Turkey’s senior unsecured foreign and local currency bonds have also been affirmed at ‘BBB-‘.  The Country Ceiling has been affirmed at ‘BBB’ and the Short-Term Foreign and Local Currency IDRs at ‘F3’.

The issue ratings on Turkey’s Hazine Mustesarligi Varlik Kiralama Anonim Sirketi’s (Hazine) Foreign and Local Currency global certificates (sukuk) have also been affirmed at ‘BBB-‘.

Key Rating Drivers

The revision of the Outlook on Turkey’s IDRs reflects the following key rating drivers and their relative weights:

HIGH:  An unsuccessful coup attempt in July confirms heightened risks to political stability.  The authorities are responding to the coup attempt with a purge of the followers of those it blames, with around 70,000 public sector workers suspended so far.  The scale of the purge generates uncertainty over capacity and continuity.  The implications for checks and balances, which in Fitch’s opinion have eroded in recent years, are unclear, as is the potential for further disruption from those behind the coup attempt.  The overwhelming public opposition to the coup attempt and subsequent unity of most political parties could lessen political fractures.

Security conditions have worsened outside of the context of the coup attempt.  Terrorist attacks in Istanbul and Ankara have caused multiple fatalities.  The removal of a large number of senior military officials may hinder the capacity to address ongoing security challenges, in Fitch’s opinion.  The attacks are having a material impact on the tourism sector, which directly constitutes around 3% of GDP and 13% of current external receipts.  Revenues from foreign tourist arrivals were down 41% yoy in H1/16.  A diplomatic rapprochement with Russia should provide some support to the sector, but without a significant improvement in security conditions, a broad-based recovery is unlikely.

MEDIUM:  Political uncertainty is expected to impact economic performance and poses risks to economic policy.  Growth is forecast to dip due to lower investment, although a strong start to the year means that at a Fitch-forecast 3.4% of GDP in 2016, it will be above the peer median.  The prospects for significant structural reform that would shift the structure of growth from private consumption have diminished in Fitch’s opinion, although the government continues to progress with its more modest agenda.  The central bank and commercial banks are facing renewed political pressure on interest rates. Fitch does not expect the fiscal stance to weaken in response to the coup attempt.

Turkey’s IDRs also reflect the following key rating drivers:

External vulnerabilities are large but long-standing and financing has been resilient in the aftermath of the coup attempt.  The gross external financing requirement (including short-term debt) for 2016 is forecast at 186% of end-2016 reserves and the international liquidity ratio is 76%, around half the peer median.  A few planned corporate issuances were postponed in the immediate aftermath of the coup attempt, but since then the syndication rollover rates by banks have ranged between 64% and 145% and the cost of funding has risen only marginally.

The current account deficit has continued to narrow due to the lagged impact of lower oil prices on the import bill, despite the drop in tourism revenues, and Fitch forecasts it to bottom at 4.3% of GDP in 2016, before rising to close to 6% of GDP by 2018.  Funding remains largely debt-based, although maturities continue to rise gradually.  As a result, net external debt is forecast to rise from 35% of GDP (BBB median 5.8%) at end-2015 to 39.3% of GDP by end-2018 (double the end-2010 level).  Reserves increased by 10% over H1/16 due to the lower current account deficit and a fall in central bank FX sales and are forecast to end the year equivalent to 6.5 months of current external payments, a ratio that is forecast to decline to 5.8 months by 2018 as imports rise.  Net reserves are around one-third of gross reserves.

Headline fiscal performance has remained solid this year, with a central government primary surplus of 1.3% of projected full year GDP in H1/16, despite the implementation of spending commitments made at the late-2015 election (most of which are one-off).  However, this was supported by one-off receipts worth around 1% of GDP and lower capex.  Fitch expects a small primary deficit this year, but debt/GDP is forecast to fall to 32.2% at end-2016, compared with a peer median of 40.2%.  Security spending and refugees pose expenditure pressures.  Fitch assesses the fiscal restraint in the face of multiple political events as impressive compared with rating peers and highlights the importance of the fiscal anchor to the government.

Average inflation has fallen so far in 2016, due to food prices, but at forecast 8.2% remains well above the peer median of 1.7%.  Core inflation (CPI-I) was 8.7% in July, above the average cost of central bank funding.  The central bank has narrowed the interest rate corridor by trimming the top end by a cumulative 200bps since March, although it points to a slowdown in credit growth as evidence of tighter financial conditions.  Plans to continue to simplify the policy framework and improve communication could over time address risks around policy coherence.

The banking sector functioned smoothly through the coup attempt and deposit outflows were minimal. NPLs are 3.3% and capital adequacy, at 15.8% at end-June, is slightly above the peer median.  The banking system is consistent with Turkey’s investment grade rating, with a ‘BBB’ on Fitch’s Banking System Indicator.

Rating Sensitivities

The following factors, individually or collectively, could trigger a downgrade:

– Prolonged or deepened political instability, insecurity or geopolitical stresses that undermine economic performance or economic policy credibility.

– A materialization of stresses stemming from external financing vulnerabilities.

– A reversal in the declining trend in debt/GDP or a worsening of external imbalances.

As the Outlook is Negative, Fitch does not anticipate developments with a high likelihood of triggering an upgrade. However, the following factors, individually or collectively, could lead to a revision of the Outlook to Stable:

– A more stable and predictable domestic political and security environment.

– Implementation of reforms that address structural deficiencies in the economy.  (Fitch 19.08)

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11.8  TURKEY:  Why are Turks Disposing of $1 Bills?

Tulay Cetingulec posted in Al-Monitor on 18 August that the discovery of $1 bills on Turkish soldiers involved in the 15 July putsch suggest the greenback has been used as a secret code of communication.

What is $1 worth around the world?  An unlimited rice meal in India, a cup of coffee in Portugal and an hour of street parking in some places in the United States.  A bottle of cheap wine is what you get in Italy, a lottery ticket in Australia and half an hour of foot massage in the Philippines.  In Turkey, you can treat yourself to a simit and tea — and, as it turns out, you can stage a coup.

One-dollar bills have been found on high-ranking officers involved in the 15 July coup attempt, in what is perhaps the most bizarre of the many oddities to emerge from the massive crackdown on the Gulen community, the accused culprit in the putsch.  The $1 bills have been found also on policemen, judges, academics, businessmen, teachers and other civilians linked to the Gulen community, the government’s former ally, which it now calls the Fethullah Gulen Terror Organization (FETO).

The bills are said to denote membership in the secretive group, and their serial numbers are believed to have coded meanings.  Justice Minister Bekir Bozdag has said the $1 bill “is undoubtedly of some important function within FETO,” while Prime Minister Binali Yildirim has vowed to defeat “the lowlifes who sell their souls for $1.”

Ordinary Turks are also angry, protesting the dollar in various ways. In Istanbul, for instance, a group of shopkeepers threw $1 bills in the sewage, pledging not to deal with dollars again. In the most prevalent reaction, however, the greenback is now banished from wedding parties, where the bride and the groom as well as the musicians entertaining the guests are often sprayed with banknotes.  Two days before the coup attempt, for instance, a wedding in Sanliurfa made the headlines for the “shower of dollars” that hailed down on the newlyweds.  But, as the media report, “Weddings have ushered in a Turkish lira-era” after July 15.

Spraying dollars at wedding parties may convey an air of affluence and largesse, but it is actually a cost-cutting measure devised by crafty Turks.  One dollar is worth roughly 3 Turkish lira, while the smallest Turkish banknote is 5 liras — more expensive while at the same time less cool than the greenback.  So, to make a real impression with Turkish currency, one has to be prepared to sacrifice banknotes of at least 10 or 20 Turkish lira.

Others prefer to sacrifice probity instead, using fake $1 bills to reduce further the cost of showing off.  This seems to have become a widespread practice, judging by a report from the western town of Nazilli, just a day before the coup attempt.  A group of wedding musicians felt so exasperated and humiliated by the rising trend that they called a press conference to display — and then burn — the fake dollars they had been thrown at recent parties, which totaled $5,000 in face value.  The musicians said fake dollars were being sold openly at city bazaars and urged police to take action.

Now the main usage area of the $1 bills in Turkey seems to be gone, as no one wants to be associated with the putschists.  In currency exchange offices, no one is asking for $1 bills, while those with leftovers from oversea trips are said to be tearing the bills up or throwing them away, with only the bravest turning up for exchange.

One of the exchange offices Al-Monitor visited had accumulated hundreds of $1 bills, with one employee grumbling, “It’s not like before.  People are afraid to both buy and sell them.”  Another currency dealer said the demand for $1 bills ended “at a stroke” after Gulenists were reported to use them for secret communication.  “People have come to see them as criminal tools,” he added.  A third shop had done away with the $1 bill altogether.  “No $1 bills here,” the dealer said.  “Neither buying nor selling.”

Yet, not all $1 bills are of an “incriminating” nature.  The serial number matters.  According to media reports, a serial number that begins with the letter F denotes that the holder is a top Gulenist leader, while C is for lower-level managers and J for ordinary members.  Other reports claim the $1 bills were blessed personally by Fethullah Gulen, the US-based cleric heading the sect, before being distributed to members, and that the serial numbers serve as a sort of ID number, the records of which Gulen keeps at his mansion in Pennsylvania.

Meanwhile, others who disposed of the greenback after the putsch did so not out of fear but to make profits.  The Turkish currency plunged sharply over the coup attempt, leading many to sell their dollars to buy more of the cheapened lira before it recovered.

Yildirim and President Erdogan, for their part, have praised the sell-off as a display of patriotism, a vantage point that meshes with a widespread conviction among Turks that the United States colluded with the putschists.

In a 9 August speech in parliament, Yildirim said Turks had exchanged $11 billion in 10 days, which helped to fend off a potential crisis at the markets amid fears of an exodus by panicked foreign investors.  “The people not only averted the coup but also funneled money to the markets.  A nation like this can only be applauded.  By converting $11 billion to Turkish lira in the 10 days after the coup, you gave [the country] lifeblood and strength,” Yildirim said.

So the prime minister seems confident that Turks have grown more loyal to their national currency, atop banishing the $1 bill.  This should be great news for the wedding bands in particular.  The musicians in Nazilli could have never imagined their protest would bear fruit so soon.  (Al-Monitor 18.08)

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The Fortnightly newsletter is a free service of Atid, EDI. We are a team of economic and trade development consultants, headquartered in Jerusalem, but active throughout the region and beyond. EDI works with an international clientele interested in identifying and researching business opportunities in the region. We also serve as the regional representative offices for a number of U.S. states and bilateral Chambers of Commerce, as well as European clients.

The post Fortnightly, 24 August 2016 appeared first on Atid EDI.


What’s New at EDI – September 2016

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EDI to be Represented at Meeting of Delaware International Representatives

EDI Trade Director Seth Vogelman will be in Delaware the week of September 5th when the state hosts its international trade and investment representatives.  He will join colleagues from Canada, Germany, Korea and Mexico who, during the course of the week, will meet with Delaware exporters interested in exploring market opportunities in these various locations.  EDI has represented the trade and investment interests in the Middle East region of Delaware as well as those of the Delaware Secretary of State for the last 20 years.

Pennsylvania International Week Scheduled for September 12-23.

Pennsylvania will host its international trade and investment representatives over a ten working-day period beginning September 12th.  During those two weeks, the overseas visitors will meet with companies in each of the 10 economic development regions who are interested in looking at new export opportunities for their firms.  Trade Director Seth Vogelman will represent EDI at the event.  EDI has represented the trade and investment interests of Pennsylvania in the Middle East for the last 20 years.

EDI President to Speak at Mega-Church in Idaho

EDI President Sherwin Pomerantz has been invited to speak to the congregation of Deer Flat Church in Caldwell, Idaho on September 13th.  In an address entitled “Behold an Economic Miracle:  How Israel Became the Start-Up Nation,” he will speak about both the history and the challenges that face Israel in maintaining its position as the second largest startup ecosystem in the world after the U.S.  Deer Flat Church expects to draw over 1,000 people to the weeknight event.

Toronto Export Event Scheduled for September 19-20

Ontario’s Ministry of Citizenship, Immigration & International Trade will host a two day event in Toronto on September 19-20 where local companies interested in exploring export opportunities in Israel and the region can get more information about this important topic.  To be held at the Ontario Investment and Trade Center in Toronto, companies will have the opportunity to meet EDI personnel and discuss options for increased business activity.  EDI represents the trade and investment promotion interests of the Province of Ontario in Israel.

EDI to Host Invest Hong Kong Executive in Israel

During the week of September 13th, EDI will host Simon Tsang, Head of the Innovation & Technology Sector Team at Invest Hong Kong.  He will visit Israel to meet with local companies in this sector seriously considering, or in the process of, opening facilities in Hong Kong.  Invest Hong Kong is the foreign direct investment promotion arm for the Special Administrative Region.  EDI has represented the interests of InvestHK in Israel for the last four years.  EDI VP for Strategy & Business Development, Michael Platt, will host Mr. Tsang.

The post What’s New at EDI – September 2016 appeared first on Atid EDI.

Fortnightly, 7 September 2016

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FortnightlyReport

7 September 2016
4 Elul 5776
6 Dhul Hijjah 1437

TOP STORIES

TABLE OF CONTENTS:

 1: ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Fifteen Housing Projects to be Completed in Arab Towns
1.2  Ministry of the Economy to Support New Meat Producers
1.3  Transport Minister Inaugurates Jezreel Valley Railway

2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  SkyGiraffe Raises $6 Million
2.2  Persona.ly Partnered with CyberStep
2.3  DoD Approves Israeli Radar for US Iron Curtain Testing
2.4  Pointer Telocation Acquires Cielo Telecom in Brazil for $6.5 Million in Accretive Transaction
2.5  South Carolina-Israel R&D Award Announced
2.6  Freight Marketplace Freightos Acquires WebCargoNet
2.7  Cronus Cyber Security Raises $3.5 Million
2.8  Second Murata Hackathon to Be Held in Israel
2.9  Appsbuyout Snaps Up True Contact Caller ID App
2.10  Nano Dimension to Open New Ink Production Facility in Israel

 3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Empire State Realty Trust Announces $622 Million Investment by Qatar Investment Authority
3.2  State Department to Sell Qatar Mk-V Fast Patrol Boats
3.3  World’s Largest Indoor Theme Park Opens in Dubai
3.4  Six Flags Planning World’s Biggest Roller Coaster in Dubai
3.5  PKL Services Gets $495 Million Saudi F-15 Support Contract
3.6  Elevation Burger Announces Plans For 20 New Restaurants In Egypt

 4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Haifa Chemicals Slapped With NIS 3.6 Million Fine for Air Pollution
4.2  Saudi Plastic Bag Use is 20 Times Global Average

5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Aqaba Welcomed Nearly 280,000 Tourists During First Half of 2016

♦♦Arabian Gulf

5.2  GCC Hospitality Market Forecast to be Worth $36.7 Billion by 2020
5.3  Kuwaiti Gov’t Sets $1 Billion Budget for Hospital Bills of Nationals Abroad
5.4  Qatar’s First Quarter GDP Growth Slows to Lowest Level Since 2011
5.5  Sheikh Mohammed Approves UAE Bankruptcy Law
5.6  Dubai-UK Trade Totals $1.82 Billion in First Quarter of 2016
5.7  Dubai Launches Smart System to Track Water Container Refills
5.8  Saudi Inflation Rate Falls to Year-Low in July
5.9  Saudi Food Inflation Turns Negative for First Time Since Jan 2010
5.10  Russia & Saudi Arabia Agree Cooperation on Oil Price But Not On Freeze

♦♦North Africa

5.11  Egypt’s Parliament Approves VAT at 13% in 2016/17
5.12  Egypt’s Tourism Falls by 41.9% in July
5.13  Egypt’s Minister of International Cooperation Discusses Future Plans With Canada
5.14  Suez Canal Sees 2% Decline in July Revenues
5.15  4.2 Million Tourists Visited Morocco in First Half of 2016
5.16  Morocco’s Energy Bill Down 29.9% as of July 2016
5.17  Morocco Ranks in Top Five of World Olive Oil Producers

6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkey’s Exports Rise Some 7% in August Due To Sharp Rise in Car Sales

7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

♦♦ISRAEL:

7.1  Eid Al-Adha – Feast of the Sacrifice to Begin on 12 September
7.2  Millions of Students Begin School in Israel
7.3  Number of Arab Teachers in Jewish Schools Rises by 40%
7.4  Space Education Program Expands Orbit to 100 Schools
7.5  For Second Straight Year, Druze Town Has Top Matriculation Rate

♦♦REGIONAL:

7.3  Eid Al Adha Break for UAE Private Sector is 11 – 13 September
7.3  New Bill Increases Jail Terms as Female Genital Mutilation Becomes a Felony in Egypt
7.3  Tunisia’s Youngest Premier Since Independence Sworn in
7.3  Turkey Cuts Length of Military Officers’ Service After The Attempted Coup

8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  BioLineRx & I-Bridge Capital Establish a New Drug Development Joint Venture in China
8.2  Leap Therapeutics & Macrocure Announce Definitive Merger Agreement
8.3  Exalenz Collaboration with Conatus for BreathID Monitoring Patients with Cirrhosis Associated with NASH (Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis)
8.4  Kamada & Kedrion Seek FDA Approval of Human Rabies Immunoglobulin as a Post-Exposure Treatment
8.5  Gordian Surgical Receives CE Clearance for TroClose1200

9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Checkmarx Announces Federal Information Processing Standards (FIPS) Support
9.2  Telematics Wireless to Implement Smart City Technology in Montréal
9.3  Reporty App Live-Streams Emergency Situations From Your Smartphone To First Responders
9.4  Mellanox Ethernet Offload Engines Enable New Levels of Application Efficiency with VMware vSphere
9.5  Supermassive Games Compiles its Games 4 Times Faster With IncrediBuild
9.6  Mellanox Ethernet Solutions Accelerate Germany’s Most Advanced Cloud Data Center
9.7  Cronus Releases New Versions for the CyBot Pro and Enterprise Solutions
9.8  Datumate Unveils DatuFly, A Professional Imagery App for Drones

10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Finance Ministry Says 2016 Economic Growth Better Than Expected
10.2  OECD Says Israel 4th Worldwide in Meat Consumption
10.3  New Israeli Car Deliveries Up 30% in August

11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  ISRAEL: The New Normal: Today’s Arab Debate Over Ties with Israel
11.2  LEBANON: Outlook Revised To Stable on Resilient Financial System & Deposit Inflows
11.3  JORDAN: IMF Approves $723 Million Extended Arrangement for Jordan
11.4  IRAQ: Republic of Iraq Ratings Affirmed at ‘B-/B’; Outlook Stable
11.5  QATAR: Qatar Ratings Affirmed At ‘AA/A-1+’; Outlook Stable
11.6  EGYPT: The Gulf’s Entanglement in Egypt
11.7  SAUDI ARABIA: Fitch Affirms Saudi Arabia at ‘AA-‘; Outlook Negative
11.8  EGYPT: Egypt Resorts to Drastic Proposals to Solve Dollar Crisis
11.9  GREECE: Fitch Affirms Greece at ‘CCC’

1:  ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Fifteen Housing Projects to be Completed in Arab Towns

Israel’s Ministry of Construction and Housing announced on 25 August that it was completing the signing of development agreements with the local authorities in Yafia, Sakhnin, Tira and Nazareth for planning and marketing hundreds of housing units and commercial and industrial zones.  The Ministry of Construction and Housing said that these plans would supplement 15 plans signed with large Arab Israeli communities within a six-month period.  Agreements will later be signed with 50 more local authorities.

The agreements are the first implementation of Cabinet Resolution No. 922, passed last January, in which the government will aid in the development of minority communities through 2020.  The Ministry of Construction and Housing will provide NIS 1.41 billion during this period for housing solutions in the Arab Israeli sector.  One clause in the plan for aid to the sector focuses on encouragement of the planning and marketing of thousands of high-density construction housing units on state land, and on the removal of barriers for thousands more housing units on private land in those communities.  The Ministry of Construction and Housing will subsidize development costs in these communities for this purpose, subject to increasing the density of construction, in line with the cabinet resolution.

The plan also mentions increasing the budget for public buildings already under construction and new construction; planning approval for over 30,000 housing units on private land and state land in Yafia, Sakhnin, Nazareth and Tira; budgeting detailed plans on private and state land; budgeting plans for registration and regulatory purposes; use of a pool of building management companies to promote planning, help the local authorities, and finance outline and detailed plans for high-density construction.

As part of the agreements, the Ministry of Construction and Housing has formulated a multi-year working plan that will include needs and budgeting for development and construction of public institutions in the sector according to the size and needs of the community.  This working plan outlines the budgets totaling NIS 710 million for public institutions in each of the agreements to be signed with all the communities included in the cabinet resolution.  (Globes 25.08)

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1.2  Ministry of the Economy to Support New Meat Producers

After opening the market to imports of fresh meat from Poland without customs duties, the Ministry of Agriculture is announcing that it will grant tens of millions of shekels to new players and small players in the meat market in Israel in order to bolster competition in the sector.  The initiative was started by the Ministry of the Economy and Industry Investment Promotion Center, which published a new track designed to encourage the entry of players into the meat products market with the aim of operating a slaughtering, separating into sections, packaging, and marketing system for meat.

According to the Ministry of the Economy and Industry, companies complying with the regulations will be granted aid amounting to 30% of the total approved plan, up to a ceiling of NIS 15 million, for the purpose of constructing, moving, or expanding a system including a kosher slaughterhouse and a separation and packing plant for kosher fresh beef.

The process of producing fresh beef for marketing to consumers consists of four main segments: supplying cattle, fattening, slaughtering and marketing.  Today, there are few slaughterhouses capable of supplying meat separated into parts in vacuum packages for supermarkets, butcher shops, and plants for producing meat products, and consumer prices are high.  The two main players are Dabbah and Tuna Food Industries through Adom.

The new track is designed for players whose sales turnover in beef is at most NIS 15 million a year, and other players in the food market whose business turnover is at most NIS 300 million a year.  A clear preference in allocation will be given to the shortest timetables undertaken by the bidders for construction and providing kosher fresh beef to consumers.  (Globes 23.08)

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1.3  Transport Minister Inaugurates Jezreel Valley Railway

After 65 years the Valley railway line is reopening: Israel’s Minister of Transport Yisrael Katz took an inaugural journey on the new line between Haifa and Beit Shean, in which NIS 4 billion has been invested.  The new 60 kilometer line will have five stations – Haifa, Kfar Yehoshua-Yokneam, Migdal Ha’Emek-Kfar Barukh, Afula and Beit Shean.  Two new stations will be added in the future at Haifa Bay and Nesher.  The journey will take 50 minutes.  The Valley Railway is operating using electricity, which is quieter, cheaper and cleaner than on other lines.  In the future, the line will be extended eastwards to the Sheikh Hussein Bridge and border terminal with Jordan and will link up with the Jordanian railway system.  The plan is for cargo trains to transport goods between Europe and Jordan via Haifa Port and the Valley Railway.  A goods depot is being built near Kibbutz Sde Nahum, west of Beit Shean.

The original Valley Railway was built in 1905 by the Ottoman Turks and linked Haifa with Damascus via Tzemach.  The line fell into disuse after the re-establishment of Israel in 1948, though it was used occasionally for tourism and transporting troops until its final closure in 1951.  (Globes 29.08)

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2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  SkyGiraffe Raises $6 Million

SkyGiraffe closed a $6 million Series B financing round.  The investment was led by SGVC with participation from Trilogy Equity Partners, and also included angel investments from enterprise mobility and security veterans.  The latest funding will be used funding to expand the capabilities of SkyGiraffe’s platform among other initiatives.  To that end, the company has announced expanded functionality to provide a single, secure endpoint for developers to build on top of the SkyGiraffe platform, enabling read and write access from enterprise applications such as SAP, Oracle, Salesforce and ServiceNow.  SkyGiraffe provides developers with the full, secure access to the backend data on top of which they need to build applications. The REST endpoint can be integrated into popular third-party front-end applications like Slack, Office365, Skype, and Google Sheets.  SkyGiraffe has open-sourced the code, which can be accessed via GitHub.

Ramat Gan’s SkyGiraffe is an enterprise-grade mobility platform that simplifies how companies interact with their corporate systems.  Their end-to-end platform opens up access to your critical business workflows via our no-code native front-end, custom front-ends built on our SDK, or any third-party SaaS application your employees already use.  Global 2000 companies use SkyGiraffe to streamline their business processes and empower employees to be productive anywhere, anytime, on any device.  The company is based in San Mateo, Calif. with R&D in Israel.  (SkyGiraffe 25.08)

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2.2  Persona.ly Partnered with CyberStep

Persona.ly announced its new partnership with CyberStep, a Tokyo based world leading game developer and a globally-renowned publisher of interactive entertainment.  CyberStep joins other big name game publishers such as Ubisoft, Smilegate, OnlineSoccerManager (OSM), Artix Entertainment and Aeria Games, who are already using Persona.ly’s technology to monetize their users across the world.  Persona.ly’s solutions help game publishers to become more profitable by monetizing the users that are not paying for in-app goods. Persona.ly offers gamers free in-game currency in favor of watching videos, completing surveys from well-known market research firms and engaging with unique brand activities.

Ness Ziona’s Persona.ly is a global performance marketing agency with offices in Israel, Korea, Ukraine and Germany.  Persona.ly’s platform helps developers monetize their apps with a wide range of monetization solutions.  Persona.ly’s proprietary technology also helps developers advertise their apps and acquire targeted users, based on a risk-free models at scale, worldwide.  (Persona.ly  24.08)

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2.3  DoD Approves Israeli Radar for US Iron Curtain Testing

The Pentagon has given Herndon, Virginia-based defense solutions company Artis approval to integrate Israeli radars from Rada Electronic Industries into its Iron Curtain close-in active protection system (APS) for evaluation by the US Army.  On 29 August, Netanya, Israel-based Rada announced it would provide its Compact Hemispheric Radar-based RPS-10 radar to support Artis’ active protection against rocket-propelled grenades (RPG) and other shoulder-launched threats.  Optimized to detect fire from RPGs and anti-tank, guided missiles, the compact, multi-mission Rada radar has been validated dozens of times in live-fire tests of another hard kill system, the Israeli-developed Iron Fist by state-owned IMI Systems.  Both the Artis Iron Curtain, which now uses a radar from L-3 Mustang Technology, and the IMI Iron Fist, based on the Rada radar, are being evaluated under parallel Pentagon programs.  Integration and testing of the Israeli radar on the Artis APS is planned for the first quarter of 2017..  (DID 30.08)

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2.4  Pointer Telocation Acquires Cielo Telecom in Brazil for $6.5 Million in Accretive Transaction

Pointer Telocation has signed a binding agreement to acquire Cielo Telecom, a fleet management services company based in South Brazil.  Cielo Telecom manages fleet customers covering approximately 16,000 trucks.  The closing of the agreement is subject to the fulfillment of certain precedent conditions.  In consideration for this acquisition, Pointer will make a cash payment of approximately BRL 21 million (approximately $6.5 million).

Rosh HaAyin’s Pointer Telocation is a leading provider of technology and services to the automotive and insurance industries, offering a set of services including Fleet Management, Mobile Asset Management, Stolen Vehicle Recovery, Vehicle Diagnosis and a comprehensive solution in the field of Internet of Things. Pointer has a growing list of customers and products installed in 50 countries.  Cellocator, a Pointer Products Division, is a leading AVL (Automatic Vehicle Location) solutions provider for stolen vehicle retrieval, fleet management, car & driver safety, public safety, vehicle security and more.  (Pointer Telocation 29.08)

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2.5  South Carolina-Israel R&D Award Announced

SCRA and the Israeli Innovation Authority, on behalf of the Office of the Chief Scientist (OCS) in the Israeli Ministry of Economy, announced the recipient for the fourth research and development award.  The bilateral projects are a result of the collaborative industrial research and development program established in October 2013 between the State of South Carolina and the Government of the State of Israel.  The first two projects were awarded in September of 2014; the third project was awarded in October 2015.

The current project will develop a fully-automated echocardiogram (echo) examination and reporting system.  The South Carolina partner is VidiStar, located in Greenville, S.C. and the Israeli partner is DiaCardio, located in Beer Sheva, Israel.

This project will develop an innovative system that will solve the growing market need for an automated, precise and objective tool that will handle most aspects of the echo examination.  The echo exam includes the detection of different heart elements, measuring the most important values (ejection fraction, strain, and wall motion evaluation) and presenting them automatically in a unique report.  Automating this process allows the cardiologist or doctor to obtain all needed data in a glimpse, and invest his/her efforts and time in the actual patient care and diagnosis rather than in the technical aspects of performing the examination.

The South Carolina – Israel Industrial R&D Program seeks to stimulate generation and development of new or significantly improved products or processes for commercialization in global markets.  The program is being managed by SCRA on behalf of the state of South Carolina, and by the Israeli Innovation Authority on behalf of the state of Israel.  The program has an open “call for proposals” in which teams from South Carolina and Israel may submit funding applications at any time.  The next round of program applications will be accepted through 1 March 2017.

Chartered in 1983 by the state of South Carolina, SCRA fosters South Carolina’s innovation economy. SCRA improves the development and growth of South Carolina’s innovation ecosystem by supporting entrepreneurs, facilitating university research commercialization and connecting industry to innovators.

Israel’s Office of the Chief Scientist [OCS] in the Ministry of Economy is charged with execution of government policy for support of industrial R&D.  The goal of the OCS is to assist in the development of technology in Israel as a means of fostering economic growth, encouraging technological innovation and entrepreneurship, leveraging Israel’s scientific potential, enhancing the knowledge base of industry in Israel, stimulating high value-added R&D and encouraging R&D collaboration both nationally and internationally.  The Israel Innovation Authority is Israel’s central agency to manage the country’s governmental support of the resources for innovation.  (SCRA 30.08)

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2.6  Freight Marketplace Freightos Acquires WebCargoNet

Jerusalem’s Freightos, the world’s online freight marketplace, announced the acquisition of Montreal, Quebec’s WebCargoNet, the world’s largest air cargo rate management provider.  This acquisition creates the world’s largest database of air, ocean, and land freight rates with hundreds of millions of international and domestic rates and routes, enabling SMEs and freight forwarders alike the ability to conduct business online with ease.  WebCargoNet will retain its independent brand, bringing air cargo rates online worldwide, complementing the Freightos’ AcceleRate freight rate management solution and the Freightos Marketplace.  There will be no immediate changes to current offerings of either company.  Over time, strategic synergies will be leveraged to provide more comprehensive and innovative online solutions to carriers, forwarders, and shippers.  The acquisition involved both cash and Freightos shares.

Freightos, with WebCargoNet, has accumulated well over 200 million freight pricing data points, establishing the largest freight rate database in the world.  The convergence of data from both companies will make it simpler and faster than ever before for carriers and forwarders to sell their services and for importers and exporters to buy, resulting in smoother world trade.  (Freightos 31.08)

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2.7  Cronus Cyber Security Raises $3.5 Million

Cronus Cyber has raised $3.5 million.  According to figures from the IVC database, the company has raised $6.2 million since it was founded, including the current round.  Cronus’s financing round included US fund Janvest Capital Partners, a European investor and a strategic investor from Hong Kong.  The company previously received funding from the Ministry of the Economy and Industry Chief Scientist.

Founded in 2014, the Haifa based company also does business in the UK, Germany and Hong Kong.  The money raised is expected to enable Cronus to expand its business to the US.  Cronus is also active in the local market, and notes that its product is currently installed at a series of financial concerns, including First International Bank of Israel.  The company adds that its solution is also installed at large organizations, including some appearing on the Fortune 1000.  (Globes 04.09)

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2.8  Second Murata Hackathon to Be Held in Israel

Murata Electronics Europe is partnering with Samurai Incubate of Tokyo to host the 2nd Murata Hackathon, an event that seeks new business ideas in IoT, from 14 – 15 September in Israel.  With the world of the Internet of Things or “IoT” expanding at a rapid pace, there is demand for the birth of unprecedented and innovative products.  Murata is therefore targeting the creation of new business in IoT and following last year’s event, it will host the 2nd Murata Hackathon in Israel.  The event is aimed at developing new applications by integrating Murata’s state-of-the-art parts, especially sensors and communication modules, with original ideas from Israel, a country known for its software development expertise.

The Elegant Monkeys is excited to start a highly ambitious and strategic cooperation with Murata, made possible as a result of winning their 1st Israeli Hackathon last year.  They believe that the combination of Japanese top-quality hardware innovation alongside the Israeli software and algorithm expertise, will lead to a new industry standard of products.  This joint venture is a big step for the Israeli-Japanese collaboration towards global technological advancements.

Jerusalem’s The Elegant Monkeys is an Israeli-based startup company, specializing in Software, Mobile, IoT (Internet of Things) and Healthcare Technologies.  TEM is pursuing the vision of translating human emotions to digital signals in order to improve quality-of-life for the modern society through technological innovations.  (Murata 05.09)

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2.9  Appsbuyout Snaps Up True Contact Caller ID App

Vienna, Austria’s Appsbuyout, the destination for successful Android developers looking to sell their apps, has acquired leading caller ID and spam block Android mobile app True Contact from Israel based developer Eugene Hanikblum.  The deal represents a noteworthy cash-out for an app in the mid-sized Android app segment.  True Contact is a significant app in the Caller ID space, with 3.5 million installs and a 4.1 Google Play rating, placing it in the top-1% of Google Play apps.  In addition to the user-base, True Contact brings Appsbuyout a 500-million item phone data base.

Israel’s True Contact provides users with an impressive number of call-and-contacts management features. In addition to smart caller ID, including the caller’s name, address and picture, users can save resolved contacts to their phone book and keep existing contacts’ details up to date. The SPAM Blocker feature enables unwanted calls to be blocked with a single click.  (Appsbuyout 06.09)

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2.10  Nano Dimension to Open New Ink Production Facility in Israel

Nano Dimension announced today that its wholly owned subsidiary, Nano Dimension Technologies Ltd., will open a production facility for the company’s unique nano-ink products.  The facility is located in Ness Ziona, in the same building as the company’s headquarters.  Nano Dimension plans to completely renovate the space to suit its needs and upon completion, the new facility will have the capability to provide ink for hundreds of printers.  The facility is expected to transform Nano Dimension’s ink development capabilities for commercial production, ensuring that the company will be able to meet future clients’ expected nano-ink supply needs.  The facility will feature advanced technological solutions in the chemistry and production fields, will meet high quality control standards and will cover an area of approximately 8600 square feet.

Ness Ziona’s Nano Dimension, founded in 2012, focuses on development of advanced 3D printed electronics systems and advanced additive manufacturing.  Nano Dimension’s unique products combine three advanced technologies: 3D inkjet, 3D software and nanomaterials.  The company’s primary products include the first 3D printer dedicated to printing multi-layer PCBs (printed circuit boards) and advanced nanotechnology-based conductive and dielectric inks.  (Nano Dimension 06.09)

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3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Empire State Realty Trust Announces $622 Million Investment by Qatar Investment Authority

Empire State Realty Trust, a real estate investment trust with office and retail properties in Manhattan and the greater New York metropolitan area, announced that an affiliate of Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) has acquired a 9.9% interest in the Company on a fully diluted basis (currently 19.4% ownership of Class A shares) through a new $622 million investment.

QIA purchased 29,610,854 newly issued Class A common shares of Empire State Realty Trust at $21.00 per share, equivalent to a 9.9% economic and voting interest in the Company on a fully diluted basis.  QIA’s entire 9.9% Company interest is in Class A shares which represents a 19.4% ownership of Class A shares; however, QIA can only vote shares equivalent to 9.9% of all voting securities, with the balance of their shares to be voted by ESRT in accord with the votes of all other voting securities.

Qatar Investment Authority was founded by the State of Qatar in 2005 to strengthen the country’s economy by diversifying into new asset classes.  Building on the heritage of Qatar investments dating back more than three decades, its growing portfolio of long-term investments help complement the state’s huge wealth in natural resources.  Headquartered in Doha, and now with a subsidiary in New York called Qatar Investment Authority Advisory (US) Inc., QIA is structured to operate at the very highest levels of global investing.  (ESRT 23.08)

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3.2  State Department to Sell Qatar Mk-V Fast Patrol Boats

The State Department has made a determination approving a possible Foreign Military Sale to Qatar for Mk-V Fast Patrol Boats, equipment, training and support.  The estimated cost is $124.02 million.  The Defense Security Cooperation Agency delivered the required certification notifying Congress of this possible sale on 19 August 2016.  The Government of Qatar has requested eight M2HB .50 Caliber Machine Guns and Mk-V Fast Patrol Boats, Forward Looking Infrared (FLIR) Systems, MLG 27mm Gun Systems, 27mm ammunition, 27mm target practice ammunition, .50 Caliber ammunition, support equipment, publications, technical documentation, personnel training, U.S. Government and contractor engineering, in-country support, technical and logistics support services.

The State Department believes this proposed sale will contribute to the foreign policy and national security of the United States by helping to improve the security of a friendly country.  This proposed sale will provide Qatar with military capabilities to protect its critical sea-based infrastructure and maritime security. Qatar will have no difficulty absorbing this equipment into its armed forces.

The principal contractor will be United States Marine Incorporated (USMI) in Gulfport, Mississippi.  There are no known offset agreements proposed in connection with this potential sale.  Implementation of this proposed sale will require multiple trips by U.S. Government and contractor representatives to participate in program and technical reviews, system integration, as well as training and maintenance support in country for a period of five (5) years.  (DoS 23.08)

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3.3  World’s Largest Indoor Theme Park Opens in Dubai

IMG Worlds of Adventure, the world’s largest indoor theme park, opened its doors for the very first time on 31 August.  Wholly owned by the Ilyas and Mustafa Galadari Group and managed by IMG Worlds, it is the first international mega-themed park to open in Dubai.  Spanning 1.5 million square feet, equivalent to 28 football fields, IMG Worlds of Adventure is the first global theme park to feature international brands Marvel and Cartoon Network, in addition to two proprietary brands, IMG Boulevard and Lost Valley – Dinosaur Adventure.  It also includes a range of roller coasters and attractions, complemented by 28 F&B offerings and 25 retail outlets.  (AB 31.08)

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3.4  Six Flags Planning World’s Biggest Roller Coaster in Dubai

US-based Six Flags has reportedly pledged to build the world’s biggest roller coaster ride in Dubai.  Today, the tallest roller coaster in the world is in New Jersey and operated by Six Flags, while the world’s fastest roller coaster is in Abu Dhabi at Ferrari World.  Both Abu Dhabi and Dubai are encouraging the development of theme parks to help boost foreign tourist arrivals as oil prices slump, causing an economic slowdown in the region.  Earlier this year, Dubai ruler Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum exempted Saudi Arabia from a GCC theme park deal, allowing the Gulf kingdom to pursue plans with Six Flags.  (AB 23.08)

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3.5  PKL Services Gets $495 Million Saudi F-15 Support Contract

California’s PKL Services has been awarded a $495 million U.S. Air Force contract for work on the Royal Saudi Air Force’s F-15 fleet.  The indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity contract covers maintenance, upgrade and training of the Saudi Strike Eagle S- and SA-type fighters.  Work will be performed and has an estimated completion date of August 2021.  The contract is 100% foreign military sales to Saudi Arabia.  The 338th Specialized Contracting Squadron is the contracting activity.  The Royal Saudi Air Force has flown the F-15S fighters since the 1990s.  The F-15SA was rolled out in 2013 and featured improved performance and increased survivability at a lower life-cycle cost.  It also features two additional wing stations for increased payload and capability.  (UPI 02.09)

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3.6  Elevation Burger Announces Plans For 20 New Restaurants In Egypt

Arlington, Virginia’s Elevation Burger, the first and only 100% organic better burger franchise concept, announced the signing of a multi-unit development agreement with Essam Abu El Hassan to open 20 restaurants throughout Egypt.  Currently, the brand has 23 restaurants in the Middle East including Dubai, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar and Bahrain.  Abu El Hassan is new to the Elevation Burger family and was attracted to the brand’s philosophy – to be more than just a burger restaurant.  The company is dedicated to offering authentic and sustainably-prepared food that is better for consumers and the environment.  Also notable, all of Elevation Burger’s meat is halal.

From fresh and flavorful food made with the highest quality ingredients to friendly and inviting restaurants built with sustainable materials, Elevation Burger strives to deliver an elevated experience that is “Above and Beyond Good.”  The concept was founded in 2005 and began franchising in 2008.  Currently, there are more than 60 U.S. and international locations.  Elevation Burger is loved by loyal customers for its burgers made from 100% organic, grass-fed, free-range beef and fries cooked in heart-healthy Bertolli olive oil.  The brand also offers organic chicken, as well as vegetarian and vegan burgers.  (Elevation Burger 05.09)

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4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Haifa Chemicals Slapped With NIS 3.6 Million Fine for Air Pollution

On 1 September, the Environmental Protection Ministry imposed a NIS 3.6 million ($950,000) fine on Haifa Chemicals after the company failed several pollution inspections.  Haifa Chemicals is an international conglomerate considered a global leader in producing and supplying potassium nitrate and special plant nutrients for advanced agriculture in various climates, weather and soil conditions.  It also produces controlled-release fertilizers for agriculture, horticulture, ornamentals and turf. The company operates three factories and has 11 subsidiaries.

The fine was imposed after Environmental Protection Ministry spot checks discovered four violations of the Haifa facility’s emission permit guidelines.  The inspections took place between November 2015 and March 2016.  In all four cases, the facility’s four stacks exceeded permitted emission values during the production of potassium nitrate.  According to the Environmental Protection Ministry, air pollution is one of the gravest issues plaguing the Haifa Bay area, with measurements often findings its air quality to be the poorest in Israel.  The ministry is working to reduce air pollution in the Haifa Bay area through several programs, and its data indicates that over the past five years emission levels have decreased dramatically.  (IH 01.09)

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4.2  Saudi Plastic Bag Use is 20 Times Global Average

Saudi Arabia uses 40 kg. of plastic bags each year – almost 20 times the global average measured by the European Union (EU), according to reports from the kingdom.  Research by Riyadh Exhibitions Company (REC) claimed that Saudi Arabia’s per capita plastic bag consumption is the highest in the Middle East and double the rate for other countries in the GCC.  Meanwhile, plastic waste generated in the kingdom each year is equivalent to the weight of around 2 million cars, the REC research reportedly showed.  It claimed a rising population and increasing income levels have led to a sharp increase in consumption and waste.  Global individual consumption of plastic bags averages between 2-5 bags a day, or around 500 bags per year, while bag production totals 600 billion a year, according to figures from the EU.  The Saudi Gazette said the kingdom recently announced proposals to modify plastic products to reduce waste. It is understood those have yet to come into force.  (SG 05.09)

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5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Aqaba Welcomed Nearly 280,000 Tourists During First Half of 2016

Some 278,423 tourists visited the port city of Aqaba during the first six months of 2016, Petra reported on 7 September.  The average hotel stay was 2.07 nights, while hotel occupancy rates stood at 35.53 per cent in Aqaba, 330km south of Amman, in the first half of the year.  April was the busiest month, with 89,176 tourists, followed by May, with 54,491 tourists, and March, when 48,190 people visited the coastal resort.

Among foreign tourists, the largest number — 23,788 — came from Russia, followed by 5,884 Saudis, 5,320 Americans, 4,302 Brits and 3,912 Germans.  Some 160,412 Jordanian tourists visited Aqaba during the same period.

Meanwhile, the visitors’ center at Wadi Rum welcomed 368,550 tourists.  A total of 28,059 tourists entered Jordan at the Wadi Araba crossing between January and July, of whom 23,832 were part of tour groups.  The authorities are promoting Jordan’s “golden triangle of tourism” — Aqaba, Petra and Wadi Rum, encouraging visitors to enjoy Aqaba’s beaches, Wadi Rum’s desert landscape and Petra’s culture.  (JT 06.09)

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►►Arabian Gulf

5.2  GCC Hospitality Market Forecast to be Worth $36.7 Billion by 2020

Fundamentals in the Gulf’s hospitality sector remain strong despite recent falls in hotel room rates amid muted demand caused by economic slowdown, according to Alpen Capital’s GCC Hospitality Industry report.  Despite the drop in oil prices and currency depreciation is currently affecting demand, the sector’s long-term outlook remains stable.

According to Alpen Capital, the GCC hospitality market is expected to grow by 7.6% annually from an estimated $25.4 billion in 2015 to $36.7 billion in 2020, despite a slowdown in 2016.  It said the market is anticipated to recover in the long-term with upcoming events, robust fundamentals and government efforts, driving the continual rise in tourist arrivals and a robust pipeline of hotels and serviced apartments.

The key operating metrics of the sector is expected to remain under pressure in the short-term, mainly in the UAE and Qatar, but is likely to rebound in the long-term supported by growing demand, the report said.  During the forecast period, occupancy rates at hotels and serviced apartments are anticipated to grow by 3% to 70% while average daily rates (ADR) are likely to rise by 1.4% annually.  As a result, the aggregate revenue per available room (RevPAR) in the GCC is projected to grow by 2.3% annually to $133 by 2020.  Alpen said from 2015 to 2020, the hospitality markets of Qatar and the UAE are expected to demonstrate the fastest annualized growth of over 10%.

During the forecast period, the total room supply in the GCC is expected to grow at a 4% per year, slower than 5.7% expansion in international tourist arrivals.  The GCC region holds one of the largest hotel development pipelines in the world.  Dubai is likely to witness an addition of nearly 57,000 rooms in hotel and serviced apartments in the five years to 2020, while Saudi Arabia has a pipeline of over 47,000 rooms.  (AB 27.08)

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5.3  Kuwaiti Gov’t Sets $1 Billion Budget for Hospital Bills of Nationals Abroad

As part of Kuwait’s overseas treatment program, its government has approved a budget of more than $1 billion (KD320 million) for hospitals bills of nationals receiving treatment abroad.  This comes as the government is struggling with $500 million (KD150 million) worth of delayed payments to European and American hospitals abroad where Kuwaitis are being treated.  The unpaid dues may be the work of 11 independent financial controllers that the government is currently investigating for irregularities in documents of overseas treatments.  The finance ministry said the irregularities may have been caused by mismanagement by the health ministry.

However, the health ministry said all funds were spent following approvals from the financial controllers.  The overseas hospitals are likely to resort to legal action if the dues are not paid by Kuwait, sources told the newspaper.  From January to August this year, almost $1 billion (KD 300 million) has been spent on overseas treatments of Kuwaitis, despite the government having approved only $500 million (KD 150 million) for the year as part of its budget deficit.  (AB 29.08)

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5.4  Qatar’s First Quarter GDP Growth Slows to Lowest Level Since 2011

Preliminary first-quarter GDP data for Qatar, adjusted for inflation, has showed annual growth at its lowest level since at least 2011.  Qatar’s Ministry of Development Planning and Statistics said GDP rose by 1.1% in Q1/16, 2.7% lower than the previous quarter.  The data showed mining and quarrying sector, which includes oil and gas, shrank 3% year-on-year and decreased 2.5% quarter-on-quarter.  The rest of the economy% grew 5.5% from a year earlier but shrank 2.7% from the previous quarter.

Qatar, the world’s biggest liquefied natural gas exporter, is one of the richest of the Arabian Gulf states but like its neighbors, it has been pushed into austerity measures this year in an effort to stabilize its finances.  In June, the ministry predicted Qatar’s economy would grow 3.9% this year, down from a previous 4.3% forecast. It expects growth of 3.8% next year and 3.2% in 2018.  Earlier this year, Fitch Ratings said growth in Qatar’s non-oil economy is forecast to slow this year to 6% from an estimated 8% last year.  The ratings agency said in a statement that average non-hydrocarbon growth in Qatar has been 10% over the past five years.  It said the slowdown will be a result of a less benign fiscal environment, where a contraction in current spending and a focus on fiscal efficiency leads to a slowdown of both private and public consumption growth.  (AB 26.08)

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5.5  Sheikh Mohammed Approves UAE Bankruptcy Law

On 4 September, the UAE cabinet approved the country’s long-awaited draft law on bankruptcy.  The new law paves the way for ailing companies to restructure – something that is not currently available in the UAE.  Industry bodies including the UAE Banks Federation have been lobbying for such a law for several years. They claim the absence of formal bankruptcy legislation in the country hinders the growth of small-to-medium-sized businesses in particular – a sector the government is keen to develop.  Under existing legislation, unpaid debt or a bounced check can wind businesses in jail.  Recently, economy minister Sultan Saeed al-Mansouri was reported to have said the legislation may be finalized by the end of this year, to help companies weather challenging economic conditions.  (AB 05.09)

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5.6  Dubai-UK Trade Totals $1.82 Billion in First Quarter of 2016

Dubai – UK trade totaled AED6.7 billion ($1.82 billion) in Q1/16 and Dubai Customs says it is looking at ways of expanding bilateral trade.  Imports accounted for AED4.6 billion in the first quarter, exports totaled AED393 million and re-exports AED1.66 billion.  It added that total trade for 2015 was AED29.7 billion.  (AB 23.08)

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5.7  Dubai Launches Smart System to Track Water Container Refills

Dubai Municipality has agreed a deal with Swiss secure identification company SICPA to ensure five-gallon water bottles are not refilled too many times.  The system enables consumers to scan goods to confirm their origin and detect potential uncertified products.  The contract will initially focus on water bottles and also the tracking of halal products.  SICPA’s smart track and trace technology, called SICPATRACE, guarantees goods are authentic and they conform to accreditation standards.  The smart labels used for tracking functions can be applied to a variety of products such as packaged foods, cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, dairy products and food supplements.  SICPA facilitates identity protection, secure transactions and product integrity on more than 80 billion products a year.  (AB 23.08)

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5.8  Saudi Inflation Rate Falls to Year-Low in July

Saudi Arabia’s inflation rate fell to its lowest level this year in July, according to new figures released by the Saudi Central Department of Statistics.  The data showed that consumer inflation dropped to 3.8% last month, from 4.1% in June, but was up from 2.2% compared to July 2015.  Transport costs jumped 9.4% from a year earlier after the government raised gasoline prices in late December as an austerity measure.  Prices of housing and utilities rose 7.5% after utility fees were raised in December, but food and beverage prices edged down 0.1%.

Saudi consumer confidence score remained flat in the second quarter of 2016 at 104 but remained one of just 12 countries globally to reach or exceed a score of 100, which is the optimism benchmark, according to Nielsen.  The latest Nielsen Consumer Confidence Index said that job prospect sentiment improved 2% (50%), personal finance sentiment remained bright (64% favorable) while immediate spending intentions reduced by 4% (45%).  (AB 26.08)

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5.9  Saudi Food Inflation Turns Negative for First Time Since Jan 2010

Food inflation turned negative in Saudi Arabia in July for the first time since the start of 2010, according to new official figures analyzed by Jadwa Investment.  Consumer price index data for July showed a deceleration in prices to 3.8% year-on-year compared to 4.1% in June, the four consecutive month of declines.  Jadwa said in a statement that the decline was, in part, the result of the subdued level of economic activity so far in 2016.  It added that it maintains its forecast for annual average inflation of 3.9% for 2016.

While food inflation turned negative for the first time in more than six years, housing inflation remained as the main contributor to overall inflation during July.  The contribution of housing prices to overall inflation rose to 49.4%, its highest since December 2011, while core inflation saw its contribution decline to 51%, down from 53.6% recorded in the previous month.  Jadwa said.  Housing inflation recorded an acceleration in July to 7.5%, up from 7.2% in June as rentals rose to 3.4% year-on-year in July, up from 2.9% recorded in the previous month.

Nearly all subgroups of the core index posted a year-on-year slowdown in July. Year-on-year inflation for clothing, transport, and furnishings slowed to 4.2%, 9.4%, and 2% respectively.  Meanwhile the year-on-year deflationary trend in the restaurants and hotels subgroup continued with -1.6% in July.  (Jadwa 03.09)

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5.10  Russia & Saudi Arabia Agree Cooperation on Oil Price But Not On Freeze

Saudi Arabia and Russia, the world’s two biggest oil producers, said on 5 September that they had agreed to “act together” to try to stabilize oil prices, but failed to make headway on a production freeze.  The two nations “noted the particular importance of constructive dialogue and close cooperation between the largest oil-producing countries with the goal of supporting the stability of the oil market and ensuring a stable level of investment in the long term,” the energy ministers from both countries said.  Their comments came in a joint statement after a meeting at the G-20 summit in China.

Russia’s Energy Minister Alexander Novak described the announcement as marking a “new era” in cooperation between Russia and Saudi Arabia and insisted it would have a “critical significance” for oil markets, news agency Interfax reported.  But there were no details in the announcement on any elusive agreement to freeze oil output, just weeks before Moscow and OPEC meet in Algeria to discuss the crisis.

The oil market has been plagued by a stubborn supply glut that saw prices plunge to near 13 year lows below $30 at the start of 2016.  While it has recovered recently, it is still well off highs above $100 seen in mid-2014.  (AFP 05.09)

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►►North Africa

5.11  Egypt’s Parliament Approves VAT at 13% in 2016/17

On 28 August, Egypt’s parliament approved the long-delayed value added tax (VAT) at a rate of 13% for the 2016/17 fiscal year, but said it will rise to 14% the following year.  The parliament approved 30 articles of the VAT law out of 74.  The new tax is scheduled to be implemented in September.

The delayed VAT law is part of the government’s fiscal reform program, implemented in July 2014, through which energy subsidies are cut and new taxes are introduced to reduce the country’s ballooning budget deficit – estimated at 11.5% of GDP in fiscal year 2015/16.  A 118 page report prepared by the committees of legislative and constitutional affairs and the budget indicated that MPs were not able to reach an agreement on some of its articles, especially the VAT rate.  The parliament has been holding on to a VAT rate of 12%, while the cabinet is insisting on a 14% rate.

A 14% VAT rate was expected to generate EGP 32 billion in the 2016/17 state budget, according to MP Sayed Abdel-Al, who is a member of the Economic Committee in the parliament.  The VAT is aimed at avoiding tax evasion as it will be applied to each member of the production chain of goods and services to the final retail stage, instead of the current sales tax that is imposed as a one-off on the final sale to the customers.  The VAT that the consumer pays when the product comes on the market applies to the cost of the product minus the cost of the components that have already been taxed.

The government decided to slash its total subsidy bill in the current 2016/17 budget, which began in July, by 14% compared to the last fiscal year’s bill, estimated at EGP 154 billion.  The VAT may lead to price inflation ranging between 0.5% for low-income Egyptians and up to 2.3% for the upper class.  The VAT law is part of a government reform program that has been endorsed by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and has led to an initial agreement between the government and the global lender on a $12 billion fund facility over three years, which is expected to be approved by the fund’s executive board in the coming weeks.  (Ahram Online 28.08)

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5.12  Egypt’s Tourism Falls by 41.9% in July

Egypt suffered a 41.9% drop in the number of incoming tourists in July compared to a year earlier, CAPMAS announced on 29 August.  A total of 529,200 tourists visited Egypt in July 2016, dropping from 911,600 in July 2015.  CAPMAS attributed its findings largely due to a 60% decline in incoming Russian tourists and a 17.5% slump in number of British tourists.  Moscow suspended all flights to Egypt pending an investigation into an October 2015 crash of a Russian jet above Sinai.  The UK also halted all flights to and from Sharm el-Sheikh following the crash.

Egypt’s finance minister said earlier in August that he expects tourism revenues in FY 2015/ 2016 to reach $4 — $4.5 billion, with losses in its last 10 months being “the worst in 15 years.”  Moody’s Investors Services also reported last month that tourism revenues fell in the first quarter of 2016 to record its lowest level since 1998.  According to the Moody’s report, tourism revenues fell to $551 million in the first quarter of 2016, the lowest since March 1998 and much lower than the third-quarter 2010 peak of $3.6 billion.  Egypt has been trying to revive the sector, a main source of hard currency, since a popular uprising in 2011 triggered years of political turmoil, taking a heavy toll on tourism.  (CAPMAS 29.08)

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5.13  Egypt’s Minister of International Cooperation Discusses Future Plans With Canada

Egypt’s Minister of International Cooperation Sahar Nasr met with the Canadian ambassador to Egypt Troy Lulashynk to discuss the cooperation between both countries, including future plans and projects, and to follow up on latest developments. Nasr also met executive chairperson of Bombardier and other officials from the company.  The projects between Egypt and Canada are well-aligned with the priorities of the Egyptian government, and its plans and programs for social development, Nasr said.

Also discussed were Bombardier’s investments in Egypt in the transportation sector, including the methods to fund the hanging monorail train project, which links 6th of October City and Giza.  The projects’ execution and implementation are easy, and that it will run on environmentally friendly energy.  It will also help in creating attractive investment and real estate development zones.  The new line is 35km long, and includes 10 stations with a daily capacity of 270,000 passengers, and a trip time of 38 minutes.

Nasr also confirmed that Egypt is keen on increasing the partnership with Canada through allowing the latter to support a number of small and medium-sized projects, which are meant to increase job opportunities for youth, women, and the underprivileged.  She additionally mentioned updating the vocational and technical training programs and increasing the capacity of Egyptian institutions.  This comes as part of Egypt’s framework of recruitment and its attempts of eliminating unemployment.  (DNE 01.09)

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5.14  Suez Canal Sees 2% Decline in July Revenues

Egypt’s Suez Canal Authority announced total revenues of $429 million in July from the canal, a decrease of almost 2% from the $437.7 million recorded in the same month last year.  Canal authorities also announced revenues of $2.919 billion in the first seven months of 2016, a 1.9% decrease from $2.977 billion in the same period last year, according to official data on the canal’s website.  Egyptian officials predicted Suez Canal revenues would increase following the inauguration of an additional lane to allow two-way traffic and works to deepen the main canal to allow the passage of larger vessels in August 2015, which cost upwards of around $4 billion.  Officials had claimed the new canal would more than double revenues to reach $13.2 billion in 2023.  However, falling oil prices and a slowdown in world trade led to a decrease in the canal’s revenues.  (Ahram Online 05.09)

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5.15  4.2 Million Tourists Visited Morocco in First Half of 2016

Some 4.2 million tourists visited Morocco in the first half of 2016, decreasing by 2.6% compared to the same period of 2015, according to figures by Morocco’s Tourism Office.  The number of foreign tourists was down 5.6% while arrivals of Moroccans living abroad posted an increase of 1.7%.  Tourist arrivals from the United Kingdom, Germany, France and Italy decreased by 8%, 7%, 5% and 5% respectively, while the number of tourists from Holland remained constant.  According to data provided by the professionals of tourist accommodation, overnight stays in tourist accommodation facilities decreased by 4% compared to the same period of 2015.  (MWN 22.08)

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5.16  Morocco’s Energy Bill Down 29.9% as of July 2016

Morocco’s energy bill decreased by 29.9% at the end of July 2016, reaching 29.42 billion dirhams, against 41.95 billion dirhams one year before, according to the Exchange Control Office.  The share of energy costs in total imports decreased by 6.3 points, that is 12.5% during the first seven months of 2016, instead of 18.8% at end of July 2015, noted the Office in the monthly indicators of foreign trade in July 2016.  This decrease is mainly due to the decline of petroleum crude oil supplies (-100%), and of oil imports of gas and other hydrocarbons (-2.9%), the same source noted.

Despite the drop in energy products, imports increased by 4.9% (234.58 billion dirhams against 223.67 billion dirhams at the end of July 2015), the Office said, adding that this increase is attributable to increased purchases of capital goods equipment (+21.8%), finished consumer products (+15.3%), food products (+15.5%) and semi-finished products (+7.2%).  During the first seven months of 2016, Morocco’s trade balance deteriorated by more than 9 billion dirhams, that is an increase in the deficit of 16.7% compared to the same period of last year, the same source added.  (MWN 05.09)

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5.17  Morocco Ranks in Top Five of World Olive Oil Producers

Morocco is the fifth largest producer and exporter of olive oil worldwide.  It is also among the top three countries with the lowest cost to produce.  Morocco’s average olive oil has reach an annual production 140,000 tons.  This figure represents an 87% increase as compared to the period of 2004-2008.  Thanks to the Maroc Vert (Green Morocco) initiated by the kingdom, Morocco has almost doubled its production of olive oil in the past six years.

The land usage of olive tree plantations has reach an annual average of 37,420 hectares.  In the last six years, new plantations have expanded to 224,500 hectares.  This expansion has had a positive effect on the production of oil in the past six years.  Fella trade, cited in the same news source, reveals that the average production of olive oil has reach 1,326,000 tons, 70 times higher than 2009, which averaged at 783,000.

The rise in olive oil production has positively impacted the price in the global market.  A study conducted by the International Olive Council places Morocco among the only three countries with an olive oil production cost that is below the average.  The study investigated the production cost in fifteen countries: Morocco, Greece, Uruguay, Lebanon, Algeria, Iran, Italy, Israel, Tunisia, Portugal, Turkey, Spain, Argentina, Albania and Jordan.  The two other countries with a production cost below the average of €2.63 kg. are Turkey and Tunisia.  (MWN 04.09)

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6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkey’s Exports Rise Some 7% in August Due To Sharp Rise in Car Sales

Turkey’s exports showed a year-on-year rise in August, with the car exports increasing 23% in the mentioned period, data from the Turkish Exporters Assembly (TIM) showed on 1 September.  Exports rose by 6.9% in August to $11.16 billion compared to the same month of 2015, marking the largest increase in exports in the last 28 months.

The automotive sector made exports worth over $1.68 billion in August, amounting to 15.1% of Turkey’s total exports, according to the TIM data, which excludes gold and jewelry data.  The sector was followed by the ready-made clothing sector with exports worth $1.61 billion and the chemical materials sector with exports worth $1.21 billion.  While Turkey’s total exports were announced as amounting to $92.6 billion in the first eight months of the year, marking a 3.1% decrease, its 12-month exports amounted to $140.9 billion, marking a 5% decline.

In the first eight months of the year, the automotive sector again topped the list with exports worth $15.14 billion, followed by the ready-made clothing and confection sector with exports worth $11.58 billion, and the chemicals sector with exports worth $9.17 billion.

Most Turkish exports went to Germany in August with a 17.4% of year-on-year increase.  Exports to the U.K. saw a 1.4% increase, to Iraq a 4.2% of decrease, to the U.S. a 19.6% of increase and to France a 8.3% increase.  Turkey’s exports to the EU rose by 12.7% in August compared to the same month of 2015.  Among the 20 countries to which the largest amount of exports were made, the highest increase was seen in Bulgaria in August with an 82.9% year-on-year hike. Turkey’s exports to Israel saw a 34.6% increase and exports to Iran saw a 23.6% increase.  (HDN 01.09)

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7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

*ISRAEL:

7.1  Eid Al-Adha – Feast of the Sacrifice to Begin on 12 September

The first day of the Islamic holiday Eid al-Adha will fall on 12 September.  Eid al-Adha is a religious festival celebrated by Muslims worldwide as a commemoration of Ibrahim’s willingness to sacrifice his son Ishmael for Allah.  It is one of two Eid festivals that Muslims celebrate.  Like Eid al-Fitr, Eid al-Adha begins with a short prayer followed by a sermon.  Eid al-Adha is three days long and starts on the 10th day of the month of Dhul Hijja of the lunar Islamic calendar.  This is the day after the pilgrims in Hajj, the annual pilgrimage to Mecca in Saudi Arabia by Muslims worldwide, descend from Mount Arafat.  It happens to be approximately 70 days after the end of the month of Ramadan.

Men, women and children are expected to dress in their finest clothing and perform the Eid prayer in any mosque.  Muslims who can afford to do so sacrifice their best domestic animals (usually sheep, but also camels, cows, and goats) as a symbol of Ibrahim’s sacrifice.  The sacrificed animals, called udhiya, also known as qurbani, have to meet certain age and quality standards or else the animal is considered an unacceptable sacrifice.  Generally, these must be at least 4 years old.  At the time of sacrifice, Allah’s name is recited along with the offering statement and a supplication as Muhammad said.  According to the Quran a large portion of the meat has to be given towards the poor and hungry people so they can all join in the feast which is held on Eid-al-Adha.  The remainder is cooked for the family celebration meal in which relatives and friends are invited to share.

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7.2  Millions of Students Begin School in Israel

On 1 September, approximately 2.2 million Israeli students returned to school, with 159,000 entering first grade.  Meanwhile, 123,000 are ending their K-12 career.  Approximately 180,000 educators work in the Israeli school system, including 9,000 of whom who are teaching for the first time; 4,000 will be primary school teachers, 2,600 will be high school teachers and 1,300 will be kindergarten teachers.  About 7,500 of the new teachers are women.

The new school year will start under the theme of “United Jerusalem,” and will include several statements by the education minister himself.  The new school year will see a new initiative to improve English education, and will see several of the Biton Commission recommendations be put into place.  There will also be more classes in high school about the history of Jews of Arab descent.  Students will also tour development towns and moshav locations.  (Ynetnews 01.09)

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7.3  Number of Arab Teachers in Jewish Schools Rises by 40%

The number of Israeli Arab teachers working in Jewish state schools has increased by 40% in recent years to reach 588 in the last school year, up from 420 just three years ago.  The jump is the result of an Education Ministry program to integrate Arab teachers of English, mathematics and science, among other subjects, into Jewish schools, reducing the surplus of teachers in the Arab sector and promoting coexistence.  The program, launched in 2013, is run jointly by the Education Ministry’s Teaching Personnel Department and the Merchavim Institute for the Advancement of Shared Citizenship in Israel.

According to Education Ministry figures, the school subjects with the biggest jump — 76% — in the number of Arab teachers are English, math and science.  The number of Arab teachers instructing Arabic language classes at state schools also increased by 40% from 2013 to 2016.  (Israel Hayom 29.08)

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7.4  Space Education Program Expands Orbit to 100 Schools

Thousands of Israeli middle school students will study space science and will even launch three experiments at the International Space Station as the Ramon Space Lab program expands to 100 schools in the coming school year, the Education Ministry announced.  The Ramon Space Lab program, which promotes space education among Israeli school students, was named after Israeli astronaut Ilan Ramon, who was killed in the space shuttle Columbia disaster in 2003, and his son Asaf, a fighter pilot who was killed in a training accident in 2009, and is a collaboration between the Education Ministry, the Israel Space Agency, and the Ramon Foundation.  As part of the program, students will meet with NASA astronauts and scientists and even see their own work launched into space.  The project-based learning program, which ran as a pilot in 12 schools over the past year, will this year include thousands of eighth- and ninth-graders in 100 Jewish and Arab schools.

Student teams will compete against each other to submit experiment proposals, and the three winning teams will send vials into space in February 2017, most likely with a Falcon 9 multi-use rocket.  An astronaut on the International Space Station will carry out the research on their behalf, and the students will analyze the results.  (YH 28.08)

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7.5  For Second Straight Year, Druze Town Has Top Matriculation Rate

For the second year in a row, the Galilee Druze town of Beit Jann beat other localities in Israel to achieve the highest rates of students passing the high school matriculation exam in 2015.  According to the Education Ministry, 99% of students in Beit Jann received their bagrut, or graduation certificates last school year, up 4.6% from 2014, and 7% from 2013.  The Arab village of Abu al-Hija, outside Karmiel, came in second nationwide with a 98% success rate, followed by Kiryat Ekron at 96%, and Givat Shmuel and Kedumim with 93%.

Among Israel’s bigger cities, Rishon Lezion led the way with 77%; followed by Haifa with 76%; Tel Aviv and Beersheba at 70%; and, way below, Jerusalem, with 47%.  Unsurprisingly, predominantly ultra-Orthodox communities and some poorer Arab towns had the lowest percentage of students passing the matriculation exams.

The ultra-Orthodox towns of Modi’in Illit and Kiryat Ye’arim (Telz-Stone) had the lowest overall rates with an unprecedented 0% pass rate.  In Bnei Brak, a mostly ultra-Orthodox city in central Israel, only 11% of students passed the exams, though the meager showing was a slight improvement from its 10% pass rate in 2015.  The comparatively low figures are in part due to minimal high school attendance rates in Israel’s ultra-Orthodox communities.  (ToI 29.08)

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*REGIONAL:

7.6  Eid Al Adha Break for UAE Private Sector is 11 – 13 September

The Eid Al Adha vacation for UAE private sector workers will be take place from Sunday, 11 September to Tuesday, 13 September, according to the Ministry of Human Resources and Emiratisation.  Public sector workers will be on holiday from 11 to 18 September.  The first day of Eid Al Adha will fall on 12 September this year in the UAE.  Eid Al Adha comes a day after Muslim pilgrims stand on Mount Arafat in the outskirts of Makkah in western Saudi Arabia as part of their pilgrimage.  The ascent of Arafat is the first event associated with the five-day Haj.  (AB 04.09)

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7.7  New Bill Increases Jail Terms as Female Genital Mutliation Becomes a Felony in Egypt

Egypt’s cabinet approved on 28 August a draft bill designating the practice of female genital mutilation (FGM) a felony, raising prison terms for those convicted of performing the procedure, health minister Ahmed Emad announced.  Emad said that the new bill amends the law criminalizing FGM, currently a misdemeanor, by stiffening penalties to between five and seven years in prison instead of the current three months to two years for practitioners who perform the procedure.  Those who “escort” victims to the procedure can also face jail sentences ranging from one to three years.  The bill, which has been sent to parliament for ratification, also carries a stiffened penalty of up to 15 years imprisonment if the practice leads to death or a “permanent deformity.”

Although FGM by its very nature leads to deformity, Egyptian law does not consider the act in itself as leading to “permanent deformity.”  The health minister said that the current FGM rate in Egypt is 91%, despite the law passed in 2008 criminalizing the practice.  He added that the entrenched tradition can only be combated through laws criminalizing the practice, especially since the procedure is often performed by people who are not licensed medical practitioners.  There is a widespread belief in Egypt that women who do not undergo FGM are unable to control their sexual urges.  (Ahram Online 28.08)

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7.8  Tunisia’s Youngest Premier Since Independence Sworn in

Tunisia’s new Prime Minister Youssef Chahed and members of his Cabinet were sworn in on 27 August, the presidency said, after approval from parliament.  The prime minister and his 26 ministers swore to “work devotedly for the good of Tunisia” and to “respect its constitution and laws.”  Chahed, at 40, is the country’s youngest prime minister since independence from France in 1956.  He is also the seventh premier in less than six years since the 2011 uprising that toppled longtime dictator Zine El Abidine Ben Ali.  Parliament on 26 August approved the Cabinet line-up, with 168 out 195 lawmakers who attended the session voting in favor, 22 against and five abstaining.  The new Cabinet took office on 29 August after a hand-over ceremony from former premier Habib Essid.

Chahed was appointed by President Beji Caid Essebsi early this month after lawmakers passed a vote of no confidence in Essid’s government following just 18 months in office.  The new prime minister is a member of the president’s Nidaa Tounes Party and a liberal who was local affairs minister before his nomination.  He and his Cabinet — which includes women, “young” ministers, three members of the Islamist Ennahda Party and several independents — will have to tackle pressing economic and security challenges.

While Tunisia is considered a rare success story of the Arab Spring, the authorities have failed to resolve the issues of poverty, unemployment, regional disparities and corruption that preceded Ben Ali’s fall.  The North African country in January witnessed its worst social unrest since the 2011 uprising.  Tunisia has also been rocked by a wave of extremist attacks, including two that killed dozens of foreign tourists last year.  (AFP 27.08)

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7.9  Turkey Cuts Length of Military Officers’ Service After The Attempted Coup

Turkey’s Supreme Military Council decided on 30 August to reduce the length of military officers’ service to 28 years in order to reduce the accumulation of high-ranking officers, the defense ministry said.  It also said in a statement that the council, meeting for the second time within one month after the July 15 attempted coup, decided to put into retirement 586 colonels while extending the period of service of 434 colonels by two years.  (Majalla 24.08)

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8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  BioLineRx & I-Bridge Capital Establish a New Drug Development Joint Venture in China

BioLineRx established a joint venture (JV) with I-Bridge Capital, a Chinese venture capital fund focused on developing innovative therapies in China.  The joint venture, named iPharma, will develop innovative clinical and pre-clinical therapeutic candidates originating primarily in Israel to serve the Chinese and global healthcare markets.  Under the terms of the JV agreement, each partner will provide seed capital of one million dollars to the venture.  BioLineRx will screen and identify promising early-stage drug candidates originating primarily in Israel with emphasis on therapeutic indications that are of special interest for the Chinese population.  These therapeutic candidates will then be in-licensed by iPharma for further development and commercialization in China and possibly in other countries as well.  After a critical mass of in-licensed projects is reached, iPharma intends to raise additional funds from Chinese investors to accelerate further development activities. Each partner is protected from dilution for a five-year period and the first project is expected to join iPharma’s pipeline within the next few months.

Modi’in’s BioLineRx is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company dedicated to identifying, in-licensing and developing promising therapeutic candidates.  The Company in-licenses novel compounds, primarily from academic institutions and biotech companies based in Israel, develops them through pre-clinical and/or clinical stages, and then partners with pharmaceutical companies for advanced clinical development and/or commercialization.  (BioLineRx 25.08)

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8.2  Leap Therapeutics & Macrocure Announce Definitive Merger Agreement

Massachusetts’ Leap Therapeutics, a clinical stage immuno-oncology company, and Macrocure announced the signing of a definitive merger agreement.  Under the terms of the agreement, Macrocure will become a wholly owned subsidiary of Leap, and Leap will become a public company.  In connection with the transaction, Leap will apply to have the shares of the combined entity listed for trading on NASDAQ upon completion of the merger.  Under the terms of the agreement, Macrocure shareholders will exchange their Macrocure shares for newly issued shares of Leap common stock.  In addition, existing Leap investors, including entities affiliated with HealthCare Ventures, have committed to invest an additional $10 million at the closing of the transaction.

The combination with Macrocure positions the organization as a leading immuno-oncology company with sufficient capital to advance their pipeline of first-in-class monoclonal antibodies through significant value-creating events.  Importantly, Leap anticipates achieving substantial clinical milestones over the course of 2016 and 2017.  They plan to present data and initiate randomized studies for DKN-01, our lead development candidate, which has demonstrated clinical activity in esophageal cancer and cholangiocarcinoma when combined with chemotherapy; and we expect to report data from a repeat-dose study of TRX518, a novel GITR agonist monoclonal antibody which is believed to enhance an immune anti-tumor response.

Petah Tikva’s Macrocure is a clinical-stage biotechnology company that was focused on developing a novel therapeutic platform to address chronic and hard-to-heal wounds.  (Leap 30.08)

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8.3  Exalenz Collaboration with Conatus for BreathID Monitoring Patients with Cirrhosis Associated with NASH (Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis)

Exalenz Bioscience announced a collaboration with San Diego, California’s Conatus Pharmaceuticals to use the BreathID Methacetin Breath Test (MBT) to monitor patients in a planned Phase IIb clinical trial evaluating Emricasan.  Emricasan is an investigational treatment for patients with chronic liver disease, being developed by Conatus.  This collaboration is the latest addition to Exalenz’s growing clinical pipeline of investigational diagnostic applications utilizing BreathID® to diagnose serious liver diseases. In addition to three trials related to NASH diagnostics and monitoring, the company has ongoing clinical trials for detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), diagnosis of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) and monitoring of acute liver failure (ALF).

Modi’in’s Exalenz Bioscience develops and markets diagnostic and monitoring systems that use the breath to diagnose and help manage gastrointestinal and liver conditions.  The company’s flagship BreathID Hp test detects the presence of the H. pylori bacteria, associated with various illnesses including gastric cancer and is in use in over 350 US medical centers.  (Exalenz 29.08)

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8.4  Kamada & Kedrion Seek FDA Approval of Human Rabies Immunoglobulin as a Post-Exposure Treatment

Kamada and Italy’s Kedrion announced the submission of a Biological License Application (BLA) which has been filed with the U.S. FDA for a post-exposure treatment for rabies, a life-threatening condition.  The human anti-rabies immune globulin (IgG) therapy was developed as a collaboration between the two companies.  Kamada and Kedrion have a strategic agreement for the clinical development and marketing of the anticipated new IgG rabies treatment in the U.S.  Kamada will hold the license for the approved product and Kedrion will exclusively market the therapy in the U.S., subject to receiving marketing approval from the FDA.

Kamada has been selling the product since 2003 in numerous territories outside the U.S. under the brand name KamRAB.  Kamada has sold more than one million vials of the product to date, demonstrating significant clinical and safety experience with the product.  Kamada and Kedrion expect a regulatory decision from the FDA on the BLA in mid-2017, and plan on launching the product soon after a favorable decision.

Ness Tziona’s Kamada is focused on plasma-derived protein therapeutics for orphan indications, and has a commercial product portfolio and a robust late-stage product pipeline.  The Company uses its proprietary platform technology and know-how for the extraction and purification of proteins from human plasma to produce Alpha-1 Antitrypsin (AAT) in a highly-purified, liquid form, as well as other plasma-derived Immune globulins.  AAT is a protein derived from human plasma with known and newly-discovered therapeutic roles given its immunomodulatory, anti-inflammatory, tissue-protective and antimicrobial properties.  The Company’s flagship product is Glassia, the first and only liquid, ready-to-use, intravenous plasma-derived AAT product approved by the U.S. FDA.  Kamada also leverages its expertise and presence in the plasma-derived protein therapeutics market by distributing more than 10 complementary products in Israel that are manufactured by third parties.  (Kamada 01.09)

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8.5  Gordian Surgical Receives CE Clearance for TroClose1200

Misgav Israel’s Gordian Surgical, a portfolio company of The Trendlines Group, received CE clearance for its TroClose1200, an innovative trocar with integrated closure system for the suturing of abdominal wall incisions during laparoscopic surgical procedures.  The Company announced the completion of registration and receipt of CE approval to begin marketing the TroClose1200.  Together with this certification, Gordian also received ISO13485 certification.

Gordian Surgical’s TroClose1200 acts both as a trocar, through which surgical instruments enter the abdomen, and to close internal incisions made during surgery, delivering “two-in-one” functionality.  Currently, surgeons insert sutures in a time-consuming and difficult process at the end of the procedure or they close internal incisions with the use of an additional device.  Using the TroClose1200’s uniquely designed release mechanism, sutures are inserted into the tissue at the beginning of the procedure and anchored to remain in place throughout the operation, allowing incisions to be closed easily and quickly upon removal of the TroClose1200.

Gordian has started human trials to demonstrate safety and efficacy and has, to date, performed 34 successful laparoscopic procedures using the TroClose1200, including hysterectomy, cholecystectomy (gallbladder removal), hernia repair, and sleeve gastrectomy.  The surgeries were performed by four different surgeons in two medical centers in Israel and abroad. Gordian expects to complete 50 additional procedures as part of the trial by the end of 2016.

Gordian Surgical has raised approximately $3 million from The Trendlines Group, Pirveli Ventures (a Canadian foundation operating in Israel), Chinese investment fund Virtus Inspire Ventures, Israel’s Office of the Chief Scientist, and private investors, including renowned Israeli and American surgeons.  (Gordian Surgical 06.09)

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9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Checkmarx Announces Federal Information Processing Standards (FIPS) Support

Checkmarx announced availability of its FIPS compliance CxSAST offering.  The new capability enables Checkmarx to comply with FIPS 140 regulations and maintain its strict guidelines across all Checkmarx implementations.  Organizations delivering services to the federal space and organizations within the federal space can now run Checkmarx CxSAST in a FIPS compliant mode.  This enables federal and government organizations bound by FIPS regulation to fully deploy Checkmarx solutions.  Government organizations deal with a high volume of sensitive information and details that need to be secure.  This new announcement and use of Checkmarx CxSAST will greatly improve processes and streamline security efforts from the initial coding until the rollout.

Ramat Gan’s Checkmarx develops solutions used by developers and security professionals to identify and fix vulnerabilities in web and mobile applications early in the development lifecycle.  It provides an easy and effective way for organizations to automate security testing within their Software Development Lifecycle (SDLC) which systematically eliminates software risk before applications are released.  (Checkmarx 24.08)

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9.2  Telematics Wireless to Implement Smart City Technology in Montréal

Telematics Wireless (Telematics), a leader in smart city control applications, has announced that its smart city technology has been selected for use in a new control and monitoring solution for 132,500 street lights in the City of Montreal, Canada.  As part of a C$28 million contract awarded to énergère Consultants for the supply and installation of an intelligent street lighting management solution, Telematics’ solution will include its 7-pin external Lighting Control Units (LCUs) and internal LCUs that will control the operation of the lighting fixtures.

énergère, who intends to provide comprehensive city-wide coverage via multiple smart city networks, has chosen Telematics’ T-Light Pro System for its highly robust wireless mesh multi-hop network that utilizes self-healing and cognitive radio algorithms.  Telematics’ solution for smart city applications enables reliable and secure two-way communications between lighting nodes and the Central Management Software (CMS) via a wireless network that uses a small number of gateways.  This energy-saving solution controls lighting levels and monitors the power and energy usage of lightings.  Street light outages are detected in real time, thus reducing maintenance costs and enhancing public safety.

Holon’s Telematics Wireless is a recognized global leader in the delivery of outdoor lighting control systems, as well as robust, reliable and advanced energy and water resource management systems based on RF wireless networks.  With almost 20 years of experience in Machine-to-Machine technologies, our solutions support a wide spectrum of smart city applications, increasing their efficiency, reliability, and cost-effectiveness.  The company has deployed tens of thousands of Light Control Units worldwide in dozens of cities.  (Telematics 24.08)

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9.3  Reporty App Live-Streams Emergency Situations From Your Smartphone To First Responders

Reporty provides rescue teams with the precise location and real-time information from your smartphone, including live video.  Reporty is a free app that facilitates the communication between people in emergency situations and public safety agencies, live-streaming video from your smartphone’s camera to the applicable authorities.  Once contacted, the dispatcher will also have access to relevant information, including the person’s name, location, needs, and more.  Using the power of the crowd, Reporty is revolutionizing the way first response and public safety agencies manage events in the field.

The US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) estimates that improving location accuracy could potentially save about 10,000 lives a year.  Now, Reporty offers precise location accuracy (1 meter).  When the app is on, the user can click on one of the assistance options on the user interface, which include different emergency services, such as medical assistance, police authorities and firefighters, in addition to local municipal authorities.  Once an option is selected, the app live-streams video from the smartphone’s camera, showing authorities exactly what is happening around the user. If the user is unable to speak, Reporty also allows for instant messaging.

The advantage of Reporty over simply calling 911, is that in many emergency situations, the ability to coherently explain the situation may be impaired or non-existent.  Furthermore, 911 dispatchers on the other side of the phone are completely blind over what is going on with the caller – that is, they literally cannot see where exactly the caller is, who’s around them, if they’re alone, and other general information about their surroundings.  Sometimes they won’t even be able to identify whether it might be a prank call or not.  By showing the incident to the dispatchers through the phone’s camera, these can give instructions to the person in need even before they physically reach his or her location.

Tel Aviv’s Reporty Homeland Security has set out to bridge the gap between the people and the resources designed to help them.  They are introducing the most innovative technology the public safety sector has ever seen.  Using the power of the crowd, Reporty is revolutionizing the way first response and public safety agencies manage events in the field.  Their ground-breaking communications platform shows the true nature of any event, emergency or non-emergency, as it unfolds.  Reporty has raised $1.8 million and attracted roughly 100,000 users in recent months.  In June, the startup won the Tel Aviv Startup Challenge competition run by StarTAU, Tel Aviv University’s entrepreneurship center.  (NoCamels 29.08)

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9.4  Mellanox Ethernet Offload Engines Enable New Levels of Application Efficiency with VMware vSphere

Mellanox Technologies announced software driver support for ConnectX-4 Ethernet and RoCE (RDMA over Converged Ethernet) on VMware vSphere, the industry’s leading virtualization platform.  Now, for the first time, virtualized enterprise applications are able to realize the same industry-leading performance and efficiency as non-virtualized environments.  The new vSphere software for ConnectX-4 delivers three critical new capabilities; increased Ethernet network speeds at 25/50 and 100 Gb/s, virtualized application communication over RoCE, and advanced network virtualization and SDN (Software Defined Networking) acceleration support.

Mellanox’s ConnectX-4 supports VMware vSphere clouds with Ethernet networks operating at speeds up to 100 Gb/s, enabling the compute and storage traffic to run over a single wire.  This greatly improves the return on investment of Hyperconverged infrastructure and enables multicore CPUs to achieve their full capacity to run applications.

Yokneam’s Mellanox Technologies is a leading supplier of end-to-end InfiniBand and Ethernet interconnect solutions and services for servers and storage.  Mellanox interconnect solutions increase data center efficiency by providing the highest throughput and lowest latency, delivering data faster to applications and unlocking system performance capability.  (Mellanox 29.08)

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9.5  Supermassive Games Compiles its Games 4 Times Faster With IncrediBuild

BAFTA-winning independent British game developer Supermassive Games   has managed to compile its games 4 times faster, significantly shortening continuous delivery cycles, by using IncrediBuild, the leading solution provider of continuous delivery acceleration technology.  IncrediBuild dramatically shortens continuous delivery cycles by accelerating development processes such as compilations, tests, code analysis, packaging, and more.  This is achieved through running said processes in parallel across multiple cores within the network, using underused and unused CPU capacity.

Tel Aviv’s IncrediBuild is the leading solution provider of software acceleration technology.  IncrediBuild dramatically reduces build and testing times among other development processes.  IncrediBuild’s non-intrusive parallel computing tech empowers users to easily save hundreds of hours just minutes after installing the software.  Harnessing unutilized processing power across networks, IncrediBuild speeds the code build, Continuous Integration and delivery cycles.  With its unique process virtualization technology, IncrediBuild has become the de facto standard solution for code-build acceleration.  (Incredibuild 30.08)

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9.6  Mellanox Ethernet Solutions Accelerate Germany’s Most Advanced Cloud Data Center

Mellanox Technologies announced that SysEleven, a managed hosting provider located in Berlin, Germany, has selected the Mellanox Open Ethernet Spectrum and Cumulus solutions to build its new SDN-Based, fully automated cloud-based data center.  The Mellanox solutions include the Spectrum SN2410 and SN2700 25/50/100G Ethernet switches, ConnectX-4 Lx 25/50G Ethernet adapters and LinkX™ cables for inclusion into its fully-automated OpenStack, cloud-based data center.

The SysEleven solution consists of Mellanox’s ConnectX-4 Lx Ethernet 25/50G Ethernet adapters.  The solution has a complete layer three Border Gateway Protocol (BGP) from the server to top-of-rack and is fully automated and offer the best performance for a Quobyte SDS solution.  Mellanox Open Ethernet Spectrum SN2410 and SN2700 switches are also part of Mellanox’s complete end-to-end solution which provides 10, 25, 40, 50 and 100G Ethernet interconnectivity within the data center.  The switches introduce superior hardware capabilities including dynamic flexible shared buffers and predictable wire speed performance with no packet loss for any packet size.  Other devices in this solution include ConnectX-4 based network interface cards, and LinkX cabling. Flexible and fully scalable, the end-to-end hardware architecture is designed specifically to meet the market’s most advanced cloud/web 2.0 performance needs.

Yokneam’s Mellanox Technologies is a leading supplier of end-to-end Ethernet and InfiniBand intelligent interconnect solutions and services for servers, storage, and hyperconverged infrastructure.  Mellanox intelligent interconnect solutions increase data center efficiency by providing the highest throughput and lowest latency, delivering data faster to applications and unlocking system performance.  Mellanox offers a choice of high performance solutions: network and multicore processors, network adapters, switches, cables, software and silicon, that accelerate application runtime and maximize business results for a wide range of markets including high performance computing, enterprise data centers, Web 2.0, cloud, storage, network security, telecom and financial services.  (Mellanox 31.08)

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9.7  Cronus Releases New Versions for the CyBot Pro and Enterprise Solutions

Cronus Cyber Technologies announced the availability of new versions for CyBot Pro and Enterprise.  The latest versions of CyBot Pro and Enterprise contain multiple improvements on previous versions and allow much faster and accurate predictions of attacks.  The CyBot Pro and Enterprise solutions enable organizations to predict attacks on their system, using a coherent and holistic dashboard that shows up-to-date status of the system at any given moment.  The System imitates the modus operandi of a human hacker and can create a link of vulnerabilities between systems, until the attacker reaches a critical asset.

Haifa’s Cronus Cyber Technologies is a global provider of predictive Attack Path Scenario (APS) solutions. We developed the CyBot product suite, a unique, patented software solution that imitates human hacker behavior to discover, predict, analyze, and mitigate the risk of sophisticated cyber-attacks – all in real time.  By deploying Cronus technology, organizations can accurately evaluate their resiliency against cyber threats; and proactively adjust their security protection strategies to mitigate the risks.  When deployed in global, multi-site enterprises, information can even be shared across sites to depict global attack path scenarios.  (Cronus Cyber 04.09)

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9.8  Datumate Unveils DatuFly, A Professional Imagery App for Drones

Datumate announced a new tablet app for effortless drone flight planning and automated, high resolution photo-shooting.  DatuFly app saves up to 80% of field surveying time and eliminates follow-up site visits.  Friendly, wizard type, user interface makes it super easy to select job type and the required outputs to achieve best results.  Area of interest is instantly marked on the map, including complex polygons, and the drone is ready for launch.  Flight and aerial photography, vertical or oblique, are entirely automatic and optimized per job type, such as topography, stockpiles, roads etc. Mission progress is constantly monitored on the tablet screen, including flight time, distance, way points and the required number of batteries.   Once the battery is exhausted, the drone automatically returns for a battery exchange and resumes flight and photo-shooting from where it left off.

DatuFly image-taking plan is executed based on the best practice requirements of DatuGram 3D, Datumate’s comprehensive field-to-plan software that automates surveyors’ field and office work, ensuring survey grade accuracy, high quality and quick results.

Yokneam’s Datumate is transforming the civil engineering, construction and architectural spaces by automating the entire field-to-plan process, using image-processing and drone technologies.  Datumate solutions dramatically reduce the amount of time surveying crews spend in the field, while maintaining professional, survey grade accuracy and substantially reducing risks.  Datumate’s intuitive, simple and automated solutions increase productivity by saving field and office time for surveying projects of roads, intersections, stockpile volumes, topography, piping, industrial facilities, bridges, property surveys, building facades, and more.  (Datumate 06.09)

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10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Finance Ministry Says 2016 Economic Growth Better Than Expected

Israel’s economic growth in 2016 so far has been better than expected, the Finance Ministry Chief Economist said on 31 July.  The economy’s performance in the second quarter of 2016 and its overall performance in the first half of the year indicate that “we’re on the right track.”  The positive trend is attributed to the result of increased private consumption, including on food, drinks, entertainment and especially overseas travel, which made up 80% of private consumption in Q2/16.  This component “continuously shows double-digit growth,” indicating that private consumption’s contribution to economic growth outweighs the contribution made by the economy’s productive elements.  (FM 31.08)

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10.2  OECD Says Israel 4th Worldwide in Meat Consumption

Israelis’ meat consumption is among the highest in the world, a new OECD study found.  According to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, Israel is fourth in meat consumption worldwide, with a yearly average of 86.1 kilograms per capita.

Australia topped the list, with a yearly average of 90.3 kg of meat per capita; the U.S. came in second, with 90.1 kg; Argentina came in third with an average of 86.6 kg per capita.  After Israel, Brazil rounded up the world’s top-five meat consumers, with an average of 78 kg per capita.  India ranked last, with a mere 3.2 kg per capita.  In the EU, average meat consumption stood at 64.9 kg.

The study, focused on the consumption of chicken, beef, veal, and pork in 2014-2015.  It also included countries outside the OECD.  A closer look at the findings explains Israel’s high ranking, as Israelis ate the most amount of chicken in the world in 2015 – 57.7 kg per person.  Rivaling Israel’s chicken consumption were the U.S. (47.6 kg) and Muslim countries like Malaysia (41.4 kg) and Saudi Arabia, (41.2 kg).  The countries with the lowest chicken consumption – excluding India, where almost no meat is eaten at all – were Ghana and Mozambique, where consumption averaged 1.5 kg per capita.  The data also ranked Israel seventh place in beef consumption with 20.2 kg per capita.  Not surprisingly, Israel ranked very low in pork consumption — 29th on the list with an average of 1.6 kg per capita.  (Various 30.08)

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10.3  New Israeli Car Deliveries Up 30% in August

A record 220,000 new vehicles have been delivered in Israel in the first eight months of 2016.  August is usually a quiet month in Israel’s business sector but last month 27,490 new vehicles were delivered, up 30% from August 2012.  In the first eight months of 2016, a record 220,000 vehicles have been delivered, up 17% from 188,633 vehicles over the corresponding period of last year, which was also a record.  Colombil (Hyundai, Mitsubishi and Mercedes) remains Israel’s biggest vehicle importer with 47,127 deliveries in the first eight months of 2016, up 25% from last year.  (Globes 05.09)

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11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  ISRAEL:  The New Normal: Today’s Arab Debate Over Ties with Israel

David Pollock wrote on 25 August in the Fikra Forum that a recent spate of reports in major Arab media about official and other contacts with Israelis — including very widely publicized Saudi and Egyptian visits to Israel in the past month – is generating renewed regional debate over the pros and cons of this phenomenon.  Much of this debate, however, obscures one key point:  Arab contacts with Israel, far from being brand new, actually have a very long history, with many ups and downs along the way.

In fact, official Arab-Israeli meetings and signed agreements date almost all the way back to Israel’s creation, with the Rhodes Armistice accords of 1949.  For nearly two decades thereafter, there were periodic if generally low-level official meetings about security incidents, water, refugees, and other issues – along with many private, higher level meetings.  The 1967 war produced the famous “three no’s” of the Arab summit conference in Khartoum: no peace, no recognition, and no negotiations with Israel.  But just a few years later, after the 1973 war, contacts resumed, culminating in the Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty of 1979.  Ever since, through all the turbulent decades until today, Egypt and Israel have maintained diplomatic, security, and economic relations.

It is true that most Arab governments, spearheaded by Saddam Hussein’s Iraq, attempted to isolate Egypt in response.  Yet within about a decade, after the liberation of Kuwait from Saddam’s occupation, the Madrid peace conference of 1991 brought many Israeli and Arab officials – including Syrians, Saudis, Palestinians, and others – publicly together again.

Exactly two years later, in September 1993, one of the most historic moments of dialogue and came with the first Oslo accord, with the Rabin-Arafat handshake and formal mutual recognition between Israel and the PLO.  This was followed in short order by a whole series of Arab-Israeli meetings, from the regional economic conferences in Casablanca, Amman, and Doha, to the Jordanian-Israeli peace treaty of 1994, to the Sharm al-Sheikh foreign ministers meeting of 1996.  At the latter event, Arafat, Shimon Peres, Saud al-Faisal, Amr Moussa and other leaders all appeared publicly with each other, and pledged to fight terrorism and work for peace together.

Ever since that time, despite some interruptions during the second intifada or other crises, many other high-level Israeli-Palestinian and Israeli-Arab summits, meetings, handshakes, and other contacts have occurred.  The Annapolis peace conference of 2007, the Netanyahu-Abbas meeting of 2010, and the various bilateral and multilateral meetings during Secretary Kerry’s peacemaking effort in 2013-14 all come to mind.  Meanwhile, at the security and intelligence levels, direct contacts between Israeli and Palestinian, Egyptian, Jordanian and other Arab officials have become so frequent and mutually useful as to be routine.

So some degree of practical dialogue with Israel is nothing new, notwithstanding continual controversy about it.  What is noteworthy today is that the issue is being actively and openly debated in major Arab media, with both proponents and opponents each having their say.  And that not just Egypt, Jordan, and the Palestinians, but other major Arab outlets including Saudi ones, are participating in this discussion.

Particularly noteworthy in this respect is a long article in the current issue of the popular and influential pan-Arab weekly al-Majallah, based in London but widely circulated and read in both print and online editions in the region.  This article not only reviews the long history of Arab-Israeli relations, but also cites statements about that by Israeli Ambassador to the U.S. Ron Dermer at great length.

Responses by Saudi writers are mixed, but some are very vocally in favor of dealing with Israel.  For example, Ahmed Adnan, writing in the alarab.co.uk website, even argues that Arabs should follow Turkey’s model:  “Ankara has ties with Israel, but no one can accuse Turkey of being biased against the Palestinians.”  His article was reprinted in the leading al-Arabiya website on 8 August.

Among Egyptian writers, the idea of regular dealings with Israel still excites fierce debate, even after nearly four decades of official peace.  The owner of the prominent independent daily al-Masry al-Yawm outspokenly advocates pragmatic close bilateral ties, in Egypt’s own interest.  But leading al-Ahram columnist Hassan Nafaa, in sharp contrast, argues strenuously against “free gifts” to Israel.

It is intriguing, however, that today even some Egyptian writers and academics most critical of ties to Israel acknowledge that the younger generation, turned against Iran, Hamas, and the Muslim Brotherhood both by their own experience and by their government’s changing positions, is losing some of its animosity toward their Israeli neighbors.  Examples of this discourse can be found in articles penned this year by Egyptian authors Muhammad Laithi in al-Watan and by Ahmed Hidji in al-Monitor, who cites three different Cairo professors lamenting their students’ growing openness to Israel.

All of this raises a delicate question:  Is this revived movement toward some kind of dialogue leading toward peace with Israel just a policy of certain Arab governments, or perhaps of an elite fringe?  In other words, does it enjoy any grassroots support?  Here the evidence is surprisingly clear, and also surprisingly positive.  While Arab publics overwhelmingly dislike Israel (and Jews), solid majorities in most recent surveys, on the order of 60%, nevertheless voice support for a “two-state solution,” which implies peace with the Jewish state.  And they do so even when the question is worded to call explicitly for peace with Israel, or for abandoning the struggle to liberate all of Palestine.  The exception that proves this rule, ironically, is the Palestinian public in the West Bank and Gaza, where support for a two-state solution has lately fallen to just below the halfway mark.

The combination of data points suggests that the majority support for eventual peace with Israel reflects not affinity but the converse:  common enemies, and therefore common interests.  Those include common concerns – as measured in the same surveys – about jihadi terrorism; about Iranian aggression, subversion, and nuclear weapons; and about perceived flaws in American policies toward all those issues.

As far back as 2010, even before the Saudi-Iran proxy wars in Syrian, Yemen and elsewhere, a reliable private poll showed that one-fourth of the Saudi urban public supported quiet military cooperation with Israel against the Iranian nuclear threat.  And in the past two years, polls not only in Saudi Arabia but also in Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, and the UAE show that “the Arab street” is much more concerned about the conflicts with Iran, with Assad, and with Daesh than about the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

The conclusion is clear:  today a broader regional approach to Arab-Israeli peacemaking, rather than a strictly bilateral Israeli-Palestinian one, offers somewhat better prospects of success – whether at the official, elite, media, or even popular levels.  Normalization with Israel remains controversial in Arab circles, but it is no longer taboo.  For an increasing number of Arabs, the Israeli “enemy of my enemy” may not be a friend, but could become a partner.  The next U.S. Administration would do well to ponder this unaccustomed situation, and to adjust its policies accordingly.

David Pollock is the Kaufman fellow at The Washington Institute and the director of Fikra Forum.  (Fikra 25.08)

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11.2  LEBANON:  Outlook Revised To Stable on Resilient Financial System & Deposit Inflows

Overview

-Banking sector deposit growth in Lebanon has remained resilient and sufficient to support the government’s debt-servicing capacity, in our view.

-On the other hand, we see little prospects for significant improvement in macroeconomic fundamentals.

-We are revising our outlook on Lebanon to stable and affirming our ‘B-/B’ sovereign credit ratings.

-The stable outlook reflects our view that continued deposit inflows will remain sufficient to support the government’s borrowing requirement and the country’s external financing gap.

Rating Action

On 2 September, S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on the Republic of Lebanon to stable from negative.

At the same time, we affirmed our ‘B-/B’ long- and short-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings on Lebanon.

Rationale

The outlook revision reflects our view that bank deposits in Lebanon will increase sufficiently to support the government’s borrowing requirement (26% of GDP in 2016) and the country’s external financing requirement (89% of GDP or 151% of current account receipts [CARs] in 2016).  We expect bank deposits will increase by at least 4% in 2016.

In our analysis, the Lebanese government’s debt-servicing capacity depends materially on the domestic financial sector’s willingness and ability to add to its holdings of government debt, which in turn relies on bank deposit inflows.  Domestic banks support the government debt market in two ways.  First, they buy Lebanese government debt directly. Banking system claims on the public sector account for about 20% of total banking system assets.  This means bank creditors hold about one-half of the total government debt.  Second, Lebanese banks buy certificates of deposit issued by the Banque du Liban (BdL; the central bank), which in turn buys government debt.  As of year-end 2015, the BdL held 37% of the government’s outstanding treasury bills, which amounted to 23% of total government debt.  Although we view the concentration of government financing from these sources as a structural weakness, at the current rating level these flows are an essential support.

The financial system is key in meeting the country’s external financing requirement.  Approximately two-thirds of Lebanese bank deposits are in foreign currency and nearly one-fourth is externally sourced, mostly from the Lebanese diaspora.  The banks induce the inflows by paying on average about 6% on Lebanese pound deposits and 3% on U.S. dollar deposits.  Last year, the inflows covered 2x net government debt issuance.  We note that, as a consequence, banks’ external positions have deteriorated.  We expect banks’ net external debtor positions will almost double in 2016 to $13 billion (44% of CARs), compared with $7 billion in 2013 and a net creditor position in 2010.

Nonresident retail deposits constitute the bulk of banks’ external liabilities (about 83% as of year-end 2015), the rest being cross-border interbank deposits.  To meet the 2016 gross external financing requirement, we expect banks and corporations will add to their external borrowings, and the government has returned to the Eurobond market.  We also note that BdL’s international reserves (excluding gold) decreased by about $2.4 billion in the 12 months ended June 30, 2016, to stand at $38.2 billion.  Additional drawings could be made to finance part of Lebanon’s 2016 $47 billion gross external financing requirement.

That said, there are ongoing risks to these deposit inflows.  Bank deposit growth slowed to about 5.2% annually at year-end 2015 from 11.5% at year-end 2010, as result of the civil war in Syria and, to a lesser extent, the economic slowdown in the Gulf Cooperation Council region (GCC; Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates).  Inflows are sensitive to swings in confidence. In February 2016, the government of Saudi Arabia announced its curtailment of its $4 billion grant for military procurement for Lebanon, and the GCC states placed restrictions on their citizens’ travel to Lebanon.  Still, these measures seem to have had a softer impact on depositor confidence than the 2005 assassination of Prime Minister Rafic Hariri, which prompted nearly $2 billion in withdrawals from the banking system; or the 2006 war with Israel that triggered about $3 billion in withdrawals.  The withdrawals from these earlier, more perilous periods lasted only a few weeks, were in the low-single-digit percentages of total bank deposits, and were more than compensated by returning inflows.  If, however, deposit growth slowed or reversed, due to a more severe political shock than these past incidents or a redomiciliation, for example, the fiscal and external pressure on the ratings would mount.

We also see longer-term constraints on Lebanon’s deposit and economic growth, largely stemming from a divisive political environment organized along confessional lines.  The presidency has been vacant since President Michel Sleiman’s term ended in May 2014. Since then, the Lebanese parliament has failed on 43 consecutive occasions to elect a president, most recently in August 2016.  The parliament itself is led by a national unity government comprising both the March 14 and March 8 political alliances, which back opposing sides in the Syrian civil war.  The absence of a sitting president did not, however, prevent the parliament, whose term was due to end in June 2013, from extending its term twice, most recently in November 2014.  The next parliamentary elections are scheduled for May 2017.  The split political environment can thwart policymaking even on relatively minor issues, such as garbage collection, turning them into much larger social problems.

Nevertheless, we note that parliament passed some key laws at the end of 2015, such as legislation permitting the government to borrow in foreign currency in 2016.  In March 2016, the Lebanese government approved a temporary emergency plan to help partly solve the garbage crisis that started in July 2015 and led to a series of demonstrations.  Also, we note that municipal elections (the first local polls since 2010) were successfully held in May 2016.

We believe that Lebanon’s economic growth will remain relatively weak as long as the domestic political standstill persists and the Syrian civil war continues.  The Syrian crisis entered into its sixth year – without a resolution in sight – and we expect that Lebanon’s political, security and economic trajectories will remain entwined with those of its larger neighbor.  We therefore anticipate that Lebanon’s traditional growth drivers – tourism, real estate and construction – will remain subdued, despite favorable terms of trade.  We project economic growth over 2016-2019 at just over 2.3% on average.  In our view, the productive capacity of the Lebanese economy is below that of peers.  We estimate growth in real per capita GDP (which we proxy by using the 10-year weighted-average) at negative 2.3% during 2010-2019.  We estimate nominal per capita GDP at $8,600 in 2016.

We expect that the current account deficit will remain large, but narrow to average about 14% of GDP in 2016-2019, due to a smaller import bill stemming from lower oil prices and weaker domestic economic activity.  We note that the deficit may be overstated due to unrecorded public and private transfers and border trade.  The strengthening U.S. dollar (to which the Lebanese pound is pegged) will also reduce the cost of imports from the Eurozone, which accounts for about one-third of Lebanon’s imports.  On the other hand, exports, tourism and net remittances will remain constrained because of the Syrian crisis.  We note that the World Bank announced in July this year that its grant and loan program for Lebanon would reach $1.5 billion over the next three years.

We estimate Lebanon’s public- and financial-sector external assets will exceed the country’s external debt by an average 57% of CARs between 2016 and 2019, albeit on a declining trend.  We estimate that gross external financing needs will average 118% of CARs plus usable reserves over the same period.

The Syrian civil war and the flow of refugees to Lebanon continue to impose a heavy burden on Lebanon’s infrastructure.  Registered refugees reached 1.1 million, according to the UN High Commissioner for Refugees, but private estimates range up to about 2 million, compared with the estimated population living in Lebanon of about 5.9 million according to the government.

We expect the general government to post a modest primary fiscal surplus through the forecast horizon.  The broader deficit, however, will likely widen to 8.7% of GDP in 2016 compared with 6.2% in 2014.  We note that government revenues in 2014 benefited from a one-time receipt of about 2% of GDP due to exceptionally high telecom transfers.  The deficit includes transfers to the electricity company Electricite du Liban (EdL), estimated at about 2% of GDP in 2015 compared with 4% of GDP in 2014, with EdL requiring less government support due to lower oil prices.

In our view, Lebanon’s public finances and fiscal flexibility will remain constrained by structural expenditure pressures, including transfers to EdL.  Still, even without a fully functioning government, current expenditures were contained at about 23% of GDP in 2015, while capital expenditures were cut to 1% of GDP in the same year, notwithstanding Lebanon’s significant infrastructure needs.  Interest payments account for more than two-fifths of general government revenues.  Monetary conditions are tight and create headwinds for growth.  The real effective exchange rate has appreciated by about 30% between 2011 and 2015.  Real effective interest rates on government debt, as measured by the consumer price index, spiked in 2015 at over 10% due to an unexpected fall in prices.  We expect inflation to rise at a quickening pace through the forecast horizon and government debt to stabilize in 2017 at just under 130% of GDP, net of liquid fiscal assets.

Lastly, we note that there are substantial shortcomings and material gaps in the dissemination of macroeconomic data and reporting delays.  Official national accounts data for 2013 are the latest available and were published in December 2014. The availability and quality of official external data are also limited, in our opinion.

Outlook

The stable outlook on Lebanon reflects our expectation that continued deposit inflows to the financial system will remain sufficient to support the government’s borrowing requirement and the country’s external financing gap, despite the difficult internal and external political environments.

We could lower our ratings on Lebanon if, over the next 12 months, deposit inflows significantly slowed or foreign-exchange reserves declined much further than we currently expect.  If the domestic political gridlock escalated to a more destabilizing situation, we could also lower the ratings.

We could raise our ratings if Lebanon’s policymaking framework became more predictable, supporting foreign capital inflows and improving the sustainability of public finances.  (S&P 02.09)

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11.3  JORDAN:  IMF Approves $723 Million Extended Arrangement for Jordan

On 24 August 2016, the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a three-year extended arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) for Jordan for an amount equivalent to SDR 514.65 million (about $723 million, or 150% of Jordan’s quota) to support the country’s economic and financial reform program.  This program aims at advancing fiscal consolidation to lower public debt and broad structural reforms to enhance the conditions for more inclusive growth.

Following the Board’s decision, an amount equivalent to SDR 51.465 million (about $72.3 million) is made available for immediate disbursement, the remaining amount will be phased in over the duration of the program, subject to six reviews.  Following the Executive Board discussion on Jordan, Mr. David Lipton, First Deputy Managing Director, and Acting Chair, said:

“The Jordanian economy has performed favorably under a difficult external environment, including the hosting of a large number of Syrian refugees.  Macroeconomic stability has been maintained thanks to significant policy adjustment and reforms.  However, economic performance remains below potential and the hosting of Syrian refugees weighs on the economy and public finances.

“The authorities have developed a comprehensive economic reform program to enhance the conditions for more inclusive growth and preserve macroeconomic stability.  Early and decisive actions are expected to provide new economic opportunities, job creation, and bolster confidence under a difficult environment. While the domestic and regional conditions are challenging, the authorities’ strong commitment and their ownership of the program is welcomed.  Continued donor support through sufficient grants and concessional financing as stated in the Jordan Compact, will also be important to support program goals.

“Public debt needs to be put on a downward path through gradual fiscal consolidation over the medium term while preserving essential social spending.  To this end, it is critical to reduce the general sales tax and customs duty exemptions and to amend the income tax law.  The electricity company NEPCO needs to reach operational cost recovery and Water Authority of Jordan’s finances should be consolidated. Public financial management should be strengthened to enhance fiscal transparency and reduce fiscal risks.

“Monetary policy has been skillfully managed, and will continue to be anchored by the exchange rate peg and focus primarily on preserving an adequate level of reserves.  To further strengthen the regulatory framework, adoption of the amendments to the central bank law is a step in the right direction, and those for commercial banking law and of the secured lending and insolvency laws should be expedited.

“A swift implementation of the structural reform agenda would enhance the resilience and depth of the financial sector, the business environment, and help tackle challenges facing SMEs in terms of access to finance. Labor market reforms are needed to boost youth and female employment and lessen informality.”

ANNEX:  Recent Economic Developments

With the implementation of program supported by Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) that expired in August 2015, Jordan has managed to maintain macroeconomic stability and undertook significant policy reforms amidst a difficult external environment, high vulnerabilities, and the hosting of a large number of Syrian refugees.  However, important challenges remain: economic growth remains below potential; unemployment remains high especially among the young and women; gross public debt has risen to 93% of GDP; the refugee crisis is weighing on the economy and public finances; and the current account deficit is high.

To tackle these challenges, the authorities have formulated an economic and financial reform program that is underpinned by Jordan’s ten-year framework for economic and social policies (Vision 2025). This program aims at advancing fiscal consolidation and broad structural reforms to enhance the conditions for more inclusive growth.

Program Summary

The new program is designed in a flexible manner by pursuing gradual and steady fiscal consolidation to bring the debt down to safer levels while protecting the poor; and by advancing comprehensive reforms to enhance the conditions for more inclusive growth, particularly in light of the challenges posed by the regional conflicts on exports, investment, and the labor market.

Gradual and steady fiscal consolidation.  The authorities’ program aims at gradual fiscal consolidation to lower public debt to about 77% of GDP by 2021, while providing room for capital spending and preserving social spending.  Key measures include revenue-enhancing reforms to the tax system, such as reforming the tax exemptions framework and broadening the tax base;

Structural policies to promote growth and jobs. Structural reforms will be implemented in several areas to enhance competitiveness, job prospects and foster equality, fairness and good governance.  Such measures will aim at increasing labor force participation, particularly for women and youth; reducing informality; enhancing the business environment; ensuring sustainability in the energy and water sectors; preserving social spending, and improving public accountability and good governance.

Monetary and financial policies will remain focused on maintaining adequate reserves to anchor the exchange rate.  Furthermore, the authorities plan to advance several reforms to enhance the resilience and depth of the financial system, including to strengthen the regulatory framework; to enhance the Anti-Money laundering/Combating the Financing of Terrorism (AML/CFT) regime; to promote better supervision of the insurance and microfinance sectors.  (IMF 25.08)

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11.4  IRAQ:  Republic of Iraq Ratings Affirmed at ‘B-/B’; Outlook Stable

On 26 August 2016, S&P Global Ratings affirmed its ‘B-‘ long-term and ‘B’ short-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings on the Republic of Iraq.  The outlook is stable.

Rationale

Our rating on Iraq is constrained by its war with the militant group ISIS, by the sovereign’s political institutions, which are in an early stage of development, and by sectarian divisions between the Sunni, Shia, and Kurdish ethnic groups.

Iraq’s oil production and massive oil reserves underpin our rating. Iraq has the world’s fifth-largest proven crude oil reserves and is the second-largest oil exporter in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).  Oil dominates the Iraqi economy, contributing over 60% of GDP, 90% of government revenues and more than 95% of exports.

In recent months, the Iraqi forces and their allies have retaken some territories that ISIS had controlled, such as Ramadi (west of Baghdad), Baiji (the site of Iraq’s largest oil refinery), and more recently Fallujah.  All three cities are within 100 miles of Baghdad. ISIS previously controlled large areas along the Tigris and Euphrates Rivers north of Baghdad. ISIS’ territorial control of Northwest Iraq has shrunk significantly since our last review.  We understand that the Iraqi army is preparing the ground to retake Mosul – Iraq’s second largest city – before year-end.

Crucially, over 85% of Iraq’s oil fields and production are located in the south of the country close to Basra, the main port for crude exports.  These are Shia-controlled areas at some distance from ISIS-controlled areas and the conflict.  With our rating affirmation, we assume that the federal government will remain in control of these assets.  They are the key support for the rating.

In 2014, faced by the then-rising ISIS threat, Iraq elected a new government.  In September of that year, Haider Al-Abadi became prime minister.  Mr. Al-Abadi is viewed as more inclusive and secular in his approach than his predecessor, which is easing ethnic tensions and improving relations with the U.S., one of Iraq’s key allies.

In August 2015, Mr. Al-Abadi announced reform measures, including cuts in the size of government, in response to escalating social protests across the country spurred by electricity blackouts and unsatisfactory social services.  Many Iraqis believe that the government reforms have yet to bear fruit.  Also, Iraq faces significant corruption challenges.  The country scores among the worst countries on corruption perception and governance indicators in the world.  Corruption in Iraq is exacerbated by the ethnic-sectarian divide, lack of experience in public administration, and its weak capacity to manage the influx of aid money.  We believe that fighting corruption and Daesh represent Iraq’s major political and security challenges in the near term.  Combating corruption by strengthening governance, accountability, and transparency and repelling ISIS will help unlock Iraq’s economic potential and lead to improving creditworthiness, in our view.

After an estimated 6% growth in 2016 because of public investment in the oil sector, we project real GDP growth to fall below 2% in 2017-2019 owing to the headwinds from fiscal consolidation and weak domestic demand.  We think domestic demand will remain weak for at least two years, owing to the war against ISIS, internally displaced populations, and general social and political uncertainty.  In 2016, Iraq’s oil production is estimated at 4.2 million barrels per day (mbpd) in comparison with 3.5 mbpd in 2015.  We expect oil production to remain close to these levels in 2017-2019 owing to planned fiscal consolidation. Iraqi oil exports are projected at 3.6 mbpd in 2016, up from 3.0 mbpd in 2015 and 2.5 mbpd in 2014.

The internal and external shocks–the ISIS conflict and sharply lower oil revenues – that Iraq has faced since 2014 have hurt public finances.  We project the general government fiscal deficit will rise to 14% of GDP in 2015 and 15% in 2016 from a deficit of 6% in 2014.  Since our last review, the federal government’s fiscal position has become less flexible owing to the disagreements between the federal government and Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) over their oil revenue sharing agreement.  This agreement represents roughly a sixth of the Iraqi general government budget.  The KRG, dissatisfied with the size of fiscal transfers from Baghdad, drastically reduced oil supply to the State Oil Marketing Organization (SOMO) and increased its independent sales to finance its expenditure.

Assuming the government enacts fiscal consolidation and freezes nominal spending at the 2015 level, we project budget deficits at 8% of GDP on average in 2017-2019.  Deficits will result largely from falling oil revenues and high military and humanitarian expenditures.  We think that the IMF’s Staff-Monitored Program, approved in December 2015, helped restore some order to public finances and paved the way to the $5.4 billion IMF financing agreed in July 2016.  Additional external financing of the budget is expected from the World Bank ($3 billion) and other bilateral creditors over 2017-2019.

Domestic issuance remains the main funding source for the 2016 government financing requirement.  We expect most of the debt will be taken up by Iraq’s commercial banks, led by the two largest: Raffidain Bank and Rashid Bank.  We anticipate that the banks will fund these purchases by incremental deposit growth and by repurchase operations with the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI).  In addition, the government has indicated its intention for a possible $2 billion Eurobond offering.  We project that general government debt will average 87% of GDP in 2016-2019, up from about 34% of GDP in 2014.  Our net general government debt average for the forecast period includes 20% of GDP of fiscal assets, which are mostly deposited with domestic commercial banks. Iraq’s debt stock has benefited from an 80% haircut that the government negotiated with its Paris Club creditors in 2003-2004.

Iraq’s current account has typically run a surplus thanks to the country’s large oil exports.  However, we expect the current account balance will turn to a deficit and remain so until 2019 because of the sharp drop in the oil prices.  We forecast Iraq’s current account deficit will average 5% of GDP in 2016-2019, compared with an average surplus of 10% of GDP in 2011-2014.  We expect that part of the regularization of public finances will entail the Iraqi government clearing approximately $2.6 billion of accounts payable with international oil companies in September 2016.  Iraq typically makes these payments in oil.  Although the clearing of these arrears will affect the 2016 current account deficit, we believe the payments will induce needed foreign direct investment that otherwise would have been stanched.  We expect that the current account deficits will be financed in part by a substantial drawdown of official foreign exchange reserves, and in part by external borrowing and investment.

We forecast external debt, net of public and financial sector external assets, at about 37% of current account receipts (CARs) in 2016, and we estimate gross external financing needs as a percentage of CARs and usable reserves at about 65%.

Inflation is currently staying low, with consumer price inflation in the low single digits (approximately 2.2% in 2014).  We expect that the CBI will maintain the dinar peg to the U.S. dollar, albeit with minor fluctuations, unless financing conditions are more difficult than we currently expect.  While the peg has helped control inflation, it limits the CBI’s monetary flexibility.  Net international reserves have fallen from 120% of the monetary base in 2013 to an estimated 109% at year-end 2015, and are projected to reach 83% at year-end 2017.  At the same time, the share of repo operations with domestic banks, which we regard as quasi fiscal in nature, is projected to increase substantially to reach 44% at year-end 2017 from 11% in 2015.  Moreover, although the liabilities and guarantees of the domestic banks appear high compared with the fair value of their assets, we view financial sector stability as a secondary issue compared with the country’s security and the consequences of negative terms of trade.

Outlook

The stable outlook reflects our expectation that Iraq’s large fiscal and external deficits will be financeable, and that its conflict with ISIS will be contained. It also incorporates our forecast of an increase in Iraqi oil production and oil exports to 4.4 mbpd and 3.6 mbpd, respectively, by 2019, while the IMF program leads to gradual fiscal consolidation.

We could lower our rating on Iraq if the assumptions mentioned above do not hold.

We could raise the rating if Iraq’s security situation and its public finances improve substantially.  (S&P 26.08)

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11.5  QATAR:  Qatar Ratings Affirmed At ‘AA/A-1+’; Outlook Stable

Rating Action

On 2 September, S&P Global Ratings affirmed its ‘AA’ long-term and ‘A-1+’ short-term sovereign credit ratings on the State of Qatar.  The outlook remains stable.

Rationale

Qatar is a wealthy economy.  The country holds the third-largest proven natural gas reserves in the world, and is the largest exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG).  We expect Qatar’s reserves to provide many decades of production at the current levels.  GDP per capita is among the highest of rated sovereigns, estimated at $59,245 in 2016.  The hydrocarbon sector contributes about 50% of Qatar’s GDP, 90% of government revenues (oil and gas taxes and royalties, plus dividends from Qatar Petroleum), and 85% of exports.  We view Qatar’s economy as undiversified.

We now include re-based GDP data (from 2004 to 2013) in our analysis, as well as updated population statistics from official sources.  This results in a slight downward revision to our GDP per capita measure and also real GDP per capita trend growth, which, because of very high population growth, is strongly negative.  Qatar’s population grew by approximately 9% in 2015 according to census data, relating to the ongoing construction of significant infrastructure projects.  Our real GDP growth projections reflect these developments, with public sector capital investment contributing significantly to growth under Qatar’s $125 billion infrastructure investment program.  We expect the country’s economy to grow by about 4.0% during 2016-2019, in line with the pace of growth over the last four years.  We expect that population growth will slow over 2016-2019 as projects are completed.

Regarding the hydrocarbon sector, we expect that new production and refining facilities coming online over the next couple of years will also support manufacturing activity.  However, we do not expect a step change in production and the hydrocarbon sector will likely remain at broadly similar levels of output, albeit with some increase in gas output expected from 2017.  The moratorium on new projects in Qatar’s North Field will continue and will be reviewed only once gas prices begin to recover in the medium term, in our view.

We note the government’s efforts to diversify the economy, while maintaining its strategic position in the global natural gas market.  In our view, medium- and long-term challenges to Qatar’s competitive position in the LNG market are likely to come from new shale production, Russia’s gas pipeline to China, and increased pressure to delink LNG contracts from the price of oil.

Nevertheless, Qatar has one of the lowest costs of natural gas production, $1.60 to $2.00 per million British Thermal Units, and so we expect state-owned Qatar Petroleum – responsible for all phases of the oil and gas industry in Qatar – to remain profitable.  Its strategy has been to diversify into all major markets, adjusting the mix of destinations and contract types according to market needs.  Moreover, the majority of its gas exports are under long-term contracts, which provides some certainty regarding the volumes sold.

We expect that Qatar will maintain its cost advantage over many new projects in other countries.  In January 2016, the renegotiation of RasGas’ (Qatar’s second-biggest LNG producer) contract with Petronet LNG (India’s biggest gas importer) at a discount of almost 50% indicates an increasingly competitive environment for natural gas and LNG sellers over the medium term.  Existing LNG buyers committed to long-term contracts and other potential buyers may try to renegotiate or achieve similar commercial terms in an environment of persistently low prices.

Falling oil and gas prices and the government’s public investment program have led to a deterioration of the fiscal balance, beginning in 2014.  We expect the general government balance to average a deficit of about 5% of GDP in 2016-2019, after many years of surpluses.  Our outlook assumes that the sharp drop in hydrocarbon revenues will be somewhat offset by cuts in current spending, which was reduced by 9.5% in 2015 and is expected to fall further in 2016 as line ministries are closed or merged, slow moving projects are scrapped, subsidies removed, and certain taxes introduced, including an increase in stamp duty. Capital spending will likely continue to slightly increase as infrastructure projects advance.

We also project a further decline in government hydrocarbon income, namely in the financial transfers from Qatar Petroleum, which come to the government budget with a six-month lag.  We expect that the government will finance fiscal deficits through debt, both on the domestic and international markets, rather than by drawing upon its assets at Qatar Investment Authority (QIA), which are designated for future generations and not intended as a stabilization tool.  The government issued $9 billion of Eurobonds in May 2016 to this end.

Consequently, we expect that gross debt will increase to nearly 50% of GDP over the next few years, but actually decline on a net basis.  This is because we expect investment returns on Qatar’s substantial assets (which we base on various global indices’ performance) to improve in 2016, above the accumulation of new debt.  However, we note that the average change in debt over the coming years is high, which will add to interest costs as a proportion of fiscal revenues.  We also note high public sector indebtedness–reflecting the debt of various public enterprises–which we estimate at 85% of GDP in 2016.

Over the coming budget cycles, we understand that the government also intends to rationalize and outsource part of its operations and to award more projects to the private sector, though whether the desired level of private sector participation can be achieved remains to be seen, in our view.

In the context of lower hydrocarbon revenues and high levels of capital spending, the government is prioritizing existing projects by channeling funding to the most important and most strategic investments.  The government’s investment program focuses on infrastructure, education, and health, and we expect the majority of these projects to be completed ahead of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, which Qatar is hosting.

Alongside government investments funded through the budget, public-enterprise and private-sector spending on the national development strategy is likely to be largely funded by borrowing from domestic financial institutions.  This may cause banks’ net external liability positions to widen and their loan-to-deposit ratios to rise, as we expect deposit growth in the Qatari banking system to continue decelerating due to low hydrocarbon prices.  The ratio of domestic credit to total deposits in the Qatari banking system was 127% at the end of the second quarter of 2016, up from 117% at year-end 2015.

We project Qatar’s external surpluses will worsen substantially in the medium term as export receipts fall sharply in 2016, while import demand will remain strong; however, 2015 data show current account performance to be better than we had previously expected, likely linked to the lag effect of falling prices feeding through long-standing contracts.  The transfer and income accounts of the current account will likely remain in deficit, the former due to remittance outflows as a result of the expatriate population and the latter due to payments to the foreign firms that partner with Qatari companies in the oil and gas industry.  We expect that foreign reserves will fall over the next year as net portfolio outflows, linked to QIA’s activities, are likely to remain strong thereby keeping the financial account in deficit.

Qatar’s net external asset position will remain strong, at about 290% on average of current account receipts in 2016-2019.  Qatar has accumulated considerable foreign assets over the past decade, as a result of developing its natural resources.  We forecast that the general government net asset position, estimated at about 130% of GDP in 2016, will also stay robust in 2016-2019.

Domestic political and social stability prevails, despite what we view as only gradual political modernization and a highly centralized decision-making process.  In our view, the country’s public institutions are still relatively undeveloped compared with those of most ‘AA’ rated sovereigns.  Executive power remains in the hands of the emir.  In our view, the predictability of future policy responses is tempered by weak political institutions, although in our base case we assume that policy will continue to focus on prudent development of the hydrocarbon sector, alongside further economic diversification.  In addition, material data gaps exist and transparency is limited, by international standards. In particular, the government neither discloses nor reports the level of its fiscal assets.

In our view, the fixed exchange rate of the Qatari riyal to the U.S. dollar leads to limited monetary flexibility, and we expect the currency peg to be maintained.  Qatar’s real effective exchange rate has appreciated by 12% since early 2014. In our view, this represents a deterioration in international competitiveness of the country’s modest tradeables sector and a dampening of non-hydrocarbon GDP growth, absent any offsetting factors, such as improved efficiency or technological capacity.  Liquidity conditions in the Qatari banking system and banks’ borrowing costs are expected to further tighten amid falling public deposits, coupled with a modest increase in loans and future increases in U.S. interest rates.

Outlook

The stable outlook reflects our view that Qatar’s economy will remain resilient, although we anticipate continued institutional weaknesses and only a moderate increase in hydrocarbon prices over the next two years.

We could lower the ratings on Qatar if developments in hydrocarbon production and prices, or in the banking sector, were to significantly weaken the country’s external or fiscal positions; for example, if the government’s gross liquid assets fall significantly below 100% of GDP, by our estimates, or if interest payments accounted for more than 5% of government revenues.

We could raise the ratings on Qatar if we saw domestic institutions mature faster than we expected, alongside significant improvements in transparency regarding government assets and external data quality.  (S&P 02.09)

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11.6  EGYPT:  The Gulf’s Entanglement in Egypt

Karen E. Young posted in the Arab Gulf States Institute in Washington (AGSIW) Market Watch on 25 August that if experience is any guide, President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi’s management of the Egyptian economy is in for a rough ride.  Sisi now contends that it is up to the Egyptian people to make meaningful economic reforms.  In an apparent admission that things have not gone according to plan, he said, “The fighter does not fight alone; his support system – the people – should fight with him.”

Egypt has finally pursued a loan agreement with the International Monetary Fund, after months of wishful thinking that the Arabian Gulf states would both deliver and extend the largesse they promised in 2013 in the aftermath of Sisi’s ascendance to power and the dismantling of the presidency of Mohamed Morsi.  Circumstances have changed since 2013, for both the Arabian Gulf states and Egypt.  Oil prices crashed dramatically in late 2014 and have since failed to rebound, putting all six GCC states into fiscal deficits.

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Egypt has failed to implement meaningful subsidy reforms, or to attract foreign investment.  Arabian Gulf state investment in housing development and infrastructure promised as part of the very optimistic Sharm el Sheikh economic conference in March 2015 has not been delivered.  Terrorism has depressed the tourism sector and many of the proposed investments of Sharm el Sheikh have failed to materialize, including the massive new capital city plan.  According to The Economist, annual inflation is at 14% and rising, while youth unemployment is at 40%.

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Egypt is nearing a breaking point and its recent shift in reliance on the Arabian Gulf, over the United States and multilateral lenders, could prove a serious miscalculation.  After 2013, Egypt relied heavily on Arabian Gulf donors and delayed making requests to international financial institutions for loans. In fact, Arabian Gulf aid and loans to Egypt (and many other Middle East and North Africa oil importers) has significantly replaced the traditional role of IFIs.  The problem with a reliance on the Arabian Gulf states is that, unlike multilateral banks and aid organizations, Egypt’s financial health comes second to their own in a time of reduced fiscal revenue.  To dig out of its current economic situation, Egypt (specifically Sisi) will need to mend ties with Western donors and IFIs, as well as continue to placate Arabian Gulf state donors and investment partners.

Caught between Lenders

One problem is that securing the IMF loan will require that Egypt negotiate additional funds from bilateral sources, most likely the Arabian Gulf states. Egypt’s financing needs are simply too big for one loan to cover.  The IMF has stretched its own lending capacity so that Egypt qualifies not just for a traditional Stand-By Agreement, where repayments are usually in shorter time frames of three to five years, but also an Extended Fund Facility, which will allow Egypt more time to repay the debt, as much as 10 years, and allow the amount of debt to increase above normal allotments in the fund’s drawing rights provisions.  According to a report by the bank EFG Hermes, the IMF loan is expected to be about $12 billion, though Egypt’s financing needs for the next three years are closer to $21 billion.  The World Bank and the African Development Bank are expected to lend part of the remaining $9 billion funding gap, but the Arabian Gulf states are being tapped for as much as $6 billion.  As of August 23, the United Arab Emirates had publicly acknowledged a deposit (though not confirmed by the Central Bank of Egypt) of $1 billion.  This is small change compared to the Arabian Gulf states’ deposits made in 2013 as well the promised investment and aid-in-kind announced.  Still undelivered is $4 billion committed by the UAE and Saudi Arabia three years ago.

 

Country 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
United Arab Emirates $3 billion (including $1.5 billion Khalifa bin Zayed fund for housing and SME support) Private reported aid: $22.8 million $3 billion (including $1.5 billion Khalifa bin Zayed fund for housing and SME support) Private reported aid: $22.8 million A grant of $1 billion and a further $2 billion deposit to the Central Bank of Egypt; in kind (petroleum and gas) $225 million $3.21 billion as investment in infrastructure development, and petroleum and agriculture sectors $4 billion aid package committed to Egypt: $2 billion to the Central Bank of Egypt and $2 billion project finance Recommitted support/not delivered: $4 billion – half as FDI  and half as a central bank deposit; $1 billion reported  Central Bank of Egypt deposit in August
Kingdom of Saudi Arabia $5 billion aid package: $1 billion cash grant, $2 billion in kind (petroleum and gas), $2 billion deposit to the Central Bank of Egypt $1 billion pledge to the Central Bank of Egypt; $3 billion investment pledge – thought to combine public and private enterprise, though they are unspecified in media accounts and not included in official ministry announcements Reported to receive $500 million cash grant as first payment of a $1.5 billion loan from KSA, part of a larger $25 billion package that includes an investment fund and infrastructure projects
Qatar $500 million cash grant, $2 billion Central Bank of Egypt deposit $1 billion cash grant; approx. $4 billion Central Bank of Egypt deposit
Kuwait $1 billion cash grant; $2 billion Central Bank of Egypt deposit $4 billion investment pledge

If the Arabian Gulf states had delivered on all of their aid promises to Egypt between 2013 and 2016, would Egypt be in its current financial crisis?  The answer is probably yes, and this is why the Arabian Gulf states have not delivered on expected deposits and investments.  They have considered it wasted money (and their own balance sheets have created domestic demands on spending as well).  Even if projects in real estate investment, including construction of the new administrative capital city, had proceeded as planned, there is little indication that these would have addressed problems of youth unemployment or low income housing demand.  The investor and public policy priorities were never fully aligned.  Add to that a government that was not interested in eliminating a bloated public sector and its affiliated business interests, the reform agenda was doomed to fail.  According to Sisi, the army and its Engineering Authority are managing the work of over 2,000 public and private companies in the mega-construction and infrastructure investment schemes.  The inability of the state, and the armed forces, to relinquish control over big and small market forces, including the price of meat and the delivery of foodstuffs, continues to stifle economic recovery.

IFIs and the donor community do not always get things right either.  The Arabian Gulf Cooperation Council replaced the role of IFIs in Egypt in the last three years.  The lack of conditionality on the aid and loans, and the volatility of the support is now very evident.  Moreover, the interests of Arabian Gulf states in promoting their own development agendas, hiring Arabian Gulf state-related entities to do construction and infrastructure projects inside Egypt, might not align with the long-term development needs of Egyptians.  When those projects are not deemed profitable, or the companies themselves are struggling, the development agenda becomes secondary to both Arabian Gulf state and corporate demands.

Calculations change and relationships evolve. Egypt is still important to the Arabian Gulf, and the Arabian Gulf states cannot afford Egypt in revolution, or simply financial free-fall.  As the Arabian Gulf states are more integrated into both regional and international economies, they also need Egypt to recover. Egypt’s stability hangs in the balance, with two essential demands: It must raise as much as $5 billion from the Arabian Gulf and the Sisi government must secure the remaining policy conditions through Parliament to finalize the IMF deal.  The first order of business is to stabilize the depreciation of the Egyptian pound, which continues to decline in value. Bankers expect a float or a major devaluation in the coming weeks.  Next, the government must be able to generate revenue internally through an effective tax regime and privatization of state-owned banks and petroleum businesses.  The Sisi government has thus far been unable to make meaningful value added tax or income tax reforms, in policy and enforcement.  Tourism continues to suffer, particularly as flights remain banned between Russia and Egypt.  Remittances from the Arabian Gulf have suffered as well, as layoffs in construction firms have hit Egyptian laborers hard.

The Arabian Gulf states, particularly the UAE, have pledged to continue to support Egypt, but not to the degree of their stated support in 2013.  Their priorities have shifted, as have their resources.  However, the region itself is more intertwined and the stability of Egypt will certainly have ramifications for the Arabian Gulf states.  It is in the interest of the Arabian Gulf states to invest in peace and stability in Egypt.  The question is how much will it cost, and is Sisi a credible manager of that investment.  There is also an opportunity for the Arabian Gulf states to work in partnership with IFIs like the IMF in Egypt’s recovery.  This could be an important learning process in the delivery, transparency, and institutionalization of Arabian Gulf aid and foreign direct investment, and serve to encourage better coordination among the GCC states in their respective economic statecraft objectives.

Market Watch is a blog conceived by AGSIW Senior Resident Scholar Karen E. Young seeking to provide insights from the crossroads of Arabian Gulf politics and finance.  (AGSIW 26.08)

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11.7  SAUDI ARABIA:  Fitch Affirms Saudi Arabia at ‘AA-‘; Outlook Negative

On 1 September, Fitch Ratings affirmed Saudi Arabia’s Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at ‘AA-‘ with Negative Outlooks.  The Short-Term Foreign and Local Currency IDRs have been affirmed at ‘F1+’ and the Country Ceiling at ‘AA+’.

Key Rating Drivers

The Long-Term IDRs of ‘AA-‘ reflects the following key rating drivers:

The government’s balance sheet remains an important support for the ratings although it has continued to weaken as a result of lower international oil prices.  During the first seven months of 2016, overall government deposits at the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA) have declined SAR92b to SAR1,070b or around 46% of GDP.  Government bonds held by commercial banks increased SAR81b as a result of increased debt issuance.  The government also took on an international syndicated loan of $10b in May and is expected to issue its debut Eurobond later in 2016.  As a result, general government debt is likely to rise to 14.7% of GDP by end-2016, from just 1.6% in 2014 but still well below the ‘AA’-category median of 38.7%.

We expect the balance sheet to weaken further as the general government deficit, while shrinking from the peak of 13.8% of GDP in 2015, is forecast to remain high in 2016 and 2017, at 11.2% and 6.8% respectively, before falling to 2.4% in 2018.  The improvement of the deficit will primarily be the result of rising oil prices, but the government’s National Transformation Program (NTP), presented in June, will also have an important impact.

The NTP contains ambitious fiscal targets, including an increase in non-oil government revenues to SAR530b in 2020 (an increase by 15% – 20% of non-oil GDP) from SAR163b in 2015, a reduction in public payroll expenditure, a decrease in annual water and energy subsidies by SAR200b by 2020 and a reduction in expenditure on public sector salaries and wages to SAR456b from SAR480b.  An objective is to contain public debt to below 30% of GDP by 2020.

The economic impact of such a fiscal tightening would be so severe that in Fitch’s view the fiscal objectives will probably have to be scaled down.  In addition, the broad range of other social and economic objectives and the complexity of implementation may overwhelm the administrative capacity of the government.  However, the government has already re-prioritized investment spending, cancelling some projects, and raised visa fees.  It will raise ‘vice taxes’ on energy drinks, soda drinks and tobacco and is committed to introducing a value-added tax at a rate of 5% by 2018.

The NTP includes the goal of substantial privatization, although the time line and details are still highly uncertain.  The Chairman of the Council for Economic and Development Affairs, Deputy Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman, indicated that up to 5% of Saudi Aramco would be sold in an IPO.  While this could raise some $100b, obstacles in terms of transparency, depth of local markets and reservations about governance remain large, so that privatization receipts are not included in our forecasts although they could help contain the rise in public debt.

Lower oil prices caused a sharp deterioration of the current account balance, to a deficit 8.3% of GDP and the deficit will remain broadly unchanged in 2016 but then should narrow to 5.8% in 2017 and 0.7% in 2018 on the back of higher oil prices and weakening import demand.  Sovereign net foreign assets will decline to 74.5% of GDP in 2018 from a peak of 113% in 2015.

Fiscal consolidation is likely to be the driver behind the expected slowdown in GDP growth to 0.9% in 2016, from 3.5% in 2015, with only a modest recovery to 1.1% in 2017 and 1.6% in 2018.  GDP growth is supported by a continued expansion in oil production, reaching a record high of 10.7m b/d in July, but non-oil GDP will contract as a result of fiscal consolidation measures, particularly as government investment in infrastructure has been scaled back.

The scaling down of infrastructure spending, combined with payment delays, has hit the construction sector hard, and the government may decide to bail out some of the large contractors.  The government hopes that bringing in private-sector participation in infrastructure development will help to provide some support but this is unlikely to be sufficient and will take time.

With a Fitch banking system indicator at ‘a’, weaker only than Australia, Canada and Singapore and unusually strong for emerging markets, banks have proved resilient despite the weakening macroeconomic environment.  Domestic liquidity has tightened as deposits in the banking sector have declined while credit to the private sector, while decelerating, is still growing and claims on the public sector are growing rapidly from a low level.  As a result, the loan-to-deposit ratio has reached 91% in July, slightly above the regulatory ceiling of 90% and the highest level on record.

The slowdown in private sector lending will lead to deterioration in asset quality, but non-performing loans as a share of total gross loans, at 1.2% in July, are still close to the record low, and the capital adequacy ratio, at 18% in July, is high suggesting sufficient buffer against a rise in non-performing loans.

Given its exposed position in a volatile region, geopolitical risks are high relative to ‘AA’ category peers.  Tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran persist and Saudi Arabia, together with its coalition partners, is fighting a war against Houthi rebels in Yemen, with no clear prospect of an end to the fighting.  There are also sporadic terrorist attacks.

Given the high share of young people in the population, the labor force is growing rapidly and the economy will struggle to absorb this growth.  This and the fiscal consolidation measures may lead to rising disaffection, but widespread domestic unrest is unlikely.  While the line of succession has been clearly defined, tensions within the royal family could still be a cause for instability.  While income per capita measures are high, other structural indicators, such the World Bank indicators for governance and the business climate are both well below the medians for both ‘AA’ and ‘A’ rated peers.

Rating Sensitivities

The following factors, individually or collectively, could trigger a downgrade:

– Continued erosion of fiscal or external positions.

– A slower-than-expected narrowing in the fiscal deficit, for example as a result of a failure to implement fiscal reforms or due to a renewed fall in oil prices.

– Spillover from regional conflicts or a domestic political shock that threatens stability or affects key economic activities.

As the Outlook is Negative, Fitch does not anticipate developments with a high likelihood of triggering an upgrade. However, the following factors, individually or collectively, could lead to a revision of the Outlook to Stable:

– Fiscal consolidation sufficient to stem the depletion of fiscal and external buffers and put the budget on a path to a surplus.

– A sustained period of higher oil prices.

Key Assumptions

Fitch forecasts Brent crude oil prices to average $42/b in 2016, $45/b in 2017 and $55/b in 2018.  (Fitch 01.09)

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11.8  EGYPT:  Egypt Resorts to Drastic Proposals to Solve Dollar Crisis

Ismael El-Kholy posted on 26 August in Al-Monitor that the Egyptian economy has been suffering since the January 25 Revolution in 2011, in light of the US dollar supply shortage, which is controlling the Egyptian import market.  Last year, Egypt’s imports amounted to about $65 billion, underscoring its demand on foreign currency.  Egyptians are at odds over how to solve the country’s fiscal crisis, with parliament speaker Ali Abdul Aal calling for shutting down currency exchange companies.

Before January 2011, Egypt’s economy relied on several key sources, most prominently tourism and foreign investment — two sectors currently in sharp decline.  The political circumstances resulted in a severe decline in the Egyptian pound compared to the US dollar.  In January 2011, $1 was worth 5.818 Egyptian pounds.  Today, however, $1 is officially worth 8.88 Egyptian pounds, while the estimated price on the black market ranges from 12 to 13 Egyptian pounds.

Egypt is trying to obtain US currency by borrowing it, as well as trying to control the US dollar on the Egyptian black market.

This month, the Egyptian parliament approved a draft law amending some provisions concerning the Central Bank of Egypt and the banking system, whereby those who manipulate foreign exchange rates can be imprisoned for three to 10 years and fined 1-5 million Egyptian pounds.

At the same parliament session on 9 August, parliament Speaker Ali Abdul Aal said Egypt needs to quickly prepare a law to eliminate exchange companies, calling them “a cancer destroying the structure of the Egyptian economy.”  The suggestion was met with criticism from some Egyptian parties.  The Egyptian Democratic Party stressed that such a move would be “a danger to internal and external investment,” while the Justice Party said, “The government will face a crisis in controlling the banking market.”

An employee at a Cairo currency exchange company recently told Al-Monitor on condition of anonymity, “The elimination of exchange companies will lead to a further deterioration in the banking sector’s situation, and the black market will be even more active than it is today.”  He added, “I do not deny the fact that exchange companies do not abide by the official rate when buying and selling US dollars, but the employees refuse to sell at the rate determined by the state because it is not logical.  We need to provide the US dollar for those who need it, like importers and such, and sometimes a unified black market price is set by exchange companies.”

The employee continued, “If exchange companies are to be eliminated, this price will no longer exist.  Things will become more random, and the dollar will rise from 12 to 25 Egyptian pounds on the black market.”  He added, “The current crisis is present because Egyptians are dealing with the US dollar as a rare commodity, while the banks are not giving this currency to traders.  The demand is growing, and there is no solution.”

Ahmed Abdel Hafez, the head of the Department of Economics at October 6 University, said getting rid of the companies would only make things worse.  “The elimination of exchange companies is unreasonable and unacceptable. We have funding problems, and the elimination of these companies will double them,” Hafez said.  “The parliament did well by rationing and [increasing] penalties, but eliminating exchange companies would be hard,” he told Al-Monitor.  “Perhaps we can close them at a later stage, but not at the moment.  Egypt has entered into an agreement with the International Monetary Fund for a loan of $12 billion, which may solve the crisis.”

Abdel Hafez said, “It is possible to connect the exchange companies to the central bank through an online system, and the banks can even become contributors in exchange companies in order to control them, but closing these companies down will push their staff to sell the US dollar on the streets or in clothing and grocery shops.  It would be similar to drug trafficking; no matter how hard it tries, the state will fail to control the situation.”  He believes Abdul Aal does not really want to eliminate exchange companies, but “he was angry at these companies because they are hysterically raising the [US dollar] price.  Such a law cannot be passed.”

Meanwhile, Ayman Metwally, the chairman of the Egyptian Association for Financing and Investment Studies, believes that the solution to the current crisis does not lie in eliminating exchange companies but rather in revitalizing foreign currency sources.  “The dollar sources were foreign tourism, the Suez Canal and Egypt’s exports of oil,” he said.  “Tourism is suffering and so is the Suez Canal, and now Egypt has become a pure importer of oil rather than an exporter.”

Metwally thinks Egypt must determine the necessary imported goods and restrict goods deemed unnecessary, objectively, as long as the person sorting the imported goods is a specialist and not a government employee.  Only goods with no available alternatives would be imported.  Addressing the idea of closing exchange companies, Metwally said, “This is not a solution.  This will drag us back to the 1980s.  We will see a closed market, and the random exchange of currency will thrive.”  He added, “Some of the countries that closed their markets reopened them while others collapsed completely, such as the Soviet Union.”

Metwally excuses the governor of the central bank for this current crisis, despite the drop in foreign currency reserves, because the governor has to import primary goods every month.  Abdul Aal’s suggestion of eliminating exchange companies was fiercely criticized because some are concerned about the obviously negative repercussions.  Even if the proposal goes nowhere, Abdul Aal’s statements raise questions about the way the state is attempting to solve the crisis.  (Al-Monitor 26.08)

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11.9  GREECE:  Fitch Affirms Greece at ‘CCC’

Fitch Ratings on 02 September affirmed Greece’s Long-Term Foreign and Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at ‘CCC’.  The issue ratings on Greece’s long-term senior unsecured bonds have also been affirmed at ‘CCC’.  The Short-term Foreign and Local Currency IDRs and the rating on Greece’s short-term debt have all been affirmed at ‘C’, and the Country Ceiling at ‘B-‘.

Key Rating Drivers

The completion of the first review and approval in May of the second tranche (€10.3b, 6% of GDP) of Greece’s €86b European Stability Mechanism (ESM) program highlights improved relations with creditors, but in Fitch’s view implementation risks are still high.  The agreement was reached several months later than planned but the delay did not give rise to marked economic volatility.

The country’s 2015 primary surplus (program definition) was confirmed at 0.7% of GDP, better than the target of a deficit of 0.25%.  A run-up of government arrears during creditor negotiations led to a fall in general government debt, to 177% of GDP in 2015 from 180% of GDP in 2014, still the second highest of all Fitch-rated countries.  Fiscal performance so far this year is consistent with meeting the 2016 primary surplus target of 0.5% of GDP, but the remaining fiscal targets, of 1.75% of GDP in 2017 and 3.5% in 2018, will be progressively harder to meet.

In completing the first review, the government legislated as “prior actions” measures to meet the estimated fiscal gap of 3% of GDP to 2018, of which just above two-thirds come from pension and income tax reform.  Relatively weak domestic ownership of program policy, however, makes their full implementation difficult.  The agreement also includes a contingent fiscal mechanism retrospectively triggering further measures if a fiscal target is missed, as well as tax efficiency reforms on which the follow-through is less certain.

The second review is slated to commence in Q4/16, with labor reform expected to be the most contentious component.  Fitch estimates that the government will have sufficient buffers (cash, repos and possible arrears build-up) to last into Q2/17 without release of funds on completing the second review, which increases the likelihood of negotiations slipping into next year.  The nature of IMF participation is likely to hinge on the scope for relaxation of the medium-term fiscal targets and degree of commitment to debt relief.

So far the Eurogroup has set out only general parameters of a potential debt deal; namely that gross financing needs should remain below 15% of GDP “for the medium term” and below 20% thereafter, and that the more substantial relief such as interest rate caps, coupon deferrals and maturity extensions are conditional on successful program completion in 2018.  Delivering debt relief in stages and contingent on delivery could incentivize performance, but could have the opposite effect if it came to be seen by Greek politicians or the public as a distant or unattainable prospect.  Uncertainty around the likely outcome also limits the economic benefits through boosting confidence in the long-term sustainability of Greek debt.

Syriza has been losing ground in the polls to the center-right New Democracy, which has less ideological opposition to a number of the program policies but has argued for its renegotiation in particular on fiscal targets.  Despite a slim majority, we expect Prime Minister Tsipras to be able to continue to rely on votes from centrist parties, but the potential for political surprises remains.  Maintaining sufficient support to deliver on the demanding conditions through to 2018 is highly challenging, particularly in view of the track record of slippage under previous programs.

GDP contracted 0.75% (annualized) in H1/16 and Fitch expects a modest pick-up in the remainder of 2016 taking full year growth to -0.5%.  We forecast GDP growth of 1.8% in 2017, supported by an increase in investment and, to a lesser extent, private consumption, and a moderately positive net trade contribution.  Unemployment fell to 23.5% in May 2016 from close to 25.9% at the beginning of 2015 and we expect a further gradual fall, to an average 21.9% in 2018, still the highest in the Eurozone.  The low oil price and sharp import contraction following imposition of capital controls has taken the current account close to balance from a deficit of 2.1% of GDP in 2014.  Fitch expects small current account surpluses in 2016 and 2017, with net external debt remaining elevated at close to 130% of GDP in 2016.

Last year’s bank recapitalization helped stabilize the financial sector but consumer and investor confidence have been slow to recover.  Bank deposits have increased only 2% since their 25% (€38b) drop in H1/15, although the relaxation of capital controls in July, in particular the withdrawal of restrictions on new deposits, is expected to lead to some moderate pick-up in deposits in H2/16.  As a result, Greek banks continue to face very large funding imbalances, with Emergency Liquidity Assistance (ELA) accounting for 20% of system-wide funding. June’s ECB reinstatement of the waiver permitting Greek government bonds to be used as collateral will allow a fairly small share of ELA funding (estimated 7%) to be transferred to ECB’s regular financing operations at a 150bp lower interest rate.

The key challenge for the Greek banking sector is tackling non-performing exposures (NPEs) which remain extremely high at above 45% of gross loans.  Improvement has been made to the legal and institutional framework for resolving loans, but progress in working through problem assets has been relatively slow.  High NPEs, funding imbalances and weak credit demand continue to constrain net private sector lending, which Fitch forecasts will contract 2.8% in 2016 and 1.5% in 2017.

Key Assumptions

Any debt relief given to Greece under the ESM program will apply to official-sector debt only, and would not therefore constitute an event of default under the agency’s criteria.  (Fitch 02.09)

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The Fortnightly newsletter is a free service of Atid, EDI. We are a team of economic and trade development consultants, headquartered in Jerusalem, but active throughout the region and beyond. EDI works with an international clientele interested in identifying and researching business opportunities in the region. We also serve as the regional representative offices for a number of U.S. states and bilateral Chambers of Commerce, as well as European clients.

The post Fortnightly, 7 September 2016 appeared first on Atid EDI.

Fortnightly, 21 September 2016

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21 September 2016
18 Elul 5776
20 Dhul Hijjah 1437

TOP STORIES

TABLE OF CONTENTS:

 1: ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Israel & US Sign $38 Billion Landmark Defense Aid Package
1.2  Israeli Government to Encourage High-Tech Engineers to Immigrate to Israel
1.3  Luxembourg PM Visits Israel & Lauds Excellent Bilateral Ties

2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  WSC Sports Technologies Secures $12 Million Series B Financing Round
2.2  MX1 Unveils Complete Global Service Offering
2.3  Tel Aviv Helps Kenya Build $14.5 Billion ‘Silicon Savannah’ City
2.4  Datorama Secures $32 Million for AI-Based Marketing Analytics
2.5  Elbit Systems Wins Contract to Supply an Asia-Pacific Country with Advanced Electro-Optic Systems
2.6  Sensibo Raises $2.6 Million
2.7  Cato Networks Raises $30 Million
2.8  Claroty Exits Stealth Mode With $32 Million in Funding to Protect Industrial Networks
2.9  CTERA Secures $25 Million in Funding to Catalyze Enterprise Data Infrastructure Modernization
2.10  SKECHERS Launches Joint Venture in Israel
2.11  Applause Raises $35 Million
2.12  Optimove Raises $20 Million
2.13  Totango Raises $8 Million
2.14  Kuang-Chi Expands GCI Portfolio with Investment in Agent Vi
2.15  Supplier Payments Score With Tipalti Funding Round
2.16  Zeeko Raises $9 Million

 3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  V School Opens Office in Beirut with a 12-Week Coding Bootcamp
3.2  Royal Air Maroc Begins Non-Stop Service from Dulles International Airport to Casablanca

 4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Israel Reduces Air & Water Pollution
4.2  Air Pollution Costs Egypt 3.58% of GDP in Welfare Losses

5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  King Abdullah Meets World Leaders in New York
5.2  Amman Ready With Plan To Stimulate Economy Before Year’s End
5.3  GE Signs $520 Million Iraq Deal

♦♦Arabian Gulf

5.4  Dubai Plans to Build World’s First ‘Happiness City’
5.5  Saudi Arabia Overtakes the U.S. as World’s Largest Oil Producer

♦♦North Africa

5.6  President Sisi Ratifies VAT for Egypt
5.7  Egypt Receives First $1 Billion Tranche of World Bank Loan
5.8  AUC and Cairo University Drop in QS International Rankings
5.9  Egypt Makes Breast Exams Mandatory to Get Subsidized Infant Formula
5.10  Egypt, Ethiopia, Sudan Sign Final Contracts on Nile Dam Studies
5.11  Egyptian Women Contribute 50% to 1.2 Million Micro Enterprises in Egypt
5.12  Gen. Haftar Seizes Libyan Oil Ports
5.13  Morocco’s Trade Deficit up 13 % in January-August
5.14  Morocco’s Imports of Liquor & Tobacco on the Rise
5.15  Six Million Tourists Visited Morocco During the First Half of 2016

6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkey’s Economy Records Over 3% Growth
6.2  Turkey’s Current Account Deficit Falls in July
6.3  Recovery Roadblocks Raise Greek Sovereign Risk Measures
6.4  Greek Economy Recovering, Growing, Prime Minister says in Major Policy Speech

7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

♦♦ISRAEL:

7.1  Over 1.4 Million Muslims Live in Israel

♦♦REGIONAL:

7.2  UNESCO Says Egypt Among World’s Lowest in Research Spending
7.3  Algeria to Build Electric Fence on Libyan Border
7.4  Morocco and Algeria Dispute Over the Origin of Rai Music

8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  European Commission Supports Deployment of ImmunoXpert to Reduce Antibiotic Misuse in Hospitals
8.2  RosettaGX Reveal Thyroid miRNA Classifier Now Available to Be Utilized on ThinPrep Samples
8.3  Intec Pharma Granted European Patent for Accordion Pill–Carbidopa / Levodopa
8.4  Aspect Imaging Introduces Multi-Modality Imaging Tools to Streamline Research
8.5  Foamix Announces Results in Phase 2 Clinical Trial of FMX-103 Minocycline for Rosacea
8.6  Rapid Medical’s Comaneci Remodeling Mesh Exceeds 500 Successful Aneurysm Treatments
8.7  Philips Healthcare selects Medic Vision’s XR-29 Solution for its CT & PET/CT Scanners
8.8  DarioHealth Preps for New iPhone
8.9  Afimilk Introduces Automatic Calving Alert Service
8.10  Timorex Gold Effective Against Black Sigatoka
8.11  Lipogen Partners with Xenesta for Lipogen PSPA
8.12  Teva & Intel to Develop Unique Wearable Tech for Measurement of Huntington Disease Symptoms
8.13  GI View Receives FDA 510(k) Clearance for the New Aer-O-Scope Disposable Colonoscope System
8.14  Teva & Regeneron Collaborate on Development and Commercialization of Fasinumab
8.15  Theranica Closes Seed Funding Round & Reports Promising Clinical Results in Acute Migraine Study

9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Giraffic AVA for Content Providers Brings the Next Level of Consumer Viewing Experience
9.2  Sixgill Signs With Scitum/Telmex for a Solution to Address Cyber Attacks Before They Happen
9.3  Mellanox Delivers First Complete 10/25/50/100 Gb/s Ethernet Open Networking Switch Portfolio
9.4  Celeno Technology to Power Askey Gateways and Wi-Fi Extenders
9.5  BriefCam and Digifort Announce Technology Partnership
9.6  prooV Connects Enterprises To Software Vendors For Seamless Proof of Concept Pilots
9.7  Menora Mivtachim Insurance Selects Sapiens IDIT Software Suite
9.8  CyberArk Receives U.S. Technology Patent for Detecting Cyber Security Risks
9.9  ECI Expands Neptune Family to Provide End-to-End, 5G Ready Backhaul Solution
9.10  Telematics Wireless Awarded Access to the YPO Framework Agreement for Street Lighting
9.11 Nano Dimension Marks First Delivery of DragonFly 2020 3D Printer to the US
9.12  Stratasys & threeASFOUR Unveil 3D Printed OSCILLATION Dress
9.13  SuperCom to Launch Mobile Wallet Solution with VeriFone and Nofshonit in Israel
9.14  LightCyber Extends Behavioral Attack Detection to Amazon Web Services

10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israel’s CPI Declines by 0.3% in August
10.2  Israeli Exports Jumped 11.5% Between June – August
10.3  Israel’s Second Quarter Growth Revised Upwards
10.4  Budget Deficit Remains Well Below Government Target
10.5  While Wine Consumption Is On the Rise, Israelis Still Not Big Drinkers

11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  ISRAEL: The Israeli Startup Scene in August
11.2  ISRAEL: Israel’s New MOU: The Money and the Message
11.3  LEBANON: Lebanon’s Waste Management Policies One Year after the 2015 Crisis
11.4  IRAQ: Fitch Affirms Iraq at ‘B-‘; Outlook Negative
11.5  QATAR: Fitch Affirms Qatar at ‘AA’; Outlook Stable
11.6  SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Arabia’s Struggle for Sunni Leadership
11.7  SAUDI ARABIA: Fitch Affirms Saudi Arabia at ‘AA-‘; Outlook Negative
11.8  EGYPT: Egypt’s Divorced Women Demand Their Fair Share of Assets
11.9  MOROCCO: Populist Limits to Subsidy Reforms in Morocco
11.10  TURKEY: Turks Bicker About Time Change
11.11  TURKEY: Turkey’s Senior Citizens Get Their First University
11.12  CYPRUS: Long-Term Ratings Raised To ‘BB’ On Strong Economic Performance; Outlook Positive
11.13  GREECE: Fitch Affirms Greece at ‘CCC’
11.14  GREECE: Greek Recovery Still Far Off Despite Optimism

1:  ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Israel & US Sign $38 Billion Landmark Defense Aid Package

On 14 September, Israel and the United States inked a landmark defense aid package, in which Washington has pledged to give Jerusalem $38 billion in military assistance over the next decade.  The defense package, which will provide Israel with $3.8 billion a year between 2018 and 2028, is the largest aid package ever given to a U.S. ally.  Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu welcomed the deal, saying, “This agreement ensures unprecedented U.S. defense aid to Israel over the next decade.  This is the biggest defense aid package the U.S. has ever extended any nation, and it will allow us to continue and develop our military strength and our missile defenses.  This is a very important achievement for the State of Israel.”

An official with the Prime Minister’s Office stressed that the deal is “a historic achievement for Prime Minister Netanyahu,” adding that in the event of a war, Israel would be able to appeal to Congress for additional aid.  The landmark deal was reached despite budget cuts, including defense cuts, in the U.S.

U.S. National Security Adviser Susan Rice hailed the deal as a “win-win” situation that will improve the security of both countries.  “We affirm today the unbreakable bond between the United States and Israel,” she said.  “Since 2009, the U.S. has provided almost $24 billion in military aid to Israel.  We are proud that no other administration has done so much to enhance Israel’s security.  We can’t know what will happen in the next 10 years, but we do know that the U.S. will always be there for the State of Israel and its people, today, tomorrow and for generations to come.”  President Barack Obama issued a special statement after the deal was signed, stressing that it demonstrates the U.S.’s commitment to Israel’s security in word and deed.

According to a White House fact sheet, the deal includes annual payments of $3.3 billion in foreign military financing to Israel and $500 million a year for Israeli missile defense funding — the first time this has been formally built into the aid package.  The funding will allow Israel to update most of its fighter aircraft, including purchasing additional F-35 fighter jets. Israel is scheduled to receive 33 F-35 aircraft, the first two of which will be delivered in December.  The deal also includes restrictions: Under the agreement, Israel’s ability to spend part of the funds on Israeli military products will be phased out and eventually it will have to spend all of the money on American military industries.  Israel’s preference for spending some of the aid internally had been a major sticking point in the deal.  (Various 14.09)

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1.2  Israeli Government to Encourage High-Tech Engineers to Immigrate to Israel

Prime Minister Netanyahu has ordered the establishment of an inter-ministerial team that will deal with encouraging Jewish engineers and software developers to work in Israel.  During a recent cabinet meeting, Netanyahu announced this initiative, aimed at tackling the shortage of engineers and developers in Israel’s high tech.  The team will be responsible for examining the possibility of offering Jewish engineers with a unique benefit track, based on their eligibility for the Law of Return.  The effort will be coordinated by the Prime Minister’s Office Director General Gruner.

According to the Israel Innovation Authority report submitted to the prime minister last June, in the next decade Israel will suffer from a shortage of about 10,000 engineers and programmers.  The report warned that “Israel is weakening as an international innovation leader” – due to the decline in the number of computer science, mathematics, and statistics graduates, from 3,000 in 2004 to 2,250 in 2014.  (Globes 11.09)

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1.3  Luxembourg PM Visits Israel & Lauds Excellent Bilateral Ties

On 12 September, Prime Minister Netanyahu met with Luxembourg Prime Minster Bettel in Jerusalem.  This was the first visit by a Luxembourgish prime minister to Israel.  The Prime Minister’s Office described the leaders’ meeting as “very good.”  Bettel invited Netanyahu to visit Luxembourg, and the two discussed increasing bilateral trade ties, as well as various regional issues.

Referring to Luxembourg’s first-ever apology for the suffering of its Jewish community during World War II, issued in June, Netanyahu expressed his appreciation for “the forthright position that you took in Luxembourg regarding the events there during World War II and your apology to the Jewish community was deeply appreciated.”  Bettel replied that he was “very happy to hear … that the position of my government, 70 years later, to apologize to the Jewish community by saying that we were not all heroes in my country, was deeply appreciated.  For me it was important to do that step, because it’s never too late to recognize errors, but the biggest error is not to recognize errors.”

Noting that trade between the two countries nearly doubled between 2014 and 2015, Bettel lauded the “excellent” political and economic relationship between Luxembourg and Israel.  He said, “We have a big economic delegation that is also now discussing with its counterparts here in Israel.”  Bettel later signed an agreement to increase academic cooperation with the Hebrew University of Jerusalem.  (IH 12.09)

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2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  WSC Sports Technologies Secures $12 Million Series B Financing Round

WSC Sports Technologies completed a $12 million Series B round of financing.  The round was led by Intel Capital, with participation from existing and new investors including the Wilf family (owners of the Minnesota Vikings), the ownership of the LA Dodgers, and Dan Gilbert (majority owner of the 2016 NBA Champion Cleveland Cavaliers).  The investment brings WSC Sports’ total funding to $16 million and will help the company significantly accelerate growth and international expansion.  The Series B financing round marks a remarkable year for WSC Sports, which kicked off with a significant deal with the National Basketball Association, the acceptance of the prestigious Sports Technology Award and wide publicity regarding the launch of the first ever Facebook Video chat bot.

WSC Sports’ customers, including the NBA, Turner Sports, Big East Conference, the ELeague and others, are using the company’s platform to automatically generate customized highlights packages in near real-time and utilize the plethora of fan engagement products the platform has to offer; the generated video content is featured across multiple digital and social assets, ensuring fans around the world access to the best moments from every team and player they wish.  Several other major deals with leading broadcasting and sports organizations are in the works, though still in stealth mode.

Ramat Gan’s WSC Sports has developed a video creation and distribution platform that automatically and in real-time scans sports broadcasts, identifies each and every event that occurs in the game, generates and then publishes short-form videos to any digital destination, including various fan-facing applications developed by the company.  Among WSC’s clients are some of the largest media rights holders: the NBA, Turner Sports (March Madness, ELeague), British Telecom, the Big East Conference and more.  (WSC Sports 08.09)

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2.2  MX1 Unveils Complete Global Service Offering

MX1 presented its complete service offering and new innovative, end-to-end media service platform, MX1 360.  MX1 the world’s media globalizer, a wholly-owned subsidiary of SES, works with leading media businesses to transform content into the ultimate viewer experience for a global audience.  MX1 serves as a complete end-to-end media experience provider, amplifying the value of media content.  MX1 has centralized its full suite of next-generation video and media services into its new innovative open media service platform – MX1 360, enabling leading media businesses to manage, deliver and monetize content from a single, hybrid, cloud-based and on-premises service platform.

MX1, a wholly-owned subsidiary of SES, is a global leading media services provider.  The world’s first media globalizer works with leading media businesses to transform content into the ultimate viewer experience for a global audience.  With more entertainment, more innovation and more impact, MX1 offers a full range of content management, delivery and value-added digital media services.  Every day, MX1 distributes more than 2,500 TV channels, manages the playout of over 500 channels, delivers syndicated content to more than 120 leading subscription VOD platforms, delivers over 8,000 hours of online video streaming and delivers more than 500 hours of premium sports and live events.  The new company has 16 offices worldwide and operates six global state-of-the-art media centers, enabling customers to reach billions of people around the world.  (MX1 01.09)

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2.3  Tel Aviv Helps Kenya Build $14.5 Billion ‘Silicon Savannah’ City

Israel’s ‘startup city’ Tel Aviv is helping Kenya to build its first tech hub in the new city of Konza, just outside the capital Nairobi.  The ambitious, $14.5 billion project will feature a science and business park, convention center, shopping malls, hotels and international schools, among other facilities.  The new smart city will be built on 5,000 acres of land, about 37 miles south of Nairobi.

Headed by Tel Aviv Global, the city also plans to host seminars and meetups with local startups, in order to foster collaboration between Kenya and Israel, and connect Israeli startups that market to African countries with the founders of the new city of Konza.  Israeli companies have been involved in Africa for years, but the Holy Land’s own transition into a modern country can contribute to budding technology centers around the globe.

Kenya approved plans for the new city Konza, which is expected to be completed in 2019, about three years ago.  In the initial phase, the city will be home to 30,000 residents and offer 17,000 jobs.  By 2030, it is expected to grow to 200,000 residents and add thousands more jobs.  But the Konza smart hub, dubbed “Silicon Savannah’ or ‘Techno City,’ has also had its share of criticism.  Some say the $14.5 billion investment in building the city should, at least partly, go towards funding local startups.  Other critics say Konza is located too far from the bustling capital Nairobi.  (NoCamels 14.09)

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2.4  Datorama Secures $32 Million for AI-Based Marketing Analytics

Datorama closed on a $32 million round of Series C funding led by Lightspeed Venture Partners.  It plans to invest the funds in artificial intelligence (AI) technologies to support its machine-learning capabilities.  Datorama has raised $50 million since it was founded in 2012.

Datorama’s Software-as-Service (SaaS) platform gives marketers the ability to connect all of their data sources together, helping organizations produce marketing data analytics and gain business insight.  Its solutions include continuously updated KPIs, analytics and insights. Its dashboards and reporting cover standard KPIs to advanced predictive analytics.  Company officials said that Datorama’s Marketing Integration Engine, using AI technologies, automates the process of connecting online and offline data sources from advertising, marketing, sales and customer relationship management (CRM) technologies. It combines that data integration capability with patent-pending data modeling, campaign management tools, data visualization and advanced analytics.

Tel Aviv based Datorama‘s Marketing Integration Engine addresses one of the toughest challenges facing data-driven marketers today:  Quickly integrating all of the marketing department’s messy, siloed data.  By applying artificial intelligence, the Marketing Integration Engine automates the process by which marketers connect all of their online and offline data sources from the ever-increasing landscape of advertising, marketing, sales and CRM technologies that pervade today’s marketing technology stack.

The platform provides an end-to-end marketing analytics solution for business users that combines this industry-leading data integration capability with patent-pending dynamic data modeling, productized campaign management tools, intuitive data visualization, and advanced analytics that powers unified reporting for real-time data analysis and insights.  Datorama helps enterprises, agencies, publishers and platforms of all sizes centralize all of their marketing data while providing the agility to experiment and manage change, two hallmarks of today’s data-driven marketing environment.  (Datorama 16.09)

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2.5  Elbit Systems Wins Contract to Supply an Asia-Pacific Country with Advanced Electro-Optic Systems

Elbit Systems was awarded a contract valued at over $90 million from an Asia-Pacific country, for the supply of SPECTRO XR advanced electro-optic systems.  The contract will be performed over a four-year period.  SPECTRO XR is an ultra-long-range, day/night, multi-spectral electro-optical ISTAR system.  At its heart is a large multi-spectral imaging system combining multiple cameras into one, allowing SPECTRO XR to significantly improve performance without increasing size and weight.  The implementation of fully digital sensors and lasers, with a very high level of stabilization, provides users with high performance in adverse weather conditions.  The modular design enables users to select the configuration best suited to their needs, both in terms of performance and cost.  The system can be installed on a variety of platforms including rotary and fixed-wing airborne platforms, aerostats, naval vessels and land applications.  A wide variety of command and control interfaces enables simple integration of the SPECTRO XR with various other systems onboard, such as mission computers, radar, data-links and helmet-mounted tracking systems.

Haifa’s Elbit Systems is an international high technology company engaged in a wide range of defense, homeland security and commercial programs throughout the world.  The Company, which includes Elbit Systems and its subsidiaries, operates in the areas of aerospace, land and naval systems, command, control, communications, computers, intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance (“C4ISR”), unmanned aircraft systems, advanced electro-optics, electro-optic space systems, EW suites, signal intelligence systems, data links and communications systems, radios and cyber-based systems.  (Elbit 11.09)

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2.6  Sensibo Raises $2.6 Million

Sensibo has closed a $2.6 million seed funding round led by Motus Ventures with the participation of Lool Ventures.  The company also announced the launch of Sensibo Inside, its newly launched turnkey IoT solution that enables original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and distributors to turn any appliance into a smart device without the need for expensive and lengthy R&D cycles or product redesign.  Sensibo is partnering with Blue Star, a leading air conditioning company in India, to integrate Sensibo Inside in homes across India.  Blue Star will integrate Sensibo Inside to connect air conditioners to the cloud, immediately enabling remote monitoring and control, scheduling and autonomous operations.  Air conditioners will automatically turn off when the home is empty and turn back on before everyone’s arrival, fostering advanced energy savings.

Tel Aviv’s Sensibo is a scalable and reliable climate control solution, bringing value to distributors, OEMs and customers.  The Sensibo platform provides OEMs with an advanced analytics engine that turns millions of data points generated by customers into meaningful visual and accessible reports.  Sensibo’s platform improves customer service by responding to malfunction alerts and automatically sending notifications for air filter replacement.  (Sensibo 13.09)

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2.7  Cato Networks Raises $30 Million

Cato Networks has raised $30 million in a series B funding round. The financing was led by Greylock Partners with participation from Singtel Innov8 and existing investors U.S. Venture Partners (USVP), Aspect Ventures and the company’s founders, Shlomo Kramer and Gur Shatz.  The funding will allow Cato Networks to offer its cloud-based network security as a service (#NSaaS) solution, the Cato Cloud, to the global market, bringing the cloud’s transformative power to networking and security.  This financing, which is the company’s second after closing a $20 million series A round in June 2015, shortly after it was founded, underscores a growing realization that the cloud will alter the way that enterprises address networking and security.  This is already occurring in the marketplace, as organizations look to address burdensome network and security complexity.

Founded in 2015, Tel Aviv’s Cato Networks provides organizations with a software-defined and cloud-based secure enterprise network.  Cato delivers an integrated networking and security platform that securely connects all enterprise locations, people and data.  The Cato Cloud reduces MPLS connectivity costs, eliminates branch appliances, provides direct, secure internet access everywhere, and seamlessly integrates mobile users and cloud infrastructures to the enterprise network.  (Globes 13.09)

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2.8  Claroty Exits Stealth Mode With $32 Million in Funding to Protect Industrial Networks

Claroty has exited stealth mode with $32 million in venture capital from marquee investors.  Claroty’s backers include Bessemer Venture Partners, Eric Schmidt’s Innovation Endeavors, Marker LLC, ICV, Red Dot Capital Partners and Mitsui & Co.  The company enters the market as the most substantially funded cybersecurity startup focused on protecting industrial control systems, and with one of the deepest teams in OT security from organizations including Siemens, IBM, Waterfall Security, Palo Alto Networks, iSIGHT Partners (FireEye), ICS2 and Industrial Defender.

From power plants and oil refineries, to manufacturing and the electric grid, the susceptibility of industrial control systems to cyberattacks was largely a taboo subject and a dark art.  However, since the disclosure of Stuxnet, vulnerability reports have exploded, and many attacks – both new and old – have been classified as cyberattacks.  Recent examples include the Ukraine power grid and German steel mill attacks.  While many legacy cybersecurity companies claim they can apply traditional Information Technology (IT) security to OT systems, the reality is that everything about OT – from protocols to staff – is different and requires technology specifically designed for the mission.  The Claroty Platform has been built from the ground up with an unprecedented understanding of ICS, SCADA and other essential OT networks as well as deep cybersecurity knowledge.  That focus comes from a team of more than 45 experts, including an elite management team and an unmatched ICS security research organization.

Launched as the second startup from Israel’s famed Team8 foundry, Tel Aviv’s Claroty combines an elite management team and deep technical expertise from both IT and OT disciplines, with backing from premier investors such as Bessemer Venture Partners and Innovation Endeavors.  With an unmatched understanding of ICS, SCADA and other essential OT systems, the Claroty Platform provides the deepest and broadest coverage of ICS systems, protocols and networks available on the market today.  (Claroty 13.09)

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2.9  CTERA Secures $25 Million in Funding to Catalyze Enterprise Data Infrastructure Modernization

CTERA Networks announced a $25 million investment round led by Bessemer Venture Partners with additional participation from Cisco, and with Vintage Investment Partners joining as a new investor.  This new investment round brings CTERA’s total financing to date to nearly $70 million.  The funds will be used to fuel sales and marketing initiatives and accelerate global customer acquisition as the CTERA Enterprise File Services Platform becomes a gold standard for file storage, collaboration and data protection among secure and distributed enterprise organizations.

CTERA’s Enterprise File Services Platform is the only solution to address the entire spectrum of end user computing file management and data protection requirements.  The solution integrates endpoint, office and cloud file services with uncompromising IT security, cloud choice and automation.  As a platform, CTERA’s technology enables organizations to sync, serve and protect data from one centrally managed solution that is 100% secure and deployable on any cloud infrastructure, all behind the customer’s firewall.

Petah Tikva’s CTERA enables enterprise IT to provide secure file services from any cloud. Trusted by the Fortune 100 and leading service providers, the CTERA Enterprise File Services Platform is a private cloud IT-as-a-Service platform for storing, syncing, sharing, protecting and governing data across endpoints, remote offices and servers.  (CTERA 13.09)

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2.10  SKECHERS Launches Joint Venture in Israel

Manhattan Beach, California’s SKECHERS USA, a global leader in lifestyle and performance footwear, announced that the company signed a new joint venture partnership for Israel with its current regional distributor, MGS Sport Trading.  The joint venture, Skechers Footwear, Ltd., will enable SKECHERS to use its proven sales strategies and global infrastructure to aggressively expand the brand.

International footwear brands are more popular than ever in Israel – in particular, stylish comfort footwear is in high demand – and the firm has an opportunity to boost SKECHERS’ presence.  With SKECHERS’ increased investment in this region, solid infrastructure and extensive product offering for every age and activity, they can make a larger-than-ever impact.  Israel’s SKECHERS retail network will be run as joint venture stores, and currently includes six destinations, including locations in Tel Aviv and Jerusalem.  Consumers can also find the brand’s lifestyle and performance footwear for men, women and kids in major retailers across Israel.  (SKECHERS USA 14.09)

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2.11  Applause Raises $35 Million

Applause has raised $35 million in a Series F financing round, led by Direct Equity Partners, an investment program managed by Credit Suisse, with the participation of Accenture.  The funding will increase the company’s investment in its strategy as the go-to source for improving customers’ digital experiences.  This round brings Applause’s total funding-to-date to more than $115 million.  The round had full participation from all of Applause’s previous investors, including Goldman Sachs’s Merchant Banking Division, QuestMark Partners, Scale Venture Partners, Longworth Venture Partners, Mesco and MassVentures.  The company’s most recent funding was a $43 million Series E round in January, 2014.

Herzliya’s Applause empowers companies to deliver great digital experiences – from web and mobile to wearables, IoT and beyond.  By combining in-the-wild testing services, test automation and quality tools, Applause helps the world’s most recognized brands achieve the digital quality they need across every device, operating system, carrier, location and other criteria their customers value.  Thousands of companies – including Google, Fox, Amazon, Concur and Runkeeper – rely on Applause to ensure great digital experiences for their users.  (Globes 14.09)

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2.12  Optimove Raises $20 Million

Optimove closed a $20 million financing round from Israel Growth Partners (IGP).  The round marks the first funding for the nearly eight-year-old company, after three straight years of 100% year-over-year growth.  Optimove has bootstrapped its way to its present status and has never previously taken venture capital funding.  Used by more than 200 companies, including 1-800-flowers.com, Zynga, eBags and others, the company’s Customer Marketing Cloud currently sends more than 4 billion targeted, personalized messages to over 900 million customers every year through email, Facebook, Google Ads, SMS, push notifications and other channels.  The funds raised will be used to further invest and grow Optimove’s R&D and maintain its position at the forefront of innovation.  Optimove will also invest in growing its sales and marketing organization, and to hire aggressively in the US market, especially for the company’s recently opened New York office.

Tel Aviv’s Optimove is the leading Customer Marketing Cloud, helping over 200 brands drive their entire customer marketing operation.  Optimove combines the science of data with the art of marketing to deliver personalized, real-time, multi-channel customer marketing campaigns.  Optimove’s unique technologies enable marketers to maximize customer engagement, brand loyalty and lifetime value.  (Globes 14.09)

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2.13  Totango Raises $8 Million

Totango announced $8 million in Series C financing led by Benhamou Global Ventures (BGV), with participation from returning investors Pitango Venture Capital, Canvas Ventures and Interwest Partners.  Since its last $15.5 million financing round in 2014, Totango has launched the enterprise version of its customer success platform and significantly expanded its roster of enterprise customers, including several leading software companies such as Act-On, Autodesk, Pandora, Clarabridge and Zoom.  Totango plans using this latest investment to scale sales and marketing operations while continuing to build on its suite of customer success solutions.  As the only independent platform to offer solutions for even the most complex customer relationships, Totango has already improved customer success operations at some of the largest public enterprises.

Based in Tel Aviv and San Mateo, California, Totango is a customer success platform that helps recurring revenue businesses simplify the complexities of customer success by connecting the dots of customer data, actively monitoring customer health changes and driving proactive engagements.  Leading companies use Totango to reduce churn, grow predictable revenue, and maximize customer value over time.  (Globes 14.09)

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2.14  Kuang-Chi Expands GCI Portfolio with Investment in Agent Vi

KuangChi Science Limited, a member of the Kuang-Chi Group, has agreed to become a strategic investor in Agent Video Intelligence (Agent Vi), an Israeli video analytics company.  The $4.3million investment, part of Kuang-Chi’s $300 million Global Community of Innovation (GCI) fund launched earlier this year, will expand the company’s portfolio of technologies that enable safe, smart cities.  The company is investing alongside public safety leader Motorola Solutions, which first invested in Agent Vi in 2012.

Operating through hundreds of integrators and resellers, Agent Vi’s solutions turn surveillance cameras into intelligent sensors that automatically analyze, detect and search massive volumes of video through its cloud interface.  Agent Vi expects to use the invested funds to expand its engineering, sales and management teams.  The company plans to open local offices to serve its growing client base in China, Southeast Asia and Europe.

Rosh HaAyin’s Agent Video Intelligence (Agent Vi) is the leading global provider of open architecture, video analytics software.  The comprehensive video analytics solutions offered by Agent Vi extend from real-time video analysis and alerts to video search and business intelligence applications, and are fully integrated with a range of cameras, encoders and video management systems.  Based on Agent Vi’s unique, patented, Image Processing over IP (IPoIP) software architecture – which distributes the video analysis task between the camera and a server – Agent Vi’s solutions can support up to 200 cameras running a full suite of video analytics functionalities on a single server, while offering superior accuracy and detection performance.  (Kuang-Chi Group 14.09)

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2.15  Supplier Payments Score With Tipalti Funding Round

Tipalti, provider of the leading supplier payments automation platform, announced today a $14 million funding round led by SGVC.  Tipalti plans to use the new round of funding to aggressively accelerate the company’s growth.  Tipalti achieved several major milestones in 2015, growing 200% YOY while maintaining their 99% customer retention and reaching a record $2 billion in annual payment remittance.  In 2016, the company released new invoice processing capability, making Tipalti the first ever cloud platform to automate the entire end-to-end accounts payable workflow.  This additional investment positions Tipalti to help corporate finance organizations across a much broader range of company sizes, regions, and industries.  Tipalti plans to invest heavily in product development, R&D and customer support to deliver on their vision of automating the entire supplier payments operation for fast-growing, mid-sized companies and global enterprises.

Herzliya based Tipalti’s payment automation platform streamlines the way companies make payments to those critical to delivering goods and services – be it supply chains or crowds or 1099 contractors.  Tipalti is a comprehensive cloud-based solution that unifies all phases of supplier payments from vendor on-boarding, invoice management, and payment method selection to funds disbursement, while keeping the payer in full tax and regulatory compliance.  Letting Tipalti take care of your payments means automating over 26,000 rules across the payment remittance process on a proven platform that serves hundreds of thousands of payees.  Tipalti strategically positions innovative companies to scale accounts payable operations while also employing key best practices for reducing risk and improving compliance.  (Tipalti 15.09)

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2.16  Zeeko Raises $9 Million

Zeekit has raised $9 million in a Series A round from several angel investors including industry-leading Israeli technology investors, as well as US media, film and lifestyle investors.  The company, which has developed a B2C platform and mobile app that reinvents the way consumers browse, share and shop from their mobile devices, has launched an advanced virtual fitting room for consumers and retailers.  Using the Zeekit app, consumers can now virtually “try on” fashions before buying online or trying on in-store.  After uploading a full-body picture, a shopper taps a product they see online, in print or in store and is able to see how it looks and fits on their actual body.  The item can then be mixed and matched with fashions from different retailers in their virtual closet, shared with friends or purchased through a link in the app.  Retailers and brands can easily incorporate the Zeekit button in their online, mobile and physical stores to give shoppers the ability to try on their entire catalog of products, virtually.

Zeekit also recently announced a unique partnership with fashion magazine, StyleWatch in which StyleWatch readers can browse and virtually try on 180 pieces from the magazine’s 18-page Fall Trend Report.  This unique partnership allows StyleWatch to engage more deeply with its readers by allowing them to realistically see how they look in the fashions recommended in the magazine’s September issue.  Zeekit allows StyleWatch, as well as other fashion blogs and magazines, to connect editorial inspiration and content with e-commerce.

Tel Aviv’s Zeekit is a technology company dedicated to create realistic image visualizations.  To use Zeekit, users only need to take a quick photo of themselves in a short, tight shirt.  Zeekit processes this image and will show the user how any item of clothing will look and fit on their body.  As a seller, to integrate the Zeekit capability, all which is required is a single line of code embedded in the existing website.  Once this code is embedded, Zeekit will automatically scan all of the store’s online products and prepare it for visualizations, thus allowing customers to take advantage of the store’s Zeekit-enabled virtual fitting room.  (Globes 18.09)

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3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  V School Opens Office in Beirut with a 12-Week Coding Bootcamp

Syrian refugees make up half of the 40-student Coding Bootcamp that was just launched in Beirut, Lebanon by Provo, Utah’s V School at the company’s first office outside of the United States.  V School is a private company focused on adult technology education.  Since launching its first program in the Fall of 2013, V School has provided technology training to eight refugee populations in the state through a partnership with the Governor’s Office of Economic Development (GOED).

Headquartered in Provo, Utah, V School provides immersive, full- and part-time technology education for adults interested in jumpstarting their careers or for those interested in improving their skillsets.  For example, V School’s 12-week full-time courses — such as the “Full Stack JavaScript” program it recently launched in Beirut — provides 700 hours of hands-on instruction and training in JavaScript programming and development.  All courses taught by V School are delivered “live” by in-class instructors (although students may watch recordings of the classes after-the fact should they wish to do so).  In addition to “Full Stack JavaScript,” other courses offered by V School include Cyber Security, Front-End JavaScript, iOS Development and UX Design.  (08.09 David Politis Company)

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3.2  Royal Air Maroc Begins Non-Stop Service from Dulles International Airport to Casablanca

On 8 September, Royal Air Maroc, the national airline of Morocco, launched thrice-weekly non-stop service between Washington Dulles International Airport and Casablanca.  Washington, D.C. becomes the airline’s third destination in North America, and its second U.S. destination, after New York (JFK) and Montreal (YUL).  The Washington, D.C. and New York-to-Casablanca flights, which are operated with a new generation Boeing 787 Dreamliner, will increase the seats offered in the United States by more than 40%.

Casablanca serves as Royal Air Maroc’s global hub, offering convenient connections to more than 90 cities across Morocco, Europe, Africa, the Middle East and the Americas.  Morocco offers visitors a cultural experience that will always be remembered and creates lasting memories, including ancient cities, modern metropolises, gorgeous luxury coastal resorts, and remote towns on the edge of the desert.  (Royal Air Maroc 09.09)

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4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Israel Reduces Air & Water Pollution

According to figures published by the Ministry of Environmental Protection on more than 540 of the biggest enterprises in Israel, reductions of up to 52% in the emissions of air pollutants were registered in Israel between 2012-2015.  However, according to the same data, emissions of nitrogen oxides and sulfur oxides in Israel are still 1.3 and 4.4 times higher respectively than EU countries.  Some 87% of sulfur oxide emissions are the result of the operation of coal-fired power plants which are concentrated in Ashkelon and Hadera and still lack advanced pollution control systems.  Additionally, the amount of nitrogen, phosphorous and organic carbon discharged into sewage is also much higher relative to EU countries.

On a positive note, the flow of pollutants into the Mediterranean has also dramatically decreased between 2012 – 2015 due to the Gush Dan wastewater treatment plant.  A reduction in the amount of activated sludge was a requirement of the commission for discharge permits.  All activated sludge discharge will cease by the end of 2016 with the completion of a new treatment facility.  Further improvements occurred in the quality of treated wastewater, with a reduction of 11% recorded in the amount of salt present in the treated wastewater between 2013 – 2015.  This reduction is due to an increase in the use of desalinated water, with 50% of the total amount of water supplied to consumers being desalinated.  (Ynet 06.09)

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4.2  Air Pollution Costs Egypt 3.58% of GDP in Welfare Losses

A significant cost of air pollution on the Egyptian economy has nearly doubled since the last comprehensive report in 1990, with annual total welfare losses estimated at $17 billion or 3.58% of Egypt’s GDP, according to a report on air pollution and the global economy published on 8 September by the World Bank and the Institute for Health Metrics.  Aggregating data on premature death, illness and welfare costs, the report estimates that air pollution costs the global economy approximately $5.1 trillion per year, as 87% of the world’s population, consisting predominantly of the poor, lives in areas that exceed the World Health Organization’s air quality guidelines.  In the Middle East, welfare losses have been estimated at 2.2% of GDP, the lowest charted for a region by the World Bank.

While Egypt has seen declines in HAP – dropping by 94.9% from 1990 to 2013 – and the number of deaths attributed to air pollution – falling from 40,881 in 1990 to 39,118 in 2013 – the country’s AAP levels are more than three and a half times higher than the WHO standard, having risen slightly from 35.92 micrograms in 1990 to 36.41 in 2013.

According to Sarah Rifaat, an environmental activist, Egypt’s infrastructure severely limits the country’s ability to adequately deal with air pollution.  She says there are civil society groups that attempt to reduce emissions, but many of these efforts are hampered due to the fact that there are few available alternatives.  While many people may want to cycle, for instance, roads have not been built with that purpose in mind.  Curbing the rise of car ownership in Egypt and developing a better mass transit system would allow citizens to use more viable alternatives, according to Rifaat.  (Al Ahram 08.09)

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5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  King Abdullah Meets World Leaders in New York

On 21 September, King Abdullah held several meetings with heads of states and delegations participating in the 71st session of the United Nations General Assembly.  He met with Spanish King Felipe VI over relations between the two kingdoms and ways to develop them in all fields, as well as the latest regional developments.  Separately, the Monarch met with Egyptian President Abdel Fattah Al Sisi and discussed with him the latest developments in the region.  Both leaders called for intensifying coordination between key stakeholders in the international community to address the various regional crises and reach solutions that guarantee restoration of security and stability for the hot spots in the region.

At his meeting with British Prime Minister May, talks concentrated on several issues, foremost of which are the latest developments in the region, especially the Syrian crisis and the future of the Palestinian-Israeli peace negotiations.  The King highlighted the importance of joining the international community’s efforts aimed at reaching a political solution to Syria’s crisis, which ends the suffering of its people and stops refugee influxes.

Separately, King Abdullah’s meeting with World Bank President Jim Yong Kim focused on Jordan’s relations with the international institution and ways to enhance them, especially in the light of development and economic program agreements the Kingdom is implementing in cooperation with the bank.  In this regard, the Monarch voiced Jordan’s appreciation for the bank’s efforts aimed at supporting the national economy and helping the Kingdom realize its envisioned development goals.  (JT 21.09)

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5.2  Amman Ready With Plan To Stimulate Economy Before Year’s End

Deputy Prime Minister for Economic Affairs and Minister of Industry, Trade and Supply Jawad Anani on 20 September said that the Jordanian government will announce important decisions to stimulate the economy before the end of 2016.  The measures will be based on the recommendations of the Economic Policy Council.  Heading a meeting for the ministry’s advisory board to discuss economic and trade policies, Anani said that the sales tax and customs fees would be reduced, while exemptions granted to some sectors would be gradually cancelled to encourage investment.  The decisions also include earmarking JD410 million to support SMEs and entrepreneurs, with focus on the governorates other than the capital, applying a financing mechanism in coordination with banks.  Anani stressed the Cabinet’s keenness to enhance partnership with the private sector, which will have a more active role, as the government would resort to private businessmen for consultation over economic issues.  The ministry has decided to discuss the policies with private sector leaders and listen to their feedback before referring them to the Council of Ministers.

He also stressed the significance of women empowerment as one of the means to fight poverty.  Representatives from the industrial and trade sectors, banks, associations, businesspeople, importers and exporters, Business Women Forum and others listened to remarks by the private sector and suggestions on how best to enhance the national economy.  Anani asserted that the proposals would be carefully studied to be reflected in the trade and economic policies in favor of the public interest.  (JT 20.09)

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5.3  GE Signs $520 Million Iraq Deal

GE has signed a multiyear agreement in Iraq with Mass Energy Group Holding.  The $520-million contract includes operation and maintenance services as well as GE’s advanced digital industrial solutions for the 3-gigawatt gas-fired Basmaya Power Plant, 40 kilometers east of Baghdad.  This contract represents a continuing effort between Mass Energy Group Holding, the Iraqi Ministry of Electricity (MOE) and GE to bring much-needed power to the people of Iraq.  The multiyear service agreement builds on GE’s long-term relationship with Mass Energy Group Holding, which includes prior contracts to provide Basmaya with eight units of its advanced 9FA gas turbines and four units of its C7 steam turbines.  The project is being developed in two phases, with each phase delivering 1,500 megawatts (MW) of power, which together is enough power to meet the needs of over 600,000 households.

In addition to extending the entire breadth of operations, maintenance and services support to the power plant, the deal also marks the first time that GE will bring its advanced digital industrial solutions for the power sector to Iraq.  Powered by Predix, GE’s advanced cloud-based operating system built exclusively for industry, GE’s Asset Performance Management (APM) software application will draw data to monitor, analyze, enhance and predict equipment health.  APM’s anomaly detection capability helps predict outages before they happen, improving power plant reliability, optimizing just-in-time maintenance and reducing plant downtime.

With three offices in Iraq — in Baghdad, Erbil and the southern oil and gas hub of Basra — GE continues to deliver its latest technology and expertise to local customers.  Over 130 GE turbines are in operation in the country apart from ongoing agreements to support power generation plants across Iraq.  GE has over 40 years of presence in Iraq and supports the country’s infrastructure needs in power generation, oil and gas, water processing, aviation and healthcare, through the company’s diversified multi-business solutions and local presence.  (IraqNews 09.09)

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►►Arabian Gulf

5.4  Dubai Plans to Build World’s First ‘Happiness City’

Master developer Dubai South recently unveiled plans for the world’s first city centered around the happiness of its residents.  Its first two key real estate projects, The Villages and The Pulse were launched at Cityscape Global, and are part of the Residential District, one of eight districts in Dubai South.  According to a statement, it is an “innovative concept in urban living that aims to create a city that is based on the happiness and wellbeing of people”.

It addresses key concerns of residents, while providing solutions to the various issues of everyday living, such as walkability, multiple entry and exit points to avoid bottle-neck traffic congestion and ample parking.  Spread over 87 million square feet of real estate at the total estimated cost of AED25 billion, the Residential District at Dubai South is the heart of an integrated dynamic city powering the emirate’s economic growth and bringing to life the fundamental goal of the Dubai Vision 2021.

In close proximity to the Al Maktoum International Airport, the largest airport in the world when complete, and the future gateway to the UAE, the location of the Residential District also adjoins the Expo 2020 Dubai site, which is expected to welcome 25 million visitors.  The Villages and The Pulse offer a retail center, a sports center and a community center to a school, gas station, hospital, mosque, nursery, mall and hotels, all within easy accessibility and convenient walking distances.  (AB 06.09)

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5.5  Saudi Arabia Overtakes the U.S. as World’s Largest Oil Producer

Saudi Arabia has retaken the position of the world’s top oil producer from the U.S., according to the International Energy Agency.  While Saudi Arabia added 400,000 barrels a day of output from low-cost fields since May, about 460,000 barrels a day of “high-cost” production was shut down in the U.S.  The US has been the world’s largest producer of crude and other liquid hydrocarbons since April 2014, following the shale oil boom.  U.S. output in August stood at 12.2 million barrels a day, including natural gas liquids, according to the IEA.  That compared with Saudi Arabian production of 12.58 million barrels a day the same month.  The drop in U.S. production came as the number of rigs drilling for oil and gas fell to a record low of 404 on 20 May, according to data from Baker Hughes.  That number has since recovered to 508 as of 9 September.

Saudi Arabian crude supply climbed to 10.65 million barrels a day in July, before easing to 10.6 million in August.  Production has averaged 10.36 million barrels a day in the first eight months of this year, almost 200,000 barrels a day higher than the year-earlier period.  The price to pump oil out of the ground in Saudi Arabia has tended to be at the lower end of the global cost curve, allowing Riyadh to withstand lower oil prices better than its U.S. rivals.  Saudi Arabia’s willingness to keep exports stable and satisfy higher domestic demand led to its continued effort to increase output.  The drop in U.S. output was mostly driven by a decline in shale oil production, which saw investments slump by 66% since 2014.  (IEA 13.09)

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►►North Africa

5.6  President Sisi Ratifies VAT for Egypt

On 8 September, Egypt’s President Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi has ratified the long-delayed value-added tax (VAT).  The Ministry of Finance will issue its bylaws for the new legislation within 30 days, according to the government’s official gazette.  According to Article 9 of the VAT law, the current sales tax law will continue to be applied until the new VAT bylaws are issued.  Egypt’s parliament gave a final approval on 28 August to the implementation of the VAT at a rate of 13% for the 2016/17 fiscal year, to rise to 14% the following year.  The long awaited VAT law is part of the government’s fiscal reform program, implemented in July 2014, through which energy subsidies are being cut and new taxes are being introduced to reduce the country’s ballooning budget deficit – estimated at 11.5% of GDP in fiscal year 2015/16.  The VAT aims at reducing tax evasion, as it will be applied to each member of the production chain of goods and services, instead of the current sales tax that is imposed as a one-off on the final sale to customers.

The parliament also increased the list of exempted goods and services to 56 from 52 items; it includes local and imported medicine.  The minister said in July that the VAT may lead to price inflation ranging between 0.5% for low-income Egyptians and up to 2.3% for the upper class.

The government reform program, which the VAT is part of, has been endorsed by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), leading to an initial agreement between the government and the global lender on a $12 billion fund facility over three years, which is expected to be approved by the fund’s executive board in the coming weeks.  Egypt, which relies heavily on imports, particularly of foodstuffs, has been suffering a severe shortage of US dollars in the wake of political and security unrest that has scared off tourists and foreign investors, two major sources of hard currency.  (Ahram Online 08.09)

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5.7  Egypt Receives First $1 Billion Tranche of World Bank Loan

The World Bank has provided Egypt with the first $1 billion tranche of a $3 billion loan, as part of its support for the government’s economic program, the Ministry of International Cooperation said on 9 September.  The loan is part of the government’s effort to secure billions of dollars in aid from various lenders to help revive the country’s economy and ease a dollar shortage that has crippled recovery.  This includes a three-year fund of $4.5 billion from the World Bank ($3 billion) and the African Development Bank ($1.5 billion), the minister added.  Cairo has now received $1.5 billion of the financing, the minister said, as well as the first $500 million of the ADB loan received late last year.

The government is already working on finalizing the second tranche of $1.5 billion from the World Bank, as well as from the African Development Bank.  In August Egypt reached a preliminary agreement with the International Monetary Fund to secure a three-year $12 billion loan facility.  The deal requires Cairo to secure a further $6 billion in bilateral financing.  (Ahram Online 09.09)

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5.8  AUC and Cairo University Drop in QS International Rankings

British company Quacquarelli Symonds’ (QS) World University Rankings revealed a drop in the 2016-2017 levels of two Egyptian universities, the American University in Cairo (AUC) and Cairo University.  AUC dropped from 345 last year to 365 this year, while Cairo University came in the 551-600 band compared to the 501-550 band last year.  Ain Shams and Alexandria universities remained in the 701 band, while Al-Azhar University was ranked this year for the first time, also in the 701 band.  QS’ rankings are based on a number of factors, including academic reputation, employer reputation, citations per faculty, student to faculty ratio, as well as the percentage of international students and faculty.

All Egyptian universities, except AUC, dropped in QS’ rankings for academic reputation, while all except Alexandria University dropped in rank for employer reputation.  All Egyptian universities ranked lower in terms of global research impact this year.  AUC was ranked third in Africa, out of 17 African universities, while Cairo University ranked sixth. In the Middle East, AUC was positioned fifth, while Cairo University was ranked fifteenth.  (Mada Masr 06.09)

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5.9  Egypt Makes Breast Exams Mandatory to Get Subsidized Infant Formula

Women seeking subsidized infant formula will be required to undergo breast examinations, as part of a series of new measures to control distribution of the increasingly scarce commodity, according to Egypt’s Heath Ministry.  Parents will also be required to carry a smart card, which will be issued by the Ministry following the submission of a child’s birth certificate.  The Health Ministry explained the new regulations are not meant as an insult to Egyptian women and strongly denied assertions circulating on social media that claimed women would have to undergo public examinations.  The exams will take place in private mobile health clinics.  The new regulations were introduced after recent protests over formula shortages and price hikes, which culminated in the military intervening and announcing they would import the formula.  The military, in coordination with the Health Ministry, is set to sell the formula for LE30, a 50% markdown on the current market price.

The new regulations also come at time when multiple ministries have come under fire for their inability to control powerful commodity merchants and root out corruption, most notably in the case of the recent wheat scandal.  The spiraling cost of infant formula has been impacted by Egypt’s inflation rate, which is currently at its highest in over a decade, resulting in painful price hikes of a number of crucial goods.  (Mada Masr 11.09)

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5.10  Egypt, Ethiopia, Sudan Sign Final Contracts on Nile Dam Studies

Egypt, Ethiopia and Sudan have signed the final contracts for the long-awaited technical studies on the impact on downstream countries of a giant dam that Addis Ababa is building.  The signing that took place in Sudan’s capital Khartoum on 20 September was made between French consultancy firms BRL and Artelia, as well as British law firm Corbett, which will carry out studies on the potential impact of Ethiopia’s Grand Renaissance Dam on the flow of the Nile.  Water and irrigation ministries from the three countries attended the signing ceremony during the 12th session of a tripartite ministerial committee.

The giant hydroelectric dam project Ethiopia is building has been the source of contention between Cairo and Addis Ababa.  Egypt, which relies almost exclusively on the Nile for farming and drinking water, fears the dam would significantly diminish its share of the river’s water.  The studies the French firms will conduct will include the modeling of water and hydroelectric resources as well as an assessment of the cross-border environmental, social and economic impact of the mega project and will take 11 months.  The studies were earlier carried out on the recommendation of a panel of “international experts” on the Grand Renaissance Dam.

Ethiopia began diverting the Blue Nile in May 2013 to build the 6,000 MW dam that has a capacity of 74 billion cubic meters and will be Africa’s largest when completed in 2017.  In several rounds of talks, Ethiopia has maintained the project – which is 70% complete – will have no effect on Sudan and Egypt and should benefit all sides.  (Al Ahram 20.09)

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5.11  Egyptian Women Contribute 50% to 1.2 Million Micro Enterprises in Egypt

Women have contributed up to 50% to the 1.2 million micro enterprises across Egypt supported by the Social Fund for Development (SFD) from 2009 to 2015, CAPMAS announced.  In its study titled ‘The reality of Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) 2009 – 2015,’ CAPMAS revealed that there is a total of 2.4 million small and micro-sized enterprises across Egypt with 6.3 million employees.  The study also found that women have contributed almost 25% to some 103,000 small enterprises funded by the SFD from 2009 to 2015.  Although Egyptian women make up around 50% of the country’s population of 91 million, they constitute less than a quarter of the country’s labor force, according to CAPMAS report in March 2016.

Egypt is home to 44.1 (49%) million women and 45.9 million men (51%), while the number of females in Egypt’s workforce constitutes almost a quarter of that of men – 23.5% as opposed to 72.3%.  Egyptian women are the heads of 17.8% of households, according to data released by CAPMAS in 2014.  In Egypt, micro enterprises are funded by the SFD, the Ministry of Social Solidarity and the Local Development Fund.  The SFD has funded 1.2 million micro enterprises at EGP 5.3 billion, providing 1.3 million job opportunities from 2009 to 2015, while the Social Solidarity Ministry has supported 82,000 micro enterprises with 82,000 job opportunities from 2009 to 2014.

The Local Development Fund supported 41,400 small enterprises in 2009/10 and 2014/15.  To support SMEs, the CAPMAS study recommends providing an integrated information system for businesses while facilitating access to credit and reducing interest to encourage the establishment of such projects.  The recommendations also include launching a marketing channel for the products of these businesses.

The cabinet approved in August a draft law allowing individuals to launch single-person companies without the need for more employees, as part of its efforts to support SMEs.  With the country’s ailing economy and unemployment at 12.5% in the second quarter of 2016, analysts believe SMEs constitute a great opportunity to boost the economy and create jobs.  Egypt’s economy has been struggling due to a sharp drop in tourism and foreign investments – two main sources of hard currency for the import-dependent country – caused by political unrest that followed the toppling of Hosni Mubarak in 2011 and later the ouster of Islamist president Mohamed Morsi in 2013.  (CAPMAS 14.09)

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5.12  Gen. Haftar Seizes Libyan Oil Ports

Forces loyal to Eastern-based commander Khalifa Haftar have seized oil ports in Libya’s Oil Crescent.  The Petroleum Facilities Guards (PFG), headed by Ibrahim Jadhran, lost control of the ports of Es Sider (Sidra) and Ras Lanuf following an attack on 11 September.  These ports together account for more than half of Libya’s oil output.  Reports said that the ports of Zueitina, and possibly also Brega, had also fallen into Haftar’s control.  The development throws further doubts on the viability of the Western-backed project to unite the country under a Government of National Accord (GNA).  The Presidential Council of the GNA said the “unjustified escalation will only prolong the conflict and will cause losses of Libyan lives and livelihood.”  (Various 12.09)

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5.13  Morocco’s Trade Deficit up 13 % in January-August

 Morocco’s trade deficit widened by 13% in the first eight months of 2016 compared to the same period of last year, the Exchange Control Office said.  The foreign trade balance stood at MAD 120.345 billion in January – August 2016 against MAD 106.48 billion one year before.  The Office further noted that the coverage rate of imports by exports reached 55% against 57.6% by the end of August 2015.  (MWN 19.09)

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5.14  Morocco’s Imports of Liquor & Tobacco on the Rise

Over the last seven months, according to Morocco’s Exchange Office, Morocco imported approximately 5,772 tons of liquor estimated at MAD 300 million, and approximately 8,534 tons of tobacco estimated at MAD 926 million since March 2016.  The same source noted that Morocco’s exports of liquor showed an increase in the last seven months. It reached 5,772 tons, compared to the same period in 2015 when it reached 4,295 tons.  With respect to Morocco’s exports of tobacco, the same source added that Morocco’s exports of tobacco also showed an increase in the last seven months.  It reached 8,534 tons, compared to the same period in 2015 when it reached 6,250 tons.  A communiqué from Morocco’s Treasury revealed that the revenues from cigarette consumption in July 2016 reached MAD 5.26 billion, compared to the same period in 2015 when it reached MAD 4.6 billion.  Last year, L’Economiste reported that the Moroccan treasury received over MAD 1 billion in revenue from the sale of liquor in Morocco.  (MWN 09.09)

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5.15  Six Million Tourists Visited Morocco During the First Half of 2016

Some 6 million tourists visited Morocco during the first seven months of 2016, an increase of 0.1% compared to the same period in 2015, according to the Tourism Observatory.  The number of foreign tourists declined by 4.3%, while the revenues of Moroccans living abroad increased by 4.7%.  Tourist arrivals from UK, Germany, France and Italy fell by 7%, 3%, 2% and 2% respectively.  The number of Spanish, Belgian and Dutch tourists increased by 1%, 1% and 2% respectively.  Overall overnight stays in hotels rose by 1% compared to July 2015 (-3.8% for non-resident tourists and +11.8% for resident tourists).  Marrakech and Agadir accounted for 59% overnight stays during the first seven months of 2016, registering a 1% increase for each city.  (MWN 08.09)

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6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkey’s Economy Records Over 3% Growth

Turkey’s Gross Domestic Product grew by 3.1% in the second quarter of 2016 compared to the same period in 2015, the Turkish Statistical Institute reported.  The GDP increased by 3.1% compared to the same quarter of previous year in the second quarter of 2016 and reached TL 33.06 billion ($11.4 billion) at constant prices, the report said, suggesting the economy had maintained its momentum according to constant prices, which excludes inflation effect from prices.  At current prices, the GDP saw a more pronounced increase, rising to TL 525.9 million ($178.9 billion), which is up 9% compared to the same quarter of previous year.  The report showed that a seasonal and calendar-adjusted GDP increased by 0.3% compared to the previous quarter.  Also, the first quarter of GDP was downgraded 0.1 points to 4.7% from the previously announced 4.8%.  (TUIK 09.09)

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6.2  Turkey’s Current Account Deficit Falls in July

Turkey’s current account deficit stood at $2.6 billion in July, down more than $500 million year-on-year largely due to the closing gap between goods imported and exported, the Central Bank said on 9 September.  The reduction was also helped by low oil prices.  However, the bank said the economy could have performed better if the services surplus had not suffered a $1.42 billion fall because of the tourism sector’s contraction.  Revenue from tourism, which makes up most of the services sector, fell to $5 billion in the second quarter of the year, a decrease of 35.6% from the same period last year, the Turkish Statistical Institute said in July.  Tourism income from the first six months was $9.04 billion, down from $12.6 billion a year earlier.  (AA 09.09)

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6.3  Recovery Roadblocks Raise Greek Sovereign Risk Measures

Moody’s said that Greece’s ability to implement the reforms that were a condition of last year’s rescue package may be causing yet another rift between the country and its creditors.  Greece’s Sovereign EDF (Expected Default Frequency) metric, which measures the expected probability of default over a five year time horizon, has declined since the country reached a bailout agreement with its creditors in mid-2015.  In May 2016, the Eurozone finance ministers approved a tranche of bailout funds totaling €10.3 billion.  That was to be the first payment of the third bailout package, which totals €86 billion and extends through the end of 2018.  Greece’s five-year Sovereign EDF measure declined from 4.8% to 2.8% in the month of May alone.  However, from the first tranche, only €7.5 billion has been disbursed and the rest is expected to be paid this month.  Concern over Greece’s reform progress has been growing among Eurozone officials, as the country has implemented only two of the 15 reforms, in the areas of pensions and taxation.  This may postpone further disbursement of the bailout money.  Eurozone officials are demanding that Athens push on with plans to set up a new privatization fund, sell specific state assets, and restructure the country’s civil service.  This uncertainty has weighed on the country’s credit risk, with its Sovereign EDF measure rising from 3.4% to its current 3.9% over the past two weeks.  (Moody’s 19.09)

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6.4  Greek Economy Recovering, Growing, Prime Minister says in Major Policy Speech

Greek Prime Minister Tsipras said the country’s economy is growing faster than projected and its influence in Europe is on the upswing.  Mr. Tsipras made his comments during a major policy speech.  In the speech, he urged policymakers to further develop Greece’s competitive advantages, which include a highly educated workforce.  Mr. Tsipras said the economic tide is turning for the better.  The surplus fiscal goals set out in the agreement of last year’s summer are now much lower and hence achievable.  Greece’s agreement commitment in 2015 was for a fiscal balance of -0.25% and the state achieved +0.7%.  Indeed, the Economic Sentiment Indicator, a technical barometer for the Greek economy, has been rising, even as it has been falling in Europe overall.  The Greek unemployment rate is falling, with an estimated 254,000 jobs being added to the economy during the first seven months of 2016.  Meanwhile, Mr. Tsipras said, the number of people visiting Greece in 2016 is expected to top last year’s record total of 26.1 million visitors.  (GoG 12.09)

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7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

*ISRAEL:

7.1  Over 1.4 Million Muslims Live in Israel

Israel is home to over 1.4 million Muslims, the Central Bureau of Statistics said on 12 September, ahead of the Islamic holiday of Eid al-Adha.  The data on the Jewish state’s Muslim population found the sector made up about 18% of the general population in 2015, numbering 1.488 million people.  The Muslim population in Israel has seen a steady decline in birthrate, dropping from 3.8% in 2000 to 2.4% in 2015, the data shows.  Fertility rates among Muslims have also dropped to an average of 3.3 children per woman compared with 4.7 in 2000.

Jerusalem has the largest concentration of Muslim residents – 311,000 – in 2015, making up 20.9% of the total Muslim population in Israel and 35.9% of the city’s residents.  The Bedouin city of Rahat is home to the second largest Muslims community in the country, with 62,000 Muslim residents.  Employment rates among Muslim men over the age of 15 stood at 62.8% last year, compared to 24.6% among Muslim women in the same age group.  Employment among Muslim women was significantly lower than among Druze women (32.4%), Christian women (45.2%) and Jewish women (65.8%).  The unemployment rate among Muslim men came to 7.2% in 2015, compared to 4.9% jobless rates among Jewish men, 5.4% among Christian men and 5.1% among Druze men.  Nearly 45% of employed Muslims were skilled workers in manufacturing and construction industries.  About 36% of Muslim women in the workforce hold academic positions.  The data also showed that some 5,300 Muslims graduated from Israeli higher education institutions in 2015.  (CBS 12.09)

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*REGIONAL:

7.2  UNESCO Says Egypt Among World’s Lowest in Research Spending

Egypt fell among the countries with the lowest rates of expenditure on research and development relative to its gross domestic product (GDP) worldwide, standing at 0.7%, according to the UNESCO Science Report.  Although Egypt’s gross expenditure on research and development (GERD) as a percentage of its GDP increased between 2009 and 2013, this ratio still remains low in comparison to worldwide trends.  Furthermore, many universities in Egypt and the Arab region do not have research requirements in place.  Nonetheless, the number of scientific publications increased from 2,919 in 2005 to reach 8,424 in 2014.  The report also states that medical and health services comprise the largest group of researchers – “a reflection of the country’s priorities.”  According to the report, Egypt and other countries in the region are not lacking in human resources but rather in investment into research, education and development.  The report recommends reforming the distribution of resources and expenditure to invest more in the students and produce “market-ready graduates.”  In 2013, women accounted for 42.8% of researchers in Egypt – the highest rate in all Arab countries included in the report – while Saudi Arabian women accounted for only 1.4% of the country’s researchers.  (UNESCO 15.09)

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7.3  Algeria to Build Electric Fence on Libyan Border

Algeria is planning to build a 120 km. electric fence on its border with Libya, according to press reports.  The aim is to improve security on the porous border and stop the infiltration of terrorists.  There has been no official confirmation of these reports from Algerian or Libyan government officials.  (The North Africa Post 06.09)

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7.4  Morocco and Algeria Dispute Over the Origin of Rai Music

An Algerian attempt to register Rai music in UNESCO’s World Heritage sparks debate with Morocco over the Music’s origin.  The Algerian ministry of culture submitted a file last March to UNESCO requesting the recognition of Rai music as an Algerian popular music.  This request stirred a debate between Moroccans and Algerians when it was officially announced on 29 August.  The request was filed by Slimane Hachi, the director of National Center of Prehistoric, Historical and Anthropological Research.

The origin of Rai music, described as music of coexistence, has long been disputed between Algeria and Morocco.  The Algerian city of Oran is recognized as the ‘Capital of Rai’ and Algerian artists, such as Cheb Khaled, Cheb Hasni, and Cheb Mami have been iconic representatives of this genre.  Conversely, the Morocco city of Oujda, on the Algerian border, is where the International Festival of Rai music takes place. Oujda Arts, an association in the same city revealed its hope last year to see “the Moroccan popular song” as a world heritage.  (Various 10.09)

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8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  European Commission Supports Deployment of ImmunoXpert to Reduce Antibiotic Misuse in Hospitals

MeMed announced that the European Commission awarded €2.3 million to support AutoPilot-Dx, an international consortium with members from leading medical centers and industry that is coordinating the deployment of ImmunoXpert in Europe.  The two-year award was granted through the prestigious Horizon 2020 Fast Track to Innovation Pilot, which recognizes outstanding business innovators.

Bacterial and viral infections are often clinically indistinguishable, leading to antibiotic overuse.  This promotes the spread of drug-resistant bacteria – one of the leading global healthcare challenges of our time.  As part of the solution, ImmunoXpert is an innovative diagnostic test that uses the body’s own immune system to accurately distinguish between bacterial and viral infections, thereby empowering physicians to make better informed antibiotic treatment decisions.  ImmunoXpert has been validated in a series of clinical studies enrolling thousands of patients worldwide, is regulatory cleared for use in Europe (CE-IVD), and is currently in use in select centers of excellence.

Tirat HaCarmel’s MeMed is dedicated to improving patient lives through research, development, and commercialization of pioneering products that decode the immune system’s distinct responses to different health and disease states.  The company’s most advanced product, ImmunoXpert, accurately detects whether a patient has a bacterial or viral infection, with the aim of empowering physicians to make better informed antibiotic treatment decisions.  ImmunoXpert is CE marked and approved for clinical use in the EU, Switzerland and Israel.  (MeMed 08.09)

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8.2  RosettaGX Reveal Thyroid miRNA Classifier Now Available to Be Utilized on ThinPrep Samples

Rosetta Genomics announced that the Company’s first-of-its-kind microRNA classifier for indeterminate thyroid nodules, RosettaGX Reveal, is now available to be utilized on ThinPrep samples.  Rosetta conducted a study to confirm that RosettaGX Reveal produces the same high level performance on ThinPrep prepared slides as it does on a direct smear from a thyroid Fine Needle Aspirate (FNA) biopsy.  ThinPrep has grown in popularity in recent years due to the convenience it offers the clinicians that utilize this method for FNA cytology.  The study results confirm that our molecular microRNA analysis is feasible on ThinPrep slides with the advantage of not requiring additional FNA passes or fine needle procedures.  Unlike other tests in this market, Reveal is the only test that allows us to analyze the exact cells that were used to make the initial indeterminate cytology diagnosis.  They believe offering customers the option of using Reveal with either ThinPrep or direct smears will expand their customer base and potentially increase test volumes by greater than 50% over the next several months.

Rehovot’s Rosetta develops and commercializes a full range of microRNA-based and other molecular diagnostics.  Rosetta’s integrative research platform combining bioinformatics and state-of-the-art laboratory processes has led to the discovery of hundreds of biologically validated novel human microRNAs.  Building on its strong patent position and proprietary platform technologies, Rosetta is working on the application of these technologies in the development and commercialization of a full range of microRNA-based diagnostic tools.  Through the acquisition of PersonalizeDx, the Company now offers core FISH, IHC and PCR-based testing capabilities and partnerships in Pathology, Oncology and Urology that provide additional content and platforms that complement Rosetta’s microRNA and Next-Gen Sequencing offerings.  (Rosetta 07.09)

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8.3  Intec Pharma Granted European Patent for Accordion Pill–Carbidopa / Levodopa

Intec Pharma announced that the European Patent Office has granted a European patent for an Accordion Pill containing certain drugs, including the combination Carbidopa and Levodopa.  The patent, granted under No. 2276473, is titled “Gastroretentive Drug Delivery for Carbidopa / Levodopa” and is currently scheduled to remain in force until April 2029.  The patent belongs to the company’s IN-7 patent family, which already includes patents granted in the U.S.

Jerusalem’s Intec Pharma is a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing drugs based on its proprietary Accordion Pill platform technology.  The Company’s Accordion Pill is an oral drug delivery system that is designed to improve the efficacy and safety of existing drugs and drugs in development by utilizing an efficient gastric retention and specific release mechanism.  The Company’s product pipeline currently includes three product candidates in clinical trial stages: Accordion Pill Carbidopa/Levodopa, or AP-CDLD, which is being developed for the treatment of Parkinson’s disease symptoms in advanced Parkinson’s disease patients, currently in Phase III; Accordion Pill Zaleplon, or AP-ZP, which is being developed for the treatment of insomnia, including sleep induction and sleep maintenance; and an Accordion Pill that is being developed for the prevention and treatment of gastroduodenal and small bowel ulcers induced by Nonsteroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drugs.  (Intec Pharma 06.09)

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8.4  Aspect Imaging Introduces Multi-Modality Imaging Tools to Streamline Research

Aspect Imaging is presenting its M-series of compact MR imaging systems specialized for pre-clinical research, as well as a brand new integrated simultaneous PET-MRI that combines PET and MRI modalities.  In addition, Aspect Imaging is introducing a new Optical and MRI fusion system.  The simple-to-use, efficient, and flexible MRI systems that enable rapid in vivo drug efficacy studies will be showcased at the 2016 World Molecular Imaging Congress (WMIC) in New York.  The company is introducing a brand new MRI system that combines PET and MRI modalities for simultaneous PET-MRI research.  This system is based on the M7 compact MRI, and is the world’s first permanent magnet commercial product for Simultaneous PET/MRI for Preclinical research.

In addition, the company is presenting a novel optical and MRI fusion technique based on a proprietary animal transport system.  This opens the door for the BLI optical research community to fuse optical data with MRI data and take advantage of the exceptional soft tissue image quality provided by the MRI, at an inexpensive cost.  This new animal transport system is compatible with the M3 and the M7 compact MRI systems and is compatible with IVIS Spectrum CT, manufactured by PerkinElmer, allowing precise co-localization between 3D optical and MRI data.  The fused data is presented from a PerkinElmer Spectrum IVIS® CT system (IVIS spectrum CT and Perking Elmer are trademark or registered trademarks of Perkin Elmer IVIS spectrum CT).

Founded in 2014, Shoham’s Aspect Imaging is part of Aspect Intl., a Singapore based company, the world’s leader in the design and development of compact MR imaging and NMR systems for medical, advanced industrial and preclinical applications.  (Aspect Imaging 05.09)

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8.5  Foamix Announces Results in Phase 2 Clinical Trial of FMX-103 Minocycline for Rosacea

Foamix Pharmaceuticals announced the results of Phase 2 clinical trial of FMX103 for the treatment of papulopustular rosacea.  This was a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled Phase 2 trial involving 233 patients who were enrolled in 18 sites throughout Germany.  Patients were randomized to receive high dose FMX103 (3% minocycline foam), low dose FMX103 (1.5% minocycline foam) or vehicle foam over 12 weeks, followed up by a 4-week post-treatment evaluation.  The primary endpoints are safety, tolerability and efficacy in the treatment of moderate-to-severe papulopustular rosacea.

Rehovot’s Foamix is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of proprietary, innovative and differentiated topical drugs for dermatological therapy.  Their clinical stage product candidates include FMX101, their novel minocycline foam for the treatment of moderate-to-severe acne, FMX102 for the treatment of impetigo, FMX103 for the treatment of moderate-to-severe rosacea, and FDX104, a doxycycline foam for the management of acne-like rash induced by EGFRI anticancer drugs.  In addition, they have development and license agreements relating to our technology with various pharmaceutical companies including Bayer HealthCare, Merz, Allergan and Mylan.  (Foamix Pharmaceuticals 09.09)

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8.6  Rapid Medical’s Comaneci Remodeling Mesh Exceeds 500 Successful Aneurysm Treatments

Rapid Medical announced that the Comaneci Adjustable Remodeling Mesh has exceeded 500 successfully treated aneurysms worldwide.  This milestone comes only two years after Rapid Medical launched the device in Europe.  The Comaneci is the first-ever adjustable, fully-visible remodeling device. It is intended to provide temporary assistance for coil embolization of intracranial aneurysms.  It integrates the advantages of existing adjuvant devices without the risk of parent vessel occlusion during coiling procedure or the need for long-term antiplatelet medication in case of permanent stenting.  The Comaneci uses Rapid Medical’s FlexiBraid technology, a unique and proprietary braiding capability that allows the first fully-visible, controllable device that can be adjusted by the physician to perfectly fit the dimensions of parent vessels and the aneurysm neck.

Yokneam’s Rapid Medical is the developer of game-changing devices for endovascular treatments.  This includes TIGERTRIEVER, the first-ever controllable, fully-visible retrievable stent, and Pele, a large lumen distal access catheter.  (Rapid Medical 08.09)

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8.7  Philips Healthcare selects Medic Vision’s XR-29 Solution for its CT & PET/CT Scanners

Medic Vision Imaging Solutions was selected by Philips Healthcare to help meet XR-29 regulations.  Following a thorough qualification and verification process, Medic Vision’s FDA-cleared SafeCT-29 product is now officially recommended by Philips as a solution for customers that have CT & PET/CT scanners that are not fully compliant with XR-29 standards and for which Philips does not offer an XR-29 update.  Philips tested SafeCT-29, evaluated its FDA 510(k) clearance and determined SafeCT-29 to be safe and effective.  SafeCT-29 is a patent-pending, innovative, add-on system that provides full compliance with the XR-29 Dose Check and Dose Report (“RDSR”) functions for CT and PET/CT systems of all vendors and models. It is the only third-party XR-29 solution that is FDA-cleared.

Tirat Carmel’s Medic Vision Imaging Solutions is a leading provider of cost-effective, vendor-independent image enhancement and dose management solutions for CT exams.  Medic Vision’s FDA-cleared SafeCT products are in routine clinical use at more than 150 major hospitals and imaging centers nationwide, supporting CT scanners of all vendors and models.  The company’s SafeCT product suite provides compliance with the latest regulatory requirements and initiatives related to CT radiation.  (Medic Vision Imaging Solutions 08.09)

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8.8  DarioHealth Preps for New iPhone

DarioHealth Corp., developer of the Dario Blood Glucose Monitoring System, is adapting its flagship product to also incorporate use with the new Apple iPhone 7.  After receiving regulatory clearance for marketing by the U.S. FDA and other applicable regulatory agencies in Canada, Europe and Australia, customers will be able to select which DarioHealth product they require for connection to their smartphone.  The long-standing rumor that Apple’s new iPhone 7 would come without a traditional headphone jack in favor of their Lightning connector was confirmed by Apple, leaving out many products that depend on the headphone jack for connectivity.  The Dario Blood Glucose Monitoring System, which launched a direct-to-consumer model earlier in the year, relies on connecting its proprietary meter to a smartphone via the headphone jack.

There is no timeframe when the new Dario Blood Glucose Monitoring System, compatible for use with the iPhone 7, will be commercially available.

DarioHealth is a leader in digital health self-management solutions.  DarioHealth delivers the ability to combine and analyze consumer health data to personalize treatment and advance medical knowledge.  The Dario Blood Glucose Monitoring System is a platform for diabetes management that combines an all-in-one blood glucose meter, native smart phone app, website portal and a wide variety of treatment tools to support more proactive and better informed decisions by users living with diabetes, their doctors and healthcare systems.  (DarioHealth 08.09)

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8.9  Afimilk Introduces Automatic Calving Alert Service

Afimilk has integrated a Calving Alert service, including a prolonged calving application, into its AfiAct II cow monitoring system.  The new technology will help dairy farmers instantly identify and quickly assist cows experiencing difficult labor, also called dystocia.  Difficult labor is associated with increased calf mortality and morbidity.  Studies have shown that up to half of first-calf Holstein cows in the U.S. require intervention from a farmer or veterinarian during labor.*

AfiAct II is the first leg-tag system programmed to issue notifications specifically for prolonged labor.  Alerts are sent wirelessly from a leg-mounted sensor to a smartphone when calving begins, and again if calving is prolonged.  In addition to calving, AfiAct II detects other conditions based on activity and resting behavior, including estrus, abortion, cow comfort problems and illness.  Another monitoring system offered by Afimilk, Silent Herdsman, features a neck-mounted sensor that detects estrus, cyclic disorders and illness based on cow activity, rumination and eating patterns.  Israel’s Afimilk is a global leader in farm management software, cow monitoring systems and milk analysis tools for dairy producers in 50 countries.  (Afimilk 12.09)

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8.10  Timorex Gold Effective Against Black Sigatoka

Black Sigatoka, known as black leaf streak, a disease caused by Mycosphaerella fijiensis Morelet, and considered the most destructive and costly disease in banana production, leads to the use of up to 70 synthetic fungicide sprays per year.  However, there exists a solution, which besides being natural, can control Black Sigatoka.  Over the past 10 years, the Stockton Company, through various R & D studies, as well as field trials, has proven that the curative and preventive activity of the biofungicide Timorex Gold has shown outstanding efficacy in the control of this disease, and through its multiple mechanisms, controls Black Sigatoka with great efficiency even under the most intense disease pressure conditions.

Timorex Gold is a contact biofungicide based on Melaleuca alternifolia plant extract.  Thanks to its multiple components, it controls a broad spectrum of fungal and bacterial disease in various crops, including rice, bananas, berries, coffee, cocoa, fruit, herbs, and vines, besides being an eco-friendly and residue-free product.  Timorex Gold is a product widely used by banana growers to control Black Sigatoka (Mycosphaerella fijiensis) in several banana producing countries.  Its use has spread for more than a decade in some of these countries.  Currently, the product is registered in more than 30 countries, including the U.S.A, where it has been registered by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and classified by FRAC in the F7 Group, Code 46. No risk of inducing resistance has been reported, making it an excellent tool for managing resistance to Black Sigatoka.

Petah Tikva based Stockton (STK) specializes in the development and marketing of botanical based biopesticides. Its core focus is on the incorporation of these bio-pesticides into conventional agriculture spraying programs that use conventional chemical products, thus creating a balanced, cleaner and sustainable agricultural environment.  (Stockton STK 12.09)

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8.11  Lipogen Partners with Xenesta for Lipogen PSPA

Lipogen granted Texas’ Xenesta global exclusive rights for marketing a dietary supplement product based on Lipogen PSPA.  PSPA is Lipogen’s natural brain ingredient clinically demonstrated to support stress management.  It will be marketed through Xenesta’s network marketing (MLM) channel.  The new dietary supplement will come in packaging that provides a monthly supply of the daily 400 mg PS + 400 mg PA serving.  These amounts have demonstrated optimal results in clinical research.  The new product will be marketed under Xenesta’s brand name.  Xenesta’s PSPA supplement is natural, vegetarian, and contains no preservatives or artificial colors.  Lipogen PSPA is a new, patent-protected solution for stress management and brain health support. It is a high-quality, vegan-friendly blend of phosphatidylserine (PS) and phosphatidic acid (PA).

Haifa’s Lipogen offers high quality specialty Phospholipid nutrients for stress management and cognitive function support, enhancing well-being and improving quality of life.  With 25 years of pioneering biotech natural Phospholipid research, development and production, LIPOGEN integrates the perfect synergy between science, experience and quality to manufacture safe, effective, patented protected nutraceutical solutions.  (Lipogen 14.09)

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8.12  Teva & Intel to Develop Unique Wearable Tech for Measurement of Huntington Disease Symptoms

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries announced a collaboration with Intel Corporation to develop a unique wearable device and machine learning platform for use in Huntington disease (HD).  This platform will continuously monitor and analyze key symptoms that impact daily living, in an effort to better understand disease progression and improve treatment evaluation.  Teva, working in collaboration with Intel, will deploy this novel technology platform for the first time in a sub-study within the ongoing Phase 2 Open-Pride HD Study.  As part of this, patients will be asked to use a smartphone and wear a smartwatch equipped with sensing technology that will continuously measure their general functioning and movement.  These data will be wirelessly streamed to a cloud-based platform specifically developed by Intel to analyze data from wearable devices.  Proprietary algorithms will then translate these data, in near real-time, into objective scores of motor symptom severity.  The study will start towards the end of the year and will take place in centers in the US and Canada.

This collaboration will leverage Intel’s capabilities in analytics and algorithm development for movement detection, together with Teva’s deep knowledge and experience in HD treatment and research.  HD is a devastating illness that is desperate for treatment options, requiring innovative ways to continuously and remotely assess and quantify symptoms in a way that can provide meaningful and actionable feedback to doctors, patients and caregivers.

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries is a leading global pharmaceutical company that delivers high-quality, patient-centric healthcare solutions to millions of patients every day.  Headquartered in Israel, Teva is the world’s largest generic medicines producer, leveraging its portfolio of more than 1,800 molecules to produce a wide range of generic products in nearly every therapeutic area.  In specialty medicines, Teva has a world-leading position in innovative treatments for disorders of the central nervous system, including pain, as well as a strong portfolio of respiratory products.  (Teva 15.09)

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8.13  GI View Receives FDA 510(k) Clearance for the New Aer-O-Scope Disposable Colonoscope System

GI View received FDA 510(k) clearance for the new Aer-O-Scope® Colonoscope System, a disposable, self-propelled, joystick-controlled, easy-to-use colonoscope system, now with therapeutic access.  The new system has two working channels that enable therapeutic access using standard tools, such as snares and forceps, to take biopsies or perform polypectomies.

The Aer-O-Scope is the first colonoscope to provide a 360° omni-directional visualization of the colon to detect polyps behind folds.  There is also no risk of contamination or disease transmission between patients from the device as it is to be used only once and then disposed.  The Aer-O-Scope employs a soft multi-lumen tube designed to significantly reduce pressure on the colon wall, which in turn, increases patient safety.  The tube is also hydrophilic, which reduces the friction between bowel and scope by more than 90%. Patient safety and comfort as well as physician ease of use are further maximized by the system’s self-propelled intubation, created using balloons and low pressure CO2 gas.  As the system is joystick controlled it is also extremely simple to operate and requires minimal training.  Like all colonoscopes, the Aer-O-Scope provides insufflation, irrigation and suction.

Headquartered in Ramat Gan, Israel, GI-View is dedicated to fundamentally advancing the efficiency, accuracy and comfort of colorectal cancer screening.  The company’s flagship product is the Aer-O-Scope Colonoscope System, the only disposable colonoscope with a 360° omni-directional view for colon cancer screening. GI-View has been granted ISO certification for quality systems.  The new Aer-O-Scope Colonoscope System is FDA cleared for market.  (GI View 20.09)

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8.14  Teva & Regeneron Collaborate on Development and Commercialization of Fasinumab

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries and Regeneron Pharmaceuticals announced today a global agreement to develop and commercialize fasinumab, Regeneron’s investigational NGF antibody in Phase 3 clinical development for osteoarthritis pain and in Phase 2 development for chronic low back pain.  Under the terms of the agreement, Teva will pay Regeneron $250 million upfront and share equally in the global commercial value, as well as ongoing research and development costs of approximately $1 billion.

Under the terms of the agreement, Regeneron is eligible to receive development and regulatory milestones payments and additional payments based on net sales.  Regeneron will lead global development and U.S. commercialization.  The companies will share U.S. commercialization efforts by utilizing sales teams and marketing expertise from both companies, and split profit equally in the U.S.  In countries outside the U.S., with the exception of those covered by a previously announced collaboration agreement between Regeneron and Mitsubishi, Teva will be responsible for development and commercialization and pay Regeneron a purchase price, which allows both companies to retain approximately equal shares of fasinumab’s global commercial value over time.

Fasinumab is a fully human monoclonal antibody that targets NGF, a protein that plays a central role in the regulation of pain signaling.  There is evidence that NGF levels are elevated in patients with chronic pain conditions.

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries is a leading global pharmaceutical company that delivers high-quality, patient-centric healthcare solutions used by millions of patients every day.  Headquartered in Israel, Teva is the world’s largest generic medicines producer, leveraging its portfolio of more than 1,800 molecules to produce a wide range of generic products in nearly every therapeutic area.  Regeneron is a leading science-based biopharmaceutical company based in Tarrytown, New York.  (Teva 20.09)

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8.15  Theranica Closes Seed Funding Round & Reports Promising Clinical Results in Acute Migraine Study

Theranica Bio-Electronics announced the closing of its seed financing round from a group of top angel investors.  The company’s first product, Nerivio Migra, addresses the widespread problem of migraine headaches by providing neuromodulation therapy through a non-invasive, wearable, and disposable ‘smart’ patch.  The product can be used at the onset of a migraine attack to provide rapid and significant pain relief, often times completely eliminating all pain.

Netanya’s Theranica is a medical device company that has combined neuromodulation therapy with modern wireless technology to develop proprietary wearable solutions that address various medical conditions and disease states.  The noninvasive and therapeutic ‘smart’ patches are controlled by a smartphone app to allow for personalized, portable, and affordable care.  The patch consists of a proprietary ‘smart’ chip that delivers electrical pulses to neuro-modulate the sensory nerves under the skin. The first application of the technology is for treatment of migraine headaches.  (Theranica 20.09)

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9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Giraffic AVA for Content Providers Brings the Next Level of Consumer Viewing Experience

Giraffic announced that its technology can now help content providers meet the growing demand for scalable, high-quality live streaming and VOD.  The company’s new SDK makes it easy to integrate AVA with apps, enabling superb viewing experiences as video content consumption migrates to mobile platforms and Over-the-Top (OTT) services.  The Giraffic AVA software solution has been adopted by leading consumer electronics manufacturers, including Samsung and LG, and installed in over 70 million SmartTVs, set-top boxes (STBs) and other CE devices to overcome the limitations created by unstable Wi-Fi and cellular networks.  Giraffic examined their install base and found that more than 20% of premium HD subscribers to OTT apps encountered buffering pauses during video playback without AVA, despite the growing adoption of Adaptive Bitrate (ABR).  Some premium content viewers were able to achieve HD quality over only two-thirds of the video playback.

With a simple integration of Giraffic’s SDK into their apps, content providers can leverage AVA to deliver sustainable and consistent streams of premium HD and UHD 4K VOD content, high-profile live-streaming events, and OTT channels without server or network side integration.  This leads to increased viewer retention, engagement and satisfaction, while reducing support costs.  AVA technology enables this by achieving significantly higher throughput over existing internet connections, as well as providing up to 300% longer viewing periods at the highest quality resolution available. It also eliminates buffering pauses, low-resolution image quality and latency frequently experienced on mobile devices through efficient use of bandwidth and HTTP optimization.

Tel Aviv’s Giraffic is the inventor of Adaptive Video Acceleration (AVA) – the leading client-side video experience technology, complementing the existing video delivery ecosystem, that enables over 70 million consumer electronics (CE) devices across 120 countries, to deliver High Definition video and UHD 4K, without re-buffering pauses or streaming resolution reduction.  Powering 1 in 3 Smart TVs that were shipped globally in 2015, including LG and Samsung, Giraffic’s ground-breaking technology has been adopted by the world’s leading consumer electronics manufacturers to provide dramatic internet throughput increase and a seamless video playback experience.  (Giraffic 09.09)

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9.2  Sixgill Signs With Scitum/Telmex for a Solution to Address Cyber Attacks Before They Happen

Sixgill signed a deal with Scitum/Telmex, part of Grupo Carso and the largest integrated information security company in Mexico and the Latin American region.  Sixgill’s advanced platform detects and defuses cyber-attacks and sensitive data leaks originating from the Dark Web before they occur, and provides this information through real-time alerts.  Scitum will implement and offer Sixgill’s services to other Grupo Carso companies, including with Scitum’s parent company, Telmex, and America Mevil, a leading wireless services provider in Latin America and the fourth largest in the world in terms of equity subscribers.  Scitum will offer Sixgill’s solution portfolio as an “on-premise” solution, as well as under a SaaS model.  It will be added to Scitum’s portfolio of services related to security and managed services that include the design, implementation, and management of infrastructures of security of information, and consulting.

Yokneam Illit’s Sixgill was founded in 2014 to detect and defuse cyber threats and attacks on organizations originating from the Dark Web.  Sixgill is a graduate of the Citi Accelerator in Tel Aviv and is working closely with Citi mentors to adapt the product capabilities to the needs of large global enterprises.  Sixgill was also chosen among the top 5 most innovative companies at the Cybox competition at Cybertech in 2016.  Sixgill has recently raised $5 million.  (Sixgill 06.09)

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9.3  Mellanox Delivers First Complete 10/25/50/100 Gb/s Ethernet Open Networking Switch Portfolio

Mellanox Technologies announced support for Cumulus Linux 3.1 on four new 10/25/50/100 Gb/s Ethernet switch platforms.  The announcement enables Mellanox to accelerate the adoption of Open Networking for customers by offering a complete end-to-end solution of Spectrum-based Ethernet switches that are supported by Cumulus Linux, the best-in-class Open Network Operating System.  As the speed of servers increase, and flash-based storage has become mainstream, a growing number of server vendors are offering 25 Gigabit Ethernet NICs as the default I/O option in their servers.  In addition to providing future proof connectivity, this enables their customers to avoid the cost and complexity of bundling multiple 10 Gigabit Ethernet links.  The Mellanox SN2410 is the first generally available switch with native 25 Gigabit Ethernet ports that is able to connect 25GbE servers without requiring breakout cables.  Powered by Mellanox’s Spectrum ASIC, the SN2410 offers tremendous throughput of 4Tb/s and with a landmark packet rate 2.98 Bpps switching capacity, all in a compact 1RU form factor.

Another first in the Open Ethernet space, the Mellanox SN2410B switch with Cumulus Linux allows customers with 10GbE attached servers to benefit from high capacity 100GbE inter-switch connectivity.  By providing 2.5 times the bandwidth per uplink compared to traditional 10/40GbE switches, the SN2410B reduces cable complexity and facilitates significant cost savings by requiring 2.5 times fewer cables, transceivers, and aggregation (spine) switch ports.  This high-speed switch is extremely affordable, with an MSRP that is half the cost of other 10/100 Gigabit Ethernet switch offerings.

Yokneam’s Mellanox Technologies is a leading supplier of end-to-end InfiniBand and Ethernet interconnect solutions and services for servers and storage.  Mellanox interconnect solutions increase data center efficiency by providing the highest throughput and lowest latency, delivering data faster to applications and unlocking system performance capability.  Mellanox offers a choice of fast interconnect products: adapters, switches, software, cables and silicon that accelerate application runtime and maximize business results for a wide range of markets including high-performance computing, enterprise data centers, Web 2.0, cloud, storage and financial services.  (Mellanox Technologies 06.09)

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9.4  Celeno Technology to Power Askey Gateways and Wi-Fi Extenders

Celeno Communications announced that its high performance Wi-Fi technology has been selected to power Askey’s newest range of home Wi-Fi Gateways and extenders.  A wholly owned subsidiary of ASUS Computers, Askey specializes in Broadband Connection, Home Networking and Video Entertainment total solution to Telecom and MSO Operators.  Askey’s new Wave 2 802.11ac DOCSIS 3.1 Broadcom Gateway (BCM3390) Gateway and three extenders – MOCA, G.hn based, all equipped with Celeno’s technology including Celeno’s ControlAIR multi-AP management software and Celeno’s OptimizAIR 2.0 Wi-Fi management software technology.  The 802.11ac Wave 2 Gateway and MOCA extender also include Celeno’s Argus engine in-chip dedicated RF circuitry and DSP-based engine for spectrum scanner and analyzer.

The Argus engine enables zero wait DFS channels entry and automatic, seamless channel change that are critical for satisfying 4K video experience in “real life” congested spectrum environment.  The technology enables the gateway to seamlessly transition between Wi-Fi channels to seek the cleanest spectrum for best operation.  This transition does not affect service and offers flicker free video without downsizing the radio dimensioning.

Ra’anana’s Celeno is the leading provider of smart, managed Wi-Fi solutions. Celeno’s extensive 802.11ac chip portfolio and ground-breaking software technologies are designed to excel in real life, highly-interfered dense network scenarios, delivering the level of management, performance, speed, coverage, reliability and superlative user experience demanded by Wi-Fi users.  Celeno’s field-proven chips and software technology have been successfully integrated into numerous OEM Wi-Fi devices and have been deployed in tens of millions of homes around the world by almost 100 leading service providers worldwide.  (Celeno Communications 09.09)

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9.5  BriefCam and Digifort Announce Technology Partnership

BriefCam announced a technology integration partnership with Digifort.  This partnership benefits the industry with the most advanced video search and review functionalities, enabling users to extract valuable data collected on their surveillance systems and achieve better security and operational management.  Digifort’s VMS (video management software) provides organizations with surveillance, access control and automation in distributed, accessible manner.  Digifort can now offer users all the benefits of BriefCam Syndex from within its open VMS platform.  The integrated solution enables Digifort users to benefit from new advancements to BriefCam Syndex:

ReView – Investigate large amounts of video data effectively to reduce time-to-target.

ReSearch – Gain business insights and key trends from your video to improve operational management.

ReSpond – Analyze complex scenes in real time and receive smart alerts to handle events proactively.

Modi’in’s BriefCam develops and delivers Video Synopsis solutions, empowering organizations to validate their investment in video by extracting value from video-data across all levels of organizations, maximizing security, operations and business efforts.  (BriefCam 08.09)

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9.6  prooV Connects Enterprises To Software Vendors For Seamless Proof of Concept Pilots

 prooV announced its global launch along with a $7 million Series A funding round from Mangrove Capital Partners and OurCrowd.  prooV consolidates and optimizes the Proof of Concept (PoC) ecosystem, enabling global enterprises to discover, connect and engage with independent software vendors (ISVs) to easily run and evaluate multiple PoCs through remote, secure testing environments.  The prooV platform also drastically reduces the demand on time and resources, allowing organizations to complete PoCs within days, not months.

prooV’s user-friendly platform enables enterprises and ISVs to easily discover, and be discovered by potential customers, suppliers and partners, and then seamlessly execute on PoC opportunities.  PoC pilots run on prooV’s dedicated cloud-based testing environments that precisely emulate the enterprise’s internal conditions, including data, APIs and systems.  Testing environments are automatically created when an enterprise opens and defines new PoC opportunities.

Founded in 2015, Tel Aviv’s prooV is the first Pilot-as-a-Service platform that brings together global enterprises and independent software vendors to discover, connect and execute Proof of Concepts (PoCs) through remote, secure testing environments.  Founded by serial entrepreneurs who recognized the inefficiencies in the modern PoC process, prooV offers a radical new approach to testing, tracking and analyzing vendor solutions, accelerating the journey from RFP to PoC.  prooV is a privately held company backed by Mangrove Capital Partners and OurCrowd.  (prooV 08.09)

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9.7  Menora Mivtachim Insurance Selects Sapiens IDIT Software Suite

Sapiens International Corporation announced that Menora Mivtachim Insurance (Menora), one of Israel’s largest insurance and financial groups, selected the Sapiens IDIT insurance software suite.  Menora expanded its long-term, strategic relationship with Sapiens.  The company had previously selected Sapiens to manage its life and pension and reinsurance lines of business.  By selecting the Sapiens IDIT software suite to manage the full lifecycle of its property and casualty (P&C) business, Menora will further advance its P&C business objectives.  This agreement also represents a significant milestone for Sapiens, increasing the company’s global P&C footprint and strengthening Sapiens’ position in the Israeli P&C insurance market.  The project will be divided into three phases and is expected to be completed within three years.

Sapiens IDIT is a software solution suite specifically designed for the P&C market.  It enables carriers, managing general agents (MGAs) and insurance brokers to meet critical and long-term business goals via traditional insurance, direct insurance, bancassurance and brokers.

Holon’s Sapiens International Corporation is a leading global provider of software solutions for the insurance industry, with a growing presence in the financial services sector.  Sapiens offers core, end-to-end solutions to the global general insurance, property and casualty, life, pension and annuities, reinsurance and retirement markets, as well as business decision management software.  The company has a track record of over 30 years in delivering superior software solutions to more than 200 financial services organizations.  (Sapiens 12.09)

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9.8  CyberArk Receives U.S. Technology Patent for Detecting Cyber Security Risks

CyberArk was recently awarded another patent (U.S. Patent 9,386,044) by the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office for innovative security risk detection technology.  This patent follows a previously granted patent (U.S. Patent 9,185,136) and demonstrates CyberArk’s expertise in detecting the risks that make cyber attacks possible in organizational networks.  The patent for correlation-based security risk identification covers methods and systems to map risks arising from credentials, especially privileged credentials, present on machines in the network that, once compromised, enable attackers to access and compromise other machines in the network.

CyberArk has implemented this innovative technology in the CyberArk Discovery and Audit (DNA) tool.  CyberArk DNA is a valuable tool for security practitioners to quantify privileged account security-related risks and gain visibility into the vulnerable attack surface that exists within enterprise environments.  Once compromised by an attacker, privileged credentials can enable lateral movement to other machines in the network.  Using CyberArk DNA, organizations can identify specific security risks, such as those associated with Pass-the-Ticket and Pass-the-Hash attacks, and visualize how attackers could abuse credentials and associated access rights to operate in the network.

Petah Tikva’s CyberArk is the only security company focused on eliminating the most advanced cyber threats; those that use insider privileges to attack the heart of the enterprise.  Dedicated to stopping attacks before they stop business, CyberArk proactively secures against cyber threats before attacks can escalate and do irreparable damage.  The company is trusted by the world’s leading companies – including 45% of the Fortune 100 – to protect their highest value information assets, infrastructure and applications.  (CyberArk 14.09)

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9.9  ECI Expands Neptune Family to Provide End-to-End, 5G Ready Backhaul Solution

ECI announced the addition of Neptune (NPT) 1011 and (NPT) 1025 to its growing Neptune family of multi-service packet transport platforms with integrated optics, for best-in-class solutions from metro access to core.  Neptune is an integral part of ECI’s ElastiNET solution. The new Neptune products ideally complement ECI’s family offering with end-to-end ELASTIC MPLS solutions perfect for mobile backhaul.

The growth of traffic in the metro is already outpacing the growth in the network core.  In the future, 5G networks are expected to exacerbate the situation, which will require increased control and optimization.  The Neptune family provides both, using a dual stack (ELASTIC) MPLS that enables seamless interworking between the IP/MPLS and MPLS-TP domains.  This eliminates the need to choose between protocols and reduces risk.  ECI’s ElastiNET provides a forward-looking, highly-scalable and flexible architecture for current LTE/LTE-A and future 5G requirements.  Moreover, ElastiNET supports all the necessary attributes such as low latency, synchronization distribution, reliability and security.  The integrated optics ensure efficient and seamless interworking with the optical backbone.  As with all of ElastiNET products, ECI’s LightSOFT provides intuitive network management, and ECI’s LightAPPS provide additional network control and flexibility.

Petah Tikva’s ECI is a global provider of ELASTIC network solutions to CSPs, critical infrastructures as well as data center operators.  Along with its long-standing, industry-proven packet-optical transport, ECI offers a variety of SDN/NFV applications, end-to-end network management, a comprehensive cyber security solution and a range of professional services.  ECI’s ELASTIC solutions ensure open, future-proof, and secure communications.  (ECI 14.09)

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9.10  Telematics Wireless Awarded Access to the YPO Framework Agreement for Street Lighting

Telematics Wireless (Telematics) has been awarded access to the YPO Framework Agreement for Street Lighting Products and Services (Framework 711).  This agreement will enable Telematics to provide smart lighting solutions to a wide customer base in the UK, including the local public sector and member authorities of YPO.  The Framework Agreement is an OJEU compliant process for government authorities to procure products that cover the provisioning of Telematics’ Street Lighting Control Management Systems (CMS) from June 1, 2016 to May 31, 2020.  It covers a wide range of terrains including commercial, urban, and rural environments.  The Telematics solution will enable YPO’s customers to manage and control all streetlights on an individual or group basis by providing a reliable and secure two-way radio based communications platform between the lighting nodes and data control units.  This facilitates the central control of lighting levels to suit various communities’ lighting requirements and fiscal needs of energy usage across the network.  Once implemented, the wireless CMS communications platform enables the integration of machine-to-machine sensors, thus expanding the Smart City network.

Holon’s Telematics Wireless is a recognized global leader in the delivery of outdoor lighting control systems, as well as robust, reliable and advanced energy and water resource management systems based on RF wireless networks.  With almost 20 years of experience in Machine-to-Machine technologies, our solutions support a wide spectrum of smart city applications, increasing their efficiency, reliability, and cost-effectiveness.  The company has deployed tens of thousands of Light Control Units worldwide in dozens of cities.  (Telematics 14.09)

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9.11  Nano Dimension Marks First Delivery of DragonFly 2020 3D Printer to the US

Nano Dimension announced that its wholly owned subsidiary, Nano Dimension Technologies Ltd., has delivered its DragonFly 2020 3D Printer to FATHOM.  FATHOM is a beta and go-to-market partner with expertise in advanced manufacturing and 3D printing that serves the Silicon Valley region and greater West Coast area.  This marks the company’s first delivery of the DragonFly 2020 3D Printer to the United States.  The DragonFly 2020 3D Printer will be installed at FATHOM’s Oakland, California headquarters and will be used for evaluations and demonstrations over the next year.  Earlier this year, Nano Dimension signed an agreement with FATHOM to collaborate on the introduction of the DragonFly 2020 3D Printing platform to the U.S. market, with a focus on Silicon Valley and the greater West Coast area.

Ness Ziona’s Nano Dimension, founded in 2012, focuses on development of advanced 3D printed electronics systems and advanced additive manufacturing.  Nano Dimension’s unique products combine three advanced technologies: 3D inkjet, 3D software and nanomaterials.  The company’s primary products include the first 3D printer dedicated to printing multi-layer PCBs (printed circuit boards) and advanced nanotechnology-based conductive and dielectric inks.  (Nano Dimension 14.09)

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9.12  Stratasys & threeASFOUR Unveil 3D Printed OSCILLATION Dress

Stratasys announced its ongoing collaboration with fashion leader threeASFOUR and New York-based designer Travis Fitch – debuting one of the designers’ most elaborate and intricate 3D printed dresses during New York Fashion Week.  Entitled ‘Oscillation,’ the piece is comprised of 30 individual and highly precise multi-color, multi-material 3D printed parts created via assembly of 270 unique design files.  The 3D printed dress serves as the centerpiece for threeASFOUR’s ‘Quantum Vibrations’ collection.  Drawing inspiration from source energies and primal, universal vibrations, the collection explores a series of graphic 2D patterns created in partnership with Travis Fitch.  Leveraging Stratasys’ color, multi-material 3D printing technology, threeASFOUR brought these vibrational forms to life in range of vibrantly colored 3D printed materials – representing the designers’ most intricate and complex creation to date.  The 30 unique dress components were initially printed as flat, unwrapped patches that were later assembled on the body.  With Stratasys’ color, multi-material 3D printing capabilities, including advanced precision and the ability to vary material properties, the designers were able to recreate even the most intricate vibrational patterns and geometries without compromising the flexibility and wearability integral to the design.

For more than 25 years, Stratasys has been a defining force and dominant player in 3D printing and additive manufacturing – shaping the way things are made.  Headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota and Rehovot, Israel, the company empowers customers across a broad range of vertical markets by enabling new paradigms for design and manufacturing.  The company’s solutions provide customers with unmatched design freedom and manufacturing flexibility – reducing time-to-market and lowering development costs, while improving designs and communications.  (Stratasys 15.09)

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9.13  SuperCom to Launch Mobile Wallet Solution with VeriFone and Nofshonit in Israel

SuperCom announced that Nofshonit, one of the largest loyalty club providers and operators in Israel, has selected SuperCom to provide an e-wallet solution to Nofshonit clients for digital loyalty and pre-paid shopping programs, to be supported at merchant locations over various devices and applications.  Nofshonit, through its operating partner Knowledge4all, has more than one million active clients. SuperCom’s secure mobile wallet application, SuperWallet, will be used by existing and selected loyalty club clients throughout Israel and allow for mobile payments at point-of-sales instead of using the pre-chargeable magnetic card method which was previously mainly utilized in these loyalty programs.  The solution will provide a range of services such as topping-up funds, paying for goods at the shops and viewing recent activities and inquiries.  The roll out has already begun introducing the solution to various Knowledge4all client groups, among them the Israeli workers union, the Israeli department of security, and the employees of Teva Pharmaceutical Industries.  The roll-out will continue over the next months.

SuperPay is SuperCom’s secure mobile payment hybrid suite which brings a new level of secured cross-network mobile payment transaction capabilities.  Designed specifically as a flexible end-to-end mobile payments solution, the SuperPay suite is a secure and effective customizable answer for governments, MNOs and banks.  Solving major money transfer and payments problems, and considering the unbanked population, SuperPay can be used for depositing, withdrawing and transferring funds and for paying for goods and bills on almost any mobile phone.

Since 1988, Herzliya’s SuperCom has been a leading global provider of traditional and digital identity solutions, providing advanced safety, identification and security solutions to governments and organizations, both private and public, throughout the world.  Through its proprietary e-Government platforms and innovative solutions for traditional and biometrics enrollment, personalization, issuance and border control services, SuperCom has inspired governments and national agencies to design and issue secured Multi-ID documents and robust digital identity solutions to its citizens and visitors.  SuperCom offers advanced, secure mobile payments ranging from mobile wallet to mobile POS, using a set of components and platforms to enable secure mobile payments and financial services.  (SuperCom 15.09)

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9.14  LightCyber Extends Behavioral Attack Detection to Amazon Web Services

LightCyber announced new Magna products for Amazon Web Services (AWS) to close the breach detection gap in cloud and hybrid cloud data centers.  The new products provide attack visibility for Infrastructure-as-a-Service (IaaS) cloud and hybrid cloud data center workloads.  Leveraging all of the existing behavioral profiling and anomaly detection capabilities available in the Magna platform, the new Magna Detector-AWS and Magna Probe-AWS products support deployment within an organization’s AWS Virtual Private Cloud (VPC).  LightCyber also announced a new version of its agentless, on-demand Magna Pathfinder for Linux to extend integrated network and endpoint detection features to one of the most common data center server platforms.  The new LightCyber Magna products detect the operational activities of malicious insiders or targeted external attackers attempting to gain control of assets hosted in an AWS cloud data center or using it as a point for command and control (C&C) communication and eventual exfiltration of data.  Similar to an on premise data center, once attackers gain a foothold, they need to explore the environment through reconnaissance and must expand their realm of control to gain access to assets using lateral movement.  The Magna Behavioral Attack Detection platform employs machine learning techniques to detect these reconnaissance and lateral movement activities, as well as C&C and exfiltration, so that an attack can be thwarted before damage is done.

Ramat Gan’s LightCyber is a leading provider of Behavioral Attack Detection solutions that provide accurate and efficient security visibility into attacks that have slipped through the cracks of traditional security controls.  The LightCyber Magna platform is the first security product to integrate user, network and endpoint context to provide security visibility into a range of attack activity.  Founded in 2012 and led by world-class cyber security experts, the company’s products have been successfully deployed by top-tier customers around the world in industries including the financial, legal, telecom, government, media and technology sectors.  (LightCyber 19.09)

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10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israel’s CPI Declines by 0.3% in August

Israel’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) unexpectedly fell 0.3% in August, the Central Bureau of Statistics reported on 15 September, after rising for the previous four consecutive months – 0.4% in July, 0.3% in June, 0.3% in May and 0.4% in April.  Prior to that, the CPI had fallen for five straight months.  The analyst’s consensus prediction was that the CPI would be unchanged.  Over the past 12 months, the CPI has fallen 0.7% – well below the government’s inflation target range of between 1% and 3%.  Prominent price falls in August included fashion and footwear (4.9%), fresh fruit (2.5%) and transport and communications (1.3%).  Prominent price rises included fresh vegetables (3.3%).  The housing price index, published separately from the CPI, showed that home prices rose 0.1% after falling 0.3% in the preceding month.  Home prices have risen 6% over the past 12 months.  (CBS 15.09)

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10.2  Israeli Exports Jumped 11.5% Between June – August

Israel’s exports have recovered following a decline of 6.8% in annualized terms in March-May 2016.  Israel’s exports continue powering ahead: in June-August 2016, the export of goods (excluding ships, planes and diamonds) rose an annualized 11.5%, compared with a decline of an annualized 6.8% in March-May 2016.  The Central Bureau of Statistics reports that in August, the import of goods totaled NIS 21.8 billion, goods exports were NIS 14.6 billion and the trade deficit was NIS 7.2 billion.

The rise in exports has been partially explained by one-time events, such as the reactivation of production lines in at the Intel plant in Kiryat Gat.  Production lines had been shut down earlier this year, causing exports to decline.  In June-August 2016, high-tech exports (about 47% of all industrial exports, excluding diamonds), rose an annualized 12.3%.  In comparison, in March-May 2016, they dropped an annualized 14.1%. Export data indicates an annualized 94.6% rise in drug exports (average rise of 5.7% per month).  In contrast, the export of electronic components and boards dropped an annualized 11.8%.  As for imports, a 34.2% drop in car imports was noted, affecting overall data for consumer durables which dropped an annualized 13.8% in August.  (CBS 14.09)

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10.3  Israel’s Second Quarter Growth Revised Upwards

The Central Bureau of Statistics announced on 18 September that the Israeli economy grew at 4% on an annual basis in Q2/16.  The Central Bureau of Statistics reported that the Israeli economy grew at 3% on an annual basis in H1/16, compared with its previous 2.9% estimate and 2.7% GDP growth in the first half of 2015.  The Central Bureau of Statistics also raised its growth figure for the second quarter from its previous 3.7% estimate to 4%.  The improvement in second quarter growth is attributable to a 10% increase in private consumption, an 8.6% rise in spending on public consumption, and a 5.1% rise in investments in fixed assets.  Exports of goods and services were up by an annualized 10.9%.  (Globes 18.09)

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10.4  Budget Deficit Remains Well Below Government Target

Israel’s August budget deficit amounted to NIS 2.6 billion, making the deficit over the past 12 months 2.2% of GDP.  The 2016 budget allows for a 2.9% deficit.

Gross receipts from self-employed people and companies totaled NIS 4.3 billion in August, down 12%, compared with August 2015.  Most of the decrease was from companies, particularly financial companies, while receipts from the self-employed fell 2.9%.  Government spending (excluding repayment of principal on debt) totaled NIS 26.2 billion in August, consisting of NIS 23.5 billion in spending by government ministries and NIS 2.6 billion in interest on the government debt, plus NIS 200 million in payments of interest and principal to the National Insurance Institute.  Revenue from capital market taxes totaled NIS 195 million, down 25%, compared with August 2015.  Revenue from tax on interest fell 11%, and taxes on profits from securities trading plummeted 32%.  Revenue from taxes on gasoline jumped 10% to NIS 1.5 billion in August, compared with NIS 1.4 billion in August 2015.  Since the beginning of the year, state revenue from gasoline taxes totaled NIS 11.9 billion, compared with NIS 11.5 billion in the corresponding period last year.  (Globes 07.09)

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10.5  While Wine Consumption Is On the Rise, Israelis Still Not Big Drinkers

Israelis are not big drinkers, but wine consumption in the country is nevertheless on the rise, a recent survey by the local 1848 Vineyard, has found.  The poll, held ahead of the High Holidays and released on 15 September, found that the average Israeli consumes only around 5.5 liters of wine a year.  Twenty percent of Israelis purchase a bottle of wine every week, while 30% do so once a month.  Not surprisingly, when they do go out shopping for a bottle, Israelis stick to traditional wines: Cabernet sauvignon and chardonnay are the most popular red and white wines, respectively, though the survey found white wine is growing increasingly popular.  Nevertheless, 59% of the general population said they considered themselves wine drinkers.

While women are drinking more wine now than in the past, Israeli men continue to drink more than their female counterparts: Of those who considered themselves wine drinkers, 65% of wine drinkers in Israel were men, while only 35% were women.  Israelis prefer to buy wines from local vineyards.  Around 65% purchase wine from Israeli vineyards, while 35% purchase imported wine.  Around 10 large vineyards and 250 boutique and premium vineyards operate in Israel today to serve the country’s market.  Local wines win prestigious awards at international wine competitions. Wine sales have increased 2.5% annually in recent years, and increase 19% above average ahead of Rosh Hashanah and the High Holidays.  (IH 16.09)

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11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  ISRAEL:  The Israeli Startup Scene in August

For those who did not manage to follow what happened last month, Geektime has collected all the investments, acquisitions and financing rounds on the Israeli startup scene in August in a special summary:

CyberX raises $9 million

Israeli company CyberX, a startup dealing in cyber security for the Industrial Internet, announced the completion of their Series A financing round in which it raised $9 million.  International venture capital fund Flint Capital led the round, together with previous investors Glilot Capital Partners, UpWest Labs, GlenRock Group, Swarth Group, Gigi-Levy-Weiss and other investors from the US and Europe.

CyberX offers a solution for detecting cyber-attacks and operational malfunctions in real time by creating absolute visibility of the Industrial Internet at any given moment, based on modeling technology and ISC-ISAC.  The purpose of the Industrial Internet is to create a smarter and safer internet connection for industrial machinery.

Panoply.io raises $7 million

Young startup Panoply.io announced the completion of a $7 million seed financing round led by Intel Capital, the American chip giant’s investment arm, and Blumberg Capital, a previous investor in the company.

Panoply.io is developing a new way of storing data on the cloud by turning it into a more accessible and flexible platform than the one currently offered, which is basically an infrastructure that can be operated only by experts.  The platform developed by the company is designed to manage data and analytics, essentially what New Relic did for monitoring and performance and Heroku did for apps development.

Velostrata raises $17.5 million more

Israeli company Velostrata, which is developing the first hybrid cloud solution that also works in real time, announced the completion of a $17.5 million financing round led by Intel Capital, Intel’s investment arm, with the participation of previous investors Norwest Venture Partners and 83North Venture Capital.

The technology developed by Velostrata enables organizations to stream calculation tasks from the client’s website to the cloud and back within minutes, without copying the data or the software themselves to the cloud, thereby maintaining optimal performance.  According to the company, the solution it has developed is the only one that accommodates on-demand hybrid cloud architecture for core organizational apps, while there is no need to make changes in the apps, the operating system, or the data location, the method of storing them, and their management.  In other words, an organization’s personnel can continue using the same tools and processes for managing the calculation infrastructure that they have become used to.  The transfer of calculation tasks to and from the cloud is done by clicking on a button.

Israeli company Sedona Systems raises $13.6 million

Sedona Systems announced the completion of a $13.6 million

Series B financing round led by Intel Capital, with participation from new investor NexStar Partners and existing investors Bessemer Venture Partners.  Sedona Systems develops technology designed to improve connectivity of networks throughout the world and the efficiency of data centers.  It does this with the help of a combination of layers that currently operate independently and do not communicate with each other.  By merging two of these layers, it is possible to attain control, receive information, and optimize the organizational network.  The company’s technology makes it possible to obtain a great deal of information from the SDN controllers on two layers, such as the volume of traffic and alerts, thereby benefiting from greater reliability on the network.  According to the company, organizations can save up to 50% of their communications infrastructure costs through the optimization it offers.  NetFusion, the product developed by the company, works with the equipment of all the recognized manufacturers.  Once installed, it works automatically, and is transparent to the user.

Spot.IM raises $13 million

Israeli startup Spot.IM, which has developed a widget designed to enhance the involvement of visitors on a website, announced the completion of a $13 million Series A financing round.  Funds Index Ventures and AltaIR Capital led the round, together with other investors.  The company develops products for the use of websites that create original content in order to enable them to hold on to surfers exposed to the content, and not to lose them as a result of the sharing and display of content on Facebook, YouTube, Twitter, and other social networks.

In order to increase the visitors’ involvement on the website, Spot.IM offers a number of social tools, such as getting rid of the standard responses in the system, and creating real time discourse instead, an alert system that enables users to discover where the conversations are taking place on the website at any time, a news feed composed of the content on the website most frequently viewed by the users, etc.  Spot.IM founder and CEO Nadav Shoval says that the combination of these products yields a 20% average increase in the time spent on the website, and a 25% rise in responses and exposure to pages on the website.

Ornim Medical raises $20 million

Ornim Medical, which is developing a brain monitoring device, announced the completion of its Series C financing round, in which it raised $20 million.  Chinese investment company LongTec HongTao China Ventures LP led the round, together with previous investors, among them OrbiMed Healthcare Fund Management and GE Ventures.

c-FLOW, Ornim’s flagship device, is based on technology that combines near-infrared light with ultrasound pulses. It is designed for continuous, non-invasive, and simultaneous monitoring of blood flow changes in a selected vicinity of tissue in the brain.  The alternative without the device obliges the doctors to use indirect measures that are not specific to the brain, or to use a special device that is both expensive and invasive, and which in most cases provides only partial information.  c-FLOW is designed for use mainly in operating rooms, intensive care, recovery rooms, and emergency rooms, and in the future, also in ambulances.  As of now, the device is the only non-invasive device in the world with FDA approval that makes it possible to monitor simultaneously and continuously blood flow changes during brain monitoring.  Ornim also has FDA approval for continuous monitoring of the O2 saturation in the brain.

Cloudyn raises $4 million

Less than a year after its previous financing round, Israeli startup Cloudyn is raising $4 million more from Infosys, one of the largest IT companies in India.  Cloudyn aids organizations in cutting their cloud computing expenses by monitoring and analyzing activity on the public, private, and hybrid cloud.

The SaaS tool developed by Cloudyn helps organizations change work environments and adopt hybrid cloud services and interface with a number of clouds simultaneously.  The analysis it provides enables its customers to spot unnecessary expenses and unutilized resources.  It carries out simulations of running services between various clouds, and provides information about excessive allocation of resources to public, private, and hybrid clouds.  The company’s solution enables its customers to arrive at the right composition of cloud services, thereby improving their operating performance and reducing the organization’s cloud costs.  Among other things, the company currently supports Amazon’s AWS, Microsoft Azure, Google’s GCE and OpenStack.  The company claims to monitor 8% of Amazon’s cloud platform.

Formlabs raises $35 million

Israeli startup Formlabs, which is developing and producing 3D table printers, has announced a $35 million Series B financing round, led by Foundry Group.  Previous investors also took part in the round, including DFJ Growth, Pitango Venture Capital, and former General Manager and Apple VP Europe Pascal Cagni.  Together with the investment, the company announced a strategic partnership with AutoDesk for the purpose of improving digital design and production for product manufacturers throughout the world.

The company is designing and producing advanced and accessible 3D printing systems for engineers, designers, and artists.  The company’s flagship product, the Form 2 3D printer, uses stereolithography to generate physical objects in high resolution from digital programs.

Insert raises $10 million

Israeli startup Insert announced that it had raised $10 million in its Series A financing round, led by Battery Ventures, with participation from its existing seed investors Shlomo Kramer, Rakesh Loonkar and Mickey Boodaei.  The current round puts the amount raised by the company to date at $15 million.  In January 2015, the startup, then still operating under the radar, raised $5 million.

Insert offers a diverse catalogue of tools that a marketer can put into his or her mobile apps within minutes, without any development and without going through a process of getting approval again from the apps shop.  The focus of the product is on enhancing the loyalty of users in the long term, and on increasing revenue from the app.  The tools offered by the company enable the app owner to adapt the agreement with the user to his personal characteristics and his behavior on the app in the past and in real time.  For example, Insert makes it possible to dynamically devise a process of accepting a new user, presenting personalized offers, running surveys, video clips, etc.

Kaltura raises $50 million

Israeli startup Kaltura, which is developing an open-code video platform, has completed a $50 million pre-IPO financing round from the Goldman Sachs investment bank.  The current round, the company’s Series E, puts the amount of capital raised by the company to date at over $150 million.  Kaltura will use the additional capital to continue making its global mark and positioning itself as an “all-video” company, offering leading video solutions for many widely dispersed markets and a broad range of uses.

The platform developed by Kaltura enables its customers to increase their revenue from advertising, while sharing content, acquiring a broader audience and cutting costs related to video broadcasting.  The product offers an entire system that enables the customer to integrate video content on their websites and exercise complete control over the pushing of content to websites; statistical analysis; and other important tools for those distributing information in an organization.  The system is able to provide a response to a variety of different platforms, including PCs, tablets, and cellular devices, while making adjustments to each of them.

Innoviz Technologies raises $9 million

Innoviz Technologies, an Israeli startup developing sensors and systems for the purpose of producing autonomously driven vehicles, announced that it had raised $9 million in its Series A financing round.  The company’s investors include Zohar Zisapel; venture capital funds Vertex Venture Capital, Magma Venture Capital, and Amity Ventures; and Delek Investments.

Innoviz realized that development in the autonomous vehicle market was at its peak, but was still being delayed, due to the gap between the existing technology for scanning a vehicle’s maneuvering room and the ability to distinguish the surroundings in a way that will enable it to direct its path safely.  The company is developing a sensor called light radar (LiDAR), a laser sensor that scans the vehicle’s surroundings very accurately and builds around it a detailed 3D image.  The company’s technology is called high definition solid-state LiDAR (HD-SSL).  LiDAR allows action and sensing at long ranges of several hundred meters and high resolution on both axes, while significantly reducing the size of the product and reducing the price to less than $100 per unit, in contrast to tens of thousands of dollars at present.  HD-SSL will serve as a basis for any sensing system need for autonomous driving.

Photomyne raises $2.6 million

Israeli startup Photomyne has completed its seed financing round, raising $2.6 million from a number of Israeli investors, including Eddy Shalev, Yariv Gilat, Leon Recanati and Yariv Eisenberg.  The simplest solution today for creating a digital file from a physical picture is, of course, to scan or photograph using a smartphone.  The problem is that this action requires the users to shoot every photo separately, and to edit it.

The Photomyne app, on the other hand, enables users to create digital versions of old pictures rapidly and fairly easily by photographing an entire page of the album (regardless of how many pictures it contains).  The app will do all the hard work.  It is not even necessary to take the photos out of the album itself.  The company claims that its solution is the only one currently on the market that makes it possible to scan pictures simultaneously with a single click.

Scene53, developer of Shaker, acquired by Playstudios

Joining forces: American gaming company Playstudios this month acquired Israeli company Scene53, which specializes in games with many players in a mobile virtual environment.  Over the past two years, the companies cooperated in developing the free-of-charge game Pop! Slots, a virtual casino that simulates the gaming experience in Las Vegas casinos.  The game was launched two weeks ago, and is currently ranked in third place by App Store in the free casino games category.  Playstudios, which is responsible for the popular MyVegas Slots game, owns the exclusive right to the famous casino labels of the MGM group in Las Vegas.

Playstudios contacted Scene53 with an offer for a joint venture based on the Scene53 game experience that would enable the players to “visit” a virtual version of giant brands, such as MGM Grand and Bellagio, play together online with friends, win real prizes, such as an evening in a hotel or a ticket to a show, all from their smartphone or tablet.  Close to the launch, Playstudios offered to acquire Scene53, and turn the company into its subsidiary.  Playstudios Israel will now operate as an independent games studio, focusing on continued development of POP! Slots, and will expand in the future to other games using the technology.

ForClass acquired by Time To Know for millions of shekels

Israeli company Time To Know is acquiring Israeli startup ForClass, which offers a platform for improving learning for teachers and students.  The acquiring company provides solutions for creating digital teaching and study programs.  The official amount of the deal was not disclosed, but is estimated in the millions of shekels.  The acquired company will continue to offer its product to users at least until the end of the coming school year.

Chief product officer Gad Allon, CTO Ofer Belinsky, and CEO Boaz Shedletsky founded ForClass in 2013.  The company offers a cloud-based fully integrated cross-platform tool aimed at helping to distribute content, assess students and manage a class. The overall purpose of the product is to encourage students’ involvement in class.

Connecteam raising $1 million from Wix founders

Israeli startup Connecteam has developed a system enabling any organization to develop its own special app within minutes, at an extremely accessible price.  The startup this month announced a $1 million financing round from Wix’s investors, and the commercial launch of the system.

The platform developed by Connecteam enables any organization to develop an internal branded free organizational app for its employees in minutes, with no need for technical support.  The app enables managers to communicate directly with every employee, obtain feedback about which employee read the notice or saw the video clip, deliver professional updates and online training through the app, operate a location-based time card, conduct surveys, create a list of tasks and manage shifts.  Managers can also monitor their employees’ performances in real time, and detect opportunities for making the workplace more efficient, thus saving time and money.  The employees, for their part, enjoy various tools, such as complete access to company documents and information previously inaccessible to them.

Dojo Labs acquired by BullGuard

Israeli IoT security company Dojo Labs has been acquired by UK anti-virus manufacturer BullGuard.  The Israeli company is developing a unique security gadget that provides remote protection against burglars for all home appliances, and guards the users’ privacy.  The companies published no other information about the deal.

The company has developed a gadget named Dojo that connects smoothly with our home router and guards the home network, without any prior knowledge about information security or operation of a firewall being required from the users.  Dojo will warn and halt any activity that appears suspicious to it, whether an external hacker is trying to break into the home network or if one of the smart appliances is trying to send out of the home information that is not supposed to reach an external party.  If such an event occurs, Dojo will send a warning to the special app on the user’s smartphone, and ask them for instruction on what to do about the problem, whether the attempted communications should be allowed or blocked.

SAIPS acquired by Ford

Israeli startup SAIPS develops computer vision and machine learning solutions.  Founded in 2013, the company has announced its acquisition by US auto giant Ford.  The acquisition price was not disclosed, but is believed to be in the tens of millions of dollars.  Before the acquisition, the entrepreneurs were the sole shareholders in the company, in which no external investments were made since its founding.

SAIPS specializes in developing algorithms based on Deep Neural Networks.  Its portfolio includes a number of technologies designed to provide a solution to quite a few challenges in the computer vision field: recognition of patterns and anomalies, detection and tracking, 3D, behavior prediction, positioning, image enhancement and more.  Following the acquisition, SAIPS will help Ford develop the advanced artificial intelligence algorithms needed to map a car’s dynamic surroundings and make complicated split-second decisions, which will be crucial to autonomous cars’ functioning.

ColorChip raising $20 million more

Less than a year after completing a $25 million financing round, the Israeli company announced a financing round to raise $20 million more from its existing investors and new investors.  The company is developing optical communications technology that makes it possible to transport effectively the bandwidth needed for the large volume of information in large and overloaded data centers.

ColorChip produces the components needed to create optical communications for operating the data centers of leading technology providers.  The transceivers and splitters made by the company make it possible to transport effectively the bandwidth needed for the large volume of information in large data centers.  The company’s technology, which is protected by patents from universities in Israel and special patents developed in the company, is based on ion exchange in glass.  There are many applications of this technology, including optical splitters in communications closets and optical heads for broadcasters and receivers with very high rates of information traffic, reaching 1 Tbsp for ranges of kilometers.

Jeeng raises $500,000

Jeeng, which is developing a solution for smarter following up of content, and seeks to become the world’s leading content follow-up system, announced a $500,000 financing round this month.  Participants in the round included Krypton Venture Capital, the WebPick group, Gigi Levy, Startups 500, Aryeh Mergi and others.

Jeeng has developed a smart tool for installation on content websites.  It can analyze the content of any article or page and generate topics for follow-up, based on an understanding of the content.  For example, if a user is reading an article about rumors concerning the new iPhone, Jeeng will suggest that the user click on a button to access additional articles about the mobile field in general, or about the iPhone in particular, about Apple Computers, iPhone prices, etc.

CEO Shlomi Haybi and CTO Roma Bronstein founded Jeeng in 2015.  The company has operated on a limited format to date with publishers in order to test the follow-up technology and its content analysis algorithm.  Now, with a little more cash in the kitty, it plans to expand its activity to additional customers around the world.

Somoto acquires Meme Video for $13 million

Somoto, a Tel Aviv Stock Exchange-listed company, announced this month that it had acquired Israeli ad tech company Meme Vido for $13 million in cash and shares.  Meme Video, which specializes in advertising optimization for various target markets, reported an operating profit last year.  Meme Video’s video advertising business is based on technology developed by it and third parties.  The company has developed tools for the digital video segment, which includes, among other things, Ad Server, Waterfall, tools for big data analysis, and a system of algorithms that makes it possible to optimize the price of digital media space.

Nutrinia raises $30 million

Israeli company Nutrinia, which has developed a special form of insulin for feeding premature infants and children following a shortening of the intestine, announced that it had completed their Series D financing round, in which it raised $30 million.  The current round was led by the TPG Biotech fund, with participation from the WuXi Healthcare Ventures and H.I.G. BioHealth Partners funds, as well as from existing investors, including Pontifax Venture Capital and Orbimed.  Nutrinia will use the money it raised to finance two key clinical trials of its product in the US and Europe.

The special insulin developed by the company enables the intestine to absorb food and consequently assists proper development in an infant.  The function of the insulin-based drug is to improve the digestive process among infants and increase the pace at which they gain weight, an extremely important question, especially for premature babies.  Nutrinia’s product also has great potential in the prevention of chronic diseases, such as Type 1 (juvenile) diabetes, various allergies, and obesity.  The Israeli company’s product remains durable at different temperatures and can be easily dissolved into any formula, or into mother’s milk.

CellSavers raises $15 million

Startup CellSavers, which provides on-demand smartphone repair service, has announced the completion of another financing round, in which it raised $15 million.  Carmel Ventures led the round, with participation from Sequoia Capital Israel.  The current round follows CellSavers’ $3 million seed round, which Sequoia led in December 2015.

CellSavers offers what amounts to a rescue service for your smartphone; it puts at the customers’ disposal an array of independent technicians who will repair the broken-down device at the time and in the place you prefer, whether at home, in the office, a café, or a gym.  The technicians with whom the company works undergo comprehensive testing and checks, and offer their services at a price fixed in advance, while standing behind the company slogan “for life.”  The process of ordering the repair takes place online, based on the predetermined fixed prices, without unpleasant surprises, and with the help of assistance from carefully selected experts.  The service is usually provided within 30 minutes or less. In principle, the aim is for the technician to visit the customers within 60 minutes, regardless of where the customer is.

HoneyBook raises $14 million

HoneyBook offers professionals involved in organizing events a single platform to manage for them all the fatiguing bureaucratic procedures in their work: price bids, contracts, clearance, writing invoices and handling the contract between the professional and the customers.  Among other things, the company is aiming at event organizers, photographers, DJs, hair stylists, event hall owners, flower arrangement artists, etc.  According to the company, these are “creative” professions, and bureaucratic paperwork detracts from the flow of their work.

The company recently completed a $14 million financing round, with participation from Vintage Investment Partners and Tank Hill Ventures, as well as all of the company’s previous investors.  The latest financing round brings the cumulative capital raised by the company to $46 million, giving it an estimated market value of NIS 170 million.

Uber acquires Otto for $680 million

Otto, an Israeli-American company founded in 2016, is on its way to being acquired by Uber for $680 million.  The anticipated signing of the deal followed a week awash with significant announcements in the auto technology industry about autonomous vehicles.  Anyone questioning how close we are to an era in which cars, buses, and trucks will drive themselves heard in recent days about a series of concrete steps that have been taken in the last several months.  For Otto, this exit is coming very early.  The company, founded only eight months ago, has 90 employees, and the price for its acquisition amounts to about 1% of the value of Uber itself.

In recent years, for a wide variety of reasons, the United States has faced a gaping shortage of truck drivers, with growing demand for rapid, land-based transportation of goods.  Otto, which noticed this need, combined it with one of the hottest trends in the current global technology market: autonomous vehicles.  At a time when the auto industry is busy designing an autonomous vehicle from scratch for the private market, Otto, operating in a completely different sphere, has developed systems that can turn existing trucks into autonomous ones, obviating the need for human beings on the one hand, and appealing to the auto industry in general on the other.

BigaBid raises $2 million

Israeli ad tech startup BigaBid is developing technology for automatic real-time optimization on the various digital stock exchanges.  In simple language, the company has developed technology that seeks to replace to some degree the media buyers and analysts with a single computerized smart brain.  In order to continue doing so, the company announced this month the completion of a $2 million seed financing round from Naftali Investments and a number of angels, including Gur Shomron.  Using BigaBid’s solution, app developers can reach the market of users most relevant to them and focus on users with the highest value.  By analyzing the users’ actions, the “brain” generates profiles, and in effect understands who each user is, making it possible to offer each and every user the relevant app (the information of course remains anonymous).

Taiwanese company GMobi acquires MassiveImpact

Taiwanese company GMobi announced its acquisition of Israeli company MassiveImpact in order to reinforce its focus on mobile advertising.  Founded in 2007, MassiveImpact initially offered advertising tools for platforms such as SMS and MMS.  When smartphones became ubiquitous, the company switched to developing smarter advertising tools adapted to them, and offered a model in which the advertiser paid only when a purchase, download, or incoming call at a company’s sales center was made.

NLT Spine acquired by SeaSpine

American company SeaSpine Holdings Corporation has finalized an agreement to acquire Israel medical equipment company NLT Spine, which develops implants and devices for the treatment of orthopedic problems.  SeaSpine will initially pay $1 million in cash for the acquisition, plus additional payments up to a maximum of $43 million if the Israeli company achieves commercial and regulatory targets.

NLT Spine develops a variety of products for minimally invasive spinal surgery (MISS) to treat degenerative spinal conditions.  The company’s products and implants, which can be inserted through a small incision, expand and grow into their final shape only when they are already inside the patient’s body.

SkyGiraffe raises $6 million

Israeli startup SkyGiraffe, which is developing a cloud platform for generating organizational apps and management on the cloud, announced that it has completed another financing round, in which it raised $6 million.  SGVC led the current round, together with Trilogy Equity Partners, Heroku founder and CEO James Lindenbaum, Parse founder and CEO and Y Combinator partner Ilya Sukhar, and Lookout founder and CTO Kevin Mahaffey.

SkyGiraffe has developed a cloud platform for managing organizations through native business apps installed on the employees’ cellular devices.  The company’s product, SkyGiraffe Studio, makes it possible to create apps personally adapted to the needs of employees in various departments, according to the information and specifically relevant access for them.  Using the product, information managers in a company can create apps in an especially short time of 15 minutes, while the final product not only allows access to the information, but also accommodates changes and synchronization with the end user.  For example, store managers can receive remote updates on products inventories, check which employees appeared for a shift, and even order the necessary products, together with the possibility of being in touch with more employees in the organization.

MOBILAB raises $1 million

A new venture named MOBILAB is threatening to make everyone’s nightmare a little less nightmarish.  Within 10 minutes to one hour of receiving a call, a technician will visit you and repair your home appliance.  Meanwhile, the company has raised $1 million from private investors.

The model on which MOBILAB operates is very similar to what Gett does with taxis.  In other words, the company connects the technicians in its database to nearby customers in need of a repair.  The company emphasizes that every technician included in its database has undergone a meticulous selection process, including personality, reliability, and professional tests.  He also undergoes the company’s professional training process.  Every technician comes to the customer’s home with all the necessary laboratory equipment, original spare parts, and supplementary accessories, such as a screen protector and batteries, which are offered to the customer.

User1st raises $3 million

Nearly three years have passed since the new regulations concerning access to sites for the handicapped went into effect.  Israeli startup User1st is seeking to help site owners by making the adjustment process much simpler and faster.  Actually, the company enables every site or web-based app to become accessible in compliance with a series of international standards, according to the WCAG 2.0 guidelines developed by the W3C global Internet organization.

This month, the company announced the completion of a $3 million financing round.  The Cornerstone fund led the current round, together with 500 Startups, 888 founder Eyal Shaked and Nissim Barel.  $5 million has been invested in the company since it was founded.  In 2014, User1st won the Prime Minister’s First Prize for Initiatives and Innovation.

IntSights completes $7.5 million financing round

IntSights Cyber Intelligence, a cyber intelligence company founded a year ago by IDF cyber and intelligence units veterans CEO Guy Nizan, CPO Alon Arvatz, and CTO Gal Ben David, announced this month that it had completed a $7.5 million financing round.  IntSights provides high-quality intelligence to companies.  Its security experts are trying to think like the attackers in order to understand their methods and ways of acting.  The company is also offering a way of dealing with intelligence alerts in which all the customer has to do is click on a button.

Behalf raises $27 million

Israeli payments platform Behalf, which offers a unique loan solution for small businesses, announced that it had completed another financing round in which $27 million had been raised.  Leading the round was Viola Growth, with participation from existing investors, including Sequoia Capital, MissionOG, Spark Capital and Vintage.  The startup provides a special loan service for small businesses based on a direct connection with their suppliers.  The capital raised in the round will enable Behalf to expand its sales and marketing efforts, and to develop new products.

Behalf’s credit model is different from ordinary credit: Instead of giving small businesses money, the company pays the businesses’ suppliers.  Behalf gives its customers lines of credit ranging from $300 to $50,000 for up to 150 days.  The company charges between $11 and $30 for each $1,000 it lends.  As befits a startup, there is no need for a personal meeting or branches.  The borrower just fills out a short questionnaire with four questions online.  Within 60 seconds, the customer receives an estimate of the credit that the company will extend to them, and can select a suitable payments plan.

Compass raises $75 million

Compass, a startup founded by Ori Allon (better known as the owner of the HaPoel Jerusalem basketball team), has announced the completion of a $75 million financing round.  The round is believed to reflect a company value of over $1 billion for Compass.  Wellington Management led the current round, with participation from previous investors in the company, including the 406 Ventures and Thrive Capital funds, and also the Founders Fund venture capital fund.

The concept behind Compass is designed to make the process of searching for and finding an apartment in high-demand areas throughout the United States more available and accessible than in the past.  The company offers a platform that enables users and agents to make better-informed real estate decisions through a display of detailed real-time information about pricing trends and market fluctuations.  In addition, the platform displays detailed information about areas, neighborhoods, other deals made, entertainment spots, education, etc.

Revuze raises $4 million

Israeli startup Revuze is developing text analysis technology focusing on criticism by users, and actually any opinion expressed by a customer about a brand, product, or service.  Sources reported this month that the company had completed a $4 million seed round led by the Nielsen Innovate incubator (Revuze is one of the incubator’s portfolio companies), NPD Group and TIC group.

Revuze is offering a smart platform able to extract business value from users’ criticisms.  The tool scans the various critiques, and singles out hot topics, from which it selects the most relevant parts in order to enable the company to take them into consideration, and to improve accordingly.  In this way, e-commerce websites of all types (such as a toy shop, an airline, a bank, a fashion chain, etc.) can learn what the customer really think about them, and about all the entire process, from the buying process to the level of service.

Beyond Verbal raises $3 million

Israeli company Beyond Verbal, which has developed a platform for voice-based emotional analysis, this month announced a $3 million Series A funding round.  Chinese technology giant Kuang Chi Science led the round.  The company uses machine learning to decode emotions, emotional states, and states of health using voice intonations.  Through the technology developed by the company, it is possible, for example, to improve the effectiveness of telephone service centers and monitor states of health for extended periods.  Beyond Verbal has collected over 2.5 million emotionally labeled voices in over 40 languages to date.

Beyond Verbal has developed an artificial intelligence platform and an algorithm enabling it to understand human states of health and emotional states, because its technology analyzes the speaker’s voice in real time.  It thereby adds a layer of emotional information to a variety of measures and instruments, includes apps, hearing accessories, wearable devices, and organizational solutions.

Revelator raises $2.5 million

The transition to digital has brought quite a few challenges for content companies and artists, including preservation of copyrights and keeping track of the popularity and distribution of their creations.  This month, Israeli startup Revelator, which is developing a platform for managing copyrights, announced that it had completed a $2.5 million financing round led by strategic investor Exigent Capital, with participation from Digital Currency Group and the Reinvent venture capital fund.

Once artists and music companies put their music on the company’s servers, Revelator’s platform enables them to keep track of the music’s distribution, the number of times it is played, and the sources making use of it.  If, for example, a podcast producer uses the system, he can follow the number of times it is played, the number of times it is installed, and receive royalties for each time it is played.  The system, which is offered in an SaaS model, provides artists and music companies with a great deal of information about the distribution figures for their music, and integrates reports, analytics, and sales.  (Geektime 08.09)

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11.2  ISRAEL:  Israel’s New MOU: The Money and the Message

David Makovsky posted in TWI’s PolicyWatch 2691 on 15 September that while some officials disagree about the financial particulars of Washington’s new military assistance deal, the overall message is one of strong, long-term U.S. support for Israel at a time of massive regional turbulence.

On 14 September, the United States and Israel signed a ten-year Memorandum of Understanding under which Washington will provide $38 billion in military assistance over the fiscal years 2019-2028.  The new MOU extends the current one that was signed in 2007 and expires in 2018, enabling Israeli military planners to make even longer-term acquisitions and bolster their technological edge in a turbulent region.  Among other things, the money will allow Israel to update its air force fleet by purchasing additional F-35 joint strike fighters.

The MOU is an important signal of American support for Israel’s security in the years ahead – in fact, the United States has no comparable arrangement with any other country.  The agreement is also a message to Israel’s adversaries that Washington’s support for its ally remains uniquely deep, despite recent policy disagreements.

Key Changes in the New MOU

The 2007 MOU allocated $30 billion over the course of a decade, which translates to $3.1 billion in foreign military financing (FMF) annually. Israel’s entire defense budget this fiscal year is $15.5 billion, so the U.S. assistance is approximately a fifth of what Jerusalem spends on its own military.  According to a White House fact sheet, the new MOU figure is $3.8 billion per annum, “disbursed in equal increments of $3.3 billion in FMF and $500 million in missile defense funding each year for the duration of the understanding.”

Yet the missile issue has led to differing interpretations of the new annual funding level.  Previously, Israel asked Congress for missile funding separately; this past year, U.S. assistance totaled $3.7 billion when one factors in the $600 million for missile defense.  In total, Washington has provided $1.3 billion for missile defense since 2011, covering most production costs of the Iron Dome system that was so important in preventing Israeli fatalities during the 2014 Gaza war.  Once missile expenditures are separated out, some former Israeli officials question the significance of the new MOU’s increase in FMF from $3.1 to $3.3 billion.  In a 15 September Washington Post article, for example, former defense minister Ehud Barak wrote that this is not an increase in “purchasing power” given the rise in weapons prices since 2007.

The Israeli Prime Minister’s Office and American officials typically respond to such arguments by explaining that U.S. assistance levels have remained constant in the past.  Other U.S. officials have gone further, insisting that this type of counting misses the mark and ignores context.  Specifically, they refer to the ongoing clash between the administration and Congress over American defense spending, noting that the amount of global military assistance at the administration’s disposal is relatively limited and that Israel’s share towers over the next recipients (Egypt is second at $1.3 billion, Jordan third at $300 million).  Put another way, total U.S. FMF to the entire world is $5.647 billion annually, and 83% of it goes to Israel, Egypt and Jordan.

The new MOU will also phase out a provision called Off-Shore Procurement (OSP).  This provision, which is not given to other states, has benefited Israel by allowing it to spend 26.3% of U.S. military assistance in Israel (i.e., about $815 million annually).  Congress first allowed for OSP after Israel canceled development of the Lavi fighter jet in 1987, a project that the United States opposed.  Yet while the plane’s cancellation hurt Israel’s fragile defense industry at the time, the situation has changed significantly since the 1980s.  Judging by its $5.7 billion in annual exports, Israel’s defense industry is now the fifth biggest arms exporter in the world (some knowledgeable Israelis say the figure is actually $7 billion).  Its three leading companies, Elbit, Rafael and Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) are among the world’s top fifty defense exporters.

Under the new terms, the OSP will remain as is until fiscal year 2024, then be phased out gradually until the MOU expires.  U.S. firms may agree to continue enabling Israeli firms to subcontract production of parts destined for Israeli planes, but down the road the funding will come out of the Israeli defense budget.  (Currently, Lockheed Martin produces the F-15I and subcontracts to Elbit for avionics, Rafael for missiles, and IAI for radar.)

It is also uncertain whether the new MOU is a ceiling or a floor when it comes to congressional assistance.  Along with signing the MOU, Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu wrote a letter to Secretary of State John Kerry saying that Israel has committed to reimburse the U.S. government if it receives more congressional assistance for FMF or missile defense in the last years of the current MOU (2017-2018).  Israel also committed not to lobby Congress for additional military assistance except in the event of conflict in the Middle East; if it does seek more funds, it will have to obtain the administration’s prior consent.  Senate Appropriations Committee member Lindsey Graham has charged that the administration’s apparent insistence on Israeli reimbursement is designed to circumvent the congressional appropriations process.

Indeed, Congress likes to assert its authority, and other challenges to the new MOU will likely abound.  For example, what if the current turbulence in Israel’s neighborhood increases while still falling short of direct war?  If the MOU is not a treaty, will it be equally enforced by both countries when the Obama administration leaves office in a few months?  In this regard, Israel proudly insists that it has not sought to change the FMF level during the entirety of the current MOU.

Iran Nuclear Tradeoff

Last year’s Iran nuclear deal was a time of maximal political leverage for Israel, so it is natural to question the deal’s impact on the MOU.  Defense Secretary Ash Carter traveled to Israel during the 2015 Iran debates, but Netanyahu pointedly refused to discuss U.S. military assistance at that time, fearing potential perceptions that Israel was being bought off to soften its opposition to the nuclear deal.

That stance has made political waves in Israel ever since.  During a speech this summer, Barak declared, “Over the next decade we will receive somewhere between $7-10 billion less than what we could’ve secured a year ago.”  Similarly, upon exiting his position as defense minister this spring, Moshe Yaalon said that Washington was offering “more” MOU money in 2015, though he did not give details.  Other Israeli sources agree with these characterizations, insisting that multiple U.S. officials were willing to offer an additional $700 million per year if Israel had struck the MOU deal in 2015.  For their part, U.S. officials say that no commitments were offered last year.

Wrapping Up The MOU

Both Netanyahu and Obama had an interest in concluding the MOU talks now rather than later.  For Netanyahu, who will be speaking at the UN General Assembly in New York next week, signing the MOU offers some respite from Israeli media stories questioning the vitality of the bilateral relationship.  The day after, pro-Netanyahu newspaper Israel Hayom ran a banner headline trumpeting the figure “$38,000,000,000.”  More broadly, he seems to understand that a long-term MOU signed by President Obama would enhance the perception that the relationship is bipartisan, defusing complaints that Netanyahu leaned toward the Republicans in the 2012 election, among other controversial incidents.  He may also believe that locking in the MOU now is an insurance policy in the event that Donald Trump comes to power, since some believe that would introduce a measure of unpredictability to the relationship.

For Obama, signing the MOU reinforces his long-held view that support for Israeli security should be kept separate from any policy disagreements he might have with Jerusalem on other issues.  The move also enables him to shore up the pro-Israel wing of the Democratic Party before the upcoming elections.

Some will no doubt speculate about whether the MOU gives Obama greater domestic political leeway to press for peace-related moves that Israelis or Palestinians oppose.  Yet like Obama himself, the people will likely distinguish between Israel’s long-term security needs and the diplomatic specifics of any peace initiatives he proposes.  Whatever the case, while it is easy to get lost in the new MOU’s particulars, the overall message is one of strong, long-term U.S. support for Israel at a time of massive regional turbulence.

David Makovsky is the Ziegler Distinguished Fellow and director of the Project on the Middle East Peace Process at The Washington Institute.  (TWI 15.09)

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11.3  LEBANON:  Lebanon’s Waste Management Policies One Year after the 2015 Crisis

Jad Chaaban posted in Jadaliyya on 6 September that the foul odors of waste profiteering, corruption, and the illegal grab of public funds are back in the public eye.  Not that they ever disappeared, really.  One year after the onset of Lebanon’s waste crisis, the ruling junta is still trying to push unsustainable and overly expensive waste management plans, which only benefit the ruling political parties and their cronies.

Before the 2015 Protests

The situation can be summarized by the following: Lebanon produces an estimated 5,000 tons of municipal solid waste each day.  Until last year, one company, Sukleen (Averda), managed waste collection and treatment comprising about fifty percent of this total, specifically in the areas of Greater Beirut, Mount Lebanon and Keserwan, covering about four hundred municipalities.  Sukleen, which has been operating since 1994 under a contract with the Council of Development and Reconstruction (CDR), has seen its contract renewed without an open tender by the Council of Ministers (in which most ruling parties are represented).  This has occurred three times, and each time the collection and processing fees have increased, all paid using transfers from the Independent Municipal Fund.  The operation started with 800 tons per day in 1994, and grew to 2,600 tons per day in 2015, all dumped with minimal sorting and recycling in the Naameh landfill, which had already reached its absorptive capacity ten years ago.  Sukleen’s revenues were estimated at more than $170 million per year (about $150/ton), one of the highest rates in the world. Many suspected that a sizeable chunk of these revenues were channeled through kickbacks to political leaders to ensure “smooth operations.”

Since the 2015 Protests

With the closing of Naameh by protesters in early 2015, the government made a series of so-called waste management decisions – all coordinated by the CDR in collaboration with the Ministry of Interior and Municipalities and Ministry of Environment.  At the beginning of 2015, the government decided to divide the country into six regions (and therefore Sukleen’s “region” into three).  It invited bids for waste management in each region.  In April 2015, the bidding period ended unsurprisingly without any bids Beirut and Mount Lebanon.  Only one bid per region was received for the North, Bekaa and South.

Following massive protests in the summer of 2015, the government cancelled the bids and decided in November 2015 to export waste, again through plans managed by the CDR.  The overly expensive and disastrous scheme faced opposition from a range of activists, especially when details about corruption and falsification of documents emerged by the retained company, Shinook.  By early 2016, the export plan was dropped.

In March 2016, the Chehayyeb Plan (named after Minister Akram Chehayyeb) was approved by the Council of Ministers.  Briefly, the four-year plan re-opened the call for bidding through the CDR for companies to manage waste in “Sukleen regions.”  Yet it also entailed the construction of two coastal landfills in Burj Hammoud (a northern Beirut suburb) and Costa Brava (a southern Beirut suburb, near the capital’s airport).  The municipalities surrounding the new landfills received sizeable monetary incentives: $40 million each (municipalities of Bourj Hammoud, Jdeideh-Bouchrieh, Burj al-Barajneh, and Choueifat); $50 million for the three regions for developmental projects over four years; and the right for these municipalities to exploit the coastal landfilled areas.  The regions of Aley and Chouf were excluded from the initial plan since no landfill was secured there (and trash has been piling up ever since in these regions).  The CDR immediately began launching calls for tenders for all components of this new plan.  The Burj Hammoud landfill contract was awarded in June 2016 for $77 million.  The Costa Brava landfill contract was awarded in July 2016 to the Jihad Al Arab company for $60 million (Jihad Al Arab was allowed to present a lower bid even after his first one was dismissed).  On 2 September 2016, a bid by Jihad Al Arab was also retained by the CDR for the sorting and treatment of waste in all “Sukleen regions,” at a cost of $81 million over four years.  The collection and waste transport contract will remain with Sukleen until the bidding process is formally launched.

All in all, one year after the first street protests succeeded in countering the government’s corrupt plans, we now have a “Chehayeb Plan” that costs $528 million over four years, not counting the money wasted on short fixes in Naameh in 2016 (almost $10 million), and other funds spent on “consultants.”  A simple calculation shows that the cost per ton of this corrupt plan is well over $130 million per year, which is about $170 per ton if one includes the collection and transport costs.  This is $20 per ton more than what Lebanon used to pay for Sukleen.  Additionally, one must consider the cost of environmental degradation to the coastline due to new landfills and the health and safety risks they create (most importantly on flights through the airport), among other factors.

The corrupt ruling class, by reverting back to a costly centralized waste management plan through the CDR, has continued its rent redistribution practices to secure allegiances among their cronies.  What Sukleen was suspected of practicing under the table is now overtly implemented through the “Chehayeb Plan,” with hefty “compensation payments” and real estate gains for municipalities (and to the political parties controlling them).  Similar to what happened in the electricity, water, and other essential sectors, the ruling class continues to divide up the “cake,” while citizens and the next generations pay the highest price.

What a Solution Might Look Like

In light of widespread corruption and the lack of transparency, the role of oversight bodies (such as the largely absent Court of Accounts) and the parliament has not been capitalized on in order to address the citizenry’s interests.  It is particularly odd, and (some would argue) worrying, that MPs have not called for a session to question the government on how the trash crisis managed to reach this stage.  For their part, political parties have also failed their constituents, as they have continually refused to work toward a solution that is both sustainable for the country as a whole and in the best interests of the people they represent.

The only solution to counter these schemes is the decentralization of waste management, where every municipality implements sorting at the source, and commits to waste reduction, recycling, and treatment of organic waste into compost.  This yields the lowest environmental and financial costs, and reduces the size of the “cake”.  In parallel, the institutions of this ruling cartel should be at least bypassed, if not completely dismantled.  A matter of particular importance is reforming the CDR to ensure there is an accountable procurement system in place.

Also, as part of the solution, Lebanon must take additional steps in conjunction with institutional decentralization by embracing a strong role for oversight agencies and the parliament.  Without these measures, the crisis will threaten to drag on, and in the event a “solution” is found without necessary oversight, the powers that be have demonstrated their preferred course of action will not be sustainable, apart from ensuring state money lands in the hands of Lebanon’s corrupt elite.  (Jadaliyya 06.09)

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11.4  IRAQ:  Fitch Affirms Iraq at ‘B-‘; Outlook Negative

Fitch Ratings on 13 September affirmed Iraq’s Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at ‘B-‘ with a Negative Outlook.  The Country Ceiling is affirmed at ‘B-‘ and the Short-Term IDR at ‘B’.

Key Rating Drivers

Political risk and insecurity in Iraq are among the highest faced by any sovereign rated by Fitch. Progress has been made in pushing back the Islamic State (IS), but the military campaign brings in its wake major reconstruction and humanitarian challenges. Sectarian and ethnic tensions continue to undermine political stability, relations with the Kurdish Regional Government are volatile and Iraq scores the worst of all Fitch-rated sovereigns on the composite World Bank governance indicator. This reflects not only insecurity and political instability but also corruption, government ineffectiveness and weak institutions.

The bulk of oil production facilities and export infrastructure are located away from areas of insecurity.  After expanding strongly in 2015, oil output in the south has stabilized so far in 2016 at 3.5m b/d on average, given lower budgeted government payments to international oil companies, which has constrained investment.  Including output from the north, which incorporates Kurdish fields, total oil production totaled 4.6m b/d in July, according to the Ministry of Oil.  Given low oil prices we expect the government to budget a similar amount for oil investment in 2017 and we forecast oil production and exports (at 3.3m b/d) to plateau.

Lower oil prices are driving significant deterioration in Iraq’s financial position. Commodity dependence is among the highest of all Fitch-rated sovereigns.  Oil accounts for more than 50% of GDP and over 90% of fiscal and current external receipts.  The budget deficit in 2015 ballooned to IQD26.4trn ($22.3b) or 13.9% of GDP.  This was financed by a mixture of T-bill issuance to banks refinanced to a large degree by the CBI (indirect monetary financing), accumulation of domestic and external arrears and multilateral financing.

Iraq and the IMF agreed a stand-by arrangement (SBA) in July 2016, which entails $5.34b of funding over three years.  The funding is front-loaded, providing $1.9b between July and end-2016. Performance criteria under the SBA seem broadly realistic, but implementing earmarked structural reforms is likely to prove more difficult.  Risks attached to the program are high, but the Iraqi government has a strong incentive to adhere to the SBA.

In 2016 the IMF programs for a deficit of IQD26trn ($22b) for Iraq.  The majority of financing, $17b, will come from T-bills and bonds, $10.7b of which will be refinanced by the CBI and $4b is from government deposits in the banks.  The banking sector itself is not strong enough to be a source of much financing. External financing from the IMF, World Bank, US loans and other bilateral loans will make up most of the remainder.

Government debt is rising sharply on the back of these deficits and we forecast it will average 73% of GDP in 2015-17.  However, this includes $41b of debt lent to Iraq by GCC countries during the 1980-1988 Iran-Iraq war, which the authorities do not face any pressure to repay or service.  If this debt were restructured on the same terms as Paris Club debt was restructured, government debt/GDP would average 52% in 2015-17, closer to the ‘B’ median of 41%.

International reserves are declining, but remain large and support Iraq’s currency peg.  Fitch forecasts an average current account deficit of close to 9% of GDP in 2016-17 because of low oil prices.  This will contribute to further declines in international reserves, which we project to slip to $45b this year and $41b at end-2017 from $54b at end-2015.  This would still equate to almost eight months of current external payments (CXP) in 2017.  We assume the authorities will maintain the dinar’s peg to the US dollar, although this could come under pressure.

The banking sector is under-developed and fundamentally weak.  Private sector credit to GDP is one of the lowest of any Fitch-rated sovereign.  The two large state-owned banks Al-Rafidain and Al-Rasheed, which have high non-performing loans and exceptionally low capital adequacy, dominate the sector.  There has been no progress in restructuring these banks, although the government has appointed auditors as required by the IMF. Fitch assumes that restructuring will require recapitalization by the government.

Rating Sensitivities

The main factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a downgrade are:

-Evidence of stress in financing fiscal shortfalls.

-Further deterioration in the country’s security, particularly if insecurity spreads to new geographical areas or hinders oil production or exports.

The main factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to positive rating action are:

-A sustained period of oil prices higher than our current forecasts, particularly if combined with higher oil production and exports and leading to an improvement in Iraq’s public and external finances.

-A fundamental improvement in the country’s security that allows for stronger non-oil economic development.

Key Assumptions

Fitch forecasts Brent crude to average $42/b in 2016, $45/b in 2017 and $55/b in 2018. We assume that Iraqi oil sells at a consistent discount to Brent.  Fitch forecasts Iraqi oil exports (excluding exports from the Kurdish region) to average 3.3m b/d in 2016-17.  Fitch does not incorporate into its fiscal numbers an oil-sharing agreement between the central government and the Kurdish Regional Government, given the patchy track record for implementing this agreement.  (Fitch 13.09)

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11.5  QATAR:  Fitch Affirms Qatar at ‘AA’; Outlook Stable

Fitch Ratings on 02 September affirmed Qatar’s Long-Term Foreign- and Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at ‘AA’ with a Stable Outlook.  The issue ratings on Qatar’s senior unsecured foreign-currency bonds are also affirmed at ‘AA’.  The Country Ceiling is affirmed at ‘AA+’, and the Short-Term Foreign- and Local-Currency IDRs at ‘F1+’.

Key Rating Drivers

The ‘AA’ ratings reflect the large sovereign assets (sufficient to finance more than 20 years of present budget deficits) of Qatar, along with its fiscal adjustment efforts, a large hydrocarbon endowment and one of the world’s highest ratios of GDP per capita.  Qatar’s hydrocarbon dependence is a key rating weakness, with oil and gas extraction averaging 50% of GDP and 80% of external receipts and government revenue.  Other weaknesses include a government debt level above those of rated peers, and mediocre scores on the World Bank’s measures of governance and the business environment (both below the 70th%ile).

The fall in oil and gas prices has resulted in sharply lower government revenues, but a fiscal adjustment is under way.  Under our baseline oil price assumptions, we expect a fiscal deficit of 4.3% of GDP in 2016, including the estimated income of the Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) of around 5% of GDP (which the government does not report or include in the budget).  We expect general government revenues to fall 36% to QAR176b in 2016, after decreasing 23% in 2015.  We forecast expenditure to fall 20% to QAR202b in 2016, mainly on the back of consolidation of current spending.  Non-oil revenue measures and some further recovery of oil prices should bring the budget back to surplus in 2017.

Current spending was down 20% yoy in H1/16, amounting to 45% of the full-year budget for current expenditure.  We assume that full-year spending will be close to budgeted amounts, with risks tilted towards overspending given the size of the planned adjustment.  The decline in current spending reflects, among other measures, a public sector wage freeze, lay-offs of expatriate workers, reductions in fuel and utility price subsidies, and general restraint on expenses in the public sector (e.g., travel or office expenses).  Current spending was first cut in 2014, as fiscal reforms were initiated well before the dramatic souring of the energy price outlook.

Over the past six months, the government has undergone a major effort to re-evaluate its capital spending program, which had included projects worth a total of QAR350b (close to $100b or 60% of estimated 2016 GDP) for the period between 2016 and 2022.  A committee set up by the Minister of Finance has scaled back and optimized projects so as to yield expected savings of QAR65b over the period.  Of these savings QAR28b will be realized in 2016-2018 and are taken into account in our capital spending forecasts.  The committee is still reviewing projects to the value of QAR88b, and we expect the process to be completed by early next year.

The authorities are financing deficits by issuing debt instead of drawing on assets held by the QIA.  The government of Qatar made its debut on the Eurobond market by issuing $9b of five-, 10-, and 30-year bonds in May 2016 with strong demand from investors.  This follows a $5.5b loan syndication in late 2015.  We assume that local debt will be issued to cover existing local maturities, and that foreign debt will be used to cover any remaining financing needs.  This would imply more domestic issuance in 2016 and 2017, and additional external issuance of around $5b in 2017.  We expect QIA assets, which are not officially disclosed, to rise to an estimated $338b (209% of GDP) in 2016 from $318b (193% of GDP) in 2015.

Banks have continued to provide net funding to the public sector, but, in a time of sluggish domestic deposit growth, liquidity has deteriorated.  Loan/deposit ratios in commercial banks have continued to trend upwards in H1/16 with the ratio of total domestic loans to deposits (LDR) reaching 132% in May.

However, banks were able to fund themselves abroad through market placements and non-resident deposits; as a result, bank net foreign assets declined by QAR87b ($24b) in H1/16.  LDRs and interbank rates receded in June and commercial bank balances with the central bank rose.  The LDR including foreign loans and deposits, which is closer to the central bank’s preferred definition, reached 118% in May.

High but falling government capital spending will not be able to contribute further to GDP growth.  Instead, non-hydrocarbon growth will come from private investments on the back of government projects, and from accompanying growth in the services sectors (trade, financial intermediation, and real estate).  We expect overall real GDP growth of 3.4% in 2016, after 3.6% in 2015.  In our forecast, non-oil growth drops to 6% in 2016 after 8.6% in 2015 and continues to slow in 2017 and 2018.

Hydrocarbon GDP will grow 1% in 2016 and 2% in 2017 after contracting by 0.5% in 2015.  The Barzan development should come on stream in 2016 and will add 1.4 billion scft/d (8% increase) of production of gas for local use when it reaches full capacity, on top of additional production of LPG and condensates.  The Ras Laffan II refinery should be completed by 3Q16 and will add 146,000 bbl/day of capacity for petroleum products (also a 8% increase).  Oil field redevelopments could positively affect hydrocarbon production after 2018.

The outlook for gas prices has weakened in line with that of oil prices.  Prices of liquefied natural gas, Qatar’s main export, will also be under pressure from additional global capacity coming on stream at a time of weak demand growth.  Qatar is protected from the worst effects of the glut by the most of its contracts to supply gas to customers being long-term and based on a certain percentage of moving average oil prices.  However, recent experience shows that customers may seek to renegotiate these contracts.

Rating Sensitivities

The main factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a negative rating action are:

– Sustained weakness in hydrocarbon revenues and a failure to scale back expenditure, eroding fiscal and external positions.

– A materialization of large contingent liabilities, such as from government-related enterprises or the banking sector, resulting in a rapid draw-down of sovereign assets or build-up of debt.

The main factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to positive rating action are:

– Improvement in structural factors such as reduction in oil dependence, and a strengthening in governance, the business environment and the economic policy framework.

Key Assumptions

Fitch assumes that Brent crude will average $42/bbl in 2016, $45/bbl in 2017 and $55/bbl in 2018.

Fitch assumes natural gas prices will evolve broadly in line with oil prices.

Fitch assumes that regional geopolitical conflicts will not impact directly on Qatar or on its ability to trade and that the domestic political scene will remain stable.  (Fitch 02.09)

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11.6  SAUDI ARABIA:  Saudi Arabia’s Struggle for Sunni Leadership

Hala Al-Dosari wrote on 7 September that recent changes to Saudi religious institutions are not a sign of wider reform but an indication of the struggle to redefine Saudi Arabia’s religious character.

Saudi Arabia’s decision to limit the authority of the Committee for the Promotion of Virtue and the Prevention of Vice (CPVPV) – barring it from chasing, arresting or interrogating suspects – was positively welcomed by commentators as an attempt “to respond to [public] grievances.”  In response to gross violations committed by members of CPVPV, locals have called repeatedly to reform the institution, for example suggesting checking its authority by developing a protocol to describe the specific public offenses that are considered vices.  Though there have been small-scale reforms in the last few years, such as asking members of CPVPV to wear badges and refrain from verbal or physical violence, no serious reforms had been enacted.  Even the April decision only revoked the publicly visible roles of CPVPV while maintaining its role of public surveillance, including online surveillance.  Calls for reforming the institution are drowned by the evident political need to keep this vast and pervasive institution functional.

The timing of this reform was synchronized with the release of the National Transformation Plan 2020 (NTP), which advances Saudi Vision 2030.  The grand plan, released in April 2016, aims to increase non-oil based revenues, grow the private sector, and promote tourism and foreign investment.  In part, the reforms were meant to address any concerns about CPVPV public arrests by the CPVPV impacting foreign businesses’ decisions to be based in Saudi Arabia, but it also points to the bigger issue of the kingdom’s attempts to rethink and reform its Islamic identity into a more moderate, tolerant one.  This could be needed partly to foster a safe and inviting local environment for foreign investors, but more importantly to distance the Saudi version of Islam from any resemblance to that of Islamist insurgencies, which are constantly competing with the Saudi state over whose vision of an Islamic state is more “authentic.”

The intent and scope of religious reforms in Saudi Arabia have often been enigmatic; they can never be easily evaluated as long as religion remains a political tool for changing ends.  To reassure its Western allies in the post-9/11 era, the kingdom initiated a series of religious reforms between 2003 and 2006.  These included developing a national counterterrorism program to target religious extremists, funded by millions of dollars from the United Nations; establishing an interfaith international dialogue center, a local national dialogue center, a co-ed higher educational facility, and a national anti-terrorism counseling center; and including scholars of other Sunni schools of thought in the Hanbali-dominated Council of Senior Scholars.  An informal agreement between top U.S. and Saudi officials to reform religious educational textbooks in 2005 also ascribed the authority to declare jihad only to the king, based on his role as the custodian of the two holy mosques.  The king is portrayed as the legitimate leader of the state, and those who defy his orders – whether by protesting or publically expressing dissent – are sinful.  Though these textbook changes also included some references to Islam as a religion of peace to all mankind, elements of historical intolerance to Jews and Christians as well as certain Islamic sects or schools of thought can still be found, according to a 2013 U.S. State Department study.

However, reforms to ensure genuine religious freedom and practice, even if relative, have not been substantial enough.  A set of laws and decrees were enacted in 2014 to protect the prerogative of the king and the supreme scholars to monopolize religion.  For instance, the anti-terror law of 31 January 2014 considers atheism an act of terror.  Royal decree 44, issued on 3 February 2014, criminalizes having a religious affiliation to certain groups – such as the Houthis and the Muslim Brotherhood, as well as al-Qaeda and other Islamist insurgencies – or promoting “atheistic ideologies” and casting “doubt on the fundamentals of Islam” (which, naturally, are to be defined by the Saudi authorities).  In addition, the religiously based legal system started to use the new laws to sentence individuals for posting critical or controversial views of Islam online.  For instance, the court statement issued against journalist Alaa Brinji cited tweets in which he supported the “women to drive” campaign and the release of political prisoners as evidence he deviated from the state’s religious approach and ridiculed its religious scholars.  Such laws became the way the state enforces its definition of religion and secures its dominance.  Politically unwanted groups or individuals are actively rooted out either as deviants or religious extremists, and the state has the sole authority over religion.

Saudi Arabia’s attempts to counter Iranian regional influence have also intensified the competition over religious domination.  In August, a league of over one hundred Yemeni Sunni scholars convened in Riyadh under the patronage of the Saudi Ministry of Islamic Affairs and issued an agreement on Islamic ethics that aimed to cut Iranian access to Yemen through its associated religious and ideological schools of thought.  Sheikh Abulhassan Mustafa al-Sulayman, the head of the drafting committee, further declared that because elements of the agreement are inspired by the Quran and Sunnah, it was mandatory for Yemeni Islamic scholars to sign it.  He added that the agreement, though aimed to be inclusive, is not intended in any way to mend bridges with rafida, a term often used by Salafists to denounce Shia, because they are “bloody, exclusionary, enemies of security and stability who corrupt any country, in addition to their deviance from Sunni doctrine and their dark, black history with Sunnis, Muslim countries and all Muslims.”  He declared that all Muslims, including Sufis and Zaidis, the Houthis’ religious affiliation, are welcome to sign the charter, clearly leaving the door slightly open for Houthis to join the pact as “repentant” subordinates under Sunni patronage.

As Saudi Arabia tries to redefine its Salafi religious narrative according to its political needs, other countries, weary of Salafis’ growing influence, seem to counter those efforts.  A recent conference held 25-26 August in Grozny, Chechnya, aimed to redefine “Who are Ahl al-Sunnah wal-Jamaah?” (the Sunni people).  The UAE-based Tabah foundation, which organized the conference, described it as a necessary effort at a time when there are “attempts to hijack the designation ‘Ahl al-Sunnah wal-Jamaah’ by groups of Kharijites, renegades, and abusers of Sharia, who are exploiting their faulty practices to tarnish the image of Islam.”  More than two hundred Islamic scholars of various Sunni schools of thought participated, including Ali Gomaa, the previous Grand Mufti of al-Azhar.  Their concluding remarks included all self-identifying Sunni groups in their definition except the Salafis and, by extension, the Wahhabis, the dominant religious group of Saudi Arabia.  The statement indirectly criticized Saudi Salafism for sectarian violence and religious intolerance in excluding the Sunni groups that are not in accordance with state Salafism.  As expected, a torrent of condemnation followed from Saudi Arabia’s supreme scholars, as well as Salafis, the Muslim Brotherhood, and Al-Azhar, for what they perceived as Russian meddling in regional politics via religion, Egyptian scholars’ betrayal of their Saudi funders and the implied condemnation of Salafis as Kharijites, or deviants.

Saudi Arabia has based its 2030 vision in its historical position as the birthplace of Islam and therefore as a perceived leader of the Sunni Islamic world.  Decades of investment in religious institutions and constituencies, both local and international, heavily influenced and enforced that identity. It is unlikely that a deeper religious reform will take place if it contradicts Saudi Arabia’s envisioned Sunni leadership role, particularly while the regional sectarian divide continues to fuel the kingdom’s political ambitions. Piecemeal religious reforms will be the most likely approach to neutralize temporary political threats, develop a business-friendly environment, and rebrand the decades-long religious identity of the state.

Ms. Hala Al-Dosari is a Saudi writer and a visiting scholar at the Arab Gulf Institute in Washington.  (Sada 07.09)

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11.7  SAUDI ARABIA:  Fitch Affirms Saudi Arabia at ‘AA-‘; Outlook Negative

Fitch Ratings affirmed on 1 September that Saudi Arabia’s Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at ‘AA-‘ with Negative Outlooks.  The Short-Term Foreign and Local Currency IDRs have been affirmed at ‘F1+’ and the Country Ceiling at ‘AA+’.

Key Rating Drivers

The Long-Term IDRs of ‘AA-‘ reflects the following key rating drivers:

The government’s balance sheet remains an important support for the ratings although it has continued to weaken as a result of lower international oil prices.  During the first seven months of 2016, overall government deposits at the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA) have declined SAR92b to SAR1,070b or around 46% of GDP.  Government bonds held by commercial banks increased SAR81b as a result of increased debt issuance.  The government also took on an international syndicated loan of $10b in May and is expected to issue its debut Eurobond later in 2016.  As a result, general government debt is likely to rise to 14.7% of GDP by end-2016, from just 1.6% in 2014 but still well below the ‘AA’-category median of 38.7%.

We expect the balance sheet to weaken further as the general government deficit, while shrinking from the peak of 13.8% of GDP in 2015, is forecast to remain high in 2016 and 2017, at 11.2% and 6.8% respectively, before falling to 2.4% in 2018.  The improvement of the deficit will primarily be the result of rising oil prices, but the government’s National Transformation Program (NTP), presented in June, will also have an important impact.

The NTP contains ambitious fiscal targets, including an increase in non-oil government revenues to SAR530b in 2020 (an increase by 15% – 20% of non-oil GDP) from SAR163b in 2015, a reduction in public payroll expenditure, a decrease in annual water and energy subsidies by SAR200b by 2020 and a reduction in expenditure on public sector salaries and wages to SAR456b from SAR480b.  An objective is to contain public debt to below 30% of GDP by 2020.

The economic impact of such a fiscal tightening would be so severe that in Fitch’s view the fiscal objectives will probably have to be scaled down. In addition, the broad range of other social and economic objectives and the complexity of implementation may overwhelm the administrative capacity of the government.  However, the government has already re-prioritized investment spending, cancelling some projects, and raised visa fees.  It will raise ‘vice taxes’ on energy drinks, soda drinks and tobacco and is committed to introducing a value-added tax at a rate of 5% by 2018.

The NTP includes the goal of substantial privatization, although the time line and details are still highly uncertain.  The Chairman of the Council for Economic and Development Affairs, Deputy Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman, indicated that up to 5% of Saudi Aramco would be sold in an IPO.  While this could raise some $100b, obstacles in terms of transparency, depth of local markets and reservations about governance remain large, so that privatization receipts are not included in our forecasts although they could help contain the rise in public debt.

Lower oil prices caused a sharp deterioration of the current account balance, to a deficit 8.3% of GDP and the deficit will remain broadly unchanged in 2016 but then should narrow to 5.8% in 2017 and 0.7% in 2018 on the back of higher oil prices and weakening import demand.  Sovereign net foreign assets will decline to 74.5% of GDP in 2018 from a peak of 113% in 2015.

Fiscal consolidation is likely to be the driver behind the expected slowdown in GDP growth to 0.9% in 2016, from 3.5% in 2015, with only a modest recovery to 1.1% in 2017 and 1.6% in 2018.  GDP growth is supported by a continued expansion in oil production, reaching a record high of 10.7m b/d in July, but non-oil GDP will contract as a result of fiscal consolidation measures, particularly as government investment in infrastructure has been scaled back.

The scaling down of infrastructure spending, combined with payment delays, has hit the construction sector hard, and the government may decide to bail out some of the large contractors.  The government hopes that bringing in private-sector participation in infrastructure development will help to provide some support but this is unlikely to be sufficient and will take time.

With a Fitch banking system indicator at ‘a’, weaker only than Australia, Canada and Singapore and unusually strong for emerging markets, banks have proved resilient despite the weakening macroeconomic environment.  Domestic liquidity has tightened as deposits in the banking sector have declined while credit to the private sector, while decelerating, is still growing and claims on the public sector are growing rapidly from a low level.  As a result, the loan-to-deposit ratio has reached 91% in July, slightly above the regulatory ceiling of 90% and the highest level on record.

The slowdown in private sector lending will lead to deterioration in asset quality, but non-performing loans as a share of total gross loans, at 1.2% in July, are still close to the record low, and the capital adequacy ratio, at 18% in July, is high suggesting sufficient buffer against a rise in non-performing loans.

Given its exposed position in a volatile region, geopolitical risks are high relative to ‘AA’ category peers. Tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran persist and Saudi Arabia, together with its coalition partners, is fighting a war against Houthi rebels in Yemen, with no clear prospect of an end to the fighting. There are also sporadic terrorist attacks.

Given the high share of young people in the population, the labor force is growing rapidly and the economy will struggle to absorb this growth.  This, and the fiscal consolidation measures, may lead to rising disaffection, but widespread domestic unrest is unlikely.  While the line of succession has been clearly defined, tensions within the royal family could still be a cause for instability.  While income per capita measures are high, other structural indicators, such the World Bank indicators for governance and the business climate are both well below the medians for both ‘AA’ and ‘A’ rated peers.

Rating Sensitivities

The following factors, individually or collectively, could trigger a downgrade:

– Continued erosion of fiscal or external positions.

– A slower-than-expected narrowing in the fiscal deficit, for example as a result of a failure to implement fiscal reforms or due to a renewed fall in oil prices.

– Spillover from regional conflicts or a domestic political shock that threatens stability or affects key economic activities.

As the Outlook is Negative, Fitch does not anticipate developments with a high likelihood of triggering an upgrade. However, the following factors, individually or collectively, could lead to a revision of the Outlook to Stable:

– Fiscal consolidation sufficient to stem the depletion of fiscal and external buffers and put the budget on a path to a surplus.

– A sustained period of higher oil prices.

Key Assumptions

Fitch forecasts Brent crude oil prices to average $42/b in 2016, $45/b in 2017 and $55/b in 2018.  (Fitch 01.09)

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11.8  EGYPT:  Egypt’s Divorced Women Demand Their Fair Share of Assets

Ahmed Hidji posted on 18 September in Al-Monitor that while divorced women in Egypt face significant financial difficulties, some have argued that proposed changes to laws violate Islamic law.

For more than two years, Sabah, an Egyptian woman in her 40s, has been trying to obtain proof of her ex-husband’s monthly income so the Family Court in Giza governorate will require him to provide her a monthly payment that ensures a decent standard of living for their three daughters.  Sabah, who didn’t want her last name published, said that her ex-husband divorced her several years ago and married another woman because he wanted to have sons.

She told Al-Monitor her husband is a state employee with the Ministry of Education for which he receives a monthly salary of 1,700 Egyptian pounds ($191), but he also has been involved in trade ventures for 16 years that bring in more than 20,000 pounds ($2,252) a month.  Sabah told Al-Monitor that she can’t obtain proof of his full monthly income, because he never registered his trade activities with the commercial registry.  She fears that, if the courts rely only on his state salary, her monthly alimony will only amount to around 850 pounds ($96) — an amount she says is much too low to provide a decent life for her girls.

Sabah, like thousands of other divorced women in Egypt, faces significant difficulties due to the Personal Status Law, which requires divorced women wait at least one year from the date of filing for alimony to receive payment.  In addition, the court’s procedures to determine the husband’s income often take a long time, and women frequently complain that the court relies on an income less than the actual amount due to efforts by the husband to hide his true earnings.

According to Article 76 of Egypt’s Personal Status Law, a divorced woman shall receive 25% of her husband’s monthly income in alimony if they have no children.  If they have one or two children, this rises to 40%, and if they have more than two, it is 50%.

Earlier this year, the Center for Egyptian Women’s Legal Assistance (CEWLA) proposed an amendment to the Personal Status Law that involved a husband and wife splitting assets after the divorce, defining their holdings as “joint wealth.”  As part of this proposal, a divorced woman could choose to either receive a monthly payment from her husband or take part of his share of the split assets.

CEWLA Director Azza Soliman told Al-Monitor that Egyptian family matters are still regulated by laws from 1920 that, in her view, are unfair to all, including men.  She stressed that adopting the principle of “joint wealth” is necessary, after woman have been faced with no source of income when years’ long marriages come to an end.

Soliman said that the proposal involves wealth acquired by the husband or wife during the marriage and not assets held by either prior.  She noted that in the case of homemakers, it allows for the wife to be compensated for housework that allowed her husband to work and make money.  However, if the proposal is ratified, a divorced woman will be able to request division of death or her standard rights under Islamic law, not both.  Soliman noted that she has dealt with cases where women are enduring difficult marriages and fear filing for divorce, since they know it could take years to receive a ruling for alimony.

Amina Naseer, a professor of religion at Al-Azhar University and a member of parliament, said that a housewife could be entitled to a share of wealth acquired by the husband over many years, since her role at home allowed the spouse to work and kept him from being occupied with family matters.

“The [proposal] does not violate Islamic law,” Nasser told Al-Monitor, noting that if a divorced woman is not compensated for unpaid housework this would violate the Islamic law principle of “there should be neither harming nor reciprocating harm.”  Nasser pointed to a Quranic verse on divorce — “either keep [her] in an acceptable manner or release [her] with good treatment” — as evidence that splitting joint wealth was the fair thing to do.  She said that the proposal ensures divorced women will not become homeless after leaving the marital home.

Naseer said the proposal would only apply in cases where the wife is a homemaker, not if she is employed elsewhere and receiving a salary.  She said she supports the proposal and will defend it if brought before parliament.

On the other hand, Ahmed Karima, a professor of Islamic jurisprudence at Al-Azhar University, said the law is blindly imitating Western societies.  Speaking to Al-Monitor, he said that a proper marriage contract in Islam specifies the woman’s rights, including the right to have custody of the children and obliging the father to support them.  Karima said that, in an Islamic marriage contract, the husband must provide for his ex-wife throughout the iddah — a period of waiting a woman must observe before remarrying after divorce — and he must provide for the children until they are adults.

Karima said Islamic law is clear in this regard and there is no room for interpretation or adjustment.  According to him, the current Personal Status Law safeguards family bonds.

He expressed his view that demands to divide assets between the husband and wife reflect a lack of awareness of Islamic law on the part of those making the proposal.  Karima claimed the law would eliminate the “family-friendly nature” of Middle Eastern society, transforming Egyptian family life into a materialistic replica of Western families.  He predicted that many men will resort to informal urfi marriage if the proposed change becomes law.

While Soliman stressed that she has respect for all the schools of Islamic jurisprudence, she said they do not fully align with the numerous changes witnessed recently in Egyptian society.  “When these schools were formulated, women didn’t suffer as much as they do today,” she said.

“Those who oppose the proposed changes, claiming they violate Islamic law, have their heads lost in [religious books],” Soliman added, stressing that religious men must realize society has changed, pointing out that there are now women who work outside the home and serve as breadwinners for the family, men who abandon their families without providing support and women who face ongoing domestic violence because they have nowhere to go if they leave their husbands.  She called on the religious institutions in Egypt to develop solutions to these pressing social problems before they start talking about violations of Islamic law.

Soliman stressed that a family based on clear rights and obligations for both husband and wife is the basis for a stable society, adding that the marriage system in Egypt not only needs a modification of laws but also a modification of societal understandings.  In her view, this proposal is merely a step to treat diseases afflicting family life in Egypt.  (Al-Monitor 18.09)

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11.9  MOROCCO:  Populist Limits to Subsidy Reforms in Morocco

Idriss Jebari posted in Sada on 13 September that despite Morocco’s apparent success in cutting energy subsidies, the government is likely to face difficulties doing the same with staple goods.

Earlier this year, several international observers lauded Morocco for having successfully cut all subsidies on fuel in 2015, managing to make sizeable financial savings without igniting any social conflagration.  This decision was taken in 2008 under the previous government and in response to the historically high oil-prices (around $100 a barrel) that were making it more costly for Morocco to meet its energy needs, 90% of which rely on imports.  The country’s subsidy regime, also known as “compensation system,” adjusts prices at the source, meaning the state pays for the difference between international commodity market prices and agreed domestic prices before they reach consumers.  During those unusually high-oil-price years, subsidies used 6.6% of the state budget in 2012 and contributed significantly to the country’s annual budget deficits.

The first stage of the government’s subsidy-cutting program on fuel began in 2012 and reached its first major landmark in 2015, despite early concerns of the public’s reaction and initial threats of industrial action from the transport industry federations in 2013.  Several factors contributed to the relatively uneventful transition.  First, the government proceeded cautiously by gradually decreasing subsidies once every year.  Second, it carried out public awareness campaigns, vowing to set up special measures for economic actors.  The Islamist Prime Minister Abdelilah Benkirane has repeatedly spoken for these cuts and their necessity.  Finally, and some would argue more fundamentally, the authorities enjoyed a favorable stroke of luck: low oil prices on the international market.  Ordinary consumers barely felt a hit, nor did the economy (despite the state planning for a shrinking economy) and the only complaints were anecdotal.

The Moroccan Ministry of Finance released an important report in July assessing the “compensation reform” and outlining its financial benefits.  First, the government managed to reduce its spending on subsidies from 56.6 billion dirhams ($5.8 billion) in 2012 to 32.7 billion dirhams ($3.4 billion) in 2014 and saved a further 12.25 billion dirhams in 2015.  As a measure of comparison, the 2012 compensation charge represents 106% of the state’s investment budget or 56% of its payroll.  This reform also allowed Morocco to improve its image among its international economic partners, including financial institutions and creditors; in fact, on July 22 the IMF board approved a $3.47 billion loan under the “precautionary and liquidity line,” a formula reserved to support “member countries with sound economic fundamentals and strong records of policy implementation but with some remaining vulnerabilities.”  Finally, the Moroccan government took proactive steps toward future energy challenges by shifting its focus from fossil fuel to renewable energies, especially following the Noor solar plant launch in February 2016.  When fully operational, the plant will allow Morocco to satisfy 30% of its energy requirements, reducing its dependency on oil imports and satisfying the increasing demands of its growing industrial ambitions.

Despite these positive aspects, this subsidy reform on energy steered clear of butane gas subsidies, a cut that will be included in the next stage. Canisters are used across the country for cooking (and sometimes lighting) purposes. A regular gas canister costs 42 dirhams ($4) for consumers, and would currently cost around 120 dirhams ($12) without state subsidies, which amounted to 13.3 billion dirhams ($1.4 billion) in 2014, a sum that cannot be ignored.

The second stage of Morocco’s subsidy cuts, initially penciled in for 2015–17, targeted household staple goods (sugar, white flour, and butane gas) but has been delayed.  These goods represent the cornerstone of consumption, and their subsidized prices keep poorer social groups from falling into total poverty; therefore any cuts to the current regime require extra care to avoid a repeat of the Casablanca riots of 1981.  The current standstill owes to the constraining impact of public opinion and the reluctance of the Justice and Development Party (PJD) and other political actors to alienate poorer social classes.

The current government has been unusually reactive to rumors of impending cuts circulated by social and print media, with officials issuing declarations to the contrary or seeking to control the discussion.  In 2013, a Reuters article cited Mohamed Najib Boulif, Minister of Governance, as reducing subsidies before Ramadan, which caused a small panic on social media and prompted official denials.  In February 2015 similar rumors announcing cuts for butane were circulated, this time by Telquel, an influential weekly magazine, and were promptly denied by Minister of Governance Mohamed Louafa.  In a televised interview on 29 October 2015, Benkirane announced that subsidy cuts on sugar will be instituted over the course of eighteen months, but not on “sugar loaves,” the two-kilo (4.4 pound) lumps traditionally used by households across the country.  None of these media interventions have provided sufficient clarity, and the ease with which rumors have spread reveals the population’s lack of trust in their political leadership.

In the meantime, academic experts, parliament working groups, and even government and state officials have advocated for reforms.  There is general agreement that the current system of adjusting prices at the source for staple goods is badly designed and does not serve its initial goal of driving consumerism.  It disproportionally benefits wealthier social groups and the food industry while draining immense state resources because the state is at the mercy of international prices and domestic consumption trends, according to Moroccan economist Mohamed Bentahar.  In 2014, sugar subsidies amounted to 3.5 billion dirhams ($360 million) and flour subsidies to MAD 2 billion ($200 million), in addition to subsidies on butane gas, while Morocco continues to occupy low ranks in human development classifications, especially with regard to inequality and income indicators.

Salima Bennani, head of Morocco’s Compensation Fund (Caisse de Compensation), recently affirmed they were looking to substitute blanket compensation with targeted cash flows toward the most vulnerable populations by studying the experiences of Brazil, Mexico, India and Southeast Asia.  She assured that savings from subsidies would then be deployed to support more useful programs, although this has yet to show significantly in the latest state budgets.  Moreover, several Moroccan experts, such as Hicham Al Moussaoui, offer notes of caution that the substitution of subsidies with targeted cash flows will weaken the lower half of the middle class, drive debt up, and weaken the economy.

Despite these risks and current delays, declarations by Salima Bennani and other state officials are a sure indication the process will be decisively resumed in the coming months.  The consensus is that the issue will be the next government’s responsibility for after the 7 October elections and that, regardless of its composition, the reforms will go ahead due to Morocco’s overarching obligations toward international financial institutions.  After all, despite its populist base, the Justice and Development Party (PJD) has pursued a firm liberal agenda.  A report on this question has been briefly discussed in parliament in June 2016, indicating that a reform package has been designed and is merely waiting for the right timing—which would explain the IMF’s confidence in extending a loan to Morocco.  In the meantime, economic actors and the population lack clarity over timeframes, despite how deeply it will affect key segments of the population.

Idriss Jebari is a postdoctoral research fellow with the Arab Council for Social Sciences working on social and cultural change in North Africa.  (Sada 13.09)

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11.10  TURKEY:  Turks Bicker About Time Change

Zilfikar Dogan posted in Al-Monitor on 13 September that for years, Turkey’s Justice and Development Party (AKP) government has been advocating “permanent summer time” for the country.  With a decision made on 7 September, this wish has come true.  Turkey’s government has decided to remain on summer time permanently, adding another hour of difference between Turkey and Europe, but putting Turkey in the same time zone as Mecca and Medina.

Like many countries, Turkey moved its clocks ahead one hour in March and back an hour in October.  But this fall, time will march on because of a request from Minister of Energy Berat Albayrak, the president’s son-in-law.  A new government decree nullifies the practice of moving clocks back an hour, effective 30 October.

By making daylight savings time permanent, Turkey will be at Greenwich Mean Time plus three hours instead of plus two hours.  The time difference with Eastern and Central Europe will now be two hours and with Britain, three hours.

The last ministerial attempt to keep the “extra” hour came in 2013 by then-Minister of Energy Taner Yildiz.  His proposal was rejected because of potential problems with stock markets, global trade, exports and synchronization with Europe.  However, Albayrak said on his official Twitter account there will be year-round energy savings and any synchronization problems will be eliminated quickly.

Opponents claim there are religious motives behind the decision.  Turkey will now be in the same time zone with Saudi Arabia and most Middle Eastern and Islamic countries.  Theologians have been constantly bickering over prayer times, Ramadan hours and the beginning and end of Eid holidays.  With the new arrangement, prayer times will be the same as in Mecca and Medina.

There were also objections that the real intention of the change is to distance Turkey from Europe.  Some critics even said Turkey’s switch to Saudi time might well be a prelude to changing Turkey’s weekend to Fridays instead of Sundays.

Ostensibly, the idea of a time change in summer was to save energy and boost the economy; the claim is that the practice saves about $500 million in energy annually.  But business executives and exporters say by making summer time permanent, the economy will be losing billions of dollars.  Hikmet Tanriverdi, the president of Istanbul Ready-Made Garment Exporters Association, claims that by increasing the time difference with EU countries, Turkey will face serious problems in exports, business contacts and market transactions.  To Tanriverdi, this decision will distance Turkey from Europe and make it just another Middle Eastern country.

With the new setup, when London starts its business day at 9 a.m., private companies and official bodies in Turkey will be on their lunch breaks.  Turkish institutions will either have to extend their working hours or make their staff work overtime to harmonize with Europe.  Investors in London will not be able to conduct any transactions after 3:30 p.m. in Istanbul.  Students and workers will have to head to schools and work in darkness before dawn breaks.

The decree will really shake up sports schedules.  The European football body UEFA starts Champions’ League games at 9:45 p.m. and European League games at 8 p.m. and 10:05 p.m.  With the new hours, Turkish teams will be starting their games at 10:45 p.m., 9 p.m. and 11:05 p.m. local time.  Games will end at midnight or in the early hours of the next morning.  In major cities such as Ankara and Istanbul, fans won’t be able to return home before 2 a.m. or 3 a.m.

There are now reports that that UEFA is planning to adjust kickoff times for Turkish teams to follow Russian schedules and ask Turkish teams to play their European Cup games at 6 p.m. and 7 p.m.  The problem with that is in major cities such as Istanbul, commuters will be on their way home from work or school when the games start.  Making the summer time permanent in Turkey is likely to generate many more grievances.  (Al-Monitor 13.09)

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11.11  TURKEY:  Turkey’s Senior Citizens Get Their First University

Tulay Cetingulec posted on 16 September in Al-Monitor that Akdeniz University has launched Turkey’s first academic program for senior citizens as the problem of an ageing population looms large for the country in the coming decades.

Turkey is a country that often boasts of its youthful population, but this advantage may not last long.  According to the Turkish Statistics Institute, the country’s elderly — aged 65 and above — numbered 6.5 million in 2015, or 8.2% of the total population, up from 8% in 2014.  Globally, elderly people make up 8.5% of the world’s population.  So, Turkey is not that young, having an elderly rate close to the global average.  Though it could hardly compare with nations such as Monaco, Japan and Germany, where senior citizens make up, respectively, 30.4%, 26.6% and 21.5% of the population, Turkey still ranks 66th among 167 countries in this category.

Only 11.5% of senior citizens participate in the labor force, which clearly demonstrates that the elderly are rarely employed.  Shut out from productive life, they are in a sense left to await death, which brings about low spirits along with health problems.

In 2015, 45.6% of Turkey’s senior citizens were satisfied with their general health, down from 47.5% the previous year, which is another indication that idle lifestyles are not good for the elderly.

To address the problem and encourage senior citizens to be more active in working and social life, Akdeniz University in the Mediterranean city of Antalya has inaugurated an education program called Renewal University, targeting people over the age of 60.  The program, which offers courses in sociology, psychology, biology, technology, chemistry, agriculture, pharmacology, medicine, history, philosophy, maintenance and cooking, takes aim at the cognitive renewal of these students.  After launching a trial run with 60 students in May 2015, the university has attracted considerable interest, with enrollment exceeding 300.

Though Turkey’s population aged 65 and over is slightly below the global average, the figure for those aged 60 and over is seen as a reason for concern.  Ozgur Arun, the head of Akdeniz University’s gerontology department, sounded the alarm at an international conference two years ago, saying, “When the elderly exceed 10% of the population, this indicates that society is aging.  In Turkey, people aged over 60 make up 13% of the population.  A study of demographic shifts in the past 50 years indicates that the total population has tripled, while the elderly population has grown seven times.  The aging process that France completed in 115 years and Switzerland in 85, Turkey will complete in the next 15 years.”

Ismail Tufan, the founder of Akdeniz University’s gerontology department, has been briefing Turkish government officials on the looming problem for the past 16 years.  Beyond sounding an alarm, he has done his part in preparing for the new phenomenon: Renewal University is his brainchild.

In remarks to Al-Monitor, Tufan stressed that the initiative aimed to freshen the intellectual, physical and spiritual development of aging people.  “Our education program targets people aged 60 and over.  Along with the learning process, we created also an environment for debate.  Learning is a lifelong process.  By learning something new, you enhance your intellectual, physical and spiritual development,” he said.  “Our senior citizens will now take more pleasure from living and improve their quality of life. Contributing to a healthier old generation is what we aim for.”

Tufan has coined a slogan — “Learning is cure and remedy” — and is urging universities across Turkey to launch similar programs for senior citizens.

At Renewal University, there are no grades or competition.  Learning is the only thing that matters.  At the end of the four-year program, senior citizens will be able to return to working life and even serve in executive positions.

Tufan described how a letter he got from a man from the remote eastern province of Ardahan brought him to tears.  “He wrote that all his life he wanted to be an agricultural engineer, but managed to finish only primary school because of poverty.  He told how he reads anything he lays hands on, how he raised three children who became a judge, a lawyer and an engineer, and requested to be enrolled in our school,” Tufan said, adding they had received applications from people as old as 82.

“Our school is free.  We also provide the textbooks,” Tufan said, noting that 26 lecturers were involved in the program.  “We started with 60 students last year and reached 127.  There are high school and university graduates among them.  The university will open officially this year and we have received 370 applications so far.  We expect the figure to exceed 500 by the start of the education year.”

Postgraduate and doctoral programs are also available for the students.  In one interesting detail, cooking is a compulsory course in all departments, a decision prompted by the fact that elderly men in particular don’t know how to cook.  Tufan recalled how an elderly villager he met in eastern Turkey told him, “Wrap your wife in cotton wool.  I have 12 children and dozens of grandchildren, but since my wife died, I’ve stopped having hot meals.”  Another man rushed to enroll after reading about the cooking course in the newspaper.  He was eager to learn to cook vegetable dishes, complaining how he exacerbated his hemorrhoids by frequenting kebab restaurants when his wife went away on long trips.

“We want to enhance the creativity of our people by providing them with an opportunity for lifelong learning, and by making sure that this becomes a national policy,” Tufan said, adding that the establishment of the gerontology department itself took years of painstaking work.

The academic urged more efforts to develop projects for senior citizens, stressing that the number of Turks aged 60 and over would reach a staggering 30 million by 2050, standing at 11.6 million at present.

The average age of staff at hospitals and nursing homes who care for the elderly in Turkey is between 35 and 45, Tufan said.  “So, the elderly adopt a lifestyle shaped by the young without questioning it and thus fail to have an active and successful aging process.” In this context, Renewal University graduates, using also their own experience, could claim the management of the establishments that cater to their peers.  (Al-Monitor 16.09)

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11.12  CYPRUS: Long-Term Ratings Raised To ‘BB’ On Strong Economic Performance; Outlook Positive

Rating Action

On 16 September, S&P Global Ratings raised its foreign and local currency long-term sovereign credit ratings on the Republic of Cyprus to ‘BB’ from ‘BB-‘.  At the same time, we affirmed our ‘B’ foreign and local currency short-term sovereign credit ratings on Cyprus.  The outlook is positive.

Rationale

The upgrade reflects our views of Cyprus’ stronger-than-expected economic growth and its further debt reduction, as well as steady improvement in the banking sector’s asset quality, in line with our last sovereign rating action.

We estimate that, after a deep three-year recession, and real economic growth of 1.6% in 2015, the Cypriot economy will expand by about 2.7% this year, exceeding our March 2016 forecast of 2%.  Cyprus’ recovery is supported by resilient business services, tourism, gradually reviving private consumption and construction.  The restructuring in the financial sector is advancing, but we expect it will be a few years before the sector contributes to economic growth.  Although the financial sector is in our view clouding the investment outlook, a number of ongoing and planned investment projects – including investments in the tourism sector (casino, hotel resorts, and marinas), energy (solar thermal plants and the hydrocarbon sector), and business services – will underpin investment activity and contribute to domestic demand over the next several years.  We also expect the unemployment rate, 15% at year-end 2015, will drop further to below 12% by 2018, which will support households’ disposable incomes and private consumption.  We expect the Cypriot economy will continue to grow at about 2.5% in real terms in 2017-2019, even though high levels of nonperforming loans (NPLs; mainly loans past due for more than 90 days and forborne loans for a minimum observance period even if they meet the new repayment program) remain a key concern for financial stability and economic performance. In the long run, we also factor in the possibility of a reunification of the island, which would represent an important positive contribution to the country’s growth rate, despite initial micro- and macroeconomic challenges.

Following Cyprus’ strong economic performance and budgetary consolidation efforts in recent years, we expect the government’s budgetary position will be close to balance in 2016, before gradually moving into a surplus over the ensuing few years.  At the same time, we don’t anticipate that the government will continue with discretionary deficit-reducing measures. Instead, we anticipate the government’s budgetary position will continue strengthening thanks to a gradual reduction in unemployment benefits and an increase in cyclical revenue items amid the economic recovery.  Nevertheless, we expect the government will proceed with the implementation of its public administration reform, related primarily to the wage bill, and its reform of property tax.

We forecast that net general government debt will decline to below 85% of GDP in 2019.   We project that general government interest payments will average about 6.4% of general government revenues in 2016-2019.

Approximately 40% of Cypriot general government debt – €7.25 billion–represents official lending from the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) under the €10 billion economic adjustment program negotiated in May 2013.  This debt (excluding the €950 million loan from the IMF) does not start to mature until December 2025 (with an average maturity of 15 years).  The interest rate Cyprus pays on the ESM obligations is well below the expected cost of market financing.  Following the conclusion of the IMF/ESM-financed program in March 2016, loss of eligibility for the European Central Bank’s (ECB’s) Public SectorPurchase Program did not impair the sovereign’s access to funding in the financial market.  Eventual further easing of borrowing terms by official lenders would support a decline in net government debt to GDP beyond what we currently project, assuming that Cyprus’ primary general government budgetary position, at 1.8% of GDP last year–making it one of the highest in the Eurozone–stabilizes at about 2.5% of GDP after 2018.

The execution of the privatization plan, which the Cypriot government committed to in the context of the ESM/IMF financially supported economic adjustment program, could in our view generate sale proceeds that could lead to a further decline in government debt.  Our current government debt projection does not take into account such potential proceeds (for example, from the planned partial sale of Cyprus Telecom).

At the same time, we believe that strengthening private consumption will limit the extent of improvement in the current account balance.  Although most of Cyprus’ current account deficit for the past several years represents the accounting treatment of net income payments made on the large stock of inbound equity and foreign direct investment in the economy, we don’t believe this represents a large domestic savings gap.  Despite the robust performance in the tourism sector, we believe that the economy’s external vulnerabilities persist, given its large, albeit reduced, stock of external debt, as well as its high net international liability position.  We estimate the economy’s narrow net external debt at about 430% of current account receipts on average in 2016-2019, including a portion of Eurosystem financing of the Bank of Cyprus, the largest domestic commercial bank.  This financing is, however, on a discernible declining trend (we have revised the underlying data in line with the sixth edition of the IMF’s Payments and International Investment Position Manual). Moreover, we note that the external statistics are substantially and negatively affected by a significant presence of special purpose entities registered in Cyprus that don’t have any direct interaction with the Cypriot economy.  Lastly, we expect foreign direct investments will be supported by foreign interest in the tourism sector and energy-related infrastructure, especially in the hydrocarbon sector.

We believe that the banking sector is reducing asset quality concerns, although we still view financial stability as a main risk. In our view, the deterioration in the banking sector’s asset quality peaked in early 2015.  The prospects for faster improvement in 2016-2017 have increased, with nonperforming exposures declining by about 10% in nominal terms by May 31, 2016.  Banks’ reserve coverage is still low, at about 37% as of May 31, 2016 (including provisions made by cooperatives), but up from 33% in 2014, with the remaining balance covered by tangible collateral.  We expect the enforcement of the legislation regarding foreclosures and insolvency procedures, together with a significant increase in banks’ capacity to manage nonperforming assets, sales of nonperforming exposures, their securitization and the swift transfer of title deeds, as well as underlying economic recovery, will continue to support the improving asset quality.  The Central Bank of Cyprus introduced incentives for all the banks to reduce their NPLs, and legislation was adopted that allows for the creation of a secondary market for nonperforming assets.  Importantly, we expect the Bank of Cyprus’ recourse to the ECB’s emergency liquidity assistance will decline to €1.3 billion by the end of this year from €11.4 billion in 2013, reflecting a sizable restructuring effort.  As a result, the bank canceled its €1 billion in government-guaranteed bonds, which reduces the stock of outstanding government guarantees to about €2 billion, decreasing the government’s related contingent liabilities.

Outlook

The positive outlook reflects our view that we could upgrade Cyprus within the next 12 months if its reduction of currently high levels of NPLs accelerates, indicating a conversion of Cyprus’ credit and monetary conditions, including the monetary transmission mechanism, with those of the Eurozone.  Moreover, we could raise the ratings if net government debt declined below 80% of GDP.

We could revise the outlook to stable if the banking sector’s stability comes under renewed significant pressure, for example due to unaddressed deterioration in asset quality; if economic growth deviates substantially and negatively from our current expectations, including for instance due to a potentially adverse impact on Cyprus from the U.K.’s June 23 referendum to leave the EU; or if budgetary performance doesn’t reduce government debt to the extent we currently forecast.  (S&P 16.09)

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11.13  GREECE:  Fitch Affirms Greece at ‘CCC’

On 2 September, Fitch Ratings affirmed Greece’s Long-Term Foreign and Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at ‘CCC’.  The issue ratings on Greece’s long-term senior unsecured bonds have also been affirmed at ‘CCC’.  The Short-term Foreign and Local Currency IDRs and the rating on Greece’s short-term debt have all been affirmed at ‘C’, and the Country Ceiling at ‘B-‘.

Key Rating Drivers

The completion of the first review and approval in May of the second tranche (€10.3b, 6% of GDP) of Greece’s €86b European Stability Mechanism (ESM) program highlights improved relations with creditors, but in Fitch’s view implementation risks are still high.  The agreement was reached several months later than planned but the delay did not give rise to marked economic volatility.

The country’s 2015 primary surplus (program definition) was confirmed at 0.7% of GDP, better than the target of a deficit of 0.25%.  A run-up of government arrears during creditor negotiations led to a fall in general government debt, to 177% of GDP in 2015 from 180% of GDP in 2014, still the second highest of all Fitch-rated countries.  Fiscal performance so far this year is consistent with meeting the 2016 primary surplus target of 0.5% of GDP, but the remaining fiscal targets, of 1.75% of GDP in 2017 and 3.5% in 2018, will be progressively harder to meet.

In completing the first review, the government legislated as “prior actions” measures to meet the estimated fiscal gap of 3% of GDP to 2018, of which just above two-thirds come from pension and income tax reform.  Relatively weak domestic ownership of program policy, however, makes their full implementation difficult.  The agreement also includes a contingent fiscal mechanism retrospectively triggering further measures if a fiscal target is missed, as well as tax efficiency reforms on which the follow-through is less certain.

The second review is slated to commence in Q4/16, with labor reform expected to be the most contentious component.  Fitch estimates that the government will have sufficient buffers (cash, repos and possible arrears build-up) to last into Q2/17 without release of funds on completing the second review, which increases the likelihood of negotiations slipping into next year.  The nature of IMF participation is likely to hinge on the scope for relaxation of the medium-term fiscal targets and degree of commitment to debt relief.

So far the Eurogroup has set out only general parameters of a potential debt deal; namely that gross financing needs should remain below 15% of GDP “for the medium term” and below 20% thereafter, and that the more substantial relief such as interest rate caps, coupon deferrals and maturity extensions are conditional on successful program completion in 2018.  Delivering debt relief in stages and contingent on delivery could incentivize performance, but could have the opposite effect if it came to be seen by Greek politicians or the public as a distant or unattainable prospect.  Uncertainty around the likely outcome also limits the economic benefits through boosting confidence in the long-term sustainability of Greek debt.

Syriza has been losing ground in the polls to the center-right New Democracy, which has less ideological opposition to a number of the program policies but has argued for its renegotiation in particular on fiscal targets.  Despite a slim majority, we expect Prime Minister Tsipras to be able to continue to rely on votes from centrist parties, but the potential for political surprises remains.  Maintaining sufficient support to deliver on the demanding conditions through to 2018 is highly challenging, particularly in view of the track record of slippage under previous programs.

GDP contracted 0.75% (annualized) in H1/16, and Fitch expects a modest pick-up in the remainder of 2016 taking full year growth to -0.5%.  We forecast GDP growth of 1.8% in 2017, supported by an increase in investment and, to a lesser extent, private consumption, and a moderately positive net trade contribution.  Unemployment fell to 23.5% in May 2016 from close to 25.9% at the beginning of 2015 and we expect a further gradual fall, to an average 21.9% in 2018, still the highest in the Eurozone.  The low oil price and sharp import contraction following imposition of capital controls has taken the current account close to balance from a deficit of 2.1% of GDP in 2014.  Fitch expects small current account surpluses in 2016 and 2017, with net external debt remaining elevated at close to 130% of GDP in 2016.

Last year’s bank recapitalization helped stabilize the financial sector but consumer and investor confidence have been slow to recover.  Bank deposits have increased only 2% since their 25% (€38b) drop in H1/15, although the relaxation of capital controls in July, in particular the withdrawal of restrictions on new deposits, is expected to lead to some moderate pick-up in deposits in H2/16.  As a result, Greek banks continue to face very large funding imbalances, with Emergency Liquidity Assistance (ELA) accounting for 20% of system-wide funding. June’s ECB reinstatement of the waiver permitting Greek government bonds to be used as collateral will allow a fairly small share of ELA funding (estimated 7%) to be transferred to ECB’s regular financing operations at a 150bp lower interest rate.

The key challenge for the Greek banking sector is tackling non-performing exposures (NPEs) which remain extremely high at above 45% of gross loans.  Improvement has been made to the legal and institutional framework for resolving loans, but progress in working through problem assets has been relatively slow.  High NPEs, funding imbalances and weak credit demand continue to constrain net private sector lending, which Fitch forecasts will contract 2.8% in 2016 and 1.5% in 2017.

Sovereign Rating Model (SRM) and Qualitative Overlay (QO)

Fitch’s proprietary SRM assigns Greece a score equivalent to a rating of BB on the Long-Term Foreign Currency IDR scale.  In accordance with its rating criteria, Fitch’s sovereign rating committee decided to adjust the rating indicated by the SRM by more than the usual maximum range of +/-3 notches because of Greece’s experience of financial crisis.  Consequently, the overall adjustment of five notches reflects the following adjustments:

– Macro: -1 notch, to reflect a history of weak macroeconomic management that contributed to financial crises and steep declines in GDP.

– Public Finances: -1 notch, to reflect public debt at close to 180% of GDP; the SRM does not capture “non-linear” vulnerabilities at such a high level.

– External Finances: -2 notches, to reflect: a) Greece’s high net external debt which is not captured in the SRM, and restricted market access which reduces financing flexibility; and b) the +2-notch SRM enhancement for “reserve currency flexibility” has been adjusted to +1 notch given Greece’s financial crisis experience.

– Structural Features: -1 notch, to reflect political risks to the program, and a weak banking sector reliant on official funding and with capital controls still largely in place.

Fitch’s SRM is the agency’s proprietary multiple regression rating model that employs 18 variables based on three year centered averages, including one year of forecasts, to produce a score equivalent to a Long-Term Foreign Currency IDR.  Fitch’s QO is a forward-looking qualitative framework designed to allow for adjustment to the SRM output to assign the final rating, reflecting factors within our criteria that are not fully quantifiable and/or not fully reflected in the SRM.

Rating Sensitivities

Future developments that could, individually or collectively, result in an upgrade include:

– A further track record of successful implementation of the ESM program, brought about by an orderly working relationship between Greece and its official creditors and a relatively stable political environment.

– An economic recovery, further primary surpluses, and official sector debt relief would provide upward momentum for the ratings over the medium term.

Developments that could, individually or collectively, result in a downgrade include:

-A repeat of the prolonged breakdown in relations between Greece and its creditors seen last year, for example in the context of a failure to meet program targets and worsening liquidity conditions.

-Non-payment, redenomination or distressed debt exchange of government debt securities issued in the market or a government-declared moratorium on all debt service.

Key Assumptions

-Any debt relief given to Greece under the ESM program will apply to official-sector debt only, and would not therefore constitute an event of default under the agency’s criteria.  (Fitch 02.09)

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11.14  GREECE:  Greek Recovery Still Far Off Despite Optimism

Greece is coming towards the end of its economic “disaster cycle” according to Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras but many economists believe the country has a long way to go before it reaches financial security.  Speaking at an international business fair in Thessaloniki, Tsipras told the audience that now that “all the signs and indicators show that the disaster cycle is closed, we can plan the next day, at least over a five year horizon.”  Tspiras used the event, during which it is customary for the premier to set out his policies for the coming year, to paint an optimistic picture of Greece’s near future.

Two years ago, as opposition leader, Tsipras declared the end to austerity policies and support for those on the bottom rung of the economy as Greeks faced the worst financial crisis in recent memory.  However, when his left-wing coalition took power, he failed to keep his promise and struck a third bailout deal with the country’s international creditors in July last year.  A year on and after further painful reforms, the government is still seeking a way out of the crisis.

According to the ANA-MPA news agency, Finance Minister Euclid Tsakalotos told his Eurozone counterparts that Greece could expect three quarters of successive growth this year and claimed the economy was finally recovering.  However, nothing seems likely to stop the spiral of recession that has dominated since 2009.  “The government repeats the same policy as its predecessors and now presents a success story,” Apostolos Dedousopoulos, an economics professor at Panteion University, told Anadolu Agency.  “Except for the three key elements of the economy, such as exports, investment and private consumption, all steadily recede with a negative total overall despite some minor amendments from the government…Tourism is not able to reverse this climate and the index of retail sales is also negative.”

Dedousopoulos pointed to the huge flow of cash out of Greece as the country struggles to square its debts.  “€10 to 12 billion ($11.2 billion to $13.5 billion) for this year alone is hard to make up for,” he said.  “It is like an open wound which keeps festering.”

Greek debt currently stands at €358.8 billion ($404.3 billion) or around 214% of the GDP.  The unsustainability of the debt has led to calls for payments to be restructured to break free of the crippling commitment.  Late last month, in a decisive message to the country’s creditors, Tsipras told the Realnews newspaper that the EU was “sleepwalking towards a cliff” in enforcing austerity rules that created huge inequalities among members.  He said Greece expected debt relief to be in place by the end of the year so its economy could recover.  However, debt is just part of the problem.

No Room for Optimism

Lambros Pechlivanos, an assistant professor at Athens University of Economics and Business, said the country faced a “multifactorial problem” that included factors such as the impact of capital controls imposed in June 2015, the inefficiency of public administration in exploiting foreign resources, the insecurity caused by geopolitical developments and heavy taxation.  “All this doesn’t allow much room for optimism,” he warned.

For most Greeks, who have seen their economic circumstances dramatically curbed over the last few years, the situation has created a similar feeling of debt burden as taxes rise.

According to latest General Secretariat for Public Revenue report, Greeks paid €1 billion more in taxes in June compared to the same month last year, while the number of taxpayers with outstanding debts rose by 125,000 in a month to 4,128,962.  The latest additional state revenues come from a sales tax rise, further excise duties and an increase in advance tax payment for businesses and the self-employed.  The effects of this tax avalanche are overwhelming.

Ioanna Oikonomidou, 44, runs a grocery store in central Athens.  She told Anadolu Agency people were buying less and less as their tax bills rise.  “They say that they would like to buy more but can’t afford to,” she said.  Calling for an end to new taxes, she added: “We need to be able to plan our lives on safe ground.  We can’t have new taxes every now and then destroying everything. We cannot take this anymore.”

Pensioners face a third and final round of cuts to their payments in October while the jobless face little change of getting back into work as the unemployment rate hits 23.5%.

Promises Not Kept

“I have experienced the tax avalanche first hand,” 33-year-old Olga Tsikrika said in a cafe in central Athens.  Olga has a degree in psychology and has been unemployed for months.  Without her family’s support, she wouldn’t be able to cope.  “I feel betrayed,” she said.  “Promises were made that were not fulfilled.  I want to start working privately but I feel very insecure about this prospect.”

Interior designer Ioanna Mantzavinou, 39, recently found a job.  “Things get worse every year and nothing works in our favor – there are only taxes and unemployment.  My plan for the future is to stay at work.  I only wish my boss is able to keep me employed.”

According to Pechlivanos, the banks could play a vital role in Greece’s recovery.  “The reopening of the banking system… is a key parameter because the Greek economy hasn’t had a functional banking system for years now,” he said.  “Once this is done, individuals and companies can plan ahead new activities and the banking system will be able to perform its role, which is to offer credit expansion to businesses and households.”

Dedousopoulos, meanwhile, sees a leading part to play for the government.  “The government is trapped in a narrative which is disorientating its efforts away from the necessary productive reconstruction of the economy,” he said.  “What is really needed in order to start a recovery of an economy such as the Greek one is a change of economic policy according to which the state doesn’t seek yearly surpluses but deficits.  “So far, the ongoing policies include small-scaled interventions in individual sectors and were believed to save the day while macroeconomic policies were ignored.

“It is like having a sick person with anemia and instead of giving him a transfusion you perform bloodlettings.”  (Atina 13.09)

 

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The Fortnightly newsletter is a free service of Atid, EDI. We are a team of economic and trade development consultants, headquartered in Jerusalem, but active throughout the region and beyond. EDI works with an international clientele interested in identifying and researching business opportunities in the region. We also serve as the regional representative offices for a number of U.S. states and bilateral Chambers of Commerce, as well as European clients.

The post Fortnightly, 21 September 2016 appeared first on Atid EDI.

Fortnightly, 5 October 2016

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5 October 2016
3 Tishrei 5777
3 Muharram 1438

TOP STORIES

TABLE OF CONTENTS:

 1: ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Kahlon Seen Rejecting Rise in Women’s Retirement Age

2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Intel to Build ‘Smart’ Israel Development Center
2.2  Hainan Airlines Adds Flights to Tel Aviv – Beijing Route
2.3  Netafim Purchases Costa Rica’s RyM
2.4  Folloze Raises $7.3 Million
2.5  Anodot Raises $8 Million to Prevent Losses With Real Time Business Incident Detection
2.6  Mobilize Raises $6.5 Million to Build the Future of Group Communications
2.7  CA Technologies to Acquire BlazeMeter to Drive Application Testing Practices
2.8  OurCrowd Raises $72 Million in New Series C Funding Round
2.9  Samsung Launches Israel Startup Investment Program
2.10  Aleph Closes $180 Million Israel Venture Capital Fund
2.11  CUBE Arrives in Tel Aviv as a Matchmaker Between Israeli Startups & Global Corporations
2.12  Nano Dimension Raises $12 Million in Public Offering of American Depositary Shares
2.13  Reporty Raises $5.15 Million
2.14  SecBi Raises $5 Million
2.15  3DSignals Raises $3 Million
2.16  Pixoneye Raises £2.4 Million
2.17  Codefresh Raises $7 Million
2.18  Karamba Security Announces Strategic Investment from Fontinalis Partners

 3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Saudi Arabian Airlines Eyes 63 New Aircraft in Fleet Revamp
3.2  Kewaunee Scientific Wins $18 Million Deal to Equip Kuwait University Laboratories
3.3  Affordable Housing Demand Rising in Saudi Capital City
3.4  Papa John’s International Announces Development Deal to Expand in Egypt
3.5  Air Canada Adds Non-Stop Montreal-Algiers Flights Starting in Summer 2017
3.6  HAVELSAN Completes Acquisition of Quantum3D

 4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Top Innovations in Israeli Clean Energy Solutions to be Showcased at 7th Eilat-Eilot Conference
4.2  IFC Arranges Financial Package to Build Solar Plant in Northern Jordan
4.3  Dewa Unveils Fully Solar-Powered Headquarters

5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanon’s Average Consumer Prices Dropped 2.05% y-o-y by August 2016
5.2  Lebanon Ranked 101st out of 138 Countries in the Global Competitiveness Index
5.3  Total Number of Lebanon’s Registered New Cars Barely Changed by August 2016
5.4  Lebanon’s Fiscal Deficit Widens to $1.94 Billion by June 2016
5.5  Jordan Signs $10 Billion Leviathan Gas Deal
5.6  World Bank Approves $300 Million Loan to Jordan

♦♦Arabian Gulf

5.7  UAE Named MENA’s Most Competitive Economy and 16th globally
5.8  Two Thirds of Emiratis Hoping to Be Debt Free By End-2016
5.9  Saudi Economic Growth Hits Three-Year Low in Second Quarter
5.10  Saudi Central Bank to Inject $5.3 Billion to Boost Financial Stability

♦♦North Africa

5.11  Egypt Sees Slight Progress in Global Competitiveness Index 2016, Ranked 115th
5.12  Egypt Petrol Subsidy Bill Down 29% in 2015 – 2016
5.13  Egypt’s Incoming Tourist Numbers Fall by 51.2% During 2016
5.14  Russia Revises Ban on Imports of Egyptian Plant Products
5.15  Morocco’s Economy to Grow 0.8% in Fourth Quarter of 2016
5.16  Morocco Becomes International Hub of the Aerospace Industry
5.17  Morocco Leads North Africa in Economic Competitiveness

6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkey’s Trade Deficit Falls 17% in First Eight Months of 2016 Due to Oil Slump
6.2  Greece Rated As Bad for Business by World Economic Forum

7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

♦♦ISRAEL:

7.1  Nearly 187,000 Israeli Babies Born Over Past Year
7.2  Israeli & World Leaders Bid Farewell to Shimon Peres
7.3  Two Female Lawyers Appointed as Israel’s First Ethiopian Judges

♦♦REGIONAL:

7.4  Jordan’s King Abdullah Swears in Mulki’s New Government
7.5  Jordanian Parliament’s Ordinary Session to Start on 7 November
7.6  Iraqi Finance Minister Zebari Sacked
7.7  Dubai Ruler Orders Second Shake-Up of Municipality Senior Officials
7.8  Egypt Approves Tougher Jail Terms for FGM
7.9  Morocco Submits Official Request to Return to the African Union

8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  Israeli Researchers Make Breakthrough Discovery in Fight Against Breast Cancer
8.2  Agrinnovation – Yissum’s Agritech Investment Fund, Invests in Cannabi-Tech
8.3  Teva Announces Positive Data from Second Phase III Study of SD-809 in Tardive Dyskinesia (TD)
8.4  AV Medical’s Chameleon PTA Balloon Catheter Featured in Radiation Protection Pavilion at CIRSE
8.5  BioLineRx Signs In-licensing Agreement for Novel Treatment for Liver Failure Conditions Under Multi-University Strategic Collaboration
8.6  Regentis Receives IDE Approval for Pivotal GelrinC Clinical Trial
8.7  Israeli Researchers Make Breakthrough in Autism Research
8.8  Kitov Reports Successful Results for KIT-302 Pharmacokinetic Bioequivalence Study
8.9  Quanterix & ImmunArray Teaming Up to Address Neurodegenerative Disease
8.10  Foamix Pharmaceuticals Announces Pricing of its $57 Million Follow-on Offering of Ordinary Shares
8.11  CephX Launches AlgoCeph – Automated Cephalometric Analysis Technology
8.12  Neurim Announces First Patients’ Enrollments in ReCOGNITION for Mild Alzheimer’s Disease
8.13  Granalix Novel Additive Based on Pomegranate Oil From Neurodegenerative Diseases
8.14  Teva Completes Acquisition of Anda
8.15  China’s Neusoft & Infinity Set Up $250 Million Israel Med-Tech Fund

9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Mattel Teams with Israeli Startup to Give Barbie Digital Life
9.2  Playtrex Looks to Shake Up Social Poker Market with “Wild Poker”
9.3  Versa Networks Certifies Silicom’s Virtual CPE Appliances For Its NFV-Based Solutions
9.4  RADWIN JET Beamforming Wireless Broadband Improves Efficiency for Tier-1 Mining Companies
9.5  Variscite’s System-on-Module Based on NXP Dual Core i.MX 7 With a Real-time Coprocessor
9.6  AudioCodes and AVST Collaborate on Unified Communications Productivity
9.7  IntSights & Check Point Deliver Threat Intelligence Capabilities for Thwarting Cyber Attacks
9.8  Argus Cyber Security Named One of LA Auto Show & AutoMobility LA’s 2016 Top Ten Startups
9.9  Mellanox Advanced Network Capabilities with New Innova IPsec 10/40G Ethernet Adapters
9.10  RADWIN & MaximaTelecom Demonstrate 500 Mbps Throughput Onboard Moscow Metro Trains
9.11 Jungo Redefines Driver Monitoring With CoDriver 1.0
9.12  Autotalks Was Selected by DENSO for a Mass Market V2X System
9.13  Humavox Partners with Asahi Kasei to Make Wireless Charging Mainstream
9.14  Karamba Launches Autonomous Security for Cars, Empowering Electronic Control Units (ECUs)

10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Export Institute Says Israel’s Exports Fell to a 6 Year Low
10.2  Israel’s Unemployment Rate Reaches New Low
10.3  Israel’s Second Quarter Growth Revised Upwards
10.4  Israeli Teachers Worst Paid in OECD
10.5  Israel’s Roads Increasingly Congested

11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  JORDAN: Jordan’s Strategic Decision to Buy Israeli Gas
11.2  JORDAN: Jordan Chooses Stability
11.3  JORDAN: Who Are the Winners and Losers in Jordan’s Latest Elections?
11.4  IRAQ: Fitch Affirms Iraq at ‘B-‘; Outlook Negative
11.5  IRAQ: Decline of Higher Education in Iraq Continues
11.6  EGYPT: Egypt Takes New Approach to Tourism
11.7  EGYPT: Despite Large Financing Needs, Conditions Are Gradually Improving
11.8  EGYPT: Egyptians Ponder – How Much Military Control is Too Much?
11.9  ALGERIA: Can Algeria Ditch Austerity?
11.10  MOROCCO: Hollow Rivalry in Morocco’s Upcoming Elections
11.11  TURKEY: Moody’s Downgrades Turkey’s Issuer & Bond Ratings to Ba1 with a Stable Outlook
11.12  TURKEY: The Changing Face of Turkey’s Pleasure Industry
11.13  GREECE: Staff Concluding Statement of the 2016 Article IV Mission

1:  ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Kahlon Seen Rejecting Rise in Women’s Retirement Age

According to Globes, the committee for raising the retirement age for woman has failed in its task.  Sources said that Minister of Finance Moshe Kahlon told committee members that he was considering rejecting its recommendations, which were submitted to him on 29 September.  Sources involved in the committee’s work said that its 12 members had not reached agreement on any of the topics on its agenda, headed by the questions of whether to raise the retirement age, and if so, to what age, and how to compensate women liable to be harmed by the decision.

The largest gaps between the parties were between the Bank of Israel, which believes that the retirement age should be the same for men and women, and should be linked to life expectancy, and the committee members from the Histadrut (General Federation of Labor in Israel) and women’s rights organizations, which opposed raising the retirement age.  The Ministry of Finance, which supports raising the retirement age for women to 67, was willing to settle for raising it gradually to 64, but this compromise failed to achieve complete agreement among the committee members.

The current retirement age for women is 62, one of the lowest in Western countries, after many countries raised the retirement age in recent years.  Women can ask to continue working until 67.  Raising the retirement age is liable to affect women who lose their employment at age 62, because they will have to wait for years before receiving a pension.

The main reasons for raising the retirement age cited by the Bank of Israel were that experience shows that raising the retirement age increases the employment rate among women over 60 and their salary levels.  In addition, the Bank of Israel presented figures showing that the monthly pension would rise by 8% for each year that retirement is postponed.  The Bank of Israel also provided a comparison showing that the retirement age for women was lower than 62 in only eight of the 34 OECD countries.  Assuming that the currently prevailing international policy of gradually raising the retirement age is implemented until 2030, only three countries besides Israel will have a retirement age for women of 62 or less: Chile (60), Poland (60) and Slovenia (61).  (Globes29.09)

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2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Intel to Build ‘Smart’ Israel Development Center

Intel Israel is moving its 2,500 development personnel into a new building in Petah Tikva.  This 34,000 square meter building will learn the habits of every employee who chooses to disclose personal information, customize his working environment, help save energy and continue learning and improving over time.  Among other things, the building will know what coffee to make for each employee, when to send him to get a haircut and recommend where to park.

On 25 September, Intel laid the cornerstone of its Petah Tikva campus, which is one of company’s most advanced buildings worldwide and is a living demonstration of the various technologies it develops.  Upon its completion, the personnel working in this building will be able to control their environment and adjust it to their needs using thousands of sensors and advanced processing capabilities.  In addition, the new building will have integrated systems encouraging a healthy lifestyle, energy conservation and a green environment.

Employee time management and services offered by the building will not be limited to meals.  Intel’s new smart campus, like any other Intel campus, will have a gym, two restaurants, meat and dairy, a café in the lobby and, of course, an entire area devoted to campus services – spa, hairdresser, laundry services and more.  An employee interested in a certain service could order it and receive a notification when the service is available.  Moreover, the building will be able to learn the employee’s habits – if he tends to get his hair cut every two months, it will send him an SMS when a haircut is due; if an employee works out in the gym, she will be able to receive recommendations for a menu suitable for her training regimen.  (Globes 25.09)

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2.2  Hainan Airlines Adds Flights to Tel Aviv – Beijing Route

Hainan Airlines is adding another weekly flight on its route to Israel.  The Chinese airline, which began flights on the Tel Aviv-Beijing route in April 2016, currently operates three weekly flights to Israel on Sunday, Tuesday, and Thursday, to be increased to four in November.  The new flight will be on Mondays.  Tickets will be offered for $550 on certain dates.  The usual price for tickets starts at $600 for tourist class and $2,400 for business class tickets.  The company’s passengers consist of 70% Israelis and 30% Chinese.  The Ministry of Tourism and the others dealing in the sector have set a goal of increasing the number of Chinese tourists visiting Israel, currently less than 50,000 a year – the potential is enormous.  Hotels are preparing for Chinese guests by adapting their rooms and menus, and the tourist websites will have information translated into Mandarin Chinese.

Hainan also announced the launching of a limo service in Israel for business class passengers, a service that already exists in Beijing and other company stops around the world.  The service, which is available free of charge (for three ticket classes) in business class, and can be ordered in advance, includes collection from the airport and transportation to destinations from Beer Sheva in the south to Haifa in the north, and from those stops back to Ben Gurion Airport.  Hainan is the largest private airline in China.  (Globes 25.09)

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2.3  Netafim Purchases Costa Rica’s RyM

Netafim announced it acquired 60% of the Costa Rican irrigation company RyM.  Netafim declined to disclose details of this deal, but the industry estimates that it totaled several million dollars, based on RyM’s annual sales, estimated at over $10 million.  The remaining RyM stake will be owned by the company’s prior controlling stakeholders, Alberto Arguio and Enrique Gonzales.  Until its acquisition by Netafim, RyM had distributed the Israeli company’s products in Costa Rica and several other Central American states.  Following its acquisition of the Costa Rican company, Netafim has announced that it will establish a new subsidiary, the 29th in number, which will be called Netafim Central America and be devoted to bolstering Netafim’s status in the region, while targeting states such as Panama, Honduras, Nicaragua, Guatemala and El Salvador.

Kibbutz Hatzerim’s Netafim is the global leader in drip and micro-irrigation solutions for sustainable productivity.  With 28 subsidiaries, 16 manufacturing plants and over 4,000 employees worldwide, Netafim delivers innovative solutions to more than 110 countries across the globe.  Founded in 1965, Netafim pioneered the drip revolution, creating a paradigm shift toward low-flow agricultural irrigation.  Half a century later, Netafim is celebrating 50 Years of Shaping the Future, offering a wide range of state-of-the-art irrigation and complementary solutions for agriculture, landscaping and mining.  From drippers and dripper lines, through sprinklers and micro-emitters, to crop management technology (CMT) and greenhouse systems, Netafim’s market-leading products and services enable cost-effective irrigation for optimal and sustainable results.  (Netafim 25.09)

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2.4  Folloze Raises $7.3 Million

Israeli Account Based Marketing (ABM) sales platform Folloze has closed $7.3 million in funding to further accelerate the company’s market traction and grow its sales, marketing and customer success teams.  The investment was co-led by Canvas Ventures and NEA, the lead investor in the seed round, with participation by Cervin Ventures and others.

ABM has become a key Go-To-Market strategy for B2B companies, with double the customer adoption in 2016 compared to 2015 and more than 70% of companies now focused on driving revenue with ABM.  Folloze is the first platform specifically designed for marketers to enable salespeople to use content campaigns, content automation, actionable account analytics and other marketing techniques, all from within their familiar sales tools.  These capabilities enable sales to act as consultants and educators during the selling process, delivering significantly more value to customers through the buying journey.  This account-oriented approach allows salespeople to manage “account-specific funnels” and drastically increase their pipelines.

Founded in 2013, Tel Aviv’s Folloze is a provider of an innovative Account Based Management (ABM) Sales Platform, which enables B2B sales teams to use marketing techniques to engage, develop and win their top target accounts.  Built for scale, the platform allows Marketing to empower Sales to deliver account-specific content campaigns, content automation, actionable account analytics and more, all from within their familiar sales tools.  (Globes 29.09)

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2.5  Anodot Raises $8 Million to Prevent Losses With Real Time Business Incident Detection

Anodot announced $8 million in funding led by Aleph Venture Capital with participation by Disruptive Technologies, bringing Anodot’s total funding to $12.5 million.  The funds will be used to expand the company’s global sales and operations and meet demand for its service.  In the nine months following Anodot’s launch, dozens of customers, including several Fortune 500 companies, have already implemented the product to prevent crises and drive revenues.  Anodot brings machine learning and real-time streaming data together to identify, report, and visualize business incidents as they occur, enabling its customers – often Business Intelligence analysts serving all aspects of a company’s operations – to quickly and effectively manage crises and uncover business opportunities.  Instead of the usual days or weeks it currently takes companies to detect and understand data anomalies, Anodot’s SaaS solution is capable of identifying and notifying customers about issues in mere minutes.

Ra’anana’s Anodot provides valuable business insights through anomaly detection. Automatically uncovering outliers in vast amounts of time series data, Anodot’s real time business incident detection uses patented machine learning algorithms to isolate and correlate issues across multiple parameters in real time, supporting rapid business decisions.  Anodot customers in fintech, ad-tech, web apps, mobile apps and other data-heavy industries use Anodot to drive real business benefits like significant cost savings, increased revenue and upturn in customer satisfaction.  (Anodot 22.09)

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2.6  Mobilize Raises $6.5 Million to Build the Future of Group Communications

Mobilize announced its Series A investment round and publicly launched the self-service version of its product.  The $6.5 million round was led by Trinity Ventures and joined by Floodgate Ventures, Hillsven Capital, Array Ventures, Upwest Labs in addition to SaaS angels such as Eoghan McCabe, CEO of Intercom.io, and Sanjay Subhedar.  Solving the huge challenges of organizing and communicating with large external groups, Mobilize is a comprehensive communication solution optimized to help companies manage and motivate external groups such as on-demand workers, developer groups, contractors, resellers, and influencers.  In the past year while still in stealth mode, Mobilize worked with leading brands such as Microsoft, Docker, Etsy, MakerFaire, The United Nations, MasterCard, Salesforce and Prezi as design partners.  These companies as well as just over 100 others have adopted Mobilize to allow over 5,000 network managers to manage over a quarter of a million global partners.  Mobilize has now launched a self-service version of the platform to enable all organizations to benefit from the power of an optimized group management platform.

Tel Aviv’s Mobilize is a network relationship management platform enabling companies to effectively build, communicate across, and manage external groups.  Mobilize was founded based on the observation that businesses have transformed how they create products, provide services and scale globally leveraging external networks of people. In the new economy, traditional pipeline business are overtaken by marketplace platforms, network relationships are fundamental, and Mobilize is a platform optimized to motivate and manage these networks.  (Mobilize 21.09)

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2.7  CA Technologies to Acquire BlazeMeter to Drive Application Testing Practices

CA Technologies signed a definitive agreement to acquire BlazeMeter, a leader in open source-based continuous application performance testing.  Terms of the agreement were not disclosed. The transaction is expected to close by year end.  The acquisition of privately-held BlazeMeter will enable CA Technologies to extend its DevOps portfolio. BlazeMeter will seamlessly integrate with CA’s continuous delivery solutions to further improve testing efficiency and accelerate the deployment of applications.  As development teams move to agile and continuous delivery practices to improve time-to-market of applications, enterprises are struggling to keep up.  Testing speed is the major bottleneck in getting applications released faster.  With BlazeMeter’s solution, developers and performance engineers can test earlier and more often in the application lifecycle.

BlazeMeter’s commercial, self-service continuous application performance testing solution is fully compatible with Apache JMeter as well as other open source software tools like Selenium, Gatling and Locust.  Founded in 2011, BlazeMeter has offices in Tel Aviv, Israel and Palo Alto, Calif.  (CA Technologies 20.09)

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2.8  OurCrowd Raises $72 Million in New Series C Funding Round

OurCrowd announced the closing of $72 million in Series C funding.  Participants in this latest round include financial institutions, family offices, and private investors from five continents.  OurCrowd has to date invested in 100 portfolio companies and funds on its platform.  Total investment in companies and funds now exceed $300 million.  OurCrowd has had nine exits to date from its portfolio investments: two IPO’s and seven acquisitions.  These include ReWalk, Crosswise (bought by Oracle), Replay Technologies (bought by Intel) and NextPeer (bought by Viber).

Jerusalem’s OurCrowd is the leading global equity crowdfunding platform for accredited investors. Managed by a team of seasoned investment professionals, OurCrowd vets and selects opportunities, invests its own capital, and brings companies to its accredited membership of global investors.  OurCrowd provides post-investment support to its portfolio companies, assigns industry experts as mentors, and takes board seats.  The OurCrowd community of almost 15,000 investors from over 110 countries has invested over $300m into 100 portfolio companies and funds.  (OurCrowd 21.09)

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2.9  Samsung Launches Israel Startup Investment Program

Samsung is stepping up its investments in Israeli early-stage startups by opening a branch of its early-stage technology investment program – Samsung NEXT Tel Aviv.  The Korean electronics giant has been investing enthusiastically in Israeli startups over the past few years through the Samsung Venture Investment Corporation (SVIC) and the Samsung Catalyst Fund whose portfolios includes smartphone battery developer StoreDot, 3D photography company Mantis Vision, video company Interlude, consumer wearable company LifeBEAM, biometric sensing company Sensifree and camera sensor company Unispectral.  Samsung also has a startup accelerator in Yakum between Herzliya and Netanya.  (Globes 26.09)

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2.10  Aleph Closes $180 Million Israel Venture Capital Fund

Aleph has closed its Aleph II fund after reaching their target of $180 million.  The closing of the fund was announced in a Rosh Hashanah New Year’s message on the Aleph website.  This is Aleph’s second fund and larger than the $150 million, which was closed in 2013. Aleph declined to provide details about the new fund’s investors.

Tel Aviv’s Aleph is a venture capital fund focused on partnering with great entrepreneurs to help scale them into large, meaningful companies and globally recognized brands.  It is an Equal Partnership of Eden Shochat, Michael Eisenberg and Aaron Rosenson.  (Aleph 26.09)

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2.11  CUBE Arrives in Tel Aviv as a Matchmaker Between Israeli Startups & Global Corporations

CUBE, a global innovation ecosystem dedicated to connecting startups and corporations, is coming to DLD Tel Aviv to scout for local startups to join its ecosystem.  CUBE’s delegation to Israel includes high-level execs from leading global corporations like: the Head of Communications at Bayer; and the Business Innovation Manager, Chief Customer Officer, and Head of Industry 4.0 at Volkswagen Group, to name a few.  Located in the heart of Berlin, CUBE is connecting between startups in its ecosystem and partners.  By placing teams side by side, CUBE intends to facilitate even greater connections between industry leaders and innovative B2B startups. CUBE will also meet with local investors and tech influencers to connect them to CUBE’s network.

Startups and corporations are cultural opposites; they don’t speak the same language. CUBE maintains various projects and modules to connect innovative startups and leading corporations – but that’s not enough. CUBE also acts as an interpreter between the two, understanding the needs of both startups and corporations, while also facilitating deals and digitalization faster than any other innovation scouting platform.  Guided by the desire to make an impact and not just set forth business opportunities, CUBE is now coming to Israel to scout and meet startups focusing on a. Life sciences, including digital health and agritech, b. Machinery and manufacturing and c. Infrastructure and interconnectivity

CUBE then acts as matchmaker between those B2B startups and industry leaders that can benefit from the changes in operations and processes the young companies can provide.  (CUBE 26.09)

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2.12  Nano Dimension Raises $12 Million in Public Offering of American Depositary Shares

Nano Dimension announced the pricing of its public offering of 1,850,000 American Depository Shares (ADSs) at a price of $6.50 per ADS.  In addition, Nano Dimension has granted the underwriters a 45-day over-allotment option to purchase up to 277,500 additional ADSs at the public offering price.  All of the ADSs are being offered by the Company.  The Company expects to receive gross proceeds from the offering, excluding the exercise of the over-allotment option, if any, of approximately $12 million, excluding underwriting discounts and commissions and other offering-related expenses.  Assuming the full exercise of the over-allotment option, the gross proceeds may reach $13.8 million.  Nano Dimension intends to use the proceeds of this offering to fund sales and marketing activities of its printers, scaling up of its production facilities, production expenses relating to its printers and inks, research and development, potential licensing, as well as for general working capital and other corporate purposes.  The offering is expected to close on 30 September, subject to customary closing conditions.

Ness Ziona’s Nano Dimension, founded in 2012, focuses on development of advanced 3D printed electronics systems and advanced additive manufacturing.  Nano Dimension’s unique products combine three advanced technologies: 3D inkjet, 3D software and nanomaterials.  The company’s primary products include the first 3D printer dedicated to printing multi-layer PCBs (printed circuit boards) and advanced nanotechnology-based conductive and dielectric inks.  (Nano Dimension 27.09)

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2.13  Reporty Raises $5.15 Million

Reporty has raised $5.15m in a Series A financing round led by its chairman, former Israeli Prime Minister and Defense Minister Ehud Barak.  The homeland security company has raised $7 million to date with the participation of investors from the US, Asia, Europe, and Israel.  The company intends to use the funds to continue to develop its solution and bring it to market.

Reporty provides a national system to enhance first response to emergency events through real time video and audio.  The app, now launching in 160 countries, allows users to instantly and automatically transmit critical information to local dispatchers through real time video and audio from the scene, including a pinpointed location accurate to one meter (including indoor floor levels). If the dispatcher is receiving multiple reports for the same car accident, he/she can select the report with the best quality transition or one with the highest reliability score.  The solution features a free Android or iOS app, dispatch control system, and a call transferring/rerouting/prioritizing system which can pinpoint indoor and outdoor locations.

Israel’s Reporty has set out to bridge the gap between the people and the resources designed to help them.  They are introducing the most innovative technology the public safety sector has ever seen.  Using the power of the crowd, Reporty is revolutionizing the way first response and public safety agencies manage events in the field.  Their ground-breaking communications platform shows the true nature of any event, emergency or non-emergency, as it unfolds.  When dispatchers have a complete understanding of a situation they can more effectively allocate the resources that are necessary to get the job done and to save lives.  (Globes 27.09)

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2.14  SecBi Raises $5 Million

SecBi has raised $5 million in a Series A financing round from Orange Digital Ventures, Connecticut Innovations, Amichai Shulman and previous investor Jerusalem Venture Partners (JVP).  SecBi said the proceeds will be used to launch SecBI’s debut product, a software solution which automates threat detection and incident investigation.  SecBi harnesses machine learning technology to monitor and analyze network log data, identify interesting patterns and hidden threats, and compile comprehensive narratives that help IT professionals ward off cyber-attacks swiftly.  Some of the investment will be used for increasing marketing and sales in the US and Europe.

Beer Sheva’s SecBI provides an advanced threat detection system that uncovers the full scope of cyber-attacks, including all affected users, domains, assets and more.  Based on proprietary machine learning technology, SecBI’s solution detects advanced threats that other systems miss, creates a comprehensive incident storyline with autonomous investigation, and enables rapid and accurate mitigation.  SecBI’s team uniquely balances cybersecurity domain expertise with technological ingenuity, and entrepreneurship with large scale operational experience and business leadership.  (SecBi 27.09)

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2.15  3DSignals Raises $3 Million

Founded in 2015, Kfar Saba’s 3DSignals has closed a seed financing round of $3 million from Grove Ventures.  3DSignals develops an ultrasonic acoustic sensor which predicts electro-mechanical failure long before it becomes production-interruptive.  3DSignals help factories and machine manufacturers improve production efficiency by reducing unexpected downtimes of critical assets and optimizing operational parameters.

Sound taps into a part of the brain and that allows humans to instantly know if a machine is working as it should or about to malfunction.  In the case of industry and manufacturing, engineers have used this innate intuition to diagnose equipment problems using sound since the time of early machines.  3DSignals was designed to build upon this fundamental human capacity and enable engineers to monitor multiple pieces of equipment, access that data from any location, and make quick decisions that can avoid costly machine disasters.  (Globes 30.09)

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2.16  Pixoneye Raises £2.4 Million

The popularity of Pixoneye’s groundbreaking mobile data analytics and personalization platform, which has been dubbed “the holy grail” for marketers shows no sign of waning, letting it raise another £2.4 million in series A funding.  The boost to Pixoneye, follows an initial investment round that launched mid-April and closed after just two months as investors quickly spotted the potential of the platform to transform the accuracy in the way brands reach customers.  The new investment will be used by Pixoneye to change the way that mobile data is aggregated and analyzed, eliminating the need to transfer it into the cloud for processing.  In this way, the company will guarantee greater consumer data privacy and security, as well as helping businesses save resources by making data analysis more efficient.  The money will also be used for the growth of Pixoneye’s London team, with four senior commercial hires planned in the coming months.

The success of this funding round marks the latest achievement in what has been a fruitful 18 months for Pixoneye.  In June 2015, the company reached the final of Unilever’s Next Big Thing awards; in September 2015, the company was singled out as part of the top 1% of Israeli startups by Microsoft Ventures and in February 2016, it won first place in mobile marketing at Mobile World Congress.  January 2016 saw Pixoneye, which already held an office in Tel Aviv, open up its first office in London.  This latest funding round brings the total capital raised by Pixoneye to just under £3 million to date.

With Tel Aviv’s Pixoneye’s picture-perfect solutions, targeting and personalization abilities reach a whole new level.  No longer do you have to rely on basic data such as age, gender, geolocation and browsing patterns, which create a false illusion of user-personalization.  Using our strong image-understanding algorithm, you truly get the full picture of each user’s life story, extracting the exact data that you need to optimize your targeting capabilities.  (Pixoneye 28.09)

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2.17  Codefresh Raises $7 Million

Codefresh, the end-to-end Docker and other container lifecycle management platform, closed a $7 million financing round.  The investment was led by Carmel Ventures with the participation of Hillsven Capital, Streamlined Ventures and UpWest Labs.  This new round will allow Codefresh to consolidate its position in the container-based development market.  Codefresh is at the forefront of bringing Docker and other containers to the enterprise with a CI/CD platform built for Docker from the ground-up.  Codefresh’s business is growing rapidly and the funds will be used to further accelerate growth of the company’s engineering, customer success, and business operations with the aim of making agile software development and release cycles using containers radically easier and faster.

Codefresh is already being used in production by dozens of companies such as IronSource, JFrog and HPE, who are benefiting from it as their CI/CD and Docker image management platform.  Codefresh seamlessly integrates with best-of-breed container technologies and toolsets, such as testing, orchestration and registries, enabling a holistic approach to container lifecycle management.

Founded in 2014, Ramat Gan’s Codefresh builds Docker images on every change in a branch or pull request.  It can then store the image in a Docker registry of your choice or in the Codefresh built-in registry.  Codefresh can monitor your GIT repository or be triggered from any CI service.  (Globes 29.09)

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2.18  Karamba Security Announces Strategic Investment from Fontinalis Partners

Karamba Security has secured an investment from Fontinalis Partners, a firm solely focused on investing in and scaling technology companies that are advancing next-generation mobility solutions.  Fontinalis Partners led the $2.5 million round, with participation from existing investors YL Ventures and GlenRock.  Unlike enterprise and mobile technologies, whose greatest cybersecurity risk is data loss, the risk from a hacked connected or autonomous car is much greater.  Carwall, Karamba Security’s software, secures vehicles from cyberattacks by automatically locking down electronic control units (ECUs), according to factory settings.  Carwall blocks operations outside of factory settings at the ECU level; hardening the car against hackers that try to compromise the ECU in order to take control of the car’s safety systems, such as brakes and airbags.  Five months after emerging from stealth and raising its first round of financing, Karamba Security has completed technology proofs of concept with several industry Tier-1 providers, and has been experiencing strong demand for its solutions from vehicle OEMs and Tier-1 providers.

Hod HaSharon’s Karamba Security provides industry-leading autonomous cybersecurity solutions for connected and autonomous vehicles.  Karamba’s software products automatically harden the ECUs of connected and autonomous cars, preventing hackers from manipulating and compromising those ECUs and hacking into the car.  Karamba’s Autonomous Security prevents cyberattacks with zero false positives, no connectivity requirements and negligible performance impact.  (Karamba Security 29.09)

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3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Saudi Arabian Airlines Eyes 63 New Aircraft in Fleet Revamp

Saudi Arabian Airlines (Saudia) will acquire 63 aircraft as part of a fleet modernization program.  The airline will acquire 15 Boeing B777-300ER, 13 Boeing B787 Dreamliners and 35 Airbus A320 and A321-neo.  Saudi Arabia’s air travel industry is benefiting from strong population growth and rising incomes since the country announced in 2012 that it would liberalize its domestic aviation market.  At present the state-owned carrier’s only domestic competitor is budget carrier flynas.  In 2015 Saudia said it would raise the number of its planes to 200 from 119 and add new international and domestic routes.  (AB 24.09)

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3.2  Kewaunee Scientific Wins $18 Million Deal to Equip Kuwait University Laboratories

North Carolina’s Kewaunee Scientific Corporation has announced that it has been awarded a contract valued at $18.5 million for the new College of Science complex for Kuwait University’s Sabah Al-Salem University City.  This is the second college at the new Sabah Al-Salem University City for which Kewaunee will be supplying laboratory furniture, fume hoods, and related products.  It said it is nearing completion of its contract to provide similar products for the College of Engineering and Petroleum complex.  Founded in 1906, Kewaunee Scientific Corporation is a global leader in the design, manufacture, and installation of laboratory, healthcare, and technical furniture products.  (Kewaunee 01.10)

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3.3  Affordable Housing Demand Rising in Saudi Capital City

There is increasing demand for affordable housing in Riyadh as Saudi Arabia’s population growth continues to outstrip property market supply, according to Chestertons.  Its Riyadh Real Estate Market Overview for Q2 said that Riyadh’s population has grown by 52% over the past 15 years and currently stands at 6.5 million in 2016.  However, only 500,000 units have been built during the same period, leading to a dearth of low cost housing across the capital.  “The Saudi government is all too aware of the acute shortage in low cost housing units, but continuing low oil prices have resulted in inevitable cuts in public spending, which has in turn hit public housing projects,” said Declan McNaughton, managing director UAE, Chestertons MENA.  “So far the impact on rental rates has been minimal, but it is beginning to drive prices higher in some areas that have traditionally provided value-led accommodation for budget conscious tenants,” he added.

The report said average annual rental rates for apartments in Riyadh are currently $7,182.  In the sought after central Riyadh area, where the most expensive rental rates are to be found, the Al Wahah district tops the list at $18,700 while the district of Jarir was the least expensive at $9,350.  It added that average rental rates for villas in Riyadh are $31,510 with the city center once again proving to be the most expensive with districts Al Wahah, Al Muruj, Al Sulimaniyah, Al Wurud, and Al Olaya commanding prices of $66,665.

The average sales price for an apartment in Riyadh is currently $117,771.  However, districts across Riyadh top out at $186,661 including the districts of Hittin in Northern Riyadh, Al Raid in Western Riyadh, Al Hamras in Eastern Riyadh and in Central Riyadh, Al Wahah is the most expensive at $239,993.  Average sales prices for a villa are $476,768 with the highest averages typically being commanded in the city center with the lowest in South Riyadh.  (AB 24.09)

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3.4  Papa John’s International Announces Development Deal to Expand in Egypt

Louisville, Kentucky’s Papa John’s International continues its expansion in Egypt with the signing of a restaurant development agreement.  Vanatge Egypt, for Tourism and Entertainment (Vantage), a Papa John’s franchisee for the past 10 years, recently entered into a development agreement to open an additional 18 units.  Vantage currently operates 36 Papa John’s restaurants throughout Egypt.

Papa John’s International is the world’s third-largest pizza delivery company.  For 15 of the past 17 years, consumers have rated Papa John’s No. 1 in customer satisfaction among all national pizza chains in the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI).  (Papa John’s 30.09)

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3.5  Air Canada Adds Non-Stop Montreal-Algiers Flights Starting in Summer 2017

Air Canada announced the addition of a Montreal-Algiers route that will launch in June 2017, subject to government approvals.  Building on Air Canada’s success in Casablanca with flights returning on a year-round basis in April 2017, the service to Algiers will be the only non-stop flight by a Canadian carrier between Montreal and the North African city, establishing Air Canada as an important player in the large and growing market between Canada and Algeria.  The new seasonal route will be operated by Air Canada Rouge with a 282-seat Boeing 767-300ER aircraft, featuring a choice of three customer comfort options: Economy; Preferred seating offering additional legroom; and Premium Rouge with additional personal space and enhanced service.  Flights are timed to optimize connectivity to and from Air Canada’s Montreal hub.

Casablanca service returns on April 19, 2017 on a year-round basis with three flights a week, increasing to daily service in June 2017 and continuing with three flights a week during the winter season.  Flights are operated by Air Canada Rouge with a 282-seat Boeing 767-300ER, featuring a choice of three customer comfort options: Economy; Preferred seating offering additional legroom; and Premium Rouge with additional personal space and enhanced service.  (Air Canada 28.09)

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3.6  HAVELSAN Completes Acquisition of Quantum3D

Milpitas, California’s Quantum3D, a leading provider of training and simulation solutions for government and commercial applications, together with HAVELSAN, a prominent global software and systems provider based in Ankara, Turkey, announced that HAVELSAN has secured all necessary U.S. Government approvals and completed the process of acquiring the flight simulation business assets of Quantum3D.  HAVELSAN’s U.S.-based subsidiary will retain the intellectual property and product lines of Quantum3D, and will continue to have offices in Milpitas, CA and Orlando, FL.

Quantum3D Government Systems will be a distinct and separate services-oriented company, selling complete training solutions and services to U.S. and foreign government entities.  Quantum3D Government Systems, previously known as CG2 Inc., has a long and successful track record of delivering R&D, Engineering, and Design Services to U.S. Government customers.  Going forward, the former CG2 entity will do business under the name “Quantum3D Government Systems.”

Headquartered in Ankara, Turkey, HAVELSAN is a global systems and software company serving the information and defense market around the world. HAVELSAN specializes in the fields of Command Control and Combat Systems, Cyber Security and Information Technologies, Management Information Systems, and Simulation, Training and Test Systems.  (Quantum3D 04.10)

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4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Top Innovations in Israeli Clean Energy Solutions to be Showcased at 7th Eilat-Eilot Conference

The 7th Eilat-Eilot Renewable and Clean Energy Conference (EilatRE2016), to be held 27 – 29 November 2016 at the Dan Hotel in Eilat, Israel, will bring together industry leaders, government officials and sector investors to focus on the next generation technologies that will advance the global transition to renewable energy.  Hosted by the Eilat-Eilot Renewable Energy Initiative – a non-profit organization dedicated to promoting the use and development of renewable energy as a regional development catalyst – the conference provides an opportunity for global industry leaders and investors to see firsthand the disruptive technologies and game-changing innovations coming out of Israel, a world leader in clean energy startup companies per capita.

This year’s keynote speaker will be Greg Wasserman, Partner at former U.S. Vice President Al Gore’s Generation Investment Management.  Other speakers include Itamar Orlandi, Head of Applied Research at Bloomberg New Energy Finance and Dr. Griffin M. Thompson, Director of the Office of Electricity and Energy Efficiency at the U.S. Department of State’s Bureau of Energy Resources.  A delegation from the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), headquartered in Abu Dhabi, will also participate in the event as part of the organization’s mission to create a strategic renewable energy plan for the Israeli government.

A highlight of the conference will be EnergyVest, which will be hosting the Cleantech Open competition, providing a platform for the most promising Israeli clean energy entrepreneurs to pitch their innovations to investors and for investors from across the globe to discover the under-the-radar local startups spearheading the latest advances in cleantech.  The conference program will be complemented by a cleantech exhibition, offering attendees from industry, academia and government a unique opportunity to exchange ideas and network with relevant companies, vendors and technologies from Israel and abroad.

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4.2  IFC Arranges Financial Package to Build Solar Plant in Northern Jordan

International Finance Corporation (IFC), a member of the World Bank Group, has arranged a $76 million financing package for Fotowatio Renewable Ventures (FRV) to build a new 50 megawatt solar photovoltaic (PV) power plant in northern Jordan, the latest in a series of efforts to boost renewable energy investments in the oil-importing country.  The financing package, which includes $21 million from the IFC-Canada Climate Change Programme, will support the construction of FRV’s first solar power plant in the city of Mafraq.  The new plant will supply power at 6.9 cents per kilowatt-hour — a price far below Jordan’s average cost of electricity and among the lowest for solar energy worldwide.

The plant, which is due to start operating in 2018, represents approximately 1% of Jordan’s overall generation capacity and is expected to supply about 155 million kilowatt hours of electricity per year, sufficient to power over 40,000 average homes.  It is also expected to create about 250 jobs during the construction phase and help reduce the carbon footprint by displacing over 80,000 metric tons of CO2 per year, equivalent to removing approximately 17,000 cars from the country’s roads.  The Mafraq plant is the first PV solar plant to be financed out of the four planned under the Jordanian government’s second round of solar PV projects, said the statement.

In November 2013, IFC closed financing for the first commercial-scale renewable energy project, the 117-megawatt Tafilah wind farm. IFC followed this in 2014 with the financing of the Jordanian government’s first seven solar PV plants; the largest-ever private sector-led solar project in the MENA region, according to the statement.  FRV is a global solar development company with a 4.3 GW development portfolio in the emerging solar markets including Australia, the Middle East, India, Africa and Latin America.  (JT 25.09)

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4.3  Dewa Unveils Fully Solar-Powered Headquarters

When Dubai Electricity and Water Authority (Dewa) celebrates its 60th birthday in 2019, the public utility will gift itself a new fully solar-powered headquarters.  Once completed, it is expected to be the largest and tallest “net-zero” energy building in the world.  Energy consumption in net-zero energy buildings is equivalent to the amount of renewable energy it produces on site on an annual basis.  Dewa’s new headquarters, Al Sheraa (Arabic for “The Sail”), was exhibited during the first Dubai Solar Show, which is part of the Water, Energy, Technology and Environment Exhibition (Wetex) 2016 that opened on 4 October.  Al Sheraa, which will be built in Al Jadaf, will have six stories on one side and 70 stories on the other side.  It is touted as a cultural symbol in the UAE for its seafaring heritage.  The “Sail”, which holds 16,500 square meters of solar panels, acts as a shading source for the building. It faces the south-southwest direction to maximize harvested solar energy.  Natural light during the day will stream through special opening in the sail, illuminating offices and giving sufficient light without the associated heat.  The building will generate renewable energy amounting to more than 7,000 mWh annually.  (GN 04.10)

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5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanon’s Average Consumer Prices Dropped 2.05% y-o-y by August 2016

According to the Central Administration of Statistics (CAS), Lebanon’s average Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined by 2.05% y-o-y by August 2016, where the average CPI fell from 97.37 points during the first eight months of 2015 to an average of 95.38 points in the same period of 2016.  In detail, average prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages (20.6% of CPI) fell 1.45% y-o-y by August 2016. Moreover, as oil prices are still on the downfall, transportation (13.1% of CPI) and water, electricity, gas & other fuels (11.9% of CPI) also recorded average yearly decreases of 5.90% and 12.48%, respectively.  Similarly, health (7.8% of CPI) and communication (4.6% of CPI) registered a 2.57% and 0.30% y-o-y average declines, respectively.

On the other side, the education sub-index, constituting 5.9% of the CPI, rose by 1.49% y-o-yon average by August 2016.  Moreover, due to the summer season and the occurrence of significant holidays, average restaurants & hotels prices (2.6% of CPI) increased by 2.69% y-o-y by August 2016.  The actual rent sub-index for households (old and new rent), with a weight of 3.4% of the CPI, grew by an average of 2.70%.  (CAS 27.09)

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5.2  Lebanon Ranked 101st out of 138 Countries in the Global Competitiveness Index

According to the World Economic Forum report, Lebanon ranked 101st out of 138 countries, with a score of 3.8 out of 7 in the Global Competitive Index (GCI) for 2016-2017, compared to a similar score and rank in GCI 2015-16, where the number of countries was 140.  Lebanon achieved a score of 4.0 in its Efficiency Enhancers sub index.  However, it had a score of 3.6 in the basic requirements sub-index. As for the country’s most competitive pillars, they were health & primary education; Goods market efficiency, business sophistication and innovation.  Lebanon’s score in the GCI was among the worst compared to the countries of the Arab Region.  Among the worst performers in the region, along with Lebanon, was Egypt with a rank of 115.  (BLOMInvest 30.09)

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5.3  Total Number of Lebanon’s Registered New Cars Barely Changed by August 2016

According to the Association of Lebanese Car Importers, the total number of newly registered commercial and passenger cars marginally fell 0.04% year- on- year (y-o-y) to 27,355 cars by August 2016.  The number of registered commercial cars increased by 21.48% y-o-y to 1,793, while the number of registered passenger vehicles dropped 1.27% to reach 25,562 cars during the first eight months of the year.  Japanese model cars grasped the largest market share in total passenger cars, with a share of 37.67% by August 2016, followed by Korean cars, with a market share of 35.07%, and European cars with 20.18% of the total market share.  Moreover, both American and Korean cars observed an increase in their sales with respective growths of 10.62% and 0.31% y-o-y, while European and Japanese cars’ sales slid 3.17% and 3.34%, respectively. In terms of car brands, Kia maintained its top rank, with the largest share of 19.78% of newly registered passenger cars, followed by Hyundai, Toyota and Nissan with respective shares of 15.13%, 13.70%, and 10.09%.  As for sales per importer, Natco acquired the largest stake of newly registered cars with 18.48% of the total, followed by Century Motor Co. with 14.40%, BUMC and RYMCO with 14.35% and 12.02%, respectively.  (ALC 26.09)

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5.4  Lebanon’s Fiscal Deficit Widens to $1.94 Billion by June 2016

According to the Ministry of Finance, Lebanon’s fiscal deficit broadened by 8.52% to reach $1.94B by June 2016, versus a deficit of $1.78B in the same period in 2015.  Specifically, during the first half of the year, total revenues grew 6.61% y-o-y to $5.34B, while total expenditures expanded at a faster rate of 7.11% to $7.27B.  The increase in revenues can be attributed to the 2.59% y-o-y rise in total tax revenues, where customs revenues and VAT revenues improved by 1.34% and 1.77% to $674.17M and $1.05B, respectively.  As for telecom revenues, they witnessed an escalation of 12.27% y-o-y to $617.50M.  In terms of expenditures, most expenses were allocated for transfers to EDL and the debt service.  As global oil prices significantly dropped by June 2016 when compared to the same period of 2015; the value of transfers to EDL registered an annual drop of 46.71% to $334.41M.  As for the debt service, it grew by an annual 7.61% to $2.43B by June 2016, due the higher interest payments on both domestic and foreign debt.  The primary surplus, which excludes Lebanon’s debt service, stood at $495.19M by June 2016, a 4.21% rise from a surplus of $475.10M by August 2015.  (LMoF 25.09)

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5.5  Jordan Signs $10 Billion Leviathan Gas Deal

Leviathan partners have signed a huge agreement to provide Jordan’s National Electric Power Company (NEPCO) with 45 BCM of natural gas, worth an estimated $10 billion.  Under the terms of the agreement, the marketing firm owned by the Leviathan partners, NBL Jordan Marketing, will provide NEPCO with natural gas over a 15 year period.  According to the export agreement, supply is to commence once gas from Leviathan is flowing and the pipelines to convey the natural gas between Israel and Jordan are laid.  This deal is for one tenth of the gas in the Leviathan field.  The agreement is linked to the price of a barrel of Brent crude and includes a lower threshold and a conveyance fee.  The Leviathan partners estimate that the cumulative revenue from natural gas sale to NEPCO may reach $10 billion, assuming that the Jordanian company consumes the overall volume stipulated in the contract; this sum is based on estimates made by the partners regarding the price of natural gas during the term of the agreement.  Actual revenue will be affected by various factors, including the volume of gas NEPCO actually buys and Brent prices during the period of the contract.

In September 2014, NEPCO signed a letter of intent with Noble Energy to research the possibility of supplying its power stations with around 300 million cubic feet of gas from the Mediterranean field off the coast of Haifa.  The Arab Potash Company and the Jordan Bromine Company have also signed deals with Noble Energy in 2014 to import 2 billion cubic meters of natural gas from Israel.  (Various 26.09)

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5.6  World Bank Approves $300 Million Loan to Jordan

The World Bank approved on 27 September a concessionary loan of $300 million to support Jordan’s efforts to improve the investment climate, attract investors, reform the labor market and grant access to the Syrian labor force to contribute to economic growth.  The bank said the Economic Opportunities for Jordanians and Syrian Refugees Program, approved by the bank group’s board of directors, will support trade facilitation and investment promotion, especially in existing special economic zones, and foster Jordanian and Syrian entrepreneurship activities.  The World Bank Group has been working with the government and donors to support the authorities in implementing the economic opportunities aspect of the Jordan Compact agreed on at the London conference in February, which involves, in particular, attracting investments and creating jobs for Jordanians and Syrian refugees.

The $300 million loan and credit is being provided on concessional terms through the Global Concessional Financing Facility.  As part of the program and in support of the Jordan Compact implementation, an increasing number of Syrians will receive work permits to be able to access formal jobs and decent labor conditions.   A partnership among the government, donor countries and development actors will improve the investment climate and investment promotion to attract international and domestic investments, it added.  The foreign investments will most likely come from the Syrian business diaspora; regional investors; and investors targeting the EU market, the World Bank said.  (JT 28.09)

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►►Arabian Gulf

5.7  UAE Named MENA’s Most Competitive Economy and 16th globally

The UAE has been named the most competitive economy in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) and among the top 20 best performing economies in the world, according to the World Economic Forum (WEF).  The WEF’s 2016 global competitiveness index ranks the UAE 16 out of 138 countries, one place up from last year and top in MENA.  Qatar ranked 18 – two places lower than last year.  Israel ranked 24, followed by Saudi Arabia at 29 and Kuwait at 38, followed by Bahrain at 48, Jordan at 63 and Oman at 66.  Morocco was 70 in the list, while Algeria ranked 87 and Tunisia 95.

The WEF said the UAE continues to lead the MENA region, building on improvements in competitiveness in recent years.  This year small gains in areas such as technological adoption and business sophistication are partially offset by deteriorating macroeconomic stability that is the result of lower energy prices, which have led to a rise in inflation and public debt and to the emergence of a fiscal deficit.  (WEF 28.09)

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5.8  Two Thirds of Emiratis Hoping to Be Debt Free By End-2016

Some 77 % of Emiratis and 72% of expats surveyed in new research by National Bonds Corporation say that they are planning to become debt free by the end of this year.  The research also showed that nearly three quarters (73%) of Emiratis surveyed said they did not a have Sharia-compliant (takaful) life insurance policy in place, while 89% said they had no policy against disabilities.  For expats, 83% said they had no takaful coverage, with 17% said they had no life insurance coverage at all.

In August, research from same organization showed that more than half of the UAE’s Western expats want to increase their savings in 2016, compared with 68% of Arab expats and 60% of Emiratis.  About 34% surveyed claimed to have saved less than they planned.  The findings indicated that both nationals and expats were becoming increasingly aware of the importance of saving for a sound future, National Bonds said.  (AB 27.09)

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5.9  Saudi Economic Growth Hits Three-Year Low in Second Quarter

Saudi Arabia’s economy grew at its slowest rate in more than three years between April and June, government data showed on 30 September.  Some analysts said the figures might be understating the extent of the blow from low oil prices.  Growth has been weakening since early 2015 as cheap oil slashes state revenues and pushes the government into spending cuts, which are weighing on the private sector and consumer spending.  GDP, adjusted for inflation, rose 1.4% from a year earlier in the second quarter of 2016, after growth of 1.5% in the first quarter.  It was the slowest growth since 0.3% in the first quarter of 2013.

The oil sector expanded 1.6% from a year ago, slowing from 5.1% growth, while the non-oil sector grew 0.4%, recovering from a fall of 0.7% in the previous quarter.  The private sector grew just 0.1% in the second quarter.  The figures suggested the Saudi economy was faring better in the face of oil’s slump than many people feared.  Nevertheless, analysts said Saudi data could be erratic – growth for the fourth quarter of 2015 was ultimately revised down to 1.8% from an original estimate of 3.6% – and said there could be a similar revision in this case.

Recently, the Saudi cabinet announced it was cutting bonuses and other financial perks for public sector workers; since such allowances account for as much as 30% of many Saudis’ income, the policy may have a significant impact on consumer spending and saddle banks with more non-performing consumer loans.  (Reuters 01.10)

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5.10  Saudi Central Bank to Inject $5.3 Billion to Boost Financial Stability

Saudi Arabia’s central bank said it would deposit about 20 billion riyals ($5.3 billion) at commercial banks and introduce two new money market instruments to fight a surge in market interest rates caused by low oil prices.  It will inject the funds in the form of time deposits on behalf of government entities to “support financial stability”, it said on 25 September.  It will also introduce seven- and 28-day repurchase agreements to lend money to banks when needed.  Previously, the central bank has typically only used repo agreements with one-day maturities.

Low global oil prices have slashed government revenue and the volume of petrodollars flowing into the Saudi banking system.  Total deposits at commercial banks, which grew continuously for years, were down 3.3% in June from a year earlier.  This has strained liquidity in the banking system and pushed up interbank money rates.  The one-year Saudi interbank offered rate has jumped by more than 1.5%age points in the past 15 months.

That in turn threatens banks’ ability to lend to the private sector at affordable rates, a key consideration as the government tries to limit damage to the economy from cheap oil, and raises borrowing costs for the government, which is selling bonds to the banks every month to finance a big budget deficit.  The central bank has been battling to slow the rise in money rates since early this year, cutting back its sales of bills to banks.  This announcement appears to be an effort to make its money market management more transparent and predictable, which could ease investors’ concerns.  (AB 25.09)

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►►North Africa

5.11  Egypt Sees Slight Progress in Global Competitiveness Index 2016, Ranked 115th

Egypt stepped up one spot to rank 115th among 138 nations in the Global Competitive Index (GCI) 2016/17, released on 28 September by the World Economic Forum.  The Arab nation remains stable within the index, scoring 3.67 out of 7 in 2016/17 up from 3.66 in the previous year, according to the GCI report.  The index that highlighted the key economic weaknesses of a country in the midst of reform, ranks nations according to 12 “pillars,” including infrastructure, institutions, education, labor market, technological readiness and business sophistication, to determine overall economic competitiveness.  The 12 pillars are shaping the GCI’s three sub-indexes of the basic requirements, which saw Egypt in 117th place out of total 138 countries, efficiency enhancers (100th) and innovation and sophistication factors (111th.)  The most populous Arab country was ranked 135th in terms of labor efficiency.  According to the report, the country’s ranks regarding the quality of primary and higher education recorded 134th and 135th respectively, “which is below the performance of peer economies.”  The overall security situation ranked 133rd, “which remains fragile and imposes significant cost for business.”  (WEF 28.09)

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5.12  Egypt Petrol Subsidy Bill Down 29% in 2015 – 2016

Egypt’s spending on petroleum subsidies dropped by 28.7% in the 2015-16 financial year to compared to one year earlier, Petroleum Minister Tarek El Molla said, a greater decline than previously announced.  Egypt has been trying to wean itself off costly energy subsidies that eat up a large portion of the state budget.  Tarek al-Hadidi, head of state oil company EGPC, told Reuters in August that the subsidies had fallen by 23%, to EGP 55 billion ($71.36 billion) for the 2015-16 financial year, which ended in June.

In 2014 the government cut spending on energy subsidies, causing domestic prices of natural gas, diesel and other fuels to rise by as much as 78%, but has delayed further cuts amid low energy prices that have kept spending down.  The state’s 2016-17 budget aims to reduce subsidy expenditure further, targeting EGP 35.04 billion.  Egypt made 38 new petroleum discoveries in 2015-16, including 24 for crude oil and 14 for natural gas.  (Al-Masry Al-Youm 25.09)

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5.13  Egypt’s Incoming Tourist Numbers Fall by 51.2% During 2016

CAPMAS announced on 26 September that the number of foreign tourists visiting Egypt fell during the first half of 2016 to 2.3 million, compared to 4.8 million tourists during the same period of 2015.  CAPMAS added that the decline in the number of foreign tourists visiting Egypt stood at 51.2%.  Russian tourism decreased by 54.9%, followed by the UK with a 14.9% drop, and Germany a 6.4% drop.  The number of tourists from all over the world in 2015 stood at 9.3 million tourists, compared to 9.9 million tourists in 2014, representing a decline of 5.6%.  Russian tourists recorded the highest rate in 2015, with 67.9% of the total number of tourists who visited Egypt.  This was followed by Eastern Europe with 37.7%, Western Europe with 35.1%, the Middle East with 15.2%, and Africa with 4.5%.  (CAPMAS 26.09)

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5.14  Russia Revises Ban on Imports of Egyptian Plant Products

Russia’s food safety watchdog has revised its ban on imports of fruit and vegetables from Egypt after the lifting of Egyptian wheat import restrictions that have hurt Russia.  Rosselkhoznadzor allowed imports of Egyptian plant products except potatoes following negotiations in Moscow with its Egyptian counterparts.  This decision reverses a blanket ban on all Egyptian plant products introduced just four days before.

Russia introduced the ban after Egypt, the world’s largest wheat importer, changed its import regulations to ban any ergot fungus in imported wheat, a decision that enraged sellers worldwide and threatened supplies.  As a result, the Egyptian Cabinet reinstated previous rules allowing imported wheat to contain up to 0.05% of ergot, a common fungus that is harmless in such amounts, in line with global standards.  (AP 27.09)

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5.15  Morocco’s Economy to Grow 0.8% in Fourth Quarter of 2016

The Moroccan economy is expected to grow 0.8% in the fourth quarter of 2016, instead of 5.1% a year earlier, due to a regression of 12.4% of the agricultural value added, according to the High Commission for Planning (HCP).  Production prospects of autumnal crops, notably citrus fruits and early vegetables are expected to be less favorable, given the lack of rain and temperatures above normal that characterized their flowering stage.  Farming activities are to grow at a slower pace because of raising prices of animal foodstuff, notably straw and the local barley.  Concerning global demand, it is expected to rise by 2.6% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2016.  This increase would continue to benefit some industries, such as automotive and aerospace, noted the HCP, estimating that the value added, excluding agriculture, is projected to grow by 2% in the fourth quarter of 2016 year-on-year.  (MWN 04.10)

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5.16  Morocco Becomes International Hub of the Aerospace Industry

Boeing Commercial Airlines CEO Raymond Conne and Moroccan Trade and Industry Minister Moulay Hafid Elalamy signed an agreement on 29 September to create a new manufacturing hub in the city of Tangier.  The hub is estimated to create 8,700 jobs and generate $1 billion annually in export revenue. In addition, 120 suppliers and sub-contractors are expected relocate to the region.  The signing was attended by King Mohammad VI and seen as a major success by Morocco’s already growing aerospace industry.

This agreement with Boeing was just one of many recent deals with major corporations highlighting Morocco’s expanding international aerospace presence.  Another major aerospace corporation, Bombardier Aerospace, which already has a factory in Casablanca, announced last month that it will move a larger portion of its business operations from Northern Ireland to Morocco.  As a strategic location with easy access to Europe, the Middle East and the rest of Africa, Morocco has become a popular destination for corporations like Bombardier and Boeing looking to expand internationally.

Morocco is now home to over 110 aerospace related corporations that specialize in metalworking, electronics and avionics, composite manufacturing, boiler making, maintenance, repair, technical support, assembly of sub-structures and manufacturing of auxiliary parts.  With the influx of these new specialized corporations is also an influx of many new specialized jobs. Unemployment in Morocco is currently at 8.6%, based on official statistics, but according to L’economiste, just within the aerospace industry alone, 23,000 new jobs will be created by 2020.  By successfully utilizing the youth population for production and fostering lasting relationships with the major corporations in the country, like Boeing and Bombardier, Morocco will become a major component of the global aerospace industry.  (MWN 29.09)

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5.17  Morocco Leads North Africa in Economic Competitiveness

According to the World Economic Forum’s annual report, Morocco advanced two places compared to last year.  In 70th place, Morocco dominates over all the other North African countries, including Algeria (87th), Tunisia (95th) and Mauritania (173rd).  The Arab world generally has seen a decrease of 3.5% in global growth compared to the first decade of the millennium, due to the delicate world economic situation and regional conflicts, according to the report.  In Africa, Morocco ranks as the continent’s fifth competitive economy, after Mauritius, South Africa, Rwanda and Botswana.  A number of factors stand in the way of Morocco’s economic advancement.  Such obstacles include lack of access to financing, an unqualified workforce, an inefficient bureaucracy, high tax rates, and corruption.  With respect to higher education, Morocco lost two places, landing in 106th position.  Similarly, productivity in Morocco’s labor market also declined.  On a ten-point scale, Morocco received 4.25 for its infrastructure, 4.21 on its economic institutions, and 5.08 with respect to its macroeconomic environment.  (MWN 03.10)

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6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkey’s Trade Deficit Falls 17% in First Eight Months of 2016 Due to Oil Slump

Turkey’s foreign trade gap declined 17.3% in the first eight months of the year to $37.5 billion compared to the same period of 2015, mainly thanks to the ongoing oil slump.  The country’s trade deficit regressed to $4.69 billion in August, a 5.3% decline compared to the same month of 2015, preliminary data from the Turkish Statistics Institute (TUIK) showed on 30 September.  While exports rose by 7.7% to $11.87 billion in August, imports increased 3.7% to $16.55 billion compared to the same month of 2015.  The country’s exports saw a decline of around 2.4% year-on-year, standing at 93.3 billion in the first eight months of the year. Imports were announced at $130.85 billion in the January-August period, a 7.2% decline from the same period of 2015.  Economy Minister Nihat Zeybekci said their main aim was to achieve sustainable growth in exports again and create products with high added value to raise competitiveness in global markets.

The share of the EU in Turkey’s exports rose to 46.5% in August from 44% in the same month of 2015.  Turkey’s largest export destination in August was Germany, with goods and services worth $1.19 billion, followed by the U.K. ($0.92 billion), Iraq ($0.7 billion) and the U.S. ($0.6 billion).  Turkey’s energy imports were announced at $17.4 billion in the first eight months of the year, down from around $26 billion in the same period of 2015, mainly due to continuing lower energy prices.  (TUIK 30.09)

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6.2  Greece Rated As Bad for Business by World Economic Forum

Political instability, rampant bureaucracy and high tax rates are not only discouraging foreign investment to Greece, but are contributing to an ever- increasing brain drain, according to the World Economic Forum (WEF), which has ranked Greece in 86th place among 138 countries in its report, published on 28 September, on Global Competitiveness for 2016-17.  According to the survey, these factors are “the most problematic for doing business.”

Greece’s dire ranking this year – a drop of five places compared to last year – was fueled further by the blow to its banking system from the imposition of capital controls in 2015, and the need for a further batch of fiscal austerity measures.  The five-point slide this year reversed an improvement, albeit slight, in the country’s competitiveness recorded in reports of previous years.

In 2012-13 Greece was 96th among 144 countries.  It moved up five places in the report of 2013-14 to 91st place out of 148, while in 2014-15 it climbed significantly to 81st place out of 144 countries.  In 2015-16 it remained in 81st but among 140 countries.  The country’s brain drain appears to be of epic proportions as it placed 124th in the category that measures the ability of countries to keep talent at home.  Greece fared dismally in the banking system development category, coming in at 136th out of 138 countries, while it was second from last, 137th, when it came to access to banking finance.  The report also highlighted the difficulties faced by companies in Greece to secure money through other means, such as funding through collateral (136th) or through capital holding funds (135th).

It was found wanting with regard to tax incentives to promote investment, coming in 136th place, while it also lagged in transparency of government policy, placing 121th.  On a brighter note, it ranked 10th in the amount of surplus engineers and scientists.  Switzerland, Singapore and the United States remain the world’s three most competitive economies, according to the report.  (Various 29.09)

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7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

*ISRAEL:

7.1  Nearly 187,000 Israeli Babies Born Over Past Year

The Central Bureau of Statistics announced on 27 September that Israel experienced a population growth rate of almost 2% over the past Jewish year, consistent with previous years.  Israel’s population now stands at 8.585 million, an increase of 172,000 from the same time last year.  The country’s birthrate is more than four times the death rate: 189,000 babies were born during the past year compared to 46,000 people dying.

Israel’s Arab population grew by 2.2%, a slightly higher growth rate than that of the Jewish population, which experienced a 1.9% increase.  Muslims grew by 2.4% and Christians by 1.5%.

The CBS found that 186,923 babies were born in Israel over the past year, while 45,033 Israelis passed away.  The survey also found that 26,990 people made aliyah over the past 12 months.  In addition, 82,315 Israelis married and 23,855 divorced during the same period.  The survey also found that the Interior Ministry printed 732,812 new Israeli identity cards over the past 12 months.

According to the data, some 939,000 senior citizens were living in Israel at the end of 2015, representing 10.4% of the general population.  The CBS said seniors are expected to make up some 14.6% of the population by 2035, more than tripling their share of the population at the state’s founding in 1948, when they represented 4% of Israelis.  The bureau said that at the end of 2015, there were 3,105 Israelis who were over 100 years old, while the number of Israelis aged 85 and up stood at about 110,000.  The data also showed that some 44% of senior citizens were at least 75 at the end of 2015.  (CBS 27.09)

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7.2  Israeli & World Leaders Bid Farewell to Shimon Peres

Israel’s ninth president, Shimon Peres, was laid to rest on 30 September in a state service held at the Great Leaders of the Nation plot on Mount Herzl, in Jerusalem.  Israeli leaders from across the political spectrum, alongside dignitaries from 70 countries worldwide, attended funeral.  Peres’ flag-draped coffin was laid in state in the Knesset Plaza the day before to allow the public to bid farewell to the last of Israel’s founding fathers.  Over 50,000 arrived at the Knesset throughout the day to pay tribute to the country’s most veteran statesman.  The official state service was held with some 5,000 people in attendance.

President Reuven Rivlin, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, Knesset Speaker Yuli Edelstein, former U.S. President Bill Clinton, author Amos Oz, and the late president’s three children, Tsvia, Yoni and Chemi spoke at the service.  U.S. President Barack Obama was the last to pay tribute to the late Israeli president.  At the family’s request, singer David D’Or performed the Avinu Malkeinu prayer.  Following state service, which ended at noon, a procession of some 500 people continued to the Great Leaders of the Nation plot, where Peres was buried.  Peres himself choose his final resting place: between Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin, who was assassinated in 1995, and Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir, who passed away in 2011.

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7.3  Two Female Lawyers Appointed as Israel’s First Ethiopian Judges

In a historic first, two female lawyers were appointed as Israel’s first Ethiopian judges on 29 September, as the Judicial Nominating Committee has named Adenko Sebhat-Haimovich to the magistrates’ court, and Esther Tapeta Gardi to the traffic court.  Justice Minister Shaked welcomed the new appointees, saying she also saw the appointment of two women2from the Ethiopian community as judges a fulfillment of late President Shimon Peres’ wishes.  Peres was prime minister at the time of Operation Moses, which brought many Ethiopian Jews to Israel in 1984.  Attorney and former MK Pnina Tamano-Shata spent years working to promote the appointment of Ethiopian-Israeli judges.  She called the historic appointments “an important step for the legal system, which belongs to everyone regardless of religion, color or gender.  This is an exciting moment, and I have no doubt that the two new judges are a source of pride and a contribution to Israeli society as a whole.  Fentahun Assefa-Dawit, executive director of the Tebeka advocacy group for justice and equality for Ethiopian Israelis, said that “this is an important, historic step.”  (Various 29.09)

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*REGIONAL:

7.4  Jordan’s King Abdullah Swears in Mulki’s New Government

Prime Minister Hani Mulki and members of his new Cabinet were sworn in on 28 September before King Abdullah.  Besides Mulki, who was designated by King Abdullah to form a new government, the Cabinet consists of 29 ministers.  Mulki formed his first government on 1 June 2016.  The premier kept three deputy prime ministers from the previous government but the portfolio of Jawad Anani, who was deputy prime minister for economic affairs and minister of industry, trade and supply, changed to deputy prime minister for economic affairs and minister of state for investment affairs.  This is the first time the government appoints a minister to be in charge of the investment sector.  Mohammad Thneibat, deputy prime minister for services and minister of education, and Nasser Judeh, deputy prime minister and minister of foreign affairs, kept their portfolios.

Twenty-two ministers from the previous government remained, while six others were not included in the new Cabinet, and seven new ministers were introduced, among them are five first-timers.  Three new portfolios were introduced in the new government: ministry of state for investment affairs, ministry of state for economic affairs and ministry of state for foreign affairs.  (RJ 29.09)

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7.5  Jordanian Parliament’s Ordinary Session to Start on 7 November

A Royal Decree was issued on 28 September, postponing the first ordinary session of the two Chambers of Parliament to 7 November 2016, according to a Royal Court statement.  Under Article 78 of the Constitution, the King summons Parliament to an ordinary session on the first day of October, but the Monarch, by Royal Decree, has the authority to postpone the start “for a period not exceeding two months”.

On 27 September, a Royal Decree was issued dissolving the Senate, while another listed the names of the 65 members of the Upper House, presided over by Faisal Fayez, who kept his title from the previous Senate.  In total, the makeup of the new Senate includes 47 figures that were not in the previous Chamber, while 18, including the president, retained their seats.  The line-up includes 10 women, up from eight in the previous Upper House.

The dissolution of the Senate was expected, in line with Article 63 of the Constitution which stipulates that the number of senators should be half the number of deputies in the Lower House or less.  The new Elections Law, under which the September 20 parliamentary polls were conducted, reduced the number of Lower House members from 150 to 130.  As for the 18th Lower House, it brought 74 first-time MPs and 56 former lawmakers to the Dome.  Among the former legislators, 39 kept their seats from the 17th Parliament and 17 had held seats in previous legislatures.

Women MPs represent 15% of the 130-member House, as five female candidates won seats outside the 15 seat-quota.  With 20 female MPs, the new Lower House has the highest number of women in Parliament’s history.  (JT 29.09)

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7.6  Iraqi Finance Minister Zebari Sacked

Iraq’s finance minister, Hoshyar Zebari, was been voted out of office by the country’s parliament on 21 September.  Lawmakers voted 158 to 77 against Zebari, after a parliamentary inquiry last month into charges of corruption and mismanagement of public funds.  Zebari, a senior Kurdish official who previously served as foreign minister, denies all wrongdoing.  Members of the Kurdish Democratic Party (KDP) said they would mount a legal challenge to the decision.  He is the second minister in a month to lose his post.  In late August defense minister Khalid al-Obaidi lost a confidence vote after he mocked lawmakers in an inquiry into corruption allegations against him.  (Various 22.09)

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7.7  Dubai Ruler Orders Second Shake-Up of Municipality Senior Officials

Dubai ruler Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum has ordered a second shake-up of senior executives working for Dubai Municipality.  Sheikh Mohammed, who is also Vice President and Prime Minister of the UAE, has ordered a number of management changes including the promotion of four senior staff to the position of assistant director general, five to the position of head of department, and the retirement of eight others.  The move is part of the Municipality’s continuous development efforts and its aim to provide greater opportunities for the younger generation to contribute to the enhancement of various vital sectors in Dubai.  Last month, Sheikh Mohammed ordered immediate management changes which include the retirement of nine members of Dubai Municipality’s executive team.  (WAM 26.09)

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7.8  Egypt Approves Tougher Jail Terms for FGM

Egypt has approved a law that will increase jail terms for those who perform female circumcisions, raising the maximum sentence to seven years from two.  Genital cutting of girls, often referred to as (FGM), is banned in Egypt but the practice remains common as a rite of passage and is often viewed as a way to protect their chastity.  More than nine in 10 women and girls aged 15 to 49 in Egypt have undergone FGM, but the number has declined in recent years, according to data collected by the United Nations.  Female genital cutting is performed on both Muslim and Christian girls in Egypt and Sudan, but is rare elsewhere in the Arab world.  It is also common in Eritrea, Ethiopia and Somalia.  The new law stipulates jail sentences of between five and seven years for doctors who perform the operation and one to three for parents who order it.  Egypt’s parliament passed the bill on increased sentences in August, but it required presidential approval to come into law.  (Reuters 29.09)

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7.9  Morocco Submits Official Request to Return to the African Union

Morocco’s Royal Advisor for Foreign Affairs met the Chairperson of the African Union Commission, On 23 September, on the sideline of the UN General Assembly, to present an official request to return to the African Union.  Morocco’s request to rejoin the African Union is expected to be on the agenda during the next AU summit, which will take place in Addis-Ababa next January.  The presence of the king’s advisor and not the Minister of Foreign Affairs demonstrates that the king is personally monitoring the initiative.

Last July, Morocco’s king, King Mohamed VI, formally stated Morocco’s intention to return to the African Union in a message to the AU summit in Rwanda, and urged the UN to reconsider the membership of the self-proclaimed SADR.  One day after the Moroccan monarch’s announcement, 28 member states welcomed the decision in a motion.  A number of African presidents have expressed their support for the initiative.  (MWN 23.09)

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8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  Israeli Researchers Make Breakthrough Discovery in Fight Against Breast Cancer

While researchers across the world are frantically working on progress in treating and curing breast cancer, one Israeli study has found that combining genetic therapy with chemotherapy delivered to the tumor is particularly effective in preventing the spread of breast cancer.  In their study, TAU researchers delivered microRNAs (small RNA molecules) to primary tumors in mice to halt the spread of cancer.  Their mission was to block a cancer cell’s ability to change shape and move.  Cancer cells alter their structure in order to squeeze past other cells, enter blood vessels and ride along to their next stop: the lungs, the brain or other vital organs.  The researchers explored the span of mutations in a tumor in order to identify precisely which ones to target.  The scientists then procured an RNA-based drug to control cell movement and created a safe nano-vehicle with which to deliver the microRNA to the tumor site.

Looking at mutations that “other researchers have ignored” – those at the tail end of a gene (as opposed to those situated within the coding region of the gene) – the team noticed that mutations there were involved in metastasis.  Two weeks after initiating cancer in the breasts of their mouse “patients,” the researchers injected into primary tumor sites a hydrogel that contained naturally occurring RNAs to target the movement of cancer cells from primary to secondary sites.  Two days after this treatment, the primary breast tumors were excised.  The mice were evaluated three weeks later using CT imaging, fluorescent labeling, biopsies and pathology.  The researchers discovered that the mice that had been treated with two different microRNAs had very few or no metastatic sites, whereas the control group — injected with randomly scrambled RNAs — exhibited a fatal proliferation of metastatic sites.  (No Camels 25.09)

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8.2  Agrinnovation – Yissum’s Agritech Investment Fund, Invests in Cannabi-Tech

Yissum Research Development Company of the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, the technology-transfer company of the Hebrew University, announced that Agrinnovation, an investment fund focused on agricultural inventions, has entered into an agreement for an investment in Cannabi-Tech, a medical cannabis company established in 2015 and based on research preformed at the Hebrew University’s Robert H. Smith Faculty of Agriculture, Food and Environment.

Cannabi-Tech is developing the world’s first accurate, affordable and easy-to-use device, for the non-destructive detection, analysis and automated sorting of individual medical cannabis flowers.  The Company’s proprietary technology combines Near Infra-Red (NIR) spectrometry and imaging tools to provide a sensitive method to detect and quantify the active compounds of the cannabis plant and a unique spectral fingerprint for each flower.  The addition of a sorter will enable automated sorting of cannabis flowers by pre-set criteria suitable for mass production.  An optional attachable label generator and automated packaging unit will pack flowers individually ensuring full composition and potency traceability and tracking for each and every flower from farmer to patient.

Founded in 2015, Agrinnovation is an investment fund focused on agricultural inventions originating from The Hebrew University’s Robert H. Smith Faculty of Agriculture, Food and Environment.  Its portfolio currently includes four technologies: protective coating for extension of shelf-life of fruits and vegetables; injectable controlled release platform for single-dose veterinary therapy; a new approach for electronic pest and insect control; and non-destructive detection, analysis and sorting of medical cannabis flowers.  Yissum Research Development Company of the Hebrew University of Jerusalem was founded in 1964 to protect and commercialize the Hebrew University’s intellectual property.  Products based on Hebrew University technologies that have been commercialized by Yissum currently generate $2 Billion in annual sales.  (Yissum 22.09)

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8.3  Teva Announces Positive Data from Second Phase III Study of SD-809 in Tardive Dyskinesia (TD)

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries announced SD-809 (deutetrabenazine) showed statistically significant results in the second Phase III registration trial studying the potential of SD-809 for the treatment of tardive dyskinesia (TD).  These new results for the AIM-TD trial follow positive results from the ARM-TD trial announced in June 2015.  Both ARM-TD and AIM-TD were 12 week treatment studies.  The U.S. FDA granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation for SD-809 for the treatment of TD in November 2015.  Teva expects to make a regulatory submission to the FDA by the end of 2016.  During the 12-week treatment, SD-809 demonstrated a favorable safety and tolerability profile.  The frequency of overall adverse events and adverse events leading to withdrawal were similar among all treatment groups. The safety profile of SD-809 was consistent with data from previously reported clinical trials.

Tardive dyskinesia is a hyperkinetic movement disorder characterized by repetitive and uncontrollable movements of the tongue, lips, face, trunk and extremities.  The often debilitating disorder affects about 500,000 people in the United States and is a result of treatment with medications used to treat psychiatric conditions such as schizophrenia and bipolar disease.  There are currently no approved medications for this condition in the United States.

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries is a leading global pharmaceutical company that delivers high-quality, patient-centric healthcare solutions used by millions of patients every day.  Headquartered in Israel, Teva is the world’s largest generic medicines producer, leveraging its portfolio of more than 1,800 molecules to produce a wide range of generic products in nearly every therapeutic area.  In specialty medicines, Teva has a world-leading position in innovative treatments for disorders of the central nervous system, including pain, as well as a strong portfolio of respiratory products.  (Teva 22.09)

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8.4  AV Medical’s Chameleon PTA Balloon Catheter Featured in Radiation Protection Pavilion at CIRSE

The Chameleon angioplasty balloon catheter from AV Medical Technologies was featured in a presentation at the recent Cardiovascular and Interventional Radiology Society of Europe (CIRSE) annual conference held in Barcelona, Spain.  The Chameleon was among a select group of products featured in the Radiation Protection Pavilion to increase awareness of radiation protection and dose management.  With its Supervision design, Chameleon is the only angioplasty balloon catheter that allows for simultaneous balloon inflation and injection of fluids in one device.  Chameleon allows physicians to visualize by injecting contrast through the catheter, whether the balloon is inflated or deflated, all while maintaining wire position.

AV Medical Technologies, a privately held medical device company headquartered in Israel, is dedicated to the development of advanced and efficient solutions in catheter-based interventions.  The company is now focusing on its flagship catheter, the Chameleon, targeted for dialysis patients undergoing routine angioplasty procedures.  (AV Medical Technologies 21.09)

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8.5  BioLineRx Signs In-licensing Agreement for Novel Treatment for Liver Failure Conditions Under Multi-University Strategic Collaboration

BioLineRx signed an exclusive, worldwide agreement with BGN Technologies, the Technology Transfer Company of Ben-Gurion University, and Hadasit, the Technology Transfer Company of Hadassah Medical Organization, for the in-licensing of a novel treatment for various liver failure conditions such as end-stage liver disease (ESLD) and for conditions potentially leading to liver failure such as non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).  This novel treatment, to be named BL-1220, is the second project in-licensed under the framework of the Company’s strategic collaboration with Novartis Pharma AG for the screening and development of novel drug candidates.  BL-1220 is an orally administered, novel composition of sodium alginate.  Pre-clinical results obtained in animal models of liver impairment suggest that BL-1220 has strong hepato-protective effects.  Collectively, the data demonstrate that BL-1220 is able to restore liver function.  This technology could be directed toward rapid regeneration of normal liver in both acute and chronic conditions of liver injury.

In December 2014, BioLineRx and Novartis Pharma AG entered into a multi-year strategic collaboration to facilitate development and commercialization of Israeli-sourced drug candidates.  Leveraging BioLineRx’s close and long-lasting ties with academic institutions, hospitals and biomedical companies in Israel, as well as its proven project screening process and development expertise, Novartis will evaluate projects identified and presented by BioLineRx for co-development and potential future licensing under the collaboration.  The companies intend to co-develop a number of pre-clinical and early clinical therapeutic projects through clinical proof-of-concept.  As part of the agreement, Novartis made an equity investment in BioLineRx of $10 million.

Modi’in’s BioLineRx is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company dedicated to identifying, in-licensing and developing promising therapeutic candidates.  The Company in-licenses novel compounds, primarily from academic institutions and biotech companies based in Israel, develops them through pre-clinical and/or clinical stages, and then partners with pharmaceutical companies for advanced clinical development and/or commercialization.  (BioLineRx 23.09)

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8.6  Regentis Receives IDE Approval for Pivotal GelrinC Clinical Trial

Regentis Biomaterials received U.S. FDA Investigational Device Exemption (IDE) approval to initiate a pivotal Phase III clinical study of GelrinC, a novel treatment for focal cartilage defects in the knee.  This clinical study will be used to support a Premarket Approval Application (PMA) which will allow Regentis to market GelrinC in the U.S.  The GelrinC procedure is easy and quick for surgeons to perform and can be carried out using a minimally invasive approach.  It is administered as a liquid allowing it to fill any size and shape of defect, making it suitable for all lesion types.  After a short exposure to ultra-violet light, GelrinC is converted into a solid implant completely filling in the lesion.  The implant naturally degrades within 6-12 months and is gradually replaced with functional and durable cartilage.  This FDA trial will evaluate the safety and efficacy of GelrinC compared to the raw level data of a historical microfracture control arm.  The study design overcomes the limitation of randomized control studies in this field, which is expected to result in faster patient enrollment and significantly reducing the time for product approval.

With offices in Or Akiva, Israel and Princeton, NJ, Regentis Biomaterials is a privately held company focused on developing and commercializing proprietary hydrogels for tissue regeneration.  The company’s core technology is a biodegradable hydrogel called Gelrin.  It is based on polyethylene glycol diacrylate and denatured fibrinogen originally developed at the Technion – Israel Institute of Technology by Dr. Dror Seliktar.  The Gelrin hydrogel platform combines the stability and versatility of a synthetic material with the bio-functionality of a natural substance for a range of clinical applications.  (Regentis Biomaterials 26.09)

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8.7  Israeli Researchers Make Breakthrough in Autism Research

Researchers at Ben-Gurion University in the Negev have made a significant breakthrough in a unique study to better understand autism, discovering a particular evolutionary signature in autism genes.  The breakthrough brings doctors one step closer to understanding the genetic mechanism for the disorder, and being able to diagnose it prior to birth.  Dr. Idan Menashe and his colleagues, Erez Tsur and Prof. Michael Friger, studied over 650 genetic variations out of the 1,000 genes linked to autism, and found characteristics that differentiate them from other genes in the human genome.  The unique characteristics of genes associated with autism spectrum disorder, among others, are unusual genomic length, longer than other genes manifested in the brain; and a genetic similarity to diseases such as Alzheimer’s disease and schizophrenia.  Additionally, researchers found that ASD-related genes carry a signature typical of the genetic process known as negative evolutionary selection.  This process is responsible for purging deleterious impacts on the genome, through a gradual process that spans generations.

Menashe and his colleagues also searched for signs of positive selection in these genes.  This mechanism, according to Menashe, is responsible for increasing a mutation’s frequency in a certain genome until it is fixed, and can explain the existence of autism in humans.  However, no signs of positive selection were detected in these genes.  Regardless, the researchers suggest that the mutations linked to autism are a constant component of the human genome, because they lead to the appearance of the disorder only when combined with other genetic or environmental factors.  Finally, the researchers showed that the evolutionary signature associated with autism genes can be used to discover other genes with similar genomic characteristics, which could possibly also be linked to autism.  (No Camels 27.09)

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8.8  Kitov Reports Successful Results for KIT-302 Pharmacokinetic Bioequivalence Study

Kitov Pharmaceuticals Holdings announced that its lead drug candidate KIT-302 has successfully completed an additional pharmacokinetic (PK) bioequivalence (BE) study and once more successfully met the U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s (FDA) standards for establishing bioequivalence to the reference drugs. The current study evaluated a lower dosage (2.5 mg) of amlodipine than in Kitov’s previous PKbioequivalence study for the KIT-302 product containing 10 mg of amlodipine, the results of which were announced by Kitov on May 10, 2016.

The study compared the PK of Kitov’s combination drug KIT-302 in a fixed dose combination consisting of 200 mg of celecoxib, indicated for osteoarthritis pain, and 2.5 mg of amlodipine, indicated for high blood pressure, to off-the-shelf branded 200 mg celecoxib capsules and 2.5 mg amlodipine tablets.  These evaluations were conducted under both fed and fasted conditions.  The results demonstrated that for both the Cmax (the maximum blood level achieved) and Area Under the Curve (the area under the concentration time curve for drug levels), the 90% confidence intervals for both the amlodipine and celecoxib components of KIT-302 were documented to be between 80% and 125% of the values obtained with the off-the-shelf drugs.   With these study results, Kitov has again met the FDA standard for demonstrating BE under both fed and fasted conditions.

Tel Aviv’s Kitov Pharmaceuticals is an innovative biopharmaceutical company focused on late-stage drug development.  Leveraging deep regulatory and clinical-trial expertise, Kitov’s veteran team of healthcare professionals maintains a proven track record in streamlined end-to-end drug development and approval.  Kitov’s pipeline currently features two combination drugs intended to treat osteoarthritis pain and hypertension simultaneously, including one that achieved the primary efficacy endpoint for its Phase III clinical trial.  By lowering development risk and cost through fast-track regulatory approval of novel late-stage therapeutics, Kitov plans to deliver rapid ROI and long-term potential to investors, while making a meaningful impact on people’s lives.  (Kitov 27.09)

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8.9  Quanterix & ImmunArray Teaming Up to Address Neurodegenerative Disease

Lexington, Massachusetts’ Quanterix Corporation, a company digitizing biomarker analysis to accurately measure change for precision health, today announced it is making a strategic investment in ImmunArray, a molecular diagnostics company advancing the development of novel, multi-marker tests for complex diseases with compelling levels of accuracy.  As part of the deal, ImmunArray gains access to Quanterix Simoa technology.  Both companies are pioneering new approaches to medical diagnoses in complementary areas of neurological disease, focusing on the identification and analysis of molecular biomarkers in the blood.

With this agreement, Quanterix and ImmunArray will work together to continue advancing research and technology in order to provide an accurate method for detecting mild to moderate traumatic brain injury in the future.  Also, Quanterix will add select ImmunArray markers to its multiplexing panel for the neurology research market.  These additions provide researchers with the ability to measure multiple proteins simultaneously at the single molecule level using Quanterix’ Simoa technology.  ImmunArray and Quanterix are both privately held, funded largely through venture capital investments and have been grant recipients of the GE-NFL Head Health Challenge to continue their work in improving diagnosis and treatment for mild to moderate traumatic brain injury.

Co-located in Rehovot, Israel and Richmond, Va., ImmunArray is a privately funded molecular diagnostics company dedicated to the development of novel blood-based tests that support the diagnosis and management of complex acute and chronic immune and neurodegenerative diseases.  The company designs and analyzes sets of biomarkers known to be linked to a particular condition and develops tests on platforms that are most appropriate to facilitate the adoption of additional tests.  The company, which has introduced its first commercial tests based on its iCHIP platform, is currently conducting research in collaboration with leading clinicians and medical centers in the U.S. and Israel.  (Quanterix 29.09)

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8.10  Foamix Pharmaceuticals Announces Pricing of its $57 Million Follow-on Offering of Ordinary Shares

Foamix Pharmaceuticals announced the pricing of an underwritten public offering of 6,000,000 ordinary shares at a price to the public of $9.50 per share.  Of the ordinary shares, 5,700,000 shares will be sold by Foamix and 300,000 shares will be sold by certain selling shareholders.  In addition, Foamix has granted the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to 900,000 additional ordinary shares.  The offering is expected to close on Friday, September 30, 2016, subject to customary closing conditions.  Barclays Capital Inc., Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC and Cowen and Company, LLC are acting as joint book-running managers for the offering. Guggenheim Securities, LLC is acting as lead manager.

Rehovot’s Foamix is a specialty pharmaceutical company focused on the development and commercialization of proprietary, innovative and differentiated topical drugs for dermatological conditions.  Their clinical stage product candidates include FMX101, a novel minocycline foam for the treatment of moderate-to-severe acne, FMX103 for the treatment of moderate-to-severe rosacea, FMX102 for the treatment of impetigo, and FDX104, a doxycycline foam for the management of acne-like rash induced by EGFRI anticancer drugs.  (Foamix 28.09)

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8.11  CephX Launches AlgoCeph – Automated Cephalometric Analysis Technology

CephX is launching AlgoCeph at the ADA in Denver.  The solution is a fully automated first-of-its kind innovation to generate immediate and highly accurate landmark tracing and enable over 50 different Cephalometric analyses in a matter of seconds.  AlgoCeph saves valuable time for practitioners, reduces human error and contributes to better efficiency and improved patient handling right from the first appointment.  Rather than spending valuable time on training, supporting and monitoring the work of others, practitioners can rely on sophisticated software drawing on one of the largest cephalometric databases in the world and focus on the value-generating throughput of patients.

Tel Aviv’s CephX.com is a SaaS platform for dental and orthodontic practitioners, providing them with solutions for Cephalometric X-Ray analyses, image archiving and patient record management. By using CephX, dentists, orthodontists, oral & maxillofacial surgeons and other dental practitioners save money on software they would otherwise have to purchase, install and maintain. CephX also allows practitioners to manage their patients’ records in a cloud where they are fully secured and backed-up. The platform is compatible will any operating system and devices. Users are also able to access records from anywhere, even when using a mobile device.  (CephX 28.09)

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8.12  Neurim Announces First Patients’ Enrollments in ReCOGNITION for Mild Alzheimer’s Disease

Neurim Pharmaceuticals announced that the first patients have been enrolled in the ReCOGNITION study of its novel drug, piromelatine, for Alzheimer’s disease (AD).  ReCOGNITION is a Phase 2, randomized, placebo controlled, dose ranging study of Piromelatine (5, 20, and 50 mg daily) versus placebo to determine an effective dose based on efficacy (cognitive performance), safety and tolerability in patients with mild dementia due to Alzheimer’s disease (AD).  The 26-week trial will compare once-daily oral doses of Piromelatine to placebo in approximately 500 patients diagnosed with mild AD and treated with stable doses of acetylcholinesterase inhibitors.  ReCOGNITION was designed following pre-clinical studies with Piromelatine demonstrating neuroprotection and neurogenesis potential.  Additionally, in a previous phase II study Piromelatine demonstrated improvements in sleep maintenance and specifically, enhanced deep, slow-wave, sleep (SWS).

Tel Aviv’s Neurim Pharmaceuticals, founded in 1991, is a drug discovery and development company.  The company focuses on developing innovative medicines that help patients prevail over debilitating diseases and improve quality of life.  Its first approved drug Circadin is commercially available in more than 45 countries around the world.  Neurim has a strong and innovative product pipeline under clinical development, intended to treat Alzheimer’s disease, dementia, glaucoma and pain.  (Neurim 28.09)

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8.13  Granalix Novel Additive Based on Pomegranate Oil From Neurodegenerative Diseases

Granalix BioTechnologies announced the commercial launch of GranaGard a food supplement based on pomegranate oil that was shown to prevent neurodegeneration diseases in mouse models.  GranaGard, is a submicron Pomegranate Seed Oil (PSO) emulsion, and is an innovative formulation of one of the strongest natural antioxidants, Punicic acid (an Omega 5 lipid), which constitutes 80% of PSO.  The novel patented formulation was shown to delay disease onset and prevent neuronal death in a model of genetic prion disease (a form of Mad Cow Disease)[i] and to reduce disease burden in a mouse model of Multiple Sclerosis[ii], while showing no toxicity after long term administration.  In both diseases, GranaGard administration results in reduction of brain lipid oxidation, which is caused by increased levels of reactive oxygen species (ROS).

PSO submicron droplets have several advantages.  First, the nano formulation may avoid the first passage of the oil through the liver, thereby enhancing the availability of the droplets to other organs such as the CNS.  GranaGard is then able to enter the brain and protect membrane lipids from ROS attacks that occur as a result of both every-day efforts and pathological events.  In vivo, Punicic Acid is metabolized into Conjugated Linoleic Acid (CLA), a compound known for its neuroprotective and other beneficial effects.  When mice are given the GranaGard formulation, CLA was found to accumulate in the brain and can directly exert its neuroprotective effect.

Jerusalem’s Granalix BioTechnologies focuses on developing science-based novel formulations of natural antioxidants that can be used for the prevention and treatment of neurodegenerative conditions.  The company was established in 2014 as a spinoff of Yissum Research Development Company of the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, the technology-transfer company of the Hebrew University, and Hadasit, the Technology Transfer Company of Hadassah Medical Organization.  (Granalix BioTechnologies 28.09)

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8.14  Teva Completes Acquisition of Anda

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries has completed its acquisition of Anda, Inc., a leading distributor of generic pharmaceuticals in the U.S., from Allergan plc.  Teva currently has over 300 product registrations pending FDA approval and holds the leading position in first-to-file opportunities, with over 100 pending first-to-files in the U.S.  Currently, one-of-every six generic prescriptions dispensed in the U.S. is filled with a Teva product.  Teva Pharmaceutical Industries is a leading global pharmaceutical company that delivers high-quality, patient-centric healthcare solutions used by millions of patients every day.  Headquartered in Israel, Teva is the world’s largest generic medicines producer, leveraging its portfolio of more than 1,800 molecules to produce a wide range of generic products in nearly every therapeutic area.  In specialty medicines, Teva has a world-leading position in innovative treatments for disorders of the central nervous system, including pain, as well as a strong portfolio of respiratory products.  (Teva 03.10)

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8.15  China’s Neusoft & Infinity Set Up $250 Million Israel Med-Tech Fund

Chinese IT corporation Neusoft and Israeli-Chinese private equity fund Infinity Group have set up a $250 million investment fund and platform for Israeli med-tech companies operating in China.  The establishment of the new fund was announced at Innonation – the Second China-Israel Investment Summit, in Tel Aviv.  The aim of the fund is to create a model by which Israeli medical technology companies can connect to China by integrating into the cloud being developed by Neusoft.  The cloud and Neusoft’s connections will offer Israeli companies access to and approval from the SPDA (the Chinese equivalent of the US Food and Drug Administration FDA) as well as end-user customers.  This is the first such cooperation between Infinity Fund and Neusoft at a huge investment of $250 million over three years.  (Globes 25.09)

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9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Mattel Teams with Israeli Startup to Give Barbie Digital Life

American toy giant Mattel has recently partnered with StartApp, an Israeli developer of advertising platforms for mobile application and websites, to create a digital presence for Barbie and other toys, including Thomas the Tank Engine and Fireman Sam.  Mattel has reportedly asked StartApp to catapult Barbie into the digital age, with applications, avatars, emojis, memes, gifs and other online instruments.  StartApp has already launched two applications for Barbie and Hot Wheels miniature cars for iPhones and iPads.

StartApp was founded in 2010 with the goal of consistently developing and providing the most innovative and effective mobile solutions for its partners.  The company “currently partners with over 220,000 applications with a user base of over 477 million monthly active users worldwide.”  Now headquartered in New York City, StartApp maintains offices in Tel Aviv, San Francisco, Shanghai, Beijing, Moscow, and Sao Paolo.  Its Israeli research and development center employs 150 people.  (IH 23.09)

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9.2  Playtrex Looks to Shake Up Social Poker Market with “Wild Poker”

Tel Aviv-based social gaming start-up Playtrex is looking to breathe new life into the social poker market with “Wild Poker”, a highly compelling new freemium poker game with an exclusive strategic twist, released on 25 August 2016 as an open-beta.  Wild Poker is Texas Hold’em but with an added layer of strategy that draws, in a very simple way, from the popularity of turn-based digital strategy games like Hearthstone.  Users can play as one of an array of colorful characters, each with its own particular strategic “power up”.  Players must harness their special “animal instincts” to master the game.  Wild Poker was created after over 12 months of thorough research undertaken to better understand users’ needs and behavior.  After studying the current social poker sector, Playtrex found issues with monetization and low levels of retention and has built a game that tackle these issues.  With a focus on high engagement and a compelling player journey, Playtrex aims to shake up the market with an offering that will create high retention and monetization.  (Playtrex 20.09)

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9.3  Versa Networks Certifies Silicom’s Virtual CPE Appliances For Its NFV-Based Solutions

Silicom announced that its Virtual Network Edge/CPE appliances have been certified by Versa Networks as a branch hardware platform offering for managed software-defined WAN (SD-WAN) projects which Versa is now pursuing with several large service providers.  The certification is for appliances that run Versa SD-WAN and SD-Security software in enterprise branch offices, and operated by Versa’s service provider customers as part of a managed network and security service for their end customers.  The combination of Versa software and Silicom’s hardware design provides a unique price performance balance which is desired by many telcos and service providers.  Versa has already introduced Silicom to several potential telcos and service providers and Silicom is now a part of Versa’s offering to such important customers.

Kfar Sava’s Silicom is an industry-leading provider of high-performance networking and data infrastructure solutions.  Designed primarily to increase data center efficiency, Silicom’s solutions dramatically improve the performance and availability of networking appliances and other server-based systems.  (Silicom 20.09)

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9.4  RADWIN JET Beamforming Wireless Broadband Improves Efficiency for Tier-1 Mining Companies

RADWIN announced that RADWIN JET Beamforming Wireless PtMP solutions were deployed by leading mining companies in Australia and Chile to deliver ultra-capacity connectivity in open-pit mines.  JET Beamforming delivers up to 750Mbps per base station and up to 3Gbps per cell needed to run multiple applications in open-pit mines including backhaul for LTE and Wi-Fi communication trailers, industrial IoT devices, stackers, reclaimers, dewatering systems and sensors as well as high-definition video surveillance.  JET Beamforming’s multi-band support feature (3.3-3.8GHz and 4.9GHz-5.8GHz) assures optimal deployment flexibility; the solution provides outstanding uplink capacity (up to 90%) and SLA for mission critical applications.  Tel Aviv’s RADWIN is a leading provider of carrier-grade broadband wireless solutions.  Deployed in over 150 countries, RADWIN’s solutions power applications including backhaul, broadband access, private network connectivity, video surveillance transmission as well as delivering broadband for trains and metros.  (RADWIN 23.09)

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9.5  Variscite’s System-on-Module Based on NXP Dual Core i.MX 7 With a Real-time Coprocessor

Variscite extends its highly successfully i.MX-based System-on-Module portfolio with the introduction of the VAR-SOM-MX7, based on the NXP i.MX 7 application processor family.  This highly flexible SoM carries a dual 1GHz ARM Cortex-A7 core, alongside real-time 200MHz Cortex-M4 coprocessor.  The SoM’s optimized multicore architecture allows Variscite’s customers to easily design embedded products that require real-time processing, as well as high-level applications on a standard Linux operating system.  The VAR-SOM-MX7 provides a variety of high-speed interfaces and connectivity options.  This includes dual GbE and certified Wi-Fi/BT – all integrated within an optimized power, size and cost package.  In addition, Variscite offers longevity of at least 10-years for the VAR-SOM-MX7, delivering an ideal solution for embedded applications requiring long-term availability for the end product.  The VAR-SOM-MX7 highly integrated connectivity includes a certified Wi-Fi 802.11 b/g/n, Bluetooth 4.1 / BLE, dual GbE with integrated PHY, dual USB, audio, display with touch panel, camera, PCIe, 32-bit parallel bus and multiple serial interfaces.

Lod’s Variscite is a leading System on Modules (SoM) and Single-Board-Computer (SBC) design and manufacture company.  A trusted provider of development and production services for a variety of embedded platforms, Variscite transforms clients’ visions into successful products.  (Variscite 26.09)

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9.6  AudioCodes and AVST Collaborate on Unified Communications Productivity

AudioCodes is collaborating with California’s AVST, a leading unified communications (UC) company.  The joint effort improves productivity and reduces complexity for organizations looking to maximize the potential of their unified communications environment.  AudioCodes’ CloudBond 365 and SmartTAP recording solution have been tested alongside AVST’s CX-E suite for compatibility with Skype for Business. Combined, the result is a powerful, enterprise-class solution for Skype for Business.

When combined, the two companies’ respective offerings provide a fully tested solution for Skype for Business that includes call control, UC productivity and call recording.  AVST’s robust CX-E suite includes such features as standalone voice messaging, sophisticated automated attendant, IVR, mobile client and informal call center solutions.  CX-E is enhanced by integrating AudioCodes’ CloudBond 365, which provides flexible Skype for Business deployment models including on-premises and hybrid cloud.  AudioCodes’ SmartTAP recording solution is also integrated into the platform to provide compliant, qualified Skype for Business voice and IM recording, as well as an embedded Skype for Business toolbar and record/save on-demand function, which extends recording throughout the enterprise.

Lod’s AudioCodes designs, develops and sells advanced Voice-over-IP (VoIP) and converged VoIP and Data networking products and applications to Service Providers and Enterprises.  AudioCodes is a VoIP technology market leader, focused on converged VoIP and data communications, and its products are deployed globally in Broadband, Mobile, Enterprise networks and Cable.  The Company provides a range of innovative, cost-effective products including Media Gateways, Multi-Service Business Routers, Session Border Controllers (SBC), Residential Gateways, IP Phones, Media Servers, Value Added Applications and Professional Services.  (AudioCodes 26.09)

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9.7  IntSights & Check Point Deliver Threat Intelligence Capabilities for Thwarting Cyber Attacks

IntSights announced a partnership with Tel Aviv’s Check Point Software Technologies.  As part of this partnership, Check Point will integrate IntSights’s cyber threat intelligence platform with its security suite.  The combined offering will help customers leverage real-time threat intelligence to detect and remediate cyber threats.  Organizations consume endless amounts of information, but due to lack of context and automation they fail to create a cohesive view and act upon it.  Often a crucial piece of intelligence is left unutilized due to an analyst’s error or is simply lost in the siloed data stream.

IntSights provides extensive intelligence coverage that is easy to understand and act upon by a single analyst.  This joint product offering will provide advanced warning and customized insight for customers, as well as continue to improve on and increase automated security and threat remediation.  This cooperation between IntSights and Check Point also extends the companies’ existing research collaboration.  Through intelligence cooperation, IntSights will complement Check Point’s current research capabilities, collecting information from the many difficult-to-penetrate, closed communities and forums on the dark web.

Herzliya’s IntSights intelligence solution automatically detects cyber threats in real time, in open, deep and darknet platforms, aggregates the information and presents it to the customer in one consolidated view.  IntSights’s data mining algorithm and machine learning capabilities are utilized to analyze, categorize and prioritize this information, and then react by enabling one-click remediation of the identified threat. This actionable information is automatically transferred to the relevant security product (i.e. Firewall) in order to make the necessary adjustments and block any new, impending threats.

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9.8  Argus Cyber Security Named One of LA Auto Show & AutoMobility LA’s 2016 Top Ten Startups

Argus Cyber Security, the world’s largest, independent automotive cyber security company, announced today that it was named one of LA Auto Show and AutoMobility LA’s Top Ten Automotive Startups. Top Ten winners were selected based on a combination of the following criteria: vision, innovation, broad applicability, likelihood of adoption/success, execution and management, determination, existing customers, partners and endorsers, revenue potential, business model and demonstrable product.  Argus offers comprehensive solution suites and services built by a team of experts with decades of experience in both cyber security and the automotive industry.  Committed to helping its customers stay ahead of threats, Argus provides truly innovative solutions based on 20 pending automotive patents and the largest dedicated automotive cyber security research team in the industry.  Argus’ award winning research team stays ahead of the pack with current and future cyber threats to ensure the company remains on the cutting edge.

The Top Ten Automotive Startup Competition will feature companies that are redefining mobility, converging business sectors, and driving change in transportation.  With so many startups coming onto the scene each year, it’s important to highlight the most unique ones that are poised for success.  AutoMobility LA will take place from 14-17 November and the LA Auto Show is open from 18-27 November at the Los Angeles Convention Center.

Founded in 2013, Tel Aviv’s Argus Cyber Security is the world’s largest, independent automotive cyber security company.  Argus’ comprehensive and proven solution suites protect connected cars and commercial vehicles against cyber-attacks.  With decades of experience in both cyber security and the automotive industry, Argus offers innovative security methods and proven computer networking know-how with a deep understanding of automotive best practices.  (Argus Cyber Security 22.09)

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9.9  Mellanox Advanced Network Capabilities with New Innova IPsec 10/40G Ethernet Adapters

Mellanox Technologies announced the availability of its new Innova IPsec Ethernet adapter.  The Innova IPsec network adapters offload and accelerate security protocols and advanced network functions, enabling the ubiquitous use of encryption across the data center with low CPU utilization and without compromising application performance.  The Innova adapters deliver seamless encryption for every server port by combining the network adapter function together with the crypto protocol offload in a single small PCIe adapter form-factor.  Innova integrates the Mellanox ConnectX advanced network controller together with flexible FPGA-based IPsec protocol processing to enable an end-to-end data protection and acceleration solution.  The adapters support multiple encryption and security protocols and perform the encryption/decryption operations independently from the server’s CPU, thus increasing both performance and security.

By terminating the network security protocols in-line before traffic is processed by the ConnectX-4 Lx intelligent network controller, Innova unleashes all of the adapters’ offload capabilities, since many offload functions must operate on the plaintext innermost content.  This approach results in lower latency and additional savings of CPU resources compared to other IPsec protocol implementations, whether through software or alternative accelerators.

Yokneam’s Mellanox Technologies is a leading supplier of end-to-end Ethernet and InfiniBand intelligent interconnect solutions and services for servers, storage, and hyper-converged infrastructure.  Mellanox intelligent interconnect solutions increase data center efficiency by providing the highest throughput and lowest latency, delivering data faster to applications and unlocking system performance.  (Mellanox 28.09)

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9.10  RADWIN & MaximaTelecom Demonstrate 500 Mbps Throughput Onboard Moscow Metro Trains

RADWIN and MaximaTelecom, operator of the largest worldwide Wi-Fi network onboard Moscow Metro, announced results of RADWIN’s recently-launched Next Generation Train-to-Ground solution.  RADWIN’s new platform delivered 500 Mbps actual Ethernet throughput onboard Moscow Metro Line 11 (Kakhovskaya), setting a new benchmark in the industry.  The Wi-Fi network deployed by MaximaTelecom and RADWIN in the Moscow Metro system has been operational for almost 3 years, providing internet access to up to 2.5 million commuters daily, who generate traffic of up to 70 TeraBytes each day.  The Wi-Fi network spans over 650 trains along 660 km of tracks and tunnels.  The constant growth in network traffic and the need to support multiple services and additional applications – such as HD streaming for passengers and CCTV onboard trains – necessitated a network upgrade.  Using RADWIN’s Next Generation Train-to-Ground solution, MaximaTelecom was able to demonstrate up to 500 Mbps of net Ethernet throughput per train that will support a wide range of existing and future applications.

Tel Aviv’s RADWIN is the leading provider of the FiberinMotion train-to-ground solution designed for rail and metro operators which delivers wireless broadband in-motion.  RADWIN’s FiberinMotion train-to-ground solution provides 500 Mbps throughput and superior performance in non-line-of-sight and tunnel topologies, and powers a range of applications including high-speed WiFi, real-time CCTV, PIS and CBTC.  (RADWIN 28.09)

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9.11  Jungo Redefines Driver Monitoring With CoDriver 1.0

Jungo Connectivity, a divestiture of Cisco Systems, announced its new Driver Monitoring System (DMS), CoDriver, poised to be the leading, next generation, personalized DMS in the rapidly growing Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) space.  Through the valuable information that CoDriver generates about the driver, car makers can now create safer cars and reduce accidents.  Using CoDriver, cars can now know whether or not the driver is alert and paying attention to the road, and can tell if the driver is ready to take control of a vehicle in a semi-autonomous scenario.  In a fully-autonomous experience, the car can get valuable information about the passengers and their overall condition while in the vehicle.  The CoDriver Software Development Kit (SDK) is now available to customers and partners, providing complete APIs and SDK to enable rapid development of next generation Driver Monitoring Systems.

Netanya’s Jungo Connectivity was founded in 2013 as an automotive software divestiture from Cisco Systems.  Jungo’s CoDriver – in-cabin driver monitoring solution – enables automakers to create safer cars today, and transition into autonomous vehicles of tomorrow.  Additional products from Jungo include WinDriver, award winning PC driver development toolkit, MediaCore, automotive multimedia middleware and DriverCore, PC USB communication drivers.  (Jungo Connectivity 28.09)

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9.12  Autotalks Was Selected by DENSO for a Mass Market V2X System

Autotalks’ next generation V2X device was selected by DENSO, a top global auto parts supplier and a V2X ECU pioneer.  Autotalks’ chipset will be at the center of DENSO’s global V2X platform for car-makers mass market projects.  Prototyping phase has already started towards an unprecedented high-volume SOP (Start of Production) in 2019, targeting North America market.  V2X Communication connects vehicles to other vehicles (V2V), infrastructure (V2I), motorcycles (V2M) and pedestrians (V2P) within wireless range for safety and mobility applications.  It adds a new layer of confidence and certainty for drivers as it helps prevent car accidents.  It complements the information of other sensors, especially in situations of non-line-of-sight, rough weather or poor lighting conditions.  The pivotal mass-deployment of V2X demonstrates the importance of the technology and the belief that it will achieve a dramatic improvement in road safety.

Autotalks’ next generation devices embed a mobility optimized modem, support dual-antenna with optimal and flexible RX/TX diversity, perform line-rate message ECDSA verification of the entire link capacity and embed an ultra-low-latency V2X HSM.  In addition, Autotalks’ next generation was designed for cryptoagility and scalability, and is capable of operating at a high temperature range. All these advantages combined, coupled with a rigorous benchmark, crowned Autotalks’ next generation as optimal for DENSO’s global mass market V2X platform.

Kfar Netter’s Autotalks enables the V2X communication revolution by providing an automotive qualified chipset that supports all functions required from a V2X ECU.  The unique technology of Autotalks addresses all key V2X challenges: communication reliability, security, positioning accuracy and vehicle installation. Autotalks’ ready solution is used in series production units.  Autotalks and STMicroelectronics have formed a strategic partnership for the V2X market, and are working to produce a mass market optimized second-generation V2X chipset.  (Autotalks 28.09)

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9.13  Humavox Partners with Asahi Kasei to Make Wireless Charging Mainstream

Humavox and Asahi Kasei Microdevices Corporation (AKM), a designer and manufacturer of high performance electronics operating under the Japanese Asahi Kasei Corporation, are partnering to create a wireless charging chip-set smaller than ever before.  Together they will provide mass production of high quality chips with Humavox’s unique radio-frequency (RF) based wireless charging technology, in order to expand wireless charging availability to the masses for countless devices, including wearables, hearables, and IoT devices.  This cooperation signals a significant step in Humavox’s progression into the commercial space, making the company’s chips highly accessible and available to various device manufacturing clients.  As a tier-one semiconductor, AKM will enable higher availability and easier integration of Humavox’s proprietary technology.  Moreover, AKM’s specialty in RF promises quality chip-sets for small devices that currently lack a feasible wireless charging solution.

As part of the collaboration, by the first quarter of 2017, Humavox’s development partners and selected companies will be able to evaluate the chip-sets.  This option will be made available first and foremost to Humavox’s current customers in the wearable space (e.g. earbuds and hearables, etc.) and AKM’s customers.  By the third quarter of 2017, the chip-set is intended to be fully commercialized for widespread use.

Kfar Saba’s Humavox, founded in 2010, is an innovative developer of groundbreaking technology in the field of wireless power.  With its ETERNA platform, Humavox uses near-field radio frequency (RF) technology, and provides users with a simple and intuitive charging experience (“drop & charge”). The technology can be implemented in the smallest of devices, such as wearables and IoT devices.  (AKM 29.09)

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9.14  Karamba Launches Autonomous Security for Cars, Empowering Electronic Control Units (ECUs)

Karamba Security announced Autonomous Security for connected and autonomous vehicles, which empowers their electronic control units (ECUs) to protect themselves from hackers.  Autonomous Security, a significant extension to the company’s Carwall ECU security platform, enables automotive technology providers to achieve the goals set out in the U.S. Department of Transportation’s guidelines for the safe deployment of autonomous cars.  Karamba Security’s automated ECU technology eliminates this risk by providing zero false positives.

Karamba Security’s Autonomous Security technology allows any car’s ECU to protect itself from this threat by automatically locking it down to the ECU’s factory settings.  The ECU then blocks operations that aren’t part of its factory settings, with a negligible performance impact, which prevents hackers from accessing the car’s safety systems and commandeering them.  This deterministic decision is made locally on the ECU.  Autonomous Security doesn’t require the ECU be connected to protect itself, nor does it need anti-malware updates.

Hod HaSharon’s Karamba Security provides industry-leading autonomous cybersecurity solutions for connected and autonomous vehicles.  Karamba’s software products automatically harden the ECUs of connected and autonomous cars, preventing hackers from manipulating and compromising those ECUs and hacking into the car.  Karamba’s Autonomous Security prevents cyberattacks with zero false positives, no connectivity requirements and negligible performance impact.  (Karamba Security 29.09)

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10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Export Institute Says Israel’s Exports Fell to a 6 Year Low

On 25 September, the Israel Export and International Cooperation Institute released data showing a 5.7% drop in exports of goods, excluding diamonds, during H1/16.  Exports of goods hit their lowest point in the past six years, compared with the corresponding period in previous years.  Exports of goods, excluding diamonds, totaled $24 billion in January-June, compared with $25.3 billion in H1/15.  The Export Institute attributed the decline in exports of goods to highly concentrated sectors: pharmaceuticals, electronic components, and chemicals.  In addition, there was a decline in Israel exports to key markets around the world accounting for a third of total exports, such as the US, UK and China.  Israeli exports of goods to countries like Turkey and India also fell.

The figures showed that Israeli exports of goods to the US dropped by 3% to $5.4 billion in H1/16, with exports of chemicals, electronic components and pharmaceuticals leading the fall.  Exports of goods to the UK, Israel’s second largest export market, dropped by a steep 17% to $2 billion in H1/16.  The Export Institute attributed the fall in exports of goods to this market to export of pharmaceuticals, which account for two thirds of all Israeli exports of goods to the UK.  At the same time, excluding pharmaceutical exports, Israeli exports of goods to the UK were unchanged.  The Export Institute also explained that some of the decline in exports of goods to the UK resulted from the devaluation of the pound against the dollar in dollar-denominated export deals, even before the full effects of the UK’s exit from the European Union on the exchange rates are included.

Israeli exports of goods to China, Israel’s largest export market in Asia, were also hard hit in H1/16, falling by 8%.  The decline was led by exports of minerals, which plunged 77%, compared with the corresponding period last year, and electronic components, in which exports fell 28%, compared with the first six months of 2015.  At the same time, excluding the decline in these two sectors, exports of goods to China were up 9%, compared with the corresponding period last year.

Exports of goods to India and Turkey were also down: exports of goods to India totaled $580 million, down 9%, compared with the corresponding period in 2015, when exports of goods to India jumped 21% as a result of defense industries’ deals with Indian defense agencies.  These deals expired in the first half of this year, causing a fall in exports of goods to India.  Exports of goods to Turkey sank 35% to $625 million, following a 40% decline in exports of goods in 2015.  On the other hand, exports of goods to some countries rose, such as to Spain (+13%), Italy (+4%) and Germany (+3%).  (IEIEC 25.09)

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10.2  Israel’s Unemployment Rate Reaches New Low

On 22 September, the Central Bureau of Statistics announced that Israel’s unemployment rate fell again in August, dropping by 0.1% to 4.6%.  There were 3,932,000 people aged +15 in the labor force in August, of whom 3,752,000 were employed and 180,000 unemployed.  The employment rate in this age bracket fell from 61.4% in July to 61.2% in August.  The number of those with full-time employment fell 0.3%, compared with July (during the week in which the survey was conducted), while the number of those with part-time employment (less than 35 hours per week) was up 1.7%, compared with July.

In the formula used by the Central Bureau of Statistics (and by all other OECD countries), an employed person is one who worked at some job at least one hour during the past week.  Employed persons include, among others, those serving in the IDF (in compulsory service or the permanent army) and people who usually work, but were temporarily absent from work during the week of the survey.  An unemployed person is one who did not work at all, and actively searched for work during the four weeks preceding the survey date (non-voluntary unemployed).  (CBS 22.09)

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10.3  Foreign Tourist Overnights Down 15% in August

On 22 September, the Israel Hotel Association reported that Israeli overnights totaled 1.76 million, 4% less than in August 2015.  In August 2016, the peak month of the tourist year, hotel occupancy in Israel was 67%.  Hotel overnights in Israel totaled 2.4 million in August, including 610,000 foreign tourist overnights, down 15% compared with August 2015, and 27% more than in August 2014 during Operation Protective Edge.  Using combined figures for July-August in order to eliminate the effect of the three-week mourning period before the Tisha B’Av fast, which was on 14 August this year, the number of foreign tourist overnights during these months was 1.28 million, 7% less than July-August 2015, 19% more than in July-August 2014 (Operation Protective Edge), and 18% less than in July-August 2013.  Hotel occupancy in July-August was 67%, 4% less than in July-August 2015.

Most foreign tourists – 212,000 – stayed in Tel Aviv hotels, 17% fewer than in the corresponding period in the preceding year.  There were 134,000 tourist overnights in Jerusalem, 18% fewer than in the corresponding period in 2015; 37,000 in Netanya; 36,000 in Tiberias and the vicinity of the Kinneret (Sea of Galilee); and 23,000 in Eilat – 33% fewer than in the corresponding period last year.

As expected, Eilat had the strongest showing in Israeli overnights in August with 773,000, 5% fewer than in August 2015.  There were 226,000 Israel overnights in Tiberias and the vicinity of the Kinneret, also a 5% decline; 132,000 in Jerusalem (down 14%); 79,000 in Tel Aviv (down 20%); and 38,000 in Haifa.  In Netanya, where several hotels were recently opened, there were 30,000 Israeli overnights, 33% more than in August 2015, and the number of Israeli overnights in Herzliya jumped 80% to 30,000, also due to newly opened hotels.  Another destination with an increase in internal tourism was Nazareth, with 25,000 Israeli overnights, 46% more than in August last year.

Foreign tourist and Israeli overnights totaled 14.7 million in January-August, consisting of 5.4 million tourism overnights (the same as last year) and 9.3 million Israeli overnights, also unchanged.  Hotel occupancy in January-August was 61%, the same as in the corresponding period last year, 4% less than in 2014, and 5% less than in 2013.  (IHA 22.09)

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10.4  Israeli Teachers Worst Paid in OECD

In the latest OECD report comparing the salaries of elementary school teachers (first to sixth grade) in member countries, Israel is ranked at the bottom.  The average gross starting salary for an elementary school teacher in Israel (as of 2014) is $18,498 per year (about NIS 6,000 per month), just below the country’s median salary.  The best paid OECD teachers are in Luxembourg, earning $68,121 per year (NIS 22,000 per month – like a software engineer).  Turkey comes out well ahead of Israel with an annual salary of $26,964 (about NIS 8,500 per month).  The OECD report also analyzes the salary cost per pupil in elementary schools. In Luxembourg the government spends $12,377 on salaries for each pupil each year, while in Israel the government spends $1,912 per pupil per year, well below the OECD average of $2,832.  (OECD 22.09)

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10.5  Israel’s Roads Increasingly Congested

On 21 September, the Central Bureau of Statistics released 2015 transportation figures for Israel that indicate that while the use of private vehicles is increasing, the use of public transportation is falling and road congestion is breaking all records.  According to the published figures, the number of vehicles on the road has grown 69% since 2000, while the area of the roads is 40% higher, and the length of roads has gone up only 17%.  The distance traveled by all vehicles has grown by 50% since 2000, while the average distance covered per vehicle fell 13%.  According to the data, the average annual distance covered by private vehicles rose from 16,200 in 2014 to 16,300 in 2015, a 0.9% increase, while the average distance covered by buses fell by 0.4%, and the average distance covered by taxicabs fell 1.3%.  (CBS 21.09)

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11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  JORDAN:  Jordan’s Strategic Decision to Buy Israeli Gas

Simon Henderson wrote in the TWI Policy Alert on 26 September that in addition to meeting the kingdom’s urgent energy needs, the new natural gas deal should facilitate long-delayed efforts to develop Israel’s offshore Leviathan field.

The U.S. firm responsible for developing Israel’s largest offshore gas field has just announced a sales contrast with Jordan’s National Electric Power Company.  The notion of Amman buying large quantities of gas from Jerusalem to generate the bulk of its electricity has been commercially logical but politically fraught, since most Jordanians do not particularly want their country to buy Israeli gas.  But the deal has become economically necessary, at least in King Abdullah’s view.  Egyptian gas is no longer available for import, leaving the kingdom dependent on liquefied natural gas tankers arriving at the Red Sea port of Aqaba — a stopgap measure at best because the floating facility is only leased and supplies are vulnerable to price fluctuations and the good grace of the current provider, Qatar.  Proposals for Russian nuclear power stations or gas deals with Iraq have apparently been rejected as infeasible (the former for financial reasons, the latter for political).

Given the timing of today’s announcement — after last week’s voting for a new Jordanian national assembly — Amman likely wanted to keep the deal from becoming an election issue.  Indeed, in a 25 September interview with the Financial Times, Deputy Prime Minister for Economic Affairs Jawad Anani stated that the kingdom needed concessions from Israel to “mitigate the backlash” he expected the gas sale would bring.

The deal with Houston-based Noble Energy is for 300 million cubic feet per day (cfd) of gas over a fifteen-year term, with an option to purchase an extra 50 million cfd.  This is a typical contract length for natural gas because it requires substantial investment in infrastructure.  The arrangement is “take or pay,” meaning Noble and its Israeli partners will be paid whether Jordan uses the gas or not.  The price is linked to the widely traded Brent crude oil and total revenues from the contract should be approximately $10 billion.

In Israel, exploitation of the huge Leviathan field, discovered in 2010, has been delayed by domestic political squabbles and the need for more than $6 billion to retrieve the gas from deep beneath the Mediterranean Sea eighty miles off the port of Haifa.  Noble Energy is due to take an investment decision on Leviathan in December but needs commitments for purchases of around 1 billion cfd (the planned production platform just off the Israeli coast has a capacity of 1.2 billion cfd.).  The Jordanian deal brings the total contracted volumes to 450 million cfd, so more sales need to be secured.  Noble officials are pursuing other potential customers, including in Israel and Egypt, and they now seem likely to reach the magic number to justify the cost.

When gas starts flowing in late 2019, Leviathan production will double the amount of gas being produced off Israel’s coast.  The Tamar field is already responsible for more than half of Israel’s electricity generation, and later this year a small portion of its supplies will flow to two industrial plants in southern Jordan under a previous contract.  Israel has also announced a Dutch-brokered arrangement to supply gas to the power station in Hamas-controlled Gaza, though the Palestinian Authority has suspended a putative deal to supply a new West Bank station.

Some details still need to be worked out for the Jordan deal. The United States and perhaps other donor countries will likely fund a pipeline connecting Israel’s gas network with Jordan.  More problematic is Amman’s request to export more goods to Judea and Samaria, which would cut into Israel’s market there.  Under the circumstances, though, the impact of that concession would be economically small, so its political significance is questionable.

Simon Henderson is the Baker Fellow and director of the Gulf and Energy Policy Program at The Washington Institute, and author of the German Marshall Fund report “Jordan’s Energy Supply Options: The Prospect of Gas Imports from Israel.”  (TWI 26.09)

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11.2  JORDAN:  Jordan Chooses Stability

Oded Eran wrote in INSS Insight No. 859 on 27 September that on 20 September 2016, Jordan held elections for its eighteenth parliament.  That same day, King Abdullah II delivered his address at the United Nations General Assembly, praising his people for actively participating in the democratic process.  Given the blood-soaked civil wars in neighboring Iraq and Syria and the freeze on both the internal process in Lebanon and the Israeli-Palestinian political process, the king has every right to be proud of his nation holding elections.  They were transparent for the most part, supervised by more than one hundred European Union and other observers.  Although one district required a second round of voting, Jordan emerged from the election as an island of stability in a seething Middle Eastern sea, a nation successfully overcoming internal difficulties that have worsened because of the humanitarian and political chaos plaguing the region.

By absenting himself from Jordan on election day, the king bowed to an international schedule he had no ability to change.  Doing so, however, also signaled his confidence that the Jordanian voters would not opt for any major surprises liable to upset the balance of power between the monarchy and the executive and legislative bodies.  This balance underwent a minor change in Jordan’s constitution in 2012 as a result of the Arab Spring; accordingly, the king retains his authority and control of the national agenda.  While the outgoing parliament was louder and more confrontational on some issues such as Israeli-Jordanian relations than its predecessors, its actual influence on this and other issues was marginal.

The Muslim Brotherhood, or more precisely the Islamic Action Front, the political party representing the Brotherhood in Jordan, commanded much attention.  In 2010 and 2013, the party boycotted the entire electoral process, largely because of the advice it received from the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt.  Since then, the movement in Jordan has experienced a change in leadership and an ideological softening, both of which led to a shift in its position on the election.  The movement ran candidates in many electoral regions, especially in the capital, where candidates joined forces with others under an umbrella group called the National Coalition for Reform.  Thus, candidates ran in the electoral regions of Zarka, Jarash, and the Palestinian refugee camps; returns showed their very partial and limited success.  Before the election, one of the Muslim Brotherhood heads in Jordan predicted that the bloc would win 15 – 20 seats in parliament, especially from voters in Amman (i.e., 10-15% of the population).  After the results were released, speakers for the movement did in fact boast that they had won 15 seats, but one-third of them were guaranteed by law to women, Christians and the Circassian community, the other coalition partners.  Given the outcome, it would be more accurate to say that in Amman, the refugee camps, Zarka, and Irbid, there is support for the Muslim Brotherhood, but if one takes into account the low voting rates and assumes they equally affected all political parties, one can say with a degree of certainty that in Jordan, the Brotherhood is not a decisive political power.

Apparently the Muslim Brotherhood has managed to recover only partially both from the strategic decision it made in 2010 and 2013 to boycott the election, and from the ramifications of its ties to the Egyptian movement toppled after only a year in power and now hounded by the current Egyptian regime.  Another reason for the modest success of the Muslim Brotherhood may lie in the loathing and fear of the Islamic State on the part of most of the older Jordanian voters (although hundreds of Jordanians have joined the ranks of the Islamic State), which grew stronger following the January 2015 brutal murder of Jordanian pilot Muath al-Kasasbeh, held captive in the part of Syria controlled by the Islamic State.  Furthermore, the internal split in the movement has weakened it.  Two movements – the Association of the Muslim Brotherhood, recognized by the Jordanian government, and the Zamzam Initiative – broke off and ran independently in this parliamentary election.

Yet an election is not the only measure of the influence wielded by the Muslim Brotherhood’s ideology or of the popularity of the Islamic State.  High unemployment among the young, especially the university educated, creates fertile ground for movements with an Islamic orientation.  The Jordanian government, with US encouragement, is trying to control – with only partial success – the influence of pirate, unrecognized, and unapproved mosques.  Echoes of the regime’s rising concerns could be heard in the king’s address to the UN General Assembly, dedicated mainly to Islam and the perverse image the Islamic State and similar organizations project for it.  In this sense, the changes that the Jordanian Muslim Brotherhood made to its leadership, its relations with the Egyptian mother group, and its attitude toward Jordan’s internal political system, could serve as a bridge toward dialogue with the Jordanian sovereign.

Despite important and positive changes instituted since 2012, the Jordanian parliamentary election system still gives numerical preference to candidates running on slates with a local character compared to those running on national lists.  In all, 226 lists were approved by the Independent Election Council.  Only a minority ran in more than one population center, a fact indicative of separatism and a focus on local issues.  It would seem that the composition of a parliament with a local orientation would make it easier for the government to resist parliamentary pressures and serve the regime, which would not have to confront strong parliamentary blocs with a national agenda.  On the one hand, the combination of the constitution and the election law has made it relatively easy for the Hashemite regime to weather the years since the Arab Spring with some measure of peace and quiet.  On the other hand, the public discourse about the precise function of the parliament and its role vis-à-vis the executive – beyond the formal definition in the constitution – is quite vibrant.  At this stage, the regime has passed the hurdles posed by the social and political awakening of the Arab Spring with success, but it must remain attentive to the public mood reflected in the public discourse.

During the parliament’s new term, Jordan will continue to face significant existential challenges.  Some of them may have legal significance, such as: the war on terrorism; the enlistment by Jordanian citizens in Salafist jihadist organizations; their involvement in terrorism across Jordan’s borders; and the status of the Syrian refugees in Jordan and their civil and economic rights.  These questions will arise with greater urgency than before, and could come to rest at the parliament’s doorstep. The test of this parliament will be its ability to answer them with the requisite degree of national responsibility.

Furthermore, the question of the parliament’s involvement in foreign affairs, in particular Jordanian-Israeli relations, can be expected to resurface.  Since the peace treaty between Israel and Jordan, the Jordanian parliament has served as a forum for lambasting Israel, opposing processes of normalization, and criticizing the Jordanian government for not severing the bilateral relations.  The return to the parliament provides the Muslim Brotherhood with a ready-made platform to attack the government along the lines of an issue shared with many partners in other political parties.  At the same time, the political alliance between the Christian and Circassian communities in Jordan and the Muslim Brotherhood, in its new and less rough-edged form, creates interesting possibilities from Israel’s perspective, as Israel has a parallel communities maintaining widespread connections with their brethren in Jordan.

Finally, the previous Jordanian parliament was not a key player in Jordan’s political, economic or social theaters.  However, a new parliament will soon take office under new regional circumstances and it may have to take some serious decisions with long term implications.  Perhaps the status of the parliament will then change in the eyes of the 60% of the Jordanian electorate that in 2016 stayed at home, indifferent to the election and its consequences.  (INSS 27.09)

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11.3  JORDAN:  Who Are the Winners and Losers in Jordan’s Latest Elections?

Osama Al Sharif posted on 28 September in Al-Monitor that with limited political party participation in parliament and a legislature that is still dominated by monarchy loyalists, many Jordanians believe that little has changed after the recent elections.

The results of Jordan’s legislative elections for the 18th Lower House of parliament, held 20 September, was a mixed bag of surprises, disappointments and modest breakthroughs.  The elections were held under a new law allowing multiple votes for open proportional lists that replaced the decades-old single-vote system, which has been criticized for years by various political players, especially the Muslim Brotherhood.  The Muslim Brotherhood had boycotted the last two elections but decided to contest this year’s poll through its political arm, the Islamic Action Front (IAF). In all, 1,252 candidates ran in 226 lists in the elections.

Managed by an independent commission, the elections were hailed by local and international monitors as mainly free and fair with no government interference, despite incidents that marred the elections process and protests that erupted in many parts of the kingdom following the announcement of results.

So who were the winners and losers in Jordan’s recent elections?

The Islamists

The Muslim Brotherhood, which the government does not recognize as a legitimate entity, contested the elections through an alliance that brought together IAF candidates and tribal, nationalist and Christian figures — the National Coalition for Reform (NCR).  NCR’s program and rallies departed from traditional Brotherhood slogans, especially the famous slogan “Islam is the solution,” and offered a civic, nonreligious approach to dealing with the country’s economic and social challenges.  In all, the NCR fielded 120 candidates through 20 lists in various districts including Amman, Zarka, Irbid and Salt.

When the results were announced, they had won 15 seats of the 130-seat Lower House, of which IAF candidates took 10 and the rest went to their allies.  There is no doubt that while this makes the NCR the biggest opposition bloc in parliament, the result is a modest one for the Muslim Brotherhood.  They had taken 11.5% of the Lower House seats while pre-election predictions gave them between 15 and 20 seats in total.

Overall the 20 lists had gathered 160,000 votes — the majority of which were in Amman, Zarka and Irbid — or about 11% of total votes cast in the elections.  Moreover, five of the seats that the NCR had won were part of the quota system, designated for women, Christians, Circassians and Chechens, which usually receive smaller number of votes.  Of these, three seats were taken by women.

It is noteworthy that 50% of the NCR lists failed to win a single seat, and that these lists were mostly competing in southern governorates where tribal influence is dominant.  Such results will please the government as they indicate a waning in grass roots support for the Brotherhood while allowing them to be represented in the legislature, ending a decade of boycott.

On the other hand, the newly registered Muslim Brotherhood Society (MBS), which was formed last year, failed to win a single seat.  It had contested the elections with one list in Irbid’s second district.  This dismal performance will focus attention on the future of the MBS and its political viability.  The Zamzam Initiative and the Wassat Party each won three seats, and the question now is whether or not their deputies will form a bloc with the NCR.

Women

The election law was criticized by pundits and women’s associations for designating three out of 15 seats, dedicated to women under the quota system, to the country’s most populace governorates — Amman, Zarka and Irbid — raising further questions over gerrymandering imbalance that favored tribal districts at the expense of the capital, where half of the eligible voters, more than 4 million in total, live.  Still, five women were able to compete and win outside the quota system, bringing the number of women in the new legislature to 20.  In all, 252 women contested the elections through 218 lists, and they received a total of 266,000 votes, which is considered a new record for women in Jordanian elections.  On the other hand, only 32% of eligible female voters cast their vote.

Political parties

The new law was supposed to help political parties do better in legislative elections, but results show that only 22 candidates belonging to seven political parties had made it, out of 215 candidates belonging to 50 political parties.  Political parties’ representation in the new Lower House is about 17%, of which almost two-thirds belong to Islamist parties.  Not a single nationalist or leftist party is represented and, in fact, independent deputies including businessmen, professionals and tribal figures will make up the bulk of the legislature.  At least 50 candidates, who were formerly in the Lower House, were re-elected.

On a brighter side, especially for those who support democratic reforms and an all-encompassing secular state, the Ma’an (Together) list, competing in Amman’s third district, made history by winning two seats.  While the victory is symbolic, it underlines a growing debate in Jordan among the political elite on the need to set the foundations for a civic, secular and democratic society to confront both authoritarian and religious driven agendas.

Voter apathy

Perhaps this is the biggest story in this latest election.  Of more than 4 million registered voters — 1 million of whom are outside the country and cannot vote — voter turnout was a modest 37%, compared to over 50% in the 2013 elections.  Amman was the lowest with only 23% voter turnout, and in its competitive third district turnout was only 18%.  Similar low figures were marked for other urban centers like Zarka and Irbid.  Pundits believe middle-class voters had opted to stay home for a number of reasons including lack of confidence in the role of the legislature and its limited influence on government policies.

Election results have triggered calls by political parties and figures to review elections law shortcomings in preparation for the next legislative elections in four years’ time.  Former Deputy Prime Minister Marwan Muasher, a staunch proponent of civil rights and a secular state, told Al-Monitor, “Voter apathy should prompt the government to reform the law to prepare the ground for parliamentary governments, which will not come about without genuine development of political parties.”  He added that the new law has not succeeded in restoring voter confidence in parliament.  “We need to reach a stage where elections are held on the basis of voting for party and national lists,” he said.

For now, the government can boast that Jordan’s democracy is thriving and that the elections were a success.  But with limited political party participation and a legislature that is still dominated by loyalists, many Jordanians believe that little has changed.

Osama Al Sharif is a veteran journalist and political commentator based in Amman, Jordan, who specializes in Middle East issues.  (Al-Monitor 28.09)

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11.4  IRAQ:  Fitch Affirms Iraq at ‘B-‘; Outlook Negative

On 13 September, Fitch Ratings affirmed Iraq’s Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at ‘B-‘ with a Negative Outlook.  The Country Ceiling is affirmed at ‘B-‘ and the Short-Term IDR at ‘B’.

Key Rating Drivers

Political risk and insecurity in Iraq are among the highest faced by any sovereign rated by Fitch. Progress has been made in pushing back the Islamic State (IS), but the military campaign brings in its wake major reconstruction and humanitarian challenges.  Sectarian and ethnic tensions continue to undermine political stability, relations with the Kurdish Regional Government are volatile and Iraq scores the worst of all Fitch-rated sovereigns on the composite World Bank governance indicator.  This reflects not only insecurity and political instability but also corruption, government ineffectiveness and weak institutions.

The bulk of oil production facilities and export infrastructure are located away from areas of insecurity.  After expanding strongly in 2015, oil output in the south has stabilized so far in 2016 at 3.5m b/d on average, given lower budgeted government payments to international oil companies, which has constrained investment.  Including output from the north, which incorporates Kurdish fields, total oil production totaled 4.6m b/d in July, according to the Ministry of Oil.  Given low oil prices we expect the government to budget a similar amount for oil investment in 2017 and we forecast oil production and exports (at 3.3m b/d) to plateau.

Lower oil prices are driving significant deterioration in Iraq’s financial position.  Commodity dependence is among the highest of all Fitch-rated sovereigns.  Oil accounts for more than 50% of GDP and over 90% of fiscal and current external receipts.  The budget deficit in 2015 ballooned to IQD26.4trn ($22.3b) or 13.9% of GDP.  This was financed by a mixture of T-bill issuance to banks refinanced to a large degree by the CBI (indirect monetary financing), accumulation of domestic and external arrears and multilateral financing.

Iraq and the IMF agreed a stand-by arrangement (SBA) in July 2016, which entails $5.34b of funding over three years.  The funding is front-loaded, providing $1.9b between July and end-2016.  Performance criteria under the SBA seem broadly realistic, but implementing earmarked structural reforms is likely to prove more difficult.  Risks attached to the program are high, but the Iraqi government has a strong incentive to adhere to the SBA.

In 2016 the IMF programs for a deficit of IQD26trn ($22b) for Iraq.  The majority of financing, $17b, will come from T-bills and bonds, $10.7b of which will be refinanced by the CBI and $4b is from government deposits in the banks.  The banking sector itself is not strong enough to be a source of much financing.  External financing from the IMF, World Bank, US loans and other bilateral loans will make up most of the remainder.

Government debt is rising sharply on the back of these deficits and we forecast it will average 73% of GDP in 2015-17.  However, this includes $41b of debt lent to Iraq by GCC countries during the 1980-1988 Iran-Iraq war, which the authorities do not face any pressure to repay or service.  If this debt were restructured on the same terms as Paris Club debt was restructured, government debt/GDP would average 52% in 2015-17, closer to the ‘B’ median of 41%.

International reserves are declining, but remain large and support Iraq’s currency peg.  Fitch forecasts an average current account deficit of close to 9% of GDP in 2016-17 because of low oil prices.  This will contribute to further declines in international reserves, which we project to slip to $45b this year and $41b at end-2017 from $54b at end-2015.  This would still equate to almost eight months of current external payments (CXP) in 2017.  We assume the authorities will maintain the dinar’s peg to the US dollar, although this could come under pressure.

The banking sector is under-developed and fundamentally weak. Private sector credit to GDP is one of the lowest of any Fitch-rated sovereign.  The two large state-owned banks Al-Rafidain and Al-Rasheed, which have high non-performing loans and exceptionally low capital adequacy, dominate the sector.  There has been no progress in restructuring these banks, although the government has appointed auditors as required by the IMF.  Fitch assumes that restructuring will require recapitalization by the government.

Rating Sensitivities

The main factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a downgrade are:

-Evidence of stress in financing fiscal shortfalls.

-Further deterioration in the country’s security, particularly if insecurity spreads to new geographical areas or hinders oil production or exports.

The main factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to positive rating action are:

-A sustained period of oil prices higher than our current forecasts, particularly if combined with higher oil production and exports and leading to an improvement in Iraq’s public and external finances.

-A fundamental improvement in the country’s security that allows for stronger non-oil economic development.

Key Assumptions

Fitch forecasts Brent crude to average $42/b in 2016, $45/b in 2017 and $55/b in 2018.  We assume that Iraqi oil sells at a consistent discount to Brent. Fitch forecasts Iraqi oil exports (excluding exports from the Kurdish region) to average 3.3m b/d in 2016-17.

Fitch does not incorporate into its fiscal numbers an oil-sharing agreement between the central government and the Kurdish Regional Government, given the patchy track record for implementing this agreement.  (Fitch 13.09)

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11.5  IRAQ:  Decline of Higher Education in Iraq Continues

Adnan Abu Zeed observed in Al-Monitor on 22 September that despite several recent achievements, Iraq’s universities still suffer from poor management, corruption and sectarianism.

The University of Kufa declared on its website on 6 September that it ranked 701st among the world’s best universities, according to QS World University Rankings.  This is great news for the reputation of the country’s universities, since most Iraqi universities are not included in any global university rankings.  Nevertheless, this achievement does not mean that Iraqi universities have overcome their problems, mainly the demand of students for an improvement in the education system.  The student protests in Kufa that took place 10 March subsequently spread to the north and south of the country.

On 25 February, students from the University of Muthanna in Samawah, al-Muthanna province, banned then-Minister of Higher Education Hussein al-Shahristani from entering the campus, as they believed he had failed to improve tertiary education and provide essential academic facilities to Iraqi universities.  On 30 August, university students in Sulaimaniyah, Iraqi Kurdistan, boycotted classes because of the lack of financial grants for students.

The education sector in Iraq has been dealt several blows; for instance, the University of Kirkuk has witnessed national and sectarian strife, which caused its Shiite Turkmen dean to resign on 4 May 2015, after the Kurds expressed objections against him.

In this regard, Nader Abdullah, a professor at the University of Babylon, told Al-Monitor that the student protests are the natural results of the ongoing crises in the country.  He said, “They reflect the dire conditions of the higher education sector; the high ranking of the University of Kufa was at a scientific research level only.  Iraq’s universities lag behind the universities of the world because of low-level management and centralized decisions, which affects the knowledge product and weakens the university’s’ participation in the building of society.  This is not to mention the declining academic and scientific level of the graduates.”

Abdullah also stressed the “interference of partisan and sectarian agendas in the policies of the universities, at the expense of professional and scientific standards.”

For his part, Abdul Razzaq al-Issa, the minister of higher education and scientific research, also recognizes this dilemma in Iraq’s educational sector.  He told Al-Monitor, “The partisan electoral agendas affect the policies of the universities and I will not be part of it.”

In further evidence of these statements, an academic from the University of Babylon, who spoke on condition of anonymity for fear of jeopardizing his position, told Al-Monitor, “[Universities] are highly partisan, which affects the issuing of diplomas, positions in colleges and institutions, and the students’ admission in prestigious colleges.”  He added, “Many of the university theses promote partisan and sectarian agendas and are not even remotely associated with professionalism and scientific standards.”

This alarming trend was already present in the era of the Baath regime (1968 – 2003), when university theses were geared to serving the goals of the political regime and a ticket to securing high-ranking positions.

Khazaal al-Majidi, an academic researcher on the history of civilizations and religions, shares the same opinion on this issue.  Speaking to Al-Monitor, he traced back the history of the “deterioration of higher education in Iraq.”  He said, “Iraqi universities started to go downhill gradually in the mid-1970s, when the Arabization of engineering and medicine materials took shape in universities, and campuses turned into battlefields of the Baath Party and its opponents.  Party members had also managed to fully control some faculties.”

Things have not changed much since the fall of the Baath regime, as students continue to be admitted to colleges and granted diplomas and other distinctions based on their partisan affiliations, away from any professional standards or guidelines.

This is what happened, for instance, at the University of Kirkuk, which awarded students on 2 July five additional points as a result of the difficult conditions experienced by the students and the growing ease of obtaining forged certificates.  This led numerous Iraqis — even the elderly — to rush to obtain higher education.  They were not seeking education as such, but rather a university degree, even if through twisted and illegal ways, as a means to secure a job, including senior officials who had forged their educational degrees to keep their prestigious office.

This situation has led to a substantial inflation in the number of graduates who obtained a university degree, but remain unemployed.  Professor Ahmed Abed who teaches at the University of Al-Qadisiyah, told Al-Monitor, “We must develop mechanisms that promote confidence in university education.  The new Higher Education Law consolidates the role of universities in development and reconstruction and the investment of theoretical research in applied fields.”

He said that Iraq’s universities lag behind and do not keep pace with advanced universities in the world, calling for “overcoming this obstacle by participating in foreign conferences, collaborating with advanced universities and giving the students paid scholarships to these universities.”

Mohammed al-Shammari, a member of the Commission of Higher Education and Scientific Research, told Al-Monitor, “Universities are in urgent need of independence in terms of admission policies and preparation of the curriculum, which must be scientific, away from any political, sectarian or nationalist ideology.”

These solutions must be accompanied by the eradication of corruption in higher education.  The squandering of funds allocated for the development of universities, whether the 29 governmental universities or the 38 private universities, must be stopped.  Updating the administrative system based on an inherited routine promotes the universities’ effective role in the development of society.

Adnan Abu Zeed is an Iraqi author and journalist. He holds a degree in engineering technology from Iraq and a degree in media techniques from the Netherlands.  (Al-Monitor 22.09)

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11.6  EGYPT:  Egypt Takes New Approach to Tourism

Ahmed Hidji posted in Al-Monitor on 23 September that Egypt’s long-suffering tourism business might finally be getting some good news: The private sector will take a crack at handling one of the country’s ancient sites.

One day after yet another report came out summarizing the wretched state of Egypt’s tourism industry, government officials said they will turn management of the Giza pyramids over to the private sector.  The prime minister’s office said 6 September the decision is part of an effort to develop the archaeological area to a level befitting its status as a World Heritage site.

Tourism in Egypt has been suffering severely for the past five years.  According to an economic performance report issued on 5 September by the Ministry of Planning, the tourism sector shrank by 34% during the period from January to March, compared with 9.3% during the same period last year.

Moody’s Investors Service issued a report in July stating that Egypt’s tourism sector brought in revenues of $551 million during the period from January to March, which is the smallest amount since the comparable quarter in 1998.

In June, the tourism sector registered its worst monthly drop of this year, with the number of tourists visiting Egypt plummeting 60% compared with June 2015.  According to a report issued on 28 July by the Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS), the number of tourists in Egypt stood at 328,600 in June, compared with 820,000 in the same month last year.

It’s not as if that’s an anomaly, though.  The entire first half of 2016 was abysmal, with the number of tourist arrivals falling each month compared with the same month the year before: January, down 46.3%; February, 45.9%; March, 47.2%; April, 54%; and May, 51.7%, according to the CAPMAS report.

On top of that, what first looked like a potential bright spot in a CAPMAS report for July still reflected a major decline.  In July, the number of tourists reached 529,200 — the highest figure since a Russian plane exploded in October after taking off from the Sharm el-Sheikh International Airport.  Yet, that number still showed a drop of 41.9% from July 2015.

According to Sami Mahmoud, head of the Egyptian Tourism Authority, assigning the management of tourist attractions to private companies shows Egypt’s desire to pull as much profit as possible from the sites.  Mahmoud told Al-Monitor that the authority proposed the change three years ago and has been studying the idea with Ministry of Tourism experts.  Mahmoud specifically cited the need to turn around the reputation of the Giza pyramids area, which has suffered from what he described as chaos and irresponsible management.

Mahmoud expects the chosen company will apply a sophisticated administrative approach based on a clear plan to be discussed with officials of the Ministries of Tourism and Antiquities.  Mahmoud believes private sector companies are best-suited to manage all tourist attractions in Egypt and that this system has been adopted in many countries that rely on tourism as a source of national income.  Mahmoud anticipates that revenues of all the tourist attractions will rise if reputable companies are allowed to invest in this field.

Bassem Halaqa, head of Egypt’s Tourist Guides Union, agreed with Mahmoud that the pyramids area has been in chaos for the past five years, which destroyed its reputation.  Halaqa attributed this chaos to factors such as the inability of tourist police to protect foreign visitors against what he described as harassment from street vendors.  He also blamed the administrative apparatus in Giza along with the Ministry of Environment for failing to keep the area clean.

He said successive governments in Egypt failed for over 50 years to protect and optimally use Egyptian antiquities.  The private company, however, will succeed because of the strict administration standards and competitiveness in the private sector.  According to Halaqa, government employees don’t care about tourist attractions; all they care about are their salaries.

Halaqa considers the move to a private company the first step toward achieving real growth in tourism.  He said he is confident that the condition of the tourist attractions under private companies will improve significantly.

Magdy Selim, former undersecretary of the Tourism Ministry, believes that assigning the management of tourist attractions to a private company will not only achieve material gains, but will also help save Egypt’s tourism reputation by marketing abroad and providing better service for tourists.  Selim asserted that more than 75% of Egypt’s tourist attractions need a miracle to save their reputation and increase revenues.

In early August, President Abdul Fattah al-Sisi restructured a tourism council under his chairmanship.  The council will develop policies for promoting tourism and suggest necessary legislation and regulations to improve tourist activities.  Despite the stagnation of Egypt’s tourism industry, the council has not met since it was formed.

Selim said the government is long overdue in promoting tourism, which has languished for five years. He said laws that regulate the government’s management of tourist attractions — especially laws related to funding — impede development.  Private companies, he said, have more freedom to allocate funds for assets, services and promotional events, both inside and outside Egypt.

Selim is optimistic that contracting out tourism management to the private sector will pave the way for a variety of local and international companies to invest in tourism in Egypt.  However, he believes the Egyptian administration should offer tax breaks and other incentives.

Ahmed Hidji is an Egyptian journalist based in Cairo.  He started working in journalism with Al-Mesaa newspaper in 2011, then worked for Masrawy.com as a political editor and video journalist.  He now works as a news producer at ONTV live and is a freelancer with various outlets.  (Al-Monitor 23.09)

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11.7  EGYPT:  Despite Large Financing Needs, Conditions Are Gradually Improving

While Egypt continues to face challenges, economic and fiscal reform momentum support its B3 rating and stable outlook, says Moody’s Investors Service in a report entitled “Government of Egypt — B3 stable: Annual Credit Analysis.”  The rating agency’s report is an update to the markets and does not constitute a rating action.  “Although still below pre-revolution levels, economic growth has started to pick up, and investor sentiment has improved.  We also expect that high fiscal deficits and government debt levels will gradually reduce.  The domestic market continues to provide a sizable funding base for the government,” says Steffen Dyck, a Senior Credit Officer at Moody’s.

Going forward, in addition to private consumption, Egypt’s economic growth will be predominantly supported by public and private investment.  However, negative net export growth contribution will remain a feature of Egypt’s growth profile for the coming years.  This is due to the expected increase in investment and connected stronger growth in capital goods imports, as well as weak global demand for Egypt’s exports.  Financial support from Arabian Gulf countries has helped stabilize Egypt’s international reserves and balance of payments position.  While this has slowed, even under Moody’s baseline scenario of oil prices staying lower for longer, the rating agency would expect support for Egypt from these countries in times of stress.

Egypt’s very large government financing needs of more than 50% of GDP annually form its key credit weakness.  Under Moody’s baseline scenario, Egypt’s large fiscal deficits will narrow only gradually, keeping general government debt at elevated levels.  Moody’s notes that Egypt’s inflation rose to more than 16% in August 2016 and will decline only gradually, posing macroeconomic risks and keeping government funding costs high.  But low levels of foreign currency denominated and externally held general government debt mitigate external vulnerabilities.

High unemployment rates, especially among the youth, are a sign of underlying structural economic challenges.  While domestic political stability and policymaking has improved somewhat, security risks remain elevated in certain areas, and pose a heightened event risk for Egypt.  (Moody’s 28.09)

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11.8  EGYPT:  Egyptians Ponder – How Much Military Control is Too Much?

George Mikhail posted in Al-Monitor on 22 September that the recent decision to appoint Maj. Gen. Mohamed Ali al-Sheikh as Egypt’s supply minister because of his military background has sparked major controversy in political circles.

Some Egyptians fear the military’s involvement in the Supply Ministry will lead to wider military control, while others think it is the solution to corruption.

As Sheikh is the former head of the Armed Forces Logistics Authority, some people are concerned that his appointment will lead to the military controlling ministries and government institutions.  But others consider the military institution’s participation strictly a measure to cleanse the ministry, especially after former Minister of Supply Khaled Hanafi resigned on 25 August due to the wheat corruption case.

Amid this controversy, several politicians, parties and public figures launched the campaign titled “The Army is the Solution,” to garner public support for forming armed forces’ committees to eradicate corruption and reform the education, health and supply systems.  Campaign leaders are taking advantage of the success of their last campaign — “No to Religious Parties” — according to Mohammad Atiyeh, who launched the new effort and distributed brochures supporting its goals to citizens.  Atiyeh told Al-Monitor, “In the coming days youth groups will be formed in all provinces to distribute [information] to citizens, to demand the armed forces supervise the ministries of Supply, Health and Education.”

The initiative wants military-supervised committees to restructure those ministries.  Atiyeh added, “The armed forces will capitalize on their values of discipline and strictness to implement a firm system in these important sectors plagued by negligence and chaos.  The initiative will be public and will represent all of Egypt’s social groups.  Any citizen who respects and trusts the army will participate to express their objection to violations.”

He rejected accusations that the initiative is a step toward militarizing the economy, saying, “The mission of the committees is to train new cadres and reform the service systems within two years as a transitional phase.”  He said President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi trusts civilians, but was surprised at the corruption in the ministries of Agriculture and Supply, and felt he had to appoint a new supply minister with a military background.

The initiative wants the ministries to benefit from the military institution without appointing people with a military background to ministerial positions.  The armed forces can offer their disciplined and strict supervision over employees in those ministries, because they are the pillars of the system and they can also build real capabilities.

When asked about the initiative’s selection of the ministries of Health, Education and Supply, Atiyeh said, “These fields affect citizens.  The armed forces have excelled in these fields.  The best hospitals in Egypt are affiliated with the army.  The educational experience at the military schools was successful and the committees will include civilians and military men, according to the armed forces’ vision.”  He noted, “The consultative councils that the president formed offer a general overview of education and other sectors, but the committees suggested by the initiative will develop the same system.”

The army’s response to this initiative will not distract it from its main mission of protecting the nation, he said, because the military institution already contributes to the service sectors.  Atiyeh addressed the charges that the initiative was started by sovereign parties, saying, “The people will respond to these accusations through surveys that will be distributed to citizens and that reflect public desire.”

He added, “The initiative does not call on the army to manage ministries, but to supervise them.  This guarantees that the army’s popularity will not be affected due to crises and problems that these sectors have been inheriting for years.”  He said parties and public figures have widely responded to the initiative and want to participate because it is important to voice trust in the army, which can “rescue Egypt from corruption, chaos and negligence.”

Parliament member Haitham al-Hariri rejected the initiative in his statements to Al-Monitor for putting too many responsibilities on the army’s shoulders.  He said that the military institution is involved already in several fields, such as road projects and construction of hospitals, schools, churches and mosques.  This is a burden for the Egyptian army, Hariri said, and could work to the detriment of its main mission, which is to protect the country.

“Egypt is suffering from mismanagement,” Hariri continued. “Things cannot be solved through tasking the military with the management or oversight of certain sectors due to its disciplined nature.  This is an escape from the real crisis and an abandonment of building strong state institutions.  The military cannot take on the tasks of all state institutions, as this would harm it and the country as well.”

For her part, Basant Fahmy, a member of parliament’s Economic Committee, told Al-Monitor she would like the military to manage — not just oversee — the service ministries to fight corruption.  “Armies around the world help solve economic crises in their countries.  The Egyptian army has proven its ability to complete all service and economic tasks such as construction projects.  As a result, citizens trust the military’s ability to reform any system and implement high-quality service projects in no time,” she said.  She added, “The Egyptian army will remain popular, even if it handles the service ministries, because those are a mess and accept criticism from the military.”

George Mikhail is a freelance journalist who specializes in minority and political issues. He graduated from Cairo University in 2009 and has worked for a number of Egyptian newspapers.  (Al-Monitor 22.09)

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11.9  ALGERIA:  Can Algeria Ditch Austerity?

Idriss Jebari wrote on 28 September in Sada that with sustained low oil prices, Algeria is searching for ways out of its economic crisis that do not rely solely on austerity measures.

Algeria has been working diligently ahead of the 27 September Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) meeting to secure an agreement among member states, especially Saudi Arabia and Iran, to freeze oil production levels – which would, in principle, raise oil prices to at least $50 a barrel.  Algeria has a vested interest in securing higher prices: the hydrocarbon sector accounts for 95% of its exports, and since prices fell dramatically in 2014 its external revenues have been halved.  This has posed a major issue for Algerian leaders, who rely on sizeable oil revenues to keep the country’s generous (and expensive) social welfare program and centralized economic model afloat.  Already, observers have warned of a scenario similar to 1988, when the cash-strapped state faced shortages of basic goods, causing consequential social upset.

Despite the important media coverage of the OPEC meeting, the Algerian leadership has not placed all its chips on a sudden and unlikely oil-price recovery to bail them out. In fact, the meeting appears disconnected from the economic recovery strategy Algeria has pursued over the past 24 months.  Since the 2014 price decrease, the Algerian leadership has gone through three approaches: they maintained a reassuring “wait-and-see” attitude, expecting international prices to soar back up, followed by a phase of austerity measures in 2015 and, more recently, the announcement of an ambitions economic diversification scheme.  Initially, the state opted to wait out the price decreases, and relied on the state’s $179 billion reserve fund (in 2014) to address budget and commercial balance deficits, which amounted to $30 billion a year.  Consumption trends did not change and neither did official attitudes, but foreign institutions began to sound the alarm, forcing an initial change.

In 2015, the Algerian leadership seemed to change course, driven by the realization that $40 a barrel would represent the “new normal.”  The World Bank and other outside observers began highlighting the dangers to Algeria’s finances, especially because the Algerian state needs $115 a barrel to break even.  The state has faced immense fiscal pressures to stabilize its currency level and avoid a sharp increase in prices.  While it continues to rule out foreign borrowing, it has opted for strong austerity measures to save up its foreign currency reserves to pay for its large imports of food and consumption goods, as Algeria has very few non-hydrocarbon exports and a weak agriculture sector.  The state’s foreign reserve fund provides a convenient, albeit temporary, cushion to maintain the fiscal balance, the aim of austerity being to extend the reserves’ lifespan.

The most notable measure taken at this point was reducing investment spending by 9% and increasing taxes on fuel products in the 2016 budget, in addition to freezing several infrastructure projects and the recruitment of civil servants across the country.  The law faced unprecedented opposition in parliament, including among the ruling coalition, before it was adopted in late November 2015.  The 2017 budget law, currently under consideration, is expected to contain higher taxes on imported consumption goods, but also on everyday goods such as fuel and cigarettes.

In January 2016, the government also sought to restrict the flight of Algerian currency by establishing a system of licenses and quotas on car imports in a bid to discourage Algerians from purchasing foreign cars.  The measure reduced the commercial balance for automobiles to $768 million, a 68% decrease from 2015, but has been deeply unpopular and carried out with confusion and delays, especially at dealerships.  For 2016, the quota has been set at 83,000 vehicles, compared to 265,523 imported in 2015.  The ultimate aim was to force Algerians to alter their consumption patterns to “live within their means.”

However, austerity has been a stopgap measure, especially after news emerged that the government had used an initiative to sell sovereign bonds, launched in April, to fund its deficit – after promising this revenue would go toward investments such as the Cherchell industrial port in Hamdania.  Furthermore, the Algerian National Office for Statistics announced in August that consumer prices increased 8% from 2015, and the value of the Algerian dinar is at a historical low compared to the dollar and the euro, indicating this austerity approach is unable to prevent the deterioration of the economic situation.  So the government has had to reconsider.

In response to mounting criticism, on 4 June, Prime Minister Abdelmalek Sellal spoke at the “tripartite” annual conference between the government, the General Union of Algerian Workers, and employers’ associations, announcing a “new model for economic growth.”  His tone was reassuring yet sober, insisting that Algeria could no longer rely on its oil and gas and that “we must seek growth elsewhere in the real economic sphere, where public or private companies are the keystone.”  This represents a major turning point, one that experts and economists have long called for.  The specific details of the plan have yet to be fully communicated, but the gist of the new approach is economic diversification – including developing the digital and agricultural sectors and encouraging more efficient management of companies – without altering the country’s social model. In time, the government hopes diversification will stimulate other sectors of the economy to share the hydrocarbon export burden and ensure economic stabilization.

Though this plan is in the early stages, the government has been active in trying to attract foreign investment to establish strong industrial units.  Following encouraging statements by Sellal and the work of Minister of Industry Abdeslam Bouchouareb and Minister of Trade Bakhti Belaib, several automotive companies have announced their decision to build construction units in the country, which would provide jobs and alleviate the car quota issue by providing Algerian-made cars for the public.  These companies include Peugeot (through its local partner, the Condor group) and Volkswagen (through its local partner, Sovac).

This new approach has failed to convince some Algerian economists, who insist the current system needs a wholesale transformation, including tackling the structural obstacles that deter foreign investors or the emergence of a dynamic private sector.  Algeria’s cumbersome legal framework continues to put-off foreign investors.  Despite discussions over changes to the investment legal framework (including the “51-49%” rule regarding foreign entity ownership), no changes have been implemented.  Furthermore, decades of socialist-inspired centralism and a protected domestic market have instilled a legacy of suspicion that globalization means a loss of economic sovereignty.  It remains to be seen how this plan could spur the private sector to innovate and whether the government would consider foreign debt as a source of economic investment, especially in new areas such as solar energy.

Despite the fiscal crisis, the sharp decline of oil revenues, and political instability among elites, the Algerian government is tackling the issue and has one or two years left of reserves to use as a cushion.  In the meantime, it needs to carry out an extensive amount of reforms, which will require a fundamental shake-up, something the prime minister has ruled out for now.  But the government needs to do more to put in place the conditions that would allow economic activity to thrive.  In a sense, the initiatives of the past two years ensure that even though OPEC countries are meeting in Algiers, the country’s economic survival will not depend on external geostrategic competition.

Idriss Jebari is a postdoctoral research fellow with the Arab Council for Social Sciences working on social and cultural change in North Africa.  (Sada 28.09)

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11.10  MOROCCO:  Hollow Rivalry in Morocco’s Upcoming Elections

Riccardo Fabiani observed in Sada on 22 September that Morocco’s two major parties are building superficially conflicting narratives to emphasize their differences to voters despite general consensus on most issues.

In contrast to the 2011 elections that brought the moderate Islamist Justice and Development Party (PJD) to power, this year’s 7 October legislative elections for Morocco’s House of Representatives present an uneventful ballot, at least on the surface.  Beyond a tense rivalry between the PJD and their primary opposition, the secular Party of Authenticity and Modernity (PAM), the elections largely indicate a normalization of the post-2011 era.  The rivalry, which has consumed public debate, overshadows important yet unaddressed structural social and economic issues that have long plagued the country.

This polarization also obscures the largely non-ideological and clientelistic nature of most Moroccan political parties.  For example, ahead of the 7 October elections, the PJD and PAM have each managed to secure the support of one socialist party: the Party of Progress and Socialism (PPS) for the former and the social-democratic Socialist Union of Popular Forces (USFP) for the latter.  Most of the other parties are waiting on the final results to negotiate their participation with the winner in a ruling coalition, as Article 47 of the 2011 Constitution mandates that the king choose the prime minister from the biggest party in parliament.

Knowing that their electoral strength is limited, these parties are mainly reactivating their membership and patronage networks by making unlikely electoral promises and hardening their rhetoric while quietly signaling their relative proximity to either the PJD or the PAM, without precluding any options.  For example, the centrist National Rally of Independents (RNI) has been in government almost continually since its foundation in 1978 and is likely to join the next government coalition regardless of the winner.  Another staunchly pro-monarchy and centrist party, the Constitutional Union (UC), has a more confrontational position vis-à-vis the PJD and is unlikely to join the next government if the Islamists win.  A third centrist party, the Popular Movement (MP), has a more cooperative stance toward the PJD and has already agreed in principle to be part of the next cabinet if the Islamists win; that said, they are likely to keep lines of communication open with the PAM if it comes out on top.  Finally, the nationalist Istiqlal Party, a former member of the PJD’s first ruling coalition, has already signaled its proximity to and willingness to work with the PJD again, with whom it mended its relationship following a contentious few years in the opposition.  At first glance, these positions seem to favor the PJD over the PAM—yet if the latter wins the elections, many of these formally pro-Islamist parties (for example, the MP and Istiqlal) will enter negotiations to join the next government.

Local media have widely spoken of the king’s neutrality in this ballot, but far from being the hallmark of a free and fair election, King Mohamed VI’s distance is a sign that this round hardly matters in Morocco’s institutional division of labor.  The king is de facto the exclusive decision maker on a series of long-term and strategic matters, ranging from foreign policy to big infrastructure projects and the status of Western Sahara.  On all other (usually short-term) issues such as fiscal policy, transportation, and tourism, parliament and government are free to choose the policies as long as they are compatible with the monarchy’s preferred approach.  When these policies cross the monarchy’s red lines, the government has to backtrack.  This has been the case when the Islamist government has tried to tackle economic rents or increase transparency and competition in, for example, how licenses for sand mining and transportation are distributed.  No mainstream party is ready to challenge this arrangement.

In light of this, it is hardly surprising that there is a large consensus within the political class about key policy issues.  With the exception of the campaign to legalize cannabis cultivation, which the PAM supports, the PJD and its challenger agree on the country’s long-term goals.  Divergences are largely superficial: for instance, the PJD highlights its commitment to advancing democracy and continuing economic reforms implemented since 2011 (without specifying what measures will support these goals), while the PAM stresses its aim to accelerate the pace of industrialization and economic growth (but has so far failed to explain how this would come about).  When it comes to the main economic measures adopted in the past five years by the Islamist government, such as phasing out subsidies and reforming the pension system by raising the retirement age, the PAM tends to disagree on minor details while agreeing on the overall framework.

The main parties’ consensus also means that they agree to leave Morocco’s structural economic issues alone, which are therefore unlikely to be discussed in the next term.  The IMF and the World Bank point to three major problems that undermine the long-term economic development of Morocco and explain its persistently low growth rates despite the apparent success of its investment policy. First, the country has extremely low levels of human capital and one of the worst-performing education systems in the MENA region, according to all surveys in this field.  Second, there is very little competition in most domestic sectors.  From retail to banking and telecommunications, the domestic economy is controlled by companies tied to the monarchy and its inner circle, while the bodies supposed to enforce competition have been rendered useless.  This lack of competition negatively affects productivity and innovation in the economy.  Finally, Morocco’s economic governance is unable to guarantee a level playing field to businesses, which remain susceptible to political interference.  With the partial exception of education (where there is a technocratic consensus that more needs to be done to fix it), the other structural issues are taboos in Moroccan politics, as they touch upon vested interests and the political and economic role of the monarchy.

Instead, the PAM and PJD have been trying desperately to emphasize their differences by developing two superficially opposing narratives.  The PAM has been trying to ride the region’s anti-Islamist wave and appeal to center-left voters in a way that resembles Tunisian President Beji Caid Essebsi’s electoral campaign in 2014.  As for the PJD, Prime Minister Abdelilah Benkirane often hints that the main resistance he has faced as prime minister has been from other, clientelistic parties and the king’s entourage (the businessmen, journalists, and notables closely linked to the monarchy, as well as Mohamed VI’s influential team of advisors, who act as a parallel cabinet).  Often resorting to Moroccan dialect in his speeches, Benkirane tries to mobilize his conservative, middle-class, and urban constituencies by presenting the PJD as an anti-establishment party.

These narratives reflect a real sociological opposition.  The PJD is almost exclusively an urban party: it is extremely popular in places like Fes, Casablanca, Rabat, Tangiers and Agadir.  Thanks to the low turnout rates in these cities and its highly mobilized voters, the PJD has given voice to the conservative and middle-class constituencies that are loath to undermine the monarchy but demand more transparency and better services.  This explains the appeal of Benkirane’s anti-establishment rhetoric: many PJD voters see themselves as part of a rising social class (for example, small- and medium-sized business owners) that is suffocated by the traditional elites’ grip on politics and the economy.

In contrast, the PAM is a largely rural party that tends to perform best outside of Morocco’s big cities.  In this environment, characterized by the weak ideological mobilization of voters, patronage networks play a decisive role in determining the electoral outcome.  Traditionally, landowners and rural notables have favored the parties that are perceived to have the closest ties to the monarchy and can guarantee political and social stability.  The PAM’s pro-monarchy and pro-stability narrative, its close ties to the king’s entourage, and the growing presence of notables in its ranks appeal to the rural elites—who have been hit by the PJD’s tax reforms in the agricultural sector since 2013—and the country’s establishment, which mobilizes its large clientele to influence the ballot.

Outside of these two parties, the other political and social formations play a marginal role.  The always fractious left will field one list, the Democratic Left Federation (FDG), while other groups like Annahj Addimocrati will continue to boycott the legislative elections to protest the conditions in which they take place.  The left seems unable to broaden its appeal beyond a minority of educated, city-based Moroccans.  As for the main Islamist movements, al-Adl wal-Ihsan, Morocco’s biggest religious organization, continues to be critical of the monarchy; though its rhetoric has been softening lately, it is still not allowed to present a list. In contrast, Salafi preachers have become quite fashionable.  The PJD tried to field a controversial Salafi preacher in Marrakech, but his candidacy was struck down by the local governor.  Meanwhile, other parties, including Istiqlal and the Democratic and Social Movement (MDS), have also offered candidacies to Salafis.  As Salafis remain on the margins of Moroccan politics, the main parties are competing to secure their votes by offering them token candidacies.

This election will solidify this facade of normality, which fits with the monarchy’s goals of political stability, greater foreign investment, and long-term economic development.  The likely low voter turnout rate is not a source of concern, as the monarchy can present the polarization of the political party system—and the successful inclusion of an Islamist party—as a sign of the ongoing process of democratization following the adoption of the 2011 constitutional amendments.  Nevertheless, deeper social and economic issues remain outside of this electoral contest, despite their relevance to Morocco’s political and economic life.  The king continues to exert a degree of power and influence that stifles the country’s democratic evolution, and multilateral lenders continue to point out the limits of Morocco’s economic model, but no political actor is willing to tackle these problems.

Riccardo Fabiani is a North Africa analyst at Eurasia Group.  (Sada 22.09)

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11.11  TURKEY:  Moody’s Downgrades Turkey’s Issuer & Bond Ratings to Ba1 with a Stable Outlook

On 23 September 2016, Moody’s Investors Service downgraded the Government of Turkey’s long-term issuer and senior unsecured bond ratings to Ba1 from Baa3 and assigned a stable outlook.  This concludes the review for downgrade that was initiated on 18 July.  The drivers of the downgrade are as follows:

  1. The increase in the risks related to the country’s sizeable external funding requirements.
  1. The weakening in previously supportive credit fundamentals, particularly growth and institutional strength.

The stable outlook balances downside risks arising from the erosion in Turkey’s economic resilience and increasing balance of payments pressures against credit-positive considerations arising from its large and flexible economy which continues to register positive growth and the government’s strong fiscal track record.

Concurrently, Moody’s has downgraded to Ba1 from Baa3 the senior unsecured bond rating of Hazine Mustesarligi Varlik Kiralama A.S., a special purpose vehicle wholly owned by the Republic of Turkey; and assigned a stable outlook.

In conjunction with these rating actions, Moody’s has also lowered Turkey’s long-term foreign-currency bond ceiling to Baa2 from Baa1, and its long-term foreign-currency deposit ceiling to Ba2 from Baa3.  Turkey’s short-term foreign-currency deposit ceiling has been lowered to NP from P-3, and the country’s short-term foreign-currency bond ceiling to P-3 from P-2.  Furthermore, Turkey’s local currency bond and deposit ceilings have been lowered to Baa1 from A3.

Ratings Rationale

In recent years, Turkey’s credit profile has presented a marked contrast between significant external imbalances which heighten its exposure to external shocks and/or loss of confidence, and a strong government balance sheet, supported by a robust fast-growing economy.

The upgrade to Baa3 in May 2013 reflected two things.  First, increasing assurance that credit strengths such as economic growth and fiscal performance were likely to be sustained at levels compatible with a Baa3 rating.  Second, an assumption that political stability would enable planned structural reform implementation to address external imbalances, such as promoting domestic savings and reducing the economy’s reliance on imports (across a range of sectors including energy) and imported capital.

However, since the upgrade in 2013, the risk of a shock arising as a result of the country’s weak external position has become more pronounced, given the combination of persistently high political risks and volatile investor sentiment.  Moreover, credit fundamentals that had previously supported a Baa3 rating (e.g., high levels of institutional strength and a healthy economic outlook) have deteriorated.  In particular, Moody’s expects growth will slow over the coming years, as constraints on the externally-funded, consumption-fueled economy emerge, the reform agenda slows further and the investment climate remains weak.

Moody’s believes that this slow deterioration in Turkey’s credit profile will continue over the next 2-3 years and the balance of risks are better captured at a Ba1 rating level.  The stable outlook on the Ba1 rating reflects the strengths in the credit profile, namely the government’s robust balance sheet, which would allow for the absorption of shocks and flexible responses.

First Driver: Elevated Risks Related To the Country’s Sizeable External Funding Requirements

Moody’s notes that Turkey continues to operate in a fragile financial and geopolitical environment and that its external vulnerability has risen, both over the past two years and more recently as a result of unpredictable political developments and volatile investor perception.  This has credit implications for Turkey given its dependence on foreign capital.  The risk of a sudden, disruptive reversal in foreign capital flows, a more rapid fall in reserves and, in a worst-case scenario, a balance of payments crisis has increased.

Turkey’s current account deficit remains elevated (4.3% and 4% forecast in 2016 and 2017 respectively) and exceeds those of other similarly rated sovereigns despite a recent improvement tied to low oil prices.  In particular, the upsurge in security-related incidents, specifically in Ankara and Istanbul, and the sanctions that were imposed by Russia last year have had an adverse impact on the tourism sector in Turkey, which accounts for 4.4% of GDP and around 15% of total current receipts (2015).  In the first half of this year, tourist arrivals and revenues were down 27.9% and 28.2% (compared to the same period last year) respectively.  While the removal of Russian sanctions is likely to provide some support to the sector, full normalization will be delayed as long as political and security risks remain elevated.

Additionally, the country’s external indebtedness has risen.  According to our estimates, Turkish corporate, banking and government sectors need to repay approximately $155.8 billion in external liabilities this year.  Together with the current account deficit, this amounts to an estimated 26% of GDP in 2016 and in 2017.  This large external funding need exposes the country to sudden shifts in investor confidence, which has been weak and volatile over the past 18 months, as reflected in the volatility of the Turkish lira (vis-à-vis the US dollar) and substantial volatility in portfolio flows.

Although debt rollover rates have shown resilience over that period, including recently following the coup attempt, with only a modest re-pricing of new facilities, Moody’s believes that the combination of elevated external financing needs, the rise of domestic political risk, and the persistence of geopolitical threats in combination with volatile financing environment raises the risk of a balance of payments crisis in Turkey beyond that which prevailed at the time of the upgrade.

Furthermore, external buffers to withstand external shocks remain low.  Looking across the economy in aggregate, Moody’s External Vulnerability Indicator (which reflects the coverage of maturing external financing, including non-resident deposits and short-term external liabilities, by foreign-exchange reserves excluding gold) positions Turkey unfavorably vis-a-vis its peers.  Moody’s estimates that this indicator stood at 187.3% in 2016, more than 20% above the level in 2013, and that the indicator will remain at an elevated level for the foreseeable future.

That said, a mitigating factor is that the Turkish banking sector has foreign-currency reserves at the central bank amounting to around 11% of GDP (end 2015).  In the event of systemic stress, these buffers along with liquid assets on the banks’ balance sheet would be sufficient to cover banking sector liabilities due over the next 12 months.  In contrast, the government is in a weaker position to support the economy as a whole: net foreign exchange reserves (excluding foreign exchange reserves held by the banking system at the central bank) account for around 30% of total gross foreign exchange reserves (as of end 2015), limiting the central bank’s ability to intervene in the currency markets.

Second Driver – Weakening of Previously Supportive Credit Fundamentals

In Moody’s view, the erosion of Turkey’s institutional strength, which was evident prior to the failed coup attempt but which the event may exacerbate, has negative implications both for the level of growth in the coming years and for the implementation of the structural changes the government has identified are needed to deliver balanced, sustainable growth and relieve external pressures.

Turkey’s institutional strength has eroded since the rating agency assigned a negative outlook to the rating in April 2014.  Qualitative surveys on Turkey’s institutions began to erode two years ago particularly reflected in the Worldwide Governance Indicators for control for corruption and more recently reflected in the World Economic Forum’s Competitiveness Indicator where the assessment of institutions experienced the most severe drop, falling 11 places to 75 (out of 140).

More recently, the government’s response to the unsuccessful coup attempt raises further concerns regarding the predictability and effectiveness of government policy and the rule of law going forward.  This has consequences for both institutional and economic strength.  As one example, the large-scale suspensions in the civil service raise doubts over the capacity of Turkey’s policy making institutions to make meaningful further progress in both legislating and implementing the reform program.  As another, the government’s actions in the private sector towards institutions that have ties to the Gulen movement are likely to affect the country’s growth trajectory negatively, by raising concerns regarding the protection of private investment and the investment climate in general.

As a consequence, the rating agency now expects real GDP will grow at an average of 2.7% over the 2016-19 period, which is significantly lower than the average growth of 5.5% over 2010-14 and also lower than its forecasts when it upgraded Turkey to Baa3 in May 2013.

Moreover, although the government has made some progress on its reform agenda earlier in the year and passed an important savings-oriented reform policy after the failed coup attempt, Moody’s believes that that the prospect of sustained reform implementation that decisively moves the economy from consumption- and external capital-driven growth to a more balanced growth model is low.  Weakened institutions will likely face the distraction of constitutional change at the same time as struggling to balance the tensions inherent in the need to simultaneously boost near-term growth, deal with heightened security risks and consolidate power in a post- coup environment.  As a result, external risks are unlikely to diminish in the coming years, and may rise.

Rationale for A Stable Outlook

Moody’s decision to assign a stable outlook reflects the balance of risks at the Ba1 rating level. Turkey’s headline fiscal metrics are still favorable, notwithstanding the fact that the country has only just completed an almost two-year electoral cycle.  Since the beginning of 2009, Turkey’s debt burden has fallen by more than 13%age points to 32.9% of GDP in 2015.  Under the baseline, Moody’s expects the debt ratio to remain broadly stable at 32.2% of GDP in 2016.

Moreover, Turkey’s ability to finance its outstanding stock of debt is supported by the relatively low share of central government foreign-currency-denominated debt (35.1% 2015, down from 46.3% in 2003) and the favorable maturity profile of the central government’s debt stock: a significant portion of the central government debt stock is contracted under fixed rates and the average maturity of the central government debt stock is now 6.3 years (and the maturity of its external debt stock is now almost 10 years).  This favorable structure mitigates somewhat the impact of a further depreciation of the Turkish lira against the US dollar, and from a rise in global interest rates on the government’s balance sheet.  In fact, the central government’s external debt payments due next year are modest at only $11.3 billion (1.5% of forecast 2017 GDP).  Looking ahead, Turkey’s policy direction and its ability to maintain fiscal stability in an environment of prolonged lower growth (than previously seen) will be an important driver of sovereign creditworthiness.

What Could Move the Rating Up/Down

Upward movement in Turkey’s sovereign rating will be constrained by balance-of-payments factors as long as external imbalances remain large.  However, upward rating pressure could materialize in the event of structural reductions in these vulnerabilities or material improvements in Turkey’s institutional environment or competitiveness.  Reductions in political risk emanating either from the geopolitical or in the domestic political environment, while credit positive, would not result in upward rating action in the absence of other credit improvements.

Downward pressures on Turkey’s sovereign rating could emerge if one or a combination of the following occur: (1) trends in the public finances were to be materially reversed; (2) a sudden and sustained reversal in foreign capital flows; (3) a more than anticipated erosion of institutional strength or an increase in political risks greater than what has been anticipated.

GDP per capita (PPP basis, $): 20,438 (2015 Actual) (also known as Per Capita Income)

Real GDP growth (% change): 4% (2015 Actual) (also known as GDP Growth)

Inflation Rate (CPI, % change Dec/Dec): 8.8% (2015 Actual)

Gen. Gov. Financial Balance/GDP: -0.6% (2015 Actual) (also known as Fiscal Balance)

Current Account Balance/GDP: -4.5% (2015 Actual) (also known as External Balance)

External debt/GDP: 55.4% (2015 Actual)

Level of economic development: Moderate level of economic resilience

Default history: At least one default event (on bonds and/or loans) has been recorded since 1983.  (Moody’s 23.09)

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11.12  TURKEY: The Changing Face of Turkey’s Pleasure Industry

Pinar Tremblay posted in Al-Monitor on 28 September that prostitution and escort services — often one and the same — are flourishing through aggressive promotions using hookup apps, social media and online marketplaces right under the nose of Islamists.

What is the best way to write about the sex industry in Turkey?  I posed this question to a well-known Ottoman historian. He smiled at me on a warm Istanbul evening and said, “Did you ever visit Zurafa [Street]?”

Zurafa Street is in one of Istanbul’s oldest and most notorious brothel areas, dating back to Ottoman times.  However, over the years, the number of brothels has dwindled.  Indeed, the brothels and the official tallies of the women working in them reveal only a small part of Turkey’s sex industry.

Under Turkish law, government-supervised brothels are legal, but otherwise, prostitution is not.  The Turkish penal code assumes prostitutes are exclusively female and that if they agree to work in a brothel, then they are legitimate.  So the brothels are registered in a location the municipality approves, pay taxes and agree to the city’s health code for sex workers.  Indeed, for years in the early 1990s, Matild Manukyan, a businesswoman who owned 32 brothels, was the top taxpayer in the country.

The brothels are a double-edged sword for their workers.  They provide a relative safety net compared with independent sex workers.  But once workers are registered as brothel employees, their chances of finding other employment are rather slim.  The stigma is official and permanent.  The workers have to pay a hefty portion of their income to the brothel management, as well.

From talking to the women in these brothels, I learned the following:

-Turkish law does not make brothel work legal for foreign women or for members of the lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender and intersexual (LGBTI) community. So anyone belonging to any of these groups must work outside legal brothels and inevitably becomes part of a criminal operation.

-While the Turkish economy is deteriorating, sex workers say the demand for them is on the rise, given the young population. However, the demand is selective.  Ece, a registered sex worker at an Istanbul brothel for two decades, told Al-Monitor, “In this profession, unlike others, seniority is a disadvantage.  Your income decreases as you age.  Then, of course, the market is bustling with young boys and girls from Syria and still others from Eastern Europe.  Now brothels have to compete against the internet.  Most upper-class customers do not come to brothels anymore.  Several houses have shut down on Zurafa Street.”

Indeed, the face of Turkey’s sex industry is changing fast.  On several main city streets, particularly in Ankara, in broad daylight, you can see young men handing out colorful business cards to passers-by, including children and even police officers.  The cards, complete with phone numbers and nude photos of them, say, “Ms. X is waiting for you at her home. Call her.”

Similarly, a simple search online will yield hundreds of webpages providing escort services in different cities, with names such as Escort Istanbul, Escort Izmir, etc.  Unlike other countries, escort services are not legal or regulated in Turkey, yet they explicitly offer sexual services.  Some escorts provide a detailed list of sexual services they are willing and unwilling to provide, explaining the details of pricing and providing a manual about the kind of hotels they are willing to spend the night at and the product brands they prefer — in case a client would like to buy gifts.  None of these webpages have an age requirement to visit.

Similarly, escort services that provide male and transgender escorts to both men and women have bloomed as well.  Al-Monitor spoke with a male escort in his early 30s with the nickname Baris:  “I started escorting during my college years,” Baris said.  “One of my mom’s friends was divorced and asked me if I would join her at an art event.  It was not for money or anything.  I thought, why not?  I hooked up with my first job there.  Mainly, this has become my life now.  I provide massage and workout sessions for my customers.  I go out exclusively with women.”

There are also rules.  Baris said, “I do not ever engage in unprotected sex.  I think that is the most important issue in our sector.  If someone agrees to going without a condom, the customer should move on.”  Baris said he charges anywhere from $1,000 for a night to $3,000, depending on the event.  Most women who seek these services are happy to be seen in public with their handsome escorts.

Barbaros Sansal, a famous fashion designer and a gay activist who is outspoken on controversial issues, gave a detailed interview to Al-Monitor about the changing face of the sex industry in Turkey.  Since the ban against adultery was lifted in the late 1990s, the market for prostitutes and escorts has skyrocketed, he said.  “Escort services used to be more discreet.  Now they are promoted shamelessly,” Sansal said.  “In Turkey today, there are more brothels than domestic violence shelters for women.”

Sansal explained that some hookup apps such as Grindr, Romeo and Hornet that are used to establish gay friendships are also used for prostitution.  He added, “Grindr is a forbidden site in Turkey, but you can access it with VPN [virtual private network] services, such as TunnelBear.  Police also use these sites to harass the gay community or to blackmail them.  Still, they are popular all over the world, letting people make connections on their own time and budget.”

It has become easier for escorts to work independently, with the help of everything from houses that can be rented for a day without the requirement of an ID card (unlike most hotels) to services such as Instagram, Snapchat, Twitter and Facebook and scheduling webpages such as Kolaygece (“easy night”).  The internet provides tools for online marketing, advertising, screening of customers and arranging a private location to meet.  “I think alcohol is regulated more diligently in Turkey than sex,” female escort Hande told Al-Monitor.

Sporadically, the police decide there is an overabundance of escort services and crack down on them.  Usually, it is the sex worker who gets caught and penalized in such instances, and the webpages are shut down.  “We have two [main] issues.  One is that our webpages are arbitrarily shut down by the government, so every other month we change our portal address before they terminate it.  We announce the changes on social media.  The other issue is sexually transmitted diseases.  It is an unspoken problem,” one escort service manager told Al-Monitor.

It is quite interesting that an Islamist government — one that prides itself on raising a pious generation with a high moral code — has worked to minimize the number of brothels while at the same time turning a blind eye to a flourishing sex industry that uses all sorts of online tools.  It is most likely because a sizable portion of the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) supporters tacitly approve of this arrangement where prostitution is largely kept out of public view.  Even some AKP members are not immune to the wiles of the sex industry.  “That is one of the few joys of life left,” one such customer told Hande during our interview.  (Al-Monitor 28.09)

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11.13  GREECE: Staff Concluding Statement of the 2016 Article IV Mission

On 23 September, the IMF issued a Concluding Statement describing the preliminary findings of IMF staff at the end of an official staff visit to Greece.  Missions are undertaken as part of regular (usually annual) consultations under Article IV of the IMF’s Articles of Agreement, in the context of a request to use IMF resources (borrow from the IMF), as part of discussions of staff monitored programs, or as part of other staff monitoring of economic developments.

  1. Greece has made significant progress in unwinding its macroeconomic imbalances, but growth has remained elusive and risks are high. Greece has managed to reduce its fiscal primary and current account deficits from double digits to around zero over the last six years.  This is an impressive adjustment for a country belonging to a currency union, where policy levers are limited.  The initial fiscal adjustment was based on important reforms.  However, it has become increasingly reliant on one-off and ad-hoc adjustments that could not be sustained, denting policy credibility.  Recurrent political crises and confidence shocks associated with the inability to sustain the reform effort resulted in a high cost for society, with output having declined by 25% and still stagnating, and unemployment and poverty rates remaining much higher than before the crisis.  Looking forward, growth prospects remain weak and subject to high downside risks, and unemployment is expected to stay in the double digits until the middle of the century.
  1. Greece needs to pursue deep reforms in key areas to increase the economy’s resilience and prosper within the currency union without long-term support from its European partners. In the context of its new adjustment program, the authorities have laid the foundations for new reforms to shore up the public finances and support growth. But a significant deepening and acceleration of the pace of implementation of reforms is still necessary to address the four key structural problems that are hindering the recovery and pose considerable risk to long-term growth: (i) a vulnerable structure of the public finances resulting from unaffordable pension spending financed by high tax rates on narrow bases and a deteriorating payment culture; (ii) impaired bank and private sector balance sheets; (iii) pervasive structural obstacles to investment and growth; and (iv) a public debt burden that remains unsustainable despite large debt relief already received. Addressing these challenges decisively will be essential to achieve a better and more secure standard of living.
  1. As to fiscal policy, the structure of the budget should be improved through a rebalancing of the policy mix toward more growth-friendly policies. In light of the impressive fiscal consolidation to date—not least the most recent fiscal package legislated in 2015-16—Greece does not require further adjustment to reach and maintain unprecedented primary surpluses, which would not only be detrimental to growth, but are also difficult to sustain in view of likely pressures given persistently high unemployment.  However, the composition of the adjustment, which has relied on tax increases on narrow bases, adds significant risks to the budget and deters investment and employment.  Spending remains exceedingly focused on unaffordable pensions provided to current retirees, which crowds out other needed social spending to protect vulnerable groups, including the unemployed.  Essential public services have been cut to the bone, as evidenced by hospitals lacking syringes and public busses immobilized by lacking parts.  A fiscally-neutral rebalancing of policies over the medium term toward lower pensions and a fairer distribution of the tax burden are thus essential for the public sector to able to provide adequate services and social assistance to vulnerable groups, while creating the conditions for investment and growth.  Ongoing complementary reforms to modernize the public administration and public financial management should continue to be pursued with vigor.  Looking forward, efforts should focus on two key areas:
  1. Social spending: Recent pension reforms aim to lower spending by about 1% of GDP in the medium-run. This is a welcome and undoubtedly politically difficult step in the current circumstances.  However, it is well short of what is needed, considering that the deficit of the pension system remains highly unsustainable, at 11% of GDP (compared to an average of 2½% in the euro-area).  The scale of the problem is such that the current policy of largely sheltering current pensioners while relying on much higher tax rates and lower expected pensions for current wage-earners is not consistent with sustainable growth and would become increasingly unsustainable on grounds of inter-generational equity.  To create space for needed social spending to protect vulnerable groups and provide essential public services, a further reduction in current pensions is thus necessary and can be implemented by unfreezing current pensions and applying the new benefit formula.  Relying instead on further across-the-board discretionary spending cuts, automatic or otherwise, should be avoided, as it is neither growth enhancing nor sustainable.
  1. Tax policies: A new income tax reform has helped to harmonize tax rates and generate additional fiscal savings, while a VAT reform has simplified the system. Nonetheless, the reforms largely rely on increasing tax rates, creating disincentives to work in the formal economy.  Moreover, the income tax reform has not tackled Greece’s very generous tax credit, which allows more than half of wage earners to be exempt from income taxes (compared to 8% in the euro-zone).  Such exceptionally generous exemptions for the middle-class are difficult to justify with social-fairness arguments, as they forego the revenues needed to protect the most vulnerable through welfare and unemployment benefits that are common elsewhere in Europe.  In this context, the authorities should reduce tax (and social security contribution) rates, while lowering the generous income tax credit and eliminating remaining exemptions that benefit the rich.  Such a policy can also ultimately result in a more equitable distribution of the tax burden.
  1. To support their fiscal rebalancing strategy, the authorities should send a strong signal that Greece can no longer tolerate evasion. The policy of repeatedly hiking already high tax rates has prompted a proliferation of installment and deferral schemes (more than 60 social security schemes have been put in place since 2001).  Their frequency and the inability to enforce them suggest that they are inevitably seen as de facto tax forgiveness.  This is evidenced by the rapidly accumulating tax and social security debt (70% of GDP, the highest in the euro-zone, which is owed by half of taxpayers).  It is also borne out by the deterioration in tax-collection rates (the percentage of the annual assessment that is collected), which have fallen from an already low level of some 75% in 2010 to less than 50% now despite unprecedented international technical assistance.  Tax evasion by the rich and the self-employed and an ineffective and politicized tax administration have contributed to the problem, putting undue pressure on the budget and leading to an unequal distribution of the tax burden. It is thus critical that the authorities refrain from adopting further installment schemes.  Instead, they should put in place tailored and durable restructuring solutions for viable debtors in line with their capacity to pay, concentrate audits on large taxpayers and high net-wealth individuals, and continue to strengthen the use of enforcement tools against those who can but do not pay.  Implementing the recently legislated independent revenue agency fully insulated from political interference will be critical in this effort.
  1. Non-performing loans (NPLs) must be reduced rapidly to create the conditions for a resumption of credit to the economy. NPLs have reached close to 50% of total loans, the second highest level in the euro-area.  This reflects not only the effects of the economic downturn on individuals’ and businesses’ capacity to pay, but also a weak payment culture.  Assuming that banks can grow out of the NPL problem is not credible, as growth ultimately depends on lending to dynamic enterprises, which is constrained if banks instead keep alive unproductive and indebted ones.  Putting in place policies that support a rapid clean-up of bank balance sheets is thus critical to achieving a successful recovery.  This requires building on recent efforts to further strengthen and fully implement the legal tools for debt restructuring to restore the payment culture and provide incentives for borrowers and creditors to resolve NPLs.  The supervisory authorities should continue to strengthen incentives for banks to set ambitious NPL-reduction targets and implement strategies prioritizing sustainable restructuring measures and NPL sales.  Ensuring adequate bank capital is key to allow a rapid reduction in NPLs, even if costly.
  1. At the same time, payment conditions should be normalized and bank governance strengthened. Payment restrictions and capital controls persist, hindering confidence and the return of much needed liquidity to the economy.  The authorities should relax the controls rapidly and predictably—on the basis of a milestone-based roadmap—while preserving financial stability.  Moreover, lingering governance concerns, related to a legacy of close relations between banks, the state, and powerful vested interests, foster an inefficient allocation of resources toward well-connected but unproductive entities.  The authorities should follow up on recent legislative steps to strengthen governance by severing the links between the banks and the political system in both systemic and non-systemic banks and improving bank-management standards by taking advantage of international expertise.  Relying on public development banks to engineer growth risks leading to an inefficient allocation of resources and ultimately higher taxpayer costs.
  1. Structural reforms must be accelerated to boost competitiveness and growth. Despite successive attempts to address its weak institutions, Greece has not managed to regain competitiveness, with productivity growth among the lowest in the euro-area, investment down by more than 60%, and export growth lagging peers.  The 2011 labor market reforms to collective bargaining and the minimum wage were major steps forward, as evidenced by the subsequent and notable improvement in labor costs.  However, in the absence of product-market reform implementation, the burden of the adjustment has been borne largely by wage earners.  The resistance to labor market reforms is thus understandable.  But it would be wrong to conclude that labor market reforms should be reversed, as this would risk the potential gains for investment and job creation.  Instead, the reforms should be complemented with more ambitious efforts to implement ongoing reforms to fully open up remaining closed professions, foster competition, and facilitate investment licensing and privatizations, as well as with measures to bring Greece’s collective-dismissals and industrial-action frameworks in line with international best practices.
  1. Even with full implementation of this demanding policy agenda, Greece requires substantial debt relief calibrated on credible fiscal and growth targets. Despite very generous debt relief from private and official creditors, debt has continued to rise, reaching unsustainable levels.  This reflects significant shortfalls between economic outcomes and Greece’s ambitious targets under its past adjustment programs.  The authorities’ current targets remain unrealistic, in that they still assume that Greece will attain and sustain primary surpluses of 3.5% of GDP for many decades—despite double-digit unemployment rates until the middle of the century—and at the same time achieve high growth rates.  In this context, it cannot be assumed that Greece can simply grow out of its debt problem.  Further debt relief will be required to restore sustainability, going well beyond what is currently under consideration, and it should be calibrated on realistic assumptions about Greece’s ability to generate sustained surpluses and long-term growth.
  1. Greece is at a crossroads, and bolder efforts are needed to address its remaining key challenges. Without a doubt, Greece has made enormous sacrifices to get to where it is now.  But the significant achievements in balancing the budget, closing the current account deficit and improving the flexibility of the labor market have taken a heavy toll on the society and tested its endurance.  The recent humanitarian challenge caused by the flow of refugees into Europe has added to the burden on the Greek people.  This calls for the full support of Greece by its European partners.  While Europe has already demonstrated its support by providing Greece with the time needed to adjust, further debt relief remains essential.  Greece, for its part, should seize the opportunity to make steady but resolute progress toward addressing its remaining challenges.  (IMF 23.09)

 

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The Fortnightly newsletter is a free service of Atid, EDI. We are a team of economic and trade development consultants, headquartered in Jerusalem, but active throughout the region and beyond. EDI works with an international clientele interested in identifying and researching business opportunities in the region. We also serve as the regional representative offices for a number of U.S. states and bilateral Chambers of Commerce, as well as European clients.

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What’s New at EDI – October 2016

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Pennsylvania International Week Observed from September 12-23.

Pennsylvania, including Governor Tom Wolf, hosted its international trade and investment representatives over a ten working day period beginning September 12th (image left).  During those two weeks, the overseas visitors met with companies in each of the 10 economic development regions who were interested in looking at new export opportunities for their firms.  Trade Director Seth Vogelman represented EDI at the event.  EDI has represented the trade and investment interests of Pennsylvania in the Middle East for the last 20 years.

Mississippi Governor Phil Bryant to Lead Trade Delegation to Israel

Mississippi Governor Bryant will make his third visit to Israel in the last 24 months heading a trade delegation of local exporters interested in pursuing business relationships with Israeli firms.  During his visit, he will speak at the NexTech Be’er-Sheva conference, meet with government leaders as well as representatives of Israel’s defense industry to discuss their locating US facilities in Mississippi.  EDI represents the trade and investment interests of the state in the Middle East.  Following his visit, senior executives of the Mississippi Development Authority will travel to Jordan and the UAE to explore potential in those two locations as well, accompanied by EDI Trade Director Seth Vogelman.

Illinois to Host Meeting of its Overseas Representatives

The Illinois Department of Commerce and Economic Opportunity will host a confab of its overseas representatives from December 4-10.  During the visit, the group will meet with state officials, participate in an event honoring top exporters and will meet with a variety of companies interested in exploring export opportunities.  EDI represents the trade and investment interests of Illinois in the Middle East.

EDI Participates in Delaware International Confab

EDI Trade Director Seth Vogelman was in Delaware the week of September 5th when the state hosted its international trade and investment representatives.  He joined colleagues from Canada, Germany, Korea and Mexico who, during the course of the week, met with Delaware exporters interested in exploring market opportunities in these various regions.  EDI has represented the trade and investment interests in the region as well as those of the Delaware Secretary of State for the last 20 years.

 

EDI President Speaks at Mega-Church in Idaho

EDI President Sherwin Pomerantz spoke to the congregation of Deer Flat Church in Caldwell, Idaho on September 13th. In an address entitled “Behold an Economic Miracle:  How Israel Became the Start-Up Nation” he covered both the history and the challenges that face Israel in maintaining its position as the second largest startup eco system in the world after the U.S.

Toronto Export Event Held September 19-20

Ontario’s Ministry of Citizenship, Immigration & International Trade hosted a two day event in Toronto on September 19-20 where local companies interested in exploring export opportunities in Israel and the region were able to get more information about this important topic.  Held at the Ontario Investment and Trade Center in Toronto, companies had the opportunity to meet EDI personnel and discuss options for increased business activity.  EDI represents the trade and investment promotion interests of the Province of Ontario in Israel.

EDI Hosts Invest Hong Kong Executive in Israel

During the week of September 13th, EDI hosted Simon Tsang, Head of Innovation & Technology for Invest Hong Kong.  He visited Israel to meet with local companies in this sector who are contemplating opening facilities in Hong Kong.  Invest Hong Kong is the foreign direct investment promotion arm for the Special Administrative Region.  EDI has represented the interests of InvestHK in Israel for the last four years.  EDI VP for Strategy & Business Development Michael Platt and Business Development Associate Jacob Elbert hosted Mr. Tsang.

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American Trade Newsletter #132

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AMERICAN TRADE NEWSLETTER
Office of International Business Development
Middle East Regional Office
Tel:  +1.917.338.4911
Email: seth.vogelman@atid-edi.com

American Trade Newsletter #132 –
September 2016

Please find below our American Trade Newsletter #132, featuring companies and products from our client states of Illinois, Mississippi, New Mexico and Pennsylvania.  All are looking for agents, representation or distribution in the region.

(1430)  Linen & Rubbish Chutes and Accessories
(1431) Hand Packaging Tools & Equipment
(1432)  Used Construction, Farming & Industrial Equipment.
(1433)  Blended and Cold Brew Coffees & Teas
(1434)  Natural Line of Shaving Products (Including Oils & Soaps)
(1435)  Precision-Engineered Rehabilitation & Therapy

►To receive additional information about these companies, please contact our office. 

We ask that you send us your complete company details when asking for information on the American firms.  This will help us to have the US company to reply to you in a fast and efficient manner.

ILLINOIS:

(1430)  CC (www.columbiachutes.com) is the US’ most experienced manufacturer of linen and rubbish chutes.  CC has a full time architect on staff to assure that your designs are accurate.  Their chutes meet all NFPA Standards, and all intake doors are UL-B labeled and approved for both drywall and masonry construction.  The basic chutes contain:

A:  Intake sections(s) with specified door installed on unit.
B:  Expansion sections(s) to make up balance of floor height.
C:  Angle iron floor brace(s) to support the chute.
D:  Rolling discharge door or hopper with door equipped with fusible link to close in case of fire.
E:  Full diameter vent to extend four feet above roof level.
F:  Sprinkler and flush head at the top of chute with additional sprinkler heads at every other floor.

Additional items may be ordered such as Sanitizing Units, Access Doors, Electric Interlocks, Sound Coating and Isolator Pads.  Chute components, which are available separately or in systems, include:  Rubbish/ Linen Chute, Rubbish Intake Doors, Linen Intake Doors, Horizontal Rolling Discharge Door “HRD”, Hopper Discharge, Vents, Sanitizing Unit and other accessories.

(1431) Encore (https://www.encorepack.com/) manufactures a range of hand packaging tools and equipment for the application of strapping, stretch film and other packaging consumable.  Most products are made in the USA and provide a competitively price product offering with the quality and durability of American Made Products.

MISSISSIPPI:

(1432)  RE&M (http://www.resourceequipmentms.com) buys, sells, brokers and auctions a wide array of off heavy equipment, including Used Construction, Farming and different types of Industrial Equipment.

NEW MEXICO:

(1433)  VM (http://www.villamyriam.com/) produces a varied line of cold brew coffees and teas, as well as other blended teas and 100% Arabica micro lot single estate coffee from Colombia – roasted in Albuquerque, NM.  Cold Brew Nitro is a process of extraction in which the coffee is never heated, it is steeped in cold water for a long period of time, then infused with nitrogen to create a very unique texture and experience.  This Nitro Cold Brew has a strong front presence of chocolate, with toasted oat notes and a sweet molasses finish.

(1434)  CCP (http://www.colconkproducts.com/) is world renowned for quality, classic shaving supplies.  CCP has a natural line of shaving products that includes pre-shave oil, shaving soap, shaving cream, aftershave lotion and a new arrival, natural beard oil.  CCP recently launched its natural beard wash (shampoo, conditioner, infused with Argan oil).  CCP is best known for their shaving soap, which is a great glycerin puck with traditional scents.  They also offer a variety of sets, mugs, badger hairbrushes and combs.

PENNSYLVANIA

(1435)  HG (http://www.hawkgrips.com/) are precision-engineered therapy instruments designed to detect and treat soft-tissue injuries.  Treatment with their instruments results in an immediate increase in mobility/range of motion and a decrease in pain.  HG instruments are designed to provide precise edges to detect and treat conditions such as carpal tunnel syndrome, lower back pain, joint sprains, runner’s knee, tendonitis and other conditions.  The products aim to help enhance range of motion and promote faster rehabilitation and recovery.  HG instruments are designed to provide precise edges to detect and treat conditions such as carpal tunnel syndrome, lower back pain, joint sprains, runner’s knee, tendonitis, and other conditions.  The products aim to help enhance range of motion and promote faster rehabilitation and recovery.

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In order to receive additional information about any of these inquiries, please contact our office.

You are also invited to send us product requests, for we can also attempt to source virtually any product from American manufacturers.  We request you provide as many specifications as possible, for this will facilitate our search for you.  This service is also free of charge concerning our American client states.

If you should have any further questions, or if we may be of any additional assistance, please feel free to contact our office at Tel: +917.338.4911 or at e.mail:  zuhana@atid-edi.com.

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Fortnightly, 19 October 2016

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FortnightlyReport

19 October 2016
17 Tishrei 5777
17 Muharram 1438

TOP STORIES

TABLE OF CONTENTS:

 1: ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Israel’s Energy Ministry Considers Gas-to-Liquid Facility
1.2  Jerusalem Approves $2.7 Million Plan to Promote LGBT Equality

2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  eBay Signs Agrreement for $30 Million Acquisition of Corrigon
2.2  Norges Bank Buys Share in Israel Discount Bank
2.3  SimpleOrder Raises $2.75 Million
2.4  Jezreel Valley Train Back On Track

 3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Middle East Air Cargo Demand Growth Slumps to a 7 Year Low
3.2  ADNOC Plans to Merge Offshore Oil Firms in Cost-Saving Measure
3.3  France’s Thales Wins Deal to Maintain 2,400 km. Saudi Railway
3.4  Saudi Telcos Boycotted Over High Prices and Bad Service
3.5  Telecom Egypt Picks Ciena for Resilient Optical Mesh Network

 4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  First Solar Commissions 52.5 MW Shams Ma’an Plant in Jordan
4.2  Dubai Starts Work on Middle East’s Largest Rooftop Solar Project

5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanon’s Trade Deficit Broadened by 9.66% by August 2016
5.2  Total Number of Registered New Lebanese Cars Drops 12% in September
5.3  Tourist Spending in Lebanon Falls by Third Quarter
5.4  US Approves $65 Million Sale of Cessna Aircraft to Iraq

♦♦Arabian Gulf

5.5  IMF Says Modest Oil Price Recovery to Boost GCC Growth
5.6  Bahrain’s Foreign Reserves Drop by Half Since 2014 Amid Oil Price Slump
5.7  Qatar Airways Signs $11.7 Billion Deal for 40 Boeing Planes
5.8  UAE Private Sector Growth Slows to 3-Month Low in September
5.9  UAE Inflation Falls Sharply In August Amid Fuel Price Slump
5.10  Oman Government Budget Deficit Grows to $10.4 Billion
5.11  Saudi Economy Grows 1.4% in Second Quarter

♦♦North Africa

5.12  Egypt’s Parliament Approves Contentious Civil Services Law
5.13  Egypt’s Poverty Level Reached 27.8% in 2015
5.14  Egypt’s Non-Oil Business Activity Slowdown Stretches to One Year
5.15  Egyptian Parliament Officially Approves Illegal Immigration Law
5.16  World Bank Signs $500 Million Loan to Create Jobs in Upper Egypt
5.17  Chinese Company Signs $20 Billion Agreement to Build New Administrative Capital
5.18  World Bank Pessimistic on Libya’s Economic Outlook
5.19  Morocco’s GDP to Increase by 3.5% by 2018

6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS


6.1  Turkish Unemployment Rate Rises to 10.7% in July
6.2  Turkey Permits Controlled Cannabis Production in 19 Provinces
6.3  Greek Unemployment Falls to 23.2% in July

7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

♦♦ISRAEL:

7.1  Shemini Atzeret/Simchat Torah Celebrated
7.2  First Jewish-Druze Military Academy Opens in Northern Israel
7.3  Kuwait Ruler Dissolves Parliament Amid Regional Developments

♦♦REGIONAL:

7.4  Most University Students Don’t Want to Leave UAE
7.5  Islamists Beat Liberals in Morocco Elections

8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  Teva & Celltrion Announce Exclusive Biosimilar Commercial Partnership
8.2  Israeli Wines Gain International Recognition
8.3  Zebra Medical Vision Announces New Algorithm for Better Breast Cancer Diagnosis
8.4  Teva Announces Launch of Generic Beyaz in the United States
8.5  Humavox & Starkey Bring Wireless Charging to Hearing and Audio Devices

9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  LightCyber’s Free Purple Team Assessment Tests Data Breach Readiness
9.2  Browsi Officially Launches its Automatic Mobile Page Yield Engine
9.3  Comprendi Wins $250,000 Grand Prize in Twitter #Promote Ads API Challenge
9.4  Airbus Standardizes on Stratasys Solutions for A350 XWB Aircraft Supply Chain
9.5  Celeno & NXP Collaborate to Deliver Whole Home Multi Gigabit Wi-Fi to Market

10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israel’s CPI Fell by 0.1% During September
10.2  Israel’s Economic Growth Rate Stands at 4.3%
10.3  Israeli Exports to Africa Rise as Exports to China Fall
10.4  Israel’s Tax Collection Surplus Exceeds Predictions
10.5  Israel’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Nearing $100 Billion
10.6  Israel’s Public Transport Passengers Rise by 7% in 2016
10.7  OECD Report Finds 50% Decrease in Israeli Road Accident Fatalities
10.8  Israel Has One of Lowest Pension Payouts in OECD

11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  SAUDI ARABIA: Ratings on Saudi Arabia Affirmed At ‘A-/A-2’; Outlook Stable
11.2  MOROCCO: Morocco Ratings Affirmed At ‘BBB-/A-3’; Outlook Stable
11.3  TURKEY: Where Has Turkey’s Foreign Direct Investment Gone?
11.4  TURKEY: The Islamization of Turkey – Erdogan’s Education Reforms
11.5  IRAQ: Decline of Higher Education in Iraq Continues
11.6  GREECE: Moody’s Affirms Greece’s Government Bond Rating at Caa3

1:  ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Israel’s Energy Ministry Considers Gas-to-Liquid Facility

On 13 October, the Ministry of National Infrastructure, Energy & Water Resources published a tender for conducting a feasibility test for a gas-to-liquid (GTL) facility in Israel.  The winning company will receive half the cost of the feasibility test from the ministry, up to NIS 200,000.  Under the tender terms, the test will be for one or more sites on which the plant is likely to be constructed.  A GTL plant makes it possible to turn natural gas into any type of conventional fuel: diesel, gasoline, jet fuel, and gas for cooking and heating.

The innovative technology for producing liquid fuel from natural gas will make it possible to extend the use of natural gas to additional economic sectors and substantially increase demand.  In January 2013, the government decided to reduce dependence on oil for transportation by 30% by 2020, and by 60% by 2025.

Consortia participating in the tender will have to include companies with various capabilities: companies owning national or local infrastructure that is likely to support construction of a GTL facility, such a refining plant, a pipeline for transporting oil and its products, a distribution facility, suitable land, etc.; a company with proven technology, or an official representative of the owner of technology for building a GTL plant; and a company with proven know-how and experience in engineering consultation, design, or management of at least two projects of $100 million or more each for constructing petrochemical plants or energy facilities.  (Globes 13.10)

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1.2  Jerusalem Approves $2.7 Million Plan to Promote LGBT Equality

The Netanyahu government announced on 5 October a new, broad initiative to promote equality for the LGBT community in Israel.  The plan’s funding, some $2.6 million, was approved as part of the 2017/8 state budget, and will be divided among the Welfare, Education and Social Equality ministries.  Under the initiative, the Welfare Ministry’s budget for the LGBT community will be increased by $400,000 and will be directed to promote the construction of LGBT centers nationwide.  The Education Ministry will receive $1.3 million toward formulating educational activities in schools with the aim of promoting tolerance.  The Social Equality Ministry will allocate $660,000 toward a campaign to prevent discrimination against the LGBT community.  The remainder of the funds will be divided between various organizations, including for additional personnel for the Committee for Sex Reassignment, based at Sheba Medical Center in Tel HaShomer, whose members have so far been operating on a voluntary basis.  Finance Minister Moshe Kahlon instructed the Israel Tax Authority to train its personnel on the implementation of tax benefits to same-sex couples.  All government ministries were also instructed to appoint ombudsmen to prevent discrimination based on sexual orientation.  (IH 06.10)

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2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  eBay Signs $30 Million Agreement for Acquisition of Corrigon

eBay has signed an agreement to acquire Corrigon, a pioneer of visual search technologies.  Corrigon helps identify objects within an image, matching both visual and textual elements to ensure that the image is recognized, correctly classified and best-matched to its corresponding product.  With more than one billion live listings on eBay’s platform, Corrigon’s expertise and technology will help match the best images to their products so that shoppers can be confident that what they buy is exactly what they see.  Corrigon is the third acquisition in 2016 to further bolster eBay’s structured data efforts, following the acquisitions of SalesPredict and Expertmaker.  Financial terms of the deal were not disclosed.

Corrigon brings deep experience in image processing and computer vision to eBay.  Specifically, Corrigon’s technology and expertise will contribute to eBay’s efforts with image recognition, classification and image enhancements as part of its structured data initiative.  There are three parts to eBay’s structured data initiative: first, collect the data; second, process and enrich the data; and third, create product experiences. Corrigon will support the second and third parts – processing and enriching the data and creating product experiences.  Upon the close of the transaction, the team will join eBay’s structured data organization and will be based in eBay’s Israeli Development Center in Netanya.

Tel Aviv’s Corrigon is a pioneer of visual search technologies, making images interactive and monitoring web content related to product.  Founded in 2009, with the vision of bringing power to image recognition, Corrigon created a comprehensive toolbox of Brand Monitoring, Visual Search and Copyright Management.  (eBay 05.10)

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2.2  Norges Bank Buys Share in Israel Discount Bank

Norway’s central bank Norges Bank has increased its holding in Israel Discount Bank to 2.6%.  The investment was made on 28 September and announced in 5 October when Israel Discount Bank raised NIS 480 million in a share offering at NIS 6.93 per share, with a further NIS 224 million to be raised in options.  Norges Bank holds 29.4 million Discount Bank shares worth NIS 201 million.  The purchase of the shares is especially surprising considering that Norges Bank manages the Scandinavian country’s sovereign wealth fund, which in 2013 decided to divest its shares in Israeli companies due to political reasons.  (Globes 06.10)

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2.3  SimpleOrder Raises $2.75 Million

SimpleOrder has closed a $2.75 million series A financing round.  The round was led by Lazarus Israel Opportunities Fund and Foodlab Capital, with participation from existing investors Cyrus Angel Fund and private angel investors.  SimpleOrder also announced the release of its Automated Inventory System, a first-of-its-kind platform that calculates and manages inventory levels in real-time, based on purchasing and sales.

The restaurant industry remains almost unique in the retail world for its lack of systematic, digitized inventory tracking – leaving many managers and chefs in the dark as to their real-time inventory.  Many restaurants still handle stock counts with pen and paper periodically when it’s usually too late to make critical adjustments or correct costly, profit-slashing mistakes such as over-ordering, over-portioning and leakage.  This is a major factor contributing to the reported failure of over 50% of new restaurants within 12 months.

Tel Aviv’s SimpleOrder is a cloud-based purchasing and inventory management platform for restaurants and suppliers.  Founded in 2012, the Tel Aviv based company has raised $3.7 million, including the latest financing.  (Globes 13.10)

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2.4  Jezreel Valley Train Back On Track

After 65 years, the historic Jezreel Valley Railway has returned to active use; new passengers as well as seniors with memories of the old train visit the new version’s debut, which takes travelers from Haifa to Beit Shean via Afula.  The train leaves Haifa and travels via the Zvulun, Jezreel Valley and Beit She’an Valleys.  Travel times between Haifa and Beit She’an are about 50 minutes in each direction.  They are free for now and will still be at a 50% discount rate for valley area residents during early November.  The Jezreel Valley Train will also connect the Haifa Port to the Jordan River Crossing (Sheikh Hussein Bridge).  (Ynet 18.10)

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3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Middle East Air Cargo Demand Growth Slumps to a 7 Year Low

Middle Eastern carriers saw air freight demand growth slump to 1.8% year-on-year in August, the slowest pace since July 2009, according to new figures released by the International Air Transport Association (IATA).  Capacity increased by 6.9% during the month, with the strong upward trend seen in Middle Eastern traffic over the past year or so coming to a halt.  In seasonally-adjusted terms, volumes in July were slightly below those seen in January, with the weakening performance partly attributable to slower growth between the Middle East and Asia.  This suggests that Middle Eastern carriers are facing stiff competition from European airlines on the Europe-Asia route, IATA added.

Globally, IATA said air freight markets in August showed that demand, measured in freight tonne kilometers (FTKs), rose 3.9% year-on-year.  Freight capacity measured in available freight tonne kilometers (AFTKs) increased by 4.1% over the same period.  Load factors remained historically low, keeping yields under pressure.  IATA said carriers in all regions except Latin America reported an increase in year-on-year demand in August.  (IATA 05.10)

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3.2  ADNOC Plans to Merge Offshore Oil Firms in Cost-Saving Measure

Abu Dhabi National Oil Co (ADNOC) said it planned to consolidate the operations of two of its offshore oil companies into a new entity, as part of a bigger restructuring of the OPEC member’s main energy firm in the era of cheap oil.  The consolidation of Abu Dhabi Marine Operating Co (ADMA-OPCO) and Zakum Development Co (ZADCO) “aimed at capitalizing on synergies to drive operational efficiency and maximize value,” ADNOC said in a statement.  Current production for the ADMA-OPCO and ZADCO offshore oil fields is around 1.2 million barrels per day and ADNOC’s plan is to boost output potential to around 1.6 million bpd in 2017-18.  The UAE currently produces about 3.2 million bpd.  The consolidation comes after ADNOC reshuffled its leadership in May, the first major shake-up since the appointment of Sultan Al Jaber as chief executive earlier this year.

A steering committee will be formed by ADNOC and its joint venture partners – BP, ExxonMobil, Japan Oil Development Company (JODCO) and Total – to oversee the integration.  ADNOC has a 60% share in ADMA-OPCO, with the remainder owned by BP, JODCO, and Total. ADNOC has a 60% stake in ZADCO, while ExxonMobil and JODCO hold the rest.  ADNOC had said it plans to invest over $25 billion in the next five years on boosting oil output from offshore fields as part of the UAE’s plan to boost its oil output capacity to 3.5 million bpd by 2017-18.  (Reuters 04.10)

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3.3  France’s Thales Wins Deal to Maintain 2,400 km. Saudi Railway

French firm Thales has been awarded a one year renewable maintenance contract for the 2,400 km. lines – mineral and passenger – of the North South Railway project crossing Saudi Arabia.  The North-South Railway project in Saudi Arabia is the world’s largest railway construction and the longest route to adopt the European signaling system.  It involves construction of a single 2,400km track, sidings, yards, depots, stations and administrative facilities to create a line that has its origin in the capital city Riyadh, in the northwest of the country, to Al Haditha, near the border with Jordan.

Thales said that the freight line, 1,486km from Al Jalamid (phosphate belt) to Az Zabirah (bauxite belt), has been operational since November 2015 while the 1,418km passenger line from Riyadh to Haditha will be operational by the end of 2016.  The passenger route will accommodate trains travelling at 200 km/h and will stop at industrial stations in Sudair, Al Qassim, Hail, Al-Jawf and Al-Basayta to Al Haditha.  It added that the maintenance contract includes the corrective activities as well as predictive maintenance, enabling rail operators to fix assets before they fail.  Thales said it is one of the leading providers of signaling solutions and equipment maintenance worldwide.  (AB 07.10)

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3.4  Saudi Telcos Boycotted Over High Prices and Bad Service

Saudi Arabian telecoms firms are reportedly being boycotted by customers protesting high prices and poor service.  The boycott is expected to cause losses totaling in the region of SR50 million ($13.3 million).  The campaign started on 2 October and involves customers turning off their phones for three hours every day.  It is the first of its kind in the Saudi kingdom and comes after the Communications and Information Technology Commission announced it would stop selling unlimited internet cards at the end of September and prevent service operators from doing so, too.  Saudi Telecommunications Company (STC) has stopped selling unlimited data packages, while Mobily and Zain are reportedly continuing to sell the packages.

The whole telecoms industry in Saudi Arabia is preparing for a massive shake-up under government plans to increase competition.  In response, the Capital Markets Authority (CMA) announced plans to offer telcos operators with single “unified licenses” allowing them to offer a full range of telecoms services.  Previously, operators had to apply for separate licenses to offer services such as mobile and fixed-line.  (AB 05.10)

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3.5  Telecom Egypt Picks Ciena for Resilient Optical Mesh Network

Telecom Egypt is deploying Hanover, Maryland’s Ciena’s GeoMesh solution and packet-optical platforms for reliable, low-latency connectivity to meet surging demands for high-bandwidth services on its national terrestrial network and submarine links between the Mediterranean and Asia.  With a more agile and scalable network, Telecom Egypt’s wholesale carrier, service provider, internet content provider and consortium customers will be able to provide diverse data transit routes for international data center interconnect (DCI), disaster recovery, cloud-based services, and other high-capacity services for enterprise and consumer end-customers.

Ciena is a network strategy and technology company. We translate best-in-class technology into value through a high-touch, consultative business model – with a relentless drive to create exceptional experiences measured by outcomes.  (Ciena 17.10)

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4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  First Solar Commissions 52.5 MW Shams Ma’an Plant in Jordan

Tempe, Arizona’s First Solar has commissioned the 52.5 Mega Watt AC Shams Ma’an project in the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, on schedule.  The plant is owned by a consortium of investors consisting of Diamond Generating Europe, Nebras Power Q.S.C. and the Kawar Group.  First Solar significantly contributed to the development of the project before divesting its stake and being appointed the Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) contractor.  Shams Ma’an has a 20-year Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) with the National Electric Power Company (NEPCO), the country’s power generation and distribution authority.

The plant, which accounts for approximately 1% of Jordan’s total energy generation capacity, produces clean electricity using over 600,000 high-performance First Solar Series 4 thin film modules, which deliver up to 5% more specific energy in Ma’an than conventional crystalline silicon panels.  The modules are mounted on single-axis trackers that allow the facility to generate up to 20% more energy.  Significantly, the facility was constructed by a workforce that was almost entirely Jordanian, with First Solar spending over 40,000 man hours on training alone, creating a new skills resource for the country.

First Solar is a leading global provider of comprehensive photovoltaic (PV) solar systems which use its advanced module and system technology.  The company’s integrated power plant solutions deliver an economically attractive alternative to fossil-fuel electricity generation today.  (First Solar 09.10)

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4.2  Dubai Starts Work on Middle East’s Largest Rooftop Solar Project

Construction of the largest solar rooftop project in the Middle East is underway after DP World commissioned the installation of 88,000 solar panels on its Dubai facilities in Jebel Ali Free Zone and Mina Rashid.  Upon the completion of phase one in 2017, the project will provide enough clean power for 3,000 homes a year.  It will result in 22,000 metric tons of carbon being saved annually, equivalent to taking 4,500 cars off the road.  The solar panels will provide 40% of the total energy consumption of Jafza, one of the world’s largest free trade zones.  The DP World Solar Programme will contribute to energy diversification in the region as part of Dubai’s Integrated Energy Strategy 2030, which seeks to reduce energy demand by 30% by 2030.  The solar scheme is one of the largest initiatives to be implemented under the recently launched Shams Dubai program by Dubai Electricity & Water Authority (DEWA).  (AB 05.10)

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5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanon’s Trade Deficit Broadened by 9.66% by August 2016

According to the Lebanese Customs, Lebanon’s trade deficit widened by 9.66% from $9.80B by August 2015 to $10.74B by August 2016.  Exports increased by a yearly 3.10% to $2.05B, while imports added 8.55% y-o-y to $12.79B.  In terms of volume, imported volume of goods added 23.05% to 12.50M tons by August 2016, meanwhile the volume of exports dropped 20.25% to 1.09M tons.

Looking at imports, mineral products (22.29% of total import value) saw rising value and volume, noting that oil prices averaged lower in Jan-August 2016, when compared to the previous year.  Imports of mineral products increased 44.13% y-o-y, in terms of volume, to reach 6.48M tons by August 2016.  Accordingly, value of total imported mineral products increased 42.78% y-o-y to $2.85B.  Moreover, products of the chemical or allied industries, which grasped 10.70% of the total value of imported goods increased by a yearly 4.19% to $1.37B.  As for machinery and electrical instruments, they grasped a share of 9.79% of the total value and fell by 8.55% from 2015 to stand at $1.25B by August 2016.

The top countries Lebanon imported from during the first eight months of the year were China, Italy, USA, Germany and Greece with respective shares of 11.08%, 7.48%, 6.70%, 5.91% and 4.96% of the total value.  As for exports and with gold prices inching up this year and given the strength of the Lebanese jewelry sector, “pearls, precious stones and metals” products maintained the highest share of exported goods (27.32%)  and increased by 88.71% y-o-y to $560.56M.  As for prepared foodstuffs, beverages and tobacco, they comprised 14.51% of exported goods’ value amounting to $297.73M by August 2016, compared to $325.15M by August 2015.  Moreover, exports of machinery and electrical instruments, that take up to 11.71% of the total exports, fell by 15.62% y-o-y to $240.35M by August 2016.  The top export destinations for the same period were South Africa, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Syria and Iraq with respective shares of 22.26%, 9.43%, 8.31%, 5.89% and 5.59% of the total value.  (LC 07.10)

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5.2  Total Number of Registered New Lebanese Cars Drops 12% in September

According to the Association of Lebanese Car Importers, despite the increasing promotional and advertising campaigns, the number of newly registered cars fell 12% from August 2016 to September 2016.  Also, as a result of “the absence of an adapted and structured public transportation”, people are shifting their preferences towards small cars, where “90% of the registered cars are small cars with low selling prices (less than $15,000)”.  Hence, this change led to a fall in importers’ companies revenues.  Moreover, the total number of newly registered commercial and passenger cars marginally fell 0.92% year- on- year (y-o-y) to 30,552 cars by Q3/16.  The number of registered commercial cars rose by 18.49% y-o-y to 1,973, while the number of registered passenger vehicles dropped 2.03% to reach 28,579 cars during the first 3 quarters of the year.  In terms of car brands, Kia grasped the largest share of 18.51% of newly registered passenger cars, followed by Hyundai, Toyota and Nissan with respective shares of 14%, 12.9% and 9%.  (BLOM 13.10)

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5.3  Tourist Spending in Lebanon Falls by Third Quarter

The lower number of GCC tourists coming to Lebanon led to a 10% y-o-y fall in tourist spending by the third quarter (Q3) of 2016, according to Global Blue.  However, on a quarterly basis, the occurrence of both Adha and Al-Fitr holidays during Q3/16 did not lead to an improvement in tourist spending when compared to the same period last year, as it slipped by 3% y-o-y.  On a year-to-date basis, tourist spending by Saudi Arabian visitors decreased by 20% by Q3/16, when compared to the same period last year.  Similarly, spending by Qatari, Kuwaiti and Iraqi tourists plummeted by 21% each over the same period.  However, Syrian tourist spending rose by 7%, mainly due to the increasing number of Syrian citizens in Lebanon.  During the first 9 months of the year, fashion and clothing accounted for 73% of the spending distribution by category, followed by 13% for watches and jewelry.  Nevertheless, spending on all categories significantly dropped by Q3 2016 when compared to the same period in 2015.  In details, spending on fashion and clothing, watches and jewelry, and souvenirs and gifts witnessed respective falls of 8%, 17%, and 33%.  Locally, 79% of tourist expenditures took place in the capital Beirut, while 12% were spent in Metn (Mount Lebanon).  (BLOM 15.10)

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5.4  US Approves $65 Million Sale of Cessna Aircraft to Iraq

The US State Department has approved a possible Foreign Military Sale to Iraq for AC-208 aircraft and related equipment, training, and support.  The estimated cost is $65.3 million.

The Government of Iraq requested to purchase two (2) Cessna AC-208 aircraft that include: dual rail LAU-131 Hellfire launcher capability on each wing, AN/ALE-47 electronic countermeasure dispenser, AN/AAR-60 Missile Launch Warning System, AN/AAQ-35 ElectroOptical Infrared Imaging System, contractor aircraft modifications, spare parts, publication updates, aircraft ferry, and miscellaneous parts.  Iraq originally purchased three (3) AC-208 and three (3) C-208 aircraft in 2008.  The Cessna aircraft are used to support Iraqi military operations against al-Qaeda affiliate and the Islamic State (IS) forces.  The purchase of two (2) additional aircraft enables the Iraqi Air Force to continue its fight against IS.  Iraq will have no difficulty absorbing these aircraft into its armed forces.  The principal contractor is Orbital ATK, Falls Church, Virginia.  (DSCA 12.10)

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►►Arabian Gulf

5.5  IMF Says Modest Oil Price Recovery to Boost GCC Growth

Modest recovery in oil prices is unlikely to improve growth prospects for Middle East oil exporting economies, with projected average growth hovering at 3.3% for 2016, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).  Most oil exporters continue to tighten fiscal policy in response to lower oil revenues and liquidity in the financial sector continues to decline. Meanwhile, many countries in the region also remain affected by geopolitical conflict.  However, there are substantial variations in growth prospects within the seven oil exporting Middle East and North Africa (MENA) economies.

The largest economy, Saudi Arabia, is projected to grow at a modest 1.2% this year in the face of fiscal consolidation, before picking up to 2% next year.  The UAE’s economic growth is also expected to be modest at 2.3%, picking up marginally to 2.5% in 2017, while growth projections for Qatar and Kuwait are similar, at 2.6% and 2.5% respectively.  2017 forecasts for Qatar and Kuwait stand at 3.4% and 2.6% respectively, the IMF added.

Outside the GCC, growth prospects are more optimistic but they follow lower growth in the previous year.  The IMF puts Iraq’s projected growth at 10.3% for 2016 based on higher than expected oil production this year.  The country saw negative growth of -2.4% in 2015, and, going into 2017 and beyond, growth is expected to be held back by continued security challenges and lower investment in the oil sector hampering production.  (IMF 05.10)

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5.6  Bahrain’s Foreign Reserves Drop by Hlf Since 2014 Amid Oil Price Slump

Bahrain’s foreign reserves have more than halved since the end of 2014 as low oil prices slash the value of the country’s exports.  The central bank of Bahrain, one of the Gulf states hit hardest by cheap oil, has not published its monthly monetary statistics bulletin since June 2015.  It has not responded to requests for comment on why it halted publication.  That leaves bond prospectuses as a key source of data on the kingdom.  The government has been increasing its debt issues to finance a budget deficit caused by cheap oil, and on 4 October it sold $1 billion of seven-year Islamic bonds and $1 billion of 12-year conventional bonds.

Gross foreign reserves held by the central bank, including gold, shrank to $2.78 billion on June 30 this year from $3.39 billion at the end of last year and $6.06 billion in 2014, the Islamic bond prospectus showed.  At the end of 2014, reserves were worth 3.7 months of Bahrain’s imports, the prospectus said.  That implies reserves have now dropped well below 90 days of import cover, a level traditionally considered by many economists to be at the bottom of a country’s comfort zone.  Bahrain’s current account balance, which includes trade in goods and services, fell into a $79 million deficit last year from a $1.52 billion surplus in 2014, the prospectus showed.

Bahrain’s main source of oil is the Abu Saafa oilfield, which it shares with Saudi Arabia.  Under their treaty, Bahrain is entitled to 50% of the field’s output, but the prospectus noted that it had been receiving “significantly more” than that ratio.  Bahrain is also benefiting from a regional development fund established by Saudi Arabia and two other rich neighbors, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates.  The fund, established in 2011, aims to provide Bahrain with $7.5 billion of grants over a 10-year period.  Of that amount, $6.2 billion has been earmarked for development projects in Bahrain but only $500 million has actually been disbursed, the prospectus said.  (Reuters 05.10)

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5.7  Qatar Airways Signs $11.7 Billion Deal for 40 Boeing Planes

Qatar Airways ordered 40 Boeing Co wide body jets valued at $11.7 billion and signed a letter of intent for up to 60 narrow body 737 MAX 8 jets worth $6.9 billion.  The agreement for up to 100 jetliners potentially worth $18.6 billion helps fill out Boeing’s order book in a year when sales have slowed sharply, and amid tough price competition with European rival Airbus.  The deal marked a key commitment by Qatar Airways to Boeing’s new 737 MAX jetliner, after it refused to accept three of Airbus’ competing A320 aircraft earlier this year.  Qatar has not ordered 737s previously.

The deal for 30 of Boeing’s 787-9 Dreamliners and 10 of its 777-300ER aircraft is significantly larger than an order for five Boeing 777-300ER aircraft worth $1.7 billion that the carrier had been expected to place during Britain’s Farnborough Airshow in July.  The orders are worth $11.7 billion at list prices, with an additional list value of $6.9 billion if all of the 737 MAX jets are purchased.  Airlines typically receive steep discounts on large orders.  Qatar Airways’ order is likely to further intensify concern among US airlines about what they term unfair subsidies that Gulf carriers receive.  The three Gulf carriers deny receiving subsidies, and other powerful US businesses, including FedEx Corp and Boeing, oppose changes to Open Skies agreements with Gulf nations.  (Reuters 08.10)

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5.8  UAE Private Sector Growth Slows to 3-Month Low in September

Growth in the UAE’s non-oil private sector eased in September, with business conditions improving at the weakest pace since June, according to the Emirates NBD UAE Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI).  The PMI showed that the sector’s slowdown was largely reflective of a subdued expansion in new work – the latest rise was the least marked in over six years.  Job creation was also modest but both output and purchasing rose sharply, suggesting that firms remain confident about the near-term outlook.  On the price front, competitive pressures led to lower purchase costs and output charges. The fall in the former ended a 17-month period of inflation, the survey showed.

The sharp slowdown in new order growth last month appears to be due to weaker demand from external markets rather than soft domestic demand.  Growth in output and purchasing activity remained strong.  Overall, the PMI data points to a faster rate of expansion in the UAE’s non-oil private sector in Q3/16, compared to Q2.  Higher output remained a key driver of growth of the sector as a whole during September.  The rate of expansion was marked and only slightly slower than seen in the previous two months. Activity was reportedly bolstered by new projects and new client wins.  (AB 08.10)

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5.9  UAE Inflation Falls Sharply In August Amid Fuel Price Slump

The UAE’s inflation rate fell sharply on an annual basis to 0.6% in August, according to the UAE National Bureau of Statistics.  The year-on-year rate dropped from 1.8% the previous month and was down from 4.9% in the year-earlier period.  The figures showed that housing and utility costs, which account for over 39% of consumer expenses, rose 2.7% from a year earlier.

Food and soft drink prices, which account for nearly 14%, climbed 1.7% but transport costs plunged 12.1% after the UAE cut domestic fuel prices for August.  In Abu Dhabi, 51 private schools have just been granted permission to increase their fees by an average of 6% for the 2016-2017 academic year.  (NBS 15.10)

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5.10  Oman Government Budget Deficit Grows to $10.4 Billion

Oman’s government posted a budget deficit of OR4.02 billion ($10.4 billion) in the first seven months of 2016, nearly double the figure a year earlier.  The January-July deficit compared to a deficit of OR2.39 billion, as low oil export prices slashed its revenues, provisional Finance Ministry data showed.  The government’s original 2016 budget plan envisaged state expenditure of OR11.9 billion and revenues at OR8.6 billion.  Officials said their 2016 economic plans assumed an average oil price of $45 a barrel.

Oman is imposing a series of austerity measures after it posted a budget deficit of about OR4.5 billion last year.  Gasoline and diesel price subsidies have been cut and similar cuts are planned for electricity and liquid petroleum gas.  In August, the World Bank said Oman’s subsidy bill is expected to fall by 64% this year as the government seeks to reform its finances amid lower oil prices.  (AB 08.10)

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5.11  Saudi Economy Grows 1.4% in Second Quarter

Saudi Arabia’s economy grew 1.4% during Q2/16 compared to the year-earlier period, according to the latest Quarterly GDP Update from Jadwa Investment.  It said year-on-year growth in the Saudi kingdom continued to slow for the fourth consecutive quarter, mainly owing to a deceleration in annual GDP growth for both the oil sector and the non-oil private sector.  It added that annual growth in non-oil government sector GDP turned positive following two consecutive quarterly contractions.

Jadwa said that within the non-oil private economy, transport and finance were the fastest growing sectors in Q2.  It added that utilities, construction, wholesale and retail, and non-oil manufacturing all saw negative annual growth for the second consecutive quarter.  Jadwa expects continued growth in oil production during H2/16, while the slowdown in non-oil GDP will moderate.  Jadwa revised its 2016 full-year GDP forecast to 1.1%, down from an earlier forecast of 1.7%.  (AB 14.10)

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►►North Africa

5.12  Egypt’s Parliament Approves Contentious Civil Services Law

On 4 October, Egypt’s parliament approved the much-debated civil services law in the first session of the House of Representatives’ second legislative term.  The law has been the point of much debate since the majority of parliament voted against it in its first legislative term.  President A-Sisi ratified the law in March 2015 prior to the election of the House of Representatives.  Despite the parliament’s approval of over 300 executive decrees passed in its absence, the civil services law was met with wide opposition.

The controversial law, which affects more than 5 million public sector employees, enraged many and prompted some to protest, reigniting labor action in the country after a months-long pause.  Amendments include increasing the raise for employees to become 7% instead of the previously proposed 5%.  The new law also permits those who earned a higher degree during their time in office to be compensated according to the newly acquired degree.

The inflated public sector has been a long-held concern by the government as the budget deficit continues to grow. It has therefore targeted to reduce its wage bill.  Egypt’s budget deficit rose by 16.8% to $28.71 billion in the first nine months of 2015/16.  The government has denied, however, that the civil services bill aims to shrink the size of the sector, saying it is only meant to improve the efficiency of employees and monitor administrative bodies.  (Aswat Masriya 05.10)

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5.13  Egypt’s Poverty Level Reached 27.8% in 2015

The number of poor people in Egypt in 2015 stood at 27.8% of the overall population, comparing to 25.2% in 2010-2011, according to data released on 16 October by CAPMAS.  It said that 5.3% of the population were living in extreme poverty in 2015, due in part to soaring prices of food commodities.  The average poverty line in 2015 was set at LE322 per person per month, whereas the relative poverty line was set at LE482.  Some 56.7% of the population in rural areas in Upper Egypt could not afford their basic commodities (food and non-food), compared to 19.7% of population in rural areas in Lower Egypt.  CAPMAS said that in 2015 poverty stood at 40% among the illiterate and 7% among university graduates.  Among the factors that correlate with poverty levels, poor education is the key issue in Egypt. Poverty indicators go down as education levels go up.  (CAPMAS 16.10)

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5.14  Egypt’s Non-Oil Business Activity Slowdown Stretches to One Year

Business activity in Egypt shrank for the 12th consecutive month in September, with output declining the most in five months and a weakening currency pushing up prices.  The Emirates NBD Egypt Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for the non-oil private sector stood at 46.3 points, down from August’s 47.0 points and well below the 50 point mark that separates growth from contraction.

Egypt’s economy has been struggling since 2011 due to a sharp drop in tourism and foreign investments, two main sources of hard currency for the import-dependent country.  The country reached a preliminary agreement with the IMF in August for a three-year $12 billion loan program aimed at plugging its financing gap and stabilizing its currency market.  The weakening currency and a value-added tax adopted recently as part of economic reforms had combined to push up prices and weigh on growth.

Egypt’s annual headline inflation jumped to 16.4% in August 2016 to its highest in at least seven years, according to state statistics body CAPMAS.  Egypt has been expected to soon devalue its currency, which officially trades at 8.78 pounds to the dollar, to bring it into line with a black market rate that has hovered at around 14 pounds in recent days.  In March, Egypt, which relies heavily on imports of wheat and other staples to feed its population of 90 million, weakened the Egyptian pound by 14% of its value against the dollar in an attempt to eliminate the black market.  Other expected reforms include cuts to the bloated civil service and further slashes to subsidies in petroleum and electricity.  (Reuters 05.10)

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5.15  Egyptian Parliament Officially Approves Illegal Immigration Law

On 17 October, the Egyptian Parliament approved the final draft of the government’s Illegal Immigration Law, albeit five members rejected the bill and two abstained from voting and 402 votes were cast in favor of the legislation.  According to the new law, anyone found guilty of smuggling, attempting to smuggle or otherwise aiding in the process of smuggling migrants will be penalized with a fine ranging between EGP 50,000 and EGP 200,000.  The bill also stipulates that these criminals will be imprisoned for their actions but does not specify a range for the imprisonment period.  Meanwhile, those who cause the death of a migrant while smuggling them, smuggle women and children, or smuggle migrants with the aim of carrying out a terrorist attack will be sentenced to death.

The approval of the bill comes less than one month after a migrant boat carrying as many as 600 people capsized in the Mediterranean, off Egypt’s north coast, on its way to European shores.  The boat set sail from Egypt’s north coast and capsized a short while later near Burg Rashid, a village in the Egyptian province of Beheira.  Egyptian authorities arrested the owner and crew members of the boat, while Egyptian President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi instructed his government to take steps to support more small medium enterprises for Egyptian youth in order to provide more opportunities for those seeking to immigrate.

In recent years, Egypt has become a hub for illegal immigration, with hundreds of people setting sail from its shores on over packed migrant boats in an attempt to reach Europe.  Over 40,000 migrants have crossed the central Mediterranean to Italy this year and a total of 2,800 deaths were recorded between January and June of 2016.  (Various 17.10)

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5.16  World Bank Signs $500 Million Loan to Create Jobs in Upper Egypt

Egypt signed a $500 million loan deal with the World Bank to help create jobs and improve infrastructure in Upper Egypt, the Ministry of International Cooperation announced.  The program – part of a total $8 billion the World Bank Group will provide to Egypt from 2015-2019 – is aimed at raising the living standard in governorates most in need.  The Upper Egypt Local Development Program will improve economic growth rates in Upper Egypt, create sustainable job opportunities, enhance the business climate and improve infrastructure and the delivery of services.

The World Bank said that the program will focus on the two lagging regions of Qena and Sohag, which are among Egypt’s poorest areas “but have a large unrealized growth potential.”  The program will focus on facilitating and promoting private sector development in agribusiness, service, and industrial sectors with growth potential.  (Ahram Online 07.10)

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5.17  Chinese Company Signs $20 Billion Agreement to Build New Administrative Capital

The Egyptian government has signed a $20 billion agreement with the Beijing-based China Fortune Land Development Company (CFLD) to construct the second and third phases of the new administrative capital, work on which is due to commence after June 2018, when the first phase of the mega-project is scheduled to be finished.  Prime Minister Ismail presided over the signing of the agreement between the ministries of housing and investment and the CFLD.  The ministers reportedly claimed that the agreement would attract $15 billion in direct foreign investment.

Housing Minister Madbuly said his ministry would provide land for the project that is zoned for commercial, recreational, residential and industrial purposes.  The Investment Ministry will reportedly facilitate the provision of all necessary state licensing to ensure that the CFLD can operate effectively.

In initial talks, the government planned to partner with the Abu Dhabi-based Capital Partners Company.  However, the partnership fell apart, and the Egyptian state subsequently turned to the China State Construction Engineering Corporation (CSCEC), which has now been replaced by the CFLD.  The second phase of the new administrative center — situated just east of the Greater Cairo metropolis — has been projected to be completed by June 2020, with work on the third and final phase coming to a close in 2022.  According to the project’s ambitious blueprints, the completed city will occupy 700 square kilometers.  A replica of the Eiffel Tower was also initially slated to be built, along with skyscrapers and a massive obelisk similar to the Washington Monument.  (Mada Masr 04.10)

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5.18  World Bank Pessimistic on Libya’s Economic Outlook

A new report from the World Bank says the Libyan economy is near collapse as political stalemate and civil conflict prevent it from fully exploiting its sole natural resource: oil.  With oil production just a fifth of potential, revenues have plummeted, pushing fiscal and current account deficits to record highs.  With the dinar rapidly losing value, inflation has accelerated, further eroding real incomes.  In addition to near-term challenges of macroeconomic and social/political stability, medium-term challenges include rebuilding infrastructure and economic diversification for job creation and inclusive growth.

The outlook hinges on the assumption that the Libya’s House of Representatives will endorse a new government of national accord by the end of 2016, which will be able to start restoring security and launching programs to rebuild the economic and social infrastructures, especially oil facilities and terminals.

In the baseline scenario, production of oil is projected to progressively improve to around 0.6 million bpd by end-2017.  On this basis, GDP is projected to increase 28%.  However, the twin deficits will remain as revenues from oil and will not be sufficient to cover budget expenditures and consumption-driven imports.  This should keep the budget deficit at about 35% of GDP and the current account deficit at 28% of GDP in 2017.  However, downside risks to this scenario remain high as the political uncertainties may prevail.

Over the medium term, it is expected that oil production will progressively increase without reaching full capacity before 2020 due to the time necessary to restore the heavily damaged oil infrastructure.  In this context, growth is projected to rebound at around 23% in 2018.  Both the fiscal and current account balances will significantly improve, with the budget and the balance of payments running surpluses expected from 2020 onwards.  Foreign reserves will average around $26 billion during 2017-2019, representing the equivalent of 13 months of imports.  Unless immediate and target action is taken to address the humanitarian crisis, the situation is unlikely to improve.  The situation in Libya is such that simply relying on a slightly improved macro outlook is unlikely to bring about significant change.  The country needs humanitarian aid and specific programs to address the destruction and lack of basic services that a large part of the population faces.  (World Bank 11.10)

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5.19  Morocco’s GDP to Increase by 3.5% by 2018

At a time when poor rain-fed harvests have weighed on economic growth in Morocco during 2016, the Kingdom’s Gross Development Product (GDP) is forecast to grow by 3.5% in 2018, up from 1.5% in 2016, according to a report by the World Bank.  Data from the World Bank Economic Monitor for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) said economic activity in Morocco is expected to rebound in 2017 following a sharp economic drop in 2016.  In the short term, Morocco’s GDP growth should slow down to 1.5% in 2016 as the full impact of the fall 2015 drought unwinds, it added.

Agricultural GDP is projected to contract by 9.5% in 2016 before re-bounding by 8.9% in 2017.  Non-agricultural GDP growth is expected to hover around 3% in the absence of more decisive structural reforms.  The strong performance of the newly developed industries (automobile, aeronautics and electronics) and the expansion of Moroccan companies in Western Africa are potentially creating the conditions for Morocco to lift its position in global value chains.

Assuming the full implementation of a far-reaching reform agenda following the autumn 2016 parliamentary elections, growth could reach 4% over the medium term, with inflation kept at around 2%.  However, the spatial inequalities are likely to persist in the absence of targeted policies that address the multitude of challenges faced in the lagging regions of the country.  (WB 16.10)

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6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkish Unemployment Rate Rises to 10.7% in July

Turkey’s quarterly jobless average increased to 10.7% in July from the previous 10.2%, data from the Turkish Statistics Institute (TUIK) showed on 17 October.  In the same period, the non-agricultural unemployment rate was 13%, representing a one-point increase year on year.  While the youth unemployment rate, which includes persons aged 15-24, was 19.8% – a 1.5-point increase – the unemployment rate for persons aged 15-64 was 11% – a one-point increase.  The number of unemployed persons aged 15 years old and above totaled approximately 3.3 million in July.

The number of employed persons was roughly 27.6 million persons amid a year-on-year rise of about 294,000 people.  The employment rate totaled 47%, 0.2% less than July 2015, the official data showed.  (TUIK 18.10)

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6.2  Turkey Permits Controlled Cannabis Production in 19 Provinces

Cannabis production has been allowed in 19 provinces across Turkey in a controlled manner, in a bid to combat illegal production, according to a decree by the Food, Agriculture and Livestock Ministry in late September.  Permission will initially be effective for a maximum three-year period, according to the decree.  In exceptional cases, the ministry will also be able to grant permission in other provinces if the production is for “scientific purposes.”  When applying for a license, potential producers will need to offer a warrant showing they have not been involved in any illegal cannabis production activity or narcotics production, dealing or use.  Ministry officials will check cannabis fields at least once a month before the start of the harvest season, according to the decree.  It also stipulates that authorized producers will need to dispose all parts of the cannabis plant after the harvest period in order to prevent drug production.  (HDN 14.10)

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6.3  Greek Unemployment Falls to 23.2% in July

ELSTAT announced that Greece’s jobless rate eased to 23.2% in July from 23.4% in the previous month.  The number of officially unemployed reached 1.12 million people.  Hardest hit were young people aged 15 to 24 years, with their jobless rate dropping to 42.7% from 48.6% in the same month a year earlier.  The reading in July, based on seasonally adjusted data, was the lowest since March 2012, when unemployment stood at similar levels.  The jobless rate hit a record high of 27.9% in September 2013.  Greece’s unemployment rate has come down from record highs but remains more than double the Eurozone’s average of 10.1% in July.  The government expects unemployment will drop to 22.4% next year, based on its draft 2017 budget.  (ELSTAT 06.10)

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7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

*ISRAEL:

7.1  Shemini Atzeret/Simchat Torah Celebrated

On 23/24 October, or 22 Tishri, the day after the seventh day of Sukkot, is the holiday Shemini Atzeret.  In Israel, Shemini Atzeret is also the holiday of Simchat Torah.  Outside of Israel, where extra days of holidays are held, only the second day of Shemini Atzeret is Simchat Torah.

These two holidays are commonly thought of as part of Sukkot, but that is technically incorrect; Shemini Atzeret is a holiday in its own right and does not involve some of the special observances of Sukkot.  Shemini Atzeret literally means “the assembly of the eighth (day).”  Rabbinic literature explains the holiday this way: our Creator is like a host, who invites us as visitors for a limited time, but when the time comes for us to leave, He has enjoyed himself so much that He asks us to stay another day.  Another related explanation: Sukkot is a holiday intended for all of mankind, but when Sukkot is over, the Creator invites the Jewish people to stay for an extra day, for a more intimate celebration.

Simchat Torah means “Rejoicing in the Torah.”  This holiday marks the completion of the annual cycle of weekly Torah readings.  Each week in synagogue we publicly read a few chapters from the Torah, starting with Genesis Ch. 1 and working around to Deuteronomy 34.  On Simchat Torah, the last Torah portion is read, then proceeds immediately to the first chapter of Genesis, reminding us that the Torah is a circle, and never ends.

This completion of the readings is a time of great celebration.  There are processions around the synagogue carrying Torah scrolls and plenty of high-spirited singing and dancing in the synagogue with the Torahs.  As many people as possible are given the honor of an aliyah (reciting a blessing over the Torah reading); in fact, even children are called for an aliyah blessing on Simchat Torah.  In addition, as many people as possible are given the honor of carrying a Torah scroll in these processions.  Children do not carry the scrolls (they are much too heavy!), but often follow the procession around the synagogue, sometimes carrying small toy torahs (stuffed plush toys or paper scrolls).  Shemini Atzeret and Simchat Torah are holidays on which work is not permitted.

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7.2  First Jewish-Druze Military Academy Opens in Northern Israel

A first-of-its-kind joint Jewish-Druze military academy opened in the northern Druze town of Daliyat al-Karmel, near Haifa.  Deputy Regional Cooperation Minister Ayoob Kara, who also heads the implementation of the government’s efforts to develop the Druze and Bedouin sectors in Israel, was present at the ceremony.  The academy, he said, illustrates how “the Druze and the Jews are in essence one people that decided to come together to sanctify the values of life, democracy, freedom of expression, religion and movement and this is what our sons are fighting for, every hour of every day.”  Kara described the alliance as the safeguard protecting Israel’s Jews and Druze, even in very problematic areas.  Sixty cadets are training and studying at the academy this year.  (IH 06.10)

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*REGIONAL:

7.3  Kuwait Ruler Dissolves Parliament Amid Regional Developments

Kuwait’s emir ordered the dissolution of parliament on 16 October, saying regional developments and “security challenges” meant the national assembly should choose fresh representatives.  The order was contained in a decree by Sheikh Sabah al-Ahmad al-Sabah and elections now need to be held under constitutional rules.  The decree said the move was linked to regional developments that require returning to the people – the origin of authority – to choose its representatives to express its directions, ambitions and contribute to facing these challenges.  Kuwait has a relatively open political system by Gulf standards and has avoided an uprising like those that have ousted leaders in several Arab states since 2011.  Political stability in Kuwait, a leading OPEC oil producer and exporter, has traditionally depended on cooperation between the government and parliament, the oldest and most powerful legislature in the Gulf Arab states.  Liberals and candidates from some of Kuwait’s more marginalized tribes won seats in the last election in 2013, after opposition Islamists and populists boycotted the election.  (AB 16.10)

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7.4  Most University Students Don’t Want to Leave UAE

Nearly 69% of university students in the UAE want to stay in the country with one in five expat students hoping to become entrepreneurs, the “2016 Qudurat Wave III” report said.  Commissioned by Aon Hewitt and Dubai International Academic City, these numbers had risen by 19%, which was the highest since 2013, with 84% of students being satisfied with their course of study.  A 36% decline was registered with Emirati students who wanted to pursue a career in the public sector as only 17% opted to work for the government compared to 53% in 2015.  About 26% of Emiratis said they wanted to start their own business, while 22% wanted to work in the semi-government sector.

Of the Emirati female students surveyed, none of them wanted to become a homemaker with the majority wanting to study further or start their own business.  Expatriate students largely preferred to pursue a career in the private sector with one in every five expats choosing to go down the entrepreneurial route post completion of their studies.  Data for the Qudurat report, which means ’capabilities’ in Arabic, was collected from 996 national, transnational and resident students enrolled at 10 academic institutions across Dubai.  (Various 09.10)

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7.5  Islamists Beat Liberals in Morocco Elections

Morocco’s ruling Islamists have beaten their liberal rivals in parliamentary elections five years after sweeping to power following Arab Spring-inspired protests, results showed on 8 October.  Prime Minister Abdelilah Benkirane’s Islamist Justice and Development Party (PJD) took 125 seats out of 395 on the 7 October polls.  Its main rival, the Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM), which had campaigned against the “Islamisation” of Moroccan society, won 102 seats.

The PJD’s rise to power in 2011 after King Mohammed VI relinquished some of his powers following street protests brought hopes of change in the North African country.  The PJD was the first Islamist party to win a national election and the first to lead a government, albeit with coalition partners after failing to win an outright majority.

Apart from the two main parties, Istiqlal, which historically fought for independence from France, came third with 45 seats.  Nine other parties also won seats, including the National Gathering of Independents which took 37 and the Federation of the Democratic Left which clinched two.

Over the past five years his PJD has been weakened by rising unemployment and plummeting growth while critics said it failed to make good on promises to tackle corruption.  The PJD also faced a string of scandals within its ranks including a drugs bust, a land-grab deal and the suspension of two vice presidents found in a “sexual position” on a beach.  The PAM, formed in 2008 by a close adviser to the king, had hoped to take advantage in the poll and despite coming in second place more than doubled the number of its seats in the future parliament.  The PJD and the PAM have ruled out joining forces in a grand coalition.  (AFP 09.10)

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8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  Teva & Celltrion Announce Exclusive Biosimilar Commercial Partnership

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries and South Korea’s Celltrion and Celltrion Healthcare announced they have entered into an exclusive partnership to commercialize two of Celltrion’s mAb biosimilar candidates in the U.S. and Canada.  CT-P10 is a proposed mAb biosimilar to Rituxan (rituximab), which is used to treat patients with Non-Hodgkin’s Lymphoma (NHL), Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia (CLL), Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA), Wegener’s Granulomatosis and Microscopic Polyangiitis (MPA).  CT-P6 is a proposed mAb biosimilar to Herceptin (trastuzumab), which is used for the treatment of HER2-overexpressing breast cancer and for the treatment of HER2-overexpressing metastatic gastric or gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma.

Both CT-P10 and CT-P6 are currently in late-stage Phase III development and their primary endpoints have been successfully achieved. CT-P10 was submitted by Celltrion to the European Medicines Agency (EMA) for review in October 2015.  In the meantime, Celltrion is preparing CT-P6 for submission in Europe seeking approval from the EMA this quarter.  As part of the agreement, Teva will be responsible for all commercial activities in the U.S. and Canada, pending regulatory approvals for both products.  Celltrion has responsibility for completing all clinical development and regulatory activities.  Under the terms of the agreement, Teva will pay Celltrion Healthcare $160 million upfront of which up to $60 million is refundable or creditable under certain circumstances.  Teva and Celltrion Healthcare will share profit from the commercialization of the mAb biosimilars.

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries is a leading global pharmaceutical company that delivers high-quality, patient-centric healthcare solutions used by millions of patients every day.  Headquartered in Israel, Teva is the world’s largest generic medicines producer, leveraging its portfolio of more than 1,800 molecules to produce a wide range of generic products in nearly every therapeutic area.  (Teva 06.10)

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8.2  Israeli Wines Gain International Recognition

For the first time ever, the magazine Wine Spectator will dedicate its 15 October cover to Israeli Wines, writing “surprising quality from an emerging region.”  This step has far reaching implications for the Israeli wine industry in particular, and possibly for the entire country as a whole.

The story begins with Wine Spectator Editor Kim Marcus’s trip to Israel, which included wine tasting tours all over the Jewish state.  He was looking for wines to bring back to his editorial staff that holds a round table blind taste test of different wines from different wineries from all over the world.  The magazine will publish a list of Israeli wines compiled by the magazine, including 110 wines who were ranked between “very good” and “exceptional” by the magazine.

The list includes a wide variety of wines, proving that the Israeli wine industry is an industry which never sleeps.  There were red wines, whites, sparkling wines, and popular blends such as Merlots and Cabernet Sauvignons.  This, along with pieces on different wines made of Mediterranean grapes, such as Carignan Raslan, and local Israeli grape varieties such as Ravi and Hamdani.

The wineries featured in the magazine include: 1848, Agur, Alexander, Asaf, Barkan, Carmel, Clos de Gat, Crimson, Dalton, Flam, Harei Galil, Ramat Hagolan Winery, Gva’ot, Tavor, Recanati, Tulip and Tzora, Capsuoto, Karmei Yosef, Kishur, Margalit, Matar, Midbar, Or Haganoz, Pelter, Psagot, Segel, Shiloh, Kerem Shevo, Sumak, Teperberg, and Tzora, amongst others.

There were 23 wines were awarded 90 points or more, with the highest ranked wine – Tzora Winery’s Misty Hills – being awarded 93 points.  Perhaps the most surprising finding was that white wines comprised approximately 40% of the list of Israeli wines scoring over 90 points, especially in light of the fact that white wine producers constantly complain how hard it is for them to make the product.  It’ s impossible not to recognize two special white wines which each received 90 points; Marawai from Recanti Winery in Hebron and the Hamdani-Jandali from the Crimson Winery in Bethlehem. These wines are made from the same types of grapes that were used in wine production in biblical times thousands of years ago.  (Ynetnews 08.10)

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8.3  Zebra Medical Vision Announces New Algorithm for Better Breast Cancer Diagnosis

Zebra Medical Vision announced a new software algorithm using machine and deep learning for detecting breast cancer.  The algorithm provides superior results compared to current tools, reducing misdiagnosis and false alarms.  The researcher behind the algorithm, Phil Teare, lost his wife to cancer at an early age, and taught himself machine learning so he could recruit machines to the battle against the disease.  Zebra’s new algorithm helps provide better outcomes in two keys ways by reducing both false negatives and false positives.  Less false negatives results in accurately detecting women with cancer, and fewer false positives means women will not have to undergo unnecessary tests and stressful procedures.

The mammography algorithm will be added to the company’s growing list of clinical algorithms which are part of an analytics engine that uses machine and deep learning to automatically read and diagnose medical imaging data.  The Zebra engine has already yielded imaging insights that have been validated using hundreds of thousands of cases.  Current algorithms are in the fields of bone health, cardiovascular analysis, liver and lung indications, and now mammography.

From research to reality and commercialization, Kibbutz Shefayim’s Zebra Medical Vision uses big data to deliver large scale clinical research platforms and next generation imaging analytics services to the healthcare industry.  Its Imaging Analytics allow healthcare institutions to identify patients at risk of disease, and offer improved, preventative treatment pathways to improve patient care.  The Zebra Research Platform provides researchers the largest structured clinical data set globally, and makes it available for research, including a complete development, hosting, storage and computing environment, and follow-on regulatory and commercialization services. The company was founded in 2014.  (Zebra Medical 12.10)

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8.4  Teva Announces Launch of Generic Beyaz in the United States

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries announced the launch of Rajanitm (drospirenone, ethinyl estradiol and levomefolate calcium tablets, 3 mg/0.02 mg/0.451 mg and levomefolate calcium tablets, 0.451 mg) in the United States.  Rajanitm, the generic equivalent of Beyaz1, is an oral contraceptive, available in a 28-day blister pack dispenser.  Teva is committed to strengthening its generics business through continued investment in complex, high-quality products. With nearly 600 generic medicines available, Teva has the largest portfolio of FDA-approved generic products on the market.  This product enhances Teva’s already comprehensive oral contraceptive portfolio.

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries is a leading global pharmaceutical company that delivers high-quality, patient-centric healthcare solutions used by millions of patients every day.  Headquartered in Israel, Teva is the world’s largest generic medicines producer, leveraging its portfolio of more than 1,800 molecules to produce a wide range of generic products in nearly every therapeutic area.  (Teva 12.10)

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8.5  Humavox & Starkey Bring Wireless Charging to Hearing and Audio Devices

Humavox is partnering with Minnesota’s Starkey Hearing Technologies in order to advance the next generation of audio devices with the introduction of wireless charging.  Together, they will simplify the lives of hearing technology consumers by allowing users to bypass the often impossible task of changing very small disposable batteries within tiny devices.

By integrating Humavox’s wireless charging into Starkey’s advanced hearing devices, the companies are enabling the transition from disposable batteries to rechargeable batteries, which will redefine the user experience.  No longer will users have to fumble with their devices in order to change the disposable batteries.  Instead, users will be able to simply drop their hearing device in its case and, regardless of its orientation in that case, the device will be recharged seamlessly.

As part of their collaboration, Starkey Hearing Technologies will integrate Humavox’s wireless charging technology within a variety of devices from its family of wireless hearing technology brands, including the most advanced and comprehensive hearing solutions available.  The technology developed by Humavox fits not only standard hearing devices (e.g. BTEs and RICs), but also custom devices, wireless earbuds, hearables and personal audio amplifiers, that are smaller and unique in shape and therefore pose a challenge in integrating recharging capability.

Kfar Saba’s Humavox is an innovative developer of groundbreaking technology in the field of wireless power.  With its ETERNA platform, Humavox uses near-field radio frequency (RF) technology, and provides users with a simple and intuitive charging experience (“drop & charge”).  The technology can be implemented in the smallest of devices, such as hearables, wearables and IoT devices.  (Humavox 18.10)

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9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  LightCyber’s Free Purple Team Assessment Tests Data Breach Readiness

LightCyber is partnering with leading security consulting firms to provide free Purple Team Assessment for determining “data breach fitness” and assess an organization’s ability to detect active network attackers.  The exercise combines the Red Team attack simulation by the partner with a Blue Team evaluation using LightCyber Magna Behavioral Attack Detection.  The free offer is available through the remainder of 2016.

As part of the assessment, an experienced Red Team tester from partner service providers will execute covert network attacks, focusing on reconnaissance, lateral movement and data exfiltration.  The Red Team tester will utilize the tools, tactics and procedures of real threat actors to simulate an advanced attack and uncover weaknesses in systems and applications while remaining hidden.  Prior to the Red Team activities, LightCyber will deploy its Magna Behavioral appliance in the organization’s network to perform the Blue Team function by monitoring activity and learning the expected behavior of all users and devices.  Then, during the attack simulation, one can see if Magna detects the red team attack.  At the same time, the exercise checks whether existing infrastructure—such as firewalls, intrusion prevention systems and other security solutions—can spot the malicious activity.

Ramat Gan’s LightCyber is a leading provider of Behavioral Attack Detection solutions that provide accurate and efficient security visibility into attacks that have slipped through the cracks of traditional security controls.  The LightCyber Magna platform is the first security product to integrate user, network and endpoint context to provide security visibility into a range of attack activity.  (LightCyber 05.10)

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9.2  Browsi Officially Launches its Automatic Mobile Page Yield Engine

Browsi officially released its automatic mobile web monetization engine, offering publishers an autonomous, seamless platform to discover untapped, incremental revenue opportunities in their mobile web pages, without involving internal resources or compromising user engagement.  Easily implemented, Browsi engine scans multiple page elements in real time to detect the under monetized articles.  Once such an opportunity is detected, additional placements are created and yield optimized ads are served, generating new, additional revenue.  Working with Browsi, publishers improve their overall pages’ RPMs by 20%-50% every month.

Browsi’s proprietary Revenue brain, is connected to the top programmatic demand partners such as DoubleClick AdX, OpenX, SOVRN, AppNexus, Pulsepoint, Smatto, and more.  In the past 9 months Browsi has started working with several publishers such as Vice, Reader’s Digest, Minute Media (90min), American Media Inc, Terra, AXS, Christian Post, and more, making sure the offering is wrinkle-free and is indeed bringing the expected value to publishers.

Tel Aviv’s Browsi is an automatic monetization engine enabling publishers to generate additional new revenues on any mobile web page.  Browsi was established in 2015 by ad tech industry veterans.  As such the company is product oriented with a strong related heritage and expertise in advertising technology.  Browsi is backed by major investors, led by Pitango VC (Taboola, Via and more) and Avantis.  (Browsi 06.10)

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9.3  Comprendi Wins $250,000 Grand Prize in Twitter #Promote Ads API Challenge

Comprendi is the grand prize winner of the Twitter #Promote Ads API Challenge for its groundbreaking advertising automation solution driven by artificial intelligence and big data.  At an awards ceremony held at Twitter headquarters in San Francisco, Comprendi was recognized for its new Adaptive Creative technology powered by the Twitter Ads API and Twitter’s unique Firehose data API.

The #Promote Ads API Challenge is one of the ways in which Twitter encourages innovation in the advertising technology ecosystem, and it provides the developer community with a great opportunity to build the most effective marketing tools using the Twitter Ads API.

Comprendi offers global advertisers an automated audience discovery platform that reaches contextually relevant and long-tail audiences at scale.  Now, with the addition of the newly launched Adaptive Creative technology, advertisers can automatically customize and personalize ads in real time based on a variety of real-world signals such as weather changes, sports results, trending topics on Twitter and more.

Tel Aviv’s Comprendi helps advertisers harness the power of textual big data to build more effective, hyper targeted campaigns on New Media (Twitter, Facebook, OTT messaging).  Using proprietary Natural Language Processing and Deep Learning algorithms Comprendi has proven to consistently improve ROI and reach by orders of magnitude for large-scale mobile app, direct response and brand advertisers.  (Comprendi 27.09)

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9.4  Airbus Standardizes on Stratasys Solutions for A350 XWB Aircraft Supply Chain

Stratasys announced that Airbus has standardized on its ULTEM 9085 3D printing material for the production of flight parts for its A350 XWB aircraft.  Stratasys’ ULTEM 9085 resin is certified to an Airbus material specification and is used in Stratasys’ FDM (Fused Deposition Modelling) based additive manufacturing solutions.  By combining a high strength-to-weight ratio with FST (flame, smoke, and toxicity) compliance for aircraft flight parts, ULTEM 9085 enables the production of strong, lighter weight parts while substantially lowering manufacturing costs and production time.

Additive manufacturing brings new levels of efficiency and flexibility to production supply chains by enabling parts to be produced on demand and at locations optimized for delivery to final assembly lines. It also significantly improves the buy-to-fly ratio as less material is wasted compared to conventional manufacturing methods.

For more than 25 years, Stratasys has been a defining force and dominant player in 3D printing and additive manufacturing – shaping the way things are made. Headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota and Rehovot, Israel, the company empowers customers across a broad range of vertical markets by enabling new paradigms for design and manufacturing.  The company’s solutions provide customers with unmatched design freedom and manufacturing flexibility – reducing time-to-market and lowering development costs, while improving designs and communications.  (Stratasys 13.10)

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9.5  Celeno & NXP Collaborate to Deliver Whole Home Multi Gigabit Wi-Fi to Market

Celeno Communications announced a joint reference system with the Netherlands’ NXP Semiconductors for the development of high-end gateways and smart Wi-Fi extenders.  The resulting products will enable service providers and equipment vendors to deliver flawless, self-organized and self-managed multi-gigabit whole home Wi-Fi services, a necessity in the modern home.  The new joint reference system is based upon a distributed access point architecture that augments the home gateway with Wi-Fi extenders connected via a wired or wireless backbone.  The reference system gateway and extender components are a combination of NXP’s LS1012A and LS1043A SoC Platforms, and Celeno’s 11ac and 11n Wi-Fi chipsets, enabling a range of configurations from cost-effective 2×2 Wi-Fi extenders up to high-performance 4×4 Wi-Fi gateways and extenders.  Combined with Celeno’s ControlAIR software for device orchestration, this reference system places a whole-home, self-organized Wi-Fi solution within reach.

Ra’anana’s Celeno is the leading provider of smart, managed Wi-Fi solutions.  Celeno’s extensive 802.11ac chip portfolio and ground-breaking software technologies are designed to excel in real life, highly-interfered dense network scenarios, delivering the level of management, performance, speed, coverage, reliability and superlative user experience demanded by Wi-Fi users.  Celeno’s field-proven chips and software technology have been successfully integrated into numerous OEM Wi-Fi devices and have been deployed in tens of millions of homes around the world by almost 100 leading service providers worldwide.  (Celeno 17.10)

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10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israel’s CPI Fell by 0.1% During September

The Central Bureau of Statistics announced that Israel’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell by 0.1% in September, in line with forecasts.  This is the second consecutive month that the CPI has fallen, after falling 0.3% in August, although it rose for the previous four consecutive months before that.  Over the past 12 months, the CPI has fallen 0.4% – well below the government’s inflation target range of between 1% and 3%, and it is unchanged since the beginning of 2016.  Prominent price falls in September included fresh fruit (6.7%), culture (1.4%) and clothing (1.3%).  Prominent price rises included footwear (2%) and fresh vegetables (1.8%).  The housing price index, published separately from the CPI, showed that home prices rose 0.4% in July and August, and have risen 6.8% over the past 12 months.  (CBS 14.10)

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10.2  Israel’s Economic Growth Rate Stands at 4.3%

The Central Bureau of Statistics announced on 13 October that it was updating its annualized growth projection for 2016 to 4.3%.  It is the third CBS growth projection update since January, and represents an increase of 0.3% over the previously projected annualized growth in the GDP.  According to the CBS, in H1/16, GDP rose by 3.2%, reflecting a 9.9% increase in private consumption, an 8.6% rise in public consumption, and a 13.7% rise in exports of goods and services.  The government’s civilian spending increased by 3.7%, while defense spending was up by 2.4%, the updated data showed.  The overall GDP resources available to the economy between January and June this year were set at 5%, double their availability in H1/15.

The rise in the standard of living in Israel was reflected in private consumption:  Annualized spending on food, beverages, cigarettes, and alcohol increased by 5.3% per capita in H1/16; investment in financial instruments was up 8.4%; household spending on furniture, appliances, and private vehicles surged by 21.4%, and household spending on jewelry was up 9.9%.  (CBS 14.10)

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10.3  Israeli Exports to Africa Rise as Exports to China Fall

Israel has been exporting more to Africa as the continent experiences significant economic growth and as the Chinese economy begins to weaken.  The Israel Foreign Trade Risks Insurance Corporation (ASHRA) has approved 28 deals to be covered by the insurance corporation.  The deals amount to approximately $1.05 billion dollars.  FY2015 only saw 17 deals approved, amounting to $623 million.

The number of Israeli trade deals with African nations which were followed through on in 2015 was four, and amounted to $312 million.  However, a recent Ashra survey showed that approximately a quarter of all Israeli exporters believe that the African market is the most attractive market to expand operations in.

Meanwhile, there has been a notable decrease in the amount of exports to China. Only 15 new contracts were approved over the past year, compared to 33 the year before. The financial scope of the deals were also lower – approximately $190 million in 2015 compared to $438.5 million the year before.  The majority of exports to China were agricultural or infrastructure related.  However, over the past year, there was a significant rise in security exports, with 22 requests receiving approval for insurance coverage.  This constitutes an 83% rise compared to the previous year.  Amongst the security companies who received insurance approvals for export to China were Elbit, Rafael, Israel Aerospace Industries, Elta and Aeronautics.  (ASHRA 16.10)

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10.4  Israel’s Tax Collection Surplus Exceeds Predictions

The Ministry of Finance announced on 9 October that Israel’s tax collection surplus over the first nine months of 2016 was NIS 6 billion, higher than the NIS 5.8 billion predicted.  Tax collection is up 6-7% in 2016, compared with the corresponding period of 2015.  In September, tax collection totaled NIS 25.3 billion, up 13.1% from September 2015.  The jump in tax collection was accentuated by the fact that all the High Holydays this year fall in October, meaning there were more business days in September this year than last year.  Tax collection in September from the capital market was NIS 316 million, up 36.2%.  However, since the start of 2016, tax collected from Tel Aviv Stock Exchange activities has fallen 36% due to lower trading turnovers.

Tax collection in September from real estate was NIS 900 million, down 5% from last year in terms of betterment tax but up 14% in terms of purchase tax.  Indirect taxes in September totaled NIS 12.5 billion, up from NIS 11 billion in September 2015.

The budget deficit for September was NIS 800 million with a deficit of NIS 6.1 billion for the first nine months of the year, compared with NIS 4.5 billion in the corresponding period of last year.  The planned budget deficit for 2016 is NIS 35 billion, or 2.9% of GDP, while the budget deficit over the past 12 months has totaled only 2% of GDP.  (MoF 09.10)

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10.5  Israel’s Foreign Exchange Reserves Nearing $100 Billion

The Bank of Israel announced that Israel’s foreign exchange reserves at the end of September 2016 rose to a record $98.415 billion at the end of September, increasing by $789 million from the end of August.  The increase was the result of foreign currency purchases by the Bank of Israel totaling $575 million as the central bank attempted to assist Israeli exporters by tempering the strength of the shekel.  In addition, government transfers from abroad totaled $148 million and a revaluation increased the reserves by about $210 million.  These were partly offset by private sector transfers totaling about $144 million.  Israel’s foreign currency reserves have risen from $89.5 billion 12 months ago and $90.5 billion at the beginning of 2016.  (BoI 06.10)

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10.6  Israel’s Public Transport Passengers Rise by 7% in 2016

The number of passengers on public transportation in Israel rose 7.2% in the first eight months of 2016, according to figures published by the Ministry of Transport Public Transport Department.  The number of those traveling on buses rose by 6.5% and those traveling on trains increased by 15.2%.  There were 487 million bus trips and 41 million train trips.  The number of those using public transportation jumped by 10.1% in August, compared with August 2015.  Minister of Transport Katz said that the figures were very significant for the economy, because according to the Trajtenberg Report, a 1% rise in the number of travelers on public transportation saves the economy NIS 400 million.

Katz argued that the public transportation price reform launched early this year at a cost of NIS 200 million was the main factor in increasing the number of passengers.  He added that other factors in the growth of public transportation were the initiation of new routes, greater frequency on existing routes, the possibility of entering buses from the rear on many routes and technological improvements that made public transportation easier and more comfortable.  (Globes 05.10)

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10.7  OECD Report Finds 50% Decrease in Israeli Road Accident Fatalities

Israel leads Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries in the rate of decline in the number of people killed while driving in private cars or riding bicycles in the years 2010 to 2014, the Transportation Ministry announced on 6 October.  The OECD report said Israel has succeeded in decreasing the number of people killed in cars by 50% – more than any other member country.  In second place is Greece with a 48% decrease, followed by Spain and Portugal, each with a 40% decrease.  Cyclist fatalities in Israel have also declined 48%.  In contrast, the cyclist fatality rate is actually increasing in the majority of OECD countries.  One of the factors that contributed to the decline in fatalities is the ministry’s decision, beginning in 2010, to require advanced safety systems in cars.  (MoT 06.10)

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10.8  Israel Has One of Lowest Pension Payouts in OECD

The annual welfare report released on 10 October by National Insurance Institute (NII) of Israel found that Israel is ranked among the lowest countries of the OECD, only above Chile, Mexico and South Korea, in terms of the welfare support it offers its citizens.  The report also found that children’s and senior citizens’ welfare, in addition to unemployment, are among the lowest in the Western world.

According to the report, in 2015, the local social security system was mildly strengthened.  The 2013 cuts to child benefits were cancelled and the money lost from May 2015 until present day was returned retroactively.  This was done both by increasing child benefits and by starting a NIS 50 a month savings plan for each child.  However, Israel still ranks exceedingly poorly on the hierarchy of welfare expenditure.

The yearly report also showed that while children are the poorest sector of Israeli society, millennials – those between the ages of 18-25 – were the poorest sector of the majority of developed countries.

The NII meanwhile paid out approximately NIS 74.2 billion in 2015, compared to NIS 71.6 billion in 2014.  This figure includes NIS 1.5 billion to various government agencies for different community development projects, along with the operating expenses for the social security system.

Israel invested 16.1% of its GDP in health and welfare services.  More than half of the expenditures were towards pension payments (equaling approximately 8.7% of the GDP), while the rest (7.2% of the GDP) went to went to public services, primarily public health services.  The report shows that a child in Israel has a one in four chance of being poor, which is the highest probability compared to other age groups.  The report also showed that the amount of people living in poverty in Israel is 74% above the OECD average.  Additionally, Israel’s poverty rate in all age groups is higher than the poverty rate of most of the other countries.  The only exception was amongst those in the 51-65 year old age group, where the rate is similar to that in other countries.  (Various 16.10)

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11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  SAUDI ARABIA:  Ratings on Saudi Arabia Affirmed At ‘A-/A-2’; Outlook Stable

On 7 October, S&P Global Ratings affirmed its ‘A-/A-2’ unsolicited long- and short-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings on the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.  The outlook is stable.

Rationale

The ratings on Saudi Arabia are supported by its strong external and fiscal stock positions, which we expect will be maintained despite significant current account and fiscal deficits.  The ratings are constrained by limited public sector transparency, lower GDP per capita relative to similarly rated sovereigns, and constrained monetary flexibility.

We project that, reflecting the sharp decline in oil prices since the summer of 2014, the general government deficit will average about 9% of GDP in 2016-2019.  Our forecast for the annual change in general government debt (which is our preferred fiscal metric because in most cases it is more comprehensive than the reported headline deficit) is for an average increase of about 5% of GDP.  In the case of Saudi Arabia, the change in general government debt is lower than the deficit as we have assumed an even split between asset draw-downs and debt issuance in terms of deficit financing.  We acknowledge both upside potential and downside risk to these forecasts.  Upside potential stems principally from oil prices.  The downside rests with the scale of the required fiscal consolidation and the broader impact it will likely have on the economy.

Highlighting the government’s difficult policy choices, we note evidence that lower government spending is adversely affecting the country’s private sector.  In particular, there have been reports of a rise in public arrears to private sector construction companies.  As a result, companies have been cutting their workforce and withholding salaries.  We expect banking sector asset quality to deteriorate but not sufficiently to endanger system solvency, owing to countercyclical buffers the regulator has imposed in recent years.

Our base case assumes that large construction companies such as Saudi Oger and Saudi Binladin Group, which are currently experiencing financial difficulties, do not default on loans to the Saudi banking system.  The building and construction sector accounts for about 8% of total loans, equivalent to roughly one-third of the banking sector’s capital base.  Banks’ nonperforming loan ratios are around 1.0%-1.5%, which we expect will rise to 3%-4% over the next two years.  We classify the banking sector of Saudi Arabia in group ‘4’ under our Banking Industry Country Risk Assessment methodology, with ‘1’ indicating the lowest risk and ’10’ the highest.

Bank deposits have decreased and liquidity conditions have tightened, with interbank rates almost tripling since early 2015 to above 250 basis points (3-month SAIBOR).  As a result of the increase in the cost of funding, we expect banks’ profitability to come under pressure.  On 26 September 2016, the Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA) stepped up efforts to provide liquidity, giving banks about 20 billion Saudi riyals (SAR) of time deposits “on behalf of government entities.”  SAMA’s action follows prior deposit injections of about SAR15 billion earlier in 2016. SAMA also introduced seven-day and 28-day repurchase agreements, to allow banks better access to short-term borrowing at lower and more stable cost.  We note that the majority of banks continue to rely on funding from non-interest-bearing deposits rather than wholesale funds.

The government’s withdrawal of deposits and domestic issuance of around SAR20 billion in debt each month since August 2015, partly absorbed by Saudi banks, has added pressure to banking system liquidity.  To diversify funding sources and improve domestic banks’ liquidity conditions, the government issued a $10 billion syndicated loan earlier in the year and is also expected to issue a $10 billion-$15 billion Eurobond later this year.  Foreign currency debt sales should also help to slow (but not reverse) the expected gradual decline in foreign exchange reserves over the next several years.  We expect reserve levels to cover about two years of current account payments on average over 2016-2019.

The government has budgeted for a central government deficit of about 13% of GDP in 2016, compared with an outturn of 15% in 2015, with 2016 revenues falling by 16% and expenditures by 14% compared with 2015.  Our reported general government balance now includes an estimate of investment income.  We previously included this financial flow directly in our estimate of general government liquid assets.  This reclassification of investment income has not affected our overall assessment of Saudi Arabia’s public finances, but results in the difference between our central government and general government deficit projections.

We believe the authorities have based the budget on an oil price of about $45 per barrel.  We have included the government’s 2016 budget measures in our assumptions.  These include postponing some capital spending projects, increasing non-oil revenues, and controlling current expenditures.  The government has embarked on a program of subsidy reform, with fuel, water, and electricity prices set to rise gradually over the next five years.  As a result, we understand it will reduce subsidies, which had amounted to about 8% of GDP in 2015.  Concurrently, through these increased utility tariffs, we expect to see stronger profitability at government-related entities, in turn resulting in higher dividends for the government.

On the revenue side, the imposition of taxes on undeveloped plots of land in urban areas should raise revenue and encourage private investment.  We understand the tax will be deposited at a special account at SAMA, with proceeds used to fund housing projects.  The government has established a support provision line within the budget of SAR183 billion (8% of GDP or $49 billion equivalent), which it could use to redirect capital and operating expenditures to both ongoing and new projects and to meet any emerging expenditure needs.  We expect the introduction of value-added tax to be a medium-term project, in line with discussions already under way with other members of the Gulf Cooperation Council customs union (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates).

We note, however, the strong signal of intent provided by the government in late September in support of the National Transformation Program 2020 (NTP) target of reducing public sector wages to 40% of total spending.  The government announced the reduction or ending of some bonuses and financial benefits for state employees and the reduction of ministers’ and Shura Council members’ salaries by 20% and 15%, respectively.  Salaries of lower ranking civil servants are expected to be largely frozen, and a cap placed on overtime payments and annual leave.  The new rules are expected to come into force in October 2016. In our view, these measures should moderate the government wage bill over the medium-term.

Over the next three years, we expect Saudi Arabia will finance its deficits by drawing down fiscal assets and issuing debt.  Such a split implies that Saudi Arabia would report gross liquid financial assets of 105% of GDP by 2019, versus 123% at year-end 2016.  These fiscal assets include the central government’s deposits and reserves on the liabilities side of the balance sheet of SAMA, government institutions’ deposits, and an estimate of investment income.  We also include in the calculation an estimate of government pension funds’ liquid assets.

The Council of Ministers announced the highly ambitious NTP in June 2016.  The program provides more substance to the Vision 2030 announcement earlier in April.  The NTP provides more detailed targets for the next four years, laying out 178 strategic objectives with more than 340 indicators and targets set for 24 ministries and government entities.  In our view, the program is very ambitious although it could result in an acceleration in economic growth and an overall rebalancing of the economy over the medium-term.  However, the timing and completeness of any such structural improvements will depend on the achievement of challenging targets over a number of years.  At this time, we have not factored in any specific effects from the NTP into our forecasts.

Among other things, the NTP aims to: diversify the economy away from oil; create more than 450,000 jobs in the nongovernmental sectors by 2020; increase the private sector’s share of GDP to 60% from 40% in 2014; increase the female participation rate to 30% from 22%; achieve a balanced budget by 2020 partly by reducing government spending on public-sector wages to 40% of total spending by 2020 from 45% today; increase non-oil revenue through taxes on land, the introduction of a value-added tax, excise taxes on tobacco and soft drinks, as well as fees on certain public services; reform the education system; and raise Saudi homeownership rate to 52% by 2020 from 47% currently, thus easing the housing shortage caused by the rapidly increasing population.  The NTP also plans more than 130 initiatives to be financed mostly by the private sector.

The total budgeted government cost for NTP initiatives is SAR268.4 billion (12% of GDP), with the private sector targeted to contribute the remaining 40%, or SAR179 billion (8%).  In our view, the very ambitious agenda of reform could be difficult to achieve in an environment of weak economic activity and in relation to Saudi Arabia’s socially conservative cultural norms.

Oil major Saudi Aramco has also confirmed that it has been studying various options to allow broad public participation in its equity through a secondary IPO, either of itself or a bundle of its downstream subsidiaries.  On 1 April 2016, Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman was reported in the media as saying that “less than 5%” of Saudi Aramco could be sold before 2019 and that ownership of the remaining shares could be transferred to the Public Investment Fund.  As these plans are still in formation, we have not factored proceeds from an IPO into our projections.

Although Saudi Arabia’s fiscal profile has weakened on a flow basis, we believe it has remained strong on a stock basis. Net general government assets (that is, the excess of liquid fiscal financial assets over government debt) peaked at 123% of GDP in 2015 (partly due to the estimated 17% decline in nominal GDP).  We forecast that the government’s net asset position could decrease to 85% of GDP in 2019. Consequently, we believe Saudi Arabia is entering a period of adverse terms of trade from a strong position.

In Saudi Arabia, we estimate the hydrocarbon sector accounted for about 28% of nominal GDP in 2015, down from 42% in 2014, due to the sharp fall in oil prices.  Before the drop, the sector represented about 80% of exports and three-quarters of government revenues.  Incorporating our oil price assumptions, we project real GDP growth to average 2% a year in 2016-2019, while our GDP per capita estimate for 2016 is $18,700.  We anticipate that the GDP deflator will remain negative in 2016, at minus 8%, alongside population growth of about 2%.  We estimate that trend growth in real per capita GDP (which we proxy by using 10-year weighted-average growth) will amount to about 0.6% during 2010-2019, which is below that of peers that have similar GDP per capita.

We anticipate a current account deficit equivalent to 12% of GDP in 2016.  Saudi Arabia’s external accounts mirror, in many ways, its fiscal accounts.  Like the fiscal accounts, they shift based on prices of hydrocarbons.  Similar to its fiscal position, Saudi Arabia maintains strong external buffers.  We expect Saudi Arabia’s liquid external assets, net of external debt, will average about 240% of current account receipts (CARs) over 2016-2019.  The kingdom’s gross external financing needs are slightly above 40% of the sum of usable reserves and CARs over 2016-2019, suggesting ample external liquidity.  That said, reserves declined to $562 billion in August 2016, compared with $661 billion in August 2015. We estimate reserve coverage (including government external liquid assets) at 115% of the monetary base and 22 months of current account payments in 2019.

King Salman acceded to the throne in January 2015.  He is the sixth son of King Abdulaziz Al-Saud, who established the kingdom in 1932.  In April, King Salman named his nephew, Interior Minister Nayef, as crown prince, first in line to the throne.  The king has also named his son, Defense Minister Salman, to the position of deputy crown prince and consequently second in line to the throne.

We analyze Saudi Arabia as an absolute monarchy in which decision-making resides with the king and the ruling family.  In our view, the opacity of decision-making and reconciling intra-family issues around succession and emoluments reduce the predictability, timeliness, and effectiveness of the kingdom’s economic policy choices.  Two new councils, the Council for Political and Security Affairs and the Council for Economic and Development Affairs, have been created to form government policy more efficiently.  Power is devolved to the crown prince and deputy crown prince, who respectively head these two bodies.  The king approves the decisions of the councils.  Broader institutional checks and balances are still at incipient stages of development.

Given the Saudi riyal’s peg to the U.S. dollar, we view monetary policy flexibility as limited.  The long-standing currency peg helps to anchor the population’s inflation expectations, but binds Saudi Arabia’s monetary policy to that of the U.S. Federal Reserve.  We expect that the peg will be maintained.  At a time of already significant change and regional geopolitical instability, politically conservative regimes such as those in the GCC are unlikely to increase uncertainty about their economic stability by amending this fundamental macroeconomic policy.  Consequently, the riyal’s real effective exchange rate has appreciated by 16% since early 2014 and stands approximately 40% over the December 2007 level, according to Bruegel data.  The riyal’s long-term real effective appreciation since 2007 has been the most pronounced among all GCC sovereigns.  In our view, this indicates an ongoing deterioration of international competitiveness of the country’s modest tradables sector, which is likely to dampen non-oil GDP growth, absent any offsetting factors such as improved efficiency or technological capacity.

OUTLOOK

The stable outlook on Saudi Arabia reflects our expectation that the Saudi authorities will take steps to prevent any deterioration in the government’s fiscal position beyond our current expectations, over the next two years.

We could lower our ratings if we observed further deterioration in Saudi Arabia’s public finances.  Such fiscal weakening could entail prolonged double-digit GDP deficits, a quicker drawdown of fiscal assets, or an unexpected materialization of contingent liabilities.  The ratings could also come under pressure if we observed a significant increase in domestic or regional political instability or a renewed marked weakening of terms of trade.

We could raise the ratings if Saudi Arabia’s economic growth prospects improved markedly beyond our current assumptions.  (S&P 07.10)

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11.2  MOROCCO:  Morocco Ratings Affirmed At ‘BBB-/A-3’; Outlook Stable

On 7 October 2016, S&P Global Ratings affirmed its ‘BBB-/A-3’ long- and short-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings on the Kingdom of Morocco.  The outlook is stable.

Rationale

The ratings on Morocco are supported by political and social stability, economic growth prospects, and a moderate government debt burden.  The ratings remain constrained by lower GDP per capita relative to similarly rated sovereigns, high social needs, a relatively high external liability position, and the deterioration in external and fiscal debt stocks in recent years.

During a period of widespread social and political upheaval, Morocco has demonstrated sociopolitical stability and economic resilience in the regional context of the Arab Spring.  We expect continued political stability under King Mohammed VI, who is the most important and popular political figure in Morocco.  The current multiparty government coalition, led by the Party for Justice and Development (PJD) since 2011, has broadly demonstrated a willingness and ability to reform substantial and fiscally burdensome programs, particularly the subsidy system, the politically sensitive state pension regime, and public salaries.  Our expectation is that the new government, which will be formed following the parliamentary elections held on 7 October 2016, will continue focusing on reducing the fiscal deficit and implementing domestic reforms.  We note, however, that persistent social pressures related to high unemployment, weak growth, and income disparities will need to be addressed.

Morocco’s economy grew by about 4% in 2011-2015. GDP growth has been held back by the country’s dependence on volatile agricultural output, weaker phosphate prices, and lower external demand from Europe.  Economic activity accelerated in 2015 to grow by 4.5%, compared with 2.4% in 2014, on the back of record agriculture output and low energy prices, while nonagricultural growth remained sluggish.

In 2016, we expect real GDP growth to slow to 1.5% in 2016 predominantly due to a much weaker cereal harvest in 2015-2016.  Over the medium term, we forecast economic growth to recover to average about 3% although it remains sensitive to fluctuations in the weather patterns.  The Moroccan economy remains vulnerable to potential terrorist attacks and heightened geopolitical and security risks, which has affected tourist arrivals to the country.  A possible slowing of euro area growth would also affect trade, remittances, and foreign direct investment (FDI), while low oil prices will reduce the amounts of grants and FDI from the countries in the Gulf Cooperation Council.  Stronger medium-term growth will depend on Morocco strengthening its competitiveness, fostering its economic diversification, and improving elements such as labor market flexibility and participation, as well as the judicial system.

The development of the automotive sector has become a key component of Morocco’s industrialization strategy in recent years, which should improve economic diversification, growth, and exports over the medium term.  Morocco has successfully attracted French car manufacturers – such as Renault in 2007 and PSA Peugeot in June 2015 – to develop its emerging automotive industry.  In addition to the automotive sector, aeronautics, electronics and renewable energy are set to continue growing rapidly in line with the country’s industrial policy, which enjoys broad political support.  In September 2016, the U.S.-based aerospace company Boeing reportedly announced plans to establish a new industrial hub in the country that officials hope will bring 120 Boeing suppliers to Morocco, create thousands of jobs, and raise about $1 billion in exports.  In our view, Morocco will continue to attract FDI, its business environment should stay broadly supportive, and, importantly, this will help tackle the still high unemployment rate of around 9.5%.

Youth unemployment remains high at around 20%, despite annual average economic growth of 4% over the past five years.  One of the reasons is the insufficient matching between the educational profile and actual labor market requirements, which leads to a large share of unemployed graduates.  All of these factors, alongside the oversized workforce in agriculture, explain why Morocco’s GDP per capita, estimated at $3,000 in 2016, remains one of the lowest among our ‘BBB-‘ rated sovereigns.

We project that the fiscal deficit will reach 3.5% of GDP in 2016, down from 4.3% of GDP in 2015, as a result of subsidy and wage bill controls and low oil prices.  We expect fiscal consolidation to continue apace, and the government to meet its fiscal target of a deficit of 3% of GDP by 2017.  Subsidies on fuel and food ballooned to over 6% of GDP following the start of the Arab Spring in 2011.  This led to wider fiscal deficits, and annual average changes in general government debt of more than 6% of GDP in 2011-2013.  However, the government has since managed to cut its subsidies bill substantially.  It has also taken measures to slow growth in other areas of current spending, such as public salaries.  The state pension system reform, approved by parliament in July 2016, comprises an increase in the retirement age to 63 from 60 by 2022 and higher contributions from workers and the state.  The pension reform will ease long-term pressure on public finances.

The projected fiscal consolidation will help the debt ratios stabilize over the medium term, according to our forecast.  We expect general government debt to average 50% of GDP in 2016-2019, compared with 38% in 2011 (general government debt excludes from gross debt the government’s liquid assets and the holdings of central government debt by other branches of state, such as public pension funds).  The general government debt stock has risen quickly in recent years to fund wide deficits.  External financing has increased, and the government successfully tapped the international dollar and euro markets in 2013 and 2014.

Morocco’s current account deficit shot up to 9.5% of GDP in 2012, amid high prices for imported food and fuel products and weak demand for Moroccan exports from major markets in Europe, as well as weaker phosphate prices.  We expect the deficit to continue narrowing to average about 2% of GDP in 2016-2019, compared with 6.6% in 2011-2015.  This will reflect our projections for rising exports from newly developed industries (such as the automotive and aeronautic industries), and lower energy and food imports coupled with strong remittances, which will more than offset the impact of shrinking tourism related to increasing geopolitical risks.

For the next three years, we forecast a slight recovery of tourism receipts and higher export volumes of cars from the Renault factory in Tangier.  Cars have become the country’s leading export product with about 5% of GDP in 2015, exceeding the share of phosphates in exports (4.5% of GDP).  We also anticipate that increased phosphate production will support exports and, in turn, current account consolidation.  Our revised forecast for current account deficits in 2016-2019 factors in the potential impact of the U.K. Brexit vote on Morocco’s key European partners through slightly weaker trade, tourism, remittances, and FDI flows.  We now project a wider external position in the next three years compared with our previous expectations, and we forecast narrow net external debt will drop slowly as a proportion of current account receipts (CARs) to average 31% in 2016-2019 from an estimated 39% in 2015.  We also forecast the country’s gross external financing requirements will be covered by its CARs over this period.

In recent years, Morocco successfully managed to reduce its fiscal and external imbalances and implement key domestic reforms with the support of two successive 24-month International Monetary Fund (IMF) Precautionary and Liquidity Line (PLL) arrangements.  We believe that the two previous PLL arrangements have provided useful insurance to Morocco in a context of uncertainty surrounding global oil prices, heightened sociopolitical and security risks, and weak growth of its main European partners.  They have also anchored the country’s reforms, and sent positive signals to market participants.  The reduction in the level of access from about $6.2 billion at the time of the first PLL arrangement in 2012, to about $5.0 billion with the second PLL arrangement in 2014, and $3.5 billion in the third PLL renewed in July 2016, is testimony to the improvement in Morocco’s economic fundamentals and the strengthening of its foreign exchange reserves.  We project Morocco’s reserve coverage will be higher than six and a half months of current account payments.

The Moroccan dirham is currently pegged to a currency basket comprising 60% euros and 40% dollars.  The current foreign exchange regime limits monetary policy flexibility, in our view.  However, we understand that the Moroccan Central Bank, Bank Al Maghrib (BAM), is considering moving gradually from the current peg to a more flexible exchange rate regime over the next six to 12 months.  The monetary authorities are encouraged by the more supportive macroeconomic environment now in place – including the comfortable level of foreign exchange reserves, the improved external situation, the dirham’s value relative to other currencies – and helped by the insurance provided by the IMF’s PLL arrangement.  While moving toward a more flexible exchange rate regime, we believe that the Moroccan authorities will maintain in the near term, or only gradually ease, restrictions on capital accounts to avoid any potential large-scale capital outflows.  We expect BAM to accumulate a sufficiently large foreign exchange cushion over the next few years to maintain market confidence during this transition.

BAM’s successive and substantial cuts to its reserve requirement ratio, to 2% in March 2014 from 15% in January 2008, have helped ease liquidity conditions in the domestic market and ensured adequate financing of the economy.  The most recent interest rate cut on 22 March 2016, by 25 basis points to 2.25%, keeps monetary policy accommodative amid slower nonagricultural growth.  We expect credit to the economy to continue to grow at a moderate pace over the next few years, but at a lower rate than our projected nominal GDP growth.  Inflation should remain low–we forecast it will average 2% in 2016-2019, compared with 1.6% in 2015.

We classify the banking sector of Morocco in group ‘7’ under our Banking Industry Country Risk Assessment (BICRA).  While we consider regulatory standards in Morocco to be generally conservative, Moroccan banks are still exposed to cyclical sectors (steelworks, tourism, commercial real estate, and construction).  Thus, we consider that economic risks for the Moroccan banking sector remain high in a global comparison.  We also assess the system’s risk appetite as aggressive, given the rapid expansion of Moroccan banks, including in higher risk African countries (about 20% of total lending was outside Morocco for the three main Moroccan banks in 2015).

Outlook

The stable outlook reflects our expectation that the consolidation of Morocco’s fiscal and external deficits will continue over the next few years, while economic growth improves under the influence of continued implementation of reforms and low energy prices.

We could lower the ratings if growth disappoints, leading to worsening of fiscal and debt outcomes, if the government deviates substantially from its structural reform agenda and fiscal consolidation path, or if the current account does not narrow as we anticipate.

We could raise the ratings if an increase in FDI supports stronger economic growth, reduces the unemployment rate, and significantly improves per capita GDP beyond our current expectations, or if net general government debt declines more rapidly.  (S&P 07.10)

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11.3  TURKEY:  Where Has Turkey’s Foreign Direct Investment Gone?

Mehmet Cetingulec posted on 13 October in Al-Monitor that in the first half of this year, foreign direct investments in Turkey plummeted 54% compared to the same period last year.

Last year, Turkey attracted its largest amount of foreign direct investment (FDI), $16.8 billion, in the past seven years.  In 2016, however, the tables have turned, with Turkey now on track to experience its lowest FDI in seven years.

According to Economy Ministry data, FDI in Turkey for H1/16 plunged 54% compared to the same period last year, dropping to $4.8 billion from $10.5 billion.  Of the $4.8 billion, $2 billion was in the form of real estate purchases by foreigners, a significant increase for that sector for the half year.

The lowest annual FDI in the past seven years, $9 billion, occurred in 2010.  This year, with first-half FDI at $4.8 billion despite the significant boost from real estate purchases, the fear is that FDI might not reach its 2010 level.

The decline may yet worsen, because the effects of the 15 July coup attempt are not reflected in the half-year figures.  In September, Moody’s followed Standard & Poor’s and downgraded Turkey’s credit rating to “junk” — below speculative/non-investment grade — sending a warning of major risk to foreign investors.  In an apparent attempt to soothe public concerns over the downgrade, Prime Minister Binali Yildirim responded, “Our credit rating is not decided by [a few] rating agencies, but shopkeepers.”

Of course, government officials are aware of the risks although not admitting to them publicly.  The government hastily introduced new economic packages, such as increasing incentives to attract domestic investment and forgiving some taxpayer debt, and encouraged consumers to buy on credit to keep the economy going.  Ankara is now worried, however, that Fitch Ratings might also lower Turkey’s creditworthiness. Economy Minister Nihat Zeybekci said the Moody’s downgrade could put pressure on Fitch, which has been maintaining Turkey at the “investible” level.

Faik Oztrak, former undersecretary of the treasury and foreign trade and current member of parliament for the main opposition Republican People’s Party (CHP), thinks the government’s declaration of a state of emergency after the July coup attempt has scared off foreign investors.  “When they declared the state of emergency, we were told that we could revert to regular legal order before the three months of emergency expired.  Forget about ending it early, [the government] extended it for three more months.  Some are now saying that even one year might not be enough,” he told Al-Monitor.

“Foreign investors — observing negative developments in the country and the extended state of emergency — get the impression that Turkey is rapidly moving toward an authoritarian regime,” Oztrak stated.  “Who would want to invest in such an atmosphere? In an atmosphere where tension and uncertainty reign and the state of law is eroding, not only foreign investors but even our local investors have no appetite for investments.”

Oztrak also drew attention to a particularly important figure, noting, “In 2011 our private sector invested $140 billion.  Now, looking at the first half of 2016, we see that amount down to $114 billion.  With Moody’s decision to lower our rating, Turkey has lost ‘country that can be invested in’ ratings by two out of the three major rating agencies.  This will discourage some foreign funds, especially retirement funds, from investing in Turkey.”

Umut Oran, former CHP deputy chair, has worked for 30 years as a business manager and an employer.  He responded at length when Al-Monitor asked him what investors look for before committing:  “There are two forms of foreign investments.  One — hot money — is attracted by high interest and unearned income [rent].  They don’t contribute with investments and employment to your economy.  The other form is foreign direct investments. These provide employment.  But people who manage that type of investment are fidgety.  They run away quickly and won’t come back as quickly.  For them, the most important factor influencing their decision is the legal environment.  They seek a just, independent, neutral and quick legal system.  They look for democracy, human rights, free media and equality of opportunity.  If there is no separation of powers, if the parliamentary system doesn’t work well, that country cannot be counted on.  If there is no security of life and property, if the country becomes a hotbed of terror, if there is an authoritarian regime and state of emergency, if there are no secularists, if there is no merit system in the public sector, then forget about new foreign capital coming in. You can’t even keep the ones already here,” Oran said.

Oran said bad government policies have created problems with all of Turkey’s neighbors, notably to the extent of the country becoming involved in direct combat in Syria and Iraq.  Turkey’s distancing itself from democracy has basically wiped out the atmosphere conducive for investment.

So what comes next?

Al-Monitor asked Yaman Toruner, a former governor of the central bank and former minister of state considered to be a leading expert on money markets. He is concerned about the current situation, but remains hopeful about the future.  “The institutional structure in Turkey has suffered.  There is no confidence in the judicial system.  The media is under pressure.  That is why foreign investments regressed.  Because of the coup and lowering of our credit rating, we will continue to lose investments for a while, but they will return,” Toruner said.

“The US and Europe have a lot of money in the market with no place to go.  They will have to come to us,” he assessed.  “At the moment, India is the country most likely to get that money.  Then there will be some European Union countries in line, and finally Turkey.  As Brazil and Argentina are not doing well economically, hot money won’t go there.  It won’t go to Russia, either.  Therefore, we stand a good chance.”

Oran, however, is not so optimistic, stating, “Deterioration in foreign investments will only worsen because of the coup attempt and the lowering of our rating.”  He also noted that if the Turkish lira loses value against foreign currencies, Turkish companies doing business with foreign money will be in trouble.  “[Companies] may have to cut back and even begin laying off personnel,” he further stated. “Foreign currency is used as the basis for decisions in both optimistic and pessimistic scenarios. We may have to watch the movements in foreign currency markets more closely from now on.”  (Al-Monitor 13.10)

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11.4  TURKEY:  The Islamization of Turkey – Erdogan’s Education Reforms

Svante E. Cornell wrote on 2 October in the Turkey Analyst that the growing efforts at Islamization of Turkish society have largely gone unnoticed.  For many years, Islamization was the dog that did not bark: in spite of dire predictions by secularists, the AKP did not introduce conspicuous efforts to Islamize Turkey.  But since 2011, this has changed.

The main exhibit is the education sector, which President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has remodeled to instill considerably more Islamic content, in line with his stated purpose to raise “pious generations”.  Ultimately, the Islamic overhaul of the education system is bound to have implications for Turkey’s civilizational identity, and on the choices it will make on where it belongs politically.

Background:  In February 2012, then Prime Minister Erdogan raised eyebrows when he said his government was aiming at “raising pious generations”.  Beginning that month, his government embarked on a wholesale reform designed to Islamize Turkey’s education system.

The timing of Erdogan’s reforms was not coincidental.  They came fifteen years after the February 1997 military intervention, which had decreed comprehensive changes to Turkey’s education system.  Prior to 1997, compulsory schooling in Turkey was only five years; after primary school, parents were free to enroll their children in traditional secondary schools, or vocational schools, including the imam-hatip schools that had originally been designed to provide training for imams and preachers in Turkey’s mosques.  In addition to the regular curriculum, these schools provide 13 hours per week of Islamic instruction to students.  These schools had grown exponentially since 1973, when Necmettin Erbakan’s Islamist National Salvation Party (MSP) used its position in a government coalition to put them on par with secular schools.  By 1997, they enrolled one in every ten middle and high school students.  Moreover, close to half of the enrollees were girls, who could neither become imams nor hatips.  The imam-hatip schools were a deliberate effort to increase the Islamic consciousness of the young generation, having become a parallel system of education that provided a voting base and manpower for Turkey’s Islamist movement.

When the Turkish military intervened with what has been called a post-modern coup on 28 February 1997, one of the key reforms was to increase the length of compulsory schooling to eight years – thus preventing children from being enrolled in religious schools until the age of 14.  The university entrance examination system was also reformed to make it difficult for imam-hatip graduates to gain acceptance to non-theology undergraduate degree programs.  The reforms worked: imam-hatip enrollment declined from 11% to 2% of relevant age students, and the rate of graduates entering higher education dropped from 75 to 25%.

In February 2012, the AKP launched a reform program termed 4+4+4.  On the surface, the law extended compulsory schooling by four years, making school compulsory for a full 12 years.  But in fact, the reforms did exactly the opposite.  Vocational schools are once again permitted from fifth grade – including imam-hatip schools.  The law also allows parents to home-school children after fourth grade, which is expected to lead to a reduction of formal schooling, especially for girls in rural areas.

As columnist Orhan Kemal Cengiz has observed, the reforms turned “religious schools from a selective option to a central institution in the education system.”  This is the case because the reforms introduced entrance examinations for all high schools except the imam-hatip schools.  Thus, all students who do not qualify for other schools would have no choice but to enroll in religious schools.

In August 2013, over 1,112,000 students took the placement test for 363,000 slots in regular, academic high schools.  Those that did not make the cut had to choose between secular vocational schools, imam-hatip schools and a variety called “multi-program high schools”.  But the latter are only available in remote areas, and do not even exist in the entire province of Istanbul.  In other words, parents and students were forced to choose between vocational schools and religious schools.  As a result, 40,000 students were automatically enrolled in imam-hatip schools against their will, including numerous Alevi and several Armenian students, neither of whom are Sunni Muslims.

Implications:  When the AKP was first elected in 2002, 65,000 students studied in imam-hatip schools.  That number grew to 658,000 in 2013.  In May 2015, Bilal Erdogan, the President’s son, who is (informally) in charge of the Turgev foundation that is spearheading the expansion of imam-hatip schools, announced that the number of students had reached one million.

Imam-hatip schools are only one side of the story.  The AKP’s reforms have also greatly expanded the religious content of regular academic high schools.  In so doing, Turkey is in direct breach of a 2007 ruling of the European Court of Human Rights, which held that Turkey’s compulsory classes in religious education violated the religious rights of minorities, since the classes featured only education in the tenets of Sunni Islam.  The government renamed the class to “Religious Culture and Moral Values”, to make it appear broader in scope, but in practice nothing changed.  Students are required to memorize a long list of Quranic verses and prayers, but no texts from any other religion.  Moreover, Christian and Jewish students continue to be exempt from the class – implying that the government itself views it as an education in Sunni Islam for Muslims.

The reforms, far from removing the compulsory classes, extended them from one to two hours per week.  Also, the reforms enabled the rollout of elective courses in “the life of Prophet Muhammad”, and “the Quran”.  That way, students could receive up to six hours of religious education per week.  Meanwhile, the number of total hours of school per week was shortened; and thus, several other classes were either merged or abolished, such as that on “human rights, citizenship and democracy.”

In theory, these classes are elective; in practice, they may not be. School administrators decide what elective classes are to be offered.  Amendments to the law in 2014 strengthened the government’s control over the appointment of school principals, who have the decisive influence on what courses schools offer.  At least ten students are required to open an elective class and thus, students may be forced to choose among the religious classes even if they do not want to.  In a well-publicized case, the daughter of a protestant pastor in Diyarbakir was exempted from the compulsory class on religion and culture.  She was forced, instead, to choose between elective classes on the Qur’an and the life of the Prophet.

Community pressure invariably provides considerable incentives to follow the conservative majority’s behavior.  As Newsweek recently reported, when a student in a largely secular area of Istanbul was exempted from a supposedly elective class on the life of the Prophet to which she had automatically been assigned, she was bullied for being an atheist.  If this can happen in secular districts of Istanbul, the very thought of asking for an exemption would not occur to parents in towns and rural areas across the country.  It is not a coincidence that the class on the life of the prophet was the most popular elective course in the first year it was being offered.

In March 2014, new legislation was adopted that provided the government with a mandate to overhaul the entire structure of the ministry of education, including terminating thousands of high-ranking officials, who could then be replaced by political appointees.  Furthermore, reforms in 2010 made it possible to transform regular high schools into imam-hatip schools; in 2012, this was made possible for middle schools as well.  The government claims that such processes only take place as a result of popular demand, but the record proves otherwise.  In fact, government plans to turn secular schools into imam-hatip schools have led to street protests in a number of places.

On top of the changes to the educational system, the 2012 education reform made considerable changes to the Qur’an courses offered by the state directorate of religious affairs, the Diyanet.  The Qur’an courses, particularly summer courses for children, operated by the directorate, used to be co-managed with the Ministry of Education; the directorate now manages them alone.  More importantly, the 12 year minimum age to attend Qur’an courses was abolished.  Theoretically, kindergartners can now be sent to Qur’an courses.  In 2013, indeed, a special project was launched for the provision of “Qur’an courses for preschoolers.”

The reform also relaxed regulations on the physical nature of appropriate buildings and requirements for eligible teachers.  This is a boon for religious brotherhoods that can now essentially run their own Qur’an schools with their own teachers.  Finally, Quran schools are now allowed to be boarding schools and to have dormitories – an important change, since it enables the full immersion of young children in a religious lifestyle.

Conclusions:  Since 2012, the AKP has embarked on a systematic, multi-pronged effort to Islamize Turkey’s education system.  These changes are likely to be lasting, as the AKP is retaining its grip on power even though it has lost its majority.  In any coalition government in which it is the senior partner, the AKP is certain to jealously protect the education reform it has embarked on.  On top of that, President Erdogan’s parallel administration – as well as Turgev, the private foundation run by his extended family that is spearheading the expansion of imam-hatip schools – will continue to have a strong informal but direct influence on the education bureaucracy.

The consequences of these reforms will be visible only in time.  It is not unlikely, however, that they are going to encourage a Sunni Islamic radicalization among sections of the population.  Social harmony between Sunnis and non-Sunnis could be endangered as a result.  Ultimately, the Islamic overhaul of the education system is bound to have implications for Turkey’s civilizational identity, and on the choices it will make on where it belongs politically.

Svante E. Cornell is Director of the Central Asia-Caucasus Institute & Silk Road Studies Program Joint Center, and Publisher of the Turkey Analyst. This article draws on the author’s contribution to a Bipartisan Policy Center study on Turkey’s domestic evolution, to be released in September 2015, co-authored with Amb. Eric Edelman, Halil Karaveli, Aaron Lobel and Blaise Misztal; and on the author’s article “The Naqshbandi-Khalidi Order and Political Islam in Turkey”, co-authored with M.K. Kaya, published in the Hudson Institute’s Current Trends in Islamist Ideology in September 2015.  (The Turkey Analyst 02.09)

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11.5  TURKEY:  Even SpongeBob Can’t Escape Turkey’s Post-Coup Crackdown

Mahmut Bozarslan posted on 4 October in Al-Monitor that Turkey has shut down the country’s first and only Kurdish-language channel for kids, dealing a blow to efforts to keep the children connected to their culture.

The Smurfs, Maya the Bee and SpongeBob SquarePants finally started speaking Kurdish in Turkey last year, courtesy of Zarok TV, the country’s first and only Kurdish-language channel for children.  But their voices were silenced last week as the channel fell victim to the Turkish government’s continued purging since the 15 July failed coup.

The station’s debut in March 2015 came as the latest in a series of hard-won cultural freedoms for Turkey’s Kurds who, until the early 1990s, were banned even from speaking their language.  The channel was meant to be more than just a pastime for children, doubling as a vessel to teach them their mother tongue and help them maintain a bond with it.

Only 19 months later, Zarok TV (Kid TV) was back in the headlines, this time as the first children’s channel to be shut down for backing “separatist and subversive” activities in Turkey.  The 28 September closure order, which covered 23 radio and television stations, took effect abruptly late in the evening, leaving many people bewildered in front of empty screens.  It was part of the massive crackdown Ankara has waged, using extraordinary powers made available by a state of emergency, against suspected coup supporters and others.  Though the coup bid was blamed on Fethullah Gulen’s community, the clampdown has extended to Kurds and other “dissident” groups.

Many social media users went into lampoon mode, asking, “Who is the separatist: SpongeBob or Papa Smurf?”

Dilek Demiral, Zarok TV’s chief broadcast coordinator, has difficulty understanding how the channel might have irked the government.  Kurdish-language TV stations are no stranger to bans in Turkey, but hardly anyone expected a children’s cartoon channel to join the club.  A perplexed Demiral told Al-Monitor the channel had never received even a warning penalty from the Higher Board of Radio and Television (RTUK), the government’s media watchdog, which many consider to be heavy-handed.

Demiral said the decree the government used to close the stations “speaks of separatist and subversive broadcasts and channels” affiliated with the so-called Fethullah Gulen Terror Organization, a term Ankara uses to refer to Gulen followers.  “We are struggling to understand what sort of separatist and subversive activity we could have possibly engaged in [by] broadcasting cartoon movies by world-famous producers,” she added.

The first Kurdish-language channel to reach Kurds in Turkey was Med TV, which began broadcasting from Britain in 1995 as bloody conflict simmered in Turkey’s southeast between the security forces and militants of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK).  The channel, which was supportive of the PKK, drew large audiences hungry for Kurdish-language programs, and satellite dishes soon became a fixture on rooftops in the region.  In the late 1990s, Kurdish-language broadcasts began from inside Turkey, sometimes legally and sometimes not.  Their numbers grew in the next decade as Ankara came under European Union pressure to expand Kurdish rights. By 2009, even public broadcaster TRT had a Kurdish-language channel.

It was against this background that Zarok TV was born for the youngest of Kurdish audiences.  Before its inauguration, the Diyarbakir-based station surveyed thousands of children to fine-tune its programming and had several months of test runs.  Officially licensed by RTUK, it was formally launched on 21 March 2015, the day on which the Kurds celebrate Nowruz, their traditional New Year.  The channel became an immediate hit, broadcasting popular animations dubbed in the Kurdish dialects of Kurmanji, Zazaki and Sorani, as well as several homemade programs.

Along with other Kurdish channels launched around the same time, Zarok TV was seen as a welcome byproduct of peace efforts underway between Ankara and the Kurds.  In a community where many children grow up speaking only Turkish, especially in urban areas, thousands of Kurdish families came to rely on Zarok TV to teach their children their native language.

Demiral recalled how prominent this sense of linguistic mission was in creating the channel.  “When we were starting out, we made a promise to do whatever we can to make sure the new generations don’t go through the same language problems we experienced as children, so they can have fun and do whatever their peers do, in their own language,” she said.

“We tried to keep our promise and did bring our broadcasting quality to a certain level. Very emotional messages are now coming from Kurds across the world,” she said.  “How can a channel be closed without any justification, without a single warning penalty in its past?  We want to believe this decision was made by mistake, and we expect it to be rectified in the shortest possible time.”

The state of Turkey’s media scene, however, offers little reason for optimism.  In a joint condemnation of the government’s latest onslaught, a group of press organizations said the number of jobless journalists in Turkey jumped to more than 10,000 — up from 7,000 — as dozens of media outlets have been closed since the coup attempt.  Almost one-third of journalists are now out of work in Turkey.

The case of Zarok TV, an entity with no political aspect, has led many to believe that the government can ban anything Kurdish simply for being Kurdish.  In only 19 months, a cartoon channel — perhaps the cutest reflection of Kurdish hopes — has turned into a gloomy symbol of their eclipse.

Mahmut Bozarslan is based in Diyarbakir, the central city of Turkey’s mainly Kurdish southeast.  A journalist since 1996, he has worked for the mass-circulation daily Sabah, the NTV news channel, Al Jazeera Turk and Agence France-Presse (AFP), covering the many aspects of the Kurdish question, as well as the local economy and women’s and refugee issues.  He has frequently reported also from Iraqi Kurdistan.  (Al-Monitor 04.10)

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11.6  GREECE:  Moody’s Affirms Greece’s Government Bond Rating at Caa3

Moody’s Investors Service on 14 October affirmed Greece’s government bond rating at Caa3.  The outlook on the ratings is stable.  The short-term rating was affirmed at Not Prime (NP).  Moody’s government bond rating applies to debt issued on private sector terms only.  The key driver behind the affirmation is:

That, despite the recent successful completion of the first review, Greece’s continued timely access to official sector funding over the remainder of the program remains uncertain, given the unpredictable nature of Greek politics, the measures still to be completed within the program, and political dynamics in the euro area.  As a consequence, risks to private sector bond holders remain elevated.

The stable outlook reflects Moody’s view that the risks to creditors are broadly balanced at the Caa3 rating level.  The Caa3 rating continues to incorporate a high level of implementation risk given Greece’s weak institutions, social and political fragmentation and a historically weak reform track record.

The local and foreign-currency bond ceilings remain at Caa2.  The local and foreign-currency bank deposit ceilings remain at Caa3.  The short-term foreign-currency bond and bank deposit ceilings remain at Not Prime (NP).

Ratings Rationale

Moody’s has reassessed Greece’s rating in light of the recent completion of the first review of the third program.  The rating agency has concluded that although the Eurogroup approved the release of the remaining €2.8 billion of the first review of the bailout package on 10 October based on its favorable view of the implementation of 15 outstanding measures, risks to the timely access to official sector funding over the remainder of the program remain elevated given the high level of political and social discontent in Greece, and the country’s weak institutions.

Although the government’s recent track record of reform implementation is positive, the uncertainty associated with a conclusion of the remaining elements of the program, including the second review which is expected to disburse around €6.1 billion, is still high.  This is especially so in the context of the number of unpopular reforms required for adoption during the second review concerning product and labor market reforms and further steps towards privatization.  Domestic political dynamics remain unpredictable, with the government having only a very slim majority to ensure timely passage of a range of unpopular reforms.  While Greece’s relations with its euro area lenders have been reasonably harmonious in recent months, the political landscape across the euro area remains fluid and the tone of future negotiations unpredictable.

Accordingly, Moody’s assessment is that credit risk to bondholders has not diminished materially.  The risk of default over the life of the program remains significant, given large upcoming maturities in July 2017, with €6.6 billion in amortizations, of which €2.3 billion is due to private sector bond holders and €3.9 billion to the ECB.  Although the intention is to complete the second review by year-end, we expect that given the past delays in completing program reviews, slippages will continue to endanger the repayments due in mid-2017 and beyond.

Lastly, although there is growing consensus among European creditors and the IMF on the need for debt relief, the form that any debt relief will take, and how far-reaching it will ultimately be, remains unclear.  The Eurogroup has agreed to phase in debt relief measures progressively and as necessary to meet the agreed 15% of GDP gross financing needs benchmark, subject to the program’s pre-defined conditionality.  As previously stated, Moody’s shares the IMF’s view that it is unrealistic to expect Greece to meet primary surplus targets of 3.5% of GDP beyond 2018 and that substantial debt relief will be needed to make Greece’s debt burden sustainable.  Political dynamics in Europe, including the electoral calendar of key European creditors, make it unlikely that a quick decision on debt relief will be made.

What Could Move the Rating Up/Down

Moody’s would consider downgrading Greece’s government bond rating should the conditions needed to provide ongoing assurance of the implementation of the third bailout package fail to materialize.  This would most likely happen should the economic recovery be materially slower than expected, should the coalition government be unable to reach agreement measures to meet creditor demands, or should wider political or social tensions emerge that undermine popular or legislative support for the third program.

Moody’s would consider upgrading Greece’s government bond rating in the event of reduced implementation risk to the program of economic reforms under the third program, and sustained economic growth and primary surpluses, which would support a decline in debt levels.  (Moody’s Investors Service 14.10)

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The Fortnightly newsletter is a free service of Atid, EDI. We are a team of economic and trade development consultants, headquartered in Jerusalem, but active throughout the region and beyond. EDI works with an international clientele interested in identifying and researching business opportunities in the region. We also serve as the regional representative offices for a number of U.S. states and bilateral Chambers of Commerce, as well as European clients.

The post Fortnightly, 19 October 2016 appeared first on Atid EDI.


Fortnightly, 2 November 2016

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2 November 2016
1 Cheshvan 5777
2 Safar 1438

TOP STORIES

TABLE OF CONTENTS:

 1: ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Israel’s Budget Slated to Pass First Reading on 2 November
1.2  Bank of Israel Adopts Federal Reserve’s Interest Setting System
1.3  Israeli Government Selects 6 Foreign Building Companies

2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Israel Falls to 52nd Place in Ease of Doing Business Index
2.2  Proofpoint Signs Definitive Agreement to Acquire FireLayers
2.3  Oryx Vision Raises $17 Million to Create Ultimate Depth Sensing Solution
2.4  Chorus.ai Raises $6.3 Million & Launches AI Platform That Learns What Works Across Sales
2.5  Work Begins on Drilling New Well For Tamar Gas Field
2.6  PointGrab’s Sensing Solution for Smart Buildings Gets $7 Million Strategic Investment
2.7  CrowdFlower Expands into Israel
2.8  Cathay Pacific to Launch Tel Aviv – Hong Kong Route
2.9  Fox to Operate Foot Locker Sportswear Stores in Israel
2.10  Air India to Launch Tel Aviv Flights
2.11  Medallia Acquires Digital “Voice of Customer” Leader Kampyle
2.12  Gauzy Raises $7 Million in US & Asia Rounds

 3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Disruptive Restaurant Group Announces Expansion of its Cleo Restaurant Brand
3.2  Wendy’s to Debut in Kuwait Amid Gulf Expansion
3.3  Dubai’s Careem Said to Launch Driverless Pod Tests Within A Year
3.4  Telepizza Opens its First Three Stores in Saudi Arabia
3.5  US House to Vote on Iran Sanctions Act Renewal as Soon as November

 4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Stanford Says Morocco Could See 100% Green Energy Use by 2050

5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanon’s Average Consumer Prices Dropped 1.71% by Third Quarter
5.2  Foreign Aid Pledged to Jordan Totals $1.458 Billion Since Year’s Start

♦♦Arabian Gulf

5.3  UAE Keeps Spending Flat in 2017 Federal Budget
5.4  UAE’s First Half Non-Oil Foreign Trade Exceeds $150 Billion
5.5  Oman Plans to Cover Majority of Budget Deficit With Foreign Borrowing
5.6  Saudi Inflation Rate Falls to 2016 Low in September
5.7  Saudi Arabia Sets Record With Mammoth $17.5 Billion Bond Issue

♦♦North Africa

5.8  Egypt Ranks 122 Out of 189 Countries in Doing Business Report for 2017
5.9  Egypt’s Exports Increase by $1 Billion, Imports Decrease by $7 Billion
5.10  Egypt Rises 56 Ranks in World Bank Electricity Production List
5.11  Suez Canal Zone Authority to Stipulate Use of Foreign Currency for Utility Contracts
5.12  Suez Canal Sees Revenue Up 4% in August
5.13  Morocco’s Revenues from Alcohol, Cigarettes & Gambling Surpass MAD10 Billion
5.14  Morocco Produces Record 128,000 Tons of Dates in 2016

6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkey Drops 14 Places in World Bank’s Doing Business Study
6.2  Greece Finally Completes First Bailout Review

7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

7.1  Michel Aoun Elected President of Lebanon
7.2  Lebanon Ranked 135th on the Global Gender Gap Index 2016
7.3  Almost 20% of Jordanian Brides in 2015 Were Minors
7.4  Saudi Government Workers to be Paid According to Hijri Calendar’
7.5  88% of Moroccan Children Use Internet on a Daily Basis
7.6  Turkey Languishes in 130th Place in Latest WEF Gender Gap Report

8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  Evogene & IMAmt Sign Collaboration for Genomic Promoter Discovery Effort in Cotton
8.2  Teva’s SD-809 for Treatment of Chorea Associated with Huntington Disease Accepted by FDA
8.3  Sight Diagnostics & the United States Army Announce a Joint Collaboration
8.4  Teva & IBM Expand Partnership in Drug Development & Chronic Disease Management
8.5  Mazor Robotics Commercially Launches Mazor X at NASS Annual Meeting

9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Humavox & Starkey Bring Wireless Charging to Hearing Devices
9.2  Change Labs Uses AI to Control Personal Overdrafts
9.3  Inokim Reveals Cutting Edge Electric Scooter
9.4  OriginGPS Elevates Drone Navigation with Module+Software Integration
9.5  Vayyar Announces Smart Home Solutions using Its Powerful 3D Imaging Sensor Technology
9.6  IntactPhone Takes Mobile Security to the Next Level

10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israel’s Tax on Fuel Among World’s Highest
10.2  Unemployment in Israel Rises in October

11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  ISRAEL: High-Tech Capital Raising Counters Global Downturn
11.2  LEBANON: A New President for Lebanon
11.3  JORDAN: Jordan ‘BB-/B’ Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Remains Negative
11.4  GCC: Fitch Says Bank Assets; Saudi, Qatar Most Resilient to Oil Shock
11.5  GCC: Qatar’s Succession Model Could Be a Way Forward
11.6  MOROCCO: Fitch Affirms Morocco at ‘BBB-‘; Outlook Stable
11.7  TURKEY: The Brewing Battle Over Coffee in Turkey
11.8  CYPRUS: Fitch Upgrades Cyprus to ‘BB-‘; Outlook Positive

1:  ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Israel’s Budget Slated to Pass First Reading on 2 November

Knesset Finance Committee chairman MK Moshe Gafni (United Torah Judaism) estimated that the 2017-2018 state budget will pass its first reading this week, probably on 2 November.  The 2017 budget will be NIS 359.7 billion and the 2018 budget will be NIS 376.7.  Real growth in the state budget between 2016 and 2018 is forecast to be 8.3%, while real growth for 2017 is forecast to be 5.2%, compared with 2016.  The deficit target for 2017-8 is expected to be 2.9% of GDP.

The Ministry of Finance says that the principles of the budget are based on a just division of national resources, tackling the housing crisis, lowering the cost of living, encouraging growth, and improving productivity.  Some of the measures presented by Kahlon included: the direct employment of contract workers, infrastructure development in the Arab sector and Buyer Fixed Price, which Kahlon said is expected to reach 12,000 apartments by the end of the year.

Kahlon presented figures indicating that the health budget will grow by NIS 5 billion this year, including a permanent NIS 500 million addition to the health services basket, which will be added to the budget base; the education budget will increase from NIS 55.2 billion to NIS 55.8 billion in 2018; the welfare budget will increase from NIS 6.5 billion to NIS 7.4 billion in 2018; Project Renewal urban renewal program budget will grow from NIS 90 million to NIS 160 million.

In terms of growth encouragement measures, Kahlon mentioned the lowering of corporate income tax to 23% and income tax decrease for the middle class.  The overall annual budget for R&D and investment encouragement will be NIS 3 billion over the next two years and will also include a NIS 40 million addition for the encouragement of small and medium-sized businesses, a NIS 500 million addition in 2017 and a NIS 750 million addition in 2018 to the higher education system; an addition of NIS 70 million in 2017 and NIS 125 million in 2018 for beefed-up qualifications of engineers for the high tech sector; and an NIS 100 million addition to the firefighting services’ budget, which will enable the cancellation of fees for the Israel Fire and Rescue Services in the licensing of businesses.  (Globes 31.10)

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1.2  Bank of Israel Adopts Federal Reserve’s Interest Setting System

The Bank of Israel announced on 19 October that it will be changing the frequency with which it announces key interest rates, saying that in 2017 it will announce the rates eight times a year, instead of monthly.  The change means the Bank of Israel has essentially adopted the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest setting system.  The central bank will be able to make exceptions to the rule, but “that would only follow a highly unusual event,” a source privy to the decision said.  The move stems from the low interest rates Israel has been able to maintain.  Economists expect November’s and December’s interest rates to remain unchanged, at 0.1%.  The Monetary Committee has set its interest announcement dates for 2017 to Jan. 23, Feb. 27, April 6, May 29, July 10, Aug. 29, Oct. 19, and Nov. 27.  (IH 20.10)

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1.3  Government Selects 6 Foreign Building Companies to Work in Israel

Israel’s Ministries of Finance and Construction and Housing announced that they had selected six foreign companies to perform construction work in Israel.  The six were selected out of 50 that submitted their candidacy in a call for offers by the Israeli government.  The winning companies will be entitled to build residences in Israel and to manage residential construction projects as the party responsible for all the engineering and performance aspects of the project.  They will be obligated to perform residential construction amounting to hundreds of thousands of sq. m. during their stay in Israel.

This measure will bring 6,000 more foreign workers to the Israeli building industry.  Under the agreement, each company will receive a permit to employ up to 1,000 foreign workers in wet jobs (building frames and construction work).  The Ministry of Construction and Housing says that this will increase the number of construction jobs in other professions, such as electricians, plumbers, plasterers, glaziers, infrastructure work, etc., in which Israelis are employed.

The foreign companies will be registered for only five years, with a possible three-year extension at the discretion of the Ministry of Housing and Construction agencies authorized for this purpose.  The purpose of the measure is to supply the great demand for housing and enhance the use of industrialized construction.  The six winning companies are:

  • Beijing Construction Engineering Group
  • Jiangsu First Construction (Beijing)
  • Everbright International Construction Engineering (Beijing)
  • JiangSu Nantong No. 2 Construction Engineering (Group)
  • China Haushi Enterprise
  • Mota Engil Engenharie E Construction (Portugal) (Globes 26.10)

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2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Israel Falls to 52nd Place in Ease of Doing Business Index

The World Bank’s annual Doing Business report ranked Israel at 52, down from 49 in 2015.  The report ranked Israel 126 in the time required to register property.  In terms of tax payments, Israel is rated 96; the country with the easiest tax obligations is South Korea.  Protection of minority investors offers some encouraging news, with Israel ranked 9 of all the countries reviewed.  (Globes 26.10)

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2.2  Proofpoint Signs Definitive Agreement to Acquire FireLayers

Sunnyvale, California’s Proofpoint, a leading next-generation cybersecurity company, has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Herzliya Pituah’s FireLayers, an innovator in cloud security.  With this acquisition, Proofpoint will extend Targeted Attack Protection (TAP) to SaaS applications, enabling customers to protect their employees using SaaS applications from advanced malware.  In addition, the threat intelligence extracted from SaaS applications will enhance the Proofpoint Nexus security and compliance platform, expanding Proofpoint’s ability to deliver protection for the way people work today.

As users increasingly click links and access files in cloud services, SaaS applications have become an important and often invisible threat vector for malware.  The combination of Proofpoint TAP and FireLayers will enable enterprises to detect and block both malicious files and links shared via SaaS applications.  As with other modules of TAP, this will be sold separately and will be available in the first half of 2017.  The new FireLayers-powered SaaS application threat intelligence will feed the Proofpoint Nexus platform to amplify Proofpoint’s correlated threat intelligence across its global ecosystem.  With today’s announcement, enterprises will be able to protect themselves against a variety of targeted attacks.

The purchase price for the transaction is approximately $55 million, with approximately $46 million in cash and the remaining approximately $9 million in Proofpoint stock subject to continued vesting.  (Proofpoint 20.10)

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2.3  Oryx Vision Raises $17 Million to Create Ultimate Depth Sensing Solution

Oryx Vision announced it has emerged from stealth with a veteran team from the Israeli high-tech industry to build a radically different depth sensing solution for autonomous vehicles.  Oryx has raised $17 million in Series A funding led by Bessemer Venture Partners (BVP), with additional participation from Maniv Mobility and Trucks VC.  Based on nano antennas that receive light waves like radio waves, Oryx’s depth-sensing solution seeks to be the first to meet the demanding depth sensing requirements of autonomous vehicles – at a mass market price point.  The company has already demonstrated the technology and discusses its implementation with some of the world’s leading car manufacturers and Tier-1 suppliers.

The Oryx depth sensor is poised to achieve a range of 150 meters and mega-pixel resolution, 50x better performance than LiDAR.  With a much clearer view, the autonomous vehicle’s computer will require simpler algorithms and less processing power to make the right driving decisions.  Unlike LiDAR, the Oryx system will operate in direct sunlight and severe weather conditions. Its design also has no moving parts, resulting in greater reliability and durability.

Petah Tikva’s Oryx Vision develops solid state depth sensing solutions for autonomous vehicles.  Based on a radically innovative depth-sensing technology, it is the first and only answer to the range and resolution vision requirements of fully autonomous driving. Oryx Vision is backed by Bessemer Venture Partners, Maniv Mobility and Trucks VC.  (Oryx Vision 19.10)

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2.4  Chorus.ai Raises $6.3 Million & Launches AI Platform That Learns What Works Across Sales

Chorus, a San Francisco and Tel Aviv based startup that adds AI to sales conversations and learns what works to close more deals, announced it raised $6.3 million in its first round of funding, led by Emergence Capital, and is launching its flagship platform out of stealth mode after a year in development.  Chorus’ software is the first to successfully combine artificial intelligence (AI), data analytics, and natural language processing (NLP) to unite sales conversations into a single dashboard, helping companies learn what works, and multiply successes across their sales teams.

Chorus is like Waze for sales conversations, boosted with Natural Language Processing and AI: it helps sales teams learn what to say and what to avoid to route them more quickly to a closed deal.  Chorus unites all your sales team’s conversations into a single view on its dashboard , and then adds intelligence to surface key moments around what works (or doesn’t) in your team’s calls.  Chorus integrates with CRM systems, freeing reps from having to take copious notes, and scaling a manager’s ability to coach their team to move deals forward without having to sit in on every single call.

Chorus’ founders believe that organizations that capture and act on the insights surfaced from their sales conversations will out-execute their competitors by elevating their entire sales teams, reducing ramp times, and improving decisions based on what customers actually tell the front-line.  (Chorus 18.10)

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2.5  Work Begins on Drilling New Well For Tamar Gas Field

The floating drilling rig Atwood Advantage began work on the drilling for Tamar 8 gas field off Israel’s coast on 24 October.  The Tamar 8 well will be drilled offshore 100 kilometers west of Haifa at a cost of $265 million.  The work will take four months and when completed the Atwood Advantage may move on the drill the Leviathan 5 well.  The Atwood Advantage has a crew of 100 sailors and technical staff and is positioned precisely above the required location for drilling by special satellite equipment.  The floating rig is also assisted by an unmanned submarine placed near the head of the well at a depth of 1.7 kilometers.  The gas field itself is 3.5 kilometers from the seabed.  Tamar 8 will be the prospect’s sixth gas field.  (Globes 25.10)

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2.6  PointGrab’s Sensing Solution for Smart Buildings Gets $7 Million Strategic Investment

PointGrab announced a $7 million strategic investment to support its advanced sensor technology for smart buildings.  The investors include new partners – Philips Lighting, the global leader in lighting, Mitsubishi UFJ Capital Co. Ltd (MUCAP), a venture capital arm of MUFG, Japan’s largest financial group, in addition to existing investors ABB Technology Ventures (ATV) and others.

PointGrab’s edge-analytics smart sensing solution, CogniPoint, provides industry-leading occupant activity analytics to enable effective building space management and enhance buildings’ operational efficiency.  By embedding state-of–the-art deep learning neural networks technology into cost-effective, miniature and connected optical sensing devices, PointGrab’s CogniPoint sensing solution provides unprecedented analytics precision in the detection of occupants’ locations, count, and movements.  This technology improves energy efficiency, optimizes the use of space and improves safety and security.  PointGrab has installed CogniPoint smart sensors in numerous customer sites as part of ongoing collaboration projects.  The CogniPoint solution will be available in early 2017.

Hod HaSharon’s PointGrab is a leading machine learning and computer vision company that provides smart sensing solution to the building automation industry.  The company applies its superior deep-learning technology to the building automation ecosystem, where opportunities to gather data are abundant, but efficient, real-time analytics are lacking.  (PointGrab 25.100

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2.7  CrowdFlower Expands into Israel

San Francisco’s CrowdFlower, the human-in-the-loop platform for data science and machine learning teams, announced its expansion into Israel with the opening of an office in Ra’anana.  With over 100 companies listed on NASDAQ and a higher concentration of data scientists per capita than the U.S., Israel is a hotbed of data science and machine learning activity.  The common thread between all machine learning teams is their need for large scale, high quality customized training data. CrowdFlower’s human-in-the-loop platform already delivers on this requirement for both startups and enterprises in the US, so the next natural step was to expand into Israel and meet the demand for local machine learning teams.  With the recent launch of CrowdFlower AI powered by Microsoft Azure Machine Learning, CrowdFlower is helping data science teams by delivering high quality customized training data, easily deployable machine learning models, and human-in-the-loop workflows in a single platform.  (CrowdFlower 25.10)

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2.8  Cathay Pacific to Launch Tel Aviv – Hong Kong Route

Hong Kong-based airline Cathay Pacific, considered one of the best in the world, will begin operating direct flights from Hong Kong to Tel Aviv as of March 2017.  The route is awaiting government approval, but once the license is granted, it will begin with four weekly flights from Ben-Gurion International Airport to Hong Kong International Airport, using the advanced Airbus 350-900 planes recently purchased by the airline.

Direct flights to Hong Kong are currently operated exclusively by Israel’s El Al and introducing a new line is expected to increase competition over flights to the Far East, especially as China’s Hainan Airlines recently launched direct flights from Israel to Beijing.  The new Cathay Pacific line will also provide easy and fast access to connection flights to numerous Far East countries, such as China and Japan, but also Australia, New Zealand and the Pacific Islands.  (Cathay Pacific 27.10)

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2.9  Fox to Operate Foot Locker Sportswear Stores in Israel

Two years after obtaining a partial franchise for NIKE stores in Israel, Fox-Wizel is taking a major step forward towards becoming a major player in the local sportswear market by signing an agreement with global company Foot Locker for the development and operation of a chain of stores in Israel selling footwear and clothing items from the world’s leading brands.  The agreement was signed through Fox subsidiary Retailors, through which Fox owns NIKE stores in Israel.  The agreement between the parties is for 10 years. The first store in Israel is slated for opening in the second quarter of 2017.  (Globes 27.10)

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2.10  Air India to Launch Tel Aviv Flights

Air India announced it would launch flights to Tel Aviv, the new route playing a part in the carrier’s expansion plans.  The announcement comes as no surprise as earlier this year the company met with Ministry of Tourism director general Avi Halevy to discuss direct flight to Israel by Air India.  The new route would be more competition for El Al Israel Airlines, which operates weekly flights between Tel Aviv and Mumbai.  (Globes 27.10)

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2.11  Medallia Acquires Digital “Voice of Customer” Leader Kampyle

Palo Alto, California’s Medallia, the global Customer Experience Management leader, today announced that it has acquired Israel’s Kampyle, the best-of-breed software platform for capturing customer feedback on digital and mobile channels.  Effective today, Medallia will offer a new product solution, Medallia Digital, which combines Medallia’s powerful data analytics platform with Kampyle’s state-of-the-art web and mobile feedback capture capabilities.  The new solution, which brings together customer experience data from online, offline, and mobile channels, not only delivers a true omnichannel view of the customer experience but also enables companies to take action on the data in real time across all touchpoints.

Medallia Digital offers many flexible ways to capture customer feedback across web and mobile channels.  It natively integrates into the Medallia enterprise platform, providing companies with a complete view of customers across their entire journey.  Medallia will offer Medallia Digital as both a stand-alone product and an integrated product. Terms of the acquisition were not disclosed.

Ramat Gan’s Kampyle enables brands and enterprises to effectively and thoughtfully engage with users across digital touchpoints and listen to the Voice of the Customer.  They have created the most advanced, user-friendly digital VoC solution enabling companies to listen to customers across web and mobile, get actionable insights and act to improve customer experience.  (Medallia 20.10)

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2.12  Gauzy Raises $7 Million in US & Asia Rounds

Gauzy recently completed its third funding round with Asian and American investors, raising $7 million.  Tel Aviv-based Gauzy developed liquid crystal glass laminates that create “smart glass” for a variety of markets, including construction, automotive and consumer electronics.  The company secured $5 million from Britain’s Sollange Investments during its second fund-raising round.  The third investment round was led by the Alabama-based Lazarus Fund.  The funds will be used to double the company’s research and development resources, as well as boost its marketing efforts worldwide.

The startup was recently selected by Mercedes-Benz to participate in its Autobahn Plug and Play accelerator, which aims to apply innovative technologies to the automotive industry.  Gauzy was the first to be chosen out of hundreds of startups.  Gauzy’s customers include Mercedes-Benz, AT&T, Porsche, the Ritz Carlton, Crowne Plaza, Westfield and Fendi. The company recently opened offices in Los Angeles, Dallas and Stuttgart.  (Various 01.11)

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3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Disruptive Restaurant Group Announces Expansion of its Cleo Restaurant Brand

Disruptive Restaurant Group, a subsidiary of sbe, the Los Angeles-based leading lifestyle hospitality company, announced the international expansion of its award-winning Mediterranean restaurant, Cleo, to the Middle East in partnership with leading international franchise operator M.H. Alshaya.  Fifteen Cleo locations will come to market starting 2017 in sought-after Middle East destinations including the UAE, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Bahrain and Kuwait.  The global plans follow Disruptive Restaurant Group’s successful partnership with M.H. Alshaya on the expansion of Los Angeles-based Katsuya in the Middle East, another award-winning Disruptive Restaurant Group brand.  Katsuya opened two locations in Kuwait in 2014. Six more Katsuya locations are scheduled to open by 2017 in Doha, Dubai and Cairo.  (sbe 25.10)

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3.2  Wendy’s to Debut in Kuwait Amid Gulf Expansion

Alghanim Industries has announced plans to open the first Wendy’s restaurant in Kuwait, following the signing of a strategic collaboration to expand the US brand across the MENA region.  The restaurant will open by mid-December in Salmiya and will be a stand-alone location, able to seat up to 68 inside and 60 outside with a drive-through and delivery service.  While this will be Alghanim Industries’ first Wendy’s store in Kuwait, the brand is well established in the UAE, with 17 restaurants in Abu Dhabi, Dubai and Sharjah.  In June, Alghanim Industries also announced plans to expand the brand into Saudi Arabia in 2017.  The Wendy’s Company is a key part of Alghanim Industries’ food and beverage portfolio, which launched in 2013 with the acquisition of Costa Coffee in Kuwait.  (AB 21.10)

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3.3  Dubai’s Careem Said to Launch Driverless Pod Tests Within A Year

Careem, the region’s app based car booking service, has announced that it plans to launch tests on its driverless pods system which is being developed in partnership with NEXT Future Transportation.  The pods are electric, driverless and can move individually or by attaching themselves to other pods, to form a bus-like structure allowing passengers to move freely from one pod to another.  The pods are designed to operate as a mass transportation system whereby passengers can conveniently be picked up on demand and dropped off to different locations, as the pods link and detach accordingly, “creating an efficient, safe and environmentally friendly mode of transportation.”

The partnership was announced after Dubai ruler Mohammed Bin Rashid Al Maktoum’s announcement of the launch of the Dubai Autonomous Transportation Strategy – a new initiative aimed at making 25 percent of all transportation trips in Dubai, smart and driverless by 2030.   Careem recently partnered with the RTA to make public transportation such as taxis, more accessible by eventually making it available on their apps.

In July, Careem announced a new research and development (R&D) strategy and plans for global expansion.  Over the next five years, Careem said it will invest $100 million in R&D, which includes growing its team in the UAE and Pakistan, and opening new R&D centers in Egypt and Germany.  (AB 18.10)

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3.4  Telepizza Opens its First Three Stores in Saudi Arabia

Spain’s Telepizza announces the opening of its first three stores in Saudi Arabia, located in Riyadh.  The stores are the first of the hundred the company expects to open up in the country over the next ten years and are three of the five that will serve the public in Riyadh in the coming months.  Subsequently, the brand will be present in the west (Jeddah) and the eastern areas of the country.  Telepizza’s expansion into Saudi Arabia is the result of the master franchise agreement with its strategic partner in the region, Emtyaz Catering Company, the subsidiary company of the Al Bayan Holding Group and one of the country’s principal business groups.  It holds interests in a number of companies in sectors like food and drinks as well as the property development and construction market.  Telepizza’s international strategy is focused on growth in markets where it is currently operating, exploring new business opportunities, and entering new markets, either organically, through acquisitions of local companies or via master franchises.  (Telepizza 27.10)

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3.5  US House to Vote on Iran Sanctions Act Renewal as Soon as November

The Republican leaders of the U.S. House of Representatives plan a vote as soon as mid-November on a 10-year reauthorization of the Iran Sanctions Act.  The act, which expires on 31 December, is one of the major pieces of unfinished business facing lawmakers when they return to Washington after the 8 November election.  Aides said the reauthorization of a “clean” bill, unchanged from the current legislation, was likely to pass the House, but its fate in the Senate was less certain, given administration concerns about the bill.  (Reuters 25.10)

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4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Stanford Says Morocco Could See 100% Green Energy Use by 2050

Morocco could run on 100% green energy by the year 2050, according to new research on the matter from Stanford University.  The California-based institution studied the energy prospects of 139 countries to develop a feasible and hypothetical green energy scenario for each nation.

An optimal energy portfolio for Morocco would be composed of 65.6% solar energy, 29.7% offshore and onshore wind energy, 2.5% hydroelectric power and 2.1% additional marine energy.  Going green would add 88,806 permanent full-time jobs to the workforce, adding $3.53 billion to the Moroccan economy every year.  Deserting fossil fuels would also save citizens from over MAD 420 billion in healthcare costs related to pollution.

The report comes as the North African kingdom prepares to host the United Nations Climate Change Summit COP22 in the tourist city of Marrakech next month.  The team’s scenario aligns closely with the kingdom’s plan to become fossil fuel independent in the coming decades.

Morocco currently hosts the world’s largest solar complex, Noor 1, in the desert city of Ouarzazate, where it generates 580 MW of electricity.  The National Energy Strategy calls for the development of 2000 MW of renewable energy by the year 2020 by installing new solar facilities in Beni Mathar, Foum El Oued, Boujdour and Tah Sebkhat.  Wind power’s share will increase to 14% to 2020, if the strategy’s implementation proceeds as scheduled.  By 2030, the government plans to derive 52% of the nation’s energy from renewable sources.  (Reuters 25.10)

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5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanon’s Average Consumer Prices Dropped 1.71% by Third Quarter

According to the Lebanon’s Central Administration of Statistics (CAS), average consumer prices dropped by 1.71% y-o-y by September 2016, as reflected by the average Consumer Price Index (CPI) which decreased from 97.23 points during the first three quarters of 2015 to an average of 95.57 points in the same period of 2016.  Specifically, average prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages (20.6% of CPI) fell 1.40% y-o-y by September 2016.  Moreover, as oil prices are still decreasing, transportation (13.1% of CPI) and water, electricity, gas & other fuels (11.9% of CPI) registered average yearly decreases of 5.40% and 11.44%, respectively.  Health (7.8% of CPI) and communication (4.6% of CPI) recorded respective average falls of 2.40% and 0.27% y-o-y.  However, the education sub-index, which grasps 5.9% of the CPI, rose by 1.49% y-o-y on average by Q3/16.  Moreover, as tourism activity started to recover during the first three quarters of 2016, average restaurant & hotel prices (2.6% of CPI) increased by 2.58% y-o-y by September 2016.  The actual rent sub-index for households (old and new rent), with a weight of 3.4% of the CPI, grew by an average of 3.23%.  (CAS 25.10)

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5.2  Foreign Aid Pledged to Jordan Totals $1.458 Billion Since Year’s Start

The total value of financial assistance (grants and soft loans) donors pledged to Jordan since the beginning of 2016 has reached $1.458 billion, according to data released by the Ministry of Planning and International Cooperation.  According to the figures, the Kuwaiti Fund for Arab Economic Development pledged $40 million to provide financing to the Jordan Response Plan (2016-2018) for road construction and equipping healthcare centers and support municipalities and the health and education sectors.

Canada pledged $38.2 million to support sustainable development through renewable energy and enterprise development in the Jordan Valley in addition to financing women empowerment projects among others.  The USAID provided $470 million in the form of cash transfer grant and another $316.8 million to support economic development and democracy and improve life quality.  Japan pledged an amount of $16.4 million to supply equipment and machinery to the Water Authority of and the Ministry of Municipal Affairs to be used in Syrian refugee-host communities.  Tokyo has also pledged another $9.3 million to enhance border security.

Germany has provided, through the German Reconstruction Bank (KfW), an amount of $8.6 million for irrigation projects in the Jordan Valley and another $22.3 million to finance teachers’ salaries in support of the accelerating access for Syrian refugee children to formal education.  It also extended $11.2 million for employment-intensive infrastructure investment.  The German GIZ also pledged $13.4 for a waste-to-positive-energy project.  Other pledges were made by France and the UNDP.  (AMMONNEWS 31.10)

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►►Arabian Gulf

5.3  UAE Keeps Spending Flat in 2017 Federal Budget

The cabinet of the United Arab Emirates approved a AED48.7 billion ($13.3 billion) federal budget for 2017, almost level with the original budget of AED48.56 billion for 2016.  The UAE federal budget traditionally accounts for only around 14% of total fiscal spending in the country; the seven individual emirates, mainly oil-producing Abu Dhabi, provide the rest.  But the decision to keep federal spending flat suggests UAE authorities remain cautious about spending as low oil prices pressure state finances.  The International Monetary Fund projects the UAE will post a consolidated fiscal deficit, including the federal government and all the emirates, of 3.86% of GDP this year.  The cabinet also approved a AED248 billion federal budget for the five years through 2021.  (AB 31.10)

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5.4  UAE’s First Half Non-Oil Foreign Trade Exceeds $150 Billion

The UAE’s non-oil direct trade increased by 3% in the first half of 2016, reaching AED553.4 billion ($150.6 billion), according to official figures.  The AED17.7 billion increase was registered as Asia, Australia, and the Pacific regions retained their place as top trading partners with a share of AED211.3 billion accounting for 39% of the total non-oil trade.  Europe ranked second, with a share of AED139.9 billion (26%), and the Middle East and North Africa region came next with a share of AED92.9 billion (17%).  America and the Caribbean contributed a share of AED55.1 billion (10%), while East and South Africa made up AED16.8 billion (3%).

Saudi Arabia was the UAE top GCC non-oil trade partner with a share of AED18.4 billion, representing 36% of the UAE non-oil trade with GCC countries, followed by Oman, Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain.  The statistics showed that raw gold was ranked top in imported goods valued at AED55.6 billion, followed by unmounted diamonds and cars.  Exports were also topped by raw gold followed by raw aluminum and precious stones jewelry during the first half of 2016.  (AB 24.10)

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5.5  Oman Plans to Cover Majority of Budget Deficit With Foreign Borrowing

Oman’s government is covering between 60 and 70% of this year’s budget deficit via international borrowing such as Eurobond issues, direct placements of debt and other instruments.  The rest of the deficit will be financed locally by drawing down financial reserves, such as money held by the State General Reserve Fund, a sovereign fund, and issues of bonds.

The reliance on international financing is a big shift for Oman, which has seen its state finances severely damaged by low oil prices.  Earlier this year, the government returned to the international bond market for the first time in two decades.  The budget deficit almost doubled to 4.02 billion rials ($10.5 billion) in the first seven months of this year from a deficit of 2.39 billion rials ($6.2b) a year earlier, as low oil export prices slashed state revenues.  The original 2016 budget plan envisaged state expenditure of 11.9 billion rials ($30.9b) and revenues at 8.6 billion rials ($22.3b).  Officials said their 2016 economic plans assumed an average oil price of $45 a barrel.  (AB 24.10)

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5.6  Saudi Inflation Rate Falls to 2016 Low in September

Saudi Arabia’s inflation rate fell to its lowest mark this year in September, according to figures released by the country’s Central Department of Statistics.  Consumer price data showed that inflation dropped to 3% last month, down from 3.3% the previous month but up from 2.3% in September 2015.  Transport costs rose 7.8% from a year earlier after the government raised gasoline prices in December as an austerity measure.  Prices of housing and utilities climbed 6.7% after utility fees were raised in December, but food and beverage prices fell 1.3%.

Spending cuts designed to bring the Gulf kingdom’s budget deficit under control are weighing on consumer spending.  Saudi Arabia’s consumer confidence score remained flat in the second quarter of 2016 at 104 but remained one of just 12 countries globally to reach or exceed a score of 100, which is the optimism benchmark, according to a recent Nielsen report.  The latest Nielsen Consumer Confidence Index said that job prospect sentiment improved two% (50%), personal finance sentiment remained bright (64% favorable) while immediate spending intentions reduced by four% (45%).  (AB 29.10)

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5.7  Saudi Arabia Sets Record With Mammoth $17.5 Billion Bond Issue

Saudi Arabia conducted the largest-ever emerging market bond sale on 19 October, selling $17.5 billion of debt in the government’s first international offer while attracting investor orders totaling almost four times that amount.  The huge demand, larger than many market participants had expected, was partly due to ultra-low global interest rates and funds’ frustration with a lack of high-yielding assets around the world.  But the sale was also a success for the world’s top oil exporter in its efforts to convince investors that it can cope with an era of low crude prices and ultimately reduce its dependence on oil.

London-based Capital Economics estimated the US dollar issue would finance around a third of next year’s state budget deficit and almost all of the kingdom’s current account gap, meaning its foreign exchange reserves were unlikely to fall much further in coming years.  The issue eclipsed the previous record for an emerging market sovereign bond sale, a $16.5 billion issue by Argentina in April.

The successful bond sale may be a good omen for another part of the reform plan; an initial public offer of shares in state oil giant Saudi Aramco.  Expected to take place in 2018, that offer could raise tens of billions of dollars.  The bond sale was also helped by a rebound of oil prices above $50 a barrel in recent weeks from around $30 early this year, after Saudi Arabia changed course and decided to support output cuts by OPEC.  It had refused to do this for two years in order to win market share back from US shale producers.  (Reuters 20.10)

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►►North Africa

5.8  Egypt Ranks 122 Out of 189 Countries in Doing Business Report for 2017

Egypt ranked 122 out of 189 countries in the World Bank Group’s Doing Business report for 2017.  This is an improvement from last year when Egypt was ranked 131 out of 189.  The report attributed the improvement to two reforms.  First, starting businesses in the country became easier as one-stop shops were introduced as a follow-up unit to liaise with the tax and labor authorities on behalf of the entrepreneur.  This is besides enhanced protection for minority investors.  Second, there have been changes in the methodology of the Doing Business Indicator, which impacted Egypt’s ranking positively.  The report noted that Egypt’s ranking depends on four indicators: dealing with construction permits, obtaining electricity, registering property, and resolving insolvency.  (WB 24.10)

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5.9  Egypt’s Exports Increase by $1 Billion, Imports Decrease by $7 Billion

Egypt increased its exports by $ 1 billion and decreased imports by $ 7 billion during the first nine months of 2016, Egypt’s Minister of Trade & Industry Tarek Kabil said.  According to the minister, the sectors that saw the greatest increase in exports were construction materials, food products and furniture.  Kabil said that the trade ministry is currently working on a strategy to double Egyptian exports during the coming five years and will do so in coordination and cooperation with various export sectors.

The minister also said that the decline in imports represents an opportunity for local production to fill the void and further reduce Egypt’s reliance on imported goods.  Kabil said that Egypt is looking to decrease its trade deficit by $ 11-12 billion in 2016 in order to reduce the dollar shortage that has plagued the economy.

In August, Kabil announced the launch of the “Proudly Made in Egypt” campaign aiming to increase Egyptians’ reliance on locally manufactured, high-quality products.  The campaign is aimed at “introducing” Egyptian consumers to such products that adhere to the quality standards put forth by Egyptian or international bodies, while protecting consumers from products from the informal sector that do not adhere to the same standards.  (Egyptian Streets 24.10)

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5.10  Egypt Rises 56 Ranks in World Bank Electricity Production List

Egypt ranks 88 for electricity production in the World Bank’s 2017 Doing Business report, progressing 56 places up the rankings from last year’s report.  The Electricity and Renewable Energy Ministry said that the improvement results from a number of measures taken to improve its ranking on the Getting Electricity list.  The World Bank praised the support provided to the electricity and renewable energy sector by the nation’s political leadership, as well as the ministries of defense, petroleum, and finance, in overcoming power outages since the summer of 2015.  The ministry has succeeded in adding 6,882 megawatts by 2015, of which about 3,632 megawatts were in accordance with an urgent plan.  The ministry also completed electricity production projects totaling 3,250 megawatts as part of a Five-Year Plan to construct power stations.  (Al-Masry Al-Youm 27.10)

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5.11  Suez Canal Zone Authority to Stipulate Use of Foreign Currency for Utility Contracts

The Suez Canal Economic Zone Authority will start stipulating the use of foreign currency in its utility contracts with investors.  The head of the canal authority said during a press conference at the AmCham in Cairo that it is highly likely the utility contracts in 2017 will be in dollars after the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) granted permission to the Canal Authority.  Egypt is struggling with an acute dollar shortage that is hampering trade and its financing needs.

The statements come as a delegation of US businessmen headed by US Ambassador Thorne, the senior advisor to the secretary of state for economic issues, visited Egypt to discuss strategic and economic cooperation between the two countries.  The US delegation included nearly 50 representatives from major US corporations.  (Various 25.10)

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5.12  Suez Canal Sees Revenue Up 4% in August

The Suez Canal Authority is considering a new initiative that would require the world’s top container shippers to pay tolls in advance, an official from the authority said recently.  Negotiations are currently underway between the authority and three of the world’s biggest shipping groups, the Danish-based Maersk, the French CMA CGM Group, and the Swiss-based Mediterranean Shipping Co (MSC), on the details of the deal.  According to the official, the carriers would receive discounts in return for being charged in advance.  The payments would likely be made three years in advance.  The vital Egyptian waterway generated $429 million in July.  (Ahram Online 25.10)

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5.13  Morocco’s Revenues from Alcohol, Cigarettes & Gambling Surpass MAD10 Billion

Morocco’s revenues from the domestic consumption tax on cigarettes, alcoholic drinks and gambling is expected to generate over MAD 10 billion.  In a new report the 2017 Finance Law Project (PFL 2017) revenue from domestic consumption tax on cigarettes, alcohol and gambling prove that this religiously prohibited industry is, in fact, an important source of revenue for the government.

The government is expected to collect MAD 1.26 billion from the domestic tax imposed on the consumption of all sorts of alcoholic beverages.  Added to this, the tax revenue on the sale of cigarettes is estimated at MAD 9.1 billion, while another MAD 160 million will be collected from the tax on gambling.  Interestingly, the 2017 revenue estimations of alcoholic drinks are higher than those of 2016.  Perhaps not surprisingly, they are 400% higher than those of non-alcoholic drinks.  (MWN 25.10)

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5.14  Morocco Produces Record 128,000 Tons of Dates in 2016

Morocco produced record 128,000 tons of dates in 2016, a 16% increase compared to 2015, according to the Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries.  This record production was achieved on an area of 50,000 ha of palm groves, compared to an average annual production of 90,000 tons until 2009.  The date sector contributes 40 – 60% to the agricultural income for more than 2 million people, creates 1.6 million working days per year for the rural population in the most fragile regions of Morocco, and represents nearly 40% of the national territory.  (MWN 26.10)

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6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkey Drops 14 Places in World Bank’s Doing Business Study

Turkey has fallen 14 places to 69th in the World Bank’s latest Doing Business report, published on 25 October.  In the breakdown of the report, Turkey fell 22 spots in the access to electricity category, while it also dropped in the protecting minority businesses category.  It remained stable in paying taxes and trading across borders.  The period since June 2016 has also seen hundreds of Turkish companies expropriated in state of emergency measures in the aftermath of the failed July 15 coup attempt, which is expected to further damage Turkey’s rating in next year’s report.  On a positive note, Turkey improved 11 spots in the starting a new business category.   (TDN 26.10)

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6.2  Greece Finally Completes First Bailout Review

The board of the European Stability Mechanism has finally approved the disbursement of a €2.8 billion sub tranche to Greece that completes the first review of the country’s third bailout.  The European commissioner for economic affairs expressed his satisfaction, sending a message to Athens that it pays to implement the commitments it has made toward reforms.  The disbursement consists of two parts, with €1.1 billion to go toward servicing the national debt, while €1.7 billion will go into a special account that will exclusively be used for the repayment of debts to third parties.  This sub tranche takes the total funds the country has received from the third bailout to €31.7 billion.  (Various 25.10)

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7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

7.1  Michel Aoun Elected President of Lebanon

Michel Aoun, the former Lebanese army chief, has been elected president of Lebanon, ending a two-and-a-half-year power vacuum.  Aoun, 81, secured the presidency by winning the support of 83 MPs, well above the absolute majority of 65 needed to win, according to a tally of votes read out in a televised broadcast from parliament on 31 October.  Aoun took the constitutional oath, promising to prioritize political stability to the country.  Lebanon had been without a head of state for 29 months after Michel Suleiman stepped down as president at the end of his term in May 2014.

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7.2  Lebanon Ranked 135th on the Global Gender Gap Index 2016

According to the 2016 World Economic Forum’s Global Gender Gap Index Report, Lebanon ranked 135th out of 144 countries.  With this rank, Lebanon earned a score of 0.598, where 0 represents complete gender inequality and 1 represents complete equality.  Lebanon scored one of the lowest in terms of political empowerment, where it ranked 137th in the “women in parliament” sub index.  The gender gap is also very pronounced in Lebanon in the fields of economic participation and opportunity, where the country ranked 136 on the Labor Force Participation sub-index and 135 on the estimated earned income sub-index.  However, the narrowest gender gap in Lebanon is in terms of education as the country ranked first on enrolment in secondary and tertiary education.  (WEF 26.10)

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7.3  Almost 20% of Jordanian Brides in 2015 Were Minors

Nearly 20% of marriages registered in Jordanian courts in 2015 involved brides aged between 15 and 18, the Sisterhood Is Global Institute (SIGI) said on 26 October.  Citing a report by the Department of Statistics, SIGI said 16,019 young brides were married in 2015, amounting to 19.7% of the 81,373 marriages recorded in the Kingdom.  Meanwhile, 49.5% of the brides were aged between 19 and 24, and 17.9% were aged from 25 to 29.  In 807 marriages, both the bride and groom were minors, SIGI said, adding that such families could not exercise their civil or political rights.  SIGI calls for a ban on all marriages in which either partner is under 18, the institute reiterated.

In 2015, there were 162 marriages involving an underage bride and a groom more than 22 years her senior, SIGI noted.  In eight of these marriages, the age gap was 37 years, the institute said, while in one case the groom was 47 years older than his underage bride.  There were also additional marriages involving adult brides with age gaps of over 20 years, SIGI said.  (AMMONNEWS 27.10)

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7.4  Saudi Government Workers to be Paid According to Hijri Calendar’

State workers in Saudi Arabia are to be paid according to the Solar Hijiri calendar – the calendar most commonly used in Iran and Afghanistan – rather than the Gregorian calendar as was done previously.  The news creates some confusion over the exact dates on which Saudi civil servants will receive their pay.  It was reported only two weeks ago that the kingdom had adopted the Western Gregorian calendar for paying state employees as part of its austerity measures policy.  The decision to use the Gregorian rather than Islamic Hijiri calendar made the working month longer for Saudi government workers and also included the loss of 11 salary days.

Saudi Arabia had actually banned use of this calendar system for government departments and private companies back in 2012 because of the implications.  The decision is intended to unify the dates between sector paydays, including those private sector firms using the Gregorian calendar, a source at the Ministry of Finance was quoted as saying.  The first six months of the Solar Hijri calendar have 31 days, the next five months of the calendar have 30 days and the last month of the calendar has 29 days in regular years and 30 days in leap years.  (AB 18.10)

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7.5  88% of Moroccan Children Use Internet on a Daily Basis

Around 88% of Moroccan children are using internet every day, according to a survey conducted by the opinion research firm Averty in partnership with Kaspersky Lab.  This survey shows that children’s use of the internet exceeds the average internet users in Morocco set at 60%.  This study was conducted last July among 1,444 people in 42 cities.

According to the study, about 60% of children have been affected by computer security threats during the past 12 months.  The most cited threats are viruses and malware (18.5%), privacy violation (8.6%), data loss (5.8%) and spyware (4.8%), sows the same study which provides valuable information on the perception of parents to information security and their familiarity with solutions available on the market.  (MWN 25.10)

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7.6  Turkey Languishes in 130th Place in Latest WEF Gender Gap Report

Turkey continues to plummet in terms of gender equality, coming in 130th of 144 countries in the latest World Economic Forum Gender Gap Report.  While the country’s overall rating remained unchanged, it fell on some indicators, dropping from 105th to 109th in women’s education rates, while also falling from 105th to 113th in women’s political participation rates.  Still, women’s employment rates did rise slightly, going from 32 to 33%.

Despite the fact women have made major gains in educational achievement – catching or surpassing men in 95 countries – women still earn less in exchange for longer hours, are less likely to have a job and are far less likely to have a senior or managerial post, the report said.  The Geneva-based WEF has tracked the disparities between the sexes since 2006 in four areas: education, health, economic opportunity and political empowerment.  (TDN 27.100

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8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  Evogene & IMAmt Sign Collaboration for Genomic Promoter Discovery Effort in Cotton

Evogene and Brazil’s Instituto Mato-grossense do Algodao (IMAmt), a leading developer and marketer of cotton seeds, announced a collaboration for the discovery and validation of novel genomic promoters to support IMAmt’s product development of insect-resistant cotton varieties.  The multi-year collaboration agreement between the companies provides for R&D fees and royalty payments from any future products developed as a result of the collaboration, to be paid to Evogene.  As part of the collaboration, Evogene will apply its biology-driven, predictive computational technology to identify novel genomic promoters.  The two companies will then work jointly to validate the candidate promoters in cotton.  The resulting validated promoters will support IMAmt’s product development pipeline of cotton varieties based on Bt toxins, a family of bacterial genes toxic to insects, and featuring resistance to Boll Weevil, a beetle-like pest which feeds on cotton buds and flowers.

Rehovot’s Evogene is a leading biotechnology company for the improvement of crop productivity for the food, feed and fuel industries.  The Company operates in three key market segments: improved seed traits (addressing yield and resistance to diseases and environmental stresses); innovative ag-chemicals (developing novel herbicide solutions for weed control); and ag-biologicals.  (Evogene 19.10)

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8.2  Teva’s SD-809 for Treatment of Chorea Associated with Huntington Disease Accepted by FDA

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries announced that the U.S. FDA has accepted the resubmission of the New Drug Application (NDA) for SD-809 (deutetrabenazine) for the treatment of chorea associated with Huntington disease (HD).  The FDA has assigned a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) goal date of 3 April 2017.  SD-809 was granted Orphan Drug Designation for the treatment of HD by the FDA in November 2014.  The NDA filing is based on results from two Phase-III studies, FIRST-HD and ARC-HD.  The resubmission of the NDA follows the receipt of a Complete Response Letter (CRL) from the FDA in May 2016.

SD-809 (deutetrabenazine) is an investigational, oral, small molecule inhibitor of vesicular monoamine 2 transporter, or VMAT2, that is designed to regulate the levels of a specific neurotransmitter, dopamine, in the brain.  SD-809 is being developed for the treatment of chorea associated with Huntington disease, a neurodegenerative movement disorder that impacts cognition, behavior, and movements.

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries is a leading global pharmaceutical company that delivers high-quality, patient-centric healthcare solutions used by millions of patients every day.  Headquartered in Israel, Teva is the world’s largest generic medicines producer, leveraging its portfolio of more than 1,800 molecules to produce a wide range of generic products in nearly every therapeutic area.  In specialty medicines, Teva has a world-leading position in innovative treatments for disorders of the central nervous system, including pain, as well as a strong portfolio of respiratory products.  (Teva 20.10)

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8.3  Sight Diagnostics & the United States Army Announce a Joint Collaboration

Sight Diagnostics (SightDx) announced a collaboration with the United States Army Medical Research Directorate Kenya (USAMRD-K) to develop and test the next generation of the SightDx malaria diagnostic technology.  Sight Diagnostics will be developing and producing a portable malaria and complete blood count (CBC) reader that will be calibrated and tested in clinical trials at the USAMRD-K Field Station in Kisumu, Kenya.

SightDx currently markets the Parasight device, a high-throughput malaria detection platform that uses computer vision technology to analyze blood samples for malaria parasites.  The state-of-the-art digital cytometry technology combines cutting-edge computer vision algorithms, custom optics, and proprietary disposable cartridges, which allows for analyzing blood samples in a rapid, reliable and a completely automated fashion.  The platform has shown ~98% sensitivity and ~98% specificity in clinical trials performed in Africa and India.  The device is currently marketed throughout Europe, Africa and India with over 60 units having been placed in pathology laboratories and hospitals.

SightDx aims to develop and test a portable version of the malaria diagnostic technology which will also perform complete blood count, providing additional diagnostic information critical to health care providers operating in remote locations.  In contrast to the current device that can hold 30 tests and features automated loading and scanning, the next generation device will scan a single cartridge of five tests and have significantly smaller dimensions, making it appropriate for smaller clinics in rural areas.

Founded in 2011 and based in central Tel Aviv and Jerusalem, Sight Diagnostics has developed a groundbreaking platform for blood analysis and infectious disease diagnostics based on its innovations in Computer Vision technology. Sight Diagnostics’ platform builds on breakthroughs in sample preparation, biological staining, machine-vision algorithms, and clinical instrumentation, to provide a complete diagnostic solution that is suitable for point-of-care use.  (Sight Diagnostics 25.10)

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8.4  Teva & IBM Expand Partnership in Drug Development & Chronic Disease Management

IBM and Teva Pharmaceutical Industries announced a significant expansion of their existing global e-Health alliance with a focus on two key healthcare challenges: the discovery of new treatment options and improving chronic disease management.  Both projects will run on the IBM Watson Health Cloud.

The expanded partnership features a new, three-year research collaboration to develop cognitive technologies that can enable a systematic approach to the emerging field of drug repurposing and deliver unprecedented scale in the discovery of new uses for existing drugs.  The companies also announced that respiratory and central nervous system (CNS) diseases will be the first targets for their chronic disease management initiative, which will be the first project to integrate data from The Weather Company (an IBM Business) into the analysis.  The joint work in chronic disease management emerges from Teva’s existing alliance with IBM as a Foundational Life Sciences Partner for the IBM Watson Health Cloud.

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries is a leading global pharmaceutical company that delivers high-quality, patient-centric healthcare solutions used by millions of patients every day.  Headquartered in Israel, Teva is the world’s largest generic medicines producer, leveraging its portfolio of more than 1,800 molecules to produce a wide range of generic products in nearly every therapeutic area.  (Teva 26.10)

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8.5  Mazor Robotics Commercially Launches Mazor X at NASS Annual Meeting

Mazor Robotics launched Mazor X, a transformative platform for spine surgeries at the North American Spine Society (NASS) annual meeting.  The Mazor X system represents a new surgical assurance platform for predictable surgery and patient benefit.  The commercial release of the Mazor X is a significant milestone for Mazor as well as for the Company’s strategic partnership with Medtronic that was announced in May 2016.  Since signing the agreement in May, Mazor and Medtronic have invested in co-marketing, promotion, and training efforts towards commercialization of the Mazor X.  The two companies, between them, now have hundreds of highly experienced capital and clinical specialists who are trained on Mazor X, who will be responsible for raising the awareness of, selling and supporting the Mazor X system.  In response to the pre-launch activity by Mazor and Medtronic, dozens of surgeons have attended Mazor’s labs and been introduced to the Mazor X.

In July 2016, Mazor first unveiled the Mazor X.  Due to this rising interest, the Company established an exchange (post-sale) program for existing U.S. Renaissance users to expand to the Mazor X system.  Since the July unveiling, the Company has received three pre-launch orders prior to today’s commercial launch, with scheduled deliveries by the end of the 2017 first quarter.  Additionally, the Company also received a purchase order from Medtronic for 15 Mazor X systems.

Caesarea’s Mazor Robotics believes in healing through innovation by developing and introducing revolutionary technologies and products aimed at redefining the gold standard of quality care.  Mazor Robotics Guidance Systems enable surgeons to conduct spine and brain procedures in an accurate and secure manner.  (Mazor Robotics 26.10)

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9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Humavox & Starkey Bring Wireless Charging to Hearing Devices

Humavox is partnering with a global leader in state-of-the-art hearing technology, Eden Prairie, Minnesota’s Starkey Hearing Technologies, in order to advance the next generation of audio devices with the introduction of wireless charging.  Together, they will simplify the lives of hearing technology consumers by allowing users to bypass the often impossible task of changing very small disposable batteries within tiny devices.

Next generation hearing technologies are becoming much smaller and more sophisticated, providing plenty of benefits to those suffering from hearing loss, most importantly, smaller and more discrete devices.  However, changing the batteries in these tiny audio devices can be difficult, especially for a portion of hearing technology users, some of whom are elderly and may lack the dexterity to change these small batteries sometimes several times a week.

By integrating Humavox’s wireless charging into Starkey’s advanced hearing devices, the companies are enabling the transition from disposable batteries to rechargeable batteries, which will redefine the user experience.  No longer will users have to fumble with their devices in order to change the disposable batteries.  Instead, users will be able to simply drop their hearing device in its case and, regardless of its orientation in that case, the device will be recharged seamlessly.  As part of their collaboration, Starkey Hearing Technologies will integrate Humavox’s wireless charging technology within a variety of devices from its family of wireless hearing technology brands, including the most advanced and comprehensive hearing solutions available.

Kfar Saba’s Humavox is an innovative developer of groundbreaking technology in the field of wireless power. With its ETERNA platform, Humavox uses near-field radio frequency (RF) technology, and provides users with a simple and intuitive charging experience (“drop & charge”). The technology can be implemented in the smallest of devices, such as hearables, wearables and IoT devices.  (Humavox 18.10)

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9.2  Change Labs Uses AI to Control Personal Overdrafts

Change Labs announced the launch of their platform and savings product, along with their latest pilot service that they are calling Predictive Overdraft Protection.  So far the company has succeeded in raising $1.3 million in seed capital to reach their alpha testing round from various unidentified backers.  While targeting the North American market, they maintain their HQ and R&D offices in Caesarea.

Recognizing that people have developed bad fiscal habits, the team has turned to machine learning and artificial intelligence to figure out how a user spends their money and identify where they could be making smarter decisions.  Initially, the service will be available exclusively in the US and Canada.  The founders believe that their product has the potential to give users significant visibility over their finances. It learns how a person spends by syncing the service through an API with their bank account and credit cards.  (Change 25.10)

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9.3  Inokim Reveals Cutting Edge Electric Scooter

This October, Inokim launched the Quick 3 – a new electric scooter developed in Israel, which can be folded in 3 seconds and taken on a bus or a train.  The new model has a stronger engine, which makes it easier to overcome steep slopes, large headlights improving the poor visibility during the winter and tires with improved traction.  After a full recharge, the scooter could travel 30 kilometers without charging, at a speed of 25 kilometers per hour, adjusted to Ministry of Transport regulations and with no worries about breaking the law.  The Quick 3 comes with an application enabling activation using the mobile phone, with the possibility of shutting down the engine, as a precaution against theft.  This model will be sold in Israel for NIS 7,500 and will also be marketed in the US, Europe and the Far East.

Moshav Avihail’s MYWAY/INOKIM is a pioneering company which created the ‘last mile solution’ for commuting: the concept of dividing commuting into two stages, whereby long distances are covered by traditional transportation such as trains and cars, and crowded urban environments are navigated via personal mobility tools such as electric scooters.  MYWAY annually invests 30% of its profits on research and development to bring cutting edge technology into its designs, making our products the leaders in the market.  (Globes 25.10)

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9.4  OriginGPS Elevates Drone Navigation with Module+Software Integration

OriginGPS launched three new products built on the flash-based SiRFstar V from Qualcomm Technologies.  This latest trio of modules is now boasting key drone features like low-latency velocity and position outputs and 5 Hz position updates to their already industry leading Multi Hornet, Multi Micro Hornet and Multi Micro Spider.

The Multi Hornet and Multi Micro Hornet offer drone OEMs a choice between 10×10 mm or 18×18 mm integrated, high-performance patch antennas, with benefits that extend to OBDII and under-dash telematics when utilizing the larger Multi Hornet.  The Multi Micro Spider brings all of these benefits into a compact 7×7 mm package suitable for use with a variety of external antennas.  All of OriginGPS’ modules are designed with patented Noise Free Zone technology which minimizes noise, producing the maximum signal-to-noise ratio.

Airport City’s OriginGPS is a world-leading designer, manufacturer and supplier of miniaturized GNSS modules (“Spider” family), antenna modules (“Hornet” family) and antenna solutions. OriginGPS introduces unparalleled sensitivity and noise immunity by incorporating its proprietary Noise Free Zone technology for faster position fix and navigation stability even under challenging satellite signal conditions.  (OriginGPS 24.10)

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9.5  Vayyar Announces Smart Home Solutions using Its Powerful 3D Imaging Sensor Technology

Vayyar Imaging announced the availability of its award-winning 3D sensor technology for the Smart Home market.  Vayyar’s powerful 3D sensors see through known barriers to precisely detect, identify and track multiple individuals’ motion, falls and vital signs and deliver unparalleled 3D imaging optimized for the home environment.  Vayyar’s 3D sensors also ensure greater privacy through camera-free monitoring, making them ideal for home healthcare, security, sophisticated home automation and entertainment delivery.  Vayyar’s Smart Home sensor was recently awarded Best New Technology by an audience of more than 350 cable company executives during the Innovation Showcase at the CableLabs conference.

Vayyar’s 3D sensors are compact, cost-effective and powerful.  They require minimal installation and cover large areas, which reduces the need for multiple sensors throughout a home and minimizes the cost of installation for the end customer.  The patented 3D sensor technology uses radio frequency (RF) to deliver unprecedented Smart Home capabilities.

Yehud’s Vayyar Imaging is changing the imaging and sensing market with its breakthrough 3D imaging technology.  Vayyar’s exclusive sensors quickly and easily look into objects, analyze the makeup of materials and track changes and movements – bringing highly sophisticated imaging capabilities to your fingertips.  Their goal is to help people worldwide improve their health, safety, and quality of life using mobile, low-cost, and safe 3D imaging sensors.  (Vayyar Imaging 25.10)

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9.6  IntactPhone Takes Mobile Security to the Next Level

CommuniTake Technologies announced that its Intact Mobile Security platform is the first and only to incorporate five unique security and privacy technology components: mobile device resources camouflage; proprietary push-notifications; highly encrypted device disk; use of countermeasures against cyber-attacks; and crowd-analysis for threat detection.  The mobile protection-built platform already consolidates key security elements: these include specially-manufactured smartphone; custom security-rich operating system; encrypted communications; virtual private network across devices; fused command and control center; built-in antimalware; comprehensive mobile devices and applications management; and remote control technology.  The new functions were identified by customers as unique empowerment methods to block sophisticated mobile cyber-crime attacks while assuring users privacy and device performance.  They form a robust mobile security and productivity platform fulfilling a complete protection framework: Identify, Protect, Detect, Respond, and Recover.

CommuniTake is offering enterprises a simple and extremely powerful solution to address mobile endpoint risk. With the Intact Mobile Security platform, organizations can prevent cyber-breaches via granular security and control over networks, devices, applications, and users.  The new advancements further strengthen the exploit prevention capabilities of the mobile endpoint protection platform.

Yokneam’s CommuniTake delivers a game-changing mobile security and productivity platform.  It natively integrates a specially-manufactured mobile phone, custom-built security-rich OS, encrypted communications, virtual private network, command and control center, and remote takeover technology to provide organizations with powerful in-depth protection against mobile cyber-crime.  CommuniTake personnel are a combination of developers from elite military cyber units, as well as hacking experts, ensuring cutting-edge technology.  (CommuniTake 25.10)

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10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israel’s Tax on Fuel Among World’s Highest

The tax rate on the consumer price of a liter of fuel is 65%, amounting to NIS 3.90 per liter, according to the November index compiled by the Israel Institute of Energy and Environment.  The Institute found that Israel had the fifth highest gasoline taxes among the developed countries, with only the Netherlands, Italy, Finland and Greece having the same or higher fuel taxes.  The Institute also found that the tax rate on fuel had risen 10%, from 55% to 65%, in four years.  State tax revenue from excise tax on gasoline currently totals NIS 13 billion a year.

How much does it cost us a month?  According to the results of the Institute’s study, the average monthly cost of energy taxes for a household totaled NIS 850 in November: NIS 620 in gasoline excise taxes, NIS 180 in VAT on gasoline, and NIS 50 in the electricity bill.  The maximum per-liter self-service consumer price for 95 octane gasoline rose by NIS 0.14 to NIS 6.03, following an increase in global oil prices.  The global price of black gold jumped from $46 to $50 a barrel last month, while the shekel-dollar exchange rate was up 1.8% to NIS 3.849/$.

This rise in the global price of oil resulted from the decision by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to cut production, which affected energy prices all over the world, but had an even greater effect in Israel, given the heavy taxes imposed on fuel prices.  (Globes 01.11)

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10.2  Unemployment in Israel Rises in October

 Unemployment in Israel rose from an historic low of 4.6% in August to 4.9% in September, the Central Bureau of Statistics reported on 1 November.  The percentage of Israelis aged 15 and over in the workforce rose 0.2% in August to 64.3% while the level of employment for Israelis aged 15 and over fell 0.1% in August to 61.1%.  There are 3,948,000 Israelis aged 15 and over in the workforce of whom 3,756,000 have work and 192,000 are unemployed.  The number of Israelis working 35 hours per week or more fell 3% in the third quarter of 2016 compared with the second quarter.  At the same time, the number of Israelis working part-time, 35 hours or less, rose 5% in the third quarter of 2016 compared with the second quarter of 2016.  (Globes 31.10)

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11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  ISRAEL:  High-Tech Capital Raising Counters Global Downturn

IVC-KPMG found that Israeli high-tech companies have raised $4 billion so far this year, up 27% from the first nine months of 2015.

Israeli high-tech companies raised $1.19 billion in the third quarter of 2016, the second highest quarterly amount in 10 years, the latest IVC-KPMG survey reports.  The amount was significantly affected by the exceptional Ormat PIPE deal of $204 million, which amounted to 17% of total capital raised.  Excluding the Ormat transaction, the quarterly results stand at $982 million, similar to the $1 billion quarterly average raised in the past three years.

IVC-KPMG Survey findings presented only 142 funding deals closed in the third quarter of 2016, a 26% drop from the 193 deals in the preceding quarter and 17% below the three-year quarterly average of 171 rounds per quarter.

KPMG Somekh Chaikin’s Technology group partner Ofer Sela said, “While we observe a decline in the number of investments, we don’t believe that the local ecosystem is going to be dramatically impacted by the global downtrend in the long run, since the flow of quality deals continues to be strong and new growth investors are investing in these deals, providing a wider horizon to such companies, both in terms of the type of potential exit and valuation.”

Sela added: “We expect the IPO market in the US to be much stronger at the beginning of 2017, which will keep pushing both investors and VC-backed companies to continue nourishing the local ecosystem, alongside more traditional industries that are looking to reinvent themselves through innovative solutions.”

Since the beginning of 2016, Israeli high-tech companies raised a total of $4 billion in 510 deals, 27% above the $3.15 billion raised in 491 deals in the first nine months of 2015, and only 7% below 2015’s record of $4.3 billion.  The average transaction reached $7.8 million, a noticeable increase, compared with the $6.4 million average in Q1-Q3/2015.  In the third quarter of 2016, the average company financing round stood at $8.4 million, or – controlling for the Ormat deal – $7 million, far above the three-year average.

IVC Research Center CEO Koby Simana said that IVC had noticed a drop in foreign investor participation in Israeli technology capital raising, particularly by foreign VC funds, in rounds closed during the third quarter.  “This is a reflection of the global downtrend in VC investment that has been going on for over a year.  Venture capital investors have put on the brakes in nearly every country, with US capital raising, for example, declining for the fifth quarter in a row.  In Israel, we have so far been going against this trend, exceeding former capital raising records.  Thus, this drop in the number of deals involving foreign VC funds is not entirely unforeseen.  However, we need to wait for the fourth quarter results in order to determine that Israeli market is indeed following the global tendency.  In any case, we expect 2016 to close as a record year in terms of capital raising, so short of a dramatic surprise in the coming months, we are still far from declaring that the global VC crisis has hit Israel.”

In the third quarter of 2016, 75 VC-backed deals attracted $662 million, or 56% of total capital.  This reflects a 41% decrease from the $1.1 billion invested in 119 deals in the previous quarter, and a 24% year-on-year decrease ($869 million was invested in 101 deals in the corresponding quarter of 2015).  The number of VC-backed deals this quarter was the lowest in the past three years, 23% below a quarterly average of 97 VC-backed deals.

The survey editors believe the decline in VC-backed deals reflects a global downtrend in VC investments, as foreign and Israeli VC funds adjust their investment strategies and models, focusing on later stage investments and strengthening existing portfolios.  Concurrently, new early stage investment models are being developed and expanded, with accelerators and private investments including angels, investment clubs, family offices and crowdfunding platforms growing in prominence as seed and early stage funding sources – offering alternatives to Israeli high-tech companies.

Israeli Venture Capital Fund Investment Activity

In the third quarter of 2016, $130 million was invested by Israeli venture capital funds in local high-tech companies, 11% of total capital proceeds.  The amount demonstrated a 45% fall from the $238 million (14%) in the previous quarter, back to third quarter 2015 levels of $131 million (13%).

First investments by Israeli venture capital funds directed into new portfolio companies captured 38% of their total capital investments in the third quarter of 2016, a 46% decrease in amount compared to the preceding quarter, when their investments comprised 39% of total capital.

Capital raised by stage and deal size

The survey revealed a continued fall in seed investments, with 30 seed deals in the third quarter of 2016, closing $35 million (3%), down 15% from $41 million (2%) raised in 44 deals in the preceding quarter, and 60% below the $88 million (8%) raised in 53 seed deals in the corresponding quarter of 2015.

Moreover, while the number of deals (89 transactions) below $5 million still comprised the majority of deals (63%) in the third quarter of 2016, it was 25% down from the past three-year quarterly average of 116 deals.

The IVC-KPMG Survey found that larger deals are the running trend this year, with the third quarter keeping up the lively pace, featuring 20 deals above the $20 million closed at a total of $771 million, a 65% of total capital raised in the third quarter of 2016.  This explains how the quarter placed second in 10 years in terms of dollar volumes despite a decrease in the number of deals.  (IVC-KPMG 26.10)

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11.2  LEBANON:  A New President for Lebanon

David Schenker wrote in the The Washington Institute PolicyWatch 2719 on 31 October that although filling the long-vacant office could help pull the country out of its political stagnation, Hezbollah and Iran will continue undermining Lebanese state institutions unless the situation next door in Syria changes significantly.

After more than two years without a president in Lebanon, the parliament convened on 31 October and elected Maronite Christian figure Michel Aoun.  The previous president, former Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) chief of staff Michel Suleiman, finished his six-year term in May 2014, but the legislature was unable to reach consensus on his successor due to sectarian divisions (mostly between Sunnis, Shiites, and Christians) and competing foreign alignments (whether with Sunni Saudi Arabia or Shiite Iran).

Aoun has long been a controversial figure in Lebanon.  Once the country’s most anti-Syrian political figure, since 2005 he has been aligned with the Assad regime and its principal ally in Lebanon, the Iranian-backed Shiite militia Hezbollah.  This decision represents a significant victory for the ambitious octogenarian general, but it also suggests new pragmatism among his political opponents – the so-called March 14 coalition, which had opposed his candidacy for a decade.  While many welcome the potential end of political stagnation produced by the presidential vacuum, the key question is whether the agreement to elect Aoun also implies increased Iranian control.

Into Syria’s Arms

As LAF chief of staff at the end of Lebanon’s civil war, General Aoun militarily opposed both Syrian hegemony and the Taif Accord, which ended the conflict but diminished Christian political power.  In 1990, as the Syrians occupied Lebanon, Aoun sought refuge in France; he later returned home in 2005 when the Syrians withdrew, aspiring to be president.  Yet his hopes were dashed when the Sunni, Christian and Druze leaders who made up the pro-West/anti-Syrian March 14 coalition opposed his candidacy.

With his path to office blocked, Aoun’s party – the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM) – signed a memorandum of understanding with Hezbollah in February 2006 establishing a political counterweight to March 14.  The resultant coalition between Aoun’s Christian constituents and Hezbollah is called the March 8 alliance; the general has been reliably aligned with the Shiite group and its Iranian patron ever since.

Once the FPM claimed the most seats among Christian parties in the 2005 and 2009 parliamentary elections, it consistently backed Tehran’s agenda in Lebanon, supported the Assad regime, and became widely viewed as a sectarian actor hostile toward Lebanon’s Sunni community, which comprises approximately 35% of the population.  Yet after two years without a president, the Sunni leader of March 14, Saad Hariri, faced an unpalatable choice between pro-Syrian parliamentarian Sleiman Frangieh and Aoun.  Hariri initially chose Frangieh, but that decision was blocked by his coalition partner Samir Geagea of the Christian party Lebanese Forces, who surprisingly backed his own Christian political rival, Aoun.  Given Geagea’s move and the fallout from the May municipal elections, in which former coalition partner Ashraf Rifi won an insurgent local campaign against his erstwhile allies, Hariri convinced most of his bloc to accept Aoun in a bid to keep March 14 from falling apart.

Hezbollah’s Calculus

While Hezbollah ostensibly backed its political partner Aoun for the post, its behavior toward his candidacy has suggested ambivalence.  Indeed, the militia initially balked at supporting him, and it did not change its mind until weeks after Aoun became a viable candidate.

This indecision was not surprising because Hezbollah benefitted greatly from the political vacuum, which weakened March 14 and gave the militia a freer hand in its military deployments to Syria.  Moreover, now that he has won office, Aoun — who is known for his stubbornness and his maverick, even megalomaniac tendencies — could be hard for Hezbollah to control.  The organization had a bad experience with former president Suleiman, whose candidacy it backed in 2008.  At first, Suleiman proved a reliably pro-Hezbollah president, but he tilted against the militia in his last two years in office.

Hezbollah’s smaller Shiite rival, Amal, has been more openly opposed to Aoun.  The party’s leader, Speaker of the Parliament Nabih Berri, has made his distaste clear – last week he told Aoun, “I am against you and will vote against you,” and he ordered his thirteen-member bloc not to choose the general in today’s balloting.  Perhaps reflecting differences in Shiite opinion, Amal engaged in violent clashes with Hezbollah in recent weeks as Aoun’s candidacy gained steam.

Prospects

To become the president and – in theory at least – national symbol of Lebanon, Aoun had to resign his membership in and leadership of the FPM.  That position has since been awarded to his son-in-law, Gebran Bassil, another controversial figure long mired in corruption scandals and allegations of sectarian incitement.  In the lead-up to the presidential election, Bassil extended an olive branch of sorts, improbably tweeting of his newfound admiration for Lebanon’s “moderate Sunnis.”  Yet Lebanon’s political realities and electoral map remain the same, and Aoun’s election in no way implies dissolution of the FPM’s political alliance with Hezbollah.

For his part, Hariri’s task of convincing his political allies to accept an Aoun presidency was not easy.  Six members of his 33-seat Future Movement bloc in Lebanon’s 128-seat parliament did not support the deal.  More complicated, however, will be the negotiations that lie ahead to determine the composition of the new government.  Hariri consented to Aoun as the least bad among terrible options; in exchange, he anticipates serving as prime minister, and his coalition supports this goal.

Assuming this scenario comes to pass, Hariri will face other challenges as premier.  It will be quite difficult, for example, to accommodate all the competing demands for ministries to be chosen by various players, including Aoun (who will likely insist on naming about a third of the approximately thirty-member cabinet), Hezbollah, the FPM and Hariri’s own ten-party bloc.  Even if he becomes prime minister, there is no guarantee Hariri will serve for long; last time he won the post, he was ousted by March 8 after just two years.

More consequential than the politics, however, will be the new dynamics created by an Aoun presidency.  As mentioned previously, he has been a remarkably divisive figure over the past decade.  After waiting nearly three decades to be president, will he become a unifying national actor, or will he remain a partisan, sectarian nationalist who is sympathetic to Iran’s increasingly influential position in Lebanon?  Precedent suggests little reason for optimism, though there are some within the March 14 camp who believe that Aoun’s advanced age will lead him to avoid fights with his former rivals and instead focus on securing his legacy.  In their view, this could mean helping to solve some of Lebanon’s more vexing economic and environmental problems, particularly the crisis caused by Syrian refugees, who now comprise nearly one-third of the population.

Policy Implications

Thus far, Washington has publicly applauded Aoun’s election and called on the new government to “uphold” its obligations, “including those contained in UN Security Council Resolutions 1559 and 1701,” which emphasize Lebanon’s sovereignty and the need to disarm Hezbollah.  But these admonishments are likely to fall on deaf ears.  Given current realities, Hezbollah will continue to possess a massive arsenal of weapons outside the government’s authority for the foreseeable future.  It will also continue deploying into Syria at will to fight on the Assad regime’s behalf, with or without Beirut’s consent.  To wit, even if Hariri becomes premier, the ministerial statement issued by his government will likely legitimize Hezbollah’s weapons.

For these and other reasons, many in the United States and the region are declaring Aoun’s election a victory for Hezbollah and Iran.  Yet Hariri and his coalition had few alternatives, and it is difficult to imagine an Aoun presidency being worse for March 14 – and U.S. interests – than the ongoing vacuum. Aoun may even surpass the extremely low expectations for his presidency.  Likewise, a Hariri government, if adeptly managed, could revitalize the moribund March 14 coalition, making it a more potent and popular political force.  In any event, Aoun’s departure from the FPM will all but certainly exacerbate the party’s internal divisions and dilute its popular support – a development that over time will benefit March 14.  Most important, the agreement to elect him apparently received Saudi Arabia’s blessing, perhaps spurring Riyadh to reengage in Lebanese politics as a useful counterbalance to Iran.

Finally, while this decision may have ended Lebanon’s prolonged political impasse, significant national challenges remain.  The presidency has limited powers, so filling the office is no panacea.  With or without Aoun, Hezbollah and Iran remain the country’s dominant political actors.  Absent an effective U.S. policy that deals Tehran and its proxies a setback in Syria, Lebanon will remain on the precipice of crisis.

David Schenker is the Aufzien Fellow and director of the Program on Arab Politics at The Washington Institute.  (TWI 31.10)

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11.3  JORDAN:  Jordan ‘BB-/B’ Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Remains Negative

On 21 October, S&P Global Ratings affirmed its ‘BB-/B’ long- and short-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings on the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan.  The outlook is negative.

Rationale

Jordan continues to face enormous pressures from ongoing regional conflicts.  The refugee influx since 2011 has markedly pushed up government expenditures and contributed to rising government debt.  According to the Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees about 630,000 Syrian refugees have registered in Jordan, including approximately 80,000 living in the large Zaatari refugee camp.  Still, most estimates suggest that there is a much larger refugee population in Jordan generally, including refugees from Iraq and Libya.  Furthermore, with slower regional growth because of lower oil prices, the outlook for foreign direct investment (FDI), remittances and other transfers remains uncertain.  In our opinion, the government’s ability to respond to further shocks, absent external support, is tenuous because of its elevated debt burden.  However, we continue to expect that international support for Jordan – for instance through budgetary and non-budgetary grants, concessional lending and donor flows, among other channels – will remain strong, helping to offset these pressures.

Despite its challenging environment, Jordan has preserved relative economic stability.  Real GDP grew on average by 2.7% over 2011-2015.  However, given the 45% increase in Jordan’s population – to 9.5 million in 2015 from 6.7 million in 2011 – we estimate that GDP per capita decreased to $4,000 in 2016 from $4,500 in 2011.  This represents a cumulative reduction of 30% in real terms.

Real GDP growth decelerated to 2.4% in 2015 from 3.1% in 2014, prompted by the closure of a major border with Iraq about halfway through the year.  Jordan exports 16% of its total goods to Iraq.  In the first half of 2016, the economy grew by 2.6% in real terms, supported by the construction, electricity, water, transport and communications sectors, as well as financial services.  We project real GDP growth of 2.8% in 2016 and 3.4% on average in 2016-2019, underpinned by steady consumption growth, new infrastructure developments, and the implementation of projects financed by foreign funds and a relatively resilient financial services sector.  We also expect growth will be supported by reforms aimed at the business sector, developed alongside a fresh program from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).  One possible upside to export growth could come in the form of greater exports to the EU following an agreement in recent months between Jordan and the trade bloc on simplified rules of origin, and another could follow the re-opening of the Iraqi border crossing.  We do not include either of these scenarios in our projections, however.

After the conclusion of the previous standby arrangement in 2015, the IMF executive board approved an extended fund facility (EFF or program) for Jordan in August of this year.  The program will make $723 million (1.8% of estimated 2016 GDP) available to Jordan over three years and aims to support the authorities’ economic and financial reforms under the Vision 2025 program.  One important goal under this program is to reduce public debt while minimizing the fiscal drag of the consolidation effort on the economy and on social spending.  The program aims to achieve this through a mix of revenue- and expenditure-side measures.  On the revenue side, measures include reducing tax exemptions, changing the income tax code, raising corporate tax rates, and lowering the personal income tax exemption, alongside efforts to improve tax administration.  The program also envisages better management of current expenditures, mainly by curbing growth of the public sector wage bill.

Other main reforms relate to restoring NEPCO, the national electricity company, to operational balance.  The legislation and implementation from January 2017 of an automatic tariff adjustment mechanism is one of the preconditions for the completion of the next review under the program and the receipt of the next tranche of funds.  NEPCO has sustained heavy losses – around 5% of GDP annually – since 2011, when disruptions to the supply of relatively cheap gas from Egypt began.  NEPCO borrowed to fund its purchase of costlier diesel fuel supplies in 2012-2013, with a sovereign guarantee.  The government also subsidized the difference between NEPCO’s buying and selling price.  In mid-2013, the government began directly paying NEPCO’s debt-servicing costs.  More recently, NEPCO’s operational losses have dropped substantially after switching back to cheaper liquefied natural gas.  Therefore, pressures on general government finances from this front have abated, for the time being.

We include NEPCO’s debt (nearly 10% of GDP) as part of the general government debt stock, which we estimate at nearly 80% of GDP in 2016.  At the central government level, however, we now estimate gross debt at 92% of GDP.  The difference between the two amounts is explained by the social security sector’s holdings of government paper.  We view this level of debt as a vulnerability in the event of additional shocks.  With the implementation of fiscal reforms under the EFF, we project that the central government deficit will gradually reduce to 4.7% of GDP in 2019 from 6% in 2015, with central government debt decreasing to 88% of GDP in 2019.

Jordan’s current account deficit (CAD) widened to 9.2% of GDP in 2015 from 7.3% in 2014, despite a substantial price reduction in fuel imports.  This was in part due to the closure of a key trade channel with Iraq, which offset these gains, in addition to a reduction in grants.  In the first half of 2016, these factors, alongside falling tourism receipts, contributed to a further widening of the CAD to about 12% of GDP.  Over the rest of the year, we expect that additional official transfers will lower the gap to about 9% of GDP.   However, we anticipate that the CAD will remain elevated in 2016-2019.  We expect the main financing items will likely remain FDI, debt inflows, grants and project lending.  We note that positive errors and omissions (on average 3% over 2013-2015) could well represent unreported FDI and cash inflows, with inflows potentially also including refugees’ assets.

External financing needs remain high (above 100% of current account receipts [CARs]), owing to the large CAD and the high proportion of short-term debt.  Nonresident deposits in the financial sector make up most of the short-term debt.  Although these deposits have continued to increase, and we understand that they mainly relate to the Jordanian diaspora, we view a reversal as a potential risk.  We also note that remittance flows could decline as a result of weaker growth in the Gulf, consequently weighing more negatively on Jordan’s balance of payments.

The Jordanian dinar’s peg to the U.S. dollar supports price stability, although it also limits the central bank’s room for policy maneuver.  Deflation since 2015 mainly relates to lower fuel prices rather than to weak consumption demand.  We expect headline inflation will trend upward over the forecast horizon through 2019.

The September parliamentary elections, the first following electoral reforms in 2015, were largely seen as free and absent government interference.  The elections were based on a system of proportional representation and saw the participation of the Islamic Action Front (IAF), the political arm of the Muslim Brotherhood, which has boycotted the last two elections.  A cabinet has been formed and largely comprises pro-royalists.  We expect no major shifts in the government’s economic or fiscal policy direction.

Given the regional instability affecting Syria and Iraq, and now increasingly affecting Lebanon, we expect international support will remain strong in Jordan because we believe that maintaining its relative stability is an important foreign policy objective for the U.S. and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC; Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates). Illustrating this is the level of grants from the U.S. and the $5 billion GCC Fund (13% of estimated 2016 GDP) intended for project financing, as well as the U.S. guarantee of U.S.-dollar Eurobonds issued in 2013-2015.  We view these commitments to Jordan as an important rating strength.

Outlook

The negative outlook reflects the risks that exogenous factors, such as regional instability, will continue to pose to Jordan’s public and external finances over the next six months.

We could consider lowering the ratings if fiscal or external balances diverge significantly from our expectations, growth is lower than we currently expect, foreign and official funding becomes less forthcoming, or financing needs widen beyond the scope of available external assistance.

We could revise the outlook to stable if Jordan implements key political and structural reforms that support more sustainable economic growth and further ease fiscal and external vulnerabilities, for example, through the IMF program.  We could also consider revising the outlook to stable if we observe a significant improvement in the regional security environment, which could diminish the threat of further shocks.  (S&P 21.10)

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11.4  GCC:  Fitch Says Bank Assets; Saudi, Qatar Most Resilient to Oil Shock

On 19 October 2016, Fitch Ratings said banks in Saudi Arabia and Qatar are better placed than Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) peers to cope with an eventual deterioration in asset quality brought about by a prolonged period of weak oil prices.

Our base case is that GDP will continue to grow in 2017 and 2018 across all GCC countries and we forecast a gradual rise in oil prices to $55 a barrel by 2018.  Nevertheless, we examined the impact of lower for longer oil prices on asset quality across the region and concluded that loss-absorption capacity in the Saudi banking sector ranks highest among GCC countries and that both Saudi Arabia and Qatar would continue to offer the soundest lending opportunities under that scenario, suggesting impaired loan ratios should increase more slowly in these countries than their peers.

The operating environment is a positive ratings factor for banks in Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE.  In our view, business opportunities are strongest in Saudi Arabia and the UAE, reflecting the countries’ larger and more diversified economies.  In Qatar, we are not expecting any significant cuts to government spending and numerous government-sponsored projects continue to provide profitable, low-risk, lending opportunities for banks.

Relative to GCC peers, the operating environment has a neutral impact on bank asset quality in Kuwait, where we expect little change to government spending patterns, while in Oman and Bahrain, it weighs negatively on asset quality reflecting the smaller scale of public-sector spending and indirectly fewer lending opportunities in those countries.

Our loss-absorption capacity assessments hinge on three components.  In the first instance, we analyze existing loan-loss reserve coverage across GCC banking sectors to determine the extent to which excess reserves could be used to cover unexpected losses.  Loan-loss reserves at Kuwaiti banks, for example, represented 260% of impaired loans at end-2015, the highest GCC coverage ratio, and the sector’s excess reserves, which we define as all reserves exceeding 100% of existing impaired loans, were equivalent to 2.5% of total loans on a weighted average basis.  This means that banks could maintain full coverage of impaired loans if impairments grew by this amount.

Secondly, we analyze the ability of banks to build up capital internally from retained earnings. GCC banks are profitable, reflecting high interest margins and low costs, and are capable of generating pre-impairment profits equivalent to at least 2.5% of gross loans each year.  This ratio is a high 3.8% for Saudi banks, followed by 3.6% for UAE peers, signaling a strong ability to write new provisions, if required.

Lastly, we look at the existing amount of excess regulatory capital held by GCC banks. Saudi, UAE and Bahraini banks report regulatory capital ratios far higher than the minimum prudential requirements, with excess amounts respectively equivalent to 8.5% (Saudi Arabia) and 7% (the UAE and Bahrain) of gross loans.  Regulators generally ask banks to hold extra capital buffers and we are not suggesting that GCC banks would operate at minimum capital levels, but we think some of the excess capital could be used to absorb unexpected credit losses if required.

Fitch’s assessment of the resilience of GCC banks’ asset quality also considers concentration risk, exposure to government-related entities and business mix.  (Fitch 19.10)

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11.5  GCC:  Qatar’s Succession Model Could Be a Way Forward

Simon Henderson wrote in TWI PolicyWatch 2716 on 25 October that with most of the leaders of the conservative Arab Gulf states old or in poor health, abdication in favor of a younger generation may invigorate moribund hereditary leaderships, though a one-size-fits-all solution is not feasible.

On 23 October, former Qatari emir Sheikh Khalifa bin Hamad al-Thani died at age eighty-four, closing a chapter of Gulf history.  Back in 1972, Sheikh Khalifa pushed his cousin from power, but was later usurped by his son Hamad in 1995.  This prompted outrage in Qatar’s neighbors, who hated the precedent of a son overthrowing a father.  Then, in 2013, Emir Hamad abdicated in favor of his third-oldest son, Tamim, the first apparently uncontested transition of power in Qatar in a hundred years.  Just thirty-six years old, Tamim has four sons from his three wives, but for now the designated heir apparent is his half-brother, Abdullah.  Additionally, Tamim’s predecessor remains an advisor as “Father Emir,” though the extent of his influence is unclear — some Gulf officials assert that he is still very much in charge.

Whatever the true scope of Qatar’s generational handoff, the country’s succession-by-abdication approach could serve as a template for its neighbors.  Yet historical rivalries between the other members of the Gulf Cooperation Council – Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates, and Oman – may compel them to pursue other paths, or just put off any decision indefinitely.

Saudi Arabia:  Increasingly, the kingdom’s crucial decision maker is seen as thirty-one-year-old Deputy Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman (aka MbS) rather than eighty-year-old King Salman or fifty-seven-year-old Crown Prince Muhammad bin Nayef (aka MbN).  The king, described by the New York Times as suffering from “memory lapses,” is believed to favor MbS, the eldest son of his favorite wife, as his successor.

Making that happen anytime soon would be a challenge, however.  For one thing, Saudi kings traditionally keep going until they drop – King Abdullah died in 2015 at ninety-two and King Fahd was eighty-four when he eventually passed away in 2005, ten years after suffering a debilitating stroke.  Palace politics and rivalries may pose a formidable obstacle as well.  King Salman has already exercised his royal authority to change the crown prince, naming MbN three months after taking the throne, so he could do so again at any time.  Yet whether MbN and the wider royal family would accept MbS being made crown prince or the king abdicating in his favor is debatable, since support for the young prince’s forceful policies as defense minister and economic “visionary” is hardly universal.

Kuwait:  The current emir, Sheikh Sabah al-Ahmed al-Sabah, is eighty-seven, and the crown prince is his half-brother Sheikh Nawaf al-Ahmed al-Jaber al-Sabah (age 79).  Traditionally, succession has flip-flopped between the al-Ahmed and al-Salem branches of the al-Sabah family, but the al-Salem branch is being skipped in the current lineup.  Moreover, Kuwait is unique among Arab Gulf states in that any prospective emir must first win approval from the national assembly, an elected body.  Sheikh Sabah has just dissolved the assembly, and elections will be held in November, reopening the question of whether Sheikh Nawaf will one day win approval.

Bahrain:  Sixty-six-year-old King Hamad’s designated successor is his eldest son, Crown Prince Salman (age 47), but there is speculation that Salman would prefer to be replaced by a younger son, Royal Guard commander Sheikh Nasser (29).  The more crucial impending decision concerns the king’s uncle Sheikh Khalifa bin Salman (80), the long-serving prime minister and manipulator of palace politics. Khalifa and his allies in the Sunni royal family have taken a hardline stance against Bahrain’s Shiite majority population, in contrast with Crown Prince Salman’s embrace of political concessions, so they may see the young Sheikh Nasser as a more pliable future king.

The UAE:  Founded in 1971 by Sheikh Zayed al-Nahyan of Abu Dhabi, the post of president of the confederation is technically elected every five years by the heads of the seven emirates.  When Zayed died in 2004, his son Sheikh Khalifa was “chosen,” but he effectively inherited the role given Abu Dhabi’s oil wealth.  Khalifa has been unwell for many years, however, and suffered a stroke in January 2014.  While decrees are still formally announced in his name, de facto leadership of both Abu Dhabi and the UAE has passed to his half-brother Crown Prince Muhammad bin Zayed (age 55).

Yet it is unclear what will happen once Muhammad bin Zayed becomes the formal ruler — will he want power to go to his sons (Khalid bin Muhammad, the recently appointed chairman of state security, has been mentioned as a possibility) or to his brothers?  Whatever happens, the ruler of Dubai, Sheikh Muhammad bin Rashid al-Maktoum (67), who is notionally the confederation’s vice president, will continue to be sidelined, along with his sons.  Dubai may have the glitz, but Abu Dhabi is the center of power; the other five emirates don’t count.

Oman:  Sultan Qaboos (age 75) is rarely seen in public, and when he appeared at a military parade in November 2015, he was noticeably gaunt and remained seated.  Previously, he spent eight months at a German clinic for treatment of what was believed to be colon cancer.

On 14 October, Foreign Minister Yusuf bin Alawi unconvincingly declared that the sultan was “well” and “in good health.”  He also told a Saudi newspaper that Omani succession was “arranged in a clear way,” and that “people are more worried outside the country than inside.”  Qaboos is no longer married and has no children, so his successor will be decided by the extended royal family.  Three cousins are judged the most likely candidates at present; if the family cannot agree, the sultan has apparently written a letter naming his choice in the event of a deadlock.

Conclusion

Washington’s hopes for strong, accountable leadership in its Gulf allies must be balanced against local preferences, and must avoid any appearance of interference in domestic affairs.  The Qatari example holds promise, although it is just one way forward and cannot apply in all circumstances, it shows that Gulf leaders may be seeking new approaches to historical challenges.

Simon Henderson is the Baker Fellow and director of the Gulf and Energy Policy Program at The Washington Institute.  (TWI 25.10)

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11.6  MOROCCO:  Fitch Affirms Morocco at ‘BBB-‘; Outlook Stable

On 21 October 2016, Fitch Ratings affirmed Morocco’s Long-Term Foreign and Local Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at ‘BBB-‘.  The issue ratings on Morocco’s senior unsecured foreign- and local-currency bonds are also affirmed at ‘BBB-‘. The Outlooks on the Long-Term IDRs are Stable.  The Country Ceiling is affirmed at ‘BBB’ and the Short-Term Foreign- and Local-Currency IDR at ‘F3’.

Key Rating Drivers

Morocco’s ratings reflect economic performance, public finance and external finance metrics in line ‘BBB’ medians and structural features (as reflected in development and governance indicators) that are weaker than peer medians.  The IDRs reflect the following key rating drivers:

External finances have strengthened since 2012, due to a combination of lower oil prices, rising manufactured exports, and resilient remittance inflows.  While Fitch assumes that the current account deficit remains exposed to the oil price recovery, we only expect a moderate widening over the forecast horizon, to 2.6% of GDP in 2018 from 2.2% in 2015, as phosphate and manufactured exports gather pace.

With foreign direct investments (FDI) expected to remain steady at around 2.5% of GDP, net external debt is likely to continue declining gradually while still remaining slightly above peers (9.7% of GDP versus BBB median of 5.4% in 2016).  FX reserves, which are expected to cover more than 6.5 months of current external payments at end-2016, provide a valuable buffer to swings in external accounts, reinforced by the recently renewed precautionary line with the IMF worth $3.5b.

We expect the central government to broadly achieve its fiscal deficit target of 3.5% of GDP in 2016 (down from 4.3% in 2015), driven by a recovery in grants from GCC countries and a decline in the subsidy bill.  This will likely maintain the general government (GG) deficit below 2% of GDP.  Fitch assumes that the authorities’ commitment to further consolidation over our forecast horizon would keep the fiscal deficit below the ‘BBB’ median of 2.7%.

GG debt declined slightly in 2015 to 49.5% of GDP, and is expected to fall further to around 48% by end-2018.  While still above the ‘BBB’ median of 40%, we expect the gap to narrow gradually.  Public debt composition is favorable in Morocco, with a lower interest bill than ‘BBB’ medians and 71% of GG debt issued in local currency.

Despite some volatility in agricultural output, GDP growth has been higher than ‘BBB’ medians over the past five years.  In 2016, real GDP growth is expected to slow to 1.6%, despite stability in non-agricultural output growth (forecast at 3.5%), as drought-affected agricultural output is expected to decline around 10%.  GDP growth will, however, recover to above 3% in 2017.  Medium-term prospects are supported by the development of industrial output and the modest recovery in traditional export markets.

Macro stability has prevailed in Morocco. Inflation, at an expected 1.2% in 2016, is structurally lower and less volatile than ‘BBB’ peers, while the exchange rate has proven stable.  The authorities’ intention to gradually increase exchange rate flexibility could help the country absorb future shocks, and we do not expect significant depreciation of the dirham over the forecast horizon given its current alignment with fundamentals, and the recent strengthening in FX reserves

The recent legislative elections have proceeded smoothly, with the PJD (Parti de la Justice et du Developpement) winning the elections and likely to continue ruling the country in a new coalition.  We expect economic policies to remain stable and predictable, focusing on maintaining macro-stability and consolidating public finances.  Morocco is exposed to terrorist risk though; any terrorist attack could affect macroeconomic performance through the tourism channel.

Development and governance indicators are structurally weaker than ‘BBB’ medians, illustrating weaker debt tolerance than peers and reducing rating upside.  In particular, GDP per capita and human development indicators are lower than ‘BB’ medians.  Exposure to financial shocks is moderate, due to a developed and broadly sound banking sector.

Rating Sensitivities

The Stable Outlook reflects Fitch’s assessment that upside and downside risks to the rating are currently balanced.

The main factors that may, individually or collectively, lead to positive rating action are:

  • -Continued fiscal consolidation and reduction in public debt-to-GDP closer to the ‘BBB’ median
  • -Structural improvement in the current account balance consistent with declining net external debt to GDP
  • -Over the medium term, improvement in development indicators illustrating rising debt tolerance

The main factors that may, individually or collectively, lead to negative rating action are:

  • -A widening of twin deficits, leading to rising public and external debt burdens
  • -A weakening of medium-term growth prospects
  • -Political and security developments that affect macroeconomic performance (Fitch 21.10)

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11.7  TURKEY:  The Brewing Battle Over Coffee in Turkey

Tulay Cetingulec posted in Al-Monitor on 26 October 2016 that Turkish coffee is one of Turkey’s best-known hallmarks abroad.  The coffee beans are not homegrown, but the slow brewing technique, taste, aroma and a history of about 500 years make Turkish coffee special on the world coffee scene.  While it is served in small cups of only several sips, Turkish coffee opens the door to conversations stretching over hours.  It is also a central element in a premarital ceremony, in which the family of the groom-to-be visits the family of the bride-to-be to ask for her hand.  The bride-to-be makes Turkish coffee for the occasion as a first treat for her future in-laws.  To pass the test with flying colors, the coffee has to be brewed on a low flame and have plenty of foam.  Yet if the girl is reluctant to marry her suitor, her coffee may not taste that good, and even salt could replace sugar in the brew!

Turkish coffee is also the first thing served when neighbors visit each other.  After drinking the coffee, they turn the cups upside down onto the saucers to read the residual coffee grounds.  After a while, the cups are opened and imagination begins to speak — upcoming trips, lucky events, money, love or anything about life.

The casual coffee-reading sessions at home have now become a professional sector at coffee shops.  There are even online coffee readers — all you need to do is send a photo of the shapes the coffee residue has formed inside the cup.

In Turkey, there are now plenty of other options for coffee.  Leading international brands such as Starbucks, Gloria Jean’s, Illy, Robert’s, Caffe Nero, Barnie’s, John’s, Lavazza and Schiller’s have opened hundreds of shops across the country since 1999.  A total of 31 local and foreign brands ran 1,178 shops in 2015, and the number is estimated to have exceeded 1,200 this year.  Starbucks alone has more than 200 shops.  A famous coffee brand can be found on almost every big avenue and in every shopping mall.  The coffee shops offer internet connections and often have special tables suitable for studying, which has made them the new meeting place for the young.

Against the well-deserved fame of Turkish coffee, the foreign brands offer various types of filter coffee, often flavored with creams and syrups, such as macchiato, Frappuccino, latte, cappuccino, mocha and Americano, which the young Turks have readily embraced.

According to various sources, the coffee market in Turkey is worth TL 500 million ($162 million), with Turkish coffee accounting for TL 125 million ($40.5 million).  Though the market is growing, coffee consumption remains low compared to Western markets.  In the European Union, for instance, annual coffee consumption is 600 grams per capita, six times bigger than in Turkey.  Yet consumption appears bound to increase, with the coffee market growing an impressive 15% per year.

Encouraged by this outlook, Semih Kurumlu has become one of the latest entrepreneurs to join the Gloria Jean’s chain, which has 60 shops across Turkey.  Kurumlu, whose shop is located in Ankara, told Al-Monitor, “We bring the best-quality coffee from seven regions across the world, brew it and sell it for affordable prices.  We don’t have waiters here.  The clients take their coffee and sit down, and then no one comes to their tables to annoy, asking whether they would like something else.”  Kurumlu said young people prefer the foreign coffee types, while their elders go for Turkish coffee, especially after lunch and dinner.  In Kurumlu’s shop, foreign coffee types account for 80-90% of total sales.  The figures are similar at Starbucks.

In both chains, the shops play only foreign music.  Kurumlu is happy with that.  “I wouldn’t have played local music, even if I was free to do so,” he said.  “Polarization has reached such a level that local music would have been a problem.  Some local musicians are seen as rightists, others as leftists and yet others as Gulenists.  So the best is to play foreign music.”

As the coffee market grew, some entrepreneurial coffee enthusiasts found a practical solution for the arduous brewing technique of Turkish coffee — Turkish coffee machines.  Local companies manufactured the machines, boosting the market share of the local brew.  Plenty of Turkish companies like Beko, Arcelik, Arzum, Vestel and Oztiryakiler are manufacturing Turkish coffee machines today, and foreign manufacturers like Bosch and Conti are said to be gearing up to enter the market.

At Kahve Dunyasi (Coffee World), the largest local chain that boasts more than 200 shops both at home and abroad, the breakdown of consumer preferences is different.  Mehmet Uysal, the manager of a Kahve Dunyasi shop in central Ankara, told Al-Monitor, “In terms of packaged coffee, we sell about 10 kilograms [22 pounds] of filter and instant coffee per day and a similar amount of Turkish coffee.”  He added that about one-third of sit-down clients ask for Turkish coffee.  At Kahve Dunyasi, buyers of the traditional brew are treated with free chocolate and water, which is an important factor boosting the sales.

And what are the consumers saying?  Fahrettin Asik, a sexagenarian, told Al-Monitor he turned to filter coffee upon advice that it was reduces the risk of Alzheimer’s disease.  Sahin Aldanmaz said he got accustomed to Colombian coffee because he liked its aroma and strength.  Coffee is now an “indispensable” part of his daily life, he added.

The boom in the coffee sector has attracted local chains to the market, as well.  Turkish brands such as Kahve Diyari, Cafe Crown and Coffeemania have followed in the steps of local leader Kahve Dunyasi, whose supply of coffee beans comes from a special Brazilian farm catering only to the Turkish company’s needs.  Kahve Dunyasi founder Birol Altinkilic noted that consumption in the Turkish coffee market has grown from 6 tons to 38,000 tons per year in a matter of years.

Traveling in Europe about 15 years ago, I was surprised to discover that homeless people asked for money for “a cup of coffee” rather than for “a piece of bread,” as they would do in my country.  Today, I can relate to them, having become a “coffee addict” who hardly goes a day without the drink.  Given that 78% of Turks have become coffee drinkers, similar entreaties could be soon heard in the Turkish streets as well.  (Al Monitor 26.10)

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11.8  CYPRUS:  Fitch Upgrades Cyprus to ‘BB-‘; Outlook Positive

On 21 October 2016, Fitch Ratings upgraded Cyprus’s Long-term foreign and local currency Issue Default Ratings (IDRs) by one notch to ‘BB-‘ from ‘B+’.  The issue ratings on Cyprus’s senior unsecured foreign and local-currency bonds have also been upgraded to ‘BB-‘ from ‘B+’.  The Outlooks on the long-term IDRs are Positive.  The Country Ceiling has been upgraded to ‘BBB-‘ from ‘BB+’ and the short-term foreign and local currency IDRs have been affirmed at ‘B’.

Key Rating Drivers

The upgrade of Cyprus’s IDRs reflects the following key rating drivers and their relative weights:

Medium:  Cyprus is continuing to make strong progress in its adjustment following the 2013 banking crisis. Its exit from the EU and IMF program in March took place in a context of outperformance of fiscal and economic program targets, success at lifting capital controls, and steps taken to restructure the banking sector.

The economic recovery, now into its second year, is supporting employment, bank asset quality adjustment, and public finances.  Fitch is projecting GDP growth of 2.9% in 2016 (from 1.9% projected a year earlier).  A strong H1/16 outturn was supported by private consumption and investment, and reflected broad based growth across industries, most notably in tourism.  Unemployment reached 12.1% in Q2/16, from 14.9% in 2015.  For 2017-2018, GDP growth of around 2.5% will benefit from an expected increase in foreign direct investment.  Downside risks to the outlook stem from banking sector deleveraging and the weak external environment.

The banking sector is gradually strengthening, evident in the pick-up in deposits and stable capitalization.  Deleveraging is ongoing, with overall sector assets down to 3.7x GDP in June 2016 from almost 6x in 2009.  The Bank of Cyprus (placed into resolution in 2013 and recapitalized partly through a bail-in of depositors) has reduced its reliance on emergency liquidity assistance, to €1.5b by August 2016 from over €11b in April 2013.  The property sector remains illiquid but prices seem to be stabilizing at around 30% below their 2008 peak.

Strengthened supervision, management and regulations are helping to slowly reduce the exceptionally large stock of non-performing exposures (NPEs) at 48% of total loans.  The new foreclosure framework is in the initial phases of implementation.  The stock of NPEs has declined slightly to €25b as of August 2016 from €28.4b a year earlier.  The volume of new restructurings is also increasing, albeit from a low level.  In April 2016, Fitch upgraded the IDRs of Bank of Cyprus (48% share of gross lending) to ‘B-‘ from ‘CCC’ and Hellenic Bank to ‘B’ from ‘B-‘, with stable outlooks for the two banks.

A strong track record of fiscal policy management provides confidence that authorities will remain committed to government debt reduction in line with fiscal targets.  The budget is close to balance, although the 2017 budget includes tax relief measures that will widen the deficit, based on government projections, to 0.6% of GDP in 2017 from 0.3% in 2016 (vs. modest surpluses previously projected).  Fitch projects government debt to decline to just over 100% of GDP by 2018 (still more than twice the projected ‘BB’ peer median) from a peak of 108.9% in 2015.

The financing position and outlook are favorable.  Debt financing operations have contributed to the government’s cash position, expected by authorities at end 2016 to exceed financing needs until 2017.  Cyprus’s first post-program market issuance in July (representing the fourth issuance since entering the bailout program in 2013) was priced at the lowest coupon rate achieved by Cyprus for a euro benchmark bond.  The seven-year 3.75% €1b bond was realized without support from the European Central Bank’s bond-buying scheme.

Cyprus’ ‘BB-‘ IDRs also reflect the following key rating drivers:

Banks remain fundamentally weak and pose an ongoing risk to economic stability.  Despite a fall in the stock of NPEs, the ratio of NPEs to total loans stood at 48% in August 2016, still the highest of all Fitch-rated sovereigns and up from 45% at end-2015.  Excluding overseas branches and subsidiaries, the ratio is even higher, at 57%.  With provisioning coverage of NPEs at 38.5%, unreserved problem loans, represented by gross NPEs minus system-wide reserves, stood at €15.4b (87% of GDP) from €16.8b (97% of GDP) at end 2015.

Net external debt (NXD) is exceptionally high at 139% of GDP at end-2015 compared with the ‘BB’ range median of 16%, reflecting a highly indebted private as well as public sector.  The NXD figure has been revised up by over 70%age points of GDP following the shift of external statistics compilation to the BPM6 framework in June 2014, owing to the inclusion of capital-intensive ship-owners as Cypriot economic units irrespective of the location of their activities.

Cyprus is still running a sizeable current account deficit, which implies that further economic rebalancing may be required over the medium term.  It was 3.7% of GDP in 2015, albeit down from over 15% in 2008.  Fitch has revised up its current account deficit projections to around 4.3% of GDP for the period of 2016-2018, reflecting an increase in consumption led imports registered in H1/16 and expected to continue in the forecast period.

Negotiations for a deal between Greek and Turkish Cypriots to reunify the island are underway.  The likelihood of success and the terms of a potential deal remain uncertain.  A deal would benefit both sides in the long term by boosting the economy, but would entail short-term costs and uncertainties.

Focus on reaching an agreement could divert political capital away from structural reform implementation, where progress to-date has been mixed.  The improved economy and exit from bailout program could reduce the urgency for reform.  Additionally, municipal elections in December, and presidential elections in 2018, could further delay progress in politically sensitive areas, including public administration reform and the telecom company privatization.

Fitch judges the impact of Brexit on Cyprus, which is most directly exposed to the UK through tourism (39% share of arrivals), to be moderated by positive developments in the sector including diversification into other markets and the extension of the tourism season.  Advance bookings from the UK suggest no slowdown for 2017.

Cyprus’s rating is supported by a high level of GDP per capita, strong governance indicators and a favorable business climate relative to BB range peers.

Rating Sensitivities

Future developments that may, individually or collectively, lead to an upgrade include:

– Marked improvement in overall asset quality of the banking sector

– Further track record of economic recovery and reduction in private sector indebtedness

– Decline in the government debt to GDP ratio

– Narrowing of the current account deficit and reduction in external indebtedness

– A sustained track record of capital market access at affordable rates

The Outlook is Positive. Consequently, Fitch does not currently anticipate developments with a high likelihood of leading to a downgrade. However, future developments that may, individually or collectively, lead to a negative rating action include:

– Failure to improve asset quality in the banking sector

– Deterioration of budget balances or materialization of contingent liabilities resulting in a stalling in the decline in government debt to GDP

– A return to recession or deflation

– A loss of capital market access.

Key Assumptions

In its debt sensitivity analysis, Fitch assumes a primary surplus averaging 2% of GDP, trend real GDP growth averaging 2%, an average effective interest rate of 3.4% and GDP deflator inflation of 1.2%.  On the basis of these assumptions, the debt-to-GDP ratio would have peaked at almost 109% in 2015, and will edge down slowly to around 90% by 2025.

Gross debt-reducing operations such as future privatizations are not considered in the Fitch debt dynamics.  Our projections also do not include the impact on growth of potential future gas reserves off the southern shores of Cyprus, the benefits from which are several years into the future, although now less speculative.  (Fitch 21.10)

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The Fortnightly newsletter is a free service of Atid, EDI. We are a team of economic and trade development consultants, headquartered in Jerusalem, but active throughout the region and beyond. EDI works with an international clientele interested in identifying and researching business opportunities in the region. We also serve as the regional representative offices for a number of U.S. states and bilateral Chambers of Commerce, as well as European clients.

The post Fortnightly, 2 November 2016 appeared first on Atid EDI.

American Trade Newsletter #133

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AMERICAN TRADE NEWSLETTER
Office of International Business Development
Middle East Regional Office
Tel:  +1.917.338.4911
Email: seth.vogelman@atid-edi.com

American Trade Newsletter #133 –
November 2016

To:       Regional Importers

From:   Mr. Seth J. Vogelman, Director

Date:    6 November 2016

Re:       American Trade Newsletter #133 – November 2016

American Trade Newsletter #133 features companies and products from our client states of Delaware and Pennsylvania.  All are looking for agents, representation or distribution in the region.

(1436)  Novel Membrane-Based System to Dewater Lubricating Oil
(1437)  Line of Natural OTC pharmaceuticals and nutritional products
(1438)  Enhanced eBooks for Children Learning English

(1439)  Pneumatic Controls for the Compressed Air Industry
(1440)  Water & Wastewater Treatment Systems
(1441)  Specialty Cements & Corrosion-Resistant Materials for Construction
(1442)  International Mobile TopUp, Remote Bill Pay & Prepaid Vouchers
(1443)  Phosphor Copper & Copper Base Master Alloys

►To receive additional information about these companies, please contact our office. 

Please send us your complete company details when asking for information on the American firms.  This will help us to have the US company to reply to you in a fast and efficient manner.

DELAWARE:

(1436) CMS is an advanced materials company, developing state of the art membrane technology and products for use in a variety of industrial applications.  CMS technology consists of a compact novel membrane-based system to dewater lubricating oil in real time.  Demonstrated in industrial environments, it removes virtually 100% of free and emulsified water and reduce dissolved water to well below 100 ppm.  The CMS system maintains extremely low moisture levels, working inline or in batch mode while equipment is resting.

(1437)  DNH combines Medicine with Natural Healing to offer a number of cost-effective healthcare products.  They manufacture a range of pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and nutritional products, specializing in consumer healthcare and nutritional markets with products for OTC (over-the-counter) and prescription (Rx) pharmaceuticals for Asthma, Diabetes, Sinusitis, Rhinitis, feminine hygiene, allergy, cold/virus and other respiratory related diseases; baby formulas, multivitamins and Ez-Mix-in nutritional products.

(1438)  SKC provides digital subscriptions to a library of enhanced eBooks for children, parents and schools to provide new, interactive educational content in English that encourages reading and learning among kids 1 to 11 years old.  SKC offers subscriptions to an extremely affordable collection of +400 eBooks and interactive resources that can be accessed safely offline on mobile devices for anytime, anywhere reading and learning.  The read-along feature, which can be used in all of our books, helps kids learn the correct pronunciations of English words.  SKC is committed to helping raise the education level of kids through their contemporary, high-quality content; comprehension quizzes; and play activities like word searches, hangman and doodles.

PENNSYLVANIA:

(1439)  CV is a leader in design and manufacture of pneumatic controls for the compressed air industry.  Over the years, they have met the needs of compressor manufacturers and distributors around the world.  These controls include pilot valves, unloader valves, check valves, throttle controls, safety valves and discharge valves for the reciprocating compressor market.  Controls for the Rotary screw compressor market include minimum pressure valves, blow down valves, regulator valves, inlet controls, and shuttle valves.  CV also performs custom work and value added projects for various compressor manufacturers.  CV is searching for agents or distributors in the region.

(1440) CFI specializes in state of the art water & wastewater treatment systems with proven technologies that meet the most stringent environmental regulations.  CFI treatment systems have been installed successfully in a variety of applications around the world, handling flows from 500 gallons per day (1.89 m3/day) up to 650,000 gallons per day (2460.6 m3/day) removing pollutants such as BOD, TSS, FOG, Nitrogen and Phosphorus.  CFI also offers a line of Rain Harvesting systems and cistern tanks to help meet the demanding need for water worldwide.  With over 22,000 installations, CFI will continue to provide water and wastewater treatment with the best equipment and continued R&D to meet the ever changing regulatory demands.

(1441) Founded in 1899, SR is one of the world’s leading manufacturers of specialty cements and corrosion-resistant materials for construction.  SR offers a comprehensive selection of corrosion-resistant materials that protect concrete or steel for new construction and restoration applications.  SR also manufactures a diverse line of electrically insulating, thermally conductive, inorganic cements.  Offering continuous high-temperature service to 3000oF and dielectric strengths surpassing 100 volts/mil; they are particularly well-suited for electrical and general assembly, embedding, insulating, sealing, coating and potting.  Ceramic-based cements, such as those with inorganic fillers and silicate, phosphate, or calcium aluminate binder systems, are superior to organic materials.  (NOT Israel)

(1442)  GT is a Value Transfer service provider that offers International Mobile TopUp, Remote Bill Pay and Prepaid vouchers covering more than 135 countries around the world.  GT aim is to provide universal access for all of our customers, banked and unbanked, to their large and ever-growing variety of prepaid products.  Their low transaction fees and easy to use web portal provide their users a cost effective and convenient alternative to costly money transfer options.  Looking for agents, partners and re-sellers.

(1443)  MPC is a high quality manufacturer of phosphor copper and copper base master alloys, supplying to the copper and brass melting industry throughout the world.  Phosphor copper is their main product and is a specialty metal alloy used by companies that melt copper and brass.  Phosphor copper customers are copper tube manufacturers, brass mills, brazing rod manufacturers, brass ingot manufacturers, foundries and copper powder manufacturers.  In the copper and brass melting industry, it is standard and necessary practice to use phosphor copper for three primary purposes: (1) as a deoxidizer; (2) as an alloying additive that increases strength, hardness and elasticity; and (3) in brazing alloys to lower the melting point and improve wetting characteristics.

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In order to receive additional information about any of these inquiries, please contact our office.

You are also invited to send us product requests, for we can also attempt to source virtually any product from American manufacturers.  We request you provide as many specifications as possible, for this will facilitate our search for you.  This service is also free of charge concerning our American client states.

If you should have any further questions, or if we may be of any additional assistance, please feel free to contact our office at Tel: +917.338.4911 or at e.mail:  seth.vogelman@atid-edi.com.

Best Regards.

The post American Trade Newsletter #133 appeared first on Atid EDI.

Fortnightly, 16 November 2016

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FortnightlyReport

16 November 2016
15 Cheshvan 5777
16 Safar 1438

TOP STORIES

TABLE OF CONTENTS:

 1: ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Bill Limiting Access to Online Pornography Passes Preliminary Reading
1.2  Haifa Plans for 55,000 More Residents By 2025

2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Mayors of Montréal & Toronto Joint Economic Mission to Israel
2.2  Daimler to Open R&D Center in Israel
2.3  IAI Signs a Strategic Cyber Deal in Asia Worth $15 Million
2.4  Tailor Brands Raises $4 Million
2.5  Israeli Police Receive Advanced Helicopters
2.6  Social Network Wisdom Company Feelter Raises $4 Million
2.7  TripAdvisor Invests in Israeli Social Dining Company EatWith
2.8  Cargo Trains Begin Operating on Jezreel Valley Line
2.9  Delek Wins Canadian Exploration License
2.10  TAU, Microsoft & GE Set Up $20 Million IoT Fund
2.11  Intel Inaugurates New Israel Production Line
2.12  Inomize and Verisense to Merge
2.13  SeaLights Moves from Stealth to Beta Mode with $11 Million in Funding to Modernize Testing

 3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Soraa Modernizes Lighting at Iconic Nicolas Sursock Museum in Lebanon
3.2  Innovus Pharma Signs Exclusive Agreement with Elis Pharmaceuticals for Zestra in Lebanon
3.3  Driverless Cars’ Test Run Begins in Dubai’s Business Bay
3.4  Saudi Car Insurance Prices Said to Surge 400%

 4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  BIRD Energy to invest $4 Million in Cooperative Israeli-U.S. Clean Energy Projects
4.2  Japanese Firm Seeks to Conquer Morocco’s Solar Energy Industry
4.3  Morocco Reveals the World’s First Electric Pickup Truck

5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Moody’s & Fitch Expect Positive Prospects for Lebanon after Presidential Elections
5.2  Lebanon’s Trade Deficit Grows to $11.94 Billion by September 2016
5.3  Lebanon’s Tourist Arrivals Increase in September 2016
5.4  October Sees Further Contraction of Lebanese Private Sector Economy
5.5  Jordan Receives €160 Million German grant to Support Kingdom’s Water Sector
5.6  Largest Number of Jordanians Ever Studying in US

♦♦Arabian Gulf

5.7  Oman Government Budget Deficit Grows to $11.4 Billion

5.8  Central Bank Says Saudi GDP to Grow by 1.8% this Year

♦♦North Africa

5.9  Egypt’s Central Bank Floats Pound, Reports Historic Foreign Currency Auction
5.10  Egypt’s Central Bank Floats Pound, Reports Historic Foreign Currency Auction

6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkey’s Annual Inflation Eases for Second Month in October
6.2  Turkish Trade Deficit Widens in October
6.3  Turkey May Make Further Tax Cuts to Boost Flagging Growth
6.4  Unemployment in Turkey rises to 11.3% in August
6.5  Auto Sales in Turkey Rise Almost 30% in October
6.6  Cyprus’ Deflation Rate Accelerates to 1.2% in October
6.7  Cyprus’ Registered Unemployed Figure Drops to 33,706 in October

7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

♦♦Israel

7.1  Mortality Rate for Premature Babies in Israel Drops by 7.6% Since 1995
7.2  Japan Awards Two Israelis “Order of the Rising Sun”

♦♦Regional

7.3  Hariri Named Lebanese Prime Minister Despite Hezbollah’s Abstention
7.4  Prince Turki – Brother of Saudi’s King Salman – Passes Away

8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  Amgen To Invest In Israel-Based eHealth Ventures
8.2  NRGene & Kazusa DNA Institute Reveal Complex Genome of Strawberry Using Illumina Data
8.3  Nutrinia Announces First Patient Enrolled in Phase III Trial
8.4  OWC Pharmaceutical Research Corp Signs Investment and JV with Michepro Holdings
8.5  Kedrion & Kamada Achieve FDA Acceptance of BLA for Human Rabies Immunoglobulin
8.6  Teva Announces Approval of Generic Tribenzor in the United States
8.7  PolyPid Raises $5.3 Million
8.8  RHӦN-Innovations Makes an Investment in Inovytec

9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  LightCyber Increases Precision of Behavioral Attack Detection with Added VPN Granularity
9.2  BioCatch Launches Next-Generation Behavioral Biometrics Platform for Enterprises
9.3  OriginGPS’ New Analytic Sensor is a Game Changer for IoT Tracking Applications
9.4  Connect One Introduces Pico WiReach IoT Wi-Fi Module
9.5  ECI Provides 400G Optical Backbone Demonstration for SC16 SCinet
9.6  BroadSoft Japan KK Deploys AudioCodes Business Connectivity Solution
9.7  Mellanox Announces 200Gb/s HDR InfiniBand Solutions Enabling Record Levels of Performance
9.8  Elbit Systems Reveals ReDrone – An Advanced Anti-Drone Protection & Neutralization System

10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Jerusalem Drops In Municipal Socio-Economic Ratings
10.2  New Car Deliveries in Israel Down in October

11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  ISRAEL: Fitch Upgrades Israel to ‘A+’; Outlook Stable
11.2  ISRAEL: Private Equity Investment in Israel Jumps
11.3  LEBANON: Lebanon Ends Presidential Deadlock; Lasting Consensus Ke
11.4  LEBANON: Christian Consolidation and Lebanon’s Political Puzzle
11.5  LEBANON: How Aoun Rose From ’90s Renegade to Lebanon’s New President
11.6  JORDAN: How Jordan Survives: Part 1
11.7  OMAN: Sultanate of Oman Outlook Revised To Negative; Ratings Affirmed At ‘BBB-/A-3
11.8  SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Economy Avoids Crisis But Outlook Murky For Deficit & Growth
11.9  EGYPT: IMF Executive Board Approves $12 billion Extended Arrangement for Egypt
11.10  EGYPT: If You’re Going Through Hell, Keep Going – A Guide to Egypt’s Free Float Pound
11.11  EGYPT: Egypt and Israel’s Growing Economic Cooperation
11.12  EGYPT: Fitch Says Egypt FX Move Positive; Policy Challenges Ahead
11.13  TUNISIA: IMF Publishes Fiscal Transparency Evaluation for Tunisia
11.14  TURKEY: Outlook Revised to Stable on Gradual Implementation of Economic Reforms
11.15  TURKEY: Concluding Statement of the IMF 2017 Article IV Mission
11.16  TURKEY: Could Megaprojects Spell Mega Trouble for Turkey’s Economy?
11.17  GREECE: The Charm Wears Off Tsipras – Caught Between EU and Voter Demands

1:  ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Bill Limiting Access to Online Pornography Passes Preliminary Reading

The Knesset on 2 November approved by a 50-16 margin the first reading of the controversial “porn bill” that requires Israeli internet service providers to block access to pornographic websites.  The bill, sponsored by Habayit Hayehudi MK Shuli Mualem-Rafaeli, was approved by the Ministerial Committee for Legislation after undergoing changes to resolve issues of personal freedom and censorship.  According to the revised bill, internet service providers will be required to inform customers of the option to receive filtered content.  The original bill would have forced providers to block online pornography websites as a default setting that could only be removed if the customers made a specific request and proved they are over the age of 18.  Proponents of the bill said that 60% of children between the ages of 9 and 15 browse pornographic sites, exposing them to online sexual predators.  (IH 03.11)

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1.2  Haifa Plans for 55,000 More Residents By 2025

The Haifa District Planning and Building Committee has decided to approve a new outline plan for the city of Haifa.  The plan’s target for 2025 is 330,000 residents, 55,000 more than the city has at present.  Among other things, the plan includes a new main downtown business center, an employment center in Haifa Bay, building and renovation of public buildings, hubs of higher education, tourism, culture, commerce, leisure and homes, and also relates to the city’s seafront.  In terms of residential construction, several large plans are currently being promoted in Haifa.  Some of them are undergoing a statutory process, such as the plan for 4,500 homes in Haifa’s southern entrance, which will be discussed before being deposited for objections in November and Gurel Hill, a plan for 2,000 homes which has already been deposited and transferred to the handling of objections’ investigator.  There are also several plans being promoted in the Local Committee which connect Haifa’s southern entrance, on the plain, with the Gurel Hill, above it.

In terms of green areas, the plan validates the Lower Kishon Park, an area currently zoned for industry and leased to the Israel Ports Company.  In a deposited plan 586 dunams (about 145 acres) were designated for the park.  It is included in the outline plan following the decision of the Subcommittee on Principle Planning Matters, although a large area was taken out of the plan and will be handled in a National Outline Plan.  Maintaining the park area is vital, since the remaining area between Haifa and the Haifa Bay will be used for port needs in the future, following the development of Haifa Port.  (Globes 08.11)

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2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Mayors of Montréal & Toronto Joint Economic Mission to Israel

The Mayor of Montréal, Denis Coderre, and the Mayor of Toronto, John Tory, led a joint economic mission to Israel from 13 to 18 November.  This historic cooperation, which was organized jointly by the Ville de Montréal, the Chamber of Commerce of Metropolitan Montreal, Montréal International, the City of Toronto and the Toronto Region Board of Trade (BOT), is in keeping with the commitment of the mayors of the country’s two largest cities to join forces and become more competitive on the international scene.  The mayors, accompanied by 120 Montréal and Toronto entrepreneurs, business people and representatives of institutional and community organizations, visited Tel Aviv, Jerusalem and Beer Sheva, as well as Ramallah and Bethlehem.  This mission also took place as part of the 4th International HLS & Cyber 2016 Conference on physical and cyber security, and the 31st International Conference of Mayors, organized by the Israel Ministry of Foreign Affairs.  The mayors were accompanies by British Columbia Finance Minister Michael de Jong, who aimed to strengthen intergovernmental relationships, with a focus on the life sciences and cyber security sectors.

Since the Canada-Israel Free Trade Agreement came into force in 1997, the value of trade in goods between the two countries has tripled, reaching $1.5 billion in 2014.  In 2015, the leading merchandise exports from Canada to Israel were valued at $342 million.  (CNW Telbec 09.11)

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2.2  Daimler to Open R&D Center in Israel

On 7 November, German automotive corporation Daimler AG, Mercedes-Benz’s parent company, announced plans to set up a new research and development center in Israel.  The center, which will be built in Tel Aviv, joins the conglomerate’s R&D network, which includes sites in the U.S., Germany, India and China.  The Tel Aviv center will focus on car mobility and information services, in addition to the development and testing of various projects and user interfaces.  The new technology center in Tel Aviv seeks to boost the global R&D outline with the help of Israel.  The Israeli center will support the company’s digital ventures, as well as head the development of various interface testing, as the company seeks to foster strategic partnerships with publishers, universities and local technology companies.  (Various 09.11)

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2.3  IAI Signs a Strategic Cyber Deal in Asia Worth $15 Million

 Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) signed a significant contract worth $15 million for a cyber-intelligence system with a customer in Asia.  The contract is for an advanced, national level, strategic cyber solution, which combines cellular systems and cyber and includes establishing an intelligence center and infrastructure and providing unique sensors.  The contract will be executed by one of ELTA/IAI’s cyber subsidiaries and development centers.

Cyber security is a strategic sector and core competency for IAI.  The company is developing unique cyber solutions for intelligence, protection, monitoring, identification and accessibility.  These advanced capabilities are possible due to the innovative technologies developed by IAI’s research, development and excellence centers, offering IAI’s customers a wide range of capabilities for dealing with evolving and ever growing cyber threats.  IAI leads the Israel Cyber Company Consortium (IC3), which offers end-to-end solutions for national cyber systems and is comprised of leading Israel cyber companies.

Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) is a globally recognized leader in the development and production of systems for the defense and commercial markets.  IAI offers unique solutions for a broad spectrum of requirements in space, air, land, sea and cyber.  (IAI 02.11)

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2.4  Tailor Brands Raises $4 Million

Israeli machine learning branding startup Tailor Brands has closed a $4 million financing round led by Mangrove Capital Partners, together with Disruptive Technologies L.P who had led the company’s seed round.  Tailor Brands has raised $5.1 million to date including the latest funding.  Tailor Brands is the only fully automated branding agency working with over 500,000 businesses worldwide.  The company uses machine learning and pattern recognition to instantly design anything from logos to full ad set campaigns for affordable prices.

Tel Aviv’s Tailor Brands is putting an in-house designer in every business across the world.  Great designs help create great brands – and great brands help companies stand out from the clutter.  However, great designs are not just about creating a good logo, they are about creating the right logo – that is why they created Tailor Brands.  Tailor Brands is the next generation branding firm.  They work with small and local businesses to create complete brand identities and allows anyone to enjoy the privilege of a branding agency for a tenth of the market price and a process of just 20 minutes.  (Globes 07.11)

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2.5  Israeli Police Receive Advanced Helicopters

Six of the most advanced helicopters in the world will be joining the Israeli Police over the next few months.  The new helicopters were symbolically presented to Operations Division Commander Alon Levavi at a ceremony in Dallas, Texas on 3 November.  The transport of the helicopters to Israel will be carried out in phases over the coming months.  The new helicopters are meant to replace the Israel Police’s aging fleet of Bell 206 helicopters, a design which dates back to the 1960s.  The first four of the new helicopters Israel will receive will be of the single-engine H125 model.  According to Airbus Helicopters, the H125 “outclasses all other single-engine helicopters for performance, versatility, safety, low maintenance, and low acquisition costs, while excelling in high & hot and extreme environments.”  In mid-2017 Israel receive the final two helicopters, which will be twin engine models.  Israeli defense electronic company Elbit Systems (ESLT), backed the purchase of the helicopters for $115 million.  ESLT will also be tasked with maintaining and improving the helicopters as needed.  (Various 06.11)

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2.6  Social Network Wisdom Company Feelter Raises $4 Million

Israeli social network wisdom company Feelter has closed a $4 million financing round.  Feelter said that it is conducting several pilots and collaborations with leading companies such as El Al Israel Airlines, Cdiscount and Bookingisrael.  The company intends to use the funds raised to establish its US HQ and hire seven additional employees, four of them for the Tel Aviv-based development team.

Tel Aviv’s FEELTER is nothing short of an earthquake in the e-commerce market.  It is an engine bridging the worlds of social networking world e-commerce in an unprecedented manner.  Founded in 2014, the company has developed an algorithm capable of analyzing text from numerous online conversations in real time.  The analysis enables a filtering of information relevant to the content and to the question asked; for example: a businessman looking for a hotel will focus on different things than a family with children.  FEELTER then scans all texts, sorts threw and disposes spam, adware and other suspicious content, and analyzes the sentiment of every reference post and status on each network, blog, or forum – all of this with 87% accuracy.  This process – of locating, extracting, filtering, sorting and analyzing sentiments and testing the quality of results – is so revolutionary that the company has applied for a patent in the US.  (Globes 07.11)

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2.7  TripAdvisor Invests in Israeli Social Dining Company EatWith

EatWith has closed a new financing round led by TripAdvisor and with participation from Greylock Partners.  The amount of funding was not disclosed.  GreyLock Partners led EatWith’s previous financing round in which it raised $8 million in 2014.  EatWith will also team with TripAdvisor so that its pages will include the option of “dining with a local chef.”  The new social dining options on TripAdvisor will also feature candid traveler reviews and photos to help travelers shop for the right experience for their trip.  The EatWith integration will begin rolling out today on the TripAdvisor desktop site in all countries where TripAdvisor operates, and will support 10 cities at launch.  A rollout to TripAdvisor mobile and additional markets will follow.  This latest investment will support EatWith’s global growth and expansion as the company continues its mission of connecting people around the world through unique dining experiences.

Tel Aviv’s EatWith combines the social nature of eating out with the comfort of a home-cooked meal.  Founded in 2012, EatWith now has more than 500 hosts on the platform who have broken bread with tens of thousands of guests in more than 30 countries and 160 cities worldwide.  The company opened new headquarters in San Francisco and received $8 million in funding from Greylock Partners, Genesis Partners, and additional angel investors.  (Various 03.11)

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2.8  Cargo Trains Begin Operating on Jezreel Valley Line

Cargo trains have begun operating on Israel Railways’ new Jezreel Valley railway line between Haifa and Beit Shean.  A temporary cargo terminal at Beit Shean is being used, but in the future a larger terminal will be built at Kibbutz Sde Nachum.  From the terminal, cargo will be taken to the nearby Jordanian border.  The line improves the link between the Mediterranean and Jordan and from there to the Arabian Gulf and will complete a sea transport lane surrounding the Arab peninsula.  In its first three weeks of operation 100,000 passengers had already traveled on the five stations of the Jezreel Valley line – Haifa, Yokneam, Migdal Ha’Emek, Afula and Beit Shean.  Travel is free until the end of the year and fares will be half price for the two years after that.  The line cost NIS 4 billion to build and includes 26 bridges and three tunnels.  (Globes 08.11)

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2.9  Delek Wins Canadian Exploration License

Israeli energy company Delek Group has won a tender for an oil and gas exploration license off Canada’s eastern seaboard.  The bid was part of Delek’s strategy to geographically diversify its operations.  Delek will hold 70% of the license together with Navitas Petroleum, which will hold the remaining 30%.  The exploration rights are for Block 7, covering 2,000 square kilometers in water 1,400 meters deep.  The exploration target is estimated to be 4,500 meters beneath sea level and Delek and Navitas will invest $36 million in the endeavor.  The geological potential of the West Orphan basin in which Block 7 is located is estimated 25 billion barrels of oil and 20 trillion cubic feet of natural gas (for comparison Leviathan contains 21 trillion cubic feet of gas).  This is according to an estimate by the Newfoundland provincial government.  The license is valid for six years with an option to extend.  (Globes 10.11)

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2.10  TAU, Microsoft & GE Set Up $20 Million IoT Fund

International technology giants General Electric, Microsoft, Qualcomm, Tata and the Chinese company HNA EcoTech will collaborate with Tel Aviv University and Pitango Venture Capital to establish an investment vehicle for Israeli Internet of things (IoT) projects.  The new fund was unveiled at the IoT Summit 2016, which was held on Tel Aviv University campus on 15 November.  The Fund, called “Israel IoT Innovations – i3 Equity Partners” has been launched with an initial investment of $20 million.

The i3 funding will provide three to five high-potential seed and pre-seed startups annually with a financial investment of up to $1 million each.  Selected companies will also benefit from technology, tools, mentoring, business development and office space on the TAU campus, as well as from the support of the multinational corporations for technology validation, design, proof-of-concept, later-stage investments, and ultimately, the purchase of mature technologies and their distribution in high-potential markets including China and India.  (Globes 14.11)

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2.11  Intel Inaugurates New Israel Production Line

On 15 November, Prime Minister Netanyahu visited the Intel plant in Kiryat Gat to inaugurate its new production line, which employs new chip production technology.  The upgrade of machinery in this project had cost $6 billion, including a $300 million government grant.  PM Netanyahu met with company employees and managers and visited the clean room where chips are produced.  The prime minister also examined efforts to upgrade production lines at the plant, which will enable chip production using some of the world’s cutting edge technology.  Intel has invested over $17 billion in Israel and, over the next decade, is expected to purchase goods and services totaling NIS 18.7 billion in Israel.  (Globes 14.11)

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2.12  Inomize and Verisense to Merge

Inomize and Verisense announced that they are at the final stages of entering into a definitive equity merger agreement under which Inomize and Verisense, both Israeli-based ASIC Design Houses will create a leading worldwide company providing ASIC, FPGA, and system design services to a broad base of customers.  The merged company will be called Inomize, while keeping Verisense brand name as an independent business unit, and will continue to operate two design centers in Jerusalem and Netanya.

Netanya’s Inomize is a professional Research & Development firm specializing in the design and delivery of hardware solutions.  Inomize successfully delivers ambitious products and projects on time and on budget.  Inomize gets the maximum out of the available technology and, when necessary, push it to the limits using the latest advancements to meet customer’s needs.  Established in 2007, Inomize is a fast-growing company and includes among its customers large international corporations and startup companies from Israel, Europe and North America.

Jerusalem’s Verisense is an ASIC and FPGA design services company.  Verisense customers range from the largest ASIC vendors in the world, through many of the top aerospace companies, to early stage startups.  Verisense has been involved in developments in the fields of wireline and wireless communication, Telecommunications, cellular, CPUs, graphic engines, imaging, aeronautical, space, RF, analog and mixed signal.  Verisense also have unique expertise in Safety applications development for the Avionics industry (DO-254).  (Verisense 14.11)

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2.13  SeaLights Moves from Stealth to Beta Mode with $11 Million in Funding to Modernize Testing

SeaLights announced its launch out of stealth mode and into Beta along with $11 million in funding.  The round was led by TLV partners, with participation from serial investor Oren Zeev and previous investors including Blumberg Capital.  While continuous delivery is becoming standard practice, companies are in the dark in understanding their quality level in order to confidently release applications.  SeaLights was founded in September 2015 with the mission of solving this problem and creating new testing solutions and tools for QA managers, DevOps teams, and developers that not only maintain quality at high speeds, but increase it.  The SeaLights quality management platform enables quality analytics across all tools, environments and tests, including functional test code coverage.  This makes quality a quantifiable metric that drives releases instead of putting them at risk.

Kfar Saba’s SeaLights is the first cloud based continuous testing platform.  Helping companies increase their code quality while increasing release speed.  With the current round of funding SeaLights will be opening U.S. offices and expanding its R&D, customer success, sales and marketing teams both in the U.S. and in Israel.  (SeaLights 15.11)

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3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Soraa Modernizes Lighting at Iconic Nicolas Sursock Museum in Lebanon

Perfectly lighting a renowned modern and contemporary art museum, Soraa’s LED lamps now illuminate the Nicolas Sursock Museum in Beirut, Lebanon.  Built in 1912 by aristocrat Nicolas Ibrahim Sursock, the villa was given to the city of Beirut as an art museum upon his death.  The Sursock Museum first opened its doors to the public in 1961 with a mission to collect, preserve and exhibit local and international art.  When the project was originally specified in 2011, Aartill designers chose iGuzzini track-mounted fixtures but opted for halogen lamps, because LED luminaires available then were not acceptable in terms of reliability and light quality for the museum.  By replacing hundreds of halogen lamps with Soraa LED lamps, the museum reduced its energy costs and dramatically extended the lamp lifespan while maintaining tight beam control and outstanding color and whiteness rendering and consistency even when the lamps are dimmed.

Pioneering lamps using LEDs built from pure gallium nitride substrates (GaN on GaN), Fremont, California’s Soraa has made ordinary lighting extraordinarily brilliant and efficient.  Soraa’s full spectrum GaN on GaN LED lamps have superior color rendering and beam characteristics compared to lamps using LEDs created from non-native substrates.  (Soraa 09.11)

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3.2  Innovus Pharma Signs Exclusive Agreement with Elis Pharmaceuticals for Zestra in Lebanon

San Diego’s Innovus Pharmaceuticals entered into its second exclusive license and distribution agreement with Elis Pharmaceuticals.  Under the agreement, Innovus Pharma granted to Elis an exclusive license to market and sell Zestra for female arousal and desire in Lebanon.  Innovus Pharma is eligible to receive up to $2.25 million in sales milestone payments plus an agreed-upon transfer price.  Zestra has also received approval in India and the UAE.  Zestra is a patented blend of natural oils clinically proven in double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trials in 276 women to increase in a statistically significant manner the arousal, desire and sexual satisfaction in FSI/AD women.  (Innovus Pharma 08.11)

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3.3  Driverless Cars’ Test Run Begins in Dubai’s Business Bay

The Roads and Transport Authority (RTA) and Dubai Properties have started the test run of driverless vehicles, each capable of carrying 10 persons, over a 650 meter long track in Business Bay.  The move follows the success of the first and second phases of the trial operation of smart vehicles in the Dubai World Trade Centre and the Mohammed bin Rashid Boulevard.

Satisfaction rating clocked 95% for autonomous vehicles tested at the Mohammed bin Rashid Boulevard from September 1 to October 5 this year, while the test run in Dubai World Trade Centre during Ramadan 2015 also had yielded satisfaction rating of 92%, RTA said.  Dubai Properties said it was keen on utilizing the advanced technologies and innovations under the smart mobility and autonomous vehicles initiative charted out by the government.  It is offering autonomous vehicle experience to visitors and residents of Bay Avenue as well.  (AB 13.11)

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3.4  Saudi Car Insurance Prices Said to Surge 400%

The cost of car insurance in Saudi Arabia has reportedly rocketed 400% as a result of an increase in traffic accidents.  Motorists have called on the authorities to intervene and bring down prices to affordable levels, while insurance providers say costs would rise further as reckless driving worsens in the kingdom.  Industry experts blamed concrete blocks along the roads for a reported 15% rise in accidents in recent months.  Persistent road works “have affected the smooth flow of traffic”, one expert was quoted as saying, while reckless driving is another significant factor.

The total number of road accidents in Saudi Arabia is expected to cross 1.1 million incidents by the end of the year.  Losses suffered by insurance companies as a result have reached 105%, including operational expenses.  Third party insurance premiums range between SR1,000 ($266) and SR2,000 ($533) per month.  (AB 06.11)

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4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  BIRD Energy to invest $4 Million in Cooperative Israeli-U.S. Clean Energy Projects

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and Israel’s Ministry of National Infrastructure, Energy and Water Resources (MIEW) along with the Israel Innovation Authority, announced $4 million for five newly selected clean energy projects as part of the Binational Industrial Research and Development (BIRD) Energy program.  BIRD Energy began in 2009 as a result of the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007.  Since then, BIRD Energy has funded 32 projects, with a total investment of about $26 million, including these five selected projects, which will leverage cost-share for a total project value of $8.6 million.  The program encourages cooperation between Israeli and American companies through funding joint research and development in a range of clean energy subsectors including energy efficiency, biofuels and solar energy.

BIRD Energy projects addressenergy challenges and opportunities of interest to both countries while focusing on commercializing clean energy technologies that improve economic competitiveness, create jobs and support innovative companies.  The five approved projects are:

-BrightSource Industries (Jerusalem) and Dynamis Solutions (Las Vegas, Nevada), will develop an automated heliostat cleaning system for concentrated solar plants, increasing electricity production and reducing operating costs.

-CelDezyner (Rehovot) and POET Research (Sioux Falls, South Dakota), will develop an innovative process for lower cost production of ethanol from second generation, lignocellulosic feedstocks, which could provide further options to reduce oil dependence.

-Solview Systems (Ramat Gan) and Yarotek PR (Aventura, Florida), will develop rooftop solar analytics for the commercial and industrial markets to ease the adoption of solar energy.

-Technion IIT (Haifa) and Pajarito Powder (Albuquerque, New Mexico), will develop lower cost catalysts for energy storage and energy generation devices used to level intermittent renewable sources or for back-up applications.

-Waves Audio (Tel Aviv) and Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University (Blacksburg, Virginia), will develop an innovative electrostatic speaker using a nanoscale active membrane based on graphene achieving significant energy savings.

Projects that qualify for BIRD Energy funding must include one U.S. and one Israeli company, or a company in one of the countries paired with a university or research institution in the other.  The companies must present a project that involves innovation in the area of energy efficiency or renewable energy and is of mutual interest to both countries.  BIRD Energy has a rigorous review process that selects the most technologically meritorious projects along with those that are likely to commercialize and have significant impact. Qualified projects must contribute at least 50% to project costs and commit to repay up to 150% of the grant if the project leads to commercial success.

The BIRD (Binational Industrial Research and Development) Foundation works to encourage cooperation between Israeli and American companies in a wide range of technology sectors by providing funding and assistance in facilitating strategic partnerships for developing joint products or technologies.  During its 39 years, the BIRD Foundation has invested in more than 900 projects, which have yielded direct and indirect revenues of about $10 billion.  (BIRD 13.11)

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4.2  Japanese Firm Seeks to Conquer Morocco’s Solar Energy Industry

Japan’s Sumitomo wants to transform Morocco into a “hub of production and export” of the new Concentration Photovoltaic technology.  On 10 November, following the opening of 8 vehicle-wiring factories in Tangier, Kenitra and Casablanca, Sumitomo, in collaboration with the Moroccan Agency for Sustainable Energy (MASEN), unveiled a new Concentration Photovoltaic (CPV) power station with 1MW capacity at Noor Power Station in Ouarzazate.  Data collected from the photovoltaic panels, installed by the firms in Casablanca and Ouarzazate between 2013 and 2015, reveal the performance quality to be “excellent.”  The Concentration Photovoltaic panels use a new technology that improves the efficiency of energy production and converts 30% of solar energy into electricity, compared with existing technology that converts only 10 to 15%.  This technology captures the solar radiation and concentrates it on a surface that is smaller than the one used in the normal system. This allows for maximum performance from small solar cells.

Based on the performance of this newly established power station, the two companies will establish a larger station with a capacity of 20MW and a base for manufacturing Moroccan-made Concentration Photovoltaic panels.  (MWN 14.11)

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4.3  Morocco Reveals the World’s First Electric Pickup Truck

National Transportation and Logistics Company (SNTL) in Morocco announced the world’s latest and newest innovation of the first electric pickup truck ever made.  The innovation, which is 100% electric, is also a 100% of Moroccan origin in terms of concept and assembly.  The truck, which took nine months to complete, was presented at SNTL’s center of technology and innovation “Tamayuz Supply Chain”, in Marrakesh.  The center chose and accompanied Engima, the Moroccan consulting firm specializing in automotive engineering, to work on the development and manufacturing of the electric pickup’s design.

The electric vehicle prototype, which was adapted to fit the Moroccan market, does not require the creation of electric stations for it to be recharged.  The pickup can be recharged in less than 7 hours in the comfort of one’s home using a 220V power outlet, or in a mere hour if a supercharger is used.

Most importantly, is that the users of the electric pickup truck can easily upgrade their vehicles without having to purchase a new one.  The modular design allows to integrate a new version of a component on an earlier version of the vehicle, without it hindering any of its normal functions.  As well, the electric pickup and its features, such as temperature control that could harm or spoil transported goods, can be remotely controlled by the driver using an all in one tablet.  Although designed, manufactured, and assembled in Morocco, the electric pickup innovation is intended to be primarily sold in the European market while Morocco, until it is fully ready, will only be acting in the carrier market.  (MWN 09.11)

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5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Moody’s & Fitch Expect Positive Prospects for Lebanon after Presidential Elections

According to both Moody’s and Fitch, the end of the presidential deadlock in Lebanon holds positive prospects for the country’s economy.  However, improvement would be gradual and the economy will remain constrained given the ongoing Syrian war and weak public finances.  The election of General Michel Aoun as a President will positively impact the consumer confidence, the investment environment and deposits’ growth.  According to Moody’s, political stability will limit the decelerating growth of deposit inflows, which settled at 3.8% by August 2016, compared to 5.1% in December 2015.  Moreover, this political shock has the potential to control further fiscal deficits that have averaged at 7.4% of GDP over the past 5 years.  Fitch believes that the war in Syria will most likely limit the economic benefits of such political change, as tourism, real estate, and construction, the main contributors to the real GDP, have significantly slowed down over the past 5 years.  (Various 09.11)

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5.2  Lebanon’s Trade Deficit Grows to $11.94 Billion by September 2016

According to the Lebanese Customs, Lebanon’s trade deficit broadened by 8.64 % to $11.94B by September 2016, as exports increased by a yearly 3.25% to $2.31B, while imports added 7.73% y-o-y to $14.24B.  On the imports’ side, as oil prices averaged lower in January – September 2016 ($38.38/barrel) compared to the same period in 2015 ($55.26/barrel), mineral products (21.70% of total import value) saw rising value and volume. In details, imports of mineral products increased 36.81% y-o-y, in terms of volume, to reach 7.14M tons by September 2016.  Accordingly, value of total imported mineral products increased 36.22% y-o-y to $3.09B.  Moreover, products of the chemical or allied industries, which grasped 10.75% of the total value of imported goods increased by a yearly 5.67% to $1.53B.  As for machinery and electrical instruments, they grasped a share of 9.80% of the total value and fell by 8.45% from 2015 to stand at $1.40B by September 2016.  The top countries Lebanon imported from during the first nine months of the year were China, Italy, USA, Germany and Greece with respective shares of 11.20%, 7.37%, 6.55%, 6.08% and 5.27% of the total value.

As for exports, given the strength of the Lebanese jewelry sector and the increasing gold prices this year, “pearls, precious stones and metals” products, grasping the largest share of exported goods (31.82%), almost doubled in value by September 2016 to reach $652.93M.  As for prepared foodstuffs, beverages and tobacco, they comprised 15.95% of exported goods’ value amounting to $327.36M by September 2016, compared to $362.81M by September 2015.  Moreover, exports of machinery and electrical instruments, that take up to 11.71% of the total exports, fell by 51.18% y-o-y to $312.46M by September 2016.  The top export destinations for the same period were South Africa, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Syria and Iraq with respective shares of 22.23%, 9.27%, 8.15%, 5.73% and 5.61% of the total value.  (LC 07.11)

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5.3  Lebanon’s Tourist Arrivals Increase in September 2016

According to the Lebanese Ministry of Tourism, the number of tourist arrivals rose by a yearly 10.23% to 1.30M by September.  This rise was partly due to the occurrence of most of the religious holidays during the first 3 quarters of the year and the relatively stable security situation.  Specifically, European tourists, grasping a share of 33% in total, grew 10.33% y-o-y to 435,857 by September.  French tourists saw their number rise by an annual 6.44% to 112,682, and visitors from Germany and Sweden also rose in number by 15.69% and 16.31% to 69,275 and 28,126, respectively, by September 2016.  Moreover, the number of visitors from Arab countries, representing 30% of the total, increased by a yearly 6.92% to 385,637.

Mostly, arrivals from Arab countries with political instability seek Lebanon for employment or refuge and not tourism.  This has boosted the number of Iraqi visitors by an annual 25.87% to 181,729, and the number of Egyptians by an annual 10.41% to 63,633 by September 2016.  However, given the warnings of GCC governments about visiting Lebanon, the number of incomers from Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the UAE registered annual drops of 27.65%, 29.5% and 74.24% to reach 27,840, 18,687, and 1,717, by September 2016, respectively.  American tourists, also increased by an annual 11.93% to 239,109 by September 2016.  This rise was mainly due to the growth in the number of visitors from the US and Canada which rose to 124,605 and 80,732 by September 2016, respectively.  As for the month of September alone, total number of tourist arrivals significantly increased by 20.99% y-o-y to stand at 164,605.  Specifically, the Eid el Adha holiday in September boosted the number of Arab tourists, which grew by 14.65% to reach 58,631.  The Iraqis comprised almost 50% of total Arab tourists, followed by the Egyptians, with 18%, and Jordanians with 16%.  (BLOM 07.11)

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5.4  October Sees Further Contraction of Lebanese Private Sector Economy

The private sector’s economic activity remained firmly in contraction area in October, as revealed by the Lebanon’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) released by BLOMINVEST Bank on 3 November.  BLOM PMI stood at 43.8 in October, well below the 50 point mark which separates economic growth from contraction.  The deterioration came following faster falls in companies’ new and export orders.

Commenting on the October 2016 PMI results, BLOMINVEST Bank said the PMI hits its lowest recorded reading since the beginning of the surveys in 2013, in the same month that brought the resolution of a two and a half year long presidential deadlock.  This is a very meaningful indication, warning that although the election will boost market sentiment, it is hardly enough to see the revival of the local economy.  Local demand on Lebanese products is depressed and has reached its bottom score in October; the output index was at a near-record low.  The next month’s political agenda is still loaded, but fast track formation of the government will to start working on real solutions to ease the private sector’s recessionary pressures.  (BLOM 03.11)

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5.5  Jordan Receives €160 Million German grant to Support Kingdom’s Water Sector

On 2 November, Germany announced a €160 million grant in additional support for Jordan’s water sector.  The grant will fund several of the Water Ministry’s planned projects to improve water and wastewater services in light of the mounting pressure on resources as the Kingdom hosts 1.4 million Syrians.  The grant was announced on the sidelines of the German-Jordanian Water Dialogue, which brought together water sector officials, local businesses, German business representatives and donor entities.  The one-day event aimed to increase the engagement of German private companies in Jordan’s water sector and address the Kingdom’s water challenges, according to organizers.  Jordanian Water Minister Hazem Nasser highlighted Jordan’s interest in attracting German private companies to transfer the know-how, technology and innovation to the local water sector.  Nasser outlined the sector’s challenges, noting that water shortage is exacerbated with the growing population, climate change and the world financial crisis.  The German Water Partnership is a joint initiative of the German private and public sectors, combining commercial enterprises, governmental and non-governmental organizations, scientific institutions and water-related associations.  (JT 02.11)

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5.6  Largest Number of Jordanians Ever Studying in US

The number of Jordanian students currently studying at institutions across the US reached a record high in 2016, according to an annual report released by the US State Department.  A US embassy statement, citing findings of the Open Doors report for 2016, said that there are currently some 2,330 Jordanian students in the US, the largest number recorded since the figures have been tracked.  This number, which does not include students with Jordanian/American dual citizenship, represents an increase of 5.2% from 2015.  The number includes 908 undergraduate students and 1,022 graduate students.  Jordan now ranks eighth in the Middle East and North Africa region for the number of students in the US.  There are also around 1,000 American students at institutions in Jordan this year.  (JT 15.11)

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►►Arabian Gulf

 5.7  Oman Government Budget Deficit Grows to $11.4 Billion

Oman’s government posted a budget deficit of OR4.32 billion ($11.4 billion) in the first eight months of 2016, according to latest official figures.  The January-August deficit compared to a deficit of OR2.6 billion, as low oil export prices slashed its revenues, according to provisional Finance Ministry data.  The government’s original 2016 budget plan envisaged state expenditure of OR11.9 billion and revenues at OR8.6 billion.  Officials said their 2016 economic plans assumed an average oil price of $45 a barrel.  Oman is imposing a series of austerity measures after it posted a budget deficit of about OR4.5 billion last year.  Gasoline and diesel price subsidies have been cut and similar cuts are planned for electricity and liquid petroleum gas.  In August, the World Bank said Oman’s subsidy bill is expected to fall by 64% this year as the government seeks to reform its finances amid lower oil prices.  (AB 04.11)

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5.8  Central Bank Says Saudi GDP to Grow by 1.8% this Year

Saudi Arabia’s central bank expects gross domestic product to grow 1.8% this year, faster than the 1.2% forecast by the International Monetary Fund, the bank said in its annual report.  The non-oil sector is expected to expand 2.5% and the oil sector, 1.2%.  Central bank governor Ahmed Al Kholifey said that the body hopes interbank money rates continue to fall.  He also said Riyadh was not worried about Saudi investments in the United States following the election of Donald Trump as president, and after September’s U.S. Congress vote to let relatives of victims of the 11 September terrorist attacks sue Saudi Arabia.  Saudi authorities have made no new decisions about the investments.  (Reuters 14.11)

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►►North Africa

5.9  Egypt’s Central Bank Floats Pound, Reports Historic Foreign Currency Auction

Egypt’s Central Bank floated the pound on 3 November, starting at a guidance price of 13 pounds to the US dollar, with media reports suggesting it would offer $4 billion in a historic foreign currency auction.  The country has struggled with a foreign exchange crisis since a 2011 uprising drove away tourists and foreign investors, the two main sources of hard currency.  Rumors of an expected floatation boosted the dollar rate on the black market, widening the gap between the official and unofficial exchange rates.  The IMF welcomed the move, stating that “a flexible exchange rate determined by market forces would improve Egypt’s external competitiveness, support exports and tourism and attract foreign investment.”

The pound was pegged to the US dollar at an exchange rate of 8.8 pounds to the dollar, less than half its value on the black market earlier this week, of 18 pounds to the dollar.  Egypt secured a $12 billion loan from the IMF, for which several economic reforms were a necessary condition.  Last month the IMF said Egypt would have to devalue the pound prior to the final approval of the loan.  The Central Bank had to secure $6 billion in bilateral financing prior to an IMF loan approval, of which the prime minister said 60% had been sourced, before a currency swap with China worth $2.7 billion.  The rise in reserves was seen by analysts as necessary measure to cushion the devaluation of the pound.  (Mada Masr 03.11)

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5.10  IMF Board Approves Egypt’s $12 Billion Loan Agreement

The International Monetary Fund’s executive board has approved a three-year, $12 billion loan to Egypt to support its economic reform program.  The IMF said its board’s approval allows for an disbursement of an initial tranche of $2.75 billion of the loan.  The remaining amount will be phased in over the duration of the program, subject to five reviews.  The Central Bank of Egypt received the $2.75 billion tranche, which increased the country’s foreign reserves to $23.3 billion, state television said.  The program will help Egypt restore macroeconomic stability and promote inclusive growth.

Import-dependent Egypt has struggled to attract dollars and revive its economy since tourists and investors fled after the 2011 uprising that ended Hosni Mubarak’s 30-year rule.  Facing a gaping budget deficit, plummeting foreign reserves and a burgeoning currency black market, it agreed the IMF loan in August but had to secure $5 billion to $6 billion in bilateral financing for the deal to be completed.  Egypt made the final push for the loan after the central bank abandoned its currency peg of 8.8 pounds to the U.S. dollar last week in a dramatic move welcomed by the Fund and World Bank.  (IMF 11.11)

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6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  Turkey’s Annual Inflation Eases for Second Month in October

Turkey’s annual inflation rate fell in October, according to a report issued by the Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK) on 3 November.  This is the second month in a row that the rate has gone down.  Yearly inflation was 7.16% in October compared to 7.28% last September and 7.58% in October 2015.  Monthly inflation was 1.44% in October over the previous month, easily beating forecasts of 1.62%.  The median estimate of the inflation expectation survey – prepared by Anadolu Agency’s Finance Desk – was 1.62% on a monthly basis and 7.35% on an annual basis.  The report showed the highest monthly increase was in clothing and footwear at 10.43%, while the top sub-indices of yearly consumer price inflation on an annual basis were alcoholic beverages and tobacco, which rose by 22.61%.  (TUIK 03.11)

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6.2  Turkish Trade Deficit Widens in October

Turkey’s foreign trade deficit rose sharply in October, according to an official preliminary data released on 2 November.  Last month, Turkey’s trade deficit increased by 13.8%, climbing to $4.15 billion from $3.6 billion, the same month last year, Turkey’s Trade Ministry said.  The report revealed that exports witnessed a 2.77% decline to $12.9 billion in the month, while imports slightly increased by 0.8% to $17 billion.  The foreign trade deficit in the first 10 months of 2016 stagnated by 12.6%, totaling $46.17 billion.  Exports in the same period were $117.2 billion with a 2.75% decline, while imports narrowed by 5.75% to $163.3 billion.  (AA 02.11)

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6.3  Turkey May Make Further Tax Cuts to Boost Flagging Growth

Turkey may make further temporary tax reductions to try to boost flagging growth after a disappointing third quarter, in addition to its efforts to expand credit and bolster domestic demand, Finance Minister Naci Agbal said.  Turkey’s economy has been hit by a failed military coup in July and uncertainty about the emergency rule imposed in its wake, which has made both investors and consumers cut back on spending.  Ankara’s deepening involvement in the conflicts in neighboring Syria and Iraq have added to the concerns.

Industrial production shrank 3.1% year-on-year in September, prompting economists to cut their growth forecasts and making the government’s target of 3.2% growth in 2016 look extremely difficult to achieve.  Prime Minister Binali Yildirim met the heads of Turkey’s biggest banks this month to urge them to lower their interest rates.  The central bank has meanwhile cut policy rates at seven of its last eight meetings despite weakness in the lira currency, which has hit a series of record lows in recent weeks.  The government is targeting growth of 4.4% next year, but that also looks optimistic, economists say, particularly if Turkey holds a referendum on changing the constitution to create a more powerful presidency in the spring, as expected.  (HDN 11.11)

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6.4  Unemployment in Turkey rises to 11.3% in August

Turkey’s unemployment rate rose to 11.3% in August year-on-year, an increase of 1.2%, the Turkish Statistical Institute (TUIK) announced on 15 November.  The number of unemployed people aged 15 and over rose to 3.49 million in August 2016, up by 435,000 from August 2015, pushing the unemployment rate to 11.3%.  Unemployment also saw a 0.6% jump from the previous month.  The report showed that unemployment rose for the fourth month in a row in August after falling to 9.3% in April.

July’s employment rate was 46.7%, down 0.1% from the same period last year, despite the Turkish economy adding 323,000 jobs – an indication that growth in the number of people seeking a job has outpaced job creation.  Turkey’s labor force participation rate rose by 0.5% in August year-on-year to 52.6%, with the number of people in the labor force totaling 30.96 million, a rise of 759,000 in 2016 compared with the same period the previous year.  (TUIK 15.11)

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6.5  Auto Sales in Turkey Rise Almost 30% in October

Sales of cars and light commercial vehicle in Turkey rose by 29.2% in October from last year, the Automotive Distributors’ Association stated on 2 November.  Last month, 83,000 passenger cars and light commercial vehicles were sold in Turkey.  The report showed that car sales went up by 32.9% to 63,746, while light commercial vehicle sales rose by 18.1% to 19,254, pushing combined sales to almost a third higher than last year.  The association forecasts the Turkish automotive market to increase to about 1,000,000 units by the end of 2016 and 2017, citing a probable rate hike from U.S. Federal Reserve, post-Brexit volatility in the EU and other countries, rebalancing in the Chinese economy, geopolitical challenges, and monetary policies of the Turkish Central Bank.  (Anadolu Agency 02.11)

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6.6  Cyprus’ Deflation Rate Accelerates to 1.2% in October

Cyprus’ consumer price index rose 1.2% in October, compared to the respective month of 2015, after falling 0.5% in September, mainly on cheaper airfares, vegetables, clothing, electricity, and fresh fruit.  Compared to September, consumer prices rose 0.1%, as more expensive clothing and footwear, fuel and other products and services, offset the impact from more affordable food and non-alcoholic beverages, mainly fruits and vegetables, Cystat said.  In January to October, Cyprus posted an annual deflation rate of 1.6%.  (Cystat 03.11)

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6.7  Cyprus’ Registered Unemployed Figure Drops to 33,706 in October

The number of registered unemployed fell 8.9% year-on-year in October, to 33,706, the lowest figure since January 2012, the Cypriot statistical service said.  On a monthly basis, the number of registered unemployed dropped by 301 in October compared to September.  The seasonally adjusted number of registered unemployed rose by 171 last month, to 37,475, which is the lowest for more than four years.  The seasonally adjusted jobless figure dropped 9.5% last month compared to October 2015.  The drop last month was mainly due to a decrease of jobless in the construction sector by 1,145, in manufacturing by 593, trade by 437, transportation by 429, accommodation by 279 and public administration by 266, Cystat said.  The number of newcomers fell by 230.  (Cystat 03.11)

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7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

*ISRAEL:

7.1  Mortality Rate for Premature Babies in Israel Drops by 7.6% Since 1995

The mortality rate for extremely low birth weight babies – defined as weighing less than 1 kilogram (2.2 pounds) – born in Israel has dropped from 25.6% in the years 1995 – 1999 to 18% in the years 2010 – 2014, statistics collected by the Health Ministry and the Gertner Institute for Epidemiology and Health Research revealed on 2 November.  In 2014, the mortality rate for babies of such low birth weights fell to 15%, with 85% eventually being able to leave hospital and go home with their parents.  Most very low birth weight babies were born prematurely, but some were born at term or even late.  According to the figures, about a third of the very low birth weight babies were born to parents who had undergone fertility treatments, and 40% were multiple births — twins or triplets.  In 2000, the Health Ministry changed its protocol to limit the number of embryos implanted in fertility treatments to two, causing the number of premature triplets to drop by 12% in 1995-1999 and by 5% in 2010-2014.  (MoH 02.11)

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7.2  Japan Awards Two Israelis “Order of the Rising Sun”

Among the 96 recipients of the prestigious Order of the Rising Sun for 2016, announced on 3 November by the Japanese government, are two Israelis: Professor Meron Medzini of the Hebrew University of Jerusalem and architect Arie Kutz from Tel Aviv University.  Kutz, 63, Friendship Society chairman at the Israel-Japan Chamber of Commerce, was granted the award for his work in advancing relations and mutual understanding between the two countries.  Kutz is also a lecturer of Japanese architectural history at Tel Aviv University’s East Asia Studies Department.  Medzini, 84, who teaches modern Japanese history in Asian Studies Department at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, received the decoration for his contributions to advancing Japanese studies and fostering a deeper understanding of Japan in Israel.

The Japanese government awards the decoration, which includes a medal and certificate of honor, every year to people who have contributed to Japan’s international relationships and promoted its culture globally.  The award ceremony will be held in the near future at the home of the Japanese ambassador in Israel.  (IH 03.11)

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*REGIONAL:

7.3  Hariri Named Lebanese Prime Minister Despite Hezbollah’s Abstention

Future Movement leader and former Prime Minister MP Saad Hariri was chosen by President Michel Aoun to return to the premiership to head a new cabinet.  Following two days of consultations by President Aoun with various political blocs, Hariri secured the endorsement of 112 out of 126 MPs.  Notably, Hezbollah declined to grant their support, as did the Syrian Social Nationalist Party and the Baath Party.  Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah had nonetheless indicated in recent speeches that his party would not object to Hariri’s premiership.  Hariri will now face the challenge of steering the contentious cabinet formation process, which some observers say could take months.  In a possible portent of just one of the battles this could entail, Lebanese Forces MP Antoine Zahra said his party would reject the inclusion of the so-called ‘People-Army-Resistance equation’ in the cabinet policy statement, referring to a phrase seen as legitimizing Hezbollah’s weapons on which the Party of God has previously insisted.  (Various 03.11)

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7.4  Prince Turki – Brother of Saudi’s King Salman – Passes Away

Prince Turki bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, a brother of Saudi Arabia’s King Salman, has passed away, the Royal Court announced.  Born in 1934, Prince Turki was a son of the kingdom’s founder King Abdul Aziz Bin Saud.  He served as Saudi Arabia’s deputy minister of defense from 1968 to 1978.  Prince Turki was buried on 12 November, following funeral prayers at Imam Turki bin Abdullah Mosque in Riyadh.  (Various 12.11)

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8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  Amgen To Invest In Israel-Based eHealth Ventures

Switzerland’s Amgen (Europe), an affiliate of Amgen Inc., announced an investment in eHealth Ventures, an Israel-based digital health incubator.  The investment reflects Amgen’s commitment to serving patients by driving innovation and sustainable healthcare through technology discovery, and recognizes the importance of Israel as a source of innovation in eHealth and digital technologies.  Additional investors include Israeli HMO Maccabi Healthcare Services and Amgen’s Israeli distributor Medison Pharma.  Amgen will be the lead biopharmaceutical investor.

Tel Aviv’s eHealth Ventures, a consortium of world-class organizations and investors active in the field of digital health, was launched in March of 2016 with Israeli government backing.  The consortium, which comprises Cleveland Clinic, a leading US hospital, Maccabi Healthcare Services, Israel’s leading and most advanced health provider, and Medison Pharma, Israel’s largest independent specialty pharmaceutical company and Amgen’s distributor in Israel, aims to invest in 40 new companies over an eight year period.  (Amgen 25.10)

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8.2  NRGene & Kazusa DNA Institute Reveal Complex Genome of Strawberry Using Illumina Data

NRGene is the first ever to assemble the complex genome of a commercially grown strawberry.  Most plant, animal, and human genomes are diploid – containing two variants from each gene.  The strawberry genome contains eight nearly identical copies of each gene, making the accurate phasing of each something that has never been done before – until NRGene’s DeNovoMAGIC 3.0.  The octoploid, heterozygous strawberry genome was assembled using reads produced on Illumina sequencing technology and assembled by NRGene’s cloud-based DeNovoMAGIC 3.0 software package in only two weeks.

NRGene’s DeNovoMAGIC 3.0 delivers complete, highly accurate genome assemblies in the form of long, phased sequences using Illumina-based reads.  As more genomes are generated, NRGene’s PanMAGIC is used to compare the complete genome sequences of multiple individual samples to capture the broad genomic diversity, better pinpointing positive traits across all varieties.  NRGene has delivered the first bread wheat, Emmer wheat, and durum wheat genomes; dozens of new maize, soybean, cotton, and canola genomes; and is delivering more accurate versions of previously mapped genomes built on older, more inefficient technologies.  The project was done in cooperation with Japan’s Kazusa DNA Research Institute and supported in part by Japan’s Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries.

Ness Ziona’s NRGene is a genomic big data company developing cutting-edge software and algorithms to reveal the complexity and diversity of crop plants, animals, and aquatic organisms for supporting the most advanced and sophisticated breeding programs.  NRGene tools have already been employed by some of the leading seed companies worldwide as well as the most influential research teams in academia.  (NRGene 03.11)

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8.3  Nutrinia Announces First Patient Enrolled in Phase III Trial

Nutrinia announced the enrollment of the first patient in its FIT-04 study.  Nutrinia is developing NTRA-2112 as a treatment for preterm infants with intestinal malabsorption.  NTRA-2112 is a novel oral formulation of insulin that acts locally in the gastrointestinal tract to accelerate intestinal maturation.  Its unique formulation is suited for NICU use, as it can be stored at room temperature, is formulated for use with the equipment needed for enteral feeding, and can be easily administered with breast milk, formula or saline.

Ramat Gan’s Nutrinia is a clinical stage biotechnology company focused on developing proprietary oral formulations of insulin for gastrointestinal indications in infants.  Insulin has been shown to induce a receptor-mediated response leading to gut maturation and adaptation, important in preterm newborns with intestinal malabsorption and infants similarly affected by Short Bowel Syndrome.  There are no approved therapies for either of these orphan conditions.  Nutrinia’s unique, locally-acting oral formulation of insulin is stable at room temperature, rapidly dissolves in saline, formula or human milk, and is designed for both oral and tube feeding.  (Nutrinia 03.11)

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8.4  OWC Pharmaceutical Research Corp Signs Investment and JV with Michepro Holdings

OWC Pharmaceutical Research Corp., through its Israeli based fully owned subsidiary, announced an agreement for a combined JV & Private Placement of $300,000 with Cyprus’ Michepro Holding, a private family investment company.  In addition to the investment, the parties will establish a joint venture, 75% to OWCP and 25% to Michepro Holding, to promote, sell, market and distribute the Company’s potential products in Europe, initially with the psoriasis treatment, to be followed with company’s other therapies as they become available.”

OWC Pharmaceutical Research Corp., through its wholly-owned Petah Tikva’s subsidiary, One Word Cannabis, conducts medical research and clinical trials to develop cannabis-based pharmaceuticals and treatments for conditions including multiple myeloma, psoriasis, fibromyalgia, PTSD, and migraines.  OWC is also developing unique delivery systems for the effective delivery and dosage of medical cannabis.  All OWC research is conducted at leading Israeli hospitals and scientific institutions, and led by internationally renowned investigators.  The Company’s Research Division is focused on pursuing clinical trials evaluating the effectiveness of cannabinoids for the treatment of various medical conditions, while its Consulting Division is dedicated to helping governments and companies navigate complex international cannabis regulatory frameworks.  (OWC Pharmaceutical Research 03.11)

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8.5  Kedrion & Kamada Achieve FDA Acceptance of BLA for Human Rabies Immunoglobulin

Fort Lee, NJ’s Kedrion Biopharma and Kamada announced that the U.S. FDA has accepted for review a Biologics License Application (BLA) for a human anti-rabies immunoglobulin (IgG) therapy.  Rabies is a life-threatening condition that impacts approximately 40,000 people in the U.S. each year.  At present, U.S. healthcare professionals have only two rabies IgG therapy options from which to select in preventing the onset of rabies in someone who may have been exposed to the deadly virus.  The post-exposure prophylaxis treatment being developed by Kedrion Biopharma and Kamada is a human plasma-derived immunoglobulin (IgG) and has the potential to provide stability and secure availability in a market that has experienced inconsistent supply and supply shortages in recent years.  The FDA has assigned a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) goal date of August 29, 2017, for completion of the review of the BLA.  Kedrion Biopharma and Kamada intend to launch the product soon after a favorable decision is received.

Kamada has been selling the anti-rabies IgG product since 2003 in numerous territories outside of the U.S. under the brand name KamRAB.  Kamada has sold more than one million vials of the product to date, demonstrating significant clinical experience with the product.  The BLA currently under review by FDA is based on results announced in December 2015 from a prospective, randomized, double-blind, non-inferiority Phase 2/3 study of 118 healthy subjects.  Under the clinical development and marketing agreement between Kedrion Biopharma and Kamada, subject to the product receiving FDA marketing approval, Kamada will hold the license for it and Kedrion Biopharma will have exclusive rights to commercialize it in the U.S.

Ness Ziona’s Kamada is focused on plasma-derived protein therapeutics for orphan indications, and has a commercial product portfolio and a robust late-stage product pipeline.  The Company uses its proprietary platform technology and expertise for the extraction and purification of proteins from human plasma to produce Alpha-1 Antitrypsin (AAT) in a highly purified, liquid form, as well as other plasma-derived Immune globulins.  AAT is a protein derived from human plasma with known and newly discovered therapeutic roles given its immunomodulatory, anti-inflammatory, tissue-protective and antimicrobial properties.  (Kamada 07.11)

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8.6  Teva Announces Approval of Generic Tribenzor in the United States

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries announced approval of generic Tribenzor®1(olmesartan medoxomil, amlodipine and hydrochlorothiazide) tablets in the U.S. and is in the final stages of launch preparation.  Teva also recently received approval and launched generic Azor2 (amlodipine and olmesartan medoxomil) tablets in the U.S.  These products enhance Teva’s antihypertensive portfolio.  Olmesartan medoxomil, amlodipine and hydrochlorothiazide tablets are a combination of an angiotensin II receptor blocker, a dihydropyridine calcium channel blocker and a thiazide diuretic indicated for the treatment of hypertension, to lower blood pressure.

Teva is committed to strengthening its generics business through continued investment in complex, high-quality products.  With nearly 600 generic medicines available, Teva has the largest portfolio of FDA-approved generic products on the market.  These products enhance Teva’s already comprehensive product portfolio.  Teva has over 300 product registrations pending FDA approval and holds the leading position in first-to-file opportunities, with over 100 pending first-to-files in the U.S.

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries is a leading global pharmaceutical company that delivers high-quality, patient-centric healthcare solutions used by millions of patients every day.  Headquartered in Israel, Teva is the world’s largest generic medicines producer, leveraging its portfolio of more than 1,800 molecules to produce a wide range of generic products in nearly every therapeutic area.  (Teva 07.11)

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8.7  PolyPid Raises $5.3 Million

Tel Aviv based holding company Xenia Venture Capital announced that drug company PolyPid Optimized Therapeutics, in which it holds an 8.4% stake, had raised $5.3 million.  Xenia itself did not take part in the financing round.  The round reflected a $104 million value for PolyPid, giving Xenia’s holding a value of NIS 33 million following the round.  The company share price jumped 4.8% today on the news.

PolyPid planned an IPO in 2015, but abandoned the idea after failing to obtain the value it sought.  The company planned to raise $22 million at a company value of $100 million after money.  Other than Xenia, the other investors before the planned IPO were private investors.  Since calling off its IPO, the company has raised $22 million from Shavit Capital, Aurum Ventures, Yelin Lapidot Investment House and previous investors.

Petah Tikva’s PolyPid has developed technology that combines polymers and fatty acids (lipids) to create a system for delayed release of drugs.  Its leading product is a delayed release antibiotic for preventing bone infections.  The company has developed a product making it possible to administer an antibiotic locally in a controlled manner in open fractures for weeks, and even months, without additional surgery.  The product is about to enter a multi-center trial in the US. Another PolyPid product is designed for treatment of infections in open heart surgery, one of the biggest risks in this type of surgery.  (Globes 10.11)

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8.8  RHӦN-Innovations Makes an Investment in Inovytec

Bad Neustadt, Germany’s RHӦN-Innovations GmbH, a subsidiary of RHӦN-KLINIKUM AG, has made an investment in Inovytec with a single-figure million amount.  The Israeli company develops and manufactures products especially for out-of-hospital cardiologic emergencies and non-invasive assistance in the case of blockages in the respiratory system.  Inovytec products have been thoroughly tested in two RHӦN-KLINIKUM AG hospitals – the university hospital in Marburg and the hospital in Frankfurt/Oder – was well as in other medical facilities.

Hod HaSharon’s Inovytec Medical Solutions is a privately-held Israeli medical device company, ISO 13485 certified, founded in 2011.  Inovytec specializes in the development, production and marketing of novel non-invasive devices for out-of-hospital critical care, particularly for respiratory, cardiac, central nervous system and trauma medical emergencies.  Inovytec is led by a team of highly experienced executives and R&D engineers, supported by internationally recognized medical experts in emergency medicine, intensive care and cardiology.  (RHӦN-KLINIKUM 13.11)

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9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  LightCyber Increases Precision of Behavioral Attack Detection with Added VPN Granularity

LightCyber announced the latest release of its Magna platform that increases the precision and speed of detecting an in-progress attack from a malicious insider or external targeted bad actor.  The Magna 3.5 release adds enhanced visibility of user credential use and more granular Virtual Private Network (VPN) intelligence so attackers can be detected even more efficiently and accurately.  While Magna has had VPN visibility, a new feature enables associating a specific user IP address with a remote access user connecting to the network through a VPN concentrator.  Through VPN logs, Magna will de-multiplex the observed network traffic into individual users.  Magna then profiles and monitors each remote user’s activity over time in the same way it analyzes any other machine and user behavior inside the network with all the richness of its Behavioral Attack Detection.  This approach is inherently more robust than just using information in the VPN logs themselves as implemented by some competitive UEBA solutions.  Not only can Magna identify anomalous VPN user activity, but it can also add much more robust behavioral attack detection analysis associated to the VPN user’s behavior in the enterprise network.

Ramat Gan’s LightCyber is a leading provider of Behavioral Attack Detection solutions that provide accurate and efficient security visibility into attacks that have slipped through the cracks of traditional security controls.  The LightCyber Magna platform is the first security product to integrate user, network and endpoint context to provide security visibility into a range of attack activity.  Founded in 2012 and led by world-class cyber security experts, the company’s products have been successfully deployed by top-tier customers around the world in industries including the financial, legal, telecom, government, media and technology sectors.  (LightCyber 02.11)

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9.2  BioCatch Launches Next-Generation Behavioral Biometrics Platform for Enterprises

BioCatch launched its next-generation platform to optimize the implementation and performance of behavioral biometrics online and on mobile at the enterprise level.  BioCatch currently protects more than 1 billion transactions per month, helping to significantly reduce fraud and identity theft.  The BioCatch 2.0 release supports extensive scalability requirements that enterprise customers demand, delivering rich data collection of behavioral parameters, and significantly broader identification of remote access Trojans, bots, aggregators, and malware.  The new release features fast processing of risk-score calculation, providing real-time behavioral insights, as well as a new graphical user interface for the “Analyst Station”, BioCatch’s flagship analytics tool, enabling fraud teams to further investigate and analyze fraud cases.

Tel Aviv’s BioCatch is a cybersecurity company that delivers behavioral biometric solutions, analyzing human-device interactions to protect users and data. Banks and other enterprises use BioCatch to significantly reduce online fraud and protect against a variety of cyber threats, without compromising the user experience. With an unparalleled patent portfolio and deployments at major banks around the world that cover tens of millions of users to date, BioCatch has established itself as the industry leader.  (BioCatch 03.11)

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9.3  OriginGPS’ New Analytic Sensor is a Game Changer for IoT Tracking Applications

OriginGPS launched its game-changing BalloonFish.  This highly adept analytic sensor for IoT tracking devices enables a host of new applications tucked strategically inside its 23×25 mm form-factor.  It combines penta-band GSM for global connectivity, stand-alone GNSS for accurate positioning and a customizable sensor interface.  Most impressively, BalloonFish’s cellular radio, GNSS receiver and sensor interface are all configured from the cloud, enabling product changes without alterations to embedded FW.  OEMs now have access to a customizable platform that reduces engineering design time and expedites production.  The first of its kind, the mini+mighty BalloonFish enables cellular-connected tracking devices to shrink down into form-factors not previously achieved by other solutions.  Hardware designers need only address power management, mechanical enclosure and sensor content.  The tiny module also includes a high-performance GNSS patch antenna and uSIM socket, additionally simplifying the design process.

Airport City’s OriginGPS is a world-leading designer, manufacturer and supplier of miniaturized GNSS modules (“Spider” family), antenna modules (“Hornet” family) and antenna solutions.  OriginGPS introduces unparalleled sensitivity and noise immunity by incorporating its proprietary Noise Free Zone technology for faster position fix and navigation stability even under challenging satellite signal conditions.  (OriginGPS 08.11)

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9.4  Connect One Introduces Pico WiReach IoT Wi-Fi Module

Connect One, the Device Networking Authority, is introducing the first Wi-Fi module in its next-generation family of 802.11b/g/n Wi-Fi modules for the Internet of Things (IoT) market.  Network and cloud connectivity is continuing to be a must-have ability for many applications such as medical, security, industrial control, smart grid, asset management, point of sale and the vast growing market of the Internet of Things.  Pico WiReach continues the wireless innovation tradition at Connect One that has brought the best value, easiest-to-integrate Wi-Fi modules to the market for over a decade.  Pico WiReach offers excellent system performance for IoT connectivity with Cypress BCM43362 Wi-Fi Transceiver SOC and its 802.11b/g/n MAC and baseband functionality.  Pico WiReach ships with built-in connectivity to Connect One’s iChipNet cloud. iChipNet cloud enables remote access to Pico WiReach modules for the purpose of maintenance and data collection.

Established in 1996, Kfar Saba’s Connect One is widely regarded as the device networking authority, with many innovative firsts to its credit. The company manufactures semiconductors, modules and device servers that facilitate secure, reliable, and robust Internet protocol-based communication for everyday devices.  (Connect One 08.11)

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9.5  ECI Provides 400G Optical Backbone Demonstration for SC16 SCinet

ECI announced that SCinet, the world’s largest and fastest high-performance network, will be using ECI’s Apollo optical solution fitted with a 400G flex-grid blade, at the SC16 conference in Salt Lake City, Utah.  SCinet is a diverse group comprised of innovators, research, government and higher education institutions, from all over the world, focusing on the common goal of global innovation.  As the epicenter for HPC (high performance computing), SC16 will host the creation of one of the world’s largest and fastest high performance networks, to which ECI will contribute a 400G solution.

ECI’s Apollo platform provides state-of-the-art, transparent and flexible DWDM (Dense Wavelength Division Multiplexing) transport with integrated packet services.  Apollo combines high performance, low latency, OTN (Optical Transport Network) transport and switching, with software configurable colorless, directionless and gridless optical routing, for maximum network flexibility and efficiency.  The 400G blade is designed to transport data with higher spectral efficiency and industry-leading port density, resulting in reduced rack space and less power consumption.  Moreover, the ability to configure a mix of rates on both client and line sides results in maximum efficiency, improved flexibility and reduced TCO (Total Cost of Ownership), particularly suited to the HPC community.

Petah Tikva’s ECI is a global provider of ELASTIC network solutions to CSPs, critical infrastructures as well as data center operators.  Along with its long-standing, industry-proven packet-optical transport, ECI offers a variety of SDN/NFV applications, end-to-end network management, a comprehensive cyber security solution, and a range of professional services. ECI’s ELASTIC solutions ensure open, future-proof, and secure communications.  (ECI 09.11)

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9.6  BroadSoft Japan KK Deploys AudioCodes Business Connectivity Solution

AudioCodes announced that BroadSoft Japan KK selected AudioCodes’ Business Connectivity Solution to enable on-premises connectivity for its software as a service BroadCloud call control platform and UC-One application offering in Japan.  Japan is an important market for both BroadSoft and AudioCodes, and the selection of the AudioCodes Business Connectivity solution in Japan demonstrates the strength of the AudioCodes and BroadSoft relationship.  The AudioCodes Business Connectivity solution includes the Mediant session border controller (SBC) platforms, the Mediant gateway platforms and Mediant multi-service business routers (MSBR), enabling connectivity to virtually any ISDN interface and interoperability with virtually any IP-PBX, enabling businesses to extend the life of existing equipment while moving to a fully functional cloud environment.  The Mediant platforms also support BroadSoft PacketSmart monitoring probe, enabling quality of service monitoring at the customer premises.

Lod’s AudioCodes designs, develops and sells advanced Voice-over-IP (VoIP) and converged VoIP and Data networking products and applications to Service Providers and Enterprises.  AudioCodes is a VoIP technology market leader, focused on converged VoIP and data communications, and its products are deployed globally in Broadband, Mobile, Enterprise networks and Cable.  (AudioCodes 09.11)

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9.7  Mellanox Announces 200Gb/s HDR InfiniBand Solutions Enabling Record Levels of Performance

Mellanox Technologies announced the world’s first 200Gb/s data center interconnect solutions.  Mellanox ConnectX-6 adapters, Quantum switches and LinkX cables and transceivers together provide a complete 200Gb/s HDR InfiniBand interconnect infrastructure for the next generation of high performance computing, machine learning, big data, cloud, web 2.0 and storage platforms.  These 200Gb/s HDR InfiniBand solutions maintain Mellanox’s generation-ahead leadership while enabling customers and users to leverage an open, standards-based technology that maximizes application performance and scalability while minimizing overall data center total cost of ownership.  Mellanox 200Gb/s HDR solutions will become generally available in 2017.

The ConnectX-6 adapters include single/dual-port 200Gb/s Virtual Protocol Interconnect ports options, which double the data speed when compared to the previous generation.  It also supports both the InfiniBand and the Ethernet standard protocols and provides flexibility to connect with any CPU architecture – x86, GPU, POWER, ARM, FPGA and more.  With unprecedented world-class performance at 200 million messages per second, ultra-low latency of 0.6usec, and in-network computing engines such as MPI-Direct, RDMA, GPU-Direct, SR-IOV, data encryption as well as the innovative Mellanox Multi-Host® technology, ConnectX-6 will enable the most efficient compute and storage platforms in the industry.

Yokneam’s Mellanox is a leading supplier of end-to-end InfiniBand and Ethernet interconnect solutions and services for servers and storage.  Mellanox interconnect solutions increase data center efficiency by providing the highest throughput and lowest latency, delivering data faster to applications and unlocking system performance capability.  (Mellanox 10.11)

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9.8  Elbit Systems Reveals ReDrone – An Advanced Anti-Drone Protection & Neutralization System

Elbit Systems revealed Elbit Systems EW and SIGINT Elisra’s ReDrone system, a unique solution for protection of closed air spaces, national infrastructures and other critical areas against hostile drones penetrating the protected perimeter.  ReDrone is designed to detect, identify, track and neutralize different types of drones that are flown within a range of radio frequency communication protocols.  The system was presented with Elbit Systems’ SupervisIR, a revolutionary infra-red wide-area persistent ISTAR (information, surveillance, target acquisition and reconnaissance) system.  SupervisIR can be integrated and operated within the ReDrone system thus enabling full-scale Signal Intelligence (SIGINT) and thermal imaging detection capabilities of hostile drones.

The ReDrone’s open system architecture allows multiple hardware configurations, including an array of controllers and sensors for target detection, tracking and engagement.  The system is also capable of separating a drone’s signals from its operator’s remote control signals, as well as pinpointing both the drone and the operator’s directions.  The advanced detection system provides 360-degree perimeter protection and complete, up-to-the-minute situational awareness.  It can also deal with a number of different drones simultaneously.  Due to its advanced passive detection features, ReDrone also enhances environmental protection and supports the safety of civilians and air platforms inside the secured airspace.

Haifa’s Elbit Systems is an international high technology company engaged in a wide range of defense, homeland security and commercial programs throughout the world.  The Company, which includes Elbit Systems and its subsidiaries, operates in the areas of aerospace, land and naval systems, command, control, communications, computers, intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance (C4ISR), unmanned aircraft systems, advanced electro-optics, electro-optic space systems, EW suites, signal intelligence systems, data links and communications systems, radios and cyber-based systems.  (Elbit 15.11)

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10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Jerusalem Drops In Municipal Socio-Economic Ratings

The Central Bureau of Statistics socio-economic ratings of Israel’s cities, based on 2013 data, found that Jerusalem was poorer in 2013 than it was five years previously.  In 2008, it was rated at 4 out of 10, but for 2013, it fell to 3.  Jerusalem was the only one of Israel’s six largest cities that fell in the ratings.  Haifa and Tel Aviv were rated at levels 7 and 8, respectively.  The cities with the highest socio-economic ratings were all small, suburban communities.  The lowest-ranked cities included several with mainly Arab or ultra-Orthodox Jewish populations, groups that have a disproportionately high rate of poverty.  (CBS 02.11)

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10.2  New Car Deliveries in Israel Down in October

Car deliveries in Israel declined in October because of the Jewish holiday season but overall are up 15.5% so far annually compared with 2015.  A reported 13,612 cars were delivered in October, some 33%, less than in October 2015.  The decline is attributable to the fact that all the holidays fell in October this year, which reduced the number of working days in the month.  Auto deliveries for January-October 2016 totaled 258,743, up 15.5%, compared with the corresponding period last year.  The leader in vehicle deliveries in January-October was Hyundai with 36,532 cars, a 33% rise over the corresponding period in 2015, following by Kia with 34,401 deliveries, up 17%.  Toyota was third with 26,968 deliveries, 4.5% more than the corresponding period last year, followed by Skoda in fourth place with 18,230 auto deliveries (a 29% increase) and Mitsubishi in fifth place with 15,817 (9.2%).  (Globes 03.11)

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11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  ISRAEL:  Fitch Upgrades Israel to ‘A+’; Outlook Stable

On 11 November 2016, Fitch Ratings upgraded Israel’s Long-Term Foreign- and Local-Currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) to ‘A+’ from ‘A’.  The Outlooks on the long-term IDRs are Stable.  The issue ratings on Israel’s senior unsecured Foreign- and Local-Currency bonds are upgraded to ‘A+’ from ‘A’.  Fitch has also upgraded the Short-Term Foreign- and Local-Currency IDRs to ‘F1+’ from ‘F1’ and the Country Ceiling to ‘AA’ from ‘AA-‘.

Key Rating Drivers

The upgrade of Israel’s IDRs reflects the following key rating drivers:

Israel’s external balance sheet has continued to strengthen.  The country has returned annual current account surpluses each year since 2003, and in 2015 posted a record surplus of 4.6% of GDP.  The current account surplus narrowed by around 20% yoy in H1/16, to $6.3b, because of a worsening trade balance.  Nevertheless, there has been further accumulation of foreign-exchange reserves, which had reached $98b by end-October 2016 (almost 12 months of current external payments), from $90.6b at end-2015.  Fitch expects current account surpluses to persist in 2017 and 2018.

Fitch expects Israel’s net external creditor position to be 43% of GDP in 2016, an improvement from 35.1% in 2014 and 23% in 2008 when we last upgraded Israel’s IDRs.  This is four times the ‘A’ median, and in line with the ‘AA’ median.  Fitch’s international liquidity ratio for Israel has also continued to improve strongly.

Further gas sector development will lend additional support to the external balance sheet.  Production at the Tamar gas field off the coast of Israel, which commenced in 2013, has reduced the need for gas imports.  The government approved an amended natural gas framework in July 2016, thus providing the regulatory green light for the development of the larger near-by Leviathan gas field.  The final investment decision has not yet been made, although a number of supply contracts have been agreed.  The controlling consortium is aiming for production to start in 2020.

There has been a sustained reduction in Israel’s government debt/GDP ratio to 63.9% at end-2015 (end-2007: 74.6%, end-2003: 95.2%).  The debt structure is also favorable; for example, foreign-currency debt fell to 8.7% of GDP in 2015, from 14% in 2008.

Israel benefits from high financing flexibility.  It has deep and liquid local markets, good access to international capital markets, an active diaspora bond program, and US government guarantees in the event of market disruption.

Israel’s IDRs also reflect the following key rating drivers:

Despite the fall in its public debt/GDP ratio, Israel’s public finances remain a weakness relative to ‘A’ category sovereigns.  The 2017-2018 two-year budget is expansionary and we expect government debt/GDP to remain fairly level in 2016-2018 rather than continuing a downward path.

Israel’s ratings will continue to be constrained by political and security risks, but its credit profile has shown resilience to periodic conflict and political shocks over an extended timeframe.  Frequent yet uncoordinated attacks by young Palestinians and Arab Israelis have continued with varying intensity since September 2015.  These incidents reflect the lack of progress towards peace between Israel and the Palestinians.  Fitch believes prospects for a realistic peace process remain bleak.

Although Israel’s borders are currently relatively quiet, conflicts with military groups in surrounding countries and territories flare up intermittently and can be damaging to economic activity.  The ongoing war in Syria poses risks to Israel and neighboring countries, which could have an impact on Israel, although direct spillover has so far been negligible.  Relations with some countries in the region can be tense.

Domestic politics can be turbulent, with coalition governments often not lasting their full term.  The current coalition was expanded in May to a five-seat from a one-seat majority and the government agreed on a two-year budget for 2017-2018.  Nevertheless, the majority is still narrow, and domestic political relations can be fractious and prompt a sudden election.

GDP growth is on a par with peers, but has slowed in recent years.  Annual growth averaged 3.1% in 2012-2015, compared with 4.5% in 2004-2011, due in part to slower working-age population growth, less productive additions to the labor force, sluggish world-trade and competitiveness challenges.  In response, the government is seeking to enact structural reforms to improve efficiencies in some markets and the business environment overall, as well as boosting labor market participation.

Inflation was negative in 2015 and has remained negative in 2016 due to lower commodity prices, currency strength (especially against the euro), administrative price reductions and measures to stimulate competition.  Fitch expects robust domestic demand and elimination of one-off factors to push inflation into the lower-end of the Bank of Israel’s 1% – 3% target range in 2017.

Israel’s well-developed institutions and education system have led to a diverse and advanced economy.  Human development and GDP per capita are above the peer medians, and the business environment promotes innovation, particularly among the high-tech sector.  However, Doing Business indicators, as measured by the World Bank, have slipped below peers.  The government also faces socio-economic challenges in terms of income inequality and social integration.

Rating Sensitivities

The main factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a positive rating action are:

-Significant further progress in reducing the government debt/GDP ratio.

-Sustained easing in political and security risks.

The main factors that could, individually or collectively, lead to a negative rating action are:

-Sustained deterioration of the government debt/GDP ratio.

-Serious worsening of political and security risks.

-Worsening of Israel’s external finances, for example, due to a loss of export competitiveness.

Key Assumptions

Fitch assumes regional conflicts and tensions will continue, but their impact on Israel will not worsen significantly.  Renewed conflict with Hamas in Gaza is possible, despite a serious degradation of Hamas’s military capacity.  The tolerance of the rating depends on the economic and fiscal implications of any conflict.  Fitch does not assume any breakthrough in the peace process with the Palestinians or a prolonged serious deterioration in domestic security conditions.  (Fitch 11.11)

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11.2  ISRAEL:  Private Equity Investment in Israel Jumps

The latest IVC-Shibolet survey for Q3/16 found that Israeli private equity deal-making jumped to $1.7 billion in 18 deals, the highest quarterly amount in the past two years.  The amount was 32% above the $1.3 billion reached in the previous quarter and over four times the $358 million achieved in the third quarter of 2015.  The number of deals was the same as in the last quarter, but slightly down from the 22 deals quarterly average of the past 5 years.

While the first to third quarters of 2016 in Israeli private equity had the best performance in five past years – with nearly $3.26 billion invested and exceeding the entire 2015’s $3.22 billion – it was mostly due to the largest buyout of Keter Plastic by BC Partners for $1.4 billion.  This single deal accounted for 43% of the entire period’s capital proceeds.  Actually, the number of deals dropped to 53 transactions in the first three quarters of 2016, compared with 77 deals in the first nine months of 2015, when the total reached $2.44 billion.

Israeli private equity funds kept a low profile in the first nine months of 2016: they participated in less deals than in 2015 – 26 transactions in the first three quarters of 2-16 compared with 47 deals in the corresponding period of 2015, and invested $484 million, or 15% of capital proceeds – a 29% year-on-year fall from $685 million (28%).

The two largest deals, above $50 million each, involving Israeli private equity funds over this period, were buyout transactions, which accounted for 29% of Israeli private equity fund investments.  The largest deal was the $90 million buyout of Arena Mall by Reality fund in the second quarter of 2016.

Foreign private equity funds led Israeli private equity deal making both in the third quarter and in the first three quarters of 2016, with $2.8 billion invested in 27 transactions.  The three top buyouts captured 75%of the total capital volume, while the exceptional Keter Plastic deal was the most prominent in five years.

Shibolet & Co. partner Omer Ben-Zvi said, “We are experiencing an annual volume increase even before year-end.  This figure is highly influenced by single oversized deals, like the Keter buyout, but this is always the case in private equity markets there are always few very large deals alongside much smaller ones.  Rather than a one-off deal, we regard the Keter transaction as a credibility reaffirmation of the local market by the international PE industry.  We also saw a quarterly decrease in PE Tech activity, but looking at the recent late-stage VC fund raising expansion in this sector, we do not think the last quarter is indicative of a slowdown trend.  Despite the instability in world economy and concerns for a potential slowdown, we believe that the local PE market is healthy and still benefits from a growth potential.”

Technology transactions kept their pace in the first three quarters of 2016, with 38 deals totaling $1.5 billion or 47% of total capital volume, down from $1.8 billion (76%) invested in 40 transactions in the same period in 2015.

Traditional industries deal making fell in the first nine months of 2016, with $1.7 billion invested in 15 deals.  While the amount reflected the largest, $1.4 billion Keter Plastic deal, the number showed an actual drop from 37 deals performed a year earlier, when traditional industries transactions totaled $597 million.

The IVC-Online Database maintains data on 37 active Israeli private equity management companies with a total of $11.3 billion under management. In the first nine months of 2016, five Israeli private equity funds raised $1.72 billion, and three additional funds are currently in process of capital raising.  IVC research manager Marianna Shapira said, “As the IVC-Shibolet Survey revealed, there were two major reasons for the drop in PE deal-making in the Israeli market: a decrease in Israeli PE funds’ investments and the drop in traditional industry deal making.  However, since the funds seem to have sufficient capital, and are likely to raise additional funding, possibly over half a billion dollars more, by the end of the year, we believe this is a temporary decrease, characteristic of the low-volume of business activity over the third quarter, and expect to see an increase over the few next quarters.”  (IVC-Shibolet 09.11)

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11.3  LEBANON:  Lebanon Ends Presidential Deadlock; Lasting Consensus Key

On 2 November, Fitch Ratings commented that the election of Michel Aoun as president of Lebanon after a two-year vacancy of the post is an important step towards improving political effectiveness.  If it heralds greater political consensus and the formation of a functioning unity government, this would improve the prospects for policymaking and could provide some uplift to the struggling economy.

However, risks remain to cementing a more effective political environment and the Lebanese economy will remain constrained by the war in neighboring Syria and very weak public finances.

Lebanon’s political factions take differing positions on the Syrian war and had been unable to choose a president since May 2014, during which time the government and parliament have been largely paralyzed.  The deadlock was broken when Saad Hariri, prime minister in 2009-11 and the leader of the Sunni Future Movement party, lent his support to Mr. Aoun after alternative proposals failed.  Mr. Aoun is allied with the Shia group Hezbollah, which is linked to Iran and supports the regime of Bashar al-Assad in Syria.  It is expected that Mr. Hariri, who has close ties to Saudi Arabia, will become prime minister again.

While the election of a president is an important piece in the political puzzle, Lebanon’s various political factions now need to distribute ministerial portfolios and form a functioning government.  Agreement on whether to use the existing electoral law or legislate a new electoral law – often a divisive issue in Lebanon – is needed ahead of long-delayed parliamentary elections now due in June 2017.

Some of these steps may already have been decided before Hariri backed Aoun, but the process could still prove challenging given domestic divisions and regional tensions, including between Iran and Saudi Arabia.  Aoun’s election by 83 out of 127 MPs may also lead to shifts in domestic alliances ahead of the next parliamentary election, after which another new government will have to be formed.  Therefore, a sustainable return to a more effective policy-making process cannot yet be relied upon.

Further signs of greater political consensus would be positive for consumer confidence and investment and deposit growth.  Growth in deposits (a large part of which stems from the diaspora), which are largely channeled into government financing by domestic banks, is the cornerstone of Lebanon’s public debt sustainability.  Deposit growth has proven resilient to political risk, but it has been slowing in recent years to around 5% from double digits.  Slower deposit growth and the heavy absorption of liquidity by the government is also constraining credit growth to the private sector.

The very weak state of the public finances, with public debt/GDP at 140%, and the war in Syria will likely limit the economic benefits of positive political developments.  Tourism, real estate and construction were traditionally the main contributors to rapid real GDP growth of 8%-10% in 2007-10.  Since the outbreak of the war in Syria in 2011, growth has averaged around 2%, with these sectors all facing difficulties.  FDI inflows have dropped to 6% of GDP in 2011-15 from an average of 12% of GDP in 2004-10.

We downgraded Lebanon’s sovereign rating in July to ‘B-‘/Stable from ‘B’/Negative.  (Fitch 02.11)

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11.4  LEBANON:  Christian Consolidation and Lebanon’s Political Puzzle

Anthony Elghossain wrote in Sada on 2 November that in their emerging entente, Geagea and Aoun may restore their political relevance and catalyze Christian consolidation.

On 31 October, Lebanese legislators elected a president.  The election and the emerging entente that made it possible are part of an ongoing realignment in Lebanese politics – particularly within the Lebanese Christian community.

In January 2016, when Lebanese Forces leader Samir Geagea first endorsed his longtime rival, former Free Patriotic Movement leader and Lebanese Armed Forces commander Michel Aoun, the two men were seemingly making moves to allow the election of a president after two years of vacuum.  However, Geagea and Aoun have come together for reasons that transcend the constitutional crisis that they have just helped end.  When they closed ranks back in January, they were seeking to prevent MP Sleiman Frangieh from becoming president.  Nevertheless, in a broader sense, the two leaders entered into an entente to signal to other Lebanese leaders and regional powers that Christian communal cover for Sunni or Shia political priorities will no longer come cheap, restore their relevance in the communal order, and rejuvenate Christian political participation.

After the Cedar Revolution of 2005, Aoun and Geagea returned (from Syrian-orchestrated exile and imprisonment, respectively) to Lebanon’s political stage.  They resumed their rivalry, which began in the late 1980s, by joining coalitions that have shaped Beirut’s politics for more than a decade.  But these coalitions have collapsed over the past three years.  Geagea and Aoun entered into an entente in that context, and they did so for reasons that will endure after this election.

In late 2015, Future Movement leader Saad Hariri and Hezbollah seemed poised to elevate Frangieh.  In so doing, however, they alienated Aoun and Geagea and threatened their core interests.  Geagea lost face and felt betrayed when Hariri engaged Frangieh, with whom he has had a problematic relationship colored by bad blood, regional rivalries and political differences.  Moreover, Geagea understood that he would have had trouble navigating a political landscape with Frangieh as president.  Aoun also felt betrayed and embarrassed.  In trying to secure Hariri’s support, Frangieh broke private and public promises that he would not seek the presidency while Aoun was in the running and undermined Aoun’s own efforts to win Sunni support.  By securing Hezbollah’s quiet consent, Frangieh exposed its support for the old general as essentially empty and Aoun’s decade-long deal with the devil as fruitless.

Aoun and Geagea managed to block Frangieh immediately.  Neither Hezbollah nor Hariri could afford, and still cannot afford, to alienate the two leaders.  From there, although Geagea and Aoun lacked the parliamentary power to choose a president directly, they prevented others from emerging as viable alternatives.  Hariri endorsed Aoun for president so he could secure the premiership, which he needs to maintain his position while he rebuilds his relationship with the Saudis, tries to reshape Lebanon’s political order in his favor and waits for events in Syria unfold.  (Hariri has struggled politically and financially as his relationship with Riyadh has waned and the Saudis downgraded Lebanon as a policy priority.)

Meanwhile, as Aoun’s erstwhile enemies endorsed him, Hezbollah found it difficult to abandon Aoun without shattering the illusion that has helped keep half of Lebanon’s Christians on its side for years.  While it would have preferred a controlled vacuum or a weaker president, Hezbollah can live with a President Aoun in the Lebanon of 2016.  Over the past decade, Aoun has aged and lost support, potential partners like Hariri and Druze leader Walid Jumblatt have waned or drifted to a “centrist” position, and Hezbollah itself has come to exert more direct influence over state institutions than it did before 2005.

Additionally, Geagea and Aoun are trying to increase their own rewards by signaling to other Lebanese leaders that Christian communal cover for Sunni and Shia political priorities will not come cheap.  Before entering into their entente, Geagea and Aoun had trapped themselves in their coalitions.  Because their respective allies understood that neither Geagea nor Aoun would break ranks, the two Christian leaders had little leverage and even less influence before these coalitions began to collapse.  Therefore, Geagea and Aoun had tried to reap other rewards – parity with their political partners, support for legislative agendas, leverage in Lebanese state institutions, control over certain appointments, larger shares in parliament – to solidify their support among Lebanese Christians.  Meanwhile, Hariri and Hezbollah have tried to appease Lebanese Christians without empowering their two main leaders more than necessary.  When Hariri and Hezbollah tried to arrange a Frangieh presidency, they led Geagea and Aoun to understand that moments of marginalization were and are symptoms of a deeper decline.

Furthermore, these leaders are trying to increase their influence, Aoun as king, Geagea as kingmaker, within the Lebanese Christian community and Lebanon itself.  Aoun may believe that his position as president, especially when coupled with his influence in the military, the parliament, and the cabinet, will shape the Lebanese state and the political process.  Geagea will gain from this gambit, too.  Having compelled Hezbollah and coaxed Hariri into matching his move in support of Aoun, he can cultivate the Lebanese Forces as a stronger political party well positioned to inherit some of Aoun’s supporters as Christian consolidation continues.  Together, Geagea and Aoun will try to limit the influence of other Lebanese Christian parties so they will no longer have to share support from student bodies, professional syndicates, municipal councils, parliamentary seats, and cabinet posts.  Even so, Hariri, Hezbollah, and Jumblatt can counter Geagea and Aoun by elevating other Christian parties or politicians in districts they control politically.

In the broadest sense, the two leaders may be trying to rejuvenate Lebanese Christians as political participants in the Levant.  In the past decade alone, two sustained presidential vacuums passed with little effect on state affairs.  Lebanese Christians have seen their presence in and influence over state wane, while their leaders watched as other Lebanese actors sought to overlook them as they shaped political dynamics.  Perhaps reluctantly, Geagea and Aoun have come to understand that they must adopt a different approach to cope with demographic and political changes (regional and international) beyond their control.  Having been unwilling or unable to either coalesce within a Christian community or manipulate divisions within and between other communities – the two strategies available to Lebanese leaders within the communal framework – Aoun and Geagea have at least positioned themselves to consider either or both.

With an eye on their legacies, the future of their political parties, and the fate of their community, these two Lebanese Christian leaders are trying to rejuvenate their roles.  They have already succeeded, to an extent.  Aoun is now president. Geagea is kingmaker on good terms with Lebanon’s new president and future prime minister.  By compelling others to consider whether and how to embrace, counter, circumvent, or end their entente, Geagea and Aoun have restored their relevance – for now.

Anthony Elghossain is counsel to the Cyrus R. Vance Center for International Justice.  He also writes about the states and societies of the Middle East.  (Sada 02.11)

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11.5  LEBANON:  How Aoun Rose From ’90s Renegade to Lebanon’s New President

Ali Hashem commented in Al-Monitor on 1 November that the election of Gen. Michel Aoun as Lebanon’s president ends a 2½-year void in the office but also divides the Lebanese public, with some considering him the candidate of Hezbollah.

Michel Aoun will never forget two Octobers in his life: one that saw him ousted, humiliated and sent into exile on 13 October 1990, and one that came 26 years later when he was elected on 31 October 2016, as Lebanon’s 13th president.  The 81-year-old former military chief of staff sat inside the parliament’s main chamber while his fellow members of parliament voted for him.

Watching from the 1934 building’s mezzanine was Aoun’s family, including his daughters, sons-in-law and grandchildren.  Beside them sat famous Lebanese singer Julia Boutros, whose husband is Education Minister Elias Bou Saab, one of Aoun’s Cabinet members.  At the same level sat former Lebanese presidents Michel Suleiman and Amin Gemayel, along with commanders of the army, internal security and general security officials and journalists.

In the first round, Aoun received 84 votes out of 127, not enough to secure a win.  He might have received more, as there were at least two write-in votes apparently cast in jest or protest against Aoun: one for the fictional novel and film character “Zorba the Greek,” and another for risqué Lebanese model Myriam Klink, who later retweeted a photo that had been altered to show her sitting in the presidential palace.

Klink’s nomination drew amusement and consternation on Twitter: “Myriam Klink?  Seriously?  And we still think there’s hope for this desperate country?” one tweet read.  Another said, “The presidential voting is much more entertaining than Miss Lebanon elections!”  Ahmed Al Omran, a Saudi correspondent for The Wall Street Journal, noted the vote for Klink on his Twitter page.  One reader responded, “So? [Donald] Trump has a real shot at the US presidency.”

Back in parliament, more votes failed to produce a winner, including two attempts in which the number of votes cast didn’t match the number of parliamentarians.  Aoun finally was elected, filling a 2½ year vacancy that had persisted through failed election attempts in 45 previous sessions of parliament.

As the session was wrapping up, former Lebanese Culture Minister Gaby Layoun told Al-Monitor, “I am speechless.  Aoun is a man of passion.  He loves people; he wants to help make this country great.”  Layoun believes Aoun is not looking for power.  “At his age he can live a better life … but he has a commitment to serve this nation, and hopefully he is going to do so regardless of anything.  Gen. Aoun is not someone who could be pressured, whatever the circumstances are.”

In the main chamber, parliament Speaker Nabih Berri — who staunchly refused to vote for Aoun — gave a speech at the end of the session and then called the newly elected president to take the oath.  For the first time in years, Aoun seemed cautious while reading his speech.  It seemed clear that Aoun the president is not the same as Aoun the party leader, as he was keen to reassure different political factions and address their concerns.  While he stressed the importance of political stability, Aoun said his country is currently sitting amid landmines and surrounded by the fires raging in the region.  He said his priority is to prevent any sparks from those fires from spreading to Lebanon.

Lebanon, he insisted, must stay out of regional conflicts and follow an independent foreign policy in accordance with its interests.  Yet in the same speech, Aoun confirmed that Lebanon “will not spare any kind of resistance in the struggle with Israel to liberate occupied Lebanese territories” and “will resort to pre-emptive deterrence in dealing with terrorist threats.”

Lebanese Forces Party leader Samir Geagea, a long-time rival of Aoun who recently became an ally, saw the speech as “promising.”  He added, “The most important part was that [Aoun] stressed building the state, the army and the economy, along with Lebanon’s commitment to the Arab League.”

Outside parliament, Suleiman Franjieh, once Aoun’s ally and today a rival, told Al-Monitor and other media outlets that he will be part of the opposition.  However, he said he regards Aoun’s election as a victory for the political alliance that brings them together.  Franjieh, a former chief of numerous government ministries and current member of parliament, added, “We will go to the consultations, and then we will decide whether to take part in the [new] government or not.”

The threat of terrorism and concerns about Lebanese security were main priorities as Aoun was transported from parliament to the presidential palace.  Helicopters covered the skies, streets were closed around the parliament and checkpoints could be seen in several areas.  The trip from parliament to the presidential palace was literally a new president on the road to assume his power.  But to Aoun, this was more.

This same presidential palace in Baabda was the venue of his 1990 defeat by the Syrian army, which was in control of Lebanon at that time.  But on this day, he walked the red carpet while reviewing the presidential guards.  “It is a rare moment in the history of Lebanon and the Middle East,” George Eid, an Aoun supporter, told Al-Monitor.  “It is not easy to make such a comeback unless you are Michel Aoun.”

While Aoun’s supporters see this as the Christian candidate’s heroic return, there are those who voiced serious opposition to his election.  Sami Gemayel, head of the Kataeb (Phalange) Party, and his parliamentary bloc all voted against the new president.  Gemayel believes Aoun is Hezbollah’s candidate, and Aoun did receive Hezbollah backing.

Gemayel’s point is grounded in popular bases opposing Aoun’s presidency.  These groups are concerned about possible growth in the influence of the Hezbollah political party and its Shiite Islamist militant group.  Such concerns might have even intensified after they learned that the first calls Aoun received after arriving at the presidential palace were from Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

As formalities were taking place in the presidential palace, the streets of the Christian neighborhood of Achrafieh were getting crowded.  Aoun supporters were celebrating their leader’s victory.  Dozens of them sat in front of a huge screen watching, moment by moment, as the events took place on “Big Monday,” as it was called here in Beirut.  They were, for the first time, having a full-fledged celebration.  “He is the father of all Lebanese,” an Aoun supporter who only gave his name as Salam told Al-Monitor.

“A few years ago, it was a crime to say you supported Michel Aoun.  We were beaten in the streets, jailed and humiliated, but today we are forgiving everyone, and we will remember our martyrs who fell on the path to freedom.  But yes, it is time that they acknowledge we were right,” Salam said.  (Al-Monitor 01.11)

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11.6  JORDAN:  How Jordan Survives: Part 1

In this edition of Iqtisadi, Paul Rivlin examines the demographic, labor market, and budgetary problems that Jordan has faced in recent years.

Jordan’s survival as a unified state under a Hashemite monarch has been one of the most remarkable phenomena in the Middle East.  In many ways, Jordan has had everything going against it.  It is one of the driest countries in the world and has no significant energy resources.  It has one port and a very short coastline and is surrounded by countries that have often been hostile or have suffered from conflict.  In recent years it has experienced a massive inflow of refugees from Syria, the threat from the Islamic State, as well as internal problems such as rapid demographic growth resulting in shortages of fuel and water, as well as a precarious economy that relies on its relations with Arab states in the Gulf.  The kingdom is therefore exposed to numerous political and economic pressures in a very unstable region.  For many years there was a concern that the division of the population between East Bankers and Palestinians could cause internal conflict, but that fear has been replaced by other anxieties.  This edition of Iqtisadi examines the demographic, labor market, and budgetary problems that Jordan has faced.

The population of Jordan has grown rapidly from 5.3 million in 2005 to 7.6 million in 2015.  The demographic growth rate decelerated from just over 4% in 2005-2010 to 3.06% in 2010-2015.  Even this lower rate is one of the fastest in the world and presents major challenges.  These demographics mean that the economy needs to grow rapidly to prevent incomes from falling and to increase allocations for education, health, and other basic services.  Furthermore, these figures exclude the huge number of refugees that have fled to Jordan from Syria since 2011.

As in other parts of the Middle East, Jordan has experienced demographic transition, which means that its population is very young.  In 2015, almost 63% of the population was less than 30 years old.  This has had major consequences for unemployment: the economy has not produced enough jobs to keep up with the growth of the labor force and unemployment, especially among the young.

The labor force, which includes those at work and the unemployed, is now growing at about 4% a year, slightly less than it did between 2006 and 2011, but twice the rate of growth between 2000 and 2005.  The unemployment rate declined from 2000-2005, when it averaged 14.7% a year, to 13% in 2006-2011, and 12% in 2012-2014, but has increased since then.

The Jordanian labor market has many peculiarities.  About 10% of the population works in the Arabian Gulf states while the economy is heavily dependent on foreign labor, despite high and persistent unemployment among Jordanians.

There is considerable uncertainty about the number of foreign workers in Jordan.  At the end of 2012, the Ministry of Labor stated that there were 235,000 registered migrant workers, two thirds of whom were Egyptians, while the total number of migrant workers, including those unregistered, was estimated at 400,000.  In November 2013, a figure of about 1.5 million foreign workers was published in the Jordanian press, most of whom were Egyptians and Syrians.  Of these, 500,000 were unregistered.  There were also tens of thousands of workers from South and East Asia, primarily employed in agriculture, construction, garment, tourism, and domestic work.  It was estimated that there were almost 40,000 registered domestic workers in Jordan from the Philippines, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Indonesia, and almost the same number unregistered.  In addition there were almost 33,000 migrants working in thirteen Qualified Industrial Zones, producing goods that enter the U.S. without import duties, under the Jordan-U.S. free trade agreement.

Job creation in Jordan has been mainly low-status, low-skill, and badly paid.  High value-added jobs that paid adequate wages, and met the expectations of Jordanian youth, were available abroad rather than at home in the requisite volume.  As a result, over 600,000 Jordanians, equal to half of the Jordanian labor force at home, worked abroad.  Many of the jobs created in the economy have gone to expatriate workers: between 2005 and 2009, migrant workers occupied up to 63% of jobs created, while over 180,000 Jordanians were unemployed.  This trend has continued since then and as a result, foreign workers constitute almost half of private sector employment, compared with 20% 10 years ago.  The share of non-Jordanians in total employment increased from 23% in 2006 to an estimated 27% in 2011.

The majority of foreign workers in Jordan are low-skilled, with statistics from 2009 confirming that almost 90% of registered foreign workers were illiterate.  Under 1% of foreign workers held an undergraduate degree or above.  The majority were in the production, agriculture, and services sectors.

As a result of slow economic growth, unemployment has worsened reaching its highest level since 2007.  Unemployment in Jordan is heavily concentrated among young people: those aged 15 to 24 years account for about 50% of the unemployed, and at 28%, the youth unemployment rate is among the highest in the world.  Like other Arab countries, unemployment in Jordan tends to be highest among the educated.  In the second quarter of 2016, the overall unemployment rate was 14.7%.  Unemployment among 15-19 year-olds was 40.2% and among 20-24 year olds it was 33.3%.  Among those with an undergraduate degree, the male rate of unemployment was 21.4% and the female rate was 70.7%.

High unemployment, together with a low labor force participation rate, has resulted in a very low ratio of employment to working-age population.  At about 40%, the labor force participation rate in Jordan is low when compared to elsewhere.  With about 35% of working-age people employed, this rate is also among the lowest worldwide.  The overall employment rate has fallen sharply since 2009 to only 31.9% in mid-2015.

The labor market trends over the last eight years are summarized in Figure 1.  This shows the sharp rise in unemployment during the last two years and the falling employment and labor force participation rates over the longer period.

Figure 1: The Labor Market, 2008-2016

161116figure1

Source: The World Bank

For many years finance and insurance have been the largest sectors in the Jordanian economy, followed by government services, transport, and telecommunications and manufacturing.  The joint share of trade, restaurants, and hotels declined from 17% of GDP between 1980 and 1989 to less than 10% between 2000 and 2010.  The manufacturing sector doubled in size between 1980 and 2010, largely as a result of the development of exports of garments and other items sold to the U.S. under the free trade agreement from so-called Qualified Industrial Zones that employed large numbers of low-skilled foreign workers.

Economic growth has slowed down.  Real growth of GDP averaged 2.8% a year in 2011–2015, compared with 6.5% in 2002–2010.  This was closely connected to regional problems that led to a decline in exports, tourism revenues, foreign investment and the remittances of Jordanian workers in the Gulf.  As a result, the investment rate declined as did consumption.  The government did not compensate for weaknesses of the private sector because it was trying to contain the fiscal deficit, and the net effect of weak demand in the private and public sectors was slower growth.  As a result, the rate of economic growth was too slow to generate enough employment to absorb the numbers coming onto the labor market and so unemployment rose.

Table 1 shows the development of the government budget in the period 2005 to 2015. The first point to note is the low level of government revenues from internal sources. Not only is the share low but it has fallen over the last decade. The volume of grants received from abroad fluctuated from year to year and as a result total revenues fell. Expenditures also declined, including the share allocated to investment. As a result the deficit, after allowing for foreign grants, was reduced from an average annual of 5.8% of GDP from 2005 to 2012 to an average of 3.7% from 2013 to 2015.

Table 1: Jordan: Fiscal Developments, 2005-2015 (percent of GDP)

161116table1

Source: Jordan, Ministry of Finance

These figures do not, however, tell the whole story of Jordan’s fiscal plight and this can be seen by looking at the 2016 budget.  The 2016 central government budget included total expenses of 8.5 billion dinars ($12 billion), total revenues of 7.6 billion dinars ($10.7 billion), and a deficit of 907 million dinars ($1.3 billion, equal to about 3% of GDP).  Revenues consisted of almost $9.6 billion from internal sources, and foreign aid totaling $1.2 billion.  This was not the whole public sector budget; the National Electric Power Company (including water) accounted for the budget of several government functions, with expenses of about $2.7 billion and revenues of $2.2 billion (including $88 million in foreign aid), leaving a deficit of $530 million (or $618 million excluding aid).  The combined public sector budget included spending of $14.7 billion, about 79% was covered by revenues ($11.6 billion), 9% by aid ($1.3 billion), and 12% was a deficit funded by the issue of new debt.  As a result of the rise in internal debt, interest payments rose from 7% of total government spending in 2010 to 11.8% in 2015.

The impact of tight budgetary policy against the background of natural population growth and the influx of refugees has been dramatic at the local government level. Municipalities have suffered rising debt, a crippling salary burden, an uncertain revenue base both from local taxes and central government transfers.  According to a World Bank study released in November 2013, municipalities had experienced on average a 29% fall in per capita expenditure (presumably over the previous year).  In Al Mafraq, the governorate that borders Syria, the reduction was 55.5%.

These figures are an indication of the problems that the government faces. It lacks the revenues to tackle the shortage of infrastructure for a rapidly increasing population.  Recent economic developments including the slowdown of economic growth and the limited volume of foreign grants mean that the fiscal problem has become even more severe.

The November edition of Iqtisadi will look at Jordan’s balance of payments, foreign debt, energy, and water problems. It will then examine the politics of survival in a hostile environment.  (Dayan Center October 2016)

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11.7  OMAN:  Sultanate of Oman Outlook Revised To Negative; Ratings Affirmed At ‘BBB-/A-3’

On 11 November, S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on the Sultanate of Oman to negative from stable.  At the same time, we affirmed the ‘BBB-/A-3’ long- and short-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings on the sovereign.

Rationale

The outlook revision reflects that Oman’s fiscal consolidation could take longer than we expect.  We meanwhile assume that government financing needs will largely be funded externally due to the sultanate’s narrow domestic capital markets. As a result, the economy’s external debt could exceed its liquid external assets by more than we anticipate, thereby limiting buffers to offset external pressures.

The widening of Oman’s current account deficit and deterioration in its external position has moved in tandem with the worsening of the government’s fiscal position.  With government spending remaining relatively high in the context of the sharp decline in government oil revenues, import levels remain broadly supported at levels prior to the sharp decline in oil prices in mid-2014.  However, oil export revenues have also declined sharply and we expect the current account deficit to reach double-digit levels as a percentage of GDP for most of the period to 2019.  We expect these current account deficits to be largely financed by a sharp increase in government external debt.  Should larger fiscal deficits and related wider current account deficits result in external debt exceeding liquid external assets to a greater extent than we expect, we could lower the ratings.  In our view, this would suggest a material weakening of Oman’s external buffers available to offset external pressures.  We also note the related deterioration in the Omani government’s net asset position over the period, but expect the sovereign to remain in a small net asset position by 2019.

Large external financing needs close to 120% of current account receipts and usable reserves, coupled with an expected modest decline in foreign currency reserves, is putting pressure on Oman’s narrow net external creditor position (external debt minus liquid external assets.  We expect this to decline from a strong 50% of current account receipts (CARs) in 2015 to a debtor position of 26% in 2019.

We note that Central Bank of Oman (CBO) reserve assets have increased sharply by close to $4 billion from around $17 billion at the end of 2015 to $21 billion as of August 2016.  Most of this reserve accumulation relates to non-resident deposits previously placed in the Omani banking system in 2015, which have since been removed as a liability for the banking system and transferred to the CBO as both a liability and an asset.  Given the direct foreign claim on these assets, we have removed them from our estimate of the CBO’s usable reserves.

Oil production increased to a record high of 358 million barrels of oil in 2015, a 4% increase on the previous year, with exports rising by 5.5% to 308 million barrels in 2015.  Production has been maintained at these levels in 2016.  However, this increase failed to effectively mitigate the negative effect of lower oil prices, with the government’s oil revenues falling by about 34% in 2015 and 12% in 2016.

Our forecast of the general government balance includes an estimate of the government’s investment returns. Oman’s fiscal flows remain weak after posting 16% of GDP deficit in 2015.  Due to weaknesses in average oil prices in the first half of 2016, Oman experienced a larger revenue gap than previously expected.  We now expect that Oman’s fiscal deficit in 2016 will reach 19% of GDP before gradually declining to close to 10% by 2019.  Some of the fiscal consolidation measures on revenue include raising corporate taxes, increasing fees for government services and introducing a value-added tax in 2018 with other Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries.  The expenditure adjustments have included eliminating fuel subsidies; increasing gas prices; and freezing wage increases while reducing various benefits and bonuses for senior civil servants.

We marginally increased our 2016 current Brent oil price assumptions from $40 per barrel (/bbl) to $42.50/bbl, while keeping our 2017, 2018, and 2019 oil price assumptions unchanged at $45/bbl, $50/bbl, and $55/bbl, respectively.

Our forecasts for the annual average increase in general government debt (which is our preferred fiscal metric because in most cases it is more comprehensive than the reported headline deficit) have increased to about 9% of GDP over 2016-2019.  We understand that the government will finance its deficits largely via the issuance of foreign currency debt.  We now estimate that the government’s net asset position will average about 20% of GDP in 2016-2019, much reduced from 53% of GDP in 2015, and falling to about 1% by 2019.  We forecast general government liquid assets at about 50% of GDP in 2016, including government deposits at the central and commercial banks, alongside the government’s investment funds, the largest component of which is the externally invested State General Reserve Fund.  We consider that the government could draw on these assets were it to face temporary external pressures.  In 2016, the government drew down Omani rial (OMR) 1.5 billion from the State General Reserve Fund as part of deficit financing.

We assess the Omani government’s contingent liabilities as limited, including those related to the banking system.  We classify Oman’s banking sector in Group ‘5’ under our Banking Industry Country Risk Assessment methodology, with group ‘1’ indicating the lowest risk and ’10’ the highest.  We assess the Omani banking system as having relatively limited reliance on external funding, as banks are largely funded by domestic customer deposits.  We see moderately high vulnerability to the substantial change in the competitive environment triggered by the low oil prices.  On the one hand, due to the decline in government revenues and the significance of public sector deposits in the total bank deposit base (about 36% of total deposits as of August 2016), we expect banks’ cost of funds to prove sensitive to tightening liquidity in the system.  On the other hand, the corporate segment remains narrow and lending to small and midsize enterprises is low.  As a result, we expect competition among banks in the retail segment will remain intense, which could create new pressure on asset quality.  The still immature domestic debt capital market remains a negative aspect of our assessment of bank funding options.

In 2015, the economy posted very high growth close to 6% real GDP growth, supported by increased investment in the oil sector with new technologies that helped increase oil production to reach 1 million barrels per day.  However, continued decline in oil prices through the second half of 2015 and the first half of 2016 has resulted in lower export and fiscal receipts.  Oman’s economic performance remains vulnerable to energy prices while the volume of oil production is likely to stagnate at around current levels.  In Oman, the hydrocarbon sector’s contribution to the economy fell to close to 35% of nominal GDP in 2015 following the pronounced decline in oil prices, compared with just under 50% of GDP in 2014.  Hydrocarbons accounted for at least 50% of goods exports and just over 80% of government revenues in 2015.

Going ahead, we estimate trend growth in real GDP per capita (which we proxy by using 10-year weighted-average growth) averaging close to negative 2% over 2016-2019, which is well below that in most economies at similar levels of development.  Our GDP per capita estimate for 2016 is $15,300, which we expect will recover only slowly to about $17,000 in 2019, compared with $20,600 on average in 2011-2014, largely due to weak real and GDP deflator growth over that period.

We expect slow progress on the government’s Omanization program – a training program for Omani citizens aimed at lowering dependence on foreign labor – due to a skills mismatch between many Omani workers in the private sector and the more attractive pay and conditions of Omanis working in the public sector.  However, the government’s recent policy measures in reducing recurrent expenditure – a hiring freeze and suspension of bonuses and promotions – could provide incentives for unemployed Omanis to join the private sector.

In our view, monetary policy flexibility is limited because the Omani rial is pegged to the U.S. dollar.  That said, the peg has provided a stable nominal anchor for the economy, particularly because contracts for oil, the main export, are typically priced in dollars.  Reflecting the strength of the U.S. dollar versus other key currencies, since April 2014, Oman’s real effective exchange rate has appreciated by about 11%.  In our view, this represents a deterioration in international competitiveness of the country’s modest tradables sector, which is likely to dampen non-oil GDP growth, absent any offsetting factors such as improved efficiency or technological capacity.  The transmission of monetary policy is constrained by Oman’s underdeveloped capital market, although we expect to see some growth in local debt and sukuk issuance over the next four years.  Nevertheless, we expect the peg to be maintained over the medium term.  We estimate reserve coverage (including government external liquid assets) at six months of current account payments over 2016-2019.  Rules of thumb for the adequacy of reserve coverage in relation to these measures are 20% and three months, respectively.  We also consider the more qualitative aspects of the GCC currency arrangements.  At a time of already significant change and regional geopolitical instability, politically conservative regimes such as the GCC are unlikely to decide to increase uncertainty about their economic stability by amending this fundamental macroeconomic policy.  We expect these concerns will outweigh the potential economic benefits of removing the currency peg.

Under the rule of Sultan Qaboos bin Said Al Said, the country has undergone steady improvement in human development.  Oman now ranks in the 70th percentile of countries in the United Nations Development Program’s Human Development Index.  Although this advancement stems largely from high hydrocarbon revenues during the sultan’s reign, we think it also results from effective policymaking, with institutions such as the Consultative Assembly (Majlis Al Shura) and The Council of State (Majlis Al Dawla) involved in the decision making process.  However, the sultan exercises absolute power.  While the Consultative Assembly representatives are democratically elected, all members of the Council of State are appointed directly by the Sultan, which can pose risks to the effectiveness and predictability of policymaking, in our view.

We understand that the sultan remains popular, but the eventual process of succession remains untested because the country lacks recent experience in smooth transitions of power.  Although we expect that succession will be smooth, without any radical policy shifts, we cannot rule out the possibility that Oman could experience a disruptive period of uncertainty if the royal family does not quickly agree on a successor.  We do not anticipate that the conflict in neighboring Yemen will affect Oman’s creditworthiness, because it appears unlikely to spill over into Oman, which has remained neutral in the conflict.

Our ratings on Oman are supported by our assumption that it could receive additional support from other GCC neighbors (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and United Arab Emirates), in the event of further significant deterioration in its fiscal or external position.

Outlook

The negative outlook reflects that Oman’s fiscal consolidation might take longer than we expect.  We meanwhile assume that government financing needs will largely be funded externally due to its narrow domestic capital markets.  As a result, the economy’s external debt could exceed its liquid external assets by more than we anticipate, thereby limiting buffers to offset external pressures.

We could consider lowering the ratings if Oman’s net external position deteriorated more quickly than we currently forecast, perhaps through wider fiscal deficits than we expect.  We could also lower the ratings if Oman’s debt-financing risks rose significantly through a combination of substantially higher interest costs as a proportion of revenues and a sharp increase in the share of foreign currency and nonresident holdings of total government debt.

We could also lower the ratings if we saw increasing signs of succession risks that were likely to disrupt governance standards or the functioning of institutions.

We could consider revising the outlook to stable if the foundations of economic growth in Oman strengthened – raising per capita income levels – or if our forecasts for Oman’s fiscal and external positions improved substantially compared with our current projections.  (S&P 11.11)

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11.8  SAUDI ARABIA:  Saudi Economy Avoids Crisis But Outlook Murky For Deficit & Growth

Saudi Arabia has avoided an economic crisis due to low oil prices this year but the outlook for state finances and growth will remain murky for many months to come, businessmen and analysts in the kingdom say.

Six months after the government launched its most radical economic reforms in decades, it has scored several victories.  Drastic spending cuts seem to be reducing its budget deficit, which totaled a record 367 billion riyals ($98 billion) last year, by much more than originally planned.  A $17.5 billion sovereign bond issue last month opened an overseas borrowing channel, which Riyadh can use to slow the drawdown of its foreign reserves, buying more time to adjust its economy to an era of cheap oil, and for the foreseeable future almost eliminating the risk of a currency devaluation.

The government has accomplished this without any significant political backlash.  While ordinary Saudis grumble at the austerity on social media, many say they understand the need for it and businessmen praise the authorities’ decisiveness.

However, big questions remain.  It is not clear whether the government can continue cutting its deficit rapidly without pushing the country into recession, and many corporate executives think the worst of the economic slump is yet to come.  “Next year there will be high uncertainty, though we do not expect a huge decline,” said Mazen al-Sudairi, head of research at local firm Al-Istithmar Capital.  “The private sector is facing a lot of challenges.”

A foreign banker in Riyadh, who like many executives declined to speak publicly for fear of irritating Saudi officials, agreed the economy had escaped a fiscal and currency crisis that loomed at the start of 2016. Central bank data shows no sign of rising capital flight from the country, he noted.  “But this does not mean the basic problems are solved,” he said.  “Next year will be a very tough year.”

Bankers in contact with Saudi economic officials expect the 2016 budget deficit, which will be revealed when the government announces its 2017 budget plan in late December, to come in well below Riyadh’s original projection of 326 billion riyals.  Sudairi predicted a deficit of 190 billion riyals; Jadwa Investment, a leading investment bank, forecasts 265 billion riyals.  Such a figure would allow Riyadh to claim major progress in its effort to eliminate the deficit by 2020.

Some of the progress, though, is due not to sustainable spending cuts but to unpaid bills.  The government has reduced or suspended payments that it owes to construction firms, medical establishments and even some of the foreign consultants who helped to design the economic reforms.  Sudairi estimated unpaid dues for construction firms alone totaled 80 billion riyals.

This reduces Riyadh’s outgoings for now but stores up obligations in the future.  It also worsens the impact on the economy of state spending cuts and has contributed to severe financial problems at some large construction firms.  Outgoing finance minister Ibrahim Alassaf said in mid-October that payments to construction firms would now rise – apparently a recognition of the damage that the payment delays were doing to the economy. He did not elaborate.

Signs of the economic slump can be seen in Riyadh and other major cities, where discounts of 50% or more are offered by stores selling clothes and consumer electronics.  There is also a surge in people offering second-hand cars for sale. There used to be long waiting lists for compounds housing well-off expatriates; the lists have shrunk or disappeared, and more villas in the compounds are vacant.

The non-oil sector of the economy has shrunk from a year earlier in two of the three quarters through June, while earnings of listed Saudi companies shrank 2% in the third quarter of 2016, NCB Capital calculated.

There may be worse to come.  In September, the government cut allowances paid to employees the public sector, where two-thirds of Saudis work; some analysts estimated this might reduce those people’s disposable incomes by 20%.  The central bank has spread some of that pain to the banking sector by telling banks to reschedule public employees’ consumer and property loans.  “The public sector pay cuts were a shock.  The effect will spread through the economy in the next few months,” said a senior fund manager in Riyadh.  “For the corporate sector, the first quarter of next year will be the worst.”  The economy is expected to start recovering in the second half of 2017, he said.  However, several factors suggest the recovery may be slow and uncertain.

Between 1 million and 2 million of Saudi Arabia’s 10 million foreign workers may leave over the next couple of years as the economic slowdown causes lay-offs and the government seeks to steer Saudi citizens into jobs previously held by foreigners, said a top executive at a big Saudi company.  That would reduce outward remittances of money, helping Saudi Arabia’s balance of payments further, but it would drag on economic growth.  The official unemployment rate among Saudis is likely to rise to 13% next year from 11.6%, a local economist said.  The planned introduction of a 5% value-added tax in 2018, an important step to strengthen state finances, will also hit consumption.

The biggest uncertainty may be how authorities can push through a key part of their reform drive – fostering a vibrant private sector that does not depend on oil revenues – in the face of austerity policies that are suppressing private demand.  For example, the government is trying to stimulate the housing industry.  Jamil Ghaznawi, local director of real estate services firm JLL, said smaller developers – who provided 85% of the stock in the market – had actually slowed their activity in the past 18 months as austerity reduced home buyers’ incomes and weakened construction firms’ finances.  (Reuters 04.11)

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11.9  EGYPT:  IMF Executive Board Approves $12 billion Extended Arrangement for Egypt

On 11 November 2016, the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a three-year extended arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) for the Arab Republic of Egypt for an amount equivalent to SDR 8.597 billion (about $12 billion, or 422% of quota) to support the authorities’ economic reform program.

The EFF-supported program will help Egypt restore macroeconomic stability and promote inclusive growth.  Policies supported by the program aim to correct external imbalances and restore competitiveness, place the budget deficit and public debt on a declining path, boost growth and create jobs while protecting vulnerable groups.

The Executive Board’s approval allows for an immediate purchase of SDR 1.970 billion (or about $2.75 billion).  The remaining amount will be phased over the duration of the program, subject to five reviews.

Following the Executive Board discussion, Ms. Christine Lagarde, Managing Director and Chair, said:

  1. “The Egyptian authorities have developed a homegrown economic program, which will be supported under the IMF’s Extended Fund Facility, to address longstanding challenges in the Egyptian economy. These include: a balance of payments problem manifested in an overvalued exchange rate, and foreign exchange shortages; large budget deficits that led to rising public debt and low growth with high unemployment.  The authorities recognize that resolute implementation of the policy package under the economic program is essential to restore investor confidence, reduce inflation to single digits, rebuild international reserves, strengthen public finances and encourage private sector-led growth.
  1. “The liberalization of the exchange rate regime and the devaluation of the Egyptian pound were critical steps toward restoring confidence in the economy and eliminating foreign exchange shortages. The new exchange rate regime will be supported by prudently tight monetary policy to anchor inflation expectations, contain domestic and external demand pressures and allow accumulation of foreign exchange reserves.
  1. “Reducing fiscal deficits considerably and thereby placing public debt on a clearly declining path is an important objective of the authorities’ program. To this end, the key policy measures are the introduction of a VAT, a reduction of energy subsidies and the optimization of the public sector wage bill.  To mitigate the impact of the reforms on the poor, the authorities intend to use part of the fiscal savings to strengthen the social safety nets.  The planned fiscal consolidation is projected to reduce public debt by almost 10% of GDP by the end of the program.
  1. “Structural reforms are critical for the success of the program. The aim is to address deep-seated structural impediments to growth and job creation, and create an enabling environment for private sector development.  The main areas of reforms include business licensing and insolvency frameworks; public financial management, including state-owned enterprises; energy sector and subsidy reforms; and labor market reform to create jobs and increase labor market participation, especially among women and young people.
  1. “Risks to program implementation are significant, but are mitigated by the strength of the policy package, frontloading of major measures implemented as prior actions, and broad political support for the objectives of the program and ambitious policy efforts.”

 

ANNEX – Recent Developments

Since 2011, political and regional developments have taken a significant toll on the Egyptian economy.  Underlying structural challenges and the prolonged political transition led to the build-up of macroeconomic imbalances.  A significantly overvalued exchange rate undermined competitiveness and depleted reserves.  Weak revenue combined with poorly targeted subsidies and a growing public sector wage bill resulted in large deficits and high level of public debt.

The authorities initiated policy adjustment measures in 2014/15.  The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) devalued the Egyptian pound by 5% and increased interest rates to contain inflationary pressures.  Fuel and electricity prices were raised and a plan for gradual phasing out of these subsidies was developed.  As a result, the subsidy bill fell by nearly 3% of GDP in fiscal year (FY) 2014/15.  In addition, a new Civil Service law was drafted and a decision was taken to replace the General Sales Tax with VAT.  In 2015/16, however, the momentum of reform slowed.  Planned fuel price increases were deferred, income taxes were cut, the capital gains tax was postponed and parliamentary consideration of VAT was delayed to 2016/17.

Growth slowed in 2015/16, while inflation increased and external vulnerabilities became more acute.  The economy is estimated to have grown by 3.8% in 2015/16.  Foreign exchange shortages and the overvalued currency hampered the manufacturing sector, while tourism was hard hit by security concerns.  Inflationary pressures intensified in the second half of the year.  The current account deficit widened further, and in June 2016 reserves stood at about 3 months of prospective imports.  The devaluation of the official exchange rate by 13% in March 2016 did not restore market equilibrium, and strong pressures on the exchange rate and reserves remained.  By the end of September, the parallel market premium widened to more than 30%, and the official exchange rate was estimated to be overvalued by about 25% in real effective terms.

Program Summary

The authorities’ home-grown program, supported by the EFF arrangement, will address macroeconomic vulnerabilities and promote inclusive growth and job creation.

The program focuses on four key pillars:

1) a significant policy adjustment including (1) liberalization of the foreign exchange system to eliminate forex exchange shortages and encourage investment and exports; (2) monetary policy aimed at containing inflation; (3) strong fiscal consolidation to ensure public debt sustainability;

2) strengthening social safety nets by increasing spending on food subsidies and cash transfers;

3) far-reaching structural reforms to promote higher and inclusive growth, increasing employment opportunities for youth and women;

4) Fresh external financing to close the financing gaps.

The main elements of the program are as follows:

Exchange rate, monetary and financial sector policies:  On 3 November the CBE liberalized the foreign exchange system and adopted a flexible exchange rate regime.  Maintaining the flexible exchange rate regime, where the exchange rate is determined by market forces, will improve Egypt’s external competitiveness, support exports and tourism and attract foreign investment.  This will also allow the CBE to rebuild its international reserves.  Monetary policy will focus on containing inflation and bringing it down to mid-single digits over the medium term.  This will be achieved by controlling credit to government and banks as well as by strengthening the CBE’s capacity to forecast and manage liquidity, improving transparency and communication.  To further enhance banking sector soundness and promote competition, the CBE will review its supervisory model in line with international best practice, including Basel III principles.

Fiscal policy, social protection and public financial management:

-Fiscal policy will be anchored to setting public debt on a clearly declining path and restoring debt sustainability. Tax revenues are projected to increase by 2.5% of GDP over the program, in large part due to the implementation of the value added tax (VAT) approved by parliament in August.  At the same time, primary expenditures will be reduced by 3.5% owing to reduction of subsidies and containing the wage bill.  The fuel price increase announced on November 3 were an important step in that direction.

-Social protection programs will be strengthened to ease the adjustment process. About 1% of GDP out of the achieved fiscal savings will be directed to additional food subsidies, cash transfers to the elderly and low-income families, and other targeted social programs, including more free school meals.  The aim is to replace poorly targeted energy subsidies with programs that directly support poor households.

-The program also emphasizes strengthening public financial management (PFM) and fiscal transparency. Planned reforms in this area include regularly reviewing the operational performance of the economic authorities; improving oversight of state issued guarantees through the preparation of reports; developing a road map for pension reforms; and preparing a budget statement on economic and public finance developments will be presented to the parliament with every budget.

-Structural reforms and inclusive growth. The program will help address the long-standing challenges of low growth and high unemployment.  Measures will include streamlined industrial licensing for all businesses, greater access to finance to SMEs, and new insolvency and bankruptcy procedures.  Job intermediation schemes and specialized training programs for youth will be encouraged.  To support women’s labor force participation, availability of public nurseries will be increased and safety of public transportation improved.  (IMF 11.11)

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11.10  EGYPT:  If You’re Going Through Hell, Keep Going – A Guide to Egypt’s Free Float Pound

Mohamed El Dahshan and Allison McManus wrote on 4 November in the Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy (TIMEP) that the wait is over.

After months of hints, predictions, and speculation, Egypt’s pound was floated on the market on 3 November.  Trading that morning at around 8.88 Egyptian pounds (LE) to the dollar, Egypt’s Commercial International Bank (CIB) closed the day at 16.  Upon announcing the float, the Egyptian Central Bank set a target price ranging around LE 13 to the dollar, plus or minus 10, and though the rates at banks closed well outside this range, the pound will continue to fluctuate as speculation lingers approaching the disbursal of the $12 billion loan from the International Monetary Fund.

The float follows a turbulent week for the pound; reports described trades anywhere from over 18 to as low as 11.5 pounds per dollar.  This panic marked the pinnacle of months of uncertainty about the fate of the Egyptian pound.  In July, Central Bank governor Tarek Amer declared that the defense of the pound on the market was a mistake that had led Egypt to a critical reduction of its foreign reserves and corollary economic woes; his comments suggested to many that at least a significant devaluation would be imminent.  That it took another four months to pull the trigger on the inevitable devaluation only further exacerbated the detriment of the already unsound policy.

Amer’s ill-timed comments underscore the Egyptian government’s (and particularly the Central Bank’s) tendency to poorly articulate and execute sensible economic policies.  Years of mismanagement, particularly since 2014, have brought Egypt’s economy to its knees.  Depleted reserves, insufficient GDP growth, high and climbing inflation, and a ballooning national debt have made brutal reforms effectively the only solution: if you’re going through hell, keep going.  Devaluation is a bold first step on this path, but the temperature will inevitably rise as the next step brings a slashing of fuel subsidies that will only increase inflation.  The government announced a severe 40% increase in fuel prices to mirror the pound’s devaluation, taking effect at midnight on 3 November, with more price hikes projected for the future as the government attempts to curtail its bloated subsidy budget by 14%.  In a panic anticipating the overnight price hikes, Egyptians rushed to the gas pumps to squeeze out a last few drops of less expensive fuel.

Also, somewhat puzzlingly, currency controls remain in place.  The CBE has promised it will remove limits on foreign currency transfers for individuals and importers of essential goods (though is leaving a review of strict credit card restrictions to individual banks), but caps on deposits and withdrawals will remain for some importers.  If the extreme overvaluation of the pound is a primary constraint on investment, these controls are a close second, and counterproductive to the objective of a float.  As an investor specialized in the fragile economies explained, “One of my main red flags is when the government begins to tell me what I can and cannot do with my money.”

Meanwhile, some contradictions in messaging persist.  The government’s declarations, notably those sent by its embassies to international interlocutors, were inexplicably upbeat, touting that the reform’s purpose was to “improve our competitive position.”  In a press briefing with Bloomberg, Amer reportedly thanked Egyptians for persevering through the difficult times that passed. Earlier, a Central Bank communiqué was more somber and realistic, a tone welcomed by observers and investors.

What Now?

While fluctuations will continue until the demand for dollars is met (and this is largely contingent on the disbursal of the IMF loan), the government’s target of LE13 to the dollar is likely to be near the stable medium-term price.  However, this target may not be reached immediately.  Even with the promise of a loan disbursement, past experience has displayed overshooting and the panic engendered by reports of a price of LE18 per dollar will not soon be erased from memory.  Thus, it is likely that the currency will continue an overall depreciation before stabilizing, and it remains to be seen whether the government will be forced to intervene, despite the commitment to a “free” float, in order to cool the market.  Already upon this announcement, the central bank increased the interest rate by 3% to absorb the excess pound liquidity.

The government is also expected to begin relaxing currency controls and allowing relatively freer transfers.  When it does, it will have to signal its commitment to this policy, and not revert to currency controls if the demand on the dollar exceeds its expectations.  As inconsistent measures and conflicting messaging have had negative repercussions for confidence in Egypt’s financial institutions, hedging bets on capital controls would be highly damaging, signaling that a lack of faith in the government’s own target price.

Without a doubt, inflation remains the most concerning repercussion of the floating pound, and Egyptians will increasingly feel its pinch.  In the absence of any kind of consumer protection recourse in the country, vendors and traders will be hiking the prices of just about everything; Egyptians are already prepared for their objections on increased prices to be met with a shrug and offhand “It’s because of the dollar.”  Though many goods have been imported at the parallel market price for the past few months (and at times even higher, as many vendors built in price increases given their uncertainty about dollar availability and exchange rates), key government-supplied goods have not.

Egypt is the world’s largest wheat importer and a net importer of petroleum products.  Just last month, Saudi Arabia halted its monthly shipment of 500 million tons of petroleum products.  The Egyptian government has scrambled to fill the gap, including an import deal with Azerbaijan’s State Oil Company (SOCAR) and a memorandum of understanding signed earlier this month to begin importing oil from Iraq.  However, the bill is getting heavier.  Though depreciation will lead to a contraction of imports and an increase in exports, Egypt’s main sources of foreign currency – tourism and Suez Canal proceeds – depend primarily on extrinsic factors: security, international reputation, and global trends in trade and oil prices.

Exacerbating inflation, the removal of fuel subsidies is the last reform ostensibly remaining to secure the IMF loan that has been pending since early August.  In the words of one expert speaking on the sidelines of the IMF’s annual meetings in Washington, “Egypt cannot afford to stop and halt reforms.  The Egyptians are fully aware of the difficulty of the situation, and their [foreign currency] reserves are too low.”  As Egypt continues the painful slashing of subsidies, the price of goods will increase almost across the board.  The IMF advised against lifting food subsidies to weather the effect of fuel subsidy reduction (at least in the short term), and the Egyptian army has already begun to distribute food throughout the country.

Many Egyptians will suffer from this inflation, particularly those that are already the most vulnerable.  Egypt has faced increasing rates of poverty (which has been consistently high over the past decades, even during moments of accelerated GDP growth)—currently over 27% of Egypt’s population, or more than 22 million people, survive on less than LE500 per month.  The government’s social safety programs, Takaful and Karama, aimed at the poorest and most vulnerable, target 1.5 million families.  Even these programs are not fully effective given the difficulty of social targeting in a country where many have no national ID and where petty corruption and favoritism are rampant.  Thus, the country’s most vulnerable will be left in the metaphorical and literal cold, as they are largely alone to face the rising costs of food and fuel, already a greater burden on meager incomes.  Beyond these most precarious, many families will find it even more difficult to make ends meet, as we could expect inflation to reach up to 30% by the beginning of next year.

For its part the government will soldier on, with few tools left in its economic policy bag.  The challenge now is twofold: marching steadily on the path through hell and mitigating the negative effects on the population.  The government must follow through on the expensive game it has begun, as not only is the health of its economy at stake but, equally important, a bruised reputation vis-à-vis its private and public economic partners.  It must also manage inflation and effectively communicate policies and implications to mitigate discontent.  Given brewing noises of protest and frustration, this may indeed prove more challenging than anyone has foreseen.

Mohamed El Dahshan is a development economist and a Nonresident Fellow with the Tahrir Institute for Middle East Policy (TIMEP).  He previously held the position of Senior Research Fellow at the Harvard University Center for International Development.  

 Allison L. McManus is the Research Director at TIMEP.  Prior to joining TIMEP, Ms. McManus worked as an independent researcher and writer in both the United States and Morocco, credited for her work on topics of globalization, labor rights and political expression.  (TIMEP 04.11)

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11.11  EGYPT:  Egypt and Israel’s Growing Economic Cooperation

Haisam Hassanein wrote in The Washington Institute‘s PolicyWatch 2721 on 2 November 2016 that although security cooperation tends to get the headlines, the two countries have been quietly pursuing other initiatives that could provide a desperately needed boost to Egypt’s trade, tourism, and energy sectors.

On 18 October, Ynet news reported that Egypt and Israel were planning to pursue joint economic projects after years of cold relations on that front.  Although officials are still ironing out the details, the announcement reflects the next stage in an economic relationship that has fluctuated considerably since the 1979 peace treaty. It also highlights how bilateral cooperation has expanded well beyond improvements in the security realm.

Background

Formal economic relations between the two countries began in 1980.  Once the peace treaty was signed, the Egyptian parliament approved the first trade agreement with Israel on 8 May 1980.  Yet, while joint committees were established to enhance engagement in various sectors, actual cooperation was kept to a bare minimum during the long rule of President Hosni Mubarak.

The turmoil that followed Mubarak’s 2011 ouster further precluded the development of stable relations.  However, economic ties have begun to deepen under President Abdul Fattah al-Sisi, whose government faces worsening fiscal challenges and reportedly plans to move forward with initiatives on three fronts: the free-trade areas known as Qualifying Industrial Zones (QIZs), the tourism sector, and the energy sector.

Broadening the QIZs

This April, for the first time in ten years, an Israeli delegation traveled to Egypt to discuss ways of enhancing economic cooperation.  Cairo was keen on increasing QIZ exports to U.S. markets and therefore welcomed Israel’s help.  The country’s various QIZs – located in the Greater Cairo area, Alexandria, the Suez Canal area, the Central Delta region and Upper Egypt – are home to more than 700 companies and employ around 280,000 workers.  Currently, they account for 45% of national exports to the United States.

The protocol establishing the zones was signed in December 2004 as an extension of the U.S.-Israel Free Trade Agreement.  At the time, the zones were critical to the survival of Egypt’s textile industry; the agreement came into force just as the World Trade Organization was removing relevant quota restrictions and signing preferential agreements with other nations.

Since then, however, Egypt has sought to reduce the Israeli input in the QIZs (i.e., the percentage of a given export product that must be manufactured by Israeli firms, based on a formula in the original agreement).  Two rounds of talks have taken place toward that end. In 2008, Israel agreed to reduce its input from 11.7 to 10.5%.  During the second round, which took place two weeks before the Muslim Brotherhood-led government assumed power in 2012, Israel verbally agreed to further lower its input but did not actually do so in practice.  The issue was not picked up again until December 2015, when Israel officially handed Egypt another 2% of its QIZ share.

Tourism

Following the 2011 uprising, Israeli tourism to Egypt witnessed a massive decrease, dropping from 226,456 visitors in 2010 to 133,620 in 2012.  The numbers slowly began to recover thereafter, increasing to 140,425 in 2014 and 148,336 in 2015.  Although the 2016 tally is of course not yet final, an estimated 15,000 Israeli tourists entered the country between January and March, a comparatively small number that reflected the severe reduction in overall foreign tourism to Egypt after a Russian passenger jet was bombed the previous October.  These numbers rose throughout the summer, however.  Statistics from the Taba border crossing indicate that 14,270 Israelis crossed in June, then 29,000 in July and 45,000 in August, comparable to figures from last summer (around 90,000 Israelis traveled from Eilat to the Taba crossing between July and September 2015).

Indeed, thousands of tourists have continued to flock to Sinai beaches despite constant security warnings from Israeli authorities and frequent clashes between terrorist groups and the Egyptian military.  In an 25 October report by Israel’s Channel 2, for example, one tourist declared, “Being in Jerusalem is more dangerous than being in Sinai.”

The one-sided nature of Israeli-Egyptian tourism remains a problem, though things are changing in this regard.  In May, a delegation from the Egyptian tourism industry met with Israelis in Jerusalem and agreed to increase the number of Coptic Christians allowed to visit holy sites in Israel.  For their part, the Israelis promised to increase the tourist flow to Egypt.

Natural Gas

In recent years, Egypt has moved from being a significant gas exporter to a net importer.  This trend will likely continue even after the new supergiant Zohr field off Egypt’s coast starts up next year.

Meanwhile, Israel has made its own large gas discoveries and is now a potential supplier to Cairo after years of importing Egyptian gas.  These imports were once transported via a pipeline running across northern Sinai and along the seabed from al-Arish to Ashkelon, but various diplomatic, security, and economic factors brought the flow to a halt by 2012.  Industry players have since proposed to reverse the pipeline, but efforts along those lines became embroiled in a $1.8 billion legal mess after the Israel Electric Corporation took Egypt to international arbitration for the 2012 cutoff.

The logical approach would be to convert supplies from Israel’s offshore Tamar and Leviathan fields into liquefied natural gas at Egypt’s Edku and Damietta plants on the Nile Delta and then export it by ship.  Another possibility is to give some of the gas to Egyptian industries, since the government often diverts their supplies to fuel domestic power plants.

Buying Israeli gas would likely be just as politically contentious for Cairo as selling gas to Israel was in the past; the Egyptian media and intelligentsia remain hostile to the idea.  But there are signs that authorities are preparing the ground for such deals.  On 27 October, an Egyptian appeals court acquitted Mubarak-era oil minister Sameh Fahmy of selling underpriced crude to Israel.  In 2012, he had been sentenced to fifteen years in prison.

Policy Implications

Since the 2011 uprising, Egypt has been running out of options to save its economy, as evidenced by its struggle to fix growing budget deficits, increasing unemployment, lagging tourism, and dwindling foreign direct investments.  Even remittances by Egyptian expatriates, the majority of whom live in Gulf Cooperation Council countries and whose money transfers are a major economic asset, have decreased since the sharp fall in world oil prices.  If these problems continue, the country will find itself on an increasingly dangerous trajectory, which is not at all in America’s interest.

Even amid these negative trends, however, a positive bilateral dynamic has been developing.  Three decades ago, Washington felt compelled to keep itself directly involved in managing the Egypt-Israel relationship.  Nowadays, changing regional dynamics have allowed the two countries to move closer without a U.S. catalyst.

Given their deep security cooperation and Egypt’s ongoing economic meltdown, the two neighbors might be on the verge of a new era of cooperation, but only if they are willing to provide sufficient incentives to each other.  Such a shift would fit well with Washington’s broader interests in regional peace and stabilization.  Accordingly, U.S. officials should encourage the latest Egyptian-Israeli initiatives and explore ways to further widen and deepen their economic cooperation.

Haisam Hassanein is a Glazer Fellow at The Washington Institute.  (TWI 02.11)

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11.12  EGYPT:  Fitch Says Egypt FX Move Positive; Policy Challenges Ahead

Fitch Ratings announced on 9 November that the devaluation of the Egyptian pound and the central bank’s stated intention to allow the currency to float are major steps in Egypt’s external, monetary and fiscal adjustment and are positive for the sovereign’s credit profile.  But such a large currency adjustment puts the spotlight on social and political risks in an already challenging policy environment.

The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) recently devalued the pound and said the currency would float freely.  It also raised its policy rate by 300bp to tighten monetary conditions.  The currency has since dropped further, to USD/EGP17.5 on 9 November.  The CBE had previously devalued by 13% in March, to USD/EGP8.8.

The key near-term impact of the shift in the exchange rate regime is to open the door to IMF board approval of the $12b Extended Fund Facility announced in August.  The Egyptian government followed the exchange rate move by reducing fuel subsidies, a fiscal reform wanted by the IMF.  We expected the IMF board to approve the deal on 11 November and release the first tranche of funding.

IMF funding will support the CBE’s stock of foreign reserves ($19b at end-October) and boost confidence among economic agents and investors. It may also pave the way for international bond issuance.

Over the medium term, the exchange rate shift should also support external rebalancing, raise portfolio inflows, and ease FX shortages, which have weighed on economic activity, including domestic manufacturing.  The currency crisis has resulted from worsening trends in the balance of payments since 2011 and especially in 2015-2016: declining tourism, fairly flat Suez Canal revenues, the emergence of a net energy export position and a widening trade deficit.  Some of these factors will remain, but the exchange rate shift should gradually allow Egypt’s external position to adjust.

Further exchange-rate adjustment had become inevitable since the March devaluation in the face of persistent pressures on the currency.  These have stemmed from worsening trends in the current account, low reserves, and entrenched expectations of additional devaluation (the Egyptian pound hit a record low in the parallel market last month).  Therefore, the weaker rate was partly incorporated into forecasts, but was larger than anticipated.

Such a major FX “regime change” does present risks, especially when compounded with other reforms to control spending.  It will push up inflation, which was already high at 14.1% yoy in September, beyond our forecasts (we had projected inflation to average 12.9% this year and 13% in 2017).  This will be unpopular, and could precipitate some social unrest.  If such unrest were to mount this would in turn raise the risk to further implementation of fiscal consolidation.

The fiscal impact of devaluation is mixed.  Public sector external debt is low as a percentage of total public debt, but the weaker currency will increase the size of the debt, and the interest rate rise will push up the interest payment bill yet further.  The weaker currency will also put pressure on the government’s import costs.  But the increase in fuel prices and the approval of the IMF program will help control spending (although the IMF loans themselves will also add to debt).  We rate the Egyptian sovereign ‘B’/Stable.  (Fitch 09.11)

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11.13  TUNISIA:  IMF Publishes Fiscal Transparency Evaluation for Tunisia

On 08 November, The IMF published a Fiscal Transparency Evaluation (FTE) report for Tunisia, which was carried out at the request of the Government of Tunisia by a joint team from the IMF’s Fiscal Affairs and Statistics Departments that visited Tunis in November-December 2016.  This report assesses Tunisia’s fiscal transparency practices based on the IMF’s Fiscal Transparency Code.

Tunisia has witnessed a profound transformation of its political institutions in the wake of the 2011 revolution, including a new Constitution that came into force on 27 January 2014.  In this context, the authorities have launched several reforms with a view to modernizing public financial management and enhance the transparency of public finances.  The establishment of a newly elected government in early 2015 also presents an opportunity to boost the reform agenda in this area.

The FTE—carried out by the IMF team, in close collaboration with key counterparts in the Ministry of Finance and other relevant government agencies—found that while Tunisia performs well against the Fiscal Transparency Code in some areas, improvements are needed in several other areas to bring country practices in line with international standards.  Many indicators can be improved in the short term by consolidating and publishing information that are available but fragmented and also by publishing existing analyses that are prepared for internal management purposes.

The report recognizes several key strengths of fiscal transparency practices in Tunisia such as the centralized preparation of fiscal statistics in accordance with the Special Data Dissemination Standard; timely publication of monthly fiscal reports, with comparison between budget forecast and outturn, since 2014; annual reconciliation of budget outturn data with fiscal statistics and final accounts; a clear legal framework defining the time table for adoption of the budget and its key contents; and the use of a supplementary budget to authorize any material changes to the approved budget.

The evaluation also highlights the need to strengthen the government’s ongoing reform process including:

-Expanding the coverage of fiscal reports to include the wider public sector and balance sheet information, with an initial emphasis on financial assets and liabilities;

-Extending the horizon of fiscal and budgetary forecasts and explicitly stating and reporting on measurable medium-term fiscal policy objectives;

-Disclosing financial forecasts of the social security funds in the budget documentation, including all direct and indirect support provided by the State;

-Conducting an analysis of the sustainability of public finances in the longer term; and

-Commencing the preparation of a fiscal risks statement that provides a consolidated view of all major risks to the public finances and associated mitigation measures.

The Tunisian authorities have welcomed the FTE report.  The implementation of the reforms already planned by the authorities and recommended in this report, including publishing existing analyses that are prepared for internal management purposes, will result in a considerable improvement in fiscal transparency in Tunisia in the coming years.  (IMF 08.11)

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11.14  TURKEY:  Outlook Revised to Stable on Gradual Implementation of Economic Reforms

On 4 November, S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on the Republic of Turkey to stable from negative.  At the same time, we affirmed our unsolicited ‘BB/B’ foreign currency long- and short-term sovereign credit ratings and ‘BB+/B’ local currency long- and short-term sovereign credit ratings on Turkey.

We also affirmed our unsolicited ‘trAA+/trA-1’ long- and short-term Turkey national scale ratings.

Rationale

The outlook revision reflects our view that policymakers will continue to move toward the implementation of key economic reforms, as originally communicated more than two years ago in Turkey’s Tenth Development Plan 2014-2018, and that these efforts, although subject to risks, will help underpin economic stability, despite remaining domestic and external risks.  At present, with high net external financing requirements and a large open foreign currency position in the corporate sector, Turkey continues to face large external vulnerabilities, especially if the Turkish lira depreciates sharply.  At the same time, we recognize that the government has lowered the sensitivity of public debt levels to foreign exchange volatility by raising nearly all new financing in local currency.  According to our estimates, just under two-thirds of Turkish central government debt is denominated in local currency, though nearly one-fifth is held by non-residents.  Since 2009, the weighted average maturity of Turkish government domestic borrowing has more than doubled to about six years.

We note that the state of emergency following the coup attempt in July 2016 is likely to remain in place until at least January 2017.  However, we factor our expectation of ongoing domestic political volatility – related to the constitutional reform process, the ending of the Kurdish peace process in mid-2015, and heightened instability along Turkey’s southeastern border with Syria – into our ratings at the current level.  In our view, domestic tensions also remain following the detention, suspension, or dismissal of more than 100,000 individuals, largely in the judiciary, military, academic institutions, and the media, on suspicion of being involved in or supporting the attempted coup.  To the extent that domestic tensions also raise questions about property rights, foreign direct investment’s role in financing Turkey’s large current account deficit is likely to remain well below the highs (3.6% of GDP in 2006) it reached during the ruling AKP party’s first term in office.

Since we last reviewed our rating on Turkey on July 20, 2016, we have lowered our economic growth projections by a marginal 0.2% in 2016 and 2017, largely in relation to the decline in economic activity following the attempted coup.  Recent events have likely exacerbated the sharp drop in tourism in 2016, with foreign arrivals falling by 32% in January-September 2016 on an annual basis.  The drop in tourist numbers follows concerns with regard to domestic political volatility, past terrorist attacks and Russia’s ban on the sale of package holidays to Turkey (lifted in July 2016).  Public and private consumption have been the major driver of GDP growth so far in 2016.  Private investment, meanwhile, has been moribund, raising questions about Turkey’s path back to real GDP growth rates closer to 4-5%, which we believe could be attainable in light of the country’s level of development and favorable demographics.

Notwithstanding the political turmoil, we note that Turkey’s government has enacted a reform intended to wean the economy away from its dependence on foreign financing.  In August 2016, parliament passed a draft law bringing about mandatory enrollment of employees aged under 45 in the Private Pension System (PPS) starting from January 2017.  The government projects the regulation will create 6.7 million contributors to the PPS and Turkish lira (TRY) 90 billion (4% of 2016 GDP; about €26 billion) of savings in 10 years.  As a result, we do not expect this to bring about a significant structural improvement but it nevertheless indicates positive intent.  Other government plans to reduce Turkey’s dependence on net debt financing from abroad and therefore to a large extent on monetary policy settings of major central banks, include the aim to fund the severance pay system, and to cut the bill for imported energy (an important contributor to the current account deficit).  In the absence of such reforms, though, we believe Turkey’s external position will remain a weakness for the ratings.  The government’s reform agenda also targets improving educational standards, increasing labor market flexibility and female participation in the workforce, and reducing the size of Turkey’s sizable informal economy (estimated at about 20% of GDP), among other things.

However, the implementation of this ambitious program of reforms competes to some extent, in our view, with the president’s intention to bring about constitutional change with the end goal of achieving an executive presidency.  This is likely to limit parliamentary and, potentially also judicial, oversight of government decisions.  We understand that the AKP plans to submit draft constitutional changes to the parliament in the coming months.  If the draft passes the parliament, it could be taken to a referendum.

The AKP (317 seats of the 550 seats available) would require 330 members of parliament to support a referendum proposal in order for the constitutional changes to be taken to the country.  Alternatively, the government could call early elections but would need to win a two-thirds majority (376 members of parliament) to successfully pass a constitutional change through parliament.  The next parliamentary elections are due by October 2019, while the next presidential election is scheduled in August 2019.

We have widened our current account deficit forecast over 2016-2019 by 0.3% of GDP as we now expect oil prices will gradually rise to $55 per barrel by 2019.

In 2015, we observed a significant portfolio outflow compensated for by a sharp increase in net errors and omissions and a drawdown of central bank reserve assets.  Financing of the large current account deficit broadly improved over the first eight months of 2016, alongside a reduction in still-sizable net errors and omissions and an increase in central bank reserves.  We saw net inflows (meaning an increase in net liabilities) of portfolio investment in both July and August, following the attempted coup, although in July the net inflows largely reflected a repatriation of foreign assets.  Regarding the other investment line of the financial account of the balance of payments, we note that there was a net outflow in July but a net inflow in August, as domestic banks reduced their holdings of currencies and deposits with foreign banks.  Net errors and omissions are positive, which could indicate an under-recording of credits or the overstating of debits in the balance of payments.

Turkey’s external position remains a weakness for the ratings.  However, we have lowered our estimate of Turkey’s gross external financing requirement for 2016-2019 to close to 170% of current account receipts (CARs) plus usable reserves, from close to 185%, largely due to the lengthening average maturity of Turkish external debt.  An increase in reserve requirements for short-term borrowing has resulted in a sharp fall in banks’ reported short-term debt.  Banks have shifted from short- to long-term borrowing across all external borrowing types.  However, we note that matured syndication loans with maturities of one year have been mostly renewed by maturities of 367 days, indicating only a marginal lengthening of maturities for this portion of external borrowing.

We view Turkey’s banking system as generally well capitalized and supervised.  We note the size of state-owned banks is relatively large, representing about one-third of total banking system assets.  Furthermore, although the banking sector is fully hedged, its foreign currency funding has risen in tandem with declining profitability.  This could represent a risk for banks if their hedges do not hold, due to counterparty risk, or because of the second-round effects of the large open foreign exchange position in the corporate sector (at about 25% of GDP) on banks’ asset quality.

Under our fiscal assumptions, we incorporate our view that the contingent liabilities of the Turkish general government are limited.  Specifically, we consider that Turkey’s domestic banks – the largest intermediators of the country’s external deficit – will remain well regulated and amply capitalized.  Still, we expect banks’ asset quality will gradually deteriorate.  Their stock of outstanding nonperforming loans (NPLs) is at about 3.3%.  We expect the sharp decline in tourism receipts in 2016 will result in higher, but manageable, NPLs for the banks.  We understand that system wide NPLs could be about 2% higher, when including large Turkish banks’ sales of NPLs and large restructurings that are classified under Group II (defined as closely monitored credits that are not included in NPLs).

Turkey’s net foreign exchange reserves – at an estimated $41 billion in 2017 – provide coverage for only about two months of current account payments, suggesting limited buffers to offset external pressures.  We expect the country’s external debt will exceed liquid external assets held by the public and banking sectors by about 130% of CARs, on average over 2016-2019.  We estimate the country must roll over nearly 41% of its total external debt in 2017, amounting to more than $170 billion (4x usable reserves; 23% of estimated 2017 GDP).

The uncertain global economic environment, particularly a possible reversal in historically low U.S. interest rates could, in our opinion, raise real interest rates in Turkey.  This could exacerbate any slowdown and, in turn, reduce the risk appetite of nonresident investors in Turkey’s government debt and equity markets, which have been important destinations for external financing inflows over the past several years.  In addition, further increases in the prices of oil and other energy products could accentuate any slowdown, given Turkey’s large net energy import bill.

Weaker economic growth has also led us to increase our general government deficit estimate for 2016 by 0.5% of GDP to 2.2% of GDP.  We forecast the annual average increase in general government debt (which is our preferred fiscal metric because in most cases it is more comprehensive than the reported headline deficit) at 2.5% of GDP over 2016-2019, in the absence of external shocks that could weigh further on growth prospects, the exchange rate, and budgetary performance.  The government’s draft 2017 budget plan targets a central government budget deficit of 1.9% of GDP, revised up from 1%.  Official data indicates broadly balanced local government and social security system budgets.  Therefore, the central government deficit is the main component of the general government balance.  The upward revision to the government’s 2017 central government deficit largely reflects a marked increase in budget allocation for investment spending (transport and investments under the development program for eastern and southeastern cities) and increased government subsidies to the real sector.  We now expect that the central and government deficits will represent about 2.5% of GDP in 2017, due to our weaker economic growth forecasts.

We foresee the general government’s interest burden at about 5% of revenues and net general government debt at approximately 27% of GDP over 2016-2019.

Turkey’s low domestic savings rate results in low investment and high interest rates to attract capital flows to Turkey, some potentially flighty.  This is also partly due to a lack of confidence in the Turkish lira.  A more credible monetary policy could reduce inflation expectations and result in a higher savings.  We think that curbs to the operational independence of Turkey’s central bank make it more challenging for the monetary authority to credibly fulfill its price stability mandate and to dampen the impact of exchange rate volatility on the economy’s growth prospects.  Although we consider that Turkey’s relatively deep capital markets benefit its monetary flexibility, we view the complex monetary framework, with multiple interest rates, as relatively ineffective, given the high pass-through of exchange rate depreciation into headline inflation.  We note the central bank’s recent efforts to simplify the monetary policy framework.  However, the cuts to the upper range of the interest rate corridor loosen monetary policy settings at a time when core inflation remains above 8% relative to an inflation target of 5%.  Inflation expectations at around 7.5% in one year’s time and 7.0% in two years’ time, are seemingly anchored to the central bank’s inflation forecasts, rather than to its stated target.

Outlook

The stable outlook reflects the balance between the resilience of the Turkish economy against lingering regional and domestic risks, which, if realized, could increase balance-of-payments pressures and widen currently moderate fiscal deficits.

We could lower our ratings if Turkey’s fiscal performance and debt metrics deteriorated beyond our current expectations.  We could also lower our ratings if political uncertainty contributed to further weakening in the investment environment or tightening global policy rates intensified balance-of-payment pressures.

We could raise our ratings on Turkey if sustained rebalancing of the source of economic growth led to much lower external borrowing needs.  (S&P 04.11)

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11.15  TURKEY: Concluding Statement of the IMF 2017 Article IV Mission

On 4 November, the IMF issued a concluding statement following its review of Turkey and it IMF 2017 Article IV performance.

 The Turkish economy has withstood several shocks.  However, increased political uncertainty, a sharp fall in tourism revenues and a high level of corporate debt are all taking a toll.  The current monetary stance balances the need to contain inflation, which is still above target, against the backdrop of a slowing economy.  Favorable external conditions have helped so far, but external financing needs remain large and limit fiscal space.  Nevertheless, some fiscal loosening is appropriate to support the economy. Macroprudential measures should be strengthened to lower foreign exchange risk.

  1. Following a strong performance last year, the economy slowed in 2016. Output growth is projected to decline to 2.9% in 2016, due to weak business confidence and negative domestic and external shocks. The unemployment rate is high and rising.  Credit growth has slowed significantly. Uncertainty has increased due to geopolitical tensions, as well as the July 15 failed coup attempt and its aftermath.

 

  1. Inflation has declined somewhat but is expected to remain well above the authorities’ 5% target. The 30% minimum wage increase and sticky expectations are likely to keep inflation at about 8% in 2016 and 2017.

 

  1. The current account deficit remains sizable. The effect of lower energy prices has been broadly offset by the weak tourism season and the current account deficit is projected at 4½% of GDP in 2016. The economy’s external position remains weaker than the level consistent with medium-term fundamentals.  The current account deficit is expected to widen in 2017, due to higher projected oil prices and a wider fiscal deficit.

 

  1. Significant external financing needs have been comfortably met due to ample global liquidity. Despite some increase in average maturity of external debt, annual rollover needs remain close to a quarter of GDP. The recent rating downgrades contributed to an increase in the cost of foreign funding.

 

The Policy Agenda

The main challenge is to avoid an excessive slowdown, which could trigger a deleveraging cycle. Favorable external financing conditions should be used to rebuild buffers, reduce inflation and address external imbalances.

Fiscal policy

  1. A moderate fiscal loosening is appropriate, but should be accompanied by a credible medium-term consolidation plan. For 2017, a discretionary expansion of about ½% of GDP would support domestic demand without contributing significantly to external imbalances. The authorities could consider an extension of the minimum wage subsidy at a reduced level to support employment.  The increase in public investment is welcome, but should be directed towards high return projects.  The newly introduced project-based incentives may not meet the authorities’ expectations, given the uncertainty and elevated private debt burden.  The envisioned fiscal consolidation in the Medium-Term Plan should be backed by credible measures.

 

  1. Enhanced management of fiscal risks is warranted. With continued expansion of the PPP portfolio and related guarantees, contingent liabilities are increasing. Stronger central oversight, approval, and disclosure are needed.  This should cover guarantees issued by entities other than the Treasury. Passage of a comprehensive PPP framework law would help in this regard.  The mission recommends that the governance of the sovereign wealth fund be aligned with international best practices.

 

Monetary Policy

  1. The current monetary stance balances the need to contain inflation against the backdrop of a slowing economy and should be maintained without further easing.

 

  1. The simplification of the monetary framework is welcome. A framework in which all liquidity is provided at the policy rate would improve the transmission of monetary policy. The enhanced provision of Lira liquidity after the failed coup attempt was appropriate, but should be gradually withdrawn.

 

  1. Reserves should be increased further. Although the economy has buffers to sustain short-lived moderate capital outflows, Lira depreciation puts pressure on the balance sheets of nonfinancial corporate sector. The economy remains heavily dependent on external financing. The CBRT’s focus on boosting net reserves should be maintained.  The suspension of regular foreign exchange auctions is welcome.

 

Financial Sector Policy

  1. Bank capital levels remain high although some buffers are decreasing. Indicators of asset quality have deteriorated, especially in the household and SME sectors. Regulatory changes enable banks to restructure loans in the tourism and energy sectors, as well as consumer loans and credit cards.  Building on the enhanced legal framework for financial regulation, supervisory processes and governance standards in banks should be further strengthened.

 

  1. Macroprudential measures should be strengthened to lower foreign exchange risk in the economy. The economic slowdown is increasing these risks. Moreover, macroprudential measures should not be relaxed for demand management purposes.

 

Structural Policy

  1. Rebuilding business confidence and ensuring public institutional capacity are key priorities. In addition, improvements to the investment climate should continue to focus on simplifying the procedures for starting a business, as well as on enhancing the efficiency of the legal system.

 

  1. The new pension auto-enrollment law is a welcome step in the right direction. However, its impact on aggregate savings is likely to be small and the reform has a few design shortcomings which could impede its effectiveness.

 

  1. Labor market reforms should aim at boosting productivity and participation. Efforts to ease labor market rigidities – such as the recent amendments to the labor law on flexible employment – could help reduce informality and encourage higher labor force participation. The reform of the severance pay system should also be accelerated.  Future minimum wage increases should be in line with expected inflation and productivity gains.  The cost of labor should be appropriately differentiated according to regional economic developments.

 

  1. Better integration of refugees would provide stronger economic benefits. Turkey is hosting a large number of refugees, who are entitled to public services. Although the legislative changes made in January 2016 allow Syrian refugees to apply for work permits, the uptake has been low – in part due to skill mismatches.  A simplified application process together with an effective communication strategy could also improve integration of refugees into formal employment.  Mobilizing international assistance would improve access to education, health care, and public utilities.  (IMF 04.11)

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11.16  TURKEY:  Could Megaprojects Spell Mega Trouble for Turkey’s Economy?

Mustafa Sonmez posted on 2 November in Al-Monitor that giant infrastructure projects launched by the Turkish government have raised the specter of potentially unpredictable burdens on public finances amid little transparency on loan and demand guarantees provided to private contractors.

A key element in the image of success the Turkish government is trying to project is the large number of grand construction projects in the country combined with the narrative that Turkey faces challenges by adversaries who are “jealous” of its progress and resurging power.  For instance, President Erdogan told a crowd of supporters in May, “Why is the West jealous of us?  It’s because of the dams. … It’s because of the Yavuz Sultan Selim Bridge [over the Bosporus]. … It’s because of the Marmaray Tunnel and subway running under the Bosporus.”

The largest “megaprojects” — as Ankara calls them — include a giant third airport in Istanbul; the Eurasia Tunnel, an undersea motorway between the European and Asian shores of the Bosporus; and a highway complete with a suspension bridge from the industrial hub of Gebze outside Istanbul to Turkey’s third-largest city, Izmir.  Yet the projects have never been free of controversy, criticism and protests over various legal, environmental and financial aspects. Many people worry that the construction drive is creating a “black hole” in public finances.

The megaprojects are being built on the public-private partnership (PPP) model and, as such, are ultimately viewed as a sort of privatization.  Though the state remains the owner of public property such as land, shores, waterways and mines, the transfer of operation and usage rights to private companies is, in a broad sense, a sequel of privatization.

The PPP model, including methods such as build-operate-transfer or the transfer of operational rights, is an investment model that the World Bank has promoted and backed, especially for emerging economies.  According to World Bank figures, Turkey is third among 10 emerging countries in terms of the total contract value of PPP project stocks.  Brazil tops the list with $510 billion, followed by India with $341 billion and Turkey with $161 billion.  The fourth-largest project stock, worth $155 billion, belongs to Russia, followed by Mexico with $141 billion and China, which surprisingly lags behind in this field with $139 billion.

Four of the 34 PPP projects that are under construction in Turkey account for two-thirds of the total investment volume.  The largest of the four, the $14 billion third airport for Istanbul, accounts for 38% on its own.  Three of the four largest projects are located in Istanbul, Turkey’s most populous city and industrial hub.  The third airport, the Eurasia Tunnel and the Yavuz Sultan Selim Bridge — the already operational third suspension bridge over the Bosporus — are part of an interconnected scheme, along with Canal Istanbul, a man-made waterway that is still in the planning stage.

The government has cast the PPP projects as the driving force of economic growth, boasting that local and foreign investors are being encouraged to invest in Turkey without spending “a single penny” of public money.

Many Turks, however, refuse to buy this success story.  A wide range of critics — opposition parties, professional chambers and civil society groups — counter that the projects are not profitable, feasible or sustainable.  The critics say the projects rest on flawed growth, transport and energy policies and have become a tool to advance crony capitalism and nepotism.  Major sources of criticism include the lack of concern shown for the environment and historical and cultural heritage as well as a lack of transparency and public scrutiny.

The Court of Accounts, which audits public agencies on behalf of parliament, for instance, has highlighted serious transparency issues at the Directorate-General of Highways (KGM), an affiliate of the Transport and Maritime Affairs Ministry, which leads many of the PPP projects.  “The KGM has two projects carried out under the public-private partnership model.  No record exists about the demand guarantees given [to private companies] as part of those projects, meaning that the worth of demand guarantees have not been reflected in financial accounts,” the Court of Accounts said in its 2015 report.  The auditors stressed that the risks the government undertook under PPP contracts must be shown in the bookkeeping system to allow for a thorough financial analysis, including the strain that projects involving demand guarantees had put on public finances, the government’s capacity to meet such obligations and future financing needs.

Such problems of transparency and auditing have fueled concern that some unpleasant surprises could be in store for the Treasury. All PPP projects involve guarantees, meaning a guaranteed minimum profit for the contractors, both local and foreign, no matter how the projects perform once they become operational.  The Gebze-Izmir Motorway project, for instance, involves a demand guarantee of TL 40 billion (some $13 billion) for the contractors, who will hold the operational rights for 15 years.  In the North Marmara Motorway project, which includes the third Bosporus bridge, the demand guarantee is nearly $6 billion for an operation period of about eight years.  In the project for Istanbul’s third airport, the passenger guarantees for international flights and transits alone amount to €6.3 billion ($6.94 billion) for the first 12 years, while the guarantees for the Eurasia Tunnel cover 70,000 vehicle crossings per day.  In the health sector, meanwhile, public hospitals will pay $27 billion in rent for buildings in large health campuses, which contractors will build and operate for 25 years, according to Development Ministry figures.

The guarantees were based on a projection of economic growth of at least 4% to 5% per year, which dates back to 2013 and 2014, when the projects were tendered.  Since then, however, the growth rate has slowed down to an average of 2.5% to 3%.  The government’s 5% growth target for the coming years seems unrealistic, given the slowdown in the inflow of foreign capital.  So if the projects fail to generate the expected income when they become operational, the Treasury will have to pay the guaranteed sums to the companies, opening black holes in the budget.

The Treasury, along with the banking system, is exposed to another risk from the megaprojects.  The Treasury has backed the financing of the projects as a guarantor.  Amid growing volatility, external financing had become difficult, and public banks were, in a sense, forced to finance the projects at government behest.  This, in turn, upset their asset structures, leading top credit rating agencies to downgrade their ratings.

The credit rating agencies seem to have factored in particularly the Treasury’s debt guarantees for the third Bosporus bridge, the Eurasia Tunnel and the Gebze-Izmir Motorway.  The Treasury, which puts the total investment volume of the three projects at $11 billion and the loans they have used at $8.7 billion, has guaranteed that it will assume all financial obligations, including external financing burdens, if the projects are canceled or related government agencies take over the infrastructure in question before contracts expire.  In sum, the credit rating agencies believe that those loan risks contribute to economic volatility, along with other risks in public finances.

Fresh financial woes are likely to follow the existing problems once the PPP projects become operational. How those problems will be overcome remains unclear.  Yet more ambitious projects such as Canal Istanbul, the Dardanelles Bridge and a three-deck undersea tunnel in the Bosporus are up for auction in the coming days.  (Al-Monitor 03.11)

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11.17  GREECE:  The Charm Wears Off Tsipras – Caught Between EU and Voter Demands

Giorgos Christides and Katrin Kuntz wrote in Der Spiegel on 1 November that when he was elected nearly two years ago, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras promised to stand up to the EU’s austerity demands and restore his country’s dignity. His failure to deliver risks plunging the country into a new political crisis.

The neighborhood around Villa Maximos could be out of a fairy tale: There’s an avenue lined with bitter orange trees in front of Alexis Tsipras’ official residence and the National Garden, with benches for couples, is located just next door.  It has been reported that the Greek prime minister and his cabinet used to take calm strolls here.  After his victory in early 2015, Tsipras had ordered that security barriers in front of parliament be torn down.  “We don’t need a police state,” he announced.  In other words: the 11 million Greeks who love us will take care of our security.

Today, 21 months later, the neighborhood has changed.  Two riot police buses now seal the avenue leading to Villa Maximos.  Officers stand watch in front of it around the clock.

The people’s love of Tsipras has turned into anger.  Because of their diminishing salaries, air-traffic controllers, doctors and teachers are standing up to the government.  About four weeks ago, retirees tried to topple the police buses, their faces full of anger and disappointment.  When police officers drove the seniors back with tear gas, an outcry swept across the country: Hadn’t Tsipras promised that things like this would never happen again, they asked?

Alexis Tsipras, the rebel, and his left-wing Syriza Party took power in January 2015 with the purpose of ending the austerity program and giving the Greeks their dignity back.  He wanted to negotiate a reduction in Greece’s debts and he called for an end to austerity policies.  After his election, people danced in the streets.

In the time that has lapsed since, however, Tsipras has broken most of his promises.  In August 2015, he accepted a third relief program from the creditors and received billions in exchange for Greek spending cuts.  Now he’s raising taxes, cutting pensions, selling airports and ports.  The Greek economy is still in dire straits, the unemployment rate is at 24% and further savings measures are still to come.

At the last EU summit in late October, Tsipras sought to obtain debt-relief measures, though he didn’t succeed.  But on the domestic front, he desperately needs a success.  According to a poll that, of all places, appeared in Avgi, the Syriza party’s own newspaper, 90% of Greeks are unhappy with the government’s work.  Even leading Syriza politicians are already predicting the next political crisis.

So where has Tsipras led his country?  Is he a traitor or a tragic hero trapped in government policies dictated by the creditors?

Many Sides to Please

Answers were supposed to come at a party conference recently in southern Athens.  About 3,000 Syriza delegates assembled in the hall, hoping to experience the new Tsipras.  The prime minister went on stage at 8:25 p.m.  Tsipras didn’t seem tired, his tone was calm, his posture straight.  He addressed his audience as “comrades” and then he tried to portray his defeats as victories.

He claimed that this past summer it had been a “difficult but necessary decision” to continue cooperating with Brussels and sign the third aid package.  A withdrawal from the Eurozone, he said, would have been the worse alternative.  “Grexit was and is not a progressive plan,” he said.  As a result, despite all of his pledges, he had been unable to end austerity policies in the country, he said.

Tsipras had in fact fought hard.  His battle with the creditors briefly brought Greece to the edge of the abyss: At times, Greeks could only withdraw €60 per day from their bank accounts, and stun grenades flew in the country.  During the referendum that followed, the Greeks clearly voted against further austerity measures – but Tsipras put himself above the vote and accepted the aid program: €86 billion if Athens adhered to all the conditions. In order to allow a debate of his plan, Tsipras announced new elections in September 2015 – and won again.

The generously inclined would argue that even for a politician, the kind of mutability shown by Tsipras would be unconventional.  To satisfy disappointed voters, he is fighting to persuade creditors – Germany in particular – to ease Greece’s debts.  By the end of the year, he would like to see a decision in his favor.

Greece currently has debts totaling over €320 billion, which represents 183% of gross domestic product.  It’s unimaginable that the country will ever be able to pay back its debts.  In order to improve conditions, creditors could, among other things, extend the periods of the loans.  That’s what Alexis Tsipras believes, and that might even be enough to calm voters.

But German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schauble in particular has so far refused.  He doesn’t want to talk about debt relief before 2020, and definitely not before Germany’s federal elections, which will likely take place in the fall of 2017.  Every discussion weakens Athens’ willingness to carry out reforms, he argues.  The International Monetary Fund (IMF), which is despised in Athens because of its calls for tough reforms, is Tsipras’ ally because officials there believe it is unrealistic that Greece will simply “grow out of its debts.”  Now the hope is that American President Barack Obama will step in to help when he visits Athens and Berlin in mid-November.

‘Nothing Changes in this Country’

“After seven years of crisis, it’s time that the people finally feel some relief,” says Dimitris Papadimoulis.  Few Syriza members are as familiar with the debt negotiations as the politician.  Papadimoulis is a founding member of the party and one of the vice presidents of the EU Parliament.  Anyone who wants to talk to him needs to walk through massive doors in one of the EU’s offices in Athens – it’s like entering into a high-security wing.

The current aid program is scheduled to end in 2018.  “By then Greece is supposed to be back on its feet again,” says Papadimoulis.  Given the current mountain of debt, however, few believe that will be possible.  When asked what will happen if lenders refuse to negotiate, Papadimoulis responds, “Mr. Schauble absolutely wants the IMF to be involved in the aid program.  This means he will have to accept a compromise in terms of debt relief.”

Still, debt relief alone will not suffice to lift Greece out of the crisis.  What the country needs is investment.  When Tsipras took over the government, he wanted to stop all privatization projects – but he has since shifted positions and is now searching for investors, even though a number of his ministers are continuing to fight against privatizations.

Hellinikon, a former airport located in southern Athens, will soon be the site of casinos, restaurants, malls and hotels.  The privatization is part of the aid program, and it is hoped that the around €8 billion in planned investments there will also create as many as 10,000 jobs.  The airport is seen as a litmus test for whether Syriza is making foreign investment possible.

Odisseas Athanasiou, the clean-shaven head of Lamda, a Greek business whose parent company belongs to a Greek-Chinese-Arab consortium, welcomes guests in front of a model of his megaproject.  Does he understand the critics who complain that Greece is simply selling off state property – and that the meager revenues generated through these privatizations are simply flowing into the endless pit of debt?  Of course, he explains, the site hadn’t been expensive at €915 million, but “Greece should instead ask itself why we were the only bidder.”

In the context of the sale, many Greeks see Tsipras throwing the country’s treasures to foreign investors as the people continue to suffer.  Maria Nikolaidou, a 41-year-old engineer and mother, hoped he would provide real change: “Next time I won’t go vote, nothing changes in this country,” she says.

Friends Turn Enemies

Nikolaidou and her husband, likewise an engineer, are unable to go on vacation with their children and they are no longer saving for their retirement.  There simply is not enough money.  Tsipras had a “clear mandate,” Nikolaidou says, “to end austerity and the national degradation.”  She adds, “It broke my heart that he was just as weak against the creditors as his predecessor.”

Alexis Tsipras cannot seem to please anybody.  At home, people complain about tough reforms, while outside the country, people deride Greece for not undertaking them quickly enough.  Panagiotis Lafazanis is one of the those who watched, firsthand, as Tsipras grew up politically – and who no longer speaks with him.  He sits in a meeting room near Omonia Square, in the offices of a new party he heads called Popular Unity.  Lafazanis served as a minister under Tsipras until July 2015.  A month later, he and 24 other lawmakers left the party in protest over Tsipras’ decision to accept the third aid package.

“Tsipras made a mockery of our radical positions,” says Lafazanis.  “He betrayed the left-wing idea, and turned against everything he used to stand for.”  When Tsipras took power, Lafazanis says, he was still calling for a debt haircut. He argues that the debt relief Tsipras is currently seeking won’t go far enough and that he is likely to meet a brick wall when it comes to creditors.  “The government is in a state of freefall,” says Lafazanis, who believes snap elections will be called in the coming year.  If, in the meantime, he should happen to run into Tsipras on the street, he says he will switch to the other sidewalk. “There’s nothing left to say, from a political and from a human perspective.”  (Der Spiegel 01.11)

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The Fortnightly newsletter is a free service of Atid, EDI. We are a team of economic and trade development consultants, headquartered in Jerusalem, but active throughout the region and beyond. EDI works with an international clientele interested in identifying and researching business opportunities in the region. We also serve as the regional representative offices for a number of U.S. states and bilateral Chambers of Commerce, as well as European clients.

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What’s New at EDI – November 2016

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Mississippi Governor Phil Bryant to Lead Trade Delegation to Israel

Mississippi Governor Bryant will make his third visit to Israel in the last 24 months heading a 22 person trade delegation interested in pursuing business relationships with Israeli firms.  During his visit, he will speak at a NEXTECH, a major Israeli tech conference and meet with government leaders as well as representatives of Israel’s defense industry to discuss their locating US facilities in Mississippi.  EDI represents the trade and investment interests of the state in the Middle East.  Following his visit, senior executives of the Mississippi Development Authority will travel to Jordan and the UAE to explore potential in those two locations as well, accompanied by EDI Special Events Manager, Aviva Lewis.

Illinois to Host Meeting of its Overseas Representatives

The Illinois Department of Commerce and Economic Opportunity will host a confab of its overseas representatives from December 4-10.  During the visit, the group will meet with state officials, participate in an event honoring top exporters and will meet with a variety of companies interested in exploring export opportunities.  EDI represents the trade and investment interests of Illinois in the Middle East.  EDI Trade Director Seth Vogelman will represent EDI at the event.

EDI Hosts Hong Kong’s Secretary of Economic Development & Commerce

During the week of November 13th, EDI will host Mr. Gregory So, Hong Kong’s Secretary for Commerce and Economic Development.  He is visiting Israel to meet with officials of the Ministries of Economy and Tourism to bring them up to date on opportunities in Hong Kong and to explore cooperation between the two locations.  He will also pay a courtesy visit to the Chinese Ambassador to Israel, Mr Zhan Yongxin and meet with a number of Israeli startups to speak about opportunities for them in Hong Kong.  Invest Hong Kong is the foreign direct investment promotion arm for the Special Administrative Region.  EDI has represented the interests of InvestHK in Israel for the last four years.  EDI VP for Strategy & Business Development, Michael Platt, hosted Mr. So.

International Business Group to Meet in Williamsburg, Virginia in December

The International Business Group (IBG), an association of 20 business development companies worldwide will hold its annual meeting in Williamsburg, Virginia during the week of December 4th.  EDI is a founding member of the group whose members span the globe from Australia to Singapore, India, South Africa, Europe, the US and Central & South America as well.  The meeting will interface with that of SIDO, the State International Developers Organization who are holding their winter meeting in the same city.  Among other activities, IBG will host a dinner for the SIDO delegates.  EDI President Sherwin Pomerantz will represent EDI at the meeting.

EDI to Participate in Annual Meeting of Invest Hong Kong Worldwide Office Representatives

During the week of December 4th, Invest Hong Kong will host its worldwide representatives for a strategy session at its headquarters in Hong Kong.  With close to 60 offices worldwide, the conclave provides an opportunity for the foreign and domestic staffs to interface and for the visitors to interact with the Hong Kong business community as well.  EDI has recently been awarded a contract to represent Invest Hong Kong in Israel for another two years.  EDI VP for Strategy & Business Development and Lead Israel Consultant for InvestHK, Michael Platt, will represent EDI at the event.

The post What’s New at EDI – November 2016 appeared first on Atid EDI.

Fortnightly, 30 November 2016

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FortnightlyReport

30 November 2016
29 Cheshvan 5777
1 Rabi Al-Awwal 1438

TOP STORIES

TABLE OF CONTENTS:

 1: ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Israel to Impose Regulations for Marking of Unhealthy Food Products
1.2  Histadrut & Finance Ministry Reach Long-Term Care Agreement

2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Israel Eases Cyber Sales Restrictions
2.2  German VC Fund to Invest €20 Million in Israeli Companies
2.3  Israeli Supermarket Chain Osher Ad Opens New York Store
2.4  Paz Signs $700 Million Leviathan Gas Deal
2.5  Elbit’s U.S. Subsidiary Receives $103 Million U.S. Army ID/IQ Mortar Weapon Systems Contract
2.6  Canadian-Israeli Venture Fund Will Invest in Next-Generation Cyber-Security
2.7  SafeDK Announces $3.5 Million in Series A Funding to Scale its Mobile SDK Management Platform
2.8  InfinityAR Raises $18 Million in a Round Led by Strategic Partner Alibaba Group
2.9  Delek Wins Canadian Exploration License

 3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Jordanian Private Hospital Investment Volume at JD3 Billion
3.2  General Dynamics Wins $65 Million Iraq Contract
3.3  Kuwait Confirms Plans to Buy 28 Boeing F-18 Jets
3.4  France’s Monoprix to Open its Largest Hypermarket in Doha
3.5  HondaJet to Debut in the Middle East
3.6  US to Sell Qatar F-15QA Aircraft with Weapons and Related Support
3.7  UAE & Nokia Sign World’s First Deal to Control Operation of Drones
3.8  Dubai Firm Inks $1.6 Billion JV Deal for Algerian Steel Plant
3.9  Saudi Aramco to Form JV with US’ Rowan Companies to Operate Offshore Drilling Rigs
3.10  DNAFit Partners with Gold’s Gym in Egypt
3.11  Russia’s REMA RTI Enters Algeria Through Partnership with Hidra Hydraulique

 4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Dubai’s First Sustainable Buildings Will Have Urban Farm & Recycled Grey Water
4.2  Saudi’s Acwa Power Wins Tender to Develop Fourth Phase of Moroccan Solar Complex

5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanon’s Falling CPI Continues – Led by Lower Fuel Prices
5.2  Lebanese Industrial Exports Down by 24% Year-on-Year in September
5.3  Total Number of Registered New Cars in Lebanon Falls by October 2016
5.4  Jordan’s Public Sector Largest Worldwide in Relative Terms
5.5  WB Says Jordan’s Education Outcome Below Average Despite Investment In Sector
5.6  WB Observes Jordan’s Economic Growth is in Line with Average Growth in MENA

♦♦Arabian Gulf

5.7  Qatar’s Health Giant Says Largest Expansion Phase Underway
5.8  Qatar’s Foreign Trade Surplus Shrinks 34% in October
5.9  UAE Defense Industry Market Valued at $31 Billion
5.10  Dubai Raises Innovation Stakes, But Still Room for Improvement
5.11  IMF Says VAT Will Generate $1 Billion for Oman Government
5.12  Saudi Youth Unemployment Forecast to Exceed 42% by 2030
5.13  Saudi Builder Says Nearly $100 Million Worth of Projects Delayed

♦♦North Africa

5.14  Egypt’s Unemployment Rate Up to 12.6% in Third Quarter

6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  OECD Slashes 2016 Growth Forecast for Turkey
6.2  Foreign Tourist Arrivals to Turkey Drop 26% In October, Though Russians Returning

7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

♦♦Israel

7.1  Many Countries Send Firefighting Aircraft to Israel
7.2  Some 89% of Israeli Parents Vaccinate Their Children
7.3  Israel’s Arab & Jewish Fertility Rates Equal For First Time, New Report Finds
7.4  Ethiopian Immigrants Closing Education Gaps
7.5  Doctor Becomes First Colonel of Ethiopian Descent in IDF History

8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  Technion Opens New Integrated Cancer Center
8.2  Telehealth Startup Tyto Care Receives FDA Clearance
8.3  Israel’s Novatrans Could Save 7 Billion Male Chicks from Unnecessary Slaughter
8.4  Evogene Announces Positive Field Trial Results in Ag-biologicals Program
8.5  Zebra Medical Vision Launches “Profound” – Medical Scan Analysis from Home
8.6  B. Braun / Trendlines Partnership Leads to ApiFix Investment
8.7  Zebra & Clalit Announce Algorithm That Can Increase Osteoporosis Detection by 50%
8.8  Valtech Cardio Agrees to be Acquired by Edwards Lifesciences
8.9  MinInvasive New Financing Round & Strategic Partnership with MicroPort Scientific Corporation

9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Olam Announces Deployment of Phytech Technology in Australian Almond Orchards
9.2  CyberArk Adds Credential Theft Blocking to Expand Privilege Protection at the Endpoint
9.3  PacketLight’s PL-2000M Delivers New Standard of Performance for Data Center Interconnect
9.4  Optimal+ Saves Customers Over $250 Million During 12-Month Period
9.5  AnyClip Recognized as 2nd Fastest Growing Company on Deloitte Israel Technology Fast 50 List

10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israeli Economy Grew by 3.2% During Third Quarter
10.2  Israel’s Unemployment Rate Hits All-Time Low
10.3  Israel’s Wealthy Number 105,000 Millionaires and 18 Billionaires
10.4  New Israel Poverty Index Ranks Jerusalem Near Bottom
10.5  Israel’s Income Gap Narrows

11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  LEBANON: Lebanese Hospital Care: Structural Deficiencies Hindering Development
11.2  KUWAIT: Kuwait’s Snap Election Revives Parliamentary Opposition, But Not Reform
11.3  SAUDI ARABIA: Saudi Arabia and the Oil Pricing Wars of the Middle East
11.4  EGYPT: How Will Egypt Spend its $12 Billion from the IMF?
11.5  EGYPT: Egypt’s Economy: Not Out of the Woods Yet
11.6  MOROCCO: Morocco Takes Lead in Climate Change Fight, But at What Cost?
11.7  TURKEY: Turkey’s Emergency Rule Fuels Brain Drain
11.8  TURKEY: AKP Bill to Pardon Child Rapists Who Marry Their Victims

1:  ISRAEL GOVERNMENT ACTIONS & STATEMENTS

1.1  Israel to Impose Regulations for Marking of Unhealthy Food Products

After long months of discussions, the Ministry of Health “Committee for Regulation to Promote Healthy Nutrition” submitted its food labelling recommendations on 21 November.  According to the recommendations, food manufacturers will be required to mark food products containing high level of sugar, salt or fat with a warning label.  The label will be red, in order to make the warning clear.  These recommendations will be implemented in three stages, with increasingly stringent regulations concerning the level of ingredients requiring labeling at each stage.  The first stage will start in January 2018, the second stage 18 months later, in July 2019, while the last stage will come into effect in December 2020.  Food manufacturers will also be obliged to state the number of spoons of sugar in each food product and the will be prohibited from advertising products marked as unhealthy to children.

Although the committee discussed recommendations to impose regulations on fast food restaurants, including recommendations to obligate fast food chains to list the number of spoons of sugar on beverages, the final report does not include such recommendations.  (Globes 21.11)

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1.2  Histadrut & Finance Ministry Reach Long-Term Care Agreement

A meeting between Histadrut (General Federation of Labor in Israel) chairman Nissenkorn and senior Ministry of Finance officials headed by Deputy Finance Minister Cohen ended on 22 November in understandings that will allow the removal of the threatened general strike.  The understandings are based on three main components.  The first is an initial agreement in principle that will allow implementation of a long-term collective care agreement (for a person’s lifetime).  The second component is a commitment by the State to form overall policies for the issue of nursing care insurance (for the three levels of care available today for care coverage national insurance, health funds and private insurance).

One of the main ideas proposed in this context by the Minister of Health Litzman is to increase health tax by an overall NIS 2 billion annually so that the State can finance care insurance for all its citizens – instead of private insurance.  The third component agreed upon in the latest arrangements includes temporary insurance, which will be extended for an additional year in order to avoid a situation in which temporary insurance expires without an appropriate alternative providing care insurance for workers without coverage.  (Globes 23.11)

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2:  ISRAEL MARKET & BUSINESS NEWS

2.1  Israel Eases Cyber Sales Restrictions

After liberalizing earlier this year its export control policy on dual-use, cyber-related products and services, the Israeli government is now reaching out to select military end users in a concerted push to surge cybersecurity sales.  The director of the Defense Ministry’s Export and International Cooperation Directorate (SIBAT) told an international conference in Tel Aviv that his organization has declared 2017 “Israel’s year of cybersecurity exports” and, as such, is targeting more than 20 countries for enhanced cyber-related trade.

According to Israel’s National Cyber Directorate (NCD), cyber-related exports in 2015 amounted to about $4 billion, about $800 million above year-end 2014 figures and more than all other nations combined apart from the US.  Estimated Israeli cyber exports for 2016 are expected to reach the $5 billion mark.  These figures include all cyber-related exports, from commercial off-the-shelf and dual-use capabilities through sensitive military-end use products, services and technologies.  (MoD 15.11)

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2.2  German VC Fund to Invest €20 Million in Israeli Companies

Venture capital fund r24, controlled by the German accelerator rent24, is expected to invest €20 million (NIS 80 million) in Israeli startups.  Rent24 operates co-working and co-living spaces.  In addition to its regular activity, rent24 also operates a startup accelerator which will enable Israeli companies to gain exposure to the European, and specifically German, technology ecosystem.  The accelerator will offer companies financing of €50,000 – €2 million and further support, to include networking, advertising and more.  The accelerator’s investments will be made in exchange for shares.  Rent24 does not focus on a specific field – the company intends to scout for companies that are at relatively early stages.

The companies awarded financing will not be required to transfer operations to Germany, but could relocate to Berlin for a limited period.  The first cycle of the accelerator is expected to include 30 companies, which will be supported for three months-a year.  (Globes 16.11)

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2.3  Israeli Supermarket Chain Osher Ad Opens New York Store

Israeli supermarket chain Osher Ad opened its first branch in New York in mid-November.  The Brooklyn store, named Bingo, represents a $9 million investment by the company and a U.S.-based partner.  Founded in 2009, Osher Ad is Israel’s fourth-largest supermarket chain, numbering 15 stores.  The store was opened in Brooklyn because of its large Jewish population and high demand for kosher foods.  With 45,000 households to potentially cater to, the store could generate annual revenue of some $100 million.  Should the store prove successful, the chain plans to open additional stores in cities with large Jewish communities.  (Various 24.11)

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2.4  Paz Signs $700 Million Leviathan Gas Deal

Paz Oil Company announced that its subsidiary Paz Ashdod Oil Refinery had signed a natural gas supply agreement with the Leviathan partners.  Under the terms of the agreement, the Leviathan partners will supply Paz Ashdod Oil Refinery with 3.12 billion cubic meters (BCM) of natural gas over a maximum period of 15 years or until the Paz unit will end its need for quantities of gas.

Paz estimates that the overall value of the agreement will amount to $700 million, on the assumption that Paz Ashdod Oil Refinery will need the amount of gas stipulated in the “take or pay” contract.  The contract reflects a price of $6.20 per thermal unit.  The company makes clear, however, that the financial value will effectively derive from a range of factors including the amount of natural gas that it will actually buy, the price of a barrel of Brent crude oil, and electricity production tariffs.

Paz Ashdod Oil Refinery is engaged in producing oil refining products and producing electricity for both its own use and selling to external customers.  (Globes 24.11)

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2.5  Elbit’s U.S. Subsidiary Receives $103 Million U.S. Army ID/IQ Mortar Weapon Systems Contract

Elbit Systems announced that its U.S. subsidiary, Elbit Systems of America, LLC was awarded an Indefinite Delivery/Indefinite Quantity (‘ID/IQ’) contract for the production of mortar weapon systems.  The contract, with a maximum value of up to approximately $103 million, will be performed over five-year period.  An initial purchase order, in an amount that is not material to the company, have already been awarded.  Elbit Systems of America signed a Memorandum of Understanding (‘MOU’) with the United States Army’s Watervliet Arsenal (WVA), New York, which will effectively employ WVA as a subcontractor to Elbit Systems of America on many mortar components.  The award of the mortar weapon systems solidifies Elbit Systems of America’s position as the leading provider of mortar systems for the U.S. Army.

Haifa’s Elbit Systems is an international high technology company engaged in a wide range of defense, homeland security and commercial programs throughout the world.  The Company, which includes Elbit Systems and its subsidiaries, operates in the areas of aerospace, land and naval systems, command, control, communications, computers, intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance (‘C4ISR’), unmanned aircraft systems, advanced electro-optics, electro-optic space systems, EW suites, signal intelligence systems, data links and communications systems, radios and cyber-based systems.  The Company also focuses on the upgrading of existing platforms, developing new technologies for defense, homeland security and commercial applications and providing a range of support services, including training and simulation systems.  (Elbit 23.11)

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2.6  Canadian-Israeli Venture Fund Will Invest in Next-Generation Cyber-Security

One of the world’s first venture funds devoted to homeland security is being launched in Toronto to invest in Israeli and Canadian cyber-security, intelligence and physical security technology companies.  The AWZ HLS Investment Fund has already invested in two Israeli companies and is vetting investments in other Canadian and Israeli companies.  Homeland security is one of the fastest-growing industries in the world, projected to grow to $544 billion by 2018.  (AWZ HLS 25.11)

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2.7  SafeDK Announces $3.5 Million in Series A Funding to Scale its Mobile SDK Management Platform

SafeDK has closed a Series A investment round of $3.5 million from Samsung Next Tel Aviv, Marius Nacht, StageOne Ventures, Kaedan Capital, as well as leading angel investor Leon Waisbein.  This funding round follows a seed investment of $2.25 million that was announced in November 2015 and was led by StageOne Ventures.  The company is also announcing the release of the first ever iOS SDK Management Platform, after the completion of a successful iOS beta integration in hundreds of thousands of mobile devices.  The Android solution was launched less than a year ago and is already deployed on millions of mobile devices worldwide.  SafeDK will use the funds of the current financing round to scale its operation, increase hiring and enhance its expansion in the US market.

Herzliya’s SafeDK is a complete mobile SDKs management platform which enables app publishers to build better and safer apps.  SafeDK covers the entire span of the app development cycle, from finding the top-rated SDKs in the SafeDK Marketplace, to ongoing monitoring and real-time control of SDKs.  (SafeDK 28.11)

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2.8  InfinityAR Raises $18 Million in a Round Led by Strategic Partner Alibaba Group

Infinity Augmented Reality has closed an $18 million Series C financing round.  The round was led by the Alibaba Group, the largest online and mobile commerce company in the world in terms of gross merchandise volume, with participation from InfinityAR’s existing Series B investor, SUN CORPORATION, a large Japanese public company.  The funds will allow InfinityAR to finance additional research and development of its product offerings at a faster pace, as well as marketing activities such as the establishment of a customer integration and support group.

InfinityAR has pioneered its solution for augmented reality headsets by using standard, off the shelf, mobile cameras and IMU to efficiently map the environment while also enabling Inside-Out Marker-less Orientation and Positional Tracking (SLAM) for the augmented reality world.  This combination makes InfinityAR’s engine the perfect solution for enabling all glasses with the ability to understand their surroundings. InfinityAR’s engine enables vendors of AR headsets to reduce their cost, reduce motion to photon latency, and reduce power consumption, by way of using the inside-out SLAM approach.

Petah Tikva’s InfinityAR’s vision is about creating a new digital environment that will allow people to naturally interact with augmented content in their physical surroundings.  InfinityAR’s augmented reality development engine enables accurate 3D digital scene representation of one’s current physical environment, using basic, affordable hardware.  It is designed to turn any device into a powerful content augmentation platform, so developers can quickly and easily introduce applications with rich AR experiences to market.  (Infinity AR 29.11)

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3:  REGIONAL PRIVATE SECTOR NEWS

3.1  Jordanian Private Hospital Investment Volume at JD3 Billion

Investments in the private hospital sector amounted to over JD3 billion, said President of Jordan’s Private Hospital Association, stressing the importance of the medical tourism’s input in the national economy.  He told a seminar on therapeutic tourism, held within the 8th International Conference of the Royal Medical Services, that the private hospital sector provides jobs for a large number of Jordanians in various technical and administrative fields.  Though qualified medical staff is the key to a successful therapeutic tourism, there is a shortage in specialists due to a brain drain in the sector as Jordanian doctors are lured by better jobs abroad.  Nevertheless, competitive medical prices in the Hashemite Kingdom, which are the lowest compared with other countries, especially given the distinguished service.  (AMMONNEWS 19.11)

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3.2  General Dynamics Wins $65 Million Iraq Contract

Michigan-based General Dynamics Land Systems has been awarded a $65 million cost-plus-fixed-fee foreign military sales contract for contractor logistic support and training for M1A1 tanks and M88A2 recovery vehicles for Iraq.  Bids were solicited via the Internet with one received.  Work will be performed in Iraq (85%); and Sterling Heights, Michigan (15%), with an estimated completion date of 31 December 2017.  (US DoD 24.11)

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3.3  Kuwait Confirms Plans to Buy 28 Boeing F-18 Jets

Kuwait plans to buy 28 Boeing F-18 Super Hornets, 10 days after the US State Department notified Congress of the possible sale of 40 of the warplanes to the Gulf Arab state.  The chief of the military’s Armament and Procurement Authority also said Kuwait planned to return a number of outdated F-18s in its inventory as part of the purchase deal.  The fighter aircraft are increasingly important to Kuwait amid rising regional tensions between Saudi Arabia and Iran, whose struggle for regional pre-dominance underpins wars and political tensions across the Middle East. Kuwait, an ally of Saudi Arabia, is also part of a Saudi-led coalition in Yemen.  Boeing, Northrop Grumman Corp, Raytheon Co and General Electric Co are the prime contractors for the proposed sale.  (Reuters 28.11)

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3.4  France’s Monoprix to Open its Largest Hypermarket in Doha

Doha Festival City, which opens its doors in February next year, has taken a step closer towards completion, confirming the inclusion of the largest Monoprix Hypermarket worldwide.  The renowned French retail chain will boast more than 35,000 goods within its 7,000 sq m location, including several product lines that will be new and exclusive to Qatar from both local and international brands, a statement said.  It added that Qatar’s new store will include the widest range of organic, fresh items from local farmers while it will be home to an authentic French bakery, a waffle house and a “Cave Fromage” which will be stocked with a wide selection of the finest international cheeses.  Monoprix will be just one of more than 500 retail brands opening on site – with other offerings including fine and casual dining, green spaces as well as indoor and outdoor entertainment hubs.  (QB 26.11)

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3.5  HondaJet to Debut in the Middle East

Greensboro, N.C.’s Honda Aircraft Company announced that it will showcase the HondaJet at the Middle East Business Aviation Association (MEBAA) Conference in Dubai, the region’s premier business aviation event.  The appearance at the Dubai World Central – Al Maktoum International Airport will mark the first time a HondaJet will be on public display in the Middle East.  With a maximum cruise speed of 422 knots (486 mph) the HondaJet is the fastest jet in its class; it soars highest in its class with a maximum altitude of 43,000 feet; and it is the most fuel-efficient light jet in its class by up to 17%. It has an NBAA IFR range of 1,223 nautical miles (1,408 miles).

The HondaJet is the fastest, highest-flying, quietest, and most fuel-efficient jet in its class.  The HondaJet incorporates many technological innovations in aviation design, including the unique Over-The-Wing Engine Mount (OTWEM) configuration that dramatically improves performance and fuel efficiency by reducing aerodynamic drag.  Honda Aircraft Company is a wholly owned subsidiary of American Honda Motor Co., Inc.  Founded in 2006, Honda Aircraft’s world headquarters is located in North Carolina, the birthplace of aviation.  (Honda Aircraft 22.11)

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3.6  US to Sell Qatar F-15QA Aircraft with Weapons and Related Support

The State Department has made a determination approving a possible Foreign Military Sale to the Government of Qatar for F-15QA aircraft with weapons and related support, equipment and training.  The estimated cost is $21.1 billion.  The Defense Security Cooperation Agency delivered the required certification notifying Congress of this possible sale on 17 November.

The Government of Qatar requested to purchase seventy-two (72) F-15QA multi-role fighter aircraft and associated weapons package; the provision for continental United States based Lead-in-Fighter-Training for the F-15QA; associated ground support; training materials; mission critical resources and maintenance support equipment; the procurement for various weapon support and test equipment spares; technical publications; personnel training; simulators and other training equipment; U.S. Government and contractor engineering; technical and logistics support services; and other related elements of logistical and program support.  The estimated total program value is $21.1 billion.  The proposed sale improves Qatar’s capability to meet current and future enemy air-to-air and air-to-ground threats.  Qatar will use the capability as a deterrent to regional threats and to strengthen its homeland defense. Qatar will have no difficulty absorbing these aircraft into its armed forces.

The prime contractor will be Boeing Corporation of Chicago, Illinois.  The Purchaser typically requests offsets.  Any offset agreement will be defined in negotiations between the purchaser and the contractor. Additional contractors include:

  • Astronautics Corporation of America, Arlington VA
  • BAE Systems, Arlington, VA
  • Elbit Systems of America, Fort Worth, TX
  • General Electric Aviation of Cincinnati, OH
  • Honeywell Aerospace, Phoenix, AZ
  • Lockheed Martin Aeronautics Company, Fort Worth, TX
  • L3 Communications, Arlington, TX
  • NAVCOM, Torrance, CA Raytheon, Waltham, MA
  • Rockwell Collins, Cedar Rapids, IA
  • Teledyne Electronic Safety Products, Thousand Oaks, CA
  • UTC Aerospace Systems, Charlotte, NC


Implementation of this sale requires the assignment of approximately 24 additional U.S. Government and approximately 150 contractor representatives to Qatar.  This notice of a potential sale is required by law and does not mean the sale has been concluded.  (DoS 17.11)

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3.7  UAE & Nokia Sign World’s First Deal to Control Operation of Drones

Nokia and the UAE’s General Civil Aviation Authority (GCAA) have entered into a collaboration to drive the development of a system to allow the operation of drones by both businesses and government agencies in a safe, secure and managed environment.  At the heart of the new ecosystem will be Nokia’s UAV Traffic Management (UTM) concept, which is being developed to manage drones in and around cities.  The Nokia UTM system will provide capabilities such as automated flight permissions, no-fly zone control and beyond-visual-line-of-sight (BVLOS) that are critical for the safe operation of UAVs in densely populated urban areas.  The ecosystem will also serve as a testing ground for various applications of drone technology, which can be explored in a safe and controlled environment, according to a statement.

Operations at Dubai’s main airport, the world’s busiest for international passengers, were halted for an hour on 29 October, delaying 40 flights.  It was the third time they had been temporarily stopped in four months because of drones.  Nokia said its UTM concept will be able to monitor airspace and flight paths, and share data between UAVs, operators and air traffic controllers and establish no-fly zones that can be continually refreshed with the latest data.  (AB 21.11)

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3.8  Dubai Firm Inks $1.6 Billion JV Deal for Algerian Steel Plant

Emarat Dzayer Group, a Dubai-based conglomerate, and Groupe Imetal, a Government of Algeria entity, have signed an agreement to develop a $1.6 billion steel plant in Algeria’s Annaba Province.  The agreement will create Emarat Dzayer Steel Company, a joint venture in which Groupe Imetal will hold 51% stake through its two subsidiaries – Naftal (41%) and Asimdal (10%) – with 49% held by Emarat Dzayer Group.  Emarat Dzayer Steel Company said it will produce 1.5 million metric tons of directly reduced iron per year and 1 million metric tons of steel in the form of rails, steel structures and seamless pipes.  The value added products of this plant will generate and save foreign exchange reserve and thereby support the local economic growth.

Bilateral trade between Algeria and the UAE stands at AED3.6 billion in 2015 and UAE investments in Algeria amounted to more than $9 billion.  The joint venture will also set up a manufacturing, blending and packaging facilities of lubricants and industrial lube oils catering auto, aviation, marine and industrial.  (AB 22.11)

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3.9  Saudi Aramco to Form JV with US’ Rowan Companies to Operate Offshore Drilling Rigs

Rowan Companies said it was forming a joint venture with Saudi Arabian state oil company Saudi Aramco to operate offshore drilling rigs in the country.  Rowan said it would provide three jack-up rigs and Saudi Aramco two when the joint venture begins operations in the second quarter of 2017.  Both companies would contribute $25 million as working capital.  Rowan will supply two more rigs in late 2018 and Saudi Aramco will make a matching cash contribution.  Rowan said the rigs would receive contracts for an aggregate 15 years, renewed and re-priced every three years, provided that the rigs meet the technical and operational requirements of Saudi Aramco.  (AB 25.11)

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3.10  DNAFit Partners with Gold’s Gym in Egypt

Gold’s Gym Egypt and UK company DNAFit announced their official partnership.  For the first time in Egypt, people will be able to attain their individual fitness goals not only based on expert advice, but with the guidance of their genetic makeup.  Through this partnership, people will be able to receive a personalized report explaining to them details such as their response to power or endurance exercise, food sensitivities, and recovery time.  Education regarding how to read and understand these reports will be available as well. DNAFit has signed an exclusive agreement with the Gold’s Gym Academy to provide the training and certifications to the community.  These courses will be available starting early January 2017.  DNAFit is a UK based genetics company that reports on genetic markers related to fitness and nutrition.  (DNAFit 18.11)

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3.11  Russia’s REMA RTI Enters Algeria Through Partnership with Hidra Hydraulique

Algeria’s Hidra Hydraulique and Russian REMA RTI have signed a partnership for the manufacture of hydraulic equipment in Algeria as Russia seeks to foray into the North African country buoyed by a growing manufacturing industry.  The agreement will provide, in the first stage that will last two years, for the marketing of the Russian partner’s products in Algeria, before the building of a factory specializing in the manufacturing of these products in the province of Tiaret (340-km west of Algiers).  According to the agreement, the Russian company will share its experience and expertise in the field with the Algerian side.  (Hidra Hydraulique 18.11)

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4:  CLEAN TECH & ENVIRONMENTAL DEVELOPMENTS

4.1  Dubai’s First Sustainable Buildings Will Have Urban Farm & Recycled Grey Water

Diamond Developers, the company behind the $354 million The Sustainable City in Dubailand, is planning to launch two “sustainable” apartment towers in Arjan, next to Miracle Gardens, by end-December.  The buildings will produce most of the energy needed to run the common areas using solar panels on the roofs and grey water will be recycled to be used for cleaning purposes.  It will have a waste sorting system, an energy-efficient chilled water system, a shuttle bus service to the nearest Dubai metro station, and a small urban farm that will be used by tenants for education purposes.  While apartment prices will be equivalent to prices in the neighborhood, the developer claims the cost of the running the buildings will far less than conventional ones.

The first phase of The Sustainable City includes 500 residential villas, 11 biodome greenhouses running the length of the central green spine, 3,000 square meters of urban farming and a 15,000 square meter mixed-use area.  Work on the second phase will commence in the first quarter 2017, with the new phase including Hotel Indigo, the first net-zero energy hotel in the Middle East, an environmentally-friendly school, and an innovation center, first negative lifecycle building.  Currently, there are 250 families living in the city, with the occupancy levels expected to touch 80 to 90% by end.  (AB 23.11)

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4.2  Saudi’s Acwa Power Wins Tender to Develop Fourth Phase of Moroccan Solar Complex

A Saudi based company has won the tender to develop the fourth phase of Noor Ouarzazate solar power complex located in the Souss-Massa-Dra’a area in Morocco.  Nour Ouarzazate is a large scale solar power complex located 10 km away from Ouarzazate and currently produces 160 MW of energy during the day and has a stock capacity of 3 hours overnight.  The Saudi corporation Acwa power deals with the development and exploitation of central electric parks and water units and has recently won the market for Noor Ouarzazate’s 4th phase of development.  Acwa’s win is far from surprising as Acwa Power’s participation in Noor Ouarzazate’s development has been significant so far.  They had won the markets for phases 1, 2 and 3 of development.

Noor Ouarzazate’s fourth phase will consist in the development of photovoltaic technology that should have a capacity of 135 MW and will cost approximately MAD 2.2 billion DH.  Acwa power is currently present in more than 11 Middle Eastern and North African countries.  (Acwa 16.11)

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5:  ARAB STATE DEVELOPMENTS

5.1  Lebanon’s Falling CPI Continues – Led by Lower Fuel Prices

According to Lebanon’s Central Administration of Statistics (CAS), the economy’s average inflation rate stood at -1.42% year-on-year (y-o-y) by Oct.2016.  Primarily, “Transportation” (13.10% of CPI) and “Water, electricity, gas, and other fuels” (11.9% of CPI) sub-indices recorded the steepest respective declines of 4.78% and 10.51%, largely due to the downward trend of oil prices.  The “Food and non-alcoholic beverages” sub-index (20.6% of CPI) fell by an annual 1.43%; similarly, the “Health” sub-index (7.8% of CPI) slid by a yearly average of 2.24% by October 2016.  In contrast, the average prices of “Clothing and footwear” (5.4% of CPI), “Restaurant and Hotels” (2.6% of CPI) and “Recreation, Amusement, and culture” (2.3% of CPI) rose by 4.08%, 2.63% and 1.54%, respectively.  Over the same period, average prices for the Education sub-index (5.9% of CPI) also rose by 1.69%.  On a month-on-month basis, October’s CPI edged up by 0.91%, compared to September 2016.  Regionally, the CPI of each of the individual regions of Beirut, Mount Lebanon, North, Bekaa, South and Nabatieh displayed rises.  In fact, the largest monthly CPI increases were witnessed in both Bekaa and Nabatieh, recording 1.62% and 1.60% respectively.  The smallest monthly change was recorded in Beirut, with a slight 0.52% uptick.  (CAS 23.11)

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5.2  Lebanese Industrial Exports Down by 24% Year-on-Year in September

According to the Ministry of Industry, the value of total Lebanese industrial exports dropped from $242.5M in September 2015 to $184.3M in September 2016.  The main exported products were Machinery and Electrical Equipment with a value of $47.3M, Products of the Chemical Industries with a value of $31.2M, Prepared Foodstuffs with a value of $30.7M and Base metals and articles of base metals with a value of $16.2M.  The most notable declines were seen in the export values of Products of the Chemical industries and Base Metals and Articles of Base Metals as they went from $48.00M and $28.6M in September 2015 to $31.2M and $16.2M in September 2015, respectively.  The top export markets for Lebanese industrial products were Saudi Arabia, Iraq and the UAE with respective shares of 12.7%, 12.6% and 9.6% in total exports.  As for imports of Machinery and Industrial Equipment, they fell from $13.8M in September 2015 to $16.2M in September 2016. In September 2016, the imports of machinery for food industries took the largest share in total imports with a value of $3.6M of which $1.1m were imported from China.  Machines used for wrapping purposes accounted for $1.3M of which $0.7M were imported from Germany.  (MoI 23.11)

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5.3  Total Number of Registered New Cars in Lebanon Falls by October 2016

According to the Association of Lebanese Car Importers, the total number of newly registered commercial and passenger cars fell 4.10% year-on-year (y-o-y) to 33,311 cars by October 2016.  The number of registered commercial cars increased by 12.79% y-o-y to 2,170 in October, while the number of registered passenger vehicles dropped 5.09% to reach 31,141 cars during the first ten months of the year.

Japanese model cars grasped the largest market share in total passenger cars, with a share of 37.20% by October 2016, followed by Korean cars, with a market share of 36.45%, and European cars with 20.49% of the total market share.  Moreover, only American cars observed an increase in their sales with a rise of 12.09% y-o-y, while European, Japanese, and Korean cars’ sales slid 4.35% and 8.66%, and 4.60%, respectively.  In terms of car brands, Kia maintained its top rank, with the largest share of 19.76% of newly registered passenger cars, followed by Hyundai, Toyota and Nissan with respective shares of 14.84%, 13.49%, and 9.57%.  (ALCI 19.11)

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5.4  Jordan’s Public Sector Largest Worldwide in Relative Terms

The enormity of the public sector is one of the main reasons that affects the Jordan’s economic competitiveness.  The Economic and Social Council’s (ESC) “Jordan Competitiveness 2015”, issued recently, added that the size of the Kingdom’s public sector is the largest in the world given its ratio to population, in addition, the sector is inundated with red tape, low productivity and wasta (favoritism) that hinder the Kingdom’s competitiveness, authors said.  The ESC report highlighted the main challenges and obstacles that have an adverse impact on the Kingdom’s competitiveness in different sectors, including education, health tourism, water and infrastructure.  The public sector’s impact on competitiveness was one of these main causes for low productivity, the report said, urging measures to reform public service and ensure equal opportunity in appointments.  Jordan’s public sector also lacks training, follow up and accurate evaluation of employees.  (JT 26.11)

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5.5  WB Says Jordan’s Education Outcome Below Average Despite Investment In Sector

Although Jordan has significantly invested in education services, student learning outcomes remain below international average, the World Bank’s Jordan Economy Monitor showed.  The report, entitled “Riving Slowing Economy”, indicated that Jordan has invested significant national resources in the provision of education services with around 3.5% of gross domestic product (GDP) for pre-tertiary education, which is comparable to international averages and above what might be expected given its per capita GDP.  The student learning outcome is, however, below international averages, affecting the competitiveness of Jordan’s labor force with wide disparities across governorates.

The report indicated that average student performance as measured in international learning assessments is also low and although Jordan outperforms the Middle East and North Africa region in math and sciences, gains have been relatively small and unsteady.  The report showed that many university graduates are out of work and that there is a lack of skilled technicians.  Ensuring that teachers are efficiently deployed to where their skills are most needed is another priority area for teacher reform in Jordan.  Due to absence of a purposeful allocation, teachers tend to gravitate towards better-off schools and easiest-to-teach subjects, widening learning inequalities and creating shortages in critical teaching areas, it added.  (AMMONNEWS 26.11)

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5.6  WB Observes Jordan’s Economic Growth is in Line with Average Growth in MENA

The Jordanian national economy growth forecast of 2.3% for 2016 is in line with the average growth rate for the Middle East and North Africa region, the World Bank said.  In its Jordanian Economic Monitor – Fall 2016 report, the world bank said that Jordan’s economic growth has been subdued in the last year as spillovers from regional instability take a toll.  Growth of 2.1% in H1/16 slightly declined compared to 2.2% in H1/15.  Jordan has been managing spillovers from the Syrian crisis including closure of trade routes with Iraq and Syria and hosting more than 656,000 registered Syrian refugees with UNCHR, with an estimated 1.3 million Syrians in Jordan as per the census.  While the Jordanian economy has held up with growth generated from a number of sectors, it has been losing momentum, the WB said, adding that the outlook is subject to downside risks.  Containing the fiscal deficit and implementing the new IMF program will be challenging as some adjustment measures could be considered socially sensitive, the report noted.  (AMMONNEWS 11.24)

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►►Arabian Gulf

5.7  Qatar’s Health Giant Says Largest Expansion Phase Underway

Qatar’s state-owned healthcare provider has announced that it has started the largest expansion phase in its history with the opening of a new communicable disease center.  Hamad Medical Corporation said the addition of the facility brings the total number of its hospitals to nine, with three more set to open over the next six months.  Four new hospitals – the Communicable Disease Centre, Qatar Rehabilitation Institute, Ambulatory Care Center and Women’s Wellness and Research Center – will significantly increase capacity across their system and provide state-of-the-art environments to provide care for their patients.

HMC was established by Emiri decree in 1979 but its oldest facility, Rumailah Hospital, has been caring for patients since 1957.   When all services have relocated to the new hospitals, between 9,000 and 10,000 patients per week will use the services and the total floor space across HMC will increase by 65% following the full opening of the new hospitals.  The upcoming plans build on the capacity increase that has already taken place across HMC over the past year.  The Neonatal Intensive Care Unit at Women’s Hospital, Pediatric Emergency Center Al Sadd and Bone and Joint Centre have all been expanded, while the Enaya Continuing Care Centre and a new surgical services facility have both opened.  (QB 26.11)

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5.8  Qatar’s Foreign Trade Surplus Shrinks 34% in October

Qatar’s foreign trade surplus shrank by 34% from a year earlier to QR7.7 billion ($2.11 billion) in October, according to data from the Ministry of Development Planning and Statistics.  The surplus slumped from more than QR11.6 billion in the year-earlier period because of low natural gas and oil prices.  Exports of petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons fell 19.8% to QR11 billion, according to the data.

A report by BMI Research added that Qatar has enough foreign reserves to pay for more than a year of imports.  Researchers forecast that Qatar’s current account would return to surplus in 2017, after the country posted its first deficit since 1998 this year.  However, the deficit – at 3% – poses “little risk to economic stability” in Qatar, as it can be financed through “tremendous” reserves and debt issuance.

Earlier this year, Qatar cut its planned spending on building healthcare facilities by about two-thirds this year following the drop in energy prices.  The world’s top liquefied natural gas exporter is one of the richest countries per capita but it faces a QR46.5 billion ($12.8 billion) budget deficit this year because of the continued lower oil and gas prices.  Like other Gulf states, it is turning to international markets to bridge the gap but it is also having to reduce and prioritize state spending.  (Various 29.11)

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5.9  UAE Defense Industry Market Valued at $31 Billion

Research and Markets has announced the addition of the “Future of the UAE Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021” report to their offering.

The report stated that the UAE’s defense expenditure is valued at $23.5 billion in 2016 and registered a CAGR of 4.51% during this period.  The UAE’s defense expenditure is projected to grow at a CAGR of 6.59%, to value $31.8 billion by 2021.  On a cumulative basis, the country is expected to invest $140.8 billion for defense purposes, of which $53.1 billion is earmarked for capital expenditure to fund defense procurements.  The protection of vital infrastructure, the territorial dispute with Iran, and ongoing domestic defense industry building initiatives are expected to drive the country’s future defense spending.  The defense budget is expected to increase further during the forecast period, due to the country’s aim to develop its own domestic defense industry.  The UAE MoD is expected to invest in military IT networking, fighters and multi-role aircraft, reconnaissance and surveillance aircraft, infrastructure and logistics – construction and Infantry Fighting Vehicles (IFV).  (R&M 18.11)

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5.10  Dubai Raises Innovation Stakes, But Still Room for Improvement

Dubai has improved its ranking to claim 15th place globally on the second edition of the Dubai Innovation Index, which was released by the Dubai Chamber of Commerce and Industry on the sidelines of the UAE Innovation Week.  The survey was launched by the Chamber in cooperation with PricewaterhouseCoopers (PWC), analyzed 28 top global innovation cities.  The DCCI plans to invest AED100 million on innovation-focused projects over the next three years.

This year, the emirate moved up one position and outperformed business hubs such as Madrid, Milan, Shanghai and Moscow.  New York secured the top position in the index, while London fell to fourth place after placing first last year.  European cities ranked higher in general due to an increase in investments on skills and talent, while GCC cities scored high marks in the political, economic and social indicators category, a statement said.

The Dubai Innovation Index, one of the leading pillars of the Chamber’s innovation strategy, highlighted the Dubai government’s ongoing efforts in spearheading innovation initiatives in the emirate, the private sector’s significant contribution, and increased public-private sector collaboration.  The Index showed that Dubai’s private sector has started embracing innovation as companies become more proactive about implementing new ideas. Business have also recognized the importance of finding and retaining the best talent required to drive innovation, it said.  (AB 21.11)

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5.11  IMF Says VAT Will Generate $1 Billion for Oman Government

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is estimating $1 billion (OR 385 million) windfall for the Omani government from value added tax (VAT).  The consumer tax, not conspicuously stated yet, will account for nearly 1.5% of the GDP though the amount can fluctuate depending on variables such as compliance rate and exemptions.  VAT is expected to have a certain degree of negative impact on Oman’s GDP due to tightening liquidity in and lower disposable income due to dwindling oil prices.  The GCC countries will implement VAT from January 2018.  (Various 20.11)

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5.12  Saudi Youth Unemployment Forecast to Exceed 42% by 2030

Youth unemployment in Saudi Arabia is expected to increase from 33.5% last year to over 42% in 2030 as the Middle East continues to struggle to create enough jobs for its growing population, according to a new report.  Bank of America Merrill Lynch said the private sector in the Middle East and Africa is still “largely underdeveloped to create sufficient formal jobs”.  The report added that at the same time the region’s public sector, which is the traditional employer of university graduates, is “overcrowded”.

“The region has one of the highest rates of youth unemployment in the world where many young people therefore end up in informal work or inactivity,” the report said.  Conversely, the report also showed that despite the unemployment problem, 55% of Saudi Arabia’s employers feel that domestic graduates are prepared for the job market, amongst the highest in the world.  The study said the MENA region spends $84 billion on education, 9% of total global expenditure, adding that failing to remediate the education deficiencies in low/middle income countries “could pose a serious threat to security in the Middle East”.  (AB 26.11)

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5.13  Saudi Builder Says Nearly $100 Million Worth of Projects Delayed

Saudi Arabian construction firm Abdullah Abdul Mohsin al-Khodari and Sons said on 22 November that projects worth 362.2 million riyals ($97 million) had been delayed due to factors ranging from clients’ funding shortages to slow visa issuance.  The pace of construction in Saudi Arabia has cooled in the past two years as lower oil prices stall project funding and slow government payments, tightening banking liquidity and squeezing contractors.  Khodari, which last month reported a wider third-quarter net loss, said its total project backlog was 3.01 billion riyals by 30 September.  That compared to 4.67 billion riyals at the same point of 2015.  The firm, a builder of housing and infrastructure, said its total contract value was 7.78 billion riyals.

Delays built up when issuing visas, appointing consultants and making changes to designs, it said.  Delays in the review and processing of invoices and work stoppages due to lack of money were also to blame.  Signs that the backlog of payments owed to contractors might be easing have emerged, construction firms have recently received 40 billion riyals, representing 25% of money owed to them by various government agencies.  (Reuters 22.11)

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►►North Africa

5.14  Egypt’s Unemployment Rate Up to 12.6% in Third Quarter

Egypt’s unemployment rate slightly increased to 12.6% in the third quarter of 2016 from 12.5% in the previous quarter, CAPMAS announced on 16 November.  The number of unemployed people increased by 80,000 from July to September 2016, resulting in a total of 3.6 million Egyptians seeking work.  Egyptians aged 15 to 29 make up 81.4% of those unemployed.  CAPMAS said that unemployment among females in Q3 reached 25.9% compared to 25.6% in Q3 of 2015, while unemployment among males increased to 8.7% from 8.5%.  Urban unemployment increased to 14.2% from 14.1% in the first quarter, while in rural areas, it reached 11.4% from a previous 11.2%.  The total labor force increased in the third quarter by 289,000 from the second quarter in 2016 to reach 28.8 million Egyptians.  The Egyptian government says it aims to reduce the unemployment rate to less than 10% by the end of the fiscal year 2018/19 based on a targeted growth rate in the economy of at least 6%.

Egypt suffers from a relatively high unemployment rate and has been struggling to restore economic growth since a 2011 uprising toppled President Mubarak.  The Egyptian government aims to slash the unemployment rate to less than 10% in 2018.  (CAPMAS 16.11)

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6:  TURKISH, CYPRIOT & GREEK DEVELOPMENTS

6.1  OECD Slashes 2016 Growth Forecast for Turkey

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has slashed its 2016 growth forecast for Turkey to 2.9% in its latest outlook, down from 3.9% in its previous estimate.  The OECD said that the Turkish economy continues to face geopolitical headwinds and unsettled political conditions, after having weathered a coup attempt in July and engaged in military operations in Syria.  Uncertainties are high but fiscal, prudential and monetary policies are supportive and should spur household consumption from late 2016 onwards, it noted, adding that the economy has so far proven resilient to severe shocks.  GDP growth is projected to pick up in 2017 and in 2018, driven by recovering household consumption and gradual increases in exports.  It forecasts growth of 3.3% in 2017, again lower than it had earlier expected, and 3.8% in 2018.  (HDN 28.11)

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6.2  Foreign Tourist Arrivals to Turkey Drop 26% In October, Though Russians Returning

The number of foreign arrivals to Turkey dropped by 25.8% to 2.45 million in October, compared to the same month in 2015, temporary data from the Tourism Ministry showed on 29 November.  This was the smallest shrinkage in foreign arrivals in the last seven months, as Turkey’s tourism industry struggles amid political and security concerns.  The number of foreign people visiting Turkey declined to 22.7 million in the first 10 months of 2016, a 31% drop compared to the same period of 2015, after a series of bomb attacks, a diplomatic crisis with Russia, and the failed July 15 military coup attempt.

While the number of Russians visiting Turkey plunged 78.3% in the first 10 months of the year compared to the same period in 2015, the latest data has showed some recovery after bilateral ties between the two countries started to normalize.  Russia again became the second largest source of Turkey’s foreign tourists in October, as some 222,719 Russians visited Turkey, representing a huge rise compared to the figures recorded at the peak of the diplomatic crisis.  Germany again became the top source for Turkey, with more than 491,000 Germans visiting the country in October, despite an average 33% fall in arrivals from Europe.  Georgia became the third largest tourist sender for Turkey, with more than 178,000 tourists visiting the country.  In the first 10 months of the year, Germany, Georgia and the UK were the top sources of foreign arrivals to Turkey, the ministry’s data showed.  (HDN 29.11)

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7:  GENERAL NEWS AND INTEREST

*ISRAEL:

7.1  Many Countries Send Firefighting Aircraft to Israel

With terrorists setting fires that were blazing across the country, Israel asked for help from its friends and neighbors.  Some twenty-one firefighting planes aided Israel in fighting the fires.  The first planes that reached Israel from abroad were three from Greece and immediately after came three planes from Turkey, two from Italy and one from Cyprus.  Russia sent two Beriev Be-200 planes, capable of carrying 12 tons of water.  A C-130J Super Hercules military transport aircraft belonging to the Cypriot Air Force brought some 70 Cypriot firefighters to aid Israeli efforts.  Two planes from Croatia and also planes from Azerbaijan and Ukraine worked in the area.  Egypt sent two firefighting helicopters.  According to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Spain also sent planes, and Belarus, Britain, Bulgaria, Czechia, Georgia, Portugal, Romania and Switzerland all offered their assistance.  The American Supertanker, a Boeing 747-400, came from Colorado Springs in the US.  The Supertanker was the only aircraft capable of fighting fire at night; the other air crews return to Tel Aviv hotels overnight.

The Palestinian Authority sent eight firefighting teams that helped in the north and Jerusalem Mountains. Prime Minister Netanyahu telephoned Palestinian President Abbas to thank him for sending the personnel and fire trucks.  (Ynetnews 26.11)

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7.2  Some 89% of Israeli Parents Vaccinate Their Children

According to a new survey on behalf of the Israel Medical Association and the Israel Pediatric Association, the majority of Israeli parents with children up to six years old, 89%, vaccinate them thoroughly.  Most of them, 70%, do so without pause or concern.  The survey, which was conducted by the Geocartography polling company among 360 parents, also revealed that to a “lesser” or “greater” degree, around one-third of parents are hesitant and have doubts about vaccinating their children.  Despite the reservations, 82% of the parents said the advantages to vaccinating their children outweigh the disadvantages.  Official figures, meanwhile, show that only 2% of children are completely unvaccinated and 9% are only partially vaccinated.

The vaccinations that arouse the greatest reservations and objections among parents are against the flu (16% of parents), HPV and polio (5% each), chickenpox (4%) and rotavirus (2%).  In comparison to a previous survey from 2008, fewer parents object to vaccinating their children against chickenpox, while more parents object to flu, polio and HPV vaccinations.  One in every four parents also believes that children are over-vaccinated.

Among the Jewish population, only 72% of parents say they have “trust” or “a great deal of trust” in doctors’ recommendations, compared to 79% in the last survey.  Among the Arab population, that number has dropped from 97% to 75%.  Around 60% of parents have been exposed to information that vaccinations might be harmful to a child’s health, a 10% rise in comparison to the previous survey.  (Various 20.11)

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7.3  Israel’s Arab & Jewish Fertility Rates Equal For First Time, New Report Finds

Israel’s Central Bureau of Statistics announced on 15 November that fertility rates among Jewish and Arab women in Israel are, for the first time, equal, standing at an average of 3.13 children born to each woman as of 2015.  At the end of 2015, there were 2.798 million children (aged 0 – 17) living in Israel, making up 33% of the total population.  Some 1.996 million (71.3%) of these children are Jewish, 718,000 (25.7%) are Arab and 84,000 (3%) are listed as “other” or non-Arab Christians.

In Jerusalem, children make up about 40% of the city’s population, whereas in Haifa and Tel Aviv-Jaffa, they make up about a fifth of the population, at 23% and 21% respectively.  The household income in homes with children averaged was 1.3 times that of households without children, at NIS 17,658 ($4,587) per month, as compared with NIS 13,624 ($3,540) per month.  At the same time, household spending in homes with children was 1.4 times that of households without children, at NIS 14,677 per month ($3,814), as compared with NIS 10,422 ($2,707) per month.  The monthly expenditure on education of households with children in the uppermost decile was found to be 3.5 times that of households with children in the lowermost decile, at NIS 2,501 ($650) and NIS 712 ($185), respectively.  (CBS 15.11)

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7.4  Ethiopian Immigrants Closing Education Gaps

Data published on 28 November by the Central Bureau of Statistics, on the occasion of the Ethiopian Jewry holiday Sigd, show that Ethiopian immigrants are closing gaps with the general population in the field of education and higher education.  There are currently 141,200 citizens of Ethiopian origin in Israel, 55,500 of them born in Israel with one parent or more born in Ethiopia.  In 2015, only 91 Ethiopians immigrates to Israel, the lowest number since 2000, and less than half the number of immigrants in 2014 (213).  Most citizens of Ethiopian origin live in central (38%) and southern (24%) Israel.  The city with the highest number of Ethiopian immigrants is Netanya (11,400), while the city with the highest percentage of Ethiopian Israelis is Kiryat Malachi (16.8%).

Israelis of Ethiopian origin marry later than the general Jewish population; 90% of them marry Ethiopian Israelis, men more than women (95% and 87%, respectively).  The divorce rate among the Ethiopian Israeli community is higher than the general Jewish population (16 out of 1,000 married people compared with 9 out of 1,000 among the general Jewish population).  The percentage of single-parent families is also particularly high among Ethiopian Israelis, 29%, twice as high as in the general population.

In the 2014/15 school year, 48.4% of school students of Ethiopian origin studied in state-religious schools (elementary and secondary education).  This figure has been gradually declining in the past decade (compared with 58.4% in the 1994/95 school year).  In elementary and secondary education, students of Ethiopian origin seem to be managing to close gaps with other students: in 2015, 89% of them took Bagrut (matriculation) tests, compared with 94% among the general population, while the number of dropouts was slightly lower than the percentage among all Jewish students: 1.21% compared with 1.40%.  The average Psychometric Entrance Test score of students of Ethiopian origin was 448 points.  Although the score is lower than the national average (541 points), it constitutes a significant improvement from the score in the 1990/2000 academic year, which was 375.4.

In 2015/16, 2,583 students of Ethiopian origin studied for a BA degree.  Most of them studied in academic colleges (55%), about a third of them in universities (32%) and 13% in academic colleges of education.  More than two-thirds of undergraduate students (72.4%) among Ethiopian Israelis were women, compared with 57.9% among the general population.  Overall, there were 2,966 students of Ethiopian origin in higher education establishments, 87.1% of them undergraduate students, 12.0% graduate students and 0.6% of them PhD students.  (CBS 28.11)

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7.5  Doctor Becomes First Colonel of Ethiopian Descent in IDF History

The Israel Defense Forces has its first colonel of Ethiopian descent, whereby Lt. Col. Dr. Avraham Yitzhak has been appointed chief medical officer for the Southern Command and will be promoted to the rank of colonel.  Yitzhak completed high school in Addis Ababa at age 15 and was the first Ethiopian immigrant to earn a medical degree in Israel.  He graduated from Ben-Gurion University of the Negev in 1999 and was valedictorian of his class.  Yitzhak was also the first Ethiopian Israeli to serve as an IDF physician.  (Various 22.11)

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8:  ISRAEL LIFE SCIENCE NEWS

8.1  Technion Opens New Integrated Cancer Center

Technion inaugurated a new center for Cancer Research on Sunday, 20 November.  The Technion Integrated Cancer Center (TICC) is the first center of its kind in Israel, which will combine the extensive knowledge and vast experience in oncology accumulated at Technion and its affiliated medical centers.  According to the Technion President, the Center is expected “to bring about a dramatic change in the field of cancer medicine in Israel, through diagnosis, treatment and follow-up based on the principles of personalized medicine.

Over the past three years, Technion has recruited leading experts in cancer research, in both basic science and practical applications.  They are renowned researchers in the fields of cancer biology, cancer cell metabolism and computational biology, who will cooperate in order to understand the pathways of the formation of cancer cells, unravel the mechanisms that make them resistant to anticancer drugs, and promote the development of new tools for diagnosis, treatment and follow-up care.  Research activity at the Center will be conducted in collaboration with researchers from the Technion Faculties of Engineering and with the five medical centers affiliated with Technion’s Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, in order to forge a connection between the laboratory, clinical practice and applied research.”  (Technion 20.11)

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8.2  Telehealth Startup Tyto Care Receives FDA Clearance

Tyto Care announced that the U.S. FDA has granted 510(k) clearance for its digital stethoscope, a device that will be part of its advanced set of examination tools now being introduced to the world of telehealth.  Tyto Care is launching a comprehensive telehealth solution that includes state-of-the-art digital tools for examining the ears, throat, skin, heart, lungs and temperature and a cloud-based platform with video conferencing.  By enabling a more comprehensive picture of the patient’s health and an enhanced remote diagnosis, Tyto Care is providing the critical missing link in the delivery of telehealth.

Until today, telehealth was limited because clinicians had to rely on phone or video conferencing only to examine and diagnose a patient, without the benefit of a physical exam.  By providing vital physical exam data, Tyto extends the reach of the clinician beyond the four walls of the clinic.  TytoCare’s modular exam tools and fully integrated telehealth platform enable a remote examination of the heart, lungs, heart rate, temperature, throat, skin and ears.  Examinations can be done in real time as part of a live video telehealth visit, or in advance of a telehealth session.  The company is introducing two new products: TytoPro for clinicians to capture and share remote examination data, conduct a specialist consultation, or get a second opinion, and TytoHome for consumers to use at home to connect with a clinician.  TytoHome includes proprietary guidance technology that enables anyone to easily and reliably capture exam data at home.

Netanya’s Tyto Care’s mission is to delight consumers and clinicians alike by delivering easy, affordable and high quality telehealth visits, complete with medical exams, all from the comfort of home.  (Tyto Care 01.11)

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8.3  Israel’s Novatrans Could Save 7 Billion Male Chicks from Unnecessary Slaughter

Every year, the poultry industry kills up to 7 billion male chicks simply because they do not produce enough meat (or eggs) to justify raising them to adulthood.  While the female chicks are spared for egg laying, the male chicks are eliminated and disposed of by hatcheries through suffocation, maceration – a process that involves a conveyor belt and a giant blender – or other methods in a procedure known as male chick culling.  The male chicks are generally killed soon after they hatch and shortly after their gender has been determined.

However, a technology called TeraEgg developed in Israel by Novatrans, can determine whether the egg will hatch into a male or female chick before incubation, preventing the hatching of eggs containing male chicks.  Novatrans’ TeraEgg, which recently completed its early testing phase, analyzes organic compounds to identify the gender and fertility of eggs before incubation through a non-invasive process that uses terahertz spectroscopy (electromagnetic waves).  This technology is able to determine whether it is male, female, or infertile through the detection of gasses that leak from the pores of the egg within seconds, rather than allowing the chicken to hatch – a process that otherwise takes around three weeks.  In other words, TeraEgg detects gender and fertility in the chicken embryo development process, allowing hatcheries to remove male and infertile eggs before they enter incubation, so they can be re-purposed for human consumption rather than destroyed post-incubation.

By eliminating the egg industry’s practice of chick culling, TeraEgg hopes to reduce energy costs and labor without disrupting hatchery operations, as well as to create new revenue streams for egg hatcheries.  (Novatrans 23.11)

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8.4  Evogene Announces Positive Field Trial Results in Ag-biologicals Program

Evogene announced positive field trial results conducted in Israel from its Ag-biologicals program, which is currently focused on the development of Bio-stimulant products.  In these tests, candidate microbial strains identified and predicted by Evogene for their ability to improve corn resistance to drought conditions, yielded positive efficacy and stability results in the first year of field testing.  Initiated in 2015, Evogene’s Ag-biologicals program is currently focused on developing microbial based solutions targeting yield improvement and environmental stress tolerance in key crops, such as corn, soy and wheat.  These biologically derived agriculture solutions are based on microbial communities that reside on or within the plant’s immediate microbial environment (also known as microbiome).

Rehovot’s Evogene is a leading biotechnology company for the improvement of crop productivity for the food, feed and fuel industries.  The Company operates in three key market segments: improved seed traits (addressing yield increase, tolerance to environmental stresses and resistance to insects and diseases); innovative ag-chemicals (developing novel herbicide solutions for weed control) and ag-biologicals.  Evogene has collaborations with world-leading seed and ag-chemical companies.  (Evogene 16.11)

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8.5  Zebra Medical Vision Launches “Profound” – Medical Scan Analysis from Home

 Zebra Medical Vision is launching “Profound” – a breakthrough service intended to help millions of people receive fast, accurate medical image analysis nearly instantly, over the web.  The company’s new service allows people to upload their medical imaging scans such as CTs and Mammograms to Zebra’s online service, and receive an automated analysis for key clinical conditions.  Profound will allow users from Europe, Asia, the Pacific Rim and Latin America to receive analysis highlighting the presence of the following conditions, by simply uploading these scans to the Zebra platform.

From research to reality and commercialization, Kibbutz Shefayim’s Zebra Medical Vision uses big data to deliver large scale clinical research platforms and next generation imaging analytics services to the healthcare industry.  Its Imaging Analytics allow healthcare institutions to identify patients at risk of disease, and offer improved, preventative treatment pathways to improve patient care.  The Zebra Research Platform provides researchers the largest structured clinical data set globally, and makes it available for research, including a complete development, hosting, storage and computing environment, and follow-on regulatory and commercialization services.  (Zebra 23.11)

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8.6  B. Braun / Trendlines Partnership Leads to ApiFix Investment

Germany’s B. Braun Melsungen, The Trendlines Group and ApiFix jointly announced B. Braun’s lead position in ApiFix’s B round financing; ApiFix is a Trendlines portfolio company.  B. Braun’s Aesculap division invested $2.8 million in the $5 million round which is to close by end of 2016.  ApiFix is disrupting the scoliosis device market with its minimally invasive, non-fusion spinal implant system for the correction of Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis (AIS).  Traditional surgical correction is a highly invasive procedure involving fusion, which results in a rigid spine and low patient quality of life.  The ApiFix system is implanted in a minimally invasive procedure and does not require fusion, thus maintaining spine flexibility and high quality of life.  The global market for ApiFix is over $1.15 billion.  ApiFix received CE Mark in 2012 and is marketing its device in Europe.  More than 100 operations have been performed with the ApiFix implant; first patients are now 4-years post-surgery.  Clinical results and patient quality of life are excellent.

B. Braun, one of the world’s leading providers of healthcare solutions, began partnership activities with Trendlines in 2015. Trendlines and B. Braun have established mutual deal flow to identify potential new investment opportunities and are working together in the establishment of incubators and collaboration in the development of new technologies, solutions, and products. B. Braun invested approximately $5 million in Trendlines as a cornerstone investor in Trendlines’ 2015 initial public offering in Singapore. B. Braun and Trendlines have executed a memorandum of understanding for co-investment in Trendlines Medical Singapore, Trendlines’ first incubator outside of Israel.

Misgav, Israel’s Trendlines Group is an innovation commercialization company that invents, discovers, invests in, and incubates innovation-based medical and agricultural technologies to fulfill its mission to improve the human condition.  As intensely hands-on investors, Trendlines is involved in all aspects of its portfolio companies from technology development to business building.  (Trendlines 28.11)

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8.7  Zebra & Clalit Announce Algorithm That Can Increase Osteoporosis Detection by 50%

Zebra Medical Vision and Clalit Health Services are announcing the completion of a software algorithm which uses existing CT data to identify candidates for bone density screening, allowing earlier identification of patients at higher risk of Osteoporotic fractures.  The osteoporosis algorithm was developed in collaboration with the Clalit Research Institute and has received wide interest from various healthcare providers around the world.  The breakthrough in the algorithmic research of Zebra Medical Vision and Clalit Health Services is in the ability to calculate bone density using CT scans that are performed for other purposes, thus identifying population at risk of osteoporosis, without the need for additional procedures or radiation.  These patients can then be referred to preventative care programs, helping reduce fracture rates and the overall burden of the disease.

Focused on Deep Learning and Computer Vision Innovation, Kibbutz Shefayim’s Zebra Medical Vision uses big healthcare data to deliver an increasing list of insights to the healthcare industry.  Current insights are in the fields of Bone, Liver, Lung and Cardiovascular health.  Its Imaging Analytics Insights allow health care institutions to identify patients at risk of disease and offer improved, preventative treatment pathways for patient care.  (Zebra 28.11)

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8.8  Valtech Cardio Agrees to be Acquired by Edwards Lifesciences

Valtech Cardio announced an agreement to be acquired by Edwards Lifesciences Corporation (Edwards).  The acquisition will give Edwards access to the Cardioband Reconstruction System (Cardioband) for trans catheter repair of the mitral valve and tricuspid valve of the heart.

Cardioband received CE Mark certification in September 2015 after demonstrating safety in a clinical trial among patients with functional mitral regurgitation.  Cardioband permits physicians to repair the mitral valve in a first-line setting while preserving the option to perform future percutaneous or surgical valve repair and/or replacement.  Cardioband TR is designed to enable physicians to reconstruct the tricuspid valve using the same technique and implant as the Cardioband mitral valve repair technology.  The company is recruiting patients for its CE study in Europe.

Prior to the closing, Valtech will spin out its early stage Cardiovalve program, and as part of the agreement, Edwards will retain an option to acquire the Cardiovalve program at a later date.  Cardiovalve is a trans catheter, transseptally delivered, low-profile, mitral valve replacement (TMVR) system following the Valtech way of delivering surgical based solutions without the risk of surgery.  The Cardiovalve platform has an orientation-indifferent structure for reduced implant complexity and was designed from inception to enable trans septal delivery.

Or Yehuda’s Valtech Cardio, founded in 2005, is a privately held company specializing in the development of devices for mitral and tricuspid valve repair and replacement.  Aside from Cardioband, Valtech’s portfolio includes a surgical valve repair portfolio and a trans catheter valve replacement, Cardiovalve, in development.  Valtech has full in-house development, manufacturing and clinical research capabilities, as well as over 150 patents and patent applications.  (Valtech Cardio 28.11)

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8.9  MinInvasive New Financing Round & Strategic Partnership with MicroPort Scientific Corporation

MinInvasive announced the completion of a financing transaction and a strategic partnership with Shanghai’s MicroPort Scientific Corporation.  MicroPort is leading a financing round in MinInvasive and will be granted an exclusive right to distribute OmniCuff in the China market.

The field of shoulder rotator cuff repair is a fast growing market segment within the sports medicine market with over one million procedures performed worldwide annually and an annual growth rate of 7%.  The OmniCuff System enables arthroscopic rotator cuff repair, which obviates the need for suture anchors, provides the clinical advantages of minimally invasive trans osseous repair and reduces overall procedure costs.

Magal’s MinInvasive, founded in 2011 in the ATI incubator, is a privately held medical device company, with key investors Anatomy Medical Technology Fund, Access Medical Ventures and several private investors from Israel and the US.  The company has developed the OmniCuff System – a disposable device enabling arthroscopic, trans osseous rotator cuff repair that obviates the need for suture anchors.  The company recently completed a successful post-market multi–center clinical study in leading medical centers in the US with excellent clinical results and high patient and surgeon satisfaction.  The company plans to initiate commercialization of the OmniCuff System with a partner in the US in 2017.  (MinInvasive 29.11)

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9:  ISRAEL PRODUCT & TECHNOLOGY NEWS

9.1  Olam Announces Deployment of Phytech Technology in Australian Almond Orchards

Olam, a global leader in almond production, announced it has deployed the Phytech plant-centric technology service across five company orchards in the Sunraysia and Riverina regions of south eastern Australia.  The total Olam area covered by the service for the 2016/17 season now exceeds 5,000 hectares, with a mixture of mature and new plantings.  The deployment follows successful implementation across 700 hectares during the previous season that resulted in increased growth rates and higher yields while reducing water usage.

China’s Olam International is a leading agri-business operating across the value chain in 70 countries, supplying various products across 16 platforms to over 16,200 customers worldwide.  From a direct sourcing and processing presence in most major producing countries, Olam has built a global leadership position in many of its businesses.

With financial backing from Mitsui & Co and Syngenta Ventures, Kibbutz Yad Mordechai’s Phytech is an Ag analytics company focused on helping farmers understand their plant health status and needs.  Proprietary sensor hardware, installed in the field, along with data analysis and predictive algorithms are combined to form a subscription service model, delivered through a simple smart phone and web based user interface.  Phytech deliver an unparalleled value proposition to the grower, ensuring they no longer need to purchase expensive field sensors or interpret the complicated data they create.  (Olam 16.11)

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9.2  CyberArk Adds Credential Theft Blocking to Expand Privilege Protection at the Endpoint

CyberArk announced new behavioral analytics to block and contain advanced threats targeting credential theft at the endpoint.  CyberArk Viewfinity, with enhanced threat protection features, is now available as CyberArk Endpoint Privilege Manager.  CyberArk also released new research from CyberArk Labs demonstrating security weaknesses in Windows operating systems that allow attackers with local administrator rights to steal and use encrypted service credentials to achieve lateral movement and full domain compromise.  This research supports a recent FBI flash alert that recommends prioritizing credential protection, including implementing least privilege and restricting local accounts, to limit a threat actor’s ability to gain highly privileged account access and move throughout a network.

CyberArk Endpoint Privilege Manager protects against advanced threats that exploit privileged credentials by interlocking three core capabilities: privilege management, application control and new targeted credential theft detection and blocking to stop and contain damaging attacks at the endpoint.

CyberArk Endpoint Privilege Manager now helps organizations detect and block credential theft attempts by malicious users and applications including Windows credentials, remote access application credentials and those credentials stored by popular web browsers such as corporate network and cloud applications. CyberArk is also able to block hash harvesting at the endpoint to prevent Pass-the-Hash, an attack leveraging stolen credentials.

Petah Tikva’s CyberArk is the only security company focused on eliminating the most advanced cyber threats; those that use insider privileges to attack the heart of the enterprise. Dedicated to stopping attacks before they stop business, CyberArk proactively secures against cyber threats before attacks can escalate and do irreparable damage. The company is trusted by the world’s leading companies – including 45% of the Fortune 100 – to protect their highest value information assets, infrastructure and applications.  (CyberArk 16.11)

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9.3  PacketLight’s PL-2000M Delivers New Standard of Performance for Data Center Interconnect

PacketLight Networks launched the PL-2000M, the new standard for optical transport solutions for high speed, high security data center interconnect (DCI) and metro networks.  The new Muxponder/Transponder provides a 30% decrease of the solution cost and x2 increase of the spectral efficiency, thus saving wavelength resources and enabling higher fiber and metro network utilization.  It’s the most compact, highly integrated transport solution available, enabling enterprises to cost-effectively build-out or upgrade existing networks.  The product supports carrier-grade coherent 200G tunable uplink, capable of serving multiple applications and protocols such as data, storage, OTN and TDM.

The PL-2000M offers lowest power consumption and the smallest footprint of its kind, together with onboard physical layer encryption, to drive significant reduction in capital and operating expenditure for business and carriers, while preparing them for evolving security requirements.

Tel Aviv PacketLight Networks offers a suite of Leading 1U Metro and Long Haul CWDM/DWDM and OTN solutions as well as Layer 1 optical encryption for transport of data, voice and video applications, over dark fiber and WDM networks, featuring high quality, reliability and performance with encryption capability at affordable prices.  Their products are distinguished with low power consumption ideal for CLE (Customer Located Equipment) allowing maximum flexibility as well as ease of maintenance and operation and providing real Pay-as you-grow architecture.  (PacketLight Networks 16.11)

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9.4  Optimal+ Saves Customers over $250 Million During 12-Month Period

Optimal+ announced the results of its first worldwide analysis of customer yield improvements and cost savings based on the company’s semiconductor solutions.  From October 2015 through October 2016, Optimal+ analyzed customer data from over 50 billion devices to determine total customer cost savings enabled by the company’s products through improved yield, efficiency and quality.  Optimal+ customers collectively saved in excess of $250 million during the 12-month period.  The internal Optimal+ analysis conclusively revealed the advantages of using big data to enable better enterprise-wide decision making through increased global supply chain visibility.

Holon’s Optimal+ is the only big data analytics software company providing an end-to-end solution that measurably improves quality, yield, and productivity for semiconductor and electronics manufacturing.  From chip to board to system, our enterprise-grade solutions ensure that all of your global manufacturing data is collected, cleaned and analyzed in real time, enabling decisive actions that enhance, certify and monitor the quality of semiconductor and electronic products over their entire lifetime.  (Optimal+ 16.11)

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9.5  AnyClip Recognized as Second Fastest Growing Company on Deloitte Israel Technology Fast 50 List

AnyClip, the world’s first personalized, content-driven video advertising platform, has been ranked second on the Deloitte Israel Technology Fast 50 list, a program recognizing and honoring the 50 fastest growing technology companies in Israel.  The company secured second place based on its 5,141% revenue growth since 2012.  During that time, AnyClip also grew its annual video ad impressions from millions to several billions and expanded its reach to include over 100 million unique monthly users worldwide.  During 2016, AnyClip also opened offices in New York and London to support its global growth.

The Deloitte Israel annual Technology Fast 50 program recognizes and honors the 50 fastest growing technology companies in Israel (private and publicly-held).  To qualify, companies must operate in any area of technology and own proprietary technology.  The Fast 50 programs is a springboard towards Deloitte’s regional and global programs. Winners of the Fast 50 are automatically eligible to participate in the regional Deloitte Technology Fast 500 program.

Tel Aviv’s AnyClip is the world’s first personalized, content-driven video advertising.  AnyClip identifies consumers and their preferences on the most relevant digital media and delivers them personalized, content-driven video ad experiences.  This increased personalization creates deeper connections with audiences, increases ROI for brands and agencies, and opens new monetization opportunities for content owners and publishers.  (AnyClip 29.11)

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10:  ISRAEL ECONOMIC STATISTICS

10.1  Israeli Economy Grew by 3.2% During Third Quarter

The Central Bureau of Statistics announced on 16 November that Israel’s GDP economic growth in the third quarter of 2016 was 3.2%.  The growth rate was higher than the forecasts; however, revised figures for the second quarter show 4.9% growth, meaning that the economy actually slowed slightly in the third quarter.  The third quarter figures are an initial estimate, and are likely to change significantly later. One concrete example of this is the growth figures for the first quarter.  The initial CBS growth estimate published in April was 0.8%, albeit it now says that first quarter growth was 3.2%, the same as in the third quarter.

Third quarter growth was led by investment in fixed assets, which spurted 12.2%, while consumer spending, the economy’s growth engine over the past two years, rose by a relatively moderate 2.9%.  The new figures are particularly welcome as investments were considered an alarming weak point in the economy in previous quarters.  Exports of goods and services were again weak, however, dropping 6.3%, compared with a 6.3% rise in imports of goods and services.  (CBS 16.11)

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10.2  Israel’s Unemployment Rate Hits All-Time Low

The Central Bureau of Statistics reported that Israel’s employment rate for October dropped to an all-time low of 4.5%.  In September, the unemployment rate rose to 5%.  The data indicate that the level of employment for Israelis aged 15 and over in the workforce remained unchanged, at 61.2%, while the percentage of Israelis aged 15 and over in the workforce declined in October to 64.1%, from 64.4% in September.  A further improvement in employment figures was noted in the number of Israelis usually working full time (35 hours per week or more), which rose 9% from September 2016.  In addition, the number of employees usually working part-time (less than 35 hours per week) declined 0.3% in October.

The data showed that unemployment for both men and women dropped from 4.8% to 4.3% in October.  Overall, the CBS found that for the first time in Israel’s history, unemployment among Israelis aged 25 to 64 hovers near the 4% mark.  Men’s jobless rates were set at 3.8%, while among women in this age group, unemployment was at 4.1%.  The data further showed that 179,000 Israelis registered with unemployment bureaus nationwide in October, compared to 199,000 in September, representing a 10% drop.  Employment rates climbed to 80%, with 78% of Israelis holding full-time jobs and 22% holding part-time jobs.  The number of Israelis holding full-time jobs grew by 29,000 in October, and the number of Israelis holding part-time jobs shrunk by 22,000.  Among Israelis aged 25 to 64, 85% of men and 75.5% of women are employed. Employment rates among teenagers ages 15 to 18 remained unchanged, at 61.2%.  (CBS 21.11)

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10.3  Israel’s Wealthy Number 105,000 Millionaires and 18 Billionaires

According to a report by Credit Suisse, 17,000 Israelis became millionaires in 2016 alone, an increase of 19% from 2015.  However, while the average Israeli’s wealth has doubled since 2000, income inequality has steadily risen.  Approximately 2% of Israelis have holdings in excess of $1 million, while 32% total between $100,000-$1,000,000, 42.5% between $10,000-$100,000 and 23.5% under $10,000.

The number of millionaires in Israel, defined as possessing more than $1 million worth of holdings (cash, property and investments), stands at 105,000 people, of which 18 are considered billionaires.  This constitutes an increase of 17,000 people, roughly 19%, in the amount of millionaires since 2015.  Additionally, 25 people in Israel hold an estimated fortune of $500 million-$1 billion, while 277 people hold between $100-$500 million.  Indeed, over the last 16 years, the average Israeli citizen’s wealth has doubled from $92,589 to $176,263.  The median wealth of an Israeli citizen stood at only $54,384—about a third of the average wealth.

The Gini Index, which measures income inequality in countries, measured Israel at 77.2%.  The index is measured on a scale of 0-100, with 0 representing perfect equality and 100 representing perfect inequality.  The majority of wealth (70%) that Israelis hold is financial instruments such as cash and other securities, while the other 30% is comprised of real estate and other properties. In contrast, Israel’s debt stands at an average of $29,800 per person, or roughly 14.5% of the wealth of the average person.  (Ynetnews 25.11)

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10.4  New Israel Poverty Index Ranks Jerusalem Near Bottom

A Central Bureau of Statistics report announced the socio-economic ranking of 255 communities in Israel, ranking them from 1-10.  Jerusalem, which has double the population of Tel Aviv, is among the poorest large cities with at least 200,000 residents.  The reason for such a low ranking is the large and growing numbers of Orthodox and Arab residents.  This is in contrast to Rishon LeZion and Petah Tikva who are seeing large influxes of young, educated people.

The index affects a plethora of economic issues, chief of which are recently designed tax benefits for Israeli communities such as proximity to the center of the country, distance from borders and economic standing of population clusters.  Government ministries are also making use of the newly released information, with the ministries of education and welfare both using the information to invest in weaker areas.  However, not all public institutions make positive use of this information, with many banks closing branches in areas that are designated as weaker, forcing residents to find alternative arrangements.

Tel Aviv, whose 2013 population reached 417,503 inhabitants, was ranked 8.  From 2008 – 2013, both Rishon LeZion — 237,406 inhabitants and Petah Tikva — 217,951 inhabitants, climbed from a score 6 to a score of 7.  Haifa, with a population of 271,963, maintained its ranking of 7.

At the bottom of the rankings are the major cities of Ashdod, which has 216,113 inhabitants and a score of 5, and Jerusalem, which has 827,804 inhabitants and a score of 4.  The vulnerable communities in the country are mostly ultra-Orthodox, Arab and Bedouin, such as Beitar Illit, Modi’in Illit, Naveh Midbar, Rahat, Shaqib al-Salam, Tel as-Sabi, Ar’arat an-Naqab, Hura, Kuseife, Lakiya and Al-Kasom.

In contrast, the highest ranking communities in Israel include Kfar Shmaryahu and Savyon, both scoring 10, while Shoham, Ramat Hasharon, Har Adar, Kokhav Yair, Kfar Vradim, Lahavim, Meitar and Omer all received a ranking of 9.  (Ynet 19.11)

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10.5  Israel’s Income Gap Narrows

The Central Bureau of Statistics announced on 16 November that monthly net money income per household in Israel was NIS 15,427 at the end of 2015 and monthly spending per family was NIS 12,323.  Monthly gross income from all sources (labor, capital, allowances, and support) averaged NIS 18,671 per household, a 2.5% real increase, compared with the preceding year.  Spending on consumption, which includes the estimated spending on housing services, totaled NIS 15,407 per household.  Both average monthly income and spending rose 3% in 2015, compared with 2014.  The biggest expenses for households were housing, transportation, and communications.  The income gap between the top and bottom deciles was much wider than the gap in spending.

The Central Bureau of Statistics also reported that 96.9% of households in Israel have at least one mobile telephone. 80.3% have a computer, 40.9% a tablet, 74.3% an Internet connection and 82.6% of households have a solar water heater.

The Gini index of inequality between households in income distribution according to net money income fell to 0.366 in 2015.  Despite the narrower gaps, the Central Bureau of Statistics noted that the top decile earned 8.2 times as much and spent 2.6 as much as the bottom decile.  The net income of the top two deciles accounted for 38.9% of total household income, compared with 6.4% for the bottom two deciles and 54.7% for the middle six deciles (deciles 3-8).  (CBS 16.11)

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11:  IN DEPTH

11.1  LEBANON:  Lebanese Hospital Care: Structural Deficiencies Hindering Development

Tied to the economic, political, social and demographic aspects of the country, healthcare in Lebanon is definitely one of the most challenging sectors to deal with.  Besides its 3% contribution to the GDP, the healthcare system, and mostly hospitalization, suffers from various deficiencies: inequitable spending at the expense of the Lebanese households, inefficient public healthcare coupled with inflated private services, and numerous financial shortages and burdens deriving from inflows of refugees escaping the war in Syria.

Given the specialized services provided by hospitals from diagnosis and treatment to intensive care, hospitalization is one of the primordial constituents of the Lebanese healthcare system.  Hence, hospitals can best reflect the several deficiencies in Lebanon’s health sector.  While the latest World Bank data revealed that Lebanon’s health spending and transfers were estimated at $3.12B in 2014, hospital care spending hit the $1.3B mark, which is almost 40.3% of the total health bill and 2.8% of the GDP.

In terms of financing agents, the Ministry of Public Health (MoPH) is the biggest spender on hospitalization in Lebanon.  According to the latest national health accounts in 2012, the MoPH allocated $287M (23% of the total hospitalization bill) to private and public hospitals with the former grasping 80% of the budget.  Households came second with a share of 21.8% ($272m) and were followed by each of the National Social Security Fund (NSSF) contributing to 16.9% of the bill, the private insurance companies (15.0%), the Army (8.7%) and the Civil Servants Cooperative (6.8%).  However, Mr. Sleiman Haroun, President of the Syndicate of Private Hospitals, revealed that “total hospitalization expenditure reached $1.7B in 2015, of which 53% were covered by all public insurers (i.e.MoPH, NSSF, Cooperative of public employees, Internal Security Forces, Army etc.…) and the remaining $800m were covered by private insurances, mutual funds and Out of Pocket payments from individual patients.  As to the Ministry of Public Health alone, its annual budget for hospitalization was $282m.”

Elevated Cost for Households

Despite the existence of numerous spenders, Lebanese households are bearing a substantial stake of the health bill.  In fact, health’s share averaged 7.7% of households’ expenses in 2012.  Out-of-pocket yearly hospital services totaled $386/household (22.95% of their health expenses), standing second after expenses on pharmaceutical products (50.83%).  Households also pay for health insurance averaging $93/year, which is an additional financial burden.

The considerable stake of uninsured Lebanese households is another alarming reality amid the insufficient hospitalization budget allocated by the MoPH.  As a matter of fact, the share of uninsured is estimated between 35% and 45% of the Lebanese population.  These households are usually treated at the expense of the MoPH at both private and public hospitals.  Worth noting, the MoPH allocates a yearly budget per hospital to admit uninsured patients, upon discretion of the health minister.  Once the budget per hospital is totally disbursed, usually by mid-month, private hospitals tend to either accept emergency cases bearing the risk of delayed payments by the ministry, or transfer them to public institutions which cannot turn any patient away.  When asked about the substantial number of uninsured patients, Dr Walid Ammar, Director General of the MoPH, stated that “health coverage in Lebanon is universal, however the ministry needs some time to procure the expenses above the ceiling, estimated at $40m in 2015, hence the  delayed payments”.

Hospitals’ Current Status

In case of hospitalization providers, the comparison between public and private hospital care highlights the extent of difficulties at public facilities.  State hospitals, constituting near 18.6% of total hospitals (24 public hospitals) mainly suffer from 3 types of problems: managerial, financial and political.  Boards of directors at public hospitals are highly politicized as they are appointed by government decrees.  Hence mismanagement leads to obsolete equipment and frail maintenance.  In addition, unmet commitments by health guarantors, especially the MoPH, led in public hospitals to frequent cases of unpaid employees’ salaries and lack of basic care for patients.  According to the President of the Lebanese Order of Physicians, Professor Raymond Sayegh, “it became common practice for hospitals and other agencies to postpone the payments due to doctors, which is being worsened by the lack of an efficient health policy in Lebanon.”

The lack of proper means at public hospitals led patients to resort to private hospitals to get a better quality of service even if it meant incurring higher tariffs and increased commuting to reach trusted hospitals.  In fact, patients have the option of receiving medical services at public hospitals for a 5% contribution of the bill versus a higher payment of 15% at private hospitals.  The remaining amount should be covered either by health guarantors for insured patients or by the MoPH when the patient is uninsured.

The escalating number of Syrian refugees bolstered demand for hospitalization amid constant supply.  In fact, the additional demand of displaced Syrians is negatively impacting the quality and delivery times of services, in addition to subjecting hospitals to financial hardship.  Dr. Ammar noted that, “unlike private hospitals, public hospitals must admit Syrian refugees as Lebanese nationals; hence they are the most to bear the additional financial burdens.”  Dr. Ammar also added “the health cost of Syrian refugees is estimated at $300m, of which $60 – $70m originates from hospitalization.”

On a different note, a 75% subsidy is usually provided by the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees for eligible outpatient and life threatening inpatients.  The biggest concern of Lebanese hospitals is the remaining 25% that should be covered by the displaced Syrians themselves.  In fact, without a full coverage authorization from the MoPH or a support from Non-Governmental Organizations, many of the Syrian patients fail to pay the remaining hospital fee heavily weighing on hospitals’ finances.

Several Reforms Were Undertaken, Others Could Be Considered

While concerns may arise due to the current aspects of hospitalization, in 2014 the MoPH tackled the inefficiencies in private sector hospital contracting through a new contracting mechanism based on key hospital performance indicators.  According to World Bank sources, this is a major policy reform that will improve the efficiency of public spending on hospital care.  Other suggested reforms to improve hospitalization include involving nonprofit organizations in the day-to-day supervision of public hospitals’ operations, or even privatizing the management or engaging in Public Private Partnerships so as to bring efficiency gains through increased competition and improved performance.

Health cards for uninsured patients are another suggestion that could ensure extra funds to the ministry.  Mr. Haroun explained that “the gap between the actual hospital bill and the amount covered by the MoPH could be filled through the issuance of health cards for an annual fee of $150/uninsured patient.  If 2 million citizens are uninsured, the ministry can procure an additional income of $300m.”  This solution, which is expected to improve social justice for all Lebanese and provide a yearlong access to hospitalization, was proposed to parliament but not approved yet due to the previous political stalemate.

In order to temper the hospital crisis over the long term, the government should promote preventive healthcare.  The uneven allocation of resources in favor of curative health is costing the government much more than if it would focus on the cheaper preventive care.  Preventing illness is a beneficial step as it will definitely ease the burdens of hospitals while reducing the government and patients’ payments.  The World Bank has indicated that the Ministry of Public Health is moving in that direction to shift the care model more towards prevention and primary healthcare by supporting and developing the network of Primary Healthcare Centers.  The World Bank is collaborating with the Ministry of Public Health in piloting a program that targets vulnerable Lebanese affected by the influx of Syrian refugees, with a subsidized package of primary healthcare services.

Finally, hospitalization in Lebanon is no different than the other economic activities in terms of dependency on local and regional political and security circumstances.  However, the sector is still promising and reforms can be put in place especially that country is still performing better than many of its regional peers. In fact, Lebanon scored 6.8 out of 7 in terms of health according to the 2015 World Economic Forum.  (Star 11.11)

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11.2  KUWAIT:  Kuwait’s Snap Election Revives Parliamentary Opposition, But Not Reform

David Pollock wrote in The Washington Institute PolicyWatch 2731 on 28 November that while the new legislature is hardly a harbinger of deep reform, broader inclusiveness, or greater personal freedoms, it should be considered another welcome exception to the ‘rule’ that Arab democracy tends to produce instability, Islamist control, or sectarian oppression.

Kuwait held a snap parliamentary election on 26 November, for the seventh time in just the past decade.  This small but strategic, oil-rich hereditary emirate at the head of the Persian Gulf, sandwiched between Iran and Iraq, has the only fully functional parliament among the six Arab monarchies in the Gulf Cooperation Council.  In this respect it roughly resembles the two other, non-oil-rich Arab monarchies of Jordan and Morocco, where elected parliaments also provide some outlets for popular sentiment and checks on the broad authority of the palace.  The result in all cases has been political stability, but bordering on stagnation.  True to form, Kuwait’s election, while seemingly boosting the country’s opposition forces, will likely prolong this trend.

More specifically, this latest Kuwaiti exercise in limited Arab democracy provides some intriguing lessons.  The previous parliament was dismissed by the emir, as allowed by Kuwait’s constitution, after deputies insisted on their right to grill cabinet ministers regarding controversial policy proposals.  In this case those proposals were twofold: first, a cut in petrol subsidies and related forms of official largesse, to cope with the drastic decline in oil prices on which the government and the whole economy largely depend; and second, a further tightening of the ongoing security crackdown on free expression and association — including an unprecedented requirement that every resident of the country submit a DNA sample for purposes of identification and possible investigation.

Both proposals were widely and understandably unpopular.  But rather than confront and decide the issues directly, Kuwaiti officialdom took their typical “timeout” by calling an early election.  Thus the first lesson of this episode is really a reminder of previous ones: the parliamentary electoral maneuver usually works to defuse a political crisis, but at the price of postponing any serious policy departures, often indefinitely.

Second, the self-styled “opposition” abandoned the boycott approach it used during the two previous elections and was therefore able to score a dramatic comeback at the polls.  These longstanding critics of Kuwaiti cabinets and policies are a mixed bunch, the more so as formal political parties are not allowed.  Some are Sunni fundamentalists of the Muslim Brotherhood type, known locally as the Islamic Constitutional Movement (ICM); others are more traditional Salafis; and still others emphasize populist, nationalist, or occasionally even liberal positions.

In this iteration, ICM candidates garnered an estimated four of the fifty seats in parliament, plus an equal number of seats that sympathize with their views.  Salafis did approximately the same.  An additional eight or so seats went to candidates vaguely identified with other currents in the “loyal opposition,” mainly of the populist or nationalist sort.  Altogether, about half the chamber can now be regarded as outside the pro-government camp.  This stands in sharp contrast to the previous two parliaments, where boycotts guaranteed the government solid majority support.

Significantly, thirty of the previous fifty members were not returned to office.  In this sense, at least, the election serves as a safety valve for accumulated frustrations that might otherwise have spilled over into serious protests, as occurred sporadically between elections in 2011 – 2013.

Even so, roughly half of the parliament will remain pro-government.  This segment is also a motley crew: some hardcore royalists, some tribal followers, some “service deputies” associated with patronage or other royal family favors, and six deputies from the Shiite minority of this Sunni-majority society.  The nearly even balance between opposition and pro-government camps practically ensures both continued controversy and continued policy paralysis.  Thus the outlook: stability in the streets, but little real reform.

The Shiite factor deserves special mention in this context.  No official statistics on it are publicly available, but a 2015 survey supervised by the author confirmed that Shiites represent nearly a third of Kuwaiti citizens.  As is often (though certainly not always) the case with religious or sectarian minorities around the world, they tend to side with a relatively moderate government for protection against intolerant extremists among the majority religion or sect. In Kuwait, social tensions between Sunnis and Shiites have increased substantially in recent years, largely in response to wider regional conflicts in which Iran’s Shiite proxies are usually implicated.  But in Kuwait, these tensions almost never escalate to mass violence.

Now that the Sunni opposition is back in the game, the Shiites “lost” three seats compared to the previous parliament, and they will be way down from their seventeen seats in the 2011 parliament, which more nearly reflected their proportion in the electorate.  Nevertheless, Shiites remain active, vocal, and lawful participants in Kuwaiti politics and the country’s overall economic and public life.  One could rightly say that in a region tragically replete with bloody religious conflict, Kuwait remains an admirable oasis of calm and coexistence.  It represents a victory, however fragile, for democracy over demography, and a model of peaceful political intercourse between two branches of Islam.

More broadly, though, how representative will the new parliament be of the country’s overall population?  The answer is, not so much.  Turnout has been estimated at 70%, considerably higher than in other recent contests, mainly because the opposition returned to the fray.  The fifty seats were fiercely contested, with over 400 candidates initially registering for a spot.  Yet some three-quarters of Kuwait’s 4.5 million residents consist of noncitizen expatriate workers and several hundred thousand bedoon (stateless) Arab tribal residents in the border areas, none of whom can vote.  Female citizens, by contrast, are allowed to vote and run for office, and around 10% of the early candidates in this round were women.  But only one was elected, similar to the other occasions since women were granted the franchise in practice a decade ago.  This will not be a diverse parliament in that respect, though it is a democratically elected one.

For U.S. policy, the election should be considered another welcome exception to the “rule” that Arab democracy tends to produce either instability or some form of Islamist or sectarian control. Kuwait, small and vulnerable to external threats as it is, is still an important regional U.S. military outpost, global energy partner, and geographic buffer against potential Iranian aggression in the vital Gulf arena.  Even if the incoming U.S. administration cares less about democracy abroad, or perhaps even about the Middle East altogether, it would be well advised to breathe a sigh of relief that Kuwait’s election probably makes it at least one strategic country that Washington need not worry much about in that volatile region.

David Pollock is the Kaufman Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of Fikra Forum.  (TWI 28.11)

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11.3  SAUDI ARABIA:  Saudi Arabia and the Oil Pricing Wars of the Middle East

Hadi Fathallah wrote on 17 November in Sada that regional competition and the lack of a cooperation strategy with its neighbors are compounding Saudi Arabia’s inability to act as an oil price setter.

The 70% drop in oil prices from their all-time highs in 2014 to the current lows of an average of $47 per barrel is severely affecting all hydrocarbon producers, but especially Saudi Arabia.  The many overlapping reasons for the slump include an oil glut, lower demand and the expansion of U.S. shale extraction.  But none contribute more to the continued suppression of prices as the oil pricing wars between neighboring countries of the Middle East.  Countries such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Iran, Libya and Kuwait – facing significant fiscal pressure to maintain their economic and social programs and ensure domestic stability – keep dragging final export prices down as they compete for the same market share and to retain clients.

Saudi Arabia is trying to stabilize oil markets and raise prices by meeting with Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) members and other non-OPEC producers, such as Russia, to cap production.  But after several rounds of meetings, first in Doha in April 2016, then Vienna and Algiers in September, Istanbul and Moscow in October, and with another meeting planned in Vienna for 30 November, getting all producers on board seems nearly impossible.  Meanwhile, as Saudi Arabia pushes for production cuts from distant countries such as Russia, Venezuela, Nigeria and Mexico, it has been neglecting rapprochement with neighbors, particularly with sectarian rivals Iran and Iraq.  It also lacks a clear marketing and cooperation strategy with its neighboring Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) producers.

OPEC member states hope that cutting production would stabilize or even increase oil prices.  But as OPEC countries only produce 40% of the global oil supply and consume even less than 20%, member countries are now price takers, having lost any control over the markets since 1988, when the OPEC price mechanism fell apart.  Global oil prices are generally set by two benchmarks, the Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), which is mostly used in the Americas, and the Brent, which most of the rest of the world follows, though there are smaller ones such the Dubai and Tokyo indexes.  But not all oil supply and demand go through these benchmarks.  Physical crude oil is sold either directly or indirectly between countries and their respective national oil companies and refineries; independent trading houses such Vitol, Trafigura, Mercuria and Gunvor; or oil and gas companies such as BP, Shell, Eni and Lukoil.  Physically traded crude oil prices are usually negotiated directly between the trading parties and set at a discount to WTI or Brent prices.  Only financial derivatives such as oil futures and options go through the commodity exchanges.

In fact, global crude oil prices on the Brent and WTI benchmarks are being set irrespective of changes to physical supply and demand.  Most notably, new production of shale oil that has come from the United States and Canada, Iran’s increased production and export as global sanctions have eased, all-time high production in Russia and OPEC member countries to compensate for economic downturns, and lower demand as the European Union, Japan, China, and other countries face economic slowdown.  Even if OPEC member countries agree to and abide by an oil production freeze or cut, that does not necessarily guarantee a price increase.  The market fundamentals of oil pricing are never known with certainty. It is unclear how large the global oversupply glut is, and with absence of full and transparent disclosure of oil production and exports, only oil price reporting agencies such as Platts (and the very few trading houses involved in their price discovery mechanisms) get to determine the Brent and WTI benchmarks, and thus the daily global price of crude oil.

Yet at OPEC and other forums such as the World Energy Congress or the International Energy Forum, Saudi Arabia continues to identify itself and be perceived as the swing producer and “central bank” of the oil supply.  Although its leadership, whether new Minister of Energy Khaled Al-Falih or Deputy Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman, tries to encourage active investment in the oil markets, Saudi Arabia remains a price taker because its oil is still not freely traded on the open markets.  Because the Saudis impose restrictions on buyers for resale, they have to fight to keep each client during every transaction.  That pits them against neighboring Middle Eastern rivals such as Iran and Iraq, but also GCC friends such as Kuwait and the UAE, other exporting countries and oil trading houses.

Nevertheless, even though Middle Eastern oil producers are unable to influence global benchmark prices, they continue to contribute to the decline of the final export prices of crude oil.  They share the same major export destinations: the European Union, China, India, South Korea and Japan.  Not only is Saudi Arabia battling the United States, Russia and other OPEC members on market share for these destinations, it is also battling other Middle Eastern countries with the discount rates to the Brent price benchmark.  Each time Saudi Arabia markets its crude oil for export at a certain discount to Brent, for example by three dollars per barrel, Iran undercuts the Saudi official selling price by another dollar, and then Iraq undercuts both by another dollar.  Rather than cutting production costs, these countries are producing and exporting more crude to compensate for these discounts.  Currently Saudi Arabia is producing around 10.7 million barrels per day, competing with the United States and Russia on the same output level, but it consumes almost half of what it produces.  These exporting countries are engaged in a price and volume war of attrition as the European Union’s storage facilities are filled to the brim and China hoards more crude oil even as it develops its own shale reserves.

The oil price wars in the Middle East even go to the sub-state level.  For example, in 2014 and 2015, the Kurdistan Region of Iraq sold crude internationally at a higher discount than the central government in Baghdad did as it faced illiquidity and an encroaching Islamic State.  The same goes for Libya, as the different regional centers of power in Tripoli, Benghazi, Misrata and Zintan undercut each other selling to independent oil traders in Europe to raise funds for their local militias and governmental services.  This creates incoherent export marketing for national governments, who cannot enforce selling at higher prices, and more confusion among their competitors.

If Saudi Arabia continues its tit-for-tat oil strategy with countries like Iran and Iraq and fails to provide a unified oil marketing strategy for the GCC oil-producing states, it risks being perceived not as price stabilizer, but as a bully and a source of volatility on global markets.  Saudi leadership could instead meet Iranian and Iraqi pragmatics halfway to coordinate production and marketing and avoid any further volatility.  Consolidating exporting positions among GCC countries could create a bigger market player that would give these countries a supply leverage over other producers.  Saudi Arabia could also use the Dubai price benchmark – propping it up with physical and derivative contracts to gain more independence from the Brent benchmark, especially with exports headed for Asia – to retake pricing leadership and autonomy from pricing agencies and trading houses and avoid the chaos of sub-state oil exporters.

Hadi Fathallah is an economist and policy adviser focused on energy, food security and political risk in the MENA region.  He is a fellow at the Cornell Institute for Public Affairs, Cornell University, and a member of the Global Shapers Community, an initiative of the World Economic Forum.  (Sada 17.11)

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11.4  EGYPT:  How Will Egypt Spend its $12 Billion from the IMF?

Khalid Hassan posted in Al-Monitor of 27 November that the IMF has approved a $12 billion loan, but how will the Egyptian administration spend this amount, amid allegations of the misuse of previous Gulf loans.

On 11 November, the executive board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved a three-year extended arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility to give $12 billion to Egypt to support the economic reform program developed by the Egyptian authorities.  Under the arrangement, $2.75 billion will be disbursed immediately and the remaining amount will be phased over the duration of the program, subject to five IMF reviews.

The economic reform program announced by the government in agreement with the IMF aims to gradually lift subsidies on energy, water and electricity, reduce the budget deficit, cut public spending, restrict allocations for social justice in the new budget and impose new taxes on citizens to increase revenue.

The IMF said in its 11 November press release that the loan mainly aims to reduce the state budget deficit and provide protection for low-income households.  Egypt’s budget deficit for 2015-16 stood at 12.2% of the gross domestic product, and the objective is to reduce it to 8.5-9.5% in 2016-17.

The finalization of the IMF deal and the disbursement of the first tranche triggered questions by economic experts about the fate of the received funds.  Will the funds be used to boost the Egyptian economy, reduce the budget deficit and provide social protection for the poor, or will they have the same fate as the billions obtained by Egypt from the Gulf states in 2013 against the backdrop of the June 30 protests and the downfall of the Muslim Brotherhood?

Indeed, after the ousting of the Muslim Brotherhood, Gulf aid flowed to Egypt in the form of grants, loans and bank deposits to help the new regime revive the Egyptian economy and rebuild the state.  On 7 May, 2014, presidential candidate Abdel Fattah al-Sisi stated in a talk show on CBC satellite TV channel that Gulf aid to Egypt since 30 July 2013 exceeded $20 billion.  “Gulf financial aid to Egypt is not $12 or $15 or $20 billion; it is way more than $20 billion,” he said.

On 2 March 2016, Egyptian Investment Minister Ashraf Salman said during a conference on investments in Egypt and the Middle East held in Dubai, “The total financial aid obtained by Egypt from Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait within 18 months after the fall of the Muslim Brotherhood on 3 July 2013, amounted to $23 billion in the form of cash grants, oil shipments and deposits at the Egyptian Central Bank.”

During the conference, Salman asserted that Egypt benefited from this support by implementing reform and structural economic measures to improve the investment environment and attract foreign investments in a bid to rebuild the deteriorating national economy.  He explained that Egypt is still reeling under economic hardships with citizens suffering meager living conditions, especially among low-income households.

A statement issued on 26 July by the Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics, a government entity, said that the poverty rate in Egypt is 27.8%.

On 12 October. Abdul Khaleq Abdullah, a political science professor at United Arab Emirates University and adviser to Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, the crown prince of Abu Dhabi, posted on his Twitter account, “Egypt received today a $2 billion deposit from Saudi Arabia, and it’s time to ask how all this Gulf aid is being spent in Egypt. We want a reasonable, calm and convincing answer.”

In a bid to tame citizens’ fears regarding the misuse of the IMF loan funds and the failure to allocate them for the advancement of the Egyptian economy and improvement of living conditions, the Information and Decision Support Center (IDSC) attached to the Egyptian Cabinet issued a press statement on 17 November denying all rumors about the government’s inclination to allocate the IMF loan first tranche to pay off the debts to foreign oil companies of $3.2 billion or to pay off other debts.

The IDSC said it contacted the Ministry of Finance that confirmed the $2.75 billion first tranche from the IMF will be allocated to support the state budget and protect low-income citizens and will not be used to pay off any debts, as some have claimed.

However, Rashad Abdo, an economist and the head of the Egyptian Forum for Economic Studies, told Al-Monitor, “The IMF had asked the Egyptian government to pay off its debts to foreign oil companies from the loan funds, which means that part of the IMF loan will extinguish the state debts and the other part will increase the country’s foreign reserves that had hit rock bottom in the past days, dropping to around $15 billion.”

He added, “Egypt received billions of dollars from the Gulf states, in the form of loans, deposits and grants to support the Egyptian economy and help overcome the critical stage following the rule of the Muslim Brotherhood, especially after the decision to disperse the sit-ins in Rabia al-Adawiya and al-Nahda squares, as cash reserves increased by 10% as a result of financial aid flowing from Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait.”  He explained, “Part of the Gulf aid was allocated to increase the foreign cash reserves, another for projects for the development of slums and social housing and infrastructure projects, and another for development projects such as the 1.5 million feddans [2,432 square miles] land reclamation project, the establishment of the new administrative capital and the development of the area around the Suez Canal.”

Abdo said, “Unfortunately, the Egyptian citizen did not feel any change after the Gulf aids.  Remittances sent by Egyptians abroad fell excessively as of 2015 amid a deteriorating tourism situation after recent repeated security incidents in Egypt.  This is in addition to the drop in Suez Canal revenues, which drained one of Egypt’s main sources of foreign currency revenues and led Egypt to withdraw money from its foreign cash reserves to buy commodities and import the necessary petroleum products.  Consequently, Gulf grants became insufficient to pay off debts and buy basic living goods to the point that citizens felt that Gulf aid funds were squandered without any benefits for them.”

He said, “I think the Egyptian citizen will not be seeing a tangible change in the near future, even after the IMF loan. Nations are not built by grants and loans.  To build the Egyptian state, we must boost production, set an appropriate investment environment and restore international confidence in the Egyptian economy.  Otherwise, no financial aid, whether Gulf loans or IMF facilities, will redress Egypt’s economy, and the ordinary citizen will not feel any change or improvement in his standard of living.”  (Al-Monitor 27.11)

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11.5  EGYPT:  Egypt’s Economy: Not Out of the Woods Yet

On 18 November Eric Trager posted in the Washington Institute for Near East Policy that a few weeks ago, Egypt appeared to be on the brink.  The Egyptian pound, which sold at 5.9 LE/$ at the time of Egypt’s January 2011 “Arab Spring” uprising, had fallen to 8.9 LE/$ on 2 November, while traders were buying dollars for 18.2 LE/$ on the black market.

Meanwhile, as revenue streams from foreign investment, aid from Gulf states and tourism declined, the government instituted stiff capital controls, catalyzing a commodity shortage that became so severe that the Egyptian government raided the sugar supplies of Pepsi and local food company Edita.  At the same time, new signs of popular discontent emerged in October: a video of a tuk-tuk driver complaining about the country’s conditions went viral on social media, and when the prime minister visited the Red Sea town of Ras Gharib following a flood, residents protested the government’s slow response and criticized the Egyptian military on television.  Most worrying for the government, the Muslim Brotherhood and its allies had called for a “Revolution of the Poor” on 11 November and many anticipated violence: the government claimed that it had shut down a bomb-making factory and arrested militants, while a self-declared leader of the protests vowed to cut off the hands of anyone who attacked the demonstrators.

Yet as has happened many times during the past three years, the doomsday predictions didn’t materialize and 11 November passed without any significant protests.  Still, Egypt isn’t out of the woods: while the government has taken significant steps to address its capital shortages in recent weeks, Cairo knows that these steps entail significant pain and could therefore spark unrest.

Indeed, after years of drawing down its cash reserves to defend the pound, the Egyptian government finally lifted currency controls and floated the pound on 3 November.  While the move nearly cut the pound’s official value in half and catalyzed an instant spike in prices, it paved the way for the International Monetary Fund to approve a crucial $12 billion loan to Egypt a week later, with $2.75 billion of the loan arriving immediately.  Given the political uncertainty of the previous six years, the broad sentiment within Egypt (and one that has been heavily promoted in the Egyptian media) has favored giving the Egyptian government more time to put the economy on the right track, rather than taking to the streets, which many Egyptians fear risks further chaos that would only make a very difficult situation worse.  In this sense, the IMF loan was seen within Egypt as a step in the right direction, and seemingly undermined the rationale for the 11 November protests – at least for the time being.

Still, it seems unlikely that the IMF loan will address Egyptians’ economic frustrations on a more permanent basis.  First, the loan required Cairo to institute a value-added tax and reduce energy subsidies, with gas prices rising from 16 to 21 cents per liter.  While these moves should help stabilize Egypt’s currency reserves and prevent commodity shortages, they create more pain in the short run for a population whose wealth has already been cut in half by the pound’s devaluation.  Cairo has tried to address this challenge by increasing the food subsidies on which roughly three-quarters of Egyptians rely.  The IMF loan entails directing approximately one% of GDP from fiscal savings towards subsidies and cash transfers to elderly and poor families, as well as preserving programs for school meals, subsidies for children’s medicine and infant milk.  Earlier this year, Egyptian mothers protested shortages on subsidized infant formula.  The crisis was a major embarrassment for the government and the military ultimately helped resolve the matter by importing formula and selling it at half price.

Second, while Egypt’s weak currency should attract foreign tourists and investments, the operating environment remains challenging for both.  Persistent concerns about terrorism and travel warnings have suppressed tourism revenue since the 2011 uprising, and there is little indication that the broader security environment will change to enable a significant influx of tourists anytime soon.  Moreover, there are still significant bureaucratic hurdles to doing business in Egypt, as well as significant public-sector corruption, and the government’s prosecution of the chief auditor indicates that this is unlikely to improve in the near-term.  To be sure, the early signs are positive: the official and black-market currency rates have converged, and foreign currency inflows have reached $1.5 billion.  But stabilizing Egypt’s currency reserves and ensuring its ability to continue subsidizing food requires broader economic reform and security improvements – and it will be especially difficult to enact further economic reform so long as Egyptians are already coping with the pain of less wealth, higher fuel prices, and new consumption taxes.

For this reason, Egypt’s significant economic moves are unlikely to be coupled with political reforms.  If anything, the new law on nongovernmental organizations (NGOs), which seeks to establish direct government oversight over all NGOs and penalizes violators with prison sentences of one to five years, suggests that the political environment will only become more restrictive.  As one Egyptian official noted, unrest is always possible.  Even though the 11 November protests never materialized, he said, anti-government forces would likely call for demonstrations on 25 January, which will be the sixth anniversary of Egypt’s 2011 “Arab Spring” uprising; or maybe on April 6th, which will be the ninth anniversary of the founding of the revolutionary April 6th Youth Movement; or maybe on June 30th, which will be the fourth anniversary of the uprising against Egypt’s first elected president, Muslim Brotherhood leader Mohamed Morsi; or maybe on August 14th, which will be the fourth anniversary of the government’s deadly crackdown on Brotherhood protest sites after Morsi’s ouster.  “Every few months,” he said, “there’s a date.”

Eric Trager is the Esther K. Wagner Fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, where his research focuses on Egyptian politics and the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt. Dr. Trager has served as an adjunct professor at the University of Pennsylvania, the University of Michigan, and the University of California, and he is the author of the forthcoming book Arab Fall: How the Muslim Brotherhood Won and Lost Egypt in 891 Days (Georgetown University Press, fall 2016).  (TWI 18.11)

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11.6  MOROCCO:  Morocco Takes Lead in Climate Change Fight, But at What Cost?

Charlotte Bruneau posted in Al-Monitor on 15 November that Morocco is pushing forward with an ambitious renewable energy sector, but its policies may be doing more harm than good.

During the COP22, the United Nation’s climate conference that is currently taking place (7 – 18 November) in Marrakech, journalists are being taken to visit the kingdom’s most ambitious project, the solar plant NOOR I.  Noor, which mean “light” in Arabic, is the world’s largest concentrated solar plant and started functioning in Ouarzazate in February.  Still under expansion, the Ouarzazate solar plant will cover an area as large as 4,200 football fields (3,000 hectares) and provide electricity for 1.1 million Moroccans.

Morocco has launched an ambitious strategy to reduce its greenhouse gas emissions with a focus on the energy sector, according to a Heinrich Boll Foundation report.  Morocco’s Green Investment Plan is spending $11.5 billion on solar and wind energy programs over a period of 10 years.  By 2030, Morocco aims to cover 52% of its energy needs with renewables.

Morocco is the only North African country that has virtually no fossil fuel resources.  The expansion of renewable capacity will reduce the kingdom’s dependency on imports that reached 91% in 2014.  To attract private sector investments in green energies, Morocco has largely stopped fossil fuel subsidies and instead funds the difference between production cost and the selling price of green energy.

Dorothea Richewski, the director of the Heinrich Boll Foundation in Rabat, calls for caution. “This is financed mostly by loans from international finance institutions.  As a result, Morocco’s dependency on fossil fuels will be replaced by a financial dependency.  In 2015, Morocco’s debt already reached more than 63% of the gross domestic product [GDP].”

Renewable energy infrastructures are earmarked for their positive socio-economic impact.  Morocco was ranked among the poorest countries in the Arab world.

But according to Richewski, there are still some lessons to be learned.  “There were very high expectations in terms of employment around the development of NOOR I.  However, there were fewer jobs created than expected and many were only temporary.  Small and medium size businesses were not sufficiently included in the construction of NOOR I, whereas they are key for job creation and local economic development,” he said.

The development of Morocco’s green energy sector is orchestrated by King Mohammed VI, whose fortune was estimated as the fifth largest in Africa in 2015 and is largely due to his majority shareholding of the National Investment Company.  This giant founded Nareva Holding, an energy company that aims to become a Moroccan pioneer in renewables.  Over the last years, Nareva Holding won numerous national tenders, including for the Tarfaya wind park, Africa’s largest.

Nareva Holding also launched partnerships to develop green energy projects in North and West Africa, including Ghana, Egypt, Cameroun and Senegal.  Beside business opportunities, these partnerships offer additional diplomatic leverage at a time when Morocco wishes to rejoin the African Union after 32 years of absence.

Cedric Philibert, a renewable energy senior analyst at the International Energy Agency, told Al-Monitor that he is skeptical whether Moroccan green energy programs can be replicated in sub-Saharan Africa.  “Morocco has developed huge energy plants.  But in sub-Saharan Africa, it is rather likely that the energetic transition will be more decentralized, with smaller units such as solar cells to charge smartphones or at the village level.”

The development of the Moroccan wind energy program also faces fierce criticism in Western Sahara.  The Foum El Oued wind park already operates in this disputed territory.  Two additional wind farms are planned over the next years.  Erik Hagen, the chair of Western Sahara Resource Watch, told Al-Monitor in this regard, “In just four years, the kingdom plans to produce over a staggering quarter of its renewable energy in Western Sahara.”

Morocco annexed Western Sahara in 1976.  After a 15-year long conflict between Morocco and the Polisario Front, Western Sahara’s national liberation organization, a cease-fire came into effect with the promise of a referendum of self-determination in Western Sahara the following year.  The International Court of Justice as well as the United Nations are in favor of the referendum.  But until today, Morocco failed to organize it while developing economic activity in what it calls its “southern provinces.”  According to Hans Corell, a former legal counsel of the United Nations, the natural resources from a “non-self-governing territory” such as Western Sahara can only be used with the agreement and for the benefit of the local population.

Said Mouline, the director general of the Moroccan National Agency for the Development of Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency, told Al-Monitor that the wind parks close to el-Aaiun, the largest city in Western Sahara, produce electricity for the local population.  “This region is being developed according to the rules of sustainable development.  This is different from countries that export petrol and do not distribute the benefits to local populations.”

But according to Phosboucraa, a government-owned phosphate mining company, 95% of its energy is produced by the nearby Foum El Oued wind park.  Phosphate exports traditionally account for 10% of Morocco’s GDP.  In their report published before the COP22, Western Sahara Resource Watch points out that the use of locally produced renewable energies makes the depletion of nonrenewable resources in Western Sahara more profitable by lowering production costs.

Western Sahara Resource Watch also criticizes the German company Siemens for striking a deal with Nareva Holding for the Foum El Oued wind power project.  Hagen said, “According to international law, Siemens should consult the local Sahrawi population before entering into deals in this territory.”  A Siemens spokesperson told Al-Monitor that the company was a mere supplier and that the delivery of wind turbines to the Foum El Oued site was not in breach of international law.

As the COP22 comes to an end, Western Sahara Resource Watch is questioning Morocco’s reputation as a green energy champion.  Hagen added, “Of course, it is important to fight climate change. At the same time, it is very surprising that the UNFCCC [United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change] — the UN body responsible for the COP22 — does not question these Moroccan projects that take place in a territory over which the UN itself does not recognize Moroccan sovereignty.”

At the COP22, Morocco emerges as an African leader in green energies.  But many criticize the political and financial interests that the palace is pursuing through its renewable energy policies.  (Al-Monitor 15.11)

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11.7  TURKEY:  Turkey’s Emergency Rule Fuels Brain Drain

Sibel Hurtas posted on 21 November in Al-Monitor that Turkey is losing precious human capital, as many educated Turks are migrating to the West, scared off by ferocious crackdowns since the July coup attempt.

The aftermath of the 15 July coup attempt has sparked a migration flurry among educated Turks amid crackdowns on media freedoms and free speech, arbitrary restrictions on property and work rights, and growing talk of a looming economic crisis and even a civil war.  Many of those leaving the country are academics, expelled overnight from universities via legislative decrees, journalists out of work and under the threat of imprisonment, and members of non-Muslim minorities who feel increasingly insecure.

Since the state of emergency was declared soon after the botched coup, 3,500 academics, one-fifth of them professors, have been expelled from universities across the country through two legislative decrees issued by the government.  They include scores of scholars who had signed a peace declaration in January, urging Ankara to stop the military crackdown in the mainly Kurdish southeast and seek a negotiated settlement to the conflict.  The signatories had already faced probes for spreading “terrorist propaganda,” and some were quick to seek safety abroad before things got even worse after the coup attempt.

One of them, currently employed by a university in the United States, told Al-Monitor on condition of anonymity, “I left Turkey because of threats and fear of imprisonment.  I’m still afraid despite being so far away.  I’m now worried for my colleagues in Turkey and have been having sleepless nights since October.  Primary and secondary education in Turkey was already finished, now higher education is finished as well.”

Another signatory of the peace declaration attempted to go abroad after being expelled in the wake of the putsch, but was not that lucky.  Fearing unemployment and imprisonment, the academic said she sought help from the Scholars at Risk network and was offered a position at a German university.  She was unable to go, however, as she was slapped with a travel ban.

International groups helping at-risk scholars have reported a record surge in applications from Turkey.  In a report issued in October, Scholars at Risk warned of the far-reaching implications of Ankara’s crackdown on the academic community, saying, “The government’s actions, beyond the harm done to the individuals targeted, have already harmed the reputation of Turkey’s higher education sector as a reliable partner for research projects, teaching and study exchanges, and international conferences and meetings.  If not promptly reversed, these actions risk greater damage by isolating Turkish scholars, students and institutions from the international flow of ideas and talent, further undermining Turkey’s position in the global knowledge economy and its stature in the world more generally.  Turkish officials must honor their obligations, including under the constitution, to protect institutional autonomy and academic freedom.  They should reverse the actions taken and suspend further actions against Turkey’s higher education institutions and personnel.”

Aysit Tansel, an economics professor at Ankara’s Middle East Technical University who has studied Turkey’s brain drain over the years, said, “Though I have not researched the issue academically in recent times, I hear that [Turkish academics] abroad are unwilling to return and those here want to go.”  The expelled academics can hardly find teaching jobs in Turkey now, she said, adding, “They will have to either look for jobs outside academia or go abroad to seek jobs in or outside academia.  They have to earn their living somehow. And if they go abroad, the damage will be on Turkey for losing well-educated, qualified people.”

Journalists are another professional group standing out in the migration flurry.  More than 100 newspapers, radio stations and television channels have been closed down after the coup attempt, with scores of journalists facing judicial investigations.

Erol Onderoglu, the Turkey representative of Reporters Without Borders, described an unprecedented sense of insecurity gripping journalists of disparate straits.  “For the first time in 40 years, journalists and intellectuals of various, even opposite, leanings feel they are all the target of an oppressive government and emergency rule measures,” he told Al-Monitor.  “So, [many] seem to have made up their minds or have already realized plans to live and work in exile, having lost hope of reclaiming their jobs or profession in Turkey.”

Turkey’s tiny non-Muslim minorities also seem to be on tenterhooks.  According to the head of the Jewish community, Ishak Ibrahimzade, 250 Jews have left Turkey in the wake of the coup attempt.  “In the Armenian community, the figure is not believed to have reached that level yet, but, sadly, migration remains high on the [community’s] agenda,” the Armenian-Turkish newspaper Agos wrote last month.

Brain drain has plagued Turkey since the 1960s.  Academic studies indicate that the migration of qualified Turks was triggered by political crises and low wages, and continued throughout the years, though with a lesser intensity.  Today, however, the brain drain is coming from people targeted by government policies, with many going abroad after failing to even find a job.  This shows the brain drain is no longer an economic phenomenon but an increasingly politicized one.  This, in turn, suggests that well-educated and qualified Turks will continue to look for better futures abroad, given the bleak prospects for the country.

In his remarks to Al-Monitor, the Turkish academic in the United States said he wished to return to Turkey “but not to the current one.”  The scholar who made an unsuccessful attempt to migrate said she did so reluctantly.  In other words, migration is not a voluntary option.  Thus, the brain drain is likely to stop if the government restores constitutional rights and freedoms and lifts the state of emergency with all its extraordinary practices.  Turkey, which was already lagging behind the West both in media freedoms and overall academic standards, should give itself a chance to avoid falling further behind.

Sibel Hurtas is an award-winning Turkish journalist who focuses on human rights and judicial and legal affairs. Her career includes 15 years as a reporter for the national newspapers Evrensel, Taraf, Sabah and HaberTurk and the ANKA news agency. She won the Metin Goktepe Journalism Award and the Musa Anter Journalism Award in 2004 and the Turkish Journalists Association’s Merit Award in 2005. In 2013, she published a book on the murders of Christians in Turkey. Her articles on minorities and unresolved killings appear on the Faili Belli human rights blog.  (Al-Monitor 21.11)

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11.8  TURKEY:  AKP Bill to Pardon Child Rapists Who Marry Their Victims

Amberin Zaman posted on 21 November in Al-Monitor that Turks are furious over a proposed law that would commute the sentences of men who have sex with minors if they end up marrying the girls, but Turkey’s ruling party has the simple majority it needs to push the law, which it claims is intended to address legal issues surrounding child marriage, through parliament.

Defying a nationwide outcry, Turkey’s ruling Islamist Justice and Development Party (AKP) appears bent on ramming a bill through parliament that would pardon child rapists if a perpetrator marries his victim. AKP parliamentary whip Mustafa Elitas refused to withdraw the measure, which is likely to be approved in a second round of voting on 22 November.  Scrapping the bill “is out of the question,” he said.

A simple majority, which the AKP commands, will suffice for its adoption.

Many see pardoning men who engage in sex with little girls as part of the AKP’s broader agenda of imposing what human rights lawyer Erdal Dogan described to Al-Monitor as “a medieval lifestyle governed by Islamic laws.”

Elitas claimed that his party would consider changes to the bill proposed by the main opposition secular Republican People’s Party (CHP).  Deputy Prime Minister Numan Kurtulmus echoed the offer.  But CHP whip Ozgur Ozel said no one from the government had contacted his party with regard to the affair thus far.  He further asserted that the bill, if passed as is, offers “a ticket to freedom” for “17,000 abusers.”  Women’s and other rights groups, including some prominent pro-Islamic female essayists, have reacted with fury to the proposal, saying it will give free rein to pedophiles.  “It will in the long term transform the lives of young girls into hell,” wrote Fatma Barbarasoglu in Yeni Safak.

On 20 November, thousands of people including women and children marched against the bill in the determinedly pro-secular Kadikoy district in Istanbul.  A day earlier, the United Nations Children’s Fund said it was “deeply concerned” by the legislation.  It may be no coincidence that numerous women’s organizations that had been campaigning against child marriage were among some 370 associations whose activities were shut down under an emergency law decree.

Rights activist Nurcan Cetinbas ran one of the banned outfits in the mainly Kurdish city of Mus in southeast Turkey.  She told online news portal Diken that field studies suggested that the proportion of marriages with minors in Mus was around 60% in the city center and as high as 70% in outlying boroughs.  Cetinbas said that contrary to government claims that the law is compatible with Turkey’s “cultural fiber,” all it will do is send a signal to child rapists “to carry on.”

The government is defending the move as an attempt to smooth out legal wrinkles arising from the issue of child marriage, which is woefully widespread in Turkey.  Former Turkish President Abdullah Gul famously married his wife Hayrunnisa when she was 15 and he 30.

The AKP insists that the amnesty will apply only to those who had intimate relations with girls aged 15 or under without use of “force, threat or any other restriction on consent.”  Men convicted in such cases between 2005, when a similar law was scrapped, and November this year, would be eligible to have their sentences commuted if they married their victims.

Dogan speculated that the bill might have been devised in part to address the ballooning allegations of sexual abuse from Syrian child refugees who are employed as household help.  In May, English-language Hurriyet Daily News reported that a total of 30 Syrian refugees aged between 8 and 12 had been sexually assaulted by a cleaner in the Nizip refugee camp on the Syrian border.  The offender was sentenced to a total of 289 years in prison.  All of his victims were boys.

Amberin Zaman is a journalist who has covered Turkey, the Kurds and Armenia for The Washington Post, The Daily Telegraph, The Los Angeles Times and the Voice of America.  She served as The Economist’s Turkey correspondent between 1999 and 2016. She was a columnist for the liberal daily Taraf and the mainstream daily Haberturk before switching to the independent Turkish online news portal Diken in 2015. She is currently a public policy scholar at The Woodrow Wilson Center in Washington, DC, where she is focusing on Kurdish issues.  (Al-Monitor 21.11)

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